Psychoactive Substances: Rolling UK Politics in The Neo-Con Era

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Fight over Europe! Hammer the Scots! Pay down the debt Labour ran up! Gerrymander the wards! Ban immigrants! Increase the cuts! Sell the NHS! Open consultations on a draft paper for proposal for a British Bill of Rights! Vote for Boris! Sign TTIP! Ban Porn! Spy on Everything!

Is there anything to look forward to?

stet, Wednesday, 10 June 2015 09:58 (eight years ago) link

you forgot savage foxes!

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Wednesday, 10 June 2015 10:02 (eight years ago) link

stet, what was that thing you were raging about on the previous thread just as it ended, about Osborne?

one of the top Liam Gallaghers on the live circuit (stevie), Wednesday, 10 June 2015 10:05 (eight years ago) link

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-33074500

^^^ I am really at odds to explain how stupid, short-sighted, mendacious and self-defeating it would be to enshrine a budget surplus in law. There is basically no merit in one from an economic point of view, it commits us to relying on perpetual consumer/business deficits, it effectively outlaws Keynesian economics, and there's no way in hell the Tories will be able to achieve it in any case.

They are going to regret doing this - there's no way they can achieve a budget surplus, £8bn a year spending on the NHS, all the other cuts they've promised, and a tax-rise lock at the same time. It's impossible and I'm not sure which one they're going to be able to shelve, especially if they keep making up pointless laws. They might manage it if they privatise literally everything, but otherwise?

Matt DC, Wednesday, 10 June 2015 10:07 (eight years ago) link

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-33074500
It's pure political posturing. Parliament can't bind its successors anyway, what a crock of shit. Ah xp

stet, Wednesday, 10 June 2015 10:08 (eight years ago) link

Not sure I agree that forcing Labour to defend borrow-and-spend (when apparently the public hates them for it, even when they benefit) is a good thing
http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/2015/06/osbornes-budget-surplus-trap-will-force-labour-finally-offer-economic-clarity

stet, Wednesday, 10 June 2015 10:26 (eight years ago) link

haven't seen the original report but fuck this guy amirite:

http://www.theargus.co.uk/news/13322891.Miliband_aide_cancelled_Pavilion_photoshoot_in_case__voters_might_think_it_was_a_mosque_/

irl friend of the geir (NickB), Wednesday, 10 June 2015 12:47 (eight years ago) link

great use of campaigning time guys, visiting Brighton Pavilion rather than, say, a tory held marginal.

'come around to your house and fuck your ho' (paraphrase) (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 10 June 2015 14:24 (eight years ago) link

let's sell RBS at a loss & continue the theme of fiscal irresponsibility shall we

hot doug stamper (||||||||), Wednesday, 10 June 2015 20:27 (eight years ago) link

That comment about picking your fave player from the L**ds '74 squad rings so true every time I hear these self-regarding robotic fucks talking on the radio.

xelab, Wednesday, 10 June 2015 20:47 (eight years ago) link

Londis?

Mark G, Wednesday, 10 June 2015 21:26 (eight years ago) link

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-33089711

Allies of George Osborne are studying an Institute for Fiscal Studies idea to return tax credits to 2003/4 levels, plus inflation - saving £5bn.
Changes would cut entitlements for about 3.7 million low-income families by about £1,400 a year, the IFS said.

ONE OF THEM FUCKING JESUS (stevie), Thursday, 11 June 2015 09:00 (eight years ago) link

The degree to which this govt seems to relish attacking the vulnerable appals me.

ONE OF THEM FUCKING JESUS (stevie), Thursday, 11 June 2015 09:00 (eight years ago) link

... though not as much as the fact that the Great British public lap it up.

Willibald Pirckheimers Briefwechsel (Tom D.), Thursday, 11 June 2015 09:11 (eight years ago) link

MPs and experts close to Mr Osborne believe reducing current tax credits would see low-income households encouraged to take on more work to keep their family income up.

"Encouraged". These people are evil.

stet, Thursday, 11 June 2015 09:15 (eight years ago) link

"Poor people: you are not working hard enough. Work more." As you say Tom, people voted for this crap. I will never really understand why.

ONE OF THEM FUCKING JESUS (stevie), Thursday, 11 June 2015 09:16 (eight years ago) link

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/jun/04/alex-salmond-tells-female-tory-minister-behave-yourself-woman

This seems to have flown under the radar, especially when we remember the DCam/Anna Eagle shitstorm or Barry Sheerman/Esther McVey.

the bowels are not what they seem (aldo), Thursday, 11 June 2015 09:31 (eight years ago) link

good point

conrad, Thursday, 11 June 2015 09:34 (eight years ago) link

we must hold these people to account with timely and revealing analysis

conrad, Thursday, 11 June 2015 09:35 (eight years ago) link

yeah it's unfair that David Cameron was forced to resign over that and alex salmond isn't facing similar consequences

behave yourself, man

There was Bjork from Iceland and Alanis Morissette from Canada (onimo), Thursday, 11 June 2015 10:51 (eight years ago) link

During the first few months of the coalition it felt like the Tories were just trying to get as much done as quickly as possible in case the government collapsed. This time the project is very obviously trying to permanently realign the centre of gravity even further to the right.

Matt DC, Thursday, 11 June 2015 10:57 (eight years ago) link

Osborne getting the message out. We all need to be more responsible and tighten our belts. Maybe use some non-solid-gold receptacles.

http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2013/06/19/article-2344670-1A68DCD5000005DC-586_634x420.jpg

There was Bjork from Iceland and Alanis Morissette from Canada (onimo), Thursday, 11 June 2015 12:06 (eight years ago) link

We're all dindins together..

Mark G, Thursday, 11 June 2015 12:22 (eight years ago) link

one month passes...

Harman backing Osborne's tax credit cuts is, I fear, going to be pretty typical of Labour moving forward. The entire party appear to be gripped by the collective fantasy that all they need to do is show they'll be tight on spending and the electorate will suddenly bestow the Holy Grail of "economic credibility" upon them and propel them back to power. As if anyone would bother when they could vote for the actual Tories.

Matt DC, Sunday, 12 July 2015 17:50 (eight years ago) link

I don't mean the entire party really, but maybe at least 3/4 of the PLP.

Matt DC, Sunday, 12 July 2015 17:52 (eight years ago) link

it's horrendous news, i am genuinely dismayed by it

Credit: howtokeepapositiveattitudedotcom (stevie), Sunday, 12 July 2015 18:52 (eight years ago) link

dismayed doesn't cover it. holy shit.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Monday, 13 July 2015 07:45 (eight years ago) link

can't believe that the party of Tony Blair, Andy Burnham, Liz Kendall, Jack Cunningham, Yvette Cooper, Ed Balls, Peter Mandelson, Frank Fields, Jack Straw, Harriet Harman, Chuka Umunna, Gordon Brown, Tristram Hunt, etc etc etc is behaving like this. truly shocking and heartbreaking

Corbyn, Burnham and Cooper are all opposed.

Kendall's silence is fairly telling.

I wear my Redditor loathing with pride (ShariVari), Monday, 13 July 2015 08:15 (eight years ago) link

Als, to be fair, Gordon Brown did introduce working tax credits.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Monday, 13 July 2015 08:44 (eight years ago) link

Also

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Monday, 13 July 2015 08:44 (eight years ago) link

i take the individual points but they're all avatars of the current dead party, sometimes just a few steps at a time, but the PLP has been a rogues' gallery of careerist Tory fucks for a long time now

or in other words, they gave up every other principle, why would they baulk here?

is being unsurprised by the fuckery a more tenable reaction to being dismayed by it?

Credit: howtokeepapositiveattitudedotcom (stevie), Monday, 13 July 2015 09:13 (eight years ago) link

i think clinging to the notion that the Labour party is any kind of locus of resistance to our ongoing political degradation is probly unhelpful, so anything that loosens the sentimental ties is a good thing

given the lack of plausible loci of resistance (+inertia of course, always) I can understand why ppl remain there. all the hustings I've seen lately have underlined how huge the gulf is between party leadership and its local candidates, v suspect flow of information within the parties

ogmor, Monday, 13 July 2015 09:23 (eight years ago) link

All I'm clinging to is that a lot can happen in 5 years... pretty desperate, I know.

holger sharkey (Tom D.), Monday, 13 July 2015 09:30 (eight years ago) link

since Blair took the leadership the modernizing program has been all about centralizing power and strengthening hierarchies. ultimately this was more damaging than any Clause 4 moment - i see no way for any grassroots revolt to take power back from the technocrats and career politicians who run the party now. which is the same boring defeatist line i've been peddling for 10-15 years, admittedly, but it's cute how every time the party lurches further and further into neoliberalism people still look surprised.

because ultimately these are no longer social democrats in disguise trying to win back the popular vote in the service of egalitarianism or even redistribution of wealth - they're just neolib policy wonks with a faint glimmer of bleeding heart - for deserving, hard-working families - still nagging them, tho they've forgotten why

The former I could happily accept, but yeah the latter is almost certainly the case, I don't get any sense of moral purpose or indeed any real purpose at all, and neither do most of the rest of the electorate.

The thing is, this lot have become so fixated on the Brown/Miliband defeats that they've forgotten what happened to Gordon Brown when he scrapped the 10p tax band. Rightward shifts are just handled differently by the press depending on whether it's Labour or the Tories, they're not going to start clapping like seals if they adopt Tory policies wholesale.

Most of the electorate don't even think in Left-Right terms, and Harman's "listening to the electorate" line overlooks the fact that more often than not the Tories don't really bother, they just go ahead and do it even when the policies are unpopular. I still believe the British public are open to listening to social-democratic policies, individual policies that are even now popular in isolation. You just have to be someone the country trusts and wants to listen to - so not Miliband, not Harman, certainly not any of this lot (probably not even Jeremy Corbyn sadly).

Labour won't win "economic credibility" back until the Tories have managed to blow theirs, there's just no point to throwing every remaining principle out of the window in the meantime, people won't care.

Matt DC, Monday, 13 July 2015 09:59 (eight years ago) link

that's about right, tho i think it's too late to worry about them retaining principles.

i do believe that there are better policies that could be sold to the electorate, but that would take a set of coherent beliefs, the will to do the hard work of fine-tuning and selling those beliefs and the recognition that you won't effect a substantial change in worldview in the short term, probably not even in a 5-year cycle. if a political party in our system has any point at all then it's to lead people, to persuade them and to show them alternative ways of thinking. the whole focus group market research culture is really the death of meaningful parliamentary politics, just as the de-democratizing of the Labour party has been.

but it's not like anybody gives a shit. this is the best of all possible economic worlds so maybe it's best just to let people enjoy it. while it lasts.

I joined the Labour Party after the election - as did several people I know - but nothing over the last two months has given me any clue who to vote for in the leadership election or wtf the party needs to do going forward. If anything I feel worse; it feels like the electorate in general simply doesn't care about what the Tories are doing.

Will vote Bradshaw for deputy out of local loyalty, and also because I think he's a decent moderniser and knows how to win things. But I want principles too. So maybe Corbyn for leader.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Monday, 13 July 2015 10:51 (eight years ago) link

I joined the Labour Party after the election - as did several people I know

joining the gym in January

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 13 July 2015 11:07 (eight years ago) link

Think the gym has a little bit more shame when it comes to bombarding you with emails and text messages 24/7.

Matt DC, Monday, 13 July 2015 11:10 (eight years ago) link

also when you sign up to the gym it probably won't decide it's a doughnut shop 6 months later

Yeah, there are a LOT of emails.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Monday, 13 July 2015 11:13 (eight years ago) link

the whole focus group market research culture is really the death of meaningful parliamentary politics

OTM. See the tweets now from MPs going on about how Kendall is polling best with the voters, as if the idea is to go where the public leads, rather than to lead them.

stet, Monday, 13 July 2015 11:19 (eight years ago) link

I supported some labour party petition backing a parliamentary motion once. I kept getting emails from Alistair Campbell after.

plax (ico), Monday, 13 July 2015 11:25 (eight years ago) link

Thinking of paying three quid to vote Corbyn.

plax (ico), Monday, 13 July 2015 11:26 (eight years ago) link

^^^ have had the same notion but purely for the lulz you understand

Understand only too well.

holger sharkey (Tom D.), Monday, 13 July 2015 11:35 (eight years ago) link

See the tweets now from MPs going on about how Kendall is polling best with the voters, as if the idea is to go where the public leads, rather than to lead them

It needs to be a sensible balance between the two - "leadership" is pointless without ground-up engagement and proper dialogue. The problem is that they are being highly selective about which voters they "listen" to.

Matt DC, Monday, 13 July 2015 11:36 (eight years ago) link

As if any of "the public" know or care who Liz Kendall is.

holger sharkey (Tom D.), Monday, 13 July 2015 11:38 (eight years ago) link

Can anyone fill me in on who "labour first" are. All the major press organs have been giving them a platform to say that Corbyn's politics are not "ours" but googling them all I can find aside from this story is a two year old blog post that refers to them as "mysterious." Assuming that they're the Blair led pressure group that I read about before the election in something that implied they would hand pick the next leader, but I can't find that article

plax (ico), Monday, 13 July 2015 11:42 (eight years ago) link

they're just neolib policy wonks with a faint glimmer of bleeding heart - for deserving, hard-working families

i believe 'strivers' is now the term of art. Given that Frank Field has apparently used it three times in two sentences.

But he added: “What is unacceptable is for the government to wallop strivers who are already in work, with their low wages brought up to a more decent level by tax credits.
“The Tory attack on strivers now gives us a chance to to reposition Labour on the strivers’ side and not simply be a pressure group for people on benefit whatever their circumstances.”

ledge, Monday, 13 July 2015 12:28 (eight years ago) link

oh god it's all going to be strivers vs skivers next

feargal czukay (NickB), Monday, 13 July 2015 12:38 (eight years ago) link

a chance to to reposition Labour on the strivers’ side and not simply be a pressure group for people on benefit whatever their circumstances

vote Labour

Strivers vs strikers.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Monday, 13 July 2015 12:41 (eight years ago) link

and the strassengers

Mark G, Monday, 13 July 2015 12:52 (eight years ago) link

Anyway..

Whatever Labour does, this is going through, right?

So, we have at least one candidate that is against this, and at least one that thinks its a great idea.

So, basically, everything is abstainable unless all the potential leaders agree, at which point something can be voted against even though the end result will be the same?

Or not?

Mark G, Monday, 13 July 2015 12:57 (eight years ago) link

Why does Frank Field still exist?

holger sharkey (Tom D.), Monday, 13 July 2015 13:22 (eight years ago) link

because God doesn't

The thing is that cutting tax credits is in and of itself an assault on "strivers", unless the skivers category has now been expanded to include the working poor as well. Even the ropiest of previous Labour front benches would have been hammering the government for this.

This sort of meek capitulation only serves to enable the Tories to shift the mythical centre ground even further to the right, it's falling directly into the elephant trap set by Osborne.

Matt DC, Monday, 13 July 2015 14:24 (eight years ago) link

cutting benefits to the very poor while reducing inheritance tax for the wealthy is indefensible

From the Economist no less http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21657393-george-osbornes-political-vision-brave-boldand-many-counts-wrong-new-conservatism

stet, Monday, 13 July 2015 16:11 (eight years ago) link

but they don't seem to have to defend it to anyone, nevertheless

Credit: howtokeepapositiveattitudedotcom (stevie), Monday, 13 July 2015 16:14 (eight years ago) link

It's this continuous pushing of the idea that the general public is not to be trusted, that if you're ill that's down to your own lack of responsibility, that sick pay is 'a benefit', and that anyone in receivership of such benefits are to be treated with the deepest suspicion.
There really ought to be a moratorium on the word 'benefits'. Too many implications in that - that it's a privilege enjoyed by some people and not others as opposed to something that is really a bare-minimum essential.
The Tories use the positive connotations around the word 'benefits' to suggest that those who claiming them are lucky, that they should be grateful for the fact the government are 'paying for their lifestyle', as if they're using their JSAs on limos and fine dining, when it's the exact opposite.
And now they're quite egregiously going after the working poor by saying they should pay for their own sick leave. What exactly is national insurance then? How will it benefit anyone?! Oh hang on, yeah the private healthcare companies that's right...

cod latin (dog latin), Monday, 13 July 2015 16:38 (eight years ago) link

OTM, fuck "welfare" and "benefits" both. The Guardian seems to be reverting to "social security" in most places, which is much more like it.

NI doesn't pay for SSL, employers do. Which essentially makes this wheeze another dodgy redistribution from the wealthy
https://www.gov.uk/national-insurance/what-national-insurance-is-for

stet, Monday, 13 July 2015 16:47 (eight years ago) link

er, to the wealthy even

stet, Monday, 13 July 2015 16:48 (eight years ago) link

Fantastic bit of political TV debate on C4 with Corbyn this evening. Trying to get a link now.

cod latin (dog latin), Monday, 13 July 2015 19:47 (eight years ago) link

Lost the rag a bit, I thought, the Corbynator.

holger sharkey (Tom D.), Monday, 13 July 2015 19:50 (eight years ago) link

corbyourenthusiasm surely

irl lol (darraghmac), Monday, 13 July 2015 19:50 (eight years ago) link

It was a bullshit question, they kept interrupting him, and he called them out on it.
https://youtu.be/3z-a5hy7QO8

cod latin (dog latin), Monday, 13 July 2015 20:29 (eight years ago) link

Krishnan Guru-Murthy is a manspreading twat.

When I lived in Clerkenwell, he could often be found sitting in front of the felafel place below my flat, with his stumpy legs akimbo in too-tight grey flannel trousers, knees at 8 and 4 o'clock.

error: unclean shutdown (suzy), Monday, 13 July 2015 21:03 (eight years ago) link

fox hunting ban "relaxation" going to fail because of nasty scotnats interfering with English laws.

Rave Van Donk (jim in glasgow), Monday, 13 July 2015 21:23 (eight years ago) link

Here's the full interview. The 14 minute one's at the bottom.

http://www.channel4.com/news/jeremy-corbyn-i-wanted-hamas-to-be-part-of-the-debate

Guru-Murthy does seem to have that affect on people doesn't he?

listener to of Radiohead (cajunsunday), Monday, 13 July 2015 21:25 (eight years ago) link

If he actually thinks anybody wants wants to actually look at his knackers he must be fucking deranged.

xelab, Monday, 13 July 2015 21:55 (eight years ago) link

he could often be found sitting in front of the felafel place below my flat, with his stumpy legs akimbo in too-tight grey flannel trousers, knees at 8 and 4 o'clock.

the devil's angle, no less

ogmor, Tuesday, 14 July 2015 09:33 (eight years ago) link

Govt withdraw amendment to foxhunting bill, Nikki Sturg once again showing the Labour Party what a real opposition politician looks like

sʌxihɔːl (Ward Fowler), Tuesday, 14 July 2015 10:12 (eight years ago) link

Mhairi Black kicking Labour's arses:

https://youtu.be/lZAmhB55_-k

ailsa, Tuesday, 14 July 2015 16:25 (eight years ago) link

Bugger-all support in CLPs for Liz
http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/2015/07/which-clps-are-nominating-who-labour-leadership-contest

stet, Tuesday, 14 July 2015 16:48 (eight years ago) link

St Helen’s South and Whiston

come one the New Statesman, get it together

soref, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 00:03 (eight years ago) link

... though not as much as the fact that the Great British public lap it up.

One question that's been playing on my mind, looking back from this vantage point, is how much our situation in 2015 has to do with the kind of people who killed Sophie Lancaster, who was my age:

While returning home, Lancaster and Maltby were subjected to a "vicious mob attack" from "a large group of people" between 01:10 hours and 01:20 hours on Saturday, 11 August 2007, at the skate park area of Stubbylee Park, Bacup (grid reference SD865218).[3] The couple were walking home and came across a group of teenagers at the entrance to the park.[7] The group followed them, but there was no trouble until some of them suddenly assaulted Robert Maltby without provocation. When he was knocked unconscious, the gang attacked Sophie Lancaster, who was trying to protect him by cradling him in her arms. A 15-year-old witness told police: "They were running over and just kicking her in the head and jumping up and down on her head." One distraught witness used a mobile phone to call for emergency services saying: "We need... we need an ambulance at Bacup Park, this mosher has just been banged because he’s a mosher."[8] Witnesses revealed that afterwards, "The killers celebrated their attack on the goths — or "moshers" - by telling friends afterwards that they had "done summat (something) good," and claiming: "There's two moshers nearly dead up Bacup park — you wanna see them — they're a right mess."[9]

That's a teenage girl being kicked to death by kids who, let's be honest, came from families that were long-term benefit claimants and who, had they not been sent to prison, would have just continued along those lines; and that attack was just normal, just the sort of thing that used to go on at least once a month with kids at my school; I myself was a victim of such an attack, except my attackers got frightened off in time. (I got concussion though and still get the occasional hallucinations and deafness and blackouts years later.) Lancaster's killers may not have intended to kill exactly, but they had no problem with doing enough violence to kill.

I know someone who lived in Wales who was hounded out of her home, I've met a Morrocan man who, when he lived in Liverpool 7, got dogshit put through his letterbox every day and had dogs set on him and his wife and kids when they went out.

I know I'm talking about the most evil behaviour, of some discrete individuals, within the huge sea of people who one way or another need social security to help, where a neoliberal economy cannot or will not employ them. (This has included me for several long periods.) We all know that confusing the part for the whole is unreasonable, and that the monstering of 'scroungers and chavs and benefit cheats' etc is counter-factual.

Still though: when I think back to the eyes of my attackers, which as I recall were very piggish and tight and the eyes were all pupil and no white, when I remember that I meant about as much to them as an insect, I have a strong brief feeling that it doesn't matter if they get kicked off JSA, and starve, doesn't matter if they get gentrified out of wherever they live; after all, I hold down a job and like drinking coffee and reading books, and am either neutral or good to the people around me 99% of the time ... but send them to the food bank, then shut it down, why not? Really should I have to pay taxes on the off chance some of them will reform?

Then of course I come back to my senses. But I think a lot of people who got the treatment from 'chavs' are caught up in the hate spiral still, a lot of people in my office certainly, a lot of people I overhear, and not just ppl who shared my taste for stupid trenchcoats and t shirts circa 2003, but totally normal people who made the mistake of asking a neighbour to turn their music down. I struggle to 'organise' this: are people who've been in real conflict with real scum to be forgiven or not for hating 'people on benefits'?

Maybe not quite the right thread, but given we're stuck with this shit for five years it seems we can/should think through this?

cardamon, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 00:49 (eight years ago) link

Sorry but that makes no sense whatsoever, what does the benefits system have to do with any of that?

holger sharkey (Tom D.), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 01:10 (eight years ago) link

Yeah, "let's be honest" seems to be working in its other mode of "let's focus on a detail I've made up to match my prejudices".

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 07:08 (eight years ago) link

"Would it really matter if one of these men died?"

The Bends by Radiohead (imago), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 07:51 (eight years ago) link

I suppose cardamon is doing us the service of demonstrating how the very notion of a benefit claimant has been demonised, as if we weren't quite sure (n.b. I post to a football forum, and sheesh howdy)

The Bends by Radiohead (imago), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 07:54 (eight years ago) link

solitary posts that effortlessly clown you for the rest of your brief online presence

This is for my new ringpiece, so please only serious answers (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 08:07 (eight years ago) link

Sorry but that makes no sense whatsoever, what does the benefits system have to do with any of that?

― holger sharkey (Tom D.),

Very little in reality but quite a lot in the imaginary

Yeah, "let's be honest" seems to be working in its other mode of "let's focus on a detail I've made up to match my prejudices".

It is possible that these kids were all millionaires on a day trip to Bacup, I'll concede that

"Would it really matter if one of these men died?"

What I was trying to do there was dramatise what I called a brief feeling of total callousness towards someone. Everyone I know irl who actually supports the benefits cuts reaches for justification to some situation they had with 'chavs', and the anecdote they choose gets held up as a sort of totem. What I'm saying is that due to getting me head kicked in, I can relate to some extent with what such people are doing, the idea of getting revenge on the benefits people (who have been melded with 'violent people') is indeed a potent drug.

I dunno, based on the reactions here, you lot must either have had similar experiences but nobly forgiven and never want revenge just a little bit, or just never had similar experiences?

cardamon, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 10:00 (eight years ago) link

feels as if the phrase 'ivory tower' is going be deployed within a short space of time

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 10:05 (eight years ago) link

Everyone I know irl who actually supports the benefits cuts reaches for justification to some situation they had with 'chavs'

this is confirmation bias. however vindictive ppl feel towards individuals I think they have some more realistic sense of the venn diagram of head-kickers and benefits claimants

ogmor, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 10:05 (eight years ago) link

It is possible that these kids were all millionaires on a day trip to Bacup, I'll concede that

better than concede, maybe do a bit of research?

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 10:07 (eight years ago) link

i was hoping you were drunk when you posted. wishing harm and misery - just for a moment! - on a large socioeconomic group of people because you had a bad personal experience with a few people from that group...yes that happens irl and people use those arguments in real life. it's a common aspect of every kind of bigotry.

This is for my new ringpiece, so please only serious answers (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 10:14 (eight years ago) link

xxp

What I was trying to do there was dramatise what I called a brief feeling of total callousness towards someone.

And what's more callous than cheering on as vulnerable people are stripped of benefits and doomed to homelessness?

I'd find more convincing an argument that placed the kind of brutish nihilistic violence and thuggery you describe on the same continnuum as middle england's loathing of people on benefits, both being symptoms of the widespread tendency towards callousness and and actual cruelty which does seem to be on the rise among all strata of society.

(yeah, yeah trenchant, whatev)

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 10:19 (eight years ago) link

what you're talking about is the symptomatic effect of tarring everyone with the same brush, which does happen, and the media perpetuates this as well. but there's a long long history of casting poor people as something to be feared. you hear about 'rough estates', 'dodgy areas', 'places you wouldn't want to walk around at night' in towns and cities all the time, and to some extent it's not down to hysteria or snobbery; they're likely to be fairly dangerous places to go (but maybe not as much as they're made out).

the right-wing takes the stance that poorer people are violent and dangerous by nature; that they are in their predicament because of an inherent propensity to break laws and cause trouble. from this angle, there's a natural inclination to think of these 'undesirables' as less-than human and to enforce retributive sanctions on them (such as cutting welfare etc). hating on 'chavs' therefore becomes a noble sport because they are the ones who are ostensibly ruining society with their 'violent' 'lifestyles'. so welfare cuts get supported and notions of 'lifestyle' get upheld and the vicious circle is complete.

cod latin (dog latin), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 10:24 (eight years ago) link

This is an unfair pile-on really in that Cardamon is fully aware that these feelings are wrong and pushes them out of his head, which is more than you can say for huge swathes of the population, including some working class people and even including some benefit claimants.

I mean slashing benefits is hardly going to make a cycle of poverty, crime and violence any better is it?

Matt DC, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 10:32 (eight years ago) link

^

cod latin (dog latin), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 10:38 (eight years ago) link

I can relate to some extent with what such people are doing, the idea of getting revenge on the benefits people (who have been melded with 'violent people') is indeed a potent drug

This mixture of blind spite and lack of perspective is eerily similar to the mindset of the young murderers you describe upthread. Presumably you'll want to find out what trauma they have been through in their lives before deciding whether it's somewhat understandable to want them, and a huge swathe of the least privileged people in the country, to be wiped out.

I dunno, based on the reactions here, you lot must either have had similar experiences but nobly forgiven and never want revenge just a little bit, or just never had similar experiences?

The desire for revenge against someone who has harmed you is perfectly understandable, automatically extrapolating that out to millions of other people is laughably egotistical.

Blandford Forum, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 10:48 (eight years ago) link

but it happens and a lot of people think this way, is what cardamom is saying.

cod latin (dog latin), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 10:51 (eight years ago) link

Having a brief, inappropriately vindictive emotional reaction to a traumatic experience is one thing. Believing yourself fully justified and allowing it to dominate your thinking moving forward is quite another. It's the latter that constitutes bigotry to me.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 10:52 (eight years ago) link

it's the definition of bigotry through and through and it seeps through society, permeating thought at every level.

cod latin (dog latin), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 10:59 (eight years ago) link

This mixture of blind spite and lack of perspective is eerily similar to the mindset of the young murderers you describe upthread.

Yep.

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:00 (eight years ago) link

widespread tendency towards callousness and and actual cruelty which does

shout out to me for repetition of 'and' making it seem like I'm about to burst into tears there

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:05 (eight years ago) link

I think you have to meet victims of violence with some tenderness, upbraiding people for their residual grievances can be monstrous & is not at all helpful

ogmor, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:05 (eight years ago) link

xxp I genuinely had no idea that 'chavs beat me up when I was a kid' was a common reason for people supporting benefit cuts. Does David Cameron have Korn to thank for his slim majority?

Blandford Forum, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:06 (eight years ago) link

xxp I genuinely had no idea that 'chavs beat me up when I was a kid' was a common reason for people supporting benefit cuts. Does David Cameron have Korn to thank for his slim majority?

― Blandford Forum, Wednesday, July 15, 2015 12:06 PM (1 minute ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

'muslims bombed my city' is a key reason for people to act aggressively or fearfully towards foreigners, and a knock-on effect is support for immigration sanctions, even if statistically immigrants don't have even a fraction of the negative impact on the country as the media makes out. so maybe?

cod latin (dog latin), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:11 (eight years ago) link

i was hoping you were drunk when you posted.

Ditto. I've mugged twice, once w/ violence and burgled twice and never once did I think, "Those bastards were on benefits", I just cannot imagine what you are thinking in linking your personal experience of crime without how much fucking tax you're paying, are you sure you're not drunk?

holger sharkey (Tom D.), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:14 (eight years ago) link

Nah I think fear of violence (or fear of violence towards someone's children) is more prevalent and more pernicious in terms of encouraging this sort of attitude than actual experiences of violence are. Violent crime rates have been going down for two decades but people seem more afraid than ever.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:16 (eight years ago) link

In any case, 'chav' ≠ benefits claimant. Very often (usually?) the identification the prejusice is based on will simply be wrong.

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:16 (eight years ago) link

I've mugged twice, once w/ violence and burgled twice

badman lol

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:17 (eight years ago) link

Lol, I've BEEN mugged twice that should be.... but then I did grow up in a council estate and I have been on benefits so you know what I'm capable of.(xxp)

holger sharkey (Tom D.), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:17 (eight years ago) link

I did grow up in a council estate and I have been on benefits

Then you have actual lived experience that contradicts the sort of reaction we're talking about, in a way that most of the people we're discussing here don't.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:19 (eight years ago) link

getting righteous with people about their prejudices seems like a poor substitute for acknowledging pain and providing a degree of empathy and openness that might lead to some sort of healing. telling people they are too damaged is not a great look

ogmor, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:21 (eight years ago) link

Really don't think almost any benefit bashing is coming from a place of genuine pain. More like callousness and kicking-down cruelty.

I doubt George Osborne or Iain Duncan Smith ever got a kicking for wearing a trenchcoat instead of a tracksuit.

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:27 (eight years ago) link

Ditto. I've mugged twice, once w/ violence and burgled twice and never once did I think, "Those bastards were on benefits", I just cannot imagine what you are thinking in linking your personal experience of crime without how much fucking tax you're paying, are you sure you're not drunk?

― holger sharkey (Tom D.), Wednesday, July 15, 2015 12:14 PM (47 seconds ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

But maybe that's because you possess the critical faculties not to make those kinds of illogical leaps? Not everyone does.
'People on benefits', as they're portrayed by the current government and the popular media who support it, = 'scroungers', 'skivers', 'wasters', 'drug-addicts', 'hoodies', 'chavs', 'thugs' etc... and the welfare system is portrayed as abetting such 'lifestyles'. It goes back to the idea that claimants are intrinsically bad people and that they're naturally inclined to carry out acts of violence; a zombie epidemic of underclass benefit claimants who need their benefits taken away (which by some huge leaps of logic) will somehow lift their curse...? I never understood the last bit, but it's common propaganda.

cod latin (dog latin), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:32 (eight years ago) link

I'm thinking a little more broadly re: bigotry & violence, but if people do have a visceral loathing for people on benefits then moral superiority isn't going to address it

ogmor, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:33 (eight years ago) link

at every turn I am demonised and my choices/chances limited may as well mug/beat up one of these privileged twats today

today I have been mugged/beaten up these monsters should be systematically exterminated

conrad, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:33 (eight years ago) link

but if people do have a visceral loathing for people on benefits then moral superiority isn't going to address it

you propose... moral inferiority?

Seriously, what?

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:35 (eight years ago) link

one irony here is that violent crime has actually been falling for yonks

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:36 (eight years ago) link

I don't think moralising is helpful. tom d saying how many times he's been a model victim is reminiscent of benefit sceptics talking about how they strived their way out of unemployment, neither is of any use to the people being addressed

ogmor, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:38 (eight years ago) link

Numbers of Channel 4 documentaries about people on benefits meanwhile have risen dramatically.

holger sharkey (Tom D.), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:39 (eight years ago) link

tom d saying how many times he's been a model victim

Nice one, cunt.

holger sharkey (Tom D.), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:41 (eight years ago) link

You're saying the fact that didn't associate the perpetrators of those crimes with the benefits system makes me a 'model victim'? Are you kidding me?

holger sharkey (Tom D.), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:43 (eight years ago) link

Largely sympathetic documentaries xpost

AlanSmithee, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:43 (eight years ago) link

thought you had established yourself as a sufficiently robust character to handle that

ogmor, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:44 (eight years ago) link

Which means what exactly?

holger sharkey (Tom D.), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:45 (eight years ago) link

I don't think moralising is helpful.

It's a moral issue though afaic. I don't loathe scounger-bashing rhetoric because I think it's sub-optimal from the point of view of economic efficiency.

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:45 (eight years ago) link

Largely sympathetic documentaries

lololololololol can see why you wanted yr name removed from that one

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:46 (eight years ago) link

Largely sympathetic documentaries xpost

― AlanSmithee, Wednesday, July 15, 2015 12:43 PM (2 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:46 (eight years ago) link

gee what happened there

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:47 (eight years ago) link

what did?

Mark G, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:53 (eight years ago) link

2

cod latin (dog latin), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:53 (eight years ago) link

it's easy to sneer, BB, but Britain's Scroungingest Rob-Dogs was a balanced look at the issues facing unemployed people in marginalized communities today

This is for my new ringpiece, so please only serious answers (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:56 (eight years ago) link

Iin the last couple of weeks I've seen both How to get a council house, and Jaywick Benefits on Sea (admittedly Channel 5).

Neither of these showed living on benefits as something that anyone would want to do. The benefits claimants were shown sympathetically. The council housing was shown to be of a low standard. The story of a Romanian highlighted the fact that if he had had access to council housing, he would have been able to keep his job, but because he did not he could not. Their lives seemed challenging, and interactions with local government and various regulations demonstrated a power imbalance. The Jaywick programme especially showed the efforts that the local community were making to try and help themselves, through establishing soup kitchens, demonstrating to parliament around street lighting.

There certainly is demonisation of benefits claimants in the media, but it's much more in the press than these documentaries, despite their lurid titles.

AlanSmithee, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 11:56 (eight years ago) link

There are many many many more TV programmes that demonise lower-class people and benefits claimants - from Jeremy Kyle to Benefits Street. They might show a sympathetic side on occasion for the sake of balance, but it's point-and-shame TV all the same.

cod latin (dog latin), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 12:00 (eight years ago) link

Oh aye, Jeremy Kyle is awful.

AlanSmithee, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 12:05 (eight years ago) link

Which means what exactly?

I took the fact that you were boasting about your own handling of violent crime as a way of chastening another poster to indicate that it was no longer an especially sore point for you

ogmor, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 12:07 (eight years ago) link

Enjoying ogmor's new "John Harris is away" routine

Trap Queenius (wins), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 12:10 (eight years ago) link

I don't think there's any way to read Tom D's post as an exhortation to Man Up - quite the opposite in fact.

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 12:16 (eight years ago) link

a sense of justice is not the only condiseration re: victimhood & bigotry, & i think morality is too blunt an instrument, and not often well-received

ogmor, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 12:27 (eight years ago) link

Yes you're right moralising sometimes makes people look like dicks

The story of a Romanian (Blandford Forum), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 12:29 (eight years ago) link

UK ILX is alive and well!

The Bends by Radiohead (imago), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 12:37 (eight years ago) link

And fractious, as befits a day when the Tories are taking a chainsaw to unions.

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 12:41 (eight years ago) link

considering this started with a "kill the poor" post i think it's been pretty even-tempered

This is for my new ringpiece, so please only serious answers (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 12:43 (eight years ago) link

I don't watch Channel 5 for any reason, but have seen the two How To Get A Council House programmes so far.

The untidy couple having landlord issues: at no point did the programme makers chime in with 'actually, no matter what else is going on between the two parties, a private landlord must give 24 hours' notice before visiting tenants at a let property'.

The ginger-beard housing officer was really brilliant at his job and handled idiots kicking off about 'the immigrants' about as well as can be expected.

There was a female, blonde housing officer who, after being told about applicants' genuine issues, showed them total shitholes in exactly the setting and position they'd expressly said would exacerbate their issues further. In any other situation, that would be some kind of constructive move an applicant could challenge.

My own application process nearly 10 years ago was marked by a recognition of my needs and a lot of help with proving same. My borough is relatively sane about housing policy and is still very Labour, but I have friends waiting for a move who are going to suffer when they try to rewrite the allocation rules later this year - 23,000 people might fall off the waiting list including a close friend who's been on it for almost 10 years.

error: unclean shutdown (suzy), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 12:56 (eight years ago) link

wow suzy your friend sounds like violent scum

The story of a Romanian (Blandford Forum), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 13:02 (eight years ago) link

The programme demonstrated clearly the lack of agency of the benefits claimants; they had very limited scope for choice or challenge to the process.

The housing that the family with a dog moved into (the only other option being homelessness) was in very poor condition.

It very much did not fit the narrative of people on benefits living a luxury lifestyle at the taxpayers expense; if anything the overall message was the lack of acceptable quality social housing in Portsmouth (and more widely).

AlanSmithee, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 13:06 (eight years ago) link

I took the fact that you were boasting about your own handling of violent crime as a way of chastening another poster to indicate that it was no longer an especially sore point for you

You're aware you're making a complete arse of yourself?

holger sharkey (Tom D.), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 13:08 (eight years ago) link

:-8

cod latin (dog latin), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 13:18 (eight years ago) link

I doubt George Osborne or Iain Duncan Smith ever got a kicking for wearing a trenchcoat instead of a tracksuit

You're aware of the story of a young Michael Gove having the shit kicked out of him in Aberdeen I presume? Can never bring that one up enough.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 13:33 (eight years ago) link

tragic tale of gabardine in aberdeen

feargal czukay (NickB), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 13:39 (eight years ago) link

:-o

cod latin (dog latin), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 13:40 (eight years ago) link

Ha, yes, I am aware of that one. Gove is the one politician who I could buy being motivated by beatings and humiliations experienced as a youth.

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 13:42 (eight years ago) link

these people are psychopaths

conrad, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 13:56 (eight years ago) link

Just imagine the mouth that adolescent Gove must've had on him. Where can I find that story?

Re: council housing, I was and still am boggling at the nerve of the housing woman.

Homeless applicant: "Hi, I'm fairly open to living wherever you put me, as long as it's not the scary place I lived in for six years, the place that sent me crazy."

Housing officer: "We have an offer for you in the scary place that sent you mad, and if you don't take it I'll declare you intentionally homeless." *tight smile*

There is always one person in every housing office like this, and woe betide you if that's your case worker. Also irritating: housing officers that piss time up a wall by taking half your appointment to explain the amount of people on the waiting list as if you don't already know this, and your place within that.

error: unclean shutdown (suzy), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 14:01 (eight years ago) link

Gove is the one politician who I could buy being could only have been motivated by beatings and humiliations experienced as a youth.

Credit: howtokeepapositiveattitudedotcom (stevie), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 14:02 (eight years ago) link

Fp'ed that Cardamon post, all that shite about dramatising a feeling or whatever seems like a poor excuse for just simply letting rip with what is currently a very prevalent type of UK class bigotry. I deleted my angry post this morning because I am trying cut down on being a dick, but I still find the sentiments in the op appalling and unjustifiable and am calmly registering my dislike of it for the record.

xelab, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 14:16 (eight years ago) link

these people are psychopaths

― conrad, Wednesday, July 15, 2015 1:56 PM (19 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

^this

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 14:17 (eight years ago) link

i dont' think anyone (other than matt dc) really understood what cardamom was really saying in his post but never mind, keep piling it on.

cod latin (dog latin), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 14:21 (eight years ago) link

really

cod latin (dog latin), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 14:22 (eight years ago) link

Fp'ed that Cardamon post

I found it more bizarre than reprehensible tbh.

holger sharkey (Tom D.), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 14:24 (eight years ago) link

xp yeah i mean his point was supposedly seeing where a certain kind of bigotry comes from and resisting his own tendencies towards that, right? tho i don't particularly buy into his thesis, or see it as anything but a tiny particular aspect of the much broader daily mail style demonization of the working classes etc etc

Merdeyeux, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 14:28 (eight years ago) link

The whole anti-chav thing became a formalised meme (if you can call it a meme) around 2002 IIRC? That's well before the Tories got in, but it seemed to popularise (and legitimise) a lot of face-value classist sentiment that continues today. The only time I saw a backlash to anyone using it as a term prior to around 2007 was on ILE.

cod latin (dog latin), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 14:35 (eight years ago) link

Yep. A cheap cash-in book on the 'chav' phenomenon around 2003 was subtitled 'A guide to Britain's new ruling class' iirc.

There used to be a bit of an argument as to whether it was a term of class hatred or just a new term for yobboes, but I guess that debate is pretty definitively over by now.

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 14:41 (eight years ago) link

i believe it started as a regionalised term for yobs and grew to a national expression of class hatred.

cod latin (dog latin), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 14:43 (eight years ago) link

Isn't it used blankly as "someone uncultured"?

ie that if they are hardworking or not isn't the defining attribute.

Mark G, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 14:47 (eight years ago) link

yeah i've never thought chav was synonymous with someone on benefits.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 14:50 (eight years ago) link

xp i dunno, i'm always quite surprised when i come across it these days, not to mention alarmed. it's a bigoted pejorative term nowadays no denying.

cod latin (dog latin), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 14:50 (eight years ago) link

It's a bit old (Burberry) hat now, isn't it?

holger sharkey (Tom D.), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 14:53 (eight years ago) link

Chavs

But before that there was...

charvers

DG, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 15:01 (eight years ago) link

The bullshit bit of the Cardamon post was the 'should we judge these attitudes too harshly?' bit when the answer is 'of course we fucking should', especially given the minuscule overlap between anti-welfare bigotry and people who have actually been beaten up by gangs of thugs.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 15:05 (eight years ago) link

i dont' think anyone (other than matt dc) really understood what cardamom was really saying in his post but never mind, keep piling it on.

― cod latin (dog latin), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 15:21 (23 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

ok

That's a teenage girl being kicked to death by kids who, let's be honest, came from families that were long-term benefit claimants and who, had they not been sent to prison, would have just continued along those lines

are people who've been in real conflict with real scum to be forgiven or not for hating 'people on benefits'?

I think I understand these bits where instantly and bizarrely the perpetrators of a terrible crime, and another less terrible crime ('real scum') are defined as the progeny of 'benefit claimants' as though that is of key importance.

What I'm saying is that due to getting me head kicked in, I can relate to some extent with what such people are doing, the idea of getting revenge on the benefits people (who have been melded with 'violent people') is indeed a potent drug.

I think I understand this totally vile sentence too! Just because he frames this as part of a (genuinely sad and horrible) story of something that happened to him doesn't mean that relating to this kind of thinking should be in any way ok.

I dunno, based on the reactions here, you lot must either have had similar experiences but nobly forgiven and never want revenge just a little bit, or just never had similar experiences?

Pretty sure I understand this dumb sentence too. The responses to these posts have been fairly mild considering they essentially amount to 'I know it's wrong to want to wipe out the poor but I do fantasize about it and I understand people who do actually want it and if you don't then I guess you are either the luckiest person alive or some kind of saint'.

Anyway I'll shut up now, there's an important conversation about 'chavs' to be had.

The story of a Romanian (Blandford Forum), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 15:07 (eight years ago) link

things are pretty fucked up everywhere eh

Possibly Fingers (onimo), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 15:10 (eight years ago) link

On (reluctantly) googling this horrible murder, which is somehow connected to the Conservative Party's plans to cut the welfare budget, I discovered that one of the two perpetrators has subsequently been diagnosed as paranoid schizophrenic. So how the poster's hard earned taxes could have 'reformed' him I know not.

holger sharkey (Tom D.), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 15:14 (eight years ago) link

Via funding the health service properly?

Yeah?

Mark G, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 18:08 (eight years ago) link

Yeah but in the formulation "a ___ wronged me once so now I hate all ___ and want them to suffer and you are an out of touch moralist if you judge me for it", among the many unpleasant things you can fill in there (black person, foreigner, Muslim, benefit claimant) you could just as "reasonably" include schizophrenic

Trap Queenius (wins), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 18:20 (eight years ago) link

he didn't say he wanted them all to suffer, he just said it was perfectly understandable why people might want them all to suffer

This is for my new ringpiece, so please only serious answers (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 18:43 (eight years ago) link

Oxford student paper mention of Gove kicking as requested upthread ^

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 19:43 (eight years ago) link

"Gray did nothing to save his lifelong friend. He ran away, to leave Gove and his face to take the rap"
Let's not be judgemental here, this is not necessarily a clear cut case of moral cowardice.

xelab, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 19:55 (eight years ago) link

The first part of that student paper story: "So not going to happen" clearly.

Mark G, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 21:21 (eight years ago) link

Just me getting Clockwork Orange vibes from the photo then?

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 15 July 2015 22:42 (eight years ago) link

Alfred E. Neuman... with rickets.

error: unclean shutdown (suzy), Wednesday, 15 July 2015 22:54 (eight years ago) link

Seems like a lot of people who ostensibly have left-wing political views are really against Corbyn because of the Hamas thing and now a 5-year old tweet vaguely supporting homeopathy. Now I'm not keen on either of those myself but it seems a bit weird to be so against the only leftie candidate based on those factors when choosing between leaders, almost like they are buying into right-wing media narratives. I dunno this is a bit of a strawman I've built and I'm probably talking out of my arse again, I totally accept that left-wingers might be against a Corbyn leadership based on his apparent unelectability (it's not really my position, I'd rather there was a leader representing me than another Blairite whether they were in government or not, I don't see the point in getting Labour elected if they are just Tory-lite, at all). Mind you I hate George Galloway and people have compared Corbyn to him so maybe they are onto something.

Sorry I'm really rambling here.

Just noise and screaming and no musical value at all. (Colonel Poo), Thursday, 16 July 2015 09:02 (eight years ago) link

Corbyn seems like the least Galloway-like leftie politician imaginable in terms of modus operandi + personal style

The Nation's Top 100 Light Bulb Jokes as judged by Lenny Henry (soref), Thursday, 16 July 2015 09:10 (eight years ago) link

Corbyn is nothing like Galloway but expect that connection to be made again and again if he wins. A big part of me wants him to win, but otoh he seems like a genuinely decent man who will be torn limb from limb if he does. The loss of temper + eyeroll in that C4 News interview suggests he lacks the temperament to deal with even a relatively easy-to-sidestep grilling. I don't really believe it will realign Labour to the left either, because the likelihood is that once he resigns or is deposed, they'll sweep back with someone even more right-wing in charge, and that'll probably happen sooner rather than later.

I suspect the likelihood is that either Burnham or (more likely) Cooper will drop out of the race between now and the ballot in return for one of the plum shadow cabinet positions. I don't really understand the second preference thing either - Burnham apparently ahead on first votes but Corbyn ahead after transfers, but I don't really understand why anyone would put Cooper or Kendall down as their first choice and then Corbyn as a #2.

Matt DC, Thursday, 16 July 2015 09:11 (eight years ago) link

united by a fondness for hats, I suppose xp

The Nation's Top 100 Light Bulb Jokes as judged by Lenny Henry (soref), Thursday, 16 July 2015 09:13 (eight years ago) link

Every possible stop will be pulled out to ensure Corbyn doesn't win.

This Year's Model Victim (Tom D.), Thursday, 16 July 2015 09:14 (eight years ago) link

he has plenty of faults, he's not a good media performer and he isn't likely to sell his policies to anybody who doesn't already share them but otoh he's the only candidate with any sense of principle or opposition to the neoliberal hegemony. that's broadly what makes him unelectable and precisely what needs to happen to the Labour party, whatever the outcome.

This is for my new ringpiece, so please only serious answers (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 16 July 2015 09:16 (eight years ago) link

also the Torygraph's hilarious "vote for Corbyn and destroy Labour forever" campaign stinks of mildly alarmed double bluff to me

This is for my new ringpiece, so please only serious answers (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 16 July 2015 09:17 (eight years ago) link

A big part of me wants him to win, but otoh he seems like a genuinely decent man who will be torn limb from limb if he does.

^

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Thursday, 16 July 2015 09:18 (eight years ago) link

NV also otm, no tories are going to be joining labour to vote for Corbyn.

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Thursday, 16 July 2015 09:19 (eight years ago) link

xps The Hamas thing... It's a funny one. Seems that if you're a prominent socialist asking for dialogue it automatically makes you a terrorist sympathiser. It's a transparent bit of dirt-digging crossed with a canard on behalf of the right-wing, but so many people seem to take it seriously, as if Corbyn's key objective all these years has been to invite terrorists into number 10 and blow up parliament or whatever.
Yesterday the Telegraph were celebrating Corbyn's popularity, hoping his election would 'destroy' Labour. He's either unelectable or not. But the fact so many people think he's a. unelectable and b. dangerous just makes me despair in humanity.

cod latin (dog latin), Thursday, 16 July 2015 09:20 (eight years ago) link

The Telegraph has 'campaigns' now? Standards slipping not like in my day they don't like it up 'em.

This Year's Model Victim (Tom D.), Thursday, 16 July 2015 09:20 (eight years ago) link

a lot of leftists who may well sincerely seek an equitable solution to the Palestine issue have the unfortunate habit of wording their public statements a bit less diplomatically than "i am asking for dialogue"

This is for my new ringpiece, so please only serious answers (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 16 July 2015 09:22 (eight years ago) link

he has very little support in the parliamentary labour party, right? to the point where he struggled to get on the ballot? which would surely make any theoretical Corbyn victory a non-starter even aside from the fact that labour establishment will obv move heaven and earth to crush him if he looked like he had any chance of victory

The Nation's Top 100 Light Bulb Jokes as judged by Lenny Henry (soref), Thursday, 16 July 2015 09:23 (eight years ago) link

Hamas: diplomatically referring to conference attendees from an elected government as 'friends' is normal political behaviour, see also our 'friends' in Saudi Arabia, whose wealthy citizens are probably paying for all the terrorism and yet we get half-mast Union flags when their king pegs it. I call *bullshit*.

Homeopathy: a cursory glance shows JC sees it as possible complementary medicine in some cases, not a replacement for regular medicine (the cleu is in 'complementary'), on the perfectly understandable willow bark = aspirin tip. Nothing more, surely?

Corbyn wouldn't even be close to winning this if there were another candidate willing to challenge the austerity narrative, which is what every grassroots party person or left-wing/labour voter I know really wants from PLP politicians.

error: unclean shutdown (suzy), Thursday, 16 July 2015 09:24 (eight years ago) link

What if Corbyn and allies were to form their own left-wing party? What would happen to Labour? Would it have an SNP-like effect or no effect at all?

cod latin (dog latin), Thursday, 16 July 2015 09:25 (eight years ago) link

Hamas: diplomatically referring to conference attendees from an elected government as 'friends' is normal political behaviour, see also our 'friends' in Saudi Arabia, whose wealthy citizens are probably paying for all the terrorism and yet we get half-mast Union flags when their king pegs it. I call *bullshit*.

just wanted to OTM this.

cod latin (dog latin), Thursday, 16 July 2015 09:26 (eight years ago) link

I assume people only vote Labour to keep the Tories out, so no effect.

This Year's Model Victim (Tom D.), Thursday, 16 July 2015 09:27 (eight years ago) link

to what extent are these stories about his unexpected levels of support exaggerations? either from excitable Corbyn supporters or opponents of Labour who feel theyhave an interest in making it seem like he is a credible candidate?

The Nation's Top 100 Light Bulb Jokes as judged by Lenny Henry (soref), Thursday, 16 July 2015 09:27 (eight years ago) link

I don't think they're exaggerated.

This Year's Model Victim (Tom D.), Thursday, 16 July 2015 09:29 (eight years ago) link

i trust nothing i read except what can be openly evidenced at this stage tbh

This is for my new ringpiece, so please only serious answers (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 16 July 2015 09:29 (eight years ago) link

but it wdn't be much of a surprise if grassroots party activists and some Trade Unions got behind the only candidate who isn't a fucking Tory

This is for my new ringpiece, so please only serious answers (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 16 July 2015 09:30 (eight years ago) link

sort of wonder how this could have played out if Diane Abbott was running as the left candidate rather than Corbyn, someone who maybe could sell these policies to people who aren't already true believers

The Nation's Top 100 Light Bulb Jokes as judged by Lenny Henry (soref), Thursday, 16 July 2015 09:31 (eight years ago) link

Corbyn's appearance on Channel 4 polarised Twitter as far as I could tell, but maybe people's minds were made up already. I went to an anti-austerity thing in town the other day with Natalie Bennett speaking, as well as others, and there was obviously a lot of pro-Corbyn talk.

cod latin (dog latin), Thursday, 16 July 2015 09:31 (eight years ago) link

He's putting up a fair battle in endorsements apparently:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Endorsements_in_the_Labour_Party_(UK)_leadership_election,_2015

Sort of surprised (but not unhappy) how poorly Liz Kendall's doing there.

Andrew Farrell, Thursday, 16 July 2015 09:37 (eight years ago) link

Kendall to clown all predictions and win at a canter imo

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Thursday, 16 July 2015 09:42 (eight years ago) link

on the perfectly understandable willow bark = aspirin tip

Eh? What does willow bark have to do with homeopathy?

Just noise and screaming and no musical value at all. (Colonel Poo), Thursday, 16 July 2015 09:44 (eight years ago) link

they're both magic

This is for my new ringpiece, so please only serious answers (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 16 July 2015 09:50 (eight years ago) link

he has plenty of faults, he's not a good media performer and he isn't likely to sell his policies to anybody who doesn't already share them but otoh he's the only candidate with any sense of principle or opposition to the neoliberal hegemony. that's broadly what makes him unelectable and precisely what needs to happen to the Labour party, whatever the outcome.

Except "electability" isn't really about policy, it's about personality and presentation. A leader with the principles of Corbyn and the presence and communication skills of mid-90s Blair would stand a better chance of winning than a centrist wonk who excites precisely no one.

Matt DC, Thursday, 16 July 2015 10:07 (eight years ago) link

Also a) I don't think Corbyn ever expected to be in this position when he entered the contest and b) why the fuck are Jason Cowley and other professional political journalists still talking about opinion polls like they mean anything? They might as well be consulting the fairies at the bottom of the garden.

Matt DC, Thursday, 16 July 2015 10:13 (eight years ago) link

i don't think it's one or the other. over-relying on your ability to play the media is a fool's enterprise if you're proposing anything that's broadly unpalatable to the media, as any anti-austerity position wd be. winning hearts and minds is going to take grassroots work and the ability to get a message out there thru a steady barrage of flack. it's going to take enough patience to not worry about soundbiting yrself into short term TV popularity. obviously a "leader" has to not make an arse of themselves in public whenever poss, but i don't think meaningful change is something that can be accomplished thru a polished enough media presence. Blair, after all, wasn't interested in meaningful change.

This is for my new ringpiece, so please only serious answers (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 16 July 2015 10:14 (eight years ago) link

Unfair advantage for the Tories is that they don't need personality as such, just presentation (don't be bald or too old looking).

nashwan, Thursday, 16 July 2015 10:16 (eight years ago) link

I'd rather support politicians who react like human beings when confronted with bullshit and posturing. Part of the problem in Westminster is that they do not.

xp - All kinds of medicines have origins in nature, eg. morphine. Aspirin is a synthetic iteration of a chemical found in willow bark, which has been used for pain and inflammation relief since forever.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_aspirin

error: unclean shutdown (suzy), Thursday, 16 July 2015 10:17 (eight years ago) link

if the Labour party's got nothing to sell then it doesn't matter who's in charge. the next step needs to be to sort itself out a vision and a plan for realising that vision. this is the step that i think it's going to absolutely fail at.

This is for my new ringpiece, so please only serious answers (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 16 July 2015 10:18 (eight years ago) link

Right, but homeopathy is not medicine of any kind, it's not the same thing at all. That's my point. Willow bark contains an active ingredient. Homeopathy is magical mystery water.

xpost

Just noise and screaming and no musical value at all. (Colonel Poo), Thursday, 16 July 2015 10:19 (eight years ago) link

dude, it's water with molecules in it

This is for my new ringpiece, so please only serious answers (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 16 July 2015 10:21 (eight years ago) link

over-relying on your ability to play the media is a fool's enterprise if you're proposing anything that's broadly unpalatable to the media, as any anti-austerity position wd be. winning hearts and minds is going to take grassroots work and the ability to get a message out there thru a steady barrage of flack. it's going to take enough patience to not worry about soundbiting yrself into short term TV popularity. obviously a "leader" has to not make an arse of themselves in public whenever poss, but i don't think meaningful change is something that can be accomplished thru a polished enough media presence.

Yeah you need both but as I keep saying people are going to be a lot more open to your message if you're the sort of person they want to listen to in the first place, but you also need to be disciplined enough not to just chase soundbytes. There are popular politicians who can work the media and sell an anti-austerity message to the public, they're just in Scotland (which admittedly is a more favourable climate to this sort of thing). But then again I don't think anti-austerity is as unpopular as it's made out to be - the issue is mistrust and/or fear of Labour themselves.

Matt DC, Thursday, 16 July 2015 10:25 (eight years ago) link

Heartening to know Corbyn can do no wrong, unlike this guy lol

DG, Thursday, 16 July 2015 13:24 (eight years ago) link

NV also otm, no tories are going to be joining labour to vote for Corbyn.

― 2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Thursday, July 16, 2015 9:19 AM (4 hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Dunno about that, they might get tempted after being very pleased that Ed got in instead of David, and they might like the idea of ensuring the 'vote winner' doesn't get in.

Mark G, Thursday, 16 July 2015 13:49 (eight years ago) link

I'd rather support politicians who react like human beings when confronted with bullshit and posturing.

I do think that the electorate might enjoy someone that does that, rather than the well-trained politico that smiles and describes the alternate scenario all the time.

Mark G, Thursday, 16 July 2015 13:51 (eight years ago) link

Hmmm. Coming to suspect that the electorate, despite claiming to want honesty and straightforwardness in politicians, actually much prefer well-trained politicos' smiles, bullshit and posturing.

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Thursday, 16 July 2015 13:56 (eight years ago) link

Of course they fucking do.

Matt DC, Thursday, 16 July 2015 14:37 (eight years ago) link

Boris Johnson is the bellwether of this really? Did you see him being interviewed about the water cannons on Sky? butter wouldn't melt. even when he's writhing around and squirming, he's still got this smugly amused grin as if he knows something the interviewer doesn't, and that comes across as superior even if he is clearly checkmated.

(no offence to people) (dog latin), Thursday, 16 July 2015 14:44 (eight years ago) link

Since he has habits that make Bill Clinton look like a eunuch, I'd imagine that the second he got near leading the Tories, the public might somehow find out a bit more about his behaviour.

error: unclean shutdown (suzy), Thursday, 16 July 2015 14:46 (eight years ago) link

lots of rightwing blogs + twitter ppl are doing giggly 'vote corbyn' campaigns, not sure how many votes that would actually translate into, though

some folks also reviving this oldie but goodie:

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CGuKzoxXAAETIYv.jpg:large

The Nation's Top 100 Light Bulb Jokes as judged by Lenny Henry (soref), Thursday, 16 July 2015 14:48 (eight years ago) link

Ironically, Corbyn's one there is... okay? No-one would bat an eyelid if he said it tomorrow.

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Thursday, 16 July 2015 14:53 (eight years ago) link

LOL Keith Vaz

This Year's Model Victim (Tom D.), Thursday, 16 July 2015 14:58 (eight years ago) link

LOL like there's anything dodgy about George Galloway right

DG, Thursday, 16 July 2015 15:00 (eight years ago) link

http://bodley30.bodley.ox.ac.uk:8180/luna/servlet/detail/ODLodl~6~6~51843~105198:1987-31?sort=Shelfmark&qvq=w4s:/when/1987;sort:Shelfmark;lc:ODLodl~29~29,ODLodl~7~7,ODLodl~6~6,ODLodl~14~14,ODLodl~8~8,ODLodl~23~23,ODLodl~1~1,ODLodl~24~24&mi=31&trs=33

who were the 'militants' they were all helping to fund?

Merdeyeux, Thursday, 16 July 2015 15:02 (eight years ago) link

ah right

Merdeyeux, Thursday, 16 July 2015 15:06 (eight years ago) link

In fact, Corbyn is obviously only on there because he looks the beardy sociology lecturer part.

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Thursday, 16 July 2015 15:15 (eight years ago) link

off topic, but some fantastic Militant tendency related photos can be found here:

https://www.flickr.com/photos/dave_sinclair_liverpool_photos/albums/72157602168852769/page1

The Nation's Top 100 Light Bulb Jokes as judged by Lenny Henry (soref), Thursday, 16 July 2015 15:17 (eight years ago) link

Tim Farron is the new leader of some party or other

DG, Thursday, 16 July 2015 15:34 (eight years ago) link

not so much a party as a book club

This is for my new ringpiece, so please only serious answers (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 16 July 2015 15:43 (eight years ago) link

Hands up if you can name anyone else he was competing up against.

Going back to the Labour contest, if these lamers can't beat a "bearded voter repellant" like Corbyn, how exactly do they propose to beat Boris?

Matt DC, Thursday, 16 July 2015 17:46 (eight years ago) link

Norman Lamb!

DG, Thursday, 16 July 2015 17:48 (eight years ago) link

http://bodley30.bodley.ox.ac.uk:8180/luna/servlet/detail/ODLodl~6~6~51843~105198:1987-31?sort=Shelfmark&qvq=w4s:/when/1987;sort:Shelfmark;lc:ODLodl~29~29,ODLodl~7~7,ODLodl~6~6,ODLodl~14~14,ODLodl~8~8,ODLodl~23~23,ODLodl~1~1,ODLodl~24~24&mi=31&trs=33

zoomable version with slightly less horrible url here: http://digital.bodleian.ox.ac.uk/inquire/p/5a090e3d-2139-4e1d-8a47-e7a82add1379

Abraham raves doubtlessly (a passing spacecadet), Thursday, 16 July 2015 18:51 (eight years ago) link

Even the quotes about armed workers' brigades aren't as embarrassing as Harman working for a "civil liberties" group that lobbied parliament to drop the age of sexual consent to 10 in that same era.

xelab, Thursday, 16 July 2015 19:42 (eight years ago) link

Thanks for that Flickr link soref.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Thursday, 16 July 2015 22:18 (eight years ago) link

So, now then

That post of mine up there

Just to clear up a few things:

I wasn't drunk, but I was very tired and have recently been ill from sawdust inhalation (so ...?)

And what's more callous than cheering on as vulnerable people are stripped of benefits and doomed to homelessness?

Agree 100%, and this is one of many things that was missing from my post.

This is an unfair pile-on really in that Cardamon is fully aware that these feelings are wrong and pushes them out of his head, which is more than you can say for huge swathes of the population, including some working class people and even including some benefit claimants.

I'll take responsibility for the pile on tho because of poor phrasing and throwing down ugly matter in an ugly way

xxp I genuinely had no idea that 'chavs beat me up when I was a kid' was a common reason for people supporting benefit cuts. Does David Cameron have Korn to thank for his slim majority?

All I can say is, 'Chavs beat me up when I was a kid' is a very common reason for people supporting benefit cuts in my city

Fp'ed that Cardamon post, all that shite about dramatising a feeling or whatever seems like a poor excuse for just simply letting rip with what is currently a very prevalent type of UK class bigotry. I deleted my angry post this morning because I am trying cut down on being a dick, but I still find the sentiments in the op appalling and unjustifiable and am calmly registering my dislike of it for the record.

@Xelab considering my post was an angry post of the most self-righteous unthinking kind, you'd have been way within yr rights to post your own angry post; I also find the sentiments appalling and unjustifiable

The bullshit bit of the Cardamon post was the 'should we judge these attitudes too harshly?' bit

I agree with you I think. There's a vaguely liberal way of approaching toxic people which says 'We mustn't judge', but really works to justify their toxic thoughts and behaviours; which sounds like positive + constructive thinking but actually just leads back round to the status quo. Right? And you read something like that in my post?

What I'm actually in favour of is a sort of clinical emotional maths.

For example Mr Joe Bloggs (of Billinge) votes for the benefit cuts because his elderly aunty was mugged outside Kwik Save by a gang of teenagers, had savings stolen and bruises across her face for months, was afraid to leave the house afterwards. Mr Joe Bloggs is fucking fuming, long term, and says 'Aye fookin dead right' when he hears new benefits cuts being announced on Sky News because he associates 'benefits people' with 'muggers'.

'Understanding' the anger of Mr Bloggs isn't going to get us very far, because at the end of the day, we disagree with him. We know for certain that slashing benefits may not even touch the people who mugged his aunty but will definitely hurt people who are innocent of anything like that. We know the cuts to benefits and public services will make such muggings even more likely to happen, in fact. We can't honestly concede anything to his position, which is a pathological position.

Strategically though, this is the situation: the tories are tapping into the psychic torment of Joe Bloggs up and down the country, so how are we going to proceed? The pathology is a fact about a chunk of our population. What then is the move to play here?

cardamon, Thursday, 16 July 2015 22:36 (eight years ago) link

(I do see a moral distinction between people who have actually been mugged/attacked/victimised and politicians who make use of those experiences; and also between people who have actually had those experiences and respond 'illogically', and people who invoke or pretend to those experiences rhetorically, to puff up an illogical and self-serving argument; I can often sniff out whose terrible chav stories are real and who's bullshitting, likewise with horror stories about 'large groups of asian lads' etc etc)

cardamon, Thursday, 16 July 2015 22:48 (eight years ago) link

he associates 'benefits people' with 'muggers'.

I'm still struggling with this connecting of benefits to crime. I don't know who you're hanging about with but how many people actually think this way, seriously? Where are you hanging about? I just don't get it.

Strategically though, this is the situation: the tories are tapping into the psychic torment of Joe Bloggs up and down the country

They aren't though, Osborne said it himself, it's about people getting up in the morning and passing their neighbour's house who still have their curtains drawn, i.e., they're still lazing about in their kip until they roll out of bed at noon to watch Jeremy Kyle or the Real Housewives of New Jersey or whatever, not that they're out mugging aunties or murdering Goths, do you actually have any contact with real people or what?

This Year's Model Victim (Tom D.), Thursday, 16 July 2015 23:31 (eight years ago) link

Er, there are probably some drawbacks to buying in to George Osborne's mastery of the national psyche.

Andrew Farrell, Friday, 17 July 2015 07:12 (eight years ago) link

Nick Clegg was the person who came up with blinds-drawn skivers as a THING. Clearly he's not working from home in a room with huge south-facing windows.

error: unclean shutdown (suzy), Friday, 17 July 2015 07:26 (eight years ago) link

(xp) The point was that the populist anti-benefits rhetoric from politicians, like Osborne, is about fecklessness not violence.

This Year's Model Victim (Tom D.), Friday, 17 July 2015 07:59 (eight years ago) link

I was going to say that. I've never seen anyone make that connection (to violence) before.

Let's go, FIFA! (Nasty, Brutish & Short), Friday, 17 July 2015 08:10 (eight years ago) link

'Alarm Clock Britain' was Clegg's slogan wasn't it? Ah, what times, what memories. Longest time for the Liberals in government since Lloyd George, you know.

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Friday, 17 July 2015 09:03 (eight years ago) link

I'm still struggling with this connecting of benefits to crime.

Would you struggle with a link of poverty to crime?
Would you struggle with a link of poverty to benefits?

join the dots

I don't think anyone's saying all people on benefits are criminals. However, it's likely that a high proportion of violent and anti-social crime takes place in areas of deprivation where a high proportion of people are on benefits.

I think cardamon is saying making these links and playing on those fears generates support for the cuts.

Possibly Fingers (onimo), Friday, 17 July 2015 10:30 (eight years ago) link

tbh I think I do recognise what Cardamon is talking about. I have heard this kind of thing, both from Tories and working class ex-Labour presumably now UKIP types. Although the Tories would just see Council Estate = On Benefits = Criminal = Scum, the working class people I've heard this kind of thing from are sometimes living on council estates (or maybe have previously) but they are working and see scroungers and layabouts as a problem and often they are associating them with crime on the estate. One of the people I've heard come out with this his own brother is an ex-junkie alcoholic who is on benefits and probably does the odd bit of petty crime so I can sort of see where he gets the idea from.

In no way condoning these attitudes, they are not my own, just to be clear.

Maybe Tom D. doesn't talk to many people from outside London? I don't really hear this from anyone here, but go back to the Midlands and it's all over the place.

Just noise and screaming and no musical value at all. (Colonel Poo), Friday, 17 July 2015 10:31 (eight years ago) link

Things are probably somewhat different in London, I'd agree- an idea borne out by the election results.

Seems this sort of thinking has deep roots, unfortunately, in a way that can't really be combatted by the labour party 'reconnecting' or somehow pitching its message a bit better. If ordinary people are easy prey to politics of kicking-down resentment these days, it's because people are more inclined to see social life as consisting of individual conflict (and not to notice, or care, about larger structural issues) and to view the idea of 'community' in a strictly exclusionary sense.

The sort of attitudes that have been building up over decades, basically. Probably inherent in consumer capitalism, and indivisible from it.

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Friday, 17 July 2015 11:03 (eight years ago) link

the slow but sure enforcement of values based on extreme meritocracy has a lot do with this too, i think

(no offence to people) (dog latin), Friday, 17 July 2015 11:09 (eight years ago) link

Guessing rich people are lovely, except you just don't get to meet them. Don't know if anyone else here does, but if they do please report.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 17 July 2015 11:09 (eight years ago) link

the working class people I've heard this kind of thing from are sometimes living on council estates (or maybe have previously) but they are working and see scroungers and layabouts as a problem and often they are associating them with crime on the estate.

Sure, but the original claim is that "may kick my head in" was a higher reason to hate dolies than any other, which still seems like nonsense.

(Also of course unemployment benefit is 3% of actual welfare)

Andrew Farrell, Friday, 17 July 2015 11:13 (eight years ago) link

I don't think anyone's saying all people on benefits are criminals. However, it's likely that a high proportion of violent and anti-social crime takes place in areas of deprivation where a high proportion of people are on benefits.

I think cardamon is saying making these links and playing on those fears generates support for the cuts.

First two statements are obvious tbh. Who is making these links and playing on those fears though? I don't think even IDS has done that? Maybe it's something that's going on wherever cardamon lives? Bringing up the murder of the goth girl in Lancashire in his original post was straight up bullshit however, remind me to keep away from sawdust in the future.

This Year's Model Victim (Tom D.), Friday, 17 July 2015 11:18 (eight years ago) link

"people believe mean things about demonized social groups" = yeah ok i think we get that
"you can understand why people believe these things, because of their everyday experiences of people from these groups" = mistaking the distorting lenses of prejudice for a simple cause and effect process

the point is always that the demonized social group is already demonized, and any confirmation of prejudice that people gain from their personal experience requires the prejudice to already be in place

also, there are quite a different set of assumptions and experiences made about "benefits scroungers" by people from different social classes and regions. plenty of working class people hate scroungers but it's rarely because they think of them as terrifying, exotic feral beasts

perhaps ironically, there's something coming close to Stalinist about the neoliberal 'strivers versus skivers' rhetoric - the idea that you're either a useful cog or a rusty ratchet in the works

(no offence to people) (dog latin), Friday, 17 July 2015 11:37 (eight years ago) link

there are quite a different set of assumptions and experiences made about "benefits scroungers" by people from different social classes and regions.

^^^

This Year's Model Victim (Tom D.), Friday, 17 July 2015 11:39 (eight years ago) link

there's something coming close to Stalinist about the neoliberal 'strivers versus skivers' rhetoric

oh, totally.

http://pxhst.co/avaxhome/4d/ea/001cea4d_medium.jpeg

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Friday, 17 July 2015 11:46 (eight years ago) link

Osborne's just issued a 5 year plan to improve productivity tbf

Who is making these links and playing on those fears though? I don't think even IDS has done that?

The media, alongside government, demonise the poor. Everything from biased coverage of the Tottenham Riots, to rhetoric around 'hoodies', to scaremongering news reports about violence on 'rough' council estates, to films like Eden Lake, all perpetuate the idea that people on benefits are somehow violent by nature. The (il)logic behind this is that if you cut benefits then fewer people will be on benefits, hence lowering violent crime. No one's going to stand up in parliament and say 'people on benefits are dangerous', but it's an implication that's reinforced again and again.

(no offence to people) (dog latin), Friday, 17 July 2015 11:53 (eight years ago) link

all perpetuate the idea that people on benefits are somehow violent by nature.

More likely to commit crime maybe, but violent?

This Year's Model Victim (Tom D.), Friday, 17 July 2015 11:57 (eight years ago) link

... by nature? Forgot to add.

This Year's Model Victim (Tom D.), Friday, 17 July 2015 11:58 (eight years ago) link

i think the problem/mistake is caused by the blurring of scroungers (not gonna keep putting scarequotes around this, y'all know what i don't mean) and chavs and working class people as represented in these strands of the media

none of the stuff dl lists is based on "LOOK OUT, HE'S ON JOBSEEKERS", all of it is general fear/hatred/othering of the poor, the young, the urban *cough cough*

if you're far enough away from these people then they probably all look the same, but i can't think of any specific constructions that equate scroungers with scary pitchfork wielding avatars of the lynchmob

and of course some people may not pick up on those nuances. fuck them to hell.

ok I take it back, damnation can be a progressive force

ogmor, Friday, 17 July 2015 12:24 (eight years ago) link

case by case basis :)

there's only so much time and emotional energy to expend on trying to educate yr oppressor imo

of course, but it's not always your oppressor that needs educating. I think moral condemnation of the powerful or those who respect you enough to listen can be effective, but otherwise I favour carrots over sticks, even if they are less fun to wield

ogmor, Friday, 17 July 2015 12:31 (eight years ago) link

xps of course people don't pick up on the nuances. it's like Bush getting mixed up between Iraq and Afghanistan. for many, it's just a big smoosh of undesirable povvo scum, right?

(no offence to people) (dog latin), Friday, 17 July 2015 13:11 (eight years ago) link

http://www.gdprice.com/j/00137.JPG

This Year's Model Victim (Tom D.), Friday, 17 July 2015 13:21 (eight years ago) link

when i'm visiting my hometown i'll quite often hear a conflation of 'junkies' // people who get everything handed to them on a plate while the rest of us get nothing // people who will stab you and mug you with no remorse, with little heed to the various contradictions that appear there. but i'm unconvinced that this is part of the same homogeneous mass that is the general vilification of 'scroungers' (indeed many of the people making this conflation are on benefits themselves). we're a sophisticated and nuanced society, we can hate a variety of homogeneous groups of people for a variety of fake reasons.

Merdeyeux, Friday, 17 July 2015 13:41 (eight years ago) link

xxp I genuinely had no idea that 'chavs beat me up when I was a kid' was a common reason for people supporting benefit cuts. Does David Cameron have Korn to thank for his slim majority?

― Blandford Forum, Wednesday, July 15, 2015 12:06 PM (2 days ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

I'm still laughing at this two days later, but anyway, continue...

Freedom, Friday, 17 July 2015 14:18 (eight years ago) link

safe space

DG, Friday, 17 July 2015 14:28 (eight years ago) link

Late as ever, I think I'm just about coming round to see part of the objection to that post - yes I wd agree that most of the anti-benefits rhetoric, the stuff pumped out from above, and the attitudes pumped around down here by people taken along by it ... the majority of that rhetoric is about 'strivers vs skivers', hard work vs 'getting it handed to you', rather than about terrible feral yobs

Also what nv says:

also, there are quite a different set of assumptions and experiences made about "benefits scroungers" by people from different social classes and regions.

This rings true to me, something like:

'People who have never met anyone on benefits but reckon they're worthless and need a kick, or even worse, a helping hand such as making them pick litter'
'People who have some sort of shared life with people on benefits, see them as opponents, or as someone to distance yourself from at all moral costs'
'People who are themselves very poor and may be in receipt of a benefit who target other people in receipt of other benefits'

cardamon, Friday, 17 July 2015 20:58 (eight years ago) link

So apparently new libelous demagogue leader made an arse of himself on c4 news due to his being a god bothering dick who doesn't like gays or abortion

Rave Van Donk (jim in glasgow), Friday, 17 July 2015 21:13 (eight years ago) link

Not to mention Cameron not telling Parliament about 'embedded' British combatants in Syria, the action that same Parliament voted against.

WTF? This is some Bush-level shit.

error: unclean shutdown (suzy), Friday, 17 July 2015 21:25 (eight years ago) link

yup, fairly egregious, yet somehow feels like water off a ducks' back. tories in power for the next decade, probably more, is a real horrendous thing to face. it's just going to be one thing after another after another

Rave Van Donk (jim in glasgow), Friday, 17 July 2015 21:28 (eight years ago) link

it doesn't shock because of how easy it is to imagine a Blair government doing same

Naaah, Tony Blair would probably tell people he was going to shit all over due process, and smile hopefully while doing it.

Backing the UK off Syria was probably the best thing Ed Miliband did in opposition and I hope when Parliament convenes on Monday to interrupt Cameron's hols discuss the matter, EM gets a chance to at least yell at the SOB.

error: unclean shutdown (suzy), Friday, 17 July 2015 21:38 (eight years ago) link

This barely registers as egregious in the context of the last twenty years of British military policy. The vote in 2013 was over whether to conduct airstrikes against the Assad government in light of the alleged use of chemical weapons against civilians. This is not what was done, even if you don't buy the argument that lending three pilots to Canada doesn't constitute direct military intervention.

I wear my Redditor loathing with pride (ShariVari), Friday, 17 July 2015 21:41 (eight years ago) link

http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-33578174

Rave Van Donk (jim in glasgow), Friday, 17 July 2015 23:01 (eight years ago) link

really wondering what Murdoch's play is here

stet, Friday, 17 July 2015 23:27 (eight years ago) link

So, the FSA was too soft on bankers and too light-touch, and after the crash was replaced with the FCA. Whose chief exec has just been fired by Osborne for being too tough on bankers and "too much of a consumer champion". Osborne now wants a more ... light-touch approach.
https://next.ft.com/61f867fa-2c76-11e5-8613-e7aedbb7bdb7

stet, Saturday, 18 July 2015 01:54 (eight years ago) link

I despair

Let's go, FIFA! (Nasty, Brutish & Short), Tuesday, 21 July 2015 19:13 (eight years ago) link

this is brutal. and unsustainable. and utterly depressing.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Tuesday, 21 July 2015 20:02 (eight years ago) link

Are you talking about the 40% budget cuts or Labour deciding it's okay to feed everyone earning under £18k into a car crusher if that's what the public want?

Matt DC, Tuesday, 21 July 2015 20:30 (eight years ago) link

those fucks are all in this together

Can't believe I'm cheering on the Lords now. Today alone they've blocked both the right-to-buy from housing associations and take one of EVEL. Guess that's what a huge majority comprised of 200 pissed-off Labour lords, 100 furiously incandescent LibDems and 140 cross-benchers with no love for the current government gets you.

stet, Tuesday, 21 July 2015 20:50 (eight years ago) link

xp - both, Matt

Let's go, FIFA! (Nasty, Brutish & Short), Tuesday, 21 July 2015 20:57 (eight years ago) link

bitter nat digression here but I wonder how no voters are managing to contort their minds into thinking they did the right thing as we face a decade (plus?) of tory rule, an ineffectual/pointless labour opposition, and the braying schadenfreude of middle england as the social costs of punitive austerity become more and more vivid.

Rave Van Donk (jim in glasgow), Tuesday, 21 July 2015 21:00 (eight years ago) link

I think they contort it by looking at Greece (and especially the Germany-Greece dynamic) and extrapolating from that what Osborne would do to Scotland. The currency issue has become even starker since the referendum because of that whole show, I think.

stet, Tuesday, 21 July 2015 21:04 (eight years ago) link

ah, fair enough, I suppose. need a more robust plan, currency union a certain dud.

Rave Van Donk (jim in glasgow), Tuesday, 21 July 2015 21:07 (eight years ago) link

I keep hearing people praising Osbourne's very clever act of stealing Labour's clothes, lol I am sure that took a lot of effort.

xelab, Tuesday, 21 July 2015 21:35 (eight years ago) link

The "guilty No voters" rhetoric feels very uncomfortable to me. A No vote wasn't an vote for a Tory Gov't, it was a vote for a united country. There are still children in poverty south of the border and I still don't feel it's a morally strong position to look after your own and leave them to it, even if we have a horrible Government only because of pockets of England. I mean, this argument has been done to death in various threads so I don't see how rehashing it is going to do any good, but it's a done deal and I don't think bitterness will accomplish anything - tbh I think it almost undoes a lot of the good work that independence supporters have managed since the referendum.

boxedjoy, Tuesday, 21 July 2015 22:33 (eight years ago) link

imo the polity of the rUK will forever be tory, or at best you'll get blairite labour every few decades if youre extremely lucky. imo this was foreseeable last september, and is a certainty for the next several decades, ie the meaningful tranche of most scottish adults' lives, especially my glaswegian brethren who don't live long anyway.

i no longer live in scotland, and am not politically involved, so im quite happy to be bitter and know that it has no consequence. it is obviously not politic for pro-independence activists and groups to be divisively derisive of the majority of scottish voters.

Rave Van Donk (jim in glasgow), Tuesday, 21 July 2015 22:48 (eight years ago) link

the No vote sure as hell wasn't a vote against an eternity of right wing governance

that was a big part of what it was, especially amongst the 10% or so that swung in the closing month.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Tuesday, 21 July 2015 22:54 (eight years ago) link

It wasn't necessarily a vote *for* either. I ended up spoiling my ballot paper because I couldn't reconcile my complicity in terrible nationwide governance with my guilt over the sections of society that would benefit from the continued presence of Scotland's (theoretically) traditional gravitational pull to the left, i.e couldn't vote with my head and my heart at once

boxedjoy, Tuesday, 21 July 2015 22:56 (eight years ago) link

maybe it's easier to despise the UK and everything it represents from England

I would say so, pretty sure living in Scotland during the referendum would have driven me into the Unionist camp.

Possibly Fingers (Tom D.), Wednesday, 22 July 2015 00:20 (eight years ago) link

http://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/4AFC/production/_84369191_84369186.jpg

This photo is amazing, it manages to capture each candidate so perfectly - incredulity from Cooper, fence-sitting "hmmm, I'm going to look like I think you have a point there" from Burnham, full on vicious contempt from Kendall.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 22 July 2015 08:59 (eight years ago) link

Corbyn 17% ahead on first preference votes

Possibly Fingers (Tom D.), Wednesday, 22 July 2015 09:12 (eight years ago) link

still don't believe Corbyn will win this. if he does, the carnage is gonna be exquisite.

whatever happens, a whole swathe of Labour MPs are going to have on record their complete contempt for the values and aspirations of a sizeable cohort of their own party's members

wd dearly love this to be Ragnarok but I'm sure cowardice and temporizing will prevail

Corbyn already pointing out that maybe what Labour is waiting for is the Chilcot inquiry result.

error: unclean shutdown (suzy), Wednesday, 22 July 2015 10:15 (eight years ago) link

Corbyn's plan that the leader will have to be confirmed every 12 months gives him a good exit strategy. Could work relatively well: year or two of outright attack while they prep an election-winner for 2020.

stet, Wednesday, 22 July 2015 10:18 (eight years ago) link

I think that's almost exactly what the idea is - he didn't see himself as a potential winner but now he is I find it very doubtful he sees himself as a potential Prime Minister. But this has revealed a massive disconnect between the PLP and the rest of the party, if only to confirm they aren't prepared to sacrifice every principle for the sake of getting into power. A leadership election two or three years down the line would have a markedly different tenor, I think, although there would obviously be at least one Blairite true believer involved, there'd be a wider selection of actual ideas involved.

FWIW I don't think anyone on the ballot looks particularly electable and given the choice between failing with some principles and failing without any, I'd go for the latter every time. The wider public will smell bullshit with the latter approach as well, Labour could adopt every single Tory policy and still not win.

Whichever cockfarmer it was who was whining last week, "we cannot just allow our party, a credible party of government, to be hijacked in this summer of madness" showed a breathtaking lack of self-awareness. a) I think two successive election defeats against a govt as transparently unloved as this one rather proves that you are not a credible party of government, and b) if you move to unseat a popular choice you don't agree with then you are the people doing the hijacking.

All this stuff is usually couched in some bollocks about "meeting the electorate where they are, not where we want them to be", which is nonsense really given that the Tories never really bother with this.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 22 July 2015 10:28 (eight years ago) link

it would be refreshing to have someone treat being the leader of opposition as an important end in itself, rather than as a platform from which to send smoke signals to the electorate

ogmor, Wednesday, 22 July 2015 10:45 (eight years ago) link

I wonder when one of the losers is gonna crack and start whinging about entryism distorting the election, either from the left or the right

regret it? nope. reddit? yep. (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 22 July 2015 10:46 (eight years ago) link

the state of labour at the moment is actually embarrassing. they should have appointed a leader after the general election. this public floundering is ludicrous. they owe it to people to mount some kind of credible opposition, not give the tories a free pass to do whatever until labour are done self-flagellating.

doing my Objectives, handling some intense stuff (LocalGarda), Wednesday, 22 July 2015 10:56 (eight years ago) link

also the whole process is like transparency with a shit in it

doing my Objectives, handling some intense stuff (LocalGarda), Wednesday, 22 July 2015 10:57 (eight years ago) link

hard to mount a credible opposition if your MPs don't really oppose anything the government wants to do

regret it? nope. reddit? yep. (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 22 July 2015 10:59 (eight years ago) link

This is the thing, if the public actually wants an eviscerated welfare state, then we should have a Tory government. The idea that Labour might have a duty or responsibility to the millions of people who DON'T want that doesn't seem to resonate with them at all.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 22 July 2015 10:59 (eight years ago) link

they seem to think that the fact a slim majority voted for a different party and their policies means that they must now become that party. like some of them, i don't know what they are because they aren't politicians. there is no belief system left.

doing my Objectives, handling some intense stuff (LocalGarda), Wednesday, 22 July 2015 11:19 (eight years ago) link

http://www.politics.co.uk/blogs/2015/07/22/tony-blair-is-to-blame-for-the-rise-of-jeremy-corbyn

This is broadly on-the-money. The confusion he highlights re: Andy Burnham was also present in Ed Miliband in a big way, despite the apparently determination of Blairites to view him as a traditional left candidate.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 22 July 2015 11:28 (eight years ago) link

Blair on hand to lend his trademark guidance:

http://i.imgur.com/h7buH9u.jpg

I wear my Redditor loathing with pride (ShariVari), Wednesday, 22 July 2015 11:28 (eight years ago) link

It's also worth pointing out that Blair won three elections in pretty much the most benign economic, political and competitive conditions, and not once did he go into an election pledging to cut public spending.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 22 July 2015 11:31 (eight years ago) link

He was also up against a succession of useless Tory leaders.

Possibly Fingers (Tom D.), Wednesday, 22 July 2015 11:34 (eight years ago) link

... as you say, benign political conditions.

Possibly Fingers (Tom D.), Wednesday, 22 July 2015 11:35 (eight years ago) link

Actually what I mean to say was the most benign economic, political and competitive conditions ever experienced by a British PM. I mean who has ever had it easier?

Matt DC, Wednesday, 22 July 2015 11:36 (eight years ago) link

an inanimate carbon rod would have got elected for labour after 20 years of tory rule. the same will be true for the tories now for a while. the british system is incredibly fucked.

doing my Objectives, handling some intense stuff (LocalGarda), Wednesday, 22 July 2015 11:48 (eight years ago) link

Macmillan possibly? (xp)

Possibly Fingers (Tom D.), Wednesday, 22 July 2015 11:51 (eight years ago) link

I think the fear of the animate carbon rod that was Neil Kinnock is probably formative in a lot of Blairites.

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 22 July 2015 11:55 (eight years ago) link

gosh yes that awful man with his socialism and his Welshness

regret it? nope. reddit? yep. (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 22 July 2015 12:46 (eight years ago) link

will give Kinnock some credit for adding to the gaiety of nations with this kind of thing:

http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2014/03/27/sadiq-khan-eric-pickles-dying_n_5042499.html

pop addicts should "do their thing", whatever that may be (soref), Wednesday, 22 July 2015 13:02 (eight years ago) link

(tbh I normally find 'Eric Pickles is fat' jokes to be kind of cheap and crass, but Kinnock writing a letter where he wishes for Pickles to did of a heart attack, Khan tweeting the letter apparently not considering that there could be anything controversial about this and every UK news outlet reporting the story in a completely dead-pan serious fashion was hilarious at just about every level imo)

pop addicts should "do their thing", whatever that may be (soref), Wednesday, 22 July 2015 13:11 (eight years ago) link

kinnock's original letter was funny because nowhere did he say "eric pickles will die", he just told khan to invite pickles on the marathon and said it would provoke an election, and our minds make the leap to suggest, oh yes, pickles died because he is unhealthy and it is a marathon = HOW COMEDY WORKS

Credit: howtokeepapositiveattitudedotcom (stevie), Wednesday, 22 July 2015 13:15 (eight years ago) link

agree, Khan having make an embarrassing apology after it gets written up likr this:

Sadiq Khan, the shadow justice minister who is now considering running for Mayor of London, published a letter on Twitter written by Lord Kinnock, the former Labour leader, that suggested Mr Pickles would die if he ran a marathon.

adds another level to the comedy though, I think

pop addicts should "do their thing", whatever that may be (soref), Wednesday, 22 July 2015 13:21 (eight years ago) link

is 'HOW COMEDY WORKS' followed by that Barry Cryer picture a meme? if not is should be

pop addicts should "do their thing", whatever that may be (soref), Wednesday, 22 July 2015 13:27 (eight years ago) link

THE MEME BEGINS HERE

Credit: howtokeepapositiveattitudedotcom (stevie), Wednesday, 22 July 2015 13:52 (eight years ago) link

and given the choice between failing with some principles and failing without any, I'd go for the latter every time.

Erm....the former?

Turtleneck Work Solutions (Nasty, Brutish & Short), Wednesday, 22 July 2015 13:57 (eight years ago) link

i'm assuming that was a typo, right?

(no offence to people) (dog latin), Wednesday, 22 July 2015 13:59 (eight years ago) link

Hah, yes it was a typo.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 22 July 2015 14:02 (eight years ago) link

or just labour party policy eh eh

Merdeyeux, Wednesday, 22 July 2015 14:03 (eight years ago) link

better to die on your knees than live on your feet

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 22 July 2015 14:16 (eight years ago) link

If the leadership candidates weren't bad enough, the London Mayoral candidates compound the misery.

Possibly Fingers (Tom D.), Wednesday, 22 July 2015 14:21 (eight years ago) link

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/jul/24/liz-kendall-lord-falconer-accuses-dismissing-women-labour-leadership-race

is it falling into conspiracy theorist territory to think that this Times piece was given a misleading headline intentionally so that Kendall could take the opportunity to attack Burnham's campaign? the actual quote from Falconer seems totally innocuous...or did he say some more stuff that actually justifies the accusations of sexism?

pop addicts should "do their thing", whatever that may be (soref), Friday, 24 July 2015 19:33 (eight years ago) link

Kendall believes the comments from Charles Falconer, the shadow lord chancellor, about her and Yvette Cooper – reported in the Times under the headline “Women not tough enough to lead Labour’’ – had sexist undertones.

Falconer was quoted as saying: “Neither Yvette nor Liz can steer the Labour party through the challenging few years ahead when we need a leader who can reach out to all wings of our party and provide unity. As a result, both Liz and Yvette are unlikely to beat Jeremy [Corbyn, the fourth leadership candidate].”

pop addicts should "do their thing", whatever that may be (soref), Friday, 24 July 2015 19:34 (eight years ago) link

I cannot see who Kendall and Cooper are supposed to appeal to. They are both awful cynics and I'm pretty sure Kendall is a genuinely terrible person. I can't really see who Burnham is supposed to appeal to now either. In spite of his egregious abstention, made worse by his back-pedalling, I don't think he's all that bad. He's not evil. They are all three essentially blatant careerists who lack vision. Kendall and Cooper really are opportunist complainers though.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Saturday, 25 July 2015 05:25 (eight years ago) link

Ps I'm drunk

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Saturday, 25 July 2015 05:26 (eight years ago) link

The gang of three are all as gratingly awful as each other to me, listening to any of them talk has a thermobaric weapon type effect of drawing the oxygen out of the room. But I suppose Kendall's blatant Toryness + inability to mask her mean spiritedness shades it for me, wouldn't vote for any of them.

xelab, Saturday, 25 July 2015 06:19 (eight years ago) link

find this whole contest so depressing, I like Corbyn, but is there any way that him winning (or even coming a respectable second) would not lead to complete Labour party meltdown and civil war? maybe that would be a good thing thing in the long run, idk, but I can't see any outcome that doesn't involve tory hegemony for the forseeable future. I guess Cooper seems the best chance for the part to not fall apart, Burnham seems useless, Kendall victory surely the death knell for any hope of the Labour part as a vaguely leftist force

pop addicts should "do their thing", whatever that may be (soref), Saturday, 25 July 2015 06:55 (eight years ago) link

Kendall seems so far to the right even a description of "Blairite" looks misleading. Burnham, Cooper and Miliband are / were all pretty much Blairite for the most part, Kendall seems to lack even that wonky moral compass. She's also a terrible communicator. If you want to propose a platform that is out of step with almost everyone in your grass roots party, you need a more convincing sales pitch than whining 'but we lost the last election'.

Burnham seems fairly personable in comparison but i'm not convinced he isn't an idiot .

Cooper is she's extremely capable and intelligent as an individual but either unable or unwilling to give any sense of what she'd do as a leader. I think the idea her game plan is to not say anything controversial and let the others dig their own graves is probably correct. She'd probably make a fairy effective PM but idk whether she'd be a good leader of the opposition.

Corbyn might not be electable but, at this stage, i doubt any of them will be for another two terms so you may as well have someone willing to articulate an alternative platform. He's not as Marxist as the press is keen to make out - most of his ideas are fairly solid-Smith-era Labour, he has been a decent and principled constituency MP for decades and speaks more directly and more honestly than the rest of them put together. His presence in the race, even if he has always known he has no real chance, has been effective in shaming the rest of them.

I wear my Redditor loathing with pride (ShariVari), Saturday, 25 July 2015 07:16 (eight years ago) link

I think it's very obvious who Kendall is meant to appeal to, her problem is there aren't anywhere near as many of those people in the Labour Party as she thinks there are. Say what you like about 1994 Blair he could at least sell his own policies to his own party.

It's actually quite difficult on the basis of this campaign to understand what Yvette Cooper actually stands for because as far as I can see she hasn't really talked about policy at all. I don't really believe she actually believes a lot of the guff that's coming out right now, but there's close association with Gordon Brown which I suspect is electoral suicide.

Burnham appears to be tacking slightly left in the softest least committal way possible. He also just doesn't appear to be particularly bright. Also I've seen it mentioned that his (entirely laudable) involvement with the Justice for the 96 campaign means that at some point he will need to choose between facing the full wrath of The Sun or alienating much of Liverpool and looking like the world's worst sellout in the process.

Basically, they're all three unelectable, so may as well go for the other unelectable guy who won't triangulate the party into irrelevance.

Matt DC, Saturday, 25 July 2015 07:57 (eight years ago) link

Perhaps a year of Corbyn in charge might help realign what the Labour party wants to stand for. Then they can replace him with someone who might be more 'electable', but now leading a party with a clearer vision of what it wants to be (and that vision being less like 'the Tories but not in power'). It's not as if they're operating as any kind of opposition as it stands.

Credit: howtokeepapositiveattitudedotcom (stevie), Saturday, 25 July 2015 08:22 (eight years ago) link

Andy Turnham seems wooden and awkward - but I'm not sure where all this 'not very bright' is coming from.

quixotic yet visceral (Bob Six), Saturday, 25 July 2015 08:24 (eight years ago) link

(says the person who gets his name wrong - no finer endorsement)

quixotic yet visceral (Bob Six), Saturday, 25 July 2015 08:25 (eight years ago) link

Burnham didn't exactly shine as Health Secretary and was passed over as a possible replacement for Ed Balls as Shadow Chancellor because Miliband thought he didn't have the capacity for it.

I wear my Redditor loathing with pride (ShariVari), Saturday, 25 July 2015 10:01 (eight years ago) link

good poker joke missed

irl lol (darraghmac), Saturday, 25 July 2015 10:55 (eight years ago) link

Which was?

Possibly Fingers (Tom D.), Saturday, 25 July 2015 10:58 (eight years ago) link

Burnham & turnham

irl lol (darraghmac), Saturday, 25 July 2015 11:13 (eight years ago) link

I know nothing of poker but I trust you that that is a good poker joke <----- post in the style of Pinefox

Possibly Fingers (Tom D.), Saturday, 25 July 2015 11:18 (eight years ago) link

ha

irl lol (darraghmac), Saturday, 25 July 2015 12:04 (eight years ago) link

from: Nancy Dell'Olio <✧✧✧@ben4dep✧✧✧.o✧✧.u✧>
to: conrad
date: 23 July 2015 at 20:09
subject: Strictly Ben for Deputy 💃

Dear conrad,

Put on your dancing shoes and join me at the Southwark Rooms next Wednesday!

I will be with Deputy Leadership Candidate Ben Bradshaw MP for a fun evening of drinks and mingling.

I've known Ben for years, as Secretary of State for Culture, Media and Sport, but also as a great dancer. This is your chance to get to know him too, and hear his ideas.

From 7.30pm on Wednesday 29th July, we'll be at: Southwark Rooms, 60 Southwark Street, London, SE1 1UN (Nearest tube station: London Bridge)

I hope to see you there!

With love,

Nancy Dell'Olio[/i]

from: conrad
to: Nancy Dell'Olio <✧✧✧@ben4dep✧✧✧.o✧✧.u✧>
date: 23 July 2015 at 20:28
subject: Re: Strictly Ben for Deputy 💃

you what?

from: Ben Bradshaw <✧✧✧@ben4dep✧✧✧.o✧✧.u✧>
to: conrad
date: 24 July 2015 at 16:43
subject: Re: Strictly Ben for Deputy 💃

Hi Richard,

Thank you for your message.

Nancy is a long-time Labour supporter, and friend of mine. Aside from being a lawyer, Chair of Truce International, and a British Red Cross ambassador, she has also done a great deal of work on behalf of the Terence Higgins Trust, our leading AIDS and HIV charity, as well as other LGBT causes which I hold dear. She wanted to support my campaign, and I'm pleased that over 300 other Labour members have so far signed up to come along.

I have always thought that politics, though a very serious business, should also be fun. Maybe that is one reason we have managed to build such a successful Party in Exeter, where with over 700 members we trebled Labour's majority on May 7th in a former safe Tory seat. If we'd done that everywhere, we'd now have a Labour Government, and could put our serious values into practice.

Thanks for your support for our Party.

Best wishes,

Ben

conrad, Saturday, 25 July 2015 12:19 (eight years ago) link

decent snark, Richard

gawker's psychotic monkeys (imago), Saturday, 25 July 2015 13:18 (eight years ago) link

I imagine it was a stock response gawker's psychotic monkeys

conrad, Saturday, 25 July 2015 13:50 (eight years ago) link

sad lols at John Cryer and Lord Hutton actually blaming the Militant Tendency for Corbyn's recent popularity

pop addicts should "do their thing", whatever that may be (soref), Sunday, 26 July 2015 00:14 (eight years ago) link

They keep saying it is £3 when it is actually £3.88. I wouldn't even risk that much for a vote that will be subject to Red Tory sabotage. Fucked if they are getting a penny, especially when I already had to cancel the charity direct debits last year.

sorry, no results found for "Sekal Has To Die" (xelab), Sunday, 26 July 2015 11:08 (eight years ago) link

sad lols at John Cryer and Lord Hutton actually blaming the Militant Tendency for Corbyn's recent popularity

― pop addicts should "do their thing", whatever that may be (soref), Sunday, July 26, 2015 1:14 AM (21 hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

I wonder when one of the losers is gonna crack and start whinging about entryism distorting the election, either from the left or the right

― regret it? nope. reddit? yep. (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, July 22, 2015 11:46 AM (4 days ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

regret it? nope. reddit? yep. (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 July 2015 22:00 (eight years ago) link

Ha, I was looking for that post earlier. John Rent-a-fucking-Mouth Mann has called for the leadership contest to be halted because of "Militant Tendency types coming back in"... with their zimmer frames and walkers I assume.

Possibly Fingers (Tom D.), Sunday, 26 July 2015 22:15 (eight years ago) link

might rewatch Bleasdale's GBH this week, the time feels right

regret it? nope. reddit? yep. (Noodle Vague), Monday, 27 July 2015 08:56 (eight years ago) link

so does the Telegraph still want tories to register as labour supporters to vote for Corbyn or what <confused face>

2011’s flagrantly ceremonious rock-opera (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 27 July 2015 10:30 (eight years ago) link

Imagine a decade from now, when we live in the utopian Corbynfutur where property is theft and all men are equal, we will be able to look back upon the Torygraph of 2015 and say THANK YOU COMRADES

Credit: howtokeepapositiveattitudedotcom (stevie), Monday, 27 July 2015 10:35 (eight years ago) link

BTW, Go on then, who do you reckon will win? The Labour Leadership contest, that is... (I realise that's where most of the focus in UK Politics is at the moment)

Andrew Farrell, Monday, 27 July 2015 10:55 (eight years ago) link

Buzzfeed News Reporter Emily Ashton

regret it? nope. reddit? yep. (Noodle Vague), Monday, 27 July 2015 11:21 (eight years ago) link

My guess would be that a significant chunk, if not a majority, of the people voting for Corbyn weren't even born when the Militant Kru were expelled.

Matt DC, Monday, 27 July 2015 11:26 (eight years ago) link

xp Formerly of the Sun, you mean?

Andrew Farrell, Monday, 27 July 2015 11:28 (eight years ago) link

the gap between 1985 and 2015 is so ludicrous as to make discussing Militant irrelevant- but as an organization it was hardly more covert or subversive of the Labour party than the Fabians or any one of the umpteen "Tories for pretending to be Labour MPs whilst enacting Tory policy" subcliques that still exist

the coverage of this whole election and the focus on electability and therefore The Next Election is a neat summary of why parliamentary democracy is a sick joke

regret it? nope. reddit? yep. (Noodle Vague), Monday, 27 July 2015 11:30 (eight years ago) link

"never mind what we stand for, we must be ready to stand"

regret it? nope. reddit? yep. (Noodle Vague), Monday, 27 July 2015 11:31 (eight years ago) link

the-tories-are-staying-off-TV-so-everyone-watches-Labour-indulge-in-democracy

Credit: howtokeepapositiveattitudedotcom (stevie), Monday, 27 July 2015 11:37 (eight years ago) link

That's apart from all the Tory journalists, commentators, pundits, reporters etc.

Possibly Fingers (Tom D.), Monday, 27 July 2015 11:39 (eight years ago) link

Buzzfeed: with few exceptions almost entirely worthless

Credit: howtokeepapositiveattitudedotcom (stevie), Monday, 27 July 2015 11:40 (eight years ago) link

if buzzfeed didn't exist how would ilx clown matthew perpetua?

bizarro gazzara, Monday, 27 July 2015 11:44 (eight years ago) link

Every candidate from now on should be required to state what they believe the Labour Party stands for and what they intend to do to achieve those aims.

The problem with "centrism" here is that if you accept the argument that austerity is now inevitable, then the "centre-ground" that New Labour and other nominally social-democratic parties occupied ceased to exist sometime around 2008. Ed Balls briefly tried to make a Keynesian counter-argument very early in the last Parliament but effectively gave up within a couple of months. Any form of reheated Blairism that basically accepts austerity a) isn't Blairism at all b) accepts the need to dismantle most of what New Labour actually achieved and c) validates the majority of what Osborne has done and will continue to do, while giving the Tories the opportunity to crow about having won the argument. Corbyn may not be an election winner but the alternative is also complete electoral suicide.

This is also the first time that there's been a genuine groundswell of enthusiasm for an English politician (except maybe Farage/Boris/early Cameron) for as long as I can remember. I suspect it's the sort of thing (although probably not the actual thing) that Ed Miliband had in mind when he changed Labour's voting rules, creating much wider engagement with the Labour Party. If the PLP acts to choke this off (and they are never charitably nominating a token lefty ever again) then they can forget about engaging a whole generation and let the Greens/SNP/something else hoover up all that disaffected energy.

It's also worth noting that, with tax credit cuts, the voter demographics of the UK will be very different in five years. Poorer constituencies will have had a big influx of poorer families from urban centres and the South of England in general. Some of the richer constituencies will be doing a London and becoming so wealthy they effectively become dysfunctional even for middle class people (and especially for the young), all of this presents and opportunity as well as threat for Labour. I suppose somewhere in there there's a kernel of an 'aspirational' politics that isn't overtly neoliberal, if only because of the growing evidence that neoliberalism is now hollowing out the life prospects of even relatively well-off young people. I don't really believe that any of the current lot have the foresight to get to grips with any of this though.

Burnham and Cooper in particular seem to be banking on making themselves attractive to the electorate purely by virtue of never saying anything that might put them off. It won't work.

Matt DC, Monday, 27 July 2015 11:52 (eight years ago) link

This is also the first time that there's been a genuine groundswell of enthusiasm for an English politician (except maybe Farage/Boris/early Cameron) for as long as I can remember.

*cough* Cleggmania *cough*

(no offence to people) (dog latin), Monday, 27 July 2015 11:56 (eight years ago) link

*hands dog latin a lozenge*

Credit: howtokeepapositiveattitudedotcom (stevie), Monday, 27 July 2015 12:01 (eight years ago) link

it's an interesting thought experiment to treat Burnham, Cooper et all seriously and describe what their political vision actually might be, what they see as the function of politics and what kind of world they think shd be aspired to/is achievable

regret it? nope. reddit? yep. (Noodle Vague), Monday, 27 July 2015 12:03 (eight years ago) link

booming post MDC btw

Credit: howtokeepapositiveattitudedotcom (stevie), Monday, 27 July 2015 12:17 (eight years ago) link

yeah v much

regret it? nope. reddit? yep. (Noodle Vague), Monday, 27 July 2015 12:19 (eight years ago) link

Ditto.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Monday, 27 July 2015 12:24 (eight years ago) link

Right, I think I'm gonna pay my three quid...

Let's go, FIFA! (Nasty, Brutish & Short), Monday, 27 July 2015 21:15 (eight years ago) link

Can anyone confirm whether if you just pay the £3 rather than joining as a full member you still get relentlessly spammed by June Sarpong? I'm still having to block e-mails from the last time i signed up.

I wear my Redditor loathing with pride (ShariVari), Tuesday, 28 July 2015 07:11 (eight years ago) link

You do. Except she texted me instead of emailing.

JimD, Tuesday, 28 July 2015 07:12 (eight years ago) link

cameroon says “It is important the House of Lords in some way reflects the situation in the House of Commons."

wut?

ogmor, Tuesday, 28 July 2015 12:17 (eight years ago) link

apologies to cameroon, phone having fun

ogmor, Tuesday, 28 July 2015 12:18 (eight years ago) link

Been wondering about this since the Sewel revelations came out. The tabloid press usually don't give a shit whether some Lord most people have never heard of is having an orgy behind closed doors. But now there's a Labour-LibDem blocking majority in the Lords, they'll be doing everything they can to dig enough dirt up to force a change in that situation.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 28 July 2015 12:46 (eight years ago) link

Activist Lords really could make a difference in this parliament, Sewel was totally a warning shot

stet, Tuesday, 28 July 2015 13:23 (eight years ago) link

Wonder if they are starting at the top. Still don't understand the nazi queen splash

stet, Tuesday, 28 July 2015 13:23 (eight years ago) link

is there really a consensus that the composition of the lords should reflect that of the commons?

ogmor, Tuesday, 28 July 2015 13:26 (eight years ago) link

nazi queen seems like a simple distraction rather than anything ideological

conrad, Tuesday, 28 July 2015 13:29 (eight years ago) link

catchy single IMO

(no offence to people) (dog latin), Tuesday, 28 July 2015 15:26 (eight years ago) link

is there really a consensus that the composition of the lords should reflect that of the commons?

I'm not sure there's a consensus on anything but it's tough to defend as it is. It's manifestly cynical to be raising this now, having blocked the democratising reforms the Lib Dems proposed in 2012, but it's not particularly easy to justify the Liberal Democrats getting under 8% of the national vote and 8 MPS but having 21% of the Lords, for example, while the Greens and UKIP had twice as much and are stuck with four Lords put together.

I wear my Redditor loathing with pride (ShariVari), Tuesday, 28 July 2015 15:36 (eight years ago) link

having blocked the democratising reforms the Lib Dems proposed in 2012,
and now expressing regret that "they" failed to deliver the changes "they" wanted!

stet, Tuesday, 28 July 2015 15:48 (eight years ago) link

I'm not sure about the idea that voters in the general election were unwittingly participating in a list-system PR experiment?

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 28 July 2015 15:51 (eight years ago) link

it's not particularly easy to justify the Liberal Democrats getting under 8% of the national vote and 8 MPS but having 21% of the Lords

I think it's harder to claim the lords as a democratic institution. I know uk politicians love to tell people what their vote was actually for after the fact but pretending that the general election had something to do with the lords is a new one to me

ogmor, Tuesday, 28 July 2015 15:54 (eight years ago) link

One of the Lords' few qualities has been that it *doesn't* reflect the HoC as formed at the last election but evolves over time.

It would be entertaining watching Cameron on this, if it wasn't so infuriating. "We need to cut the cost of politics by losing 50 MPs from the HoC and reforming the boundaries to suit us" comes in the same breath as "and we need more Lords". He does sweat nicely when pressed on the hypocrisy.

stet, Tuesday, 28 July 2015 15:55 (eight years ago) link

seems heinous to pretend the various viscounts, earls and lords spiritual have any democratic mandate. you don't vote for a baron

ogmor, Tuesday, 28 July 2015 16:00 (eight years ago) link

Obvs but the further the UK gets from being a two party system, the harder it is to justify the mechanism by which representation is balanced up - the PM of the day stuffing the house with their own people.

I wear my Redditor loathing with pride (ShariVari), Tuesday, 28 July 2015 16:39 (eight years ago) link

it's so unclear what the lords role is now, "the mechanism by which representation is balanced up" once meant it was a check on democracy and representation rather than a functioning part of it. I think the less partisan nature of the lords is one of its few redeeming features rather than something to be amended

ogmor, Tuesday, 28 July 2015 18:05 (eight years ago) link

Potentially, but the lack of accountability in appointments means it has next to no argument for being able to justify those checks. Having a panel of experts from across British society capable of feeding back on law, science, civil liberties, etc, is potentially attractive even if there is no direct electoral mandate but that's so far removed from what we've got as to be laughable. It's a resting home for MPs no longer able to sustain their position in the Commons and anyone willing to grease the right palms - it's overwhelmingly affluent, male and, at the very least, small-c conservative. The only justification for keeping it as it is would be that nobody has come up with a convincing alternative.

I wear my Redditor loathing with pride (ShariVari), Tuesday, 28 July 2015 18:24 (eight years ago) link

it seems pointless to have it function in the same way as the commons (only older), or to try and borrow its legitimacy, but yes the process of modifying a 14th century institution to make it fit for modern purposes is kind of lolsy & I'm not sure where to find people trying to concoct something more visionary

ogmor, Tuesday, 28 July 2015 18:54 (eight years ago) link

So Labour passed the welfare bill with the passive silence of a married orgasm. It has lost touch so badly that it is now getting lectures on empathy from someone from Paisley.

Holl', less o' that, Boyle

Possibly Fingers (Tom D.), Thursday, 30 July 2015 06:30 (eight years ago) link

"A swarm" of migrants. Fuck this guy already.

stet, Thursday, 30 July 2015 09:40 (eight years ago) link

Cameron is such a careless, lazy halfwit.

Possibly Fingers (Tom D.), Thursday, 30 July 2015 13:19 (eight years ago) link

ComRes - Conservative lead of 12 - CON (40%) GRN (5%) LAB (28%) LD (7%) UKIP (10%)

40!

stet, Thursday, 30 July 2015 22:25 (eight years ago) link

The British Public: Name Your Reasons Why They Are So Bad & Hated.

corbyn's gallus (jim in glasgow), Thursday, 30 July 2015 22:37 (eight years ago) link

two weeks pass...

The leadership election is obviously taking most of the attention but the race to see who is going to lose to Zac Goldsmith next year has been pretty grim as well.

Jowell is one of the least inspiring choices imaginable but it's tough to argue that she wouldn't have a better chance than Khan given the current political climate.

I wear my Redditor loathing with pride (ShariVari), Sunday, 16 August 2015 11:42 (eight years ago) link

i don't know much about zac goldsmith other than his rep as being a left-leaning tory, and his dad in the mayfair set documentary. i guess symbolically a tory win would be bad.

doing my Objectives, handling some intense stuff (LocalGarda), Sunday, 16 August 2015 11:46 (eight years ago) link

am always a little well-disposed towards those who care about the way we're vandalising this planet, but i'm sure suzy will be along in a second with a list of deeply unpleasant personal characteristics

imago, Sunday, 16 August 2015 11:52 (eight years ago) link

That's a very ...interesting opinion to hold, built as it is on sand and bullshit.

slideshow bob (suzy), Sunday, 16 August 2015 12:20 (eight years ago) link

lol

quixotic yet visceral (Bob Six), Sunday, 16 August 2015 12:21 (eight years ago) link

hm? i was being sincere. what's the dirt on goldsmith

imago, Sunday, 16 August 2015 12:22 (eight years ago) link

There are ways to solicit information without appearing to be snarky to the casual reader on her way to the shops, perhaps? Work on that.

(re: dirt - I GOT NOTHIN')

It must be crazytime to be a politician in the middle of a news maelstrom. Last week I met J Corbyn at a neighbourhood peace thing and spent a few minutes chatting with him about ways I could help his housing policy team (I have a council flat and several no-brainer-to-me ideas about how to get £650/wk BTL landlords out of blocks like mine). After a few hours, I checked Twitter to see whether or not this meeting had been ~documented~ and the news is you can find a video on the DM website where they show most of that, plus still photos of the same thing elsewhere. *party whistle*

slideshow bob (suzy), Sunday, 16 August 2015 12:37 (eight years ago) link

You chatted about housing policy and it's covered as Why are women hot for Sex Pot Trot ?

(the Shreddies ad is a no go)

quixotic yet visceral (Bob Six), Sunday, 16 August 2015 13:35 (eight years ago) link

Yeah, dude was surrounded by women and if you look carefully you can see Camilla Long hanging around the edges, doing more work than I normally credit poshgirl journos with doing. Usually it seems they're paid in guineas (compared to my colleagues) for doing difficult things like appearing on panel shows and writing puffola for STStyle.

slideshow bob (suzy), Sunday, 16 August 2015 14:42 (eight years ago) link

Has anybody seen the full version of the Electoral Reform Comission's HoL report? I can only find the 11 page ExSum which has a giant picture of the author as Page 2 and cartoon taking up 70% of the other pages.

I mean it's one thing to say that 10 peers were responsible for 75% of the claims but if these were e.g. Karren Brady or Melvyn Bragg then perhaps the reporting (or at least the comments and inevitable Facebook shite) would be subtly different.

suffeeciant attreebution (aldo), Sunday, 16 August 2015 19:01 (eight years ago) link

I'm not sure that isn't the full report. All their documents seem to be fairly 'graphics-heavy'.

http://electoral-reform.org.uk/sites/default/files/House-of-Lords-Fact-Vs-Fiction%20%281%29.pdf

It's not necessarily a massive surprise that 62 of the 750+ Lords didn't get around to voting in at least one year.

The ten Lords will have cost about £24k each - which over the course of up to five years isn't an extraordinary amount.

I wear my Redditor loathing with pride (ShariVari), Monday, 17 August 2015 07:34 (eight years ago) link

If that is the full report then I despair, that's Red Top level political analysis aimed at the LCD.

I did find this, but there's a lot to wade through:

http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/ld/ldstat.htm

suffeeciant attreebution (aldo), Monday, 17 August 2015 07:44 (eight years ago) link

What kind of incompetence or scandal is going to get IDS out of the Cabinet? Are we talking dead woman/live boy sort of thing, , or something more banal?

slideshow bob (suzy), Thursday, 20 August 2015 06:35 (eight years ago) link

If stuff like this goes on being under-reported or ignored then he'll be around for a while yet.

Stupidityness (Tom D.), Thursday, 20 August 2015 09:43 (eight years ago) link

There is no other person alive today who deserves a plate of gone-off seafood for his tea tonight.

Stop counting smart one. (dog latin), Thursday, 20 August 2015 11:52 (eight years ago) link

http://i.telegraph.co.uk/multimedia/archive/03368/snaps_ids-about-ap_3368683a.gif

I'd only seen still photos of this until today and hand't realised how reminiscent it was of limmy's eckied dad sketch

soref, Friday, 28 August 2015 13:23 (eight years ago) link

cunts, the lot of them

fund metal health (stevie), Friday, 28 August 2015 13:39 (eight years ago) link

is he saying 'yes! fuck daddy!' there

bizarro gazzara, Friday, 28 August 2015 13:56 (eight years ago) link

i'm sure that relentless poverty and anxiety is ruinous of people's health, but those bald statistics are near meaningless imo without comparative figures for claimants prior to the current system and without information about causes of death and a range of other factors

obv when confronted with IDS people will grab for the nearest stick but unless this info has been better reported/analyzed than i've seen then people shd keep shtum until they can pin this more tellingly to government policy

MC Whistler (Noodle Vague), Friday, 28 August 2015 14:12 (eight years ago) link

Ben Goldacre, on that point:

https://storify.com/bengoldacre/how-dwp-has-confused-everyone-by-releasing-the-rig

Andrew Farrell, Friday, 28 August 2015 14:18 (eight years ago) link

i don't always agree with Goldacre but there it is

MC Whistler (Noodle Vague), Friday, 28 August 2015 14:20 (eight years ago) link

this was publishes a few weeks prior to the new lords being announced:

Some facts need to be rehearsed: Ultimo was not a particularly successful business. It also outsourced its production to Asia. Ms Mone and her former husband utilised employee benefit trusts to avoid tax. Their company created few jobs in Scotland, and she was involved in bugging one of her employees.

When Douglas Anderson of Gap Group – a company employing 1,300 people with annual revenues of £150m – writes to the Prime Minister to protest about the appointment of Ms Mone to the start-ups role, amid rumours of her also being appointed to the Lords, were we meant to ignore it?

Perhaps we were meant to ignore him when he said: “Her businesses have been no more than excessively over-promoted PR minnows gaining unjustified acclaim due to the glamorous sector they happen to be in. There is no way, by any measure, that she is qualified to advise anybody on setting up a profitable business, because, quite simply, she hasn’t.”

http://www.heraldscotland.com/opinion/13597457.Herald_View__Michelle_Mone_and_the_public_interest/

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Saturday, 29 August 2015 18:06 (eight years ago) link

published*

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Saturday, 29 August 2015 18:07 (eight years ago) link

is he saying 'yes! fuck daddy!' there

The more I look at it, the more convinced of this I become.

Let's go, FIFA! (Nasty, Brutish & Short), Saturday, 29 August 2015 18:27 (eight years ago) link

It's not quite "that bigoted woman", but Cameron just caught on open mic bitching about Yorkshire.
"We just thought people in Yorkshire hated everyone else, we didn't realise they hated each other so much"

stet, Friday, 11 September 2015 11:19 (eight years ago) link

Labour have chosen Sadiq Khan to lose to Zac Goldsmith in the London mayoral election.

Fields of Fat Henry (Tom D.), Friday, 11 September 2015 11:40 (eight years ago) link

Brilliant. To both previous posts.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Friday, 11 September 2015 11:40 (eight years ago) link

Khan was the strongest candidate by a mile but i think the election press coverage is going to get very, very ugly.

I wear my Redditor loathing with pride (ShariVari), Friday, 11 September 2015 11:50 (eight years ago) link

If Ken is sensible he'll keep his mouth shut for the duration of the campaign.

If Goldsmith gets the nod then the Evening Standard is going to be even more unreadable than usual.

Matt DC, Friday, 11 September 2015 12:47 (eight years ago) link

It will either way. They flung vast amounts of mud at Livingstone for standing on a stage with 'extremist preachers' - Khan has represented terrorists in court and actively campaigned for their legal and human rights outside of it. He has also got a long track record of rinsing the Met on racial bias cases which won't win him many favours either.

I wear my Redditor loathing with pride (ShariVari), Friday, 11 September 2015 12:50 (eight years ago) link

The new guy on Newsnight, James O'Brien, has a extremely strange manner. So laconic It's almost like he can't even be bothered talking.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Friday, 11 September 2015 23:55 (eight years ago) link

DAVID CAMERON FUCKED A DEAD PIG

lex pretend, Sunday, 20 September 2015 22:31 (eight years ago) link

i'm so glad i checked twitter before going to bed

lex pretend, Sunday, 20 September 2015 22:31 (eight years ago) link

more worryingly, he's mates with James Del1ngpole

jordan amavero (imago), Sunday, 20 September 2015 22:32 (eight years ago) link

that's unnecessary googleproofing sure

jordan amavero (imago), Sunday, 20 September 2015 22:33 (eight years ago) link

anyway, well done charlie brooker. you called it, and all your fans will be eulogising you on social media for the next three months

jordan amavero (imago), Sunday, 20 September 2015 22:33 (eight years ago) link

A knighthood for the originator of the "Has the PM been casting pearls before swine?" line.

Andrew Farrell, Sunday, 20 September 2015 22:46 (eight years ago) link

of all the times to be too busy to just constantly refresh my twitter feed :'(

Merdeyeux, Sunday, 20 September 2015 22:48 (eight years ago) link

I assume Iain Duncan Smith is the owner of the photo and that's how he's managed to cling on to his role for so long.

boxedjoy, Sunday, 20 September 2015 22:48 (eight years ago) link

"Twitter fails on many levels but it is definitely the social media platform of choice when news breaks that the PM once fucked a dead pig"

Andrew Farrell, Sunday, 20 September 2015 22:56 (eight years ago) link

c'mon it's a little pigfucking let's be cool about this guys.

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Sunday, 20 September 2015 23:08 (eight years ago) link

this is the funniest shit ever. THE PRIME MINSTER FUCKED A PIG.

doing my Objectives, handling some intense stuff (LocalGarda), Sunday, 20 September 2015 23:09 (eight years ago) link

This is properly hilarious.

emil.y, Sunday, 20 September 2015 23:13 (eight years ago) link

it feels politically significant

doing my Objectives, handling some intense stuff (LocalGarda), Sunday, 20 September 2015 23:21 (eight years ago) link

just in the sense of "yeah but you fucked a pig" for the next 5 years

doing my Objectives, handling some intense stuff (LocalGarda), Sunday, 20 September 2015 23:22 (eight years ago) link

jealous of people who still get to hear this news

cerealbar, Sunday, 20 September 2015 23:26 (eight years ago) link

What a publicity hog.

nashwan, Sunday, 20 September 2015 23:26 (eight years ago) link

while this is going on the beeb leads with some positive Osbourne froth, fucking wankers.

xelab, Sunday, 20 September 2015 23:27 (eight years ago) link

anyway, well done charlie brooker. you called it, and all your fans will be eulogising you on social media for the next three months

― jordan amavero (imago), Sunday, September 20, 2015 10:33 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

or brooker had heard of this beforehand

♛ LIL UNIT ♛ (thomp), Sunday, 20 September 2015 23:50 (eight years ago) link

^He says not.

Jeremy Corbyn turned vegetarian after a stint working on a pig farm. Is PMQs happening this week?

voodoo rage (suzy), Sunday, 20 September 2015 23:54 (eight years ago) link

Hammy Gammy

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Sunday, 20 September 2015 23:56 (eight years ago) link

Mr. Cameron, what did you say your girlfriend was called?
"Hamantha."

voodoo rage (suzy), Sunday, 20 September 2015 23:57 (eight years ago) link

Brooker apparently (understandably) weirded out by the idea of Cameron watching that episode thinking "He knows. He must know. He knows. He fucking knows."

James Del1ngpole seems to be vaguely confirming on Twitter.

Andrew Farrell, Monday, 21 September 2015 00:01 (eight years ago) link

Taking the high ground and not mentioning this at PMQs would be some new-politics bullllshit

stet, Monday, 21 September 2015 00:30 (eight years ago) link

unless the photo surfaces, this seems like the kind of thing that results in not much more than "lol what a legend"

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 21 September 2015 01:34 (eight years ago) link

reminder: david cameron fucked a pig

Merdeyeux, Monday, 21 September 2015 06:58 (eight years ago) link

Is this a bad time to ask if anyone has any OINK invites?

Dröhn Rock (Branwell with an N), Monday, 21 September 2015 07:00 (eight years ago) link

Joeks aside, if the most politically damaging revelation is that he misled people about when he found out Ashcroft wasn't paying taxes, this doesn't sound that explosive.

Other than defining the first response to every tweet he'll ever make for the rest of his life, i don't know if the pig thing adds much to the existing suspicion of the weird rituals of the ruling class.

I wear my Redditor loathing with pride (ShariVari), Monday, 21 September 2015 07:09 (eight years ago) link

Yeah if you consider him a member of the ruling class then your opinion probably doesn't have that much further to fall, but I think it does considerable damage to the idea of him as a regular bloke.

Someone on Twitter was claiming that the act itself is neither necrophilia (has to be a person) or bestiality (vagina or anus), but possessing photos / videos of it would be a crime.

Andrew Farrell, Monday, 21 September 2015 07:35 (eight years ago) link

I can't stop reading twitter hashtags and google trends.

Elvis Telecom, Monday, 21 September 2015 07:54 (eight years ago) link

i think caek depressingly otm

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Monday, 21 September 2015 08:05 (eight years ago) link

#Hameron my current favourite.

What a time to be alive

Steve Reich In The Afternoon (Against The 80s), Monday, 21 September 2015 08:46 (eight years ago) link

Imagine being Lord Ashcroft and just sitting on this one, biding your time, waiting to pull the trigger on the revelation that the PM put his cock in a dead pig's mouth.

I just want this thread to be variations on that sentence for the rest of this Parliament.

Matt DC, Monday, 21 September 2015 08:52 (eight years ago) link

Joeks aside, if the most politically damaging revelation is that he misled people about when he found out Ashcroft wasn't paying taxes, this doesn't sound that explosive.

Perhaps not, although it might give labour the chance to keep the issue alive without compromising its 'new politics' stance: "leaving aside the more lurid and sensationalist allegations, there remains a serious issue with regard to the Prime Minister's tacit connivance with tax avoidance on the part of a major conservative party donor (oh and btw he got a blowie off a dead pig lol)"

called a 'Star' by the Compliance Unit (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 21 September 2015 09:19 (eight years ago) link

Sober but no less depressing analysis of it all...

http://www.robfahey.co.uk/blog/the-pm-the-pig-and-musings-on-power/

Dröhn Rock (Branwell with an N), Monday, 21 September 2015 09:22 (eight years ago) link

lulz

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CPaghmbWIAAxnna.png

bizarro gazzara, Monday, 21 September 2015 09:23 (eight years ago) link

PEOPLE ARE ENTITLED TO FACE-FUCK PIGS' HEADS FFS WHAT IS THE WORLD COMING TO

bizarro gazzara, Monday, 21 September 2015 09:23 (eight years ago) link

I see the BBC haven't covered it as yet.

My question, is how would they? I assume they have to be somewhat, um, moderated in their choice of language etcet.

Mark G, Monday, 21 September 2015 09:34 (eight years ago) link

That's a good piece that Branwell linked to - Ashcroft has now twice attempted to game the democratic process, first through money and then through power. I don't really hold that this will play well with all Tory voters, there's a big socially-conservative garden variety Tory vote than will be horrified by this. It's more about Ashcroft deciding that he wants Cameron to go way before 2020, and I think Cameron thought he would coast through this Parliament in the knowledge that no-one would bother to try and unseat him. That's all changed now. I mean there isn't a single person in the country who doesn't believe this happened.

Also, the important thing we need to know is - did anyone have to eat the pig's head afterwards?

Matt DC, Monday, 21 September 2015 09:34 (eight years ago) link

guardian covered it fairly moderately. xpost

doing my Objectives, handling some intense stuff (LocalGarda), Monday, 21 September 2015 09:38 (eight years ago) link

That Rupert guy was the mvp of nice-try "what's the big deal" tory twitter, honorable menshn to louise mensch tho

Love that not understanding "fucking a pig is weird" is one of the things the lizard people haven't figured out will expose them as lizard people

Camer-on and the hog were merely exchanging long protein strings in the manner of all university-aged earth males, return to your homes

Dadjokke (Sgt. Biscuits), Monday, 21 September 2015 09:39 (eight years ago) link

In other news, chap called Rupert ticketty-boo with Young Cameron's porcine tryst.

Fields of Fat Henry (Tom D.), Monday, 21 September 2015 09:40 (eight years ago) link

fairly porcine visage on rupert tbh

doing my Objectives, handling some intense stuff (LocalGarda), Monday, 21 September 2015 09:40 (eight years ago) link

https://twitter.com/PA/status/645886223622475781

osborne "i haven't em, seen that book" as he barely contains the lol

doing my Objectives, handling some intense stuff (LocalGarda), Monday, 21 September 2015 09:42 (eight years ago) link

big man, pig man, ha ha, charade you are..

glumdalclitch, Monday, 21 September 2015 09:46 (eight years ago) link

Labour MPs must surely insert pig puns in every question they ask at PMQs, or will they have to rely on Angus Robertson to do it for them?

Fields of Fat Henry (Tom D.), Monday, 21 September 2015 09:54 (eight years ago) link

the real question here is what kind of monster chooses fucking supertramp to listen to while stoned

bizarro gazzara, Monday, 21 September 2015 09:55 (eight years ago) link

I can only imagine what kind of perversions are lurking in the background of George Osborne, so there's that...

voodoo rage (suzy), Monday, 21 September 2015 10:02 (eight years ago) link

i dunno if they can be desrcribed as 'lurking' per se when there's a well-circulated photo showing him with his arm around a sex worker and cocaine in clear view on the table

bizarro gazzara, Monday, 21 September 2015 10:08 (eight years ago) link

would it be possible for Cameron to brazen this out, defuse the issue by being all 'yes, I put my dick in dead pig's mouth - what of it?', or is that just not an option here? maybe Boris could get away with that reaction but not Cameron?

soref, Monday, 21 September 2015 10:41 (eight years ago) link

He can do jokey matiness pretty well so I could see him trying to brazen out.

(xp) tbf to George, the sex worker was human and still alive

Fields of Fat Henry (Tom D.), Monday, 21 September 2015 10:44 (eight years ago) link

we need to wait and see what the truelad.com take on this story is I guess

soref, Monday, 21 September 2015 10:50 (eight years ago) link

idk if he'll need to brazen it out as i can't see anyone official ever asking him about it directly.

I wear my Redditor loathing with pride (ShariVari), Monday, 21 September 2015 11:21 (eight years ago) link

It'll be fun watching him attempt any kind of diplomacy in the Middle East at any rate.

Matt DC, Monday, 21 September 2015 11:27 (eight years ago) link

the editorials start rolling in http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/david-cameron/11879177/Is-it-true-that-David-Cameron-had-sex-with-a-pig-It-really-doesnt-matter.html

They'll say it adds to the image of the young Cameron as a man of privileged depravity, a man who lived a life far removed from the rest of the country. For the truly partisan, it becomes a matter of comparison: when Jeremy Corbyn was fighting for justice for the poor, David Cameron and his posh mates were having sex with innocent farm animals. Et cetera.

If that sounds weak and unconvincing it's because it is.

oh. well... okay.

Merdeyeux, Monday, 21 September 2015 11:37 (eight years ago) link

From the right angle (IE the one in Branwell's link above) it's fair game - it's alleged that there's been blackmail material on you for the entirety of your political career - who's the fucking national security risk now?

Andrew Farrell, Monday, 21 September 2015 11:39 (eight years ago) link

Particularly since the defence is "Oh it's only the people who already secretly run the country that have it"

Andrew Farrell, Monday, 21 September 2015 11:57 (eight years ago) link

that telegraph link is a URL for the ages!!!!

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Monday, 21 September 2015 12:05 (eight years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VAag-nlCJQ0

Andrew Farrell, Monday, 21 September 2015 12:43 (eight years ago) link

brendan o'neill bringing his usual high quality opinions

http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/coffeehouse/2015/09/oh-man-i-hope-its-true-that-cameron-did-that-thing-with-a-pig-hed-be-king-of-the-lads/

Merdeyeux, Monday, 21 September 2015 12:45 (eight years ago) link

Can't believe ilx doesn't have a Fuck The Pigs thread to bump in this hour of need.

passive aggressive DN (onimo), Monday, 21 September 2015 12:54 (eight years ago) link

Needless to say, Lord Ashcroft’s claim that Cameron once put ‘a private part of his anatomy’ into a dead pig’s mouth — as part of some inebriated initiation ceremony into a posh dining club at Oxford — has caused much pearl-clutching among people who have clearly never been blotto.

i've been drunk and made stupid decisions in the past but i've never felt compelled to stick my dick in any part of any live or dead animal - am i doing something wrong

bizarro gazzara, Monday, 21 September 2015 12:54 (eight years ago) link

look we've all been there mate

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Monday, 21 September 2015 12:55 (eight years ago) link

If this is gonna be that kind of party I'm gonna stick my dick in the mash potato.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Monday, 21 September 2015 12:55 (eight years ago) link

WOTTA LEGERNED

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Monday, 21 September 2015 12:56 (eight years ago) link

more like brendan o'squeal amirite

Ray Chard (NickB), Monday, 21 September 2015 12:56 (eight years ago) link

"his policies.. not sure.. but i really feel like i could, you know, stick my dick into a pig's head with him"

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Monday, 21 September 2015 12:57 (eight years ago) link

this is all a lie. he's just pretending he has stuck his dick into a dead pig to curry favour with the common man.

doing my Objectives, handling some intense stuff (LocalGarda), Monday, 21 September 2015 13:03 (eight years ago) link

are initiations awesome or what?

twunty fifteen (imago), Monday, 21 September 2015 13:05 (eight years ago) link

One of our sports societies made people kiss a dead conga eel last year.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Monday, 21 September 2015 13:10 (eight years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CPbNW6tWcAAc_Mc.jpg

Matt DC, Monday, 21 September 2015 13:21 (eight years ago) link

lol

bizarro gazzara, Monday, 21 September 2015 13:23 (eight years ago) link

Oh my.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Monday, 21 September 2015 13:29 (eight years ago) link

Yep, the BBC have gone all "subtle"..

Lord Ashcroft 'not settling scores' with David Cameron book

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-34312744

The former Tory donor admitted to having personal "beef" with the prime minister after not being offered a major job in the coalition government.

Not "beef", no..

Mark G, Monday, 21 September 2015 13:32 (eight years ago) link

While this isn't ever going to put me off enjoying a bacon sandwich, I don't think I'm ever going to be able to look at a bottle of HP sauce in the same way again.

Turrican, Monday, 21 September 2015 14:28 (eight years ago) link

Why, has Cameron had his dick in one of those too?

Fields of Fat Henry (Tom D.), Monday, 21 September 2015 14:41 (eight years ago) link

Fucking hell, that Brendan O'Neill column. Twat.

emil.y, Monday, 21 September 2015 15:28 (eight years ago) link

Twat is too kind.

It’s genuinely heartening to know the PM was once young and dumb too.

It is? Why?

Fields of Fat Henry (Tom D.), Monday, 21 September 2015 15:32 (eight years ago) link

like brendan o'neill has ever been one of the lads

lex pretend, Monday, 21 September 2015 15:38 (eight years ago) link

You didn't read the bit about Frank Furedi sticking his tagder up an exhaust pipe?

Fields of Fat Henry (Tom D.), Monday, 21 September 2015 15:41 (eight years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FBpQJ98rR4o&feature=youtu.be

jamiesummerz, Monday, 21 September 2015 15:47 (eight years ago) link

Oh God, the world of below-the-line commentators and their "a pig? better than than Diane Abbott lolz amirite?" bantz.

Also the insinuation from a whole load of people that we're all just lucky we haven't been caught shagging dead pigs because who hasn't, right?

ailsa, Monday, 21 September 2015 17:00 (eight years ago) link

https://vine.co/v/eP10eh2XKih

hot doug stamper (||||||||), Monday, 21 September 2015 17:45 (eight years ago) link

still keeping the Ironic Review flame burning after all these years

soref, Monday, 21 September 2015 17:49 (eight years ago) link

in a just world, winning the backing of toby young would cause cameron to resign immediately in shame

bizarro gazzara, Monday, 21 September 2015 17:55 (eight years ago) link

Meanwhile, in the world of the Daily Telegraph, David Cameron fucking a pig is a just another opportunity to attack Jeremy Corbyn.

Fields of Fat Henry (Tom D.), Monday, 21 September 2015 17:59 (eight years ago) link

A screenshot shows Jeremy Corbyn's twitter account favourited the offensive tweet

uhh, no, that's not what that screenshot shows at all

bizarro gazzara, Monday, 21 September 2015 18:01 (eight years ago) link

Life's too short and already awful to click all these Spectator and Telegraph links.

nashwan, Monday, 21 September 2015 18:01 (eight years ago) link

You guys, you guys:

Gettin' Piggy With It
http://www.youtube.com/embed/FBpQJ98rR4o

Flamenco Drop (VegemiteGrrl), Monday, 21 September 2015 18:05 (eight years ago) link

Life's too short and already awful to click all these Spectator and Telegraph links.

It's certainly not wise to linger too long in Telegraphland, you end up stumbling across quotes like this one, from Angela Epstein today:

"... ever since Jeremy Corbyn was declared leader of Her Majesty's Opposition, one issue has been dominating otherwise congenial discussion: do Jews in Britain have a future in this country? "

Fields of Fat Henry (Tom D.), Monday, 21 September 2015 18:20 (eight years ago) link

Uhhhhh,

".. for Jews like me, there's a sense of something sinister in the air. I'd even go so far as to say that the atmosphere could be likened to how the Jews of Germany felt in the early 1930s."

Fields of Fat Henry (Tom D.), Monday, 21 September 2015 18:27 (eight years ago) link

i notice that erroneous telegraph twitter piece doesn't have comments

please don't shampoo your eyes (stevie), Monday, 21 September 2015 18:29 (eight years ago) link

I think it does show that it was on his favourites list for a bit, probably not intentionally? I've been accidentally favouriting random shit I try to scroll past in the Twitter app a lot lately

Point stands that trying to claim this is embarrassing for Corbyn is...a stretch, though

Dadjokke (Sgt. Biscuits), Monday, 21 September 2015 18:37 (eight years ago) link

Didn't catch it myself, but just seen on Twitter than Channel 4 news did this: "Channel 4 News just played Supertramp over shots of a fluffy pink pig toy. “Take a look at my girlfriend…”"

ailsa, Monday, 21 September 2015 18:41 (eight years ago) link

Yes, they most certainly did XD XD

voodoo rage (suzy), Monday, 21 September 2015 19:04 (eight years ago) link

#baeofpigs made me lol

nashwan, Monday, 21 September 2015 19:23 (eight years ago) link

Yeah, probably the only good use of the word bae ever.

ailsa, Monday, 21 September 2015 19:40 (eight years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CPcxvu3WsAA9-6a.png

hot doug stamper (||||||||), Monday, 21 September 2015 19:41 (eight years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CPcm83yVAAAVVGF.png

is this true

mookieproof, Monday, 21 September 2015 20:29 (eight years ago) link

Don't know for sure, much as we don't know for sure whether the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland had relations with a dead pig, but it's salutary that so many people believe it.

Fields of Fat Henry (Tom D.), Monday, 21 September 2015 20:37 (eight years ago) link

... salient not salutary, duh.

Fields of Fat Henry (Tom D.), Monday, 21 September 2015 20:38 (eight years ago) link

Exactly, claimed.

Fields of Fat Henry (Tom D.), Monday, 21 September 2015 20:41 (eight years ago) link

fwiw i doubt the £50 note thing is true, but the paying cash on the spot for damaging restaurants is definitely true. i've seen that happen.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 21 September 2015 21:01 (eight years ago) link

i've never seen anyone fuck a pig

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 21 September 2015 21:01 (eight years ago) link

Why do you doubt the £50 note thing is true?

I have a lot of work to do tonight, and this PM-fucks-dead-pigs story is wrecking my concentration.

Let's go, FIFA! (Nasty, Brutish & Short), Monday, 21 September 2015 21:39 (eight years ago) link

More from the Mail tomorrow: https://twitter.com/TheMediaTweets/status/646071782877884416

Obviously the fact that this stuff is coming from the right indicates that they want a change of leadership, but if it hits hard enough to oust Cameron (which I'm still not sure it will, there have been previous revelations about his university behaviour and they haven't hurt him at all), then surely the other Bullingdon members would also be damaged and thus not fit for takeover?

emil.y, Monday, 21 September 2015 21:50 (eight years ago) link

That's VERY wishful thinking em. Osbourne, Johnson and May are, unbelivably, much, MUCH worse than Cameron and I can't see anyone else being in line.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Monday, 21 September 2015 22:04 (eight years ago) link

which I'm still not sure it will, there have been previous revelations about his university behaviour and they haven't hurt him at all

Cocaine, infidelity, prostitutes...people named on this thread seem to have comfortably survived these revelations/allegations. But, you know....fucking a dead pig?

Let's go, FIFA! (Nasty, Brutish & Short), Monday, 21 September 2015 22:08 (eight years ago) link

Like e.m, I'm totally boggling at The Mail piling this on though.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Monday, 21 September 2015 22:15 (eight years ago) link

not only the mail either...

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CPdVF_BW8AAayKy.jpg

Merdeyeux, Monday, 21 September 2015 22:29 (eight years ago) link

Why do you doubt the £50 note thing is true?

can only speak for the awful people i met when i was there (which was more recently than cameron), but they were awful in ways different to this

the piers gaveston pig thing is somehow more believable to me than the burning 50s

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 21 September 2015 22:34 (eight years ago) link

The pig thing is impossible to make up, really. Or at least extremely unlikely to be a fabrication.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Monday, 21 September 2015 22:41 (eight years ago) link

I was immediately reminded of the LBJ story where accusing someone of pigfuckery was done to get the person to deny it.

Where has David Cameron been all day?

voodoo rage (suzy), Monday, 21 September 2015 22:51 (eight years ago) link

Pretty good q. Must be the first day since May that he's not been seen.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Monday, 21 September 2015 22:57 (eight years ago) link

pig thing totally plausible to me. saw things not a million miles from it in nominally much more sedate situations than piers gaveston

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 21 September 2015 22:58 (eight years ago) link

Listen I must apologise in advance for watching big brother's big mouth but what are ch5 doing advertising peppa pig programmes at midnight?

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Monday, 21 September 2015 23:04 (eight years ago) link

Research shows that David Cameron spent today in a reception for the Danish prime minister.

Perhaps they discussed pork futures. Cochon à san goût, right?

voodoo rage (suzy), Monday, 21 September 2015 23:15 (eight years ago) link

http://asset.dr.dk/imagescaler/?file=%2Fimages%2Fcrop%2F2015%2F09%2F21%2F1442872225_scanpix-20150921-185955-2_0.jpg&w=700&h=394&scaleAfter=crop&quality=80&server=www.dr.dk

It's pretty funny. Lars seems very happy, but this is not the day you want to spend with David Cameron.

Frederik B, Monday, 21 September 2015 23:28 (eight years ago) link

Jeremy Corbyn was tonight dragged into the scandal over David Cameron's alleged violation of a dead pig after appearing to compare it to his relationship with Diane Abbott.
The Labour leader 'favourited' a message sent to him on Twitter which read: 'Which is worse? F****** a pig or f****** Diane Abbott?'

five months ago I don't think I could have imagined this being the opening paragraph of a story in the daily mail, especially that Corbyn being the leader of the Labour party would only the second most astonishing part

soref, Tuesday, 22 September 2015 00:55 (eight years ago) link

https://archiveofourown.org/works/4842785

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 22 September 2015 01:14 (eight years ago) link

I've gone down the rabbit hole of 'Political RPF' tag now, who knew that there was David Cameron/Steve Hilton slash fiction out there?

soref, Tuesday, 22 September 2015 01:26 (eight years ago) link

Obviously the Ashcroft book has been in the pipeline since way before the election, but I wonder if the Mail is going harder on this because of Corbyn. Dacre's evidently decided it's time for Cameron to go, and no longer considers Labour an electoral threat, so they're free to go all out.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 22 September 2015 09:35 (eight years ago) link

Osborne genuinely scares me.

Conspiracy theory? Possibly, but maybe not: http://the-orator.co.uk/2015/09/pig-gate/

Another election pledge reneged.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Tuesday, 22 September 2015 09:47 (eight years ago) link

Yeah, fair point until the sanctimonious "you won't catch me laughing" jibes at the end. This has been going round on twitter about *why* people are laughing and *what* they are laughing at.

http://theleveller.org/2015/09/british-really-laughing/

Little that hasn't already been touched on, but to the point.

Dröhn Rock (Branwell with an N), Tuesday, 22 September 2015 09:54 (eight years ago) link

The free school meals story came out a couple of days before the pig thing and would be a ridiculous counterproductive piece of political maneuvering in any case.

Free school meals is the sort of thing that people get up in arms about, actual well-known non-politicians who people listen to, so I doubt it's going to be easily buried.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 22 September 2015 10:08 (eight years ago) link

nice piece in the leveller, cheers

some sober reflection isn't amiss even under these circumstances

twunty fifteen (imago), Tuesday, 22 September 2015 10:09 (eight years ago) link

The "won't catch me laughing" line is a joke Branwell. Virtually every sentence of the preceding text contains an innuendo!

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 September 2015 10:16 (eight years ago) link

I get it now, "gag" as in gag-reflex, ho.

Mark G, Tuesday, 22 September 2015 10:59 (eight years ago) link

'you would never catch me making a pig gag' is a pretty good double entendre.

Frederik B, Tuesday, 22 September 2015 11:19 (eight years ago) link

the leveller piece is great, but i am fairly sure a lot of people are laughing because the front page of a newspaper is saying the prime minister stuck his penis in a dead pig.

doing my Objectives, handling some intense stuff (LocalGarda), Tuesday, 22 September 2015 11:20 (eight years ago) link

Yeah, 60+million people in this country. Some are laughing, some are not, some are laughing because pigfucker, some are not.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Tuesday, 22 September 2015 11:25 (eight years ago) link

That's not enough, I want the whole world to be laughing at the pigfucker.

Fields of Fat Henry (Tom D.), Tuesday, 22 September 2015 11:35 (eight years ago) link

Even Osbourne?

Mark G, Tuesday, 22 September 2015 11:35 (eight years ago) link

Osborne has already done that.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Tuesday, 22 September 2015 11:36 (eight years ago) link

He only bit the head off a bat as far as I'm aware. (xp)

Fields of Fat Henry (Tom D.), Tuesday, 22 September 2015 11:37 (eight years ago) link

*golf clap*

bizarro gazzara, Tuesday, 22 September 2015 11:39 (eight years ago) link

Apologies, I did not realise it was supposed to be a joke.

Saw a lot of "it is possible to care about school dinners being cut *and* laugh at pigfucking" type stuff floating around Twitter yesterday so saw that and thought it was more of the same.

Dröhn Rock (Branwell with an N), Tuesday, 22 September 2015 12:34 (eight years ago) link

What is it, psychologically, that makes us assume (and this seems especially prevalent in the internet era) that people can't hold two thoughts/ideals/opinions/actions/whatever in their head at once? ie. be upset about school dinners *and* laugh at pigfucking; vote for Corbyn *and* not be a Hezbollah sympathiser? It's not at all uncommon for people to hold quite sophisticated, complex (and contradictory, sometimes) values/opinions etc.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Tuesday, 22 September 2015 12:42 (eight years ago) link

And when I say 'us' I just mean 'some people on the internet'.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Tuesday, 22 September 2015 12:43 (eight years ago) link

I think it's more a reflection on/complaint about the relative degree to which people share hilarious memes/hilarious makes-you-thinkpieces

OshoKosho B'Gosho (Noodle Vague), Tuesday, 22 September 2015 13:03 (eight years ago) link

See also "stop wasting time thinking/talking about/helping refugees when there are people homeless and/or starving in this country". Compassion isn't finite, you fuckwits.

xpost

ailsa, Tuesday, 22 September 2015 14:20 (eight years ago) link

lol yeah, always the people most concerned w homelessness and deprivation here who come out with that stuff.

called a 'Star' by the Compliance Unit (Bananaman Begins), Tuesday, 22 September 2015 14:22 (eight years ago) link

I am pretty sure some zillionaire is keeping a number of George Osborne's more choice youthful misdeeds to himself, to be unleashed when needed. Another possibility is that people generally agree that between Osborne, Boris Johnson and Cameron, it's Cameron that's the least decadent - so the other two should consider this a warning shot. I'm sure in researching Cameron's past, Ashcroft and Oakeshott found plenty to be getting on with concerning the others.

voodoo rage (suzy), Tuesday, 22 September 2015 14:28 (eight years ago) link

What is it, psychologically, that makes us assume (and this seems especially prevalent in the internet era) that people can't hold two thoughts/ideals/opinions/actions/whatever in their head at once?

hardly worse now than in the past, hardly possible to measure.

doing my Objectives, handling some intense stuff (LocalGarda), Tuesday, 22 September 2015 14:36 (eight years ago) link

hilar

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 22 September 2015 15:22 (eight years ago) link

i know it's maudlin but that was somebody's son, somebody's brother, somebody's dad

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 September 2015 15:29 (eight years ago) link

Also it was under reported, on twitter and elsehere - c4 news top item was a nothing item on how we've become addicted to screens.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 22 September 2015 15:40 (eight years ago) link

doesn't it qualify as genocide when the number of declared fit to work casualties is in the thousands? they are effectively liquidising them whatever way you look at it.

xelab, Tuesday, 22 September 2015 15:40 (eight years ago) link

that suicide story is really sad, awful.

the leveller piece is excellent - i've no idea why the author decided to hang it on "this is what you're really laughing at" rather than sth like "this is why you should be despairing rather than laughing. everything else about it is good though.

and it's actually gone offline. i'm getting really paranoid about a lot though.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Tuesday, 22 September 2015 17:32 (eight years ago) link

Speaking to 300 guests at a Conservative party fundraiser on Monday night, he said that he had to go to hospital earlier in the day for a bad back, which he put down to “over-energetic” wood-chopping in his Oxfordshire constituency over the weekend.

The surgeon told Cameron that he would need an injection and asked him to lie on his front.

The doctor then said: “This will just be a little prick, just a stab in the back.”

The prime minister said that “rather summed up my day”.

wonder how much he paid someone to write this.

doing my Objectives, handling some intense stuff (LocalGarda), Tuesday, 22 September 2015 17:51 (eight years ago) link

Hoping wood-chopping isn't some Bulingdonian euphemism.

Fields of Fat Henry (Tom D.), Tuesday, 22 September 2015 18:02 (eight years ago) link

he's good with the matey quips though, he's like george w bush that way - it's a frat-daddy hallmark

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 September 2015 18:04 (eight years ago) link

'Avalanche' of Labour MPs could turn to Lib Dems - Sir Vince Cable

Teddington Lib Dem Councillor Jennifer Churchill Defects To Jeremy Corbyn's Labour Party

Fields of Fat Henry (Tom D.), Wednesday, 23 September 2015 11:25 (eight years ago) link

lol @ lib dems actually advertising for entryists.

called a 'Star' by the Compliance Unit (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 23 September 2015 11:42 (eight years ago) link

How do you reckon Tim Farron feels about the last 10 days?

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Wednesday, 23 September 2015 12:00 (eight years ago) link

hahahaha

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Wednesday, 23 September 2015 12:36 (eight years ago) link

fun

http://www.lrb.co.uk/2015/09/23/nick-richardson/short-cuts

goole, Thursday, 24 September 2015 22:34 (eight years ago) link

parties for the idle elite "should be like jury duty"? you mean they should be something that everyone is invited to to regardless of class background or social distinction? huh. that's quite an ambition!

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 24 September 2015 23:11 (eight years ago) link

http://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/660/cpsprodpb/11A01/production/_85739127_hi029238979.jpg

yep, that's definitely the face of a man who cares little for human rights

bizarro gazzara, Friday, 25 September 2015 11:51 (eight years ago) link

he looks like Rowan Atkinson

please don't shampoo your eyes (stevie), Friday, 25 September 2015 13:43 (eight years ago) link

like, eerily so

please don't shampoo your eyes (stevie), Friday, 25 September 2015 13:43 (eight years ago) link

Not as eerily as he resembles Dylan Moran.

Andrew Farrell, Friday, 25 September 2015 14:48 (eight years ago) link

And resembling a prick for that matter.

Chewshabadoo, Friday, 25 September 2015 16:58 (eight years ago) link

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/sep/25/john-mcdonnell-labour-will-match-osborne-and-live-within-our-means

Don't understand this. What would it mean to have a balanced current budget but still allow borrowing for investment? At what point does an investment become a current-expense?

Vasco da Gama, Friday, 25 September 2015 22:38 (eight years ago) link

yr balance sheet will have two entries, the cost of the investment, and the current value of the investment.

Mark G, Friday, 25 September 2015 22:47 (eight years ago) link

ILX needs to go on an economics crash course.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 25 September 2015 22:55 (eight years ago) link

varoufakis the right man to teach a course on economic crash alright

deejerk reactions (darraghmac), Friday, 25 September 2015 22:57 (eight years ago) link

An economic crash and how to prevent it AMIRITE!

xyzzzz__, Friday, 25 September 2015 23:01 (eight years ago) link

Greeks/Barings gifs

deejerk reactions (darraghmac), Friday, 25 September 2015 23:18 (eight years ago) link

Ooh, you sly dog you.

Fields of Fat Henry (Tom D.), Friday, 25 September 2015 23:33 (eight years ago) link

Richard Murphy suggests that McDonnell thinks we need to go along with deficit fetishism for appearance’s sake in the media. From the article he links

The trick is to appear responsible on the deficit, but at the same time suggesting that responsibility is not equivalent to fetishism, and other things matter too. I think this provides a powerful motivation at this time for a policy that is designed to obtain balance on the current balance (taxes less non-investment spending) rather than eliminating the total deficit. This is far from ideal from a macroeconomic point of view, as I discuss here, but as a political strategy in the current context it has considerable appeal. In the UK it allows you to attack the ‘excessive and obsessive austerity’ of Osborne, who is ‘failing to invest in the future’, while following a policy that it is difficult to label irresponsible.

But since the current-budget deficit makes up the greater part of the total deficit, this seems like accepting an overall commitment to austerity-lite. What’s the point of this dichotomy - borrowing for investment: good, for upkeep: bad? He says this austerity shouldn’t hit middle and low earners, but the idea of clawing back however many billions 2020 by taxing the rich seems completely hollow.

Vasco da Gama, Saturday, 26 September 2015 14:01 (eight years ago) link

fully expect osborne to start 'investing for the future' when he the cons have finally 'fixed the roof' (ie he has his primary surplus in late 2018-20). providing he's not derailed by events dear boy events in the interim

hot doug stamper (||||||||), Saturday, 26 September 2015 17:49 (eight years ago) link

I really hope this is more complicated than 'sorry no roof'.

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 26 September 2015 22:20 (eight years ago) link

Vasco de Gama - I agree, it seems like Murphy is repping almost entirely for the sort of political positioning that failed under Miliband.

Matt DC, Sunday, 27 September 2015 10:37 (eight years ago) link

re: Richard Murphy my post was confusing there - he actually seems to be distancing himself from McDonnell. The post I quoted is by Simon Wren-Lewis

Vasco da Gama, Sunday, 27 September 2015 14:59 (eight years ago) link

The writer also addresses my objection in the article.

Matt DC, Sunday, 27 September 2015 15:05 (eight years ago) link

Apparently current-budget austerity + capital investment is an 'old-keynesian' idea
http://www.3spoken.co.uk/2015/09/corbynomics-and-current-budget-balance.html

Vasco da Gama, Sunday, 27 September 2015 15:26 (eight years ago) link

We’ve lost a huge figure of postwar politics. A hero in world war two as Beach Master at Anzio and a brave politician, Denis Healey told his party hard truths about Britain having to live within her means.

Fuck this guy, srsly.

Matt DC, Sunday, 4 October 2015 09:56 (eight years ago) link

had to check the quote and was surprised it wasn't a Labour MP

bonobo voyage (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 4 October 2015 10:15 (eight years ago) link

Taxpayers' Alliance: Cut pensioner benefits 'immediately'

The cuts should be made "as soon as possible after an election for two reasons", said Mr Wild.

"The first of which will sound a little bit morbid - some of the people... won't be around to vote against you in the next election. So that's just a practical point, and the other point is they might have forgotten by then."

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Monday, 5 October 2015 06:05 (eight years ago) link

TPA are some of the vilest people in this country, i'd condone assassination as a reasonable measure against any of their members.

xelab, Monday, 5 October 2015 06:48 (eight years ago) link

Jerry Sadowitz could use that as part of his stand-up routine. Because he's a comedian.

Mark G, Monday, 5 October 2015 06:51 (eight years ago) link

"So on a purely practical basis I would say do it immediately."

xelab, Monday, 5 October 2015 06:52 (eight years ago) link

IDGI - all Jeremy Hunt was saying is that poor people have no value outside of the work they contribute to an advanced capitalist society. I thought we were all agreed on this matter now?

Matt DC, Tuesday, 6 October 2015 07:10 (eight years ago) link

Replace them with machines and grind their bones into nutritious powder.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Tuesday, 6 October 2015 07:56 (eight years ago) link

Almost as bad = Gideon has tainted St Vincent.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Tuesday, 6 October 2015 07:57 (eight years ago) link

This government's strategy -- in the way in which Osborne seems to go over there every couple of months/talk about it endlessly, and now Hunt's remarks that we work like the Chinese -- is to place a bet on China, an economy which is faltering.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 6 October 2015 08:34 (eight years ago) link

But where people know their place!

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 6 October 2015 08:50 (eight years ago) link

The fact that George Osborne likes overgentrified indie-rock should surprise precisely no-one, surely?

Matt DC, Tuesday, 6 October 2015 08:53 (eight years ago) link

Oh nothing surprising about it at all, anymore than it's surprising that posh boys at Eton should be into gangsta rap, too. It just saddens me.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Tuesday, 6 October 2015 08:58 (eight years ago) link

Fighting the urge to google this now. xp

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 6 October 2015 08:59 (eight years ago) link

I didn't know what St Vincent was :-) until now :-(

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 6 October 2015 09:31 (eight years ago) link

He means the film in which Bill Murray becomes very good friends with a sex worker.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 6 October 2015 09:38 (eight years ago) link

it's the conference ok but tories really ratcheting rhetoric left right and centre it's difficult to keep track

conrad, Tuesday, 6 October 2015 10:35 (eight years ago) link

Also thanks to Theresa May for trying to make myself and my colleagues redundant.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Tuesday, 6 October 2015 11:12 (eight years ago) link

surely only you can make yourself redundant

conrad, Tuesday, 6 October 2015 11:15 (eight years ago) link

Most of these speeches are the start of a long pitch for next Tory leader (and likely next PM). 10+ years ago May was positioning herself as the detoxifying option but this speech looks like a big bet on the more right-wing end of the party. She might win as well, especially if Osborne and Boris split the toff vote.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 6 October 2015 11:37 (eight years ago) link

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/sep/30/its-all-very-well-jeremy-corbyn-showing-us-he-understands-but-does-he-have-the-strength-a-leader-needs

May is offering confrontation Suzanne - maybe you can vote for her in 2020.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 6 October 2015 11:44 (eight years ago) link

Most of these speeches are the start of a long pitch for next Tory leader (and likely next PM).

Boris is in the middle of one right now.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Tuesday, 6 October 2015 11:45 (eight years ago) link

differences between the parties being sharpened at the moment, aren't they? go on, theresa may, let's have this argument you evil piece of hot vomit

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 6 October 2015 11:49 (eight years ago) link

Isabel Hardman ‏@IsabelHardman · 33 mins33 minutes ago
This is a delightful speech from Boris but personally think it could do with even more heft and vision than he's put in.

Isabel Hardman ‏@IsabelHardman · 30 mins30 minutes ago
But what this speech shows is that leadership contest will be do you want leader who makes Conservatism exciting or do you want safe guy

conrad, Tuesday, 6 October 2015 12:10 (eight years ago) link

Every time I'm reminded how much Teresa May bothers me, I also remember exposing her as a moron when we were both on the panel of a feminist talk, and I did it while dressed up like a displaced Shibuya-kei person. At least I can take solace in knowing that there are 600 young women who are probably 35ish now who will never vote for her, but shiiiiiiit - if I can take her down wearing five-inch Mary Janes and a mini-crini, what's wrong with you, Britishers?

[I may have mentioned this before ;-)]

voodoo rage (suzy), Tuesday, 6 October 2015 12:12 (eight years ago) link

I guess a bit of aggressive gentrification will get the full backing of the new infrastructure tsar. How can you realistically demolish whole social housing estates without making people homeless? Stupid question I know the answer is who gaf.

xelab, Tuesday, 6 October 2015 12:56 (eight years ago) link

well, increased homelessness is a policy objective, so that's cool. Also, old cliches about 'high-rise blocks' and pledges to knock down council housing gets lapped up by tory rank and file, even more than anti-europe or yay-army stuff. Feel this is more a speech for them than for the London electorate so much.

Estonians from the future (Bananaman Begins), Tuesday, 6 October 2015 14:32 (eight years ago) link

One underreported aspect of social housing is that despite endemic drug/crime problems there are a lot of people who love their social housing and know enough to know that the lawless badlands of the private rental sector or homelessness is far worse.

xelab, Tuesday, 6 October 2015 14:45 (eight years ago) link

Ugh, they even had Peter Hitchens on the BBC Politics show today. The. Worst.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Tuesday, 6 October 2015 15:44 (eight years ago) link

high-rise blocks built as social housing = bad, high rise blocks built for property speculators that remain three quarters empty = cool, or perhaps, completely invisible

Estonians from the future (Bananaman Begins), Tuesday, 6 October 2015 16:25 (eight years ago) link

Not sure that among Theresa May's goals in giving that speech was having the arse torn off her in the Telegraph.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/immigration/11913927/Theresa-Mays-immigration-speech-is-dangerous-and-factually-wrong.html

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 7 October 2015 10:43 (eight years ago) link

lol 61% against her in their poll

stet, Wednesday, 7 October 2015 10:53 (eight years ago) link

The Telegraph wants the Tories to win the next election, and they know that Theresa May isn't their best chance of achieving that outcome. James Kirkup himself appears to be a major Osborne shill, so it makes sense in that context as well.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 7 October 2015 11:04 (eight years ago) link

Yes, she's an impediment to the coronation of King George so she must be disposed of, fwiw I think she's more electable than Osborne.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Wednesday, 7 October 2015 11:07 (eight years ago) link

Yep, I think Boris is too. Fingers crossed for Osborne? Christ that could come back to bite me though

stet, Wednesday, 7 October 2015 11:13 (eight years ago) link

Cameron: "That’s right, Labour: you’re not for working people, but hurting people."

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/1/14/Farfromthehurtingkind.jpg/220px-Farfromthehurtingkind.jpg

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Wednesday, 7 October 2015 11:16 (eight years ago) link

Cameron saying the British people "want a government that protects the vulnerable" is sailing pretty close to the wind.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 7 October 2015 11:23 (eight years ago) link

Not sure that among Theresa May's goals in giving that speech was having the arse torn off her in the Telegraph.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/immigration/11913927/Theresa-Mays-immigration-speech-is-dangerous-and-factually-wrong.html

― Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 7 October 2015 10:43 (39 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

But the DM loves her!

[ img ]broken image of the daily mail front page[ /img ]

Mark G, Wednesday, 7 October 2015 11:24 (eight years ago) link

From what I can see Boris is setting himself up as the (lol) One Nation candidate, with May going for the socially conservative right and Osborne claiming the centre ground for austerity.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 7 October 2015 11:32 (eight years ago) link

@DPJHodges
David Cameron is now the leader of the British left.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 7 October 2015 11:45 (eight years ago) link

"We cannot let that man inflict his security-threatening, terrorist-sympathising, Britain-hating ideology on the country we love."

Can't even bring himself to utter the traitorous swine's name, huzzah!

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Wednesday, 7 October 2015 11:52 (eight years ago) link

may went for the racist dogwhistle bc osborne and johnson are both pretty firmly pro-immigrant. i don't believe for a minute it's the issue that most exercises her, it's pure staking out a vacant position in the leadership battle

lex pretend, Wednesday, 7 October 2015 12:10 (eight years ago) link

(and i doubt she expected press support, even the RW press - look at the comments on the spectator and telegraph, the ppl she's going for think both those publications are terrible liberal metropolitan elite rags)

lex pretend, Wednesday, 7 October 2015 12:12 (eight years ago) link

funny how these conservatives, who we'd been led to believe were going to just leave corbyn in the dust as a laughable irrelevance, can't stop talking about him now

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 7 October 2015 12:13 (eight years ago) link

I think they know when these tax-credit cuts kick in that a lot of people are going to feel visceral hatred for them, it will prove about as popular as the poll tax was in the 90's. They ought to be worried.

xelab, Wednesday, 7 October 2015 12:36 (eight years ago) link

Just saw Gove using the Jeremy Hunt line that tax credit cuts will "incentivize" work... how the fuck? Seriously.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Wednesday, 7 October 2015 12:40 (eight years ago) link

I think what he was driving at is that it'll force the plebs to improve their wages by working harder.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Wednesday, 7 October 2015 12:41 (eight years ago) link

Or unionising and making their bosses pay them more.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Wednesday, 7 October 2015 12:51 (eight years ago) link

A lot of people (those who can, at least), will have to take a second job, which of course deprives some even more vulnerable people of a first job. It's a complete clusterfuck in the waiting, and that's before we have to deal with the inevitable bungling of the Universal Credit implementation.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 7 October 2015 12:59 (eight years ago) link

this flagship "starter homes" policy of redefining what the "affordable housing" is that developers can provide also throws up approx 10000000 questions as to its implication on several fronts

conrad, Wednesday, 7 October 2015 13:09 (eight years ago) link

I don't know many people who could buy a 'starter home' for a quarter of a million pounds, although I guess it's just about feasible if you're a couple each earning circa £26k (which is approx average wage) and have a £30k deposit. How you save that deposit when rent is not protected I don't know. Our first flat cost £150k. Average wage here is not £26k.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Wednesday, 7 October 2015 13:15 (eight years ago) link

And of course that's going to be £450k in London, isn't it.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Wednesday, 7 October 2015 13:15 (eight years ago) link

"security-threatening, terrorist-sympathising", just how close is cameron getting to slander here?

Merdeyeux, Wednesday, 7 October 2015 13:16 (eight years ago) link

Dan Hodges ‏@DPJHodges 1 hr

I'm not going to join the Tories. But it may take me a while to come up with a coherent reason why.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 7 October 2015 13:44 (eight years ago) link

Just saw Gove using the Jeremy Hunt line that tax credit cuts will "incentivize" work... how the fuck? Seriously.

― Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Wednesday, October 7, 2015 Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Also read Hunt apparently saying that people on tax credits lack dignity. That gem hasn't been widely reported but hey he believes it so who cares about accuracy.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 7 October 2015 13:47 (eight years ago) link

I believe Tory press office batted that one down and said those were comments made at a fringe meeting. It was a pretty big fringe meeting from the photo I saw.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 7 October 2015 13:49 (eight years ago) link

is it widely accepted that things said at fringe meetings don't...count?

conrad, Wednesday, 7 October 2015 14:05 (eight years ago) link

it's a safe space for thinking the unthinkable eh?

bonobo voyage (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 7 October 2015 14:13 (eight years ago) link

Dan Hodges ‏@DPJHodges 1 hr
I'm not going to join the Tories. But it may take me a while to come up with a coherent reason why.

We've got time.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Wednesday, 7 October 2015 14:14 (eight years ago) link

interesting that the Tories seem to feel the need to move their rhetoric leftwards

bonobo voyage (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 7 October 2015 14:14 (eight years ago) link

Almost as if the centre ground had moved left, but that's crazy talk.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Wednesday, 7 October 2015 14:16 (eight years ago) link

There was a decent piece by (I think) Jonathan Freedland who was saying that policies like the preposterously titled National Living Wage aren't really about winning the votes of the poor, they're about attracting the sort of voter who doesn't like to think of themselves as NOT caring about the poor. Hodges falls for this kind of bollocks time and time again.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 7 October 2015 14:17 (eight years ago) link

In reality they think they can hoover up soft left Labour voters who feel imperilled by the madman, Corbyn.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Wednesday, 7 October 2015 14:17 (eight years ago) link

Also amid all the fawning guff from 'centre-left' commentators, have they all forgotten that Cameron won't actually be contesting the next election?

Matt DC, Wednesday, 7 October 2015 14:19 (eight years ago) link

Indeed. He might have got away with all sorts of plaudits for this conference speech but what about the ones three or four years from now, who will give a flying fuck what he has to say about anything then? Not that I expect him to stick around that long.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Wednesday, 7 October 2015 14:26 (eight years ago) link

Jonathan Freedl @Freedland

Cameron has thrown down a challenge to liberal, even centre-left voters: what, besides habit, is preventing you backing me? #cpc15

Plenty of lib-dems vote Tory already, sheer greed of these ppl.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 7 October 2015 14:28 (eight years ago) link

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/david-cameron/11917236/David-Cameron-is-the-new-leader-of-the-British-Left.html

The state of this credulous cobblers. "It’s now impossible for anyone on the progressive Left to construct an intellectually coherent argument for voting Labour" - really? The paucity of vision in this sentence is astonishing.

It's possible he's trying to shit the PLP up to such an extent they start trying to oust Corbyn immediately, but I dunno, maybe he's just stupid.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 7 October 2015 14:30 (eight years ago) link

Jonathan Freedl @Freedland

Cameron has thrown down a challenge to liberal, even centre-left voters: what, besides the pig-fucking thing habit, is preventing you backing me? #cpc15

Estonians from the future (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 7 October 2015 14:37 (eight years ago) link

Yeah, why aren't you backing Cameron, Jonathan?

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Wednesday, 7 October 2015 14:40 (eight years ago) link

Judging by the content, I think Freedland's talking about political positioning rather than giving a ringing endorsement?

By citing the longtime Labour voter who had written to him announcing his conversion to the Tories, and indeed with this entire speech, the prime minister was throwing down a challenge to liberal and even centre-left voters: What really, besides habit or ingrained prejudice, is preventing you from supporting me? There are plenty of answers to that question – his shameless branding of his Labour opponent as “Britain-hating” would be one, Theresa May’s assault on immigration would be another – but it is a sign of how much Cameron believes the landscape of British politics has been transformed, not least by Corbyn’s victory, that he feels he has every right to ask it.

I mean this is pretty much exactly what Cameron was surely going for? It's also basically the same trick he pulled from 2005 to 2010, so it's hardly new.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 7 October 2015 14:41 (eight years ago) link

And Cameron is not only hardly new, he's on his deathbed, so to speak.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Wednesday, 7 October 2015 14:44 (eight years ago) link

"It’s now impossible for anyone on the progressive Left to construct an intellectually coherent argument for voting Labour"

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/david-cameron-attempts-to-defend-squalid-deal-with-saudi-arabia-in-excruciating-interview-with-jon-a6684066.html

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Wednesday, 7 October 2015 14:49 (eight years ago) link

What has propelled Corbyn is that the holy 'centre ground' doesn't offer enough opportunities, affordable housing and is killing the poor and vulnerable. Cameron's question is to be waved aside as he leaves to begin the first draft of his memoirs in a couple of years.

Reckon the Tories take a chance and elect Teresa May for the real deal as they believe Labour is finished. Osborne won't connect with voters (nor would May but Thatcher Mk II etc) and Boris has too many skeletons.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 7 October 2015 14:59 (eight years ago) link

Cameron has thrown down a challenge to liberal, even centre-left voters: what, besides habit, is preventing you backing me? #cpc15

just how oblivious to the amount of actual suffering this govt has and will cause the vulnerable do you have to be to make such a ridiculous statement?

please don't shampoo your eyes (stevie), Wednesday, 7 October 2015 15:56 (eight years ago) link

oh okay, he was just reporting dcam's statement. well, okay, easy...

please don't shampoo your eyes (stevie), Wednesday, 7 October 2015 15:58 (eight years ago) link

"The “centre” of politics can only plausibly exist when certain material conditions are in place: in simplified terms, a decent level of economic growth and geopolitical stability. Then you get people voting for governments that can genuinely claim to pursue and sustain rising profits for the rich alongside rising living standards for the working class, in a secure and stable world.
When those things aren’t possible, you get political polarisation, which spills over into the kind of social and political instability that would make a mockery of Cameron’s claim to “security”. We don’t currently have decent and sustained economic growth — British GDP growth is currently a pathetic 0.7%, and the IMF says that the world economy is on the brink of another recession. And, with China, Iran, Russia and the US all militarily involved in Syria, we’re hardly looking at a decade of geopolitical stability either.
But most British journalists and politicians completely refuse to think on these terms: political dynamics to them are about the centre-left, the centre-right, and the centre, and their idea of politics is basically a small group of nerds manoeuvring a clunky and reluctant party apparatus around these three positions, in accordance with the views of an abstract “electorate” reduced to numbers on a screen by vacuous survey methods.
They consistently fail to predict or explain the things that don’t fit the model: the SNP, Corbyn, UKIP, Greece’s OXI vote, etc, are all explained away as vague and inscrutable sociopolitical pathologies, and yet these are precisely the things that provoke political change.
The centre ground is a fantasy, and the only people still there are the fantasists who won’t stop talking about it — the people whose careers and self-worth are wrapped up in an illusion: the permanent and (for them) lucrative stability of an inherently unstable capitalist world-system that they stubbornly refuse to even think about. Cameron’s speech was notable for its centrism, yes, in the sense that he’s performing a crucial social role: he’s reassuring a particular section of society that the the “centre” still exists, and with it, their future."

This is worth pasting it its entirety because it really is OTM.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 7 October 2015 17:24 (eight years ago) link

nearly posted that exact section on Facebook, it is very otm

bonobo voyage (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 7 October 2015 17:26 (eight years ago) link

Very good.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Wednesday, 7 October 2015 18:00 (eight years ago) link

Good stuff.

I like the idea of tossers like Andrew Rawnsley feeling the white heat of that last paragraph "people whose careers and self-worth are wrapped up in an illusion"

xelab, Wednesday, 7 October 2015 18:18 (eight years ago) link

"This is a story about two men who tried to change the world. One of those men was Peter Mandelson. The other was Eric Pickles. One called himself centre-right, and the other centre-left. They believed that a better society could be forged by skullfucking the public and elevating financial firms to a position of dominance over governments and indeed the world. But this was an illusion."

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 7 October 2015 20:48 (eight years ago) link

hahahaha

please don't shampoo your eyes (stevie), Thursday, 8 October 2015 17:50 (eight years ago) link

Schama's elegant riposte to Liddle on QT last night, most of the audience were clapping every Lidl utterance on refugees.
"Do not presume to lecture me about the inadequacy of an emotional response. Go back to your journalistic hackery about outcomes and turn your suburban face away from the plight of the miserable."

xelab, Friday, 16 October 2015 12:47 (eight years ago) link

so the tory apparently had no response to the woman with the tax credits question, do i have that right? i can't watch QT anymore.

please don't shampoo your eyes (stevie), Friday, 16 October 2015 13:38 (eight years ago) link

none at all, nothing to see here next question

xelab, Friday, 16 October 2015 13:51 (eight years ago) link

Security. Stability. Opportunity.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Friday, 16 October 2015 14:13 (eight years ago) link

Schama's elegant riposte to Liddle on QT last night, most of the audience were clapping every Lidl utterance on refugees.
"Do not presume to lecture me about the inadequacy of an emotional response. Go back to your journalistic hackery about outcomes and turn your suburban face away from the plight of the miserable."

that really is elegant!

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Friday, 16 October 2015 16:18 (eight years ago) link

Could've gone to blows if they were sitting next to each other.

Don't know why I'm watching bits of QT again (*shakes fist at John McDonnell*) however wrt to that Owen Jones piece its more about educating rather than "love-bombing". Many of them are happy with benefit cuts as long as it doesn't impact on them.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 16 October 2015 20:27 (eight years ago) link

This link has the follow-up on the baby from Bournemouth. I posted a link about a month or so ago from the local press.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 16 October 2015 20:41 (eight years ago) link

One thing I have noticed first hand in recent years is that on the road adjacent to mine are a couple of rows of 1 bedroom upper/lower flats which 8 years ago were mostly populated by marginal types - some criminal types, some working poor, oddbods that kept snakes + reptiles in tanks and some with obvious mental health problems. Just in the last 5 years the demographic has changed dramatically to mainly young families and some of them have 2 children. that a lot of these marginal/vulnerable types seem to be disappearing from social housing to god knows where (oblivian?) is just as depressing as young families taking their places in such cramped conditions.

xelab, Friday, 16 October 2015 22:01 (eight years ago) link

i feel like the former is pretty inarguably more depressing but idk

♛ LIL UNIT ♛ (thomp), Saturday, 17 October 2015 09:02 (eight years ago) link

well it's directly due to the benefit cap right? plenty of housing association and private flats in hackney near where i used to live used to be occupied by people just barely getting by, but there's no way they can pay for those flats with whatever's left from £500 after their jobseeker's benefit, child benefit etc is taken out. the character of the neighborhood around well street for instance has just totally changed now.

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Saturday, 17 October 2015 09:39 (eight years ago) link

would any ilxors join prince charles and snub xi jinping? when there's so little prospect having any positive impact on chinese affairs critics are in quite a tight spot. my chinese colleague has taken some holiday and will get up at 3am tmw to go down to see the leader, concerned that he won't have much support. I wonder how many britons abroad would get up at 3am for cameron

ogmor, Monday, 19 October 2015 09:28 (eight years ago) link

wrt to that Owen Jones piece its more about educating rather than "love-bombing". Many of them are happy with benefit cuts as long as it doesn't impact on them

I'm not sure many people struggling on low incomes are going to be particularly well-disposed to being "educated" by politicians right now - the left should really be able to talk to these people using the language of self-interest.

Matt DC, Monday, 19 October 2015 09:58 (eight years ago) link

Well, surely even the dogs in the street could tell that the working poor, just getting by with help of in-work benefits, had nothing to gain and much to fear from a tory victory in may. Some people just would not be persuaded until they actually find themselves out of pocket, and it's far too late.

I think there is a certain 'they came for the unemployed/disabled, but i wasn't unemployed/disabled...' element to this, sadly.

Estonians from the future (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 19 October 2015 11:22 (eight years ago) link

Neimöller's words aren't a caution for Tories, ithey're a fucking blueprint.

voodoo rage (suzy), Monday, 19 October 2015 11:39 (eight years ago) link

Education needn't mean a lecture, top-down. One of the better things Corbyn has talked about is the need to make policy using consultation, certainly something more democratic than the leadership looking at results from polls and focus groups (that reflect attitudes shaped by the press in vicious circle) and formulating policy that will pander to people.

I've no clear idea to detail the inner workings of an "education" but attitudes on all sides have to change otherwise relying on people's selfish interest is a no-go. Vote Labour if I go hungry one min and Tories if I have a bit of money is not a strategy. A wider conversation has to be had.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 19 October 2015 12:00 (eight years ago) link

today's LOL:

Nick Cohen ‏@NickCohen4

Has anyone had friendships break up or tested because of the Corbyn election? If so, please contact me

Tom Gann ‏@Tom_Gann

Hi, @NickCohen4, I've had a couple of strained conversations with anarchist friends over my not totally rejecting Corbyn, can you help me?

xyzzzz__, Monday, 19 October 2015 12:11 (eight years ago) link

I've no clear idea to detail the inner workings of an "education" but attitudes on all sides have to change otherwise relying on people's selfish interest is a no-go. Vote Labour if I go hungry one min and Tories if I have a bit of money is not a strategy. A wider conversation has to be had.

It's also possible to over-rely on the empathy of the electorate, especially on that of people who are really struggling themselves. Some of these people are likely to be relatively uneducated and only engaging in the debate through the sort of media outlets that have deliberately let people think that 'benefits' are for the unemployed. If they are engaging at all. Some of these people will be doing more than one job and supporting families - how does 'consultation' reach people who are short on both money and time? But if the Labour Party can't talk honestly to working class people about advancing their interests then they're in more trouble than I thought.

Matt DC, Monday, 19 October 2015 12:21 (eight years ago) link

Nick Cohen ‏@NickCohen4
Has anyone had friendships break up or tested because of the Corbyn election? If so, please contact me

Might have to start by explaining what a friend is to Nick Cohen.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Monday, 19 October 2015 12:37 (eight years ago) link

I am not saying 'consultation' -- that was more around formulating future policies but yes Labour (or any party) members probably have a bit more time, or make that commitment. I used that to show that at least one of the parties are listening to more ppl/willing to have more open conversations, just a change in attitude I want see carried over somehow.

People have voted against their interests time and again which makes me think voting for your interest (and yours alone) is a problem. Don't feel its right to plug into their selfishness for some short-term votes. "Love-bombing" someone who was quite happy to see other poor disabled people being sacrificed is not an amazing approach.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 19 October 2015 12:59 (eight years ago) link

Media obviously plays a huge part in the construction of self-interest or selfishness though. It's rarely 'let's f' the disabled' more an angle where 'scroungers' are vilified as part of an argument that supports policies, which also affect the disabled. Yes that may be obvious in one sense, but it's rarely presented that way. I'm not sure i want to see anyone love-bombed tho.

Fizzles, Monday, 19 October 2015 13:16 (eight years ago) link

Nobody has mentioned that this woman was a voter in Thanet, where lots of people like her voted Tory so as not to elect Nigel Farage. I'm really not into that whole 'serves her right' cruelty, because the 2015 Conservative manifesto made a promise not to cut tax credits for young families, but as a result I think quite a few voters in precarious or low-paid work won't forget they were lied to.

voodoo rage (suzy), Monday, 19 October 2015 13:18 (eight years ago) link

Or not 'happy', she has kids and a struggling business and thought she'd have more of an income (this is why I say conversation, important for both sides to learn and certain not to demonise one another). And much of the damage was done by a Labour party that refused to talk about all that welfare does do.

Still, no love-bombing.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 19 October 2015 13:30 (eight years ago) link

Voting in your own self-interest, I'm not suggesting a poll or anything, but has anyone here ever done it?

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Monday, 19 October 2015 14:39 (eight years ago) link

It's a bit like those tables and graphs newspapers produce after a Budget to show how you (and your family) might lose or benefit as a result, anyone ever look at them?

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Monday, 19 October 2015 14:40 (eight years ago) link

Surely everyone votes in their own self interest? Isn't that the point of voting?

pandemic, Monday, 19 October 2015 14:42 (eight years ago) link

Is it? Maybe I've done it without thinking I've done it.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Monday, 19 October 2015 14:43 (eight years ago) link

My general view is that the government shouldn't be making policy for the likes of me, I can take care of myself. I also think some people have more perspective wrt what's in their own interest than others do (and that's not unique to any one income group). But srsly what's actually wrong with convincing some of the poorest people in the country that voting Labour would be in their own self-interest? It doesn't mean they're going to immediately vote Tory as soon as they move into a different tax bracket, if that ever happens.

Matt DC, Monday, 19 October 2015 14:48 (eight years ago) link

I wouldn' t have imagined that many people vote for a party that they genuinely believe if elected would make the country a worse place to live.

pandemic, Monday, 19 October 2015 14:48 (eight years ago) link

Yeah but they might be prepared to personally take a bit of a hit in order to make the country better. The poorer you are, the less likely that is to happen.

Matt DC, Monday, 19 October 2015 14:50 (eight years ago) link

Well, yes, who has ever voted on the basis that they are personally going to be better off?

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Monday, 19 October 2015 14:55 (eight years ago) link

McDonnell and Labour will reverse tax credit cuts. They'll convince ppl of that much and it should be an easy, short conversation?

To me it leaves a gap.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 19 October 2015 15:10 (eight years ago) link

Oh for shit's sake.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 20 October 2015 19:03 (eight years ago) link

I'm voting Tory.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Tuesday, 20 October 2015 19:05 (eight years ago) link

Why the actual fuck would you go ahead and appoint a Director of Communications who, at a stroke, underlines all your detractors' worst impressions of you? I mean, I know Cameron did it but look how that turned out.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 20 October 2015 19:11 (eight years ago) link

kinda lol mostly sad

systems drinking (Noodle Vague), Tuesday, 20 October 2015 19:18 (eight years ago) link

"Who can we get it to convince the press I'm not a closet Stalinist? I know... Seumas Milne!"

Matt DC, Tuesday, 20 October 2015 19:21 (eight years ago) link

every seamus milne article ive ever read has been the most simplistic, kneejerk, stereotypically "lefty" load of crud imaginable. sort of a perfect fit for the corbynites, but can we all just agree now that electorally labour are absolutely doomed?

you too could be called a 'Star' by the Compliance Unit (jim in glasgow), Tuesday, 20 October 2015 19:22 (eight years ago) link

Milne was the business manager of Straight Left, a monthly publication of an orthodox factional group within the Communist Party of Great Britain.[8] Milne worked as a staff journalist for three years on The Economist before joining The Guardian

Genuinely intrigued as to what he must have said in his Economist interview.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 20 October 2015 19:28 (eight years ago) link

I was a member of a far-left grouplet as a student (not CPGB) and the senior comrades were always encouraging us to read the Economist, thought very highly of it

vosper, Tuesday, 20 October 2015 19:38 (eight years ago) link

know your enemy

hot doug stamper (||||||||), Tuesday, 20 October 2015 19:41 (eight years ago) link

there's that old observation about the articles in Militant and the Economist being almost interchangeable, just replace the last paragraph from 'this shows the need for a fighting Labour party that will nationalise the commanding heights of the economy etc etc' to 'this shows the needs for liberalising the labour market, dead hand of government etc etc'

vosper, Tuesday, 20 October 2015 19:43 (eight years ago) link

That may be the case, but I was always under the impression that the Economist liked its journalists to be true believers.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 20 October 2015 19:47 (eight years ago) link

"The pace of these reforms is s too hard and too fast"

and like is the slower fucking strangulation of disabled people a more palatable option, you tory twat?

xelab, Tuesday, 20 October 2015 22:42 (eight years ago) link

Seamus Milne is a guy whose comms 'policy' will be to tell the Mail to go fuck itself, repeatedly.

When will the good news stop?

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 20 October 2015 22:56 (eight years ago) link

My take (which is probably naive) is that he picked someone who he could trust for a position where the wrong candidate could undermine and potentially destroy him. And there are already plenty enough people trying to do that.

xelab, Tuesday, 20 October 2015 23:09 (eight years ago) link

Seamus Milne's opinions/outlook align with Corbyn. Both are on the same page re: LOL Media, except Milne has extensive experience and operates within it. Stalin? Is that some guy from the 30s?

Corbyn didn't get to be leader by winning people over - he'll be PM or destroy Labour.

Remember the days when Ed did one over the Mail for being rude about his dad? Look at how far we've come. Progress.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 20 October 2015 23:24 (eight years ago) link

The guardian are reporting the potential lords rebellion as "Lords forced to back down on tax credits motion as Tory rebellion grows" as if it were already a done deal and they had already been quashed. *sigh*

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Wednesday, 21 October 2015 00:30 (eight years ago) link

PLP finds it really hard to hear the truth about itself huh?

systems drinking (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 21 October 2015 05:46 (eight years ago) link

if there's one thing press bullies will pounce on it's equivocation or weakness and if there's one thing they'll praise to the skies it's some notion of authenticity. so maybe corbyn's doubling down with true believers like mcdonnell and milne might actually be a good thing? i.e. disagree with 'em all you want but you can't say they're writing their policies by focus group. i realise i am probably deluding myself yes.

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 21 October 2015 08:38 (eight years ago) link

and yes i've rarely been able to make it through a milne op-ed without rolling my eyes and turning the page, he's like the glenn greenwald of leftie guardian editorials

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 21 October 2015 08:39 (eight years ago) link

Literally nothing good has ever been said about Milne on ILX - I had a look in the archives and pretty much the closest thing is a neutral Pinefox post stating that he'd bought his book and had yet to read it.

Corbyn didn't get to be leader by winning people over - he'll be PM or destroy Labour.

None of this is true at all - winning people over was exactly what he did, and he won people over in pretty large numbers. One of the reasons he did is that he's capable of sounding consistent, reasonable and principled when other people were falling over themselves to triangulate and capitulate. He has been winning people over and should be capable of doing so if he doesn't just surround himself with bruisers, frauds, yes-men and people who are actively out to get him. Whether there's anyone out there who doesn't fall into one of those categories is a different question. I don't think it's true that he'll either be PM or destroy the party either, unless something with both wide appeal and funding magically appears to replace it. Stepping down midway through this term still seems like the most likely option.

I think Xelab's take is probably right but then that speaks to the level of hostility within the PLP and how few allies Corbyn actually has. Wherever you are on the spectrum there are pitfalls to surrounding yourself with people who basically agree with everything you say, as New Labour found out. A Director of Communications doesn't actually have to be 100% ideologically aligned. They just need to be not actively hostile and able to do their job in a professional manner (which includes asking difficult questions).

If all you need is someone to go 'lol media, FU Daily Mail' then why appoint anyone at all? Ultimately the Mail and the Sun are never going to be anyone other than hostile. What you do need is someone who can keep gaffes to a minimum (like, say, your Shadow Chancellor unilaterally deciding to support the fiscal charter and then making the right decision too late) and outline a proper strategy for nominally neutral or sympathetic titles. What they can't be is someone who's going to be a lightning rod for negative press. It's what broke Campbell, nearly destroyed Blair and undermined Cameron's first term.

He would probably have been better off getting someone lower profile from Canada or Australia or somewhere. Whether such a person exists I don't know.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 21 October 2015 09:04 (eight years ago) link

The only vaguely positive things i've heard about the appointment are that Milne has good contacts in the wider press and it might be harder for the Guardian to go after one of their own.

He's awful, though.

Al Ain Delon (ShariVari), Wednesday, 21 October 2015 09:22 (eight years ago) link

The change in the rules as to who could vote in that election, exhaustion of the Blair/Brown camps and Corbyn not changing his views that made him a fringe figure for the majority of his time suddenly became a bagful of pluses for a lot of people, but it happened by accident. He won people over - from one point of view...but the way I look at it is that all these things aligned at the right time for him. It can't be discounted that Corbyn is nice and friendly.

So you see this accident playing out in the appointments of people who align with his views but don't sound as reasonable or what have you: McDonnell, Milne and the like. The problem is there are almost no sympathetic titles: Daily Record, Mirror? Don't feel its a huge deal, or a massive mistake. I think many difficult questions are asked already by many members of his own shadown cabinet.

"He'll be PM or destroy Labour" yeah ok, no it probably won't be either/or. xp

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 21 October 2015 09:31 (eight years ago) link

for nominally neutral or sympathetic titles.

er, lol.

Two things that aren't negotiable in that position are loyalty to the leadership, and a large capacity for bullying control-freakery. Pop those in the algorithm, you come out with Milne, I guess. He's also media aristocracy, albeit a black sheep politically, as son of ex BBC DG Alasdair Milne (which may help in the job- this is England after all. On the other hand it may be more of a stick to beat him with). It's always a bad idea to have a spin doctor become the story though, it'll be bad news if that happens with Milne.

Estonians from the future (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 21 October 2015 09:38 (eight years ago) link

Aside The Record or Mirror that is (?)

Guardian reporting this in the dullest way possible. Far more on the policy chief. xp

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 21 October 2015 09:42 (eight years ago) link

From what I've seen, the Mirror has been fairly sympathetic, or at least has continued to attack the tories rather than labour, unlike the Graun, the New Wasteman, etc.

Estonians from the future (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 21 October 2015 09:44 (eight years ago) link

xp an appalling blasphemous heresy for a big media organisation to hint at, but maybe the policy chief is... more important?

Estonians from the future (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 21 October 2015 09:44 (eight years ago) link

lol look at me doing a 180 degree flip on the Guardian within thirty seconds

Estonians from the future (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 21 October 2015 09:46 (eight years ago) link

http://i2.mirror.co.uk/incoming/article6670819.ece/ALTERNATES/s615b/MAIN-Jeremy-Corbyn-state-banquet.jpg

Any other thread fashion critics onto this?

voodoo rage (suzy), Wednesday, 21 October 2015 11:03 (eight years ago) link

neolab black ops unit steps things up but taking Michael Meacher :(

systems drinking (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 21 October 2015 16:46 (eight years ago) link

That's a shame. Always wondered what might have happened if he had not launched that ridiculous libel action in 1984.

Al Ain Delon (ShariVari), Wednesday, 21 October 2015 17:12 (eight years ago) link

michael meacher was apparently nearly the token left wing candidate instead of corbyn, now he'll jave to make do with a nice evening out

ogmor, Wednesday, 21 October 2015 17:51 (eight years ago) link

he's dead

you too could be called a 'Star' by the Compliance Unit (jim in glasgow), Wednesday, 21 October 2015 17:55 (eight years ago) link

oh! inopportune moment for me to get the wrong end of the stick

ogmor, Wednesday, 21 October 2015 18:23 (eight years ago) link

Murdered

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Wednesday, 21 October 2015 19:04 (eight years ago) link

... uh, no, he wasn't.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Wednesday, 21 October 2015 19:04 (eight years ago) link

No he was not.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 21 October 2015 19:15 (eight years ago) link

http://i2.mirror.co.uk/incoming/article6670819.ece/ALTERNATES/s615b/MAIN-Jeremy-Corbyn-state-banquet.jpg

Any other thread fashion critics onto this?

― voodoo rage (suzy), Wednesday, October 21, 2015 Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

No fashion critic but hey I know what I like.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 21 October 2015 19:15 (eight years ago) link

This is beautiful:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/Jeremy_Corbyn/11945164/By-hiring-Seumas-Milne-Jeremy-Corbyn-shows-his-utter-contempt-for-real-Labour-voters.html

real Labour voters, are more likely to read Richard Littlejohn than open up a Twitter account.

So they won't know who Milne is? What's the harm.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 21 October 2015 19:17 (eight years ago) link

Tom Harris is a former Labour MP and now runs his own lobbying company. drummer for gay dad.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 21 October 2015 19:18 (eight years ago) link

these real labour voters are surely from wigan

ogmor, Wednesday, 21 October 2015 19:49 (eight years ago) link

its #rockism I tells ya!

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 21 October 2015 20:09 (eight years ago) link

as a real Labour voter and the son of real Labour voters i can categorically say none of us wd spit on Littlejohn if he was on fire

systems drinking (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 21 October 2015 20:36 (eight years ago) link

tbf my mom and dad don't have Twitter accounts tho as far as i know

systems drinking (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 21 October 2015 20:37 (eight years ago) link

You've all been in the Army though at some point, am I right?

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Wednesday, 21 October 2015 21:07 (eight years ago) link

only my dad and he really didn't want to

systems drinking (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 21 October 2015 21:08 (eight years ago) link

there's a non-trivial point that Tom Harris is a ridiculous lying wanker pretending he's never heard of the pacifist, republican working class who have been "real Labour" since before Labour existed to open it's doors to scum like him

systems drinking (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 21 October 2015 21:12 (eight years ago) link

So, let me get this: Tom Harris is a former Labour MP who now writes for the Telegraph. One thing cancels out the other, right? With knobs on, right?

Mark G, Thursday, 22 October 2015 08:39 (eight years ago) link

There is a hilarious piece on the Indepedent about this from some MP. Mention Iraq and the attack starts falling apart.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 22 October 2015 08:50 (eight years ago) link

Tom Harris managed to turn a 12,000 Labour majority into a 12,000 SNP majority at the last election so is obviously well placed to talk about electoral catastrophes.

Al Ain Delon (ShariVari), Thursday, 22 October 2015 08:52 (eight years ago) link

Loving the silence from The Guardian over Milne btw. Bet they are gagging to get another useless MP to write in Comment is Free.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 22 October 2015 08:58 (eight years ago) link

The problem is there are almost no sympathetic titles: Daily Record, Mirror?

yeah the record had an article the other day p much saying that the 21 labour mps who rebelled re the fiscal charter had betrayed labour voters

Merdeyeux, Thursday, 22 October 2015 09:13 (eight years ago) link

xp Don't worry, there's always Newsnight. Ridiculous Milne shoe-horning by Kirsty Wark last night in an environmental/China interview with Lisa Nandy, who said she hadn't read the articles KW was quoting single sentences from, so couldn't make any useful comment.

I have read the articles they were quoting and I don't think it unreasonable to say Western foreign policy choices before 9/11 had something to do with why that particular attack happened (people on ILX were saying as much) or that what happened to Lee Rigby was terrifying, but not actually terrorism (his killers were mentally ill AFAICT).

voodoo rage (suzy), Thursday, 22 October 2015 09:28 (eight years ago) link

Not going to defend Milne, but I would be surprised if he ends up in prison like Cameron's pet prole did.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Thursday, 22 October 2015 09:38 (eight years ago) link

Lee Rigby was a brutal murder not terrorism, yes. Like Corbyn and his quote on Bin Laden I am sure plenty can be distorted. No amount of skillful amount of expert Canadian or Aussie spin doctoring is going to soften it.

I have only read some Milne but I think I get the drill of where ILX is coming from. Smug-ish writer, member of far left who has probably said a few questionable things but mostly stuff that most people on here would meet with half-way?

Campbell had a low-ish profile didn't he? Look at how that turned out. xp

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 22 October 2015 09:46 (eight years ago) link

Basically they shouldn't let him talk about foreign policy at all, which is going to be quite tricky. Actually he should pretty much keep his mouth shut full stop - his job will be to define strategy, not do to rank and file spin-doctoring. Campbell was a scumbag but you have to admit he was very good at his job, until he went off the rails.

What's the perception of Corbyn in Scotland right now? My (very limited and nuance-free) understanding is of a somewhat comical volte-face from 'RED TORIES!' to 'UNELECTABLY LEFT-WING!' but that's mainly from Sturgeon. I mean obviously Corbyn can't make Scottish Labour magically not useless overnight but still you'd expect him to be at least theoretically more palatable to the electorate.

Matt DC, Thursday, 22 October 2015 09:54 (eight years ago) link

I'm not sure I personally know anyone up here whose voew on Labour has definitely changed since the election of Corbyn. Small sample though. Otherwise, as an observer with no specific party allegiances, it feels like SLab are hoping that a Corbyn bounce will do some heavy lifting for them.

michaellambert, Thursday, 22 October 2015 10:56 (eight years ago) link

From the small sample I know, the view on Labour has definitely changed since the election of Corbyn. We're talking Yes voting Labour supporters though, or non-SNP voters to be more accurate.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Thursday, 22 October 2015 11:07 (eight years ago) link

I thought this was interesting, I don't know if ppl here who are more familiar with Scotland + Scottish politics think it's accurate?

http://modies.blogspot.co.uk/2015/09/corbyn-and-snps-new-playbook.html

Rather, I'd assume the SNP are delighted with Corbyn's victory. I know I would be, if was in the SNP. Their genius is that they combine triangulation with Corbynite rhetoric when it suits them, which it did in the West of Scotland. They are the Blairite party par excellence in UK politics today and it is, to me anyway, utterly inconceivable that a Corbyn-lead Labour party will be a match for them. Instead, the script is going to go something like this, "We disagree with Jeremy Corbyn on some things but we're both against austerity and Trident. Look what happens to someone in England who shares these views we've been so awesomely successful with in Scotland. Look what happens to him in his own party! Just shows how very different our two nations are..."

Here's a preview. This is the line we'll get on a loop.

Nicola Sturgeon ✔ @NicolaSturgeon
If Lab can't quickly show that they have credible chance of winning UK election, many will conclude that Indy only alternative to Tory gov
12:35 PM - 12 Sep 2015
974 974 Retweets 812 812 favorites

soref, Thursday, 22 October 2015 12:10 (eight years ago) link

The bloom's going to come off the SNP and Sturgeon eventually.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Thursday, 22 October 2015 12:34 (eight years ago) link

Who is Jeremy Corbyn? Chinese daily analyses Xi Jinping meeting with Labour leader

Cameron to Xi: "You see, he is the opposition: here. Opposition. We are here to introduce you to the queen and family and talk nice about nuclear power, and he is here to talk about human rights and steel works and so on. He's not with us, he is the opposite of us. I know, it's a bit weird, but.. "

Mark G, Thursday, 22 October 2015 15:24 (eight years ago) link

Xi: "Can't you just run him over with a tank in Trafalgar Square?"
Cameron: "I wish!"

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Thursday, 22 October 2015 15:33 (eight years ago) link

Xi: "So, how do you, like, interact with this guy then?"
Cameron: "Well, I call him a threat to national security and accuse him of hating Britain"
Xi: "Right, with you now."

Estonians from the future (Bananaman Begins), Friday, 23 October 2015 10:11 (eight years ago) link

Cameron: That guy protesting Tianmen Square and those Tibetans with signs, shall I have them arrested by Met police and get them to raid their homes for computers and whatnot?
Xi: Sure, knock yourself out.

voodoo rage (suzy), Friday, 23 October 2015 10:15 (eight years ago) link

have we discussed the guy who was hoodwinked into campaigning against 'cake' in brasseye now getting a major anti-drugs role within the govt?

please don't shampoo your eyes (stevie), Friday, 23 October 2015 11:35 (eight years ago) link

Now *Sir* David Amess to you.

Fizzles, Friday, 23 October 2015 11:38 (eight years ago) link

There is a piece on The Spectator talking about how many of Lab's Shadow Cabinet aren't from Oxbridge (the today's LOL series bought to you by twitter...yes I wish I was dead).

Before you even get to the assumption of 'being clever' here = attaining a piece of paper showing you sat down quietly and wrote stuff you were able to at a high recall rate quickly (also how so many families rig the system in their favour), there is the other mistake of not looking around at the mess we find ourselves in and saying that this was to bought to you by...people educated in Oxbridge. There are other things to say about the system we operate under and its not anyone's fault in partic, or of the value of people's experience and then their willingness to learn as they grow older...but really Corbyn's election has bought such a pile of nonsense to the table. xxp

xyzzzz__, Friday, 23 October 2015 11:40 (eight years ago) link

wait, it was about how they aren't oxbridge and that was being sold as a negative thing?

♛ LIL UNIT ♛ (thomp), Friday, 23 October 2015 11:46 (eight years ago) link

i love the cake story as much as the next lazy left wing voter but is there any way it has any broader appeal, or can be made to have one

♛ LIL UNIT ♛ (thomp), Friday, 23 October 2015 11:48 (eight years ago) link

Well it had a 'let us note this shift' ambience - felt it was clearly implied as a negative. xp

xyzzzz__, Friday, 23 October 2015 11:50 (eight years ago) link

i love the cake story as much as the next lazy left wing voter but is there any way it has any broader appeal, or can be made to have one

probs not but you'd think "man who has proven himself remarkably gullible in this area gets plum job at it" would be an easy point to make

please don't shampoo your eyes (stevie), Friday, 23 October 2015 11:51 (eight years ago) link

In 1996, The New Tory Anti-Drug Tsar Was Asked To Talk About A Made-up Drug on Television. Here's How He Made A Fool of Himself

♛ LIL UNIT ♛ (thomp), Friday, 23 October 2015 11:55 (eight years ago) link

When your Prime Minister is a pigfucker I'm not sure what would constitute a cause for embarrassment anymore.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Friday, 23 October 2015 11:57 (eight years ago) link

Before you even get to the assumption of 'being clever' here = attaining a piece of paper showing you sat down quietly and wrote stuff you were able to at a high recall rate quickly (also how so many families rig the system in their favour), there is the other mistake of not looking around at the mess we find ourselves in and saying that this was to bought to you by...people educated in Oxbridge.

Lol you can't possibly be expecting the Spectator to question the value of a public school education can you?

I'm not sure the Spectator would accept the premise that we are in a mess right now - you know, "Cameron's jobs miracle", economy powering ahead and all that guff.

Matt DC, Friday, 23 October 2015 12:05 (eight years ago) link

spectator article does also say this:

Under Corbyn, the Labour party — once the clever party — has had a brain transplant...Let’s not be snobbish. Those universities are good. But it isn’t snobbery to point out that they aren’t as good as Oxford or Cambridge

and was written by Harry Mount, cousin of David Cameron, son Ferdinand Mount and #258 in the Tatler list

http://img.tatler.co.uk.s3.amazonaws.com/241x276/g_j/HMount_Tat1000_16Feb12_rex_b.jpg

soref, Friday, 23 October 2015 12:05 (eight years ago) link

My friend A worked on Brass Eye and said that everyone they approached to be in the Cake sketch was chosen because they voted through the Criminal Justice Bill, and as an ex-Shoom clubber he was duty bound to shank each and every one of them.

voodoo rage (suzy), Friday, 23 October 2015 12:07 (eight years ago) link

I'm not sure it's especially controversial to claim that Oxford and Cambridge are better than most of the redbricks. It IS snobbery to assume that an individual who has been to a redbrick can't be as intelligent or talented as one from Oxbridge. Especially if they're an Old Etonian who's been groomed for Oxford since birth.

Matt DC, Friday, 23 October 2015 12:08 (eight years ago) link

i think it's pretty controversial to baldly state that Oxbridge universities are clearly better teaching universities than all others in 2015 tbh

systems drinking (Noodle Vague), Friday, 23 October 2015 12:12 (eight years ago) link

i don't tbh

♛ LIL UNIT ♛ (thomp), Friday, 23 October 2015 12:17 (eight years ago) link

Lol you can't possibly be expecting the Spectator to question the value of a public school education can you?

haha no but its possibly the 3rd or 4th time I've seen something around the Lab's new leader lack of education. That Spectator blog just got me to comment. xxp

Also you know Oxbridge automatically means you can run things better. What makes a good public servant is never touched on.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 23 October 2015 12:19 (eight years ago) link

xp across every subject? I don't have data for this so I'm genuinely like "really??"

systems drinking (Noodle Vague), Friday, 23 October 2015 12:22 (eight years ago) link

My understanding is that Oxbridge courses are a lot more intensive and with a lot more face-to-face teaching time than most other universities. In arts and humanities at least, which is the route the majority of politicians take. Individual teachers I'm sure vary drastically even at so-called elite institutions.

Largely irrelevant anyway as the columnist cites their position in the Times University Rankings which are based on a lot more than teaching alone, as if the quality of a university's research has much bearing on the PPE graduates they churn out.

Especially irrelevant given none of this has any bearing on whether someone makes a good politician.

Matt DC, Friday, 23 October 2015 12:22 (eight years ago) link

Pointless article which seems to break down to "These Labour chaps used to be super swots but now they're just dim as us Tories, what!"

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Friday, 23 October 2015 12:33 (eight years ago) link

My understanding is that Oxbridge courses are a lot more intensive and with a lot more face-to-face teaching time than most other universities. In arts and humanities at least, which is the route the majority of politicians take. Individual teachers I'm sure vary drastically even at so-called elite institutions.

yeah this. idk, i know a fair number of people who've taught and been taught at oxford the past few years, plus who've come through other russell group universities, plus one friend who's a lecturer at one of the latter. but others may be better informed, and i have no idea about the hard sciences.

♛ LIL UNIT ♛ (thomp), Friday, 23 October 2015 12:34 (eight years ago) link

Also "Corbyn's purge of the Oxbridge set", most of them left of their own free will I think you'll find.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Friday, 23 October 2015 12:35 (eight years ago) link

iirc about three pre C20th century PMs didn't go to oxbridge, I think Wellington, Disraeli and ???

ogmor, Friday, 23 October 2015 12:38 (eight years ago) link

xp also the impression i get is that intake to non-oxbridge elite universities is actually getting less smart since tuition fees -- that it's closer to 'true' now that someone at one of those is less smart than it was a decade ago.

none of this, of course, has any meaningful contribution to whether a statistically negligible size of hand-picked individuals who went to university at various points over the last few decades are 'smarter' in any abstract sense, which would itself have little to do with how well they would do at running the country

♛ LIL UNIT ♛ (thomp), Friday, 23 October 2015 12:38 (eight years ago) link

the world 'group' is missing there

♛ LIL UNIT ♛ (thomp), Friday, 23 October 2015 12:38 (eight years ago) link

I think they are mostly exceptional at undergraduate level and then it's most wrt getting people to work harder

ogmor, Friday, 23 October 2015 12:39 (eight years ago) link

Nevertheless plenty of mediocre intellects end up at Oxbridge and plenty of smarter people end up elsewhere.

Matt DC, Friday, 23 October 2015 12:43 (eight years ago) link

everyone they approached to be in the Cake sketch was chosen because they voted through the Criminal Justice Bill

Noel Edmonds voted through the Criminal Justice Bill?

Mark G, Friday, 23 October 2015 12:57 (eight years ago) link

Every *politician*, I should've said.

voodoo rage (suzy), Friday, 23 October 2015 14:09 (eight years ago) link

good old Lord Fox, whatever happened to him

♛ LIL UNIT ♛ (thomp), Friday, 23 October 2015 15:17 (eight years ago) link

boom boom iirc

systems drinking (Noodle Vague), Friday, 23 October 2015 23:23 (eight years ago) link

undergrad teaching at oxbridge is on average much more intensive (and more expensive) than any other university in the uk. you get 2+ hours per week one or two on one with faculty (not postgrads). this is as true in science as it is in arts.

whether that means the education you get there is any better -- or whether succeeding in that environment is a signifier of greatness -- is another matter. the intimacy and structure make it basically impossible to fail. the amount of independence required to succeed as an undegrad there is not much. you could reasonably make the case that people who succeed in the oxbridge system merely demonstrate they had a pulse from the age of 18 to 21.

to be fair to PPE, to succeed in that, you have to have more than a pulse. it has a justified reputation as perhaps the most demanding degree at oxford in terms of workload, if not intellectually (that's physics and philosohpy, fuiud).

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 24 October 2015 01:28 (eight years ago) link

A Liberal quibbles

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 24 October 2015 09:18 (eight years ago) link

This is even better:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/11949701/AEP-Eurozone-crosses-Rubicon-as-Portugals-anti-euro-Left-banned-from-power.html

Corbyn-like govt written about favourably in the Torygraph because its the Euro Union stopping them from power.

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 24 October 2015 09:21 (eight years ago) link

can't believe Portugal is flirting with totalitarianism

systems drinking (Noodle Vague), Saturday, 24 October 2015 09:31 (eight years ago) link

Bullough's Let Our Fame Be Great is really good but his politics are about as naive and nuance-free as Milne's.

Would like to read a proper article about the Portugal situation as my eyebrows rise when Corbyn fans on Twitter take AEP screeds as gospel.

Al Ain Delon (ShariVari), Saturday, 24 October 2015 10:24 (eight years ago) link

Corbyn-like govt written about favourably in the Torygraph because its the Euro Union stopping them from power.

I'm not a fan of AEP but he has at least been more or less consistently anti-austerity, in the Eurozone at least. FFS he even wrote this:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/11869701/Jeremy-Corbyns-QE-for-the-people-is-exactly-what-the-world-may-soon-need.html

I'm not sure if the Barclay Brothers are that arsed if Portugal (or indeed any European country other than maybe Greece and France) elects a socialist government. They just don't want Britain doing so. I'm guessing their foreign reporters still have an element of free reign if it doesn't directly contradict the main editorial line.

Matt DC, Saturday, 24 October 2015 10:35 (eight years ago) link

What about Spain? Its contagion isn't it? That risk of Europe blowing up - or eventually groups forming within the European Union that will shift austerity politics out of the way, which would fall in line w/current Lab leadership.

Nothing on this in the front page of The Guardian. Useless.

This is something on the context that I'm skimming now: https://www.opendemocracy.net/can-europe-make-it/joana-ramiro/good-student-of-europe-at-dead-end

Bullough's Let Our Fame Be Great is really good but his politics are about as naive and nuance-free as Milne's.

Right - because that was pathetic. Just picture him sitting at 3am considering as to whether he'd join Corbyn's Labour. All those weeks before and after the leadership vote, before Milne's appointment! Casting this as 'this is where something broke for good' is laughable.

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 24 October 2015 19:06 (eight years ago) link

This Portugal story does need more reporting, or maybe the lack of suggests there isn't much there...but given what happened to Greece...

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 24 October 2015 19:32 (eight years ago) link

Martin Amis, "a leading figure on the British Left" (have actually been laughing at this all morning) hates him, as he is uneducated.

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 25 October 2015 09:54 (eight years ago) link

Sunday Times headline! bizarre in so many ways.

Fizzles, Sunday, 25 October 2015 15:29 (eight years ago) link

Interesting letter from Paul Jenkins in the Guardian:

http://www.theguardian.com/law/2015/oct/25/international-law-and-the-ministerial-code?CMP=share_btn_tw

Al Ain Delon (ShariVari), Monday, 26 October 2015 08:27 (eight years ago) link

i was just reading that - easy to picture the intense irritation and equally easy to comprehend the way that's converted into handwaving 'nbd just cleaning up the language' by cameron. dismissiveness about detail -legal or otherwise - as pedantry is a hallmark of his PM rhetorical style.

xyzzzz__ - fairly well-publicised piece on Portugal here.

Fizzles, Monday, 26 October 2015 09:21 (eight years ago) link

That's a great piece, cuts through a lot of the froth.

Matt DC, Monday, 26 October 2015 10:04 (eight years ago) link

Martin Amis, "a leading figure on the British Left"

XD

"prominent socialist sympathiser Dennis Wheatley..."

Estonians from the future (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 26 October 2015 11:26 (eight years ago) link

Thanks Fizzles - that account mirrors this other one, except it criticises the President's speech in stronger terms.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 26 October 2015 13:45 (eight years ago) link

Undemocratic institution defies elected government hilarity

systems drinking (Noodle Vague), Monday, 26 October 2015 21:03 (eight years ago) link

i am absolutely loving this story tbh

♛ LIL UNIT ♛ (thomp), Tuesday, 27 October 2015 08:35 (eight years ago) link

The fuckers could have taken it upon themselves to reform the Lords at some point in the last four years but oh that would have been too terrible to bear.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 27 October 2015 09:43 (eight years ago) link

When it comes to enjoying the public humiliation of a hubristic ARSE, Osborne even has Mourinho beat.

Riga Tony (Tom D.), Tuesday, 27 October 2015 10:09 (eight years ago) link

After months of attempts to block the reforms, Mr Duncan Smith lost his temper when he heard a member of his team rowing on the phone with a Treasury official, The Times reported. He grabbed the receiver and shouted down the line: ‘If you ever speak to my officials like that again I’ll bite your balls off and send them to you in a box.’

The newspaper also claimed Mr Duncan Smith cancelled the security pass of a Downing Street official to stop them entering his department. Sources suggested Mr Duncan Smith did not use the word 'bite' but aides refused to comment on the reports of the call which is thought to have happened in 2010.

nashwan, Tuesday, 27 October 2015 10:14 (eight years ago) link

I read that as 'apartment' and thought 'fair enough'..

Carry on..

Mark G, Tuesday, 27 October 2015 11:34 (eight years ago) link

How many puppets does Gideon need to get this through?

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 27 October 2015 12:08 (eight years ago) link

Desperately want to penalise the working poor? Send for Lloyd Webber!

Riga Tony (Tom D.), Tuesday, 27 October 2015 13:22 (eight years ago) link

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/Jeremy_Corbyn/11957216/Jeremy-Corbyn-is-too-thick-to-be-Prime-Minister.html

Are kids doing 12 A Levels these days?!

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 27 October 2015 15:54 (eight years ago) link

xp
"he feels that it is important for democracy that the House of Lords should not override decisions made by the elected House of Commons" That reads about as true as someone saying "A lifetime Cats season ticket? Fuck Yeah!" or "Andrew Lloyd Webber? Fucking love the guy".

xelab, Tuesday, 27 October 2015 15:55 (eight years ago) link

(xp) Here's hoping John Major doesn't read that.

Riga Tony (Tom D.), Tuesday, 27 October 2015 16:03 (eight years ago) link

After all, Amis has a first-class honours degree from Oxford. Which rather exquisitely proves the point.

this person is taking the piss, surely

soref, Tuesday, 27 October 2015 16:06 (eight years ago) link

also, John Prescott has a degree from the University of Hull

soref, Tuesday, 27 October 2015 16:10 (eight years ago) link

if we're going to start judging politicians on their education, let's not forget ian duncan smith's impressively bullshit-packed cv - didn't he claim he'd gotten a degree from a college which didn't offer degrees and that he'd gotten heavyweight qualifications from somewhere else based on a few days' training? at least corbyn's honest about being academically unaccomplished...

the illicit unit slid tantalizingly across the waxed tile (bizarro gazzara), Tuesday, 27 October 2015 16:11 (eight years ago) link

ian Duncan smith claimed he attended a university in Italy when in fact he'd taken a week of Italian classes at an unconnected language school in the same city iirc.

main hilarious thing about ian duncan smith is that his name is ian smith and he clearly insists on the use of his middle name at all times because it makes him sound posher, like he had a double barreled surname.

you too could be called a 'Star' by the Compliance Unit (jim in glasgow), Tuesday, 27 October 2015 16:15 (eight years ago) link

this person is taking the piss, surely

It's Angela Epstein, so, no.

Riga Tony (Tom D.), Tuesday, 27 October 2015 16:16 (eight years ago) link

(x-post)

And maybe to distance himself from the other, even worse, Ian Smith.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Wednesday, 28 October 2015 04:27 (eight years ago) link

I think his surname is actually 'Duncan Smith'? his father was this bloke:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/W._G._G._Duncan_Smith

soref, Wednesday, 28 October 2015 04:34 (eight years ago) link

Hyphenate or gtfo, frankly.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Wednesday, 28 October 2015 04:40 (eight years ago) link

reading IDS's wikipedia page, I had completely forgotten that he published a novel within weeks of being ousted as tory leader

soref, Wednesday, 28 October 2015 04:53 (eight years ago) link

Did anyone read it? (here or in general)

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Wednesday, 28 October 2015 05:06 (eight years ago) link

no

Mark G, Wednesday, 28 October 2015 07:26 (eight years ago) link

now very tempted.

Fizzles, Wednesday, 28 October 2015 10:14 (eight years ago) link

One for ILB.

Riga Tony (Tom D.), Wednesday, 28 October 2015 10:39 (eight years ago) link

that telegraph article is full of mistakes and errors…and then that final poll! either epstein is taking the piss or the subeditors are

twunty fifteen (imago), Wednesday, 28 October 2015 10:43 (eight years ago) link

Possibly the latter, definitely not the former.

Riga Tony (Tom D.), Wednesday, 28 October 2015 10:56 (eight years ago) link

The Telegraph is barely even a newspaper any more.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 28 October 2015 11:13 (eight years ago) link

PMs should either: have 12 As at A-level or be the type of person that can't wait to get out there in the Labour Party real world.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 28 October 2015 12:34 (eight years ago) link

IDS' novel has never been published in paperback, so might be hard to find, I'll have a look for it in the British Library catalogue later... not promising I'll read it though!

Riga Tony (Tom D.), Wednesday, 28 October 2015 13:19 (eight years ago) link

there's an extract towards the bottom of this guardian article:

http://www.theguardian.com/books/2003/nov/05/fiction.conservatives

soref, Wednesday, 28 October 2015 13:35 (eight years ago) link

http://dl.book4you.org/foreignfiction/767000/0923776b0576ed9e7f7dace9b8b11197.txt/_as/[Smith_Iain_Duncan]_The_Devil's_Tune(Bokos-Z1).txt

You can read his magnum opus at this TXT link, he would require some improvement to get to the level of literary geniuses like say Jeffrey Archer or Morrissey.

xelab, Wednesday, 28 October 2015 13:46 (eight years ago) link

you have c+p the link, clicking it wont work

xelab, Wednesday, 28 October 2015 13:47 (eight years ago) link

are there any sex scenes in it

the illicit unit slid tantalizingly across the waxed tile (bizarro gazzara), Wednesday, 28 October 2015 13:52 (eight years ago) link

enh, not exactly a bonkbuster

Inside, it was dark, save for the television, which flickered in the corner, the volume turned down. Laura pressed herself back against the door as she shut it, breathing hard. As her eyes got used to the light, she saw John sprawled out on the armchair, sound asleep. She walked closer to him. She bent down and smiled, her face just above him. His eyes opened, then she felt a hand reach up into her hair and pull her gently forward. With adrenalin still pumping from the incident in the bar, she lowered herself onto him. His kiss was
passionate and hard.

the illicit unit slid tantalizingly across the waxed tile (bizarro gazzara), Wednesday, 28 October 2015 13:56 (eight years ago) link

oooo, ids presidential fan-fiction!

For many, President Carson was considered the most formidable politician of his generation. An even better communicator than President Reagan, he had come from behind to win the Democratic nomination and then the election, two and a half years before. In doing so, he had ended a fallow period for the Democratic party. He had torn it from its obsession with the old principles of redistribution and had broadened its appeal. Now he was seen as a common-sense man, the 'guy next door'. But he had used this image ruthlessly in his dealings with the Republican-controlled Congress. Power was President Carson's driving ethos. He had always believed that simply by his being there, things would be better as long as the public liked it, that was enough. And he had quite brilliantly positioned the Republican-dominated Congress as too ideological when it imposed a new budget on him. By ersuading the public that he had made the best of it, he had positioned himself as the 'anti-politician' defending them against Washington politicians. He fostered the
appearance of an outsider, but he knew how to play the political game with the best of them. The deals, the federal contracts, they were what he was brilliant at.

the illicit unit slid tantalizingly across the waxed tile (bizarro gazzara), Wednesday, 28 October 2015 14:04 (eight years ago) link

Now he was seen as a common-sense man, the 'guy next door'.

maybe even... a quiet man?

the illicit unit slid tantalizingly across the waxed tile (bizarro gazzara), Wednesday, 28 October 2015 14:05 (eight years ago) link

This definitely deserves its own thread.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 28 October 2015 14:07 (eight years ago) link

He watched her, his head resting
gently on the back of his chair, his hands folded around the sides of
his cup. Her sensuous beauty always held him. Her Madonna eyelids
made her look as though she'd just woken up, particularly as they were
framed by thick black hair falling across her shoulders; she was as
captivating to him in the morning as last thing at night. Thirty years
younger than him, she was for Acquilan, at one and the same time, a
fine work of art and an exacting companion who stimulated all his
senses. He laughed gently and she smiled.

soref, Wednesday, 28 October 2015 14:35 (eight years ago) link

I think Acquilan is the bad guy, having skimmed this

soref, Wednesday, 28 October 2015 14:39 (eight years ago) link

Good god

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 28 October 2015 15:02 (eight years ago) link

next level from the BBC
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CSboWjvWsAAzvP4.png

ş̢͢҉͟w̷̢͜͜͡e͢͝d̀͟͝͡ģ͜ (cozen), Wednesday, 28 October 2015 20:46 (eight years ago) link

the actual story, reported on the guardian
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CSboWkKWcAAIvhq.png

ş̢͢҉͟w̷̢͜͜͡e͢͝d̀͟͝͡ģ͜ (cozen), Wednesday, 28 October 2015 20:47 (eight years ago) link

the DUP, still a class act

systems drinking (Noodle Vague), Monday, 2 November 2015 17:39 (eight years ago) link

you know youre backward when your statelet has a more bigoted marriage policy than the republic of ireland

you too could be called a 'Star' by the Compliance Unit (jim in glasgow), Monday, 2 November 2015 19:34 (eight years ago) link

do find it sort of funny that it's the party of the former gunmen that have the best lgbt policies in ireland

you too could be called a 'Star' by the Compliance Unit (jim in glasgow), Monday, 2 November 2015 19:36 (eight years ago) link

I know right

people outside NI think that the abortion laws are almost uselessly strict in NI because something something Catholics, but no, it's mainly because the DUP are a bunch of godbothering woman-hating loons iirc

a passing spacecadet, Monday, 2 November 2015 20:58 (eight years ago) link

If there is a hell it will definitely contain Ian Paisley jr and Ian Duncan Smith "In 2010, the Catholic magazine The Tablet named him (IDS) as one of Britain's most influential Catholics".

xelab, Monday, 2 November 2015 21:21 (eight years ago) link

Well Played

The fear of being purged is keeping many Labour people quiet

Not quiet enough unfortunately.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 2 November 2015 21:36 (eight years ago) link

Good to see Labour protests to the IP Bill are being documented here *lol*

nashwan, Thursday, 5 November 2015 11:14 (eight years ago) link

lo; @ grainy photo of Seumas Milne doing 'clockwork orange' type stare

... which looks like it was taken in a prison.

Caput Johannis in Disco (Tom D.), Friday, 6 November 2015 12:50 (eight years ago) link

capitalism is a prison iirc

systems drinking (Noodle Vague), Friday, 6 November 2015 13:20 (eight years ago) link

This is fairly damning.

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/nov/11/david-cameron-letter-cuts-oxfordshire

Al Ain Delon (ShariVari), Wednesday, 11 November 2015 08:33 (eight years ago) link

Not too surprising.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 11 November 2015 09:17 (eight years ago) link

That's a great piece.

please don't shampoo your eyes (stevie), Wednesday, 11 November 2015 09:46 (eight years ago) link

His constituency falls within that county council, and presumably Oxfordshire's Tory councillors all gave enthusiastic assent to the government's economic programme in May. It's classic 'one rule for me, one rule for everyone else' - we'll be seeing that a lot when ministers react furiously to cuts to their own departmental budgets.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 11 November 2015 09:48 (eight years ago) link

I'd dispute whether he's really that ignorant of how deep his own cuts go, he just doesn't want to look like he's shitting on services in his own constituency.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 11 November 2015 09:55 (eight years ago) link

yeah it does have a vibe of "pull your socks up" type admonishment to pin blame on the councils themselves. like if they were more canny savers everything would be grand. which prob works in people's minds. i mean i dunno if councils have a good image generally because i live in tower hamlets, but i doubt it.

doing my Objectives, handling some intense stuff (LocalGarda), Wednesday, 11 November 2015 10:11 (eight years ago) link

I imagine he only wrote the letter in the first place because of a question in the Commons or an irate and, more importantly, vocal constituent, got to be seen to do the right thing even when you don't give a fuck. What's with the Guardian, this is like proper journalism, there's articles comparing Jeremy Corbyn to Mark E. Smith to publish.

Caput Johannis in Disco (Tom D.), Wednesday, 11 November 2015 10:21 (eight years ago) link

wonder how austerity measures at council level are affecting contracts with private sector partners. you'd imagine that more stuff would be outsourced up to a point and then some of those contracts would start to get chopped away as service levels were reduced. fuck services for children and the elderly, maybe it's once there's more potholes than road *and* the cheques stop rolling in to clancy docwra, that's when cameron will start hearing noises from the sorts of people he pays any attention to

gabba cadaver (NickB), Wednesday, 11 November 2015 10:32 (eight years ago) link

It reminds me oddly of a management technique I encountered first about ten years ago, in the context of a small financial services company that had been bought out by a large financial services conglomerate.

My boss had had the fear of god put up her by this... team-building retreat thing she was forced to go on when the company was bought out. They had forced her and her team to do bean-counting exercise, and the way that they "motivated" them was that if they failed at the bean-counting exercise the first time, they would be forced to do it again, but with one fewer team member, and less resources. And this had motivated her to work 60 hour weeks and drive her staff to do the same, with this lecture of "if you think this is hard, it'll be even harder with less staff and less money, which is what will happen if we don't perform!!!!"

And she honestly had bought the logic that this was the way to motivate people.

I just looked at her like "that is completely non-logical. The way to solve the kinds of issues *we* face, is to have spare capacity to take up the slack during extremely busy periods." I could not work out the logic of how accomplishing a task with fewer people and fewer resources was supposed to do anything except demoralise what staff there were left. But this was what the overlords demanded.

Ironically, the overlords, in their process of asset-stripping and "cost-savings" and "trimming the fat" were one of the financial entities that were absolutely *fucked* by the financial crisis, and had to be bailed out by the government and essentially nationalised. (The company I had been "fat-trimmed" from, for having a bad attitude, was re-purchased by its founder for pennies on the pound.) But their entire model clearly did not work, and had to be bailed out - it is by its design only going to work if there is a government safety net to bail them out when it becomes unsustainable below a certain point. And yet it's people who have clearly been to this school of unsustainable management who have been put in charge of the actual government safety net?

But, y'know, this is an actual school of management. Which people are taught at expensive staff retreats. And they continue to apply even in the face of evidence that it just doesn't work.

La Düsseldork (Branwell with an N), Wednesday, 11 November 2015 12:13 (eight years ago) link

About 169,000 results for Cameron "more with less"

Matt DC, Wednesday, 11 November 2015 13:21 (eight years ago) link

I'd never noticed Cameron's little pointed peg teeth until that Downing Street press conference today.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Saturday, 14 November 2015 01:05 (eight years ago) link

xp
Good grief! That is fucking shameless xo==, not surprising though.

xelab, Saturday, 14 November 2015 01:10 (eight years ago) link

By far the most striking section is on patriotism ... "How dare Cameron’s Conservatives pretend that they speak for Britain. We stand for this country’s greatest traditions: the suffragettes and the trade unions, the Britain of Mary Wollstonecraft, Shelley, Alan Turing and the Beatles"

conrad, Monday, 16 November 2015 13:55 (eight years ago) link

Corbyn will say that his leadership will be based on three pillars: a new politics, a new economy and the Beatles.

conrad, Monday, 16 November 2015 13:56 (eight years ago) link

http://uk.reuters.com/article/2015/11/16/uk-france-shooting-britain-syria-idUKKCN0T50KG20151116

Has Cameron specified what he wants to bomb that isn't currently being bombed by Russia, France, the US, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Canada, the Netherlands, Turkey, Qatar, Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates or Australia?

Is there a secret bit of Syria that only we know about?

Al Ain Delon (ShariVari), Monday, 16 November 2015 14:07 (eight years ago) link

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/5/54/Shelleydvd.jpg/250px-Shelleydvd.jpg
" the Britain of Mary Wollstonecraft, Shelley..."
For goodness sake Jez, stfu about The Beatles please!

xelab, Monday, 16 November 2015 14:11 (eight years ago) link

tell Jeremy Corbyn to fuck off

John Dope Assos (Noodle Vague), Monday, 16 November 2015 17:56 (eight years ago) link

No

xyzzzz__, Monday, 16 November 2015 18:47 (eight years ago) link

Mind boggling at the gall of Osborne lecturing us that 'the internet has become a vector of crime, espionage, attack and harm' weeks after arselicking the world's most prodigious cyber attackers, the Chinese government, and handing them the British nuclear programme on a platter.

Caput Johannis in Disco (Tom D.), Tuesday, 17 November 2015 10:57 (eight years ago) link

Good to see the press, the BBC and Labour MPs united in condemning the single greatest threat to the lives of and limbs of British citizens, at home and abroad, Jeremy Corbyn.

Caput Johannis in Disco (Tom D.), Tuesday, 17 November 2015 12:57 (eight years ago) link

He could make things easier for himself.

ledge, Tuesday, 17 November 2015 12:59 (eight years ago) link

You don't have to be evidently armed to be shot dead here but it probably helps.

nashwan, Tuesday, 17 November 2015 13:09 (eight years ago) link

It's an odd one as there have been no changes to the law, no obvious changes to policy and no apparent disagreement on the interpretation of the law but still enough room for the press to hang him.

Al Ain Delon (ShariVari), Tuesday, 17 November 2015 13:24 (eight years ago) link

Given the Menezes murder Corbyn's views are perfectly reasonable.

Don't trust the reporting of these meetings or the LOL "sources" that keep saying how shambolic all of it is - the reporting of the Monday night PLP meeting is becoming a platform for plenty of juicy gossip and 'journalism'.

I have seen several reports that JC doesn't really respond with challenges - all of this has to be seen in the context that 90% of the PLP don't think JC should be anywhere near the leadership. Hard to tell whether he wants to engage or whether he thinks its a waste of time or what. But isn't that what the right of the party were doing to their members? I am enjoying this reversal of sorts.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 17 November 2015 13:25 (eight years ago) link

Do you think it would be pandering to the press to say 'yes if the same thing that happened in paris were to happen here a shoot to kill policy would be justified'? Or they would crucify him anyway?

ledge, Tuesday, 17 November 2015 13:27 (eight years ago) link

That's the law as it stands and he has said he doesn't disagree with it. There's no situation in which police fire guns that they don't shoot to kill.

Al Ain Delon (ShariVari), Tuesday, 17 November 2015 13:31 (eight years ago) link

Wrong. After the Lee Rigby murder the police shot only to maim and incapacitate

avant-garde, sissy bounce, zombie rave, aquacrunk, warlock, oceangrunge, (imago), Tuesday, 17 November 2015 13:37 (eight years ago) link

I didn't hear the interview but 'a Labour aide clarified that Corbyn was “committed to what the existing law is"' - so someone else shut the stable door on his behalf.

ledge, Tuesday, 17 November 2015 13:39 (eight years ago) link

Wrong. After the Lee Rigby murder the police shot only to maim and incapacitate

Yes, this is a bit more nuanced than i suggested. The Rigby killer didn't have a firearm iirc though.

The police officially shoot to neutralise a threat but they are told to fire repeatedly at the torso when someone has a gun or at the head when someone is suspected of having a bomb. This is why they've repeatedly called "shoot to wound" a fiction.

Al Ain Delon (ShariVari), Tuesday, 17 November 2015 13:49 (eight years ago) link

Haven't heard the interview either but yes it was the aide that gave the 'easier' answer. This is all similar to the nuclear 'debate' with JC being cast as a madman for appearing not to be as hawkish or what have you.

Distracts from austerity, where the Tories are not looking so good.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 17 November 2015 13:50 (eight years ago) link

Not sure how Corbyn's approach to this, i.e. to support the law of the land, is different from, errrrrr, the Prime Minister, the Home Secretary etc. Still any excuse for a bit of Corbyn-bashing.

Caput Johannis in Disco (Tom D.), Tuesday, 17 November 2015 13:51 (eight years ago) link

The levels of hatred displayed towards Corbyn by Mad Dan Hodges, Rental et al are really quite astonishing.

Caput Johannis in Disco (Tom D.), Tuesday, 17 November 2015 13:54 (eight years ago) link

For Rental read Johnny 'Psycho' Rentoul.

Caput Johannis in Disco (Tom D.), Tuesday, 17 November 2015 13:55 (eight years ago) link

The sooner we tune this stuff out and talk about things other than how beastly people are being to Corbyn the better imo.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 17 November 2015 13:55 (eight years ago) link

As far as I can see there is basically no reason for the UK to join in with air strikes other than as a symbolic gesture, one that would doubtless increase the risk of an attack here even further. It's not like ISIS are going to stubbornly resist an onslaught from Russia/France/the US only to crumble as soon as plucky Britain gets involved, although propagating that myth is almost certainly why Cameron wants air strikes in the first place.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 17 November 2015 13:59 (eight years ago) link

Honestly I don't know what I would do in Hollande's situation, and I'm deeply suspicious of anyone who claims to know, with 100% conviction, what should be done in Syria, but Cameron's situation is not Hollande's by a long shot.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 17 November 2015 14:00 (eight years ago) link

The whole business is mysterious. I think Russia is clearly privy to intelligence that the others aren't but idk what France, the US, etc are bombing at this stage that they haven't bombed a dozen times before. It's performative, though - the UK needs to be seen to be doing something.

Al Ain Delon (ShariVari), Tuesday, 17 November 2015 14:04 (eight years ago) link

it's almost as if he thinks there's political capital to be made from the threat or occurrence of terrorist attacks

John Dope Assos (Noodle Vague), Tuesday, 17 November 2015 14:05 (eight years ago) link

Increased military action in Syria will see the Tories retain a slight majority in 2020. By which point Corbyn will have established a lunar base occasionally waving forlornly.

nashwan, Tuesday, 17 November 2015 14:07 (eight years ago) link

the UK needs to be seen to be doing something

Hence an extra billion pounds out of nowhere to fite cyberdoom and a proposed increase of 1,900 security and intelligence staff - suggesting these measures were on hold until a new attack could 'justify' them rather than something that could've been introduced to help prevent said attack.

nashwan, Tuesday, 17 November 2015 14:15 (eight years ago) link

Or that there is actually a lot more money around anyway and the cuts are being carried out on a whim.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 17 November 2015 14:22 (eight years ago) link

Tom D - Rentoul did apologise for that tweet. Blaming it on the social media pressure cooker.

The UK's chances of being attacked are surely the same whether the UK joins in strikes or not - you could say its bigger if the UK don't join in, as ISIS would perhaps want more countries to attack it, increasing recruitment.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 17 November 2015 14:30 (eight years ago) link

A hogpile of lifestyle journos were talking about how Corbyn's intelligence is somewhat limited, possibly to make themselves feel better/clever for disagreeing with him, or thinking themselves somehow 'realist' because they're considering bombs--->Syria and he is not.

It's very telling that these PLP meetings only started being covered by reporters fairly recently, and not during Blair, Brown or Miliband's tenure.

voodoo rage (suzy), Tuesday, 17 November 2015 14:39 (eight years ago) link

'Realism' seems to be the latest Conservative Central Office endorsed buzzword.

Caput Johannis in Disco (Tom D.), Tuesday, 17 November 2015 14:57 (eight years ago) link

Some idiot on the news yesterday explaining that the Prime Minister has said last week that there was a half-dozen plots already foiled, and someone else (Osborne?) has said at the start of October that there had been five foiled, so reading between the lines there must have been one foiled in the last month.

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 17 November 2015 15:18 (eight years ago) link

need one of these for foiled terror plots

http://simpsonswiki.com/w/images/thumb/c/cb/Royal_King_Trailer_Park.png/250px-Royal_King_Trailer_Park.png

conrad, Tuesday, 17 November 2015 15:53 (eight years ago) link

(perhaps, in many cases, as a protest rather than a positive endorsement)

LOL

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 17 November 2015 16:34 (eight years ago) link

Stop the War can gtf tho

Caput Johannis in Disco (Tom D.), Tuesday, 17 November 2015 16:37 (eight years ago) link

the patrician tones of the anonymous author make that post particularly infuriating

Neil S, Tuesday, 17 November 2015 16:38 (eight years ago) link

He could make things easier for himself.

― ledge, Tuesday, November 17, 2015 12:59 PM (3 hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Thing is, I don't think he could. There's not much point worrying too much about Corbyn's presentation etc, when as we've seen this month, even if he does and says all the 'right' things, the media and his enemies within labour- before you even get to the government- will just plain make stuff up.

Agents, show the general out. (Bananaman Begins), Tuesday, 17 November 2015 16:45 (eight years ago) link

Pretty sure there's a section in the Economist style guide advising journalists on how to be more patrician and finger-wagging.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 17 November 2015 17:06 (eight years ago) link

They're still running with this - ok they're going to hang him anyway, still think he should let them make the rope rather than hand it over himself.

ledge, Wednesday, 18 November 2015 09:01 (eight years ago) link

Was thinking there hasn't been a lot on JC's comments - I suppose because the events in Paris are pushing almost everything else to the background.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 18 November 2015 09:23 (eight years ago) link

For a hanged man Corbyn has kept pushing the lines he was elected for. Don't see him as 'learning on the job'.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 18 November 2015 09:25 (eight years ago) link

Was thinking there hasn't been a lot on JC's comments - I suppose because the events in Paris are pushing almost everything else to the background.

It's because most people outside Westminster, the Labour Party and the media don't actually care either way about them.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 18 November 2015 09:48 (eight years ago) link

Well I am comparing this to the stuff on Trident/would you push the button. Agree most don't care but iirc it would be harder to avoid if you watch the news in passing.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 18 November 2015 09:56 (eight years ago) link

UK media working hard to bring the subject round from something they don't actually care about- dead French people- to something they very much do- pouring shit over Corbyn.

Agents, show the general out. (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 18 November 2015 10:54 (eight years ago) link

I certainly know that my first reaction upon hearing news of the atrocity was "hmmm, I wonder what Jeremy Corbyn thinks of this?"

Matt DC, Wednesday, 18 November 2015 11:20 (eight years ago) link

Well, John Rentoul certainly wasn't the only one.

Agents, show the general out. (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 18 November 2015 12:16 (eight years ago) link

http://www.politics.co.uk/news/2015/11/20/zac-goldsmith-would-scrap-all-london-s-bus-lanes

All bus lanes would be scrapped in London under plans being considered by the Conservative London mayoral candidate Zac Goldsmith.

Goldsmith told LBC's Nick Ferrari, that the rise of electric cars means that there will soon be "no point" in having bus lanes.

Only buses, cyclists and black cabs are allowed to use the lanes currently.

However, he said he would first allow electric cars to use the lanes as a perk, before scrapping them altogether.

is this total bollocks? or could electric cars become incredible cheap? i'm finding it hard to see how many more vehicles on the road is a functional solution to anything.

doing my Objectives, handling some intense stuff (LocalGarda), Friday, 20 November 2015 10:43 (eight years ago) link

*incredibly cheap

doing my Objectives, handling some intense stuff (LocalGarda), Friday, 20 November 2015 10:43 (eight years ago) link

"no point" in having bus laneses.

Mark G, Friday, 20 November 2015 10:47 (eight years ago) link

It's not like a Tory mayoral candidate to have zero understanding of normal people's lives...

Matt DC, Friday, 20 November 2015 10:50 (eight years ago) link

Why does he think bus lanes exist, exactly? Some vague notion of pollution-busting?

stet, Friday, 20 November 2015 10:51 (eight years ago) link

I think that if I am right and I am absolutely convinced I am

I have been OTM in this manifesto

stet, Friday, 20 November 2015 10:52 (eight years ago) link

deregulate the underground and let people drive their own tube carriages to work

she used alt+3 like an ascii heart (NickB), Friday, 20 November 2015 10:53 (eight years ago) link

Who was it who said they travel on the tube "all the time", then proposed that they go sit in the buffet car/bar?

Mark G, Friday, 20 November 2015 10:55 (eight years ago) link

yeah it's strange - his theory seems to be nobody would get the bus anymore because... electric cars would make them to feel better about polluting. as if people choose the bus for environmental reasons.

deregulate the underground and let people drive their own tube carriages to work

move the bus lanes into the tube. more room for cars above ground.

doing my Objectives, handling some intense stuff (LocalGarda), Friday, 20 November 2015 10:55 (eight years ago) link

Absolutely astonishing.

Thank you, Tory toff mayoral candidate for cheering me up this morning

He should be mocked for this to the end of his days obv

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 20 November 2015 11:48 (eight years ago) link

Thank you, Tory toff mayoral candidate for cheering me up this morning
He should be mocked for this to the end of his days obv

Instead he'll be elected Mayor of London.

Caput Johannis in Disco (Tom D.), Friday, 20 November 2015 12:27 (eight years ago) link

Note from building's management today.

Counter Terrorism Awareness Week

Next Monday, 23rd November, marks the start of Counter Terrorism Awareness Week. This is an annual event that takes place across London and is not linked to recent events in Paris.

With regard to the Estate, the Police will be deploying additional resources throughout the week. These include Armed Vehicle Check Points on approach roads, increased aerial observation and high visibility patrols using foot and horse mounted officers.

The intent, here and across the Capital, is to provide reassurance and will enhance the existing security regime on the Estate.

Please be assured that these operations are not in response to recent events.

Well, thanks. That's good to know. It's certainly raised my awareness of counter-terrorism.

La Düsseldork (Branwell with an N), Friday, 20 November 2015 12:29 (eight years ago) link

nothing sweeter than gliding along in the bus lane past a road full of stationary cars

when's international me day? (Noodle Vague), Friday, 20 November 2015 17:27 (eight years ago) link

Twitter is going nuts bc McDonnell apparently quoted from Mao's red book and then threw it across the table at Osborne?

Matt DC, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 14:07 (eight years ago) link

If true I think this is definitely in the 'he could make things easier for himself' category.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 14:08 (eight years ago) link

LOL:

McDonnell brandishes a copy of Mao’s Little Red Book, and he quotes from it: “We must learn to do economic work from all, no matter who they are.” He thought this advice would come in handy for Osborne, McDonnell says.

My man

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 14:17 (eight years ago) link

Seriously McDonnell should've made way more out of the Tax Credits u-turn than he appears to have. otoh he has no advance copy of this..

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 14:20 (eight years ago) link

he promised not to do that on the Marr show.

xelab, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 14:21 (eight years ago) link

He's taking the piss obviously, but a) perhaps now is not really the time, and b) either he really hadn't thought about how it might be used against him, or he went ahead and did it anyway. You have to wonder whether he bothers to run any of this stuff past Corbyn first.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 14:22 (eight years ago) link

It's probably slightly better than taking the leader of the Chinese Communist Party for a pint though.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 14:24 (eight years ago) link

Well, it's one way of moving the news cycle on from labour divisions over Syria.

Agents, show the general out. (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 25 November 2015 14:32 (eight years ago) link

https://youtu.be/Fm3SNk3ffoA

ogmor, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 14:52 (eight years ago) link

I think I remember (but may be mistaken) when the Guardian wasn't such a completely predictable mark.

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/nov/25/austerity-tory-milibandism-labour-capitalism

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 14:55 (eight years ago) link

Nothing wrong with being a predictable mark!

Mark G, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 15:15 (eight years ago) link

I knew I was going to say that.

Mark G, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 15:16 (eight years ago) link

What the fuck was he thinking?

AlanSmithee, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 15:17 (eight years ago) link

— Rafael Behr (@rafaelbehr)
November 25, 2015

Chris Leslie, Yvette Cooper scouring CSR small print on backbenches. Reminder that McDonnell never done rapid budget reaction. Others have

Chris + Yvette 4 Lab front bench 4 evah and evah.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 15:19 (eight years ago) link

And here is a Guardian video with Osborne’s best jokes.

Thanks but I'll pass.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 15:44 (eight years ago) link

Scouring the small print is just basic competence though, surely McDonnell thought to have someone do it?

Matt DC, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 15:49 (eight years ago) link

Yeah- Chris Leslie and Yvette Cooper.

Agents, show the general out. (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 25 November 2015 16:07 (eight years ago) link

Sounds like a proper 'division of labour', eh readers? Ho ho ho

Agents, show the general out. (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 25 November 2015 16:07 (eight years ago) link

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/nov/25/john-mcdonnell-mao-zedong-little-red-book-george-osborne

Former shadow business secretary Chuka Umunna said he was not sure why McDonnell had referred to Mao as a joke.

“The last politicians that I quoted, who have inspired me, are Nelson Mandela and Martin Luther King, Keir Hardie – they’re the ones I tend to quote. But that’s my choice. I haven’t quoted a communist before and I have no intention of doing so in the future,” he said.

Chuka in being as dull as dust non-shockah.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 16:14 (eight years ago) link

McDonnell pulled out a copy of the book to make a point about George Osborne’s relationship with the Chinese

Caput Johannis in Disco (Tom D.), Wednesday, 25 November 2015 16:22 (eight years ago) link

I wouldn't have done it myself, mind you.

Caput Johannis in Disco (Tom D.), Wednesday, 25 November 2015 16:22 (eight years ago) link

(xxp) Keir Hardie is an inspirational figure for Chuka Umuna? Aye, right.

Caput Johannis in Disco (Tom D.), Wednesday, 25 November 2015 16:26 (eight years ago) link

It's pretty obvious by this point that Chuka is basically a moron who fancies himself as an arch-Machiavel.

A lot of usually jaunty Twitter Marxists getting angry about how everyone is focusing on this and not any of the issues of substance, which is true, but if you're a sr Labour member maybe think about that before you indulge in the sort of deliberately scene-stealing nobbish debating society Punch-and-Judy performance that Corbyn's front bench is supposed to be against.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 16:36 (eight years ago) link

Absolutely. If John McDonnell had concentrated on the substance, so would everyone else.

AlanSmithee, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 16:41 (eight years ago) link

Tom Watson didn't look too amused either. Maybe the tax-credit u-turn took wrong footed him and it was his plan b?

There seem to be loads of rubbish popping up on the newsfeeds predictably quoting Mao's death tolls/ruinous policies.

xelab, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 16:44 (eight years ago) link

Good job the Communist Party is not in charge of China anymore then.

Caput Johannis in Disco (Tom D.), Wednesday, 25 November 2015 16:57 (eight years ago) link

No one in the media is going to give them a fair hearing anyway, and fuck the gamification of politics, but "hey, we've got nothing to lose so might as well take a shit on the table to stir things up" isn't a particularly sustainable way to win an argument either.

Much as I hate shouting "u-turn!" when said u-turn is patently the correct course of action, the tax credit change was a genuine victory for Corbyn and they should have just said so, again and again and again.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 17:01 (eight years ago) link

(Even if everyone else is claiming credit for it as well)

Matt DC, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 17:10 (eight years ago) link

The Guardian was giving it a big-up to Frank Field for the u-turn on tax credits. But yes its actually the energies marshalled by Corbyn and front-bench that have had a big role to play.

Also the backtrack on police cuts - while that was more due to the Paris attacks - could also have been seen as credit for Labour.

Maybe the tax-credit u-turn took wrong footed him and it was his plan b?

It was very easy to portray this as a victory for the Labour front-bench (one of a few but this is from the Budget side of things) and where they are strongest: domestic issues and dealing with questions around austerity.

Once the noise dies down I like to think McDonnell will learn from the experience and have better responses to come, even though the autumn statement is such a shambles of an occasion (austerity goes on boo-fucking-hoo isn't Osborne such a genius to do a bit less of it) I am not too bothered either way.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 17:17 (eight years ago) link

I doubt most people will be crediting Tories, or, chortle, the Lib Dems for getting Osborne to u-turn. There will be plenty of time to blow this particular trumpet in the future.

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 25 November 2015 17:51 (eight years ago) link

The u-turn won't make any difference to those who have been moved onto Universal Credit and have already taken the cut. I don't know the numbers but there will be lot of people who won't getting any good news today.

xelab, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 18:00 (eight years ago) link

Predictably Johnathon Jones is doing another of his shite Communionism wikis.

xelab, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 18:06 (eight years ago) link

Jonathon Jones even

xelab, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 18:07 (eight years ago) link

christ. tory press release on why mao is bad.

https://twitter.com/GerryHassan/status/669578525083607040

Fizzles, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 18:19 (eight years ago) link

https://twitter.com/Birdyword/status/669510776902787072

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 20:04 (eight years ago) link

Crocodile tears:

https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/669538952731164673

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 20:44 (eight years ago) link

i literally can't think of anything more heartbreaking for the Labour party than a Labour shadow chancellor ironically quoting leftist rhetoric

when's international me day? (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 25 November 2015 20:45 (eight years ago) link

McDonnell is a disaster.

Karl Rove Knausgård (jim in glasgow), Wednesday, 25 November 2015 21:16 (eight years ago) link

I thought it was a bit of a misjudgement maybe, he didn't literally take a shit or it isn't like he pulled out Mein Kampf. My main criticism is he still could have addressed cuts in social care, "hidden cuts" that are integrated into Universal Credit, he could have made things more uncomfortable for Osbourne without reneging on his promise not to make political capital on a u-turn.

xelab, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 22:22 (eight years ago) link

just a bizarre stunt. would be charitable to call it poorly conceived and executed. the extremely minimal chance that a left-wing labour party could compete electorally with the tories in england has p much already been utterly squandered. corbyn's people are incompetent, the blairite internal opposition truculent, and britain is teetering over the precipice of a period of indefinite tory rule.

Karl Rove Knausgård (jim in glasgow), Wednesday, 25 November 2015 22:36 (eight years ago) link

not sure why i didn't realize that weird internal rhyme was going on in the last sentence

Karl Rove Knausgård (jim in glasgow), Wednesday, 25 November 2015 22:36 (eight years ago) link

I wouldn't say we are "teetering over the precipice of a period of indefinite tory rule" - and whatever everyone is saying about how the cuts have been softened, it was the vote from the Lord's that rollled that back. A lot of that is due to Corbyn and Mcdonnell being there.

The polls (even the 'adjusted ones') haven't moved from the election. This is minor stuff. There are a lot more shocks to come to this country so no need to jump the gun on anything.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 22:53 (eight years ago) link

Tory rule since 1979 feels fairly indefinite already tbh

when's international me day? (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 25 November 2015 22:54 (eight years ago) link

and yeah this kind of goof is irrelevant to the electorate

when's international me day? (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 25 November 2015 22:55 (eight years ago) link

In any kind of autumn statement can anyone remember anything Ed Balls said about it? No small detail super-response would have killed off the chancellor, a mere few months into a new parliament.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 23:00 (eight years ago) link

Corbyn's guys are incompetent
the Blairite basterds truculent
and Britain is teetering
over the brink of in-
definite Tory government

Sorry, English is my second language.

Frederik B, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 23:09 (eight years ago) link

ha!

Karl Rove Knausgård (jim in glasgow), Wednesday, 25 November 2015 23:11 (eight years ago) link

orson_welles_applause.gif

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 25 November 2015 23:12 (eight years ago) link

In my entirely scientific survey of one working class Labour voter (my workmate, Tracey) McDonnell's Mao stunt met with no little approval,

Tracey (holding copy of Metro and pointing at picture of John McDonnell): "Here, I like this geezer, he's a character, chucked a book at him, ditn't he?"
Me (thinks): "Hmmm, I must share this observation with my fellow ILXors at the first opportunity."

Caput Johannis in Disco (Tom D.), Thursday, 26 November 2015 10:13 (eight years ago) link

Comments after Chinese news outlet posted an article about it.

1,200 people liked the post, some because they are enthusiastic about the ideology of Mao, and others because they found it amusing.
One wrote: “Uh-oh! Mao’s leftwing ideologies are rising up again!”
Another said: “The ‘five mao’s’ will never understand foreigners' humour."
And still another: “But Mao did not appear to learn from those who really understood economics.”

xelab, Thursday, 26 November 2015 10:27 (eight years ago) link

I meant to say Chinese news outlet Sina, posting this on a tablet with fat fingers.

xelab, Thursday, 26 November 2015 10:31 (eight years ago) link

Another said: “The ‘five mao’s’ will never understand foreigners' humour."

five guys named mao?

nashwan, Thursday, 26 November 2015 10:50 (eight years ago) link

:)

motörhead - or gaz, matron? (NickB), Thursday, 26 November 2015 10:58 (eight years ago) link

The Tories have taken so many leaves out of Communism's book - denouncing intellectuals, work groups, five-year plans, you get the idea - not to mention a very unpopular decision to sell infrastructure to China, McDonnell missed about 342424 effective book-throwing punch-lines including the phrase 'five-year plan' (the one fact low-attention voters know about Communist governments). Then John McDonnell wouldn't have spent half of yesterday having to explain that he was joking.

voodoo rage (suzy), Thursday, 26 November 2015 11:52 (eight years ago) link

including the phrase 'five-year plan' (the one fact low-attention voters know about Communist governments).

Really?

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 26 November 2015 11:59 (eight years ago) link

Well, if not the one thing, certainly a widely-known concept that would be a better basis for LRB-throwing japes in Parliament.

voodoo rage (suzy), Thursday, 26 November 2015 12:01 (eight years ago) link

After watching the footage I'd rather McDonnell hadn't done it but I really loved Tom Watson's face the most. Then the commentariat come in with a 'he has to look credible' and you are more than glad he's done it and you wouldn't change a thing about it.

It is probably the only thing people will remember, especially if all of Gideon's plans tank.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 26 November 2015 12:16 (eight years ago) link

In terms of the actual substantive issue, it might prove to have been useful to have put down a memorable marker on labour's attitude to the flogging off of infrastructure to the PRC.

Altho lol substantive issues, obviously

Agents, show the general out. (Bananaman Begins), Thursday, 26 November 2015 17:25 (eight years ago) link

The Shadow Cabinet met straight after the Statement finished.

Jeremy Corbyn was late in and said the meeting would have to last no more than 45 minutes. Shadow Education Secretary Lucy Powell said that it should be as long as it needed to be.

Amongst those who spoke in favour of military action were Vernon Coaker, Tom Watson (who emphasised his vote against Libyan military action), Hilary Benn, Michael Dugher, Angela Eagle and Lucy Powell.

Lucy Powell was also briefly involved in a rebuke to Diane Abbott who she told off for being offensive.

Diane Abbott was one of the small number of Shadow ministers who spoke in agreement with Jeremy Corbyn (the others were Jon Trickett and the Chairman of the Parliamentary Labour Party John Cryer). John McDonnell didn’t speak.

http://blogs.channel4.com/gary-gibbon-on-politics/syria-70000-45-minutes/31952

LOL'd at Jer's "45 minutes" hopefully intentional zinga

nashwan, Thursday, 26 November 2015 17:52 (eight years ago) link

uok Lucy Powell?

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 26 November 2015 17:58 (eight years ago) link

Is it too cynical to think that, for the Parliamentary Labour Party, this isn't about bombing Syria but removing Corbyn?

Caput Johannis in Disco (Tom D.), Thursday, 26 November 2015 19:03 (eight years ago) link

If PLP oust Corbyn over a war none of the membership wants, then Labour will *definitely* be unelectable for the foreseeable. And nobody will be allowed to blame it on poor old JC.

voodoo rage (suzy), Thursday, 26 November 2015 19:59 (eight years ago) link

He might resign.

Caput Johannis in Disco (Tom D.), Thursday, 26 November 2015 20:04 (eight years ago) link

Is it too cynical to think that, for the Parliamentary Labour Party, this isn't about bombing Syria but removing Corbyn?

― Caput Johannis in Disco (Tom D.), Thursday, 26 November 2015 Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Not at all cynical. That at least a few from the PLP are voting with the Tories to nail Corbyn is a real, real low.

That letter he issued after the meeting is great - not 'tactically' but its all v Brian Clough @ Leeds Utd right now I think. Unlike Clough I would like to think Corbyn will stick it out. The members - as the poll published earlier this week showed - are v happy with him.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 26 November 2015 22:14 (eight years ago) link

Don't resign Jez, time for a purge.

xelab, Thursday, 26 November 2015 22:45 (eight years ago) link

'37 style please.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 26 November 2015 22:47 (eight years ago) link

Just been reading this ok-ish book about team-Stalin. He had an enviable team of acolytes assisting him to total power, but only one stone arse.

xelab, Thursday, 26 November 2015 23:05 (eight years ago) link

Yeah I saw your post about it on ILB.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 26 November 2015 23:06 (eight years ago) link

I doubt the Labour rebellion will be big enough to be material. There are better hills to die on than a clusterfuck war where half your allies hate each other, and with a psychopathic dictator, no clear plan for what to do when you've finished bombing, and the near certainty of violent retaliation.

Matt DC, Thursday, 26 November 2015 23:18 (eight years ago) link

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3336942/Chairman-Corbyn-s-Maoist-Britain-Clarkson-education-camp-giant-posters-people-s-hero-Diane-Abbott-compulsory-ping-pong-historian-s-brilliantly-witty-chilling-vision-future.html

So began the first of the purges. Live on national television, well-known writers and thinkers — Melvyn Bragg, Germaine Greer, Mary Beard, David Starkey — were rounded up by Red Guards and driven deep into the countryside, where they were presented with hoes and brusquely instructed to begin tilling the land.

Isn't this a good thing?

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 28 November 2015 10:27 (eight years ago) link

"Brilliantly witty".

Caput Johannis in Disco (Tom D.), Saturday, 28 November 2015 10:34 (eight years ago) link

chilling vision of the future where people have to do hard manual labour to earn a living

Noodle Vape (Noodle Vague), Saturday, 28 November 2015 10:38 (eight years ago) link

The long Guardian piece on the build up to the Tory youth suicide was astonishing. Like, I read it with a mix of prurience and horror but you got this overwhelming sense of all these terrible human beings fancying themselves as characters from House of Cards.

No one seemed to have noticed how deeply fucked up the kid himself was, the piece seemed to suggest he thought he could bring about a scandal that would destroy the Tory Party by lying in front of a train.

Matt DC, Saturday, 28 November 2015 11:28 (eight years ago) link

student/youth pols are the worst idiots, asocial weirdos entirely reminiscent of infants playing mums and dads in the home corner until suddenly wow they are on the fringes of government with no discernible change in intelligence or ability, in a way this shit is worse than when the entire House of Commons was anonymous former bank managers and younger sons of the nobility at least they had a quiet gravitas

Noodle Vape (Noodle Vague), Saturday, 28 November 2015 11:36 (eight years ago) link

I crossed paths with that Mark Clarke bloke about five years ago in a Tooting pub where my brother's band were playing. He was slaughtered, started hassling some girls in our rabble and just generally being a boorish twat, and goading my large-ish mate who you should not fuck with. My memories of the evening are quite vague, but he was bleating on about how he was a Tory councillor/candidate, as if to justify his dickish, arrogant behaviour, then someone in our group told him I was a Guardian journalist (not mentioning I was a music freelancer, not a politics writer), and he started getting really agitated and in my face. He seemed proper coked up, if you ask me, and the evening ended with my large-ish mate socking him in the mouth after continually harassing a couple of our female friends, and his mate dragging him away saying "it's not worth it, Mark, it's not worth it." They were both dressed in nasty suits on a saturday night in a pub putting on a gig. Did not put one and one together and realise it was the same bloke until reading that Simon Hattenstone piece last night. A right nasty piece of work.

I don't have the time or energy to make a counterargument (stevie), Saturday, 28 November 2015 11:38 (eight years ago) link

Genuinely felt for the parents as well, like the father was in the steel industry and you could tell he didn't agree with a thing his son believed, he did a pretty good job of not displaying the unbelievable anger he must be feeling.

Matt DC, Saturday, 28 November 2015 11:45 (eight years ago) link

I had incredible admiration for his parents. I can't imagine what they're going through.

I don't have the time or energy to make a counterargument (stevie), Saturday, 28 November 2015 11:50 (eight years ago) link

Looks like Shapps is a goner over this. One of those ministers whose continued career has been bewildering for so long.

Matt DC, Saturday, 28 November 2015 13:30 (eight years ago) link

Fingers crossed.

Caput Johannis in Disco (Tom D.), Saturday, 28 November 2015 13:33 (eight years ago) link

... he's just resigned!

Caput Johannis in Disco (Tom D.), Saturday, 28 November 2015 13:37 (eight years ago) link

That was a hell of an article

cardamon, Saturday, 28 November 2015 14:10 (eight years ago) link

His seat, or his cabinet position? I WANT THE FULL SCALP. xp

Stevie, find a friendly newspaper and sell that story.

voodoo rage (suzy), Saturday, 28 November 2015 14:11 (eight years ago) link

Sort of more proof that people join the Tories because they're horrible people and the Tories fight the corner of horrible people

cardamon, Saturday, 28 November 2015 14:12 (eight years ago) link

^^Clarke did in fact oppose Sadiq Khan in Tooting, so if this is how he was behaving under those circs....

voodoo rage (suzy), Saturday, 28 November 2015 14:13 (eight years ago) link

Suzy, I remember it too vaguely and worry too much that my mate might get in trouble! I seem to remember Clarke saying some racist shit about Khan that night too though.

I don't have the time or energy to make a counterargument (stevie), Saturday, 28 November 2015 14:17 (eight years ago) link

Fuckin' Tories in Tooting... the 21st Century is a weird weird place...

I don't have the time or energy to make a counterargument (stevie), Saturday, 28 November 2015 14:17 (eight years ago) link

Shapps hasn't quite resigned yet, it seems.

Caput Johannis in Disco (Tom D.), Saturday, 28 November 2015 14:36 (eight years ago) link

not sorry to see Shapps go but the angle that this letter from Lady Warsi contradicts his claim that he had not received any complaints about Clarke's alleged bullying and abuse seems sort of odd to me, what Warsi is complaining about in the letter seems pretty significantly different than the other shit Clarke was apparently getting up to?

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/nov/27/lady-warsi-letter-warning-tory-party-chair-grant-shapps-of-bullying-by-aide

soref, Saturday, 28 November 2015 14:51 (eight years ago) link

trick question!

a hastily-observed cruet (seandalai), Saturday, 28 November 2015 16:05 (eight years ago) link

It must have been a very strange experience to be part of that young conservative campaign group. My little meltdown upthread about how one could imagine people being bigoted against benefits claimants was ... one thing, l'm only mentioning it again by contrast to how difficult it is to imagine being a late teen/early 20s person and being fully if naively invested in the Conservative Party (as opposed to conservative ideas) in 2015.

cardamon, Sunday, 29 November 2015 00:09 (eight years ago) link

Reading this story now and this detail on YBF is just:

In 2003 Blaney founded the Young Britons’ Foundation, a conservative training, education and research thinktank established to “help train tomorrow centre-right leaders and activists today”. YBF is proudly cross-party. Its executive director, Matthew Richardson, is also the party secretary of Ukip. Blaney has called YBF “a madrasa” that radicalises rightwing conservatives and embraces American-style “attack-dog” politics. YBF claims to have trained thousands of activists, taking them on trips to America where they met neo-conservative groups and visited a shooting range in Virginia to fire submachine guns and assault rifles.

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 29 November 2015 00:13 (eight years ago) link

Found the references to the "right wing movement" fairly chilling tbh.

Caput Johannis in Disco (Tom D.), Sunday, 29 November 2015 01:08 (eight years ago) link

yeah I was wondering "what kind of people would want to be a Young Tory?" but after that bit it struck me "aha that kind of people"

a hastily-observed cruet (seandalai), Sunday, 29 November 2015 01:26 (eight years ago) link

Logically, national security agencies like the MI5 should be monitoring extremists like this.

xelab, Sunday, 29 November 2015 01:30 (eight years ago) link

The pedantic apostrophe in Britons' is the scariest bit. These people will kill

wut

noe love derp wev (wins), Sunday, 29 November 2015 10:04 (eight years ago) link

Imago is a writer - every comma matters.

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 29 November 2015 14:54 (eight years ago) link

List of murders committed by the Writers' Guild

noe love derp wev (wins), Sunday, 29 November 2015 15:47 (eight years ago) link

It must have been a very strange experience to be part of that young conservative campaign group. My little meltdown upthread about how one could imagine people being bigoted against benefits claimants was ... one thing, l'm only mentioning it again by contrast to how difficult it is to imagine being a late teen/early 20s person and being fully if naively invested in the Conservative Party (as opposed to conservative ideas) in 2015.

― cardamon, Sunday, November 29, 2015 12:09 AM (16 hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

is it, though

thwomp (thomp), Sunday, 29 November 2015 16:41 (eight years ago) link

They all seem like awful, awful people, but there are a lot of awful people about, and maybe who am I to judge?

I don't have the time or energy to make a counterargument (stevie), Sunday, 29 November 2015 17:09 (eight years ago) link

(xp) Indeed.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Sunday, 29 November 2015 17:17 (eight years ago) link

Even when London becomes annexed by the North Sea, there will still be young tory twats. There wasn't some magic 2015 enlightenment where people could no longer be inured to the shittiness of our current government.

xelab, Sunday, 29 November 2015 18:15 (eight years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CVAu-zqWIAEW_99.jpg

Matt DC, Monday, 30 November 2015 11:04 (eight years ago) link

"I'm not having that."

Matt DC, Monday, 30 November 2015 11:07 (eight years ago) link

That's bang out of order.

Matt DC, Monday, 30 November 2015 11:08 (eight years ago) link

my own citizens

pandemic, Monday, 30 November 2015 11:09 (eight years ago) link

are those the leadership qualities we're told corbyn lacks

lex pretend, Monday, 30 November 2015 11:13 (eight years ago) link

"I'll do time," Cameron said.

I don't have the time or energy to make a counterargument (stevie), Monday, 30 November 2015 11:18 (eight years ago) link

I'm going to fucking do him.

Matt DC, Monday, 30 November 2015 11:33 (eight years ago) link

David Davis wading in - "leeeave it, he ain't worth it".

Matt DC, Monday, 30 November 2015 11:34 (eight years ago) link

What I've seen of Corbyn on Marr yesterday was clear with no intention of going anywhere. A lot of Blairites saying Corbyn isn't even attempting to convince but how can you do that when the shadow Cabinet are talking to the press (lol shadow cabinet sources) like there is no tomorrow?

xyzzzz__, Monday, 30 November 2015 11:40 (eight years ago) link

"I'm not having that."

(xp) I bet he had his shirt sleeves rolled up when he said all that.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Monday, 30 November 2015 11:45 (eight years ago) link

They have their shirt sleeves rolled up all the time now. That's Major's legacy.

Mark G, Monday, 30 November 2015 11:52 (eight years ago) link

Not at all, Cameron had to be schooled in the rolling up of the shirt sleeves during the election campaign.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Monday, 30 November 2015 11:53 (eight years ago) link

yeah, and now it's 'now'.

Mark G, Monday, 30 November 2015 11:59 (eight years ago) link

Training briefly abandoned after he rolled a cigarette up into the sleeves and stuck a pack behind his ear.

Andrew Farrell, Monday, 30 November 2015 12:08 (eight years ago) link

"with brimstone, decapitation raids are more likely to be authorised"

aside from stray use of the word decapitation in a story about bombing a terrorist group who decapitate people, can anyone decipher what this means? with this fancy tool we will allow ourselves to... do "decapitation raids"??

japanese mage (LocalGarda), Monday, 30 November 2015 12:37 (eight years ago) link

protect ya neck

nashwan, Monday, 30 November 2015 13:15 (eight years ago) link

"these Isis geezers really do me 'ead in" Cameron told aides

a hastily-observed cruet (seandalai), Monday, 30 November 2015 13:35 (eight years ago) link

Looks like Corbyn's offering a free vote on Syria. Be interesting to see how many of the MPs voting in favour also abstained on the welfare cap for reasons of 'party unity'.

Matt DC, Monday, 30 November 2015 14:22 (eight years ago) link

also keen to see how many voting for bombs are willing to give a number on how many refugees they'd welcome as a theoretical result

nashwan, Monday, 30 November 2015 14:25 (eight years ago) link

Almost certainly going to get air-strikes now. Corbyn wants a two-day debate so he is not exactly afraid of amplifying disagreements.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 30 November 2015 14:26 (eight years ago) link

— George Eaton (@georgeeaton)
November 30, 2015

Shadow cabinet member told me that free vote would leave Labour "unfit for government".

Why doesn't this Shadow Cabinet member resign?

xyzzzz__, Monday, 30 November 2015 14:46 (eight years ago) link

@TristramHuntMP
Beyond excited that #StokeOnTrent is finally going to get a @PizzaExpress

Matt DC, Monday, 30 November 2015 14:59 (eight years ago) link

At this point I just want Corbyn to put himself out of his misery, watch them elect some ultra-Blairite cunt because they're the only ones allowed on the ballot, and then sit back and watch them lose anyway.

Matt DC, Monday, 30 November 2015 15:02 (eight years ago) link

Milne will shoot 'em down Matt don't worry just give him time.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 30 November 2015 15:05 (eight years ago) link

i've said from day one the most important thing Corbyn can do is take the party away from the hands of these vermin rather than worry about the next election, maybe this is part of his strategy to offer them enough rope

Noodle Vape (Noodle Vague), Monday, 30 November 2015 17:33 (eight years ago) link

otm, mostly important to re-orient Labour and its a long-term project (so equally important that Corbyn stays for as long as poss).

What we are seeing is a major party in anti-imperialist mode. That's significant.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 30 November 2015 17:42 (eight years ago) link

Not necessarily - if Corbyn stays a full term and fucks up really badly, it's possible that the rest of the party might go running into the arms of another Blairite. Not sure who that would be, mind.

If they try and unseat him early, either through a direct challenge or just by rebelling so frequently it makes his position untenable, they're more likely to elect whoever is most like him. As long as there's this level of disconnect between the party and most of its MPs, any lol "moderate" that pledges to continue austerity is going to fail.

Matt DC, Monday, 30 November 2015 19:56 (eight years ago) link

oh it's quite possible that some version of complacent lib dem is always going to form the bulk of the PLP from now on, i'm far from hopeful that Corbyn can succeed in realigning the party, but i think it's important to look at the in-fighting now in terms of a necessary struggle rather than a distraction from putting a shiny unified spin on a 2020 election campaign

Noodle Vape (Noodle Vague), Monday, 30 November 2015 20:08 (eight years ago) link

even the leadership election helped draw out the sheer reactionary spite of all folks Blairite - rather than bounce platitudes off one another and their pet journalists we got to see just how desperate they are to oppose any form of Labour politics that threatens to contest a neolib economic narrative and a neocon social/foreign policy

Noodle Vape (Noodle Vague), Monday, 30 November 2015 20:12 (eight years ago) link

I can definitely see some kind of horrific interim leader (surely Harriet Harman can be convinced to reprise her star turn?) declaring that job number one is a further purge of who can and cannot vote in the leadership election.

Andrew Farrell, Monday, 30 November 2015 20:17 (eight years ago) link

i'm not sure of the exact proportions of hypocrites to idiots bleating about how badly the worst off will suffer if the Tories win in 2020 but they don't have much to say about what Blair did with 10 years of rock solid majority gov to make lasting improvements in the life chances of working class people or to reverse even a fraction of the fragmentation and marginalization of the poor or to rebalance an economic base reduced to coffee shops and crooked financial institutions - the next twat that suggests Corbyn has even a sliver of responsibility for what's happening to the NHS needs the letters PFI branded onto their dense, dense skulls

Noodle Vape (Noodle Vague), Monday, 30 November 2015 20:19 (eight years ago) link

I got my Paula Sherriff email today and she is voting against the motion for airstrikes, she also voted against the Welfare Reform Bill but was a big Yvette Cooper stan, no-ones perfect I suppose.

xelab, Monday, 30 November 2015 20:37 (eight years ago) link

Quite hard to know whether Corbyn will fuck up quite badly unless its really obvious.

Can Momentum round up the members of the PLP voting for the bombing plz?

xyzzzz__, Monday, 30 November 2015 21:16 (eight years ago) link

wait what i thought we oh never mind

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CVF6YjVWwAEW0E2.jpg

Merdeyeux, Monday, 30 November 2015 22:36 (eight years ago) link

I really don't want to use that hackneyed old phrase, "You couldn't make it up" but...

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Monday, 30 November 2015 22:46 (eight years ago) link

metro's mail group isnt it? mail, express, telegraph and metro all lead with "corbyn caving in means war/air strikes" headlines.

deranged and co-ordinated-looking. only beats mind-numbing predictability by exceeding expectations.

Fizzles, Monday, 30 November 2015 22:58 (eight years ago) link

Anyone heard much re: Oldham by-election?

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 09:43 (eight years ago) link

Labour will clearly win, Daily Mail has lost interest funnily enough.

Mark G, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 10:28 (eight years ago) link

The Argus asked all 16 Sussex MPs how they will vote. Just Caroline Lucas, MP for Brighton Pavilion, said she would oppose strikes, with eight for and three undecided.

Four MPs had not responded by the time The Argus went to press.

Caroline Ansell, Conservative MP for Eastbourne, said she backed the strikes but described it as “the hardest and most difficult decision an MP can make”.

Maria Caufield, Conservative MP for Lewes, said the attacks in Paris last month had had a “significant effect” in her decision to back strikes.

She said: “If we all voted in ways that we thought were popular and made people happy we would never get anywhere.

“We have to believe we are doing what is fundamentally the right thing to do.

“If we say we are going to do nothing, let’s not pretend people [in Syria] aren’t going to suffer as a result of that.”

Henry Smith, Conservative for Crawley, said RAF air strikes would be more accurate than those by other air forces.

He said: “The way the Russians approach military action is not as sensitive as we do. The RAF will be far more careful to target purely military targets and reduce to a minimum the collateral civil damage. Not to say there will be no collateral damage but what we say to that is that at the moment civilians are being killed in their thousands and we have a moral responsibility.”

^ local newspaper stuff but that last argument is really quite some bullshit

gazcom (NickB), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 10:30 (eight years ago) link

Yeah, I was prepared to allow the "this is the hardest decision I have had to make" as being true enough (if I agree with their decision or not)..

I guess there would always be a "our forces are the best in the world they never kill any innocent people" whoa yeah why not take over the judiciary in this country then?

Mark G, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 10:35 (eight years ago) link

Did the Argus ask the Right Honorable MP for Crawley whether he was confident enough in the intelligence we have on Syria to effectively minimise civilian casualties?

Matt DC, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 10:37 (eight years ago) link

just a bit of feel good humane bombing, i'm sure they know what they're doing

gazcom (NickB), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 10:40 (eight years ago) link

there's also the suggestion that the russians will say yes, your armed forces are innately superior, thank god you're here to do the bombing instead, no need for us bodge it anymore

gazcom (NickB), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 10:51 (eight years ago) link

If we all voted in ways that we thought [...] made people happy we would never get anywhere

good tory motto

Merdeyeux, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 10:55 (eight years ago) link

We owe to our friends and allies to bomb some civilians, we can't just let them do all the bombing of civilians for us, that's not going to put the Great back into Great Britain.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 10:55 (eight years ago) link

Does anyone else find it a bit *off* that David Cameron has cancelled PMQs tomorrow because of the debate?

voodoo rage (suzy), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 10:58 (eight years ago) link

Its entirely predictable.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 11:05 (eight years ago) link

“The way the Russians approach military action is not as sensitive as we do."

Brimstone has been programmed to bid you "good day" before taking your head off.

nashwan, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 11:06 (eight years ago) link

and in the end is right

xpost TIMING!

Mark G, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 11:07 (eight years ago) link

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/dec/01/labour-fire-tories-war-foreign-policy-syria-unite

Looks like Corbyn winning is the worst that could've happened to Owen Jones. Not singing the national anthem is an 'obvious mistake'. The response to Paris attacks bungled etc.? Not a word on members of the shadow cabinet briefing the right-wing media from meetings.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 11:16 (eight years ago) link

are these motions always so vague?

ogmor, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 13:33 (eight years ago) link

those maria caufield quotes provide a particularly asinine example of the sort of earnest stupidity that is generated when ill informed MPs are pushed into the role of expert decision maker

“If we say we are going to do nothing, let’s not pretend people [in Syria] aren’t going to suffer as a result of that.”

power is so weird

ogmor, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 13:38 (eight years ago) link

can't be bothered to read the whole Owen Jones, does he think Corbyn is wrong because he ought to patronise and lie to voters, or because he should be in favour of any foreign policy the Prime Minister tells him is for the best?

Noodle Vape (Noodle Vague), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 13:44 (eight years ago) link

Eh he's not pro war or anti corbyn in that piece, just a bit wishy-washy-hey why can't we all just get along - "There’s a lesson there for other Labour MPs who aren’t natural Corbyn bedfellows: focus on putting the Tories, rather than their own leadership, on the defensive."

ledge, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 13:57 (eight years ago) link

corbyn keeps sticking to his principles, whitehall keeps being utterly enbaffled by it

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 13:58 (eight years ago) link

Corbyn did fuck up over the national anthem thing, but not by refusing to sing. If he'd sung, he'd been accused of being a hypocrite, and his accusers would have been right. His mistake was not to prepare the ground beforehand, he could have been unequivocal, explained his position properly rather than creating a situation where the press were all watching his lips during a memorial service waiting to blow something up. It would have blown up beforehand anyway, but it could have been better controlled.

It's not the biggest unforced error he's made, but he has made them. Cameron and Osborne and Brown have made loads of big avoidable fuckups, bigger than anything Corbyn has been responsible for. But when you're going to punished for every little slip, that's all the more reason to try and minimise them - I suspect the problem is that Corbyn is just not a very good mass communicator, and a lot of his supporters and the people he's surrounded himself with don't really get why good communications is even more important in a hostile environment.

Maybe he should be a bit smarter about picking his battles, I dunno. I'd be a bit more blase about all this if I didn't feel like a once-in-a-generation-opportunity wasn't in danger of being squandered.

If enough Labour MPs vote no, then Corbyn will have done the country a huge favour, for which he will obviously get no credit at all.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 14:15 (eight years ago) link

Like honestly I think xyzzz was just scanning that piece for the tiniest bit of Corbyn criticism to throw his hands up about, if you actually read it properly:

There’s a lesson there for other Labour MPs who aren’t natural Corbyn bedfellows: focus on putting the Tories, rather than their own leadership, on the defensive. The Labour leadership never expected to win: the chaos that ensued is a product of a reluctant figurehead being catapulted into a position of authority with a deeply hostile party machine, parliamentary party and mainstream media. Hence the predictable mistakes, like not singing the national anthem when there are so many other battles to fight; mishandling the admittedly hostile media; and bungling the response to the Paris atrocities. Whether or not Ukip wins in Oldham on Thursday, it has certainly gained as a consequence.

Like if you want to misread that as "not a word on members of the shadow cabinet briefing the right-wing media from meetings" then that's your call.

Why are we even talking about the national anthem thing now anyway?

Matt DC, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 14:21 (eight years ago) link

I just find the behaviour of those who characterise themselves as 'the grown-ups' in Labour UTTERLY CHILDISH. 'Realists' who are no such thing. They'd defeat the government motion very easily if all were minded to vote no, yet the right of the party don't want to hand Corbyn any wins for obvious reasons, but I think they'd have better careers (since they're careerists, fair point) if they worked with him in good faith. Pretty sure no other person doing a job in this country would be allowed/encouraged to contact the media in the middle of a strategy meeting.

Meanwhile, was anyone else watching Newsnight last night? Ridiculous sub-Day Today BAD CORBYN MISSILES graphics, non-stop coverage about Labour rather than digging down into what David Cameron actually wants to do, topped off by an interview with Yves Saint Laurent's widower/business partner Pierre Bergé where Stephen Smith actually showed this venerable old French fashion man a photo of Corbyn in his shorts/socks combo and asked for comments. O RLY?

voodoo rage (suzy), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 14:26 (eight years ago) link

Oh yeah I hope Corbyn and the electorate are taking names of people who would happily bomb an unstable country in order to undermine their leader. I think everyone's agreed that the 'realists' here are awful people.

None of this would be an issue if Cameron was confident of getting the support of all his MPs, the fact that he isn't is going largely uncommented-upon.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 14:30 (eight years ago) link

I don't agree with most of that. I really doubt Corbyn or any of his team ever knew the movement of his lips was going to be picked up. Should he have moderated the angle of his bow at the poppy bash too?

And: "wishy-washy" to say the least. There are members in the shadow cab who pretend to work w/Corbyn to polish their CVs waiting for the day he is kicked. What's Owen Jones saying about this? Oh, not v much.

(Burnham has been ok I think, swallowed up the defeat and seems to be genuinely working with Corbyn.)

xposts = Owen is mentioning the national anthem thing as a 'mistake' Matt, and he hasn't really challenged the shadow cabinet sources that are popping up all over the place, the briefings post every PLP meeting.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 14:31 (eight years ago) link

Meanwhile, was anyone else watching Newsnight last night? Ridiculous sub-Day Today BAD CORBYN MISSILES graphics, non-stop coverage about Labour rather than digging down into what David Cameron actually wants to do, topped off by an interview with Yves Saint Laurent's widower/business partner Pierre Bergé where Stephen Smith actually showed this venerable old French fashion man a photo of Corbyn in his shorts/socks combo and asked for comments. O RLY?

So glad I missed this.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 14:32 (eight years ago) link

I really doubt Corbyn or any of his team ever knew the movement of his lips was going to be picked up.

It should have been completely obvious to them that this was what would happen.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 14:33 (eight years ago) link

#jesusWept

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 14:35 (eight years ago) link

It was his first nationwide appearance since he assumed the leadership - of course it was going to be analysed and overanalysed.

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 14:37 (eight years ago) link

Like it's obvious that neither you nor I think it's important, its infuriating that the average person in this country is more informed about the angle of Corbyn's bow than they are about, say, cuts to mental health services, but a very basic part of leading a party is anticipating what your enemy is going to say about you, and no one has the luxury of just not really thinking too hard about that part.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 14:43 (eight years ago) link

Particularly if your enemy includes most of the newspapers.

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 14:46 (eight years ago) link

haha I really don't give a shit (like I said the angle of his bow was picked at the Remembrance Sunday ceremony, singing and bowing is standing for lots of other things), its more about Owen's re-use of it in that piece - with friends like these etc. xps

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 14:47 (eight years ago) link

Agree with MDC and YMOF; pretty much anyone operating in UK politics at MP/above level knows they've got to sing the songs and do the traditional royal obsequies, starting with the oath to serve The Queen they give upon arriving in Westminster. Maybe Corbyn doesn't want to do the spin thing - and that's fine - but subtle things like awareness of how following customs may play out, wearing clothes that fit, and front-loading one's message so as not to be swept up in manufactured shitstorms that blatantly ignore nuance, that would be a start.

voodoo rage (suzy), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 15:30 (eight years ago) link

It's not even quite knowing you've got to, but knowing that if you won't, it'll be news.

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 15:41 (eight years ago) link

He should also bow properly #neverForget xp

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 15:46 (eight years ago) link

I think he was elected, at least partly, on a "not playing that stupid game" ticket so I think it's fair that he sticks two fingers up at singing the songs and getting the makeover. When he tried to play the game by spinning his way out of the anthem thing by claiming to be deep in reverie or w/e he fucked up imo. The people who pushed him into power would have fully accepted him saying that as an atheist/agnostic republican it would be dishonest to sing/pray to a being he doesn't believe in to save an institution he opposes.

Couldn't believe that Metro cover this morning.

the fiest p (onimo), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 15:48 (eight years ago) link

FYI I didn't say he should have sung the anthem (there would have been a furore even if he had), but that he should have prepared better for it in advance.

Ultimately his aim should be to create, forcibly if need be, a situation where he is listened to on matters of substance, by people who otherwise wouldn't be listening to him. Everything he does should be in service of achieving that aim. That will require a top-class communications function and a proper functioning party machine. But I think Jones is right in saying you do need to know when to pick your battles in order to do that.

He should also be prepared to lay down the law to people pissing and whining, he has the mandate to do that, and stress that anyone publically complaining is going against the wishes of the party's members. Basically, he needs his own version of a Clause Four moment, but I think he's too devoted to a kind of woolly pluralism that allows everyone else to mouth off.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 15:50 (eight years ago) link

The oath to the Queen is a point of entry not a license to do this and that.

---

I think its in JC plans to change certain party rules (er bring back Clause Four) and that kind of thing (know the Unions want him to implement certain changes -- and then probably get rid of him), ultimately leading to a wider cultural change in the party.

In the 3 months or so JC is giving voice to a pacifist, anti-imperialist positions and is being heard on it just by being leader, and carrying on. Re-aligning the party right now is a challenge (probably extending the olive branch in his shadow cab appointments is looking bad but there aren't enough ppl in the PLP to back him fully idk)

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 16:03 (eight years ago) link

Dan Hodges says party members who threaten MPs with deselection are bullying them. I imagine these MPs on the doorstep: "do I have your vote?" "no." "stop bullying me!"

Vasco da Gama, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 16:45 (eight years ago) link

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/dec/01/labour-oldham-west-byelection-jeremy-corbyn

Disaffected voters either don’t know who he is, in which case he’s “just another politician”, or hear him speaking about socialism and solidarity and wonder what he’s blathering on about. Both groups will know full well what his and John McDonnell’s views on the IRA are.

If voters in those groups don't know who JC and JMc are then why would they know their views on the IRA? xp

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 16:47 (eight years ago) link

If his data is so shit hot why wasn't he the lone voice calling the last election?

xelab, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 18:05 (eight years ago) link

"The white working class in Oldham are, as we know, all racist and stupid..."

Matt DC, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 18:53 (eight years ago) link

Is there any country that anyone here is aware of where the leader of the opposition would not be criticized for not singing the national anthem?

the small c conservatism, royalism, and brit/english-nat tendencies of large swathes of the british electorate are not worth alienating over frivolous matters when the same people could potentially be swung by labour positions on substantive issues such as tax credits, housing, education and the nhs.

Karl Rove Knausgård (jim in glasgow), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 19:02 (eight years ago) link

"by labour positions on substantive issues such as tax credits, housing, education and the nhs."

but jim, pre-Corbyn they were practically indistinguishable from the Conservative party

xelab, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 19:05 (eight years ago) link

Yes and I'm arguing that he should focus on a clearly "labour value" driven policy but with compromises over the superficialities.

Karl Rove Knausgård (jim in glasgow), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 19:10 (eight years ago) link

I. E. Singing the vile dirge

Karl Rove Knausgård (jim in glasgow), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 19:10 (eight years ago) link

Sorry I misread you a bit there

xelab, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 19:17 (eight years ago) link

i don't think republicanism is a minor principle that should be tossed aside just like that? i mean it IS a substantive thing to stand firm on. republican gestures in mainstream public life have been sorely fucking needed for some time and it was excellent seeing them from corbyn

lex pretend, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 19:24 (eight years ago) link

every time i think about the pro-bombing labour blairites i get actually angry, imagine using a fucking war for your own careerist internal party political manoeuvring purposes

(i don't get the sense that public opinion is pro-bombing, either)

lex pretend, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 19:25 (eight years ago) link

Unconvinced that royalism is especially strong or deep-rooted as it's routinely made out to be tbh, or that 'large swathes' of the population really give that much of a fuck about the singing of God Save the Queen.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 19:33 (eight years ago) link

presumably the best selling daily newspapers just spout about the royals non-stop as a provocation to their readerships.

Karl Rove Knausgård (jim in glasgow), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 19:39 (eight years ago) link

Actually I sometimes think they're trying to convince them of their worth and importance, though this always seems more true of the BBC's coverage of the royals.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 19:44 (eight years ago) link

It's not super-strong in London or in my friendship groups, but the breederish cupcakes-and-bunting generation just below mine are soppy about the Queen and royals their age - and woe betide any republican in a leadership position in British politics who challenges it because the jingo wing (jingo wings! XD) jumps on it and makes it A THING. It's just a wasp's nest you can avoid poking.

voodoo rage (suzy), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 19:47 (eight years ago) link

Fuck the royals but they are not even in the top fifty things that are wrong with this country at the moment. What they stand for might be, but that's embodied in many other things as well, some of which Corbyn might be in a position to actually do something about.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 20:02 (eight years ago) link

I don't seriously believe that there can be very many Labour MPs who think that their electoral prospects can be improved by yet another war in the Middle East, unless they think it's going to completely destroy Cameron's premiership, or unless they are complete cretins.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 20:10 (eight years ago) link

Fuck the royals but they are not even in the top fifty things that are wrong with this country at the moment.

And yet they will always be No.1 with a bullet for me.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 20:12 (eight years ago) link

Any ideas of % of labour mps would vote yes on this?

estimates started at 100, were subsequently revised down to 60 following corbyn's push back. think the current estimate lies somewhere between 30 and 60.

hot doug stamper (||||||||), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 20:36 (eight years ago) link

43% according to Corbyn but likely to be in the high 20s when it comes to the crunch.

Xp

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 20:37 (eight years ago) link

You must admit that Elizabeth II has been exceptionally good at propping up the throne via canny public relations. Hardest working woman in show business?

Aimless, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 20:39 (eight years ago) link

LOL Lib Dems have also agreed to vote for bombing. xp

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 20:40 (eight years ago) link

Former party leader Nick Clegg told Sky News on Tuesday evening that he and his successor, Tim Farron, felt that “on balance, it is better to take action rather than pursue a course of inaction”.

Statement might as well have read "hey, better to regret something you did than something you didn't do".

Matt DC, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 20:41 (eight years ago) link

Farron was like a wince-inducing vicar on HIGNFY this week

I don't have the time or energy to make a counterargument (stevie), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 20:46 (eight years ago) link

Given that it's highly unlikely to have any impact, positive or negative, Clegg's ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ statement is about as compelling as any in favour.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 20:49 (eight years ago) link

David Cameron has urged Tory MPs to take a stand on fighting terror on the eve of a vote in Parliament on authorising UK airstrikes in Syria.

The prime minister called on them not to "sit on their hands" and side with Jeremy Corbyn and others he labelled "a bunch of terrorist sympathisers".

Matt DC, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 20:59 (eight years ago) link

gross

hot doug stamper (||||||||), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:02 (eight years ago) link

hardly becoming of his office to talk shit like that on an issue that seems to have a lot of ppl honestly divided. classic david cameron, however

hot doug stamper (||||||||), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:03 (eight years ago) link

Behind closed doors but obv leaked on purpose.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:07 (eight years ago) link

Yes, he'll have said that at precisely 7pm so that it leaks just in time to be the lead story in tomorrow's papers. ARSEHOLE.

I would like Jeremy Corbyn to go full-on Demon Headmaster tomorrow. He probably won't, but...

voodoo rage (suzy), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:08 (eight years ago) link

like to think seumas milne & his other attack dogs cd motivate corbyn to ether cameron tomorrow but don't think JC has it in him to be honest

hot doug stamper (||||||||), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:10 (eight years ago) link

Christ has there ever been such an ineloquent British pm as Cameron? I thought that inept Chamberlain quip was crude enough.

xelab, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:12 (eight years ago) link

It's the modern Conservative Party, they won't be happy till Corbyn is found lying beside some railway tracks somewhere in Bedfordshire.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:16 (eight years ago) link

might be time for the "i may be a terrorist sympathiser but you fucked a pig" mic-drop. been waiting for a genuinely cathartic moment in uk politics

Having had a Swedish granddad who was mild-mannered to the point of supine, but could go nuclear if it was a matter of principle, I'm hoping for some emotion. Corbyn has the right to defend himself from this bullshit, and it might be a necessity. Standing up to bullies like Cameron is intrinsically British, anyway - and it might benefit Labour if he does.

voodoo rage (suzy), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:19 (eight years ago) link

Corbyn is not a terrorist sympathiser.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:21 (eight years ago) link

Well they've won the vote anyway, all we can hope for is that they are shamed in the debate beforehand.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:24 (eight years ago) link

Corbyn is more for quiet dignity and I am happy if he is not dragged into the mud. Its not only inaccurate but its also branding Tory rebels (the few of them) as "terrorist sympathisers". Just dumb. xp

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:24 (eight years ago) link

Standing up to bullies like Cameron is intrinsically British, anyway - and it might benefit Labour if he does.

People said this about Miliband as well, it didn't happen.

This looks like such an obviously ill-thought out and avoidable foreign policy blunder in the making that any blowback could be disastrous for Cameron. Is there even much in the way of overt pressure coming from the US?

Matt DC, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:51 (eight years ago) link

Miliband's numbers went up whenever he challenged something unfair, and went down when he did stupid EdStoney things.

Some dickhead on Newsnight hiding behind Chatham House Rules to avoid comment on the 'terrorist sympathiser' insult.

voodoo rage (suzy), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 23:05 (eight years ago) link

Sir Robin Bogg ‏@robinbogg Nov 30

Have just found out Dan Hodges is Glenda Jackson's son, which is tricky cos I like her, but proves that not all her late 60s output was good

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 23:30 (eight years ago) link

bwahaha

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 01:12 (eight years ago) link

This looks like such an obviously ill-thought out and avoidable foreign policy blunder in the making that any blowback could be disastrous for Cameron. Is there even much in the way of overt pressure coming from the US?

idk how much pressure there is from the US or NATO but it's a status thing. It's virtually consequence free and isn't going to make the slightest bit of difference to Syria either way so the choice is either to sit at the top table with France and the US or risk the perception that the UK isn't a major player in world events any more.

I can't imagine ISIS is going to think 'well, we were ok with you bombing us in Iraq but you've crossed a line with your occasional raids in Syria' and there are almost no targets of value left to hit (France responded to the Paris attacks by bombing a football stadium and a chicken farm) so anything that is attacked by the UK is likely to be hit anyway by someone else.

Unless things radically change on the ground, the whole business is a performance - which makes all the bluster even more embarrassing.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 08:48 (eight years ago) link

But we've got magic bombs that are more accurate at taking out specific chickens

Noodle Vape (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 09:11 (eight years ago) link

isn't going to make the slightest bit of difference to Syria either way

If the Magic bombs fail and there are civilian casualties? I know this could probably be covered up with a 'there were ISIS fighters hiding out in that hospital'.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 09:25 (eight years ago) link

I don't think the UK participating in bombing would necessarily mean an escalation in the amount of bombing being done. That's not an argument in favour of the UK getting involved though.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 09:40 (eight years ago) link

idk how much pressure there is from the US or NATO but it's a status thing. It's virtually consequence free and isn't going to make the slightest bit of difference to Syria either way so the choice is either to sit at the top table with France and the US or risk the perception that the UK isn't a major player in world events any more.

it is so depressing that people, much less those governing us, think like this

lex pretend, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 09:43 (eight years ago) link

the only effect i can think of this extended campaign having is to kill or maim people where the bombs fall. that's about the only thing that can be said with any certainty.

japanese mage (LocalGarda), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 09:45 (eight years ago) link

Yes but would a bomb from the UK kill Syrian civilians - totally get this is no escalation.

The pro-bombing side admit that the UK taking part would make no difference whatsoever, so its pure post-imperial hangover and ego. Just about being there as if France or anybody else really care. xxp

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 09:51 (eight years ago) link

it is so depressing that people, much less those governing us, think like this

Peace induces a boredom to a lot of people. If you don't need a hospital, school, library or many public services government is just taking your money in taxes and you've got to see them doing something.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 09:54 (eight years ago) link

xp Yes, the UK has been killing civilians in Iraq since the bombing started there. The idea that Tornadoes are more accurate than every other plane on the planet seems fanciful. Whether it's the UK, the US or France bombing the chicken farm isn't going to make a massive amount of difference to the chickens though.

Imperial hangover is otm.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 09:55 (eight years ago) link

Cameron wants his Falklands

I don't have the time or energy to make a counterargument (stevie), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 09:57 (eight years ago) link

No ground forces.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 10:07 (eight years ago) link

kind of reminiscent of the whole badger cull fiasco, what with the tories rushing to appease the farming lobby with complete disregard for the evidence that it could actually make things worse by dispersing badgers and spreading infection. except now ISIS are the infected badgers in our midst, BAE cosying up with the MOD is DEFRA being dictated to by the NFU, sensitive bombing is the new humane shooting, and Jeremy Corbyn was formerly the guitar player from Queen

gazcom (NickB), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 10:13 (eight years ago) link

i should pad that one out a bit and send it to the guardian tbh

gazcom (NickB), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 10:14 (eight years ago) link

It's witty and it's troubling!

Mark G, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 10:16 (eight years ago) link

Leaving all of Behr's 'evidence' aside (=talking to a few people who mostly agree with him) look at this nugget:

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/dec/02/oldham-byelection-jerermy-corbyn-labour

Outside a shopping centre in the middle of town, I speak to Warren, in his 30s, also a Ukip supporter. He says he’s not into politics but caught snippets of the debate about terrorism on the news. “Cameron was saying ‘enough is enough’ and Corbyn seemed to be saying ‘let bygones be bygones. Let’s hide under a rock’ or something. I think he’s a pussy.”

And you guys were mocking Cameron's "I'm not having it" yesterday. Shows how out of touch you are.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 10:23 (eight years ago) link

There's a big difference between the posh, whiny 'I'm not having it!' and the not-posh 'let's be 'avin you!'.

Not to mention re: badger cull, many farmers were actually opposed to the badger cull because of the cruelty and other reasons already mentioned.

voodoo rage (suzy), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 10:26 (eight years ago) link

Warren and Cameron connect across the class barriers. Quite nice really.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 10:27 (eight years ago) link

The idea that Tornadoes are more accurate than every other plane on the planet seems fanciful.

Similarly the apparent ability of UK to foil numerous attempts in the last year as claimed (repulsive how this was just casually dropped in by PM a few weeks ago - selective disclosure when it suits the bullshit argument, with no real scrutiny and lapped up by pro-bombers), considering how 'easy' the attacks in Paris have come across as.

nashwan, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 10:27 (eight years ago) link

There is a wider question around the issue of when ignorant morons became something for politicians and commentators to tiptoe around rather than people to argue against and try and win over. Guessing this was Gordon Brown's bungled mic check but it felt like it was brewing before that?

Matt DC, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 10:29 (eight years ago) link

I'd like to think that Corbyn's movement building will be a break from just nodding to people.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 10:35 (eight years ago) link

idk how much pressure there is from the US or NATO but it's a status thing. It's virtually consequence free and isn't going to make the slightest bit of difference to Syria either way so the choice is either to sit at the top table with France and the US or risk the perception that the UK isn't a major player in world events any more.

Yes we have to stand shoulder to shoulder with our allies, the French have asked us to help them so we will do so, just like they did in the Iraq War, errrrr, hold on...

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 10:43 (eight years ago) link

There is a wider question around the issue of when ignorant morons became something for politicians and commentators to tiptoe around rather than people to argue against and try and win over. Guessing this was Gordon Brown's bungled mic check but it felt like it was brewing before that?

feels like this has come from america, joe the plumber etc? just like calling your opponent a terrorist.

japanese mage (LocalGarda), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 10:56 (eight years ago) link

Australia, to be more accurate.

A terrorist sympathizer:

http://ichef-1.bbci.co.uk/news/660/media/images/74080000/jpg/_74080982_queenhandshake.jpg

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 10:58 (eight years ago) link

most politicians seem to think everybody outside of their bubble is an ignorant moron tbf so any deference to the people they're supposed to represent is always going to look forced

Sancho Panzer (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 10:59 (eight years ago) link

We have BBC News 24 on in the background at work and the phrase 'so-called Islamic State' is slowly driving me insane.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 11:06 (eight years ago) link

seems like the UK has abandoned any ambition of getting any sort of agreement between the powers involved in syria. given how at odds these powers are, and the already appalling humanitarian & refugee crisis, starting more fires in the name of quick-fix blows to terrorism seems... imprudent. I'm not sure what any realistic amount of changing facts on the ground would do to solve the diplomatic intransigence on the fundamental issues in the region like the kurds and the transition/partition of power. just imagining syria five years in the future seems to be beyond the discourse.

the thing that instills despair is the media credulity; no matter how deranged, baseless and meaningless the standard of debate in westminster gets, it is still politely reported on, questions seriously put to the public and their responses validated and given exposure.

ogmor, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 11:12 (eight years ago) link

So Cameron is due to say that "we should not be pussies about this"

Mark G, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 11:20 (eight years ago) link

yeah a friend was making the point that it is strange that a majority of people actually paid to think about this and decide what's best are managing to conclude that military action is best.

xpost

japanese mage (LocalGarda), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 11:23 (eight years ago) link

Will the UK joining in even mean more bombs overall, or will it just be us dropping a few of the bombs that the US or France would otherwise be dropping?

Matt DC, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 11:28 (eight years ago) link

Our bombs are smarter than the average bomb.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 11:31 (eight years ago) link

I honestly think it'll just be picking up some of the work that France or the US would have been doing anyway. It's not like the UK has any special intel that isn't being shared with allies or that there are any targets not being hit at the moment due to a lack of alternative capacity.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 11:33 (eight years ago) link

special role for UK forces dragging back the French telling them to "leave it he's not worth it" over a charred tundra of former chicken coops

Sancho Panzer (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 11:35 (eight years ago) link

tbc I think there will obviously have to be coordinated military action before there's any semi satisfactory resolution in syria, but each individual country just trying to shoot terrorists from afar is not it

ogmor, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 11:51 (eight years ago) link

John Woodcock, a pro-airstrikes Labour MP, says it would be helpful for Cameron to withdraw his “terrorist sympathisers” remark. But he says it will not affect how MPs vote. And nor will criticism from anti-war campaigners, Woodcock says.

Will he be reassured that nobody on this side of the House will make a decision based on any such remarks or will we be threatened from doing what we believe is the right thing. Whether those threats come from online activists or indeed from our own dispatch box.

Cameron says he agrees. There is honour on both sides, he says.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 12:01 (eight years ago) link

— James Forsyth (@JGForsyth)
December 2, 2015

Corbyn turns around and shoots John Woodcock a look of disgust after his intervention

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 12:02 (eight years ago) link

Metro headline, "Corbyn Shoots Backbench Rebel During Syria Debate"

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 12:04 (eight years ago) link

Tom D. - Cameron is going to town on the BBC and their use of "so-called Ismalic State"

Rehman Chishti, the Conservative MP, welcomes Cameron’s decision to use the term Daesh. Does he agree that the BBC should use this term too? He says the BBC says it cannot do so because it would breach their rules on impartiality.

Cameron says he has written to the BBC about this.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 12:09 (eight years ago) link

lol at every single question and comment from every single one of these wanks

The story of a Romanian (Blandford Forum), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 12:09 (eight years ago) link

bbc should follow cameron's lead and go with 'this death cult'

The story of a Romanian (Blandford Forum), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 12:10 (eight years ago) link

"This death cult looks set to carry the debate?"

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 12:14 (eight years ago) link

Cameron says he agrees. There is honour on both sides, he says.

That's the closest thing to an apology you'll get in the Commons.

Mark G, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 12:22 (eight years ago) link

http://i.ytimg.com/vi/wtwqPYcoabg/hqdefault.jpg

Mark G, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 12:25 (eight years ago) link

(started looking for same image, gave up when I realised someone else would have found one by now)

suffeeciant attreebution (aldo), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 12:27 (eight years ago) link

I'm cheered by the fact there's a big debate happening publicly over a cosmetic and token military gesture. In the Blair years I feel like they would have just done it and we would have been all, oh well, yes, got to help out our allies I suppose, NBD, war on terrorism, whatcha gon do. Maybe it's naive to feel this way, I don't know.

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 12:29 (eight years ago) link

'Debate'? Is that what this is?

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 12:34 (eight years ago) link

ffs at all the labour mps using this opportunity to whine about the 'horrific abuse' they are suffering from all quarters

The story of a Romanian (Blandford Forum), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 12:35 (eight years ago) link

To members of Parliament, before you cast your vote, I beg of you, each and every one of you to please think of the misery and agony and suffering of those Labour MPs. Cameron's terrorist sympathizer (planned) outburst seems to have backfired, but not spectacularly enough.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 13:36 (eight years ago) link

Nobody is abusing the pro-bombing Labour MPs - even Stella Creasy's FB page is pretty much a majority of very polite people asking her to vote no.

voodoo rage (suzy), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 13:42 (eight years ago) link

Hasn't stopped people spreading bullshit about people marching to Stella Creasy's house (they didn't, it was her constituency office)

Just noise and screaming and no musical value at all. (Colonel Poo), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 13:49 (eight years ago) link

They marched FROM A MOSQUE.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 13:51 (eight years ago) link

http://i.imgur.com/fpO9LoK.png

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 13:58 (eight years ago) link

Gulag time:

According to Guardian research, these Labour MPs are in favour of airstrikes:

Heidi Alexander

Hilary Benn

Tom Blenkinsop

Chris Bryant

Vernon Coaker

Ann Coffey

Mary Creagh

Simon Danczuk

Michael Dugher

Maria Eagle

Natascha Engel (but can’t vote as deputy speaker)

Jim Fitzpatrick

Caroline Flint

Mike Gapes (would vote, but is unwell in hospital)

Dan Jarvis

Helen Jones

Alan Johnson

Chris Leslie

Holly Lynch

Siobhain McDonagh

Lucy Powell

Jamie Reed

Angela Smith

Gisela Stuart

Chuka Umunna

Tom Watson

John Woodcock
We are aware of another five Labour MPs who are minded to vote for airstrikes but who have not made up their minds.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 14:03 (eight years ago) link

That's fewer than I'd expected... no Liz or Tristram in there, which is surprising.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 14:12 (eight years ago) link

I guess that might not be an exhaustive list, just the ones confirmed?

japanese mage (LocalGarda), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 14:14 (eight years ago) link

Just the shadow Defence, Foreign and Health ministers...

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 14:15 (eight years ago) link

"There are those not opposed in principle to action who doubt the efficacy of what is proposed. A coalition action that rests wholly on bombing, they say, will have little effect. Well, tell that to the Kosovans. Don’t forget, if there had been no bombing in Kosovo perhaps a million Albanian Muslim refugees would have been seeking refuge in Europe."

So yeah cos of Kosovo we should now bomb Syria. Makes sense.

japanese mage (LocalGarda), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 14:17 (eight years ago) link

Margaret Beckett is also on the Yes list, so not exhaustive by any means.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 14:17 (eight years ago) link

Moreover, our French allies have asked us for such support, and I invite the House to consider how we would feel, and what we would say, if what took place in Paris had happened in London, if we had explicitly asked France for support and France had refused.

Getting into the territory of "if your son had been murdered you'd support the death penalty" now...

japanese mage (LocalGarda), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 14:18 (eight years ago) link

Yes I'm sure the list is to be updated and enlarged in time.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 14:20 (eight years ago) link

if there had been no bombing in Kosovo perhaps a million Albanian Muslim refugees would have been seeking refuge in Europe

No actual British bomb can match the devastating logic magnitude of this truth trident :o

nashwan, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 14:29 (eight years ago) link

Think how many extra refugees it saved us...

Matt DC, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 14:36 (eight years ago) link

there are those who doubt the efficacy of a cavalry charge

ogmor, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 14:38 (eight years ago) link

lol Yvette cooper 'I don't think the prime minister has made a strong enough case but lets get bombing anyway'

The story of a Romanian (Blandford Forum), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 14:38 (eight years ago) link

It is understood a number of Labour MPs have received similar messages. Liz Kendall, the former leadership contender, who is still undecided, received a tweet calling for “a final solution to purge Blairite scum” like her from the party.

Just a bit of social media lets be cool

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 14:41 (eight years ago) link

Yvette Cooper, the former leadership contender who leads Corbyn’s taskforce on refugees

...

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 14:49 (eight years ago) link

nusrat ghani talking so much shit

The story of a Romanian (Blandford Forum), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 14:50 (eight years ago) link

keep on bombing those chickens and they'll probably need yvette and a cooper

gazcom (NickB), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 14:55 (eight years ago) link

'stop looking at previous wars and trying to learn lessons from them'

The story of a Romanian (Blandford Forum), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 14:58 (eight years ago) link

gonna have to stop tweeting Labour MPs if they're onto me

Sancho Panzer (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 15:02 (eight years ago) link

I wonder if one "blowback" would be an increased number of refugees as this country slides deeper into the conflict and the government having to increase the number allowed in? Probably not as UK involvement is so small.

Yvette's “We should be ready to review and ready to withdraw” is just the anaemic stance she showed on anything throughout her leadership campaign -- so glad Corbyn is leader. If she had been elected I guess her stance would be in a minority with the rest of the PLP or would most of them follow their leader?

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 15:48 (eight years ago) link

She (Gisela Stuart) says that she will be supporting the motion "because it is good enough"

Aye, fuck it, it'll do, when do we get started?

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 15:52 (eight years ago) link

gotta nuke something

Sancho Panzer (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 15:54 (eight years ago) link

STOP GOING ON ABOUT THREATS

The story of a Romanian (Blandford Forum), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 15:54 (eight years ago) link

US Senator John McCain has said British involvement in coalition air strikes against so-called IS in Syria will be of limited value. He told the BBC's Washington correspondent Jon Sopel it was good to have allies on board, "and then we can go to Geneva and say we are 30 nations, or 50 nations".

"Then we will have some token aircraft over there from the British and they'll drop a few bombs, and we'll say thank you very much. The president will be able to say 'now we have the British who will be helping us', and that's good."

He said he wasn't saying that UK air strikes would achieve nothing, but added:

"Air strikes alone won't win a conflict but it's good to have increased air strikes, it's good to have increased air activities, it's good to have shows of support from our British friends... So I'm glad of it, thank you, we appreciate it! But to say that it's going to make a significant difference, no I've got to be a little more candid than that."

Yay for Britain! And the other 49 nations!

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 15:55 (eight years ago) link

That's one very special relationship we have going on there! Yay! I feel so proud!

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 15:56 (eight years ago) link

Gisela Stuart, Labour MP for Birmingham Edgbaston, said she was pleased that her inbox has been full of messages from people telling her not to vote in favour of airstrikes. “I would be deeply troubled if my email inbox was full of people gung-ho saying ‘go and get them,” she said, but she will vote in favour of airstrikes.

I keep seeing new contenders for quote of the day but this takes some beating, in context.

japanese mage (LocalGarda), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 15:56 (eight years ago) link

Lib Dems leader says we must tackle 'evil death cult'

... and once we've dealt with this Corbyn led Labour Party we will go after Daesh.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:00 (eight years ago) link

Alan Johnson attacks 'self-righteous finger-jabbing' activists

Ex-Labour minister not happy with tactics of new leader's supporters

In case anyone thinks they've forgotten the really important issues.

This debate is the gift that keeps giving tbh.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:02 (eight years ago) link

very unreasonable of constituents to tell their MPs how they want them to vote

Sancho Panzer (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:09 (eight years ago) link

this thing sounds like the Parliamentary equivalent of a show trial

Sancho Panzer (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:10 (eight years ago) link

Following from that, wrt threats of deselection - if your MP keeps undermining not only the elected leadership, but activists and the majority of constituency members wishes w/these kinds of piss-poor arguments why should these same councillors and activists campaign on your behalf at election time?

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:15 (eight years ago) link

Deselection isn't on the table anyway according to Corbyn, but even if it were I don't think the contents of an email inbox is exactly a representative sample.

Waiting for someone to say that they had a very strong vision that Jesus came down to them and warned them against voting for airstrikes, but they will be voting for airstrikes anyway.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:16 (eight years ago) link

the entitlement is staggering, but you have to ask who let these buffoons in in the first place?

Sancho Panzer (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:17 (eight years ago) link

The Labour peer (Baroness Smith) adds that "many MPs with the same information" will come to different conclusions, and condemns "those who abuse, intimidate or threaten them".

Not sure how much more of this boohooing I can stand.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:17 (eight years ago) link

it's unreal! they are talking about dropping bombs on an actual city as being a great and brave kindness, whereas an email saying 'youll have blood on your hands' or whatever is outrageous intimidation

The story of a Romanian (Blandford Forum), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:20 (eight years ago) link

Andrew Murrison argues this is not 2003

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:23 (eight years ago) link

it is such classic rhetorical bullshit to start making this some kind of philosophical "we'll never know the true course here, every man and woman must follow their heart, far be it from me to tell anyone what we should do but btw i am voting for bombs"

japanese mage (LocalGarda), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:24 (eight years ago) link

"history will judge us more harshly if we don't bomb them and nothing changes"

Sancho Panzer (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:25 (eight years ago) link

Well we don't actually know what these people have actually received - I'm guessing "you'll have blood on your hands" would be at the mildest end of the spectrum, the final solution one is definitely beyond the pale. And given everything we know about online behaviour it's likely that there are a few rape and death threats in there. Nothing compared to being literally blown up by bombs from your brave liberators, obviously.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:25 (eight years ago) link

"I am literally from the future and I have seen the devastating consequences with my own eyes... but I will be voting for airstrikes anyway".

Matt DC, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:26 (eight years ago) link

death threats backed by actual planes with actual bombs feel worse than the Twitter kind somehow

Sancho Panzer (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:27 (eight years ago) link

presumably the RAF pilots will be doffing their helmets and shouting "sorry" to their targets

Sancho Panzer (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:28 (eight years ago) link

I apologize to anyone I may have caused offence to by blowing their child's head off.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:29 (eight years ago) link

I mean if they've had really gross threats then yeah that should probably be what they should use their 5 minutes to highlight. Online death threats are several million magnitudes less serious than bombing people's homes, their hubris in deciding that they have to stand up and make a point about the former before they address the latter is appalling.

The story of a Romanian (Blandford Forum), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:29 (eight years ago) link

I mean if they've had really gross threats then yeah that should probably be what they should use their 5 minutes to highlight.

Phone the police, or what's left of them.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:31 (eight years ago) link

'IVE FELT THE THREATS WITH MY OWN HANDS'

The story of a Romanian (Blandford Forum), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:32 (eight years ago) link

LOL @ this "follow your conscience" business. Yes you are responsible for casting the vote but actually you look at what has been presented, listen to different constitutent and member views and arrive at an informed decision.

As an MP you are taking life and death decisions (tax credits or going to war) - if you are not expecting aggravation, to say the least, then you need to take another job.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:32 (eight years ago) link

need a Respect agenda for our beleaguered public servants

Sancho Panzer (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:33 (eight years ago) link

Anyway, well done to Alan Johnson et al for getting Cameron off the hook (and off the front pages) with his "terrorist sympathizers" comment and persistent refusal to apologize for it.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:36 (eight years ago) link

The opening of the debate may have been uninspiring (see 1.20pm) but in the last two hours or more it has picked up because the backbench contributions have generally been impressive. If you are looking for the highlights, here are five of the best.

1) Tim Farron. In a debate that has involved a lot of dry discussion about strategy and the composition of opposition forces in Syria, Farron’s speech stood out because it was unashamedly emotional and passionate.

No thanks.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:40 (eight years ago) link

Crossbench peer and former Army chief Lord Dannatt calls for "constructive dialogue" with Russia, Iran, Turkey and others to develop a common position on Syria. He also claims that Syrians to not want to see their government overthrown completely, adding that "we need to work with the Syrian armed forces" against the so-called Islamic State group.

This is what we're moving towards, leaving the barrel-bombin' nerve-gassin' Syrian government (with or without Assad the Opthalmologist) in place, more or less intact.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:41 (eight years ago) link

Conservative Johnny Mercer says "we are in danger of almost overcomplicating" the issue before the House.

Somehow I doubt that.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:48 (eight years ago) link

particularly since Johnny's "solution" is "bomb the bastards"

The Male Gaz Coombes (Neil S), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:52 (eight years ago) link

HERE'S JOHNNY

I fee very strongly about national security. I’ve seen the threats that we face with my own eyes and I’ve felt them with my own hands. We have a privileged way of life in this country, a free democracy and a free speech society and a healthy economy... We are chiefly blessed because over the generations we’ve had men and women who believe so much in this nation that they’ve taken difficult political decisions and some have even taken up arms and sacrificed everything to protect this way of life. Mr Speaker, I’ve become worried of late that we’ve lost some of that spirit.

japanese mage (LocalGarda), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:53 (eight years ago) link

what does he mean when he says he's "felt the threats" with his own hands

japanese mage (LocalGarda), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:56 (eight years ago) link

More speaking out against abuse from all-action man Dan Jarvis:

Let us be very clear, there is principle in opposing military action, just like there is principle in supporting it. Everyone must have the freedom, either in this place or outside, to say what they believe to be right without the fear of recrimination

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:57 (eight years ago) link

the pro-bombers are starting to sound relativist in the worst possible way.

japanese mage (LocalGarda), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:59 (eight years ago) link

Britain didn't become Great by being afraid to kill a few brown people thousands of miles away.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:59 (eight years ago) link

Mr Speaker, I’ve become worried of late that we’ve lost some of that spirit.

we can get it back by dropping exploding pieces of metal on syria and murdering all who are near the place where they fall

japanese mage (LocalGarda), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 17:01 (eight years ago) link

Miliband voting no, as are Blairites Ivan Lewis and Barry Sheerman, presumably at least partly because they remember what actually happened to Blair.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 17:07 (eight years ago) link

man some of yr politicians are really dumb

what time do u guys vote for war?

Mordy, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 17:19 (eight years ago) link

I like my blood pressure at its current level, thanks, so I'm just following this and the graun blog, but is there a correlation between those mentioning 'conscience' and a yes vote?

How many of the people sending in 'abuse' are actually Corbyn supporters, instead of the usual comments trolls and socks from other parties?

voodoo rage (suzy), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 17:31 (eight years ago) link

'pinned in our forces, pinned down our forces, pinned back our forces'

'angry intolerant pacifism'

sorry to all in barrow-in-furness that this absolute garbage is the best you've got

The story of a Romanian (Blandford Forum), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 17:43 (eight years ago) link

so vast is the ocean of stupid comments in westminster today it stands to reason one of them would be about israel

ogmor, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 17:49 (eight years ago) link

Coming back to the issue of fear, I think we must have the courage to do what we think is right, irrespective of the inevitable backlash. I have faced physical threats over how I might vote on this issue. Those threats are unacceptable and do not shape my position or decision. Quite the opposite.

Is Neil Coyle saying (incoherently) that he is voting to bomb Syria out of spite for twitter trolls?

The story of a Romanian (Blandford Forum), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 17:56 (eight years ago) link

That is not what he his saying, though it's not clear if that's clear to him.

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 17:58 (eight years ago) link

Those threats are unacceptable and do not shape my position or decision. Quite the opposite.

If they do not influence him in any way, why the fuck is he spending parliamentary time talking about it?

gazcom (NickB), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 18:06 (eight years ago) link

only 2 mps representing scottish constituencies are going to vote for the bombing and the election of one of them, alistair Carmichael, is under legal challenge

#bettertogether

Karl Rove Knausgård (jim in glasgow), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 18:14 (eight years ago) link

All independence would do is let Scotland feel moral superiority, "there's no blood on our hands". It's times like this I'm glad we have the SNP in a UK Parliament having the courage to say no to this, even if the cynic in me questions whether its a populist move or not. To say things like this makes me uneasy, I'd rather be actively making a difference in a bigger pond.

boxedjoy, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 19:15 (eight years ago) link

think Cameron feels the same way

Sancho Panzer (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 20:24 (eight years ago) link

She begins to get emotional and pauses to compose herself. “When I go through the ayes lobby, it will be for the refugees and it will be for the security in Twickenham.”

Dadjokke (Sgt. Biscuits), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 20:45 (eight years ago) link

:D

avant-garde, sissy bounce, zombie rave, aquacrunk, warlock, oceangrunge, (imago), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 20:47 (eight years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xtSbedMeF6s

really want to make a video of non-stop bombing footage over this tune but hey i got work in the morning

Sancho Panzer (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 20:47 (eight years ago) link

Just watched a BBC reporter trying to persuade a (Syrian) representative of a charity that works in Syria of the wisdom of bombing campaign - is this what the BBC is for?

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 20:53 (eight years ago) link

yes and always has been iirc

Sancho Panzer (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 20:54 (eight years ago) link

This morning Humphrys rudely cut off a Syrian guest on Today who was making a persuasive argument for not killing civilians.

xelab, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 20:57 (eight years ago) link

If he'd done that to a pro-bombing Labour MP no doubt they would have made an emotional speech about it in Parliament to day.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 20:59 (eight years ago) link

Top 90s nostalgia from NV there.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 21:19 (eight years ago) link

Can we hurry with the voting I want my final Gulag list k tx bye

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 21:20 (eight years ago) link

simon hoare: "this is not a war, it's a recalibration of an existing operation"

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 21:20 (eight years ago) link

Labour peer Lord Rooker has strong words for the his party's front bench in the Commons, comparing the exploitation by IS of the "innate tolerance" of the UK with "the way the anti-British trots in the Labour Party are using our tolerance to get control".

"Daesh are coming for us," he says, and warns of the lessons of Munich: "If you don't fight when attacked, you lose."

Leaving his strongest words about Jeremy Corbyn until last, the former minister says:

"I'm in the terrible position of having been in Westminster since February 1974 and believing that there are members of the cabinet that I would rather have as prime minister than my own party leader - we need to get rid of him."

Send of those Brimstone things to Islington perhaps?

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 21:28 (eight years ago) link

Salmond's glowering at Cameron when asking him to apologise earlier was quite exhilarating nay terrifying.

nashwan, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 21:29 (eight years ago) link

A lot of these MPs are the result of the moral vacuum created by successive bad regimes.

xelab, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 21:31 (eight years ago) link

Benn invoking the children in his leadership bid right now.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 21:37 (eight years ago) link

LOL @ "Hollande in our sister socialist party"

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 21:38 (eight years ago) link

Is Hilary Bomb the new Tony Bliar?

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 21:39 (eight years ago) link

Hilary outraged that ISIS think they are better than us.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 21:43 (eight years ago) link

He is talking about internationalism and how Fascists need to be defeated -- so probably not.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 21:44 (eight years ago) link

Got masses of applause, most of them drinking blood by this point.

Expect lots of Hilary 4 leader claptrap right now on twitter and in the next few days in the press.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 21:46 (eight years ago) link

Invoking Hitler + El Duce = classic speech, what a bunch of degenerates.

xelab, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 21:48 (eight years ago) link

corbyn looked v.v.uncomfortable following benn's "barnstormer". has rory stewart spoken? syria's not his area of expertise but he's frequently v.good on the middle east

hot doug stamper (||||||||), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 21:49 (eight years ago) link

Not so good on Middleland though.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 21:51 (eight years ago) link

How can say "Labour’s sister socialist party" with a straight face?

xelab, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 21:54 (eight years ago) link

he

xelab, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 21:54 (eight years ago) link

right on cue:

Dan Hodges 18 minutes ago

Hilary Benn doesn't just look like the leader of the opposition at the moment. He looks like the prime minister.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 21:54 (eight years ago) link

They were doing this with Dan Jarvis the other day.

xelab, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 21:57 (eight years ago) link

Here I thought Corbyn's sympathy for political parties that sometimes used terrorism for their goals was a part of his appeal?

Mordy, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:15 (eight years ago) link

Democracy folks:

TUPPER WEREWOLF ‏@TUPPER_WEREWOLF 9 mins

A tory MP tonight said that 90% of his constituents were against bombing Syria, however, he felt he should use his own judgment #SyriaVote

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:20 (eight years ago) link

incredible from hilary benn - what a performance, glorious night, privileged to have tickets for the show, let's kill some kids, bravo.

japanese mage (LocalGarda), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:20 (eight years ago) link

Britain is vile

Karl Rove Knausgård (jim in glasgow), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:22 (eight years ago) link

It wasn't even all that. ISIL a bunch of fascists and as big a threat as Nazi Germany?! iirc the Nazis occupied the whole of France for a while.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:23 (eight years ago) link

I'd have any of yis over here fwiw there's great value to the euro atm

MONKEY had been BUMMED by the GHOST of the late prancing paedophile (darraghmac), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:23 (eight years ago) link

fucking bunch of shit. it's just classic politics as entertainment, someone must be crowned the winner, and it suits the government to lionise an opposition member for his "reasonable" stance.

yet again i see "do our bit" featured. like we all need to "muck in" and just kill people cos it'd be untoward not to. this shit passing for some kind of heroic speech is pathetic. they're so out of touch it's untrue.

japanese mage (LocalGarda), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:25 (eight years ago) link

occupied / collaborated you say potato xxp

Mordy, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:25 (eight years ago) link

iirc the UK's inability to work with other countries was a big factor in WWII actually starting

Sancho Panzer (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:26 (eight years ago) link

Going mad for any hints of Churchillian flourish. Its a British disease.

60 Lab MPs voted against the amendment to block action in Syria so this should be the scale of the rebellion.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:28 (eight years ago) link

Churchill not a sensible figure to invoke with regard to the Middle East

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:30 (eight years ago) link

Nice of Benn to jump to corbyns defence tho. 'Leave him alone he's not a terrorist sympathiser'. Fucking slimy patronising wank.

Fuck all these people forever obviously and see you in another 5 years to do it somewhere else.

The story of a Romanian (Blandford Forum), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:31 (eight years ago) link

Good news, the bombing can begin tonight! Huzzah! Trebles all round!

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:32 (eight years ago) link

ugh:

stellacreasy @stellacreasy

Hilary benn’s speech has persuaded me that fascism must be defeated. I will hold public meeting on Sunday to discuss #syria

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:33 (eight years ago) link

Those glorious years of fighting Fascism when we were bombing German civilians in their cities rather than targeting Nazi infrastructure, it didn't hasten their military defeat but sure felt good.

xelab, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:33 (eight years ago) link

bomber harris, the sensitive bomber

gazcom (NickB), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:34 (eight years ago) link

Hilary benn’s speech has persuaded me that fascism must be defeated.

Wasn't sure about it, hadn't thought about it before.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:36 (eight years ago) link

used to think Isis were a great bunch of lads, not so sure now that Hilary Benn has employed the Nazi analogy

Karl Rove Knausgård (jim in glasgow), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:37 (eight years ago) link

its the "I will hold a public meeting" that takes the biscuit.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:38 (eight years ago) link

Gotta love the glee of BBC presenters over the prospect of 60-70 Labour MPs "voting against Jeremy Corbyn".

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:38 (eight years ago) link

Though 60-70 Labour MPs "voting against Jeremy Corbyn" is a pretty accurate description of what transpired.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:39 (eight years ago) link

So this woman hadn't made up her mind even what 10-15 mins before she was about to vote?! Absurd.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:39 (eight years ago) link

wandering up and down Walthamstow high street singing "who wants a game of war?" isn't really a public meeting imo

Sancho Panzer (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:40 (eight years ago) link

I will hold public meeting on Sunday to discuss #syria

She's a London MP, it might not be a very good idea.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:41 (eight years ago) link

152 - 67 is the so far reported Lab split

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:45 (eight years ago) link

67 scabs in a one night stand

Sancho Panzer (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:46 (eight years ago) link

Alan Duncan taking the opportunity to attack the SNP and their opposition to the bombing, that's the party that holds 56 of Scotland's 59 seats in the UK parliament. Thumbs up, Al, Better Together.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:50 (eight years ago) link

Some nice work from BBC24, showing a brimstone picking out a hummer in the desert. If I lived in Raaqa I wouldn't be worried at all.

xelab, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 23:00 (eight years ago) link

People sure do love doing something that makes them feel they have gravity.

Like there are no actual rational arguments for a bit of extra pointless bombing, but given the chance to stand up for 5 mins and address 'the nation' they all just wanted to prove that they could push the button.

That's obviously aside from the breathtakingly cynical politics of most of labour.

And yeh. The upshot is we spend a bit of money we apparently don't have, we radicalise a few more idiots, we add to an already impossible refugee crisis and we fucking KILL A LOAD OF ACTUAL PEOPLE.

The story of a Romanian (Blandford Forum), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 23:07 (eight years ago) link

the benn speech isn't just poor, it's actually an unexpected final insult on a grim day. like a sense of fiction to the whole thing...

japanese mage (LocalGarda), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 23:14 (eight years ago) link

I didn't think there could be a bigger twat than Tim Farron today, but he pulled it off.

xelab, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 23:18 (eight years ago) link

Sorry I feel like I am becoming shrill + repetitive but I am just really fucked off

xelab, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 23:19 (eight years ago) link

11 members of the Shadow Cabinet voted in favour.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 23:32 (eight years ago) link

Its grim but we all knew this was happening at the beginning of the day. It is hilarious, for all the watching of polls that politicians do that enough MPs seemed to disregard the numbers showing support dropping 50-50. Dropping further if this goes wrong fast, but again, the action is so symbolic that its a stretch to see that happening right now.

(Most of the Shadow cab did vote with Corbyn btw.) xp

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 23:35 (eight years ago) link

A higher proportion (40%) of the Shadow Cabinet voted in favour than the PLP as a whole (30%) afaict.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 23:38 (eight years ago) link

That sound you hear is all the trendy left-wing women who annoy you on Twitter, deleting Stella Creasy's details from their phones.

voodoo rage (suzy), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 23:43 (eight years ago) link

that stella creasy tweet is embarrassing

the laughter & cheers after the vote were disgusting

lex pretend, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 23:47 (eight years ago) link

My instinct on Benn was that it was a good speech until I started actually paying attention and saw all the bullshit being handwaved past, like "civilians will die, but at least we won't mean it" and "air strikes aren't enough but the UN wants us to do something and this is something!". Still, better than both Cameron and Corbyn's, and they didn't write theirs on the benches.

Fuck this vote, though. Fucking Westminster. Is the full list up? Want to know all the others that got this over — even had Labour been whipped and had no rebels it would still have passed.

stet, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 23:49 (eight years ago) link

Seven abstentions and 7 no votes in Tories, chief Labour whip abstained, 11 shad cabs voted yes, 16 shad-cab no votes.

So glad I wasn't sitting dobby-eyed over my computer waiting for doom, but was instead drinking my share of a magnum of wine, elsewhere.

voodoo rage (suzy), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 23:52 (eight years ago) link

yeah for me it was kind of shitty news to wake up to, not that i was expecting otherwise

Britain is vile

― Karl Rove Knausgård (jim in glasgow), Wednesday, December 2, 2015 10:22 PM (Yesterday) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

thwomp (thomp), Thursday, 3 December 2015 02:46 (eight years ago) link

Really wanted to believe better of my MP but he's revealed himself as covert-Tory Blaitite scum with this. I'm not one for grand gestures but I was sorely tempted to go toss a bucket of red paint over his office this morning on my way to work.

La Düsseldork (Branwell with an N), Thursday, 3 December 2015 07:18 (eight years ago) link

Some of the welfare bill abstainers have voted against - trying to put a positive shine on this - could that be at least a modicum of progress for Corbyn?

xelab, Thursday, 3 December 2015 07:55 (eight years ago) link

Tensions between Labour MPs spilled over into heated confrontations as Clive Lewis, an ally of Corbyn, argued in a Westminster corridor with John Woodcock, who is backing airstrikes. Woodcock has now lodged a complaint with the whips over the exchange, which ended with “fuck you” from Lewis.

Lewis said there had been many robust exchanges across the party. He has said he would be happy to apologise.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 3 December 2015 09:08 (eight years ago) link

The positive for Corbyn is that most of the shadow cabinet backed him over this.

My instinct on Benn was that it was a good speech until I started actually paying attention and saw all the bullshit being handwaved past, like "civilians will die, but at least we won't mean it" and "air strikes aren't enough but the UN wants us to do something and this is something!". Still, better than both Cameron and Corbyn's, and they didn't write theirs on the benches.

I can't see anything good about this speech. Leave aside the content - it was delivered in this high, 'passionate' tone that really grates. It encourages the worst excesses in people, shouts over the noise of the complexity of the issue to give comforting moral certainties that people may want but should be grown up enough to be made to accept aren't there, and ultimately masks the content which was both wrong and contained some pretty lol appeals to left-wing history from someone who is clearly not on that side of it.

The 'bench' thing is a bogus appeal to some weird notion of authenticity. What is Benn's next act? Writing his leadership bid speech on the stairs somewhere in the house of commons?

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 3 December 2015 09:19 (eight years ago) link

What's particularly ludicrous with all this sub-Churchillian guff is the apparent cast-iron certainty that this is a fight we can win, when nothing about the experience of Iraq and Afghanistan suggests that is actually the case.

Matt DC, Thursday, 3 December 2015 09:26 (eight years ago) link

Also if it's so important that We Must Fight Fascists then why are they not wholeheartedly arguing in favour of ground troops?

Matt DC, Thursday, 3 December 2015 09:30 (eight years ago) link

Passionately delivered speeches that give comfort and moral certainty with a nod to history are exactly the sort of shit that goes over well with electorates.

I think if the content hadn't been so stupidly wrong (I was shouting Matt DC's point at the laptop) it would have been easier to concede something to him.

stet, Thursday, 3 December 2015 09:35 (eight years ago) link

I mean as a brazen pitch for the leadership it was pretty solid stuff, except that a) it does kinda rely on ISIS and their ilk being wiped out entirely and the entire scourge of fundamentalism obliterated from the world just like that, and b) even if that were to happen there'd still be the issue of the massive gulf between the party and its MPs, and Hilary isn't the man to bridge that gap.

Matt DC, Thursday, 3 December 2015 09:39 (eight years ago) link

Some of the welfare bill abstainers have voted against - trying to put a positive shine on this - could that be at least a modicum of progress for Corbyn?

Not really like for like though - they could be types who value loyalty to the leadership above all else, even if they are in favour of the welfare cap (either through belief or political expediency) it doesn't really follow that they'd be well up for a good bit of bombing as well.

I don't really know what should be done in Syria, I'm very happy that I don't have to make this sort of call, but I'm pretty sure that whatever the best course of action is, it isn't this.

Matt DC, Thursday, 3 December 2015 09:42 (eight years ago) link

Passionately delivered speeches that give comfort and moral certainty with a nod to history are exactly the sort of shit that goes over well with electorates.

Depends - they can often polarise opinion. Polls were 50-50 on this action.

The worst thing is it sounded like something from the 1930s. This is so NOT a fight against fascism. Empty dreams of heroism, especially laughable after Lab MPs spent the day crying over the angry internet people and their tweets.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 3 December 2015 09:54 (eight years ago) link

What bugged me was Hilary Benn's speech was how much it sounded like Tony Benn in tone but not in content.

Mark G, Thursday, 3 December 2015 09:55 (eight years ago) link

the apparent cast-iron certainty that this is a fight we can win, when nothing about the experience of Iraq and Afghanistan suggests that is actually the case.

Radio 4 news journo this morning said "actions in Syria will be no different to what we've been doing in Iraq for the past year"

the past year. so, it's working really well and totally has a point then.

Sancho Panzer (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 3 December 2015 10:17 (eight years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CVSwmsZWoAAW_b5.png

The state of this cunt.

Matt DC, Thursday, 3 December 2015 10:20 (eight years ago) link

sigh

a hastily-observed cruet (seandalai), Thursday, 3 December 2015 10:23 (eight years ago) link

just really tired of all of these assholes

a hastily-observed cruet (seandalai), Thursday, 3 December 2015 10:24 (eight years ago) link

so Benn isn't the only idiot using the language of a historical economic and class struggle in the service of propping up post-colonialism. to quote Junior Healy, "these people are dicks".

Sancho Panzer (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 3 December 2015 10:25 (eight years ago) link

does ilx side with corbyn & disapprove of airstrikes in iraq?

ogmor, Thursday, 3 December 2015 10:40 (eight years ago) link

Free vote in operation.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Thursday, 3 December 2015 10:43 (eight years ago) link

LOL McDonnell:

I thought Hilary’s oratory was great. It reminded me of Tony Blair’s speech taking us into the Iraq War.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 3 December 2015 10:47 (eight years ago) link

Have you seen the cost of these brimstone missiles? They talk about fiscal responsibility/economic credibility and these missiles cost over £100k a pop, good business plan for evil multinational corp though.

In 2013, the Group(MBDA Missile Systems) recorded a turnover of 2.8 billion euros, produced about 3,000 missiles and added 4 billion euros of new orders to the order book which now stands at 10.8 billion euros. MBDA works with over 90 armed forces worldwide.

xelab, Thursday, 3 December 2015 10:53 (eight years ago) link

Thank you John McDonnell, I needed that big, sad LOL.

voodoo rage (suzy), Thursday, 3 December 2015 11:03 (eight years ago) link

Dan Hodges ‏@DPJHodges · 3h3 hours ago
John McDonnell compares Hilary Benn with Tony Blair. Then says there is no excuse for intimidation.

More LOLs

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Thursday, 3 December 2015 11:05 (eight years ago) link

So the vote would've still passed if Labour had been whipped? I guess most Tories and their media foresaw this (better than they foresaw the election) hence why it happened at all.

nashwan, Thursday, 3 December 2015 11:07 (eight years ago) link

They weren't whipped and yet the BBC is hammering the Labour MPs were pressurized into voting No line. No mention whatsoever of the UK Prime Minister accusing anyone who didn't support him of being a terrorist sympathizer.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Thursday, 3 December 2015 11:09 (eight years ago) link

BBC went pretty hard on that yesterday, in fairness.

Matt DC, Thursday, 3 December 2015 11:10 (eight years ago) link

I'm pretty sure that Corbyn doesn't sanction the abuse of anyone and while it's an understandable cathartic reaction to an event like this you'd hope that enough Corbyn supporters would have the intelligence to realise that they're just offering his opponents yet another stick to beat him with.

Matt DC, Thursday, 3 December 2015 11:12 (eight years ago) link

Some of them are idiots, what can you do? Esp. these Stop the War cretins.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Thursday, 3 December 2015 11:13 (eight years ago) link

If it was a majority in single figures it would've been hard for Cameron to justify air strikes.

The 'terrorist sympathiser' quip did come back to Cameron, who was really undermined by it repeatedly in his speech yesterday. xp

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 3 December 2015 11:15 (eight years ago) link

Corbyn definitely made statements against abuse on all sides, as you would expect.

Andrew Farrell, Thursday, 3 December 2015 11:30 (eight years ago) link

Corbyn described as "Stop The War's useful idiot" in The Sun yesterday. Perhaps worse today.

nashwan, Thursday, 3 December 2015 11:37 (eight years ago) link

Far be it from me to agree with the Sun but...

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Thursday, 3 December 2015 11:39 (eight years ago) link

More LOLz:

The former footballer Stan Collymore has cancelled his Labour membership and joined the Scottish National party in protest at the votes by “Tory lite” Labour MPs in favour of air strikes on Syria.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 3 December 2015 11:49 (eight years ago) link

That's a bit like supporting Germany in protest at and England Footballer booting his penalty over the crossbar.

Mark G, Thursday, 3 December 2015 12:00 (eight years ago) link

and

Mark G, Thursday, 3 December 2015 12:00 (eight years ago) link

As an English person living in England, what exactly does he believe he has to contribute to (or gain from) the SNP?

Matt DC, Thursday, 3 December 2015 12:03 (eight years ago) link

Publicity.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Thursday, 3 December 2015 12:05 (eight years ago) link

I think people - not all of whom are articulate or polite - are entitled to their anger and disappointment with people they may have voted for, are entitled to lobby their representatives, and are not in any way bullies. MPs with money, power and options are painting themselves as victims of people with so much less of all of those things, and it's NAGL.

voodoo rage (suzy), Thursday, 3 December 2015 12:07 (eight years ago) link

The Sun's editors and journalists would know about useful idiocy. They do it at work every day.

voodoo rage (suzy), Thursday, 3 December 2015 12:07 (eight years ago) link

What bugged me was Hilary Benn's speech was how much it sounded like Tony Benn in tone but not in content.

Yes, if only he'd devoted his speech to eulogising Mao instead.

Freedom, Thursday, 3 December 2015 12:23 (eight years ago) link

After the initial somewhat genuine outbursts and expressions of anger and rage and disgust, whether misguided or poorly thought through; always the more measured and studied response of who can appear the most jaded and worldweary and cynical in their reactions to the former.

La Düsseldork (Branwell with an N), Thursday, 3 December 2015 12:24 (eight years ago) link

^I just tried to Like that post, Branwell...

voodoo rage (suzy), Thursday, 3 December 2015 12:36 (eight years ago) link

Searching for glimmers of hope in the news:

http://www.theguardian.com/law/2015/dec/03/michael-gove-scraps-criminal-courts-charge

ledge, Thursday, 3 December 2015 12:47 (eight years ago) link

http://www.lrb.co.uk/v37/n24/james-meek/a-raqqa-of-the-mind

Critics of Western intervention in Afghanistan, Iraq and Libya lament the deaths of civilians, the eruption of previously contained sectarian or tribal conflicts, and the provocation of terrorist attacks on the interveners’ home countries. Less talked about is a fourth unpleasant consequence – more interventions. For all the concern at the spread of Salafist ideology around the world, there is surprisingly little concern at the spread of interventionist ideology – the creed that country A is entitled to take military action against, or within, country B, without the consent of the government of country B (if it has one) or any evidence that it poses a threat to country A.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 3 December 2015 12:52 (eight years ago) link

Ah memories...

But Mr Benn said the “terrible events in Paris” meant it was “even more important that we bring the Syrian civil war to an end” before considering air strikes on Isis. He outlined his thinking: “Why? Because the vacuum in which Isil/Daesh [Islamic State] in Syria thrives is a consequence of that civil war.

“Therefore I hope that the talks that are taking place really will redouble their efforts to say, look we’ve got a find a way of bringing this to a conclusion – we’ve got to bring this to an end. Because then, people can then really focus their efforts on the threat from Isil/Daesh and the circumstances in Syria will have changed.”

Mr Benn, who supports military intervention to protect civilians, said he did not think the Government was planning to come forward with a proposal to extend air strikes from Iraq into Syria.

But asked if he thought they should, Mr Benn said: “No.” He added: “They have to come up with an overall plan, which they have not done. I think the focus for now is finding a peaceful solution to the civil war.”

The shadow Foreign Secretary added: “The most useful contribution we can make is to support as a nation the peace talks that have started. That is the single most important thing we can do.”

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/hilary-benn-shadow-foreign-secretary-says-labour-wont-back-air-strikes-on-syria-a6734651.html

nashwan, Thursday, 3 December 2015 12:57 (eight years ago) link

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/dec/03/hidden-politics-syria-vote-airstrikes-war

many were fighting other wars. The phalanx of 66 Labour MPs voting with Cameron were part motivated by gesturing against Corbyn. That’s not selfish sectarianism but realistic fear that Labour may never survive the Corbyn era. Benn and other senior figures’ call to war was a bid for Labour to be taken seriously, not as a rabble of permanent protesters. To vote for war is grown-up politics about Britain’s place in the world, a solid reminder of what Labour in power used to feel like.

"Grown-up".

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 3 December 2015 13:10 (eight years ago) link

fuck's sake polly

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 3 December 2015 13:18 (eight years ago) link

Fantastic, and completely undercut by the next sentence: To vote for war is grown-up politics about Britain’s place in the world, a solid reminder of what Labour in power used to feel like. But that political imperative still doesn’t make it right to join the vortex of Syria.

So 'grown-up' politics is about bluster and appearance and not at all concerned with practical realities.

ledge, Thursday, 3 December 2015 13:20 (eight years ago) link

wow

conrad, Thursday, 3 December 2015 13:23 (eight years ago) link

To vote for war is grown-up politics about Britain’s place in the world, a solid reminder of what Labour in power used to feel like.

this...sentence...

lex pretend, Thursday, 3 December 2015 13:28 (eight years ago) link

dan hodges is such a fucking joke of a writer/human being

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CVTWo4FWUAAx9W0.jpg

lex pretend, Thursday, 3 December 2015 13:40 (eight years ago) link

jesus christ

gazcom (NickB), Thursday, 3 December 2015 13:41 (eight years ago) link

That makes sense, there's a lot of Bombs for Peace around these days.

Andrew Farrell, Thursday, 3 December 2015 13:42 (eight years ago) link

Every time Dan Hodges makes me angry I remember that as a teenager he designed a one-player Falklands War board game, that only he has played.

Matt DC, Thursday, 3 December 2015 13:45 (eight years ago) link

That Dan Hodges thing

Hahahahahahahahahahahahaha

Ha!

canoon fooder (dog latin), Thursday, 3 December 2015 13:46 (eight years ago) link

You can wash that stuff off these days.

Andrew Farrell, Thursday, 3 December 2015 13:46 (eight years ago) link

I remember that as a teenager he designed a one-player Falklands War board game, that only he has played.

― Matt DC, Thursday, December 3, 2015 1:45 PM (1 minute ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

omg is this true? loooooool

lex pretend, Thursday, 3 December 2015 13:47 (eight years ago) link

Its why I wanted the quote to stop there (but obv with the link). Its such a ridiculous thing to say, especially post-Iraq. xposts

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 3 December 2015 13:47 (eight years ago) link

He inverted the House

Is this anything like the Yippies trying to levitate the White House during in the late 60s?

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Thursday, 3 December 2015 13:50 (eight years ago) link

They had said they needed two days of debate. War. Peace. To bomb Isil. Not to bomb Isil. The issues were too complex. The stakes too high. The arguments too nuanced.
They were wrong.

This is just... the stupidest fucking thing I have ever read. Thank god this idiot popinjay doesn't have any actual power.

Matt DC, Thursday, 3 December 2015 13:54 (eight years ago) link

It was like watching the witch from the Wizard of Oz who has just had a bucket of water thrown over her. All the talk of his “mandate”. All the talk of his legions of new activists. They were destroyed in an instant. Crushed by Hilary Benn and 100 years of the Labour party’s accumulated moral authority.

Matt DC, Thursday, 3 December 2015 13:55 (eight years ago) link

do they know something we don't? honestly how does this campaign in syria end in anything but disaster? who would hitch their wagon to this particular star?

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 3 December 2015 13:57 (eight years ago) link

I'm not exactly reassured that such decisions can be made on "one speech, one moment" tbh.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Thursday, 3 December 2015 13:58 (eight years ago) link

You can practically see him popping champagne corks with that last bit.

Thing is, the government would have won the vote comfortably even if every single Labour MP had voted no, this is entirely about making Corbyn look foolish.

Matt DC, Thursday, 3 December 2015 13:59 (eight years ago) link

he inverted the house and landed it right on top of the wicked witch of the left

gazcom (NickB), Thursday, 3 December 2015 14:00 (eight years ago) link

The vote wasn't about Corbyn. iirc Cameron wanted a vote on Syrian intervention before the attacks but felt there would be enough Tory rebels or not a big enough majority to carry out air strikes. It was only post-Paris that the opportunity presented itself for the vote. Making Corbyn look bad is only a side-issue.

Labour are badly divided on almost all big issues.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 3 December 2015 14:06 (eight years ago) link

I meant for Hodges, not the MPs themselves.

Matt DC, Thursday, 3 December 2015 14:10 (eight years ago) link

Sorry Matt - misread.

Also on Tracer's point - we don't know whether the Syrian campaign will end in a disaster in such a way that will be a plus for Corbyn or in a way that would kill off Benn and that rabble for good out of Labour, say. Its all symbolic, a few bombs.

Or it could end in disaster but it might take years to know, by which time Corbyn will probably be gone and we will all be in the midst of the next intervention.

Corbyn, in this respect, is almost to be seen as 'conscience of the country' - type figure.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 3 December 2015 14:14 (eight years ago) link

Seems most likely - unless they hit a wedding or something - that there won't be conclusive evidence either way and whoever the media sides with will set the narrative.

a cruet of destiny (seandalai), Thursday, 3 December 2015 14:26 (eight years ago) link

I think people - not all of whom are articulate or polite - are entitled to their anger and disappointment with people they may have voted for, are entitled to lobby their representatives, and are not in any way bullies. MPs with money, power and options are painting themselves as victims of people with so much less of all of those things, and it's NAGL.

― voodoo rage (suzy), Thursday, 3 December 2015 12:07 (2 hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

After the initial somewhat genuine outbursts and expressions of anger and rage and disgust, whether misguided or poorly thought through; always the more measured and studied response of who can appear the most jaded and worldweary and cynical in their reactions to the former.

― La Düsseldork (Branwell with an N), Thursday, 3 December 2015 12:24 (2 hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

1000x otm

Sancho Panzer (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 3 December 2015 14:39 (eight years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CVTjUhqUkAA6bjd.jpg

Matt DC, Thursday, 3 December 2015 14:41 (eight years ago) link

That may well be fake obv.

Matt DC, Thursday, 3 December 2015 14:44 (eight years ago) link

I assume the asterisks are the letters g, r, o, v and e.

Mark G, Thursday, 3 December 2015 15:08 (eight years ago) link

Someone should be able to verify this now :-)

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 3 December 2015 15:11 (eight years ago) link

ah, the joy of replying to someone who signed with their title with the colloquial form of their first name while imploring them to learn respect. what's the smiley about tho is he an ilxor or

thwomp (thomp), Thursday, 3 December 2015 15:31 (eight years ago) link

nah it was just a LOL moment as the name wasn't disguised throughout.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 3 December 2015 15:36 (eight years ago) link

Why does Godwin's Law apply on the internet. but not in Parliament?

voodoo rage (suzy), Thursday, 3 December 2015 15:47 (eight years ago) link

hilary benn, two weeks ago: http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/hilary-benn-shadow-foreign-secretary-says-labour-wont-back-air-strikes-on-syria-a6734651.html

“They have to come up with an overall plan, which they have not done. I think the focus for now is finding a peaceful solution to the civil war.”

The shadow Foreign Secretary added: “The most useful contribution we can make is to support as a nation the peace talks that have started. That is the single most important thing we can do.”

lex pretend, Thursday, 3 December 2015 17:31 (eight years ago) link

sorry, Inspiring Orator Hilary Benn

lex pretend, Thursday, 3 December 2015 17:32 (eight years ago) link

I didn't think the Benn speech was even particularly good as a piece of oration.

Matt DC, Thursday, 3 December 2015 17:41 (eight years ago) link

couldn't hear his speech tbh, there was a weird spinning noise in the background

Sancho Panzer (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 3 December 2015 17:41 (eight years ago) link

The John Lewis Christmas ad of speeches

canoon fooder (dog latin), Thursday, 3 December 2015 17:47 (eight years ago) link

xp
probably a Bennerator you could hear there:(

xelab, Friday, 4 December 2015 01:27 (eight years ago) link

Oldham results in, Labout increase their vote share by 7.5% but turnout is down compared to the GE, and so the bbc report it as "Labour wins but with a reduced majority", amazing.

JimD, Friday, 4 December 2015 01:47 (eight years ago) link

With a higher % of the vote than Meacher managed in 1997, no less.

carson dial, Friday, 4 December 2015 01:52 (eight years ago) link

nice

thwomp (thomp), Friday, 4 December 2015 01:52 (eight years ago) link

I despair

Whoremonger (jed_), Friday, 4 December 2015 01:54 (eight years ago) link

Don't. This could be England's SNP moment.

everything, Friday, 4 December 2015 02:03 (eight years ago) link

lol like you can put a negative spin on 10,835 majority.

xelab, Friday, 4 December 2015 02:21 (eight years ago) link

Dan Hodges is doing his best on that front, as you'd expect.

carson dial, Friday, 4 December 2015 02:21 (eight years ago) link

That arsewipe in the Graun who was calling UKIP the other day, what a complete twat.

xelab, Friday, 4 December 2015 02:26 (eight years ago) link

sorry I have had a few beers

xelab, Friday, 4 December 2015 02:34 (eight years ago) link

Hilary Benn 4 PM.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 4 December 2015 09:14 (eight years ago) link

They had said they needed two days of debate. War. Peace. To bomb Isil. Not to bomb Isil. The issues were too complex. The stakes too high. The arguments too nuanced.
They were wrong.

didn't realise roy keane had a new biography out with eamon dunphy

japanese mage (LocalGarda), Friday, 4 December 2015 09:20 (eight years ago) link

I phoned Jeremy Corbyn and he agreed it was ridiculous.

japanese mage (LocalGarda), Friday, 4 December 2015 09:21 (eight years ago) link

There it is

Not really in the script this by-election result.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Friday, 4 December 2015 10:26 (eight years ago) link

Tom Watson "warned that any Labour members who joined an anti-war protest outside the home of the Labour MP Stella Creasy should be thrown out of the party."

So a tweet showing she doesn't have the capability to take the decision she has should be allowed not to not even bequestioned? Thanks Tom, that's wonderful.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 4 December 2015 10:33 (eight years ago) link

Not really sure why Stella Creasy is apparently getting more flack than the other 60-odd Labour MPs who voted for it, many of whom are also in London.

Farage throwing his toys out of the pram is very, very entertaining.

Matt DC, Friday, 4 December 2015 10:39 (eight years ago) link

"To vote for war is grown-up politics about Britain’s place in the world, a solid reminder of what Labour in power used to feel like"

Reminds me of the story of Thatcher after the Reykjavik summit urging Reagan not to consider nuclear disarmament because it would make Labour's current policies look stronger.

mahb, Friday, 4 December 2015 10:58 (eight years ago) link

Stella Creasy is apparently getting more flack than the other 60-odd Labour MPs who voted for it, many of whom are also in London.

Must be that utterly idiotic tweet. As for the other MPs - give it time.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 4 December 2015 11:03 (eight years ago) link

The protest was not outside her house, it was outside her office. The office where she asked her constituency to consult with her.

The story that it was her house was completely false and planted by a fake facebook account. Come on, this has been debunked over and over again, but hey this is how smear campaigns work, right.

La Düsseldork (Branwell with an N), Friday, 4 December 2015 11:03 (eight years ago) link

Reminds me of the story of Thatcher after the Reykjavik summit urging Reagan not to consider nuclear disarmament because it would make Labour's current policies look stronger.

Of all the many factors that would have gone into Reagan's decision-making process at the height of the Cold War I somehow doubt that the credibility of the UK Labour Party was likely to have swayed him either way. I totally believe that Thatcher was deluded enough to ask though.

Where exactly are all these pro-austerity, pro-war Labour Party members who are supposed to propel Hilary Benn to power?

Matt DC, Friday, 4 December 2015 11:19 (eight years ago) link

Where exactly are all these pro-austerity, pro-war Labour Party members who are supposed to propel Hilary Benn to power?

working in the media?

I don't have the time or energy to make a counterargument (stevie), Friday, 4 December 2015 11:22 (eight years ago) link

xp Thatcher apparently did ask Reagan to reign in nuclear disarmament for party political reasons, though she didn't couch it in those terms to him http://www.lrb.co.uk/v37/n23/david-runciman/fear-in-those-blue-eyes

The Male Gaz Coombes (Neil S), Friday, 4 December 2015 11:29 (eight years ago) link

(xp) In Parliament

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Friday, 4 December 2015 11:31 (eight years ago) link

"rein in" of course xp

The Male Gaz Coombes (Neil S), Friday, 4 December 2015 11:32 (eight years ago) link

Hilaryous

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Friday, 4 December 2015 15:39 (eight years ago) link

lol she was at my school, dating the head boy

Jim McMahon (Labour) - 17,209 (62.11%)
John Bickley (UKIP) - 6,487 (23.41%)
James Daly (Conservative) - 2,596 (9.37%)
Jane Brophy (Liberal Democrat) - 1,024 (3.70%)
Simeon Hart (Green Party) - 249 (0.90%)
Sir Oink A-Lot (Monster Raving Loony) - 141 (0.51%)

Low Thousands = 10,722

Mark G, Friday, 4 December 2015 17:00 (eight years ago) link

subs must have amended 'low tens of thousands' somewhere along the line i guess

hand of jehuty and the blowfish (bizarro gazzara), Friday, 4 December 2015 17:04 (eight years ago) link

People have written off the Lib Dems, but they're a clear three percentage points ahead of Sir Oink-A-Lot.

Lionel Richie the Wardrobe (Nasty, Brutish & Short), Friday, 4 December 2015 20:25 (eight years ago) link

Getting my lolz for the morning from Roy Greenslade - thought he was a benign media commentator? Think again

Instead of writing something around the pychotic treatment of JC at the hand's of the press (which would involved screwing over The Guardian so never mind) he gets into grand historical analysis mode, which is no such thing.

It has been inevitable for a long time. I recall a conversation some 10 years after the 1968 Paris événements when one of its young intellectual participants berated me for my continuing faith in parties of the left.

“They’re over,” he said. “They don’t reflect the will of the people. They are things apart... anti-democratic... they exist for themselves.”

I lost touch years ago with Jean-Michel, a professed “situationist”, when he decided to settle in the land of the free and the home of the brave. But his words, so earnestly expressed, have stayed with me, and I’ve come to view them as both prescient and increasingly accurate.

The political past is admitted to, then a 'mind-opening' conversation with a disappointed comrade - the kind who first saw the light.

Then the magic words:

We who peopled them grew up and moved on.

Becomes one of the more hilarious pieces of recent times - right up to the fretting over whether this would help the right-wing press. In The Guardian.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 7 December 2015 11:08 (eight years ago) link

Well, someone's got to worry about that - according to Nick Cohen, "The Corbynites’ real enemies are not Tories, whom they rather respect for standing up for the interests of their class, but Labour MPs who fail to show the required radical virtue and betray the leftwing cause."

Andrew Farrell, Monday, 7 December 2015 11:25 (eight years ago) link

The hold of these stereotypes among the progressive, university-educated middle classes explains why you never hear a rightwing political comedian on Radio 4 or see a leftwing villain in a television drama. Comics and writers tear into Daily Mail and Sun readers but never Guardian and Observer readers.

Bombs over Syria, austerity marches on, a rampant housing bubble with Tory constituency boundary changes to keep this country Tory 4 evah but actually think Nick is got a point that the above is the pressing issue of the day.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 7 December 2015 11:32 (eight years ago) link

That’s the reason I spent days wondering whether I should publish this piece because it appears to support their agenda. Staying silent however seemed counter-productive. The left have to come to terms with what is happening... and going to happen.

It's basically a precis of what the likes of Paul Mason have been saying for months. Publishing it makes no difference to anyone.

What he doesn't mention is the main issue that both the press and the Labour right have completely failed to acknowledge, that the financial crisis destroyed the illusion that you could have both neoliberal economic policies and social justice. This illusion sustained New Labour, much of the London media class, and a big chunk of the electorate, for such a long time that they aren't used to having to pick a side, even as they do so without realising it. They still cling to the idea of a charismatic unifying leader who can appeal to post-industrial Northern England, soft Tories and enough of Scotland to see off the SNP. As far as I can see there isn't a single prominent figure in the party capable of doing that.

Matt DC, Monday, 7 December 2015 11:34 (eight years ago) link

xxp When people start writing about 'real enemies' and such, it only adds to this huge obfuscating cloud of party politics that seeps into every element of debate. Rather than asking 'how can we create a more fair and just society?', the question becomes 'how can we get the Tories out?' or 'who are our enemies, really?'. This is what seems to be leading a lot of blue Labour rhetoric - caring less and less about core values and courses of action that are best for the country, in favour of concern over what these mean for the party itself. Winning the debate becomes more important than doing the right thing.

canoon fooder (dog latin), Monday, 7 December 2015 11:35 (eight years ago) link

I suppose if he wants to believe it's the result of a prophecy passed down by some student Trot in 1968 then that's his call.

Matt DC, Monday, 7 December 2015 11:38 (eight years ago) link

Man that quote from Brecht is just brilliant. Nick and Hilary Benn really think they are in the 1930s, fighting Stalinist-type purges and a Nazi-type state, when its angry people with a twitter account and a terrorist group.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 7 December 2015 11:54 (eight years ago) link

I don't know why he mentions the Paula Sherriff death threat incident, is Corbyn to blame for far right extremists in Dewsbury? They got the guy responsible and he certainly wasn't a Corbyn supporter.

xelab, Monday, 7 December 2015 12:52 (eight years ago) link

http://www.theguardian.com/music/musicblog/2008/jul/29/bouncytechnomeetsterribler

^^^ Don't hate on the Guardian when they let John McDonnell MP write an article about the donk scene in 2008.

Matt DC, Monday, 7 December 2015 12:54 (eight years ago) link

The web has its uses.

Elsewhere actual kind ppl vote for kindness in numbers!

xyzzzz__, Monday, 7 December 2015 12:56 (eight years ago) link

Perhaps a few of those Corbyn-kicking opinion pieces were filed and all ready to go before the by-election win?

I keep seeing Nick Cohen at my nearest street market, looking very hung over/not right in the head/like he's been dragged backwards through several hedges. Rumour also has it pretty strongly that he's a ridiculous lech, so his glossing over left-wing sexism (which is much like right-wing sexism, because men) made me do a few LOLs.

voodoo rage (suzy), Monday, 7 December 2015 12:59 (eight years ago) link

Well he's called it out to say that the left can be as nasty as the right.

What was glossed over was Yvette Cooper's utterly brainless speech in favour of the bombings.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 7 December 2015 13:06 (eight years ago) link

I know a whole bunch of working class ex-Labour voters who think - cautiously - that Corbyn is the best thing to happen to the Party in forever. that's not representative. I'm not trying to make any bold claim. but the ongoing "Corbynism is a middle class phenomenon betraying the aspirations of irl working class people" is a pernicious Blairista lie that wants putting to the sword, preferable literally

Sancho Panzer (Noodle Vague), Monday, 7 December 2015 13:21 (eight years ago) link

donk article proves mcdonnell is not quite the hero of the working class he's said to be, here's hoping the daily mail don't catch wind of it

Merdeyeux, Monday, 7 December 2015 13:41 (eight years ago) link

Time for beddy-byes, Roy, you've had not a bad career so far, not a bad life, nothing to be ashamed of, but all fair to middling things must come to an end.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Monday, 7 December 2015 13:44 (eight years ago) link

Put a (peoples)Quant(itative easing) on it

Agents, show the general out. (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 7 December 2015 14:09 (eight years ago) link

Video - David Cameron repeats 'You ain't no Muslim bruv ...
www.independent.co.uk › News › UK › UK Politics
45 mins ago - David Cameron has repeated the remark "you ain't no Muslim, bruv" and praised the man who said it to the suspected Leytonstone Tube attacker. ... The Prime Minister said the man had done "much better than I ever could" in denouncing the use of Islam to justify terrorist attacks.

oh, great!

Mark G, Monday, 7 December 2015 15:20 (eight years ago) link

ConservativeHome’s Mark Wallace wrote a detailed and revealing account of what took place at a Momentum meeting he attended in Lambeth recently. John McDonnell, the shadow chancellor, was one of the speakers. Momentum says it is not pushing to deselect Labour MPs on the party’s right, but Wallace concluded that, in practice, this was its agenda.

Here’s an extract.

Not for nothing has John McDonnell risen to become the second most senior hard leftist in British politics. He knew exactly what he was doing. The meeting was shot through with Militant activists, Momentum was represented by a speaker who delivered a tirade targeted at other Labour factions. McDonnell carefully laid down all the cover in his speech about rejecting sectarianism within the Labour Party and denying that Momentum was intended to deselect dissenting MPs, then made sure to tell the audience with a wry smile that they were on the path to full control, they would get what they wanted and they would soon control who was selected. Had he really come to this meeting to bury factionalism, rather than to praise it, he wouldn’t have sat quietly while Ruth Cashman, in her vote of thanks, congratulated him on coming to Lambeth – “the vipers’ nest of Progress”.

As things wound down, I snuck out the back of the hall to head home. At the door, a final Stop the War activist asked me to sign his petition. “It’s against…well, it’s against Chuka, basically.”

:-)

Bye

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 11:10 (eight years ago) link

Come back when a young Labour activist has killed himself as a result of systematic bullying perhaps?

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 11:31 (eight years ago) link

I was thinking that is a minor possibility among the sea of childish tantrums.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 11:37 (eight years ago) link

At the door, a final Stop the War activist asked me to sign his petition. “It’s against…well, it’s against Chuka, basically.”

liking this straight talking, and wd like to sign petition

Agents, show the general out. (Bananaman Begins), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 12:01 (eight years ago) link

Careful you are not radicalised now.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 12:04 (eight years ago) link

already watches dulwich hamlet x_x

DO you feel it?

The UK has got its mojo back. Apparently.

I don't have the time or energy to make a counterargument (stevie), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 12:44 (eight years ago) link

Blairism, by Tony Blair

Lock thread.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 10 December 2015 09:48 (eight years ago) link

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/dec/10/tories-deceitful-political-sorcery-eu-cameron-magician-labour-must-learn

So how does Labour learn from the Tories' chicanery? This piece just stopped?

I don't think they are that successful. Coalition and then a small majority in the 20 odd years. But he is backing a New Labour way of doing things.

The analysis looks wrong. From Oldham it does look as if UKIP is surely now a big Tory problem and not so much a Labour one, certainly as we get closer to the EU referendum.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 10 December 2015 12:11 (eight years ago) link

In reality it isn't much of a problem for either party, electorally at least, although the pressure it exerts will exacerbate a split in the Tories.

Matt DC, Thursday, 10 December 2015 12:28 (eight years ago) link

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/dec/11/blair-frail-legacy-labour-corbynistas

This is a good and balanced piece tackling NuLab hysteria at the moment.

Matt DC, Friday, 11 December 2015 10:04 (eight years ago) link

^ One for the credit column.

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 13 December 2015 11:00 (eight years ago) link

How can anyone improve Jess Philipps?

xyzzzz__, Monday, 14 December 2015 12:54 (eight years ago) link

the first i'd ever heard of jess phillips was when she boasted about telling diane abbott to fuck off and suddenly she's e-v-e-r-y-w-h-e-r-e

cher guevara (lex pretend), Monday, 14 December 2015 13:00 (eight years ago) link

Talk of stabbings and shooting people in the head ten times - she must've been binge watching 'winners' like Donald Trump last week.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 14 December 2015 13:07 (eight years ago) link

Yuk..

quixotic yet visceral (Bob Six), Monday, 14 December 2015 13:09 (eight years ago) link

“I would do anything that I felt was going to make the Labour party win the general election because if I don’t have that attitude then all I’m doing is colluding with the Tories.

Because if there's one thing proven time and time again to make you more electable it's openly divided parties.

She added: “I would do whatever I could to make Jeremy Corbyn more electable, but you’ve got to give me something to work with, mate.”

RMDE.

Matt DC, Monday, 14 December 2015 13:27 (eight years ago) link

— John Mann (@JohnMannMP)
December 14, 2015

I told @jessphillips that she should be #Labour leader four months ago. She thought I was joking...#new generation

xyzzzz__, Monday, 14 December 2015 13:41 (eight years ago) link

This is awesome, seriously:

— John Mann (@JohnMannMP)
December 14, 2015

@jessphillips @guardian what the people want are politicians who say what they think but share their common values.

Could have fun with this for a while.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 14 December 2015 13:42 (eight years ago) link

She's kind of a div. Imagine the shit-storm if Diane Abbott told *her* to fuck off.

Jess Phillips complained that many people lobbying her over Syria 'weren't even on the Electoral Register' so I had to pointedly remind her that there are thousands of UK taxpayers with indefinite leave to remain. We don't appear on the ER because we are not citizens with a vote, so writing to an MP is on of only a few ways we can make our views known. She voted against airstrikes BTW, so ther's that.

voodoo rage (suzy), Monday, 14 December 2015 14:22 (eight years ago) link

lol, I don't think 'not on the electoral register no fuck them' is going to be a productive position for the labour party going forward.

Agents, show the general out. (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 14 December 2015 14:24 (eight years ago) link

so fuck them

Agents, show the general out. (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 14 December 2015 14:24 (eight years ago) link

Ha, it just showed me that she mouths off before engaging her brain - which everyone will have discovered today.

voodoo rage (suzy), Monday, 14 December 2015 15:47 (eight years ago) link

Eddie Cochrane had a similar problem.

Mark G, Monday, 14 December 2015 15:48 (eight years ago) link

Never mind Labour leader that makes her Prime Minister material if the present incumbent is any yardstick.

Anyway, it's not a three, it's a yogh. (Tom D.), Monday, 14 December 2015 15:51 (eight years ago) link

She seems kind of promising tbh, hope she's not a secret Tory

roughest.contoured.silks (imago), Monday, 14 December 2015 16:01 (eight years ago) link

"she mouths off before engaging her brain" - Can see why you like her LJ.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 14 December 2015 16:09 (eight years ago) link

"If that means making Jeremy better, I’ll roll my sleeves up."

?

conrad, Monday, 14 December 2015 16:12 (eight years ago) link

if this is the way to make labour electable, I'll eat my hat

conrad, Monday, 14 December 2015 16:13 (eight years ago) link

xp I don't think she is, but OH THE IRONING her persona is pretty fucking adolescent for someone who says Corbyn's supporters are like teenagers who''ve just discovered vegetarianism.

voodoo rage (suzy), Monday, 14 December 2015 16:15 (eight years ago) link

She could yet choose the path of the light. Corbyn could promote her to his own advantage tbh

roughest.contoured.silks (imago), Monday, 14 December 2015 16:23 (eight years ago) link

Don't think she spends too long thinking about anything. Yes, she voted against strikes but I remember people pleading with her to read a few things on the politics of it on twitter. Don't know if that had an impact but I reckon it was a close shave.

Similarly another line on that interview is that apparently Corbyn spends too long talking about Trident when that doesn't mean anything to her constituents. A big part of that debate is the public money we would save by not going ahead with Trident, which is something relevant to all of us. Its not some abstract leftie issue (although granted Corbyn is a re-thread of old debates at times, but they can be made to be relevant to anyone voting today)

Not a Tory, just out of her depth - and using language the people on the right of the party accuse Corbyn's Momentum crowd of using. All that crying over death threats..

xyzzzz__, Monday, 14 December 2015 16:26 (eight years ago) link

"path of the light"? Looking forward to new Star Wars imago. I hear its out this week.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 14 December 2015 16:29 (eight years ago) link

chill out malcolm tucker

roughest.contoured.silks (imago), Monday, 14 December 2015 16:33 (eight years ago) link

Oh I'm all chilled out Louie, just wondering what this "path of the light" business was about. xp

xyzzzz__, Monday, 14 December 2015 16:38 (eight years ago) link

I mean I could go on about the state of John Woodcock's twitter but I better not.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 21 December 2015 12:08 (eight years ago) link

I love Abby! This is undimmed after finding out that her endorsing of Andy Burnham might have something to do with Andy Burnham's brother being her headmaster, but nm - we commissioned her to write for edgystylemag.com this summer, would commission again.

voodoo rage (suzy), Monday, 21 December 2015 15:43 (eight years ago) link

Burnham has actually done ok as a memeber of Corbyn's shadow cab so no biggie.

And she has done v well in coping with the harrassment from the press dogs.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 21 December 2015 16:06 (eight years ago) link

If Jeremy Corbyn were as mean as I am, he'd be sending Tena products as secret Santa packages to leakier members of the front bench.

voodoo rage (suzy), Monday, 21 December 2015 17:00 (eight years ago) link

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/dec/22/labour-people-optimists-see-no-hope-jeremy-corbyn

*bye bye emoji* @ "Labour People"

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 10:57 (eight years ago) link

Lib Dem People

where are the rock bands? (Noodle Vague), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 11:00 (eight years ago) link

Mrs Jellyby People

where are the rock bands? (Noodle Vague), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 11:07 (eight years ago) link

Does "Burnham has done ok" mean anything beyond "Burnham hasn't been actively mean about Corbyn in public"?

Judging by this thread of late you'd be forgiven for thinking that nothing noteworthy happens in British politics other than people being mean about Corbyn.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 11:10 (eight years ago) link

Guilty as charged. Although I wanted to talk about the 'bad news' buried in the last day of parliament but it was probably better as a poll that I was never going to put up.

Does "Burnham has done ok" mean anything beyond "Burnham hasn't been actively mean about Corbyn in public"?

Given the state of things...but he has focused a bit more on opposing the government re: remarks on police cuts.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 11:18 (eight years ago) link

Bad news for Corbyn supporters, Brendan O'Neill is on your side.

Anyway, it's not a three, it's a yogh. (Tom D.), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 11:59 (eight years ago) link

Every single one of those points is OTM though.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 12:04 (eight years ago) link

That's the worrying part.

Anyway, it's not a three, it's a yogh. (Tom D.), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 12:10 (eight years ago) link

The standard line of the complacent Corbynite appears to be that his job is more about "realigning" the Labour Party than winning the next election. I somehow doubt that Corbyn himself sees it that way - why on earth would you settle for realigning the party when you have the opportunity to realign the country?

In any case, Corbyn only needs to do one thing to realign the Labour Party, which is to remove the closed-shop system of PLP-nominated candidates. Create a process where any sitting MP who stands can win, with a genuine one-member-one-vote system. Otherwise, all that will happen is that what remained of the PLP will block out any left-wing candidate next time round. Deselection isn't the answer either, and Corbyn doesn't seem to favour that anyway. Leave everything else to the members, and not self-proclaimed interest groups like Momentum or Progress. Personally I think he should bin the 'registered supporters' system as well, which could serve to undermine the credibility of any future winner.

A lot of Corbyn's supporter base seems to be a coalition of younger, more idealistic voters and bitter old giffers with a score to settle from 20+ years ago. There's a whole spectrum in between but these two broad blocs are already very apparent. They don't necessarily want the same things and that tension will become more visible over time. I know which lot I trust more. The younger group is only going to grow in number, while the other group is only going to shrink. They also have no particular attachment to Labour in and of itself and could easily take their votes elsewhere if an option presented itself.

The Labour right is extremely complacent about the prospect of an English Syriza or Podemos (or even SNP) appearing and they have no earthly reason to be. It's unlikely to be big or well-funded enough to win an election, but could easily be enough to sap a large number of votes from a party led by Tristram or Chuka or whoever. Corbyn's leadership is a product of historical forces that would have put someone like him in charge regardless. He could be the only thing preventing that eventuality from occurring.

(xpost - well that's going to be a sincere and gracious apology).

Matt DC, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 12:26 (eight years ago) link

Awful Brendan doesn't talk about why they are doing this. For all the noise the poll ratings for everybody haven't really moved (including in Scotland which shows how deep Labour's problems are). If shit really starts happening on the economy, housing, and if the cuts to local government are ever linked to Gideon's assault on their budgets Labour (even in their current state) are positioned to make things difficult, to say the least. And I'm not just talking about an uncomfortable session at PMQs (Look at the way Polly presents Europe as a point-scoring exercise at the end of her piece).

But to talk about why would mean talking about things the Labour right and The Spectator are aligned with. xps

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 12:29 (eight years ago) link

xp Extensive too (doesn't even mention the Sun on the front page bit)
http://www.theguardian.com/media/2015/dec/22/sun-forced-to-print-front-page-correction-over-corbyn-claim

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 12:32 (eight years ago) link

Its not just an apology but a front-page correction. xp

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 12:34 (eight years ago) link

and New year

(now that the floods are 'done')

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 31 December 2015 14:49 (eight years ago) link

Corbyn, a terrible man, how unlike his biggest critics.

Anyway, it's not a three, it's a yogh. (Tom D.), Thursday, 31 December 2015 14:56 (eight years ago) link

Was just going to post that but was ooking for the right celebratory gif.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Thursday, 31 December 2015 14:57 (eight years ago) link

(Sir Lynton Crobsy btw)

Anyway, it's not a three, it's a yogh. (Tom D.), Thursday, 31 December 2015 15:08 (eight years ago) link

Crosby, even. Either way *retch*

Anyway, it's not a three, it's a yogh. (Tom D.), Thursday, 31 December 2015 15:09 (eight years ago) link

any rejected kbes this year

probably.tasteful.forever (imago), Thursday, 31 December 2015 15:13 (eight years ago) link

second picture is some fine work

probably.tasteful.forever (imago), Monday, 4 January 2016 10:42 (eight years ago) link

I can assure you now, no-one will do me in, no-one will do me in

Anyway, it's not a three, it's a yogh. (Tom D.), Monday, 4 January 2016 11:06 (eight years ago) link

colourful personal life

soref, Monday, 4 January 2016 16:54 (eight years ago) link

He shifted from 'i was drunk and depressed' to 'bitches be crazy' with a fleet of foot I'd not previously associated with him.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 4 January 2016 16:59 (eight years ago) link

Blaming women for a man's actions has worked for 5000+ years, no wonder he thinks he's on to a winner there.

chicken danczuk (suzy), Monday, 4 January 2016 17:32 (eight years ago) link

Yes, I was probably naive in thinking the performative penitence would last more than sixteen hours.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 4 January 2016 17:37 (eight years ago) link

It's just the new sexual politics

Noodle Vague, Monday, 4 January 2016 19:58 (eight years ago) link

xpost to 'passive aggressive notes' thread

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CX9zQSPWEAQnNy7.jpg

soref, Tuesday, 5 January 2016 15:28 (eight years ago) link

Starting to think Corbyn's not that great at this being-Labour-leader thing

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 5 January 2016 15:33 (eight years ago) link

"Beatles & Curry" - wanker. Absolutely useless.

Benn should also be sacked but that might mean a few others going. Still, re-shuffle isn't quite what I wanted.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 5 January 2016 15:39 (eight years ago) link

Anyway, the main issue of the day is the Housing Bill. Horrifying stuff.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 5 January 2016 15:41 (eight years ago) link

it feels so hopeless :/

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 5 January 2016 15:52 (eight years ago) link

If these guys are so useless then perhaps Corbyn shouldn't have appointed them to the Shadow Cabinet in the first place? He must have been aware of Benn's stance on Syria before making the appointment, so either he didn't consider it an issue or he has a worrying lack of foresight. Shuffling him out of position now would make Corbyn look ridiculous and make a martyr out of Benn at the same time.

The housing bill is vindictive at best and both socially and economically disastrous at worst.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 5 January 2016 16:10 (eight years ago) link

Corbyn had almost nobody else to choose from and probably didn't expect so many Shadow ministers to be out there briefing against him, at least not so quickly. But yes, it does look awful.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 5 January 2016 16:13 (eight years ago) link

Corbyn apparently appointed Dugher to get Burnham in the shadow cab (?) It really is the lack of people who are on Corbyn's side - the briefing has been disgusting.

Cameron is allowing a free vote on the EU referendum, so oddly enough both leaders face similar issues..

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 5 January 2016 16:17 (eight years ago) link

He must have been aware of Benn's stance on Syria before making the appointment, so either he didn't consider it an issue or he has a worrying lack of foresight. Shuffling him out of position now would make Corbyn look ridiculous and make a martyr out of Benn at the same time.

He probably was aware ofBenn's stance on Syria, but who knows for sure?

Anyway, it's not a three, it's a yogh. (Tom D.), Tuesday, 5 January 2016 16:17 (eight years ago) link

At the time there was probably not going to be a vote on Syria, then Paris happened..

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 5 January 2016 16:21 (eight years ago) link

That interview was after Paris of course.

Anyway, it's not a three, it's a yogh. (Tom D.), Tuesday, 5 January 2016 16:22 (eight years ago) link

The chances of there being a vote on Syria, or for that matter any kind of military intervention, at some point in this Parliament were surely very high regardless. But yeah, he probably anticipated at least a pretense of front bench unity that hasn't happened. I'd be pretty surprised if Corbyn lasts two years as leader, given that most of the PLP are intent on making his position untenable, but the anger among party members could be so intense that none of their anointed successors are likely to win a subsequent ballot. Next Labour leader is likely to be someone we've barely heard of.

Cameron's EU free vote, like his decision to stand down at the end of this Parliament, is about him doing everything in his power to avoid turning into John Major. There's no way his entire Cabinet would have accepted a whipped vote and the resignations would have been extremely damaging, especially with anti-EU alternative leaders waiting in the wings. Even with a free vote he'll be made to look like a clown, given how anti-EU our press now is. Last couple of years of this Parliament could end up looking very zombified.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 5 January 2016 16:56 (eight years ago) link

is david milliband still in the us?

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 5 January 2016 17:08 (eight years ago) link

the PLP are doing their utmost to make sure these months/years are remembered as a chaos that no one wants to return to, is what it seems like

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 5 January 2016 17:11 (eight years ago) link

The PLP are being super-childish and it won't be forgotten.

David Miliband is still in the US, making $600K/year (plus perks).

chicken danczuk (suzy), Tuesday, 5 January 2016 17:18 (eight years ago) link

I think the ones with actual talent and foresight, any genuine PMs in waiting, are sitting back and keeping quiet. The people yapping and freaking out are pretty much universally mediocre and making themselves look terrible.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 5 January 2016 17:19 (eight years ago) link

Totally.

For someone who is keen to flaunt his working-class roots (or happy to let others do it for him) Michael Dugher is doing a great impression of an entitled brat. Saw an Abby Milifan tweet where she said his Twitter biog is a bit 'blocked by...' and she's right.

chicken danczuk (suzy), Tuesday, 5 January 2016 17:25 (eight years ago) link

Tha chaos is just beginning. And that's just Westminster. If the economy goes to pot and/or the housing market crashes...

Corbyn - like all politicians - needs votes. Oldham did shut people up for a month and he'll need more like it in May.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 5 January 2016 17:52 (eight years ago) link

Tom Pride ‏@ThomasPride 4 hrs4 hours ago

BBC political editor @bbclaurak 2016 tweets so far:
Rail fares - 0
Housing - 0
Floods - 1
EU negotiations - 8
Labour reshuffle - 30

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 5 January 2016 20:50 (eight years ago) link

Not even including "Husband. Dad." in his Twitter bio could save Dugher in the end. Brutal Jezza.

nashwan, Tuesday, 5 January 2016 21:31 (eight years ago) link

No place for human relationships in today's technocratic Stalinist Labour party

Noodle Vague, Tuesday, 5 January 2016 21:33 (eight years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CYIXI5JWMAI3_pf.png:large

Matt DC, Thursday, 7 January 2016 16:49 (eight years ago) link

massive lols

Less surprised by the total lack of surprises (stevie), Thursday, 7 January 2016 16:49 (eight years ago) link

well-done everybody

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 7 January 2016 22:05 (eight years ago) link

xpost with exactly that:

Ugh, so it looks like Laura Kuenssberg set up a Shadow Cabinet on-air resignation just in time for PMQs.

https://alittleecon.wordpress.com/2016/01/07/the-bbc-admits-it-co-ordinated-in-advance-the-on-air-resignation-of-stephen-doughty/

This might actually be against the BBC Charter.

chicken danczuk (suzy), Thursday, 7 January 2016 22:15 (eight years ago) link

I hate laura kuenssberg

conrad, Thursday, 7 January 2016 22:17 (eight years ago) link

I enjoyed reading this with Peter Hitchens' voice in my head:

http://hitchensblog.mailonsunday.co.uk/2016/01/letting-rip-against-all-this-reshuffle-garbage.html

Alba, Thursday, 7 January 2016 23:55 (eight years ago) link

Love this strand of Corbyn commentary where a total right-wing nut (usually old Torygraph) will sympathise with Corbyn just because he has been shabbily treated - if only he had been dismissed in a nice, gentlemanly way (as a fetish of old British values that never existed v much). The moment where they'll say "I am in no way agreeing with him, lets not get carried away" tickles.

Irony is Corbyn is a parliamentarian of 25+ years, has mostly been treated with contempt (forget Cameron's dislike, what about the majority of the PLP) and is perfectly able to take care of himself (he would've resigned by now if he couldn't). With the piece above there is a hint of envy - Hitchens is ignored (and he will always be just this maverick everyone will pretend to respect for 5 mins) whereas Corbyn finds himself in a position where he can't be.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 8 January 2016 09:32 (eight years ago) link

Good putdown:

But the ridiculous praise for Hilary Benn’s fatuous speech (regarded as Churchillian by the sort of people who think Downton Abbey is great drama)

xyzzzz__, Friday, 8 January 2016 09:35 (eight years ago) link

this is basically a two ronnies sketch

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CYM1KDXW8AAU1SI.jpg

hand of jehuty and the blowfish (bizarro gazzara), Friday, 8 January 2016 14:44 (eight years ago) link

In other news, the BNP ceased to exist as a political entity today.

Matt DC, Friday, 8 January 2016 15:09 (eight years ago) link

Another couple of resignations today - Catherine McKinnell, the Shadow AG, and Paula Sherriff, a PPS.

At this rate there won't be enough of them left to fill all the positions.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 11 January 2016 12:13 (eight years ago) link

It's being reported that Corbyn has cancelled an appearance at the PLP meeting tonight out of fear that his presence would be divisive.

Can't see him lasting more than a few months at this rate, though i think the party will implode either way.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 11 January 2016 12:21 (eight years ago) link

He's always struck me as a reluctant lottery winner, the type that carries on with his old job because.

Mark G, Monday, 11 January 2016 12:29 (eight years ago) link

If I was him I'd be thinking "fuck this" at this point, but doing a John Major 'back me or sack me' snap election might be fun as well. If only because he'd win, and the collective hissy fit would be beyond funny.

Matt DC, Monday, 11 January 2016 12:34 (eight years ago) link

One things for sure, the real winner will be All Those People Who Depend On A Labour Government.

Matt DC, Monday, 11 January 2016 12:35 (eight years ago) link

I think he'd possibly lose a leadership challenge at this point but it would tear the party apart.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 11 January 2016 13:26 (eight years ago) link

Another couple of resignations today - Catherine McKinnell, the Shadow AG, and Paula Sherriff, a PPS.

*doesn't bother to google*

xyzzzz__, Monday, 11 January 2016 13:40 (eight years ago) link

If he resigned would Corbyn be eligible to stand again?

Anyway, like to think he'll stay if Labour do well in the local elections - but a disunited party is unlikely to do that. And I think Labour can go back to fail "All Those People Who Depend" as usual.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 11 January 2016 13:43 (eight years ago) link

If more of All Those People Who Depend would actually vote for a labour government there might be one but hey ho

Agents, show the general out. (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 11 January 2016 14:19 (eight years ago) link

It's not really disunited though, just a few Blairites throwing their toys out of the pram. The media reaction to this is some proper Westminster bubble stuff.

Poor.Old.Tired.Horse. (Stew), Monday, 11 January 2016 14:26 (eight years ago) link

Labour has been disunited since about 1960 or so, some leaders are just better at maintaining a facade of unity.

I wish at least one Blairite would admit the error in sending a message last year that All Those People Who Depend would get fuck all from any putative Labour government, but that would require a level of self-examination and humility that seem to be in short supply.

Matt DC, Monday, 11 January 2016 14:31 (eight years ago) link

Social media hasn't helped - looks like its speeding up the bad feeling and descent into disintegration.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 11 January 2016 14:37 (eight years ago) link

This is coming from someone who Does Not Depend, but ultimately good with Labour tearing itself apart - such a farce that they are helping anyone in the first place. Imagine a parallel Burnham/Yvette administration and the same stuff happens - cuts to welfare leading to deaths and suicides, except with no hope of standing up for Welfare as a good thing. Housing Bill is given a triffle of opposition. No attempt to put up a fight against the Syrian bombing - whose outcome has been what, exactly?

One thing that current Labour are *not* doing is sleepwalking.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 11 January 2016 14:47 (eight years ago) link

I think even a Burnham/Cooper would be better than Cam/Osbourne, the problem is they're still over-reliant on the Blair nudge/wink thing - talking tough in the media while doing something different (if inadequate) in office. Blair was elected on convincing half the country he'd be more left-wing than promised, and convincing the other half of the exact opposite. The Labour right still cling to the idea that that con trick is possible, despite the splintering of their voter base into multiple different directions. They're as responsible for Corbyn as anyone else is.

Matt DC, Monday, 11 January 2016 15:05 (eight years ago) link

Anyway we've done this a million times.

Rawnsley in the Observer yesterday, amid some largely uninteresting stuff about Labour and Trident, pointed out how massive the EU vote will be on the result of the next Tory leadership election (short version = if he's prominent in the In campaign, then Osborne is fucked).

Matt DC, Monday, 11 January 2016 15:07 (eight years ago) link

He will have to be involved if the primary argument for staying in is economic and business is lining up behind them. If the UK votes no and Cameron steps aside, he's reasonably well positioned as a safe pair of hands to deal with the inevitable economic fallout. If they vote yes, he can say the issue is settled for the interim and the Tories can get on with voting for a leader who is electable but doesn't represent the grass roots again. It's difficult, for obvious reasons, to point to an economically credible anti-EU front bencher with the profile to take over if Cameron quits.

I suspect that there will be enough of a renegotiation to save face on both sides. The EU has enough trouble brewing in Central Europe atm.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 11 January 2016 20:04 (eight years ago) link

ffs reading a bunch of the Star Wars thread now has me reading 'EU' as 'expanded universe'

Labour has been disunited since about 1960 or so

since 1900 without much exaggeration. Atlee was only the candidate that all sides hated the least, but obv in 1945 compromise was possible in a way that the moderate, won't-somebody-think-of-the-hard-working-families? wing of today's party will not countenance

Noodle Vague, Monday, 11 January 2016 21:06 (eight years ago) link

does anyone else find it bizarre that David Cameron is waxing lyrical about 'tiger mothers' in 2016? I thought that was a buzzword whose heyday had passed about 4 years ago?

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3394842/Cameron-praises-hard-work-ethos-demands-end-win-prizes-culture.html

soref, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 01:07 (eight years ago) link

jesus that reads like parody

is it just me or is cameron showing his true colors a little more these days?

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 01:15 (eight years ago) link

I guess the tiger mother stuff slots in with the right-wing narratives about how the west has become uncompetitive + soft, and that we need to make the economy more 'dynamic' to prevent China from overtaking us?

complaints about the 'all must win prizes' culture seem sort of old-school as well, idk

soref, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 01:22 (eight years ago) link

think it comes from public school culture, the irony of a bunch of ultra-privileged kids believing they're all in a Hobbesian state of nature

Noodle Vague, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 07:02 (eight years ago) link

No, posh schools also do 'prizes for all' and have done for years: Diana, Princess Of Wales was given a prize for looking after the guinea pig at her boarding school, presumably because they had to recognise the non-scholars and non-athletes somehow.

chicken danczuk (suzy), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 07:38 (eight years ago) link

Keeping the school guinea pig alive is difficult!

Chicamaw (Ward Fowler), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 08:57 (eight years ago) link

I know I wouldn't be able to do it.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 09:02 (eight years ago) link

RIP Sir Squeaksalot

The Male Gaz Coombes (Neil S), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 09:06 (eight years ago) link

Yeah yeah, he only got the knighthood for doing his job.

Mark G, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 11:09 (eight years ago) link

Knighted by David Cameron himself for services etc

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 11:14 (eight years ago) link

He will have to be involved if the primary argument for staying in is economic and business is lining up behind them. If the UK votes no and Cameron steps aside, he's reasonably well positioned as a safe pair of hands to deal with the inevitable economic fallout. If they vote yes, he can say the issue is settled for the interim and the Tories can get on with voting for a leader who is electable but doesn't represent the grass roots again. It's difficult, for obvious reasons, to point to an economically credible anti-EU front bencher with the profile to take over if Cameron quits.

I suspect that there will be enough of a renegotiation to save face on both sides.

If the UK votes no then it will look like a personal failure from his point of view, having made the argument that it would be economically detrimental to the UK, he'll be a significantly diminished figure if he loses. We all know that a narrow victory in a referendum doesn't settle anything, and in that scenario the backlash among Tory members could be so severe that they would consider any prominent anti-EU figurehead over him - especially if Boris or May or whoever set themselves up in that role.

On the other hand, these figures tend to attract coalitions working against them, but the same is also true for Osborne. There could be enough of a split vote that someone unexpected sneaks in, Major-style. It'll be interesting to see which senior Tories disappear from view during the campaign, only to reappear untainted by either side when the hustings really begin.

Honestly, regardless of what the EU ultimately end up offering Cameron, I can't see any any renegotiation satisfying large sections of the press and the Tories. I don't think they'll settle for anything less than a full referendum at this stage.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 11:55 (eight years ago) link

Boris is a populist but he has a very close relationship to the City and has been swimming against the tide on immigration and the benefits of businesses being able to recruit freely from Europe. I think he'll play his cards close to his chest and come out in favour of staying. May might be more amenable to leaving but has made no indication she'll campaign that way yet.

The only prominent anti-EU figureheads the party has at the moment are IDS and Gove and neither looks viable as a challenger.

There'll definitely be a full referendum but i think Cameron will probably be able to spin whatever he gets in the way of concessions as a victory.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 12:12 (eight years ago) link

is it just me or is cameron showing his true colors a little more these days?

Not convinced he has any colours, true or not.

Narayan Superman (Tom D.), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 12:44 (eight years ago) link

imagine iain duncan smith as tory leader

conrad, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 13:17 (eight years ago) link

No need for greed or hunger,
A brotherhood of man

Narayan Superman (Tom D.), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 13:20 (eight years ago) link

LOL

But that is not enough for anyone who wants Labour back in power, and who knows that though times have changed, being sound on the economy, strong on defence, and fairer than the Tories remain key messages in a winning formula.

This is the mistake. Stop repeating it.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 09:48 (eight years ago) link

God, the Labour movement misses Alastair Campbell.

No stage school training, natural talent and attitude by the shed (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 10:00 (eight years ago) link

Politics is exactly like football. Tony Blair and Ferguson were winners. Don't you want to win?

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 10:05 (eight years ago) link

Both were shit overseas tbf

No stage school training, natural talent and attitude by the shed (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 10:07 (eight years ago) link

nice

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 13:02 (eight years ago) link

a terrible penalty long after 45 minutes

nashwan, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 13:18 (eight years ago) link

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jan/20/tory-mp-crispin-blunt-poppers-drug-policy

Good to see Blunt speaking up about this.

On a side note, I didn't know until a few weeks ago that poppers are the antidote to lethal doses of cyanide.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 22:21 (eight years ago) link

thread title otm

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 22:36 (eight years ago) link

Usual case of conservative compassion in deep hibernation till an issue affects them personally.

ledge, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 22:46 (eight years ago) link

'i was going along with all this but there are some lines, sir, that i will not allowed to be crossed and one of those is my own personal enjoyment of bottled butt drugs'

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 22:54 (eight years ago) link

I thought we had a ban on quoting REDACTED

No stage school training, natural talent and attitude by the shed (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:03 (eight years ago) link

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/jan/22/communist-family-politics-religion

Many of these columnists had commie parents didn't they? Wastage of another column to work off a bit of trauma but certainly the reaction against Corbyn and lefty movements like Momentum, Syriza and Podemos point to all that painful history.

What I hate about this is how Vasily Grossman's name is invoked. Yes he had no love for Stalin or Lenin but I'm finishing a couple of books by him rn and he'd use the same moral force in his writings to decry the 'gulags' of sports direct, zero hour contracts, the cycles of poverty in which large sections of this country are trapped but no its all mummy and daddy had a faith (which is wrong as communism took root in much of the world at that time) and 'times have changed'.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 22 January 2016 12:40 (eight years ago) link

speak my langauge

http://ichef-1.bbci.co.uk/news/660/cpsprodpb/51EE/production/_87847902_typo.png

ilxors ananimus (onimo), Friday, 22 January 2016 12:52 (eight years ago) link

Snigger

Lionel Richie the Wardrobe (Nasty, Brutish & Short), Friday, 22 January 2016 13:07 (eight years ago) link

Many of these columnists had commie parents didn't they?

Brought up to hate the Labour Party, the sort of people who vote Labour and the Labour movement in general, so nothing much has changed there then.

The Return of the Thin White Pope (Tom D.), Friday, 22 January 2016 13:24 (eight years ago) link

He does know how to pick the vote-winning issues...
http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/jan/24/jeremy-corbyn-power-sharing-deal-falkland-islands-argentina

conditional random jepsen (seandalai), Sunday, 24 January 2016 11:46 (eight years ago) link

Labour leader tells Argentina he’s in favour of Northern Ireland-style deal, while party spokesman says Labour is committed to self-determination

ffs

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Sunday, 24 January 2016 12:45 (eight years ago) link

Northern Ireland-style deal? In other words, no power sharing with a non-UK government and remaining part of the UK?

The Return of the Thin White Pope (Tom D.), Sunday, 24 January 2016 12:53 (eight years ago) link

wasn't Benn's explicit condition of staying that he would not contradict Corbyn?? this is really really really shambolic

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Sunday, 24 January 2016 13:30 (eight years ago) link

hahahaha oh jeez

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 24 January 2016 13:37 (eight years ago) link

oh jez morelikeamirite

The Return of the Thin White Pope (Tom D.), Sunday, 24 January 2016 13:49 (eight years ago) link

Is it true what I've been hearing about bees and pesticides?

Never changed username before (cardamon), Friday, 29 January 2016 21:25 (eight years ago) link

they didn't make the top 77, no

Chikan wa akan de. Zettai akan de. (Noodle Vague), Saturday, 30 January 2016 02:23 (eight years ago) link

Sorry to use thread as question board but struggle to keep up with all this

Never changed username before (cardamon), Saturday, 30 January 2016 19:24 (eight years ago) link

Deputy mayor Cllr Sophie Linden has now written on a council blog to confirm the order would be withdrawn thanks to "ongoing public concern" - a reference to the 80,000 people who signed a petition opposing it, as well as high-profile critics such as singer Ellie Goulding.

Fizzles, Saturday, 30 January 2016 19:57 (eight years ago) link

Cameron:

We need to ensure that when new countries are admitted to the EU in the future, free movement will not apply to those new members until their economies have converged much more closely with existing Member States.

We also need to crack down on the abuse of free movement, an issue on which I have found wide support in my discussions with colleagues. This includes tougher and longer re-entry bans for fraudsters and people who collude in sham

It means addressing the fact that it is easier for an EU citizen to bring a non-EU spouse to Britain than it is for a British citizen to do the same.

It means stronger powers to deport criminals and stop them coming back, as well as preventing entry in the first place. And it means addressing ECJ (European Court of Justice) judgments that have widened the scope of free movement in a way that has made it more difficult to tackle this kind of abuse. But we need to go further to reduce the numbers coming here. As I have said previously, we can reduce the flow of people coming from within the EU by reducing the draw that our welfare system can exert across Europe.

So we have proposed that people coming to Britain from the EU must live here and contribute for four years before they qualify for in-work benefits or social housing. And that we should end the practice of sending child benefit overseas.

Tusk:

On social benefits and free movement, we need to fully respect the current treaties, in particular the principles of freedom of movement and non-discrimination. Therefore the proposed solution to address the UK concerns builds on the clarification of the interpretation of current rules, including a draft Commission Declaration on a number of issues relating to better fighting abuse of free movement.

The draft Decision of the Heads notes, in particular, the Commission’s intention to propose changes to EU legislation as regards the export of child benefits and the creation of a safeguard mechanism to respond to exceptional situations of inflow of workers from other Member States. A draft Commission Declaration also relates to this mechanism. This approach, as well as the exact duration of the application of such a mechanism need to be further discussed at our level.

Fun to have the interests of the Visegrad group put forward by someone a significant number of people in his national government believe is a Russian spy.

Looks like there might be a compromise proposal brewing where a member state could restrict benefits for a limited time if there was an overwhelmingly compelling case to do so.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 12:24 (eight years ago) link

It means addressing the fact that it is easier for an EU citizen to bring a non-EU spouse to Britain than it is for a British citizen to do the same.

One way of doing this would be making it easier for British citizens to bring non-EU spouses to the UK, but that would presumably be unthinkable. Unfortunately, it looks like Cameron is absolutely determined to deport Tracer Hand one way or another.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 12:26 (eight years ago) link

If the compromise is as hinted it's not going to appease even the most faintly Eurosceptic, can't see why he bothered tbh

Chikan wa akan de. Zettai akan de. (Noodle Vague), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 12:29 (eight years ago) link

Yes, he'd need a lot more and there's no obvious reason anyone would give it to him at the moment.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 12:31 (eight years ago) link

To help win the last election perhaps? (xp)

The Robustness of Captchas (Tom D.), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 12:32 (eight years ago) link

lol

my thoughts exactly re: British citizens and their spouses - surely the issue here is the UK not harmonizing its own "track" with EU law (not forgetting that the British track to residency costs £££££££, as opposed to the EU track which takes longer but is free)

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 12:36 (eight years ago) link

Thinking of offering my citizenship for sale for 50% less than the government fee

Chikan wa akan de. Zettai akan de. (Noodle Vague), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 12:52 (eight years ago) link

David Cameron doesn't have time to deport Tracer Hand, he's been at the farmer's market I go to over the weekend, clashing with stallholders and workers who were shaming him for his refugee rhetoric. And then trying to get one of them sacked for daring to suggest that his 'bunch of migrants' comment was... fairly unstatesmanlike.

jedi slimane (suzy), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 12:58 (eight years ago) link

I'm sure he can find time for both

Lionel Richie the Wardrobe (Nasty, Brutish & Short), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 13:28 (eight years ago) link

Ironic really, that he's too busy arguing over immigration policy with artisan cheesemongers to deport anyone.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 14:05 (eight years ago) link

It was the Isle of Wight tomato dude, says other friends who were working. Cameron showed up with plus de hired goons and visited each stall as even the Tories amongst the customers gave hard side-eye.

jedi slimane (suzy), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 14:10 (eight years ago) link

BACK OUR BRAVE DEAL

nashwan, Wednesday, 3 February 2016 12:39 (eight years ago) link

An awful lot of glum looking twats Tories sat behind the PM.

The Robustness of Captchas (Tom D.), Wednesday, 3 February 2016 12:56 (eight years ago) link

End of the line for Cam, only a couple of years left for him now surely.

nashwan, Wednesday, 3 February 2016 13:21 (eight years ago) link

His authority was always going to ebb significantly throughout this Parliament anyway, in the way that Blair's did post-2005. Question is whether anyone forces the issue before then. Hard to see how he could stay on in the event of a referendum defeat.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 3 February 2016 13:27 (eight years ago) link

We'll have too much shit to worry about at that point to be happy though

stet, Wednesday, 3 February 2016 16:26 (eight years ago) link

wd b jokes if a narrow majority in England voted to leave, but votes elsewhere gave stay a wafer thin victory

Agents, show the general out. (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 3 February 2016 17:17 (eight years ago) link

I think he's got enough to secure a vote to stay in the EU.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Wednesday, 3 February 2016 19:28 (eight years ago) link

Families, eh? What are they like?

David Cameron's mother signs anti-cuts petition

The Robustness of Captchas (Tom D.), Tuesday, 9 February 2016 11:48 (eight years ago) link

Tough decisions have to be made, but just not in the tory heartlands thank you very much. That's how the Camerons roll.

calzino, Tuesday, 9 February 2016 13:05 (eight years ago) link

Junior Doc contracts - which they are not going to sign - to be imposed.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 11 February 2016 13:14 (eight years ago) link

James Blunt OTM https://twitter.com/JamesBlunt/status/697784223688757248

Gaz upon my works ye mighty, and despair (Neil S), Thursday, 11 February 2016 14:15 (eight years ago) link

phrases I never thought I would write etc.

Gaz upon my works ye mighty, and despair (Neil S), Thursday, 11 February 2016 14:15 (eight years ago) link

these people are psychopaths

― conrad, Wednesday, July 15, 2015 1:56 PM (6 months ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

pastoral fantasy (jed_), Thursday, 11 February 2016 14:39 (eight years ago) link

Doctors are, like, universally beloved, no? How is this not a massive own goal for the govt? I know I know they have scored multiple other own goals already, and if voters don't feel for the disabled they aren't going to feel for young doctors...

SCROTUS (stevie), Thursday, 11 February 2016 15:05 (eight years ago) link

People will say they care but not enough to actually change their voting intentions, until such point as there's a big NHS disaster, which is surely on the way.

Labour is being really quite weak on health, as if they've decided "ah well, it didn't work with Miliband let's not really bother this time".

Matt DC, Thursday, 11 February 2016 15:31 (eight years ago) link

I dare say that the tory press will barely mention it. also it really hurts that they are called junior Doctors and there's a deep (but legitimate) misunderstanding of what that actually is.

pastoral fantasy (jed_), Thursday, 11 February 2016 15:31 (eight years ago) link

as if they've decided "ah well, it didn't work with Miliband let's not really bother this time".

which is... fair enough?

Agents, show the general out. (Bananaman Begins), Thursday, 11 February 2016 15:38 (eight years ago) link

Doctors are, like, universally beloved, no?

Nurses might be but doctors aren't. Heard some poll mentioned today, something like 45% of the GBP blame the government for the strike, 15% blame the doctors, 40% think both are to blame.

Demeraray & Essequebo (Tom D.), Thursday, 11 February 2016 15:52 (eight years ago) link

I dare say that the tory press will barely mention it.

I don't know, keep thinking of Portillo's indignation about it, "Professional people do not go on strike".

Demeraray & Essequebo (Tom D.), Thursday, 11 February 2016 15:54 (eight years ago) link

Don't see Labour as "weak on health". Aren't they neck-and-neck with the Tories on that issue? And Labour are fully supporting the strikes - which for Labour its expected but not in recent times.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 11 February 2016 15:54 (eight years ago) link

(xp) ... only prole scum do.

Demeraray & Essequebo (Tom D.), Thursday, 11 February 2016 15:55 (eight years ago) link

They're not really putting the Tories under any serious pressure in an area which should be natural territory for them.

Matt DC, Thursday, 11 February 2016 16:05 (eight years ago) link

"Neck and neck with the Tories" is doing quite badly given that they used to be comfortably ahead even when they were unpopular on many other issues.

Matt DC, Thursday, 11 February 2016 16:06 (eight years ago) link

tbh I would've thought they'd have a lead on this - don't know what the polling is.

Probably more important that Labour keep supporting the strikes even if the public turns against the junior doctors.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 11 February 2016 16:13 (eight years ago) link

If public opinion turns then it doesn't matter at all whether or not Labour supports them, because it's then irrelevant to everything other than the state of the Labour Party.

FWIW I don't think public opinion will turn unless there's a major increase in strike activity, which doctors would be very reluctant to do - and of course Hunt knows that.

Matt DC, Thursday, 11 February 2016 16:21 (eight years ago) link

Its relevant if you want the Labour Party to be in a better state to tackle problems of inequality, housing and all sorts of crisis. We need a party that can speak to that when the thing crashes. Backing this and other strikes is important, it re-orientation from where they were.

Hunt is pushing doctors to strike further. They are v reluctant to strike at all (the last one was cancelled off at the last min) and have been considerably pushed.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 11 February 2016 17:12 (eight years ago) link

Yeah I dispute whether backing a doctor's strike during a theoretical turn in public opinion would make much difference to the rest of that, most of the public wouldn't be inclined to group these issues together at all.

Individual Labour members (including Michael Foot iirc) have appeared alongside strikers, and they may have offered tacit endorsement/not outright condemned strikes before, but I'm not sure the Labour Party has any real history of actively supporting strikes.

Matt DC, Thursday, 11 February 2016 17:17 (eight years ago) link

In fact I think this might be the first strike that Labour has explicitly endorsed?

Matt DC, Thursday, 11 February 2016 17:18 (eight years ago) link

I think backing strikes will entrench a set of attitudes in the rest of the party - its one of a many number of things they have to do, but it counts.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 11 February 2016 17:31 (eight years ago) link

In fact I think this might be the first strike that Labour has explicitly endorsed?

article on that subject here: http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/staggers/2016/02/ns-podcast-135-trident-tories-and-tough-love

(I don't know why the url says that, but it is the right link)

soref, Thursday, 11 February 2016 17:35 (eight years ago) link

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/israel-boycott-local-councils-public-bodies-and-student-unions-to-be-banned-from-shunning-israeli-a6874006.html

Story as per URL basically - hard to imagine that these days this won't blow up in their faces, google searches for 'Isreali boycotts' surely about to start rising sharply.

Andrew Farrell, Monday, 15 February 2016 11:33 (eight years ago) link

... which Google will helpfully response to with 'do you mean "Israeli boycott"?'

Andrew Farrell, Monday, 15 February 2016 11:34 (eight years ago) link

I'd be surprised by the govt's audacity with this and the lobbying/gagging bill if there wasn't such a feeble media/sense of public opposition

ogmor, Monday, 15 February 2016 11:39 (eight years ago) link

oh xp

Never changed username before (cardamon), Monday, 15 February 2016 22:20 (eight years ago) link

Interesting that the Israeli angle is being made so much of in coverage of the proposed legislation - it would also cover refusal to work with an arms company, refusal to let G4S handle community service, etc

Never changed username before (cardamon), Monday, 15 February 2016 22:28 (eight years ago) link

I thought these fuckers were all about consumer choice?

jedi slimane (suzy), Monday, 15 February 2016 23:09 (eight years ago) link

That there is an interesting one - there's so many contradictions between what they say and what they do - likewise 'small government' but you know let's go hardcore on policing, 'cut taxes' haha unless you're poor and you've got a spare bedroom - 'for hardworkingpeople/rewarding merit' but let's allow private schools and oldboy networks to wallow around doing what they want

Never changed username before (cardamon), Wednesday, 17 February 2016 01:13 (eight years ago) link

But I'm always surprised, always - perhaps 'we' get too absorbed in arguing with what they say they believe in, perhaps that's just as planned. People calling themselves 'hard working' has already lost any substance and become just an obvious ideological mantra (or seems so to me?), perhaps all the rest of it will shake loose in the next few months/years

Never changed username before (cardamon), Wednesday, 17 February 2016 01:20 (eight years ago) link

Donkeys are hard working, fuck that. You talk as if you're surprised to discover Tories have no scruples. Fuck it, I'm too old for this.

Soon Kenny Loggins will look like this (Tom D.), Wednesday, 17 February 2016 01:36 (eight years ago) link

OMG @ whoever decided to put George Galloway in front of the Grassroots Out campaign, 90% (at least) full of Tories and UKIP members. Reportedly they had to close the doors to stop people leaving.

Matt DC, Friday, 19 February 2016 22:28 (eight years ago) link

How many hours did it take for EU leaders to cobble together this deal to keep David Cameron in office? What a farce.

Thomas of Britain (Tom D.), Saturday, 20 February 2016 11:12 (eight years ago) link

Goldsmith is unsurprisingly in favour of leaving the EU which should probably tank his chances of being mayor.

https://www.politicshome.com/party-politics/articles/story/zac-goldsmith-back-leaving-eu

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 21 February 2016 09:35 (eight years ago) link

The news coverage is going to be increasingly unbearable between now and the referendum. More and more shrill and borderline (and not so borderline) psychotic conservative politicians on tv and social media.

Half-baked profundities. Self-referential smirkiness (Bob Six), Sunday, 21 February 2016 12:12 (eight years ago) link

I have a feeling this could end up being so divisive and bitter for the Conservative Party that there'll be a clusterfuck of a leadership election that'll end with someone like Michael Gove winning, Major-style, because no one can be bothered to build a coalition against him.

Increasingly convinced that anyone vocally on the In side doesn't stand a chance of being the next Tory leader.

Matt DC, Sunday, 21 February 2016 13:22 (eight years ago) link

If that is true (not sure it is) then that would definitely make Boris' mind up for him.

Thomas of Britain (Tom D.), Sunday, 21 February 2016 13:26 (eight years ago) link

The massive intellect that is IDS weighs in.

Thomas of Britain (Tom D.), Sunday, 21 February 2016 13:28 (eight years ago) link

Boris is maybe the exception, he can do what he wants and get away with it with the public at least.

OTOH campaigning on the opposite side to Cameron might be seen as a brazenly disloyal leadership play by Tory MPs, and that has the potential to be more damaging. Obviously Tories are fine with disloyalty when it suits them but most of them just don't seem to like Boris that much.

Matt DC, Sunday, 21 February 2016 13:48 (eight years ago) link

Cameron clearly fears the idea of Boris campaigning on the Out side in way he doesn't with, say, Gove. Wonder if Boris would be prepared to trade his loyalty for, say, a Cabinet job.

Matt DC, Sunday, 21 February 2016 13:54 (eight years ago) link

Maybe there are corners of blue England where Gove is a towering political figure and I just don't know about it, but if he remain the representative of the Out campaign that's on all the front pages between now and June then surely they are doomed?

conditional random jepsen (seandalai), Sunday, 21 February 2016 15:05 (eight years ago) link

Boris is out (according to the BBC)

AlanSmithee, Sunday, 21 February 2016 15:30 (eight years ago) link

I'm guessing the answer is 'no', but are there any ilxors who intend to vote leave? I wonder if Corbyn would be campaigning for brexit alongside Dennis Skinner and Kelvin Hopkins if he hadn't been elected leader.

soref, Sunday, 21 February 2016 15:46 (eight years ago) link

i'm minded to vote leave at the moment

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 21 February 2016 15:53 (eight years ago) link

Will either not vote or vote leave. To be honest the only thing preventing a leave vote is my distaste for some of the people I'd be voting alongside (NV excepted of course)

pandemic, Sunday, 21 February 2016 16:43 (eight years ago) link

yeah it will involve some very unpleasant bedfellows but i feel like the leftist argument to leave is pretty strong

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 21 February 2016 16:46 (eight years ago) link

Owen Hatherley otm that whatever qualms people have about the EU as a project, the concrete repercussions of leaving will be deportations, worse employment laws, the restriction of human rights, etc, etc.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 21 February 2016 16:49 (eight years ago) link

the EU isn't the ECHR and the referendum won't involve leaving the latter

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 21 February 2016 17:01 (eight years ago) link

and seeing either as a check on the worst excesses of a Tory government feels unlikely to me

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 21 February 2016 17:02 (eight years ago) link

The only reason the Tories haven't pressed for leaving the ECHR is that membership of the EU effectively requires it, even if they are distinct institutions. They have mooted it enough times to view it as entirely plausible if not inevitable. The UK is also currently bound by separate EU human rights legislation.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 21 February 2016 17:04 (eight years ago) link

The EU is only ever going to be as good as its constituent governments and the current lot are pretty reprehensible and the institution is a very long way from perfect. However disgusting the treatment of Greece was last summer, it's hard to see how Britain leaving would make any difference to that, and I can't think of any major reasons why the country would be improved by leaving.

I suppose it would theoretically make a more left wing form of UK government a possibility, but a considerably more right wing Britain is by far the bigger likelihood and the bigger risk. The short and medium term economic fallout could be really quite bad as well.

Matt DC, Sunday, 21 February 2016 17:05 (eight years ago) link

The Tories are constantly stymied by the EU on worker rights and directly or indirectly on human rights. The argument that both could also stymie a democratic leftist movement is correct, the idea that it doesn't inhibit the current government is not. Xp

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 21 February 2016 17:06 (eight years ago) link

wouldn't leaving the ECHR mean leaving the Council of Europe and does that seem plausible? i'm not questioning that there will be negative impacts of leaving the EU, i'm saying that it has ceased to be a net benefit to those of us who want genuine economic change in the world

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 21 February 2016 17:08 (eight years ago) link

ShariVari very much otm.

RA the Rugged Advisor (Mr Andy M), Sunday, 21 February 2016 17:11 (eight years ago) link

it's nice to see people articulating some sort of positive case for continuing with the EU, but the case at the moment looks too reformist/Fabian for my taste. i may not want to side with Gove or UKIP but i've got no desire to be on the side of Blairites and the Lib Dems either

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 21 February 2016 17:11 (eight years ago) link

Yes, it would mean leaving the Council of Europe but that doesn't look like much of a stretch if already cut loose from the EU. The negative impacts would be huge and immediate. All the ridiculous, regressive laws the Tories float would become viable. I appreciate that the long term goal of genuine economic change is unlikely to be accomplished under the EU but trading maternity rights, statutory holiday rights, redundancy rights, anti-discrimination rights, the rights and security of hundreds of thousands of European citizens who have settled and built a life in the UK, etc, for something that remains abstract and can still be worked towards doesn't seem a positive course of action.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 21 February 2016 17:17 (eight years ago) link

Any appetite for a Third Way?

Half-baked profundities. Self-referential smirkiness (Bob Six), Sunday, 21 February 2016 17:49 (eight years ago) link

:) don't suppose that will be on offer

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 21 February 2016 19:22 (eight years ago) link

the other advantage of joining the leave campaign is that you might get invited out to mcdonald's with David Davis, Kate Hoey and Peter Bone

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CafdtBXWIAADWL_.jpg

soref, Sunday, 21 February 2016 21:48 (eight years ago) link

feel sorry for those two guys in the top right hand corner, just trying to have a quiet meal

soref, Sunday, 21 February 2016 21:48 (eight years ago) link

since when is mcdonalds a byob establishment

Butt here is always time for the John Mayer Trio or Sting. (bizarro gazzara), Sunday, 21 February 2016 22:00 (eight years ago) link

The EU is only ever going to be as good as its constituent governments

I wouldn't entirely agree with this in so far as the nature of the EU means that any government has to keep in mind that in any directive produced by the EU, their citizens are as likely to be the 'them' as the 'us'.

Andrew Farrell, Sunday, 21 February 2016 23:42 (eight years ago) link

since when is mcdonalds a byob establishment

yeah, this is... weird? taking a bottle of wine in to have with your big mac?

SCROTUS (stevie), Monday, 22 February 2016 09:28 (eight years ago) link

Seems pretty European imo.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 22 February 2016 09:31 (eight years ago) link

That expression on David Davis's face. What can you say, the man's a pro.

Matt DC, Monday, 22 February 2016 09:54 (eight years ago) link

This is good from Alex Andreou on Twitter: "The EU has been corrupted into an instrument of austerity. To empower those blackmailing it further in that direction is not a rebellion."

Matt DC, Monday, 22 February 2016 10:06 (eight years ago) link

well, you could read that either way.

Agents, show the general out. (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 22 February 2016 10:22 (eight years ago) link

If breadth is more important than depth then yes I can see how staying in presents many more exciting possibilities for imposing austerity.

Matt DC, Monday, 22 February 2016 10:28 (eight years ago) link

The focus on austerity rather than regulation is probably misleading unless you are in one of the handful of countries severely constrained by the EU on spending. The UK's austerity programme is the UK's decision in a way that the Greek austerity programme is not. I don't think the UK staying, leaving or renegotiating is going to have a major impact either way on either policy.

The key divide atm seems to be between Osborne and others who see the UK's economic outlook as being dependent on the stability and certainty membership brings and those who are prepared to sacrifice that in the short term to make long-term gains. There's a perception on the more traditionally Thatcherite wing of the party that a country that relies so much on the service industry / financial services can't be constrained by EU law. The fear is that if Singapore, HK, Shanghai, Abu Dhabi or wherever can offer marginal benefits on 'ease of doing business', the sector will shift there in the long term. The main barrier is that those aren't places that people with money necessarily want to live. Combine the culture industry / lifestyle of London and the Home Counties with a sweeping deregulation of the rights of workers and you can further entrench London as the dominant global city.

The Britannia Unchained report is a useful guide to the thinking.

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2012/aug/22/britannia-unchained-rise-of-new-tory-right

Kwarteng, Patel and Raab are the crux of the Leave campaign if you ignore the Little Englanders who want to bring back imperial measurements / hanging.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 22 February 2016 10:43 (eight years ago) link

The talented and hard-working have nothing to fear," says Dominic Raab, Conservative MP for Esher and Walton, with just the faintest hint of menace.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 22 February 2016 10:45 (eight years ago) link

talented and hard-working junior doctors across the country breathe a sigh of relief

Butt here is always time for the John Mayer Trio or Sting. (bizarro gazzara), Monday, 22 February 2016 11:00 (eight years ago) link

All the contestants for Britain's Got Talent stand that little bit easier in the audition queue, and feel that little bit more empowered...

Mark G, Monday, 22 February 2016 11:49 (eight years ago) link

Priti Patel is talented? And I've been told that Kwasi Kwarteng does indeed work very hard... at chatting up women in the British Library.

Thomas of Britain (Tom D.), Monday, 22 February 2016 12:05 (eight years ago) link

Johnson's overnight switch from 'I think we should leave the EU' to 'I think you should make me PM and we will talk about it' might not be well thought through.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 22 February 2016 12:08 (eight years ago) link

Not forgetting the switch of the night before from 'I think stay in the EU' to 'I think we should leave the EU'.

Thomas of Britain (Tom D.), Monday, 22 February 2016 12:12 (eight years ago) link

I doubt he has any particularly strong opinions either way, but he first came to my attention as an MP as a representative of Eurosceptics for Clarke in 2001 or thereabouts. His campaigning for Brexit is hardly a massive surprise.

Matt DC, Monday, 22 February 2016 12:22 (eight years ago) link

Any second thoughts are presumably related to Sterling having its biggest fall since 2010 today.

Andrew Farrell, Monday, 22 February 2016 12:24 (eight years ago) link

He wasn't much of a Eurosceptic when he was Mayor of London, no surprise there.

Thomas of Britain (Tom D.), Monday, 22 February 2016 12:25 (eight years ago) link

He still is!

Andrew Farrell, Monday, 22 February 2016 12:28 (eight years ago) link

the rights and security of hundreds of thousands of European citizens who have settled and built a life in the UK

How many could really be deported in the event of brexit? Even putting through a plan would be difficult.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 22 February 2016 12:37 (eight years ago) link

Yeah but their rights and security could certainly be under threat- many ways to fuck w forrins short of deportation.

Agents, show the general out. (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 22 February 2016 12:47 (eight years ago) link

^ Yes, it would create huge insecurity even for people allowed to stay.

Unless the UK signs up to EU regulations as an external party that require free movement, potentially lots of them would have to leave. The objective the government has set is to reduce net immigration to five figures and the only way to do that is clamping down on EU citizens living and working here. Realistically, I'd expect a transition period followed by the kind of strict controls around minimum earnings that are already in place for other nationalities. Anyone on a medium-to-low wage would lose the right to remain. I would imagine Irish ppl would be excluded for historical reasons and you would retain a lot of well paid professionals but hundreds of thousands of others would have to leave.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 22 February 2016 12:51 (eight years ago) link

"I would imagine Irish ppl would be excluded for historical reasons"

The historically high number of Brits claiming the dole while exploring their artistic side in West cork

Soon all logins will look like this (darraghmac), Monday, 22 February 2016 13:56 (eight years ago) link

Ireland to be used as UK's hostage during seperation negotiations

Agents, show the general out. (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 22 February 2016 14:44 (eight years ago) link

Let us leave and we'll take Ireland with us.

Thomas of Britain (Tom D.), Monday, 22 February 2016 14:59 (eight years ago) link

Speaking as a Scot or as a Brit? It's relevant before I go back to the lads with the offer

Soon all logins will look like this (darraghmac), Monday, 22 February 2016 19:16 (eight years ago) link

This country.

pastoral fantasy (jed_), Thursday, 25 February 2016 23:56 (eight years ago) link

Sunday trading vote looks set to be very tight

always been torn on this: it's shit for anyone who works in retail, but of course, f the established church &c. &c.

ogmor, Wednesday, 9 March 2016 11:17 (eight years ago) link

yeah exackly, letting people do what they want when they want = good but businesses isn't people, I guess in the end it becomes a minor sideshow, bomb a shopping mall imo

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 9 March 2016 11:19 (eight years ago) link

religion aside a day of rest is good for everybody imo

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 9 March 2016 11:25 (eight years ago) link

it's bad for little shops that do well on a sunday and there's no protection for pay, just this shamelessly disingenuous shite from grant shapps: “businesses who want to employ people on Sunday may find they have to pay a premium on a Sunday”

ogmor, Wednesday, 9 March 2016 11:26 (eight years ago) link

xp

yes this too but a specific day of rest is culturally awkward at best. I don't look back fondly on dry Sunday afternoons tbh

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 9 March 2016 11:27 (eight years ago) link

the whole question always comes down to the ridiculous unfettered power of large companies and this is a bad thing in lots of other ways than telling people when they can shop

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 9 March 2016 11:29 (eight years ago) link

Mr Shapps told BBC Radio 4's Today programme: "It's two decades since these rules were first set. The internet hadn't even been invented at the time.

Wrong. Maybe he means the web? Still wrong.

hats to all the angles on their heads and surely many, many of blings (ledge), Wednesday, 9 March 2016 12:09 (eight years ago) link

Who is Grant Shapps speaking for? He isn't a minister anymore.

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Wednesday, 9 March 2016 12:11 (eight years ago) link

he speaks for feckless exploitative robber barons everywhere, like all Tories

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 9 March 2016 13:28 (eight years ago) link

Mr Shapps told BBC Radio 4's Today programme: "It's two decades since these rules were first set. The internet hadn't even been invented at the time.

isn't "the internet" an argument for keeping the shops closed forever on a Sunday?

Ad h (onimo), Wednesday, 9 March 2016 14:45 (eight years ago) link

just pop down the internet and buy a loaf of bread, sure

carly rae jetson (thomp), Wednesday, 9 March 2016 14:49 (eight years ago) link

ordering everyday foodstuff on the internet
it's the stuff of dreams

onimo, Wednesday, 9 March 2016 14:57 (eight years ago) link

the Indian takeaway in my neighbourhood was run by the same family as the corner shop next door, so you could add e.g. bread, milk, beer to your Just Eat order, with a hefty surcharge over their corner shop price obv

they shut down, alas, though I don't mourn them for Sunday night bread-buying reasons: since more and more places started taking advantage of the small shop rule I haven't been inconvenienced by Sunday trading rules for some time

(this seemed to happen in the mid-'00s where I live(d) so I was surprised that the exemption dates from '94, according to the Beeb article)

no great feelings either way; if the current set-up is a boost for small shops or one day a week when shop staff don't get to be badgered into working all hours then I'll take the status quo, although Tesco manage to get round it easily enough already (and tbh I do sometimes buy stuff from the local Tesco Metro post-4pm on Sunday) so eh

a passing spacecadet, Wednesday, 9 March 2016 15:54 (eight years ago) link

I'm v pro Sunday hours. Scotland has them already, and it was great both when I needed cash and Sundays were really the only day I could work and also when I was working Mon-Sat and Sundays were the only days I could shop. Was really weird moving to England and finding everything shutting down at 5pm, it was like I'd moved to Harris and not London.

The SNP can fuck off for voting against this too.

stet, Wednesday, 9 March 2016 16:32 (eight years ago) link

just found out that im able to vote in the eu ref as uk emigrants are eligible

Cornelius Pardew (jim in glasgow), Wednesday, 9 March 2016 17:16 (eight years ago) link

similar to general elections i suppose there's a restriction depending on how long you've been out of the country (it's 15 years after leaving before you become ineligible to vote in general elections)

Cornelius Pardew (jim in glasgow), Wednesday, 9 March 2016 17:16 (eight years ago) link

Anyone against Sunday hours worked Sunday hours lately?

Never a shortage of demand to work these shifts ime. But if it's not an automatic premium then obv they can get fucked.

Also, "a day of rest" != "everyone, rest now" tbf

Ecomigrant gnomics (darraghmac), Wednesday, 9 March 2016 17:22 (eight years ago) link

This really shouldn't be a party political issue at all but the SNP voting against it is the most transparent gameplaying I've seen for quite some time.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 9 March 2016 17:23 (eight years ago) link

well, shit. defeated

stet, Wednesday, 9 March 2016 18:13 (eight years ago) link

take that sassanachs

another glorious victory for scotland ☓ ✊

Cornelius Pardew (jim in glasgow), Wednesday, 9 March 2016 18:23 (eight years ago) link

Who needs Euro 2016?

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Wednesday, 9 March 2016 18:29 (eight years ago) link

on reflection I'm glad this was defeated. I used to hate working sundays. we weren't paid any extra and it meant you had about half as many free weekends so no one wanted to do it. one guy suddenly announced he was too christian to do it or w/e, which was blatant nonsense and meant more sundays for the rest of us which we resented, but he just wanted to spend the weekend with his kids. anyway apparently that's the first defeat for cameron this parliament

ogmor, Wednesday, 9 March 2016 18:46 (eight years ago) link

Nice work from the government of the 5th wealthiest country in the world

A survey of 500 people in the affected group found that 28 per cent of people had been unable to afford to eat while in receipt of the the benefit. Around 38 per cent of respondents said they had been unable to heat their homes and 52 per cent struggled to stay healthy.

calzino, Wednesday, 9 March 2016 18:53 (eight years ago) link

I genuinely just don't understand the motivation or logic behind it. it doesn't seem high enough profile to be for media/signalling purposes, it's a small amount of money; it seems incredible that it could be anyone's priority

ogmor, Wednesday, 9 March 2016 18:58 (eight years ago) link

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-35783651

Mock indignation at Livingstone's Savile jibe when the real story is their squared-jawed former armed forces golden boy is grubbing money from hedge fund managers.

calzino, Friday, 11 March 2016 11:41 (eight years ago) link

"No regard for the victims, no regard for the pain and anger he will have caused,

LOLz x1000

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Friday, 11 March 2016 11:47 (eight years ago) link

http://www.politics.co.uk/news/2016/03/15/zac-goldsmith-warns-ethnic-minorities-that-sadiq-khan-will-p

Looks like Goldsmith is trying to mobilise the Indian / Sri Lankan communities against Khan. The Tories did quite a lot of this at the General Election too - pandering to right-wing Hindu groups and, in pockets, using Labour and the Liberal Democrats' willingness to support an end to caste-based discrimination against them.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 15 March 2016 12:06 (eight years ago) link

The fact that Khan is a Muslim is an added bonus.

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Tuesday, 15 March 2016 12:08 (eight years ago) link

Zac Goldsmith really is a weapons-grade cunt, isn't he? Honestly can't believe how patronising that is.

jedi slimane (suzy), Tuesday, 15 March 2016 12:37 (eight years ago) link

Cameron in 'lacking empathy' shocker

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Tuesday, 15 March 2016 13:14 (eight years ago) link

Yorkshire post endorsed tories at the GE, so fuck them tbh

"Worried pimp" (Bananaman Begins), Tuesday, 15 March 2016 14:07 (eight years ago) link

Fair enough Downing St knocked out a template article for the regional press cause that's all the regional press is worth

"Worried pimp" (Bananaman Begins), Tuesday, 15 March 2016 14:10 (eight years ago) link

xp
fuck the YP indeed, the only reason they didn't run it was probably timing. The news of cuts to proposed flood defences in the region last year and the closure of 2 important A+Es means that this type of words in series stuff won't even cut it with tory voters in some parts.

calzino, Tuesday, 15 March 2016 14:43 (eight years ago) link

A Downing Street spokesperson said 'we do not give one fuck' the Yorkshire Post was entitled to its opinions.

onimo, Tuesday, 15 March 2016 15:13 (eight years ago) link

Reports coming through that Morgan is going to announce every school in the country is being taken out of local government control and made an academy.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 15 March 2016 16:40 (eight years ago) link

what?!?

ripple-chested beefchrist (bizarro gazzara), Tuesday, 15 March 2016 16:42 (eight years ago) link

Back in October, David Cameron said he wanted "every school an academy… and yes - Local Authorities running schools a thing of the past"

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Tuesday, 15 March 2016 16:44 (eight years ago) link

LOL Grauniad:

"Draft leglislation, to be published possibly as early as Thursday..."

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Tuesday, 15 March 2016 16:46 (eight years ago) link

What happens to ownership of land and property attached to schools which are moved from local authority control?

onimo, Tuesday, 15 March 2016 16:47 (eight years ago) link

well, this seems like it'll be a total shitshow

ripple-chested beefchrist (bizarro gazzara), Tuesday, 15 March 2016 16:49 (eight years ago) link

What happens to ownership of land and property attached to schools which are moved from local authority control?

lol I'm sure local authorities will be encouraged by central govt to drive a hard bargain

"Worried pimp" (Bananaman Begins), Tuesday, 15 March 2016 16:54 (eight years ago) link

from what I can work out the "charity" (private trust running the academies) either a) gets everything for nothing or b) gets everything on a 125 year lease for minimal rent

onimo, Tuesday, 15 March 2016 17:02 (eight years ago) link

there'll be a fucking revolution if they try this. one of the very few undisputed public policy successes of the last 10-15 years is the sudden, across-the-board improvement in primary education. for millions of parents there is nothing to fix and everything to lose.

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 15 March 2016 17:03 (eight years ago) link

Had to pick a secondary school for our lad this year and was utterly dismayed to find that there was nothing in feasible travel distance that wasn't already an academy. So we reluctantly resigned ourselves to putting him in one that was, the application process wrapped up at the start of this month...and the very first letter we got from them tried to sell us a fucking ipad.

JimD, Tuesday, 15 March 2016 17:11 (eight years ago) link

there'll be a fucking revolution if they try this.

my fb feed is full of "If only we had a decent opposition/Of course Corbyn is the real villain" bollix. I need to stop reading it.

"This is the worst part." (stevie), Tuesday, 15 March 2016 17:25 (eight years ago) link

I thought most secondary schools in England were academies now anyway?

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Tuesday, 15 March 2016 17:35 (eight years ago) link

I think the number of people out there saying 'fuck yeah, local authority control of schools!' is likely to be quite limited. Parents at 'good schools' might be open to the idea of heads being given more control, parents at less good schools might be open to anything that could conceivably bring improvement. Academies are not a good way to do either in their current form but it will be interesting to see how much passion it generates.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 15 March 2016 17:39 (eight years ago) link

Between Apr 2011 and Nov 2014 the proportion of mainstream state-funded schools that were "free" or "academy" went from 2% to 22%. Now, I guess that's all of the UK and primary+secondary combined. I expect the proportion for England-only secondaries is much higher.

Michael Jones, Tuesday, 15 March 2016 17:40 (eight years ago) link

About half of secondaries, fewer primaries.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 15 March 2016 17:46 (eight years ago) link

Academy system is England only.

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Tuesday, 15 March 2016 17:46 (eight years ago) link

2,075 out of 3,381 state secondaries are academies (as of about a year ago).

JimD, Tuesday, 15 March 2016 17:50 (eight years ago) link

FWIW, we went through the secondary school process for Ava this year. We took an active dislike to the two Harris academies in the area, but, once we'd knocked out single-sex and faith and 30min-on-a-bus, we inevitably had to put down some schools "with academy status" (= academy, just not in name?) on the list. She got her first choice, thank goodness, which was a co-ed community school 20min walk away.

Michael Jones, Tuesday, 15 March 2016 17:53 (eight years ago) link

I hope those of you with kids are looking forward to the extra time you'll be spending with them when the entire teaching profession strikes again and again.

Don't local authorities actually take a load of shitty bureaucracy off the desks of headteachers?

it will be interesting to see how much passion it generates

I suspect that, as with the NHS, a lot of people will only cotton onto the implications once it's too late.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 15 March 2016 17:56 (eight years ago) link

*meekly raises hand*

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 15 March 2016 18:26 (eight years ago) link

xp and won't care that much even once they have cottoned on.

"Worried pimp" (Bananaman Begins), Tuesday, 15 March 2016 18:38 (eight years ago) link

I find it difficult to gauge how popular the academy concept is, tbh. Quite a few of the negative aspects, like the weak safeguards against religious takeover or the overuse of exclusions, are welcomed by sections of the parents. There is no evidence to suggest they are particularly useful but they haven't been disastrous either.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 15 March 2016 19:43 (eight years ago) link

I heard earlier that academies are at liberty to set their own pay scales, that sounds like not a good thing. I had a bad experience with a free school a few years back and think anything to do with Blair is poison - so boo to this Tory malignity.

Is this going to apply to special schools as well? Not that they could contrive to make them any worse in my area ᕙ(⇀‸↼‶)ᕗ

calzino, Tuesday, 15 March 2016 20:37 (eight years ago) link

Maintained schools can set their own pay scales too these days.

AlanSmithee, Tuesday, 15 March 2016 22:12 (eight years ago) link

Our two will be done with school in about two years, thank god.

Mark G, Wednesday, 16 March 2016 09:54 (eight years ago) link

isn't massive centralization of bureaucracy supposed to be what the tories are against?

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 10:17 (eight years ago) link

But they are for centralizing to unaccountable bodies, i.e. their friends. Its a very coherent model.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 16 March 2016 10:28 (eight years ago) link

my fb feed is full of "If only we had a decent opposition/Of course Corbyn is the real villain" bollix. I need to stop reading it.

― "This is the worst part." (stevie), Tuesday, 15 March 2016 Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

The Blairite opposition would oh wait

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 16 March 2016 10:29 (eight years ago) link

Well, they're for transferring public assets into private hands, they're mostly entirely nihilistic about how this is achieved, or the consequences.

"Worried pimp" (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 10:30 (eight years ago) link

lol "lord adonis, you've always been a fierce opponent of academisation, what say you to these proposals?"

"Worried pimp" (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 10:31 (eight years ago) link

centralization of powers previously held by local authorities took a real surge under the Thatcher governments. the problem with local authorities from a Tory point of view is that many of them aren't Tory.

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 10:44 (eight years ago) link

i still haven't read a proper explainer about what these 'charities'/trusts/private concerns etc get out of their 'sponsorship' of academies - and what the government gets out of it. what's in it for them? why do something so radical?

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 10:47 (eight years ago) link

the goodness of their hearts

"This is the worst part." (stevie), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 10:49 (eight years ago) link

there are probably tax benefits for the private companies, charities kinda do what they do without thinking too hard about why a lot of the time. obviously having patronage over well-paying jobs is something that's always appealed to a certain kind of scumbag

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 10:49 (eight years ago) link

This LRB piece on Free Schools is a good primer: http://www.lrb.co.uk/v37/n09/dawn-foster/free-schools Apparently the "business model" is based on rinsing attendant services such as IT systems, the likes of Crapita will be rubbing their hands with glee.

Gaz upon my works ye mighty, and despair (Neil S), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 10:55 (eight years ago) link

centralization of powers previously held by local authorities took a real surge under the Thatcher governments. the problem with local authorities from a Tory point of view is that many of them aren't Tory.

otm

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 10:56 (eight years ago) link

Free schools are a slightly different beast even though they become academies in the end. It would be hypocritical of me to oppose the private sector playing some kind of role in the provision of free education under the circumstances but the monitoring of quality and apparent willingness to turn a blind eye to problems are a huge concern.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 11:04 (eight years ago) link

I suspect that, as with the NHS, a lot of people will only cotton onto the implications once it's too late

sounds a lot like the wholesale transferring of assets and liabilities that went through with the health and social care act 2012 paving a smoother way for private interests to find profit wherever they can and whatever the outcome and smashing to smithereens any concept of accountability

there'll be a fucking revolution if they try this

it's happening

conrad, Wednesday, 16 March 2016 11:11 (eight years ago) link

it just seems unprecedented to me?? if anyone tried something similar in the united states they'd be laughed out of town

what will happen to the thousands of council jobs that look after the schools? is the govt really going to create a vast new educational bureaucracy to duplicate what the councils are already doing? will councils now have more money to spend on other things, as they no longer look after schools or will central government withdraw that funding? it just seems like madness to no clear benefit! particularly when primary schools, which are largely council run, have posted such massive improvements over the last 10-15 years

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 11:14 (eight years ago) link

will councils now have more money to spend on other things, as they no longer look after schools or will central government withdraw that funding?

LOL

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 16 March 2016 11:24 (eight years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y_6n3Q0GyKM

"Worried pimp" (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 11:47 (eight years ago) link

The funding which used to go to councils will go direct to the academies / multi academy trusts. The government has already created regional head teacher boards which carry out some of the former tasks of councils, headed by regional schools commissioners, but with the actual work done by civil servants.

The whole academisation programme is a leap into the unknown. The biggest issue for me is the wholesale transfer of assets out of the public sector to third sector bodies.

Free schools are a whole other level of scary.

AlanSmithee, Wednesday, 16 March 2016 12:13 (eight years ago) link

Got chatting in a pub in Barnet a few months ago with a woman who works for a quango helping set up free schools. Didn't really want an argument, but ended up getting in one anyway, because fuck free schools. Although she was actually more annoyed by my insisting that the who free schools thing was largely an irrelevance anyway, being a diversion from the govt's main priority of transferring public assets into private hands via forced academisation.

Obviously, I came up with a show-stopping zinger that completely dismantled all her arguments, then breakdanced out of there while the whole rest of the pub burst into applause

"Worried pimp" (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 12:21 (eight years ago) link

whole free schools thing

"Worried pimp" (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 12:21 (eight years ago) link

scumbag toby young as poster boy speaks disgusting volumes

conrad, Wednesday, 16 March 2016 12:56 (eight years ago) link

i fucking hate that piece of shit

number one the media distorts everything anyways (stevie), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 12:57 (eight years ago) link

Roll on the next Scottish independence referendum.

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 12:58 (eight years ago) link

who owns the buildings/land? will that change?

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 13:13 (eight years ago) link

School buildings and land in local authority maintained schools are owned by the LAs. As part of the academisation process these are transferred to the charitable trust (be that a single academy, or a multi-academy trust) that will run the school. This is either a permanent transfer or a long (99 or 125 I think) lease at no cost.

It's uncharted territory, but I think there are enough covenants in place that if the buildings / land were to stop being used for educational purposes they would transfer back to state control.

AlanSmithee, Wednesday, 16 March 2016 13:27 (eight years ago) link

'transferred'. sorry is this russia in 1991??

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 13:35 (eight years ago) link

Its Russia in 1901.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 16 March 2016 13:50 (eight years ago) link

Robert Peston ‏@Peston · 2h2 hours ago

Cutting benefits to disabled raises £1.2bn, which is same as cost of cutting capital gains tax & raising 40% tax threshold. #Budget2016

uncle tenderlegdrop (jim in glasgow), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 16:30 (eight years ago) link

BETTER TOGETHER

uncle tenderlegdrop (jim in glasgow), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 16:31 (eight years ago) link

transfer, transfer, transfer

conrad, Wednesday, 16 March 2016 16:50 (eight years ago) link

Just transfer it, no bigs

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 17:05 (eight years ago) link

Guess what? We've just heard that Network Rail is staying in public ownership! The government's Shaw Report which was considering 'full privatisation' has concluded:

“The report team has dismissed privatisation of the whole company…The report team is not recommending the introduction of private sector capital at the whole company level, recognising that, for the foreseeable future, Network Rail ownership will remain in the public sector.”

This is great news! It’s not the whole answer. Network Rail is still planning to sell off assets like railway stations so we need to keep fighting. But it's an important victory. So let’s take a moment to remind ourselves why we campaign – because sometimes it works!

conrad, Wednesday, 16 March 2016 17:27 (eight years ago) link

sorry to be churlish and not celebrate but i'm still reeling about this schools thing.

if every school becomes an academy or free school, that makes teachers' unions completely obsolete, correct? national agreements on pay and conditions do not apply? sorry, isn't this UTTERLY beyond the pale??

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 20:58 (eight years ago) link

i don't think the NUT will fold overnight

if you think this is bad (it is, obv) you shd see what's happening to the FE sector

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 21:01 (eight years ago) link

Existing staff will transfer over on a TUPE usually and would probably still be bound by collective bargaining, new staff would not, though obviously teaching unions do more than just bargain centrally on pay.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 21:06 (eight years ago) link

Now I am starting to realise when I had a bad experience with a special free school, possibly the reasons why the very good headmaster left and they brought in this inadequate, nasty piece of shit as replacement.

calzino, Wednesday, 16 March 2016 21:26 (eight years ago) link

SV's point about TUPE v relevant. my experience is that people will be TUPE'd over, but that new people coming in plus cultural pressure will force the pace. people who don't want to fit in with that pace will be "managed out". it wont take long before the entire employment landscape has changed. safeguards are worth nothing.

Fizzles, Wednesday, 16 March 2016 21:39 (eight years ago) link

That is definitely true of a corporate environment and possibly true of sponsored academies but whether that culture would be pervasive in head-run schools being transferred over by default, I don't know,

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 21:44 (eight years ago) link

did you know that all new schools are free schools and all free schools are academies?

conrad, Wednesday, 16 March 2016 22:03 (eight years ago) link

Has anyone asked the question what an announcement about education policy is doing in a Budget speech? Education policy that only applies to England into the bargain. Could it be that this was a chance to have Osborne announce a major policy that would be very popular on the Conservative back benches, bolstering his Prime Ministerial credentials in the process? Or is there a more innocent explanation?

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 23:13 (eight years ago) link

I was wondering that myself.

pastoral fantasy (jed_), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 23:17 (eight years ago) link

Part of it is the Tories wanting to take as much focus out of the Brexit infighting.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 16 March 2016 23:20 (eight years ago) link

Maybe not a good idea then for Osborne, in said Budget speech, to use statements made by the (non-partisan) Office for Budget Responsibility to put the heebie jeebies up potential Brexiteers.

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 23:41 (eight years ago) link

Everyone should study maths until they're 18 years old.... Why was this in the budget?

pastoral fantasy (jed_), Wednesday, 16 March 2016 23:54 (eight years ago) link

LOL

Its not going to take all the talk out of Brexit (nothing is), but I'm thinking one scenario is that warning from the OBR about the economic impact. The other scenario is talk about the OBR warning and other shit like selling out schools and learning maths till 18. Momentarily diverts focus, says that they are governing the fuck out of councils as well as fighting to remain in the Eurozone etc.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 17 March 2016 00:13 (eight years ago) link

Enjoyed watching Sajid fucking Javid squirm on Newsnight. Claims he would not be part of government that would cut disability benefits; mutters angrily about welfare cap

stet, Thursday, 17 March 2016 01:19 (eight years ago) link

did you know that all new schools are free schools and all free schools are academies?

Yes, but i don't know if it makes sense to always conflate the arguments against the two.

The free school policy is bad - it has some good elements and lots of interesting schools have come out of it but it's essentially the wild west - there seems to be very little oversight and insufficient safeguards to stop people with no experience or expertise from setting them up. The LRB article makes a strong case against it. It's also a huge waste of money.

Forcing failing schools to partner with third-parties, typically private sector companies, to become academies is bad. It's not cost-effective, there's limited evidence to show it's educationally effective and has similar problems with oversight and the ideological turning of blind eyes to problems.

Beyond that, it does get more complicated. Most of the academies that have been set up since the forced academisation of 'under-performing' schools have been the 'outstanding' schools who were given the freedom to do it if they wanted to. Again, there are arguments against it - the idea that it might give particular advantages including extra funding to schools already doing well is one - but it's not the same thing as turning the keys over to Ark or letting a bunch of cowboys pressure local families into petitioning for unnecessary new schools.

Extending that to other schools and making it compulsory requires its own set of arguments to oppose and they have to go beyond the grey areas around who has the right to sell off playing fields. It's not always going to be easy, but opponents might need to get across the reasons why ostensibly positive things like 'additional parental choice' and 'increased independence for headteachers and school administrations' are actually negative.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Thursday, 17 March 2016 08:48 (eight years ago) link

thank you for that SV. a lot to understand here.

i did not even twig that capital gains tax is going from 28% to 10%. jfc.

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 17 March 2016 08:50 (eight years ago) link

two CGT rates, one cut from 28 to 20, the other from 18 to 10.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-35824456

"The higher rate of CGT will be cut from 28% to 20% this April.

In addition, the basic rate of CGT will be cut from the current 18% rate to 10% at the start of the new tax year, in three weeks' time on 6 April."

koogs, Thursday, 17 March 2016 09:14 (eight years ago) link

Ah got it

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 17 March 2016 10:39 (eight years ago) link

I don't have much to contribute to this thread today beyond that I feel really, really depressed about the damage this govt is wreaking, and utterly powerless about it, and defeated by the way most of the media is entirely in their pocket and brainwashing the majority of the public into ignorance, obliviousness, selfishness and heartlessness.

I've probably shared this before, but my dad was disabled, we lived in council housing all my childhood, on benefits as much of the time my dad's relapses would mean he couldn't work (he was a self-employed tax accountant); I only went to university because there were no fees, and because I qualified for a full grant. And as grateful as I am for all that, I just think: If I'd been born 20, 30 years later, where would I be? In a Britain that scorns the disabled, scorns people who aren't born rich or don't take riches? I would be nowhere. And I have no idea what I could possibly do to help the people in those same circumstances (or worse, or different) now. What kind of world is my daughter going to inherit? When does this change? When do we get to wipe the smug smiles off the faces of Osborne, IDS, Gove, Cameron, et al?

number one the media distorts everything anyways (stevie), Thursday, 17 March 2016 10:47 (eight years ago) link

Don't know how to answer that tbh :(

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Thursday, 17 March 2016 10:51 (eight years ago) link

This last Budget seems considerably more barefaced, less afraid of looking outright nasty, than previous Budgets. That might be because they're no longer in coalition, but I suspect it's a combination of Osborne seeing minimal threat from Corbyn, and positioning himself in a jostle for leadership votes among the Tory right.

Matt DC, Thursday, 17 March 2016 10:54 (eight years ago) link

Everyone should study maths until they're 18 years old.... Why was this in the budget?

'to ensure the future workforce is skilled and competitive'

competitive workforce. that's the point of education now.

woof, Thursday, 17 March 2016 11:01 (eight years ago) link

most of the media is entirely in their pocket

arguably it's the other way round, but otherwise, yeah. :-(

"Worried pimp" (Bananaman Begins), Thursday, 17 March 2016 11:03 (eight years ago) link

many more will have to suffer, many more will have to die

"Worried pimp" (Bananaman Begins), Thursday, 17 March 2016 11:04 (eight years ago) link

One bright spot - the Lords have shot down the govt's union-busting legislation?

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 17 March 2016 11:08 (eight years ago) link

Fucking insane when the Lords are more socially progressive than the Commons

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 17 March 2016 11:09 (eight years ago) link

Yeah they won't tolerate that for long.

The sainted report on Why Labour Lost The Election doesn't paint a terribly flattering picture of a lot of the electorate or their priorities.

Matt DC, Thursday, 17 March 2016 11:13 (eight years ago) link

Electorate mostly seems to have made a conscious choice to kick down, not up, when times are hard, because it is easier and you can get more immediate satosfaction that way.

"Worried pimp" (Bananaman Begins), Thursday, 17 March 2016 11:19 (eight years ago) link

We'll see how long that lasts. There is a feeling that Hunt will fuck up in a massive way. Reckon that'll trickle down.

We can say this is a real low but Cameron and Osborne are only progressing what New Labour started. 'Maths till 18' looks like classic New Labour policy.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 17 March 2016 11:31 (eight years ago) link

I had a conversation with my MP about bigots: a lot of the people [in Camden] who complain about 'immigrants' are really complaining about boisterous twenty-something men who play as hard as they work, in much the same way British twenty-something men act when they're let off the chain for the first time (my neighbours don't really address the behaviour of young British men, or characterise it as inconsiderate, unless the guys are ~brown~). If we could reframe it as young-man behaviour instead of 'migrant' behaviour, and somehow encourage them to set better boundaries, might that help?

As to the budget, this academy thing has the potential to piss off every single middle-class person in the country... and WTF was up with announcing an un-consulted/huge education policy in the budget?

jedi slimane (suzy), Thursday, 17 March 2016 11:32 (eight years ago) link

(my neighbours don't really address the behaviour of young British men, or characterise it as inconsiderate, unless the guys are ~brown~).

tbh that's probably because ur neighbours are racist and don't really give a fuck about boisterous behaviour.

"Worried pimp" (Bananaman Begins), Thursday, 17 March 2016 11:44 (eight years ago) link

As to the budget, this academy thing has the potential to piss off every single middle-class person in the country..

It should delight them. The more control individual schools have over admission, the easier it is for parents with the sharpest elbows to game the system to get their kids into the best ones.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Thursday, 17 March 2016 11:52 (eight years ago) link

otm

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Thursday, 17 March 2016 11:56 (eight years ago) link

BB, most of my working-class/estate-dwelling neighbours aren't actually racist - was just commenting on something my MP got as feedback from some older people who aren't representative of the wider group, but their opinions are amplified purely through moaning to him.

jedi slimane (suzy), Thursday, 17 March 2016 11:57 (eight years ago) link

Old people with racist views, whodathoughtit?

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Thursday, 17 March 2016 11:59 (eight years ago) link

A disability campaigner and life-long Conservative

lol

"Worried pimp" (Bananaman Begins), Thursday, 17 March 2016 13:01 (eight years ago) link

It does beg the question of what exactly he expected of the Conservative Party. Unless he's all "taking from this lot of vulnerable people was okay, but you've crossed a line now".

Matt DC, Thursday, 17 March 2016 13:09 (eight years ago) link

Con MPs that chair disability charities have also been forced to resign.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 17 March 2016 13:18 (eight years ago) link

xps
maybe a late road to Damascus moment or just plain old self-interest, whatever the case he wasn't a disability campaigner in the past tense or at least he was a pretty fucking shit one.

calzino, Thursday, 17 March 2016 13:32 (eight years ago) link

Con MPs making noises that changes to disability benefit won't get through parliament. Sunday trading has gone to their heads

stet, Thursday, 17 March 2016 14:53 (eight years ago) link

YouGov poll puts Lab in lead by 1pt after budget

stet, Thursday, 17 March 2016 22:37 (eight years ago) link

link?

Lionel Richie the Wardrobe (Nasty, Brutish & Short), Thursday, 17 March 2016 23:02 (eight years ago) link

No story up yet but https://twitter.com/SamCoatesTimes/status/710587916557357056

stet, Thursday, 17 March 2016 23:17 (eight years ago) link

Same poll has this the first budget majority rate as unfair since the Omnishambles too

stet, Thursday, 17 March 2016 23:17 (eight years ago) link

that last photo in the story: How Journalism Works

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 18 March 2016 12:22 (eight years ago) link

I don't think that relying on a former member of staff to "describe the rules to me at he time" defence is going to fly

calzino, Friday, 18 March 2016 12:35 (eight years ago) link

That's not fair Tracer, the story is all about Danczuk's ex-wife. Er, implicitly.

"Worried pimp" (Bananaman Begins), Friday, 18 March 2016 12:54 (eight years ago) link

Nicky Morgan is a rising star and a real contender for the Tory crown...

LOL

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Friday, 18 March 2016 12:57 (eight years ago) link

Always worth remembering the calibre of the sort of clowns the Tory press like to big up.

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Friday, 18 March 2016 12:58 (eight years ago) link

She's no Hilary Benn.

Matt DC, Friday, 18 March 2016 13:03 (eight years ago) link

hilarybennsexyselfie.jpg

ripple-chested beefchrist (bizarro gazzara), Friday, 18 March 2016 13:11 (eight years ago) link

Petition demanding referendum for "undemocratic" major policy change on schools already on 60000 votes.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/academies-petition-tories-force-all-schools-60000-48-hours-a6939296.html

“There is growing evidence that academies underperform & serious questions about their financial oversight. Buildings & land are being handed over to unaccountable orgs.

“Once they are transferred there is no legal mechanism to get them back. Before all schools become academies we demand the government holds a full public inquiry - that takes into account educational research and the views of teachers, parents and students - followed by a referendum in order to show that they have a mandate.”

calzino, Friday, 18 March 2016 20:41 (eight years ago) link

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-35847611

Apparently taking money away from people with disabilities isn't the vote winner they imagined.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 18 March 2016 20:46 (eight years ago) link

my partner just said IDS has resigned.

calzino, Friday, 18 March 2016 21:02 (eight years ago) link

Indeed he has, now it's getting interesting.

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Friday, 18 March 2016 21:04 (eight years ago) link

Yep. Shit's happening.

Lionel Richie the Wardrobe (Nasty, Brutish & Short), Friday, 18 March 2016 21:05 (eight years ago) link

YES bye fucker

stet, Friday, 18 March 2016 21:07 (eight years ago) link

He has royally stuck the boot into Osborne too.

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Friday, 18 March 2016 21:08 (eight years ago) link

Imagine being Cameron and bottling having sacked IDS time and time again for him to then go and do that.

Matt DC, Friday, 18 March 2016 21:10 (eight years ago) link

lol ids resigned in protest of the disability cuts. i didn't know he had an ounce of compassion in him, apparently he isn't a complete scumbag

http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2016/03/iain-duncan-smith-has-resigned/

uncle tenderlegdrop (jim in glasgow), Friday, 18 March 2016 21:10 (eight years ago) link

apparently he isn't a complete scumbag

I wouldn't go that far

Lionel Richie the Wardrobe (Nasty, Brutish & Short), Friday, 18 March 2016 21:13 (eight years ago) link

He is a complete scumbag, but Osborne is the consummate scumbag.

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Friday, 18 March 2016 21:15 (eight years ago) link

that's true.

quite indicative of how egregious using disability cuts to fund a middle-class tax-break is that the axe-man himself blanches

uncle tenderlegdrop (jim in glasgow), Friday, 18 March 2016 21:19 (eight years ago) link

How much is positioning re: Brexit fallout rather than genuine concern? It's taken him a fucking long time to find any kind of conscience.

Lionel Richie the Wardrobe (Nasty, Brutish & Short), Friday, 18 March 2016 21:23 (eight years ago) link

So that first wave of cuts and unfair sanctions that disenfranchised many, put many into poverty and some into death were alright? I have seen him defend them enough times to see he was having no trouble sleeping.

calzino, Friday, 18 March 2016 21:23 (eight years ago) link

I suppose, as a Eurosceptic, he now has time to focus on that campaign. Then be positioned to be a cabinet minister in the government of the next Tory leader - in case of Brexit you'd imagine Cameron would step down.

uncle tenderlegdrop (jim in glasgow), Friday, 18 March 2016 21:25 (eight years ago) link

Chancellor to Boris's PM. Eugh. Nightmare fuel.

uncle tenderlegdrop (jim in glasgow), Friday, 18 March 2016 21:25 (eight years ago) link

It's definitely about Brexit this but he was handed a massive weapon by the Budget.

People who know him say he genuinely thought the welfare reforms would help people (and ignored the evidence) but has increasingly thought Treasury cuts to them were undermining them. Remember he came up with these PIP changes; he just didn't like them being rushed.

stet, Friday, 18 March 2016 21:31 (eight years ago) link

Also to do with the fact that Osborne loathes him and would sack him in a nanosecond if he became leader.

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Friday, 18 March 2016 21:35 (eight years ago) link

I'm not convinced Cameron will be too distraught at any woes of Osborne's - his legacy will be leading the Conservative party back to power, and (he hopes) sorting the EU vote - he might be annoyed at having to choose between "well the great work will broadly continue, this is a salient note from our esteemed colleague" and "well it's possible that George has let it all get to him, not everyone's suited for the big decisions you know".

I could always be projecting based on the fact that I can't imagine anyone actually liking George Osborne, of course.

IDS the secret socialist at the end is fuckin hilarious, of course.

Andrew Farrell, Friday, 18 March 2016 21:36 (eight years ago) link

People who know him say he genuinely thought the welfare reforms would help people

yeah, the "easterhouse epiphany". seeing a glasgow scheme made him cry, but his solution to the problem of poverty, unemployment, and benefits-dependency was to give the poor less money.

uncle tenderlegdrop (jim in glasgow), Friday, 18 March 2016 21:37 (eight years ago) link

(I say 'of course' a lot, but you'll have spotted that)

Andrew Farrell, Friday, 18 March 2016 21:38 (eight years ago) link

Cameron will be unsettled that some direct charges are laid at his door in the letter. His whole approach since becoming PM has been to let others take the flak ensuring none of it sticks to him

stet, Friday, 18 March 2016 21:39 (eight years ago) link

Three days late for the 'beware the IDS of March' headlines.

Ultimately, concern or otherwise, he'd end up catching the fallout for the cuts and has little reason to stay and continue to be the face of the party's least popular policies.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 18 March 2016 21:46 (eight years ago) link

What happens now I wonder. Osborne looks weak if he gives in, but he can't hold the line with this majority.

stet, Friday, 18 March 2016 22:20 (eight years ago) link

Lonely guy just thinking baout things

http://www.insidehousing.co.uk/pictures/643xAny/2/3/5/41235_IAIN_DUNCAN_SMITH.jpg

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Friday, 18 March 2016 22:24 (eight years ago) link

'As I walk on
Through troubled times
My spirit gets so downhearted sometimes....'

Mark G, Friday, 18 March 2016 22:32 (eight years ago) link

Do tax cuts, threshold changes and cuts to capital gains tax which have been announced have to go through parliamentary votes? Or are they just in place if they are announced by the chancellor?

pastoral fantasy (jed_), Friday, 18 March 2016 22:48 (eight years ago) link

I believe so, and that its usually a formality..

Then again, you know what they say about Tory revolts?

Mark G, Friday, 18 March 2016 22:51 (eight years ago) link

Anyway, "The last leg" coming up 'live' on c4+1, can imagine the dancing..

Mark G, Friday, 18 March 2016 22:54 (eight years ago) link

The implicit assumption here is that other vulnerable groups effectively choose their position, therefore it's fine cut state provision for them. Whereas no one chooses to be disabled.

Matt DC, Friday, 18 March 2016 23:08 (eight years ago) link

IDS is a cunt, this is all just politics. But the EU referendum is setting Tory against Tory and they're such venal fucks by nature that there will be blood.

Cuck C Johnson (stevie), Friday, 18 March 2016 23:10 (eight years ago) link

Its the one issue that has been their poison, every time things are going 'quite well' for them.

Mark G, Friday, 18 March 2016 23:41 (eight years ago) link

Is this the real reason why IDS has resigned?

IDS loses legal challenge to keep Universal Credit problems secret
http://www.politics.co.uk/blogs/2016/03/17/ids-loses-legal-challenge-to-keep-universal-credit-problems
March 17th

NOT been repeated by the BBC & Newspapers

djmartian, Saturday, 19 March 2016 00:13 (eight years ago) link

Radio 5 Live are now broadcasting this news

djmartian, Saturday, 19 March 2016 00:16 (eight years ago) link

thank fucking christ

Laertiades (imago), Saturday, 19 March 2016 00:25 (eight years ago) link

Do tax cuts, threshold changes and cuts to capital gains tax which have been announced have to go through parliamentary votes?

Yes, they do -- and losing that vote is usually grounds for the government falling (possibly with a no confidence motion first) because a Govt that can't pass Treasury bills can't govern. But not sure how that works in the post-Fixed Term Parliaments world. The Tories wouldn't revolt on the budget bill though; they're not that suicidal

stet, Saturday, 19 March 2016 00:31 (eight years ago) link

has sven even heard of SHEFFIELD

Laertiades (imago), Saturday, 19 March 2016 00:31 (eight years ago) link

re: Radio 5 Live are now broadcasting this news

to clarify this was a journalist? speaking to stephen nolan. I don't know who she was didn't catch her name.

Not mentioned in the news bulletin.

Last June

Universal Credit cost soars to £16billion: Watchdog sounds alarm bells over project set to take 9 years
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/universal-credit-cost-soars-16billion-5950976

what is it now?

djmartian, Saturday, 19 March 2016 00:35 (eight years ago) link

latest
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/iain-duncan-smith-resigns-live-7587449

Cameron confirms u-turn on PIP cuts in "puzzled" response to IDS

David Cameron has replied to Iain Duncan Smith’s resignation, in a letter sent from Downing Street - appearing to confirm that he had agreed with the Work and Pensions Secretary that cuts to disabled benefits - which IDS blamed for his departure - would be shelved.

The PM said he was “puzzled and disappointed” at the welfare slasher’s decision.

He signs the letter off: Yours, David.

includes Cameron's Letter

Pip mentioned - "not to proceed with these changes"

djmartian, Saturday, 19 March 2016 00:45 (eight years ago) link

Thanks, Stet. I'm not so sure they aren't that suicidal at the moment or at least I hope they are.

pastoral fantasy (jed_), Saturday, 19 March 2016 00:56 (eight years ago) link

It's a foolish hope, I know.

pastoral fantasy (jed_), Saturday, 19 March 2016 00:59 (eight years ago) link

context:

Fighting the ‘fortress mentality’ at DWP – my search for the truth about Universal Credit
IT programme manager and freedom-of-information campaigner John Slater reflects on his four-year battle to force the Department for Work and Pensions to release key documents
http://www.computerweekly.com/opinion/Fighting-the-fortress-mentality-at-DWP-my-search-for-the-truth-about-Universal-Credit

djmartian, Saturday, 19 March 2016 01:04 (eight years ago) link

Such a strange feeling, to have a job, when IDS does not

Never changed username before (cardamon), Saturday, 19 March 2016 10:03 (eight years ago) link

I don't see any great change from cruelty to compassion here - it's more like it vaguely dawns on him that his schtick is not working and not popular, and he's associated with a troubled brand

Never changed username before (cardamon), Saturday, 19 March 2016 10:20 (eight years ago) link

Still good riddance, just not saying it attaches any virtue to him

Never changed username before (cardamon), Saturday, 19 March 2016 10:26 (eight years ago) link

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/george-osborne-forced-cancel-photoshoot-7586576#ICID=sharebar_twitter

Instead of the planned ‘walkabout’, the Millionaire MPs donned hard hats and hi-vis vests but hid from chanting protesters in a makeshift office in a metal container for two hours at Northumberland Park Station in Tottenham.

Tory aides then instructed Transport for London engineers to dig a hole for the photoshoot on industrial land out of shouting distance of the irate group.

Sources told the Mirror engineers even had to check the site for gas pipes before the “pointless hole” was dug.

Fizzles, Saturday, 19 March 2016 10:37 (eight years ago) link

IDS has always come across like the kind of person who likes to think of himself as compassionate but has no idea of what the praxis entails (cf "good lefties"). I tend to agree this is just a Brexit manoeuvre

Wonder how Labour will contrive to fuck up this golden opportunity

cher guevara (lex pretend), Saturday, 19 March 2016 10:39 (eight years ago) link

I think he is actually stupid enough to genuinely believe some of the moralising guff that comes out of his mouth.

This should be natural territory for Corbyn, although I'm guessing some disgruntled backbencher will start parping up about needing to show they can be tougher on welfare right about now.

This year there's been a conspicuous lack of Grauniad clapping seals praising Osborne for his supposed centrism and canny political operating. If anything it suggests that he perceived so little threat from Labour (and perceived more from the right of his party) that he got complacent about looking nasty.

This is probably a Brexit thing deep down, but I suspect IDS has been bearing a grudge for sometime about that Osborne quote about him being "just not clever enough", and waiting for a moment to try and humiliate him.

Tory fratricide is never not funny though.

Matt DC, Saturday, 19 March 2016 12:19 (eight years ago) link

Tory fratricide is never not funny though.

^^^^

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Saturday, 19 March 2016 12:21 (eight years ago) link

The Cameron letter to IDS suggested the cuts to disability benefits simply weren't going to take place, which has to be one of the fastest reversals on record.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Saturday, 19 March 2016 12:26 (eight years ago) link

Cameron has pretty much hung his Chancellor out to dry here.

Matt DC, Saturday, 19 March 2016 12:27 (eight years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OwZciH3hx-A

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Saturday, 19 March 2016 12:33 (eight years ago) link

at last a mainstream news source has caught up with this;

Iain Duncan Smith lost court battle to suppress publication of potentially embarrassing DWP memos, days before resignation
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/iain-duncan-smith-lost-court-battle-to-suppress-publication-of-potentially-embarrassing-dwp-memos-a6940881.htm

The Conservative politician announced his shock resignation last night, citing concerns over disability benefit cuts. However, a legal battle earlier this week has been cited as another possible explaination

In particular, the DWP has projected that the Universal Credit scheme would be extended to 12 million claimants by 2017. However, figures suggest that a mere 200,000 have joined the scheme, which would represent a gross failure to meet the target.

this has also cost nearly 16 Billion so far ! (according to 2015 reports)

source:
http://voxpoliticalonline.com/2015/12/17/universal-credit-15-8-billion-for-a-computer-system-that-isnt-needed/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Universal_Credit
As of 22 February 2016, 364,000 people have made a claim on Universal Credit,

There are 3 elements related to IDS resignation:
Universal Credit Fiasco
Tensions Between IDS and Osborne
see: http://www.resolutionfoundation.org/media/blog/universal-credits-future-depends-on-whether-its-the-economics-or-the-politics-that-comes-first-for-the-treasury/
Brexit situation: Leave / Remain

most of the mainstream media have overlooked the Universal Credit situation

Both IDS and Cameron's letters last night were a managed convenient smokescreen to hide from the real reason.

What IDS got out of the situation: seen in a good light as the person that managed to convince Cameron to ditch PIP disability cuts (within 2 hours?). Resigning now means he want be sacked when the Universal Credit fiasco gets exposed. Jump before you are pushed.

The friction between IDS and Osborne has been ongoing for years, this was IDS chance to inflict public humiliation on Osborne then retreat and resign from the tory front bench. This is obviously also tied with IDS being part of brexit campaign, if the brexit vote goes his way then Cameron/ Osborne will be toast and Boris will be in poll position.

What Cameron gets out of the situation: A convenient climb down on PIP backlash some tory MPS are losing their patron positions with charities (including Zac Goldsmith), mass naming and shaming on Twitter via photo captions, the growing internal conservative concern of the disability cuts during Friday (not just IDS), the polls with growing support for Corbyn due to public backlash against the tory disability cuts.

Cameron obviously knew of the UC court situation and realised why it was convenient for IDS to go now. He covered this up with puzzlement statement because he doesn't want the public to know about the fiasco and billions wasted on Universal Credit. He can't attack IDS now because that would highlight tory chaos and incompetence before the exposure of the UC fiasco. If Britain votes to remain, Cameron would have dispensed with IDS as political revenge and the eventual public exposure of UC fiasco.

re: The Cameron letter to IDS suggested the cuts to disability benefits simply weren't going to take place, which has to be one of the fastest reversals on record.

― On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari),

If Cameron agreed to these changes so quickly, why was there any need for IDS to resign then?

Goes back to the Universal Credit fiasco and the gambling which way the brexit will go and IDS inflicting damage on Osborne and removing himself from the impending UC exposure fallout.

djmartian, Saturday, 19 March 2016 14:47 (eight years ago) link

That Mason piece seems to be based on a fairly dubious assumption that there are significant doubts about austerity lurking within the Cabinet. In turn, that seems to be based on the presumption of govt agreement that they are trying to improve the economy through austerity and debt reduction.

The elimination of the (non-state pension) welfare state is in and of itself the aim and any positive or negative effects on the economy are by the bye. They've already gone through a double-dip recession while only narrowly shifting course. As long as there isn't a major crash or anything else that may significantly affect them politically, they aren't really arsed. Just as Cameron isn't especially bothered about disabled people in and of themselves (although I sense a "how dare you!" coming), he's just worried that it looks bad.

Matt DC, Saturday, 19 March 2016 15:10 (eight years ago) link

Also Labour's extremely narrow poll lead means absolutely nothing, given they had a substantial one before the election. The only polls that really signal voting intention are the "who do you trust with the economy?" and "who do you think will make the best Prime Minister?" ones. The latter is tricky given we have no idea who will be standing for the Tories in the next election, and I'm guessing Labour are still way behind on the economic one.

Matt DC, Saturday, 19 March 2016 15:14 (eight years ago) link

I was reading this awful interview with Crabb. He was giving this working class Tory narrative about his mother working her way out of "benefits dependency" and how Thatcher's right to buy scheme in the 80's transformed his estate. I find him even more appalling than IDS tbh.

calzino, Saturday, 19 March 2016 15:57 (eight years ago) link

Working class Tories are the vilest creatures on God's earth.

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Saturday, 19 March 2016 16:47 (eight years ago) link

Expect Crabb to run for leader now.

Also expect something major to crash - whether that's the economy, the NHS, or social services in a significant way to harm the govt. If its all three and Corbyn happens to survive I will laugh at Britishes as they either keeping voting Tory and hate doing so, or at least consider voting for something even vaguely left wing. xp

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 19 March 2016 16:49 (eight years ago) link

He knows a bit about handouts though:

During the 2009 parliamentary expenses scandal, it was revealed that Crabb claimed £8,049 on the refurbishment of his flat in London, including "£500 for a goose down duvet and corner TV unit."[24]. He then sold the flat for a profit and "flipped" his second home expenses claim to cover a house that was being purchased for his family in Pembrokeshire, allowing him to claim £9,300 in stamp duty and £1,325 per month in interest on its mortgage.[24] A room in another flat of a fellow MP was designated as his main home and he paid half of the rent there.[24] At the time he said, "I haven’t claimed for things like plasma TVs, even though the rules allow it. My claims were always within the letter and the spirit of the rules."[24]

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Saturday, 19 March 2016 16:49 (eight years ago) link

fuck working class Tories obv but they're just fuckwits, generally, and lack the smug, oblivious belief in the natural disposability of the poor that yr thoroughbred toffs effortlessly convey

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Saturday, 19 March 2016 16:51 (eight years ago) link

Well, it's looking down on people from a distance vs trying to fuck people over from close range isn't it

Never changed username before (cardamon), Saturday, 19 March 2016 17:58 (eight years ago) link

Also beware working class mannerisms and traits carefully preserved from two generations ago, and now employed by this generation of a now wealthy family to give themselves authenticity. 'I want to do up my bloody lounge' is harder to refute than 'I want another yacht' as far as 'reasons people give for not wanting to pay tax' go

Never changed username before (cardamon), Saturday, 19 March 2016 18:04 (eight years ago) link

Wondering how anyone could sell an expenses-fiddler called Crabb as a potential leader.

jedi slimane (suzy), Saturday, 19 March 2016 19:14 (eight years ago) link

Tory fratricide is never not funny though.

pensions minister Ros Altmann puts the boot into IDS:

http://www.genesysdownload.co.uk/rosaltmann/Personal_Statement_by_Pensions_Minister.pdf

soref, Saturday, 19 March 2016 23:59 (eight years ago) link

Woah.

pastoral fantasy (jed_), Sunday, 20 March 2016 00:14 (eight years ago) link

Weird they're all going "doesn't he realise we're rethinking this terrible policy?" like none of them thought it up.

onimo, Sunday, 20 March 2016 01:04 (eight years ago) link

New line from IDS camp is that cancelling the policy doesn't matter because he was being told to find a way to cut the same amount

stet, Sunday, 20 March 2016 01:21 (eight years ago) link

Since they made £1bn cuts to working tax credits last week without a parliamentary debate and in spite of their "U turn" I dare say that line is very true.

pastoral fantasy (jed_), Sunday, 20 March 2016 01:29 (eight years ago) link

there's something beautifully Duncan Smith-ish about the way nobody, even on his own side, believes he resigned because of principle or compassion

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 20 March 2016 08:20 (eight years ago) link

Shailesh Vara, who is pro-EU iirc, just released a statement of support for IDS contradicting Altmann, so idk what is going on at the moment.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 20 March 2016 08:59 (eight years ago) link

the best we can hope for is some sort of breakdown that's going to transform him into a combination of Joseph Rowntree and David Icke

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 20 March 2016 09:03 (eight years ago) link

David Rowntree? Oh that's the Blur drummer.

Mark G, Sunday, 20 March 2016 09:54 (eight years ago) link

there's something beautifully Duncan Smith-ish about the way nobody, even on his own side, believes he resigned because of principle or compassion

Sometimes I wonder if anyone even reads Julia Hartley-Brewer's Twitter account.

nashwan, Sunday, 20 March 2016 11:28 (eight years ago) link

Still no mention of the UC court case from the BBC.

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Sunday, 20 March 2016 11:30 (eight years ago) link

... instead it's all, "The interview with Andrew Marr showed conclusively that Iain Duncan Smith is a man of principle, who came into government to help the poorest and most disadvantaged in society".

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Sunday, 20 March 2016 11:32 (eight years ago) link

Labour don't appear to be fucking this up (yet).

jedi slimane (suzy), Sunday, 20 March 2016 11:42 (eight years ago) link

Goldsmith and Osborne's mayoral campaigning going about as well as can be expected:

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/george-osborne-forced-cancel-photoshoot-7586576#ICID=sharebar_twitter

Instead of the planned ‘walkabout’, the Millionaire MPs donned hard hats and hi-vis vests but hid from chanting protesters in a makeshift office in a metal container for two hours at Northumberland Park Station in Tottenham.

Tory aides then instructed Transport for London engineers to dig a hole for the photoshoot on industrial land out of shouting distance of the irate group.

Sources told the Mirror engineers even had to check the site for gas pipes before the “pointless hole” was dug.

Eventually Osborne and a sheepish-looking Zac Goldsmith dashed out of the container in to a Range Rover Discovery which drove them just 100 metres to the hole as protesters shouted “shame on you”.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 20 March 2016 11:42 (eight years ago) link

Superb.

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Sunday, 20 March 2016 11:44 (eight years ago) link

Labour don't appear to be fucking this up (yet).

― jedi slimane (suzy), Sunday, March 20, 2016 Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

The Labour right are keeping quiet so far.

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 20 March 2016 12:31 (eight years ago) link

still mourning IDS/benefit cuts

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 20 March 2016 12:32 (eight years ago) link

Black day for them.

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 20 March 2016 12:34 (eight years ago) link

Who will tickle Frank Field under the chin now?

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Sunday, 20 March 2016 12:37 (eight years ago) link

Is Chuka Umunna on the right, for the purposes of this exercise? because he's been giving IDS both barrels all weekend, and even before the resignation.

jedi slimane (suzy), Sunday, 20 March 2016 12:55 (eight years ago) link

I am completely in agreement with what Chuka has been saying on IDS, but it is all a bit empty + lacking conviction coming out of his mouth.

calzino, Sunday, 20 March 2016 14:13 (eight years ago) link

is chuka the most bored politician ever?

anyway...It has been reported that Crabb began his career as an intern at CARE – Christian Action Research and Education, a controversial organisation that offers gay cure therapy with the promise of making its participants ‘ex-gay.’ Despite telling the Telegraph in 2012 that he does not ‘support or endorse any views about “gay cure” theology,’ Crabb has failed to distance himself from CARE, even hiring political interns through the organisation. He also voted against marriage equality legislation in 2013.

http://attitude.co.uk/dwp-minister-stephen-crabb-mp-linked-to-fundamentalist-gay-cure-therapy-organisation/

pastoral fantasy (jed_), Sunday, 20 March 2016 22:04 (eight years ago) link

it didn't enter my mind that he might not be gay, tbh, so now it's even more obvious.

pastoral fantasy (jed_), Sunday, 20 March 2016 22:09 (eight years ago) link

A "senior cabinet source" has apparently told the Times that Cameron is blaming Osborne for "messing up" the cuts and that he would pay with his reputation.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 20 March 2016 23:01 (eight years ago) link

My only moan from this weekend is that I only got 2 numbers on the lottery

calzino, Sunday, 20 March 2016 23:08 (eight years ago) link

Heh

Ecomigrant gnomics (darraghmac), Sunday, 20 March 2016 23:19 (eight years ago) link

Two more than George Osborne.

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Sunday, 20 March 2016 23:20 (eight years ago) link

Yes, this has been a good weekend.

pastoral fantasy (jed_), Sunday, 20 March 2016 23:28 (eight years ago) link

A "senior cabinet source" has apparently told the Times that Cameron is blaming Osborne for "messing up" the cuts and that he would pay with his reputation.

― On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, March 20, 2016 11:01 PM (27 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

It's almost as if he'd never read and approved it all prior.

pastoral fantasy (jed_), Sunday, 20 March 2016 23:30 (eight years ago) link

Cameron's fate and reputation is pretty much tied to Osborne's, Osborne has been responsible for the whole direction of the government, pretty much, presumably with Cameron's full support. He can't sack him now without looking like a failure himself, he especially can't sack him three months before an EU referendum, but he also can't have a discredited chancellor shitting up the whole pro-EU message and potentially ending his Premiership in the process. Trying to ride it out and limit the damage is pretty much his only option.

Any potential Boris administration is hardly likely to be defined by the dry rhetoric of tough choices and deficit reduction, he just isn't that kind of politician. Even if he continues with austerity in practice there will be flourishes and grand vanity projects and a start-of-a-new-golden-age narrative. Can't work out if most of the country will see straight through it or lap that shit up.

Matt DC, Monday, 21 March 2016 08:37 (eight years ago) link

Rawnsley in the Observer yesterday was speculating that the main reason for the IDS resignation was his getting out before he was set up as the fall guy for Osborne's mistakes, which seems very plausible even though IDS made a boatload of his own. Meanwhile they've still got a big pile of expensive Universal Credit shit on the table and no palatable options for dealing with it - either get rid of the whole project and look insanely profligate, or proceed with the whole thing and risk the sort of disaster than brings down governments.

Matt DC, Monday, 21 March 2016 08:41 (eight years ago) link

it's potnetially a Poll Tax-level of toxic policy fuck-up

Gaz upon my works ye mighty, and despair (Neil S), Monday, 21 March 2016 08:51 (eight years ago) link

potentially even

Gaz upon my works ye mighty, and despair (Neil S), Monday, 21 March 2016 08:51 (eight years ago) link

I suspect the damage to Osborne over the recent cuts won't be as critical or long-lasting as expected. A bit of public penitence, a sense that lessons have been learned, etc and he'll continue as he was. The government's economic credibility is too heavily tied up in him as a Chancellor to make any significant changes.

This has always been the problem on the horizon, though - there's only so long you can blame Labour profligacy for cuts and the more you sell the idea of the strength of the British economy, the harder it is to portray cuts as anything other than ideological. I think he has probably confused a public willingness to accept reduced welfare and local government spending as a perceived necessity with an active appetite for them.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 21 March 2016 08:51 (eight years ago) link

I don't even think the public has that. It wants an end to the welfare fraud and benefit scrounging and "never working in your life" it has been told are endemic, but it doesn't want the cases it's sympathetic to being cut.

The Tories want the latter and think the public are the same. That's what has started to unravel, I think.

stet, Monday, 21 March 2016 09:27 (eight years ago) link

Also, perpetual austerity (which is what the govt pretty much wants), sends the impression that things just aren't getting that much better. That's going to wear on voters sooner or later, not to mention the fact that they'll start asking why. They're already doing so.

I suspect the damage to Osborne over the recent cuts won't be as critical or long-lasting as expected. A bit of public penitence, a sense that lessons have been learned, etc and he'll continue as he was

It is now very unlikely that he'll be the next leader of the Conservative Party or PM. That's a big fall from where he was last autumn. Nothing I can see about the Tories suggests they're in the mood for a continuity candidate right now.

Matt DC, Monday, 21 March 2016 10:12 (eight years ago) link

cool if the public are starting to catch on 50 months before next general election

"Worried pimp" (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 21 March 2016 10:29 (eight years ago) link

xp, that was

"Worried pimp" (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 21 March 2016 10:29 (eight years ago) link

They aren't exactly well stocked with alternatives. Johnson has staked his credibility on Brexit, the up-and-coming Patel / Raab axis is actively evil and there's a lot of dead wood in the cabinet / back benches.

Osborne is so central to their relationship with the city anything that shifts him out is a risk.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 21 March 2016 10:29 (eight years ago) link

the up-and-coming Patel / Raab axis

Don't fancy the UK becoming Singapore? Well, tough.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 21 March 2016 10:34 (eight years ago) link

Weird the Sun standing alone with an "NHS scroungers" story this morning. Are they sympathetic to Osborne? Murdoch sure isn't - cf the Times

stet, Monday, 21 March 2016 10:35 (eight years ago) link

Johnson will survive an "In" vote; it's exactly the sort of thing he can shrug off with a "well, we tried our best and now we 47% will battle to make Europe work for us we will never uh uh er surrender"

stet, Monday, 21 March 2016 10:37 (eight years ago) link

Johnson has staked his credibility on Brexit, the up-and-coming Patel / Raab axis is actively evil and there's a lot of dead wood in the cabinet / back benches.

Struggling to see why any of these issues would prevent the Tories from voting them in, especially if there's a concerted anti-Osborne movement. There'll be an anti-Boris movement as well obviously, which does increase the likelihood of someone really toxic like Dominic Raab somehow winning. The big winner over the last week or so is probably Theresa May though.

Matt DC, Monday, 21 March 2016 10:40 (eight years ago) link

Tory party has definitely been hugely helped by Cameronnosborne staying tight for a whole decade. Things might start coming apart quite quickly if they start sniping like Blairnbrown.

I just hope Corbynnmcdonnell don't go the same way after several years in downing street :-/

"Worried pimp" (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 21 March 2016 10:40 (eight years ago) link

Think no pro-remain candidate will win the tory leadership, *especially* if the vote is to stay.

"Worried pimp" (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 21 March 2016 10:41 (eight years ago) link

It is now very unlikely that he'll be the next leader of the Conservative Party or PM. That's a big fall from where he was last autumn Wednesday.

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Monday, 21 March 2016 10:43 (eight years ago) link

Govt not going to oppose rebel amendments to the Budget, this'll get fun

stet, Monday, 21 March 2016 11:53 (eight years ago) link

David Davis now getting his money's worth.

He said Osborne had no chance of replacing David Cameron as party leader in the near future. Asked if Osborne’s chances of becoming prime minister were finished, he replied:
Not ever. If the leadership election were to be in the next six months, I think he would be sunk without trace.
He also said it might make sense to move Osborne to another post.

Very, very few people go straight from being chancellor to being prime minister, and when they do, it’s not always a success. Gordon Brown was the last one.
He said that James Callaghan did other jobs after leaving the Treasury (home secretary and foreign secretary) and that he was “given the circumstances, a very successful prime minister”.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 21 March 2016 11:58 (eight years ago) link

No 10 now saying it has "complete confidence" in Osborne. popcorn.gif

stet, Monday, 21 March 2016 12:01 (eight years ago) link

Ah, we are at the Football Manager stage, right?

Mark G, Monday, 21 March 2016 12:13 (eight years ago) link

p.s. What's a "successful" Prime Minister?

Mark G, Monday, 21 March 2016 12:13 (eight years ago) link

Not James Callaghan surely?

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Monday, 21 March 2016 12:15 (eight years ago) link

I mean, Winter of Discontent/Unburied Corpses/Binbags in Leicester Square/ Sned in the Army and Make Prince Philip Head of State blah blah blah

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Monday, 21 March 2016 12:16 (eight years ago) link

You don't get a "successful" Prime Minister.

People might look back after twenty years and say "ah, he wasn't so bad"

Mark G, Monday, 21 March 2016 12:18 (eight years ago) link

Callaghan did a reasonable job of keeping a minority government going through very tough economic times but I suspect Tories are likely to look fondly on him because he led directly to 11 years of Thatcher.

Matt DC, Monday, 21 March 2016 12:38 (eight years ago) link

Its just funny to contemplate a demotion for Osborne - never work, he is absolutely central to these shits at the Treasury.

Fucker must be in a bunker somewhere.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 21 March 2016 13:02 (eight years ago) link

Cameron has cancelled his statement today; Osborne due to speak tomorrow.

stet, Monday, 21 March 2016 13:04 (eight years ago) link

Conflicting reports, no 10 has said its going ahead.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 21 March 2016 13:08 (eight years ago) link

John McDonnell has tabled an urgent question in the Commons today, to be answered by David 'Short Straw' Gauke. I assume Osborne is in a darkened room somewhere, knees pulled up to his chin, rocking back and forth and saying."Mummy daddy" over and over again.

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Monday, 21 March 2016 13:28 (eight years ago) link

Or higher than Goering

stet, Monday, 21 March 2016 13:43 (eight years ago) link

Now seems like a good time for the most prominent proponent of free schools outside the government to start talking about eugenics.

https://mobile.twitter.com/toadmeister/status/699336901820551170

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 21 March 2016 14:20 (eight years ago) link

what in the everloving fuck

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Monday, 21 March 2016 14:26 (eight years ago) link

even for toby young that's a whole new level of clueless cuntery

Upset by racist left wingers calling me an egg (bizarro gazzara), Monday, 21 March 2016 14:27 (eight years ago) link

It's okay it's only "progressive"

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Monday, 21 March 2016 14:28 (eight years ago) link

Surely Toby understands that any rational eugenics scheme would be aiming to remove his genes from the pool

someone who just gets annoyed at bad tweets (stevie), Monday, 21 March 2016 14:32 (eight years ago) link

http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2011/06/13/article-2002963-02AB563800000578-811_233x386.jpg

And it’s probable that in the next few years genetic research scientists will produce even more evidence that important aspects of people’s personalities—including those that determine whether they succeed or fail—are linked to their genes, with the relevant variants being physically identified.

tbf the sooner we find and eradicate the genetic soup which led to the formation of toby young the better

Upset by racist left wingers calling me an egg (bizarro gazzara), Monday, 21 March 2016 14:34 (eight years ago) link

beaten to it by stevie

Upset by racist left wingers calling me an egg (bizarro gazzara), Monday, 21 March 2016 14:34 (eight years ago) link

I propose a new question for all IQ tests: "do you believe in IQ as a useful measure of anything?", positive response leads to score docked by 50 points.

ledge, Monday, 21 March 2016 15:42 (eight years ago) link

#notallmensa

nashwan, Monday, 21 March 2016 15:48 (eight years ago) link

#yesallmensa

Andrew Farrell, Monday, 21 March 2016 15:49 (eight years ago) link

Mensa Rights Activism

"Worried pimp" (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 21 March 2016 15:50 (eight years ago) link

^ Joe Dolce discovers reddit

"Worried pimp" (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 21 March 2016 15:50 (eight years ago) link

George Osborne's Budget is in "absolute chaos" and should be withdrawn, shadow chancellor John McDonnell says.

Mr McDonnell was asking an urgent question about changes to the Budget including the decision to shelve disability benefit cuts.

Matt DC, Monday, 21 March 2016 15:52 (eight years ago) link

Gauke wants to be next chancellor so so bad

stet, Monday, 21 March 2016 16:02 (eight years ago) link

TS: Ken Clarke, "Gimmicky budgets will lead to ruin" vs David Bowie, "Idiot love will spark the fusion"

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Monday, 21 March 2016 16:06 (eight years ago) link

Classic Osborne actually - letting this Gauke nobody take the heat while he comes up with monopoly money (which he has done in the past, and I'm sure that is what he is getting his civil servants to do now)

xyzzzz__, Monday, 21 March 2016 16:08 (eight years ago) link

David Gauke says the government will set out its plans in the Autumn Statement.

... which is in November. Unbelievable.

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Monday, 21 March 2016 16:11 (eight years ago) link

Labour should stop asking this nobody questions until Gideon turns up. Complete waste of time.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 21 March 2016 16:12 (eight years ago) link

I know it's not the burning issue of the moment, but if I can go back to that Toby Young piece:

cognitive ability and other characteristics that lead to success, such as conscientiousness, impulse control and a willingness to defer gratification, are between 40 per cent and 80 per cent heritable.[5]

That footnote leads not to a citation of a scientific paper, but this helpful little explanation:

[5] This means that between 40% and 80% of the variation in these characteristics in any given population can be accounted for by genetic differences in that population.

Sadly, no. Accent, for example, is highly heritable (also, like IQ, correlated with race, class, education, and largely fixed after adolescence). Does it have a genetic component? Nope.

ledge, Monday, 21 March 2016 16:13 (eight years ago) link

(and that is really the crux of his argument)

ledge, Monday, 21 March 2016 16:14 (eight years ago) link

Hey Gauke dude. what the fuck is wrong with you?

"Worried pimp" (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 21 March 2016 16:25 (eight years ago) link

PM defends the work of the Chancellor "we can only improve life chances if our economy is secure and strong"

The government will continue to give the "highest priority to improving life chances", David Cameron says.

The government will "take more people out of tax, rebuild sink estates, improve life chances, and reform prisons".

"Without sound public finances, you end up having to cut spending and put up taxes. You don’t get more life chances that way; you get fewer."

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Monday, 21 March 2016 16:41 (eight years ago) link

cut spending and put up taxes, huh that sounds familiar

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Monday, 21 March 2016 16:42 (eight years ago) link

rebuild sink estates,

Stay classy, Dave.

pastoral fantasy (jed_), Monday, 21 March 2016 16:49 (eight years ago) link

Rebuild Cinque Estates

Mark G, Monday, 21 March 2016 16:51 (eight years ago) link

That was some good parliament games from the Tories there; Gauke rallies the troops, then Cameron praises IDS and dodges what were not Corbyn's best jabs

stet, Monday, 21 March 2016 17:03 (eight years ago) link

https://twitter.com/montie/status/711890797772345345

i must admit i am v impressed by the logical contortions involved here

Cooper and Kendall would have abstained the hell of them.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 21 March 2016 17:11 (eight years ago) link

*out of them

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 21 March 2016 17:12 (eight years ago) link

From the commentary Corbyn has been p/lame apparently, but its The Guardian saying it and I hate parliament.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 21 March 2016 17:28 (eight years ago) link

Not mentioning IDS at all is p. weird and has all his haters out in force. But it did focus all the discussion on Osborne for a while at least

stet, Monday, 21 March 2016 17:30 (eight years ago) link

Does feel like a wasted opportunity though

stet, Monday, 21 March 2016 17:30 (eight years ago) link

Not really, a lot of ppl complaining re: Corbyn hate him. He doesn't have some 'killer instinct' or isn't Paxo. We know that.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 21 March 2016 18:36 (eight years ago) link

Yeah, he is never going to "perform" but at this point in the parliament I don't think that matters very much at all

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Monday, 21 March 2016 18:52 (eight years ago) link

Accoring to the commentariat (and the Lab right, natch) all the useless ppl "performed".

xyzzzz__, Monday, 21 March 2016 19:04 (eight years ago) link

Insulting someone's clothes counts as 'performing' in that shithouse.

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Monday, 21 March 2016 19:06 (eight years ago) link

Press keeping hammering the Osborne line so poss even savvier than I give him credit for

stet, Monday, 21 March 2016 19:06 (eight years ago) link

What is the Osborne line?

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Monday, 21 March 2016 19:07 (eight years ago) link

That Cameron had to defend him, that he didn't show up, that he is running scared etc.

stet, Monday, 21 March 2016 19:10 (eight years ago) link

Right, you mean Corbyn's Osborne line not, er, Osborne's Osborne line.(xp) lol

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Monday, 21 March 2016 19:12 (eight years ago) link

Well, that "no further welfare cuts planned" line isn't going to backfire spectacularly at all is it?

The very fact that a member of the government has had to say that at all indicates a very sharp change in the political weather in the space of one week. It's a pretty desperate move but Cameron's entire edifice is in danger of collapsing here.

Matt DC, Monday, 21 March 2016 19:19 (eight years ago) link

Cameron should ditch the hapless ringers and just hold up a big picture of a kitten with NO MORE CUTS written on it.

Matt DC, Monday, 21 March 2016 19:22 (eight years ago) link

are they going to pass the budget? we only need around 10 rebels to vote against.

pastoral fantasy (jed_), Monday, 21 March 2016 19:22 (eight years ago) link

Given that would probably bring down the government and trigger an immediate general election I'd imagine most Tory MPs would be a little squeamish about the prospect.

Matt DC, Monday, 21 March 2016 19:29 (eight years ago) link

Don't fully understand how the new legislation works but aren't they basically locked in unless no confidenced by a big majority?

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Monday, 21 March 2016 19:40 (eight years ago) link

Treasury has already rolled back the "no welfare cuts" line, so he is alive in there somewhere

stet, Monday, 21 March 2016 19:42 (eight years ago) link

Xp legislation probably works as well as the welfare cap does. Was that ever passed btw?

stet, Monday, 21 March 2016 19:42 (eight years ago) link

Failing to get a budget passed would be expected to trigger resignations under most circumstances.

xps

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 21 March 2016 19:43 (eight years ago) link

As I say, I've got no idea

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Monday, 21 March 2016 19:43 (eight years ago) link

Can't find the last unbalanced budget that passed either tho

stet, Monday, 21 March 2016 19:44 (eight years ago) link

are they going to pass the budget? we only need around 10 rebels to vote against.

What, Nick Clegg is going to vote the Budget down?

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Monday, 21 March 2016 19:48 (eight years ago) link

Good title for a spiritual

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Monday, 21 March 2016 19:50 (eight years ago) link

lol

Nick Clegg goin to vote the budget down, my saviour
Nick Clegg goin vote the budget down

"Worried pimp" (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 21 March 2016 20:31 (eight years ago) link

We'll all be there and we won't have a care
When Nick Clegg gone votethebudget down, down, down, down...

Mark G, Monday, 21 March 2016 20:38 (eight years ago) link

A view from the 18th century

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Monday, 21 March 2016 22:49 (eight years ago) link

The view from the 21st century left isn't doing it either

xyzzzz__, Monday, 21 March 2016 22:55 (eight years ago) link

"hard choices" is a flag.

The experience of Syriza - all those lawyers -- did 'em good when the might of the Eurozone came marchign down

xyzzzz__, Monday, 21 March 2016 22:58 (eight years ago) link

If only the Labour right started tweeting against the real enemy.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 21 March 2016 23:01 (eight years ago) link

when the might of the Eurozone came marchign down

another spiritual!

Oh they scattered and they ran, lord, the whole of Pharaoh's myriad
When the might of the Eurozone came marching down from Gilead

"Worried pimp" (Bananaman Begins), Tuesday, 22 March 2016 08:10 (eight years ago) link

The Miliband team made a complete arse of the actual process of campaign strategy and planning, and they had the best part of five years to prepare and probably a more experienced operation in place. I don't think you need to be some kind of pissy New Statesman twat to suspect that Corbyn's team is perhaps not adequately prepared for a general election that could arrive this year.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 22 March 2016 09:30 (eight years ago) link

if it goes to a general election this year - no way, imo - then the Tories will have done half their job for them

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Tuesday, 22 March 2016 09:35 (eight years ago) link

The Tories are in utter disarray if there is ever a gen election this year. Don't think we'll get to that.

On burying bad news then - I guess the Brussels attacks will have an effect on today's proceedings?

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 22 March 2016 09:46 (eight years ago) link

I suppose the issue for any incoming Tory leader will be avoiding the Gordon Brown trap, which might mean an election sooner rather than later, but obviously everything hinges on Brexit. If Britain votes to stay in then it's 50:50 whether Cameron will appear to be triumphantly vindicated or stagger on through four years of increasingly frequent attacks from both sides.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 22 March 2016 09:57 (eight years ago) link

Given the polling it's easy to see a narrow win for In that leaves Cameron with a furious Tory version of the 45ers

stet, Tuesday, 22 March 2016 10:45 (eight years ago) link

They'd take 55/45 now.

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Tuesday, 22 March 2016 10:48 (eight years ago) link

http://thebaffler.com/salvos/despair-fatigue-david-graeber

I've been living with this piece for a few days now. Bits of it seem off, sometimes way off. But as a whole I think this is a very insightful examination of where we are now.

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Tuesday, 22 March 2016 11:38 (eight years ago) link

graeber is generally 70% otm, 30% wtf man are you high or something

"Worried pimp" (Bananaman Begins), Tuesday, 22 March 2016 11:55 (eight years ago) link

idk, i can seemingly get behind the main thrust while disagreeing with almost all of the key points.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 22 March 2016 12:00 (eight years ago) link

I can see that too, up to a point, I feel an ambivalence but he's broadly right about class and he's v right that despair is a luxury for the privileged

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Tuesday, 22 March 2016 12:10 (eight years ago) link

Tories, nice peoples

"The thing about George is that a lot of people think he's a bit arrogant and rude, but that's because they don't really know him.

"Well I've worked with him pretty closely for several years now and so I know that the truth is that in person he's actually much worse than that."

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Tuesday, 22 March 2016 12:15 (eight years ago) link

I can see that too, up to a point, I feel an ambivalence but he's broadly right about class and he's v right that despair is a luxury for the privileged

The growing undercurrent of radicalism (both on the streets and in a return to serious discussion of socialist economic models) seems overstated to me and there is a danger in assuming any reaction of the un-privileged is going to be egalitarian. As much as i would like both things to be true, it's seems plausible that the despair of the increasingly marginalised could either be co-opted to drive further social atomisation in return for a shot at a share of the pie (as with the other radical he mentions, Thatcher) or channeled into a kind of 'fuck everything' Trump / UKIP nihilism. He's probably right that this is the most fertile ground socialism has had to grow in a couple of decades but the perception that the world is on a slow, endless trudge into the abyss is going to be extremely hard to overcome.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 22 March 2016 12:44 (eight years ago) link

a+

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2016 12:55 (eight years ago) link

xpost but also not!

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2016 12:55 (eight years ago) link

Osborne is winding up now.

He says this is a One Nation budget. It devolves power, and supports our children’s future.

It cuts taxes, he says. It delivers security and looks to the future. It is a One Nation, compassionate budget.

Tory MPs are bellowing like cattle: “More”.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 22 March 2016 13:42 (eight years ago) link

Shadow chancellor John McDonnell says he is glad the Chancellor has turned up.

He says that the behaviour of Chancellor over the past days "calls into question his fitness for the office he now holds" and his fitness for any leading office in government.

"What we've seen is not the actions of a chancellor, a senior government minister, but the grubby incompetent manipulations of a political chancer," he says.

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Tuesday, 22 March 2016 13:48 (eight years ago) link

Conservative MP James Cartlidge intervenes to question John McDonnell's "fitness for office".

"On a day of a terrorist attack" he asks Mr McDonnell to "withdraw his previous support for terrorist organisations that have attacked this country".

Nice.

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Tuesday, 22 March 2016 13:55 (eight years ago) link

vile

conrad, Tuesday, 22 March 2016 14:28 (eight years ago) link

I'm sure that people will gladly starve and/or freeze to death safe in the knowledge that they will be helping some as-yet-unborn children pay less debt in the future. It's certainly a sacrifice on a par with defeating the Nazis.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 22 March 2016 14:30 (eight years ago) link

I get the feeling future generations will be facing off bigger problems than the national debt and won't be feeling much gratitude for the world we have left them.

calzino, Tuesday, 22 March 2016 15:02 (eight years ago) link

how lucky is this fucking government

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2016 15:18 (eight years ago) link

What do you mean by luck? They have a small majority and will keep making u-turns if they survive a full parliament.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 22 March 2016 15:28 (eight years ago) link

Lucky to have virtually the entire British media cheerleading them?

A Fifth Beatle Dies (Tom D.), Tuesday, 22 March 2016 15:38 (eight years ago) link

lucky to have a giant terrorist attack happen on the day osborne is due to defend himself

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2016 15:45 (eight years ago) link

You could flip this and say that his 'robust defense' has been also ignored by the public as they watch Brussels instead.

So the figures don't quite add up? Does the OBR have to sign this budget off?

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 22 March 2016 15:49 (eight years ago) link

Where we've made a mistake, where we've got things wrong, we listen and we learn. And that's precisely what we've done.

things initially presented as a decree, a strongly considered and carefully devised course of action, the right thing to do, the only thing to do are, in fact, only suggestions after all - they're only a question: "can we get away with this? will you wear it?"

conrad, Tuesday, 22 March 2016 15:50 (eight years ago) link

totally

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2016 15:50 (eight years ago) link

"I'm an incompetent chancer"

conrad, Tuesday, 22 March 2016 16:22 (eight years ago) link

lucky to have a giant terrorist attack happen on the day osborne is due to defend himself

someone needs to doorstep osborne to ask him to deny that he has any ties to isis

Upset by racist left wingers calling me an egg (bizarro gazzara), Tuesday, 22 March 2016 16:23 (eight years ago) link

Wait is it true that IDS just voted for the Budget?

Matt DC, Tuesday, 22 March 2016 20:09 (eight years ago) link

Yes, no reason to expect he was going to vote against it.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 22 March 2016 20:24 (eight years ago) link

Also did they just pass a Budget that everyone knew was unbalanced? Is there a precedent to this or does it basically happen every year without anyone mentioning it?

Matt DC, Tuesday, 22 March 2016 20:41 (eight years ago) link

I don't think it is uncommon, though slightly embarrassing in the context of Osborne proposing governments be legally bound to deliver a surplus, though I am not an expert.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 22 March 2016 20:46 (eight years ago) link

yeah, aiui not voting for the budget doesn't express a policy disagreement - it's more like a vote of no confidence, & that's a step too far.

I think 'balanced' might muddy this, because it's got that sense of 'outgoings and incomings make zero' somewhere in the background. Budgets go through where they don't add up in that way, but there's an explanation of how we take on the extra debt in the background, so ok, Annex A is the place to look:

https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/budget-2016-documents/budget-2016#annex-a-financing

But the unusual thing here is – within a few days, before the vote – 4-odd billion pound of the policy accounts vanished - Treasury's effectively saying we'll change a decision, making the numbers very wrong. I think… this is the important summary table that is now bullshit?

https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/budget-2016-documents/budget-2016#budget-decisions

woof, Tuesday, 22 March 2016 22:32 (eight years ago) link

soundbites from parliament today, as edited together on the news, presented quite a contrast: labour as sober, dismayed parents, unsure if they would ever get control of their erratic progeny; tories were basically frothing at the mouth, eyes bulging, braying and shouting

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2016 22:37 (eight years ago) link

This is good and what was missing from the debate:

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/mar/22/disability-debate-disabled

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 23 March 2016 15:51 (eight years ago) link

hell yes, cf. the entire history of disability legislation, notably the Autism Act 2009 and subsequent "autism strategies", plus the way the concept of "inclusion" has been used for 20 years to cut services for disabled students and the current borderline-legal shambles that is the Special Educational Needs and Disability Regulations 2014 - taking what i imagine to be thousands of children out of statemented status just at the points where they most need additional support

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 23 March 2016 17:28 (eight years ago) link

Unless the parents are reasonably wealthy and can afford to send their kid to a NAS approved private school or something, without a statement ASC kids are almost guaranteed a wretched childhood.

calzino, Wednesday, 23 March 2016 18:39 (eight years ago) link

statement is now an EHCP and tho i shd be careful i will say that where the new SEND regs say "all children who were statemented should be transferred to an EHCP" that is a long way from happening on the ground

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 23 March 2016 18:44 (eight years ago) link

I have been told it is coming at a school meeting a few months back and told "not to worry about it".

calzino, Wednesday, 23 March 2016 18:56 (eight years ago) link

That's probably fine as long as he's at the same school, especially if they take the time to do it right. The new process looks better on paper - on the ground it's creating a lot of issues around transition between different provisions

Szechuan TV (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 23 March 2016 19:04 (eight years ago) link

http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/03/will-the-brussels-attacks-tip-the-brexit-scales.html#

Have we done a Brexit thread btw?

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 24 March 2016 21:35 (eight years ago) link

idk about the emphasis on the horse meat scandal - can hardly remember anything about it. V funny piece.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 24 March 2016 21:36 (eight years ago) link

Paul Mason is a lot feistier online

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Thursday, 31 March 2016 15:01 (eight years ago) link

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2016/03/30/britain-sacrifices-steel-industry-to-curry-favour-with-china/

This has been doing the rounds and is worth reading as well, even if it is AEP.

Matt DC, Thursday, 31 March 2016 15:05 (eight years ago) link

that paul mason piece is fucking great

Upset by racist left wingers calling me an egg (bizarro gazzara), Thursday, 31 March 2016 15:18 (eight years ago) link

I think McDonnell's Little Red Book jape might be remembered more fondly in the current climate. Even during his Great Leap Forward hubris Mao didn't plan to make the UK a satellite within 50 years, but he didn't know in the future that agent Osborne would be working for them.

calzino, Thursday, 31 March 2016 15:39 (eight years ago) link

That was part of the joke, I think, although who knows.

I can't remember a time in my life when both the government and the opposition have seemed so weak, so little in control of their own parties and of events.

Matt DC, Thursday, 31 March 2016 16:05 (eight years ago) link

It seemed like the joke was a bit misunderstood at the time.

Labour cold called me the other day asking for more donations and I gave them the old famous Flavor Flav line.

calzino, Thursday, 31 March 2016 16:24 (eight years ago) link

not sure what anybody expects when your steel industry gets sold to a giant overseas congolomerate who doesn't give a shit about you but if any issue is custom made for corbyn to make hay with it's one that involves steelworkers getting laid off and david cameron in lanzarote

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 31 March 2016 16:32 (eight years ago) link

Oh my God, not CAKE?!?

jedi slimane (suzy), Thursday, 31 March 2016 16:56 (eight years ago) link

Exmouth???

Tim, Thursday, 31 March 2016 16:59 (eight years ago) link

That's a lot of #content to #harvest from one trip to a cafe. Good work Local World.

Matt DC, Thursday, 31 March 2016 17:02 (eight years ago) link

I can't believe I just clicked through a gallery featuring ten pictures of the same slice of cake.

Matt DC, Thursday, 31 March 2016 17:04 (eight years ago) link

You're doing your bit for British jobs, in fairness.

Andrew Farrell, Thursday, 31 March 2016 17:08 (eight years ago) link

Onlookers said the scene reminded them of Marie Antoinette, the super-rich toff duchess who said of starving peasants: "let them eat cake".

no they didn't

disco Polo (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 31 March 2016 17:10 (eight years ago) link

paul mason clearly needed to be released into the wild.

that was a wonderful read.

mark e, Thursday, 31 March 2016 17:55 (eight years ago) link

he does these columms for the guardian that are always interesting but occasionally veer into slightly thomas friedmanesque futurism

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 31 March 2016 18:03 (eight years ago) link

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2016/03/30/britain-sacrifices-steel-industry-to-curry-favour-with-china🔗/

This has been doing the rounds and is worth reading as well, even if it is AEP.

Yes, read this earlier -

The EU trade directorate has been rendered toothless by a British veto. So much for the canard that the UK has no influence in Brussels.

"The British are sacrificing an entire European industry to say thank you to China for signing up to the nuclear power project at Hinkley Point, and pretending it is about free trade," said one official in Brussels bitterly.

What they are blocking is a change to an EU regulation intended to beef up Europe's 'trade defence instruments' (TDI), enabling it to respond much more quickly to Chinese dumping and too impose much tougher penalties.

Hinkley fucking Point!

Fizzles, Thursday, 31 March 2016 18:31 (eight years ago) link

I fancy Paul Mason.

Mr. Hathaway. (jed_), Thursday, 31 March 2016 22:13 (eight years ago) link

nice to see a lot more press attention being given to the EU/chinese tariff issue ..

mark e, Friday, 1 April 2016 09:14 (eight years ago) link

Paul Mason has really let go since he left C4 hasn't he? Also needs to stop writing for The Guardian, they let him indulge in his worst yoof is connected bollocks. Some very unconvincing stuff on tech - not that I wholly agree with what I've seen of his Postcapitalism shebang.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 1 April 2016 09:22 (eight years ago) link

But even in that piece there is quite a bit to unpack: so a steel will make a tank - what if that tank is sold to run over a Greek or a Spaniard yoof protesting at the lack of jobs and food.

Well, at least he got to the protest by reading about it on Facebook so that's ok.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 1 April 2016 09:26 (eight years ago) link

There are about a million reasons why it might be useful for the UK to have a steel industry at some point in the future, once it's gone then starting up afresh will be even less economical than running it at a (hopefully temporary) loss. The current steel glut isn't a permanent state of affairs, if Port Talbot really is losing £1m a day then nationalisation is going to cause its own problems later down the line if there isn't a recovery, but it's still better than letting the whole thing go to the wall.

Matt DC, Friday, 1 April 2016 10:02 (eight years ago) link

Don't need steel manufacturing capacity but do need trident because uncertain world lol

"Worried pimp" (Bananaman Begins), Friday, 1 April 2016 10:08 (eight years ago) link

(course, trident is itself an example of an interventionist industrial policy, arms being the only industry where this is allowed)

"Worried pimp" (Bananaman Begins), Friday, 1 April 2016 10:09 (eight years ago) link

that's basically been US industrial policy for the last 100 years?

disco Polo (Noodle Vague), Friday, 1 April 2016 10:13 (eight years ago) link

The banks/financial services haemorrhage a lot more of the public's coffers than the steel industry, just noting the unfortunate link between industrial and defense policy. Don't know if that would hit a Tory's heart as yes Trident might cover it and post-Iraq there is no appetite (or much cash) for ground adventures. xp

xyzzzz__, Friday, 1 April 2016 10:20 (eight years ago) link

didn't realise how isolated the UK/Osborne is in europe re: steel, seems like an interesting case

ogmor, Friday, 1 April 2016 10:21 (eight years ago) link

An entire industry being driven to the point of collapse by a combination of the Chinese government and an Indian conglomerate is pretty indicative of the reality of the UK's place in the world fwiw.

Matt DC, Friday, 1 April 2016 10:23 (eight years ago) link

EU rules on state aid seemed to be pretty flexible during banking crisis.

Good example of the general cluelessness of the EU debate: it's never been about 'us' (Britain) against 'them' (Yerp). As far a defence of manufacturing goes, 'our' government are more 'them' than 'they' are.

"Worried pimp" (Bananaman Begins), Friday, 1 April 2016 10:32 (eight years ago) link

Using outside experts who advised that the intervention would need to be presented by a figure with impeccable European credentials, a strong affinity with the continent and the character to speak out, the family has decided that the move should fronted by Prince Philip.

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 1 April 2016 10:33 (eight years ago) link

i think the url of that guardian article reveals the truth.

mark e, Friday, 1 April 2016 10:37 (eight years ago) link

Really hope so

“He has been hugely impressed by the way the EU stepped in, not just once but several times, to save Greece,” said one official with knowledge of events. “He admires what Tsipras and Varoufakis achieved – in fact he told friends he sees something of his younger self in the charismatic, motorbike-riding, eye-for-the-ladies Varoufakis. Mind you,” added the source, “he also thinks the Greeks would never have got into this mess if the colonels had still been in power.”

xyzzzz__, Friday, 1 April 2016 10:38 (eight years ago) link

I didn't realise the graun could be so hilarious, my sides reached escape velocity etc

calzino, Friday, 1 April 2016 10:42 (eight years ago) link

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/apr/01/chancellor-buy-to-let-landlords-george-osborne

This another April Fool's piece?

xyzzzz__, Friday, 1 April 2016 13:33 (eight years ago) link

London is the least densely occupied big city in Europe

But has some of the densest newspaper columnists.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Friday, 1 April 2016 13:38 (eight years ago) link

you're all enjoying yr april fool's day, simon jenkins is enjoying his april fool's LIFE, etc etc

xp isn't a big part of that due to the amount of green space and gardens?

ogmor, Friday, 1 April 2016 13:43 (eight years ago) link

No, it's just bollocks.

He's comparing the population density of greater London to inner Paris for example.

Just noise and screaming and no musical value at all. (Colonel Poo), Friday, 1 April 2016 13:46 (eight years ago) link

That wasn't the point in me posting the quote, but fair enough.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Friday, 1 April 2016 13:52 (eight years ago) link

Oh I didn't think you posted it because you agreed with it! Simon Jenkins is a twat.

Just noise and screaming and no musical value at all. (Colonel Poo), Friday, 1 April 2016 13:57 (eight years ago) link

No, it's just bollocks.
It's not total bollocks though, is it? I'm sure London is less dense even in inner zones because majority of housing is low-rise.

He skirts round the reason for all the empty bedrooms being all the boomers squatting in their giant empty-nest family homes i notice.

stet, Friday, 1 April 2016 13:58 (eight years ago) link

(xp) I used that quote so I could execute a painful and obvious pun on the word "dense". Obviously the whole article is garbage, not just that quote.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Friday, 1 April 2016 14:00 (eight years ago) link

Well, OK this is from 2007, but if anything London will be even more dense now, and it puts the only European cities denser than London as Athens, Madrid & St Petersburg:

http://www.citymayors.com/statistics/largest-cities-density-125.html

Just noise and screaming and no musical value at all. (Colonel Poo), Friday, 1 April 2016 14:01 (eight years ago) link

He was talking about occupation density though, not population density, obv. it's stuffed to the gunwales populationwise.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Friday, 1 April 2016 14:04 (eight years ago) link

... it is where I live anyway.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Friday, 1 April 2016 14:04 (eight years ago) link

Improving occupation density is the favoured hobby-horse of the nimbyish paternalistic Tory. It isn't entirely without value as an aim but let's not pretend it's about anything other than not wanting any more beastly high-rises blocking his view of St Paul's Cathedral. Well, that and letting Zone 5 residents keep the view of the nice field at the bottom of the garden.

Matt DC, Friday, 1 April 2016 14:21 (eight years ago) link

🗻
There are about a million reasons why it might be useful for the UK to have a steel industry at some point in the future, once it's gone then starting up afresh will be even less economical than running it at a (hopefully temporary) loss. The current steel glut isn't a permanent state of affairs, if Port Talbot really is losing £1m a day then nationalisation is going to cause its own problems later down the line if there isn't a recovery, but it's still better than letting the whole thing go to the wall.

going back a few posts here - isnt the point that UK has agreed to cheap steel influx from an overproducing china in order to get them to bail out edf risk fears over hinkley point fiasco? huge amount of capex investment, which you expect wth nuclear power, high, almost double power cost, which you don't, and a massive decomissioning poison pill. at which "too much invested to fail" altar Port Talbot jobs have been sacrificed.

Fizzles, Friday, 1 April 2016 19:55 (eight years ago) link

There are wider reasons for not wanting to impose punitive anti-dumping tariffs on steel, I think. There is a risk of a much wider trade war with a further devaluation of the Yuan and the imposition of wider tariffs on imports. China has recently imposed tariffs on steel imports but that could be read as a warning shot to countries that have already put tariffs in place. If China wanted to turn the screw (bearing in mind it produces over half the world's steel and has little use for lots of it at the moment) it could make it much harder for the EU to export other things, which would arguably hit the UK and Germany harder than the rest of the EU. Germany has a much larger steel industry to protect though.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 1 April 2016 20:23 (eight years ago) link

peak '80s Tory sort of headline here:

https://www.byline.com/column/51/article/950

A senior Labour MP confirmed that he had seen Whittingdale with a prostitute at the House of Commons, although was unaware if it was Ms. King. When pressed on how he was aware of this, he told Byline that she was giving out business cards to other MP’s.

Fizzles, Friday, 1 April 2016 22:04 (eight years ago) link

INSERT PHOTOS OF HER AS DOMINATRIX

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Friday, 1 April 2016 22:11 (eight years ago) link

ha ha. quite. tube crepe shots not enough

Fizzles, Friday, 1 April 2016 22:25 (eight years ago) link

Sajid Javid has an interesting courting technique:

In January 2015 Sajid Javid, then culture secretary and now business secretary, was invited to choose and introduce a film for members of parliament’s new crossbench film society to watch. Javid’s choice caught the audience by surprise. No Star Wars, no Godfather, no Brief Encounter for him. Instead Javid picked the 1949 movie The Fountainhead, directed by King Vidor and starring Gary Cooper as the defiant architect Howard Roark. Why? The important clue, Javid explained, was the script, which had been adapted by the implacable libertarian Ayn Rand from her novel of the same name.

Javid admitted that The Fountainhead was not his favourite movie, but he said that it was the most important to him. When he first saw it, he said that evening, he thought it was “a film that was articulating what I felt”. So taken with its message was he that Javid even, he remembered, read the movie’s courtroom scene aloud to his future wife, Laura, when they were courting – a scene I find difficult to banish from my view of Javid. And still today, he went on, he made sure to read that same scene to himself twice a year.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 1 April 2016 22:30 (eight years ago) link

holy shit

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 1 April 2016 22:50 (eight years ago) link

well there you go

conrad, Saturday, 2 April 2016 00:31 (eight years ago) link

hah

Never changed username before (cardamon), Saturday, 2 April 2016 08:22 (eight years ago) link

Given that Whittingdale allegedly took her TO THE MTV AWARDS it's not like he was exactly trying too hard to conceal anything.

Matt DC, Saturday, 2 April 2016 08:49 (eight years ago) link

It justified the move by saying imports from abroad were causing substantial damage to its domestic steel industry.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Saturday, 2 April 2016 10:16 (eight years ago) link

http://ichef-1.bbci.co.uk/news/660/cpsprodpb/13672/production/_89047497_de24.jpg
Cameron desperately trying to look all pensive and statesmanly while doing fuck all, in the next frame Xi is mockingly holding up a hand for him to talk to.

calzino, Saturday, 2 April 2016 14:31 (eight years ago) link

first the steel chaos, now schools :

http://www.theguardian.com/education/2016/apr/02/backbench-pressure-on-osborne-academy-scheme

i am loving watching this meltdown.

mark e, Saturday, 2 April 2016 17:43 (eight years ago) link

Private Eye had an interesting theory, that before the last election they agreed with Clegg not to actively campaign 50 seats so filled the candidate lists with duffers. But come the election they got the majority, and now the 50 are campaigning for Brexit, et al.

Mark G, Saturday, 2 April 2016 20:47 (eight years ago) link

Pretty sure that theory is bollocks, the new MPs are just power drunk and Cameron has engineered a situation in which he has no control of them.

Matt DC, Saturday, 2 April 2016 21:19 (eight years ago) link

these factions have existed within the Tory party since forever, and Cameron has never exerted the unquestioned control of the party that, say, Blair had over his

disco Polo (Noodle Vague), Saturday, 2 April 2016 21:37 (eight years ago) link

plus miniscule majority... a fact that rarely got mentioned in the euphoria (barf) of their election victory

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Sunday, 3 April 2016 10:07 (eight years ago) link

‘Any indirect adverse effect on women is a proportionate means of achieving a legitimate aim.’ Said the Department of Health.

http://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/apr/01/female-doctors-new-contract-medical-royal-colleges?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

Mr. Hathaway. (jed_), Monday, 4 April 2016 12:48 (eight years ago) link

Papers going in heavy on Cameron tomorrow. Heavier than I expected, until I figured they see this as their chance to discredit him before referendum.

stet, Thursday, 7 April 2016 21:59 (eight years ago) link

Except, oddly, the Sun. Too soon to turn after their leader yesterday attacking Corbyn for calling for investigation on Cameron?

stet, Thursday, 7 April 2016 22:01 (eight years ago) link

"The controversial offshore fund founded by the Prime Minister’s late father is failing to pay off for its wealthy backers after losing thousands of dollars in value this year due to a string of bad bets. "

he might be better off having a dabble on the Grand National. I love it when corrupt Tory twats are crooked and incompetent.

calzino, Thursday, 7 April 2016 22:10 (eight years ago) link

Well that is the story they are telling anyway.

calzino, Thursday, 7 April 2016 22:28 (eight years ago) link

Moreover, Mr Cameron can probably rely on the Labour Party to fumble its political opportunity. Under Jeremy Corbyn the opposition has honed an ineffectual routine for such occasions. It starts with a quixotic call for a resignation (tick). That is often accompanied by a petition, which is duly signed by people who already dislike Conservatives. Then comes the parliamentary showdown, where Mr Corbyn—a plodding, inflexible orator—misses an open goal and is outshone by a back bench MP, typically one hostile to his leadership. In the meantime the news rolls on and the moment dissipates. Short of drastic new revelations, Mr Cameron can reasonably expect the coming days to confirm to this pattern.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 8 April 2016 03:02 (eight years ago) link

Ouch, wheres that from?

trickle-down ergonomics (jim in glasgow), Friday, 8 April 2016 03:07 (eight years ago) link

Economist which figures, but still...

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 8 April 2016 03:48 (eight years ago) link

The open goal thing is not without truth and it's becoming pretty frustrating. I would genuinely like to know what his rationale is for deciding not to press things like the IDS resignation. Maybe understandable distaste for the whole PMQ as bearpit theatre thing, but then again McDonnell has shown himself to be enjoying that side of things rather a lot.

Matt DC, Friday, 8 April 2016 07:32 (eight years ago) link

The moment doesn't just dissipate though - this is yet another of the drip drip of nasty revelations and endless cock ups on the conservative side which is surely and steadily changing public opinion. Not everything depends on a single parliamentary showdown.

Half-baked profundities. Self-referential smirkiness (Bob Six), Friday, 8 April 2016 07:36 (eight years ago) link

^^^

disco Polo (Noodle Vague), Friday, 8 April 2016 08:00 (eight years ago) link

Under Jeremy Corbyn the opposition has honed an ineffectual routine for such occasions.

Makes a change from the previous routine of agreeing with everything the govt said.

Don't Stop 'Til You Get Eno, Ugh (ledge), Friday, 8 April 2016 08:09 (eight years ago) link

it's a sad world when fuckers are addicted to Question Time soap opera bullshit

disco Polo (Noodle Vague), Friday, 8 April 2016 08:14 (eight years ago) link

sorry no disrespect intended to any of the fuckers on this thread

disco Polo (Noodle Vague), Friday, 8 April 2016 08:14 (eight years ago) link

not sure about this "quixotic call for a resignation " thing either, calling for a Minister's resignation has been part of Westminster lolz since time immemorial hasn't it?

Neil S, Friday, 8 April 2016 08:39 (eight years ago) link

I mean Brown government presided over a massive economic collapse, made a load of completely avoidable unpopular decisions and faced consistent negative headlines over a period of years, and STILL the Tories were only able to cobble together a government with the aid of the LibDems, when conventional wisdom would have suggested a landslide victory. You can't rely on an unpopular government to tank things for themselves, because there's still no guarantee that enough of the electorate will trust the opposition more.

Obviously the Blairites would have fucked this up in a different way, that much goes without saying.

Matt DC, Friday, 8 April 2016 08:41 (eight years ago) link

But given that right now there are two Tory parties, will the Brexit camp knife the other? Might figure better to go into the ref with Gove or Boris in charge. Or perhaps a weakened Cameron will be better for them. Eugh.

stet, Friday, 8 April 2016 09:13 (eight years ago) link

That's certainly more likely, although I doubt there's even time to commit regicide and elect a new leader before the referendum without neglecting the Leave campaign. Not without making the whole thing look ridiculous at least. Better to throw mud at Cameron for two months instead.

Matt DC, Friday, 8 April 2016 09:27 (eight years ago) link

Watched Danton's Death, a play for Today from '78 (Alan Clark directing and Ian Richardson in the title role which was pretty much a pre-House of Cards role as Robespierre) and we were wondering at just these questions. Would a Corbyn who could deliver on the rhethoric that we were watching in the play by these powerful orators (Saint-Just, and then Danton in his own defence too) be able to Bulldoze this government. The Economist certainly wouldn't like it. On the flipside the rhethoric as we saw was a nonsense - it produced a brutal, unneccesary outcome for the Republic.

Corbyn is a quiet incorruptible. I'd say in the current situation - Cameron as a crook - that could even be enough (Cameron is a hopeless bluffer who has pulls out the hoodie hugging stuff now and then to appear likeable to the public - and hated by his party). Labour, as a party, are in no fit state to do anything. Robespierre and Saint-Just were killed 3 months after Danton, and that's what I'd give an unlikely Corbyn administration.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 8 April 2016 11:18 (eight years ago) link

Corbyn unquestionably the best guy to have on point at this moment I'd have thought

a defense for Euro-Blackface (Bananaman Begins), Friday, 8 April 2016 11:30 (eight years ago) link

All this moaning about a pro-EU leaflet and all I've received is a pro-leave leaflet. Who funded that?

Just noise and screaming and no musical value at all. (Colonel Poo), Friday, 8 April 2016 17:04 (eight years ago) link

racists

disco Polo (Noodle Vague), Friday, 8 April 2016 17:05 (eight years ago) link

Useful distraction from all the Panama stuff though, eh? For a day anyway.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Friday, 8 April 2016 17:06 (eight years ago) link

i got two pro-leave ones as well, one of which was very plain and just said "EU Referendum: The Facts" and inside very soberly detailed the main points in favour of leaving

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Saturday, 9 April 2016 10:28 (eight years ago) link

Happening just around the corner from me, outside the Conservatives' spring conference:

https://scontent-lhr3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xta1/v/t1.0-9/12961475_622494017900536_4530802684583480806_n.jpg?oh=92a0242663b15e9f770495dd4b715e63&oe=5788F748

jedi slimane (suzy), Saturday, 9 April 2016 13:29 (eight years ago) link

And for once lol at Jimmy Carr, getting his eventual revenge for being singled out.

Half-baked profundities. Self-referential smirkiness (Bob Six), Saturday, 9 April 2016 14:13 (eight years ago) link

...even though he can't spell 'hypocritical' in the circs.

jedi slimane (suzy), Saturday, 9 April 2016 16:19 (eight years ago) link

Poor Polly:

Polly Toynbee Verified account
‏@pollytoynbee

Strange times:ppl call for Cameron to go-but need him to stay til referendum or they'll choose a Brexiteer PM.I'm backing Cameron??Gd grief!

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 10 April 2016 10:17 (eight years ago) link

it must really go against her natural instincts to vote for a smug right wing public schoolboy

disco Polo (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 10 April 2016 10:22 (eight years ago) link

28 year old women with connections to the conservative party paid 53k per year out of public funds to give fashion advice to Samantha Cameron

Taxpayer 'pays for Samantha Cameron's £53,000-a-year fashion adviser'
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/people/samantha-cameron-special-adviser-fashion-aide-taxpayer-salary-530000-a6974181.html

Rosie Lyburn, a former model and grandaughter of late Conservative politician Lord Elliott, was hired after last year's general election.

where is that neoliberal mouthpiece at the IEA, Mark Littlewood today? he would normally be spouting freemarket dogma and highlighting public sector waste and suggesting the job can be done for the new national living wage of 7.20 (for the over 25s) and should be funded personally by Samantha Cameron.

Where is George Osborne and his difficult decisions on public spending mantra? cutting public sector funds at every budget and his fundamentalist economic believe in the private sector.

djmartian, Sunday, 10 April 2016 15:59 (eight years ago) link

And where is the media coverage of this story?

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Sunday, 10 April 2016 16:02 (eight years ago) link

This has been all over the press and is a nothing story, tbh. She replaced an aide who left and seems to be doing a similar role to the one Carole Caplin did for Cherie Booth. The £53k a year is also potentially misleading - her salary isn't known, all they can tell is that if she was paid more than £53k she would be in pay band 2 rather than pay band 1. Samantha Cameron has a fairly official role vis-a-vis state visits, etc.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 10 April 2016 16:11 (eight years ago) link

The fashion people on my FB are being sooooooo catty about this. Also, SC's sister is the deputy ed of British Vogue.

jedi slimane (suzy), Sunday, 10 April 2016 18:16 (eight years ago) link

Caplin was paid for by Blair though

stet, Sunday, 10 April 2016 20:05 (eight years ago) link

http://www.express.co.uk/scotland/659831/Safety-scare-forces-Edinburgh-schools-to-stay-closed-after-Easter-SNP-Nicola-Sturgeon

At least those asbestos ridden post-war prefab shack type schools are still standing, unlike the PFI financed ones, built in the Blair era.

calzino, Sunday, 10 April 2016 23:09 (eight years ago) link

Interesting they put SNP-Nicola-Sturgeon in the url.

Labour initiative put in place by a Labour council.

Don't opine. Dead inside. (onimo), Sunday, 10 April 2016 23:31 (eight years ago) link

Caplin was paid for by Blair though

I'm not sure this is correct and, even if it is, the wife of the PM has always had a taxpayer-funded personal secretary / assistant. Sarah Brown certainly did.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 11 April 2016 03:11 (eight years ago) link

Jeremy Corbyn has promised to publish his own tax return. But there has been a hold-up - because he does not have a copy.

According to Labour, MPs have to submit their tax returns by paper and Corbyn sent his only copy to HM Revenue and Customs.

picard_facepalm.jpg

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Monday, 11 April 2016 13:01 (eight years ago) link

God, Tristram Hunt is useless.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Sunday, 17 April 2016 10:27 (eight years ago) link

That's the nicest thing anyone's said about him.

Mark G, Sunday, 17 April 2016 10:29 (eight years ago) link

What's he done now?

Matt DC, Sunday, 17 April 2016 10:31 (eight years ago) link

Just been mugged by Andrew Neil. So much for the right of the Labour Party, I don't know who's more of a dimwit out of him, Chuku Umunna and Liz Kendall... what, am I saying, it's Liz Kendall.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Sunday, 17 April 2016 10:32 (eight years ago) link

There are a lot of triumphant Outers on Twitter right now.

Matt DC, Sunday, 17 April 2016 10:44 (eight years ago) link

What a disaster it was when these intellectual giants resigned from the Shadow Cabinet.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Sunday, 17 April 2016 10:51 (eight years ago) link

Some track record this guy's got.

Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Monday, 18 April 2016 11:54 (eight years ago) link

fucking albania, can you imagine????

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CgzAkJ8WsAAzY2s.jpg

sorry, 'albania'

Dodged a bullet like Enver Hoxha in the Banda Mustafaj plot when Chuka bottled his leadership run.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 24 April 2016 11:55 (eight years ago) link

good to see room for pig ignorant chauvinism on both sides of the debate

some men just want to watch the world Bern (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 24 April 2016 12:01 (eight years ago) link

Just been mugged by Andrew Neil. So much for the right of the Labour Party, I don't know who's more of a dimwit out of him, Chuku Umunna and Liz Kendall... what, am I saying, it's Liz Kendall.

― Terry Micawber (Tom D.), Sunday, April 17, 2016 10:32 AM (1 week ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Can I change my mind?

Romeo Daltrey (Tom D.), Sunday, 24 April 2016 12:21 (eight years ago) link

Isn't this the anniversary of some giant Armenian genocide?

jedi slimane (suzy), Sunday, 24 April 2016 14:31 (eight years ago) link

It is and also just a few days after Hitler's birthday, who like Chuka was also a complete twat.

calzino, Sunday, 24 April 2016 15:33 (eight years ago) link

Notorious hotbed of Trotskyism the BMA

some men just want to watch the world Bern (Noodle Vague), Monday, 25 April 2016 13:53 (eight years ago) link

The source told the BBC BMA leaders had radicalised a "generation of junior doctors".

Never changed username before (cardamon), Tuesday, 26 April 2016 00:05 (eight years ago) link

https://www.buzzfeed.com/jimwaterson/labour-hq-deleted-references-to-anti-semitism-from-naz-shahs?utm_term=.na3Kd9XXr

I know I really shouldn't be surprised by cack-handed incompetence from the labour leadership by this point, but ffs

soref, Wednesday, 27 April 2016 15:40 (eight years ago) link

Ken Livingstone's now popped up to let us know that he doesn't think that Shah's comments were anti-semitic, just to cap it off

soref, Wednesday, 27 April 2016 15:43 (eight years ago) link

so apparently they redacted her speech to make it less apologetic and less convincing and then suspended her - pretty dysfunctional party over there huh

Mordy, Wednesday, 27 April 2016 15:47 (eight years ago) link

Corbyn also reportedly praised her apology before she'd even made it. Just terrible management and useless communication throughout, my guess is this is mostly Seamus Milne's fault.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 27 April 2016 15:51 (eight years ago) link

I thought that Peter Wilby's recent profile of Milne in the NS was interesting: http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk/2016/04/thin-controller

soref, Wednesday, 27 April 2016 16:00 (eight years ago) link

can't believe Milne would let anti-Semitism go unchecked

some men just want to watch the world Bern (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 27 April 2016 16:42 (eight years ago) link

She has been suspended from Labour. A lot of these attacks on Corbyn coming from the same lot who gave no 2nd thoughts to anti-semitic attacks on Ed M - nothing to see here.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 27 April 2016 21:03 (eight years ago) link

I got it wrong. The Naz Shah apology leaked to me was a draft under consideration, not "final" as I was told. https://www.buzzfeed.com/jimwaterson/labour-hq-deleted-references-to-anti-semitism-from-naz-shahs?utm_term=.yaLpplox9

https://twitter.com/jimwaterson/status/725415287118503936

stet, Wednesday, 27 April 2016 21:10 (eight years ago) link

smh

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 27 April 2016 21:21 (eight years ago) link

so apparently they redacted her speech to make it less apologetic and less convincing and then suspended her - pretty dysfunctional party over there huh

― Mordy, Wednesday, April 27, 2016 3:47 PM (6 hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

First of all, they didn't. Second of all, what do you care anyway?

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Wednesday, 27 April 2016 22:38 (eight years ago) link

tbf I was responding to the information as it came out and not after damage control. also I'd think my interest in labour & antisemitism would be obvious?

Mordy, Wednesday, 27 April 2016 22:44 (eight years ago) link

The latter certainly, not the former.

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Wednesday, 27 April 2016 22:46 (eight years ago) link

Major left wing Anglo parties and Jews I'd say in my wheelhouse but whatever I don't need to comment here I was just more confused by the seeming incompetence than any kind of moral panic. nb I guess this means I won't be seeing you on US politics threads anymore?

Mordy, Wednesday, 27 April 2016 22:48 (eight years ago) link

You beat me to it! I was about to say you are entitled to your opinion just as I am entitled to blunder into a thread about some goings on in the Democratic Party or whatever and sound off, not that I do very often.

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Wednesday, 27 April 2016 22:51 (eight years ago) link

She has been suspended from Labour. A lot of these attacks on Corbyn coming from the same lot who gave no 2nd thoughts to anti-semitic attacks on Ed M - nothing to see here.

― xyzzzz__, Wednesday, April 27, 2016 2:03 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

The Corbyn baiting press are obviously to be distrusted however elements of the British left, especially "loony left" outfits such as the Stop the War Coalition, which Corbyn is involved with, and the Respect party helmed by Seamus Milne's close friend George Galloway Respect have a real problem with being permissive towards Islamism, and so naturally anti-Semitism, in the ranks. This is not an un-perturbing thing for a prospective party of government to be involved with in even the most casual way.

Is Jack Nicholson really qualify as "Partyman"? (jim in glasgow), Wednesday, 27 April 2016 23:02 (eight years ago) link

We know all that, jim. Also that Seumas Milne is a cunt. I hardly need mention that George Galloway is a cunt.

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Wednesday, 27 April 2016 23:09 (eight years ago) link

Obviously this is unacceptable and must be fought against but what I am saying is this is a feature to be found across the political spectrum. Nobody blinked when going on about Ed Milliband's nose or what have you.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 27 April 2016 23:16 (eight years ago) link

maybe someone here can explain to me tho -- it seems from her apology that she was very remorseful + sincere and she actively called herself out. is there a sense that this was a "youthful" (ok it was just a couple years ago) indiscretion or that she's scrambling to keep her job or what?

Mordy, Wednesday, 27 April 2016 23:20 (eight years ago) link

the commentariat for the most part seem to be taking the apology as sincere and praising her for showing remorse, though in some cases I suspect that this is partially cynical/political, several people drawing unfavourable comparisons between her response and the response of Corbyn + his circle when dealing with allegations of anti-semitism. I read some suggestions that she was reluctant to resign as McDonnell's parliamentary private secretary and essentially had to be forced into doing so, don't know how accurate that is.

soref, Wednesday, 27 April 2016 23:35 (eight years ago) link

She's obviously a cretin, she should never have been selected as a candidate in the first place but the original candidate resigned at short notice and she seems to have been chosen in something of a rush. She did however do us the great service of removing George Galloway from the House of Commons.

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Wednesday, 27 April 2016 23:38 (eight years ago) link

Politics needs women like her. I think not, Suzanne.

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Wednesday, 27 April 2016 23:42 (eight years ago) link

in some cases I suspect that this is partially cynical/political, several people drawing unfavourable comparisons between her response and the response of Corbyn + his circle when dealing with allegations of anti-semitism.

though to be clear I think that her apology does make some of the Corbynites more clumsy attempts to deal with this issue look bad by comparison, especially if you define Corbynites broadly enough to include, say, Ken Livingstone

soref, Wednesday, 27 April 2016 23:45 (eight years ago) link

There's a lot of anti-Semitism in British culture generally, and I'm not including people who dislike the Israeli government or military. I've calmly explained that Jews don't run the media (in the sense that print/broadcast outlets aren't owned by Jewish people in the UK) and told others that it's unacceptable to blame the Rothschild family for the banking crisis, for example. It's beyond ridiculous when people refuse to recognise Israel (I cannot help but hear them in the voice of Eric Cartman). Noticing wealthy Jewish people in positions of influence is a fool's errand, because the people in this country who really do make up the Establishment have been encouraging the public to look at this particular squirrel for as long as I can remember (while actually being in control of every single institution that matters). Those supposedly 'clannish' diaspora communities the public are encouraged to scrutinise in disapproval have nothing on the kind of old-boy networks that produce the David Camerons of this world.

Under Ed Miliband, Labour voted to recognise Palestine and the two-state solution; this is unchanged under Corbyn. During the 2015 election campaign, I noticed some Jewish voters were not impressed by this. Jewish MPs who were not in favour of these things found themselves in the minority, and there's a lot of overlap with the Labour right, including donors and voters who were also disappointed by Miliband's move (and election - most of these people wanted his brother as leader). They didn't openly challenge Ed Miliband, choosing to find other ways of briefing against him, and not fully sticking up for him when he was a victim of dog-whistle anti-Semitism.

Now that Corbyn is leader, the pro-Israel lobby within and around Labour oppose him (and some Jewish Tories are happy to exploit the rift). Most of the offensive posts under discussion were made while Miliband led, so why didn't the party or its critics demand satisfaction at the time? Labour now suspend these people within 24 hours of discovering whatever offensive communication there is, and can't really do it any faster without consulting those accused (which is only fair). At the election, Naz Shah was rightly lauded as someone who'd stood up to Muslim chauvinists, come through a forced marriage and a life of struggle to become an MP. She shouldn't have made those posts. However, the wider response to her is somewhat asymmetrical, when someone like Boris Johnson wasn't suspended by the Tories for calling black people 'pickaninnies' and racially divisive campaigning is so ingrained in the Conservative party that Tories gave a knighthood to the man they pay to do it.

jedi slimane (suzy), Thursday, 28 April 2016 10:14 (eight years ago) link

^ I find this analysis convincing

a defense for Euro-Blackface (Bananaman Begins), Thursday, 28 April 2016 10:34 (eight years ago) link

Oh, and yes a suspension for Ken Livingstone is probably the right thing to do.

jedi slimane (suzy), Thursday, 28 April 2016 10:36 (eight years ago) link

Can't we stick him in a Trappist monastery somewhere?

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Thursday, 28 April 2016 10:37 (eight years ago) link

Mordy tell us more of what you think on this k tx bye:

Ken Livingstone says he has never heard anyone in Labour say anything antisemitic

Ken Livingstone, the Labour former mayor of London, has defended Naz Shah in provocative terms in an interview on BBC Radio London this morning. Here are the key points.

Livingstone said that Naz Shah’s comments were “over the top” but that he had never heard anyone in the Labour party say anything antisemitic in the last 47 years.

She’s a deep critic of Israel and its policies. Her remarks were over the top but she’s not anti-Semitic. I’ve been in the Labour party for 47 years; I’ve never heard anyone say anything anti-Semitic. I’ve heard a lot of criticism of the state of Israel and its abuse of Palestinians but I’ve never heard anyone say anything anti-Semitic.It’s completely over the top but it’s not anti-Semitic.

He said Hitler was originally a supporter of Zionism “before he went mad”.

Let’s remember when Hitler won his election in 1932, his policy then was that Jews should be moved to Israel. He was supporting Zionism – this before he went mad and ended up killing six million Jews.

He said it was important to remember the context of Shah’s remarks. She was speaking “at a time when there was another brutal Israeli attack on the Palestinians”, he said.

He said the Israeli government appeared to be guilty of war crimes, but that it avoided criticism because “double standards” applied.

There’s one stark fact that virtually no one in the British media ever reports, in almost all these conflicts the death toll is usually between 60 and 100 Palestinians killed for every Israeli. Now, any other country doing that would be accused of war crimes but it’s like we have a double standard about the policies of the Israeli government.

He said “the Israel lobby” smeared anyone who criticised Israel as antisemitic.

There’s been a very well-orchestrated campaign by the Israel lobby to smear anybody who criticises Israeli policy as anti-Semitic. I had to put up with 35 years of this.

He claimed that Lord Levy had told him that one of Levy’s friends had compared Jeremy Corbyn to Hitler.

After Jeremy became leader I was having a chat with Michael Levy and he said he was very worried because one of his friends who was Jewish had come to him and said ‘the election of Jeremy Corbyn is exactly the same as the first step to the rise of Adolf Hitler to power’.

He said Corbyn was victim of a smear campaign.

Frankly, there’s been an attempt to smear Jeremy Corbyn and his associates as anti-Semitic from the moment he became leader. The simple fact is we have the right to criticise what is one of the most brutal regimes going in the way it treats the Palestinians.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 28 April 2016 10:49 (eight years ago) link

LOL

According to Channel 4 News’s Michael Crick, the Labour MP John Mann told Ken Livingstone to his face outside a recording studio (it looks like Millbank from the picture) that he was “a fucking disgrace”.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 28 April 2016 10:55 (eight years ago) link

Mordy tell us more of what you think on this k tx bye:

he sounds like a jerk but i don't know what else to expect from the innovator of the livingston formulation:

In February 2005, Ken Livingstone, then the mayor of London, became involved in an apparently trivial late night argument with a reporter after a party at City Hall. Oliver Finegold asked him how the party had been. Livingstone was angry because he felt Finegold was intruding. After a little banter to and fro, in which the reporter said that he was only trying to do his job, Livingstone retorted by asking him whether he had previously been a ‘German war criminal’. Finegold replied that he hadn’t, and that he was Jewish, and that he was offended by the suggestion. Livingstone went on to insist that Finegold was behaving just like a ‘German war criminal’, that his newspaper, The Standard, ‘was a load of scumbags and reactionary bigots’ and that it had a record of supporting Fascism.

Instead of apologizing for his comment in the sober light of day and moving on, Livingstone treated the publication of this exchange as a political opportunity rather than a gaffe. He wrote an article criticizing Ariel Sharon, then the Prime Minister of Israel. In that article he responded to charges of antisemitism which had been made in relation to the Finegold affair with the following words:

‘For far too long the accusation of antisemitism has been used against anyone who is critical of the policies of the Israeli government, as I have been.’ (Livingstone 2006)

This is the Livingstone Formulation. It is a response to a charge of antisemitism. It is a rhetorical device which enables the user to refuse to engage with the charge made. It is a mirror which bounces back an accusation of antisemitism against anybody who makes it. It contains a counter-charge of dishonest Jew- ish (or ‘Zionist’) conspiracy.

The Livingstone Formulation does two things. Firstly, it implicitly denies that there is a distinction between criticism of Israel on the one hand, which is widely accepted as being legitimate, and discourse and action about which, by contrast, there is concern relating to its alleged connection to antisemitism, on the other hand. The Livingstone Formulation conflates everything, both criticism of Israel but also other things which are allegedly not so legitimate, such as repeatedly insulting a Jewish reporter by comparing him to a Nazi, into the category of legitimate criticism of Israel.

Secondly, the Livingstone Formulation does not simply accuse anyone who raises the issue of contemporary antisemitism of being wrong, it also accuses them of bad faith: ‘the accusation of antisemitism has been used against anyone who is critical ...’ [my italics]. Not an honest mistake, but a secret, common plan to try to de-legitimize criticism by means of an instrumental use of a charge of antisemitism. Crying wolf. This is an allegation of malicious intent made against the (unspecified) people who raise concerns about 51 antisemitism. It is not possible to ‘use’ ‘the accusation of antisemitism’ in order to delegitimize criticism of Israel, without dishonest intent.

Mordy, Thursday, 28 April 2016 11:14 (eight years ago) link

John Mann, another one for the monastery.

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Thursday, 28 April 2016 11:16 (eight years ago) link

What a fucking dick he is.

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Thursday, 28 April 2016 11:18 (eight years ago) link

Happy Ed Balls Day

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Thursday, 28 April 2016 11:34 (eight years ago) link

on the one hand, laughing at Ed Balls is good, on the other hand, zombie bacon pirate ninjas hohohohoho

some men just want to watch the world Bern (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 28 April 2016 11:48 (eight years ago) link

Good on a slow news day like this one.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 28 April 2016 11:50 (eight years ago) link

Ken suspended, John Mann's been called in for a bollocking (and I hope he gets done for assault TBH).

jedi slimane (suzy), Thursday, 28 April 2016 12:37 (eight years ago) link

i think that the anti-imperialism left in the west has picked up some inappropriate bedfellows along the way and corbyn has been loose about distinguishing between antisemitism and principled opposition to israel in the past (despite what left-wing guardian commenters say, the 'our friends in hezbollah' incident was not innocuous). i think in the broadest sense this constitutes a "problem" in labour but not an unfixable one -- it seems like corbyn is committed to fixing it (just saw the ken suspension news). generally speaking i trust the UK jewish to accurately identify bigotry + oppression and the v least step should be taking all concerns seriously (which does not necessitate agreeing to them w/out consideration). nb i have a number of english jewish friends (who now live in the US) so i'm not just shouting off w/out any knowledge - i've been following these developments for a while (and been reading david hirsh in engage + steve cohen, et al for longer.

Mordy, Thursday, 28 April 2016 12:45 (eight years ago) link

the UK jewish community* i meant to say

Mordy, Thursday, 28 April 2016 12:45 (eight years ago) link

I have a bunch of left wing friends who I would in no way categorize as anti-Semitic who are incredibly sloppy about filtering the pro-Palestine memes they throw around social media tbh

some men just want to watch the world Bern (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 28 April 2016 12:59 (eight years ago) link

i think in the broadest sense this constitutes a "problem" in labour but not an unfixable one

Very broad, currently being ramped up hysterically and gleefully by all the usual suspects. Watching John Mann and Ken Livingstone arguing about the contents of Mein Kampf, words fail me.

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Thursday, 28 April 2016 13:05 (eight years ago) link

all the usual suspects

I think we know who you mean right *nudge nudge*

DG, Thursday, 28 April 2016 13:10 (eight years ago) link

Is that ironic ironic anti-semitism?

a defense for Euro-Blackface (Bananaman Begins), Thursday, 28 April 2016 13:16 (eight years ago) link

Just a little joke abt how Labour's problem is being unironically denounced as a "zionist" conspiracy

DG, Thursday, 28 April 2016 13:20 (eight years ago) link

http://www.jewishsocialist.org.uk/news/item/statement-on-labours-problem-with-antisemitism-from-the-jewish-socialists-g

The Conservative Party demonstrated their contempt for Lord Dubs, a Jewish refugee from Nazism, when they voted down en masse an amendment a few days ago to allow 3,000 child refugees into Britain while Labour, led by Jeremy Corbyn, gave total support to Lord Dubs and his amendment.

The Jewish Socialists’ Group sees the current fearmongering about antisemitism in the Labour Party for what it is – a conscious and concerted effort by right-wing political forces to undermine the growing support among Jews and non-Jews alike for the Labour Party leadership of Jeremy Corbyn, and a measure of the desperation of his opponents.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 28 April 2016 13:22 (eight years ago) link

Just a little joke abt how Labour's problem is being unironically denounced as a "zionist" conspiracy

Who's doing that?

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Thursday, 28 April 2016 13:22 (eight years ago) link

Liz Buckley ‏@liz_buckley 6m6 minutes ago

Liz Buckley Retweeted Janine Gibson

For anyone else who misses The Thick Of It

Liz Buckley added,
Janine Gibson @janinegibson
Just a reminder that so far as we know, Ken Livingstone is STILL locked in a disabled toilet while journalists shout questions about Hitler

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 28 April 2016 13:23 (eight years ago) link

Who's doing that?

At least two people in this thread

DG, Thursday, 28 April 2016 13:25 (eight years ago) link

Pretty sure that thinking there are plenty of journalists and labour party figures determined to undermine Jeremy Corbyn by any means that present themselves, doesn't mean u believe in rothschild lizards tho

a defense for Euro-Blackface (Bananaman Begins), Thursday, 28 April 2016 13:25 (eight years ago) link

Who are they? (xp)

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Thursday, 28 April 2016 13:25 (eight years ago) link

guys, guys u know that arabs are semites 2, rite?

a defense for Euro-Blackface (Bananaman Begins), Thursday, 28 April 2016 13:37 (eight years ago) link

Are you one of The Anti-Zionist Two? *sinister music*

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Thursday, 28 April 2016 13:39 (eight years ago) link

Anyway, DG's little jokes are always welcome, he doesn't post very often, bless him... or her.

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Thursday, 28 April 2016 13:41 (eight years ago) link

i don't entirely agree with everything i've seen david hirsh say but i think he's done a v good job of helping instill a general sense of how antisemitism actually works, in a way that isn't really recognised with other kinds of prejudice, and it's interesting to see how it plays out in cases like this one - that the 'livingstone formulation' is something that perfectly well applies to islamophobes who don't dislike individual muslims or homophobes who don't dislike individual lgbt people, but in the latter cases it can be widely overlooked because people aren't as accepting of those as structural rather than individual prejudices in the way that they've come to be re antisemitism.

Fuck Ken Livingstone btw

a defense for Euro-Blackface (Bananaman Begins), Thursday, 28 April 2016 13:43 (eight years ago) link

"Hitler was ok, built all them motorways, got rid of unemployment... before he went MAAAD and started kiling jews"
fuck off

(had a teacher at school I remember saying pretty much the same one time, when I was slightly too young to know how o_O it was)

a defense for Euro-Blackface (Bananaman Begins), Thursday, 28 April 2016 13:46 (eight years ago) link

He's been at this for years though, shame it's taken so long for people not to hand-wave it away

DG, Thursday, 28 April 2016 13:47 (eight years ago) link

He should never have been allowed to run for Mayor in 2008. He should have been told to go back to his allotment and write his memoirs.

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Thursday, 28 April 2016 13:51 (eight years ago) link

Deja vu or what...

I'm sorry Dave, but the timing of this statement is further proof that Livingstone is either a fucking cretin or an arrogant little shit who thinks he can do and say anything and we'll all keep schtum because he's on the "Left" and he's one of us really, bollix to that. This time he can't even use the excuse that he was pissed as one of his newts!

― Some Dadaismus Implied (Dada), Friday, March 4, 2005 1:46 PM (11 years ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Thursday, 28 April 2016 13:57 (eight years ago) link

I heard Volker Ullrich had uncovered some untapped archives for his Hitler book, maybe he found them on Ken's allotment :p

calzino, Thursday, 28 April 2016 14:40 (eight years ago) link

I dont really have an opinion on judaism and israel in modern politics but jeez i do have the opinion "hitler wasnt always a bad guy" is not a good fucking stance to take here. I guess noone else has had opinions on the matter since younger fictionalised softy hitler v actual hitler

the internet's most cossetted petulant manbaby (a hoy hoy), Thursday, 28 April 2016 14:59 (eight years ago) link

Hitler was fine when he only commanded the fanatical loyalty of thousands of paramilitary boot boys who would routinely commit anti-semitic hate crimes. Who could guess he would turn out to be a bad guy when given command of the carcereal and police resources of the state.

a defense for Euro-Blackface (Bananaman Begins), Thursday, 28 April 2016 15:39 (eight years ago) link

I hesitate to bring this up, in case I'm accused of being an anti-Zionist, but wasn't it last year that Netanyahu was claiming Hitler didn't want to kill the Jews either until the Mufti of Jerusalem popped the idea into his innocent little head?

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Thursday, 28 April 2016 15:47 (eight years ago) link

My guess is that Corbyn's team have been desperate for a reason to off Ken for some time.

Matt DC, Thursday, 28 April 2016 16:48 (eight years ago) link

Also righteous long Suzy post upthread.

Matt DC, Thursday, 28 April 2016 16:48 (eight years ago) link

My guess is that Corbyn's team have been desperate for a reason to off Ken for some time.

the independent published an article a couple of weeks ago claiming that Corbyn's people had been calling up bbc current affairs shows begging them not to book Livingstone as a guest due to his ability to cause a row every time he opens his mouth

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/jeremy-corbyns-office-blocks-ken-livngstone-from-appearing-on-tv-a6978156.html

soref, Thursday, 28 April 2016 16:58 (eight years ago) link

Corbyn basically bought Ken back into active roles tho'. Almost his worst move.

The whole thing is just so...from the roll-call of the usual right-wing Labour (really I'm so tired of these pricks) tweeting for Ken to go leading to the idiotic row with John Mann. Panto.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 28 April 2016 17:43 (eight years ago) link

It's all a pretty good way of engaging with the junior doctor's strike, so fair fucks.

Mr. Hathaway. (jed_), Friday, 29 April 2016 00:47 (eight years ago) link

Of not engaging with *

Mr. Hathaway. (jed_), Friday, 29 April 2016 00:47 (eight years ago) link

You know a couple of years ago I would probably have defended Shah and Livingstone without thinking about it which is some small progress I suppose.

I don't understand why Labour don't distinguish between the Israeli left and the Israeli right.

Thanks to Mordy I can now see why people hotmouthing about 'Zionism' or 'Israel' is more of a problem than it might appear (to gentiles). Zionism being an ideology thought up by people at risk of being wiped out, it isn't the same as, say, what the Dutch thought about South Africa even if it shares some emotive threads, but people seem to have ended up talking about 'Zionism' in the same way you might talk about 'racism', as an unacceptable aberration.

Likewise blaming 'Zionism' for crimes by the IDF against Palestinians seems like a lazy move - as in, what actually motivates these conflicts, what's going through the heads of politicians and soldiers on the ground might not be Zionism as such?

And overall talking about 'Israel' doing (something bad) blanks out all the many Israelis who are opposed to that (something), presents 'Israel' as a homogenous block of people who all believe fervently that civilian tower blocks are legitimate targets etc etc. Hence why I say I wonder why UK Labour rhetoric on the issue doesn't distinguish between the Israeli Likud and Labour parties.

when someone like Boris Johnson wasn't suspended by the Tories for calling black people 'pickaninnies'

And things like this - the fact that at least half the people joining in the attempt to bring down Corbyn as an anti-semite are not Jewish and do not care about anti-semitism - feed into the Livingstone Formula very nicely

Never changed username before (cardamon), Friday, 29 April 2016 01:18 (eight years ago) link

That's the same as every state though - every time that we say "India seeks Briton's extradition in AgustaWestland bribe case", it's understood that there'll be people in India who oppose this, and people in India who don't care.

But the representative government of the state is acting as the state - that's literally their job.

Andrew Farrell, Friday, 29 April 2016 07:18 (eight years ago) link

So much around historical debates about the transportation of a people. That this happened in the week the Tories barred children refugees from entering the country is just..

xyzzzz__, Friday, 29 April 2016 07:50 (eight years ago) link

Perhaps many people have a natural expectation of labour taking racism more seriously than the tories, hence it's unsurprising that Boris has got away with his remark.

SurfaceKrystal, Friday, 29 April 2016 23:33 (eight years ago) link

I think that my wanting my daughter to move out is significantly different from her desire to have her own place. Certainly this stuff annoyed me back in the day - you couldn't campaign about a library closure without anti-Israel flags, and you couldn't get agreement on removing that stuff. And it wasn't from anti-war Muslims; it was just hard-left white scots like myself. I was even asked to leave a group for being 'pro-Israel' because I took a more nuanced view. The aggravating thing is that it is both a serious problem on the left (along with a developing islamophobia) and it's being seized by the right for political ends. It's still nothing like the anti-semitism of the right, though I'll leave it to Jewish people to say whether it's a difference of magnitude or type.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Saturday, 30 April 2016 11:48 (eight years ago) link

https://mobile.twitter.com/alicharlo/status/726677447714955264

"On Thursday, are we really going to hand the world's greatest city to a Labour Party that thinks terrorists is its friends", Zac Goldsmith asks ungrammatically in the Mail, complete with pictures of the 7/7 attacks. If he loses, I hope he's done permanently in politics after this. I expected the campaign to be disgraceful but he has sunk even lower than anticipated.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 1 May 2016 08:26 (eight years ago) link

looooool

tories are such scum. surely londoners won't swallow this crap.

japanese mage (LocalGarda), Sunday, 1 May 2016 11:38 (eight years ago) link

London = Greatest City on Earth. Londoners = Greatest Earthlings.

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Sunday, 1 May 2016 11:42 (eight years ago) link

Terrified he will win. Fuck you Ken Livingstone (who I used to respect and admire) for shitting the bed so badly that this is even a race now.

just her neck. thankig u in advance (stevie), Sunday, 1 May 2016 11:43 (eight years ago) link

Yes, good work Ken, you cunt.

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Sunday, 1 May 2016 11:47 (eight years ago) link

If Khan loses and the expected wipeout takes place in Scotland then I think that'll be it for Corbyn. I don't believe he's remotely antisemitic but he has certainly created an environment where people like Ken feel they can shoot their mouths off with impunity. And if Khan loses it WILL be Ken's fault.

Matt DC, Sunday, 1 May 2016 12:14 (eight years ago) link

The possibility of voters just taking one look at the whole toxic mess and deciding just to not bother voting is reasonably high.

The ageing stoner dude looks nice enough.

Matt DC, Sunday, 1 May 2016 12:16 (eight years ago) link

Do you think Livingstone would be any more disciplined at this stage of his career under any other leader?

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 1 May 2016 12:20 (eight years ago) link

those odds say no fucking way he loses

some men just want to watch the world Bern (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 1 May 2016 12:25 (eight years ago) link

Did Diane Abbott ever apologize or backpedal for saying Mao did more good than harm?

I'd like to think that stuff that Boris and other Tories said will be dredged back up and have more weight. I could see this sort of stuff becoming more of an arms race than it previously was.

Robert Adam Gilmour, Sunday, 1 May 2016 12:31 (eight years ago) link

Do you think Livingstone would be any more disciplined at this stage of his career under any other leader?

Of course not, but then he could just be dismissed by the leadership as a rent-a-gob media buffoon a la Galloway semi-detached semi-retired ex-MP with no power or influence in the Party, Corbyn gave him the opportunity to (once again) caper about in front of the nearest camera.

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Sunday, 1 May 2016 12:40 (eight years ago) link

... capering about as an 'insider' with the ear of the leadership that is and not a washed up hasbeen.

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Sunday, 1 May 2016 12:42 (eight years ago) link

I'd like to think that stuff that Boris and other Tories said will be dredged back up and have more weight. I could see this sort of stuff becoming more of an arms race than it previously was.

Tories don't care and perhaps tacitly approve of their candidates being racist assholes.

just her neck. thankig u in advance (stevie), Sunday, 1 May 2016 12:43 (eight years ago) link

Anyway, the Labour Party (and any other party) would lose any such arms race against the Tories.

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Sunday, 1 May 2016 12:45 (eight years ago) link

Goldsmith's campaign is dog-whistly to the point of explicit racism, it is how they roll.

just her neck. thankig u in advance (stevie), Sunday, 1 May 2016 12:47 (eight years ago) link

Yeah it's the unconcealed 'well MY guys are in charge again and I'll say what I want' puffery that has led to this. Although obviously there are political reasons why people might choose to make the most out of his comments now.

He had actual responsibility under Blair and Brown and certainly seemed quieter, Evening Standard drunken meltdown nothwithstanding, certainly not this mad raving old uncle shouting at the TV figure.

Matt DC, Sunday, 1 May 2016 12:49 (eight years ago) link

If you go back to the first Boris campaign it was largely positive and optimistic, even if it was horseshit really it seems pretty obvious to me why 'NEW ROUTEMASTERS YAY!' might work better as a pitch to London voters than 'HE WILL BLOW YOU UP'.

Changing demographics have also meant that the outer boroughs, largely solid blue last time, have more lower-income residents this time around, which could well swing it, and the inner boroughs are stuffed with affluent middle-management liberals who would be rightly disgusted by the Goldsmith campaign.

Matt DC, Sunday, 1 May 2016 12:56 (eight years ago) link

This is amazing on so many levels and needs to be set down here for the record. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lolMtJfhUbc

Mr. Hathaway. (jed_), Thursday, 5 May 2016 16:00 (eight years ago) link

wow.

mark e, Thursday, 5 May 2016 16:25 (eight years ago) link

Astonished, ASTONISHED by the polling day cock-up in Barnet, the Tory council which outsourced its services and based its business model upon Ryanair.

Elvis Santana (stevie), Thursday, 5 May 2016 16:26 (eight years ago) link

Outsourcing electoral services! Wonder if there will still be a Tory council in place there, this time tomorrow.

jedi slimane (suzy), Thursday, 5 May 2016 16:45 (eight years ago) link

Rampant anti-Semitism in the Labour Party will take precedence in the minds of the voters of Barnet no doubt.

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Thursday, 5 May 2016 17:14 (eight years ago) link

The joke legislation Psychoactive Substances Act 2016 to come into force on 26th May. Still don't really understand how poppers managed to get an exemption for apparently 'not acting on the brain'.

Half-baked profundities. Self-referential smirkiness (Bob Six), Thursday, 5 May 2016 18:49 (eight years ago) link

I'm glad that one guy who makes all the world's poppers got a reprieve

tay.ai fan (seandalai), Thursday, 5 May 2016 19:04 (eight years ago) link

bloody hell, how many crosses did i just have to draw ..
2 on one card, 3 on another.
i nearly shouted out 'cat ran round it' afterwards.
given i have never heard of any of them i had to go tribal (postcode/party affiliation).

mark e, Thursday, 5 May 2016 19:15 (eight years ago) link

reports of low turnout giving me a squeaky bum moment atm

Elvis Santana (stevie), Thursday, 5 May 2016 19:15 (eight years ago) link

being honest, i was tempted to not bother,
but i decided that i needed to show an example to mk2, so i killed his ps3 groove and dragged him along.
kids gotta learn.

mark e, Thursday, 5 May 2016 19:19 (eight years ago) link

You'd have fun with an Irish election ballot then
http://www.irishtimes.com/polopoly_fs/1.2346967.1441884614!/image/image.jpg

tay.ai fan (seandalai), Thursday, 5 May 2016 19:38 (eight years ago) link

ok, that's actually ridiculous.
like anyone give a top 10 rundown on a bunch of political hopeful unknowns.

mark e, Thursday, 5 May 2016 20:03 (eight years ago) link

Voted Sexton.

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Thursday, 5 May 2016 20:03 (eight years ago) link

I think you misspelt 'glorious', mark.

Andrew Farrell, Thursday, 5 May 2016 21:01 (eight years ago) link

Haha and fair fucks to whoever filled in that ballot, that's the ex-webmaster from my old (Dermot Desmond-ran) company for the Socialist Party at #1.

Andrew Farrell, Thursday, 5 May 2016 21:03 (eight years ago) link

I think you misspelt 'glorious', mark.

fair play, i scrunched my eyebrows, and then i laughed.

mark e, Thursday, 5 May 2016 21:31 (eight years ago) link

https://londonelects.org.uk/im-voter/election-results/live-count-progress-2016?contest=23

In previous elections, the leader after 20% or so have been counted has been the eventual winner. Based on that, I'm calling in for Khan. And I for one welcome our new bus driver's son slightly resembling a tortoise that's lost its shell overlord.

a defense for Euro-Blackface (Bananaman Begins), Friday, 6 May 2016 09:35 (eight years ago) link

LibDems in fourth place!

Matt DC, Friday, 6 May 2016 09:36 (eight years ago) link

Khan would surely be ahead on second-preference votes as well?

Matt DC, Friday, 6 May 2016 09:37 (eight years ago) link

You'd think. This one's done.

a defense for Euro-Blackface (Bananaman Begins), Friday, 6 May 2016 09:39 (eight years ago) link

Looks like the counters in Bexley and Bromley really want to knock off early for Friday afternoon pints.

Tim, Friday, 6 May 2016 09:42 (eight years ago) link

Gap likely to get bigger as the other constituencies catch up. Wonder if Khan can do it on first prefs?

a defense for Euro-Blackface (Bananaman Begins), Friday, 6 May 2016 09:45 (eight years ago) link

In a move to make you guys feel old, Amber voted for the first time yesterday.

Mark G, Friday, 6 May 2016 09:49 (eight years ago) link

Jesus! Congrats Amber!

Elvis Santana (stevie), Friday, 6 May 2016 09:52 (eight years ago) link

lol @ Havering and Redbridge, where Labour's Ivana Bortoletti is leading the Assembly vote, but Goldsmith is leading for Mayor. Stay classy, Essex borders.

a defense for Euro-Blackface (Bananaman Begins), Friday, 6 May 2016 10:07 (eight years ago) link

Wait, Amber is a small child. That can't be right.

xposts

ailsa, Friday, 6 May 2016 10:11 (eight years ago) link

In a move to make you guys feel old, Amber voted for the first time yesterday.

0_o

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Friday, 6 May 2016 10:14 (eight years ago) link

Tories gained 16 seats in Scotland? The fuck's going on.

Just noise and screaming and no musical value at all. (Colonel Poo), Friday, 6 May 2016 10:14 (eight years ago) link

now the tories can be tartan tories too along with snp and labour

conrad, Friday, 6 May 2016 10:16 (eight years ago) link

Unionists being honest for a change?

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Friday, 6 May 2016 10:18 (eight years ago) link

Also Ruth Davidson.

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Friday, 6 May 2016 10:18 (eight years ago) link

lots of "she's a genuinely nice person" stuff about Davidson, and while I think some effective opposition to the SNP is long overdue, a good person she is not.

ghosts that don't exist (Neil S), Friday, 6 May 2016 10:20 (eight years ago) link

Quite possibly starting with the fact that Ruth Davidson is more credible than Kezia Dugdale (tbf, that's quite a low bar) - ha xpost. They're making an argument on BBC right now that it's because she's disassociated the Scottish Conservatives from the national party and concentrated just on what they can do for Scotland.

Also the list vote is a load of old arse. The #bothvotesSNP thing has spectacularly backfired (I gave my second vote to the Greens, but I suspect a lot of people went SNP both.

http://www.heraldscotland.com/opinion/14471421.Iain_Macwhirter__How_to_handle_the_weird_science_of_Holyrood_list_vote/

Under the d'Hondt method, the number of votes a party wins on the regional list is divided by the number of constituency seats they have won plus one. This sounds like weird science, but it’s actually fairly simple. In Glasgow there are nine constituency seats and seven list seats up for grabs. Say the SNP win all nine constituency seats in Glasgow and also get 100,000 list votes. Their list votes will be divided, in the first round, by their nine seats plus one, meaning that they effectively have only 10,000 votes in the list. That may not be enough to win any list seats.

If Labour win no constituency seats in Glasgow, but get 80,000 votes on the list, they would end up possibly having all 7 of the list seats. Though, obviously, other parties like the Tories or Greens, might also win seats here. There are seven rounds of calculations on the list votes. It's estimated that if a party gets around six per cent of the list votes in any region it will get a seat. On recent polls, the independence-supporting Scottish Green Party could get around eight list seats across Scotland

ailsa, Friday, 6 May 2016 10:21 (eight years ago) link

As I understand it, the SNP got about 110,000 list votes in Glasgow, which wasn't enough to get them a single list seat due to taking all the constituency seats

(note, I read that earlier on Twitter, will see if I can back that up at all)

ailsa, Friday, 6 May 2016 10:23 (eight years ago) link

lots of "she's a genuinely nice person" stuff about Davidson, and while I think some effective opposition to the SNP is long overdue, a good person she is not.

Not about whether she's nice or not so much as impressive in a Sturgeonesque manner, if you like. Scotland's politics now seems so divorced from England's it's almost on its way to some sort of Ulster situation.

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Friday, 6 May 2016 10:28 (eight years ago) link

Go down the bottom here and click on regions:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2016/scotland/results

SNP had 41.7% of the regional vote and got 4 list MSPs. Tories had 22.9% and got 24.

A bit more awareness of how it works wouldn't have gone amiss.

ailsa, Friday, 6 May 2016 10:28 (eight years ago) link

xp yeah that's a good way of putting it.

ghosts that don't exist (Neil S), Friday, 6 May 2016 10:29 (eight years ago) link

lol @ Havering and Redbridge, where Labour's Ivana Bortoletti is leading the Assembly vote, but Goldsmith is leading for Mayor. Stay classy, Essex borders.

No idea why I feel like reading this charitably but this gap could be explained (in large part) by UKIP voters tactically voting Goldsmith because they know the UKIPdude has no chance?

Tim, Friday, 6 May 2016 10:43 (eight years ago) link

yeah, I noticed that, just fancied a cheap shot.

a defense for Euro-Blackface (Bananaman Begins), Friday, 6 May 2016 10:45 (eight years ago) link

:) Fair enough.

Tim, Friday, 6 May 2016 10:45 (eight years ago) link

Has the Corbyn team put any particular effort into Scotland over the past few months or have they just let Dugdale and co get on with it in the hope that some vague socialist cred might win people back? I can't recall seeing Corbyn talk about Scotland at all.

Matt DC, Friday, 6 May 2016 10:54 (eight years ago) link

I basically think a lot of people didn't realise that the regional list is basically a top-up system. It's not a bad system if you get how it works. Like, I knew the SNP were going to take Renfrewshire, so we weren't going to get to top up our regional MSP allocation with even more ScotNats, so I went for who I'd like to see in Holyrood alongside them. The SNP failing to explain this and going "vote us for everything and let us take over the whole country" (which people thought could happen) handed the Tories a lifeline.

The Tories got a decent percentage of the votes across the country (why that happened is a separate issue) and got a fair representation in Holyrood as a result. That's pretty democratic. But if people had used their regional vote to dilute the pool rather than going "SNP good, everyone else bad", then perhaps the Tories wouldn't be the second largest party in Scotland right now.

ailsa, Friday, 6 May 2016 11:02 (eight years ago) link

xpost - I don't think that hope realistically existed - from a brutally pragmatic point of view a lot of the MSPs were dead men walking and setting Scottish Labour to rights is going to be a lot easier without them.

Andrew Farrell, Friday, 6 May 2016 11:39 (eight years ago) link

Nothing Corbyn could've done in Scotland.

So in places like Southampton it looks like Corbyn isn't excatly unelectable. If Khan is confirmed as London mayor I expect Corbyn remain leader by 2020 election.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 6 May 2016 12:26 (eight years ago) link

Back to the future. It's taken them a long time but the Scottish Tories seem to have managed to put some distance between themselves and the 'national' party, in a way that Scottish Labour has been unable, and possibly unwilling, to do.

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Friday, 6 May 2016 13:22 (eight years ago) link

The Tories haven't really moved their Scottish vote an inch: share is at 22%, which is where it has hovered since 1997. It really is a matter of Labour undertaking them, afaict

stet, Friday, 6 May 2016 13:41 (eight years ago) link

They have been under-represented in the past and now they seem to be over-represented - a bit like the Doors being overrated in the past and being underrated now... or vice versa.

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Friday, 6 May 2016 14:11 (eight years ago) link

No idea why I feel like reading this charitably but this gap could be explained (in large part) by UKIP voters tactically voting Goldsmith because they know the UKIPdude has no chance?

Goldsmith and Labour assembly candidate both ahead in my constituency, Camden and Barnet, too.

Alba, Friday, 6 May 2016 14:27 (eight years ago) link

But this is all first-place votes. May be quite a lot people (like me) who put a small party candidate first for mayor and Khan second. Doubt that happens as much for Goldsmith.

Alba, Friday, 6 May 2016 14:29 (eight years ago) link

Dunno could be a few UKIP voters doing that?

Just noise and screaming and no musical value at all. (Colonel Poo), Friday, 6 May 2016 14:31 (eight years ago) link

OK, but I doubt there are many in Camden.

Alba, Friday, 6 May 2016 14:49 (eight years ago) link

Bastards are everywhere these days

Just noise and screaming and no musical value at all. (Colonel Poo), Friday, 6 May 2016 14:51 (eight years ago) link

Just going by this, really: https://londonelects.org.uk/im-voter/election-results/live-count-progress-2016?contest=25

Alba, Friday, 6 May 2016 15:02 (eight years ago) link

Thanks for link. Good to see my previous home borough appears to have voted Labour in massive numbers, Chingford wankers notwithstanding.

The only election I could've voted in yesterday was for a police commissioner and as it was I was out of town for the entire time the voting office was open, so I have to live vicariously through the London elections instead.

Just noise and screaming and no musical value at all. (Colonel Poo), Friday, 6 May 2016 15:23 (eight years ago) link

Lol at the Evening Standard dedicating their entire front page to Boaty McBoatface rather than acknowledging the whipping their boy is getting.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 6 May 2016 15:36 (eight years ago) link

So far, Lib Dems down in 4th place but, better still, Galloway in 6th, behind the Women's Equality Party candidate.

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Friday, 6 May 2016 15:39 (eight years ago) link

Looks like it is going to be close between the BNP and the Polish fantasist with a made up title.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 6 May 2016 15:42 (eight years ago) link

London Elects
Your London. Your vote.
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The website encountered an unexpected error. Please try again later.

koogs, Friday, 6 May 2016 15:43 (eight years ago) link

Honestly at the start of the campaign I thought Goldsmith would win this pretty easily, which says a lot about how awful his campaign has been on almost every level.

Matt DC, Friday, 6 May 2016 16:34 (eight years ago) link

I have a possibly city-vain idea that Lynton Crosby-style Fear, Divide and Conquer strategies don't really work in places as connected and interwoven as London.

stet, Friday, 6 May 2016 16:37 (eight years ago) link

Maybe Goldsmith's campaign was basically sacrificed a while back, and the racist fear-mongering was aimed at propping up tory vote elsewhere in the country.

a defense for Euro-Blackface (Bananaman Begins), Friday, 6 May 2016 16:40 (eight years ago) link

Honestly at the start of the campaign I thought Goldsmith would win this pretty easily, which says a lot about how awful his campaign has been on almost every level.

Yeah, I thought the next mayor would be Labour until Goldsmith entered the race, at which point I thought "Shit, he'll play well with a lot of people". But no, car crash.

Alba, Friday, 6 May 2016 16:43 (eight years ago) link

last time labour was in power in London under a tory government at westminster, the latter abolished the GLC. Maybe some of the more paranoiac rhetoric has been about preparing the ground for another Reichsexekution. What happened to Lutfur Rahman was possibly a dry run.

a defense for Euro-Blackface (Bananaman Begins), Friday, 6 May 2016 16:45 (eight years ago) link

Think the Tories panicked when they realized he was just an impeccably ruffled but stylish, impossibly good looking plank of wood.

(Henry) Green container bin with face (Tom D.), Friday, 6 May 2016 16:46 (eight years ago) link

Goldsmith is just terrible at the basic things you expect politicians to be able to do, like talk to crowds and think on their feet. I am reading The Decline And Fall of the British Aristocracy at the moment and the parallels between him and late era young patricians who felt they needed to enter politics but found it boring and mystifying and couldn't engage with any of the electorate are glaring.

In the end, racism was all he had to fall back on but, even then, he looked like a patsy fronting a campaign he didn't fully believe in.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 6 May 2016 16:53 (eight years ago) link

Honestly at the start of the campaign I thought Goldsmith would win this pretty easily, which says a lot about how awful his campaign has been on almost every level.

and khan has really not needed to do anything at all!

cher guevara (lex pretend), Friday, 6 May 2016 16:55 (eight years ago) link

last time labour was in power in London under a tory government at westminster, the latter abolished the GLC.

There's a common thread running through all of this and he did his best to derail the Khan campaign this time around. I just can't imagine Khan running London is such a boneheaded, obviously self-destructive way as Livingstone did.

It'll be weird having a mayor who isn't a self-promoting arsehole, actually.

Matt DC, Friday, 6 May 2016 17:30 (eight years ago) link

Ooft http://twitter.com/Jemima_Khan/status/728650886050922496

stet, Friday, 6 May 2016 19:30 (eight years ago) link

Who is she? Why has she named herself Goldsmith and Khan?

Robert Adam Gilmour, Friday, 6 May 2016 19:39 (eight years ago) link

she's Zac's sister and ex wife of Imran.

pastoral fantasy (jed_), Friday, 6 May 2016 19:41 (eight years ago) link

As the result became clear, Conservatives turned on Goldsmith’s campaign. Former Conservative party chairman, Lady Warsi described it as an “appalling dog whistle campaign” and said it “lost us the election, our reputation and credibility on issues of race and religion”.

Roger Evans, the outgoing deputy mayor, said Goldsmith’s “very foolish” campaign left a “negative legacy which we in London are going to have to clear up long after the people who ran Zac Goldsmith’s campaign have gone on their way”.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 6 May 2016 19:50 (eight years ago) link

It would have been a bit more meaningful to criticise him at the time rather than post-getting his sorry arse whupped.

calzino, Friday, 6 May 2016 20:41 (eight years ago) link

In fairness, Warsi has been vocally critical for quite some time.

This is, above all else, a genuinely significant historical moment.Has any European capital had a Muslim mayor before?

Matt DC, Friday, 6 May 2016 23:49 (eight years ago) link

sarajevo

nakhchivan, Friday, 6 May 2016 23:54 (eight years ago) link

Constantinople

Pope Is Dad is cucking Frapp tho (Noodle Vague), Friday, 6 May 2016 23:54 (eight years ago) link

the prefectural capital bradfordabad, wilayat bradfordistan, people's republic of south yorkshire

nakhchivan, Friday, 6 May 2016 23:58 (eight years ago) link

Letterkenny

Pope Is Dad is cucking Frapp tho (Noodle Vague), Saturday, 7 May 2016 00:04 (eight years ago) link

Muslim mayors of Europe is my new band

the unbearable jimmy smits (jim in glasgow), Saturday, 7 May 2016 00:09 (eight years ago) link

(west yorkhire) xps

nakhchivan, Saturday, 7 May 2016 00:13 (eight years ago) link

Shpend A. Ahmeti (born 18 April 1978) is a prominent politician of Kosovo. He was leader of the New Spirit Party, which has since been merged into Vetëvendosje!, of which he is vice chairman. He is currently the Mayor-elect of Pristina. Ahmeti ended 15 years of LDK tenure in the capital of Kosovo. Ahmeti lectured public policy at the American University in Kosovo until he became mayor.[2][3][4]

In the first round of elections on 3 November 2013, Ahmeti was some 8,000 votes behind Isa Mustafa, but in the second round on 1 December 2013 he won by some 2,500 votes. Mustafa accused Ahmeti of fraud.[5][6][7][8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16]

nakhchivan, Saturday, 7 May 2016 00:17 (eight years ago) link

can we get confirmation that Dick Whittington was radicalised whilst trading in Yemen?

Pope Is Dad is cucking Frapp tho (Noodle Vague), Saturday, 7 May 2016 00:24 (eight years ago) link

He was turned around, yes.

Mark G, Saturday, 7 May 2016 08:41 (eight years ago) link

And so it begins https://twitter.com/KTHopkins/status/728974667852201984

SurfaceKrystal, Saturday, 7 May 2016 20:04 (eight years ago) link

stoked for the chilcot madness on july 6

i do not sense the entity ted (bizarro gazzara), Monday, 9 May 2016 20:47 (eight years ago) link

wonder if this will keep the blairites quiet for the summer or not

the unbearable jimmy smits (jim in glasgow), Monday, 9 May 2016 20:50 (eight years ago) link

It's Norman Finkelstein. Enough said?

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Tuesday, 10 May 2016 07:55 (eight years ago) link

Linked that on the anti-semitism thread - mostly otm.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 10 May 2016 08:06 (eight years ago) link

Because I have nothing better to do I looked at the Euro 2016 fixture list and it appears that England will have two opportunities to get themselves knocked out of the tournament before the Brexit referendum. If they win their group they could exit the tournament the day before the referendum itself.

Considering that, Glastonbury, and the fact that hundreds of thousands of students could be between constituencies at the time, it feels like the very worst date to have chosen if you were hoping to secure an In vote.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 10 May 2016 08:15 (eight years ago) link

England getting knocked out means people are more likely to vote Brexit, I suppose? Friend of mine prefers the more accurate Ukexit btw.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Tuesday, 10 May 2016 08:18 (eight years ago) link

I suspect most people will have made up their mind by then, but England getting knocked out in controversial circumstances would be a gift to the Out campaign. Maybe there are enough morons out there to make a difference - on the other hand most of those people would probably end up voting Out anyway.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 10 May 2016 08:32 (eight years ago) link

she is such a traet

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 12 May 2016 22:29 (eight years ago) link

I'm obvs no fan of her but can absolutely guarantee that had she taken the opposite position you'd be seeing headlines along the lines of 'childhood-snatcher tells schools to bribe kids with parties to accept tests that are destroying their education' or 'Morgan admits tests are so traumatic children need parties to recover'.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 13 May 2016 05:16 (eight years ago) link

lol :/

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 13 May 2016 08:13 (eight years ago) link

there's some sense in what she says but part of being a politician is figuring out how to say stuff without sounding like a cartoon villain

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 13 May 2016 08:16 (eight years ago) link

That story is from last November.

JimD, Friday, 13 May 2016 08:44 (eight years ago) link

haha lol. when you read the URL instead of the article.

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 13 May 2016 10:09 (eight years ago) link

building 'breaking-news' into the url seems a little short-sighted

Alba, Friday, 13 May 2016 10:40 (eight years ago) link

lol, well, it's always going to be breaking news to somebody.

a defense for Euro-Blackface (Bananaman Begins), Friday, 13 May 2016 11:17 (eight years ago) link

I did read the article but missed that, which is worrying.

Never changed username before (cardamon), Friday, 13 May 2016 12:08 (eight years ago) link

My interest in the article wasn't so much in Morgan (Morrigan? Morgana le Fey?) as a wicked witch ... more that as a non-parent, non-teacher, I had no idea they were testing so much at KS1, and no idea that such things as after test parties for kids that young existed

Never changed username before (cardamon), Friday, 13 May 2016 12:10 (eight years ago) link

I didn't know test parties existed full stop.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Friday, 13 May 2016 12:11 (eight years ago) link

I wasn't aware and tbh they sound stupid - I think there are schools and teachers who have at least made the testing situation worse than it need be thru their own overhyping

Y6 sats finished yesterday (not sure about the KS1 sats) so I'm guessing this is getting reshared today because of that - our lad's school isn't having a party exactly, but they all got to watch harry potter instead of having lessons this morning.

JimD, Friday, 13 May 2016 12:18 (eight years ago) link

NV otm

The NUT and AFT have set their stall quite firmly against having national testing of any description and their most effective way of combating it at the moment seems to be playing on parental fears in the hope that they'll either withdraw kids ahead of the test in protest or put enough pressure on the government to stop it. Inevitably, hyping it as a terrifying experience is going to add extra stress to the children.

It's a shame that there can't be a more measured discussion of whether assessment is required and what kind of testing is appropriate without it being polarised between the Telegraph's 'it'll toughed the little bastards up' and Guardian / Washington Post pandering to the anti-assessment factions.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 13 May 2016 12:20 (eight years ago) link

The NUT and AFT have set their stall quite firmly against having national testing of any description

And quite right too.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Friday, 13 May 2016 12:24 (eight years ago) link

The main problem seems to be that these tests aren't really an assessment of the kids, but of the schools. So the right approach would be to just drop it in as a no-big-deal thing to do one afternoon, except the schools are (perhaps understandably) too jumpy about them to do that, and instead spend months prepping the kids for them. And then when the time comes, they push out a lot of "hey, don't worry about these, it's nothing serious, just do your best" stuff. So the kids get a heavily mixed message and don't know what to make of it.

I'm sure there are some better schools who do the second part of that without the first (and some worse who do the first without the second) but then you're talking about better/worse in terms of what's good for the pupils, and no doubt the better/worse axis in terms of league tables or whatever ends up being the exact inverse of that.

JimD, Friday, 13 May 2016 12:27 (eight years ago) link

And yes just dropping them altogether would be the best solution all round.

JimD, Friday, 13 May 2016 12:27 (eight years ago) link

And quite right too.

That's one perspective, though not shared by the NCAAP in the US, for example. Having benchmark tests to measure achievement and progress are fine as long as the metrics are appropriate and the data isn't decontextualised and used as a stick to beat teachers with.

There's also an argument that low-stakes testing early in life reduces stress levels when kids take more serious exams later on. If the first time you take a formal exam is your GCSEs, idk if that is helpful.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 13 May 2016 12:31 (eight years ago) link

I mean from what I read the impression I get is basically, Nicky Morgan likes tests because it 'holds schools to account', in other words our old friend the taxpayer is financing these schools, so they'd better get used to jumping up and down for any fivers that might be held over them, constant testing of the kids will demonstrate 'value for money' for the taxpayer

Never changed username before (cardamon), Friday, 13 May 2016 12:31 (eight years ago) link

Which I think is prob the missing link in the testing debate - people who care about kids and education could probably come up with two good systems, one with and one without testing, but there's a political reason why Morgan wants it to be testing testing testing

Never changed username before (cardamon), Friday, 13 May 2016 12:33 (eight years ago) link

at the risk of mutual backslapping Shari is right: testing can be a perfectly valid element of an educational program. definitely a valid element in the kind of educational programs we run in this country. I'm pretty sure that the teachers' unions aren't advocating for an education system tailored to individual self-exploration so this "never test" line looks like dogmatic cobblers tbh

I guess it's no surprise but at age 10 I really made a hash of my sats, just thr most basic exam practice totally eluded all of us. I did quite well in maths (i think, who remembers sats results?) which was straightforward enough, but otherwise we all ran out of time, impulsively tried different things, realised our efforts were unrepresentative and looked on our results with a mixture of bemusement and indifference

you could do anonymous tests if you just wanted to test the school and be honest about it being of no benefit to pupils

ogmor, Friday, 13 May 2016 12:38 (eight years ago) link

xxp fighting for the best education for children isn't happening on either side, or only when it suits. the political disagreements between NUT and HM Gov are not really philosophical disputes about pedagogy

I'm old enough not to have had to sat any exams (that I remember) until I was about 12. Also, Scottish, so different system.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Friday, 13 May 2016 12:41 (eight years ago) link

I'm younger than you - I don't remember any exams before I was 14 or so

conrad, Friday, 13 May 2016 13:20 (eight years ago) link

bigger deal than exams/tests - when I was at primary school age, play and other self-expressive activities were still a big part of the curriculum up to probably 8 or 9. that's long gone, and the results have been hugely damaging to children's early attitudes to education imo.

Yeah there are tons of ways to asses learning needs and testing is one, a valid one, but national testing isn't the same thing at all. Testing a child should be "ok, which bits of the stuff we've covered does he/she need more help with", not "how are we doing as a school compared to other schools" or (especially) "how well is this child doing compared to every other child in the country".

JimD, Friday, 13 May 2016 14:16 (eight years ago) link

otm x10000000

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 13 May 2016 15:05 (eight years ago) link

Knowing how a cohort of students does against their peers can be hugely important. We track comparable achievement of middle class kids vs poor kids, white kids vs kids from minorities, boys vs girls, kids from grammar schools vs kids from comprehensive schools, etc, etc at GCSE level. Testing early gives a baseline so you can see how much closer together or further apart they get over the course of their education and, potentially, helps as a diagnostic tool for good practice in some cases.

To give an extreme example again, the NCAAP in the US has always been in favour of standardised tests because they demonstrate that there's not much of a racial disparity at a young age but that grows over the course of an educational career in a lot of school districts as the effects of poverty and disparities in investment between schools kicks in. Failing to understand and document that means failing to hold political authorities who make decisions about funding, and are responsible for oversight, accountable.

The reason teachers are (arguably understandably) dead against testing is because the data is frequently used as a blunt instrument with the government only looking at % pass rates and not at the underlying circumstances in which children are being taught. There are pedagogical arguments in favour and against but they're largely secondary. That is a problem with the government and not with the concept of assessment though.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 13 May 2016 15:21 (eight years ago) link

I can see that. But if the way that diagnostic testing is administered ends up being detrimental to the learning and the wellbeing of *all* kids then surely there's an argument that the cure is worse than the disease?

JimD, Friday, 13 May 2016 15:34 (eight years ago) link

Absolutely but the case for it being harmful is not clear and is primarily being made by people with a separate non-pedagogical reason.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 13 May 2016 15:46 (eight years ago) link

There are no wrong or right answers but you have to show your working.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 13 May 2016 15:47 (eight years ago) link

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/may/15/therell-always-be-an-england-tristram-hunt-labour-patriotism

But more than that, what these tales from the 2015 campaign expose is Labour’s need to shed its metropolitan squeamishness about England. It needs to express its admiration and love for the people and culture of this great country.

depressing that people were talking this oaf up as a potential Labour leader a few months ago. Dan Jarvis seems to gesture towards this reheated Blue Labour stuff a lot of the time, I guess this us likely to form a significant part in the eventual coup attempt when it comes?

can't imagine voters seeing all this waffling about how much Labour loves England as anything other than a patronizing con, and when he gets into stuff like how Labour needs to respect voters' legitimate "cultural concerns about changes in language, dress and social norms" due to immigration - what is he actually proposing that Labour do to tackle these perceived problems aside from affirming that they are 'legitimate'? surely Labour tried doing this pandering to immigration hostility for most of the last decade or more and it just left voters cynical, as well as being indefensible anyway?

soref, Sunday, 15 May 2016 03:50 (eight years ago) link

A failure to appreciate the value of Englishness played an important role in our 2015 defeat and nothing Corbyn has done as leader has changed this. Indeed, his cosmopolitan views on immigration, benefits, the monarchy and armed forces are likely to have exacerbated the disconnect.

like, is he proposing to curb immigration, or just to badmouth and stigmatise it while letting it carry on as before in the hope that will be enough to appease bigots?

soref, Sunday, 15 May 2016 03:54 (eight years ago) link

also, the implication in that quote that anything other than support for hacking away at benefits is not only unpopular, but somehow antithetical to "Englishness", I mean really

soref, Sunday, 15 May 2016 04:02 (eight years ago) link

Does Boris J fall foul of Godwin's Law, or is that 'only the internet'?

Mark G, Sunday, 15 May 2016 07:06 (eight years ago) link

Hitler themed lols from ILX lurker Boris

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Sunday, 15 May 2016 11:23 (eight years ago) link

Fuck's sake

Never changed username before (cardamon), Sunday, 15 May 2016 18:57 (eight years ago) link

Like, the most 'metropolitan' thing anyone could do is this kind of mouthing along with down to earth bigots to try and show you're one of them

Never changed username before (cardamon), Sunday, 15 May 2016 18:59 (eight years ago) link

If I were an aspiring PM who was virtually guaranteed to win the next election provided I could secure the nomination I might be inclined to be a bit more circumspect about a massive supranational entity that I would need to deal with regardless once in power.

Matt DC, Sunday, 15 May 2016 19:18 (eight years ago) link

and, Matt DC, is why you are not lol a legernd

Elvis Santana (stevie), Sunday, 15 May 2016 19:26 (eight years ago) link

He so is.

Mark G, Sunday, 15 May 2016 20:45 (eight years ago) link

Natalie Bennett to step down as Green Party leader. Pretty much hopeless from start to finish.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Monday, 16 May 2016 11:27 (eight years ago) link

I was flicking through the Sunday Telegraph yesterday and happened across this which seems worth sharing:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/content/dam/news/2016/05/15/BOB150516-large_trans++eo_i_u9APj8RuoebjoAHt0k9u7HhRJvuo-ZLenGRumA.jpg

ghosts that don't exist (Neil S), Monday, 16 May 2016 11:36 (eight years ago) link

a lot to unpack here, probably needs its own thread/poll

ghosts that don't exist (Neil S), Monday, 16 May 2016 11:39 (eight years ago) link

ban foreign government

(main prostitute from Game Of Thrones) (bizarro gazzara), Monday, 16 May 2016 12:18 (eight years ago) link

more like BFJ

Noodle Vague, Monday, 16 May 2016 13:08 (eight years ago) link

idgi

a defense for Euro-Blackface (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 16 May 2016 13:30 (eight years ago) link

the middle word is profane

no idg cartoon

a defense for Euro-Blackface (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 16 May 2016 14:45 (eight years ago) link

There is a suitcase of jars, one of which is labelled "sovreignty", which a floppy-haired giant has unpacked and is contemplating, for some reason

ghosts that don't exist (Neil S), Monday, 16 May 2016 15:16 (eight years ago) link

.... has unpacked from a suitcase labelled 'dreams' - but labelled in the inside because otherwise you wouldn't be able to see that it is labelled 'dreams'.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Monday, 16 May 2016 15:20 (eight years ago) link

TBF there's no way the suitcase could be closed with those jars in it anyway so it might as well be labelled on the inside.

Tim, Monday, 16 May 2016 15:25 (eight years ago) link

Also the jar he's contemplating has the door to 10 Downing Street, not a switch that says in/out, which confused me for a bit.

Andrew Farrell, Monday, 16 May 2016 15:30 (eight years ago) link

I thought it was a signed copy of 10 Little Indians :(

nashwan, Monday, 16 May 2016 15:33 (eight years ago) link

Has he been playing hurling or something?

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Monday, 16 May 2016 15:40 (eight years ago) link

I'm slightly concerned about the perceived need to drag Twitter personality Ed Balls out of his voter-imposed exile.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 16 May 2016 15:42 (eight years ago) link

Neil S totally OTM

Andrew Farrell, Monday, 16 May 2016 16:59 (eight years ago) link

I refuse to believe I'm the only person in the sweet spot between being old enough to have read the BFG as a child and being young enough to have retained the faculties required to remember the plot.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 16 May 2016 17:51 (eight years ago) link

apparently the home office has banned people in immigration detention centres from access to social media. not sure if there is any plausible explanation that isn't v shady

https://medium.com/@TheRehn/the-uk-home-office-has-just-officially-banned-access-to-social-media-and-instant-messaging-to-6f46ba798d0#.1550qmnyv

ogmor, Friday, 20 May 2016 13:27 (eight years ago) link

The detention system is all kinds of fucked up. Detainees are allowed phones but not if they have cameras, for instance.

Daniel_Rf, Monday, 23 May 2016 10:41 (seven years ago) link

If I was a conspiracy theorist I might be just beginning to think Boris is a Remain plant, sent in to sabotage the Leave campaign. I've just watched him give a speech, on the same day that Cameron and Osborne have ratcheted up the post-exit economic doom and gloom, where he actually brought up the EU Want to Straighten Our Bananas story - and it wasn't a joke or an aside. Has he lost it or what?

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Monday, 23 May 2016 11:25 (seven years ago) link

He never had it. But I'm fine with him fucking up the Brexit tbh.

it's getting ott in here / so take off all your clothes (stevie), Monday, 23 May 2016 11:30 (seven years ago) link

... and his political future, yes, bring it on.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Monday, 23 May 2016 11:33 (seven years ago) link

I was getting slightly concerned while looking at the voting intentions of the over 50s who are much more likely to turn out than any other demographic but the current Trump-narrated campaign against the Nefarious Turk suggests Leave are beyond desperate at this point.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 23 May 2016 11:33 (seven years ago) link

Complacency on the Stay side is the enemy. I don't know what the answer is, though.

it's getting ott in here / so take off all your clothes (stevie), Monday, 23 May 2016 11:36 (seven years ago) link

If I was a conspiracy theorist I might be just beginning to think Boris is a Remain plant, sent in to sabotage the Leave campaign. I've just watched him give a speech, on the same day that Cameron and Osborne have ratcheted up the post-exit economic doom and gloom, where he actually brought up the EU Want to Straighten Our Bananas story - and it wasn't a joke or an aside. Has he lost it or what?

it's p much all he's got isnt it? can't do immigration, as he doesn't want the campaign to lean that way and anyway he's already stated he's pro, can't do brexit policy, because er there isn't one (other than "out"), economic argument is on its last legs, not cos of crap In campaign but bcos it's rapidly running out of any support whatsoever, all you've got left are

STRATE BANANAS

and phosphorus in washing powder of course

Fizzles, Monday, 23 May 2016 11:37 (seven years ago) link

Good choice to lead the Leave campaign.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Monday, 23 May 2016 11:47 (seven years ago) link

Breaking news:

Boris Johnson: "I was wrong about bananas..."

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Monday, 23 May 2016 11:53 (seven years ago) link

In the forthcoming work, edited by the backbencher Tristram Hunt

I imagine he travels on Ryanair all the time.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Monday, 23 May 2016 12:04 (seven years ago) link

Leaving aside the bigger problems with the Cruddas / Hunt campaign to patronise the working class, it is nagl to trash volunteers who gave up time to help candidates who had failed to build up their own local support base.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 23 May 2016 12:06 (seven years ago) link

Pretty sure Boris has no strong feelings about the EU and is probably, at heart, in favour of remain. The only motivation he has for running the Brexit campaign is to enhance his prospects of becoming next leader of the Tory party, and those prospects won't be harmed by losing the referendum. It's pretty obvious his heart's not in this.

Noodle Vague, Monday, 23 May 2016 12:10 (seven years ago) link

lol just looking up soups in my delia smith cookbook because - well, see the dentist thread and

"Since EC regulations took effect our delicious Fenland celery is not allowed to be called that, so my local greengrocer refers to it quite affectionately as 'dirty celery'..."

http://www.fenlandcelery.com/

Fenland celery is part of an exclusive club of quality British foods that have earned Protected Geographical Indication (PGI) status from the European Commission.

Fizzles, Monday, 23 May 2016 12:18 (seven years ago) link

There will be punch-ups in the Tory party for years afterwards, whatever happens.

Mark G, Monday, 23 May 2016 12:59 (seven years ago) link

standard operating procedure for the Tories since at least Thatcher. if BJ anticipates an increased majority in 2020 he might well think it worthwhile to at least court the country bumpkin contingent

Noodle Vague, Monday, 23 May 2016 13:10 (seven years ago) link

Yeah Boris's position in the Leave campaign is a posture I think, it's unlikely that he actually wants to leave the EU. Assuming he wins the Tory nomination and becomes PM (a big if) he just doesn't strike me as the sort of politician who would want to lead the country through a messy and uncertain EU exit.

OTOH if Remain wins and Boris does become PM, then the cries of betrayal from thwarted leavers would be so loud that it might bounce him into calling another referendum anyway.

Matt DC, Monday, 23 May 2016 14:03 (seven years ago) link

lol r u suggesting there may be few sour grapes from the Leave campaign in Remain wins

a defense for Euro-Blackface (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 23 May 2016 14:31 (seven years ago) link

if

a defense for Euro-Blackface (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 23 May 2016 14:34 (seven years ago) link

Ryanair up 42% this year so tbrr theres not really any comparison btwn them and any part of uk labour

Daithi Bowsie (darraghmac), Monday, 23 May 2016 14:48 (seven years ago) link

Ed Milliband was much more impressive on Question Time there than he ever was as leader, sadly. He was genuinely good there.

CRANK IT YA FILTHY BISM! (jed_), Thursday, 26 May 2016 22:47 (seven years ago) link

this sounds somewhat ominous:

The Labour leader’s inner circle has also had “tense discussions”over a decision to allow a film crew from Vice Media to follow Corbyn for several weeks. It is understood the fly-on-the-wall documentary, which will be broadcast next week, was signed off by Corbyn’s communications chief, Seumas Milne.

Some Corbynites fear they could be ridiculed in the film, while others have objected to having their faces broadcast and have asked to be edited out.

“People said they turned round to find a camera shoved in their face while discussing policy matters,” one source said. “There has been a lot of anger about the decision to let in a film crew at a time when we are under a lot of pressure. We could, through the editing process, be made to look like idiots. Vice are not averse to taking the piss.”

soref, Friday, 27 May 2016 00:41 (seven years ago) link

maybe we'll get a 21c version of Yesterday's Men

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RYcigddR-Hk

soref, Friday, 27 May 2016 00:47 (seven years ago) link

https://mobile.twitter.com/MichaelPDeacon/status/736834684458504192

This is going to be fun. I'd be surprised if fewer than a couple of dozen MPs tried to trigger a no confidence vote in Cameron if Remain wins, given that 25 did in 2013 with less of a reason. Could hit the 50 required.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 29 May 2016 09:09 (seven years ago) link

"a live boy or a dead girl"? could be in the interest of public safety to reveal this mp's name

It's a famous quote I think?

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Sunday, 29 May 2016 10:38 (seven years ago) link

Edwin Edwards, Governor of Louisiana, 1983:

"The only way I can lose this election is if I’m caught in bed with either a dead girl or a live boy."

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Sunday, 29 May 2016 10:41 (seven years ago) link

I don't really get it though, if Leave wins then Cameron will have to go. His position would be untenable and he's probably privately already prepared to resign in that effect, same as with Scotland.

If Remain wins (and unless it's really narrow), then tough shit, Leavers. OTOH they might decide to tear him down anyway out of sheer spite. Maybe there's something big lurking in Cameron's past we don't know about, but hey he got away with having put his cock in a dead pig.

Matt DC, Sunday, 29 May 2016 10:46 (seven years ago) link

sheer spite is exactly why they'll try it. for all i joke about it, these cunts will never accept a referendum result that doesn't go their way.

Noodle Vague, Sunday, 29 May 2016 11:07 (seven years ago) link

The Tories are *eating* David Cameron... and here's why

Mark G, Sunday, 29 May 2016 11:53 (seven years ago) link

Quite a few MPs have apparently already written to the 1922 committee with instructions to open the letter on the 24th of June. The narrative they are using is extremely clear - ok, we lost but the manner in which the PM led the remain campaign was unbecoming of a Tory leader so he has to go. I think they could well get the 50 they need to trigger the vote but I strongly doubt they will win and, unless there is a real sense it's in the balance, I suspect it will fizzle out.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 29 May 2016 17:58 (seven years ago) link

How does a No Confidence work? Cameron doesn't have a big enough majority to be able to cope with 50+ Tory MPs voting against him. His only hope would be that the other parties who campaigned for Remain choose to support him, and good luck with that.

I suppose there is the possibility that he could scrape home with the support of some Unionists and enough Blairite MPs hoping to provoke all-out war in their own party, but the consequences of being helped over the line by the opposition would be so humiliating to Cameron that he would be hugely diminished for the rest of his tenure.

Matt DC, Monday, 30 May 2016 11:02 (seven years ago) link

I think it would just be internal. No confidence as Tory leader rather than no confidence in the government. He'd need to carry a majority of Tory MPs.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 30 May 2016 11:21 (seven years ago) link

He'll win then, unless they feel so unthreatened by Jeremy Corbyn that they feel they can do whatever the hell they want.

Matt DC, Monday, 30 May 2016 11:44 (seven years ago) link

He will win. I think there are probably at least 100 MPs who want him out but unless there is real momentum behind them, with Gove leading the way, I think fairly few will come forward.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 30 May 2016 12:05 (seven years ago) link

Look at this picture, if it makes you violent congratulations you are still alive

https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/652514875726364672/vLJJ5vLh.png

Noodle Vague, Monday, 30 May 2016 16:22 (seven years ago) link

how about this, if it makes you smile you can personally leave

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Monday, 30 May 2016 16:30 (seven years ago) link

Why didn't he die, Young?

calzino, Monday, 30 May 2016 16:32 (seven years ago) link

i posted the exact same thing on the fucking england flags thread at the time, used to walk past it on the way to work, before the office moved.

and it's not acton like he says, it's shepherd's bush.

koogs, Monday, 30 May 2016 16:41 (seven years ago) link

http://peterjnorth.blogspot.co.uk/2016/05/rick-its-more-complicated-than-that.html

I was wondering what ppl here think of the argument put forward in this blog post from a leave supporter, that brexit would not cause any dramatic changes in the short term (as in the next decade or so), contrary to what both the leave campaign suggests?

Let's take a for instance. Erasmus, the academic cooperation programme. That is the mechanism by which we facilitate cross border exchanges and research funding. There is no renegotiating that in two years, not least because it would need to be ratified by all states (including non-EU members if I understand it correctly). But as much as we cannot renegotiate it in two years we cannot design a replacement for it either. So we keep it.

Apply that same logic to air traffic control, public health surveillance, port inspections, Europol, and all the other cooperation areas where we have ongoing projects, budgetary commitments and contracts to be upheld. The very idea that we're going to dream up an FTA that ties up the loose ends and addresses the shortfalls experienced by both parties is fanciful.

soref, Monday, 30 May 2016 17:00 (seven years ago) link

Pretty sure that most European research funding (Horizon 2020, ERC etc) has nothing to do with Erasmus. Anyway, Switzerland found out that things can change quickly when you're on the wrong side of the EU: http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/nov/11/whatever-you-do-dont-become-switzerland-swiss-academics-tell-uk

ǂbait (seandalai), Monday, 30 May 2016 17:18 (seven years ago) link

Yep. It might take a while for commitments around Erasmus programmes to wind down but I don't see why there could not be a fairly immediate change in status for students on full degrees - with EU students charged full fees for attending UK universities and vice versa. There will be lots of areas of shared resource and cooperation that will take years to exit from but plenty that can kick in fairly quickly. Aside from that, you'd have several years of uncertainty with nobody clear on what deals can be reached or how quickly they can be implemented. It's correct to say that withdrawal would be a process rather than an event but it would probably be a hugely destabilising one.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 30 May 2016 17:29 (seven years ago) link

and it's not acton like he says, it's shepherd's bush.

Some plebs live there, that's all he knows.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Monday, 30 May 2016 17:51 (seven years ago) link

it's just the other end of ravenscourt park from his school...

koogs, Monday, 30 May 2016 18:07 (seven years ago) link

... which would welcome with open hours any children of residents there.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Monday, 30 May 2016 18:17 (seven years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CjpqLlqWgAAn30L.jpg

cartoon posted as one of the replies to Young's tweet. is one of the welsh revelers throwing a leek in the air?

soref, Monday, 30 May 2016 18:50 (seven years ago) link

No-one celebrated St Andrew's Day when I was growing up, no-one knew when it was. Burns Night was sort of for golf club masonic wankers but most people knew when it was at least.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Monday, 30 May 2016 18:57 (seven years ago) link

Admittedly now that Scotland's gone all Scottish, it might be different these days.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Monday, 30 May 2016 18:58 (seven years ago) link

I say we bring back empire day

ogmor, Monday, 30 May 2016 19:21 (seven years ago) link

the SNP made st Andrew's day a public holiday for people who work in the Scottish government not long after they got in power at holyrood the first time, but yeah, the average Scottish person wouldn't know what date it is.

the unbearable jimmy smits (jim in glasgow), Monday, 30 May 2016 19:23 (seven years ago) link

I think Toby Young is smiling at the thought of all the working class kept behind locked gates?

Matt DC, Monday, 30 May 2016 20:23 (seven years ago) link

y no big pointy tits lady celebrate sir george day

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Tuesday, 31 May 2016 08:02 (seven years ago) link

No-one celebrated St Andrew's Day when I was growing up, no-one knew when it was.

I think maybe November-ish? No-one's going to give a fuck unless the SNP make it a holiday.

a goon shaped fule (onimo), Wednesday, 1 June 2016 11:33 (seven years ago) link

Just looked it up - it's 30th November. We need to move it to July.

a goon shaped fule (onimo), Wednesday, 1 June 2016 11:34 (seven years ago) link

Oh fuck, now I know when it is.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Wednesday, 1 June 2016 11:48 (seven years ago) link

July would maximise feelings of Scottishness as it pisses down?

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 1 June 2016 11:49 (seven years ago) link

Forgotten come Nov, right?

Mark G, Wednesday, 1 June 2016 11:50 (seven years ago) link

There's just nothing to do St. Andrew's day - it's an empty holiday. We might populate it, but hopefully not by abducting the content of other holidays. Eating haggis and drinking whiskey, while awesome, aren't part of it. My idea is that you have to listen to every big country album, while drinking tennents and eating chips. Which is my weekends anyway.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Wednesday, 1 June 2016 13:49 (seven years ago) link

Eating haggis and drinking whiskey, while awesome, aren't part of it.

That's Burns Night anyway. Whiskey :-o

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Wednesday, 1 June 2016 13:55 (seven years ago) link

Right; it can't just be a second burns night. We could always celebrate the Scottish poets who are actually good, but when I try that on burns night people are resistant.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Wednesday, 1 June 2016 13:59 (seven years ago) link

I would celebrate a Panther Burns night

Foster Twelvetrees (Ward Fowler), Wednesday, 1 June 2016 14:01 (seven years ago) link

I liked his work with Wee Eck Chilton.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Wednesday, 1 June 2016 14:02 (seven years ago) link

A burns night dedicated to insulting each other.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Wednesday, 1 June 2016 14:04 (seven years ago) link

Some worrying polling data is coming through suggesting that the hail Mary 'if you want a Turk for a neighbour, vote remain' stuff is working.

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jun/04/poll-eu-brexit-lead-opinium

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 6 June 2016 07:33 (seven years ago) link

Graun trying to whip up the faithful on the run-in

Noodle Vague, Monday, 6 June 2016 08:04 (seven years ago) link

I can't see how we're not leaving. It's like a slow-motion car-crash.

it's getting ott in here / so take off all your clothes (stevie), Monday, 6 June 2016 08:10 (seven years ago) link

average odds on "Stay" still 2/5. not saying it's impossible, but i trust bookies' odds way more than newspaper polls

Noodle Vague, Monday, 6 June 2016 08:15 (seven years ago) link

also i want people to fully enjoy the consequences of their voting decisions

Noodle Vague, Monday, 6 June 2016 08:18 (seven years ago) link

[I don't understand odds enough to know if that's good but I hope that that's good]

it's getting ott in here / so take off all your clothes (stevie), Monday, 6 June 2016 08:20 (seven years ago) link

Also my sample size isn't much larger than relatives on facebook sharing Britain First-esque videos that suggest the world wanted to be a British colony until WW2 and it's all Germany's fault that we're no longer a great nation. (Most of these relatives will probably be dead before the true after-effects of leaving the EU (and global warming, which they also don't believe in) take hold)

it's getting ott in here / so take off all your clothes (stevie), Monday, 6 June 2016 08:22 (seven years ago) link

the odds mean that roughly speaking bookmakers and their customers consider a "stay" win to be twice as likely as a "leave"

Brexiters are far noisier than Stay voters, for a number of reasons

Noodle Vague, Monday, 6 June 2016 08:24 (seven years ago) link

i'm still firmly in the Mercutio camp

Noodle Vague, Monday, 6 June 2016 08:26 (seven years ago) link

Brexiters are far noisier than Stay voters, for a number of reasons

again going only by my sample group one of those reasons is flatulence

it's getting ott in here / so take off all your clothes (stevie), Monday, 6 June 2016 08:29 (seven years ago) link

The odds are narrowing at a rate tho. Was way more comfortable even a week ago.

japanese mage (LocalGarda), Monday, 6 June 2016 08:36 (seven years ago) link

we've postal voted already (will be in the anti-EU enclave of Switzerland for the vote) so won't be able to discover if I'm susceptible to vile anti-Turk racist scaremongering after all

it's getting ott in here / so take off all your clothes (stevie), Monday, 6 June 2016 08:40 (seven years ago) link

Yeah I saw that, I think they've only got so much ground to make tho. Don't know if there are enough true neutrals to swing the poll

Noodle Vague, Monday, 6 June 2016 08:41 (seven years ago) link

But hey, we Brits love an underdog

Noodle Vague, Monday, 6 June 2016 08:42 (seven years ago) link

Basically after 2015 I'm braced for disappointment with every election.

it's getting ott in here / so take off all your clothes (stevie), Monday, 6 June 2016 09:12 (seven years ago) link

"Call me Morbz."

it's getting ott in here / so take off all your clothes (stevie), Monday, 6 June 2016 09:12 (seven years ago) link

Will never be disappointed by a free electorate expressing its values and opinions through a democratic vote

Noodle Vague, Monday, 6 June 2016 09:22 (seven years ago) link

lol

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 6 June 2016 09:24 (seven years ago) link

Time to go out and get a swastika tattooed on your tit.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Monday, 6 June 2016 10:20 (seven years ago) link

My understanding at this point is that more people overall favour Remain but likely voters favour Leave.

ǂbait (seandalai), Monday, 6 June 2016 10:36 (seven years ago) link

well fucking vote then

There is a pro-Remain majority in the House of Commons of 454 MPs to 147.

Anyone remember what the share of pro-PR MPs was?

nashwan, Monday, 6 June 2016 10:46 (seven years ago) link

Don't know but I'm sure they were in the minority.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Monday, 6 June 2016 10:48 (seven years ago) link

the whole campaign is so depressing. Remain or the sky will fall in! Leave and it will be sunshine every day! surprised anyone can muster the will to vote after all this.

pandemic, Monday, 6 June 2016 11:33 (seven years ago) link

If we do vote to leave as a nation, wtf are you going to do? I don't want to live in a country that votes to leave.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Monday, 6 June 2016 11:41 (seven years ago) link

move to Scotland

ghosts that don't exist (Neil S), Monday, 6 June 2016 11:42 (seven years ago) link

I'll put in a good word for most of ye

Some of ye

Daithi Bowsie (darraghmac), Monday, 6 June 2016 12:21 (seven years ago) link

The odds are narrowing at a rate tho. Was way more comfortable even a week ago.

― japanese mage (LocalGarda), Monday, June 6, 2016 4:36 AM (4 hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

this is true in the sense that they've narrowed, but it's still around 70% remain, which is more than it was a couple of months ago:

http://predictwise.com/politics/uk-politics

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 6 June 2016 12:45 (seven years ago) link

individual polls should not be reported as news stories. it's professional negligence on the level of the "thing gives you cancer" stuff in the daily express, which always based on a single study, not a meta-analysis. the only things worth paying attention to are polling averages and the betting markets.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 6 June 2016 12:49 (seven years ago) link

apart from the betting markets.

Andrew Farrell, Monday, 6 June 2016 13:02 (seven years ago) link

The money in political betting is pretty tiny in the bookies scheme of things though, it's basically just for publicity they even bother.

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 6 June 2016 13:04 (seven years ago) link

apparently it's enough for bookies odds to be far more predictive and reliable than individual polls

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 6 June 2016 14:00 (seven years ago) link

Who (the fuck) Are You.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Monday, 6 June 2016 14:33 (seven years ago) link

Wish I'd put £20 on Corbyn to win when the stupid bookies had him at 200/1.

jedi slimane (suzy), Monday, 6 June 2016 14:54 (seven years ago) link

the money on the exchanges is not remotely tiny

nakhchivan, Monday, 6 June 2016 14:57 (seven years ago) link

'far more predictive and reliable than individual polls' is, as you say, a pretty low bar. You don't become more all-knowing just because you've put some money on - generally the opposite in fact.

Andrew Farrell, Monday, 6 June 2016 15:05 (seven years ago) link

But presumably the betting shops that define the odds are doing so based on their own research re: who might win, and stand to lose £££s if they are wrong? [I have never bet on anything so forgive me if this is all wrong]

it's getting ott in here / so take off all your clothes (stevie), Monday, 6 June 2016 15:06 (seven years ago) link

But also on the betting they receive - if lots of folk bet on one side it shifts the odds.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Monday, 6 June 2016 15:08 (seven years ago) link

In a liquid market like Brexit that's all that matters. This is not some William hill people reading the papers and estimating probabilities based on the tone of the guardian editorial section. It's just supply and demand of bets.

I'm not saying they (or poll average trackers) are perfectly predictive but they are both much better than individual polls (and light years ahead of pundits).

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 6 June 2016 15:26 (seven years ago) link

Assuming both sides are equally likely to bet, in equal sums, no?

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Monday, 6 June 2016 15:28 (seven years ago) link

but that assumes that people only bet how they will vote...

koogs, Monday, 6 June 2016 15:30 (seven years ago) link

these markets are mostly people betting with their head rather than with their hearts/personal preferences. we know this because the average better does a good job of predicting the outcome.

remember how the markets work: people bet on odds that are too long (or shorting odds that are too high, which you can do at betting exchanges) until the odds on offer on the market match the consensus estimate of the probabilities. so the betting markets are ways of getting at the consensus probability. the consensus is not necessarily the true probability, but it's a but better estimate than that of an individual poll or pundit.

fwiw i don't bet myself but i do work in probabilistic programming/machine learning, etc.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 6 June 2016 15:37 (seven years ago) link

Ah, yes, it does x-post

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Monday, 6 June 2016 15:40 (seven years ago) link

How did the bookies get on at the last General Election? I don't recall them predicting a Tory victory - did they?

Tim, Monday, 6 June 2016 16:04 (seven years ago) link

(I mean, I don't recall them being closer to the eventual outcome than the published polls, I guess - I think that's a difference I'd have noticed.)

Tim, Monday, 6 June 2016 16:05 (seven years ago) link

(I'm not stanning for individual polls either, btw, and what Caek says is all quite right, I'm just pessimistically wary of taking too much comfort from the bookies' odds.)

Tim, Monday, 6 June 2016 16:10 (seven years ago) link

Put it this way, Betting is a combination of "attractive odds", and "let's not lose money"

So, for example, they'll offer low odds for "England to win the world cup" because England supporters are quite likely to bet, so they don't have to make it too attractive. (Say if Eng were vs Germany in the final, would Eng supporters bet on Germany, so at least if England lose, they can cheer themselves up with the money)

Anyhow, if you have a bunch of people who are not invested either way, but will place a bet based on what they think will happen, the odds have got to get it right.

Mark G, Monday, 6 June 2016 16:12 (seven years ago) link

they predicted a tory victory, yes

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/think-you-know-who-will-the-uk-election-want-to-bet/

CB: Your odds imply a roughly 80 percent chance the Conservatives win more seats than Labour, compared to a 66 percent chance according to the forecasters who created the FiveThirtyEight model. With your markets backing the Tories more than the poll-based models, are you taking more bets on the Labour side?

MS: Nobody wants to back Labour at pretty much any price. When we get to the odds we have now, the rational thing for us to do is to take the money.

Since we opened up the betting, something like 90 percent of the money we’ve taken has been on the Conservatives to take the most seats, our biggest market, and 92 percent on the Conservatives to win the most votes. That’s even though half the time since the last general election, Labour have been the favorites.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 6 June 2016 16:13 (seven years ago) link

So, if loads of brexiteers pile into Ladbrokes and place bets on "Exit", this will not shift the odds if the 'intelligence' suggests that the "non-exit" will win.

Mark G, Monday, 6 June 2016 16:14 (seven years ago) link

That was a 2 part post, obv.

Mark G, Monday, 6 June 2016 16:15 (seven years ago) link

any large group piling in for any reason is going to shift the odds.

what is "intelligence"? why would people pile in if the "intelligence" contradicted that?

yes there are people who bet on who they are going to vote for, not who they thing is going to win. empirically though it turns out there aren't enough of them to mess up the odds.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 6 June 2016 16:20 (seven years ago) link

That article is on about biggest single party and share of the vote, though. According to this, about a week out from the election you could get 7-1 on a Tory majority:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/general-election-2015/11571601/Pensioner-places-30000-bet-on-Conservative-majority-at-general-election.html

I realise the referendum only has two outcomes and so is simpler, but a tightening 5-2 is not all that reassuring to me.

Having said all that, if I had to bet, I'd bet on Remain, but I'm not confident at all.

Tim, Monday, 6 June 2016 16:27 (seven years ago) link

yes there are people who bet on who they are going to vote for, not who they thing is going to win. empirically though it turns out there aren't enough of them to mess up the odds.

If everyone bet on who they voted for rather than who they thought was going to win, then it'd be 100% accurate*! It's people who vote for who they think is going to win (based on no better information than anyone else) that make the betting markets worthless.

*apart from people who don't make it out of the bookies to vote that day.

Andrew Farrell, Monday, 6 June 2016 16:31 (seven years ago) link

not only would people have to bet on who they vote for, they would have to bet the same amount.

xxp, true the markets favored the coalition to get back in. that's still better than the polls, which had it as a labour victory iirc. my point is not that the odds are right every time. just that they're more likely to be right than individual pollls or pundits.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 6 June 2016 16:40 (seven years ago) link

Sometimes they'll have to cancel a book outright because they spot someone who shouldn't be involved in wagers, putting a bet on something.

jedi slimane (suzy), Monday, 6 June 2016 17:15 (seven years ago) link

Voter registration statistics show lots of young voters signing up.
https://www.gov.uk/performance/register-to-vote/registrations-by-age-group
Obvs older voters already signed up, but good to see nonetheless.

Remember Paddy Power had Cameron as PM pretty much solidly through the campaign last year - don't think Miliband passed him out for long. The odds in the last week have lengthened for Remain - 2/7 last week versus 2/5 today - and shortened for Leave (11/4 to 2/1).

gyac, Monday, 6 June 2016 18:17 (seven years ago) link

i'm surprised they didn't allow 16yos to vote like they did in the scottish referendum.

koogs, Monday, 6 June 2016 19:39 (seven years ago) link

Too emotional and flighty to weigh this important decision objectively

Noodle Vague, Monday, 6 June 2016 19:58 (seven years ago) link

i think that despite Leave gaining some momentum from popular bigotry in the last week, most people are scared of change and Gove and co's crude demagoguery won't have truly convinced them and they will err more towards Remain's equally crude propaganda when the time comes - despite whatever they may say at the moment.

I used to work for an independent bookies in the 90's and if anyone was wanting a bet on any obscure markets I would have to ring the office and got the blanket "tell 'em to fuck off" answer every time. The owner was convinced that anyone who deviated away from Horses, Greyhounds or Football was some type of con artist/shrewdie.

calzino, Monday, 6 June 2016 20:23 (seven years ago) link

yeah my hunch (lol punditry is bad) is that the undecideds and some who tell pollsters "leave" are going to break for the "safe" option, i.e. remain, in the privacy of the polling booth

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 6 June 2016 20:31 (seven years ago) link

I can imagine Boris voting remain in the privacy of the booth

Noodle Vague, Monday, 6 June 2016 20:50 (seven years ago) link

Lol that will almost certainly happen.

Leavers in areas of the country where they are in the majority are also likely to be quite vocal and possibly quite hostile to anyone with the opposing view. It could be a disincentive to some Remain voters to be too vocal about the fact.

Matt DC, Monday, 6 June 2016 21:16 (seven years ago) link

Corbyn and Boris are both the most equally dishonest people in this game.

calzino, Monday, 6 June 2016 21:42 (seven years ago) link

Basically true

Noodle Vague, Monday, 6 June 2016 22:48 (seven years ago) link

IS 'Corbyn secretly wants Leave to win' based on anything pertaining to reality, or is it just laying the ground for another coup attempt against him in the event of a Leave vote? (In which case, lol @ blairite europhiles voting to Leave in privacy of polling booth)

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Tuesday, 7 June 2016 09:34 (seven years ago) link

Do they let press and suchlike into polling stations? Johnson might vote 'Remain' in polling booth, then on his way to pop his ballot into the box he bumblingly drops it, it falls face up on the floor to reveal in front of tv and press cameras what he has voted.

Probably wouldn't do him any harm, what a ledge and all that.

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Tuesday, 7 June 2016 09:36 (seven years ago) link

IS 'Corbyn secretly wants Leave to win' based on anything pertaining to reality

How about the reality that he's been anti-EU all his life? Not heard much from John McDonnell either.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Tuesday, 7 June 2016 09:51 (seven years ago) link

why would boris want remain to win? surely that'd be the end of his little coup? asking in full awareness of my own ignorance here...

japanese mage (LocalGarda), Tuesday, 7 June 2016 10:10 (seven years ago) link

I think boris johnson thinks it's unlikely the uk would vote to leave the eu but wants to come out of the campaign having secured a large amount of conservative support being able to say guys I tried and I'm on your side

conrad, Tuesday, 7 June 2016 10:20 (seven years ago) link

I Stood Up For What I Believed In.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Tuesday, 7 June 2016 10:27 (seven years ago) link

Throw an egg at me, why don't you.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Tuesday, 7 June 2016 11:24 (seven years ago) link

I don't throw eggs, I throw shade

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Tuesday, 7 June 2016 11:35 (seven years ago) link

Corbyn campaigned on remaining in when running for leader, because a) that's what the majority of the party want, so he's happy to go with that and b) leaving would turn the country into UKIP Island if the right of the Tories won a Brexit. I do not see why this is so difficult to retain as information.

jedi slimane (suzy), Tuesday, 7 June 2016 11:48 (seven years ago) link

Hague! But this is a pretty good:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/06/the-leave-campaign-cant-keep-dodging-the-biggest-question/

Fizzles, Tuesday, 7 June 2016 11:56 (seven years ago) link

love their REMAIN/LEAVE opinion face-off underneath. Barack Obama vs Col. Richard Kemp!

why would boris want remain to win? surely that'd be the end of his little coup?

Boris is fundamentally lazy. A lot of rank-and-file Tories are heavily Eurosceptic so it's the path of least resistance to the leadership. But actually running the country while negotiating a messy withdrawal from the EU is going to be a bigger challenge than anything Cameron has faced in the past six years. I suspect he's making a big deal of being seen to support Brexit while privately hoping to avoid any of the fallout.

Corbyn has been much quieter than McDonnell, but I think McDonnell is likely to go over better in the parts of Britain where Labour voters are more likely to be wavering - or theoretically hostile to the EU while privately worried about their jobs etc. Difficult to tell whether Corbyn's general quietness on the issue is through design or just vague casual incompetence.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 7 June 2016 13:51 (seven years ago) link

otm, not only is he not fit for the job he doesn't even agree with the principle. Although the thought of Boris round the negotiating table has some comic draw.

Pascal Lamy explaining very methodically to Adrea Leadsom on Newsnight last night that not only were her expectations completely misguided but that she didn't even understand the principles on which trade deals are negotiated. Definitely worth watching.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z6LVNpfES8k

Analogue Bubblebutt (jed_), Tuesday, 7 June 2016 16:42 (seven years ago) link

cool, so stuff about Corbyn being pro-leave is just knee-jerk Corb-bashing not worth engaging with, thx 4 confirming

Meanwhile, with a light hearted aside that he's never shoved it in a pig either, Corbyn demonstrates how big his dick is

http://www3.pictures.zimbio.com/gi/Jeremy+Corbyn+Launches+Labour+Britain+Campaign+aWhD0QXPkfCl.jpg

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Tuesday, 7 June 2016 19:59 (seven years ago) link

Cd probably do with less preppy young people in background tbf. Need to reach out to the bitter middle aged and elderly cry for helps at this point

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Tuesday, 7 June 2016 20:04 (seven years ago) link

fewer

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Tuesday, 7 June 2016 20:05 (seven years ago) link

preppy?!

imago, Tuesday, 7 June 2016 20:13 (seven years ago) link

"How much do you love the EU, Mr. Corbyn?" "Oh, about this much."

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Tuesday, 7 June 2016 20:14 (seven years ago) link

am i using preppy wrong i mean a bit irritatingly clean cut and enthusiastic

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Tuesday, 7 June 2016 20:34 (seven years ago) link

Peppy.

Mark G, Tuesday, 7 June 2016 20:36 (seven years ago) link

looking at the list of Labour MPs who support Leave, it includes four of the five remaining members of the Socialist Campaign Group (Corbyn, McDonnell, Abbott and Ian Lavery having resigned from the group when they joined the front bench). it doesn't seem crazy to suggest that Corbyn might have joined them had he not been elected leader, but I think he has been pretty clear and consistent with his pro-Remain message over the last few weeks, a lot of criticisms of his supposed hedging do seem like they're coming from people who'd be attacking him regardless of what he does

soref, Tuesday, 7 June 2016 20:38 (seven years ago) link

1.A two-party democracy cannot provide stable and effective government unless there is a large measure of ideological consensus among its citizens.
2.Parties in a two-party system deliberately change their platforms so that they resemble one another; whereas parties in a multi-party system try to remain as ideologically distinct from each other as possible.
3.If the distribution of ideologies in a society’s citizenry remains constant, its political system will move toward a position of equilibrium in which the number of parties and their ideological positions are stable over time.
4.New parties can be most successfully launched immediately after some significant change in the distribution of ideological views among eligible voters.
5.In a two-party system, it is rational for each party to encourage voters to be irrational by making its platform vague and ambiguous.

The Brexit Club (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 8 June 2016 10:54 (seven years ago) link

nice that they wangled a longer voter registration deadline out of that error...

japanese mage (LocalGarda), Wednesday, 8 June 2016 14:30 (seven years ago) link

George Osborne has accused the Leave campaign of being "taken over" by the "mean and divisive vision" of Nigel Farage.

The nerve of this fuckin' guy.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Wednesday, 8 June 2016 19:58 (seven years ago) link

an analysis of polls and betting market predictors here:

http://app.ft.com/cms/s/6a63c2ca-2d80-11e6-bf8d-26294ad519fc.html?siteedition=uk

summary: ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Fizzles, Thursday, 9 June 2016 12:26 (seven years ago) link

Leave odds are contracting again, 10/3 in places now.

calzino, Thursday, 9 June 2016 12:40 (seven years ago) link

you don't need to follow them "in places". people take the average and convert them into implied probabilities for you, e.g. http://predictwise.com/politics/uk-politics

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 9 June 2016 12:57 (seven years ago) link

serenity now

Yannis Philippakis from Foals is more concerned with immigration than travel, however, and the pressure migrants will put on British resources.

"My main concern, and I guess this is the thing that the Brexit people are playing on, is that the British population will expand to 80 million," he tells Newsbeat.

"When you already have problems with the NHS, problems with schooling, there are problems within British society's infrastructure and my concern would only be that you don't have serenity.

"You don't have ability to control what is happening in your own country."

conrad, Thursday, 9 June 2016 13:59 (seven years ago) link

kill yourself, make a space

The Brexit Club (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 9 June 2016 14:00 (seven years ago) link

Leave odds are contracting again, 10/3 in places now.

― calzino, Thursday, June 9, 2016 8:40 AM (1 hour ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

also the leave odds are not 10/3 anywhere right now, and they're not contracting (i.e. shortening?), they are lengthening: http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/eu-referendum/referendum-on-eu-membership-result

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 9 June 2016 14:03 (seven years ago) link

at this time of posting they are still 10/3 at Paddy Power. I missed all the midweek fluctuations in betting but they were 9/2 last week.

calzino, Thursday, 9 June 2016 14:20 (seven years ago) link

fluctuations are why it's better to follow averages of markets/polls. they are slower to capture sudden real changes, but absent actual news (which there rarely is in a political campaign), that's a good thing, because most sudden changes are not real.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 9 June 2016 14:30 (seven years ago) link

Born to a Greek father and a South African-born Ukrainian-Jewish[1] mother (Renee Hirschon),[2] Philippakis left Greece with his mother when he was five years old.[3] His father taught him traditional folk songs and dances.[3] He was raised in the Greek Orthodox religion.[4]

comin over ere, takin our opportunities to make stodgy art-rock like what we used to manufacture ourselves

Trump is dong (bizarro gazzara), Thursday, 9 June 2016 14:35 (seven years ago) link

Was an argument in the pub today (which I stayed out of) about brexit. Oddly, it was middle aged guys for leaving (40-60) and the see folks (mostly seventies, some sixties) who argued for staying. I was especially pleased when this guy brought up farage that the old guys dismissed him as a racist. The pro-exit seemed less informed but more zealous (though I would say that), and were corrected about things like 'scotland doesn't age to worry about trade with Europe' because whisky and tourism, and how the EU is apparently why 'oil prices have dropped. But then this is an ex mining town, and I doubt that divide is replicated elsewhere.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Thursday, 9 June 2016 14:45 (seven years ago) link

xxxp

i did a refresh and the PP 10/3 has indeed gone, but honest guv it was quoted in a few places at the time I posted earlier! What is the meaning of the derived hypermind/betfair prices on that thing you linked to? Like I don't understand what they represent + why they are both dramatically shorter.

calzino, Thursday, 9 June 2016 15:10 (seven years ago) link

also the leave odds are not 10/3 anywhere right now, and they're not contracting (i.e. shortening?), they are lengthening: http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/eu-referendum/referendum-on-eu-membership-result

― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, June 9, 2016 2:03 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark

Eh what are you talking about? At every single bookie on your own Oddschecker link the odds are shorter than 10/3 (see below). At your Predictwise link, the chances of Leave is given as 27% - making it more likely even than 10/3 would imply (23%).

http://i.imgur.com/J87zcOg.png

Eyeball Kicks, Thursday, 9 June 2016 15:47 (seven years ago) link

odds change

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 9 June 2016 16:11 (seven years ago) link

Haha yeah, and the 10/3 at Paddy Power mentioned above is pretty much the longest the odds have been at any point all day. You don't know what you're talking about.

http://i.imgur.com/xRMeB9V.png

Eyeball Kicks, Thursday, 9 June 2016 16:20 (seven years ago) link

i said:

"the leave odds are not 10/3 anywhere right now, and they're not contracting (i.e. shortening?), they are lengthening"

this was in response to a post that said leave odds were shortening and were 10/3 in places.

to be clear what my reply means for those with reading issues: when i wrote it the odds were not 10/3 anywhere (some were longer, some were shorter, but there was no 10/3). and they were all red, i.e. they were all lengthening.

the same is true right now btw.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 9 June 2016 16:28 (seven years ago) link

http://i.imgur.com/IeGlVFo.png

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 9 June 2016 16:30 (seven years ago) link

ok two of them aren't lengthening right now. i apologise. please play for my immortal soul while i resign my job as a statistician and surrender my phd.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 9 June 2016 16:31 (seven years ago) link

Hey man, when you posted the odds were 10/3 exactly at Paddy Power like the guy said. "Some were longer, some were shorter" is nonsense - 10/3 is the longest it's been all day, as I said. You made a mistake, no harm done. The betting talk in this thread is mostly harmless garbage and I wouldn't even bother except you were dropping links like a big man that you patently didn't understand.

Eyeball Kicks, Thursday, 9 June 2016 16:45 (seven years ago) link

when i said that the odds were not 10/3 anywhere and the odds were lengthening everywhere, well, the odds were not 10/3 anywhere, and the odds were and are lengthening everywhere. the same is also true in the screenshot you posted, and the same is true right now.

if you want to assume i don't understand probability or that i'm lying for some reason then fine.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 9 June 2016 16:53 (seven years ago) link

Fuck me. Ye got worse since.

Daithi Bowsie (darraghmac), Thursday, 9 June 2016 18:18 (seven years ago) link

when i said that the odds were not 10/3 anywhere and the odds were lengthening everywhere, well, the odds were not 10/3 anywhere

Hey you keep on saying this when the screenshot shows it was 10/3 at Paddy Power for more than four hours, including at the time (14:03) you posted your original thing. I've got nothing to say about lengthening or shortening odds (you're basically correct that odds have slightly lengthened today, though they haven't really shifted significantly for weeks). I think you're missing the point. The guy said the odds were 10/3 and you bizarrely and pompously called him a liar. He was right about 10/3, as the screenshot shows. He was wrong about everything else, including his thinking that 10/3 was low. I may have misread you telling him off with him that 10/3 would be low - but if so your "at the precise moment I posted" thing is weirder and funnier.

Eyeball Kicks, Thursday, 9 June 2016 18:26 (seven years ago) link

yes you misread me

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 9 June 2016 18:28 (seven years ago) link

i didn't call him a "liar" (wtf?) and i didn't say the things about the odds you "may" (ha) have misread me as saying.

but if you enjoy the "i'm not actually mad. my mum says i have a very even temper. i just think this is funny." stuff then go for it.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 9 June 2016 18:41 (seven years ago) link

"10/3 in places now"
"the leave odds are not 10/3 anywhere right now"

Hang your head in shame.

Eyeball Kicks, Thursday, 9 June 2016 18:56 (seven years ago) link

I'm feeling dreadfully pessimistic about this. Listening daily to vox-pops from "the great British public" on TV is utterly depressing.

Analogue Bubblebutt (jed_), Thursday, 9 June 2016 22:10 (seven years ago) link

I'm not sure what the current odds are, or the whatever caek's ZX81 has come up with:p

but it does feel like populist bigotry is on the up right now.

calzino, Thursday, 9 June 2016 22:26 (seven years ago) link

I can feel a brexit in my waters.

Load of fucking shite. Xenophobic sassanach bastards

the unbearable jimmy smits (jim in glasgow), Thursday, 9 June 2016 22:29 (seven years ago) link

must remain to post my ballot when I get home actually :/

the unbearable jimmy smits (jim in glasgow), Thursday, 9 June 2016 22:33 (seven years ago) link

haha Freudian slip

the unbearable jimmy smits (jim in glasgow), Thursday, 9 June 2016 22:33 (seven years ago) link

:)

A Brexit will supposedly hit 'us' harder than any other EU country (Ireland and Cyprus close on our tail). In all honesty, I just can't see it happening, England voting to leave the EU. But then it's been some years since I lived there and a lot can change fast, 'suppose? It would be quite surreal though. I for one would feel phantom pain where England once used to be a limb. Or something, idk. Just feels very wrong, for both England and EU to let go of each other.

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 9 June 2016 22:44 (seven years ago) link

We'd gain more from.arty dossers moving to west cork

Daithi Bowsie (darraghmac), Thursday, 9 June 2016 22:45 (seven years ago) link

(Full disclosure: I lived in the fringes of England, North-Yorkshire and Cornwall, and both probably - definitely - say nowt about 'England')

Xp

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 9 June 2016 22:48 (seven years ago) link

England? Don't you mean the United Kingdom?

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Thursday, 9 June 2016 22:54 (seven years ago) link

Though you're right that England might vote to leave the EU, the UK might vote to stay. Which would be hilarious.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Thursday, 9 June 2016 22:55 (seven years ago) link

England is being used quite commonly in vox pops. because that's what it boils down to, English nationalism (ok the welsh are really keen and vote for ukip in decent numbers but i have no idea what the welsh are all about tbh)

the unbearable jimmy smits (jim in glasgow), Thursday, 9 June 2016 22:56 (seven years ago) link

i have no idea what the welsh are all about tbh

They don't seem to know themselves.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Thursday, 9 June 2016 22:58 (seven years ago) link

I have never knowingly known a welsh person

the unbearable jimmy smits (jim in glasgow), Thursday, 9 June 2016 22:59 (seven years ago) link

Didn't use 'England' in a vox pop way but yeah, Europeans tend to see this as about England debating to leave the EU, not UK. Idk why.

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 9 June 2016 23:02 (seven years ago) link

Because the other nations aren't considered to be of any importance, I imagine.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Thursday, 9 June 2016 23:06 (seven years ago) link

Also Scotland failing to qualify for Euro 2016, of course.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Thursday, 9 June 2016 23:07 (seven years ago) link

Having gone to casualty recently I have no idea what state the NHS would be in if it weren't for new immigrants and 1st, 2nd and 3rd generation children of immigrants.

Analogue Bubblebutt (jed_), Thursday, 9 June 2016 23:08 (seven years ago) link

Did you watch QT? Eddie Izzard is such a nob.

Analogue Bubblebutt (jed_), Thursday, 9 June 2016 23:10 (seven years ago) link

to think he harbored ambitions of being mayor of london

the unbearable jimmy smits (jim in glasgow), Thursday, 9 June 2016 23:11 (seven years ago) link

Excruciating, made a complete arse of himself. By the way, in case anyone is not sure of the nomenclature, QT stands for the Nigel Farage Show.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Thursday, 9 June 2016 23:13 (seven years ago) link

I didn't actually catch it but was chatting to a friend about it just there, he claimed that a brexiter - I guess from the audience - actually said the sentence "we're being diluted".

the unbearable jimmy smits (jim in glasgow), Thursday, 9 June 2016 23:14 (seven years ago) link

I wish I hadn't caught it. Everything about it was fucking awful.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Thursday, 9 June 2016 23:16 (seven years ago) link

It's horrifying to watch.

Analogue Bubblebutt (jed_), Thursday, 9 June 2016 23:25 (seven years ago) link

"We are getting diluted" was actually the parting shot and final words of the "debate"

Analogue Bubblebutt (jed_), Thursday, 9 June 2016 23:47 (seven years ago) link

agent Izzard has served us well tonight [demonic Tory cackling]

calzino, Friday, 10 June 2016 00:05 (seven years ago) link

Leave odds now, at the time of posting, 2/1 and shortening.

a goon shaped fule (onimo), Sunday, 12 June 2016 13:03 (seven years ago) link

"Cameron defends campaign in face of Nigel Farage attacks"

Don't really know how we have got to the stage where the headline is this way round.

I've had Eno, ugh (ledge), Sunday, 12 June 2016 13:08 (seven years ago) link

Not that I would expect Cameron to go on the offensive against Farage's racism but y'know.

I've had Eno, ugh (ledge), Sunday, 12 June 2016 13:10 (seven years ago) link

I feel confident that people's natural conservatism will win through. Like in the Scottish referendum. The 'silent majority' aren't radical, people will choose the status quo.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Sunday, 12 June 2016 13:15 (seven years ago) link

I really really want that to be true (for once)

ǂbait (seandalai), Sunday, 12 June 2016 15:33 (seven years ago) link

Yes. I had caught myself thinking "People voted to change the status quo when we joined the Common Market" but of course they didn't: it was a referendum on staying in, where the status quo had already had a chance to bed in for two years.

Loss aversion theory seems to be the key to all this, which is why campaigners for the status quo do the Project Fear thing.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Loss_aversion

Alba, Monday, 13 June 2016 07:37 (seven years ago) link

I've been banking on a lot of secret status quo voting all the way through, but now I very much have a bad feeling that that's not enough

even if Remain wins, now there's precedent for a referendum and since such a result would presumably be quite close, is there any way out of people calling for a referendum again (and again, if necessary) until we do leave?

(I suppose most "mainstream" politicians would be extra careful not to promise one again. Would Boris get into power on his "lol Brexit" gambit and then, assuming he is secretly pro-Remain, keep up some lol-wotta-ledge bumbling as to why he's not rushing for another referendum? Or am I just clutching at straws? Admittedly kind of hilarious but probably imaginary straws. Whole Boris being PM thing not hilarious but poss inevitable, obv.)

...also somewhat resentful that if we leave, and things go horribly wrong economically, nobody who voted Leave will think maybe they shouldn't have, just think "well, things are only going badly because pesky foreigners messed it up for us with their not letting us get everything we wanted for free, therefore we were right to vote against the foreigners". so I can't even take comfort in the idea of being able to say "I told you so"

sorry for incoherent thoughts

a passing spacecadet, Monday, 13 June 2016 11:59 (seven years ago) link

The situation in the (likely) event of a narrow Remain win wouldn't be dissimilar to the aftermath of the Indyref. Calls for a second referendum getting louder and louder, Sturgeon knows full well that a second defeat really would take it off the agenda for a generation, and I'd expect Boris or whoever ends up as the de facto non-Farage face of the Leave camp to take much the same stance, ostensibly at least.

In the event of a Leave vote the divisions within both main parties will erupt into outright fury and recrimination. Cameron will be gone almost immediately and Corbyn may not be far behind. He isn't to blame for the performance of other Labour figures, but he's not really done much to dispel the notion that he isn't really that bothered about it. And his MPs will of course take any excuse to try and get rid of him, and this is a big one.

Matt DC, Monday, 13 June 2016 12:07 (seven years ago) link

Yes, Corbyn won't last much longer than Cameron if Leave wins. I'm still fairly sure Remain will win.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Monday, 13 June 2016 12:10 (seven years ago) link

I'm perversely looking forward to Boris having to try to pick a functional cabinet from the Peter Bones and Karl McCartneys if it does all go sideways.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 13 June 2016 12:26 (seven years ago) link

I'm hoping that's not a genuine poster?

AlanSmithee, Monday, 13 June 2016 12:44 (seven years ago) link

Yes, though they have deleted the tweet now.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 13 June 2016 12:45 (seven years ago) link

I'm almost more offended by the fact they used 'before' twice in the one sentence tbh.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Monday, 13 June 2016 12:51 (seven years ago) link

Hah!

Steve Reich In The Afternoon (Against The 80s), Monday, 13 June 2016 12:57 (seven years ago) link

the leave.eu twitter feed has also recently featured the work of Batshit Rightwing Cartoon thread favourite Ben Garrison:

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Ckwk-BvWsAEAzES.jpg

https://twitter.com/LeaveEUOfficial/status/742008689494626306

soref, Monday, 13 June 2016 13:01 (seven years ago) link

Who's the most senior Tory keeping their head down right now? In the event of Leave winning, the chances are they're going to be the next PM.

Matt DC, Monday, 13 June 2016 13:03 (seven years ago) link

That would be *spit* Theresa May.

jedi slimane (suzy), Monday, 13 June 2016 13:04 (seven years ago) link

Theresa May has been pretty quiet but Boris wil probablyl ride in on a wave of grassroots gratitude if leave wins.

Xp

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 13 June 2016 13:06 (seven years ago) link

She's virtually been living in an underground bunker for the duration.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Monday, 13 June 2016 13:06 (seven years ago) link

xps Ship's wheel not even in the right place

Never changed username before (cardamon), Monday, 13 June 2016 13:11 (seven years ago) link

That Garrison cartoon is like the antithesis of what will happen

Oh baby, if only you knew / Gabnebb hit a hundred-and-two (stevie), Monday, 13 June 2016 13:12 (seven years ago) link

...also somewhat resentful that if we leave, and things go horribly wrong economically, nobody who voted Leave will think maybe they shouldn't have, just think "well, things are only going badly because pesky foreigners messed it up for us with their not letting us get everything we wanted for free, therefore we were right to vote against the foreigners". so I can't even take comfort in the idea of being able to say "I told you so"

otm - and they're going to continue blaming immigrants and it's going to get really fucking horrible

Never changed username before (cardamon), Monday, 13 June 2016 13:13 (seven years ago) link

Saw this argument that crunched the numbers:

In terms of population, we’d end up with 1.85m fewer people living in our country after the 10 years. That sounds like a lot of people, which it is. But we’re a big country – 64.6m in total at the moment (2). So even under these very extreme assumptions the difference is only 2.8%. Less than 1 in 35.

Would you notice the difference if there were 34 instead of 35 people in your doctors’ waiting room? If there were 34 instead of 35 cars ahead of you in the traffic jam? Would your child’s education suffer in a class of 35 instead of 34? I doubt it.

Source of footnote 2: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationestimates

That is, should we leave the EU, it's not like there'll be any really visible drop in the number of non-white/non-british/non-native-English-speaking people in the country, the anti-immigrant crowd will not be pacified or sated by a result where we leave

Never changed username before (cardamon), Monday, 13 June 2016 13:18 (seven years ago) link

or leave could win and everything might turn out okay

xp

pandemic, Monday, 13 June 2016 13:20 (seven years ago) link

lol

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 13 June 2016 13:48 (seven years ago) link

Would you notice the difference if there were 34 instead of 35 people in your doctors’ waiting room? If there were 34 instead of 35 cars ahead of you in the traffic jam? Would your child’s education suffer in a class of 35 instead of 34? I doubt it.

this ignores the extra hundreds of millions that UKIP or Boris Johnson's Conservatives would be able to plough back into the welfare state as a result of not paying EU membership.

The Brexit Club (Noodle Vague), Monday, 13 June 2016 14:08 (seven years ago) link

we should have more threads where everybody is frightened of parliamentary democracy

The Brexit Club (Noodle Vague), Monday, 13 June 2016 14:09 (seven years ago) link

sorry parliamentary democracy

The Brexit Club (Noodle Vague), Monday, 13 June 2016 14:09 (seven years ago) link

Theresa May has been pretty quiet but Boris wil probablyl ride in on a wave of grassroots gratitude if leave wins.

I can't remember how Tory leadership campaigns work but could there be enough anyone-but-Boris votes among MPs to block him out of the wider party vote altogether? Either way you'd expect May to be the main recipient of those votes and potentially able to beat Boris even if it goes to the wider party. Experienced, able to vary her game between fake touchy-feely and brutalise-all-criminals, bit of Thatcheresque presence, comes across as the serious candidate vs Boris's lightweight batz, probably secretly pro-Brexit but not enough to rock the boat.

Matt DC, Monday, 13 June 2016 14:11 (seven years ago) link

There would be a pretty huge backlash if they blocked him out and they'd need to find someone suitably popular and suitably pro-Brexit to compete with May if they tried. I don't think that would be Gove.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 13 June 2016 14:13 (seven years ago) link

Maybe, thing about being the obvious successor is that people have time to build coalitions against you - I can see this turning into a Major situation, maybe even a Corbyn one.

Matt DC, Monday, 13 June 2016 14:15 (seven years ago) link

What about Liam Fox, the hunky doctor himself?

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Monday, 13 June 2016 14:21 (seven years ago) link

They are light on alternatives tbh. Looking at the odds, after May, Gove, Johnson and Osborne you are in to the likes of Stephen Crabb, Priti Patel and Phil Hammond. It is not a deep pool of talent to draw from. May vs Johnson looks plausible but idk how well May polls these days.

Fox is a likely stalking horse but 28/1 for a reason.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 13 June 2016 14:22 (seven years ago) link

Had to remind myself of why Liam Fox resigned from the cabinet in the first place.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Monday, 13 June 2016 14:26 (seven years ago) link

Heh - yesterday I had to remind my father-in-law why Liam Fox resigned, when he started referring to him as the 'principled' voice of the Leave campaign ...

Steve Reich In The Afternoon (Against The 80s), Monday, 13 June 2016 15:38 (seven years ago) link

Leave.EU have reposted the ISIS thing they took down this afternoon and followed up with this:

https://twitter.com/LeaveEUOfficial/status/742393655181344768

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 13 June 2016 17:04 (seven years ago) link

They really are very stupid.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Monday, 13 June 2016 17:08 (seven years ago) link

Taken down again!

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 13 June 2016 17:14 (seven years ago) link

Do the hokey cokey.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Monday, 13 June 2016 17:15 (seven years ago) link


Ed Balls: "We need to press Europe to restore proper borders and put new controls on economic migration.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 13 June 2016 18:00 (seven years ago) link

Trying to think of another time that the Labour and the Tory parties were simultaneously so weak. It feels like we have a political vacuum.

Alba, Monday, 13 June 2016 22:12 (seven years ago) link

I imagine him saying that to himself on the toilet

xpost

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Monday, 13 June 2016 22:15 (seven years ago) link

Trying to think of another time that the Labour and the Tory parties were simultaneously so weak. It feels like we have a political vacuum.

This was supposed to be the story of last year's election, but the first past the post system handed the Tories an overall majority (albeit a slim one) and everyone seems to have had their memory wiped and acts as if they romped home on a massive wave of popularity.

remain in the privacy of the booth (Nasty, Brutish & Short), Monday, 13 June 2016 22:22 (seven years ago) link

To those of you worried about the 6 point leave lead in today's poll a reminder that 6 points is how far out the galvanising 51% lead for yes was a week prior to the Scottish referendum.

Analogue Bubblebutt (jed_), Monday, 13 June 2016 22:56 (seven years ago) link

does it mean anything/nothing that all the major bookmakers are giving good odds on 'Remain' and bad on 'Leave'?

piscesx, Monday, 13 June 2016 22:58 (seven years ago) link

oh and from the cover of the S*n which hits the stands in a few hours..

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Ck3TpLxXIAAd5OE.jpg

piscesx, Monday, 13 June 2016 23:00 (seven years ago) link

Define good and bad odds.

Mark G, Tuesday, 14 June 2016 00:03 (seven years ago) link

i mean the bookies seem convinced based on forecasts not The Polls that it will go the Remain way.

piscesx, Tuesday, 14 June 2016 00:14 (seven years ago) link

This was supposed to be the story of last year's election, but the first past the post system handed the Tories an overall majority (albeit a slim one) and everyone seems to have had their memory wiped and acts as if they romped home on a massive wave of popularity.

OK, maybe I should have used the word "divided" rather than "weak". At least at election time there was some semblance of the parties being united, rather than in open internal warfare.

Alba, Tuesday, 14 June 2016 06:06 (seven years ago) link

not only united but barely distinguishable from one another

The Brexit Club (Noodle Vague), Tuesday, 14 June 2016 06:08 (seven years ago) link

The odds are barely more than evens now. I'm running out of hope.

AlanSmithee, Tuesday, 14 June 2016 08:13 (seven years ago) link

For anyone still fence-sitting this is a long, but excellent, piece on why the Leave side's arguments aren't strong enough to risk voting out:

http://barristerblogger.com/2016/06/13/must-remain-eu-peace-prosperity/

Steve Reich In The Afternoon (Against The 80s), Tuesday, 14 June 2016 09:24 (seven years ago) link

don't think the Leave side is over-burdened with people who read long, excellent pieces

The Brexit Club (Noodle Vague), Tuesday, 14 June 2016 09:44 (seven years ago) link

Hah!

Steve Reich In The Afternoon (Against The 80s), Tuesday, 14 June 2016 09:54 (seven years ago) link

Or write them.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Tuesday, 14 June 2016 09:57 (seven years ago) link

Interesting article about the legal obligations following a 'Leave' win:

http://blogs.ft.com/david-allen-green/2016/06/14/can-the-united-kingdom-government-legally-disregard-a-vote-for-brexit/

Steve Reich In The Afternoon (Against The 80s), Tuesday, 14 June 2016 11:21 (seven years ago) link

^ paywalled

koogs, Tuesday, 14 June 2016 11:59 (seven years ago) link

click first result https://www.google.com/search?q=can+the+uk+government+legally+disregard+brexit

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 14 June 2016 12:08 (seven years ago) link

thanks.

would've been a lot easier for him to just renege on his election promise for a referendum

koogs, Tuesday, 14 June 2016 12:21 (seven years ago) link

Strikes me as largely irrelevant - any government that tried to go against the result of the referendum (or prolong it for ages) would be torn down and replaced with one that wouldn't.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 14 June 2016 12:37 (seven years ago) link

FWIW I think the effect of these polls will be to drive a lot of Remainers straight to the ballot box.

There was a very spurious stat in the Telegraph today about like 30% of Leavers not even knowing when the referendum date was, or thinking it was on a different day.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 14 June 2016 12:40 (seven years ago) link

I'm not very good with future dates myself. Until this week and it being "Thursday Week" I'd struggled to get the date into my head.

Alba, Tuesday, 14 June 2016 12:42 (seven years ago) link

Also I think the freak-outable undecided vote is bigger than is being reflected in these polls, and will probably fall on the Remain side when push comes to shove.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 14 June 2016 12:43 (seven years ago) link

I'm not very good with future dates myself. Until this week and it being "Thursday Week" I'd struggled to get the date into my head.

surprised you're voting brexit

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Tuesday, 14 June 2016 12:49 (seven years ago) link

too many eu-regulated extra days in the week

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Tuesday, 14 June 2016 12:50 (seven years ago) link

cool that Ed Balls has waded in for Remain but calling for an end to freedom of movement

https://cdn.meme.am/instances/500x/65641341.jpg

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Tuesday, 14 June 2016 14:12 (seven years ago) link

Kind of appropriate that my attempt to ridicule Ed Balls should flounder due to a computer cock up

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Tuesday, 14 June 2016 14:16 (seven years ago) link

can't understand why Remain isn't gaining traction, another week's hectoring from middle class Blairite ultras should rescue the situation tho

The Brexit Club (Noodle Vague), Tuesday, 14 June 2016 16:14 (seven years ago) link

The Footsie has now shed 378 points since the start of trading on Thursday, when Brexit fears began to mount.

That means a staggering £98bn has been wiped off the value of Britain’s biggest companies in four trading days.

Might concentrate a few minds if they can start communicating the link between economic risk and personal finances more effectively. Cameron seems to have given up though.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 14 June 2016 16:22 (seven years ago) link

Hard realisation for him that he's actually a really inept campaigner when not carried by fascist newspaper magnates

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Tuesday, 14 June 2016 16:54 (seven years ago) link

Comments from former cabinet secretary Lord Butler on a post-Brexit vote.

"I am not a member of any political party but I think British politics might be a great deal healthier if the Conservatives, and Labour, did split into pro and anti-European parties. You could just possibly see a realignment of the political institutions. The Conservative Party would split: let us say, the Brexiteers join UKIP and say we are going to maintain our campaign, and leave a pro-EU Conservative Party. Similarly you could have Labour sceptics joining an anti-EU conglomeration.

https://www.politicshome.com/news/uk/government-and-public-sector/house/76094/lord-butler-if-david-cameron-loses-he-has-go-%E2%80%93-and

Alba, Tuesday, 14 June 2016 17:28 (seven years ago) link

That sounds horrible.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Tuesday, 14 June 2016 17:29 (seven years ago) link

Got my always independently minded MP Kate Hoey's Brexit propaganda today, all bogus statistics and flag waving. Apparently all British workers' rights were won by British trade unions and are enshrined in British law.

I wanna whole Dior hand (ledge), Tuesday, 14 June 2016 17:55 (seven years ago) link

http://images1.persgroep.net/rcs/xZNu4O2n8fSuzJj3WQdGMTICjJk/diocontent/67281332/_crop/0/0/1081/1553/_fitwidth/694/?appId=21791a8992982cd8da851550a453bd7f&quality=0.9

Cover of one of the biggest Dutch newspapers tomorrow. Tag line says: "Because they can be difficult at times. But we can't and don't want to go without them."

Le Bateau Ivre, Tuesday, 14 June 2016 20:12 (seven years ago) link

English op-ed: http://www.ad.nl/nieuws/oproep-aan-de-britten-please-don-t-leave-us~ab721864/

Le Bateau Ivre, Tuesday, 14 June 2016 20:15 (seven years ago) link

Der Spiegel had some similar dual-language editorials on Saturday, though the main one seems to have vanished behind a paywall now. I like the idea!

Sry for crankiness y/day. My trip to work went past a long wall of hoardings with giant swastikas sprayed all over them as part of some "do you see" anti-EU commentary and I was perhaps unduly rattled. Hey thanks, incisive spray-painting commentator.

Apparently all British workers' rights were won by British trade unions and are enshrined in British law.

...ah yes, all these glorious egalitarian rights-granting British laws which will definitely not be dismantled by any future British govts without (or even with) the EU to keep an eye on them

a passing spacecadet, Tuesday, 14 June 2016 21:21 (seven years ago) link

I wish someone from the Remain camp would explain (obv in high octane scaremongering sound bites:P) that despite what you think of the EU as a long term project, no good will ever come from giving Tories another free hand to throttle you.

calzino, Tuesday, 14 June 2016 21:36 (seven years ago) link

I know. This could have been Labour's moment of triumph. They could have taken the reins of Remain for themselves, put their stamp on it, and swatted the baffled, riven Conservatives into irrelevancy

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 14 June 2016 21:41 (seven years ago) link

But yeah both parties so useless. Thank God Nigel Farage is too

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 14 June 2016 21:42 (seven years ago) link

I know. This could have been Labour's moment of triumph. They could have taken the reins of Remain for themselves, put their stamp on it, and swatted the baffled, riven Conservatives into irrelevancy

― illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, June 14, 2016 9:41 PM (25 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

OTM, such a wasted opportunity and one that has led to a simply desperate situation.

Analogue Bubblebutt (jed_), Tuesday, 14 June 2016 22:11 (seven years ago) link

The whole thing is such an own goal for the Tories. Why put the country at such risk? If you're the safe pair of hands why throw the chessboard up in the air? What does your party stand for? etc.

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 14 June 2016 23:08 (seven years ago) link

Hasn't Hilary Benn got any inspirational speeches in the tank? Or are these to be just solely used for leadership challenges/military propaganda ?

calzino, Tuesday, 14 June 2016 23:19 (seven years ago) link

Or Killing an Arab.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Tuesday, 14 June 2016 23:21 (seven years ago) link

I keep hearing about this plague of insecticide resistant Diamond back moths coming from Europe, even Goebels didn't try and demonise moths:p

calzino, Tuesday, 14 June 2016 23:27 (seven years ago) link

Hasn't Hilary Benn got any inspirational speeches in the tank? Or are these to be just solely used for leadership challenges/military propaganda ?

he made a big remain speech on Monday, possibly it was not that inspirational though, judging by the fact that appears to have passed everyone by

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/eu-referendum-remain-campaign-hopes-hilary-benn-speech-will-reinvigorate-campaign-a7078801.html

the independent have chosen to accompany the article with an impressive example of the "this facial expression" expression

http://cdn2.spectator.co.uk/files/2015/11/f1.jpg

soref, Tuesday, 14 June 2016 23:32 (seven years ago) link

He looks like he is pulling a long hair out of his nose

calzino, Tuesday, 14 June 2016 23:35 (seven years ago) link

That might just win back some people from the Brexit camp though.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Tuesday, 14 June 2016 23:37 (seven years ago) link

Osborne threatens to cancel Christmas:

http://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/osborne-to-raise-taxes-if-voters-go-for-brexit-3sgvlmw3s

carson dial, Wednesday, 15 June 2016 00:02 (seven years ago) link

Except he won't be in the job.

Analogue Bubblebutt (jed_), Wednesday, 15 June 2016 00:32 (seven years ago) link

he made a big remain speech on Monday, possibly it was not that inspirational though, judging by the fact that appears to have passed everyone by

This is a problem – there's such tumult at the moment that only the loudest soundbites from the biggest names make any waves at all. It basically has to be a shriller than ever doom prediction, or anything to do with immigration. Gordon Brown's Monday speech barely registered either.

Labour are totally fucking it up, in an admittedly difficult media landscape. Corbyn has a potentially good "Johnson and Farage are wolves in sheep's clothing" line yesterday, but within a few hours his message was overshadowed by his own deputy on the back foot making noises about "It's time to look again at free movement within in the EU".

Alba, Wednesday, 15 June 2016 05:13 (seven years ago) link

Lots of people are highlighting the Cameron / Farage debate as a key error - Farage having little to lose and having his credibility boosted as 'the official face of the opposition'.

I see The Sun is going with "Brexit rocket boost to shares" on the front page, after four days in which shares fell by £98bn.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Wednesday, 15 June 2016 05:33 (seven years ago) link

Lots of people are highlighting the Cameron / Farage debate as a key error - Farage having little to lose and having his credibility boosted as 'the official face of the opposition'.

That's interesting. The way I see it, anything the Remain campaign can do to bring Farage into the limelight is a good idea – he's so unpopular with the moderate majority that anything that can be done to associate Brexit with him is a good idea IMO.

Alba, Wednesday, 15 June 2016 07:12 (seven years ago) link

I think Farage is more popular than you suspect. He's selling the "let's take back control" very well.

Assuming a brexit win, I think a lot of the little-Englander Leave voters are going to be disappointed when the realise that what they've actually voted for is the neoliberal policies of people like Grayling and Gove, who are rather keener on cheap migrant labour than them.

Steve Reich In The Afternoon (Against The 80s), Wednesday, 15 June 2016 08:38 (seven years ago) link

If the referendum is close but in Leave's favour, does the decision still have to pass the House Of Commons before we are out?

Oh baby, if only you knew / Gabnebb hit a hundred-and-two (stevie), Wednesday, 15 June 2016 08:57 (seven years ago) link

About time the Queen earned her money.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Wednesday, 15 June 2016 09:02 (seven years ago) link

If the referendum is close but in Leave's favour, does the decision still have to pass the House Of Commons before we are out?

Absolutely. The result of the referendum is a 'recommendation', and nothing more. Close or otherwise, Parliament has the final say, and then they still have to invoke 'Article 50' to formally initiate the exit process.

I can't see them trying to ignore a leave vote unless it was very close and turnout was very low

Steve Reich In The Afternoon (Against The 80s), Wednesday, 15 June 2016 09:11 (seven years ago) link

I think Farage is more popular than you suspect. He's selling the "let's take back control" very well.

Latest favorability ratings I can immediately see (Feb) are more depressing than I thought, but I'd still say he's toxic to a lot of waverers.

http://www2.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/113201617588.jpg

Meanwhile, Bob Geldof is on a boat with Rachel Johnson threatening to intercept Farage's flotilla.

https://twitter.com/mikeysmith/status/743006829408575488

Alba, Wednesday, 15 June 2016 09:12 (seven years ago) link

Yes, still has to go through the Commons.

I don't think Farage will get a permanent boost to his viability but in a single issue debate where he can throw out all sorts of nonsense, backed by large sections of the press, safe I the knowledge that he will never have to be accountable for it, there is no reason to think he can't have an impact. Giving him equal billing with the PM adds credibility to his platform.

I still think annihilation of the Tory right is the most effective way forward but Cameron's queasiness about 'blue on blue' attacks has taken that off the table. The 57 MPs who have signalled they will vote down a post exit budget don't have the same qualms.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Wednesday, 15 June 2016 09:15 (seven years ago) link

I'd forgotten about Nigel's flotilla! The mad bastard!!

Steve Reich In The Afternoon (Against The 80s), Wednesday, 15 June 2016 09:17 (seven years ago) link

Someone going through and itemising the 57 as 'this is the one who still has a nanny', 'this is the one who wrote an open letter to Twitter demanding they upgrade their security after accidentally favouriting a BDSM porn tweet and claiming to have been hacked', etc might lessen the impact.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Wednesday, 15 June 2016 09:19 (seven years ago) link

About time the Queen earned her money.

does the queen like the eu

conrad, Wednesday, 15 June 2016 09:39 (seven years ago) link

there's a fearmongering/defeatist tone in the guardian that's really feeling damaging in this campaign.

A land without Polish plumbers, the end of the Calais booze trip and no more need to learn tricky foreign languages … Welcome to post-EU Britain

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jun/15/brexit-survival-guide-freeze-cheese-holidays-albania

it really feels like it's getting into "don't bother voting" territory.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Wednesday, 15 June 2016 09:50 (seven years ago) link

Meanwhile, lots of entertainment to be had watching "Sir" Philip Green having a stand up fight with allcomers on the Select Committee.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Wednesday, 15 June 2016 09:55 (seven years ago) link

He just broke off an answer to ask Richard Fuller MP to “stop staring” at him, as it’s making him uncomfortable.

Fuller insists he doesn’t want to make Green uncomfortable, as everyone stares at Green in disbelief.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Wednesday, 15 June 2016 09:56 (seven years ago) link

Given the UK will effectively be in the EU for some time even if Leave wins, the short term effect would presumably be a lot of people trying to get into the country while they still can? ie it could actually increase migration in the short term?

Matt DC, Wednesday, 15 June 2016 09:59 (seven years ago) link

could be balanced out by the people trying to escape this nuthouse?

real orgone kid (NickB), Wednesday, 15 June 2016 10:02 (seven years ago) link

Independent Scotland will welcome them with open arms.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Wednesday, 15 June 2016 10:03 (seven years ago) link

I was thinking of moving to Dublin.

Alba, Wednesday, 15 June 2016 10:15 (seven years ago) link

Need your passport for that.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Wednesday, 15 June 2016 10:17 (seven years ago) link

I know we're not in the habit of quoting Guardian commenters with approval, but silkmonkey here mirrors my own state of anxiety at the moment:

https://discussion.theguardian.com/comment-permalink/76427843

Alba, Wednesday, 15 June 2016 12:24 (seven years ago) link

peter_brentiskew
15 June 2016 12:48pm
I am getting increasingly happy and upbeat as the polls awing towards Brexit.

It's a great time to be British. About to lead the way to a better future for Europe by shattering the misguided EU.

Oh baby, if only you knew / Gabnebb hit a hundred-and-two (stevie), Wednesday, 15 June 2016 12:32 (seven years ago) link

I just can't imagine how someone's perception could be scrambled enough to believe this is a great time to be British.

Oh baby, if only you knew / Gabnebb hit a hundred-and-two (stevie), Wednesday, 15 June 2016 12:33 (seven years ago) link

when is it ever a great time to be British?

pandemic, Wednesday, 15 June 2016 12:38 (seven years ago) link

Who is ever "british"?

Apart from yknow the orangemen

Daithi Bowsie (darraghmac), Wednesday, 15 June 2016 12:39 (seven years ago) link

was just thinking on the way to work what a difference 4 years make, how it DID feel good in 2012 with the olympics and all.

koogs, Wednesday, 15 June 2016 12:46 (seven years ago) link

Still, though, Boris and the zip-line.

Oh baby, if only you knew / Gabnebb hit a hundred-and-two (stevie), Wednesday, 15 June 2016 12:49 (seven years ago) link

(xxp) deems about as otm as it's possible to be.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Wednesday, 15 June 2016 12:50 (seven years ago) link

Farrage and Geldoff are literally fighting on boats in the Thames, right? wtf

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Wednesday, 15 June 2016 13:10 (seven years ago) link

What a time to be alive!

pandemic, Wednesday, 15 June 2016 13:11 (seven years ago) link

The 17th century!

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Wednesday, 15 June 2016 13:12 (seven years ago) link

end times, yeah

ghosts that don't exist (Neil S), Wednesday, 15 June 2016 13:12 (seven years ago) link

I want to shoot the whole day down.

Alba, Wednesday, 15 June 2016 13:28 (seven years ago) link

spent the morning intermittently praying for them to all sink or be washed away in a deluge

the hallouminati (lex pretend), Wednesday, 15 June 2016 13:33 (seven years ago) link

^^^ Was just about to post that myself. Glorious.

Steve Reich In The Afternoon (Against The 80s), Wednesday, 15 June 2016 18:08 (seven years ago) link

:)))))

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Wednesday, 15 June 2016 18:11 (seven years ago) link

lol

Le Bateau Ivre, Wednesday, 15 June 2016 18:12 (seven years ago) link

"A trawler once involved in Britain's biggest fishing fraud and now owned by a Sunday Times Rich List millionaire is an unfortunate choice to lead a flotilla supposed to represent a fishing industry on its last leg because of Brussels. But it's also an unwitting clue to where the real problem lies. It's not the EU but the grossly unfair division of fish quota rubber stamped by successive UK governments that's threatening the livelihoods of thousands of small-scale fishers."

http://www.greenpeace.org.uk/media/press-releases/brexit-flotilla%E2%80%99s-star-trawler-was-involved-%C2%A363m-fishing-fraud-20160615

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 15 June 2016 18:25 (seven years ago) link

Facebook and geldof have both been pointing out that Nigel himself was our mep in charge of fishing quotas and he went to exactly 1 meeting in his time. I wonder how true this is.

Also fishing quotas, like taxes, are there for a reason

koogs, Wednesday, 15 June 2016 18:44 (seven years ago) link

DON'T
SWALLOW
DAVE'S
PORK
PIES

Leave have taken to flyposting the above around the place, probably to get the cockney vote. took me a while to work out what they were for (it does say VOTE LEAVE underneath but in smaller font)

koogs, Wednesday, 15 June 2016 21:48 (seven years ago) link

"FACK ME, THIS GEEZER SPEAKS MY LANGUAGE, 'E'S DEFINITELY GOT MY VOTE"

maybe not

The Brexit Club (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 15 June 2016 22:35 (seven years ago) link

there is some subliminal pig fucking imagery in there, genius!

calzino, Wednesday, 15 June 2016 22:45 (seven years ago) link

Are the Anarchists saying "Vote Leave", because then there'd be, um, you know, anarchy and suchlike?

Mark G, Thursday, 16 June 2016 09:01 (seven years ago) link

It's only just sinking in that we could be about to enter the final week of David Cameron's Premiership, and no matter how much of a destructive and divisive failure it was, what's probably coming is going to be much worse.

Matt DC, Thursday, 16 June 2016 10:33 (seven years ago) link

stoked 4 da madness

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Thursday, 16 June 2016 10:45 (seven years ago) link

Also trying to work out which of Osborne's tax and cuts threat or Farage's literal horde of brown people is going to backfire the worst.

Matt DC, Thursday, 16 June 2016 11:01 (seven years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vxXsEFajtrI

Terminator Brexit (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 16 June 2016 11:41 (seven years ago) link

every time I see alasdair darling these days he's on stage with some odious tories

conrad, Thursday, 16 June 2016 11:42 (seven years ago) link

these days?

Terminator Brexit (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 16 June 2016 11:44 (seven years ago) link

thank you

conrad, Thursday, 16 June 2016 11:47 (seven years ago) link

Boom.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Thursday, 16 June 2016 12:11 (seven years ago) link

Nominative determinism

Daithi Bowsie (darraghmac), Thursday, 16 June 2016 12:23 (seven years ago) link

Fucking hell

https://twitter.com/Channel4News/status/743426961683451904

Alba, Thursday, 16 June 2016 12:57 (seven years ago) link

holy shit that is just up the road from me, hope she is ok.

calzino, Thursday, 16 June 2016 13:00 (seven years ago) link

Jesus

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 16 June 2016 13:02 (seven years ago) link

It's being reported the attacker was in their late sixties or early seventies and had a homemade gun. This is completely bizarre and horrifying.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Thursday, 16 June 2016 13:28 (seven years ago) link

And shouted "Britain First"

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/live-jo-cox-shot-birstall-8207676

Alba, Thursday, 16 June 2016 13:31 (seven years ago) link

Christ :( And the Vote Leave bellends on twitter are already starting with the 'false flag' nonsense ...

Steve Reich In The Afternoon (Against The 80s), Thursday, 16 June 2016 13:58 (seven years ago) link

Yeah, couldn't believe the second comment I saw was 'false flag'. Jesus christ, what the actual fuck?

emil.y, Thursday, 16 June 2016 14:36 (seven years ago) link

a 52 year old man has been arrested.

Mark G, Thursday, 16 June 2016 14:42 (seven years ago) link

All campaigning has been suspended (independently of each other)

Mark G, Thursday, 16 June 2016 14:42 (seven years ago) link

What does false flag mean?

/simpleton

plums (a hoy hoy), Thursday, 16 June 2016 14:47 (seven years ago) link

like saying the fbi attack itself solely in order to blame some other group it's opposed to

pandemic, Thursday, 16 June 2016 14:48 (seven years ago) link

i think

pandemic, Thursday, 16 June 2016 14:49 (seven years ago) link

Basically a government conspiracy where they do something terrible in order to make another group seem culpable/dangerous.

xps

emil.y, Thursday, 16 June 2016 14:49 (seven years ago) link

Because obviously hardcore nationalists would never do anything violent. They have no previous history of that sort of behaviour at all.

emil.y, Thursday, 16 June 2016 14:50 (seven years ago) link

https://www.wikiwand.com/en/False_flag

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 16 June 2016 14:51 (seven years ago) link

Depressing how this US Far Right garbage is influencing our, eh, UK Far Right garbage. False flag, Generation Snowflake, blah blah blah, it'll be cucks and libtards next.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Thursday, 16 June 2016 15:00 (seven years ago) link

She's one of the names I seem to see a lot amongst right wing types online. Not sure why specifically.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Thursday, 16 June 2016 15:04 (seven years ago) link

Or maybe I'm confusing her for someone else? I can't seem to find many mentions of her now. Certainly the idiots claiming false flag at no surprise.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Thursday, 16 June 2016 15:21 (seven years ago) link

Jayda Fransen, deputy leader of Britain First, said the party was “looking into the reports right now”. “We were extremely shocked to see these reports and we are keen to confirm them, because of course at the moment it is hearsay,” she said. “This has just been brought to our attention. This is absolutely not the kind of behaviour we would condone.”

!

Analogue Bubblebutt (jed_), Thursday, 16 June 2016 15:44 (seven years ago) link

Thanks for the explanation. This is fucking crazy, I hope she survives.

plums (a hoy hoy), Thursday, 16 June 2016 15:52 (seven years ago) link

don't really know much about britain first, look like a cross between russian paramilitaries and people who work at a wyevale garden centre?

http://i.huffpost.com/gen/3928128/thumbs/o-JAYDA-FRANSEN-570.jpg

real orgone kid (NickB), Thursday, 16 June 2016 16:03 (seven years ago) link

i do know that i never ever want to be stranded on a island with them please

real orgone kid (NickB), Thursday, 16 June 2016 16:05 (seven years ago) link

useless bbc keep talking about her in the past tense ffs

pandemic, Thursday, 16 June 2016 16:05 (seven years ago) link

i mean, jfc is this sort of thing not ringing any bells with people -->

http://i.huffpost.com/gen/3923258/thumbs/o-BRITAIN-FIRST-570.jpg

real orgone kid (NickB), Thursday, 16 June 2016 16:08 (seven years ago) link

The bbc had a documentary about them a couple months back. They are essentially a post-edl meme factory who go around and bully people of other ethnicities until those people get pissed off, which is when they turn the camera on and say "omg look at what these thugs did to innocent me". This has then elevated to edl-esque support, awkward america style christianity tie ins, rallies and getting garden variety centre right types to share parts of their agenda online even if they dont know more than the facebook post. I know ive had to tell my mother off for it more than once.

plums (a hoy hoy), Thursday, 16 June 2016 16:11 (seven years ago) link

garden variety centre right types

Thanks to Nick B I read this as "garden centre variety types".

emil.y, Thursday, 16 June 2016 16:14 (seven years ago) link

jeez

Never changed username before (cardamon), Thursday, 16 June 2016 16:14 (seven years ago) link

jesus r.i.p

pandemic, Thursday, 16 June 2016 16:15 (seven years ago) link

She has died :'( What a tragedy.

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 16 June 2016 16:17 (seven years ago) link

god, that's devastating news. so sad and angry.

The Nickelbackean Ethics (jim in glasgow), Thursday, 16 June 2016 16:17 (seven years ago) link

oh fuck

real orgone kid (NickB), Thursday, 16 June 2016 16:17 (seven years ago) link

Nooo oh that's tragic. RIP.

Analogue Bubblebutt (jed_), Thursday, 16 June 2016 16:24 (seven years ago) link

Fucking hell. This is so awful.

emil.y, Thursday, 16 June 2016 16:24 (seven years ago) link

And how many more people of that type stockpiling weapons?

Never changed username before (cardamon), Thursday, 16 June 2016 16:25 (seven years ago) link

completely chilling and tragic

the hallouminati (lex pretend), Thursday, 16 June 2016 16:26 (seven years ago) link

RIP. Awful. I hope this wakes people up to these far right cunts though.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Thursday, 16 June 2016 16:28 (seven years ago) link

terrible. rip.

the toast of every coast (cajunsunday), Thursday, 16 June 2016 16:31 (seven years ago) link

unbelievable. just awful.

goole, Thursday, 16 June 2016 16:33 (seven years ago) link

Sad and angry. RIP.

jedi slimane (suzy), Thursday, 16 June 2016 16:37 (seven years ago) link

It is absolutely horrible. Her poor family.

I wonder where he got the gun from. I know there are pockets of gun crime in inner cities but if this guy was an older loner type, its got to be something else than what the news usually focuses on

plums (a hoy hoy), Thursday, 16 June 2016 16:39 (seven years ago) link

The early reports said it was unusual and might be homemade.

This is terrifying. The first MP murdered since Ian Gow. She had two small children who went on the Thames protest with her yesterday.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Thursday, 16 June 2016 16:41 (seven years ago) link

Oh that's awful!

Pastoral Fantasy (jed_), Thursday, 16 June 2016 16:42 (seven years ago) link

so awful

Oh baby, if only you knew / Gabnebb hit a hundred-and-two (stevie), Thursday, 16 June 2016 16:44 (seven years ago) link

RIP.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Thursday, 16 June 2016 16:44 (seven years ago) link

As far as who Britain First are, there are lots of the online Right who consider Paul Golding a hero for turning his back on Sadiq Khan. He ran (terribly) or mayor of London.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Thursday, 16 June 2016 16:47 (seven years ago) link

Attacker had far right connections but also previous mental health issues.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Thursday, 16 June 2016 16:48 (seven years ago) link

I wonder which the right-wing media will decide had more influence.

emil.y, Thursday, 16 June 2016 16:58 (seven years ago) link

everybody accepts that just because a lone psychopath publicly aligns themselves with a political cause it doesn't mean they are a representative or product of that cause

Terminator Brexit (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 16 June 2016 17:04 (seven years ago) link

With husband and daughters on the Thames yesterday.

http://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/976/cpsprodpb/8461/production/_89998833_brendancox_blurred_976.jpg

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Thursday, 16 June 2016 17:05 (seven years ago) link

or product of that cause

Probably too soon to have this discussion but what about the rhetoric the organisation pumps out - sure it matters whether they directly 'sent' him or not, probably they wouldn't be so stupid as to do that - but we've all seen what they put out on facebook for millions of people to see

Never changed username before (cardamon), Thursday, 16 June 2016 17:09 (seven years ago) link

i was being sarcastic in a way that i'd probably FP somebody else for being.

sure this conversation will be had elsewhere, but as far as it touches on the EU referendum and the nauseating moron conspiracy theories that are gonna be everywhere i think i'd better shut up and sit it out

Terminator Brexit (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 16 June 2016 17:11 (seven years ago) link

am spiralling into this void of anger, fear and despair here. fuck fuck fucking hell

real orgone kid (NickB), Thursday, 16 June 2016 17:12 (seven years ago) link

Had no problems with that sarcasm tbh. (xp)

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Thursday, 16 June 2016 17:13 (seven years ago) link

London Black Revs timeline on Twitter worth a look rn

jedi slimane (suzy), Thursday, 16 June 2016 17:15 (seven years ago) link

I was just moaning about how lawless Batley is getting after having a skirmish with some ignorant thug arseholes who were making disablist comments to my son outside Tesco on saturday. But despite what the area is like you really wouldn't expect to get murdered in broad daylight in Birstall :(

calzino, Thursday, 16 June 2016 17:15 (seven years ago) link

Donald Trump just tweeted 'AMERICA FIRST!'

I don't want to live on this planet any more.

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 16 June 2016 17:37 (seven years ago) link

From following this at work I'd somehow misunderstood that she had survived the attack and was stable in hospital, what a horrendous thing

From following the BBC coverage it was difficult to ascertain that there was any apparent connection to the referendum at all, aside from a lone confusing-in-context reference to campaigning being suspended on both sides

I know they need to avoid fanning the flames by carelessly reporting unconfirmed info but the neutrality just seems bogus and sinister when it's a prominent Remain campaigner getting murdered in public during a notably hysterical referendum campaign

Dadjokke (Sgt. Biscuits), Thursday, 16 June 2016 17:38 (seven years ago) link

Scratch that, he tweeted it two days ago, sorry

Xp

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 16 June 2016 17:38 (seven years ago) link

I just heard about this. I'm sorry to hear about it. Absolutely tragic.

how's life, Thursday, 16 June 2016 17:41 (seven years ago) link

@NV sorry didn't get the sarcasm there

Never changed username before (cardamon), Thursday, 16 June 2016 17:53 (seven years ago) link

don't worry, as i say i had second thoughts soon as i posted

Terminator Brexit (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 16 June 2016 17:55 (seven years ago) link

No worries.

@Dadjokke The exact recipe for this behaviour is always complicated, but this time ... I don't know what Britain First have been saying about the EU referendum specifically but ...

Never changed username before (cardamon), Thursday, 16 June 2016 17:55 (seven years ago) link

ugh, this is horrible, RIP

a passing spacecadet, Thursday, 16 June 2016 17:56 (seven years ago) link

the sun calling him a "loner"

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 16 June 2016 17:56 (seven years ago) link

this kind of murder...not a good look trying to score any kind of political point off it right now.

which isn't to say that all murder isn't political in a complex set of ways, but plugging into a reductive "Team A/Team B" football politics feels sick to me

Terminator Brexit (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 16 June 2016 17:57 (seven years ago) link

http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2016/06/a-day-of-infamy/

decent piece by massie

The Nickelbackean Ethics (jim in glasgow), Thursday, 16 June 2016 18:00 (seven years ago) link

I've been a bit weirded out about people using it to score points about remaining in the EU, even though she was an ardent Remain supporter, but I think it's pretty fucking clear this is a political act carried out by a racist right-winger, it *IS* political, inherently.

xp

emil.y, Thursday, 16 June 2016 18:01 (seven years ago) link

Sure - difficult to do the maths on whether he was influenced by BF and/or the Leave campaign, plus Orlando shooting and football fights ... then if he was, what is the correct way to address this xxp

Never changed username before (cardamon), Thursday, 16 June 2016 18:01 (seven years ago) link

i'm expecting reductive political point scoring ("someone on team a did a bad thing therefore team b is the best", etc.), which i agree is nagl, but this is a political murder in a pretty simple way tbh. it was the murder of a politician by a man shouting the name of a political party. basically http://gawker.com/5927847/there-is-no-such-thing-as-politicizing-a-tragedy

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 16 June 2016 18:01 (seven years ago) link

i mean based on what we know now, this is literally the dictionary definition of assassination.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 16 June 2016 18:02 (seven years ago) link

It's possible he might have been shouting "Britain first" not "Britain First".

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Thursday, 16 June 2016 18:03 (seven years ago) link

... sorry if that sounds like a stupid thing to say.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Thursday, 16 June 2016 18:03 (seven years ago) link

certainly got no intention of playing Cap'n Save-a-Nazi, so won't add anything now. will say the story is still unfolding.

Terminator Brexit (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 16 June 2016 18:05 (seven years ago) link

London Black Revs said this:

Tommy Mair, arrested shooter. Batley, West Yorkshire
+ 2006 - had a subscription to an Anti-ANC Pro White South African Magazine.
+ Now Named by the BBC and Independent, Guardian, Mirror.
+ House is Cordoned Off and confirmed by Neighbours.
+ White Nationalist Political Interests
+ Shooter's former address - Fieldhead Estate
+ Subscription to SpringBok publication, a pro white supremacist organisation. Now split to 'Swinton Circle', which are still active and organising with Pegida.
+ His most likely political links are probably with Britain First.
Tommy Meir's had affiliations to an organisation called 'SpringBok' their motto is '"Out of Europe and into the World". Highly motivated against Labour's "racism" towards white people. A pro white supremacist south african organisation in exile in Britain.

Never changed username before (cardamon), Thursday, 16 June 2016 18:05 (seven years ago) link

Nick Griffin
‏@NickGriffinBU

If #JoCox dies (& we all pray she doesn't) just watch #Remain exploit the tragedy in attempt to shore up their crumbling blackmail campaign

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Thursday, 16 June 2016 18:06 (seven years ago) link

Between this and the Farage poster this morning this is honestly the worst single day I can remember in British politics. Just... where does this end?

Matt DC, Thursday, 16 June 2016 18:06 (seven years ago) link

Also let's stop pretending that mental illness has nothing to do with government policy or structural conditions in society ffs.

Matt DC, Thursday, 16 June 2016 18:09 (seven years ago) link

yep. "loner" is the sun's favourite way of eliding that direct link.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 16 June 2016 18:09 (seven years ago) link

which is part of what i meant by "complexly" political. beyond his immediate Party goals is all that stuff + misogyny + christ alone knows what else

Terminator Brexit (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 16 June 2016 18:11 (seven years ago) link

understood and you make a fair point.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 16 June 2016 18:12 (seven years ago) link

Not a fan of The Spectator (well, it's editor, anyway) but that piece posted above is good.

When you shout BREAKING POINT over and over again, you don’t get to be surprised when someone breaks. When you present politics as a matter of life and death, as a question of national survival, don’t be surprised if someone takes you at your word. You didn’t make them do it, no, but you didn’t do much to stop it either.

I cannot recall ever feeling worse about this country and its politics than is the case right now

Steve Reich In The Afternoon (Against The 80s), Thursday, 16 June 2016 18:13 (seven years ago) link

that last picture her husband posted on Twitter at 2:50 is devastating, can't imagine what he was feeling like at that exact point

Dadjokke (Sgt. Biscuits), Thursday, 16 June 2016 18:13 (seven years ago) link

XP (sorry - they were supposed to be block quotes, rather than bold text)

Steve Reich In The Afternoon (Against The 80s), Thursday, 16 June 2016 18:13 (seven years ago) link

It might be a good idea for me to stay off the internet for a while.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Thursday, 16 June 2016 18:16 (seven years ago) link

various reporters and MPs looking like they're going to break down and cry on C4 News, feeling a bit that way myself

ghosts that don't exist (Neil S), Thursday, 16 June 2016 18:19 (seven years ago) link

Between this and the Farage poster this morning this is honestly the worst single day I can remember in British politics.

as always someone (often Matt DC actually!) puts into words what is spinning in my head ..

mark e, Thursday, 16 June 2016 18:21 (seven years ago) link

i cracked badly at the picture of her and bloke and kids in the boat from yesterday ..

mark e, Thursday, 16 June 2016 18:23 (seven years ago) link

Like, what I would LIKE to come out of this situation would be an acceptance from Blue Team 79 and Red Team 97 that they have FAILED, that the country isn't actually a better place as a result of what they and their glorious leaders have done. That this is, if not the obvious endpoint of the politics of divide-and-rule, then at least a big signpost on the way to that. And maybe if they had the basic humility to accept that then they might actually work out what to DO about it, rather than stubbornly protecting their own reputations, and we might actually prevent that endpoint from happening.

I've been saying for years that Cameron's greatest skill as PM has been projecting strength from a position of weakness, but in doing so he's thrown the lid off, and exacerbated, resentments going back decades - resentments that have obviously contributed to his weakness. If this DOES turn out to be the last week of his premiership (and I have a feeling that it now won't), then he will only have himself to blame. And everyone else will blame him for the shitfest that follows.

Matt DC, Thursday, 16 June 2016 18:32 (seven years ago) link

feeling very bad for her former UNICEF co-worker struggling to keep it together on C4 news

Dadjokke (Sgt. Biscuits), Thursday, 16 June 2016 18:34 (seven years ago) link

Jason Keen ‏@Jason_Keen 3h3 hours ago

Jo Cox told me about her new project when I saw her a few days ago - a cross-party commission to tackle loneliness. There are no words.

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 16 June 2016 19:14 (seven years ago) link

Last year Paula Sherriff had to improve her security after receiving death/rape threats on social media.

calzino, Thursday, 16 June 2016 21:18 (seven years ago) link

don't read the comments on that Spectator piece unless you want your last vestige of hope to go pop.

piscesx, Thursday, 16 June 2016 21:25 (seven years ago) link

They keep editing it. The first one was blistering, now they've taken out all the stuff blaming the right wing and pointed the finger at mental health

stet, Thursday, 16 June 2016 21:26 (seven years ago) link

This might be the original version
http://web.archive.org/web/20160616183957/http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2016/06/a-day-of-infamy/

Jill, Thursday, 16 June 2016 21:33 (seven years ago) link

Not that long after the grim WYP statement on R4 earlier, came Jimmy Tarbuck's stern defence of Cliff Richard. And then him saying false child abuse victims should be horsewhipped - it reminded me of everything I love about this country.

calzino, Thursday, 16 June 2016 21:46 (seven years ago) link

Why on earth are all people on Newsnight going on and on about social media as a cause to this tragedy? Social media isn't some alien entity, it's a means people discourse over. We never questioned people speaking on telephones to each other having a poisonous effect on society did we? Social media redlects humanity just as awfully truthful as any other form of communication or 'tone'. Don't blame the medium, blame the people who abuse it ffs.

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 16 June 2016 22:06 (seven years ago) link

Easier to say than a whole historical and interlinked toxic system of hysterical and biased hatred of things unknown.

plums (a hoy hoy), Thursday, 16 June 2016 22:21 (seven years ago) link

as someone who was seemingly a long-term subscriber to white supremacist fanzines he probably wasn't exactly relying on twitter to help form his opinions

Perhaps. Excrutiating to watch.

England just had a political murder/hate crime. A member of parliament was butchered in broad daylight, possibly because of her conviction or beliefs. It echoed the one we've had this century. We've had thousands of people protesting on the night it happened, mayors taking the stage, speaking to the masses in shock. Not that that was right, there's no right or wrong here, but it strikes me as bizarre to see no real massi reaction or denouncement of that today in the uk. And Newsnight focuses solely on that vile social media. Ok...

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 16 June 2016 22:29 (seven years ago) link

it strikes me as bizarre to see no real massi reaction or denouncement of that today in the uk

Are you in the UK? Just asking because there's been plenty of denouncing and reacting going on.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Thursday, 16 June 2016 22:38 (seven years ago) link

Not in the UK at present no, lived there for years though. Perhaps just affected severely by today's events, and aghast.

Still think Newsnight got it all wrong tonight, and I'm trying to figure out why. Ah well.

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 16 June 2016 22:45 (seven years ago) link

In case anyone argues this wasn't political:

https://www.splcenter.org/hatewatch/2016/06/16/alleged-killer-british-mp-was-longtime-supporter-neo-nazi-national-alliance

The SPLC has records of his support of the Neo-Nazi U.S. group the National Alliance and an invoice for a manual on how to make a gun.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Thursday, 16 June 2016 22:51 (seven years ago) link

the national alliance make no bones about being straight-up unreconstructed nazis - "the foremost organization working for the interests of men and women of European descent worldwide" - oh that's nice, pet

real orgone kid (NickB), Thursday, 16 June 2016 23:05 (seven years ago) link

The mention of 'social media' presumably worked up because someone somewhere has realised they can use this to do more Prevent stuff, monitoring people's conversations, convicting people for what they post etc

Never changed username before (cardamon), Thursday, 16 June 2016 23:14 (seven years ago) link

About spectator commenters - they're fucking vile. The way they queued up to have a go at that piece, absolutely refusing to accept any bit of connection between Leave campaign shouting and this

Never changed username before (cardamon), Thursday, 16 June 2016 23:17 (seven years ago) link

Have they closed the comments? I can't see any but wondered it it was a platform thing.

Pastoral Fantasy (jed_), Thursday, 16 June 2016 23:19 (seven years ago) link

Britain first's actual statement was that "this kind of behaviour we do not condone."

"This kind of behaviour"

"DO NOT CONDONE"

they don't condone murder. They don't condemn it, they just don't condone it.

Feeling crazy here. Apologies.

Pastoral Fantasy (jed_), Friday, 17 June 2016 02:41 (seven years ago) link

Yes, comments were taken down on the Spectator piece. Britain First are sticking to the line that the (several) people who heard him shouting during the attack and while being arrested are lying. Lots of people on the far right are still claiming it was not targeted violence and she just intervened in an altercation on the street. Just an unfortunate coincidence he had a history of supporting 'South African patriotism', it was the 40th anniversary of the Soweto uprising, a year since the Dylann Roof shooting commemorating that uprising and the MP who was shot was one of the most vocal advocates of anti-racism and refugee rights.

The Spectator piece in its original format was correct not to limit the blame to Britain First though. Everyone from the Sun to the Guardian is pushing the 'loner with mental health issues' line. Yr man who killed Lee Rigby was a borderline schizophrenic. Whether directed or influenced, extremist propaganda targets the vulnerable.

It's not party political - all parties have chipped in to the climate that saw an 18% rise in hate crimes last year - but looking at some of the Leave messaging recently, even before the new poster Goebbel's estate could sue for copyright infringement on - vote Remain and get ISIS, vote Remain and share a border with Syria, vote Remain and let in 20m Muslims, vote Remain and have your identity erased, we must take our country back, etc, this doesn't feel all that shocking. It may turn out he had another motive but the feeling that the national environment we creating doesn't make the murder seem completely alien and outlandish is real. We have laws against incitement for a reason and politicians and commentators juuuust skirting round the edge of them need to have a proper look at themselves.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 17 June 2016 06:29 (seven years ago) link

Lots of people on the far right are still claiming it was not targeted violence and she just intervened in an altercation on the street. Just an unfortunate coincidence he had a history of supporting 'South African patriotism', it was the 40th anniversary of the Soweto uprising, a year since the Dylann Roof shooting commemorating that uprising and the MP who was shot was one of the most vocal advocates of anti-racism and refugee rights.

From what I've seen, that's lots of people on the RIGHT not the far right.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Friday, 17 June 2016 07:08 (seven years ago) link

Indeed, and given the information coming out about mair, you could view this as just one more act of racially-motivated violence, something we have never been rid of, something that is always bubbling even in the most benign of political climates, let alone in the current fetid hate-swamp

real orgone kid (NickB), Friday, 17 June 2016 07:14 (seven years ago) link

Xp

real orgone kid (NickB), Friday, 17 June 2016 07:14 (seven years ago) link

When "three shit tweets we've managed to find" is good enough for the headline "Labour MP criticised for politicising the shocking murder of Jo Cox"

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/17/labour-mp-criticised-for-politicising-the-murder-of-jo-cox

Alba, Friday, 17 June 2016 07:48 (seven years ago) link

I think it's going to be quite difficult not to politicise the murder of a politician by someone who disagrees with her political views

Steve Reich In The Afternoon (Against The 80s), Friday, 17 June 2016 08:07 (seven years ago) link

How the fuck is this not political? This guy is basically Anders Brexit

real orgone kid (NickB), Friday, 17 June 2016 08:10 (seven years ago) link

a pun that ought to catch on tbh

imago, Friday, 17 June 2016 08:16 (seven years ago) link

Also - printing the headline 'Labour MP criticised for politicising the shocking murder of Jo Cox' in a right-wing newspaper is politicising the issue!

Steve Reich In The Afternoon (Against The 80s), Friday, 17 June 2016 08:17 (seven years ago) link

Maybe not. Looks like complaining about politicization is, uh, politicization to me. (XP!!!!!!!!!!!!!)

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Friday, 17 June 2016 08:18 (seven years ago) link

Of course, if the murderer had been an immigrant, the Leave side would still be maintaining a dignified silence ...

Steve Reich In The Afternoon (Against The 80s), Friday, 17 June 2016 08:18 (seven years ago) link

('maybe not' refers to the pun. too soon to pun?)

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Friday, 17 June 2016 08:19 (seven years ago) link

Leave campaign = stoking the fires of racism, but fortunately the PLP and their Cameronite bros have been more than ready to counter that thru repeatedly moaning about the need to address working class people's "very real concerns" about immigration rather than deviate from their own Neolib economic orthodoxy. Inasmuch as heightened racial tensions led to this there are a lot of parliamentarians with dirty hands who should be thinking hard before they open their mouths in future but hey no the game's still afoot.

Noodle Vague, Friday, 17 June 2016 09:01 (seven years ago) link

'Politicise' in this instance means 'draw conclusions we don't like'. If there's one thing politicians don't like it's confronting the social consequences of their own economic policies.

Matt DC, Friday, 17 June 2016 09:14 (seven years ago) link

It'd be interesting to compare and contrast with the Telegraph/Spectator's coverage of the Lee Rigby murder but also frankly too depressing to bother.

Matt DC, Friday, 17 June 2016 09:16 (seven years ago) link

This tweet seemed apposite: https://twitter.com/Mendelpol/status/743713966954668032

Stevie T, Friday, 17 June 2016 09:21 (seven years ago) link

We never questioned people speaking on telephones to each other having a poisonous effect on society did we?

Actually we totally did

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 17 June 2016 09:23 (seven years ago) link

"nothing to see here just a lone nutter" is so infuriating on so many levels

the hallouminati (lex pretend), Friday, 17 June 2016 09:27 (seven years ago) link

I was in a little bubble yesterday painting the hallway and kind of switched off from the full scope of what happened, and now I'm sitting at my desk taking this all in and I just want to cry.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Friday, 17 June 2016 09:29 (seven years ago) link

We had an office "afternoon football" thing, I went down for some pizza early on, and intended to go back a bit later for the closing stages.

When I saw the news, I wasn't interested in the football anymore. God knows how people must have felt having had the jumping up and down at the last goal and the final whistle, and come out to find all this had happened.

Mark G, Friday, 17 June 2016 09:34 (seven years ago) link

there's always concern about new media because it does have a big effect on how people think, and short term losses are more visible than possible long term gains. even in classical times there was concern about the effect literacy had on people's memory

the remain campaign has been awful, no positive case made, no engagement with the main opposition arguments, endless scaremongering, it has clearly distanced a lot of people and there seems to be a lot of genuine confusion and surprise that this has been the outcome, which is the most damning bit of it all

ogmor, Friday, 17 June 2016 09:45 (seven years ago) link

"the politics of failure have failed!"

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Friday, 17 June 2016 09:57 (seven years ago) link

Engaging with immigration is still seen as massively dangerous for the left, even (especially) when pointing out that it's a benefit to the nation.

If Leave win, there should be a statue of Gillian Duffy in Trafalgar Square by next Sunday.

Andrew Farrell, Friday, 17 June 2016 10:09 (seven years ago) link

Leave campaign = stoking the fires of racism, but fortunately the PLP and their Cameronite bros have been more than ready to counter that thru repeatedly moaning about the need to address working class people's "very real concerns" about immigration rather than deviate from their own Neolib economic orthodoxy. Inasmuch as heightened racial tensions led to this there are a lot of parliamentarians with dirty hands who should be thinking hard before they open their mouths in future but hey no the game's still afoot.

^^^ This. It's also apparent that at some point, possibly around 2010, politicians stopped viewing bigotry as something to be argued against and became something to be tiptoed around or pandered to for fear of looking remote, or too London, or just not listening enough. Meanwhile the employment and housing problems that ferment this kind of resentment are allowed to get worse and worse, because, y'know, The Market.

Matt DC, Friday, 17 June 2016 10:09 (seven years ago) link

Gillian Duffy is usually seen as a turning point but it was happening under Blair too. Blunkett made a fairly solid media career on the back of it.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 17 June 2016 10:12 (seven years ago) link

I often wonder what the outcome would have been if Brown had just said, "I called her a bigot because she is a bigot. And we all need to learn from her bigotry", or something, rather than what went down.

Oh baby, if only you knew / Gabnebb hit a hundred-and-two (stevie), Friday, 17 June 2016 10:17 (seven years ago) link

the visceral hatred of politicians which has gradually built up can feel explosive, and feeds the deep streak of reactive chippiness that's been brought out by all the stern calls to economic seriousness and prophecies of doom. people sufficiently incensed and indignant that they’re ready to harm themselves to show how tough they are

ogmor, Friday, 17 June 2016 10:30 (seven years ago) link

Oh God, did you have to remind me of that incident. My whole being is cringing just thinking about it. (xp)

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Friday, 17 June 2016 10:30 (seven years ago) link

If Leave win, there should be a statue of Gillian Duffy in Trafalgar Square by next Sunday.

They'll be floating a Farage one down the Thames like the statue of Jacko.

Matt DC, Friday, 17 June 2016 11:16 (seven years ago) link

Grant Shapps has said that as a mark of respect the by-election to fill Cox's seat should be uncontested, which seems odd? was reminded today that the Lib Dems actually won the by-election that followed Ian Gow's murder.

soref, Friday, 17 June 2016 11:28 (seven years ago) link

Labour held Tooting which I pessimistically wasn't expecting - something at least.

nashwan, Friday, 17 June 2016 11:34 (seven years ago) link

daily politics is showing footage of the announcement at the tooting by-election, obviously a sombre atmosphere, monster raving loony candidate looks a bit out of place

soref, Friday, 17 June 2016 11:34 (seven years ago) link

Shouldn't even be a by-election imo. Labour won the seat and this berk shouldn't be allowed to change that

real orgone kid (NickB), Friday, 17 June 2016 11:39 (seven years ago) link

Daily Mail reporting that the Tories will not contest the by-election.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Friday, 17 June 2016 11:46 (seven years ago) link

Confirmed.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Friday, 17 June 2016 11:49 (seven years ago) link

fucking hell, the mental gymnastics I'm seeing from Brexiters who are desperate to argue that it's nothing to do with anything remotely right-wing. Literally on my facebook: "we could have just as easily had a situation where a deranged socialist shot a tory"
Yes, I can imagine lots of imaginary things too, but those didn't happen and this did
FFS I give up

kinder, Friday, 17 June 2016 12:00 (seven years ago) link

every mention of 'mentally ill' should probably come with a reminder about the Tories' 'contribution' to the funding of mental health services and contributing factors btw

kinder, Friday, 17 June 2016 12:02 (seven years ago) link

"we could have just as easily had a situation where a deranged socialist shot a tory"

http://www.newsbiscuit.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/04/david-cameron-hoodie-yob-gun-hand-sign-shooting-culture.jpg

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Friday, 17 June 2016 12:05 (seven years ago) link

was reminded today that the Lib Dems actually won the by-election that followed Ian Gow's murder.

Sounds like the Lib Dems tbh!

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Friday, 17 June 2016 12:20 (seven years ago) link

daily politics is showing footage of the announcement at the tooting by-election, obviously a sombre atmosphere, monster raving loony candidate looks a bit out of place

― soref, Friday, 17 June 2016 11:34 (48 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

The Radio 1 news this morning said she didn't do a victory speech.

Which is somewhat inaccurate, she did make a speech which was a tribute. She didn't just say nothing..

Mark G, Friday, 17 June 2016 12:25 (seven years ago) link

xp all the major parties contested it, as well as the NF, Lindi St Clair and something called the "Ironside Party"

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eastbourne_by-election,_1990

The loss came as a shock to many Conservatives who had expected (not least given the circumstances under which the by-election was held, as well as the fact that it had been retained by a majority of more than 16,000 votes in 1987) that they would easily retain the seat. Conservative MP Ann Widdecombe sent a message to voters saying that the IRA would be "toasting their success".[1]

soref, Friday, 17 June 2016 12:27 (seven years ago) link

Eastbourne, so I imagine it wouldn't have made any difference if Labour had contested this or any other election there.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Friday, 17 June 2016 12:30 (seven years ago) link

To give credit where it's due, after my earlier comments about the Telegraph, its front page didn't shy away from the reported "Britain first" cry. Unlike the Mail, Express and Sun, who all just pushed the "crazed loner" angle.

http://i.imgur.com/lUNN7Xh.jpg

Alba, Friday, 17 June 2016 12:48 (seven years ago) link

http://cdn.images.dailystar.co.uk/dynamic/pixfeed/covers/81x101/front_2016-06-17.jpg

Daily Star went with "MP DEAD AFTER ATTACK BY BREXIT GUNMAN" (sorry, can't find a bigger picture)

I agree that arguments that this was somehow apolitical, that this guy was "just" crazy are iniquitous, but "Brexit gunman" seems a bit dubious to me as well? idk

soref, Friday, 17 June 2016 12:56 (seven years ago) link

LOL, not pulling their punches there.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Friday, 17 June 2016 13:04 (seven years ago) link

is the telegraph in the leave or remain camp?

real orgone kid (NickB), Friday, 17 June 2016 13:08 (seven years ago) link

private eye has been saying that there is pressure from the paper's owners for the editors to not take a strong pro-brexit line, prompting an angry response from readers

soref, Friday, 17 June 2016 13:11 (seven years ago) link

To give credit where it's due, after my earlier comments about the Telegraph, its front page didn't shy away from the reported "Britain first" cry. Unlike the Mail, Express and Sun, who all just pushed the "crazed loner" angle.

🗻

Alba, Friday, 17 June 2016 13:28 (seven years ago) link

Thanks soref, I suppose they reflect the tensions within the tories

real orgone kid (NickB), Friday, 17 June 2016 13:39 (seven years ago) link

An interesting edit:

https://twitter.com/bonaldi/status/743532776763318272

Andrew Farrell, Friday, 17 June 2016 13:48 (seven years ago) link

Is the Star still owned by Richard Desmond? If so, you could read that headline as triumphalist.

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Friday, 17 June 2016 13:50 (seven years ago) link

lolololol if the barclay brothers are getting cold feet btw

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Friday, 17 June 2016 13:51 (seven years ago) link

Being reported that Mair is being charged under anti-terrorism laws and is being moved to London. The hapless nutter angle falters.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Friday, 17 June 2016 13:54 (seven years ago) link

xps Last night Britain First said that Tommy Mair had never had any contact with their group and condemned shrugged their shoulders at the killing might be closer than what the Telegraph actually printed

My local pub gets the Telegraph; I occasionally flick through (mainly just on the way to the crosswords tbh) and iirc last year it was more Brexity but this year a lot of the articles have had a slightly resigned/fence-sitting tone of not really liking this EU business but it's all about the economy so stiff upper lip and let's stay in for now

(this may not be quite fair - have been trying to cut down on the boozing and consequently haven't spent much time in the pub reading the paper over the last month or two)

a passing spacecadet, Friday, 17 June 2016 13:55 (seven years ago) link

+ good catch Andrew/stet

a passing spacecadet, Friday, 17 June 2016 13:56 (seven years ago) link

I am dense, who is the "glaring exception"?

Oh baby, if only you knew / Gabnebb hit a hundred-and-two (stevie), Friday, 17 June 2016 14:04 (seven years ago) link

I am dense, who is the "glaring exception"

Boris Johnson

Steve Reich In The Afternoon (Against The 80s), Friday, 17 June 2016 14:07 (seven years ago) link

Farrage.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Friday, 17 June 2016 14:07 (seven years ago) link

^^^ I meant the second exception, not the first one, sorry!

Steve Reich In The Afternoon (Against The 80s), Friday, 17 June 2016 14:08 (seven years ago) link

not so glaring apparently

pandemic, Friday, 17 June 2016 14:09 (seven years ago) link

(Thought Farage was obvious)

Steve Reich In The Afternoon (Against The 80s), Friday, 17 June 2016 14:09 (seven years ago) link

Aha.

Yeah, Johnson's entire approach to this is transparently self-serving. Farage is in it for the hatred.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Friday, 17 June 2016 14:10 (seven years ago) link

Many xposts - Ah gotcha - misread it and though that the glaring omissions weren't mentioned in that para.

Oh baby, if only you knew / Gabnebb hit a hundred-and-two (stevie), Friday, 17 June 2016 14:28 (seven years ago) link

politicians stopped viewing bigotry as something to be argued against and became something to be tiptoed around or pandered to

jo cox sounds like one of those politicans:

Let me be clear from the start: it’s fine to be concerned about immigration – many people are.

This doesn’t mean to say they are racist or xenophobic – they are simply concerned about pressures on GP surgeries or schools, or how once familiar town centres are changing, or whether they’ll be able to compete with migrant workers to get a job.

...

But I strongly believe that concerns about immigration – as legitimate as they are – are not a reason to vote for Brexit.

conrad, Friday, 17 June 2016 15:18 (seven years ago) link

Had my emails from kezsia and Corbyn - apparently recalled parliament on Monday?

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Friday, 17 June 2016 15:29 (seven years ago) link

yes.

Mark G, Friday, 17 June 2016 15:29 (seven years ago) link

has anything emerged about the reported other victim of the attack? what was going on there?

real orgone kid (NickB), Friday, 17 June 2016 15:30 (seven years ago) link

I have said many disparaging things about her in the past year. I am still horrified at what happened yesterday, but despite her being a nice person I was never impressed with her as a politician. She was a standard Blairite and what happened yesterday doesn't change that one iota. I have been having this argument with someone today and apparently my attitude is unacceptable so I will stfu.

calzino, Friday, 17 June 2016 15:35 (seven years ago) link

hmm, drops microphone, right?

Mark G, Friday, 17 June 2016 15:43 (seven years ago) link

I hadn't heard of her til she co-wrote an article in the guardian last month the day after the elections saying we nominated jeremy corbyn and now we regret it

conrad, Friday, 17 June 2016 15:45 (seven years ago) link

not trying to be controversial, it's something I have been having an irl argument about today. Some of the sanctimonious bullshit is starting to annoy me.

calzino, Friday, 17 June 2016 15:46 (seven years ago) link

The eventual by-election: Conservatives have said they won't field a candidate, so it will be Labour verses UKIP, doubtless...

Anyway, I did wonder who would take up the Labour candidacy, not because of safety issues, more who will fill those shoes.

Mark G, Friday, 17 June 2016 15:46 (seven years ago) link

btw, hey, let's not be reasonable, right?

Mark G, Friday, 17 June 2016 15:47 (seven years ago) link

I probably agree with stuff evaluating her lagacy/position, but I really don't feel like getting into that now. It's for another day.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Friday, 17 June 2016 15:53 (seven years ago) link

You're gonna love this page, right?

https://www.gofundme.com/jocox

Mark G, Friday, 17 June 2016 15:53 (seven years ago) link

I really don't feel like getting into that now. It's for another day.

It really isn't for another day. She was not a major politician, she might have been in the future.

As I see/say, there's a legacy in the form of a charity page. That is her political legacy.

Mark G, Friday, 17 June 2016 15:56 (seven years ago) link

Like most people I hadn't heard of her before yesterday, but I would imagine that even as a passionately pro-immigration MP you must just get this steady drip-drip of anti-immigration crap from your constituents that makes it difficult not to mediate it back in that kind of vague equivocating fashion occasionally. You get the opposite as well, I'm sure, but the Overton window has lurched so far to the right now that even your more liberal standard Blairites are starting to look like Michael Foot in comparison.

Matt DC, Friday, 17 June 2016 15:57 (seven years ago) link

I jus don't think I can talk about the things I disliked about someone rather than the things I liked.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Friday, 17 June 2016 16:19 (seven years ago) link

The eventual by-election: Conservatives have said they won't field a candidate, so it will be Labour verses UKIP, doubtless..

UKIP not standing. Neither are the Lib Dems (fwiw).

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Friday, 17 June 2016 16:32 (seven years ago) link

is there any level of immigration that you guys would find problematic?

pandemic, Friday, 17 June 2016 16:37 (seven years ago) link

if immigration is problematised in terms of they are simply concerned about pressures on GP surgeries or schools, or how once familiar town centres are changing, or whether they’ll be able to compete with migrant workers to get a job.

1. that's not an immigration problem
2. sorry
3. sorry that's not an immigration problem

conrad, Friday, 17 June 2016 16:43 (seven years ago) link

is that a no?

pandemic, Friday, 17 June 2016 16:47 (seven years ago) link

immigration obv causes some problems, in that local authorities faced with an introduction of significant immigrant population will need resources they perhaps hadn't accounted for - both in terms of sudden increase of population not provided for plus extra things like translators etc. - and in intercommunal strife between immigrant groups and longer standing residents.

the problem is these logistical problems are never presented as what they are, which is just "problems" and not Armageddon, and immigration is constantly posited as a Malthusian thing ("we're full"), or clash of civilizations/attack on native white culture and way of life.

The Nickelbackean Ethics (jim in glasgow), Friday, 17 June 2016 16:51 (seven years ago) link

altho obv that positing is most often done sotto voce or thru dog whistles

The Nickelbackean Ethics (jim in glasgow), Friday, 17 June 2016 16:52 (seven years ago) link

if the immigration rate put the uk population growth rate in the top 20 or so I think it would be a problem, but as it is many countries are dealing with much larger increases of population and it's not normally a bump of educated working age people

ogmor, Friday, 17 June 2016 16:53 (seven years ago) link

Is there any level of immigration that you guys would find problematic?

I can see there would be practical difficulties with accommodating an infinite number of people, but from an ideological POV: no

real orgone kid (NickB), Friday, 17 June 2016 17:13 (seven years ago) link

Actually let me rephrase that: fuck off, no

real orgone kid (NickB), Friday, 17 June 2016 17:17 (seven years ago) link

cool

pandemic, Friday, 17 June 2016 17:24 (seven years ago) link

It's just that the right keeps claiming that these people cause problems - and they cause problems because people reject them. So what is the issue? Is it people coming into the country or the reaction within the country.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Friday, 17 June 2016 18:50 (seven years ago) link

Britain First group photo purportedly including Thomas Mair:

https://twitter.com/Elliot_Eastwick/status/743876605832011777

real orgone kid (NickB), Friday, 17 June 2016 19:18 (seven years ago) link

I thought that had been debunked already

Cosmic Slop, Friday, 17 June 2016 19:32 (seven years ago) link

i did not know that, but yes, lack of verification is why i said purportedly

real orgone kid (NickB), Friday, 17 June 2016 19:37 (seven years ago) link

not a brony account, unfortunately

Japanese Donald Trump Commercialトランプ2016 (nakhchivan), Friday, 17 June 2016 19:51 (seven years ago) link

I thought that had been debunked already

could you point me to the debunking CS? this is the original tweet sharing the photo and there's a repeated claim that the ID has been verified by two ex BF members:

https://twitter.com/Far_Right_Watch/status/743870797844971520

real orgone kid (NickB), Friday, 17 June 2016 20:15 (seven years ago) link

It seems credible and that is in front of Dewsbury Town Hall. That pic pretty much sums up how farcical various attempts by right wing groups to get things kicking off in Dewsbury have been for the last decade. The last EDF one was a complete flop as well.

calzino, Friday, 17 June 2016 20:26 (seven years ago) link

nick i cant because i saw it on a friend of a friends fb thread. Of course the debunking could be fake. Im sure the truth will out soon enough

Cosmic Slop, Friday, 17 June 2016 21:09 (seven years ago) link

seeing lots of people say it is him now.

Cosmic Slop, Friday, 17 June 2016 22:25 (seven years ago) link

I have said many disparaging things about her in the past year. I am still horrified at what happened yesterday, but despite her being a nice person I was never impressed with her as a politician. She was a standard Blairite and what happened yesterday doesn't change that one iota. I have been having this argument with someone today and apparently my attitude is unacceptable so I will stfu.

― calzino, Friday, June 17, 2016 5:35 PM (Yesterday) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Yes, your attitude is unacceptable. If within 24 hours after someone's death, a brutal political murder, you are mostly concerned by trying to convince the world that she wasn't good at her job, something is wrong with you. "A human being was slaughtered BUT LETS NOT FORGET SHE WAS SHITE AT HER JOB, DUNNA CHANGE AN IOTA".

Yeah, good on you mate. Such brave a statement. You need to keep your morality in check. And do so while, indeed, shutting the fuck up. For shame.

Le Bateau Ivre, Friday, 17 June 2016 23:59 (seven years ago) link

Listen here you fucking tin-eared moron! i'll comment as much as I like about what happens in my area and I didn't say anything like what is represented in your bullshit post. You go check your own morality you sad sack of shit.

calzino, Saturday, 18 June 2016 00:17 (seven years ago) link

Q.E.D.

Listen here you ffucking tin-eared moron! (Le Bateau Ivre), Saturday, 18 June 2016 01:03 (seven years ago) link

calzino if you look upthread you'll see me making a massive clown of myself and I urge you to do as much as you can to avoid being my successor. You've a good community of people here on ilx and if you fall out with everyone and go charging roughshod across the unspoken standards we have here ilx won't be a resource you can use for discussion

Everyone itt agrees that there are problems with 'blairites' but surely you would agree that in perspective considering what's happened here these problems with jo cox and her position re: corbyn are sort of just accepted and not needing to be gone on about? Like I'm pretty sure corbyn himself accepts that, no?

Never changed username before (cardamon), Saturday, 18 June 2016 01:09 (seven years ago) link

is there any level of immigration that you guys would find problematic?

You people who say there aren't red-eyed pterodactyls plucking people from the streets of trumpington, let me ask you this, is there any level of red-eyed pterodactyl plucking you would find problematic, etc

Never changed username before (cardamon), Saturday, 18 June 2016 01:12 (seven years ago) link

Everyone itt agrees that there are problems with 'blairites' but surely you would agree that in perspective considering what's happened here these problems with jo cox and her position re: corbyn are sort of just accepted and not needing to be gone on about? Like I'm pretty sure corbyn himself accepts that, no?

no-one is "going on" about this aside from you and LBI?

soref, Saturday, 18 June 2016 01:18 (seven years ago) link

Dunno? Possibly

calzino isn't the first person I've encountered today who's been trying to make an intervention to make sure people remember that jo cox was actually not so good because she was not quite as far to the left as we would have liked

I can see the angle but jeez get some perspective and I say this as someone who has often needed to get some perspective

Never changed username before (cardamon), Saturday, 18 June 2016 01:41 (seven years ago) link

Like there's a danger we're all going to become 'blairites' or whatever now? And a stand must be made against all this 'sanctimony'? Like that's more important than challenging the attempts to de-politicise this that all the top scum are up to right now? I dunno, calzino might not have meant that and I can't speak for them

Never changed username before (cardamon), Saturday, 18 June 2016 01:46 (seven years ago) link

I met Jo Cox once, during her Oxfam days in an Oxfam charity shop, when I lived in Yorks. I was flipping through the crates stacked with useless yet overpriced lp's and at one point, after she was done chatting with personnel etc she joined me going through the lp's. I didn't know who she was, but she joined in. We had a banter and laughed at how silly the cover of the Band On The Run lp is (it really is silly tbh).

That was it. We weren't friends, we didn't bond (other than shared giggles over that stupid record). Just that one moment. But moments like that are exactly what make you see that at the end of the day, this was a human being, a mother, a person. Years later she became an mp and I thought: good for you.

You, "Calzino", are dehumanizing her by focusing on her political beliefs - that you obviously don't care for - and reducing her to merely that. Her beliefs may or may not be what you - or I - believe in. But seriously, why be such a huge prick within 24 hours after Cox was murdered, and reduce a person to her political beliefs? Why?

One shouldn't need to have interacted with a murdered politician to understand she was like you and me. I don't pride myself bringing up the anecdote, but I do it because you seem so out of whack and adamant to spit on someone's grave. For what? Because she was with Labour? That's it? If you want to make a big song and dance about how she was a "Blairite" and opposed Corbyn, go ahead, make a fool of yourself but now is not the fucking time. A caring person, a mother - whether someone from your constituency or not, from your political views or not - was murdered. Instead of trying to demonize a murdered woman, the taking your inability - along with your juvenile cursing - elsewhere.

Listen here you fucking tin-eared moron! (Le Bateau Ivre), Saturday, 18 June 2016 02:05 (seven years ago) link

*"the taking" (which sounds like a terrible movie) = take

Listen here you fucking tin-eared moron! (Le Bateau Ivre), Saturday, 18 June 2016 02:10 (seven years ago) link

I don't think what calzino said here was any kind of attack. He was commenting on a state of affairs, quite calmly and sadly I thought. A few of us, just as much as him, have been suggesting that the social anomie that frames this murder is not the legacy of one particular political party - in fact that a lot of politicians of all stripes have contributed to a climate of public intolerance fueled by a social structure collapsing along faultlines of poverty and alienation.

Last night I watched people argue repeatedly that the problem is politicians being too mean to each other, that we need a climate of mutual respect. Irrespective of whether political policies respect people or have real devastating consequences in their lives. It's pointless to pretend that this brutal murder, probably committed by a mentally ill man with a long history of being a would-be nazi thug, is not going to be nailed to a host of political agendas. It's already happening, these are the games career pols play, they can't help themselves.

So unless you're bellowing abuse at this woman's bereaved family, or painting some extreme slanderous conspiracy about her because you're a nazi fantasist, I think it's ok in a space like this to calmly opine about what happened and why. Which is all I've seen anybody doing, including calzino.

Noodle Vague, Saturday, 18 June 2016 05:14 (seven years ago) link

The argument that people are too mean to politicians seems more prevalent than the idea that politicians are too mean to each other. Putting the blame for a toxic culture on voters rather than politicians and the press seems grotesquely offensive tbh. They haven't been idly pandering to the base instincts of Real England, they've actively been pressing these buttons as a way of scapegoating immigrants and the poor for the failures of policy and ideology.

That said, despite abstaining on benefit cuts and the 'why I knifed Corbyn' email, Cox would be a long way down the list of the culpable and showed a hell of a lot more bravery in speaking up than the majority of her colleagues.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Saturday, 18 June 2016 06:44 (seven years ago) link

no question.

Noodle Vague, Saturday, 18 June 2016 06:47 (seven years ago) link

Last night I watched people argue repeatedly that the problem is politicians being too mean to each other, that we need a climate of mutual respect. Irrespective of whether political policies respect people or have real devastating consequences in their lives. It's pointless to pretend that this brutal murder, probably committed by a mentally ill man with a long history of being a would-be nazi thug, is not going to be nailed to a host of political agendas. It's already happening, these are the games career pols play, they can't help themselves.

this kinda gets at how i've been thinking about this murder, and i guess many of the recent murders. as much as murders, like anything else, are a product of the society in which they happen, i feel like they p much instantly become political footballs on social media. and that the fight to own "why" it happened becomes very specific and circular. like before the people are even cold in the grave people are arguing that the cause of the murder was something they already believed to be the state of affairs prior to the murder. like the tone is "now you will see what i have been saying, this murder proves it".

it feels kind of strange and perverse. like my memory from childhood or my teens was that when there was a shooting or a murder, a lot of the discourse was the right blaming music or videogames or movies, and the left ridiculing this and saying the person had a mental illness and as such was not evil nor was doom 3d responsible for one act of violence. (and btw there's nothing stigmatising about saying someone had a history of mental illness, i've seen other left-leaning people acting as if it's offensive to say that a murderer had a mental illness. it's not, the more we speak about mental illness the better.)

now it seems like a lot of the left are focused on ridiculing the "he had a mental illness" thing, for every murder. i guess this is in favour of highlighting the hate crime behind a given act of violence, and fine, someone needs to tell both the media and some of the people attacking it that it's possible to have a mental illness and be a bigot.

but a lot of the reactions to murders ultimately feel p traditionally right wing to me - like trying to further vilify a killer by screaming that they weren't mentally ill, that they weren't a loner (even if this is a cliche, isolation is a real problem). i don't really get the end point of this rhetoric, but i don't like where it seems to go. it reminds me of john major's "understand a little less" speech. it seems to allow for more callous treatment of perpetrators. even as i type this i can imagine someone saying "but what about the victims" - again, the kind of argument i can remember having with people who support the death penalty.

to me it seems someone who murders many people must by necessity have severe problems. they deserve sympathy. even if their views are horrible to me.

lastly - i'm seeing a lot of blame on twitter for the tabloids after jo cox's death. as much as i'd like to have a reason to lambast the mail or whatever, i think it's p hard to apportion blame like this. again, it feels like blaming violent movies, or marilyn manson, or videogames. you can prob blame the tabloids in part for the fact that some people have prejudiced views based on incorrect information, but in a liberal democracy this is almost inevitable. i mean you might as well blame the internet - i don't see anyone doing that. nobody is tweeting every day about how many wrong, stupid and hateful articles they find in dark corners of the internet, unlike people do with the daily mail, helping it to be the most popular news site in the world. if the tabloids were creating murderers or fuelling a culture of violence we'd be seeing a lot more of it.

i just think the questions about violence (and the rise of far right groups) are bigger than the answers we tend to come up with. like as a society we are far less violent than ever (again this week some of the "oh what an awful time to be alive" shit on twitter is laughable, we've been alive for longer than 30 years as a species). murders are probably less frequent than ever too. but our reaction to things still seems to be to try and amplify some particular point of view.

in the aftermath of these high-profile murders, i often think that if the killer had got apprehended on the way to do what he was doing, a few hundred thousand fervently argued hard "truths" would all disappear in a puff of smoke.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Saturday, 18 June 2016 07:24 (seven years ago) link

great post

imago, Saturday, 18 June 2016 07:32 (seven years ago) link

The internet, or at least it's darker corners, is qualitatively different from the role the papers play in society though - you have to go seek it out, it's not something that you'll see around forming the fabric of culture. "Did you see that thing in Breitbart?" and "Did you see that thing in the Daily Mail?" are very different questions.

in the aftermath of these high-profile murders, i often think that if the killer had got apprehended on the way to do what he was doing, a few hundred thousand fervently argued hard "truths" would all disappear in a puff of smoke.

You've lost me - what kind of "truths"?

Andrew Farrell, Saturday, 18 June 2016 07:39 (seven years ago) link

will add that the o tempora o mores despair is certainly provoked by transatlantic political brinkmanships coming to a head more or less simultaneously, and that things ought to simmer down a bit soon

and that this was an expressly political murder so it is easier to say that he thought he was doing the bidding of higher powers than people who may or may not have been inspired directly by marilyn manson

but obviously he was mentally ill. tt told me yesterday that it's incredibly dangerous to ignore this fact, just as it's dangerous to stigmatise mental illness

imago, Saturday, 18 June 2016 07:40 (seven years ago) link

You've lost me - what kind of "truths"?

p much any strongly-argued reaction to the event.

and that this was an expressly political murder so it is easier to say that he thought he was doing the bidding of higher powers than people who may or may not have been inspired directly by marilyn manson

but obviously he was mentally ill. tt told me yesterday that it's incredibly dangerous to ignore this fact, just as it's dangerous to stigmatise mental illness

i agree - i think both the mental illness and the political views need to be taken into account - feel like one of these is often diminished depending on the end goal of the person arguing.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Saturday, 18 June 2016 07:49 (seven years ago) link

shadow cabinet minister (forget his name) on Newsnight last night talking about the rise in threats against MPs and especially against women MPs and especially on social media - all very true, all very much bad and something to be tackled - and there was talk about how this went up after the Bomb Syria vote, people saying horrible threatening to MPs online, but there's the elephant in the interview and i'm thinking "well you were voting to have people actually irl killed, handwring it however you want to"

Noodle Vague, Saturday, 18 June 2016 07:50 (seven years ago) link

if the tabloids were creating murderers or fuelling a culture of violence we'd be seeing a lot more of it.

We are literally seeing a lot more of it. Reported hate crimes against people seen as 'migrants' are rising, unreported hate crimes are thought to be rising even faster.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Saturday, 18 June 2016 08:18 (seven years ago) link

yeah that is definitely the part of that post that requires more interrogation, think LG is demanding some properly holistic systems thinking of the british people though and this won't happen overnight

imago, Saturday, 18 June 2016 08:22 (seven years ago) link

xpost i was talking about murder, but i didn't know that about hate crimes against perceived migrants - i guess i'd still find it hard to entirely blame the tabloid news though.

The internet, or at least it's darker corners, is qualitatively different from the role the papers play in society though - you have to go seek it out,

don't think this is true - i see horrible right wing conspiracy stuff in my facebook feed p frequently, and i don't want to see it. in my case, it's friends ridiculing it, but it still shows they're finding it p easily as well. personally i would say the internet, and particularly social media, and even more particularly twitter, have quite easily deepened my interests in the things i'm interested in, which happen to be books/sport/clothes/going out for dinner rather than violent racism.

anecdotal now, but does everyone here have like one or two friends who have posted weirder and weirder conspiracy theory stuff on facebook over time? i know i do. like old school acquaintances or whatever that i eventually unfollowed.

i'm not saying ban the internet, just think it gets ignored a lot when we talk about the role of "the media" in these kind of events, in a world where many people's direct experience of the news is more likely to be in a facebook or twitter feed. no idea if this is true for mair, but equally i've no idea if he read the daily mail, nor presumably does anyone else.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Saturday, 18 June 2016 08:33 (seven years ago) link

also - if the environment is so poisonous, why isn't everyone affected by it? like people itt are able to say "this poisonous thing is happening" - why aren't those we feel are being tainted by it unable to make that conclusion? what makes this media environment affect one person and not another?

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Saturday, 18 June 2016 08:36 (seven years ago) link

sorry, i meant why are those we feel are being tainted by it unable to make that conclusion...

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Saturday, 18 June 2016 08:36 (seven years ago) link

NV v otm - plenty of space for angry disagreement when your local MP is voting for bombing people/benefit cuts etc.

Calzino has been reasonable - not seeing the fuss.

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 18 June 2016 08:56 (seven years ago) link

http://i.imgur.com/0aoOnsJ.jpg

This is just the stuff that doesn't make out migrants support terrorism or that refugees are ISIS sleeper agents. Does it have no effect on the public?

Is it really a stretch to link adverts claiming that remaining in the EU will lead to Orlando-style massacres or calling drowning Syrian children 'cockroaches' in the British paper with the largest national circulation to hostility towards 'outsiders' or linking that hostility towards an increase in violence? Lots of people from minority backgrounds are saying this is the most dangerous political environment they can remember since the early 90s, pre-Stephen Lawrence.

The internet has definitely played a part, both in widening access to Neo-Nazi material that you'd probably have had to send off for by mail order, and adding a sheen of legitimacy to far-right outlets like Breitbart, though.

sorry, i meant why are those we feel are being tainted by it unable to make that conclusion..

A lot of people have made that conclusion. It's not organic, it's being deliberately cultivated in an environment of economic hardship. Tell people that their job moving to a zero-hours contract, their failure to get on a housing waiting list or the closure of local council resources is because of immigration and a proportion will believe it.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Saturday, 18 June 2016 09:03 (seven years ago) link

It's absolutely not just the tabloids, though. It's broadsheets, the internet, politicians here and abroad and a variety of other factors.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Saturday, 18 June 2016 09:09 (seven years ago) link

An obvious point but a whole lot of the internet *is* the media, be it the bbc website or people talking about articles in the mailor whatever. Facebook isn't a distinct and inseparable societal influence.

real orgone kid (NickB), Saturday, 18 June 2016 09:12 (seven years ago) link

Seperable not inseperable

real orgone kid (NickB), Saturday, 18 June 2016 09:13 (seven years ago) link

NV v otm - plenty of space for angry disagreement when your local MP is voting for bombing people/benefit cuts etc.

Calzino has been reasonable - not seeing the fuss.

Second the comment about NV, he is totally otm. Also, the criticism of calzino here was way over the top.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Saturday, 18 June 2016 09:16 (seven years ago) link

Asked his name the defendant in the dock says "My name is death to traitors, freedom for Britain."

His first hearing seems to be going well.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Saturday, 18 June 2016 09:20 (seven years ago) link

I think it's safe to use NickB's Anders Brexit pun now.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Saturday, 18 June 2016 09:24 (seven years ago) link

His gardening skills are top-notch tho'.

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 18 June 2016 09:26 (seven years ago) link

Where was this reported btw? It's Tim Peake Time on BBC and Sky so no other news exists.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Saturday, 18 June 2016 09:27 (seven years ago) link

Daniel Sandford of the BBC on Twitter.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Saturday, 18 June 2016 09:28 (seven years ago) link

Yeah, found a report.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Saturday, 18 June 2016 09:29 (seven years ago) link

Right, Tim Peake's back, end of story, fuck off now.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Saturday, 18 June 2016 09:33 (seven years ago) link

NV v otm - plenty of space for angry disagreement when your local MP is voting for bombing people/benefit cuts etc

I just looked and Jo Cox didn't vote to bomb Syria. Did you know that or did you just read 'Blairite' and assume otherwise? Or were you talking more generally? Because "standard Blairite" also shaves off any nuance and leads people to make a load of other assumptions. In any case, Angela Eagle DID vote to bomb Syria and as far as I can tell is still in Corbyn's Shadow Cabinet.

At the same time, if an elected representative or other prominent political figure is assassinated then they effectively become a martyr for a cause and it is entirely legitimate to interrogate the extent to which they actually believed in that cause, especially if that person was your constituency MP.

There's no reason that I can see to assume that Jo Cox didn't actually believe a lot of what is being said about her. I think even a lot of so-called Blairite MPs aren't actually pro-austerity or anti-immigration in any case - that certainly wouldn't reflect what happened under the Blair government. There are exceptions (Tristram and friends probably), but I think most of them just see pandering to this stuff as a way of getting elected, after which they hope to pursue policies that go the opposite way. I think this is stupid and destructive and won't really work anyway, but that's neither here nor there.

It's more a reflection of this three-way disconnect between the party, most of its elected members, and many of their constituents that ends up in this dumb triangulation and parroting some of the dumber things that they say. The quote that Conrad highlights upthread is stupid for all the reasons that he points out, and is a reflection of the same shit, but I wouldn't want that to crowd out everything else she's said, a lot of which appears to have been very pro-immigration, considerably more than many of her contemporaries.

There was a decent piece by Gaby Hinsliff in the Guardian the other day about why voters who are driven by fear and insecurity don't always make the best decisions, and that it should be really the duty of politicians to resist that and target the root cause of that fear and insecurity. But I think what her husband has said might be the best guide as to her private opinions.

Matt DC, Saturday, 18 June 2016 10:06 (seven years ago) link

lastly - i'm seeing a lot of blame on twitter for the tabloids after jo cox's death. as much as i'd like to have a reason to lambast the mail or whatever, i think it's p hard to apportion blame like this. again, it feels like blaming violent movies, or marilyn manson, or videogames. you can prob blame the tabloids in part for the fact that some people have prejudiced views based on incorrect information, but in a liberal democracy this is almost inevitable.

Disagree with this fwiw. Railing against the tabloids is in effect railing against a culture that normalises psuedo-fascist language being used to describe immigrants. Obviously outright white supremacists like the killer here have existed in every era and he may not have been directly influenced by the Mail or the Express or any other paper. Most people don't put their tabloid newspaper down and go and vote for outright fascist parties, but a lot of them DO go out and vote UKIP, many of them may see nothing wrong with that UKIP poster from the other day. Meanwhile politicians of all colours play catchup and say shit they clearly don't even believe and the country sleepwalks further into whatever shitshow it's heading into.

The question is whether this week's events are a signpost or a wake-up call. I think and I hope that it's the latter.

Matt DC, Saturday, 18 June 2016 10:13 (seven years ago) link

At the end of the day newspapers have a deliberate political agenda, violent movies or video games or schlocky metal bands don't, most of the time.

Matt DC, Saturday, 18 June 2016 10:14 (seven years ago) link

it def feels like the corners of the internet where the really hateful stuff is incubated haven't had enough light shone on them yet, but they're on a continuum with the rhetoric in both broadsheets and tabloids in creating a poisonous cultural climate. or not even a continuum, it goes in all directions, you can see it reflected in colonial kitsch and twee cupcake nationalism as well. but the inflammatory rhetoric on the borderline of incitement is trumpeted loudest by the tabloids. maybe it's not a simple "x causes y" correlation but it's a significant contribution to the environment that these things happen and i'm not sure how you can deny that.

acknowledging the role of mental illness and having that conversation is one thing but that's not what's happening. the "lone wolf nutter" trope is not used to start that conversation, it's used to deflect from deeper causes of violent acts and to absolve us from being part of the underlying social climate. the stigmatisation is a callous side effect because nowhere in this line of thinking is concern for those with mental health issues. handwave it away, reinforce an inextricable link between madness and violence, completely ignore the cuts to mental health services that are yet another political element to this murder.

i know "loners with a history of mental health issues", many of them, and none of them have committed political assassinations.

finally, overstating the climate of fear? fuck off, white people. this campaign has been one reminder after another of how many people in the uk fundamentally don't want people who look like me, or other POC, here. i've spent the week feeling so thankful that i live in london, that my daily life takes place in a safe bubble of sorts. that's why these tabloid front pages are so important, too. i see them every day and it's jarring to say the least. not just in the sense that they can create prejudice, but the fact that you know they reflect existing, deep-seated prejudice that's even worse than the language and lies they use.

the hallouminati (lex pretend), Saturday, 18 June 2016 10:16 (seven years ago) link

I was talking generally around the time of the Syrian vote (distantly thinking more of ppl like Stella Creasy). xps to Matt

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 18 June 2016 10:18 (seven years ago) link

Nice one, lex.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Saturday, 18 June 2016 10:22 (seven years ago) link

"White people" isn't a monolith either. Many of the immigrants who encounter the most hostility are white Eastern Europeans. And the way that Muslims are talked about in this country is not dissimilar to the way Irish people were treated 30 or 40 years ago.

Matt DC, Saturday, 18 June 2016 10:22 (seven years ago) link

mental illness is almost always raised or allusions made thereto only in an effort to flatten in a this-is-an-entirely-anomalous-incident-that-could-never-have-been-predicted-nor-prevented-and-no-one-is-to-blame-apart-from-this-evil-nutter way

conrad, Saturday, 18 June 2016 10:27 (seven years ago) link

Social media has extended the far right’s reach. Sources tell me that Britain First has only a few hundred members. But its Facebook page has more than 1.4 million likes and churns out nationalist, Islamophobic and anti-immigration memes. “Saying UK borders are secure, open to 500 million people,” declares one meme, which displays a photo of the European Union’s flag, “is like saying my home is more secure with the doors and windows left open.” Another shows Muslims praying in the street in London and asks: “Is this what our war heroes died for?” Many of these are widely shared — and they often echo the coverage of immigration and ethnic minorities found in much of the British press.

This points to an uncomfortable truth: Far-right politics cannot be as easily cordoned off from the mainstream as people would like to believe. Fascists attach themselves to popular causes and drag the debate in their direction. Populists and parties of the center take note and then try to appeal to voters susceptible to the far right’s messages by taking xenophobic positions of their own.

As the referendum approaches, their campaigning has gotten uglier. This week, Mr. Farage unveiled a campaign poster on which the words “BREAKING POINT” were written next to a photo of refugees crossing the Slovenian countryside last August. “If people feel they’ve lost control completely — and we have lost control of our borders completely, as members of the European Union — if people feel that voting doesn’t change anything, then violence is the next step,” Mr. Farage said in an interview with the BBC last month. “I find it difficult to contemplate it happening here, but nothing’s impossible.” This is a typical demagogue’s tactic, a statement so ambiguous it can be read as both a warning and an encouragement.

http://mobile.nytimes.com/2016/06/17/opinion/jo-cox-brexit-and-the-politics-of-hate.html

gyac, Saturday, 18 June 2016 10:42 (seven years ago) link

What irked me was Calzino's focus on how bad she was, in which I perceived a glimmer of some sort of justification for this. My bad, apols. Great posts by all of youse btw.

Listen here you fucking tin-eared moron! (Le Bateau Ivre), Saturday, 18 June 2016 10:47 (seven years ago) link

I just looked and Jo Cox didn't vote to bomb Syria. Did you know that or did you just read 'Blairite' and assume otherwise?

If you go over what i wrote I didn't refer to how Jo Cox personally voted, but a comment from a shadow cabinet minister about the social media response to all Labour MPs. The point is that nobody is going to get to make decisions that impact on people's lives in the most drastic of ways and then try to distance those decisions into a realm of abstract "let's be civil about this everybody."

Noodle Vague, Saturday, 18 June 2016 11:16 (seven years ago) link

soz, just realised you were talking to xyzzzz really.

Noodle Vague, Saturday, 18 June 2016 11:21 (seven years ago) link

Another shows Muslims praying in the street in London and asks: “Is this what our war heroes died for?”

I bet loads of them did and we can all be proud of them protecting our right to religious freedom! Thanks war heroes!

plums (a hoy hoy), Saturday, 18 June 2016 12:23 (seven years ago) link

I think it's safe to use NickB's Anders Brexit pun now.

this has been on my conscience a little, so can i just clarify that i made that pun as a rhetorical device to make a hamfisted political point rather than merely for the lolz. i know you all know that anyway, but i just wanted to expressly say so, especially in the light of d0rian's friendship with jo cox. sorry.

lex v otm btw

real orgone kid (NickB), Saturday, 18 June 2016 12:26 (seven years ago) link

I realise its a bit naive, as resentments, conflict, downright malevolence won't just disappear, but I always have this vision of a Britain without any national newspapers, and it's like

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BijINQiCEAAbOpu.jpg

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Saturday, 18 June 2016 12:27 (seven years ago) link

acknowledging the role of mental illness and having that conversation is one thing but that's not what's happening. the "lone wolf nutter" trope is not used to start that conversation, it's used to deflect from deeper causes of violent acts and to absolve us from being part of the underlying social climate. the stigmatisation is a callous side effect because nowhere in this line of thinking is concern for those with mental health issues. handwave it away, reinforce an inextricable link between madness and violence, completely ignore the cuts to mental health services that are yet another political element to this murder.

i know "loners with a history of mental health issues", many of them, and none of them have committed political assassinations.

finally, overstating the climate of fear? fuck off, white people. this campaign has been one reminder after another of how many people in the uk fundamentally don't want people who look like me, or other POC, here. i've spent the week feeling so thankful that i live in london, that my daily life takes place in a safe bubble of sorts. that's why these tabloid front pages are so important, too. i see them every day and it's jarring to say the least. not just in the sense that they can create prejudice, but the fact that you know they reflect existing, deep-seated prejudice that's even worse than the language and lies they use.

― the hallouminati (lex pretend), Saturday, June 18, 2016 11:16 AM (2 hours ago)

OTM

emil.y, Saturday, 18 June 2016 12:30 (seven years ago) link

Yeah, the money bearing the full load of lex's body mass there

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Saturday, 18 June 2016 12:36 (seven years ago) link

lex totally otm tho I will say that lg's point about claims of this being a uniquely dangerous time are a little ahistorical is well-taken ("the early 90s, pre-Stephen Lawrence" = a heartbeat ago, really)

certainly wouldn't go as far as "laughable" tho, as a passing POC (PnOC? idk it's a stupid term) with non-passing family I've found myself this week succumbing to a bleak despair that I'm sure is part atavistic morbsian apocalypticism, part externalisation of my own shit mindstate and part otm assessment of the state of things, tho I don't have the perspective to determine the exact proportions

good posts itt I'll go back to lurking

oh, amazonaws (wins), Saturday, 18 June 2016 12:55 (seven years ago) link

acknowledging the role of mental illness and having that conversation is one thing but that's not what's happening

that's not what's happening anywhere ime, this thread is the first time i've seen people accept that both mental illness and a person's political views are part of the issue in a case like this. i'd just argue there are many other factors as well, the media just one of them. social media is like a fever of people shooting down any mention of mental illness, it's very strange.

i know "loners with a history of mental health issues", many of them, and none of them have committed political assassinations.

to me this seems like branding the person a "nutter". is anyone not capable of this kind of act, given a particular set of negative circumstances? it feels like othering them to say "no he did this not because of mental illness but because of his political views" when the views are clearly so wild and the act is so spurious and random.

they reflect existing, deep-seated prejudice that's even worse than the language and lies they use

this is kind of the point i was making really. i don't think the tabloids are creating anything, it seems a bigger question to ask why people hold these views in the first place. you can't stop a paper saying things but you might be able to change the society in which people choose to buy that paper and choose to believe the things it says, and obv in some cases choose to act on them.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Saturday, 18 June 2016 12:58 (seven years ago) link

Another shows Muslims praying in the street in London and asks: “Is this what our war heroes died for?”

Hey there were Bosniak and Albanian SS divisions, so maybe it was

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Saturday, 18 June 2016 13:01 (seven years ago) link

ie their war heroes are the nazis. Probably shouldn't do wisecracks that need immediate explanation

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Saturday, 18 June 2016 13:07 (seven years ago) link

The tabloids don't create anti-immigrant feeling but they do amplify it and they do legitimise that rhetoric in mainstream society, they make it much much easier for people to pull the old "I'm not racist but" move.

Thing is, the tabloids themselves don't really care about immigration that much, not really. You go into the office of any tabloid newspaper and there will be immigrants of all kinds working at all levels and in all kinds of jobs, and plenty of them. But fostering immigration panic is the surest means to an end - ie withdrawal from the EU - which they want for commercial and influence-based reasons that aren't really connected to immigration. It's irresponsible and it's dangerous, but if Brexit does happen then watch all these immigration headlines just melt away.

Matt DC, Saturday, 18 June 2016 13:20 (seven years ago) link

(And watch Human Rights become the new EU, almost immediately).

Matt DC, Saturday, 18 June 2016 13:21 (seven years ago) link

lex otm, matt dc otm.

i am sympathetic to what you say lg but i don't think the mode of response that focuses on the media etc is typically right-wing at all, much more aligned to classic forms of leftist structural analysis, cultural studies etc. the focus on mental health, as we've seen it, seems to me like a sleight of hand - pretending that you're talking about something deep in our society that we have to contend with (despite probably being someone who's never cared about mental health issues before) when in fact you're using it to place all of the blame on the individual with no further thought necessary

xps

(And watch Human Rights become the new EU, almost immediately).

"Human rights are for human beings"

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Saturday, 18 June 2016 13:37 (seven years ago) link

i know "loners with a history of mental health issues", many of them, and none of them have committed political assassinations.

to me this seems like branding the person a "nutter". is anyone not capable of this kind of act, given a particular set of negative circumstances? it feels like othering them to say "no he did this not because of mental illness but because of his political views" when the views are clearly so wild and the act is so spurious and random.

I'm sure it's just me being slow, but I don't get what you're trying to say here, LG? You think that pointing out that mental illness is extremely misunderstood and wrongly identified with violent behaviour is... somehow pinning the blame on his mental illness? And I'm not sure who the "them" is in "it feels like othering them". And I'm not sure if you're saying that his views being wild means that he is necessarily mentally ill?

As I say, it might just be tiredness and poor reading comprehension on my part, but would appreciate if you could elucidate.

emil.y, Saturday, 18 June 2016 14:10 (seven years ago) link

Also (and I'm not really arguing against anyone on this thread here) if it was "just" mental illness then you still need to ask why he chose to target this particular individual.

Matt DC, Saturday, 18 June 2016 14:15 (seven years ago) link

The court heard that moments after being held by two police officers following the shooting of Mrs Cox, Mr Mair stated: “I am a political activist” and that material “relating to extreme right wing and white supremacist organisations” was found at his home, along with newspaper articles about the MP.

After being repeatedly stabbed the MP was shot three times as she lay on the ground, Mr Cawthorne told the court.

He added: “The defendant continued to stab Mrs Cox as she lay fighting for her life. Whilst doing so the defendant was heard to say words to the effect of ‘Britain first, keep Britain independent, Britain always comes first, this is for Britain.”

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Saturday, 18 June 2016 14:19 (seven years ago) link

Something I've been having difficulty adequately describing is, well, some sort of mistrust of the concepts of being mentally "well" and mentally "unwell", particularly when talking about stuff like this. As in, what is your description of these states? One definition of insanity could easily be "performs violent actions against others". In which case, sure, he's insane, but is this actually useful? This doesn't prove diminished responsibility of any sort.

As someone with a history of mental illness, would I forever be unable to write a will, because I am not "of sound mind"? Or would I be granted capacity because I am aware of my actions, I know the consequences, and I know who I am bequeathing stuff to?

xp - Ugh. Sorry for politicising this, guys!

emil.y, Saturday, 18 June 2016 14:24 (seven years ago) link

One definition of insanity could easily be "performs violent actions against others". In which case, sure, he's insane, but is this actually useful?

It's not legal, that's for sure.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Saturday, 18 June 2016 14:28 (seven years ago) link

Well no, because the law tends to use "diminished responsibility" rather than "insanity", right? So I'm not talking about the law here, I'm talking about the discourse.

emil.y, Saturday, 18 June 2016 14:30 (seven years ago) link

surprisingly today's Times has this pro-remain feature across the cover.

http://67.media.tumblr.com/c5afe033983f32f98fe2fc5f4239a6ea/tumblr_o8xmthBSBm1u5f06vo1_1280.jpg

piscesx, Saturday, 18 June 2016 14:32 (seven years ago) link

The Times has come out in favour of Remain, don't you, er, read the papers?

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Saturday, 18 June 2016 14:42 (seven years ago) link

I never said it was solely mental illness, I made it really clear I'm not saying that. my point itt is there are many reasons why someone may kill a stranger, and their own stated motivation is dubious too.

emily, maybe I read lex's post wrongly, but to me it feels like othering a mentally ill person who commits a violent crime to say "I know people with mental illness who don't do this".

That's what I mean, like as if it's saying "many people are mentally ill but only this man lets it affect him so badly as to kill" - there are a wide variety of mental illnesses and mental states, who knows how this person was feeling. I consider mental illness a legitimate reason for why someone might kill a stranger, I don't think that's the same as saying mental illness makes someone more likely to do so.

I mean we know this man had been seeking help for mental illness. does a murderer having political views mean he/she can't also be mentally ill? On this board people seem willing to accept that there are more reasons than one for why a person does something like this, but on Twitter there is a lot of one-note stuff about this happening solely because of fascism

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Saturday, 18 June 2016 14:43 (seven years ago) link

The tabloids don't create anti-immigrant feeling but they do amplify it and they do legitimise that rhetoric in mainstream society, they make it much much easier for people to pull the old "I'm not racist but" move.

I'm not entirely sure they don't create anti-immigrant feeling. Maybe not out of absolutely nowhere, but they can be a substitute for right-wing 'mates down the pub' for people who don't have any. A close family member, who lives in a very white part of the UK and is a direct descendant of a Polish immigrant, was never overtly racist when I was younger (maybe towards 'the indians' idk we didn't have any) is totally anti-immigration now, for reason I'm not quite clear on other than there are lots of Polish people now in his town and his son can't get an unskilled job because 'they're all being taken by the Polish' - there are 99 reasons his son is unemployable, immigration ain't one of them - I think it really is a peg to hang up all his fears/grievances on. Wasn't there some article recently about how this guy saw his dad change from a liberal college professor to a raving racist after listening to Fox news for a few years?

sorry, i meant why are those we feel are being tainted by it unable to make that conclusion..

A lot of people have made that conclusion. It's not organic, it's being deliberately cultivated in an environment of economic hardship. Tell people that their job moving to a zero-hours contract, their failure to get on a housing waiting list or the closure of local council resources is because of immigration and a proportion will believe it.

I was discussing the referendum with this family member (Brexit of course) and he openly said he wasn't voting based on facts but that everyone was basing their votes on emotion, as they should be. Everyone gets to vote with their heart, not their head, and air their feelings. Thing is, these feelings have been manipulated in ways even beyond the ways that facts and statistics can be. They see the photo of legal EU immigrants hiding in the back of a van (...) and once they've felt that feeling, they can't un-feel it no matter how many times the retraction is re-tweeted.

Sorry I don't think I'm being particularly articulate

kinder, Saturday, 18 June 2016 14:53 (seven years ago) link

xp I think you're right that everyone here gets that "violent mentally ill people" is a subset of "mentally ill people" & one that deserves equal consideration/understanding but tbh I do think you have misread lex if you think he's saying that isn't the case. or certainly I read it much more as pointing out that mental illness is extremely misunderstood and wrongly identified with violent behaviour

oh, amazonaws (wins), Saturday, 18 June 2016 14:56 (seven years ago) link

Can people with mental illness not write a will?

I feel like tuomas on a thread about celebrities with some of this stuff.

plums (a hoy hoy), Saturday, 18 June 2016 14:59 (seven years ago) link

emily, maybe I read lex's post wrongly, but to me it feels like othering a mentally ill person who commits a violent crime to say "I know people with mental illness who don't do this".

That's what I mean, like as if it's saying "many people are mentally ill but only this man lets it affect him so badly as to kill" - there are a wide variety of mental illnesses and mental states, who knows how this person was feeling. I consider mental illness a legitimate reason for why someone might kill a stranger, I don't think that's the same as saying mental illness makes someone more likely to do so.

Yeah, I think the point is that we're fighting against the prevailing discourse here. The prevailing discourse reads: mental illness is the cause, and the sole cause, let's just say that and be done with it. Oh, and also let's not lobby for better mental health services (why would you want to treat these MANIACS? They're evil monsters).

Also I don't think anything lex said suggested that someone would be at fault for *letting* mental illness affect them. That's a complete jump. I do agree with your last sentence, but again, I'm not arguing against that nuance. I'm arguing against a) that being applied to this situation in any major way (because all the evidence so far points towards it being a minor factor in a life that has been dedicated for YEARS to white supremacy), and b) again, the prevailing discourse. The media does imply that reciprocal relation, even if you are not doing so.

Can people with mental illness not write a will?

I could write a will, but I would have to be "of sound mind" for it to not be contested by another party (in a hypothetical situation where I had anything of value to leave and multiple parties wanted it). "Of sound mind" does not necessarily mean "completely and utterly certifiably sane", it means being able to understand what you are doing and the consequences thereof. My point was to draw attention to the fact that being mentally ill does not mean you are not legally and morally culpable. You may be, or you may not be. I think I made it very badly. Very badly indeed.

emil.y, Saturday, 18 June 2016 15:25 (seven years ago) link

i always wonder if our obsession with deciding just how guilty or responsible people are for their actions is a cultural thing and related to broadly "religious" ideologies - criminals, disabled people, children, people with mental health issues all face the same kind of filtering based on what they "deserve" rather than what they've done

Noodle Vague, Saturday, 18 June 2016 15:42 (seven years ago) link

not articulating clearly through toothache haze but basically if we dealt with people who have done harmful things, even horribly harmful things, with a bit more humanity and a bit more regard to prevention rather than retribution then maybe the unsolveable philosophical conundrum of exactly how "responsible" people are for their actions wouldn't seem quite such a big deal

Noodle Vague, Saturday, 18 June 2016 15:43 (seven years ago) link

I thought you were quite clear and interesting to read emily, I'm just a someone with very limited knowledge.

plums (a hoy hoy), Saturday, 18 June 2016 16:00 (seven years ago) link

Yeah, I think the point is that we're fighting against the prevailing discourse here. The prevailing discourse reads: mental illness is the cause, and the sole cause, let's just say that and be done with it. Oh, and also let's not lobby for better mental health services (why would you want to treat these MANIACS? They're evil monsters).

if the prevailing discourse was "mental illness is the cause" then a logical next step would be to lobby for better mental health services. the point i'm making itt is that people saying "no this is entirely about fascism" come across as completely lacking in compassion, and fail to point the finger at the variety of circumstances which might lead someone to be in the kind of mental place that leads to you assuming a specific white mp must die to fix the problems in the world.

all the evidence so far points towards it being a minor factor in a life that has been dedicated for YEARS to white supremacy

i would say the fact this man believed he had to shoot and murder a stranger clearly shows he does have mental problems of some nature. as abhorrent as fascism is, it isn't particularly common for fascists to murder people in the uk, or indeed for anyone to just walk up to a stranger and kill them. it is pretty rare.

not sure we know enough about this person to say what is and isn't a minor factor in their lives. there's a pretty massive difference between someone having fascist views or even murderous views, and someone actually killing someone.

i just generally find the certainty about this person's motivation to be pretty strange. i've read a decent amount of books about people who commit these kind of acts of violence, and usually it is pretty hard to pinpoint motivations or reasons, probably because each person is different.

not articulating clearly through toothache haze but basically if we dealt with people who have done harmful things, even horribly harmful things, with a bit more humanity and a bit more regard to prevention rather than retribution then maybe the unsolveable philosophical conundrum of exactly how "responsible" people are for their actions wouldn't seem quite such a big deal

i agree with this entirely - a lot of what i'm saying itt is that any responses that remove the possibility of many reasons for this man's violent action is p reactionary and callous. i mean, just because fascism is an actual political problem does that mean someone citing fascist reasons for a murder must be of sound mind? if he said jesus told him to kill someone would we say the problem was christianity?

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Saturday, 18 June 2016 17:14 (seven years ago) link

like to me a lot of the response to this feels like people are insisting that a killer is not in any way of unsound mind, so that they can take him at face value and say that his "reason" for killing is just a normal common thing, and that the killing itself is representative of something generally popular or supported by society.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Saturday, 18 June 2016 17:16 (seven years ago) link

The nature and extent of his mental health issues will come out in the wash. He wasn't sectioned on arrest and his brother claims the only thing he has ever been treated for is OCD but whether that is correct isn't yet clear. Sam Kriss is pretty otm here though:

The victim was an MP noted for her advocacy for Syrian migrants. Her killer was a neo-Nazi, who bought gun-making instructions from an American white supremacist group, reportedly shouted ‘Britain First!’ after the murder, and gave his name in court as ‘death to traitors, freedom for Britain.’ You can call his ideology an epiphenomenon of his madness if you want; plenty have. Since 1945, happy and content people have tended not to be outright Hitlerists. (In fact, they tend to not be interested in any kind of politics whatsoever.) But there is no mental illness known to medical practice that turns its sufferers into violent fascists; fascism as a political ideology is not independently created, swastikas and all, every time something goes clunk in the brain. Go back to your Lacan: the mind is not a self-contained system; nothing in the psyche is ever a pure interiority. This fascism is coming from somewhere, and the fog over Britain is full of it.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Saturday, 18 June 2016 17:32 (seven years ago) link

find it hard to bridge the yawning chasm between the two truths "happy and content people have tended not to be outright hitlerists" and "there is no mental illness known to medical practice that turns its sufferers into violent fascists"

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Saturday, 18 June 2016 17:46 (seven years ago) link

Mental health issues may make some people more vulnerable to external propaganda. It is fairly straightforward.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Saturday, 18 June 2016 17:49 (seven years ago) link

I agree with that completely.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Saturday, 18 June 2016 17:54 (seven years ago) link

Jo Cox’s bereaved husband says mainstream politicians are legitimising extremist anti-immigrant views: http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/jo-cox-s-bereaved-husband-says-mainstream-politicians-are-legitimising-extremist-anti-immigrant-a7088831.html

Le Bateau Ivre, Saturday, 18 June 2016 18:05 (seven years ago) link

pretty sure Fascism is a mental illness tbh

Noodle Vague, Saturday, 18 June 2016 18:07 (seven years ago) link

It's just really strange how often it afflicts those who would most benefit from fascist policies...

Frederik B, Saturday, 18 June 2016 18:17 (seven years ago) link

Mental health issues may make some people more vulnerable to external propaganda. It is fairly straightforward.

― On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Saturday, June 18, 2016 5:49 PM (50 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

As does loneliness, of course.

Pastoral Fantasy (jed_), Saturday, 18 June 2016 18:41 (seven years ago) link

Mail On Sunday is pinning its colours to the mast for Remain tomorrow, possibly on principle and possibly just to annoy Dacre. Follows The Times today and the Financial editor of The Telegraph yesterday. Sunday Times is pushing for Leave.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Saturday, 18 June 2016 21:09 (seven years ago) link

The Economist is firmly Remain, though that is not surprising:

http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21700637-vote-leave-european-union-would-diminish-both-britain-and-europe-divided-we-fall

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Saturday, 18 June 2016 21:17 (seven years ago) link

I'm surprised the Murdoch papers were allowed to call their own editorial line on this.

Pastoral Fantasy (jed_), Saturday, 18 June 2016 21:27 (seven years ago) link

The Times has always had it's independence in making editorial decisions. Murdoch accepts it because its The Times.

Cosmic Slop, Saturday, 18 June 2016 21:28 (seven years ago) link

Ah right.

Pastoral Fantasy (jed_), Saturday, 18 June 2016 21:32 (seven years ago) link

Can someone explain to me the MIGRANTS TAKE ALL NOBELS IN BRITAIN headline from that Daily Express collage up thread?

Pastoral Fantasy (jed_), Saturday, 18 June 2016 21:45 (seven years ago) link

That struck me too. Migrants, coming over here, doing all our award winning science...

koogs, Saturday, 18 June 2016 21:47 (seven years ago) link

I didn't know you could take a Nobel. This changes everything.

Pastoral Fantasy (jed_), Saturday, 18 June 2016 21:48 (seven years ago) link

By journalist Martin Fletcher

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/ClOh9iXWMAAmVoZ.jpg

Le Bateau Ivre, Saturday, 18 June 2016 21:59 (seven years ago) link

Perfect.

Pastoral Fantasy (jed_), Saturday, 18 June 2016 23:55 (seven years ago) link

Anders, who had wanted to be part of the power elite, was now one of the soldiers of World of Warcraft..

This is a sample line from that really terrible Breivik book that was quite critically well received last year:p

calzino, Sunday, 19 June 2016 00:33 (seven years ago) link

I can't link to it directly, but under this blogpost there is a comment by Phil (Edwards) that I thought was interesting, wrt "mental illness" and far-right politics and the relationship between the two

http://barthsnotes.com/2016/06/17/some-notes-on-claims-about-thomas-mair/#comments

(it's the third comment down, or ctrl-f "phil")

soref, Sunday, 19 June 2016 03:27 (seven years ago) link

I was surprised by that Mail on Sunday decision, perhaps it's because Geordie Grieg just wants the British right to become a place where everyone just goes to parties all the time and has to deal with Dacre thundering away next door.

Which way is the Telegraph declaring?

Matt DC, Sunday, 19 June 2016 10:25 (seven years ago) link

I'm assuming the FT is firmly in the Remain camp.

Matt DC, Sunday, 19 June 2016 10:26 (seven years ago) link

The Economist is firmly Remain, though that is not surprising:

saw a Leave:EU poster at Vauxhall last night that was quite obviously patterned after The Economist's ads, and grasping for The Economist's gravitas.

Oh baby, if only you knew / Gabnebb hit a hundred-and-two (stevie), Sunday, 19 June 2016 11:25 (seven years ago) link

Which way is the Telegraph declaring?

Can see them going Remain with concomitant spluttering into G & Ts in golf club bars the length and breadth of the country.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Sunday, 19 June 2016 11:29 (seven years ago) link

Corbyn v good on Marr - immigrants do not put pressure on services, but govt under-funding. A late corrective on politicians who 'understand people's concerns'. Also good on looking at the issue of exploitative wages imposed on newly arrived migrants.

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 19 June 2016 11:38 (seven years ago) link

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-3648681/THE-MAIL-SUNDAY-COMMENT-Vote-Remain-safer-freer-prosperous-yes-GREATER-Britain.html

Not quite sure how the Mail on Sunday has the cheek to print the words "Those who would have you believe in the plucky Little England of the past are selling a dangerous illusion" in its editorial, but still.

Alba, Sunday, 19 June 2016 14:59 (seven years ago) link

In town today, lots of Remain campaigners, absolutely no Brexiters at all.

Mark G, Sunday, 19 June 2016 15:45 (seven years ago) link

xp MoS has a different editor than the DM - they don't get on and often they work against each other. Private Eye have been covering it for ages.
MoS ran a story about Neo Nazis in the Leave camp a few weeks ago.

Best part of that article is the comments - full of outraged DM readers vowing to cancel their subscriptions.

gyac, Sunday, 19 June 2016 16:33 (seven years ago) link

I know, but "plucky England of the past" is hardly a stranger to the pages of the MoS.

Alba, Sunday, 19 June 2016 16:54 (seven years ago) link

That bit seems incongruous, but then the whole thing is given it's the Mail. The whole thing is all across the press. The Sunday Telegraph has come out for Brexit, but the first thing you see when you click on the site is a piece about Osborne comparing Farage's poster Nazi propaganda.

Speaking of the Telegraph, they've run a piece on the British character that contains this:

What struck me from the beginning was a quality that requires rather a lot of adjectives: calm, rational, tolerant, grown up, undaunted, and quietly brave.

I have seen that subtle virtue in play many times over a lifetime here. Under the truly terrifying wave of IRA bombings, when virtually nobody flinched or even altered their daily habits and when, most movingly, the population evinced almost no trace of anti-Irish prejudice. (A fashion for fairly benign Irish jokes was as far as it got.) I saw it again after the 7/7 terror bombings, when the population grieved but did not panic, and again manifested almost no hostility to the British Muslim community. So I now have a very firm idea of what the British are like – and they are not going to be bullied or frightened like silly children.

gyac, Sunday, 19 June 2016 17:29 (seven years ago) link

Live from a living room...

Mark G, Sunday, 19 June 2016 17:40 (seven years ago) link

Benign Irish jokes = not actually about the IRA or bombs, etc.

Mark G, Sunday, 19 June 2016 17:41 (seven years ago) link

yeah i know some English people i call bullshit

Noodle Vague, Sunday, 19 June 2016 17:42 (seven years ago) link

It's Janet Daley, turning her acute "outsider's eye" to British culture.

Alba, Sunday, 19 June 2016 17:45 (seven years ago) link

i accept it's entirely possible Janet Daley has mingled with a different sample group to me

Noodle Vague, Sunday, 19 June 2016 17:46 (seven years ago) link

i accept it's entirely possible Janet Daley has mingled with a different sample group to me

She lives on a different planet to most of us.

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Sunday, 19 June 2016 18:50 (seven years ago) link

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/people/sadiq-khan-britain-first-london-mayor-threaten-direct-action-a7047991.html

The far-right group Britain First has threatened to target where Sadiq Khan “lives, works and prays” as part of their apparent organised action against British Muslim politicians.

In a press release, the “loyalist” group claim they specialise in direct action which they will use against Mr Khan

Andrew Farrell, Sunday, 19 June 2016 19:18 (seven years ago) link

can we just call them a terrorist group and be done, or does this set a dangerous precedent

imago, Sunday, 19 June 2016 19:24 (seven years ago) link

> In town today, lots of Remain campaigners, absolutely no Brexiters at all.

A dozen remainers in w12 that I saw, at least two of which were being earholed by Leavers.

koogs, Sunday, 19 June 2016 20:06 (seven years ago) link

http://crookedtimber.org/2016/06/17/making-our-peace/

nakhchivan, Sunday, 19 June 2016 22:24 (seven years ago) link

very good, even at the points where i disagree

Noodle Vague, Monday, 20 June 2016 05:43 (seven years ago) link

Baroness Warsi out of the Leave campaign now. I'm not a big fan but I appreciate that as the highest profile minority in the Tory party, she probably has to make a call a dozen times a day regarding "What course of action will further my aim/goals while also facilitating the least racism and exposing myself to the least racism?" (while the highest profile minority in the Labour party - probably Sadiq Khan? - would only have to do this two or three times a day). And as such my understanding is that the actual point of saying "no we've crossed a line" can come some time after the line has actually been crossed.

All that taken, there are probably 20 better ways for the Guardian to express this than "although some question her commitment to campaign".

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jun/20/sayeeda-warsi-quits-leave-campaign-over-hateful-xenophobic-tactics

Andrew Farrell, Monday, 20 June 2016 09:45 (seven years ago) link

EXCELLENT shade in "Speaking earlier of the leave campaign, she told the Times: 'I look at that group of people and I think they’re not the kind of people I’d get on a night bus with. Why would I want them to run my country?'" though.

Andrew Farrell, Monday, 20 June 2016 09:47 (seven years ago) link

Yeah I think Gove would relish the chance to restart the troubles

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 20 June 2016 11:55 (seven years ago) link

iirc there are sensible arguments against some of the details of the Good Friday Agreement (which was an amazing and impossible-seeming enough achievement that it was probably worth it)...

...but that certainly wasn't one of them

a passing spacecadet, Monday, 20 June 2016 12:04 (seven years ago) link

his pea-brained imperialist jingoism was all over the changes to the History syllabus when he was Education sec

Noodle Vague, Monday, 20 June 2016 12:06 (seven years ago) link

What's the polling looking like in Northern Ireland? Is it overwhelmingly Remain or is there a substantial Protestant Leave contingent?

Matt DC, Monday, 20 June 2016 12:25 (seven years ago) link

The Belfast Telegraph had an article about poll results this morning: http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/eu-referendum/eu-referendum-growing-support-in-northern-ireland-for-brexit-but-balance-of-power-lies-with-the-undecided-34815075.html

which is slightly confusingly laid out, so: Remain still in the lead in NI but Protestants somewhat pro-Leave (iirc the DUP are for leaving and the UUP for remaining), with higher %s undecided than in recent all-UK polls; 37% are still undecided and about the same for Remain

a passing spacecadet, Monday, 20 June 2016 12:40 (seven years ago) link

37% undecided is pretty fucking high.

Matt DC, Monday, 20 June 2016 12:58 (seven years ago) link

Not like the Norn Irish not to know their own minds :)

Larry 'Leg' Smith (Tom D.), Monday, 20 June 2016 13:48 (seven years ago) link

the ones i know are pretty forthright in their views oh wait is that the joke damn damn that's the joke isn't it damn damn

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 20 June 2016 14:03 (seven years ago) link

Nothing happened for two days? Blimey.

Mark G, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 09:35 (seven years ago) link

I believe Rick Astley (remain) and Ulrika Jonsson (leave) competed for the vote of Clarke Carlisle (undecided) on Channel 4.

The leave campaign appears to have taken £600k from a woman who claims she joined the BNP accidentally and one of their board members has resigned after retweeting racist memes.

The dignified silence seems entirely justified.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 09:48 (seven years ago) link

I've just realised I haven't had a polling card and am a bit worried. Has everyone else had one?

(I know you don't need one to vote but I hope it doesn't mean I'm not registered - I was registered for the police commissioner elections in May but re-registered online "just in case" after they extended the registration date, so it would be typical if I had typed my details wrong and got myself removed from the register or something)

a passing spacecadet, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 10:05 (seven years ago) link

Nothing happened for two days? Blimey.

fatigue.

xpost : my polling card arrived months ago.

mark e, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 10:05 (seven years ago) link

don't think I've had a card, am definitely on register, maybe they aren't sending them out or they look like the advertising crap I keep getting and I've ignored it or it arrived months ago like mark e said

Noodle Vague, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 10:06 (seven years ago) link

xposts - If you were registered for the police commissioner elections in May you'll be fine, you only need to register once don't you?

Chris, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 10:08 (seven years ago) link

oh er... having arrived months ago would definitely defeat my non-existent filing system, yes. ta!

(ahem)

a passing spacecadet, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 10:08 (seven years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Cli2TCdVAAE1_W7.jpg

This is how I feel, basically.

Le Bateau Ivre, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 10:21 (seven years ago) link

reasonable points, think he's gonna get his worst case scenario tho

Noodle Vague, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 10:34 (seven years ago) link

whatever the outcome, its going to be nasty.

mark e, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 10:39 (seven years ago) link

everything's nasty without full communism

Noodle Vague, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 10:42 (seven years ago) link

lol.

I think it'll be WCS too.

Le Bateau Ivre, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 10:43 (seven years ago) link

Yes, though i don't think a majority of 55%+ would change anything.

Even if the UK leaves, idk if you're going to get full speed ahead on further integration given the current situations in Poland and the wider Visegrad group, France, Italy, Spain, etc.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 10:47 (seven years ago) link

Implications for us of a brexit are much more wide-ranging and longer lasting and if FG were in full govt i think we'd be getting much more jumpy.

Daithi Bowsie (darraghmac), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 11:57 (seven years ago) link

Hmmm, don't think moves toward closer integration are happening any time soon, for reasons that go beyond the British situation, like Sharivari says. Also saying greece is opposed to integration feels like a category error. It's more that Greece has had the lesson driven home harder than anyone else that integration is a sham when the chips are down.

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 12:05 (seven years ago) link

Ruth Davison seemed impressive in the bits I say of the debate. Still a Tory, obv.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 12:31 (seven years ago) link

Work has kicked-off into Breixt comms nonsense.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 12:50 (seven years ago) link

sheffield council sent me two postal ballots (they seem to be confused about whether i'm a postal voter or an overseas voter). i did the right thing.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 12:56 (seven years ago) link

shat on it

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 13:41 (seven years ago) link

the wolfgang blau thing has a superficial plausibility but not a lot more. 'further integration' would either require treaty changes, which were politically possible only by engineering around rejected plebiscites even in a much more favourable climate a decade ago, or a slow accretion of measures in different areas. if the latter then the new recognition of british special pleading would probably enable this via further derogations when necessary.

the only further integration that is either sought or needed is within the eurozone rather than the eu architecture itself, which would be easier to accomplish once the uk exemption from eurozone refinancing is ratified. it's obtuse to claim that greece is opposed to further integration when it has spent years unsuccessfully pleading for eurozone debt consolidation/mutualization. nothing like this looks very likely for the time being in any case, but if a political will does develop then the uk precedent would allow a periphery of nordic/visegrad countries to self-segregate from eurozone fiscal integration (ie there is now already an actual germ for a two-tier eu).

in the case of exit, then the rest of the eu would be financially less exposed than the uk itself, but politically it could be a lot more difficult. there are comparable levels of resentment in many other countries and elections in several of them next year; insofar far as latin countries support further integration (still no more than a third of voters in any country) then it is in the hope that the solvent (=germanic) eurozone countries will consolidate with them. and any political will for that would lessen further once the uk left and the ordoliberal centre asserted itself against afd et al by clasping their lutheran prayerbooks and chastising the debtor nations.

and as sv says, it's not entirely clear how much difference 50.5% or 55% makes; the entire reactionary claim is about the will of the silent majority, and unpopular populists begin to look like born losers rather than mere unfortunates (cf the humiliation of farage last year). the snp are discussing a second referendum only in the eventuality of the uk leaving the eu, and insofar as they would have any other case to demand one, it is because the demographic trend is with them, rather than against as is the case for the overwhelmingly old and uneducated ukip vote.

the losers would continue making noise, effectively spoiling their ballots by voting ukip, but unless the conservative party decisively affirmed its opposition the eu, there would be no political constituency for it. this is possible, mostly because the ancient conservative party membership is even more estranged from the centre than the labour one, and if one of their two options was a hardcore eurosceptic they would buy it. whether the parliamentary party would give them another fundamentalist suicide candidate like i-d-s remains to be seen; northern ukip voters will not be voting for dominic raab.

nakhchivan, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 14:16 (seven years ago) link

I wonder to what degree places like fife, where I live and which has never returns a labour mp iirc (always Tory or ld/liberal) is because we fall between two stools? Everyone campaign in Edinburgh or Dundee, and that's maybe why the rural tends to be forgotten - it's more fri ing to campaign in cities. Mwhich may be circular.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 14:30 (seven years ago) link

(Was thinking after checking for nearby campaign events and not seeing any/few in my region.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 14:32 (seven years ago) link

I just read a facebook comment claiming an exit from the EU would more strongly ally Britain with the US

Is this a sentiment anyone is actually expressing? Because trust me, no one over here's saying that and we'd rather you stuck with the EU.

μpright mammal (mh), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 14:40 (seven years ago) link

sounds like the dream of formalizing the anglosphere is picking up steam!

Mordy, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 14:43 (seven years ago) link

I just read a facebook comment claiming an exit from the EU would more strongly ally Britain with the US

Obama has already said it would not do so. But I guess he's leaving, so people are deluding themselves into thinking that he's wrong?

emil.y, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 14:52 (seven years ago) link

I feel like I could throw a rock and hit three thinkpieces on how Trump and Boris are similar but also not-similar (though I haven't read any because lifetime is finite).

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 14:54 (seven years ago) link

the handful of US corporations who use Britain as a foothold to the EU are not on board with that!

μpright mammal (mh), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 14:54 (seven years ago) link

just fwiw in case it solves anyone's problems ballots were only issued in the last ~month i think

schlump, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 14:55 (seven years ago) link

yeah that Boris guy seems really dumb, if there's anything we can do on this side of the pond to help, let me know

I think we can handle this Trump thing but I'll send up a flare if we need assistance

μpright mammal (mh), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 14:55 (seven years ago) link

Your government still regards Johnson as American for tax purposes, much to his annoyance.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 14:57 (seven years ago) link

I am normally conflicted on our enthusiastic taxation of citizens living abroad, but I feel this could be of use. Maybe we can get him extradited for tax evasion?

μpright mammal (mh), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 15:00 (seven years ago) link

Put yer tin hats on before reading the most WTF thing I've read this year

" On the assassination of Jo Cox MP.

Posted on June 18, 2016 by Michael Shrimpton in Views & Letters // 36 Comments

"Ed: Some of our readers may find the following article controversial. We would therefore like to emphasise strongly that it is the personal opinion of the author.

I condemn this outrageous assassination in the strongest possible terms, and express my sympathy for Jo’s widower Brendan and their two young children, who are bound to be distraught. Sympathy for Brendan and the children however must not prevent serious analysis of this assassination. If we do not analyse it correctly, then poor Jo will have died in vain and other MPs may well pay the price in future.

MPs may be shocked and confused, but with respect they shouldn’t be. Assassination as a political weapon is associated primarily but not exclusively with German Intelligence, which tried to assassinate Queen Victoria three times and succeeded in assassinating Tsar Alexander II, Mahatma Gandhi and President John F. Kennedy, all the time staying deep, hiding behind political fanatics or so-called ‘lone gunmen’.

The failure to shut down Germany’s re-organised intelligence apparatus in 1945, as revealed in my book Spyhunter (June Press, 2014) condemned the Western World to over six decades of economic and political chaos. In order to get Britain into the EEC the new German agency London operation, GO2 (the inspiration for Ian Fleming’s fictional ‘OO’ section) assassinated Labour Leader Hugh Gaitskell MP in 1963. Gaitskell’s brutal assassination, using a bio-weapon developed by a team led by the German DVD’s Dr Josef Mengele, paved the way for the DVD’s Harold Wilson to take charge of the Labour Party. Wilson, of course, favoured British entry.

When Chancellor Iain Macleod opposed Germany’s entry terms in 1970 he too was murdered, by poison. GO2 went on to assassinate Ross McWhirter, a leading opponent of British membership, in 1975. That assassination was false-flagged via the Provisional IRA, a favoured German tactic, used again with the assassinations of Airey Neave in 1979 and Ian Gow in 1990, in each case in order to undermine Margaret Thatcher.

The next MP to be assassinated by GO2 was Leader of the Opposition John Smith, in 1994, after he told a Bilderberg Group meeting that he no longer supported euro membership. That nice man Jimmy Goldsmith, Leader of the Referendum Party, was assassinated using weaponised pancreatic cancer, in 1997. I met Jimmy not long before he died. I think he knew that he had been murdered.

Weaponised cancer – the Holy Grail of the Abwehr and DVD for many years – was again used in 2010, to assassinate my friend, the courageous investigative journalist Christopher Story FRSA. Christopher confirmed that he had been fatally poisoned in a poignant post on the night before he died.

All of these assassinations can be linked in some way to the EU. Ian Gow’s murder was a precursor to the internal party coup later that year against Margaret Thatcher, whom I also knew.

If the Remain side thought that only the pro-British side were vulnerable to assassination during this referendum campaign they overlooked two vital matters: the assassination of John Smith, who played a key role in organising the Labour rebellion in 1972, without which the ECA72 could never have been passed, and the assassination by the DVD of pro-EU Swedish Foreign Minister Anna Lindh during the 2003 Swedish referendum on the euro.

John Smith’s assassination proved that loyalty counts for nothing so far as the DVD and GO2 are concerned. Anna Lindh’s cynical assassination was designed both to generate sympathy for the pro-euro side and to pin blame on the pro-Krona side.

There are some curious features of this latest assassination. Firstly, there is the mystery eye-witness who heard the accused man, Thomas Mair, shout ‘Britain first’, and the failure of West Yorkshire police to deny the existence of such a witness. It is now perfectly clear that there was no such eye-witness and improbable that Mair shouted the words attributed to him by irresponsible sections of the mainstream media, if that is not a tautology. This was a transparent attempt to smear Britain First, with whom Mair has no known association. Clearly they had nothing whatsoever to do with the assassination and were as shocked as everybody else.

Smearing right-wing organisations in this way is a standard tactic of German Intelligence. It was used effectively in the Oslo shooting, where one of the shooters, Anders Breivik, was portrayed as right-wing, although in fact he had no known affiliation with any right-wing organisation in Norway.

West Yorkshire’s investigation, such as it is, has been compromised from the get-go by the Acting Chief Constable, although in fairness she is probably being forced to work within tramlines set by the Cabinet Office, which in practice controls both the police and the Crown Prosecution Service. Like the equally useless Dallas Police before them, West Yorkshire are obsessing on the lone gunman theory before even a tenth of the evidence is in. It seems that one of the gunmen (Mair may not have fired a shot, of course, or more likely there were multiple shooters, as at Oslo) used a .38 calibre home-made gun, but from where did he acquire the ammunition? You can’t just walk into Argos and ask for a box of .38 Dum-Dum bullets.

There isn’t likely to be a trial. The standard tactic in this sort of case is a plea-bargain, with the defendant pleading not guilty by reason of insanity. It is not unknown for intelligence officers setting up the hit to make offers of cushy treatment. That was a feature of the Yorkshire Moors Murders, set up, again, by GO2.

The only way Parliament is likely to get at the truth is to take control and try Mair for his life at the Bar of Parliament. A State Trial and the death penalty would clearly be appropriate in this case. The assassination of poor Jo Cox was an assault upon our democracy.

My provisional assessment is that Jo Cox MP was taken out by one or more shooters recruited by GO2 in a reprise of the Lindh Tactic, in the hope of swinging the referendum in favour of Germany and the EU at the last minute. "

http://www.ukipdaily.com/assassination-jo-cox-mp/

Cosmic Slop, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 16:27 (seven years ago) link

Maybe it needs polled for most wtf line

Cosmic Slop, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 16:28 (seven years ago) link

and ffs don't read the comments!

Cosmic Slop, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 16:30 (seven years ago) link

or ignored, one of those
xp

a goon shaped fule (onimo), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 16:40 (seven years ago) link

oh ffs

Cosmic Slop, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 16:46 (seven years ago) link

A date for the fly past, over Westminster towards Tower Bridge, was made public last Friday before the memorial service had been arranged.
It was originally scheduled to take off at 12pm today but was delayed until 1pm and then 3.30pm because of adverse weather conditions.
It was organised by Britten-Norman Limited, independently of the official Vote Leave campaign.

so...this is basically a non-story then?

soref, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 17:17 (seven years ago) link

i was going to vote Brexit, for a bunch of subjective, more or less silly or not silly reasons, because i don't give too much of a shit about the whole proposition

and i was just walking home, thru the park the back of my house, and I saw a bunch of my East European neighbours, friends, people in the community, and i thought about the other EU nationals i work with or drink with or whatever else, and i realised fuck it, i'm voting Remain just because (maybe only because) i'm not metaphorically telling all those people to fuck off

Noodle Vague, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 19:42 (seven years ago) link

guardian pollster on 538 this week basically said a) uk polls are worthless so who knows but b) he thinks it'll be close and he thinks it'll be remain bc when it's close ppl will tend to go w/ the status quo safer option

Mordy, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 19:43 (seven years ago) link

The thing that is currently freaking me out: if it is as close as it seems, in the event of a Remain victory the far right will continuously lobby (and possibly get) further referenda, but in the event of a Leave victory I bet everyone will drop the idea of another referendum because "the people have spoken".

emil.y, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 19:46 (seven years ago) link

Put yer tin hats on before reading the most WTF thing I've read this year

Terrifyingly insane

remain in the privacy of the booth (Nasty, Brutish & Short), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 19:47 (seven years ago) link

(fwiw i don't have any special inside information but i did call the michigan primary for bernie; i think remain is going to win and i don't think it'll be that close. but again i don't really know anything, it's just a gut feeling.)

Mordy, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 19:48 (seven years ago) link

the most accurate forecast prior to the 2015 was probably matt singh, afaik the only person who argued the conservative vote was being underestimated via some quite acute statistical work

http://www.ncpolitics.uk/2015/05/polls-wrong-initial-postmortem.html/

his current forecast is 37% leave

http://www.ncpolitics.uk/2016/06/forecast-update-the-last-lap.html/

and there's some suggestion for a similar underestimation of the remain vote in the polling because leave voters are disproportionately easy to contact by pollsters

http://www.economist.com/blogs/bagehot/2016/06/eu-referendum-polling

though even the most sanguine forecasts would estimate approximately 30% chance the uk leaves, so whilst there is a clear favourite it could quite easily go the other way

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 19:56 (seven years ago) link

NV, I have yet to read a full accounting of what the transition would look like, but wouldn't Britain exiting the EU not really metaphorically be telling EU nationals to fuck off? I'd imagine there would be a fair amount of paperwork to apply for foreign resident worker status, although not nearly as many hoops as there are to jump through for foreign workers in the US. I'd imagine a fair number would get rejected, or leave due to the process.

I've read a few conversations elsewhere on the web where EU residents were starting to hedge their employment by looking around for jobs in mainland Europe in case their British residency situation became tenuous.

μpright mammal (mh), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 20:23 (seven years ago) link

When the US diminished the number of work visas a number of years ago I had a few coworkers who went to college here, worked here for a couple years, and were forced to move home due to their visas not being renewed. It was annoying, because a bunch of them were people that had been interns or employees in positions the department had a hard time filling.

μpright mammal (mh), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 20:25 (seven years ago) link

Wow that does sound really annoying how did u cope

Daithi Bowsie (darraghmac), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 20:32 (seven years ago) link

Anyone currently living here would probably be ok whatever happens. They would have to stay here and could lose the right to return if they left for any extended period, iirc. The non-resident family members of resident EU citizens would probably find it much more difficult to join them.

If the UK leaves but wanted to have access to European markets like Norway does there is a reasonable possibility that free movement might be the cost of that.

However, the UK does have an extremely strict and inflexible immigration system for non-EU workers and the risk that it could be extended to new entrants from Europe is significant given that immigration seems to be the only thing the majority of leave voters care about. The government has already committed to unrealistic immigration cuts and a new government, even further to the right, would probably try to follow through on some of that. Most new EU migrants would not be eligible for working visas if the current rules applied to them.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 20:34 (seven years ago) link

the factuality of Britain exiting the EU could be any of a number of things because nobody knows how it would pan out and everybody who claims to is a liar but symbolically it will be a "fuck off" and practically i don't want to feel even notionally responsible for anything that amounts to repatriation

Noodle Vague, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 20:41 (seven years ago) link

Is there a good explanation of which areas the UK would be able to "take back" control over if they went for a Norway-like/EEA status?

If out does end up meaning completely out, I wouldn't be surprised if some categories of already-resident EU nationals were forced to apply for permission to stay. The Tories do love a points system, it would be a shame not to use it.

ǂbait (seandalai), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 20:41 (seven years ago) link

on the other hand there's a few more hours for me to react badly to getting hectored by middle class liberals so who knows

Noodle Vague, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 20:43 (seven years ago) link

:(

emil.y, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 20:49 (seven years ago) link

not a jab at anybody here in case that wasn't clear, just the whole stinking tone of this thing

Noodle Vague, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 20:50 (seven years ago) link

"reacting badly" probably behind 99% of votes [either way] I expect

kinder, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 20:59 (seven years ago) link

i've got an EEA-4 that lasts til 2022 so i figure they can't exactly "cancel" that? even if i took off to live in hawaii for a year? (mmmm hawaii)

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:00 (seven years ago) link

Wow that does sound really annoying how did u cope

― Daithi Bowsie (darraghmac), Wednesday, June 22, 2016 3:32 PM (29 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

rough times, darragh. rough times.

μpright mammal (mh), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:02 (seven years ago) link

anyone watching this circus on c4

kinder, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:03 (seven years ago) link

Can't bring myself to do so, I know how I'm voting and it'll just upset me.

emil.y, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:03 (seven years ago) link

a host of guests including Admiral Lord West, Alan Johnson MP, Alastair Campbell, Alex Salmond MP, Professor Germaine Greer, June Sarpong, Katy Brand, Lee McQueen, Leslie Ash and Lord Heseltine

jesus fucking christ no

Noodle Vague, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:05 (seven years ago) link

Anyone currently living here would probably be ok whatever happens

― On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:34 (16 minutes ago)

there's no reason to be sanguine about this given that 75% of current eu immigrants would not qualify under the general criteria and most of those are from post-2004 accession countries. quite how a paranoid political movement that had derived its success from resentment of eastern europeans would tolerate their continued presence is unclear.

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:07 (seven years ago) link

Right. If there is a clear Brexit majority it will be hard to dispute that there is a mandate to "do something".

ǂbait (seandalai), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:09 (seven years ago) link

(xxxp) Lee McQueen is dead... surely?

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:10 (seven years ago) link

LOL, it's not Alexander McQueen, it's some Apprentice guy.

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:11 (seven years ago) link

lee rigby and steve mcqueen (the actor) are dead
idk who lee mcqueen is but if he was alive when that press release was written then he probably is not dead now

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:11 (seven years ago) link

Don't know, it's been a tough campaign.

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:13 (seven years ago) link

toss-up for most pointless contribution is currently between wetherspoons dude, katie price, and a lady I don't recognise whose argument for Leave is genuinely 'but what about the baby lambs'

sandy shaw is not really helping things

kinder, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:14 (seven years ago) link

Were you thinking of a smiths album perhaps?

coygbiv (NickB), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:14 (seven years ago) link

Xp maybe

coygbiv (NickB), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:15 (seven years ago) link

NV, fwiw, I am taken by how you came to a decision today (if it holds). It's a personal, humane choice. Basing a decision on yer gut feeling has gotten a bad rep it seems in this whole sordid Brexit affair. How emotions shouldn't override 'facts'. Truth is no one knows how either outcome will play out. Given that uncertainty, and the fact that the harsh noise of pundits, politicians and experts - from both camps - are only making things worse, I don't envy any British citizen tomorrow. Feels to me like voters are set adrift on a sea of uncertainty and then asked: well, how are you going to safe yourself? How are you going to make the 'right' decision? You're on your own. Everyone is. 'Weighing' pros and cons in this seems like such a draining exercise. Not trying to sound like an old hippy, but you can only vote going by the heart, which is what you seem to do.

Le Bateau Ivre, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:17 (seven years ago) link

there's no reason to be sanguine about this given that 75% of current eu immigrants would not qualify under the general criteria and most of those are from post-2004 accession countries. quite how a paranoid political movement that had derived its success from resentment of eastern europeans would tolerate their continued presence is unclear.

Yes, there's definitely a question mark over the legal aspects though the official leave campaign has repeatedly stated that they'd be safe. It would require a huge, but not completely unthinkable, volte-face. It could also mean UK citizens in the rest of the EU losing their rights if we followed that path though. Someone needs to do the jobs that the 75% are currently doing, ultimately. I can't see liberalising non-EU migration being bumped up the agenda.

The right to remain in the UK could potentially stay but access to certain public services, the same university fees as 'domestic' students, etc, might be at risk.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:18 (seven years ago) link

Also, mandatory English skills, etc.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:19 (seven years ago) link

thought the raf behr article in the guardian today was uncharacteristically good. only winced like two three times

cozen, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:19 (seven years ago) link

Chuka was on R4 earlier for remain and he had a very good rapport with IDS, maybe a male pattern baldness thing - but they made a nauseating duo. Listening to these contemptible shits going through the motions is more evidence to make you want both sides to feel defeated tomorrow. IDS nearly had a follow through when Chuka used the football metaphor about him wanting "our star striker" Corbyn to score some goals.

I am voting remain, mostly on a vague anti-Tory/right wing reflex, which is ridiculous when you think how many Tories in both parties are remain. But when all you can see is decades of Tory rule ahead it is hard to envisage any vote you make having a positive impact, just maybe slowing down this juggernaut slightly.

calzino, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:23 (seven years ago) link

there wouldn't need to be any volte face because the official leave campaign is redundant in 24 hours and has no autonomous existence. whoever comes next is not bound to honour that any more than all the other unfulfillable or meaningless promises made during this campagin will be honoured. maybe dominic cummings will personally let 15 latvians live in his shed during the expatriation proceeedings as an expression of solidarity, assuming they didn't already lose their jobs during the 3% fall of gdp that andrew lilico considers an acceptable price for uk independence.

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:24 (seven years ago) link

how did this gobshite get on the telly
[it's Toby Young, I'm switching off]

kinder, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:24 (seven years ago) link

If remain wins, what happens to b johnson?

coygbiv (NickB), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:25 (seven years ago) link

Fuck an EU, but I'm still voting Remain for reasons that are roughly congruent with NV and calzino's

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:25 (seven years ago) link

Johnson secures the hearts of the bumpkin wing of the party without having to do any actual work until Cameron steps down, which i assume has always been the plan

Noodle Vague, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:26 (seven years ago) link

If remain wins, what happens to b johnson?
― coygbiv (NickB), Wednesday, June 22, 2016 9:25 PM (2 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

next prime minister innit

cozen, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:28 (seven years ago) link

Christ, how do we kill off that gobshite?

coygbiv (NickB), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:31 (seven years ago) link

john barnes otm, though i can get behind the leave campaign tactic of naming random celebrities and saying they're going to vote leave

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/jun/22/john-barnes-gove-says-voting-leave-wrong?CMP=share_btn_tw

xp nah Johnson is a busted flush if remain win tomorrow

ghosts that don't exist (Neil S), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:33 (seven years ago) link

Theresa May, next PM.

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:33 (seven years ago) link

xp nah Johnson is a busted flush if remain win tomorrow

seriously doubt it, losing will not be pinned on him

Noodle Vague, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:35 (seven years ago) link

there is a greater chance that johnson would become prime minister after a remain vote than there would have been had he supported a successful remain campaign. this was his rationale for pretending to be opposed to the european union. the people who follow this nonsense generally aver that if johnson gets on the final ballot then the party membership will elect him, but his appeal to them would have collapsed as soon as he supported cameron. getting him on the ballot might not be any harder either, there seems to be a fair amount of support for him in the parliamentary party.

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:37 (seven years ago) link

loooooool caek, finally a debate i can get behind

Noodle Vague, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:37 (seven years ago) link

nakh otm. only thing standing betw boris and PM is gove (whose approval rating w.the base is currently higher) but a. he doesn't want it & b. he's smart enough to know he's not a big_tent_politician

cozen, Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:40 (seven years ago) link

3 Too horny to engage politically

mainstream pollsters going wrong by failing to incorporate these figures

idk how smart Gove is tbh but i think the biggest issue Johnson has is that he might be seen as Cameron 2.0 even if he has backed leaving the EU. He's 'socially liberal', market-focused and pro-immigration however much he has tried to hide it recently. I think an ideologue like Raab could pose a challenge with the base.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:47 (seven years ago) link

Or Hannan. They seem to love Hannan.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:48 (seven years ago) link

there is not a great chance raab and johnson could both get on the ballot because they will split the eurosceptic vote. some sort of holdover candidate, osborne or may, or maybe javid vs johnson or one of the brittania unchained lot is more likely.

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:52 (seven years ago) link

prithi patel loves executions too which is always good. raab is supposed to have a martial arts background but he looks a bit too libertarian to really understand how important it is for rapists, murderers and paedophiles to be executed.

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:54 (seven years ago) link

if a leave vote then cameron is gone in months and raab et al are probably considered too green by the parliamentary party. possible though! exciting times anyway.

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:56 (seven years ago) link

Or Hannan. They seem to love Hannan.

No chance.

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:56 (seven years ago) link

Javid and Patel probably don't stand that much of a chance for reasons that don't need elaborating on. I think Raab is the most likely of the Britannia Unchained cru to edge Johnson out tbh. Might be green but these are the people who voted for Hague. Raab projects an evil cyborg competence and is a true believer.

idk how up for it Osborne would be if the UK leaves and he's left dealing with the economic fallout.

I think May's star has been on the wane for a while but could definitely see her making a ballot.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:58 (seven years ago) link

Cue the UK staying in the EU and 11 more years of Cameron...

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 21:59 (seven years ago) link

raab is jewish though. and it's not clear how much racism really matters at that level; hatred of mass immigration and approval of selected individuals are commonly found together in the sort of decrepit stockbroker belt types who will be voting. few are likely to conclusively rule out on the grounds of race, and javid got plenty of support in a conservative home poll.

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 22:05 (seven years ago) link

Possibly, though the Conservative Home poll was of 700-odd readers via the Internet and I think their audience skews a bit younger. Something like two thirds of the party is 60+. Maybe I'm underestimating them.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 22:19 (seven years ago) link

squad

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 23:10 (seven years ago) link

EU Cru stoked for the madness.

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Wednesday, 22 June 2016 23:33 (seven years ago) link

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/jun/22/ruth-davidson-star-wembley-nicola-sturgeon-kezia-dugdale

It is no surprise to anyone who has watched Davidson since the Scottish referendum that she is an impressive politician. Unlike so many of those we’re disdainful of in Westminster, she gives every impression of being a normal, rounded human being.

Her Twitter feed is not just a set of party political broadcasts. She deals sarcastically with trolls, retweets funny gifs and uses slang without it sounding forced. In short, she does everything that most ordinary people do, and along with the other two women leading Scotland’s major parties, makes most of the politicians we have south of the border look slightly dim and fairly incompetent.

this must be at least the third article the guardian has published this year by an English journalist about how cool and awesome Davidson is - is she actually popular with non-Tories in Scotland? I'm sure I remember similar articles being published about about David Cameron around the time he became leader, how refreshingly "normal" and likeable he is - this was compared to Hague/IDS/Howard though, so low bar to clear

soref, Thursday, 23 June 2016 00:01 (seven years ago) link

is she actually popular with non-Tories in Scotland?

Yep. My leftie Corbyn-supporting girlfriend would vote for her if not for the Tory thing.

Andrew Farrell, Thursday, 23 June 2016 00:28 (seven years ago) link

This is kind of amazing though.

As well as Dugdale, Ruth Davidson (leader of the Scottish Tories), David Coburn (Ukip Scotland’s leader), and David Mundell (Scotland’s sole Tory MP and secretary of state for Scotland) are all openly gay. And Patrick Harvie (leader of the Scottish Green party) identifies as bisexual.

hairy banjo (jed_), Thursday, 23 June 2016 00:33 (seven years ago) link

v tough electoral climate for scotland's homophobes

Fuck an EU, but I'm still voting Remain for reasons that are roughly congruent with NV and calzino's

Think this is where I'm heading too after months of wanting no part of this

For bodies we are ready to build pyramids (wtev), Thursday, 23 June 2016 05:43 (seven years ago) link

Went and done it.

Never changed username before (cardamon), Thursday, 23 June 2016 06:21 (seven years ago) link

xps re. Boris, hmm yeah I think I had naively assumed his reputation would be shot with the Great British Public, I was forgetting the joys of Tory party internal politics

ghosts that don't exist (Neil S), Thursday, 23 June 2016 08:19 (seven years ago) link

He's the most popular politician in the UK! I am assuming the discussion above is ways in which he might get to be PM if Remain win - there'll be no obstacles of Leave do.

Andrew Farrell, Thursday, 23 June 2016 08:23 (seven years ago) link

If Leave win - I wouldn't put money on it - the landscape of the parliamentary Tory party looks different again, so I disagree.

Noodle Vague, Thursday, 23 June 2016 08:26 (seven years ago) link

two blokes in suits with an ipad asking people how they voted about 2ft *outside* the school gates when i went to vote this morning. innocent exit poll or something more sinister?

(they didn't ask me as they were busy bothering the old woman in front so i didn't get to ask them for id)

koogs, Thursday, 23 June 2016 08:40 (seven years ago) link

^^ So long as they're not trying to influence people *before* they go in to vote, I don't think there's anything sinister going on

Steve Reich In The Afternoon (Against The 80s), Thursday, 23 June 2016 08:42 (seven years ago) link

According to this: http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jun/23/referendum-night-when-to-nap-and-the-results-to-watch

"... there’s no exit poll for this referendum. Some banks are said to have commissioned private exit polls, but they will be kept for their employees."

I guess your polling station was part of the sample for one of those?

Tim, Thursday, 23 June 2016 08:44 (seven years ago) link

(it was the goldfinger school around the corner...)

koogs, Thursday, 23 June 2016 08:47 (seven years ago) link

I haven't seen a single Leave poster in Brighton. My colleague who lives in Southend hasn't seen any Remain posters. Neither of these surprising obv.

Good luck UK.

Just noise and screaming and no musical value at all. (Colonel Poo), Thursday, 23 June 2016 08:50 (seven years ago) link

That's a classy-arsed polling station, Koogs.

Tim, Thursday, 23 June 2016 08:54 (seven years ago) link

there were people handing out "i'm in" stickers at my train station, all along the streets. i couldn't take one as i'm not allowed to have an opinion about this referendum, as a civil servant. whichever outcome happens will be the best outcome.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Thursday, 23 June 2016 09:42 (seven years ago) link

all for the best in the best of all possible worlds

ghosts that don't exist (Neil S), Thursday, 23 June 2016 09:47 (seven years ago) link

i couldn't take one as i'm not allowed to have an opinion about this referendum, as a civil servant.

really? I thought the rules were pretty relaxed about civil servants political involvement

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Thursday, 23 June 2016 10:00 (seven years ago) link

My civil servant friend won't stfu about the referendum on fb

oh, amazonaws (wins), Thursday, 23 June 2016 10:02 (seven years ago) link

Garda must be a pretty hi rolla

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Thursday, 23 June 2016 10:06 (seven years ago) link

they won't be wearing stickers to the office

conrad, Thursday, 23 June 2016 10:06 (seven years ago) link

I filled in a YouGov poll on an iPad outside mine. It only asked for things like Gender, Age, Work status etc and not how I'd actually voted.

groovypanda, Thursday, 23 June 2016 10:06 (seven years ago) link

i'm not a high roller at all - but it was made really clear, repeatedly, to me*, that i can't express an opinion about the referendum on any form of social media. so a sticker in the office is presumably beyond the pale too.

(*and to others)

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Thursday, 23 June 2016 10:09 (seven years ago) link

Not even afterwards?

jedi slimane (suzy), Thursday, 23 June 2016 10:12 (seven years ago) link

i've turned the dictaphone off garda, you can speak with candour

imago, Thursday, 23 June 2016 10:19 (seven years ago) link

I just noticed that Cameron had his sleeves rolled up again yesterday, hence the odds on brexit going way out obv.

calzino, Thursday, 23 June 2016 10:27 (seven years ago) link

seems a bit overzealous and intrusive to tell you you can't say anything on social media - I thought the real restrictions on political activity only kick in above a fairly high grade like you should be allowed membership of a party and to campaign even and certainly express opinions in your personal life

conrad, Thursday, 23 June 2016 10:31 (seven years ago) link

Yeah, but in general Rules are for the Lower Downs. Wherever you happen to work...

Mark G, Thursday, 23 June 2016 10:35 (seven years ago) link

i think it's strange and possibly not even legal, it feels to me like something the government is doing that may not actually be allowed. to me i don't see a difference, for this purpose, between me saying what i think to a friend in the pub, and me saying what i think on social media. i'm not even permanent, i'm a contractor.

i think after purdah ends i am allowed to express an opinion, i mean i think so, i guess i still would feel wary though. even if my twitter handle didn't link to the organisation i work for, i follow people from work and vice versa, i guess it would feel risky to be really vociferously political.

so instead i just hit them with my deranged/unique blend of tweets about my wildly disparate interests.

my wariness is in part because i really like my job, it seems a fluke that i somehow ended up doing it and finding it, and hence i live in fear of it somehow going away.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Thursday, 23 June 2016 10:41 (seven years ago) link

based on the entirely unscientific anecdotal "evidence" of my mum reporting that the queue at the polling station of the village she lives in was stretching way out of the door which she has never witnessed at any other election, turnout might be quite high. she voted 'remain' apparently due to 40 years working as a nurse in the nhs and her disdain for michael gove.

i probably would have voted 'leave' but it's my day off and i don't really care enough to make the effort to leave the house.

pandemic, Thursday, 23 June 2016 11:23 (seven years ago) link

you know if we leave the eu watching the bundesliga will be criminalised right

imago, Thursday, 23 June 2016 11:25 (seven years ago) link

at this point i think people voting leave just hate all migrants/anyone who looks like a migrant, and that everyone voting to remain, just dont want to be seen to be hating migrants/anyone looking like a migrant. the people spoiling their ballots or not voting are the only ones you can trust.

StillAdvance, Thursday, 23 June 2016 11:32 (seven years ago) link

nobody at the BBC's allowed to express an opinion anywhere, basically entirely down to stopping the the Daily Mail from running a story embedding 25 tweets from employees and screaming LOOK HOW BIASED THEY ARE

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 23 June 2016 11:50 (seven years ago) link

if anyone has an argument for brexit I'm a curious bag of ears

ogmor, Thursday, 23 June 2016 11:54 (seven years ago) link

Brexit
???
Profit!

ghosts that don't exist (Neil S), Thursday, 23 June 2016 11:55 (seven years ago) link

the once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to see nigel farage achieve screaming orgasm live on television

also less foreigns in the uk (somehow)

an alternate version of his real world dog (bizarro gazzara), Thursday, 23 June 2016 12:11 (seven years ago) link

to fuck off sanctimonious Remain campaigners?

Noodle Vague, Thursday, 23 June 2016 12:12 (seven years ago) link

In the same boat (and building) as Garda, and yeah they've been clear and active on this - one colleague got told to take a 'remember to register to vote' tweet down.
This is the law in question:
http://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2000/41/section/125
and I think our bit is taking a very tight reading of it.

woof, Thursday, 23 June 2016 12:20 (seven years ago) link

xp
like stabbing yourself in the eye with a fork to upset your mum

glumdalclitch, Thursday, 23 June 2016 12:35 (seven years ago) link

not really, but that's the kind of tone

Noodle Vague, Thursday, 23 June 2016 12:36 (seven years ago) link

if anyone has an argument for brexit I'm a curious bag of ears

― ogmor, Thursday, 23 June 2016 11:54 (40 minutes ago) Permalink

It isn't very democratic. I'm voting remain but that seems to me to be the best argument for leaving

paolo, Thursday, 23 June 2016 12:38 (seven years ago) link

It isn't very democratic.

what is?

I wanna whole Dior hand (ledge), Thursday, 23 June 2016 12:40 (seven years ago) link

The Scottish Parliament

paolo, Thursday, 23 June 2016 12:42 (seven years ago) link

not really, but that's the kind of tone

― Noodle Vague, Thursday, 23 June 2016 13:36 (5 minutes ago

Nope, defines your tone only, and i think you know that's true

glumdalclitch, Thursday, 23 June 2016 12:43 (seven years ago) link

I'm just being honest

in the further interest of honesty I think I might avoid this thread and Facebook for the rest of the week because jaysus

Noodle Vague, Thursday, 23 June 2016 12:45 (seven years ago) link

The Scottish Parliament

hmmmmm nope

I wanna whole Dior hand (ledge), Thursday, 23 June 2016 12:46 (seven years ago) link

this brilliant and popular referendum is pretty democratic.

I wanna whole Dior hand (ledge), Thursday, 23 June 2016 12:47 (seven years ago) link

If the UK votes leave I really hope we get indyref 2

paolo, Thursday, 23 June 2016 12:51 (seven years ago) link

I agree the EU is lamentably undemocratic, but not uniquely so, and leaving wouldn't make anything any more democratic, it would just shrink the demos. after the referendum would be an opportune moment to raise reform of the EU but I haven't seen much talk about that either

ogmor, Thursday, 23 June 2016 12:55 (seven years ago) link

pound (and remain odds) surging fwiw

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 23 June 2016 12:58 (seven years ago) link

yeah my brother works in hedge funds (sorry) and he said markets spiking.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Thursday, 23 June 2016 13:00 (seven years ago) link

labour needs to make the tories pay for this for the next 20 years

"because their own party couldn't agree on the EU, they played with the livelihoods and future of everyone in this country"

but they never do, do they

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 23 June 2016 13:03 (seven years ago) link

NV, fwiw, I am taken by how you came to a decision today (if it holds). It's a personal, humane choice. Basing a decision on yer gut feeling has gotten a bad rep it seems in this whole sordid Brexit affair. How emotions shouldn't override 'facts'. Truth is no one knows how either outcome will play out. Given that uncertainty, and the fact that the harsh noise of pundits, politicians and experts - from both camps - are only making things worse, I don't envy any British citizen tomorrow. Feels to me like voters are set adrift on a sea of uncertainty and then asked: well, how are you going to safe yourself? How are you going to make the 'right' decision? You're on your own. Everyone is. 'Weighing' pros and cons in this seems like such a draining exercise. Not trying to sound like an old hippy, but you can only vote going by the heart, which is what you seem to do.

This wasn't following his heart though - by his own admission, he wasn't that bothered about it until he was hit by the Damascene revelation that the people who were going to be fucked over by this are technically humans.

Truth is no one knows how either outcome will play out.

There is a huge gulf between "We can't tell you the value of the FTSE in a year's time" and "We don't know whether immigrants will be better or worse off after a vote on their validity on these shores". Anyone who tells you otherwise is trying to scuff some dirt over the shitty thing they've done.

Andrew Farrell, Thursday, 23 June 2016 13:27 (seven years ago) link

Oh I agree with that last part.

Good luck today, Britishers.

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 23 June 2016 13:38 (seven years ago) link

(Woman). (Hitler). (Hitler). (Hitler). (Noodle Vague). (Hitler). (Hitler). (Hitler).

Noodle Vague, Thursday, 23 June 2016 13:41 (seven years ago) link

^ gave me a small lol

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Thursday, 23 June 2016 14:01 (seven years ago) link

Similar to others here, I just haven't come across a single "red brexit" argument that outweighs the likely shit effect it will have on the lives of my friends. Def wanna mute Facebook but even taking into account the complete lack of sanctimony and bad celebrity endorsements on the Leave side I wasn't tempted to change my position

oh, amazonaws (wins), Thursday, 23 June 2016 14:52 (seven years ago) link

i find everyone saying the same thing on social media is generally annoying, regardless of what it is.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Thursday, 23 June 2016 14:53 (seven years ago) link

like it is hard to think of people as special snowflakes when you're deluged with the same "look i have a brain" wordings. i feel like this is an impulse to be resisted but i can understand it for sure.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Thursday, 23 June 2016 14:55 (seven years ago) link

I'm staying off social media until the meme about the 93-year-old woman in the polling queue loses steam. BORED NOW.

jedi slimane (suzy), Thursday, 23 June 2016 15:03 (seven years ago) link

lol what is that?

oh, amazonaws (wins), Thursday, 23 June 2016 15:04 (seven years ago) link

labour needs to make the tories pay for this for the next 20 years

"because their own party couldn't agree on the EU, they played with the livelihoods and future of everyone in this country"

but they never do, do they

OTM I'm just thinking about the intolerable level of smugness in Cameron if the remain vote comes through. After all the shit he's put people through on account of his dreadful party and limp leadership skills.

For bodies we are ready to build pyramids (wtev), Thursday, 23 June 2016 15:05 (seven years ago) link

Never realized till now that Corbyn votes at the same polling station as me.

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Thursday, 23 June 2016 15:07 (seven years ago) link

the total lack of responsibility in this dirty power struggle writ large is astonishing, as is the fact that so little will be made of it.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Thursday, 23 June 2016 15:08 (seven years ago) link

lol what is that?

wins, it is memes relating to this dipshit:
https://twitter.com/keitheadams/status/745921551661469696

coygbiv (NickB), Thursday, 23 June 2016 15:09 (seven years ago) link

Keith Adams
@keitheadams

Old, happy atheist. Admire our military and despise the EU and most politicians with a passion. If you say Haitch instead of Aitch, I'll block you

EUSSR
Joined September 2010

coygbiv (NickB), Thursday, 23 June 2016 15:10 (seven years ago) link

As far as the civil service goes, iirc there are similar rules for the military.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Thursday, 23 June 2016 16:24 (seven years ago) link

just seen the revised guardian logo.
it was clearly too subtle for me while i was at work.

mark e, Thursday, 23 June 2016 17:10 (seven years ago) link

Does it say "Vote Lib Dem"?

Noodle Vague, Thursday, 23 June 2016 17:15 (seven years ago) link

Managed to leave the house and vote. Small victories. Do feel sick with worry today though.

emil.y, Thursday, 23 June 2016 17:17 (seven years ago) link

\m/

imago, Thursday, 23 June 2016 17:23 (seven years ago) link

Feeling fairly optimistic about this thing atm, but Brighton is like living in a bubble so who knows

coygbiv (NickB), Thursday, 23 June 2016 17:57 (seven years ago) link

irl its been hard to find anyone who isnt brexit so i dunno how its gonna go. I dont think Scotland is going to be massively in favour of remain as predicted.

Cosmic Slop, Thursday, 23 June 2016 18:03 (seven years ago) link

It's the IndyRef all over, everybody was voting Yes but they lost by 10%.

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Thursday, 23 June 2016 18:07 (seven years ago) link

... all over again.

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Thursday, 23 June 2016 18:08 (seven years ago) link

people exclusively consulting demographically similar cohorts and deriving a false impression of unanimity of sentiment

The Nickelbackean Ethics (jim in glasgow), Thursday, 23 June 2016 18:09 (seven years ago) link

Scotland will def vote remain, by around 10% if not more.

The Nickelbackean Ethics (jim in glasgow), Thursday, 23 June 2016 18:10 (seven years ago) link

again

Daithi Bowsie (darraghmac), Thursday, 23 June 2016 18:13 (seven years ago) link

10% is hardly 'massive' though and it had been predicted to be 20%+. It's too hard to predict how it will go.
The polling station I go to always has the highest turnout in my town. But in other parts they told me it can be very low.
But they reckon my polling station will be well over 70% turnout. Its been much higher than any other election other than indy ref, its not as high as that unsurprisingly but its still very high.

Cosmic Slop, Thursday, 23 June 2016 18:15 (seven years ago) link

the bookies seems sure and Cameron and co seem relaxed so you assume its a comfortable win for remain but you cant be 100% certain and people have been wrong before.

Anyone know roughly when the final results are likely to be announced? Is it worth staying up or will nothing be known til breakfast time?

Cosmic Slop, Thursday, 23 June 2016 18:19 (seven years ago) link

i'm not sure any of us meet enough people and pay enough attention to the people we do meet to be able to tell the difference between a society that is about to vote remain by 10% or one that is remain by 20%, much less one that is as close as the polls suggest.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 23 June 2016 18:20 (seven years ago) link

it had been predicted to be 20%+.

What? Who by, Jeanette Krankie?

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Thursday, 23 June 2016 18:20 (seven years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j4EEH4lRnlA

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Thursday, 23 June 2016 18:21 (seven years ago) link

thanks, caek

Cosmic Slop, Thursday, 23 June 2016 18:40 (seven years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T72TopWbXJg

Camaraderie at Arms Length, Thursday, 23 June 2016 19:14 (seven years ago) link

I'm still thinking it'll be about 40:60 leave:remain. But I'm in Scotland, so I might have been swayed by that. More confident than I was with the indyref which I thought would be closer than it was.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Thursday, 23 June 2016 19:18 (seven years ago) link

That's my guess as well, give or take.

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 23 June 2016 19:31 (seven years ago) link

> will be well over 70% turnout

radio4, i don't remember who, said that a low turnout favours Leave, a higher turnout favours Remain BUT a very high turnout favours Leave again. not sure how they worked that out, but it was interesting.

yougov doesn't agree: https://yougov.co.uk/news/2016/05/21/assessing-impact-turnout-eu-referendum/

ah, the ft does - https://next.ft.com/content/35f15744-37cd-11e6-9a05-82a9b15a8ee7

"Low levels of turnout ought to favour the Leavers, who are thought to be more motivated by their antipathy towards the EU. Somewhat higher turnout should maximise the Remain vote, given that younger people — who tend not to show up to vote — are more likely to be Europhile.

But if turnout reaches exceptional levels — say, 80 per cent or more — this could suggest an advantage for Leave as it implies that the most anti-establishment, anti-EU citizens, who might never normally bother to go to the ballot box, have come out in favour of Brexit."

koogs, Thursday, 23 June 2016 19:39 (seven years ago) link

i am slightly worried about the several hundred thousand people at glastonbury, who i peg as mostly remainers, but probably not bothered enough to arrange postal votes.

koogs, Thursday, 23 June 2016 19:41 (seven years ago) link

If Bobby George and Jeremy Clarkson are both voting in, it can't be out surely?

AlanSmithee, Thursday, 23 June 2016 19:41 (seven years ago) link

Might be a lot of London commuters not getting back in time to vote thanks to the rail network washing away in the storm.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Thursday, 23 June 2016 19:48 (seven years ago) link

French air traffic control strikes and bad weather stopping voters returning from Europe as well - some potential stay voters not being able to leave, I'm sure there is some irony in there somewhere

coygbiv (NickB), Thursday, 23 June 2016 19:55 (seven years ago) link

sod the staying up idea : time to get drunk, hit the playlist, stop stressing, and wake up tomorrow morning when its (supposedly) all over.

mark e, Thursday, 23 June 2016 20:03 (seven years ago) link

i am slightly worried about the several hundred thousand people at glastonbury

Glastonbury attendance is 135,000

Just noise and screaming and no musical value at all. (Colonel Poo), Thursday, 23 June 2016 20:05 (seven years ago) link

something i always wondered: what happens if someone submits a postal vote and then dies before polling day? does their vote still count?

coygbiv (NickB), Thursday, 23 June 2016 20:06 (seven years ago) link

yes

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Thursday, 23 June 2016 20:09 (seven years ago) link

there was some old cunt in a daily mail story who managed to achieve that posthumous feat

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Thursday, 23 June 2016 20:09 (seven years ago) link

It was nutter central coming home on the motorway today. must be people trying to get 'home' in time..

Mark G, Thursday, 23 June 2016 20:10 (seven years ago) link

seems statistically inevitable. rotten bastard though eh xp

coygbiv (NickB), Thursday, 23 June 2016 20:13 (seven years ago) link

stupid question but is turnout a % of people who've registered to vote, or of all people of voting age etc?

kinder, Thursday, 23 June 2016 20:13 (seven years ago) link

the latter

ghosts that don't exist (Neil S), Thursday, 23 June 2016 20:15 (seven years ago) link

I wonder about the effect that a remain vote will have on the right (especially the far right). The narrative has to change from Britain being a victim of Europe to something else. Their countrymen are no longer fellow victims but participants in their perceived oppression; collaborators or, at best, dupes. Obviously there is already a lot of that rhetoric on the far right, but I worry that it might increase it.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Thursday, 23 June 2016 20:28 (seven years ago) link

how long does it take for them to delete the croakers off the electoral register? There seems to have been a lot of dead voter fraud in the US in recent years but I can't recall much here.

calzino, Thursday, 23 June 2016 20:31 (seven years ago) link

how long does it take for them to delete the croakers off the electoral register?

back in the happy times of 2012 : when you registered a death, there was a single form that was for all various govt departments.

of course this may have been killed off, but i got a very quick acknowledgement re bh in regards to her benefits/electoral role etc.

was all rather impressive given the usual ineptitude that we have come to accept.

mark e, Thursday, 23 June 2016 20:41 (seven years ago) link

:(

who is the form team atm for tv coverage - bbc or itv?

coygbiv (NickB), Thursday, 23 June 2016 20:50 (seven years ago) link

Sorry I used such an indelicate term mark. I was more thinking about 90 year old Tories when I posted.

calzino, Thursday, 23 June 2016 20:51 (seven years ago) link

'so, if I vote for "Leave", that means "Leave it as it is?""

Mark G, Thursday, 23 June 2016 20:53 (seven years ago) link

(In before expiry)

Mark G, Thursday, 23 June 2016 20:55 (seven years ago) link

Automatic thread bump. This poll is closing in ooh, two minutes.

Mark G, Thursday, 23 June 2016 20:57 (seven years ago) link

Sorry I used such an indelicate term mark. I was more thinking about 90 year old Tories when I posted.

not a problem.
i know that.

mark e, Thursday, 23 June 2016 20:58 (seven years ago) link

Does that mean Farage has seen some of the private exit polls?

calzino, Thursday, 23 June 2016 21:11 (seven years ago) link

he is an ex-banker and the polls were conducted by banks right?

coygbiv (NickB), Thursday, 23 June 2016 21:12 (seven years ago) link

Pound gone nuts http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=GBPUSD=X

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 23 June 2016 21:13 (seven years ago) link

92% remain according to bookies now

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 23 June 2016 21:23 (seven years ago) link

Is that a glitch? Pound fell 17 cents against the dollar three minutes after polls closed and then immediately recovered?

Michael Jones, Thursday, 23 June 2016 21:27 (seven years ago) link

I wonder about the effect that a remain vote will have on the right (especially the far right). The narrative has to change from Britain being a victim of Europe to something else.

It will change to Britain being a victim of the vote being a con, picking up a few nasty intimations on the way (you can see that on that tweet, people already mad that there's been fraud by 'globalists').

Andrew Farrell, Thursday, 23 June 2016 21:29 (seven years ago) link

If it's close they will be absolutely sure they would have won without Cox dying.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Thursday, 23 June 2016 21:30 (seven years ago) link

No one at this point is doubting it will be a remain right? Just seems it's v important if remain strikes up either 50-55% (bad for all involved) or 56% and up (not good but better for all involved). If it's not distinctive a choice, the UK an EU will keep each other in a stronghold. Stand stil.

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 23 June 2016 21:31 (seven years ago) link

I wonder if farage will resign again.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Thursday, 23 June 2016 21:33 (seven years ago) link

I wouldn't count any chickens at this stage. Turnout will be crucial.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Thursday, 23 June 2016 21:34 (seven years ago) link

Yeah, I considered taking a half day tomorrow but then I remembered how that went last time.

Andrew Farrell, Thursday, 23 June 2016 21:35 (seven years ago) link

The enormous pound spike thing is probably real but isn't necessarily due to large trades. Most markets are shut right now.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 23 June 2016 21:37 (seven years ago) link

IN, IN, IN, IN, IN

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rmmZHN0Wi-w

hairy banjo (jed_), Thursday, 23 June 2016 21:45 (seven years ago) link

LBI, is there much appetite for a proper referendum (rather than a proxy referendum on Ukrainian potato tariffs) in the Netherlands?

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Thursday, 23 June 2016 21:45 (seven years ago) link

odds are way in favour for remain - 9-1 v 1-11 - fear the fallout but at least it's looking good for the present

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Thursday, 23 June 2016 21:52 (seven years ago) link

Sadly, ShariVari, there is. Same right wing nutters that threw that disgrace of a Ukranian referendum in our lap are already ligned up. Wilders - our Farage but even more of a blatant racist - orgasms at the very idea of a "Nexit". And he's the biggest party in the polls. Still, a Nexit referendum would require a change of the constitution, which would take years so is disheartening for the far right.

So it won't happen soon. But are these truly dark times? Most definitely.

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 23 June 2016 21:56 (seven years ago) link

IPSOS MORI Brexit poll Remain 54% Leave 46%
fwiw

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 23 June 2016 21:58 (seven years ago) link

Now I've got the phrase "lorem ipsos, memento mori" going round in my head. Stupid brainworms.

emil.y, Thursday, 23 June 2016 22:18 (seven years ago) link

Ben Riley-Smith
‏@benrileysmith

HOW PARTIES VOTED
(YouGov poll)
Tory 43 Remain, 57 Leave
Labour 69 Remain, 31 Leave
Libs 73 Remain, 27 Leave
Ukip: 7 Remain, 93 Leave

coygbiv (NickB), Thursday, 23 June 2016 22:20 (seven years ago) link

Lol, why would any UKIP people vote remain?!

emil.y, Thursday, 23 June 2016 22:21 (seven years ago) link

Ukip: 7 Remain, 93 Leave

clearly there were some that did not quite realise the whole point of UKIPs raison d'etre.

mark e, Thursday, 23 June 2016 22:22 (seven years ago) link

xpost.

mark e, Thursday, 23 June 2016 22:23 (seven years ago) link

they used pencils

(stolen joek)

stet, Thursday, 23 June 2016 22:23 (seven years ago) link

Hahahaha

emil.y, Thursday, 23 June 2016 22:32 (seven years ago) link

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=A4o4Cditrb8

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 23 June 2016 22:37 (seven years ago) link

Argh

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A4o4Cditrb8

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 23 June 2016 22:37 (seven years ago) link

GIBRALTAR SPEAKS

ǂbait (seandalai), Thursday, 23 June 2016 22:40 (seven years ago) link

Hoping for a leave vote from a short term financial perspective

calstars, Thursday, 23 June 2016 22:43 (seven years ago) link

lol at the daily mail's front page https://twitter.com/suttonnick/status/746090745560440835

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 23 June 2016 22:44 (seven years ago) link

Farage essentially throwing the towel. That's early.

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 23 June 2016 22:46 (seven years ago) link

HOW AGES VOTED
(YouGov poll)
18-24: 75% Remain
25-49: 56% Remain
50-64: 44% Remain
65+: 39% Remain
#EUref

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 23 June 2016 22:53 (seven years ago) link

That's the key one^

hairy banjo (jed_), Thursday, 23 June 2016 22:54 (seven years ago) link

Fwiw my 82 year old mum and 83 year old neighbour. Neighbour's explanation was that "ye already don't know where ye soon with these nutcasees" (ston=stand)

hairy banjo (jed_), Thursday, 23 June 2016 22:55 (seven years ago) link

Oops. both voted remain.

hairy banjo (jed_), Thursday, 23 June 2016 22:56 (seven years ago) link

Well I fucked that up good and proper.

hairy banjo (jed_), Thursday, 23 June 2016 22:57 (seven years ago) link

newcastle city council's logo is so ugly

soref, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:00 (seven years ago) link

Oh fuck, Newcastle was one of the safest remainers!

hairy banjo (jed_), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:01 (seven years ago) link

I don't know anything about it but apparently Newcastle is a terrible result for Remain. 60-40 was expected.

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:01 (seven years ago) link

eeesh, tight as fuck

coygbiv (NickB), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:01 (seven years ago) link

fffffffffff

ǂbait (seandalai), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:02 (seven years ago) link

How can Newcastle be the first result from the mainland btw? And not some small county?

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:02 (seven years ago) link

city's are physically compact. that's what matters for counting quickly.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:03 (seven years ago) link

Because they have a rivalry with their neighbours, Sunderland, who always declare first.

hairy banjo (jed_), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:03 (seven years ago) link

Oh god oh god we're all going to die

emil.y, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:04 (seven years ago) link

Ty caek and jed

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:04 (seven years ago) link

And Sunderland are going to stomp all over Remain.

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:05 (seven years ago) link

If Sunderland is as bad as rumoured I might just go to bed.

ǂbait (seandalai), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:05 (seven years ago) link

pound still up on the day, bookies at 82% remain before you all start topping yourself

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:11 (seven years ago) link

Thanks caek.

hairy banjo (jed_), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:11 (seven years ago) link

also 5/5 polls released today had it for remain

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:12 (seven years ago) link

yeah this newcastle thing is scary but all the odds are still wildly towards remain. everyone prob should just go to bed though.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:13 (seven years ago) link

interpreting individual results (e.g. newcastle, sunderland, etc.) and extrapolating from those to the national result is extremely error prone. the slightest error in yr modelling of the demographics/intentions of a relatively small number of people relative to the national average and you're on shaky ground.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:14 (seven years ago) link

Clackmannanshire voted remain! Can recommend anyone to go there for hols, nice area.

Seriously, Ronan p much otm, bed be best.

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:16 (seven years ago) link

I hate this early phase where every result sways things.

Looking for Scotland to keep England in EU against its will.

a goon shaped fule (onimo), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:17 (seven years ago) link

Fuck. Sunderland leave by a mile.

Alba, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:17 (seven years ago) link

ooofff Sunderland....

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:17 (seven years ago) link

Remain annihilated.

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:17 (seven years ago) link

oh man the voices at Sunderland

Van Horn Street, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:18 (seven years ago) link

I'm assuming there are a lot more immigrants in Newcastle than Sunderland?

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:18 (seven years ago) link

pound just dropped 5p against the dollar

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:19 (seven years ago) link

sorry 4p

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:20 (seven years ago) link

god this is so horrible

schlump, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:20 (seven years ago) link

There are a lot less students and people with degrees or higher level qualifications Tom.

hairy banjo (jed_), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:20 (seven years ago) link

Sleepwalking towards disaster.

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:21 (seven years ago) link

GBP implodes by 4%

I fucking hate how things that are supposed to be sensible, like markets, and telly, sway from one result to the next. That should be a viewer's exclusive anxiety right?

No disrespect, but it's East Yorkshire. Who can be surprised really?

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:22 (seven years ago) link

What's East Yorkshire?

hairy banjo (jed_), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:23 (seven years ago) link

hopefully the UK and its government will stand up to the forces of right wing xenophobia

Noodle Vague, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:23 (seven years ago) link

North-Yorks then, but the east side of it. No way West-Yorks will vote the same, xxp

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:27 (seven years ago) link

Xp kind of lol but mostly sad

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:28 (seven years ago) link

are the currency fluctuations not just based on in-the-moment gambling?

like presumably these early results tighten things but also the markets are flinging cash around. i mean i really don't know...

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:29 (seven years ago) link

He's right, but shat on Lineker regardless xp

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:30 (seven years ago) link

Newcastle and Sunderland are not in any part of Yorkshire.

JimD, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:30 (seven years ago) link

when the currency moves like that seconds after a result is announced it's not in the moment gambling but a real "correction" (not that where it ends up is "correct")

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:30 (seven years ago) link

Jeez thought you have a bro in hedge funds Ronan, you should know!

(I certainly don't)

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:31 (seven years ago) link

so it's a reason for concern? seems like we're still at some kind of speculative early stage, but again, i dunno.

xpost - i studied journalism, he did maths.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:32 (seven years ago) link

JimD, my mistake

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:33 (seven years ago) link

Still seems way too early indeed.

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:33 (seven years ago) link

the markets don't know anything we don't any more, so not worth worrying about on its own. the results are the only thing worth worrying about right now, but i feel like the pound and especially betting odds can help you get out of your own head and keep things in perspective (currently 69% remain with the bookies)

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:34 (seven years ago) link

Remind me to give Sunderland a wide berth in future, they don't take kindly to strangers up there, yep.

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:35 (seven years ago) link

Caek otm, but dont forget every unexpected change or development earns few people a lot of money. Speculation by the second.

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:36 (seven years ago) link

the pound looks like it's fallen into the marianas trench

coygbiv (NickB), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:36 (seven years ago) link

pound is crashing tho, it seems? yet again, dunno why i'm posting here.

xpost

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:36 (seven years ago) link

What are people watching? BBC is shambolic apart from Vine but Sky isn't up to its usual standard either imo

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:36 (seven years ago) link

the other thing to bear in mind with the pound movements is that there are a tiny number of people still awake and trading currency right now, so the volatility is in great part due to that

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:37 (seven years ago) link

BBC, which, when compared to US or French television remain the gold standard.

Van Horn Street, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:38 (seven years ago) link

Bookies odds take time to correct in these sorts of situations, remember that the average punter only knows as much as we do. I put £20 on leave at higher odds, just as some sort of consolation if the results go the wrong way. Doesn't seem to be improving my mood much.

Camaraderie at Arms Length, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:38 (seven years ago) link

i'm sure the exchanges are pretty busy for this late, the volumes are tiny compared to the daytime, which means the swings are particularly violent. i think the pound is useful directionally (if it goes up, leave got more votes than expected, if it goes down then they got fewer), and probably more useful than the people the bbc has wheeled out, but you shouldn't read too much into the size of the moves.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:39 (seven years ago) link

my parents have given me some pounds for my wedding later this year. moved 1/3 of them to the US a couple of weeks ago when i started getting really nervous. was feeling pretty smug about 2 hours ago. not so sure now.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:40 (seven years ago) link

78.6% for Remain in Foyle. That's slightly better than expected.

Alba, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:41 (seven years ago) link

I've been watching ITV for some reason

Lionel Richie the Wardrobe (Nasty, Brutish & Short), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:41 (seven years ago) link

xxp clearly the people of sunderland did not listen to my concerns re: my halifax account

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:41 (seven years ago) link

more booze.

mark e, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:41 (seven years ago) link

if the pound goes up, leave got more votes?

xpost great to see foyles tottenham court road coming out in favour of remain

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:42 (seven years ago) link

lol caek

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:42 (seven years ago) link

if the pound goes up, leave got more votes *than currency traders expected*

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:43 (seven years ago) link

ffs man it's not an amoral casino

Noodle Vague, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:43 (seven years ago) link

you mean if the pound goes down

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:46 (seven years ago) link

Laura Kuenssberg
‏@bbclaurak

Hear Remain might be as high as 83% in Lewisham - we going to see London v the rest of the country?

coygbiv (NickB), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:46 (seven years ago) link

finally

Noodle Vague, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:47 (seven years ago) link

"John Redwood, the Conservative pro-Brexit MP, has just told Sky News that a fall in the value of the pound is not necessarily something to worry about. If it falls too much in value, people will start buying it again, he said."

Camaraderie at Arms Length, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:47 (seven years ago) link

Gideon Rachman ‏@gideonrachman 2m2 minutes ago

Reports of 70 percent Leave votes in Warwickshire and Hartlepool. This feels over

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:48 (seven years ago) link

If Lewisham really is 83% that's huge for Remain and points to massively more regionalised results/divided country blah blah than was expected

https://twitter.com/bbclaurak/status/746126401854705664

Alba, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:48 (seven years ago) link

sorry, yes, if the pound goes down, leave got more votes than expected

i should be a guardian sub editor

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:48 (seven years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w5Lo2QevfUY

Noodle Vague, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:48 (seven years ago) link

jesus @ nakh

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:49 (seven years ago) link

caek, your weird belief in the mystical powers of the market is showing again - the people thrashing the currency markets around don't have access to any better information than us.

Andrew Farrell, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:50 (seven years ago) link

i literally just said this: "the markets don't know anything we don't any more, so [movement of the pound] not worth worrying about on its own."

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:50 (seven years ago) link

the markets don't know anything we don't any more, so not worth worrying about on its own.

― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:34 (16 minutes ago)

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:51 (seven years ago) link

lol xp

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:51 (seven years ago) link

tbf having a soft cargo cult addiction to liberal democracy is a way better diving rod

Noodle Vague, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:52 (seven years ago) link

but yes i do think the average opinion of a few hundred currency traders, or a few thousand betters, are worth paying more attention to than the four pundits on the bbc who are sat around joking about how wrong they were last year

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:54 (seven years ago) link

even at this early stage, i fucking hate this feeling of dread, of separation from people in this country whom i don't know or ever meet. it is really grim.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:54 (seven years ago) link

Swindon strongly for leave too.

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:54 (seven years ago) link

fuck Swindon tbh

Noodle Vague, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:55 (seven years ago) link

den of swines

coygbiv (NickB), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:55 (seven years ago) link

I'd expect shitholes to vote Leave though.

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:55 (seven years ago) link

total silence in the newsroom after Swindon there

stet, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:56 (seven years ago) link

Swindon result is no big deal –  55-45 is slightly better for Remain than the two forecasts I'm aware of.

Alba, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:57 (seven years ago) link

Farage with the accurate assessment of Leave voters

Damascene kid (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:57 (seven years ago) link

Can only imagine LG. I'm invested as I lived there, have friends in the uk etc, but to see these early results unfold I'd feel very much alone, too.

Wonder what country you will wake up in tomorrow.

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:57 (seven years ago) link

And Scilly isles have gone well to Remain, where Leave was forecast by APCO

http://apcoworldwide.com/docs/default-source/default-document-library/Thought-Leadership/eu-referendum-guide.pdf?sfvrsn=0

Alba, Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:58 (seven years ago) link

it is vote by vote, right?

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:58 (seven years ago) link

"nick what are you doing tonight?"

"being one of the worst people alive."

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 23 June 2016 23:58 (seven years ago) link

pondering whether if Leave wins i can claim tomorrow off work on a "stockpiling camembert" ticket

Damascene kid (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:00 (seven years ago) link

https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/1ccbc3c28ca343407734a556f2312b914d23234b/0_4_2124_1274/master/2124.jpg?w=780&q=20&auto=format&usm=12&fit=max&dpr=2&s=71e91646294b4d2359d392e2892a7c6e

Leave campaigners celebrate as they win the vote in Sunderland. Photograph: Ian Forsyth/Getty Images

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:00 (seven years ago) link

Friends in Sunderland have said that most of the money for regeneration projects has come from the EU. But that never seemed to be in the news at all, not even from Remain campaigners.

emil.y, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:00 (seven years ago) link

I'm just glad I've got a therapy session tomorrow. Going to need it.

emil.y, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:01 (seven years ago) link

Glasgow turnout looks hella low at 56%

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:01 (seven years ago) link

The market movement is more useful as a bellwether of what might happen to the pound eventually than as an indicator of the result itself, I'm sure that's what caek was getting at.

hairy banjo (jed_), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:01 (seven years ago) link

breaking news, Glastonbury audience secedes. demands urban safari

Damascene kid (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:01 (seven years ago) link

from a night eighteen months ago i remember the turnout in the deprived quarters of glasgow being extremely low

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:02 (seven years ago) link

think i might watch children of men

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:02 (seven years ago) link

Orkney, Clackmannashire, Isles of Scilly, Gibraltar. No worries for Remaisn.

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:02 (seven years ago) link

:)

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:03 (seven years ago) link

this isn't actually happening is it

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:03 (seven years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HwtSdJaPCSI

Damascene kid (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:03 (seven years ago) link

this is just like the election, the same feeling ronan describes

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:04 (seven years ago) link

Glasgow overall turnout was 75% for indyref

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:04 (seven years ago) link

it's so fucking crazy, uk has the most non-existent reasons for leaving of pretty much any country in the EU!

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:04 (seven years ago) link

it's almost as if

Damascene kid (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:04 (seven years ago) link

i've drifted back towards calm last 20 minutes but i presume we're all just human whack-a-moles for life for the next few hours

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:06 (seven years ago) link

Glasgow overall turnout was 75% for indyref

― stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 01:04

yeah which is not really that high either compared to the independence referendum average, or considering in abstraction that one in four people couldn't be bothered deciding what country they wanted their home to be in the next day

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:06 (seven years ago) link

At least half my office and half my partner's office are EU nationals, half our friends are EU nationals, we are EU nationals. Things are feeling pretty concrete right now.

ǂbait (seandalai), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:08 (seven years ago) link

yeah. i.. just.. the hassle of this shit will be rippling through people's lives for years!

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:09 (seven years ago) link

Real England.

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:10 (seven years ago) link

Best question I heard on the Beeb tonight was if voters might have used the referendum as a proxy to vent all their racism, kicking establishment and the government. It wasn't answered properly. Which answered it all the more.

Le Bateau Ivre, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:11 (seven years ago) link

Matthew Holehouse, in Brussels, says things have turned sour at the Funky Monkey bar.

Damascene kid (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:12 (seven years ago) link

It just feels like there's an infinity of Kettering shittowns in England, there's no way for remain

woof, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:12 (seven years ago) link

25-30 per cent of Labour are Leave-ish so am assuming many of those are in post-industrial places.

jedi slimane (suzy), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:13 (seven years ago) link

Voters using elections as a proxy to kick the establishment is all the rage iirc

tsrobodo, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:13 (seven years ago) link

yeah i remember when all those Scottish lads told the establishment to get tae fuck

Damascene kid (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:15 (seven years ago) link

the odds are getting tighter and tighter

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:15 (seven years ago) link

It just feels like there's an infinity of Kettering shittowns in England, there's no way for remain

Yes. Too many hellholes out there.

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:16 (seven years ago) link

What happens if it is 50/50 with a very marginal difference (i.e 100s of votes either way). Does it mean we end up implementing a decision that half the country won't agree with?

Jill, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:19 (seven years ago) link

Establishment in Scotland was Labour for a while, pretty sure they got tae fuck

tsrobodo, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:19 (seven years ago) link

I'm still hoping for it to be tight Leave win in England so that overall it comes out Remain due to Celtic votes

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:19 (seven years ago) link

I feel sick.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:20 (seven years ago) link

low turnout in glasgow, i'm reading 56 per cent on twitter. i wish i could just go to bed, my reading this is futile.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:20 (seven years ago) link

Currently I'm between stages 3 and 4 of the Kübler-Ross model.

Camaraderie at Arms Length, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:21 (seven years ago) link

xps
Would be a thing to find in 6 hours that half the people in this country make you feel sick

tsrobodo, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:21 (seven years ago) link

this is way worse than at least one general election during my adult life maybe

Damascene kid (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:21 (seven years ago) link

xp Half the voters, so not so bad (which is how I made it through last May)

Andrew Farrell, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:22 (seven years ago) link

guys please pay attention to the pound https://twitter.com/lindsaylohan/status/746129036032745472

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:25 (seven years ago) link

@lindsaylohan otm

Damascene kid (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:26 (seven years ago) link

Watching this from Mexico so no bed for me. Off to shops for more mescal.

Blandford Forum, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:26 (seven years ago) link

Lindsay Lohan ‏@lindsaylohan 22m22 minutes ago

@markets #REMAIN #PEACE #ONELOVE #FREETRADE xps

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:27 (seven years ago) link

THIS IMPACT WILL CONTROL ALL MARGINS

Damascene kid (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:28 (seven years ago) link

after deep political analysis and calculation, my rational conclusion is that Trump and LePen are going to win and that democracy has 10 years to live max.

Van Horn Street, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:28 (seven years ago) link

serving light refreshments + drinks over at the right-wing drift thread after the game

Mordy, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:28 (seven years ago) link

following from Sydney after having scrambled an emergency proxy, due to work travel. feeling a bit sick. when can I start on the mescal?

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:28 (seven years ago) link

60% remain in Dundee.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:29 (seven years ago) link

crivvens

Damascene kid (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:29 (seven years ago) link

xp. Trump arrives here tomorrow. Maybe that marks the beginning of the end.

Jill, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:30 (seven years ago) link

Jing(oi)s(m) (xp)

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:32 (seven years ago) link

Nothing so far suggests a leave win. Tiny number of counts in. I'm not someone who trusts betting markets much, but little had changed there anyways.

Eyeball Kicks, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:33 (seven years ago) link

I think we may have to form a london+Scotland nation with a little finger reaching out to Noodle Vague 2/3rds of the way up.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:33 (seven years ago) link

i blame people voting tbh

Damascene kid (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:33 (seven years ago) link

Well, there's something to be said for waking up on a hot, humid sunny morning, turning on the TV and finding that roughly 7,000 miles away your country is fucking itself up the arse.

the hair - it's lost its energy (Turrican), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:33 (seven years ago) link

University of East Anglia suggests a tiny leave win

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:33 (seven years ago) link

edinburgh 70% leave someone just said on Sky?

lol Glasgow so useless at setting that spliff down and getting off the couch

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:35 (seven years ago) link

sorry i mean 70% remain

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:35 (seven years ago) link

:P

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:35 (seven years ago) link

i saw that. but odds still p strongly in favour of remain. this is all just torture, right. we don't know what trend of feeling or liveblogging has any significance whatsoever. just some people on the internet.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:35 (seven years ago) link

xpost to stet

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:35 (seven years ago) link

That can't be right Tracer. Edinburgh is expected to poll the biggest remain vote in the UK.

Xpost!

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:36 (seven years ago) link

england, i hope iceland feed us our own arsecracks for this

coygbiv (NickB), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:36 (seven years ago) link

1 72 Wilco - Yankee Hotel Foxtrot
2 201 The Streets - Original Pirate Material
3 234 The Flaming Lips - Yoshimi Battles the Pink Robots
4 239 Interpol - Turn On the Bright Lights
5 243 Queens of the Stone Age - Songs for the Deaf
6 306 The Libertines - Up the Bracket
7 317 Coldplay - A Rush of Blood to the Head
8 334 Beck - Sea Change
9 390 Broken Social Scene - You Forgot It in People
10 493 Sigur Rós - ( )
11 501 Remain

Damascene kid (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:37 (seven years ago) link

Hackney Council @hackneycouncil
Hackney turnout: 65.2%

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:37 (seven years ago) link

if it's really this close then we won't know the answer until birmingham, which is 700k votes, supposedly 50/50 and not expected until like 4am.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:38 (seven years ago) link

Unionists in NI voting Leave, which is odd as the Vatican City isn't even in the EU.

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:38 (seven years ago) link

good luck, great britain

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:38 (seven years ago) link

my polling station was empty in hackney today. #anecdotal

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:39 (seven years ago) link

Hartlepool guaranteed to be a leave, btw.

the hair - it's lost its energy (Turrican), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:40 (seven years ago) link

I was the only person in mine but someone had just left as I arrived and a couple arrived as I left.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:40 (seven years ago) link

Has any of london declared?

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:41 (seven years ago) link

Oof. 68% Leave in Basildon is not good.

https://twitter.com/LibDems/status/746140921813667840

Alba, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:42 (seven years ago) link

wtf will a leave victory do to farage's profile?? he'll be "vindicated"! "proven right"! we won't hear the goddamn end of "white working class voters" and their "very real concerns"

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:43 (seven years ago) link

Basildon Bombed

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:44 (seven years ago) link

if it's really this close then we won't know the answer until birmingham, which is 700k votes, supposedly 50/50 and not expected until like 4am.

― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, June 24, 2016 2:38 AM (2 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

If it's really 50/50, no matter which way it ultimately falls. Either way Britain and EU are fucked.

Le Bateau Ivre, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:44 (seven years ago) link

shit, it was all going so well

Damascene kid (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:45 (seven years ago) link

What's Basildon?

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:47 (seven years ago) link

It's this thing.

Alba, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:48 (seven years ago) link

fucking depeche mode

coygbiv (NickB), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:50 (seven years ago) link

This stats idiot at the BBC is doing my head in. Fucking useless.

Le Bateau Ivre, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:50 (seven years ago) link

fwiw the pound hasn't been much bothered by anything since sunderland

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:50 (seven years ago) link

should probably raise a glass of the last case of late harvest wachau grüner veltliner i will import without tariffs, to stephen bush of the new statesman who seems to have anticipated everything that has happened so far this evening

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:52 (seven years ago) link

if remain wins, does the high leave vote in north-east england suggest that Labour risks being displaced there by UKIP in a similar way to how the SNP displaced them in scotland after the indy ref?

soref, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:53 (seven years ago) link

guardian count just narrowed to remain only 15k behind

schlump, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:53 (seven years ago) link

aaaaaaahhhhhhAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHaaaaaaaaaaaaaaahhhhhhhhh

the hallouminati (lex pretend), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:53 (seven years ago) link

fuck this country and its terrible politicians and its racist toxic bumpkins

the hallouminati (lex pretend), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:54 (seven years ago) link

(i know that SNP had already displaced Lab in scotland to an extent before the indy ref. were already in power at holyrood etc) xp

soref, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:54 (seven years ago) link

feels too early for despair, or any other form of conviction

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:55 (seven years ago) link

City of Fuckin' London. 5000 voters. Yeah, let's get a camera crew down there.

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:56 (seven years ago) link

Still, 75% is great for Remain.

Alba, Friday, 24 June 2016 00:57 (seven years ago) link

feels too early for despair, or any other form of conviction

― Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Friday, 24 June 2016 00:55 (30 seconds ago)

otm. Arent indicators looking at 60+? Real time reactions gauche itt. Its not yere first disco folks cmon.

Daithi Bowsie (darraghmac), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:00 (seven years ago) link

uggest that Labour risks being displaced there by UKIP

Poss giving Labour too much credit for what was probably just campaign ineptitude, but the suggestion is this is why they weren't sticking their colours to the Remain mast all that strongly -- belief is that strong No association cost them Scotland.

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 01:03 (seven years ago) link

Currently

England +200k out
Scotland +100k in

Either England drags us out and SNP make case for #indyref2 or we keep everyone in the Brexit make the same case.

a goon shaped fule (onimo), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:03 (seven years ago) link

gosh you guys really have nothing to lose at all

xps

the hallouminati (lex pretend), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:03 (seven years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yln2hOJEr_g

just posting this for the youtube still image

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:04 (seven years ago) link

Wales, talk about turkeys voting for Christmas.

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:04 (seven years ago) link

Wonder if weak campaigning from uk lab was throwing eu under a bus to lead to a Tory bloodbath.

a goon shaped fule (onimo), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:05 (seven years ago) link

how can everyone be so wrong, for all of these things

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:06 (seven years ago) link

some fuckers just won't own up to being racist

Damascene kid (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:06 (seven years ago) link

Southend's 58% Leave not as bad as it might have been.

Alba, Friday, 24 June 2016 01:07 (seven years ago) link

leave now favourite at the bookies

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:07 (seven years ago) link

the betting markets have gone to leave (narrow) favourites for first time

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:08 (seven years ago) link

ha xp again

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:08 (seven years ago) link

good luck uk?

ejemplo (crüt), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:09 (seven years ago) link

there is no actual plan for leaving, is there.

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:10 (seven years ago) link

https://media.giphy.com/media/zyMkpTTRC8I2k/giphy.gif

coygbiv (NickB), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:12 (seven years ago) link

We're fucked.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:12 (seven years ago) link

no. 250% spike in google searches for "what happens if we leave the eu" as i think stet just posted on twitter. that... probably should have been what the campaign was about?

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 01:13 (seven years ago) link

xpost post to Tracer Hand.

We are definitely fucked.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 01:13 (seven years ago) link

unexpectedly bleak :(

Mordy, Friday, 24 June 2016 01:14 (seven years ago) link

seriously never been this close to crying over politics.

Jill, Friday, 24 June 2016 01:15 (seven years ago) link

https://youtu.be/EVBsypHzF3U?t=5m8s

Damascene kid (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:16 (seven years ago) link

Depressed as I fear we're gonna lose now for the first time.

Labour blaming SNP is astonishing considering Scotland voting remain so far and labours heartlands deserting them for leave.

Labour might be punished in the north in the same way they were in Scotland post-indyref. And they cant blame * Corbyn as new labour are even more pro-EU and this is a culmination of years of neglect by Labour like in Scotland.

* they still will

Cosmic Slop, Friday, 24 June 2016 01:16 (seven years ago) link

Simon Schama on CNN saying everyone outside London and Scotland will be destroyed by the gods

Blandford Forum, Friday, 24 June 2016 01:19 (seven years ago) link

East Anglian Nate Silver:

Predicted probability of Britain Remaining: 0.03
(33 of 382 areas reporting.)
Predicted vote share for Remain: 47.5 percent.
(90% prediction interval: 45.5 to 49.6 percent)

I'm going to bed.

ǂbait (seandalai), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:19 (seven years ago) link

Nice and tight now, just 20,000 in it.

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 01:21 (seven years ago) link

did the northern ireland secretary just do a 'modern technology' will mean trade tariffs nbd on the BBC coverage?

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 01:21 (seven years ago) link

well done Lambeth!

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:21 (seven years ago) link

that UEA thing is saying 3% chance of remain, right?

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:21 (seven years ago) link

Glasgow pushes Remain into the lead for a bit

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 01:23 (seven years ago) link

Remain lead!

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:23 (seven years ago) link

But 44% of the fuckers couldn't be arsed voting.

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:25 (seven years ago) link

yeah wandsworth!

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:28 (seven years ago) link

does anyone have more on the UEA dude, his publications record does not scream quants genius to me

the ghost of tom, choad (thomp), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:29 (seven years ago) link

Yasssss!

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:29 (seven years ago) link

Xp

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:29 (seven years ago) link

London outperforming for Remain but just don't think it's enough.

Alba, Friday, 24 June 2016 01:30 (seven years ago) link

SAVE US URBAN SOPHISTICATES

Damascene kid (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:30 (seven years ago) link

the uea dude could be a literal dead baby for all i know, but regardless this looks pretty shit and his prediction seems to be via media rather pessimistic

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:31 (seven years ago) link

What's the Lambeth walk? I want to do it.

Alba, I think it could be enough.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:31 (seven years ago) link

SAVE US URBAN SOPHISTICATES

East Lothian is full of them.

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:31 (seven years ago) link

i said urban, not urbane

Damascene kid (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:32 (seven years ago) link

The Wandsworth results are in.

Remain: 118,463 (75%)

Leave: 39,421 (25%)

Wandsworth is one of the most pro-Remain areas in the country, but the remain lead here is even bigger than the Hanretty figures suggested it would be.

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:34 (seven years ago) link

copying off the guardian liveblog in memory of polly toynbee :)

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:35 (seven years ago) link

vision of Polly Toynbee having an eppy has just added an extra layer of hilarity

Damascene kid (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:36 (seven years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=leU1kbtIZUI

On Friday I’ll get my country back. Britain will vote remain | Polly Toynbee

The polls say the vote hangs in the balance. But I refuse to believe it. I don’t believe Britain will take leave of its senses and plunge down into the dark and rancid place the Brexiters would drag us. I want our country back – and I expect it to step back from the brink of this midsummer madness.

Waiting for the result, Thursday will feel like the longest day, though it’s not quite the solstice. I have no more evidence than anyone else, but I think I know this country isn’t the leave campaign’s ingrown place of phobias, conspiracies, fear of foreigners and all the politics of paranoid isolation.

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:36 (seven years ago) link

classic internationalist argument from Toynbee there

Damascene kid (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:37 (seven years ago) link

I have no more evidence than anyone else, but I think I know
I have no more evidence than anyone else, but I think I know
I have no more evidence than anyone else, but I think I know
I have no more evidence than anyone else, but I think I know
I have no more evidence than anyone else, but I think I know
I have no more evidence than anyone else, but I think I know
I have no more evidence than anyone else, but I think I know
that Hitler >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> dead babies

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:37 (seven years ago) link

Better turnout in Scotland would really have helped matters here.

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 01:39 (seven years ago) link

Lower turnouts in London and Glasgow was 65% or so

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 01:41 (seven years ago) link

56%

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:42 (seven years ago) link

High turnouts are people just turning out to say their lives are shit right?

Blandford Forum, Friday, 24 June 2016 01:43 (seven years ago) link

Sadly, yes.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:43 (seven years ago) link

wtf am I doing still up? Look at the fkn time.

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:44 (seven years ago) link

We'll have loads of time to catch up on sleep when we're all jobless.

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 01:45 (seven years ago) link

Because you won't be able to sleep. Or sleep well. I hope you do though.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:45 (seven years ago) link

for some reason the great unwashed and disenfranchised found the cheat code by writing 'oi, i said oi! what you lookin' at, you little rich boy?' on their ballots thereby enfranchising themselves and confounding mi5 and now hitler is going to win

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:47 (seven years ago) link

remain the favourite with the bookies again and i'm v drunk

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:47 (seven years ago) link

:) aussi

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:48 (seven years ago) link

thaT'S NOt me

humourless vocals, sporadic hooks (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:48 (seven years ago) link

hang on isn't Scargill dead?

humourless vocals, sporadic hooks (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:49 (seven years ago) link

Right, John Mann, that's it, I'm off.

A heartless anonymous firebrand (Tom D.), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:49 (seven years ago) link

Stroud result good for Remain

https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/746157362118033408

Alba, Friday, 24 June 2016 01:50 (seven years ago) link

John Mann is such a dreadful fatheaded oaf xp

soref, Friday, 24 June 2016 01:50 (seven years ago) link

i need a drink and it's only ten to twelve here. need a bottle of nakh's wine to make it more civilised.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 01:50 (seven years ago) link

idk what stroud is but good work whatever you are

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:51 (seven years ago) link

LOL @ McDonnell being set-up.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 01:52 (seven years ago) link

Stroud's in Gloucestershire. Not seen many results from round there so far, I don't think.

Alba, Friday, 24 June 2016 01:53 (seven years ago) link

What's Ceredigion?

Blandford Forum, Friday, 24 June 2016 01:53 (seven years ago) link

much loved Game of Thrones regular

humourless vocals, sporadic hooks (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:54 (seven years ago) link

this is doing my head in

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:54 (seven years ago) link

two bottles left in the case and might open another if this looks close
nb, idk how wachau voted but austria just narrowly defeated hitler (regen edition) despite early worries so who knows

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:54 (seven years ago) link

where indeed are you, fizzles

i've fallen under a bizarre wave of fatalistic optimism in the past half hour. basically it's not like i'm ever going to move back to the country so w/e, i'm sure the uk will find some way to work things out whatever happens

the ghost of tom, choad (thomp), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:56 (seven years ago) link

stroud's a farming area i think where their interests are probably best served by staying in (subsidies, access to the european market)

coygbiv (NickB), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:57 (seven years ago) link

newcastle the only region in the north of england to go for remain so far?

soref, Friday, 24 June 2016 01:57 (seven years ago) link

Fortuitously, 6Music playing Johnny Cash's '94 Glastonbury set, good potential lullaby for those of us who mustn't risk sleep deprivation.

jedi slimane (suzy), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:58 (seven years ago) link

John Mann, one of the few Labour MPs to vote for Brexit, has just told the BBC that Labour voters have “decisively voted to leave the European Union”.

idk how even the most dire readings so far would support this unless he interprets labour in the same way ukip interpret uk ie between enfield and glasgow

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:58 (seven years ago) link

he did look pished tbf

Exit Poles (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:59 (seven years ago) link

Not even 9pm here, reckon I'm in til the bitter end. Fuck sake.

Blandford Forum, Friday, 24 June 2016 02:00 (seven years ago) link

richmond will go leave won't it

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:00 (seven years ago) link

not sure what the greater economic consequences of this might be, but i'm slowly eating my own body weight in crisps

coygbiv (NickB), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:01 (seven years ago) link

John Mann looks like the type of actor who gets cast as a child molesting police superintendent in a grim bbc drama

Blandford Forum, Friday, 24 June 2016 02:01 (seven years ago) link

hi thomp. sydney. i'm sinking into despair. and yes, it will. remain's campaign frighteners were absurd in that respect. and whoever it was upthread who pointed out the visceral reaction of many to being patronised and condescended to is a factor certainly was otm when it comes to people i know who want out. also the financial argument didn't hold water amongst same people because 'big business f's you over no matter what'.

but it's farage's fucking face that keeps coming back to me. handing power and political validity to these thugs and chancers is utterly nauseating.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 02:01 (seven years ago) link

richmond is supposedly safe remain

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:02 (seven years ago) link

and there it is

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:03 (seven years ago) link

sorry, yes things will to a certain extent carry on as normal. despite y'know the business of government being tangled up in extracting ourselves for the next five years, with a free meal ticket for expensive consultants and trade expertise rinsing out the coffers.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 02:04 (seven years ago) link

If the pound collapses it won't carry on as normal. Caek? You know much more. I'm just going on a hunch.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:05 (seven years ago) link

sorry, 'normal' was overly sanguine. i was responding and agreeing to a certain extent to thomp's 'things will work out'. We would be worse off in so many ways of course. not least the definition of a moral and political outlook. what lex said upthread.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 02:07 (seven years ago) link

feel bad for telling people they'd be better off buying their Euros tomorrow tbh

Exit Poles (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:08 (seven years ago) link

awesome, Bill Cash, this is like the bit in Evil Dead where they lock you in the cellar

Exit Poles (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:08 (seven years ago) link

i was wondering yesterday what bill cash cares about other than european union

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:09 (seven years ago) link

Hitlerian socialism and avant-garde rock

Exit Poles (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:10 (seven years ago) link

:)

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:10 (seven years ago) link

having this on in cnn in the reception is enlightening, i wonder if this is how it feels for the american employees hearing about trump all the time

the ghost of tom, choad (thomp), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:10 (seven years ago) link

cnn, of course, brilliantly reacted to the jo cox murder with the question 'will MPs be able to continue working in their constituencies, or are the security risks now too high'

the ghost of tom, choad (thomp), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:11 (seven years ago) link

No idea. They say the pound will go to 1.30 against the dollar (was 1.50 at close of play today). Economics is a stats problem to me. I dont actually understand how the economy works.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:12 (seven years ago) link

is that bloke's hair really like that or have my eyes gone?

Exit Poles (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:14 (seven years ago) link

Cash married Bridget Mary (née Lee) at Wardour Castle Chapel in Wiltshire on 16 October 1965,[5] and they have two sons and a daughter. One of his sons is the controversial journalist William Cash, who lives at Upton Cressett Hall, near Bridgnorth, Shropshire. Along with his wife, Bill and Bridget Cash restored the now Grade I Upton Cressett Hall in the 1970s. The Hall was subsequently voted the 'Best Hidden Gem' heritage destination in the UK at the 2011 Hudson's Heritage awards.[6]

Bill Cash Jr. is married to society milliner, Lady Laura Cathcart, daughter of Charles Cathcart, 7th Earl Cathcart,[7] with whom he has a daughter, Cosima.[5]

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:15 (seven years ago) link

the bill cash jr link redirects to the spectator page but good work to his ghostwriters

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:15 (seven years ago) link

according to the "About Bill" section of his website "He is a keen cricketer and swimmer and enjoys listening to jazz."

soref, Friday, 24 June 2016 02:15 (seven years ago) link

awesome, Hilary Benn's going to make a moving speech about bombing UKIP

Exit Poles (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:16 (seven years ago) link

xpost one side's leave the other is remain. it organically reflects the results. I'm getting v agitated. just shouted shut up you tit at bill cash when he brought up wwii but of course I'm in an office. had to sit down and wave my hand in apology.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 02:17 (seven years ago) link

one side of his hair. in case that wasn't totally self evident.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 02:17 (seven years ago) link

Hilary Benn looks like a quirky mortician

Blandford Forum, Friday, 24 June 2016 02:18 (seven years ago) link

yadda yadda earn a living from dead people yadda yadda

Exit Poles (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:18 (seven years ago) link

Hilary Benn fucking useless. Dimbo: "Was this referendum a mistake?"

There is only one answer to this as a Remain supporter. "Yes David, it was a massive mistake, and we will be paying for it for years to come."

Instead he said "Well, we didn't want it, but the Tories won the election and they wanted it so here we are" fuck off

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:19 (seven years ago) link

WHERE ARE THE COJONES ON THESE PEOPLE

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:19 (seven years ago) link

Blandford OTM

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:19 (seven years ago) link

according to the "About Bill" section of his website "He is a keen cricketer and swimmer and enjoys listening to jazz."

― soref, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:15 (3 minutes ago)

lol

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:19 (seven years ago) link

don't know what the context behind this meeting was

http://billcashmp.co.uk/media/photo_gallery/Bill%20Cash%20photos/Bill%20Cash%20and%20Jesse%20Jackson.jpg

soref, Friday, 24 June 2016 02:20 (seven years ago) link

Finally Hilary Benn says the right thing, but makes it sound like some dreary middle segment on This Week

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:21 (seven years ago) link

http://i.imgur.com/BRcsHv8.png

mookieproof, Friday, 24 June 2016 02:24 (seven years ago) link

leave is 200K ahead is that right

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:25 (seven years ago) link

nearly 300K

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 02:25 (seven years ago) link

load of home counties results came in. remainers were hoping there'd be a wider london effect but it hasn't so far been apparent.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 02:26 (seven years ago) link

310k

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 02:27 (seven years ago) link

Boris shitting himself.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:27 (seven years ago) link

fuxake wales

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:28 (seven years ago) link

sheffield narrowly votes leave - was that expected?

coygbiv (NickB), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:28 (seven years ago) link

Yeah fuck Wales.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:29 (seven years ago) link

maybe wales can leave the eu

the ghost of tom, choad (thomp), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:30 (seven years ago) link

Sheffield council area is a lot wider than the city centre, it's not the equivalent of (for example) Manchester City Council. I'd still have expected them to vote remain though.

AlanSmithee, Friday, 24 June 2016 02:30 (seven years ago) link

re boris

https://twitter.com/lewisiwu/status/746076633644281856

question is what does he mean by 'he's lost'?

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 02:30 (seven years ago) link

in the game of life because he is an american and a turk

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:31 (seven years ago) link

Sheffield was expected 54%-odd Remain

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 02:32 (seven years ago) link

that boris thing was tweeted at 21:25

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:32 (seven years ago) link

neither moderated by reason nor fixed by faith, blindly impelled to the either side of the dark and empty abyss ... he alternately embraced and condemned the sentiments...

as gibbon might have it

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 02:33 (seven years ago) link

it was.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 02:33 (seven years ago) link

crazy that such a massive thing can be decided by 50.00000001% of voters

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:34 (seven years ago) link

really hope the little boris and dave on the guardian widget will grow more animated or despairing as the night goes on

the ghost of tom, choad (thomp), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:36 (seven years ago) link

so should I buy a lot of stuff from boomkat tomorrow or are you guys going to tank the pound a little more later in the week

μpright mammal (mh), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:36 (seven years ago) link

Quebec's independence second referendum was lost by 1,2% or so.

Van Horn Street, Friday, 24 June 2016 02:38 (seven years ago) link

step away from the desk and it goes to leave 52% ffs

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 02:38 (seven years ago) link

jonathan rees-mogg saying that the rulers of this country have got out of touch

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:38 (seven years ago) link

I'm feeling sympathetic panic over here in Australia (though still hundreds of km from Fizzles). All these right-wing scumbags have spent years quietly grabbing the xenophobic racist vote and now it's all coming down around their ears (see Republicans/Trump, Tories/UKIP/Brexit). Unfortunately all the good people have to keep living in those countries too. And Australia's got an election in one week, where the right-wing party who locks up children in offshore torture camps to be sexually abused is about to win again. World is fukt.

so should I buy a lot of stuff from boomkat tomorrow or are you guys going to tank the pound a little more later in the week

Ashamed to say I was thinking the same thing except about the Book Depository

rly looking forward to rees-mogg style populism to come.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 02:40 (seven years ago) link

leave pushing half a million lead now

the ghost of tom, choad (thomp), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:44 (seven years ago) link

i mean jacob of course

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:44 (seven years ago) link

Dunno who that guy is but he has made me switch back to cnn

Blandford Forum, Friday, 24 June 2016 02:47 (seven years ago) link

leave lead edging back down. i hate this.

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:49 (seven years ago) link

hackney 78% remain

coygbiv (NickB), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:50 (seven years ago) link

Pound hitting 20-year lows

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 02:51 (seven years ago) link

Jacob reese mogg one of the worst humans.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:52 (seven years ago) link

newham gon fuck you up

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:52 (seven years ago) link

when are birmingham due to declare. I've had to unglue myself from my screen bcos I'm just sitting in a state of inutile agitation.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 02:53 (seven years ago) link

Birmingham next 10 mins according to the Guardian

AlanSmithee, Friday, 24 June 2016 02:55 (seven years ago) link

i'm going to bed after that

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 02:56 (seven years ago) link

I hate stupid cunt British politicians and braindead selfish racist British people /nuance

Blandford Forum, Friday, 24 June 2016 02:59 (seven years ago) link

so fucking depressing. jesus.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 02:59 (seven years ago) link

Although they were expecting Sandwell an hour ago and that's not come through yet.

AlanSmithee, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:00 (seven years ago) link

farage calls this "a victory for real people, for ordinary people, for decent people"

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 03:03 (seven years ago) link

Is there a woman in the Farage crowd.

Van Horn Street, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:03 (seven years ago) link

It's mad an MP got assassinated as part of this shit and yet I can see Nigel Farage live on tv

Blandford Forum, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:04 (seven years ago) link

'done it without having to fire any bullets' or words to that effect - WTF??

coygbiv (NickB), Friday, 24 June 2016 03:05 (seven years ago) link

sorry, 'we did it without a single bullet being fired'

coygbiv (NickB), Friday, 24 June 2016 03:07 (seven years ago) link

just saw that. jesus fucking christ.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:08 (seven years ago) link

that "real decent people" thing makes me physically incapable with rage.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:08 (seven years ago) link

so what are the scenarios for Remain to win now?

Van Horn Street, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:09 (seven years ago) link

"real decent people"

months of his braying face saying this over and over and over, arggh

coygbiv (NickB), Friday, 24 June 2016 03:10 (seven years ago) link

so what are the scenarios for Remain to win now?

Change the pencil votes on ballot papers?

AlanSmithee, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:13 (seven years ago) link

so what are the scenarios for Remain to win now?

i don't know, but still a large chunk of london to come + manchester + birmingham + brighton + a few more cities besides

coygbiv (NickB), Friday, 24 June 2016 03:13 (seven years ago) link

what's expected of northern ireland?

mookieproof, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:13 (seven years ago) link

Manchester a while back. 60%

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:14 (seven years ago) link

Remain now needs 52% of all remaning votes; most of them are rural England

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:17 (seven years ago) link

dang

coygbiv (NickB), Friday, 24 June 2016 03:17 (seven years ago) link

jesus. for some reason i was under the impression that "leave" was kind of a longshot. not so much because of polling, but because it's so fucking stupid

Treeship, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:18 (seven years ago) link

Leave winning by 630 000 votes, jesus fuckin christ.

Van Horn Street, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:19 (seven years ago) link

really hope the little boris and dave on the guardian widget will grow more animated or despairing as the night goes on

― the ghost of tom, choad (thomp), Friday, June 24, 2016 3:36 AM (44 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

this has happened, btw

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2016/jun/23/eu-referendum-live-results-and-analysis

soref, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:21 (seven years ago) link

South Holland voted to leave 8 minutes ago

okayyyyy

coygbiv (NickB), Friday, 24 June 2016 03:23 (seven years ago) link

https://twitter.com/markoshea75/status/746162481614073856

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:24 (seven years ago) link

has Morrissey said anything yet?

Van Horn Street, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:26 (seven years ago) link

is he a ukip bro?

Treeship, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:26 (seven years ago) link

Farage says he and his supporters had taken back control of the country “without a shot being fired”. Spectacularly nasty and ill-chosen words, what with the shots being fired and all.

Think they were pretty carefully chosen xp

Blandford Forum, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:28 (seven years ago) link

maybe they were metaphorical bullets that farage was talking about, but even in that case what the fuck exactly was he referring to?

coygbiv (NickB), Friday, 24 June 2016 03:30 (seven years ago) link

With the high turnout, we can't say people didn't really want it or it was just the cranky extremists that voted. I wasn't convinced at the start of the night remain would win and had a sinking feeling with the rush of registrations right after the Cameron / Farage debate. Farage himself thought it was pro-remain people signing up to oppose him but I think you'll probably have millions of people who don't usually vote doing so for the first time and doing so to vote leave. I think 55 / 45 is probably best case scenario at this point.

This is a disaster for the UK but I think the economic and political fallout will probably be so rapid it might undermine anti-EU movements across the rest of the continent.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 24 June 2016 03:32 (seven years ago) link

yeah, metaphorical bullets doesn't mean anything. it was nonsensical and therefore intentionally or unintentionally offensive and malicious. both are equally bad.

xp

the EU have to punish the UK to discourage the break up of the EU, to add to any economic and political fallout just from the result itself.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:33 (seven years ago) link

so aside from insulting the memory of the assassinated MP, the implication of farage's remarks is that if 'remain' had one (or still wins) that the recourse would have been armed insurrection?

wizzz! (amateurist), Friday, 24 June 2016 03:34 (seven years ago) link

This is a disaster for the UK but I think the economic and political fallout will probably be so rapid it might undermine anti-EU movements across the rest of the continent.

― On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 24 June 2016 04:32 (1 minute ago)

tick.jpg

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 03:34 (seven years ago) link

xp

yes, exactly. usual ill thought out threats and thuggishness nbd.

switching off the tv. would like to go to bed, but looking ahead to when i can go and get savagely drunk.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:35 (seven years ago) link

xposts

er, "won," not one

wizzz! (amateurist), Friday, 24 June 2016 03:35 (seven years ago) link

The end is nigh for this one

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:37 (seven years ago) link

All Scotland is Remain. IndyRef II can't be far off, surely

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:38 (seven years ago) link

Broken Britain

IndyRef II has to happen now

xp

Cosmic Slop, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:39 (seven years ago) link

feel like 70 yrs after the war (just as it begins to pass from living memory) the fascists are winning again :(

wizzz! (amateurist), Friday, 24 June 2016 03:39 (seven years ago) link

A victory for 30 years of tabloid evil

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:40 (seven years ago) link

BBC and ITV both calling it for leave

Blandford Forum, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:41 (seven years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SD8gO8TAr4s

Van Horn Street, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:44 (seven years ago) link

Birmingham voted to leave 4 minutes ago

coygbiv (NickB), Friday, 24 June 2016 03:47 (seven years ago) link

Chuka Umunna, the London Labour MP, said that the referendum result highlighted “particular issues” for the Labour Party

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 03:48 (seven years ago) link

Cameron's legacy.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:49 (seven years ago) link

Would be interesting to know what proportion of the Asian population in Birmingham was gulled into voting leave by the idea it might free up non-EU immigration.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 24 June 2016 03:50 (seven years ago) link

cameron's legacy, remembered as the prime minister who deferentially set himself ablaze outside #10

schlump, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:51 (seven years ago) link

was not expecting this

good luck UK

Milton Parker, Friday, 24 June 2016 03:52 (seven years ago) link

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/24/labours-chris-bryant-attacks-ed-miliband-as-he-blames-him-for-de/

I get the impression that a lot of the Labour right hate Ed Miliband even more than they hate Corbyn - I guess the thinking is that Corbyn is just doing what he does, and hating him would be like hating a fish for swimming, but Miliband should have known better?

soref, Friday, 24 June 2016 04:00 (seven years ago) link

pound has officially crashed now

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 04:01 (seven years ago) link

The Nikkei has suspended trading. We could take this thing global.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 24 June 2016 04:01 (seven years ago) link

So I went out several hours ago with US news making it sound like remain would win and I come back to this, pretty shocking

Al Moon Faced Poon (Moodles), Friday, 24 June 2016 04:01 (seven years ago) link

is this basically a vote against immigrants? bcz the bloody immigration issue predates EU membership by decades and was a direct legacy of the goddamn british empire.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Friday, 24 June 2016 04:02 (seven years ago) link

It is partly a vote against immigration and partly a vote for 'fuck everything, burn it to the ground'.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 24 June 2016 04:03 (seven years ago) link

So similar to Trump (who arrives today) in some respects.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 24 June 2016 04:04 (seven years ago) link

a good thing there aren't 350,000,000 guns running around in UK like we have here in the US

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Friday, 24 June 2016 04:05 (seven years ago) link

It's more than just immigration. It's decades of the white working class being disenfranchised by politics, education, culture.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Friday, 24 June 2016 04:05 (seven years ago) link

hey folks, this is ridiculous

chinavision!, Friday, 24 June 2016 04:06 (seven years ago) link

https://twitter.com/MarcMallett_UTV/status/746191490628485120

BREAKING: Sinn Fein says "British government has forfeited any mandate to represent economic or political interests of people in N Ireland"

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 04:07 (seven years ago) link

decades? centuries more like

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Friday, 24 June 2016 04:07 (seven years ago) link

can't believe that you can vote to willfully marginalize your country

chinavision!, Friday, 24 June 2016 04:08 (seven years ago) link

Steve Hilton is somehow the most unbearable pundit the bbc have had on all night, even worse than Bill Cash and Chris Grayling

soref, Friday, 24 June 2016 04:08 (seven years ago) link

I mean in such a direct way xpost

chinavision!, Friday, 24 June 2016 04:08 (seven years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M9BNoNFKCBI

wizzz! (amateurist), Friday, 24 June 2016 04:12 (seven years ago) link

Maybe it's been explained somewhere, but how in the world was this set up to be just a simple majority vote? Leaving the EU and willfully ruining the country for who knows how long should've had to clear at least a 60% threshold, ffs.

Ⓓⓡ. (Johnny Fever), Friday, 24 June 2016 04:16 (seven years ago) link

I'm too tired to properly parse this and it's Paul Mason but there are bits of this that make sense to me https://medium.com/mosquito-ridge/brexit-wins-an-illusion-dies-b60b6efad2d7#.mqprx4v2h

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 04:18 (seven years ago) link

There's no legal obligation for the government to act on this vote - it's just advisory. But woe betide the government who tell the public they know best after this.

Hey Bob (Scik Mouthy), Friday, 24 June 2016 04:19 (seven years ago) link

The government could resign

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 04:20 (seven years ago) link

to be replaced by what?

Van Horn Street, Friday, 24 June 2016 04:21 (seven years ago) link

darraghmac, racism, dead babies or serbian war criminals

rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 04:24 (seven years ago) link

Jol in?

Blandford Forum, Friday, 24 June 2016 04:26 (seven years ago) link

chegnocrats and cat algorithms.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 04:27 (seven years ago) link

xpost loool

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 04:28 (seven years ago) link

I estimated 65/35 in my local area (Medway) ahead of the vote and it has just been called as 64/36.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 24 June 2016 04:33 (seven years ago) link

Jesus fucking Christ.

El Tomboto, Friday, 24 June 2016 04:38 (seven years ago) link

"sick, disgusted and ashamed" as someone just put it sums it up for me.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 04:46 (seven years ago) link

http://www.opus-photography.net/smilies/LANout.gif

am0n, Friday, 24 June 2016 04:47 (seven years ago) link

it's at times like this one feels one is entering an alternate timeline

conrad, Friday, 24 June 2016 04:50 (seven years ago) link

https://twitter.com/intlspectator/status/746202336805064704

Mordy, Friday, 24 June 2016 04:56 (seven years ago) link

eu is going to have to punish uk to keep this thing intact i'm guessing

Mordy, Friday, 24 June 2016 04:57 (seven years ago) link

With this and Trump, the bizarre spectacle of entire voting populations gleefully punching themselves in the nuts is becoming weirdly commonplace

Who/Where's next?

El Tomboto, Friday, 24 June 2016 04:58 (seven years ago) link

Trump is historically unpopular. He's won the nomination of a party that can no longer win national elections.

El Tomboto, Friday, 24 June 2016 04:59 (seven years ago) link

Farage can't win an election to save his life and yet here we are

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 05:00 (seven years ago) link

Bank of Japan apparently making announcements to try and stave off a run in the wake of the sterling plummet

El Tomboto, Friday, 24 June 2016 05:00 (seven years ago) link

Good luck with WW3 u guyz

Stoop Crone (Trayce), Friday, 24 June 2016 05:00 (seven years ago) link

Some quirky results in the north of England. Not many council areas there voted to Remain but they include Harrogate and Trafford which are Tory councils in largely Labour wider areas.

AlanSmithee, Friday, 24 June 2016 05:01 (seven years ago) link

Farage can't win an election to save his life and yet here we are

this. he's somehow become the face of the biggest european political upheaval since the fall of the berlin wall. (i think that would be right?)

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 05:02 (seven years ago) link

Poland already p unstable. Massive influx of previously uk based poles could tip things over the edge. Germany would have to intervene...

Blandford Forum, Friday, 24 June 2016 05:03 (seven years ago) link

Scotland will be revisiting its decision sooner than later I guess?

I should butt out. I'm just sad.

El Tomboto, Friday, 24 June 2016 05:03 (seven years ago) link

Only person smiling more than Farage this morning might be Putin?

Blandford Forum, Friday, 24 June 2016 05:04 (seven years ago) link

Poland actively wants people to come back

Idk if Putin really cares that much but at least he got a cool sea port / beach resort in return for tanking his economy.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 24 June 2016 05:06 (seven years ago) link

(I wasn't being entirely serous, also: drunk)

Blandford Forum, Friday, 24 June 2016 05:06 (seven years ago) link

To be honest, we should probably welcome anything from outside the boundaries of this sceptic isle right now, El T.

And yes, you'd have thought European balkanisation would be perfect for Putin/Russian flexing.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 05:07 (seven years ago) link

Also UK needs to maintain and increase the sort of dodgy Russian money it's been sucking up in property and other capital investments as a consequence ofnfinancial collapse, i'd've thought.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 05:08 (seven years ago) link

woooo free beers in Wetherspoons all day

Exit Poles (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 05:09 (seven years ago) link

gonna go claim my freedom breakfast

Exit Poles (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 05:09 (seven years ago) link

looking forward to Tim Martin's op-ed piece on this.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 05:10 (seven years ago) link

the silver linning is that it may force other EU countries to rethink their shit

Van Horn Street, Friday, 24 June 2016 05:11 (seven years ago) link

day off work while we round up the undesirables

Exit Poles (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 05:11 (seven years ago) link

random accent checks on the street

Exit Poles (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 05:12 (seven years ago) link

"Pen?'
"But!"
"PEN!"
"No! Wait!"

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 05:13 (seven years ago) link

good morning :(

ǂbait (seandalai), Friday, 24 June 2016 05:13 (seven years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KaBdajHOsSM

Exit Poles (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 05:15 (seven years ago) link

luv 2 brexit

salthigh, Friday, 24 June 2016 05:15 (seven years ago) link

the silver linning is that it may force other EU countries to rethink their shit

Nah. Cats out of the bag iirc.

Le Bateau Ivre, Friday, 24 June 2016 05:17 (seven years ago) link

Honestly, give it 24 hours and we'll be weeping blood. If the LSE isn't suspended before nine am, I'd be surprised.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 24 June 2016 05:19 (seven years ago) link

At a referendum night party at the London School of Economics, Kevin Featherstone, the head of the European Institute, said that whichever way things went, the vote should serve as a wakeup call to politicians across the continent.

"One of the deeper headlines from tomorrow, of a narrow victory either way, is that wider Europe has got to learn the lesson about how to re-engage with ordinary publics," he said. "We can see across Europe countries which have been ... far bigger supporters of the European Union for a number of years starting to have serious doubts."

serious doubts about what, avoiding another war?

El Tomboto, Friday, 24 June 2016 05:21 (seven years ago) link

Extraordinary vacuum of political leadership right now. During a GE you'd have had the major party leaders all talking by now. Not a peep from anyone except Farage

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 05:22 (seven years ago) link

best gesture I can think of right now is to go out and buy an Iceland shirt

ǂbait (seandalai), Friday, 24 June 2016 05:24 (seven years ago) link

"I don't know barely anyone who's been to war. Who needs all this multilateral nonsense. See you in Switzerland!"

El Tomboto, Friday, 24 June 2016 05:25 (seven years ago) link

just in time for the somme centenary

mookieproof, Friday, 24 June 2016 05:31 (seven years ago) link

dan hannan mep on bbc "it's morning in great britain"

conrad, Friday, 24 June 2016 05:32 (seven years ago) link

can't believe Chukka Umunna has committed seppuku

Exit Poles (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 05:36 (seven years ago) link

uh wow.

le Histoire du Edgy Miley (difficult listening hour), Friday, 24 June 2016 05:37 (seven years ago) link

good luck uk

le Histoire du Edgy Miley (difficult listening hour), Friday, 24 June 2016 05:38 (seven years ago) link

:(

the toast of every coast (cajunsunday), Friday, 24 June 2016 05:38 (seven years ago) link

I'd like to go out there and ask all the people who voted LEave exactly what they thought was going to happen today. Did they really think that when the sun rose that a giant cash register would ring and there'd be £350M sitting there that would have otherwise gone to the EU? Because some Leave wonk was just on BBC News being interviewed by Dimblebey and they're already backpedalling so hard on everything. Basically everyone who voted Leave voted for a fairytale fantasy that's about as real as fucking Narnia.

get on (down) / to the funky (sound) / of (snoball), Friday, 24 June 2016 05:46 (seven years ago) link

This is the worst vote to happen to Europe since Hitler. Literally, I can't think of any other situation where a public vote resulted in a worse outcome for Europe. Well of course Brexit isn't as bad as Hitler becoming Chancellor of Germany. But that's not saying much. In fact it's saying practically fuck all.

get on (down) / to the funky (sound) / of (snoball), Friday, 24 June 2016 05:52 (seven years ago) link

Fuck everything and fuck the noisy window that woke me up at 6.30am and fuck me for checking the news instead of going back to sleep

kinder, Friday, 24 June 2016 05:57 (seven years ago) link

Fucking Corbyn calling for an immediate Article 50. Fucking twat should be calling for Cameron's head, he's still talking like a sodding back bencher

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 06:30 (seven years ago) link

yep. cameron has literally done this. it's not even an open goal. it's all he should be saying. totally feeble.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 06:34 (seven years ago) link

Fuck waking up in Chicago horribly jetlagged and worying about this at 1am, and thinking that looking at my phone would reassure me and let me get back to sleep. I've never felt remotely this upset at a political result in my life. Apart from anything else this is going to be unbelievably bad at work (academia), so many ways this is fucked.

toby, Friday, 24 June 2016 06:45 (seven years ago) link

what, he should go on the telly and 50-odd percent of the electorate that david cameron is a bad person for allowing them the success they just had?

the ghost of tom, choad (thomp), Friday, 24 June 2016 06:45 (seven years ago) link

and TELL obv.

the lolguardian lolliveblog has some pages from the script labour MPs have been given ... and promptly leaked to someone at the FT ...

the ghost of tom, choad (thomp), Friday, 24 June 2016 06:46 (seven years ago) link

now more than ever what labour leads is petty, goalless rebellion with no clear goals other than to further reduce their own standing

the ghost of tom, choad (thomp), Friday, 24 June 2016 06:47 (seven years ago) link

If I see the front page of any pro-leave newspaper this morning I think I will vomit.

I wanna whole Dior hand (ledge), Friday, 24 June 2016 06:52 (seven years ago) link

The baby boomers had one last flourish eh

imago, Friday, 24 June 2016 06:53 (seven years ago) link

Thomp: yes, because he is talking to Labour voters, who either are remain or are out for reasons that only a Labour-led exit negotiation could deliver. Either way he has to get Cameron to go

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 06:54 (seven years ago) link

i don't think it'll make the papers this morning. tomorrow though.

koogs, Friday, 24 June 2016 06:55 (seven years ago) link

I think that will be taken care of for him. Xp

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 24 June 2016 06:56 (seven years ago) link

"I don't know barely anyone who's been to war. Who needs all this multilateral nonsense. See you in Switzerland!"

― El Tomboto, Friday, 24 June 2016 05:25 (1 hour ago) Permalink

ding ding ding.

brexit is like the political version of those moms who say "I don’t know anyone who’s died of smallpox recently, so I don’t think I’ll have my child immunized."

wizzz! (amateurist), Friday, 24 June 2016 06:59 (seven years ago) link

is kate hoey popular in her constituency

conrad, Friday, 24 June 2016 07:04 (seven years ago) link

Half the FTSE has failed to open, fucking hell

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 07:09 (seven years ago) link

Xp She's always been a funny one. Good at the local level but chair of the countryside alliance and pro fox hunting. Anti war and usually rebels in all the right votes - but now this so fuck her.

I wanna whole Dior hand (ledge), Friday, 24 June 2016 07:12 (seven years ago) link

Given that a lot of Corbyn's supporters in Labour presumably voted to Remain, I guess it's a pretty smart move for the Blairites to put all the blame on him and force a new leadership contest.

ǂbait (seandalai), Friday, 24 June 2016 07:13 (seven years ago) link

Barclays opened down 30%, RBS 35%.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 24 June 2016 07:14 (seven years ago) link

Chris Ship from ITV is reporting an unconfirmed story that Cameron is resigning today.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 24 June 2016 07:15 (seven years ago) link

so is Laura K

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 07:17 (seven years ago) link

sarah wollaston mp on bbc speaking sympathetically

conrad, Friday, 24 June 2016 07:20 (seven years ago) link

hey american cousins worried about war, don't worry we're still in the tip-top internationalist organization that really counts

Exit Poles (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 07:20 (seven years ago) link

Douglas Murphy ‏@entschwindet Jun 16

Is it possible that the only global influence Britain has left is to trigger the endgame to the 2008 crash?

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 07:20 (seven years ago) link

he's gone

schlump, Friday, 24 June 2016 07:22 (seven years ago) link

this fucking country

the hallouminati (lex pretend), Friday, 24 June 2016 07:22 (seven years ago) link

Cameron fought this campaign in the only way he knows how

obv

Exit Poles (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 07:22 (seven years ago) link

"there will be no immediate change in your circumstances" - that's bloody reassuring

ǂbait (seandalai), Friday, 24 June 2016 07:22 (seven years ago) link

PM resigns - not immediate, but by October.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 07:23 (seven years ago) link

it bloody doesn't look like that a very fucking clear decision.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 07:24 (seven years ago) link

The last leadership campaign took three months.

Dan Hannan was apparently talking about "phased repatriation" on the radio this morning.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 24 June 2016 07:25 (seven years ago) link

LOL his voice was breaking.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 07:26 (seven years ago) link

can't wait to have a real legend in charge

Exit Poles (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 07:26 (seven years ago) link

looking forward to Farage disbanding UKIP later

Exit Poles (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 07:28 (seven years ago) link

The most poisoned chalice I can remember is about to be offered around the top end of the Conservative party.

Tim, Friday, 24 June 2016 07:30 (seven years ago) link

Cameron has resigned - why am I not happy?

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 07:30 (seven years ago) link

We deserve a general election to choose who leads these negotiations, not the fucking 1922

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 07:30 (seven years ago) link

LOL his voice was breaking.

shouted "don't you *dare* shed any tears" at that point.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 07:31 (seven years ago) link

have we got a list of anybody funny who promised to leave the country?

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 07:31 (seven years ago) link

theresa may surely. she's been totally silent throughout the campaign.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 07:32 (seven years ago) link

well i consider myself vindicated in my corbyn comment

the ghost of tom, choad (thomp), Friday, 24 June 2016 07:32 (seven years ago) link

ah, xpost.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 07:32 (seven years ago) link

Cameron has resigned - why am I not happy?

― xyzzzz__, Friday, June 24, 2016 8:30 AM (52 seconds ago)

Because as bad as Cameron is, his replacement is going to be a complete cock. And the public have absolutely no say in who that cock is going to be (unless you happen to be a member of the Tory party).

get on (down) / to the funky (sound) / of (snoball), Friday, 24 June 2016 07:33 (seven years ago) link

Hey, at least we'll get a new hospital built every week now with that £350m we're going to get.

Fuck this country.

Just noise and screaming and no musical value at all. (Colonel Poo), Friday, 24 June 2016 07:35 (seven years ago) link

I know the ans to my own question btw.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 07:36 (seven years ago) link

Don't really see how Cameron's successor can really trigger Article 50 unless they've won a General Election first?

get on (down) / to the funky (sound) / of (snoball), Friday, 24 June 2016 07:39 (seven years ago) link

We deserve a general election to choose who leads these negotiations, not the fucking 1922

― stet, Friday, June 24, 2016 4:30 AM (6 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

sympathetic to everyone's horror about how limp corbyn's response this morning was, but surely he shd be pushing for an election? i wd have thought there was as good a case for getting out the vote with this in the rearview mirror than at any other time

schlump, Friday, 24 June 2016 07:40 (seven years ago) link

is there any chance that the severe fallout coupled with the length of time it takes to negotiate an exit could mean this doesn't actually happen? like it feels as though public opinion could change if there are real effects.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Friday, 24 June 2016 07:48 (seven years ago) link

You say that but Labour are in such a disarray it wouldn't be able to provide any alternative. xp

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 07:49 (seven years ago) link

I think the only way that would be viable is if there was a general election and a pro-Remain party won a resounding majority but it's a bit of a stretch to see the Lib Dems bouncing back that far. xp

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 24 June 2016 07:50 (seven years ago) link

Tebbit has been wheeled in somehow..

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 07:55 (seven years ago) link

Public opinion doesn't even need to change that much. If the remainers had just fucking shown up this might have been won

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 07:57 (seven years ago) link

I don't think this 'shown up' business will stick. The message is clear.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 08:08 (seven years ago) link

less than 4 points in it, it feels too close

ogmor, Friday, 24 June 2016 08:10 (seven years ago) link

It was Obama/Romney close.

ǂbait (seandalai), Friday, 24 June 2016 08:12 (seven years ago) link

Smaller win than Indyref and that wiped out Labour in Scotland and will probably be won next time round.

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 08:15 (seven years ago) link

it doesn't even fucking work as a concept to have such a big decision where the country is so split

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Friday, 24 June 2016 08:17 (seven years ago) link

I think for me its a raw number with an increased turnout. Over 50% was the line.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 08:20 (seven years ago) link

I think it probably was said here, but there's this odd feeling that if it went the other way at this margin, that would never be the end of it, but this way around we're supposed to shut up and put up with it.

Andrew Farrell, Friday, 24 June 2016 08:21 (seven years ago) link

it is really weird, that. like as if the drift to the right is some sort of inevitability.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Friday, 24 June 2016 08:25 (seven years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q95t2ulrXW4
Father Ted: "Funny how you get more right wing as you get older"

get on (down) / to the funky (sound) / of (snoball), Friday, 24 June 2016 08:28 (seven years ago) link

The rest of Europe will make sure of that. Greece was put down brutally and while the UK is nowhere near in the same position the negotiation and the fallout might have to be decisive so that other countries don't follow in this when you've got Le Pen knocking on the door in France. xp

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 08:29 (seven years ago) link

xps to "that would never be the end of it"

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 08:30 (seven years ago) link

Hey, at least we'll get a new hospital built every week now with that £350m we're going to get.

Fuck this country.

Farage has already said it was a "mistake" to claim that and that he never made such a pledge. The absolute cunting übercunt

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Cls4mWJXIAAH4ts.jpg

groovypanda, Friday, 24 June 2016 08:33 (seven years ago) link

Any thoughts on Nothern Ireland over this - could we see an Indy Ref there?

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 08:41 (seven years ago) link

Sinn Fein already calling for one.

groovypanda, Friday, 24 June 2016 08:48 (seven years ago) link

Yeah.

This is on the detail

http://www.lrb.co.uk/v38/n12/francis-fitzgibbon/if-we-leave

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 08:54 (seven years ago) link

62% of Scotland voted to Remain, compared to 55.8% in Northern Ireland. An independence referendum in NI will happen, but there's slightly less pressure for it compared to Scotland.

get on (down) / to the funky (sound) / of (snoball), Friday, 24 June 2016 08:55 (seven years ago) link

Peter Smith ‏@Redpeter99 1h1 hour ago

Why is the governor of the Bank of England speaking. Isn't it the job of a bricklayer from Cleckheaton to calm the markets?

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 08:59 (seven years ago) link

pondering the possibility of a new love-in party being formed between pro-EU Tories and pro-Tory Labours

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 09:00 (seven years ago) link

yeah i was wondering about that

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Friday, 24 June 2016 09:08 (seven years ago) link

btw that piece is on the detail of the negotiation not on NI (obv I had little sleep)

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 09:08 (seven years ago) link

a) what was the voting figures in Cornwall?
b) maybe shd've asked the question a couple of days ago

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 09:18 (seven years ago) link

"We will insist..."

So many strong bargaining positions to be seen around this morning.

Tim, Friday, 24 June 2016 09:18 (seven years ago) link

Sam Parker ‏@JustSamParker 16m16 minutes ago

ITV reporter in Sunderland just nailed it. An awful lot of people felt it can't get any worse for them, so they rolled the dice

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 09:24 (seven years ago) link

Plot against Corbyn etc. #priorities

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 09:24 (seven years ago) link

ITV reporter in Sunderland just nailed it. An awful lot of people felt it can't get any worse for them, so they rolled the dice

They'll soon find out they were wrong when the recession hits but given the choice between permanent austerity and a promise of something better, even if it came with all the detail of a Make America Great Again baseball cap, it's not a surprise so many people went for the latter. The question is, when they get done over again, where that anger gets directed next.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 24 June 2016 09:28 (seven years ago) link

I gues I haven't been here in a while, but this evening signing up for citizenship in a country that thinks operating concentration camps is looking like a good idea. I've always seen myself as a European and I don't feel like the UK is somewhere I want to return to, I have been untethered.

American Fear of Pranksterism (Ed), Friday, 24 June 2016 09:29 (seven years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M0aNxzF7MAk

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Friday, 24 June 2016 09:33 (seven years ago) link

@realDonaldTrump

Just arrived in Scotland. Place is going wild over the vote. They took their country back, just like we will take America back. No games!

groovypanda, Friday, 24 June 2016 09:35 (seven years ago) link

unreal

You're talmbout one of the best PLURs of all time (bernard snowy), Friday, 24 June 2016 09:36 (seven years ago) link

Also, very much this:

@sixsecondshigh 1 hour ago

Be fucked if I'm giving up my seat on the bus for any old people from now on. Bunch of selfish cunts.

groovypanda, Friday, 24 June 2016 09:37 (seven years ago) link

xpp no wait, I just checked, it's real

You're talmbout one of the best PLURs of all time (bernard snowy), Friday, 24 June 2016 09:37 (seven years ago) link

Hmm, much of the young voted Leave - went to sleep for a bit when Sheffield voted Leave - one of those results mentioned in passing I think.

Also Wales/many deprived areas voting out despite much EU money - ultimate limits of regeneration as a practice to keep a lid on very deep problems.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 09:40 (seven years ago) link

these serfs just don't know what's good for them is the problem

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 09:41 (seven years ago) link

The question is, when they get done over again, where that anger gets directed next.

Yeah this is what has me a bit o_o

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 09:42 (seven years ago) link

it's the environment that i'm most worried for

imago, Friday, 24 June 2016 09:42 (seven years ago) link

Well there's a million goddamn things. They're licking their chops, the Tories.

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 09:43 (seven years ago) link

european court of human rights surely.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 09:44 (seven years ago) link

these serfs just don't know what's good for them is the problem

so much of this sentiment being expressed on my facebook feed right now and i just don't like it very much

the ghost of tom, choad (thomp), Friday, 24 June 2016 09:44 (seven years ago) link

Why won't they accept this shiny arts centre/'creative hub' to hang out in - isn't that so much better than working down the pit instead?

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 09:45 (seven years ago) link

it does seem that people don't know what's good for them, i wouldn't call them serfs however. i mean this isn't going to work out well for anyone. no problem with that being pointed out.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Friday, 24 June 2016 09:47 (seven years ago) link

we got a city of culture, it's way better than jobs and infrastructure

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 09:47 (seven years ago) link

don't worry tho kids, it's not EU funded

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 09:48 (seven years ago) link

The question is, when they get done over again, where that anger gets directed next.

Yeah this is what has me a bit o_o

― illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, June 24, 2016 Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Tom Gann ‏@Tom_Gann 32s33 seconds ago

About that emboldening of racists- I just confronted a pissed guy in the street who was shouting racist & sexist abuse at a black woman.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 09:48 (seven years ago) link

That ultimately has to be the core of Corbyn's message. All parties have failed huge sections of the country (effectively everything outside of London and Scotland, and much of that too) and this is the result. If this doesn't make that pretty clear to everyone, nothing will. More of the same from Johnson / worse from the Tory right, isn't a solution.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 24 June 2016 09:49 (seven years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Cllm1RWWYAEeWLz.jpg

Wales and Kernow, you daft cunts.

Le Bateau Ivre, Friday, 24 June 2016 09:50 (seven years ago) link

lol what

You're talmbout one of the best PLURs of all time (bernard snowy), Friday, 24 June 2016 09:54 (seven years ago) link

oh nvm I see it now
as a geography/GIS student, I would expect failing grades me if I handed in a map as misleading as that!

You're talmbout one of the best PLURs of all time (bernard snowy), Friday, 24 June 2016 09:55 (seven years ago) link

(that image is from here btw)

Le Bateau Ivre, Friday, 24 June 2016 09:55 (seven years ago) link

do they not have colorblind people in britain, or

You're talmbout one of the best PLURs of all time (bernard snowy), Friday, 24 June 2016 09:56 (seven years ago) link

hey, you've seen the referendum result?

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 10:02 (seven years ago) link

lol, open goal

You're talmbout one of the best PLURs of all time (bernard snowy), Friday, 24 June 2016 10:03 (seven years ago) link

it's the environment that i'm most worried for

yeah, doesn't look rosy on that front:

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/damian-carrington-blog/2016/jun/24/uks-out-vote-is-a-red-alert-for-the-environment

coygbiv (NickB), Friday, 24 June 2016 10:14 (seven years ago) link

Howard Shore, executive chairman of stockbroking firm Shore Capital Group, argues that the British people made the right decision.

[q]We now have a fantastic opportunity to deregulate the economy and better compete on a global stage in the 21st century.

[/q]

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 10:16 (seven years ago) link

we haven't got time to worry about the environment, we're too busy hating each other

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Friday, 24 June 2016 10:20 (seven years ago) link

it was close enough that, given demographic trends, the majority should go the other way within a few years, no? not sure if I can imagine boris pulling the trigger

ogmor, Friday, 24 June 2016 10:22 (seven years ago) link

isn't it more likely that we'd just renegotiate an effective form of entry without actually re-entering, i mean if public opinion was going that way? i dunno...

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Friday, 24 June 2016 10:24 (seven years ago) link

leave now favourite at the bookies

― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:07 (9 hours ago) Permalink

the betting markets have gone to leave (narrow) favourites for first time

― rap game lee rigby (nakhchivan), Friday, 24 June 2016 01:08 (9 hours ago) Permalink

lol

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Friday, 24 June 2016 10:25 (seven years ago) link

Don't feel quite as gut-punched as after the general last year, although that is partly because I foresaw this happening as a result of the tory majority, so a lot of my grieving process, as it were, has already been gone through as part of that.

It just feels like there's an infinity of Kettering shittowns in England, there's no way for remain

― woof, Friday, June 24, 2016 1:12 AM (10 hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

this

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Friday, 24 June 2016 10:37 (seven years ago) link

Too much real England.

This also

Louisa Compton Verified account
‏@louisa_compton

With leave voters in Manchester for BBCNews -most told us they woke up thinking "what have I done?" & didn't actually expect the uk to leave

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 10:38 (seven years ago) link

They'll soon find out they were wrong when the recession hits

eh it'll still be the foreigners' fault, or Gordon Brown's fault, or Cameron's fault, or anyone's fault except Brexit, and even if there is a sudden public volte-face I don't see it being organised into a "Return" movement/vote, or the EU taking us back in a hurry after all this fannying about

(unless there really is a mass EU collapse and several other countries leave/push for renegotiation, and even then, why take the country that kicked it all off?)

but I am quite politically ignorant and shortsighted and I would like to believe, so... maybe

a passing spacecadet, Friday, 24 June 2016 10:42 (seven years ago) link

can someone explain if we don't invoke art. 50, but eu say no trade negotiations until art. 50 process complete, under what terms trade is conducted until then?

current terms? it would be hard to see how else.

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 10:42 (seven years ago) link

xp EU leaders are saying that the UK should get on with Article 50 asap. The only way we could back out of leaving the EU would be for the EU to be so disunited that it would probably break up anyway.

get on (down) / to the funky (sound) / of (snoball), Friday, 24 June 2016 10:45 (seven years ago) link

Like if France and Italy both called referendums in the next 12 months and both voted to leave.

get on (down) / to the funky (sound) / of (snoball), Friday, 24 June 2016 10:46 (seven years ago) link

sorry for melodramatic middle-class handwringing and such but I feel remarkably awful this morning, not just mentally but achy all over like I fell downstairs. filing under "probably psychosomatic"

(or just tired, tho I didn't deliberately stay up, but couldn't sleep and so watched results come in from 1-3 and then turned everything off again and tried to tell myself it might still be OK when Glasgow/Lambeth/Wandsworth came in Remain all at once. thanks to all who were posting then, my phone wouldn't let me log in and I had nothing to say but I was glad of this thread)

in other news, my passport needs renewing and I am going away in August; I assume they're not going to redesign a new EU-less passport in a hurry, but idly wondering when and what the changeover will be (a fairly small deal out of all the many big deals becoming apparent, but also I am kicking myself for not having renewed it already, in case this holds it up)

a passing spacecadet, Friday, 24 June 2016 10:47 (seven years ago) link

Johnson obv wants to renegotiate, there will be pressure to reform from within the EU as well but they've been good at resisting that lately, I suppose it comes down to how scared they are

ogmor, Friday, 24 June 2016 10:48 (seven years ago) link

its not even about the EU. its just about wanting something different. *anything*. for most people who voted leave, life wont be that different. im not sure it will even be that different for me. i wont feel the immediate effect. but the fact is most people who voted for farrage and that mendacious cunt boris might genuinely believe in their awful politics. or they might not, they might just see them as something, ANYthing different (even if it doesnt make sense - how do people think boris will be diff to osbourne, cameron and co?) to the twats like niall ferguson on newsnight the other day, talking about how everything is great and the country is riding a wave of great fortune right now.

whatever you feel about him, blair is actually right here -
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2016/jun/23/eu-referendum-result-live-counting-leave-remain-brain-in-europe?page=with:block-576cfd31e4b0f43038109948#block-576cfd31e4b0f43038109948

the main things that worry me now are who will lead the tories (would still prefer cameron to boris), and the dissapointing limpness of labour and corbyn. their defence of remain was weak as anything. do they have anything to offer? because from the looks of it, there is nothing positive on offer really. its either duplicitous, falsehoods from UKIP and the tories, or a labour party who offer an alternative, but not one with any coherent concepts, structure or mechanisms to make it clear to anyone.

personally, im not sure i care that much about this economically (though im sure i will end up feeling it at some point), but more in the general tone of discourse in modern england. i feel like we have gone back to the 70s and 80s.

StillAdvance, Friday, 24 June 2016 10:49 (seven years ago) link

Leadsom 4th-favourite (behind the usual cunts) for next Tory leader on OddsChecker, but they can't be arsed to get her name right. Think I swore at her this morning almost as much as Farage.

Looking into my Irish roots. (By "looking into" I mean posturing on FB and wondering if anyone who might conceivably have my maternal GF's birth certificate is still alive).

Michael Jones, Friday, 24 June 2016 10:50 (seven years ago) link

sorry, i was xposting someone else.

StillAdvance, Friday, 24 June 2016 10:50 (seven years ago) link

http://pitchfork.com/news/66322-noel-gallagher-on-brexit-vote-99-percent-of-the-people-are-thick-as-pig-shit/

Today, the UK is voting on a historic referendum that will decide if Britain will leave the European Union. Musicians and industry figures have been speaking out on the “Brexit” vote, largely voicing their support for staying in the EU. The latest artist to speak out: Noel Gallagher, who told the CBC yesterday that he wasn’t even sure if he was going to vote. “I’ll decide to vote on the morning,” he said. “I might be busy.” Gallagher’s apathy stems from his believe that there shouldn’t even be a referendum on the Brexit. He would rather leave those big decisions to the politicians, who “didn’t fucking ask us for a referendum when they were going off to war, did they?” Said Gallagher:

I see politicians on TV every night telling us that this is a fucking momentous decision that could fucking change Britain forever and blah, blah, blah. It’s like, okay, why don’t you fucking do what we pay you to do which is run the fucking country and make your fucking mind up....What are you asking the people for? 99 percent of the people are thick as pig shit.

StillAdvance, Friday, 24 June 2016 10:54 (seven years ago) link

is osborne completely ruled out of a run at the leadership due to being associated with remain? or just cos of being a cunt?

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Friday, 24 June 2016 10:54 (seven years ago) link

More to do with his close association with Cameron.

get on (down) / to the funky (sound) / of (snoball), Friday, 24 June 2016 10:55 (seven years ago) link

(being a cunt never disqualified anyone from being a candidate for the Tory leadership AFAIK)

get on (down) / to the funky (sound) / of (snoball), Friday, 24 June 2016 10:56 (seven years ago) link

Looking into my Irish roots. (By "looking into" I mean posturing on FB and wondering if anyone who might conceivably have my maternal GF's birth certificate is still alive).

― Michael Jones

Exbrit

Daithi Bowsie (darraghmac), Friday, 24 June 2016 10:57 (seven years ago) link

XP I think Osborne blew any slim chance he had with his emergency budget scare tactic

Steve Reich In The Afternoon (Against The 80s), Friday, 24 June 2016 10:57 (seven years ago) link

I think the threat of the brexit budget did for him, also he is a cunt.

American Fear of Pranksterism (Ed), Friday, 24 June 2016 10:57 (seven years ago) link

> Noel Gallagher, who told the CBC yesterday... “didn’t fucking ask us for a referendum when they were going off to war, did they?”

i read that as CBBC...

koogs, Friday, 24 June 2016 10:58 (seven years ago) link

think it's the latter. he's not well like within the conservative party + part of cameron project and hasn't distanced himself like johnson xp

Fizzles, Friday, 24 June 2016 10:58 (seven years ago) link

xp Fearne Cotton and Reggie Yates masterminded the invasion of Iraq.

get on (down) / to the funky (sound) / of (snoball), Friday, 24 June 2016 11:00 (seven years ago) link

Vine claims that Sturgeon has contacted Sadiq Khan to explore possibility that Scotland and London can somehow opt out

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 11:10 (seven years ago) link

if blair was still in power he would have consulted noel first before holding a referendum

StillAdvance, Friday, 24 June 2016 11:11 (seven years ago) link

"Vine claims that Sturgeon has contacted Sadiq Khan to explore possibility that Scotland and London can somehow opt out"

as if!

StillAdvance, Friday, 24 June 2016 11:11 (seven years ago) link

I also be communicated over the weekend with each EU member state to make clear that Scotland has voted to stay in the EU and I intend to discussion all options for doing so.

I have also spoken this morning with (London) mayor Sadiq Khan and he is clear that he shares this objective for London, so there is clear common cause between us.

Looking forward to London becoming a West Berlin-esque Scottish exclave.

ǂbait (seandalai), Friday, 24 June 2016 11:12 (seven years ago) link

i think a lot of lefties hating corbyn right now is half deserved, half really unfair. def didnt step up to the mark like he should have. not sure he could have stopped the brexit juggernaut due to the feeling in the country right now. but they def didnt mobilise their supporters like they should have. where i work in west london, i only saw leaflets being handed out in the last week or so (though maybe in the wrong area - this place voted heavily in favour of remain, good to cement that, but they needed to convert people in other areas, which i feel like they failed to do - lots of BME voters that maybe they just didnt do enough to attract and interest).

StillAdvance, Friday, 24 June 2016 11:16 (seven years ago) link

He was so awful this morning I realised that he just can't speak for me.

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 11:18 (seven years ago) link

he speaks like he does not give enough of a shit. i think that could be his undoing. leader with his heart where it needs to be, but oddly, almost deliberately, refusing to really sound like it.

StillAdvance, Friday, 24 June 2016 11:20 (seven years ago) link

Knives already starting to come out ..

Labour MPs Margaret Hodge and Ann Coffey have sent a letter to John Cryer, chair of the parliamentary Labour party, submitting the motion.

Steve Reich In The Afternoon (Against The 80s), Friday, 24 June 2016 11:23 (seven years ago) link

^^ That's a motion of no confidence in Corbyn BTW!

Steve Reich In The Afternoon (Against The 80s), Friday, 24 June 2016 11:23 (seven years ago) link

excellent, we need a Labour leader who will acknowledge voters' very real concerns about immigration

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 11:25 (seven years ago) link

The possibility of Boris being PM and Donald being President reminds me of the photo of Thatcher and Reagan in a golf buggy.

get on (down) / to the funky (sound) / of (snoball), Friday, 24 June 2016 11:26 (seven years ago) link

Re: Corbyn: He always struck me as a "Reluctant Lottery Winner", the type of bloke that decides he's not giving up his previous occupation.

Mark G, Friday, 24 June 2016 11:26 (seven years ago) link

Hodge is repugnant and has been talked up for months as a possible stalking horse.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 24 June 2016 11:26 (seven years ago) link

xpost - honestly, that IS what labour needs.

problem with the left, the white left, is that they dont know how to talk about immigration, in the same way that the tories dont, but for diff reasons.

lefties dont want to seem racist.
tories dont want to seem pro.

its pathetic. they need to talk about it, but just not with the usual hate-filled spiels. gary younge at the guardian is good on this topic.

StillAdvance, Friday, 24 June 2016 11:27 (seven years ago) link

what should they say about it? service shortages are not a result of excess immigration but of massive government underspending which most of us supported?

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 11:28 (seven years ago) link

otm. Politicians seem to talk about nothing other than immigration.

Ask questions about job, education, training, housing, infrastructure, health and you'd get 'it's not racist to be concerned about immigration'. It is the no.1 tool for scapegoating failures.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 24 June 2016 11:30 (seven years ago) link

how about "the UK has a duty to accept refugees and asylum seekers especially from a middle east ravaged by post-colonial adventurism?"

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 11:31 (seven years ago) link

"what should they say about it? service shortages are not a result of excess immigration but of massive government underspending which most of us supported?"

yes. exactly that. it needs to be discussed. when you choose not to talk about it, for fear of rhetorical ugliness, it just makes that elephant in the room that much larger.

at this point, im expecting it to be the usual BS in british politics. both parties 'cracking down' on immigration, stoking up fear, while still letting more people settle here, cos someone needs to do those low paying, low status jobs.

"Politicians seem to talk about nothing other than immigration."

but in the stupidest, basest, most dishonest way.

StillAdvance, Friday, 24 June 2016 11:32 (seven years ago) link

"Vine claims that Sturgeon has contacted Sadiq Khan to explore possibility that Scotland and London can somehow opt out"

as if!

This morning the Guardian had regional voting results split into

Scotland
Northern Ireland
Wales
London
Rest of England

For bodies we are ready to build pyramids (wtev), Friday, 24 June 2016 11:34 (seven years ago) link

"Ask questions about job, education, training, housing, infrastructure, health and you'd get 'it's not racist to be concerned about immigration'. It is the no.1 tool for scapegoating failures."

im not in favour of scapegoating.

im in favor of people understanding that services are not being taken away by migrants, but by governments. but if you pretend that immigration ISNT an issue at ALL, then it just makes people angrier.

StillAdvance, Friday, 24 June 2016 11:34 (seven years ago) link

I think Corbyn, for his faults, has been trying to move in that direction. However, f he says anything remotely positive / realistic about a need for continued migration and a sensible approach to accommodating it a chorus of his own MPs / liberal journalists pops up and says 'well, that won't win back the UKIP vote'.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 24 June 2016 11:36 (seven years ago) link

you see that bit where Younge says "there is no sensible debate on the subject you can have without talking about international trade and development, war, environmental catastrophe and global economic inequalities"? none of the MPs who want to knife Corbyn are interested in that.

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 11:38 (seven years ago) link

they should just split the tories and labour

make four new parties

StillAdvance, Friday, 24 June 2016 11:39 (seven years ago) link

He got absolutely slated for making pro-immigration noises at the weekend. Clearly he's not the best communicator but it's not an easy argument to make at the moment. xp

ǂbait (seandalai), Friday, 24 June 2016 11:39 (seven years ago) link

Crazy news to wake up to here. Was out to lunch with a friend yesterday who spends a lot of time in Spain for work, and he was noting what this means for Brits scattered and living or working or running businesses throughout the (erstwhile?) EU, it's just going to be chaos. Per the above somewhere, passport/visa issues alone will be nuts, right?

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 24 June 2016 11:39 (seven years ago) link

Osborne's been very quiet, hasn't he?

So, I assume he's going to propose an emergency budget, that's going to get voted out, at which point he resigns.

What odds would I get on that scenario?

Mark G, Friday, 24 June 2016 11:40 (seven years ago) link

can someone crunch the numbers and tell me what proportion of the UK actually voted for leave then? i.e. taking into account non-voters

kinder, Friday, 24 June 2016 11:42 (seven years ago) link

Thing about immigration is that we are not even in the ballpark of what's going to be required once global warming really kicks in. And I don't see our chances of dealing with climate change improving much with a far weaker Europe.

coygbiv (NickB), Friday, 24 June 2016 11:42 (seven years ago) link

very quick fag packet guess = around 15/16 million out of a population of 64 million

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 11:44 (seven years ago) link

and only counting those eligible to vote

kinder, Friday, 24 June 2016 11:46 (seven years ago) link

just wondering really if non-voters didn't know enough, didn't care enough, assumed status quo would continue quoing

kinder, Friday, 24 June 2016 11:46 (seven years ago) link

think the electorate is about 38 mill

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 11:47 (seven years ago) link

cheers drive

kinder, Friday, 24 June 2016 11:48 (seven years ago) link

no I'm quite a bit off:

The total number of UK parliamentary electors in 2015 was 44,722,000, a fall of 1.3% from 2014.

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 11:49 (seven years ago) link

that's only people registered to vote, not all eligible people

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 11:50 (seven years ago) link

I suspect 20-odd years of having 3 main parties with similar economic policies might've put a few people off bothering

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 11:52 (seven years ago) link

im prob feeling very cynical right now (or ok, the last month), but immigration is never going to be off the agenda. its so routinely used to exploit the electorate, cos its such an emotional subject that cuts right through peoples intellects and deep into their guts, that either you talk about it, or you get the current shitswill that made people (partially at least) vote brexit.

id actually like to see a more general poll on how british people feel about immigration/migrants/kids of migrants (then again, perhaps not).

its so embedded in our culture, in the very grain of britishness, to hate/sneer down/mock anyone 'other'. even i sometimes wonder if its a mistake to let migrants in, for all the trouble it brings, and im the son of two of them! even nice middle class people i often think only really like migrants so they can feel good about how open minded they are and 'try something different.. oooh look how open minded i am! can you see how tolerant i am! arent i liberal?!' (then again id still prefer that sort of self-deceit to ukip supporters).

off topic entirely, but i remember signing up to the guardian dating site once and being surprised at how nearly all the women i met didnt seem any more politically progressive or open minded than your average mail reader (slight exaggeration but prob not much).

http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/staggers/2016/05/brexit-has-its-roots-british-empire-so-how-do-we-explain-it-young

StillAdvance, Friday, 24 June 2016 11:52 (seven years ago) link

it needs to be discussed. when you choose not to talk about it, for fear of rhetorical ugliness, it just makes that elephant in the room that much larger.

Immigration can never be discussed enough for many of the people who voted Leave - in much the same way that there will be always be too many Muslims and Polski skleps for those same people (regardless of the actual figure).

nashwan, Friday, 24 June 2016 12:06 (seven years ago) link

that either you talk about it, or you get the current shitswill that made people (partially at least) vote brexit.

not an either/or though is it? It's been talked about constantly, and we have the current shitswill.

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Friday, 24 June 2016 12:07 (seven years ago) link

is shitswill the right word here?

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Friday, 24 June 2016 12:08 (seven years ago) link

London voted 60% in favour of remaining in the EU, although within this there were significant splits between boroughs, with inner London notably more pro-EU than the outer suburbs. For example, Lambeth recorded a 78.6% vote in favour or remain, while in Barking and Dagenham this was just 37.6%

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jun/24/voting-details-show-immigration-fears-were-paradoxical-but-decisive?CMP=share_btn_tw

Yet the details of the referendum demonstrate a paradox – that those who have experienced the highest levels of migration are the least anxious about it. The highest levels of remain voters were actually in areas of highest net migration while some of the strongest leave areas have had the fewest recent new migrants.

StillAdvance, Friday, 24 June 2016 12:10 (seven years ago) link

Looking forward to London becoming a West Berlin-esque Scottish exclave

Yup

they should just split the tories and labour

make four new parties

Yup. Need PR first, though.

remain in the privacy of the booth (Nasty, Brutish & Short), Friday, 24 June 2016 12:11 (seven years ago) link

xps
It's the catch 22 you get when people are conned into believing that everything wrong with their lives boils down to one abstract thing. If the answers you give them don't address all their anxieties then nothing you have to say about the issue will ever be enough and of course no answer on immigration that isn't an outright lie can achieve that.

tsrobodo, Friday, 24 June 2016 12:12 (seven years ago) link

the explanations for anti-immigration sentiment seem weak to me; normally explained as people disaffected after suffering from global capitalism (which is obviously vague to the point of meaninglessness), or concerns that rising population puts pressure on services

but neither of these things are unique to the UK. the population growth rate in the UK is not that high. the only thing I can think of which is unique to the UK is the media

ogmor, Friday, 24 June 2016 12:13 (seven years ago) link

Wtf did you guys do?

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 24 June 2016 12:14 (seven years ago) link

It's not really a paradox. Immigrants go where the jobs are, 'native British people' are less resentful where the jobs are.

I was in Doncaster, which went 70% leave yesterday, and barely saw anyone who wasn't white and didn't speak to a single Eastern European other than the bemused Serb i was showing around. There are just no jobs there. It's easier for politicians and the media to encourage a discussion of immigration than it is to admit that Doncaster is functionally useless viewed from London.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 24 June 2016 12:14 (seven years ago) link

agree it's difficult to see any historical precedent for poverty and political disengagement leading to right wing racism

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 12:15 (seven years ago) link

corbyn has to be playing the long game here (because as this proves labour had no other to play). let it all fall and rebuild the base. right...?

r|t|c, Friday, 24 June 2016 12:15 (seven years ago) link

but neither of these things are unique to the UK.

It's all over though. Trump, Le Pen, Wilders, Pegida, to some extend the Five Star Movement and the new populist party that took Rome recently, etc, etc.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 24 June 2016 12:16 (seven years ago) link

"It's not really a paradox. Immigrants go where the jobs are, 'native British people' are less resentful where the jobs are."

also, immigrants/children of migrants will not likely vote brexit, duh (well some will, but stupid, illogical people come in all stripes).

StillAdvance, Friday, 24 June 2016 12:17 (seven years ago) link

xxp

possible up to a point. the most pressing problem he has that he's got any hope of addressing is getting rid of about 200 useless MPs

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 12:17 (seven years ago) link

Hard to imagine Corbyn is capable of any type of long term machiavellian shit.

tsrobodo, Friday, 24 June 2016 12:18 (seven years ago) link

Indeed

Steve Reich In The Afternoon (Against The 80s), Friday, 24 June 2016 12:18 (seven years ago) link

i actually love corbyn. but am wondering if the only thing that will make any of the major parties sit up and take notice - re: that idea of destroy and rebuild - is a left wing version of UKIP. nothing is THAT bad right now where anything is genuinely getting destroyed. not yet anyway.

StillAdvance, Friday, 24 June 2016 12:21 (seven years ago) link

*left wing equivalent

StillAdvance, Friday, 24 June 2016 12:21 (seven years ago) link

I know of quite a lot of immigrants that have voted Leave. families of colleagues etc

It's the catch 22 you get when people are conned into believing that everything wrong with their lives boils down to one abstract thing. If the answers you give them don't address all their anxieties then nothing you have to say about the issue will ever be enough and of course no answer on immigration that isn't an outright lie can achieve that.

― tsrobodo, Friday, June 24, 2016 12:12 PM (6 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

That's otm. Also if you feel you're not being heard, you just repeat the same idiotic point louder and louder rather than have someone take it on board and try to move the conversation further

kinder, Friday, 24 June 2016 12:23 (seven years ago) link

nothing is THAT bad right now where anything is genuinely getting destroyed

you should check out further education, the NHS, services for disabled people etc etc etc some time

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 12:23 (seven years ago) link

A watched pot never rusts.

nashwan, Friday, 24 June 2016 12:28 (seven years ago) link

Left wing UKIP - ie very populist, very 'honest' (simple) in communication, willing to use base attacks against opposition - if nothing else, then expressed as a fraction of Labour - has been an obvious necessity for a while. Corbyn went some of the way, he gained like Sanders because went more left-leaning and stood out, but he's too lifeless as a personality to sell it. You don't need to sink to low depths, but it baffles me how poor politicians who aren't right wing populists are at communicating their ideology through simple language, and how poor they are at dismantling shitty arguments by other politicians. Get some new PR people in there.

abcfsk, Friday, 24 June 2016 12:29 (seven years ago) link

agree it's difficult to see any historical precedent for poverty and political disengagement leading to right wing racism

probably necessary but not sufficient causes... maybe the UK isn't especially awash with anti-immigrant sentiment, it's clearly hard to say what the masses think, but we're the only country to have had a referendum and immigration had dominated the agenda to an extent that seems unusual to me

ogmor, Friday, 24 June 2016 12:30 (seven years ago) link

i'm not sure it's easy to say that everyone who voted leave is a right wing racist. i mean fuck them, but i don't believe there are as many right wing racists in britain as there were leave voters. i mean, it's not as if the remain campaign did a good job of telling people what the eu actually does for them.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Friday, 24 June 2016 12:34 (seven years ago) link

"you should check out further education, the NHS, services for disabled people etc etc etc some time"

i didnt mean those institutions arent being destroyed.

but i meant for the current political status quo to get destroyed, you need a firm tipping point.

im not sure what that will be.

StillAdvance, Friday, 24 June 2016 12:35 (seven years ago) link

ITV reporter in Sunderland just nailed it. An awful lot of people felt it can't get any worse for them, so they rolled the dice

this is exculpatory bullshit imo. there might have been a small anti-establishment "give anyone in power a kick" vote, but this referendum was explicitly xenophobic, anti-immigrant and pretty fucking racist. to say that wasn't relevant to how people voted is delusional.

reminds me of the dave eggers piece about trump in the guardian, in which he claimed trump's followers don't care what he thinks, and he could say he wanted to build a wall on the canadian border instead of mexico and it would make no difference because the only thing they want is stuff the establishment doesn't. which, you know, is bollocks.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 24 June 2016 12:39 (seven years ago) link

. You don't need to sink to low depths, but it baffles me how poor politicians who aren't right wing populists are at communicating their ideology through simple language, and how poor they are at dismantling shitty arguments by other politicians. Get some new PR people in there

The UK has had a long list of leftist showmen - Livingstone, Galloway, Sheridan, Hatton, etc, and i think part of Corbyn's appeal is that he isn't drawn from that well. He's thoughtful, considered and policy-led rather than a flashy egotist.

He does need some better PR people but idk how much that would help in the current press climate.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Friday, 24 June 2016 12:39 (seven years ago) link

the language of the right is more naturally alluring to people than the nuanced language of political realism.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Friday, 24 June 2016 12:41 (seven years ago) link

It appeals to real people. Decent people.

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 12:43 (seven years ago) link

I made a brief fb post about the brexit this morning and one of my British friends gave the following reply:

I voted leave for many reasons. One main one is that there are loads of useless homegrown losers than take advantage of our benefit system, because they know EU migrants will come here and do the jobs they should be doing. Meanwhile the good, talented people go over to Europe. I am not against asylum seekers - God help anyone that has to flee hell and leave everything behind. I am not against immigration - I am an immigrant!

The POTUS came here and told us to stay because our negotiating our leave with the EU would be inconvenient for the US and all their *projects* - they need us undistracted to be on call to help at any time. How thoughtful of him.

There are so many laws and regulations that the EU has put upon us. Human Rights will always be there and that will not be taken away.

Imagine Congress having 5 elected US officials and the rest are from other places that you have no say in their being elected. You don't know what their agenda is. You have to trust that they are out for the good of all. But they aren't because the EU is made up of COUNTRIES not STATES. And that is the problem with being in the EU.

Help me parse this out. Are these common positions among Leave voters?

how's life, Friday, 24 June 2016 12:45 (seven years ago) link

xp tbc I think anti-immigration feeling is far too widespread to be understoood as classic niche right wing racism. affluent suburbanites overwhelmingly voted leave, they're not disaffected victims of global capitalism and many of them aren't particularly concerned about public services, but they're still full of immigration rhetoric

ogmor, Friday, 24 June 2016 12:46 (seven years ago) link

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/jun/24/brexit-won-vote-remain-eu-article-50-lisbon-treaty-referendum-david-cameron

thought this piece was interesting. sounds like the perhaps this isn't over yet, or that we could be mired in red tape and in-fighting for a long time.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Friday, 24 June 2016 12:47 (seven years ago) link

Despairing American here, with questions.

Question one: is there any real material upside to this?

Question two: are there any predictions of the % of UK's immigrant workforce that is likely to gtfo asap and the negative economic impact that's likely to have on top of the already unavoidable negative impact of leaving?

There must be some magic clue inside these gentle walls (Old Lunch), Friday, 24 June 2016 12:50 (seven years ago) link

nothing is happening asap and effectively the country is on political holiday for 3 months

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 12:52 (seven years ago) link

probably necessary but not sufficient causes... maybe the UK isn't especially awash with anti-immigrant sentiment, it's clearly hard to say what the masses think, but we're the only country to have had a referendum and immigration had dominated the agenda to an extent that seems unusual to me

― ogmor, Friday, 24 June 2016 13:30 (13 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

this is exculpatory bullshit imo. there might have been a small anti-establishment "give anyone in power a kick" vote, but this referendum was explicitly xenophobic, anti-immigrant and pretty fucking racist. to say that wasn't relevant to how people voted is delusional.

― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 24 June 2016 13:39 (4 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

there was a conservative concilliatory option to talk about very real concerns, or else there could have been an attempt to split the very real concerns about immigration demographic into pragamatists and racists; whether that might have worked is unknowable but it would have been less cowardly. corbyn doing a little of it but only in his shambling fakir/ low church preacher way and probably a decade after it might have made a difference. ogmor obviously correct to see uk newspaper market as distinctive in a european contest.

the counterfactual something like.....if brown had told that bigoted woman that you are entirely allowed to talk about immigration and no that doesn't make you a racist, but you do appear to be a racist. sweden took the high road and has a doctrinaire antiracist public culture but it doesn't seem to have worked there judging by the new hitlerite party with a significant vote share.

nakhchivan, Friday, 24 June 2016 12:53 (seven years ago) link

Question two: are there any predictions of the % of UK's immigrant workforce that is likely to gtfo asap

I hope not because that will leave me having to do the work of two people in my workplace.

They could have been Stackridge. (Tom D.), Friday, 24 June 2016 12:56 (seven years ago) link

I've been to try an console myself by going back and reading some left-wing cases for brexit that ppl were making during the campaign, but they still seem horribly unconvincing, some brave souls on twitter trying to argue that this is a posthumous victory for Bennism rather than a posthumous victory for Powellism

soref, Friday, 24 June 2016 13:00 (seven years ago) link

Well at least we can agree on the internet! Yay! (xp)

They could have been Stackridge. (Tom D.), Friday, 24 June 2016 13:01 (seven years ago) link

... oops, I mean capitalism. Yay again!

They could have been Stackridge. (Tom D.), Friday, 24 June 2016 13:02 (seven years ago) link

corbyn out?

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 24 June 2016 13:06 (seven years ago) link

how's life: "The POTUS came here and told us to stay because our negotiating our leave with the EU would be inconvenient for the US and all their *projects* - they need us undistracted to be on call to help at any time. How thoughtful of him."

One of my family got pissed off with POTUS saying we'd be back of the queue and that was one of his many incoherent reasons for voting leave.
The bit about unelected MEPs too.

kinder, Friday, 24 June 2016 13:07 (seven years ago) link

the interesting thing about present-day nationalism is the extent to which it's an international movement. what's going on in britain is what's going on in america, in the philippines, poland, guatemala, india... the scariest thing about this is not that it's happening, but that it's happening EVERYWHERE, all at once. we could really be well and truly fucked.

hypnic jerk (rushomancy), Friday, 24 June 2016 13:09 (seven years ago) link

Morgan Stanley has begun moving 2,000 investment banking staff from London to Dublin or Frankfurt.

Grandpont Genie, Friday, 24 June 2016 13:11 (seven years ago) link

http://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/it-will-take-an-age-to-recover-from-this-victory-for-the-exit-fantasists-zzfpxsc66?bcsi_scan_7f6001589688e1d7=7j661rn41TdRaVGMshevfNVD8pKKAAAATFH/yA==

I have bad news for the Hannans and Goves and Johnsons of this world. This is not your victory. You are free riders on the back of Mr Farage. You have smuggled through your sixth-form reading list politics on the back of Mr Farage’s stoking up of immigration fears. I hope you are proud of yourself and I hope, though I do not expect, that you are ready for what is coming. You have made a promise, whether you realise it or not, to bring down immigration. Even if you find, as you will, that employers rebel because they need the labour, you have promised. You have condemned yourself to leading a government for whom the number of foreigners in the country is the primary issue.

You will then find, of course, that when the white working class says “immigration” it means something more than the presence of Polish plumbers and Romanian fruit pickers. It means that life is hard, that employment prospects are bleak and that work is either unavailable or of really low quality. It is beyond laughable that the exit fantasists have the first idea what to do about this. Frankly most of them have never shown the slightest concern about that before. Well, it’s their problem now.

They are going to find that everything is their problem now. So then exit fantasist, it is time to make good on your histrionic promise of liberty. Everything that happens is on your watch. All the tribulations and vicissitudes of the economy are yours. The pound fell to its lowest point since 1985 and the Bank of England is poised to intervene. Standard and Poor’s have said that the UK will lose its fine credit rating. The stock market was down 8.5 per cent in early trading. This is not just a downgrade in the value of assets. It is a leading indicator of the financial turmoil to come. If there is a recession, it is your recession. If inflation goes up and interest rates follow with an attendant spate of repossessions, it’s all yours. Well done.

And for what, exit fantasist? For what? The notion that Britain was not free until the early hours of this morning is the single most childish claim I have ever heard in British politics. I have heard grown people, who ought to know better, talk of serfdom and calling June 23rd “independence day”. This is thinking that is profoundly unconservative, placing an abstract idea above the concrete facts of life. When the sun came up this morning — a new dawn was it not? — it meant nothing to pretend that we have passed from servitude into liberty. It is the emptiest campaign slogan, the self-satisfied bluster of a fluent intellectual dwarf. It is a victory but a victory from which it is going to take an age to recover.

StillAdvance, Friday, 24 June 2016 13:12 (seven years ago) link

Morgan Stanley looks to move 2,000 London staff
Posted at 14:45

BBC business reporter Joe Lynam reports...

Sources within Morgan Stanley say it has already begun the process of moving about 2,000 of its London-based investment banking staff to Dublin or Frankfurt. And it has a taskforce in place.

The jobs which would be moved from the UK would be in euro clearing but also other investment banking functions and senior management.

The American investment bank needs to avail of the passporting system which allows banks to offer financial services in all countries in the EU without having to establish a permanent base in that member state.

The president of Morgan Stanley, Colm Kelleher, told Bloomberg two days ago that Brexit would be “the most consequential thing that we’ve ever seen since the war”.

Le Bateau Ivre, Friday, 24 June 2016 13:13 (seven years ago) link

oh no not the bankers

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 13:15 (seven years ago) link

Sorry to get your hopes up NV

@ReutersBiz

UPDATE: Morgan Stanley denies reports that it would move 2,000 investment banking staff from London

Le Bateau Ivre, Friday, 24 June 2016 13:17 (seven years ago) link

i just got a letter from my pension fund. they say that it's volatile, my funds are lower, but basically everything's under control and they're monitoring things. that's alright then?

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 13:19 (seven years ago) link

i got a letter from the government, the other day, i opened it and read it, it said they were suckers

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 13:38 (seven years ago) link

it's always weird when the government sends that letter

Good posts itt from caek and stilladvance today

Good luck UK. Hope we can at least skim enough business and jobs from this not to drown in your wake.

Daithi Bowsie (darraghmac), Friday, 24 June 2016 13:45 (seven years ago) link

Wondering about different likelihoods us moving aspirationallly for a celtic trade block with NI/Scotland, moving cynically to closer align with overall UK or doubling down on our EU links to take advantage of our english language position.

Daithi Bowsie (darraghmac), Friday, 24 June 2016 13:50 (seven years ago) link

read somewhere that this could portend a reunification of ireland, with NI seeking to rejoin --- is this bollocks

jason waterfalls (gbx), Friday, 24 June 2016 13:59 (seven years ago) link

xpost What's the likelihood of another Brexit referendum?

Neptune Bingo (Michael B), Friday, 24 June 2016 13:59 (seven years ago) link

We just have to persuade some those bampots in NI that still thinking you're more "British than the British" in the year 2016 is nagl.

They could have been Stackridge. (Tom D.), Friday, 24 June 2016 14:01 (seven years ago) link

"i got a letter from the government, the other day, i opened it and read it, it said they were suckers"

chuck d obv living in a particularly 'transparent', honest period of politics. i wish i got letters from politicians telling me where they have gone wrong.

StillAdvance, Friday, 24 June 2016 14:02 (seven years ago) link

Good posts itt from ppl I agree with today.

nashwan, Friday, 24 June 2016 14:04 (seven years ago) link

always enjoy posts from people i agree with.

however i am not a fan of posts i don't agree with.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Friday, 24 June 2016 14:05 (seven years ago) link

people have had enough of ILXperts

kinder, Friday, 24 June 2016 14:08 (seven years ago) link

We really really don't need a left UKIP populated with loud personalities who say dumb 'lefty' things.

Thanks.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 14:11 (seven years ago) link

Could we have a Labour Party led by someone who doesn't come across like a disillusioned supply teacher?

I'm part of the 48.1 percent (snoball), Friday, 24 June 2016 14:12 (seven years ago) link

"We really really don't need a left UKIP populated with loud personalities who say dumb 'lefty' things."

a left wing UKIP equivalent does not have to mean loud personalities who say dumb things.
it means more what that other poster said upthread.

Thanks.

StillAdvance, Friday, 24 June 2016 14:15 (seven years ago) link

Crying a lot today. Nothing of importance to add here, just... crying.

emil.y, Friday, 24 June 2016 14:17 (seven years ago) link

Its such an incredibly dumb idea - but its ok because this is how you connect with Sunderland or some such. xp

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 14:17 (seven years ago) link

Corbyn really needs more PR, maybe he could hire former PR David Cameron - I hear he is looking for a job.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 14:19 (seven years ago) link

Crying a lot today. Nothing of importance to add here, just... crying.

I wish I could cheer you up but I can't cheer myself up :(

They could have been Stackridge. (Tom D.), Friday, 24 June 2016 14:21 (seven years ago) link

music is helping me...maybe not "cheer up" but at least ease into despondency

dc, Friday, 24 June 2016 14:23 (seven years ago) link

always enjoy posts from people i agree with.

however i am not a fan of posts i don't agree with.

― Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Friday, June 24, 2016 10:05 AM (17 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

i enjoyed this post massively

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 24 June 2016 14:24 (seven years ago) link

Shitpost imo actually

Daithi Bowsie (darraghmac), Friday, 24 June 2016 14:25 (seven years ago) link

otm both

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Friday, 24 June 2016 14:26 (seven years ago) link

Jeremy Corbyn has cancelled his appearance at Glastonbury after the referendum result.

The Labour leader had been scheduled to speak on Sunday at an event called Jez We Can: Jeremy Corbyn in Conversation, which would have made him the first Labour leader to appear at Pilton.

A spokesman confirmed to the Press Association that he would be “focusing on the issues” thrown up by the “momentous” vote rather than travelling to Worthy Farm.

nakhchivan, Friday, 24 June 2016 14:27 (seven years ago) link

let's rebuild this country one good post at a time.

xpost

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Friday, 24 June 2016 14:27 (seven years ago) link

rather than travelling to Worthy Farm

If ever a place was aptly named :(

They could have been Stackridge. (Tom D.), Friday, 24 June 2016 14:30 (seven years ago) link

Its such an incredibly dumb idea - but its ok because this is how you connect with Sunderland or some such. xp

― xyzzzz__, Friday, June 24, 2016 3:17 PM (10 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Corbyn really needs more PR, maybe he could hire former PR David Cameron - I hear he is looking for a job.

― xyzzzz__, Friday, June 24, 2016 3:19 PM (8 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

insightful contributions, as ever.

THANKS

StillAdvance, Friday, 24 June 2016 14:30 (seven years ago) link

we need a far right of the left

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Friday, 24 June 2016 14:32 (seven years ago) link

How about some far right fascists who call themselves National Socialists?

I'm part of the 48.1 percent (snoball), Friday, 24 June 2016 14:34 (seven years ago) link

cool its like the best of both worlds

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Friday, 24 June 2016 14:38 (seven years ago) link

insightful contributions, as ever.

THANKS

― StillAdvance, Friday, June 24, 2016 Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

No worries. Glad to help you "focus on the issues"

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 14:38 (seven years ago) link

Ahhhhhh "THE LEFT"

Daithi Bowsie (darraghmac), Friday, 24 June 2016 14:39 (seven years ago) link

How about some far out groovy people, who call themselves after lunch to make sure they are not in?

Mark G, Friday, 24 June 2016 14:40 (seven years ago) link

a political party led by popular twitter figures of the left would be good.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Friday, 24 June 2016 14:41 (seven years ago) link

after this epic vindication of all their positions, liberal centrists certainly in v good position to titter at leftists arguing

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Friday, 24 June 2016 14:43 (seven years ago) link

Left wing UKIP - ie very populist, very 'honest' (simple) in communication, willing to use base attacks against opposition - if nothing else, then expressed as a fraction of Labour - has been an obvious necessity for a while. Corbyn went some of the way, he gained like Sanders because went more left-leaning and stood out, but he's too lifeless as a personality to sell it. You don't need to sink to low depths, but it baffles me how poor politicians who aren't right wing populists are at communicating their ideology through simple language, and how poor they are at dismantling shitty arguments by other politicians. Get some new PR people in there.

― abcfsk, Friday, 24 June 2016 12:29 (2 hours ago)

"Glad to help you "focus on the issues"

if only there were more people of your intellect in the Labour Party, or just in British politics in general.

*sigh*

StillAdvance, Friday, 24 June 2016 14:43 (seven years ago) link

Chillax bro.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 14:44 (seven years ago) link

I read that its why I came up with my Cameron PR man 'joke'. I have a method.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 14:46 (seven years ago) link

When is bananaman going to end is the question rly

Daithi Bowsie (darraghmac), Friday, 24 June 2016 14:49 (seven years ago) link

Sweet Jesus, when will Kendra Smith make another album though?

They could have been Stackridge. (Tom D.), Friday, 24 June 2016 14:49 (seven years ago) link

lol

sleeve, Friday, 24 June 2016 14:52 (seven years ago) link

@ggreenwald Glenn Greenwald
Best tweet summary not only of Brexit (and Europe generally) but also 2016 US General Election

Christopher Hayes ‏@chrislhayes
I don't want a future in which politics is primarily a battle between cosmopolitan finance capitalism and ethno-nationalist backlash.

helpless before THRILLARY (Dr Morbius), Friday, 24 June 2016 14:52 (seven years ago) link

damn

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Friday, 24 June 2016 14:53 (seven years ago) link

When is bananaman going to end is the question rly

― Daithi Bowsie (darraghmac), Friday, June 24, 2016 3:49 PM (5 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

I guess... this is how it feels to be pwned

http://17rg073sukbm1lmjk9jrehb643.wpengine.netdna-cdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/Screen-Shot-2014-08-06-at-9.22.42-AM.png

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Friday, 24 June 2016 14:56 (seven years ago) link

I hope that cat lays a shit that someone will slip on and fall.

Robert Adam Gilmour, Friday, 24 June 2016 15:14 (seven years ago) link

xp im sorry i didnt want it to be this way

Damn u brexit

Damn u

Daithi Bowsie (darraghmac), Friday, 24 June 2016 15:14 (seven years ago) link

@dick_nixon
The little man always looked to Labour for a job. His union. But they don't give a shit about him now.

I don't give a shit about the vacation you just booked. This is serious.

helpless before THRILLARY (Dr Morbius), Friday, 24 June 2016 15:15 (seven years ago) link

on a positive note, MAYBE this might make force the EU take a look at itself and adjust accordingly esp. with the threat of other EU countries looking for similar referendums now. UK might have the same place as Norway, Iceland and Switzerland now who are not EU members, but they are still able to trade freely. RIGHT?

Neptune Bingo (Michael B), Friday, 24 June 2016 15:15 (seven years ago) link

Switzerland's status has not been improved by some recent Schengen-violating referenda, and may weaken.

Three Word Username, Friday, 24 June 2016 15:20 (seven years ago) link

RIGHT?

Norway: state owned oil
Iceland: geothermal energy
Switzerland: banks
UK: a bunch of multinational financial institutions who could leave the City basically if/when it suits them?

I'm part of the 48.1 percent (snoball), Friday, 24 June 2016 15:21 (seven years ago) link

Like the swiss, then

Daithi Bowsie (darraghmac), Friday, 24 June 2016 15:22 (seven years ago) link

on a positive note, MAYBE this might make force the EU take a look at itself and adjust accordingly esp. with the threat of other EU countries looking for similar referendums now. UK might have the same place as Norway, Iceland and Switzerland now who are not EU members, but they are still able to trade freely. RIGHT?

no i don't think so - EU is going to have to come down hard on UK or risk other countries getting the "wrong idea"

Mordy, Friday, 24 June 2016 15:22 (seven years ago) link

xp except there's no sudden reason for banks etc. in Switzerland to leave

I'm part of the 48.1 percent (snoball), Friday, 24 June 2016 15:24 (seven years ago) link

Also their clocks are better than hours. So they have that advantage too.

I'm part of the 48.1 percent (snoball), Friday, 24 June 2016 15:25 (seven years ago) link

UK could probably have a Norway status if they wanted it but, like Norway, would have to obey most of the EU regulations including freedom of movement.

ǂbait (seandalai), Friday, 24 June 2016 15:25 (seven years ago) link

Again, cat's out of the bag re: other countries and similar referenda, no?

Back to trying to guess what Scotland's new country code will be

El Tomboto, Friday, 24 June 2016 15:26 (seven years ago) link

i don't think cat's out of the bag. it might be in terms of bringing up new referenda but eu has an interest in making uk suffer as much as possible so other countries do not think it's a viable solution to their problems.

Mordy, Friday, 24 June 2016 15:29 (seven years ago) link

What's Osborne up to today, having a lie-in?

For bodies we are ready to build pyramids (wtev), Friday, 24 June 2016 15:31 (seven years ago) link

That's for him to nose.

Chewshabadoo, Friday, 24 June 2016 15:32 (seven years ago) link

Is there a good summary somewhere of what kind of exit conditions the EU has the power (and/or will) to impose on the UK?

a 47-year-old chainsaw artist from South Carolina (Phil D.), Friday, 24 June 2016 15:32 (seven years ago) link

So there's still a chance that UK and EU never settle on terms, right? So if the EU decides to be like super hardline motherfuckers about this and consistently lays down terms that the UK finds unacceptable, is there a chance that the actual exit never happens?

There must be some magic clue inside these gentle walls (Old Lunch), Friday, 24 June 2016 15:33 (seven years ago) link

feel like the smartest thing uk could do is resign the current government, declare the referendum non-binding, and call for new elections

Mordy, Friday, 24 June 2016 15:36 (seven years ago) link

I don't think so. If UK activates the paragraph, they're out in two years. There aren't really anything about 'terms' in there, that's all new deals.

Frederik B, Friday, 24 June 2016 15:36 (seven years ago) link

x-post

Frederik B, Friday, 24 June 2016 15:36 (seven years ago) link

Also, probably a dumb question, but presumably Parliament is going to have to pass some bills governing the exit procedures and so forth, right? And theoretically the Queen has the power to withhold consent from these bills?

a 47-year-old chainsaw artist from South Carolina (Phil D.), Friday, 24 June 2016 15:39 (seven years ago) link

Theoretically yes, I suppose, but the vanishingly miniscule chance that the Queen declines to sign the piece of paper is the least of our worries.

Tim, Friday, 24 June 2016 15:42 (seven years ago) link

Guys this is happening.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 24 June 2016 15:43 (seven years ago) link

I don't think the Queen is too bothered. After all, she can always move to Germany.

I'm part of the 48.1 percent (snoball), Friday, 24 June 2016 15:43 (seven years ago) link

Ha that's what we were just talking about IRL, couldn't the Queen just say REMAIN and override everybody

El Tomboto, Friday, 24 June 2016 15:44 (seven years ago) link

Lot of American ppl today asking me about weird bits of the U.K. Constitution and I'm like: I know Harry Potter is fun, but this is happening.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 24 June 2016 15:46 (seven years ago) link

You should tell them that the leadership of the Conservative Party is decided by a Quidditch knockout tournament.

I'm part of the 48.1 percent (snoball), Friday, 24 June 2016 15:49 (seven years ago) link

If UK doesn't renegotiate anything within the two years from article 50 then it is back to zero. Out of the EU then at the back of the queue to start negotiating.

Cosmic Slop, Friday, 24 June 2016 15:52 (seven years ago) link

Like I get all of the ways it's different but Americans who are like 'whatevs' should understand that this isn't that dissimilar from waking up to learn that all of the casual interactions you've had with your neighboring states and taken for granted are now locked down and, unless you're willing to jump through some hoops, you're pretty much stuck where you're at.

There must be some magic clue inside these gentle walls (Old Lunch), Friday, 24 June 2016 15:55 (seven years ago) link

tbh if I couldn't easily get to Indiana, Michigan and Kentucky anymore I'd consider it something of a victory

a 47-year-old chainsaw artist from South Carolina (Phil D.), Friday, 24 June 2016 15:55 (seven years ago) link

all the articles today about ppl who voted leave but now regret it since it came true, or who voted leave and are now googling EU to figure out what it actually is... like it makes me feel like a lot of this kind of thing is about atomization/individuality pleasure - voting as self-annihilation as an aesthetic enjoyment - a complete abrogation of responsibility to the ppl around you, or even a realization that what you do as an individual might even matter. this shock that the way you vote might actually have consequences.

Mordy, Friday, 24 June 2016 16:01 (seven years ago) link

xpost Yeah, okay, maybe neighboring states shouldn't be the specific focus of that argument.

There must be some magic clue inside these gentle walls (Old Lunch), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:02 (seven years ago) link

^^ This is what LGM has been posting about for months re: Bernie-or-busters, voting is not a retail consumer choice, etc. On the one hand it's good to know this phenomenon is not limited to Americans. On the other hand, it's terrifying to realize this phenomenon is not limited to Americans.

a 47-year-old chainsaw artist from South Carolina (Phil D.), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:03 (seven years ago) link

xp

a 47-year-old chainsaw artist from South Carolina (Phil D.), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:03 (seven years ago) link

it makes me feel like a lot of this kind of thing is about atomization/individuality pleasure - voting as self-annihilation as an aesthetic enjoyment - a complete abrogation of responsibility to the ppl around you, or even a realization that what you do as an individual might even matter freedom!

le Histoire du Edgy Miley (difficult listening hour), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:04 (seven years ago) link

the freedom to destroy yourself and your country without thinking too much about it first

Mordy, Friday, 24 June 2016 16:04 (seven years ago) link

Jehovah's Witnesses have been round pamphleting, almost like they expect to target a few vulnerable alienated people pondering what the point of it all is

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:12 (seven years ago) link

I applaud their unwavering opportunism.

There must be some magic clue inside these gentle walls (Old Lunch), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:15 (seven years ago) link

Hello? Donald Trump calling? (xxxp)

They could have been Stackridge. (Tom D.), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:16 (seven years ago) link

been reading articles here and there so not entirely informed but

what happens if the uk cannot fully leave the eu in the allotted time of two years? and when does it start?

F♯ A♯ (∞), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:18 (seven years ago) link

If UK doesn't renegotiate anything within the two years from article 50 then it is back to zero. Out of the EU then at the back of the queue to start negotiating.

― Cosmic Slop, Friday, June 24, 2016 8:52 AM (27 minutes ago)

sleeve, Friday, 24 June 2016 16:21 (seven years ago) link

Article 50 isn't triggered until the UK Government notifies the EU -- it's not been automatically set into motion by the referendum itself. Cameron has indicated that he won't be pulling the trigger. There is time for something to happen -- I don't have a lot of love or respect for Cameron, but I bet he's banking on the short-term fall-out from the vote being so awful that the political will to trigger Article 50 will be gone by October. Harry Potter snarkiness or no.

Three Word Username, Friday, 24 June 2016 16:22 (seven years ago) link

The EU could decide to allow more time or they could force the UK out as soon as two years are up. Conversely, it's not clear that the EU can compel the UK to trigger Article 50. xp

ǂbait (seandalai), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:23 (seven years ago) link

It's clear that they cannot.

Three Word Username, Friday, 24 June 2016 16:24 (seven years ago) link

nobody anywhere near power in the UK is going to ignore or subvert the result of this referendum

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:24 (seven years ago) link

Not today. It'll be a different world in October.

Three Word Username, Friday, 24 June 2016 16:25 (seven years ago) link

there's really nothing Clintonistas will not stoop to for idiotic analogies

helpless before THRILLARY (Dr Morbius), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:25 (seven years ago) link

all the articles today about ppl who voted leave but now regret it since it came true

where are some of these? I've only seen anecdotes on twitter. I'm curious how widespread this is.

chinavision!, Friday, 24 June 2016 16:27 (seven years ago) link

I do wonder what % of people who voted 'leave' have themselves never left their home country.

There must be some magic clue inside these gentle walls (Old Lunch), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:28 (seven years ago) link

boris johnson's "let's not do anything hasty" today sounds a lot to me like he still hopes to stay in having given the eu a nasty fright and paving the way for a like proper nice renegotiation package finally lads that means we're really pulling the strings now

conrad, Friday, 24 June 2016 16:28 (seven years ago) link

Need a Brexit Thread Revives Thread

El Tomboto, Friday, 24 June 2016 16:29 (seven years ago) link

where are some of these?

you mean this sort of thing?

https://twitter.com/SimonNRicketts/status/746345810862940160

coygbiv (NickB), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:30 (seven years ago) link

I do wonder what % of people who voted 'leave' have themselves never left their home county.

― There must be some magic clue inside these gentle walls (Old Lunch), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:28 (2 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Fixed

Daithi Bowsie (darraghmac), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:32 (seven years ago) link

xpost yes - wondering if there's an article that documents the extent of that phenomenon, whether it's statistically significant or just a few frustrating anecdotes.

chinavision!, Friday, 24 June 2016 16:33 (seven years ago) link

x-post to conrad: Yup, and that's also the reason for the EU "let's not dilly-dally" response today -- it's signaling that that won't happen, so don't trigger.

Three Word Username, Friday, 24 June 2016 16:33 (seven years ago) link

i remember when we had that general election people didn't like the result of so we had a do-over

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:35 (seven years ago) link

Article 50 isn't triggered until the UK Government notifies the EU -- it's not been automatically set into motion by the referendum itself. Cameron has indicated that he won't be pulling the trigger. There is time for something to happen -- I don't have a lot of love or respect for Cameron, but I bet he's banking on the short-term fall-out from the vote being so awful that the political will to trigger Article 50 will be gone by October. Harry Potter snarkiness or no.

Cameron has announced he is resigning, so what he's banking on is irrelevant.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:36 (seven years ago) link

I do wonder what % of people who voted 'leave' have themselves never left their home country.

Not many probably, we're a lot closer to the rest of the world over here.

They could have been Stackridge. (Tom D.), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:37 (seven years ago) link

This is still Europe. Happens all the damn time. Happened where I live last month.

Anyway, there's no actual directive in the referendum question. I built-in (I'd say deliberately built-in) get out of jail free card.

x-post: he has announced he is leaving by October, and that he won't be doing any action on the referendum.

Three Word Username, Friday, 24 June 2016 16:39 (seven years ago) link

from a Channel 4 journalist

‏@AssedBaig
didn't do a survey but have spoken to working class muslims across the country. Some places 60/40 leave

helpless before THRILLARY (Dr Morbius), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:41 (seven years ago) link

If you've announced you're resigning you don't have the practical political strength, much less the moral mandate, to subvert the will of a referendum.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:41 (seven years ago) link

caek, this is happening isn't it?

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:41 (seven years ago) link

do you people have slice-and-dice exit polling re Muslim and/or immigrant voters?

helpless before THRILLARY (Dr Morbius), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:42 (seven years ago) link

otoh if you're on your way out anyway you don't have much to lose? xxp

Mordy, Friday, 24 June 2016 16:42 (seven years ago) link

"This might not happen" is the bargaining stage of grief

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:42 (seven years ago) link

No, it's fucking politics. Suddenly these shitheads are men of principle and integrity? Come on!

Three Word Username, Friday, 24 June 2016 16:44 (seven years ago) link

Ignoring the referendum would not be like a president making a new national park on his last day.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:44 (seven years ago) link

What is the text of the referendum, caek?

Three Word Username, Friday, 24 June 2016 16:45 (seven years ago) link

it's not the same thing by any means - particularly bc it was a referendum directly on this issue - but remember the supposed grexit vote didn't actually result in a grexit. there's a precedence for ignoring the ostensible will of the ppl when it comes to staying in the eu. not that i think it's likely but a responsible adult might say fuck it we're ignoring the vote.

Mordy, Friday, 24 June 2016 16:46 (seven years ago) link

Guys, Britain is leaving the European Union

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:46 (seven years ago) link

Loving this idea that a referendum supported by unpopular politicians is suddenly the most powerful binding force in the UK political construct

El Tomboto, Friday, 24 June 2016 16:46 (seven years ago) link

wait but are they leaving leaving

F♯ A♯ (∞), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:47 (seven years ago) link

And when?

Three Word Username, Friday, 24 June 2016 16:47 (seven years ago) link

maybe the Queen will swing into the House of Commons thru a window clutching a grenade in her teeth, kick some right-wing ass and hold a gun at Boris Johnson's head until he agrees to ignore the result

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:48 (seven years ago) link

An irish exit, presumably, will happen without anybody knowing for a few weeks.

Daithi Bowsie (darraghmac), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:48 (seven years ago) link

1066 new answers

mookieproof, Friday, 24 June 2016 16:48 (seven years ago) link

do you people have slice-and-dice exit polling re Muslim and/or immigrant voters?
― helpless before THRILLARY (Dr Morbius), Friday, June 24, 2016 4:42 PM (4 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

don't think so but
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jun/24/voting-details-show-immigration-fears-were-paradoxical-but-decisive

cozen, Friday, 24 June 2016 16:49 (seven years ago) link

When is the exit happening? What does the referendum say about that?

Where does the referendum instruct anyone to trigger Article 50?

You think everybody and their mother aren't lawyered up six ways to Sunday on all sides of the issue?

Three Word Username, Friday, 24 June 2016 16:50 (seven years ago) link

of course we are leaving. we have taken control of our country, haven't you heard? we have escaped the clutches of our oppressors, just like moaty before the establishment gunned him down. but this time we will be free.

coygbiv (NickB), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:52 (seven years ago) link

"and that concludes the advisory referendum. thank you for taking the time to provide us with your valuable feedback. we strive to continuously improve our service and appreciate any comments you may have."

r|t|c, Friday, 24 June 2016 16:52 (seven years ago) link

surely if 1269502 people who voted leave went to visit the prime minister and said actually given the chance we'd change our vote then it'd sort it out?

conrad, Friday, 24 June 2016 16:52 (seven years ago) link

xxp will Gazza try to distract us with chicken and fishing rods?

I'm part of the 48.1 percent (snoball), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:53 (seven years ago) link

maybe y'all can not leave and say you did.

wizzz! (amateurist), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:54 (seven years ago) link

waiting for canadexit

might get bored and just chug maple syrup

F♯ A♯ (∞), Friday, 24 June 2016 16:56 (seven years ago) link

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/nigel-farage-wants-second-referendum-7985017#rlabs=1

Farage told the Mirror: “In a 52-48 referendum this would be unfinished business by a long way. If the remain campaign win two-thirds to one-third that ends it.”

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 17:05 (seven years ago) link

lol even he didn't want to leave. just another shithead who wanted to vote leave but get to remain

Mordy, Friday, 24 June 2016 17:07 (seven years ago) link

how does the crown handle cases involving sour grapes

F♯ A♯ (∞), Friday, 24 June 2016 17:12 (seven years ago) link

err trying again

http://i.imgur.com/ATVzQ1G.png

iatee, Friday, 24 June 2016 17:14 (seven years ago) link

maybe y'all can not leave and say you did.

― wizzz! (amateurist), Friday, June 24, 2016 5:54 PM (15 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

keep thinking about that episode of Seinfeld where George quits his job and then comes into work the next day pretending nothing has happened (apologies if everyone on twitter has already made this observation)

soref, Friday, 24 June 2016 17:15 (seven years ago) link

we will sink our own boats and then make ourselves new ones

coygbiv (NickB), Friday, 24 June 2016 17:16 (seven years ago) link

lol even he didn't want to leave. just another shithead who wanted to vote leave but get to remain

did you click the link mordy because i think it indicates the impossibility of appeasing xenophobic demagogues and not the nihilism of everything

le Histoire du Edgy Miley (difficult listening hour), Friday, 24 June 2016 17:20 (seven years ago) link

TUSC opposes the EU as an ‘employers union’, implementing Thatcherism on a continental scale, and we welcome the decisive rejection of it in the referendum.

This was a revolt against a system that is not delivering for the majority of working class people and many middle class people too.

But Britain’s political and economic establishment no more defends the interests of the majority than the EU does and the vote for change that was expressed in Thursday’s poll will not be met by replacing one ex-Eton schoolboy with another.

The labour and trade union movement must follow up this massive vote of no confidence in the Tory government and demand a general election now.

I think for the TUSC everything is going to plan? Just one small matter to resolve and we're cool

Dadjokke (Sgt. Biscuits), Friday, 24 June 2016 17:22 (seven years ago) link

yeah sorry just glanced and missed that it was pre vote

Mordy, Friday, 24 June 2016 17:23 (seven years ago) link

a billion xposts

you mean this sort of thing?
https://twitter.com/SimonNRicketts/status/746345810862940160

I swore AND shook my head, but tbf, the British are well conditioned to think their vote won't count for anything

(4 general elections and never once voted for the locally winning party, i.e. 4 votes gone straight in the bin)

a passing spacecadet, Friday, 24 June 2016 17:32 (seven years ago) link

so your vote is wasted if you don't win?

Van Horn Street, Friday, 24 June 2016 17:34 (seven years ago) link

The lack of anybody even challenging whether a result like this is strong enough to be grounds for this much damage is depressing. Corbyn straight out the gate with "the people have spoken ah well".

Meanwhile the people are frantically googling "what is the EU?" to find out what they did.

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 17:44 (seven years ago) link

xp I s'pose if you put it like that it's a fairly universal feature of voting systems, but, you vote for a candidate in your area, then the party with the most winning local candidates forms the govt

(even if another party receives more votes in total, and it makes no difference whether the second place candidate in each place gets 49.9% of the vote or 0.1% of the vote)

http://www.electoral-reform.org.uk/first-past-the-post

a passing spacecadet, Friday, 24 June 2016 17:53 (seven years ago) link

this is where we are now, apparently

George Eaton@georgeeaton

Senior Labour MP tells me party needs a "Michael Howard" figure. Hilary Benn, Tom Watson, Angela Eagle cited.

https://twitter.com/georgeeaton/status/746306615322808321

soref, Friday, 24 June 2016 18:10 (seven years ago) link

as in racist criminal Michael Howard?

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 18:13 (seven years ago) link

is it too late to repeal the secret ballot? when the younger generation seeks recompence for the attempted prolicide of these years, i'd like to have my voting record available as exculpatory evidence.

hypnic jerk (rushomancy), Friday, 24 June 2016 18:24 (seven years ago) link

I guess they mean "caretaker leader who will inch the party back towards credibility before handing over to someone electable", with Corbyn being Labour's IDS equivalent?

this sounds grim:

Many Labour MPs accept that Corbyn would likely win any leadership contest owing to his mass support among party activists. But they are prepared to make multiple attempts. "If you’re going to go for it, you’ve got to accept that the first time he would come back and win," an MP told me. You’ve then got to be ready to go again. The first time will be a softening-up exercise. I don’t think he’d run again twice, I don’t think he has the guts for it.”

I know there has been a debate about whether Corbyn's name would automatically appear on the ballot if there is a leadership election, and if MPs could get away with not including him or if the backlash from part members would be too fierce. haven't they changed the nominations process so that MEPs nominate as well as MPs, making it harder for a potential left-wing successor to get on a ballot?

soref, Friday, 24 June 2016 18:25 (seven years ago) link

^^^this is just amazing to me

jason waterfalls (gbx), Friday, 24 June 2016 18:28 (seven years ago) link

it doesn't seem a big deal because you would have had to be a cretin to believe it in the first place. it was a non-promise made by people who wouldn't have the power or inclination to deliver it anyway.

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 18:30 (seven years ago) link

right but surely it swung some voters?

jason waterfalls (gbx), Friday, 24 June 2016 18:34 (seven years ago) link

When asked about the claim, Farage—one of the country’s most visible advocates for leaving the EU—countered that he specifically never made it, despite Leave campaigners having driven a tour bus with the £350 million figure on its side across the country.

it's probably relevant that the bus is part of the official Vote Leave campaign, which Farage was not involved in, UKIP had its own separate organisation? (fuck Nigel Farage though, obv)

soref, Friday, 24 June 2016 18:37 (seven years ago) link

did anyone really believe farage and his bus though? it was cut down before the paint was dry.

besides, he has said more o_O things:

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/people/eu-referendum-nigel-farage-branded-shameful-for-claiming-victory-without-a-single-bullet-being-fired-a7099211.html

(this after a Remainer MP was shot and killed a week earlier)

how is the next general election going to go, do you think? given scotland's ended up in a landslide victory. yeah, it's nearly 4 years away, but i live in hope...

koogs, Friday, 24 June 2016 18:38 (seven years ago) link

xxpost Some voters do get starry-eyed at the whispered promises they hear in the susurrus of the shitsacks voiding their contents onto the ground.

There must be some magic clue inside these gentle walls (Old Lunch), Friday, 24 June 2016 18:38 (seven years ago) link

right but surely it swung some voters?

sure, perhaps, these things are said for political effect, but it's such a stupid claim and so transparent that i can't help but think anybody who accepted it at face value probably had a bunch of other reasons they were going to vote leave anyway. well, one reason, and it involved not liking non-English people.

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 18:38 (seven years ago) link

if scotland does pass independence ref that'll screw uk left even more right?

Mordy, Friday, 24 June 2016 18:38 (seven years ago) link

screw what's left of uk left, sure

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 18:40 (seven years ago) link

who's on first

oh, amazonaws (wins), Friday, 24 June 2016 18:42 (seven years ago) link

Watson second

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 June 2016 18:43 (seven years ago) link

I know you were all waiting for Sarah Palin's scorching hot take, and here it is!

When in the course of human events, it becomes necessary for one people to dissolve the political bands which have connected them with another...

The UK knew - it was that time. And now is that time in the USA.

The Brexit referendum is akin to our own Declaration of Independence. May that refreshed spirit of sovereignty spread over the pond to America’s shores!

Congratulations, smart Brits. Good on you for ignoring all the fear mongering from special interest globalists who tend to aim for that apocalyptic One World Government that dissolves a nation’s self-determination and sovereignty... the EU being a One World Government mini-me.

America can learn an encouraging lesson from this.

It is time to dissolve political bands that connect us to agendas not in our best interest. May UN shackles be next on the chopping block.

a 47-year-old chainsaw artist from South Carolina (Phil D.), Friday, 24 June 2016 18:51 (seven years ago) link

"UN shackles"

Neptune Bingo (Michael B), Friday, 24 June 2016 18:53 (seven years ago) link

lol

only thing remotely similar in the us was california's gubernatorial recall election possibly

uk needs swiss style quarterly referenda

F♯ A♯ (∞), Friday, 24 June 2016 19:06 (seven years ago) link

One World Government mini-me
One World Government mini-me
One World Government mini-me
One World Government mini-me
One World Government mini-me
One World Government mini-me
One World Government mini-me
One World Government mini-me

jason waterfalls (gbx), Friday, 24 June 2016 19:07 (seven years ago) link

can you put shackles on a chopping block

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 24 June 2016 19:08 (seven years ago) link

I can't wait until Sarah Palin frees herself from the shackles of life.

There must be some magic clue inside these gentle walls (Old Lunch), Friday, 24 June 2016 19:18 (seven years ago) link

Just before I move on to Acceptance, one last fling. There seem to be increasing noises from the EU about a 27-focuses conversation about reform and change. Any chance that'd be enough to say before October "look they've changed let's have another referendum"?

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 19:19 (seven years ago) link

lol @ 'when in the course of human events'

awesome speech sarah, too bad this isn't a middle-school graduation ceremony

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 24 June 2016 19:21 (seven years ago) link

right but surely it swung some voters?

They also ran this advert on tv which lots of p̶e̶o̶p̶l̶e̶ idiots believed.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LtlGN8wVnis

groovypanda, Friday, 24 June 2016 19:50 (seven years ago) link

without clicking, there's an empty seat on the 'inside' side. that's good enough for me

kinder, Friday, 24 June 2016 19:52 (seven years ago) link

omg I haven't seen those old phone booths for years.

Drop soap, not bombs (Ste), Friday, 24 June 2016 20:48 (seven years ago) link

some moron is crowing about this being britain's "berlin wall moment". well, sure, if by "berlin wall moment" you mean 1961.

hypnic jerk (rushomancy), Friday, 24 June 2016 20:52 (seven years ago) link

can we feed sarah palin to wolves?

wizzz! (amateurist), Friday, 24 June 2016 21:48 (seven years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lUbtFw-mXgM

PJ Harvey, at a Dutch festival tonight, reading Donne's 'No Man Is An Island'. Bless her.

Le Bateau Ivre, Friday, 24 June 2016 22:32 (seven years ago) link

Hilarious how Starkey was shut up by Paris Lees (although I am not sure its as the vote lines are as clear-cut as young vs old) on Newsnight just now. xp

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 22:32 (seven years ago) link

Fucking Starkey. Liked Powell earlier though.
God knows I'm not wishing for Blair back, but a Labour machine like they had that would be saturating the place with demands for an election asap would be welcome.

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 22:34 (seven years ago) link

As in if you are young in the wrong place you perhaps are as likely to have voted 'out' as yer grandma. xp = I think that machine is more interested in fighting Corbz, i.e. the real enemy.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 24 June 2016 22:38 (seven years ago) link

Yes

stet, Friday, 24 June 2016 22:38 (seven years ago) link

there's really nothing Clintonistas will not stoop to for idiotic analogies

― helpless before THRILLARY (Dr Morbius), Friday, 24 June 2016 17:25 (6 hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

fp for bringing yr shit here. centre, kinda centre left american politicians aren't welcome here, cos they aren't pulling a pint with real england, get yr shitty agenda outta here.

plums (a hoy hoy), Friday, 24 June 2016 23:02 (seven years ago) link

today i have felt horrible.

i have a very tory brother and i've always been able to have an open dialogue with him. this is not him. he voted for cameron, who... for whatever you might say about him has been head of state for some social equality things like gay marriage. i personally don't agree with the tory party rule of the nearly-past-decade but i can understand how someone votes for that, i can talk with a person who votes for that.

17+ million in this country have essentially said that david cameron's viewpoint is too moderate and this scares the shit out of me. as much as annoying can pretend yesterday was about fishing regulations and 'the man' and whatever, it was and will always be about fear of other people, and the majority of voters came out, often for the first time, to say they really despise people not like them. i'm sad and i don't really know how to respond to it.

It's not over, and not all 17 million were outright angry racists, and tomorrow i'll have to let of feelings go, because i need to get on with my life, but i understand why people have cried, and why the next 10 years in britain and europe is something to worry about. I just wish there was a genuine left that would be able to raise my voice.*

These are very all vague ranting but ffs what isn't today? The pound dropped to a low not seen since the 80s so I presume a lot of people have lost their jobs today or the very near future and that can't be vague to them...

*and as much as a wet rag corbyn's been, fucking liz kendall or whoever winning the race a year ago wouldn't exactly change it. yeah he's shit but who the fuck isn't atm?

plums (a hoy hoy), Friday, 24 June 2016 23:17 (seven years ago) link

OT, but otm. So tiresome to see Morbs post his jolly tweet quotes or jump at literally everything Mordy says for no reason other than to annoy. Xp

Le Bateau Ivre, Friday, 24 June 2016 23:19 (seven years ago) link

Tom E's A-Z of Brexit:
http://tomewing.tumblr.com/post/146420642411/obsolete-units-surrounded-by-hail

etc, Friday, 24 June 2016 23:50 (seven years ago) link

Fuck cornwall obv

Xzibrit late now (darraghmac), Friday, 24 June 2016 23:59 (seven years ago) link

they keep playing this clip of these dickheads with gelled hair wearing waistcoats and waving tiny lil union jack flags

Treeship, Saturday, 25 June 2016 00:07 (seven years ago) link

t/s: ill manors vs we want war

imago, Saturday, 25 June 2016 00:10 (seven years ago) link

it was and will always be about fear of other people, and the majority of voters came out, often for the first time, to say they really despise people not like them. i'm sad and i don't really know how to respond to it.

I feel ya. I spend my days around ppl saying this kind of thing pretty openly and it def has an emotional cost for me to not only not say what I think but just to weather the storm, so to speak. Being around their fear & hate is draining. One day after witnessing the usual grind + some violent slurs & outbursts in a short time, I just started sobbing in the car, overwhelmed that the world is just so shitty and it's because of people.

Idk what to tell you tho I haven't found any kind of solution except to fix things with my hands and have pleasurable experiences to stave off the hectic despair.

If authoritarianism is Romania's ironing board, then (in orbit), Saturday, 25 June 2016 00:22 (seven years ago) link

http://i.imgur.com/JLl2ooD.jpg

ǂbait (seandalai), Saturday, 25 June 2016 00:24 (seven years ago) link

I used to work in a call centre, you'd pick up the phone to the customer and say hello your through to (name) at (name of company). Two or three times a day I'd hear someone say to a customer 'I'm sorry, I can't transfer you to another advisor for that reason', and I finally clocked that it was only Asian staff who were saying this, and they were saying it in response to customers saying 'Why should I have to speak to a foreigner'. Then I realised why I would sometimes get 'Oh I'm so glad your name's (European name)'.

Never changed username before (cardamon), Saturday, 25 June 2016 00:45 (seven years ago) link

*you're

Apparently it's not okay to call Leave voters bigoted tho

Never changed username before (cardamon), Saturday, 25 June 2016 00:47 (seven years ago) link

i was just out in homerton - went to a late bar there after being out in clapton with 6/7 irish friends. in the bar in homerton, which plays music p loud, a bunch of four or five guys came in. seemed pretty normal-looking, not dangerous or big bruisers, one in a west ham top. after a while they started chanting, to the tune of the chant irish football fans do: "vote leave, fuck the boys in green". then later it became "na na, na na na na, hey hey hey, goodbye" with them all pointing at us.

incredibly weird - never experienced that kind of thing in london. they really looked like as if they might have been doing this to take the piss, rather than actual stereotypical racists. i know how ridiculous it sounds, but i also don't know how seriously to take it. they weren't bellowing it out, but they were seemingly trying to start some kind of incident. i was having a fun night with pals and i'm hypersensitive to this kind of thing, so i just said i can't be around this kind of thing (prob cos i'd have reacted violently even though i am in no way a fighter, ever, but equally these guys looked kinda nerdy/middle class) and then i walked home as quickly as i could.

really weird, like a bad omen.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Saturday, 25 June 2016 01:50 (seven years ago) link

i know "normal-looking" is some bullshit...

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Saturday, 25 June 2016 01:50 (seven years ago) link

jesus

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 25 June 2016 02:17 (seven years ago) link

that's fucking horrible LG. brown-skinned friend of mine got nazi saluted by a giggling pair of men in the street the other day. it's not just about the legitimisation of this the victory of the out campaign seems to have had, it's a weird apparent "bantz" aspect to it.

Fizzles, Saturday, 25 June 2016 02:48 (seven years ago) link

from the safety of being over here i find myself wishing you'd fucking popped one of them

and that's how it goes, of course

anyway i appreciate yr sanity (and safety!)

mookieproof, Saturday, 25 June 2016 02:59 (seven years ago) link

http://i.imgur.com/JLl2ooD.jpg

this is the same situation as the US, where the most right-wing, "anti Big Government" states (deep south, mostly) are also the ones most dependent on the federal gov't.

in some ways you can see this as a kind of perverse, self-hating reaction against dependency... their own dependency.

wizzz! (amateurist), Saturday, 25 June 2016 04:50 (seven years ago) link

it's been constructed and encouraged tho. it's been happening for years. the narrative of "independence", in the US, harking back to pioneering spirit, has in the UK become Empire + council house sell-off, curiously, and is used to divide the idea of nation from the responsibilities and capabilities of the state.

the auto-didactic intellectual and religious non-conformism of the industrial revolution has gone, as has the industry. I don't know whether that dual disappearance was inevitable, but the catastrophic thatcherite annihilation of manufacturing industry went hand in hand with that use of isolationist images and language - aspiration (leaving) rather than inclusion. and of course the creation of ingurland. as i say i do think the sell off council housing was hugely significant in this respect, as it could be used to finance and give weight to the illusion of aspirational rhetoric. fucking hollow now of course.

Fizzles, Saturday, 25 June 2016 05:51 (seven years ago) link

in other words I don't see it as perverse or self-hating on the part of the electorate. it's fucking hard to see a way out of it if that's the only language that's used. europe as institution a realky hard sell as well. untanglinh the "faceless bureaucrats" tag is dull as fuck, and has just enough truth for it to be hard to carry conviction. the fact that civil services and complicated legal arrangements are necessary for the running of any sort of state - esp federated states - is never going to be a useful headline.

Fizzles, Saturday, 25 June 2016 05:55 (seven years ago) link

this is amazing

http://cdn.images.express.co.uk/img/covers/287x361front/2016-06-25.jpg

coygbiv (NickB), Saturday, 25 June 2016 07:42 (seven years ago) link

i dunno, don't really like those Walkers Sensations, too hard

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Saturday, 25 June 2016 07:45 (seven years ago) link

"World's Most Successful Newspaper Crusade Ends In Glorious Victory For Your Daily Express" is equal parts Borat and North Korean propaganda, combined with 'Children of Men' style 'UK stands firm' posturing.

I'm part of the 48.1 percent (snoball), Saturday, 25 June 2016 07:59 (seven years ago) link

i shot a man in reno just to watch him die

Fizzles, Saturday, 25 June 2016 08:02 (seven years ago) link

I was angry this morning walking through town. It wasn't difficult to spot the grinning shitcocks who'd voted Leave, acting as though they'd just won the lottery. Which might not be a bad analogy, since most big lottery winners are flat broke again within three years. But I'm feeling bereft now. There's some English victim mentality where we're always thinking of ourselves as the loser, the oppressed, even when things have gone exactly the way we want. All the times the EU made exceptions for the UK, all the special deals and opt-out clauses, seems to have been completely forgotten.

I'm part of the 48.1 percent (snoball), Saturday, 25 June 2016 08:09 (seven years ago) link

(xp)

I'm part of the 48.1 percent (snoball), Saturday, 25 June 2016 08:30 (seven years ago) link

Polly LOL for the morning

If Ukip had its fair share of MPs, sunlight would have exposed that quarrelsome ragbag of often nasty eccentrics, just as Hodge saw off Barking’s 12 chaotic BNP councillors. Denying those voters a voice helps explain why those anti-EU, anti-foreigner emotions erupted so disastrously on Thursday.

Hodge, MP for Barking, one of two London constituencies that voted Leave.

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 25 June 2016 08:49 (seven years ago) link

Or was it three? Barking and Sutton.

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 25 June 2016 08:49 (seven years ago) link

Polly obviously still certain that the Labour party shouldn't have anything to offer those voters

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Saturday, 25 June 2016 08:57 (seven years ago) link

Five. Barking and Dagenham, Bexley, Havering, Hillingdon and Sutton. Not sure Hodge has denied any racists a voice, tbh. xp

I haven't seen any jubilation in my area yet. Everyone seems as miserable as ever.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Saturday, 25 June 2016 09:00 (seven years ago) link

I haven't seen any triumphalism in my area - i wouldn't be surprised if most of them haven't voted on my road. There are a few george cross flags hanging out of windows as always during the Euros.

calzino, Saturday, 25 June 2016 09:13 (seven years ago) link

Thanks.

Polly talks about Leave winning there as an existential problem. One which hasn't translated to a Leave vote in other boroughs - some of them wrestling with similar problems as Barking. From Polly's account its: let the racists win because they are terrible at the day-to-day job, hence the 12 BNP councillors who were 'seen off' (don't know the whole story but that's what it sounds like).

Well Polly leave have won. Maybe once they fuck it all up we can see them off too. There might be not be much that 'remains'.

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 25 June 2016 09:22 (seven years ago) link

That was an xp

Heard a remark on Newsnight that Schäuble et al. wanted to give UK a trade deal that is comparable to Turkey, not Norway. Saw an interview with a cafe owner this morning and it was all 'they won't cut us off'.

But much of the narrative was that we could trade with other continents countries and its a big world so that is that.

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 25 June 2016 09:29 (seven years ago) link

only 24 hours ofc & a lot of politics still to go but some scottish unionists (activists & columnists mostly, no politicians understandably) making some interesting noises north of the border this morning

cozen, Saturday, 25 June 2016 09:36 (seven years ago) link

how do you mean?

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Saturday, 25 June 2016 09:39 (seven years ago) link

http://jackofkent.com/2016/06/why-the-article-50-notification-is-important/

This piece feeds into the 'this is happening' exchanges above.

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 25 June 2016 09:43 (seven years ago) link

He's been saying that for days if not weeks. Ditto on 'British Bill of Rights'

kinder, Saturday, 25 June 2016 09:45 (seven years ago) link

petition's now hit 1m signatures.
Vaguely wondering what the outcome of a theoretical second referendum today would be. Not sure much would change.

kinder, Saturday, 25 June 2016 09:46 (seven years ago) link

I saw Ian Paisley jr was encouraging anyone who qualified to get dual citizenship if they could yesterday. Not sure the big man would have approved.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Saturday, 25 June 2016 09:47 (seven years ago) link

Strange days.

They could have been Stackridge. (Tom D.), Saturday, 25 June 2016 09:54 (seven years ago) link

that jack of kent piece is exactly what i've been thinking. i can't see a brexit actually happening, and this bit is so so so otm:

The fact is that the longer the Article 50 notification is put off, the greater the chance it will never be made at all. This is because the longer the delay, the more likely it will be that events will intervene or excuses will be contrived.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Saturday, 25 June 2016 09:56 (seven years ago) link

Haven't heard much from Gove have we? Or I've missed it. Getting an impression that some Brexit politicians are shitting themselves tbh.

They could have been Stackridge. (Tom D.), Saturday, 25 June 2016 09:59 (seven years ago) link

michael gove was speaking on a platform yesterday with boris johnson when he said we wouldn't do anything hasty along with their friend gisela stuart

conrad, Saturday, 25 June 2016 10:02 (seven years ago) link

This is not some policy that will not be implemented because its too bureaucratic or difficult to do so. I can see it being triggered unless Boris campaigns in a general election on a platform of 'lets use this to negotiate our position'. But I don't see Brussels as giving enough of a shit to give any concessions, and if they do other countries can set-up their own referendums. Not something that club would allow.

Vaguely wondering what the outcome of a theoretical second referendum today would be. Not sure much would change.

There is a vague sense of 'what have we done' from a small constituency of the Leave voters that has been bought on by Cameron's swift resignation. You can only laugh.

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 25 June 2016 10:04 (seven years ago) link

idk, Juncker and Schäuble have pretty much told Britain to get on with it. Cameron didn't want to be the one to push the button so has deferred it for three months so someone else has to. Europe would probably want to keep the UK as part of the EU but not at any cost and not if it means three or four years of uncertainty as the country makes it's mind up whether it's serious or not. I can't see any Tory leader not promising exit from the EU getting elected, any real reason why a second referendum would be politically viable or how it could fail to solidify UKIP as a serious threat to the Conservatives if it came about.

What is clear, though, is that the Leave camp, which isn't exactly formed of the best and brightest to begin with, have absolutely no idea what they are going to do next. The calls to avoid hasty decisions are because they haven't got a strategy beyond 'leave the EU' not necessarily because they are having second thoughts.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Saturday, 25 June 2016 10:05 (seven years ago) link

I'm seeing a fair number of the IndyRef No lot changing their minds quite vocally. But early days like Cozen says xp

stet, Saturday, 25 June 2016 10:08 (seven years ago) link

early days indeed but feel fairly positive that the big question mark no placed over scotland's future eu membership was the major deciding factor for at least 12% of no voters

conrad, Saturday, 25 June 2016 10:11 (seven years ago) link

What is clear, though, is that the Leave camp, which isn't exactly formed of the best and brightest to begin with, have absolutely no idea what they are going to do next. The calls to avoid hasty decisions are because they haven't got a strategy beyond 'leave the EU' not necessarily because they are having second thoughts.

and also, "leaving the eu" in actual legal fact seems to be a p wildly protracted political process rather than an action. it is fascinating bureaucracy, if you can put aside the horror.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Saturday, 25 June 2016 10:11 (seven years ago) link

given a ladder, who's not going to want to climb out of the pool as it slowly fills up with shit? the rest of us will only be able to roll up our trousers and hold our noses

coygbiv (NickB), Saturday, 25 June 2016 10:14 (seven years ago) link

I think there's a load of buyers remorse in England. They are realising all the benefits of Europe they'll lose. They just need a face-saving way of backtracking.

Powell was OTM last night. Need an election, need a party campaigning to stay in or re-run the vote at least.

stet, Saturday, 25 June 2016 10:15 (seven years ago) link

that jack of kent piece is exactly what i've been thinking. i can't see a brexit actually happening, and this bit is so so so otm:

The fact is that the longer the Article 50 notification is put off, the greater the chance it will never be made at all. This is because the longer the delay, the more likely it will be that events will intervene or excuses will be contrived.

― Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Saturday, 25 June 2016 10:56 Bookmark

gonna need a little bit more than "It is not impossible to imagine that"

r|t|c, Saturday, 25 June 2016 10:15 (seven years ago) link

interesting stats (sorry if already linked)

http://lordashcroftpolls.com/2016/06/how-the-united-kingdom-voted-and-why/#more-14746

A majority of those working full-time or part-time voted to remain in the EU; most of those not working voted to leave. More than half of those retired on a private pension voted to leave, as did two thirds of those retired on a state pension.

White voters voted to leave the EU by 53% to 47%. Two thirds (67%) of those describing themselves as Asian voted to remain, as did three quarters (73%) of black voters. Nearly six in ten (58%) of those describing themselves as Christian voted to leave; seven in ten Muslims voted to remain.

coygbiv (NickB), Saturday, 25 June 2016 10:18 (seven years ago) link

think it has more than that. every minute that passes, the thing that parliament eventually votes on becomes separate to the referendum. the more there's a "deal" or anything else attached, the easier it becomes to shoot it down without it even being a case of denying the electorate their wishes.

xpost

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Saturday, 25 June 2016 10:19 (seven years ago) link

like - we know people voted for brexit, but what brexit? how can we ever agree about that?

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Saturday, 25 June 2016 10:21 (seven years ago) link

Hell the nuttier Tories can shoot it down because whatever deal reached does deny the voters their wishes

stet, Saturday, 25 June 2016 10:26 (seven years ago) link

well, exactly. it's going to be chaos. guess you'd have to worry about brexit sustaining a long and bureaucratic conceptual defeat and some more virulent hatred rising in general elections as a result. like how do you satisfy the people who voted for this? cos now they've waved their miniature union jacks around, the next year or two of legal wrangling and political bullshit sure ain't going to be satisfying.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Saturday, 25 June 2016 10:30 (seven years ago) link

One of my Facebook "friends" (I don't actually know him) has announced he's deleting his account because of the vitriol he's received from the "remain" camp (none of it from me- like I said, I don't actually know him). Good. Go back to skulking in the corners, you prolicidal fuck.

hypnic jerk (rushomancy), Saturday, 25 June 2016 10:32 (seven years ago) link

like how do you satisfy the people who voted for this? cos now they've waved their miniature union jacks around, the next year or two of legal wrangling and political bullshit sure ain't going to be satisfying.

licence to be more openly racist will give succour to some

coygbiv (NickB), Saturday, 25 June 2016 10:33 (seven years ago) link

This is A+ trolling. The Sun, after relentlessly begging their readers to vote leave, now tells them how much worse they'll be off financially.

Le Bateau Ivre, Saturday, 25 June 2016 10:39 (seven years ago) link

bomb the sun

imago, Saturday, 25 June 2016 10:40 (seven years ago) link

any politician who says 'hey the sun, hey the mail, hey the express, fuck you forever, put my face on any vegetable you like, run smear campaigns, wank yourself stupid with hate, the people can see through your horseshit now' has my vote regardless of anything else

imago, Saturday, 25 June 2016 10:41 (seven years ago) link

biggest evil in our society

imago, Saturday, 25 June 2016 10:41 (seven years ago) link

One of the 'working class' areas that voted for Remain was Liverpool - where they don't read the Sun...

Jill, Saturday, 25 June 2016 11:11 (seven years ago) link

Talk from Europe getting tougher.

They could have been Stackridge. (Tom D.), Saturday, 25 June 2016 11:20 (seven years ago) link

What is clear, though, is that the Leave camp, which isn't exactly formed of the best and brightest to begin with, have absolutely no idea what they are going to do next. The calls to avoid hasty decisions are because they haven't got a strategy beyond 'leave the EU' not necessarily because they are having second thoughts.

and also, "leaving the eu" in actual legal fact seems to be a p wildly protracted political process rather than an action. it is fascinating bureaucracy, if you can put aside the horror.

― Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Saturday, 25 June 2016 10:11 (1 hour ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

LG I think we work in vaguely similar fields and with big sweeping calls/promises I tend to ignore the rhetoric - as in, I've literally no idea what Cameron's even said most of the time - and just think about the mechanisms, flow of funding, and legal processes, because I know from painful experience it usually comes down to this kind of 'detail' which often ends up quietly delivering something different from the promised headlines. Which does mean I'm often clueless about the political/strategical side of things. This whole thing has been surreal to me precisely because of the 'what Brexit are we voting for?' question, which I haven't really seen answered anywhere beforehand, and the sheer scale of actually implementing it/anything. All the statutory instruments that'd need looking at!

kinder, Saturday, 25 June 2016 11:36 (seven years ago) link

otm, especially the scale of it
was trying to get head round it at work yesterday
I mean trade tariffs alone - look at this thing:
https://www.gov.uk/trade-tariff

woof, Saturday, 25 June 2016 11:55 (seven years ago) link

"The Labour leader is being blamed by some of his own MPs for not campaigning hard enough to keep Britain in the EU."

Most of them have been too busy sharpening their knives to do any better themselves. I can't think of one labour MP who has campaigned with any conviction for remain. Chuka probably possesses the PR skills that some on here wish Corbyn had and he is a nauseating twat who probably sent more voters towards Leave than even when Blair/Brown/Darling did.

calzino, Saturday, 25 June 2016 11:57 (seven years ago) link

Otmfm

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Saturday, 25 June 2016 11:59 (seven years ago) link

xp I used to work in you guys' broad field as well. The yawning gap between the claims and the frantic figuring out what it might all mean behind the scenes (and the struggle to actually make it mean something) were a big shock when I joined. I must have been very naive.

ljubljana, Saturday, 25 June 2016 11:59 (seven years ago) link

not that Leave voters would care about their job prospects in Europe, but only EU citizens are permitted to hold civil service positions in France (except for faculty in higher education, happily in my case). there'll be more than a few English teachers in France out of their (permanent) jobs after this. and there are no exceptions. being a non-EU citizen here has made a lot of things pretty hard, only eased by my being a civil servant. & I doubt French law is very different than the law in other European countries in this regard.

droit au butt (Euler), Saturday, 25 June 2016 12:00 (seven years ago) link

This is A+ trolling. The Sun, after relentlessly begging their readers to vote leave, now tells them how much worse they'll be off financially.

― Le Bateau Ivre, Saturday, 25 June 2016 11:39 Bookmark

"Will it affect the cost of my holiday?" genuinely appears to be every leaver's second question ime

r|t|c, Saturday, 25 June 2016 12:02 (seven years ago) link

Having had some time to think about it, I think I'm going to start volunteering time for the labour party some how. Does anyone else do anything? I'm a bit unsure where to start, do i just go and be like "hiya diane abbott sure i'll put the kettle on and sort mail"? Is there a good website that details how to help?

Im bored of things being shit but not doing anything about it. Get off yr arse Sam etc.

plums (a hoy hoy), Saturday, 25 June 2016 12:04 (seven years ago) link

Likewise, though in my 72%-Remain area I don't want to preach to the choir either. Does seem to me like the post-industrial areas left to die are the most pressing problem for Labour. (And the country)

stet, Saturday, 25 June 2016 12:17 (seven years ago) link

can cameron really last until october? don't see it happening. also: is george osborne really thinking he can ride this one out?

tpp, Saturday, 25 June 2016 12:17 (seven years ago) link

I'd love Brexit to somehow not happen, but maybe millions of (the non-regretful) Leave voters feeling cheated and angry is an even more terrifying prospect for Britain.

Alba, Saturday, 25 June 2016 12:28 (seven years ago) link

I think he can. Key thing is that the majority of the parliamentary parties and their leaderships all want to remain. It seems like everyone is angling for the classic Yes Minister "let's do it when the time is right" approach. (Same as we did with joining the euro, as Tom E pointed out)

Another problem is that tactic will depend on patience from Scotland and the EU, neither of which seem inclined to have any. Though an indyref II is another good way to postpone Article 50.

xp yes but in cold terms they're as powerless as they were and in warm terms it's damn overdue that something made people notice them and take account of them.

stet, Saturday, 25 June 2016 12:30 (seven years ago) link

(Am meaning there the Leave voters who voted Leave not because of actual anti-EU sentiment but because they've had the shit end of the last 30 years and things are only getting worse. I think the true directly anti-EU sentiment is the fringe it always was, especially when people understand what they get from it).

stet, Saturday, 25 June 2016 12:33 (seven years ago) link

I've read that the EU technically have no way to force the UK to trigger article 50 - are there indirect ways that they can pressure the UK to do this though, aside from rhetorically? what leverage do they have? will there be pressure from the markets to invoke article 50 to try and reduce uncertainty?

soref, Saturday, 25 June 2016 12:37 (seven years ago) link

xp I used to work in you guys' broad field as well. The yawning gap between the claims and the frantic figuring out what it might all mean behind the scenes (and the struggle to actually make it mean something) were a big shock when I joined. I must have been very naive.

― ljubljana, Saturday, 25 June 2016 11:59 (40 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

right? Me too. Although at times I'm almost too far the other way now, something gets announced, I think 'pfft' because I know we don't have the data or whatever to do it, or because it seems like a total u-turn and then it happens anyway. I've been trying to tell the Leavers in my family about 'behind the scenes' but they are the ones who think 'just getting people to add things to policy' is free.
Actually, same with a previous job in a law firm relating to a high-profile new act that was passed. I think that was when I figured out that as soon as you see something you know about being discussed in the press you realise the press just talks bollocks. Poss slightly different now because now we have blogs and zany memes, woo

kinder, Saturday, 25 June 2016 12:46 (seven years ago) link

there's possibility that the referendum result itself could be seen as triggering it, or that combined with representations of the govt during/after the neogtiations prior to the referednum. the text of article 50 gives no method or means of notification. few legal academics like green and maugham mostly seem to dismiss this. there are probably better ways to pressure politically rather than legally.

nakhchivan, Saturday, 25 June 2016 12:47 (seven years ago) link

if the referendum was ever going to trigger it then there must have been pre-identified conditions like thresholds for turnout and majority. or am I totally mad to think that.

kinder, Saturday, 25 June 2016 12:49 (seven years ago) link

Yeah the referendum has no legal weight - it was an advisory. The EU can't in a sane way use that as notification.

Am assuming the EU don't truly want Britain out, but maybe they do?

stet, Saturday, 25 June 2016 12:55 (seven years ago) link

nothing to do with its legal validity within the uk (it has none, unlike the av referendum) but that in the absence of stipulated means of activating article 50, it could be seen as automatically triggering within eu law. doesn't seem very plausible but the european court of justice have made some sophistic judgments under political pressure before.

nakhchivan, Saturday, 25 June 2016 12:55 (seven years ago) link

xps right, suspect that making this happen this would soak up most of the resources of a lot of departments. If it goes ahead, staggeringly expensive + fuck all else is going to get done.

woof, Saturday, 25 June 2016 12:56 (seven years ago) link

Doesn't seem remotely plausible imo. Would be like a poll result triggering leave. The U.K. State has to notify under Article 50. An advisory poll does not have the authority to speak for that state. xp

stet, Saturday, 25 June 2016 12:57 (seven years ago) link

I'd love Brexit to somehow not happen, but maybe millions of (the non-regretful) Leave voters feeling cheated and angry is an even more terrifying prospect for Britain.

there's no way they won't feel cheated i reckon. it can't "happen" in any way that will sate, pacify, or unite the people who voted for it. nothing will happen.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Saturday, 25 June 2016 12:58 (seven years ago) link

that's why it would have to be combined with some other argument based on notice of what cameron et al already said. given this, which is all very tenuous, it's best to assume there are no legal means. but beyond this it's all really vague, most importantly, the revocability of an article 50 notification is unclear. different legal people arguing exactly opposite on this from cursory reading.

nakhchivan, Saturday, 25 June 2016 13:03 (seven years ago) link

people cant face it. same way it seemed very muted for people to accept that jo coxs killer was motivated by the ugliness of nationalism, racism, etc (even if these were symptoms of larger problems).

the only reason youre getting all these reports of regretful voters is that the insular metropolitan complacency of media remainers cant get their head around the vote.

TBH the vote doesnt make logical sense to most labour voters/members/remainers. 'how did anyone voting leave think this would make their prospects better? how did they think farage, boris, gove, would care about their futures?' im not sure the leavers really thought they did.

IMO its a bit like the london riots. made no sense - looting expensive goods as a cry for help/howl of frustration? - but it wasnt about what it was, it was just about the reasons for those events and that behaviour.

ive missed a lot of the thread since yesterday so sorry if this has been repeated ad infintum.

StillAdvance, Saturday, 25 June 2016 13:12 (seven years ago) link

the only reason youre getting all these reports of regretful voters is that the insular metropolitan complacency of media remainers cant get their head around the vote.

As someone said elsewhere, we are debating in a different world to that of most of those who voted to leave.

kinder, Saturday, 25 June 2016 13:15 (seven years ago) link

It is not impossible to imagine that the Article 50 notification will never be made, and that the possibility that it may one day be made will become another routine feature of UK politics – a sort of embedded threat which comes and goes out of focus. The notification will be made one day, politicians and pundits will say, but not yet.

And whilst it is not made, then other ways of solving the problem created by the referendum result may present themselves: another referendum, perhaps, so that UK voters can give the “correct” result, or a general election where EU membership is a manifesto issue, or some other thing.

http://jackofkent.com/2016/06/why-the-article-50-notification-is-important/

nakhchivan, Saturday, 25 June 2016 13:22 (seven years ago) link

among all the stupid polling questions, one a few weeks before the referendum 'found' that two thirds of people would accept no loss of income in order to control immigration. apart from the tired regretful voter trope, which might have some facticity but is mostly a morality fable, two or three months of bad economic news would create plenty of them.

nakhchivan, Saturday, 25 June 2016 13:26 (seven years ago) link

not actually leaving the eu after all suggests that this whole thing has been an elaborate plot to ensure that nobody in england outside of london ever has the temerity/will to vote ever again

pandemic, Saturday, 25 June 2016 13:27 (seven years ago) link

xp you mean 2/3 would not accept any loss of income in order to control immigration?

kinder, Saturday, 25 June 2016 13:28 (seven years ago) link

yeah

nakhchivan, Saturday, 25 June 2016 13:29 (seven years ago) link

broadly speaking i'm seeing a split between two reactions to the vote. the people who are saying "wait, it doesn't have to be this way", and people who suspect that "leave" voters have an incomplete and inadequate grasp of human suffering, and are eager that those voters be made to learn quickly, as an example to the rest of the world. i think both reactions are necessary.

hypnic jerk (rushomancy), Saturday, 25 June 2016 13:36 (seven years ago) link

I'd not really considered this till you guys bought it up. "100% anger 0% plans to deal with issues or make peoples lives better" is just going to make everyone more resentful and angry and go fucking cray cray, isnt it?

plums (a hoy hoy), Saturday, 25 June 2016 13:42 (seven years ago) link

Kenneth Armstrong, professor of European Law at Cambridge University said: “There is no mechanism to compel a state to withdraw from the European Union. Article 50 is there to allow withdrawal, but no other party has the right to invoke article 50, no other state or institution. While delay is highly undesirable politically, legally there is nothing that can compel a state to withdraw.”

The only card the EU does hold is another article of the Lisbon Treaty - but it’s a big card, an ace. Under Article 7, the EU could suspend a member if it deems it to be in breach of basic principles of freedom, democracy, equality and rule of law.

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jun/25/article-50-brexit-debate-britain-eu

nakhchivan, Saturday, 25 June 2016 13:43 (seven years ago) link

"people cant face it. same way it seemed very muted for people to accept that jo coxs killer was motivated by the ugliness of nationalism, racism, etc (even if these were symptoms of larger problems)."

Or maybe, as in my case, I've actually done some EU lawyering at the actual EU and know have some idea of how this shit works. Oh, and classy to conflate my knowledge of the law and reticence to take Farage and Johnson and Cameron at their fucking word for excusing Jo Cox's racist killers and the scum who inspired him to do it.

The EU don't want Britain out. The moderate conservative leadership at the EU may -- imagine this! -- have have actually communicated with their party cousins in the UK and have some reason to believe that the referendum was a bit of a bluff and has more symbolic than actual weight. A different question could have been written -- this one, the one with no dates and no directions and the word "should" -- is the one that we are dealing with.

Three Word Username, Saturday, 25 June 2016 14:03 (seven years ago) link

Most reassuring post of the day that

stet, Saturday, 25 June 2016 14:04 (seven years ago) link

"Euroskeptic" far right morons are going to realize they've been screwed at some point and will react stupidly and violently when they do -- the question is whether you want them to be driving the bus when it happens.

Three Word Username, Saturday, 25 June 2016 14:09 (seven years ago) link

LG I think we work in vaguely similar fields and with big sweeping calls/promises I tend to ignore the rhetoric - as in, I've literally no idea what Cameron's even said most of the time - and just think about the mechanisms, flow of funding, and legal processes, because I know from painful experience it usually comes down to this kind of 'detail' which often ends up quietly delivering something different from the promised headlines. Which does mean I'm often clueless about the political/strategical side of things. This whole thing has been surreal to me precisely because of the 'what Brexit are we voting for?' question, which I haven't really seen answered anywhere beforehand, and the sheer scale of actually implementing it/anything. All the statutory instruments that'd need looking at!

I was thinking about it this morning, like a lot of my job is turning legislation into actionable instructions for people who need to do something, and so a lot of the time I find myself thinking about the unreality of legislative language or bureaucracy, like maybe the source document will talk about a capitalised scheme as the subject of a sentence, rather than talking to the person who needs to do something with that. I feel a bit like I'm dealing with content of that nature when I try to think about "what is brexit". What would it mean? How would it be done? It's incredibly conceptual.

and as well as the bureaucratic level on which the meaning of brexit is unknown, there's also the fact that if you asked 100 people who voted to leave the EU what their definition of leaving the EU is, you probably wouldn't get the same answer twice. Or if you did, maybe it'd solely be about immigration and have little to do with the machinations of how to end/change the UK's relationship with the EU.

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Saturday, 25 June 2016 14:12 (seven years ago) link

Since 2000, a majority of EU member states who have had a referendum on EU-related issues have voted against the pro-EU position: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Referendums_related_to_the_European_Union

ǂbait (seandalai), Saturday, 25 June 2016 14:34 (seven years ago) link

Corbyn wants nothing to do with second-referendum talk or other ways of staying in EU, apparently.

stet, Saturday, 25 June 2016 14:50 (seven years ago) link

maybe he's afraid of UKIP taking a lot of Labour seats next GE

ǂbait (seandalai), Saturday, 25 June 2016 14:57 (seven years ago) link

Tactically speaking, there's no reason to talk about anything. Just sit. Bluff calling time. Let UKIP and Johnson's bunch take the fall for triggering or not triggering.

Three Word Username, Saturday, 25 June 2016 14:58 (seven years ago) link

Corbyn wants nothing to do with second-referendum talk or other ways of staying in EU, apparently.

Quite right too. Anyone clinging to this is deluded imo, Austritt heißt Austritt.

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Saturday, 25 June 2016 15:21 (seven years ago) link

I had to google that, I thought you were invoking the Anschluss there!

calzino, Saturday, 25 June 2016 15:24 (seven years ago) link

there's no way they won't feel cheated i reckon. it can't "happen" in any way that will sate, pacify, or unite the people who voted for it. nothing will happen.

But if Britain does technically leave the EU and they just feel cheated by continuing poor public services or immigration, then at least they might blame Boris Johnson and Dan Hannan rather than the whole world.

Alba, Saturday, 25 June 2016 15:28 (seven years ago) link

People of other skin colours and accents will still be here

plums (a hoy hoy), Saturday, 25 June 2016 15:35 (seven years ago) link

dumb american question: if scotland leaves to join the EU, doesn't that result in a permanent shift towards the right for british politics, since you lose the left-wing scottish voting bloc? that seems bad.

iatee, Saturday, 25 June 2016 15:45 (seven years ago) link

yes

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 25 June 2016 15:46 (seven years ago) link

http://i.imgur.com/UsEEkih.png

Cosmic Slop, Saturday, 25 June 2016 15:47 (seven years ago) link

The EDL were outnumbered ten to one by protesters in Newcastle.

https://twitter.com/ChukaUmunna/status/746694000262905856

Interesting hearing Brexit MPs seeking to disown Vote Leave promises now - we will hold them, Boris & the rest to each and everyone of them

lol

Hannan: We've decided we actually don't want to bar all EU migrants / scrap the Human Rights Act
Blairites: You have to! You said you would!

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Saturday, 25 June 2016 15:48 (seven years ago) link

I've seen a lot of people compare this to the idea of Texas secession, but the legal barriers for Texas leaving the US are much higher. It seems utterly crazy to me that this was all decided by a simple majority vote. Nothing monumental like this in the US ever gets voted via referendum as far as I'm aware.

Al Moon Faced Poon (Moodles), Saturday, 25 June 2016 15:48 (seven years ago) link

california does it and that's a bigger economy than the UK (so is france as of friday, btw)

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 25 June 2016 15:49 (seven years ago) link

although are CA proposition ballots simple majority?

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 25 June 2016 15:49 (seven years ago) link

Nothing monumental like this in the US ever gets voted via referendum really tho i think maybe some states do referendums

Mordy, Saturday, 25 June 2016 15:51 (seven years ago) link

yep it's just 50% in california

iatee, Saturday, 25 June 2016 15:51 (seven years ago) link

most people agree the system is a disaster though

iatee, Saturday, 25 June 2016 15:53 (seven years ago) link

they should ask for a referendum on it then

nakhchivan, Saturday, 25 June 2016 15:54 (seven years ago) link

true, California is a good exception. Don't know if they could use a referendum to leave the US, though.

xps

Al Moon Faced Poon (Moodles), Saturday, 25 June 2016 15:54 (seven years ago) link

But states can't vote counter to federally legislated international treaties and laws, only on local issues. And even they can't go counter to federal law, or at least, are open to legal challenge.

Another dumber American question: why couldn't this vote have been non-binding and symbolic, just giving the people a chance to voice their opinion and pressure the government? As a first step or something, the first round to express approval/disapproval and get (or not get) the issue on a formal, legal, law-changing ballot, and then the second vote be the binding vote? You'd think for something this huge there would be another step between the vote and implementation.

Did the UK join the EU with a similar public referendum? Can people vote on referendums to break treaties and other laws, lower taxes, go to war or other decisions with huge repercussions? I have no idea how it works over there.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 25 June 2016 16:05 (seven years ago) link

Gah, I meant by my initial statement that US states, even if they voted counter to federal law, still open themselves up to immediate legal challenge. There are checks in place, or at least a legal process that can staunch or stop the most boneheaded of moves, however slowly it may take the courts to decide.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 25 June 2016 16:06 (seven years ago) link

It is non binding and up to the government to implement. They could either ignore it or call a second referendum if they wanted to but it's highly unlikely the grass roots of the ruling party would tolerate either and they're in charge of selecting the new Prime Minister.

There wasn't a referendum to join the EEC, as it was then, but there was one two years later to see whether people wanted to stay.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Saturday, 25 June 2016 16:10 (seven years ago) link

why couldn't this vote have been non-binding and symbolic, just giving the people a chance to voice their opinion and pressure the government?

technically it was. but the debate was conducted as if it were binding, and i suspect that's how most of the electorate understood it (aside from the "what is the EU" googlers, perhaps). and in any case there's no UK politician in a strong enough position to resist any pressure at all right now.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 25 June 2016 16:15 (seven years ago) link

Scotland may have to rely on a (possibly unilateral) referendum soon, so I'd rather not try to undermine their position too much.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Saturday, 25 June 2016 16:37 (seven years ago) link

There should be one strong enough to shape the pressure though. "The people were lied to, look!" will find tons of fertile ground on both sides. And help to undermine the legitimacy of the result xp

stet, Saturday, 25 June 2016 16:38 (seven years ago) link

David Lammy calls on parliament to disregard the result: http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/brexit-result-latest-david-lammy-mp-eu-referendum-result-parliament-twitter-statement-stop-this-a7102931.html

Really wish the Labour leadership would take a similar stand here tbh, considering Leave are reneging on their pledges left right and centre

verhexen, Saturday, 25 June 2016 16:40 (seven years ago) link

You know how their is a legal age where you are allowed to start voting? Could we just also cap when it ends, like 75 or something? You are too old and riddled with dementia and soz its over.

plums (a hoy hoy), Saturday, 25 June 2016 16:53 (seven years ago) link

this idea has been floated a bit recently by ppl including jeremy paxman but with our political system I think there is no chance whatsoever of it happening

ogmor, Saturday, 25 June 2016 16:56 (seven years ago) link

The political system of democracy?

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Saturday, 25 June 2016 16:58 (seven years ago) link

maybe I am underestimating how self-destructive the grey vote is

ogmor, Saturday, 25 June 2016 17:01 (seven years ago) link

Lord Greville Janner voted in the House of Lords 203 times after being diagnosed with dementia and giving power of attorney to his children, it has emerged.

nakhchivan, Saturday, 25 June 2016 17:02 (seven years ago) link

I was about to say, they'd need to clear out half the House Of Lords.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Saturday, 25 June 2016 17:03 (seven years ago) link

they should probably have noticed after voted 'faust arp' 203 times

nakhchivan, Saturday, 25 June 2016 17:04 (seven years ago) link

The EU don't want Britain out. The moderate conservative leadership at the EU may -- imagine this! -- have have actually communicated with their party cousins in the UK and have some reason to believe that the referendum was a bit of a bluff and has more symbolic than actual weight. A different question could have been written -- this one, the one with no dates and no directions and the word "should" -- is the one that we are dealing with.

― Three Word Username, Saturday, 25 June 2016 14:03 (3 hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Many xps - TWU, can you elaborate on what you mean by the word 'should'? I've written elsewhere about my reaction to that word but haven't seen much discussed about the language of the question.

kinder, Saturday, 25 June 2016 17:05 (seven years ago) link

Hugh Abbot: He actually said this is exactly the kind of thing we should be doing.

Malcolm Tucker: What did he actually say?

Hugh Abbot: He said this is exactly the sort of thing we should be doing.

Malcolm Tucker: 'SHOULD' be doing. 'Should' does not mean 'yes'.

nakhchivan, Saturday, 25 June 2016 17:09 (seven years ago) link

The British people would rightly expect triggering article 50 to start straight away.
We could give that £350m to the NHS
Diet lemonade, made "with" "real" lemons

kinder, Saturday, 25 June 2016 17:14 (seven years ago) link

ordinary lemons, decent lemons

ǂbait (seandalai), Saturday, 25 June 2016 17:15 (seven years ago) link

lemmings more like

coygbiv (NickB), Saturday, 25 June 2016 17:19 (seven years ago) link

OUT 17,000,000 IN 48%

kinder, Saturday, 25 June 2016 17:21 (seven years ago) link

She talks passionately about extending the provision of English language education, and it sounds wonderful. But if that's what she's really talking about, why not announce that her government will move heaven and earth to help everyone in the country learn English? Why frighten immigrants with the threat of a health service that won't treat them in an emergency unless they know how to say "cardiac arrest" in English?

"Because it's about working out which direction we're going in."

Thx Baroness Warsi. Who could have predicted this?

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Saturday, 25 June 2016 17:24 (seven years ago) link

Forgot all this stuff from earlier about Scotland having a veto over Brexit. That'd kill the patient to cure it though http://twitter.com/felixsalmon/status/746733571952369664

stet, Saturday, 25 June 2016 17:40 (seven years ago) link

Lawyers say Cameron's remarks could count as Article 50 notification. Ffs http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-36631518

stet, Saturday, 25 June 2016 17:43 (seven years ago) link

I would imagine there's at least a form to fill in

kinder, Saturday, 25 June 2016 17:46 (seven years ago) link

following on from stet, looks like an interesting doc probably worth reading in full: http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/ld201516/ldselect/ldeucom/138/138.pdf

cozen, Saturday, 25 June 2016 17:47 (seven years ago) link

can someone plot out the timeline for me
- unclear whether PM can notify under prerogative or parliament has to ratify
- if latter, current parliament is roughly 70% remain so they won't vote in favour of notifying
- we'll need a new parliament then
- safe assumption that the requirements of the FTPA can be got round?
- tory manifesto pledges to enact manifesto
- can tories win GE on that? assume a whole bunch of ppl who voted them in currently assumed their referendum pledge would be inconsequential
- UKIP voters would presumably coalesce around them tho

cozen, Saturday, 25 June 2016 17:52 (seven years ago) link

- if latter, current parliament is roughly 70% remain so they won't vote in favour of notifying

i guess we'll see over the next few days, but my impression is that most of them think of themselves as too "honourable" to vote their personal opinion in opposition after an explicit referendum mandate.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 25 June 2016 17:55 (seven years ago) link

If it's unclear whether the PM can use prerogative, it means he can.

Even if it went to parliament as a delaying tactic, i think you'd have a fair proportion of MPs voting to leave because they feel the result of the referendum needs to be respected (and they fear getting turfed out by UKIP if they don't).

idk if Labour could win a GE campaigning to ignore the referendum even if they wanted to (which they appear not to).

Honestly, if it's not going to happen, i think the Scottish / NI veto is the most likely route.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Saturday, 25 June 2016 17:56 (seven years ago) link

i'm sure there's plenty of ways it could legally be stopped. i just don't think there's anyone who wants to who is also able to.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 25 June 2016 17:57 (seven years ago) link

Looking at all the possible 'escape routes' being sought, a question for you remainers: would you really want gov to pass by the result of the referendum? Or to have a second referendum even? I'm all about remain too, but the petition for a second referendum, within 48h after the result, is rather rich.

Le Bateau Ivre, Saturday, 25 June 2016 18:01 (seven years ago) link

the petition is a load of shit and not relevant to anything

nakhchivan, Saturday, 25 June 2016 18:04 (seven years ago) link

I agree, its baffling 2m people already signed the bloody thing.

Le Bateau Ivre, Saturday, 25 June 2016 18:07 (seven years ago) link

"I'm waiting for a knee, I'm on the waiting list. But I know a couple of immigrants that got a new knee before me. That's why I voted brexit." (Lady in Boston, Lincolnshire, on Dutch telly)

Le Bateau Ivre, Saturday, 25 June 2016 18:10 (seven years ago) link

a petition was inevitable given the mood

ogmor, Saturday, 25 June 2016 18:11 (seven years ago) link

You mean it was a way for remainers to direct their frustration over the loss at?

Le Bateau Ivre, Saturday, 25 June 2016 18:14 (seven years ago) link

kind of a loaded way of putting it, more that a lot of people disapproved of the referendum in the first place and won't accept leaving

ogmor, Saturday, 25 June 2016 18:16 (seven years ago) link

The petition's daft with arbitrary figures. People want to react in any way possible but I would've thought the nearest thing possible would be some kind of legal challenge as to how it was sold. Which apparently is not going to hold water.

I don't actually know what I want. I want the govt to say 'you realised it wasn't legally binding, didn't you' and everyone to go 'oh yeah, our mistake, btw I saw some sarcastic tweets and I'm not racist any more'

kinder, Saturday, 25 June 2016 18:17 (seven years ago) link

also free knees for all

kinder, Saturday, 25 June 2016 18:18 (seven years ago) link

bet cameron wishes he hadn't won a majority last year

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 25 June 2016 18:19 (seven years ago) link

these behind the scenes anonymously sourced post mortem pieces are always more fun when they're about badly run republican presidential campaigns

http://www.politico.eu/article/how-david-cameron-lost-brexit-eu-referendum-prime-minister-campaign-remain-boris-craig-oliver-jim-messina-obama/

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 25 June 2016 18:28 (seven years ago) link

Looking at all the possible 'escape routes' being sought, a question for you remainers: would you really want gov to pass by the result of the referendum? Or to have a second referendum even? I'm all about remain too, but the petition for a second referendum, within 48h after the result, is rather rich.

If it was the other way around and the result was 52% remain, then I'd be saying "that's it" — but also totally expecting Farage and crew to continue agitating and probably petitioning, and would be OK with that.

Given the massive impact of this, plus the retraction of nearly every Exit campaign promise, plus the evident buyer's remorse, plus that I'm certain Boris didn't want remain, I think it's not a strong enough result to silence all opposition.

I think parliament would therefore be justified in finding some way out of what is manifestly not in our best interests. The Scottish veto is not that way out; the new election with a party campaigning for remain seems a better one.

Assuming Labour can reconnect with the North in 3 months. Shit.

stet, Saturday, 25 June 2016 18:30 (seven years ago) link

Boris didn't want exit, I meant

stet, Saturday, 25 June 2016 18:30 (seven years ago) link

Labour is shot, is the thing, and any future positive scenario depends on a strong, convincing Labour party. If Brexit, then we desperately need Labour to win an election held soon so that they can stop the Tories being the ones rewriting all the expiring EU laws. If some fantasy non-Brexit, Labour would have to be the ones making the arguments. But frankly it's NAGL for Labour to disregard the manifest wishes of massive parts of the non-London parts of the UK?

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Saturday, 25 June 2016 18:37 (seven years ago) link

an explicit referendum mandate

52% to 48% is not a fucking mandate! Even bloody Farage said that (when he thought it was the margin he was going to lose by, not win by).

emil.y, Saturday, 25 June 2016 18:38 (seven years ago) link

(xposts)

Scottish / NI veto is the most likely route

I assume NI won't veto when DUP are for leave. Scotland might veto but would they rather hope for IndyRef 2 while leaving the non-Indy option to look as bad as possible?

The petition's daft with arbitrary figures

Daft and arbritrary like the referendum amirite etc

(no, I don't know what I want either. would of course be delighted to discover it was all a dream but can't see a real way out of it and fear serious unrest or at least big UKIP surges if one is attempted. Also, if we are given another chance to vote on it, be it a second referendum or a general election, will it really go any better for Remain? There are a few Leave regrets, but a million? And who could possibly win a GE on a Remain ticket?)

Have been hoping Cameron feels really fucking bad rn as some tiny shred of not-quite-compensatory schadenfreude, but sense Cameron has had many years of practice at not feeling personally responsible for anything

a passing spacecadet, Saturday, 25 June 2016 18:40 (seven years ago) link

hey peeps i hear that the republican party doesn't technically _have_ to nominate trump

hypnic jerk (rushomancy), Saturday, 25 June 2016 18:40 (seven years ago) link

the petition is a load of shit and not relevant to anything

This, pretty much.

They could have been Stackridge. (Tom D.), Saturday, 25 June 2016 18:42 (seven years ago) link

Feeling you Stet, but parliament or gov finding a 'way out' is betraying the 52%, no? Regardless of why or how they voted leave, I'll-informed or not etc. "Best interest" seems something people disagree on, to say the least. I can't conceibably see them do it. If you use a democratic tool like a referendum, to ignore or twist or obstruct the result seems very anti-democratic. Or elitist ("sorry ppl, you voted the wrong way"). I wouldn't want to be a pm and pull a rabbit out of the hat to ignore the result tbh.

Le Bateau Ivre, Saturday, 25 June 2016 18:42 (seven years ago) link

only 24 hours ofc & a lot of politics still to go but some scottish unionists (activists & columnists mostly, no politicians understandably) making some interesting noises north of the border this morning
― cozen, Saturday, June 25, 2016 9:36 AM (9 hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

how do you mean?
― Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Saturday, June 25, 2016 9:39 AM (9 hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

sorry meant to come back to this. massive pinch of salt obv given context is prone to change day-by-day for next wee while, but certainly been expressions from some unionist commentators & activists that they will actually countenance scottish independence now, assuming it means continuing membership of the EU

e.g.https://medium.com/@AndrewWilsonAJW/not-in-our-name-25dfdef21d9b#.d5i8ztgm0, https://stephenorourke.org/2016/06/25/scotlands-future/

cozen, Saturday, 25 June 2016 18:44 (seven years ago) link

like the govt give a shit about "betraying" 40% of the country

the best way of ignoring the result is probably to delay it, tinker with it, bog it down in bureaucracy and talk about it being a win for decent people until people assume we've left the EU

kinder, Saturday, 25 June 2016 18:49 (seven years ago) link

the petition is a load of shit and not relevant to anything

― nakhchivan, Saturday, June 25, 2016 6:04 PM (40 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

this cannot be repeated enough

the long way around must be taken

imago, Saturday, 25 June 2016 18:49 (seven years ago) link

Cynical. But not inapt.

Xp

Le Bateau Ivre, Saturday, 25 June 2016 18:51 (seven years ago) link

Tracer: very much depends on what they campaign on. This referendum morally binds only this present government, and legally binds nothing. If a new government is elected on the manifesto of staying in/re-running referendum that's a totally legitimate thing. But depends on strong Labour, totally.

This was a high turnout ref wth a close result. The impact is still quite hard to guess, I think. The remain side's anger could lead to a surge in, fuck knows, the Libs as equally as it could lead soft Leavers to UKIP. And if Leavers feel lied to enough, that won't help Nigel "NHS thing was a mistake" Farage at all.

But for the present time delay while promising to get around to it is the order of the day. Only Farage wants an A50 now. Oh, and Corbyn, sometimes.

And hell, it's not like this would be the first referendum ever that was been re-run until it got the right result. Hell, it wouldn't even be the first Euro referendum,.

stet, Saturday, 25 June 2016 19:07 (seven years ago) link

https://next.ft.com/content/45244ac8-3afc-11e6-8716-a4a71e8140b0

Jeremy Haywood tells civil servants “the will of the British people is an instruction that must be delivered”

stet, Saturday, 25 June 2016 19:14 (seven years ago) link

A coworker's cousin made this to express his feelings about having just earned his British passport, after months of studying and paperwork, right before the vote.

http://m.imgur.com/yOaOv0V?r

A nationally known air show announcer/personality (tipsy mothra), Saturday, 25 June 2016 19:19 (seven years ago) link

Labour can't campaign explicitly on the promise that they will reverse/defy the will of the non-London parts of the country. There are too many Ketterings, remember?

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Saturday, 25 June 2016 19:19 (seven years ago) link

But Kettering was lied to. I mean this only half as posture: if we leave the EU and they still have immigration and the NHS is still fucked they'll be just as angry and we'll be in an even worse fix.

stet, Saturday, 25 June 2016 19:25 (seven years ago) link

There's something interesting in this Greenland idea. http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/brexit-scottish-referendum-scotland-eu-remain-nicola-sturgeon-snp-a7100736.html

Referendum to see if just England wants to leave; saving the union in the process? Some pretty weird stuff being dreamt up here, right enough. Everyone still at Bargaining, I guess.

stet, Saturday, 25 June 2016 19:37 (seven years ago) link

the best way of ignoring the result is probably to delay it, tinker with it, bog it down in bureaucracy and talk about it being a win for decent people until people assume we've left the EU

otm, I suspect the soft brexiters like Johnson are eyeing this scheme up. Alternatively, second ref after it's been bogged down in protracted negotiations & the economy is in a terrifying state - the new tory gov can make confusing claims about ratifying a special status, exit plus or some shit and sell it to the people

woof, Saturday, 25 June 2016 19:49 (seven years ago) link

which will leave a very very angry rump

gov will probably placate them with repatriations, & british jobs laws

woof, Saturday, 25 June 2016 19:50 (seven years ago) link

good times

woof, Saturday, 25 June 2016 19:50 (seven years ago) link

Man x-posts again: kinder, this was the question: "Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?" "Should" is not a word that contains any strong legal sense of direction -- the question as posed is prima facia an advisory question. "TWU should not post on ILX political threads" -- that question would probably get an unanimous "yes" vote, but it wouldn't legally compel an instaban.

I know that accusing people of thinking like lawyers or looking at situations as if they were conspiracies is general a foolproof shut down on the interwebz, but we are talking about legislations and dudes in suits who meet in smoky rooms to plot against nations, so the dog won't hunt here.

Three Word Username, Saturday, 25 June 2016 20:10 (seven years ago) link

I was probably reading too much into the 'should'. Perhaps they could've had 'how would you feel about leaving the EU' and then you have to circle an emoji

kinder, Saturday, 25 June 2016 20:18 (seven years ago) link

tipsy, that gif is incredible

an alternate version of his real world dog (bizarro gazzara), Saturday, 25 June 2016 20:18 (seven years ago) link

follow up question to my scotland question - are tories/ukip generally more opposed to Scottish independence than your average joe cause they want big/powerful UK or are any of them a little bit interested by the prospect of a more consistently right-wing electorate?

iatee, Saturday, 25 June 2016 20:21 (seven years ago) link

ukip the party doesn't really want to be in power, so they don't really care about the long term left/right balance of the country. ukip voters don't want an independent scotland. they (or at least the former tory ones) tend to be "great" britain/spitfires/warm beer types, and therefore opposed to any changes that make britain today more different to britain of ~1958.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 25 June 2016 20:27 (seven years ago) link

aren't spain and belgium pretty implacably opposed to scotland joining the EU (via their own separatist movements)? would scotland trying to join under these circumstances make them less opposed?

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 25 June 2016 20:31 (seven years ago) link

the number of conservatives who would welcome the loss of scotland for that reason is quite small, mostly from the libertarian vanguard who will probably be determining policy if the uk leaves the eu and making it into something even less pleasing to lower middle class nostalgists

spain would likely be a strong opponent of scottish accession, belgium to a lesser degree

nakhchivan, Saturday, 25 June 2016 20:35 (seven years ago) link

Any further referendum after Scottish independence would be Brexit with a higher margin, and a Scottish independence referendum is looking
fairly imminent (with the outcome obvious) - so I'm not convinced delaying tactics are good for the chances of remain. But I'm not convinced anything is good for remain at this point.

AlanSmithee, Saturday, 25 June 2016 20:37 (seven years ago) link

there is the whole currency thing

nakhchivan, Saturday, 25 June 2016 20:37 (seven years ago) link

If the UK stalls long enough, could Scotland call indyref2 before Article 50 is triggered?

I'm part of the 48.1 percent (snoball), Saturday, 25 June 2016 20:38 (seven years ago) link

I think a lot of English brexiteers would quite happily "lose" Scotland. We're on par with immigrants as an unwelcome drain on the welfare system.

a goon shaped fule (onimo), Saturday, 25 June 2016 20:38 (seven years ago) link

think the argument goes tht spain's fishing industry depends on scottish fishing grounds for its viability. w/out scotland in the EU it has no fishing treaty to allow it to use scotland's pelagic waters. spain's official policy during the indyref (notwithstanding rajoy's huff & bluster which was basically just him trading favours with his right wing pal callmedave) was that as the referendum was happening within UK constitutional rules they "have no problem w/scottish independence". the spanish cnstitution rules it out for catalonia

cozen, Saturday, 25 June 2016 20:39 (seven years ago) link

they could probably 'call' an unauthorized referendum as catalonia did, they couldn't have a binding one without national legislation

nakhchivan, Saturday, 25 June 2016 20:40 (seven years ago) link

I think a lot of English brexiteers would quite happily "lose" Scotland. We're on par with immigrants as an unwelcome drain on the welfare system.

― a goon shaped fule (onimo), Saturday, 25 June 2016 21:38 (1 minute ago)

there was a lot of commentbox fuck off sentiment around the referendum, given time to contemplate what it would mean for the uk's international power they would probably be unlikely to agree - these are mostly authoritarians and fans of 'the forces' etc

nakhchivan, Saturday, 25 June 2016 20:42 (seven years ago) link

see evidence of graeme avery (who has personally mapped out the requirements & the route to accession for 26 different countries) http://www.parliament.scot/S4_EuropeanandExternalRelationsCommittee/Meeting%20Papers/Graham_Avery_Written_Evidence.pdf

It has been argued that since Article 48 requires unanimity (and the same is true of Article 49) its use would be blocked by Spain in order to discourage Spanish regions from seeking independence. For similar reasons Spain, Slovakia, Romania, Greece and Cyprus have not recognised Kosovo’s unilateral declaration of independence from Serbia in 2008. But Scotland’s referendum is not unilateral: it is a constitutional process approved by the British Parliament. In Spain, however, such referendums are not permitted by the national constitution.

watch his supplemental evidence here
http://www.youtube.com/watch?list=PL4l0q4AbG0mmhtEGFeAJxVQdpk3TAcwBm&feature=player_detailpage&v=UvOuyiw306I

cozen, Saturday, 25 June 2016 20:42 (seven years ago) link

Anyone seen a list of planned EU funded projects in the UK now likely to get cancelled?

coygbiv (NickB), Saturday, 25 June 2016 20:57 (seven years ago) link

he addresses the spanish question at 24:10
xp

cozen, Saturday, 25 June 2016 20:58 (seven years ago) link

just watching that, jesus we were fed so much bullshit during the independence referendum

cozen, Saturday, 25 June 2016 21:00 (seven years ago) link

hearing anecdotal reports (not through my job, I must add) that some students with EU-funded Erasmus degree offers have now been asked to self-fund. Sounds unlikely this would happen so quickly, anyone know more?

kinder, Saturday, 25 June 2016 21:07 (seven years ago) link

thought this was classy from aberdeen university

Similarly, I have today also written to current EU students and those joining us later this year to reassure them that there will be no change to their fee status. I have assured them that if there is any change during their course of study, the University will cover the cost of any tuition fees to allow students to complete their degree studies at Aberdeen.

cozen, Saturday, 25 June 2016 21:09 (seven years ago) link

http://www.abdn.ac.uk/news/9348/

cozen, Saturday, 25 June 2016 21:10 (seven years ago) link

7 hrs ·
From the guardians comments section:

If Boris Johnson looked downbeat yesterday, that is because he realises that he has lost.

Perhaps many Brexiters do not realise it yet, but they have actually lost, and it is all down to one man: David Cameron.

With one fell swoop yesterday at 9:15 am, Cameron effectively annulled the referendum result, and simultaneously destroyed the political careers of Boris Johnson, Michael Gove and leading Brexiters who cost him so much anguish, not to mention his premiership.

How?

Throughout the campaign, Cameron had repeatedly said that a vote for leave would lead to triggering Article 50 straight away. Whether implicitly or explicitly, the image was clear: he would be giving that notice under Article 50 the morning after a vote to leave. Whether that was scaremongering or not is a bit moot now but, in the midst of the sentimental nautical references of his speech yesterday, he quietly abandoned that position and handed the responsibility over to his successor.

And as the day wore on, the enormity of that step started to sink in: the markets, Sterling, Scotland, the Irish border, the Gibraltar border, the frontier at Calais, the need to continue compliance with all EU regulations for a free market, re-issuing passports, Brits abroad, EU citizens in Britain, the mountain of legistlation to be torn up and rewritten ... the list grew and grew.

The referendum result is not binding. It is advisory. Parliament is not bound to commit itself in that same direction.

The Conservative party election that Cameron triggered will now have one question looming over it: will you, if elected as party leader, trigger the notice under Article 50?

Who will want to have the responsibility of all those ramifications and consequences on his/her head and shoulders?

Boris Johnson knew this yesterday, when he emerged subdued from his home and was even more subdued at the press conference. He has been out-maneouvered and check-mated.

If he runs for leadership of the party, and then fails to follow through on triggering Article 50, then he is finished. If he does not run and effectively abandons the field, then he is finished. If he runs, wins and pulls the UK out of the EU, then it will all be over - Scotland will break away, there will be upheaval in Ireland, a recession ... broken trade agreements. Then he is also finished. Boris Johnson knows all of this. When he acts like the dumb blond it is just that: an act.

The Brexit leaders now have a result that they cannot use. For them, leadership of the Tory party has become a poison chalice.

When Boris Johnson said there was no need to trigger Article 50 straight away, what he really meant to say was "never". When Michael Gove went on and on about "informal negotiations" ... why? why not the formal ones straight away? ... he also meant not triggering the formal departure. They both know what a formal demarche would mean: an irreversible step that neither of them is prepared to take.

All that remains is for someone to have the guts to stand up and say that Brexit is unachievable in reality without an enormous amount of pain and destruction, that cannot be borne. And David Cameron has put the onus of making that statement on the heads of the people who led the Brexit campaign.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Saturday, 25 June 2016 21:44 (seven years ago) link

they fucked it up good and proper, didn't they?

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Saturday, 25 June 2016 21:46 (seven years ago) link

was just about to post that. The result is so tight that the tories are just as split over Europe as they ever were — and Remain iirc still has a Tory MP majority, no doubt strengthened by the fact that like the comment says the consequences are now evident — break-up of the union, collapse of Sterling, beer chilled etc.

Johnson really is fucked, but so is any candidate agitating for immediate exit. Phew, I think?

stet, Saturday, 25 June 2016 21:49 (seven years ago) link

there's a reasonable chance the final ballot could be johnson vs may, so there would be no doctrinaire committed pro-leave psycho for the membership to select

don't think there's enough knowledge about how_tory_mps_really_feel to say, even the stupid ones are mostly canny enough to keep shtum or dissimulate about their real priorities

nakhchivan, Saturday, 25 June 2016 21:52 (seven years ago) link

xp

the depressing thing about this situation is that there is no clear leader for the opposition either.

Surely this is probably one of the most messed up political situations ever where the party in charge still doesn't really have an opposition?

Jill, Saturday, 25 June 2016 21:54 (seven years ago) link

miss u alan johnson

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:01 (seven years ago) link

Self-identified conservative voters were about 60/40 in favour of leave. Actual Tory members (average age 59) are probably even more heavily skewed towards exit. Absolutely no way do they not vote in someone who promises to leave the EU. Around 50% of backbench Tory MPs voted to leave even with all the pressure from Cameron and Osborne not to.

Europe isn't going to let Britain wait around forever. There was a report on AFP this morning that the French government had requested a new PM be appointed "within days". Johnson knew precisely what would happen with the markets, the tortured negotiations and Scotland before the referendum and the only surprise could have been that he actually won.

Fail to follow through on the result and he'll be replaced, either by the party or by the electorate. The Tories will lose seats to UKIP and Labour. There are more than enough weirdo Tory MPs fully committed to taking the UK out of Europe at all costs to trigger a no confidence vote at any point. That's pretty much why we had the stupid referendum in the first place.

As much as i'd love to believe that everyone has suddenly come to their senses, a couple of Daily Mail comment sections and interviews with empty-headed protest voters having second thoughts isn't evidence that anyone really has.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:06 (seven years ago) link

pretty sure there is an opposition that is called the labour party and it has a leader called jeremy corbyn and iirc the only ppl who suggest otherwise are just dustbin of history blair nostalgic wastemen

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:10 (seven years ago) link

Surely this is probably one of the most messed up political situations ever where the party in charge still doesn't really have an opposition?

u seem to be ill-informed as to the make up of the current house of commons can i direct u 2 wikipedia?

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:12 (seven years ago) link

I don't think it's at all strange to suggest that Corbyn just isn't up to the job even if you do agree with his politics.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:12 (seven years ago) link

Phew, I think?

Not really. It can still get much, much worse than it is now. A lot of outers have voted to get out of the EU and stop immigration. They're going to have a massive sense of betrayal when they realise the latter isn't going to happen, never mind if the former doesn't either. What do they do then? I can see a hideous lurch to the far right.

Lionel Richie the Wardrobe (Nasty, Brutish & Short), Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:13 (seven years ago) link

Who can advise small businesses whose work directly involves EU funding? Are they meant to proceed as though we are definitely in or out now? People are already being made redundant because of this.

kinder, Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:14 (seven years ago) link

^ this is a key point. Staying in the EU would be good for business, leaving would be bad, mucking about for years so nobody knows what is happening would be terrible.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:16 (seven years ago) link

Thank goodness someone is around to remind us Corbyn is the opposition leader. Can't wait till someone reminds him.

a goon shaped fule (onimo), Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:17 (seven years ago) link

NBS otm. if you think this country is unusually reactionary and intolerant and vulnerable to racist populism right now, imagine what it would be like if the "establishment" attempt to overrule the vote.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:21 (seven years ago) link

there was a lot of commentbox fuck off sentiment around the referendum, given time to contemplate what it would mean for the uk's international power they would probably be unlikely to agree - these are mostly authoritarians and fans of 'the forces' etc

yes, when the scottish referendum was first mooted there was a lot of 'lol fuck off then' from... well, might as well call them fascists from here on in in i guess, but when polling day drew near and there were a couple of opinion poll leads for 'Yes', it was striking how fervently English nationalists rallied to the defence of the union. English nationalism almost impossible to disentangle from british nationalism imo, so probably impossible for scotland to secede on anything approaching amicable terms. Which doesn't mean it won't happen: the increasing bitterness which is likely to colour anglo-scottish relations from here on probably makes independence more likely. The days of George Osborne being a bit threatening about the pound will be looked back on as a golden age of cross-border mutual respect and co-operation.

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:23 (seven years ago) link

Thank goodness someone is around to remind us Corbyn is the opposition leader. Can't wait till someone reminds him.

I think he knows tho. Some ppl have maybe watched a few too many superhero films and have unrealistic expectations of what a political leader is meant 2 be doing

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:25 (seven years ago) link

yeah that one film about a person with an actual spine

coygbiv (NickB), Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:27 (seven years ago) link

I do like Corbyn and (most) of his policies.

But he just won't get elected. Not that because the electorate won't like him, but the press would be awful about it and he won't be heard.

Jill, Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:28 (seven years ago) link

Takes a superhero to have the constitutional fate of he uk and ongoing descent into racist populism rate above a "7" on his list of priorities?

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:29 (seven years ago) link

His two main points have been that the referendum result needs to be respected (against the wishes of Labour voters) and that migrants can't be scapegoated any more (against the wishes of a lot of leave voters). He might not be making the right calls but he's not making the easy ones.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:30 (seven years ago) link

^

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:30 (seven years ago) link

'with an actual spine' lol fuck off armchair general cunt

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:31 (seven years ago) link

corbynista lowering tone of debate there with hideous online abuse. But seriously, i'm sure the corbyn haterz will get their way next week, and i wish them luck with their fixation on the cult of personality and hope that the glib PPE gimp elected to replace Him will manage to paper over the enormous contradictions of the labour party as currently constituted

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:35 (seven years ago) link

i think magic squaddie dan jarvis will bring the help for heroes masses onside

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:37 (seven years ago) link

The only thing that matters now is that Labour be responsible for the shape of post-EU Britain and not the Tories. Everything else is a sideshow imo.

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:37 (seven years ago) link

http://i1.mirror.co.uk/incoming/article5669132.ece/ALTERNATES/s615/Dan-Jarvis-main.jpg
he's ready and "up to the job"

calzino, Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:38 (seven years ago) link

what better way to break from the labour party's toxic legacies in iraq & afghanistan

just in time for chilcot too

cozen, Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:39 (seven years ago) link

Well Hilary Benn has set the ball rolling, it seems. I suspect that Corbyn will not renew his candidacy if he is ousted.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:40 (seven years ago) link

So much for phew, indeed
Vote split // On the #EUref result (Remain / Leave):
Happy: 4% / 92%
Unhappy: 88% / 1%
Indifferent: 7% / 5%
(via ComRes)

stet, Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:42 (seven years ago) link

am i reading that right? 1% of people who voted to leave are unhappy with the result?

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:45 (seven years ago) link

that's only 175,000 people regretting their choice

coygbiv (NickB), Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:47 (seven years ago) link

of course the thought of a corbyn led labour party actually winning power is even more repugnant to much (most?) of the PLP than corbyn being unelectable.

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:47 (seven years ago) link

xp That's what ComRes say. NB: ComRes pretty bad at polling in the run-up, and some questions over this one. YouGov shold be better.

stet, Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:47 (seven years ago) link

what % of leave voters are motivated by lust for chaos

schlump, Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:48 (seven years ago) link

I'm motivated by lust for chaos which is why I voted remain: Leave slogan 'it's riskier to stay in' was decisive 4 me

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:50 (seven years ago) link

Perhaps they could've had 'how would you feel about leaving the EU' and then you have to circle an emoji

― kinder, Saturday, June 25, 2016 8:18 PM (2 hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

kinder, Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:51 (seven years ago) link

I voted remain but i'm now happy leave won but i want the refernedum to b run again so remain might win but i wd probably vote leave in that event how u like them apples ComRes

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:52 (seven years ago) link

guy i went to school with who posted this on facebook on thursday morning. he works for capita now.

"Still can't decide. I know it's daft but a part of me wants to vote out to see what will happen. Something more interesting than the boring status quo. I'll see which box my pencil wanders tomorrow morning..."

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:53 (seven years ago) link

His two main points have been that the referendum result needs to be respected (against the wishes of Labour voters) and that migrants can't be scapegoated any more (against the wishes of a lot of leave voters). He might not be making the right calls but he's not making the easy ones.

― On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Saturday, June 25, 2016 Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

They look both difficult and right calls to me

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:54 (seven years ago) link

Lame anarchism - another 500K worth of votes

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:56 (seven years ago) link

Suspect there is a very strong correlation between leave voters and people who frequently use the crying with laugher emoji http://emojipedia-us.s3.amazonaws.com/cache/94/f0/94f03e8e72647373f93d5271ee594cfb.png

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Saturday, 25 June 2016 22:56 (seven years ago) link

Nick Clegg called it. Even down to the total dearth of trade negotiators https://inews.co.uk/opinion/comment/will-wake-vote-leave/

stet, Saturday, 25 June 2016 23:32 (seven years ago) link

It turns out the US doesn't have enough trade negotiators to deal with this either: http://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/out-of-luck

El Tomboto, Saturday, 25 June 2016 23:36 (seven years ago) link

Well Hilary Benn has set the ball rolling, it seems. I suspect that Corbyn will not renew his candidacy if he is ousted.

― Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Saturday, June 25, 2016 Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Be disappointing if he didn't stand but its been on the cards ever since he has been elected. Ultimately I would want to see Corbyn fighting a gen election as it would probably mean many of these PLP idiots losing their seats (of course keeping their jobs: why they are doing this) - ultimately a split with the Corbyn faction keeping the Labour 'brand' might be something worth the fight. Probably not at this point in proceedings.

You could get a refined version of Red UKIP with War hero Dan at the helm but keeping the actual UKIP march at bay would be offset by losses in metropolitan areas that are pro-Corbyn? Maybe people in London and Manchester have infinite patience with the PLP and they would come out anyway.

At the least the media management would be satisfactory from now on.

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 25 June 2016 23:41 (seven years ago) link

Wow at those two links. Clegg's summary is pretty impressive.

Xpost

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Saturday, 25 June 2016 23:43 (seven years ago) link

I think i sort of get the trade negotiation thing. But if the US DOESN'T negotiate a trade deal with the UK over the next few years, what does that mean again exactly? There will still be trade, it will just be on... unfavorable terms?

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Saturday, 25 June 2016 23:51 (seven years ago) link

It's smart LibDem season. Farron pledging to go back into the EU http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/staggers/2016/06/liberal-democrats-pledge-take-britain-back-european-union

xp yes, I think companies would then pay the same import/export rates that private citizens do. Which can be pretty huge.

stet, Saturday, 25 June 2016 23:55 (seven years ago) link

Merkel in no rush for Article 50 http://www.politico.eu/article/brexit-eu-referendum-angela-merkel-britain-to-decide-on-start-of-eu-separation-talks/

stet, Sunday, 26 June 2016 00:00 (seven years ago) link

I have to say Farron is quite impressive too. He's bold and calm and seems fearless. I guess he doesn't have Anyang to lose but I like what he's saying.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Sunday, 26 June 2016 00:04 (seven years ago) link

Anything *

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Sunday, 26 June 2016 00:05 (seven years ago) link

I think i sort of get the trade negotiation thing. But if the US DOESN'T negotiate a trade deal with the UK over the next few years, what does that mean again exactly? There will still be trade, it will just be on... unfavorable terms?

― illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Sunday, 26 June 2016 9:51 AM (15 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Unfavourable, with higher tariffs and more complex. Having worked on a bunch of impiety contracts recently, it's likely that every contract and every piece of accounting work will have to be redone, which will be time consuming and expensive, and probably end up less favourable for British companies as hey won't be an entrepôt for Europe, just dealing on behalf of a single, small market.

American Fear of Pranksterism (Ed), Sunday, 26 June 2016 00:13 (seven years ago) link

Good lord that article jed posted about the town in Wales is insane and makes me scared about Trump

Steve Gunn Mann-Dude (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Sunday, 26 June 2016 00:16 (seven years ago) link

The Politico article about how Cameron lost was very good, I thought - I agree that it's not Corbyn's job to dig Cameron out of his own hole.

It also confirms something that I was about to suggest - that what his job is, is not to have a southern version of the IndyRef, to stand 'with' the Tories but definitely not beside them.

Looking at all the possible 'escape routes' being sought, a question for you remainers: would you really want gov to pass by the result of the referendum? Or to have a second referendum even?

Yes absolutely yes definitely yes - what possible benefit is there for sifting around for the scintillas of "the view of the people", when what we're discussing is the UK leaving (and possibly breaking) the EU?

Andrew Farrell, Sunday, 26 June 2016 00:43 (seven years ago) link

Corbyn sacks Benn.

Michael Jones, Sunday, 26 June 2016 00:47 (seven years ago) link

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-36632539

Cosmic Slop, Sunday, 26 June 2016 00:56 (seven years ago) link

great job Labour

ǂbait (seandalai), Sunday, 26 June 2016 00:58 (seven years ago) link

Osborne apparently making calls for support now. I wonder what his stance on A50 would be? Something that makes life difficult for Labour is the usual answer.

stet, Sunday, 26 June 2016 00:59 (seven years ago) link

I can't believe there won't be an election before the end of the year now.

American Fear of Pranksterism (Ed), Sunday, 26 June 2016 01:01 (seven years ago) link

lol labour party be like a spy vs spy strip these days

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Sunday, 26 June 2016 01:02 (seven years ago) link

Something that makes life difficult for Labour is the usual answer.

Osborne's political career has foundered on the rocks of there actually being more to politics than the zero-sum game of labour v tory. He's finished. Off you fuck to the American free market think tank lecture circuit.

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Sunday, 26 June 2016 01:06 (seven years ago) link

o no, now who will give our bombing of other nations the moral sheen it requires

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Sunday, 26 June 2016 01:08 (seven years ago) link

(xpost)

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Sunday, 26 June 2016 01:08 (seven years ago) link

Reading the various thinkpieces on Johnson and Gove screwing themselves over and wondering, how is it that they didn't see that a Brexit vote was, if not 'likely', entirely possible? From the press conference faces I'm convinced they didn't actually want out, but they're not stupid. Can they really have not had a 'plan' for the first few weeks after this outcome, if not beyond that? Can they have really not foreseen the possibility that Cameron would leave it all up to them from here on in? I'm missing something huge here.

ljubljana, Sunday, 26 June 2016 01:41 (seven years ago) link

Your analysis is correct. You aren't missing anything. They don't have a plan, it's that simple.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Sunday, 26 June 2016 01:59 (seven years ago) link

from the TPM piece:

If anything, we'll probably be more concerned about where to locate the UK's nukes that are currently located in Scotland.

Time to rewrite one of the Mouse That Roared movies for Billy Connolly!

helpless before THRILLARY (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 26 June 2016 02:07 (seven years ago) link

xps yeah, at the very least not coherent or matching plans - I sort of imagine each of them had a rough fiction in their head about how this might work, but from the level of 'How will Calais work?', to 'Who will actually negotiate?' through 'Will there be violence in Northern Ireland?' to 'What shall we do about immigration?', nothing… nothing that could be called a plan. Like HQ must be a room with populist opportunists, weird sovereignty nerds,sentimental Powellite Imperialists and flat-out racists arguing about what's next.

woof, Sunday, 26 June 2016 02:11 (seven years ago) link

If you're right, and I guess you must be, it's staggering that the way the media treats politicians - and its entire job - means that it was possible for the extent of this non-plan to come as a surprise.

ljubljana, Sunday, 26 June 2016 02:39 (seven years ago) link

Or my naivety is staggering. Or both.

ljubljana, Sunday, 26 June 2016 02:40 (seven years ago) link

fucking hell at the wales article

schlump, Sunday, 26 June 2016 02:47 (seven years ago) link

consent of Scotland's Parliament, governments of Nothern Ireland and Wales required by European Communities Act??
https://twitter.com/PeteWishart/status/746741523522400256 big excerpt pasted in as quote so goes way past old character limit

dow, Sunday, 26 June 2016 03:03 (seven years ago) link

Not that it will affect anything right now, but if we're shaping up for a general election, the Green Party also need to elect a new leader.

coygbiv (NickB), Sunday, 26 June 2016 06:19 (seven years ago) link

Glad Benn has been sacked. The party members and unions won't vote for Jarvis, Any left wing leader (Nandy or Lewis are viable if Corbyn steps aside) is going to get similar treatment from the Blairites wanting a dramatic shift to the right and the press. Sympathetic journalists love to imagine that if only he was more organised and slicker things would be different but the press would kill any genuinely left wing movement even if you had Vegas-era Elvis fronting it.

Corbyn is probably right that the only way for Labour to win is to build a grass roots movement like Podemos and economic disaffection post-EU is more likely to make that happen over the next few years than in a generation but Podemos didn't have 200-odd MPs with the knives out. There is a risk that Corbyn won't find enough people willing to work with him to fill a shadow cabinet.

Ebbw Vale has been fucked for decades. EU investment has been positive but it came alongside years of the Tories under Major ploughing money into it to attract inward investment as well and they were not much more popular. When the mining industry collapsed a huge effort was made to bring in low-to-medium-skilled manufacturing and assembly. Almost all the new jobs went to women, bringing new people into the workforce but doing nothing directly for the people who had been made redundant. That probably increased resentment. The EU funding has been great but, again, aimed at young people and not the long-term unemployed. You had lots of older people moved on to sickness benefits to mask the fact that they were actually unemployed and have recently gone through the humiliation of health assessments and cuts to benefits, etc. It may be a case of a town voting against its best interests but there is a huge disparity in who economic regeneration has helped.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 26 June 2016 06:55 (seven years ago) link

the press would kill any genuinely left wing movement even if you had Vegas-era Elvis fronting it.

irl smile

Corbyn is probably right that the only way for Labour to win is to build a grass roots movement like Podemos

yeah i thought he was the party's last chance but i'm much closer to exterminate the brutes at this point

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 07:00 (seven years ago) link

ty ShariVari, NV, nakhchivan, & many others for quality posts on this topic

xxp to NickB - Green Party leader in the US just came out in favor of the vote:

http://www.jill2016.com/stein_calls_britain_vote_a_wake_up_call

sleeve, Sunday, 26 June 2016 07:01 (seven years ago) link

(really she hedges her bets, using both "victory" and "defeat" selectively within two paragraphs)

crossposted from US primary thread

sleeve, Sunday, 26 June 2016 07:04 (seven years ago) link

went about 3 paragraphs in, bet-hedging is right

http://www.jhbooks.com/pictures/137370.jpg (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 07:06 (seven years ago) link

Looks like a mass resignation to try to force Corbyn out. Guess I'll be sending back my membership card then. After the Iraq war began I turned my back on politics for a decade, and I think Brexit will have a similar effect on me.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Sunday, 26 June 2016 07:20 (seven years ago) link

now more than ever the country needs a racist Lib Dem Lite party

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 07:23 (seven years ago) link

Shadow Health Secretary Heidi Alexander has resigned. Labour going into fucking freefall.

I'm part of the 48.1 percent (snoball), Sunday, 26 June 2016 07:27 (seven years ago) link

how does labour always manage to do this? manage to look even worse and mire flailing than the tories at their absolute nadir?

the hallouminati (lex pretend), Sunday, 26 June 2016 07:38 (seven years ago) link

also, poss stupid qn, but is there a reason angela eagle's name is never in the potential-leader conversation as much as it should be?

the hallouminati (lex pretend), Sunday, 26 June 2016 07:38 (seven years ago) link

xp

because it was taken over by right-wing wankers c. 1995 and they locked themselves in

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 07:41 (seven years ago) link

To me it's Corbyn labour in free fall more than the party. Corbyn was never going to be elected PM therefore was on a temporary contract till such time as the PLP could find the opportunity to move him on. His position post result hasn't been poor but maybe a bit more is needed than an air of indifference. (Someone upthread brilliantly described him as looking like a bored supply teacher.) Particularly when the tories are infighting. Agree with the point about farron although in his position he has nothing to lose and he probably calculates this is the best opportunity to regalvanise lapsed lib dem support.

For bodies we are ready to build pyramids (wtev), Sunday, 26 June 2016 07:54 (seven years ago) link

because the Labour party definitely needs to offer the same economic policies as Euro-positive Tories if it wants to win an election for no obvious reason

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 07:59 (seven years ago) link

So who blinks first, do they boot Corbyn out and he goes off to form PodemusUK with Momentum or do we get SDP 2.0? I can't really see the labour party surviving in its current form.

American Fear of Pranksterism (Ed), Sunday, 26 June 2016 08:34 (seven years ago) link

sturgeon on marr as classy as ever. clear she's going to try pitch a yes vote in indyref2 as much as possible as as vote for the status quo

cozen, Sunday, 26 June 2016 08:37 (seven years ago) link

If Farron plays his cards right he could double the number of MPs the Lib Dems have at the next election .

Best case scenario for Labour is that Nandy or Lewis take over and the PLP grudgingly works with them but I don't think that is what they have in mind. The anti-Corbyn line is that he doesn't have the "experience" to take Labour's seat at the EU negotiating table. Nandy is 36 and Lewis was elected as an MP thirteen months ago. Rifkind was on the news earlier saying 'lol, what seat? You aren't going to be involved in the negotiations'.

I am pretty sure they have eyed a space in the centre right vacated by Cameron and will tack right of Blair, leading to open warfare with the members.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 26 June 2016 08:50 (seven years ago) link

It looks like they are going to coalesce around Tom Watson on the basis that if you aren't going to try to win over the British working classes on jobs and education you might have a chance campaigning on a shared hatred of paedophiles .

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 26 June 2016 08:57 (seven years ago) link

shd just elect st1nson hunt3r and be done w/it

cozen, Sunday, 26 June 2016 09:00 (seven years ago) link

As funny as I find the idea of all this actually happening, it seems immensely shortsighted on the part of Corbyn.

http://www.politico.eu/article/how-david-cameron-lost-brexit-eu-referendum-prime-minister-campaign-remain-boris-craig-oliver-jim-messina-obama/

Less than a month before the historic EU referendum, the team assembled by Cameron to keep Britain in the European Union was worried about wavering Labour voters and frustrated by the opposition leader’s lukewarm support. Remain campaign operatives floated a plan to convince Corbyn to make a public gesture of cross-party unity by appearing in public with the prime minister. Polling showed this would be the “number one” play to reach Labour voters.

Senior staff from the campaign “begged” Corbyn to do a rally with the prime minister, according to a senior source who was close to the Remain campaign. Corbyn wanted nothing to do with the Tory leader, no matter what was at stake. Gordon Brown, the Labour prime minister whom Cameron vanquished in 2010, was sent to plead with Corbyn to change his mind. Corbyn wouldn’t. Senior figures in the Remain camp, who included Cameron’s trusted communications chief Craig Oliver and Jim Messina, President Obama’s campaign guru, were furious.

Even at more basic levels of campaigning, Labour were refusing to cooperate. The party would not share its voter registration lists with Stronger In, fearing the Tories would steal the information for the next general election. “Our data is our data,” one senior Labour source said when asked about the allegation.

In desperation, the Remain strategists discussed reaching out to the White House to intervene directly. Obama had met Corbyn during a trip to London in April, when the American president argued forcefully for Remain. They wondered: Maybe Obama could call the Labour leader and convince him to campaign with Cameron?

Don’t bother, Labour aides told them. Nobody was going to coax their boss into sharing a public platform with Cameron. The idea was dropped before it reached the White House.

“We can’t stand there every week and wail away at you for prime minister’s questions and then get on stage with you,” a senior Corbyn aide said at one tense meeting three weeks before the vote, according to a Remain source.

tsrobodo, Sunday, 26 June 2016 09:24 (seven years ago) link

Cross-party campaigning in Scotland didn't really work out particularly well for them at the election that followed.

Labour pretty much got the proportion of the remain vote they were aiming for.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 26 June 2016 09:27 (seven years ago) link

More Labour voters went with remain than Londoners, the same proportion as British Asians and 1% fewer than the SNP if Ashcroft is correct.

The bigger problem in winning over the other 37% is the twenty years of failing to talk about the positives of the EU that preceded it.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 26 June 2016 09:30 (seven years ago) link

I don't necessarily think it would have made a difference in terms of the referendum but his half-hearted approach here has weakened his mandate from labour supporters and invited the fury of his cabinet.

tsrobodo, Sunday, 26 June 2016 09:35 (seven years ago) link

Not that they liked him much to begin with, but a general election is more likely in the near future than not and he doesn't appear to see building a platform as a priority.

tsrobodo, Sunday, 26 June 2016 09:37 (seven years ago) link

His cabinet hated him anyway and has been looking for an excuse to throw him overboard since the day he was elected. The local elections were supposed to be the breaking point but Labour performed better than expected. I'm pretty sure he'd still walk a leadership election if one was held tomorrow.

I think his position is probably untenable but I wouldn't really place the blame for his current situation on the EU referendum.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 26 June 2016 09:40 (seven years ago) link

he couldn't even look at Cameron while he was talking during the Jo Cox tribute on that Friday afternoon. something about that struck me as deeply 'off' especially given what had just happened.

piscesx, Sunday, 26 June 2016 09:41 (seven years ago) link

I am also sceptical about another GE being held any time soon. Eurosceptic Tory MPs are already talking about blocking any leadership hopeful suggesting it, xp

I would also struggle to look at the dude whose pandering to the far right contributed to my colleague getting assassinated.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 26 June 2016 09:42 (seven years ago) link

Even if the local elections had gone awry I still think he would've held on but Relative to this, their importance seems miniscule and a lot of labour supporters were deeply disappointed by his lack of enthusiasm.

Appearing on a platform with Cameron would have strengthened his profile with Tory remain voters more than it would've weakened it with labour leavers and would've allowed him to symbolically occupy the vacuum left by Cameron while the tories faff about without having to cede anything in terms of ideology (well except of course the fact that he doesn't like the EU)

tsrobodo, Sunday, 26 June 2016 09:45 (seven years ago) link

Best case scenario but at the very least half his cabinet wouldn't have resigned.

tsrobodo, Sunday, 26 June 2016 09:46 (seven years ago) link

Don't see how Corbyn sharing a platform with Cameron would've made a difference - Ed + Dave and so on you can see because they all look they come from a similar kind of place. Corbyn is as outside parliament as can be. It wouldn't work at all.

Has to hang on until the bitter end. The general election calculation may depend on the how far Labour is shot.

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 26 June 2016 09:50 (seven years ago) link

Tory voters are not going to go for the most left-wing party leader since Michael Foot irrespective of what happens. I think he probably calculated that he needs to win the leave vote / non-voters more desperately and standing shoulder to shoulder with Cameron would feed into the widespread perception that 'they're all the same'. That has killed them in Scotland. Idk whether it was the right thing to do but on the basis that it probably didn't change anything, it's an understandable risk to want to avoid.

I think they would have found an excuse - now, three weeks or three months down the line.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 26 June 2016 09:50 (seven years ago) link

Best case scenario but at the very least half his cabinet wouldn't have resigned.

― tsrobodo, Sunday, June 26, 2016 Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

It wouldn't take a lot to have an agitation of this sort regardless. Some of the commentators that support Corbyn were taken aback by the Vice doc and called it 'over' then. Corbyn is not going to do a lot to win friends, but the people who might be persuaded sound awful as well. xp

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 26 June 2016 09:56 (seven years ago) link

So who blinks first, do they boot Corbyn out and he goes off to form PodemusUK with Momentum or do we get SDP 2.0? I can't really see the labour party surviving in its current form.

― American Fear of Pranksterism (Ed), Sunday, June 26, 2016 Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Labour is purely a brand - it does look like that who gets to keep it is what the fight is over now.

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 26 June 2016 09:59 (seven years ago) link

Tory voters are not going to go for the most left-wing party leader since Michael Foot irrespective of what happens. I think he probably calculated that he needs to win the leave vote / non-voters more desperately and standing shoulder to shoulder with Cameron would feed into the widespread perception that 'they're all the same'. That has killed them in Scotland. Idk whether it was the right thing to do but on the basis that it probably didn't change anything, it's an understandable risk to want to avoid.

I think they would have found an excuse - now, three weeks or three months down the line.

― On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, June 26, 2016 9:50 AM (1 minute ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Probably true but still hard at this point to gauge the mood of disillusioned remainers. If in the midst of all the uncertainty things get drastically worse and the clamour for remain increases he'll be in no position to benefit from it.

Leave voters are useless to any politician that's prepared to say out loud that they're pro-immigration and non-voters are useless to politicians by default. Besides, you could cut off Corbyn's head and sew it to Cameron's shoulder, still don't think people would be able to see him that way.

Scotland is quite decidedly pro-EU. For the purposes of the referendum I don't see how appearing with Cameron would hurt him there more than demonstrating to them that the Labour leader wouldn't fight to keep them in.

Hah yeah they would have at some point but why does he have to make it so easy for them?

tsrobodo, Sunday, 26 June 2016 10:05 (seven years ago) link

Asking the stupid question: Does Corbyn need much of a Shadow Cabinet. Say about 7-10 people agree to be in it?

Really don't need this shit.

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 26 June 2016 10:07 (seven years ago) link

It wouldn't take a lot to have an agitation of this sort regardless. Some of the commentators that support Corbyn were taken aback by the Vice doc and called it 'over' then. Corbyn is not going to do a lot to win friends, but the people who might be persuaded sound awful as well. xp

― xyzzzz__, Sunday, June 26, 2016 9:56 AM (9 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

I mean I wouldn't let vice interview my cat and he seems to just walk into shit like that. As awful as those people are they're not worse than what we had and they're certainly better than what we might end up with.

tsrobodo, Sunday, 26 June 2016 10:08 (seven years ago) link

I dunno at this point it's hard not to feel like stomaching a Blairite wouldn't have been better than having every conservative fuck up superseded by labour drama.

tsrobodo, Sunday, 26 June 2016 10:12 (seven years ago) link

Gloria Di Pietro has resigned.

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 26 June 2016 10:13 (seven years ago) link

Of course politics is around building alliances with people you don't agree with but Corbyn wasn't elected doing that. Corbyn also was never going to acquiesce (and rightly so) to the immigration line that the wide PLP accept and its incredible that in this time where some actual fascism about on the ground (racist attacks, remarks (see LG) and language freely broadcast) that Hilary Benn is having a go now - so much for his righteous morality on the Syria debate.

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 26 June 2016 10:21 (seven years ago) link

he couldn't even look at Cameron while he was talking during the Jo Cox tribute on that Friday afternoon. something about that struck me as deeply 'off' especially given what had just happened.

― piscesx, Sunday, 26 June 2016 09:41 (59 minutes ago) Permalink

http://cdn.thejournal.ie/embeds/twitter/fda19b9a29256a54ba932ff290a40100.png

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Sunday, 26 June 2016 10:44 (seven years ago) link

PLP seems to be split between those who want a leader who can win a snap election and those who think he has to lose one to lose credibility with the membership before he can be unseated.

Few seem to think he could win an election, and his relationship with the media does seem to be a massive handicap to that.

stet, Sunday, 26 June 2016 10:47 (seven years ago) link

Of course politics is around building alliances with people you don't agree with but Corbyn wasn't elected doing that. Corbyn also was never going to acquiesce (and rightly so) to the immigration line that the wide PLP accept and its incredible that in this time where some actual fascism about on the ground (racist attacks, remarks (see LG) and language freely broadcast) that Hilary Benn is having a go now - so much for his righteous morality on the Syria debate.

― xyzzzz__, Sunday, June 26, 2016 10:21 AM (11 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Don't see how he stays elected if he can't find it in himself to do it. The forthright Corbyn we see with immigration and Syria is someone I can root for, it's the dithering and non-committal stances that leave him exposed and sometimes have me wishing he was someone else.

I hear and experience enough racist shit working in pro-brexit east london to know where this is heading. Don't think I've ever felt more uncomfortable in this country and frankly if the opportunity arises and I can get a passport for the dog I'm out.

tsrobodo, Sunday, 26 June 2016 10:49 (seven years ago) link

Diane Abbott has been crafting her zingers overnight:

"it's a shame we had to fire Hilary, his father was a great, great man"

"If Margaret Hodge knew the secret of getting working class vote on Europe, she certainly didn't use it in her constituency"

xps, Corbyn has an appalling relationship with the media but idk what people are expecting will happen to an alternative leader, unless it's the dead-eyed squaddie.

Sadiq Khan's key strength, other than principles on human rights, is that he's entirely affable, slick and media friendly. He's a completely unthreatening liberal centrist. The key newspaper in the most liberal city in the country pulled the most disgusting smear campaign in recent memory to try to ensure that a racist lump of wood who didn't really seem to want to job in the first place got elected instead.

Miliband was trashed by the media for being unelectably left-wing and a threat to the national economy. Keep letting the media set the agenda and we keep pushing further and further towards the fringes of the right. I really don't know what the practical alternative to circumventing them would be if the Labour party isn't willing to try to build a strong grassroots movement.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 26 June 2016 10:55 (seven years ago) link

The bloody Guardian effectively refused to back Miliband in the days before the election! Do we want a Labour leader who would be acceptable to Murdoch, Lebedev and the Barclays if one could be found?

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 26 June 2016 11:03 (seven years ago) link

yeah this boils down to taking out the print media by one means or another. but how

imago, Sunday, 26 June 2016 11:10 (seven years ago) link

No someone they hate but can't ignore is what's called for. Corbyn they're increasingly just not even giving airtime. Xp

stet, Sunday, 26 June 2016 11:10 (seven years ago) link

Saying which, he's polling level with the Tories

Survation for Mail on Sunday. Online. Fieldwork 24-25th June Westminster Voting Intention: CON 32% LAB 32% UKIP 16% LD 9% AP 11%

stet, Sunday, 26 June 2016 11:14 (seven years ago) link

Fucking UKIP are just going to keep growing

imago, Sunday, 26 June 2016 11:20 (seven years ago) link

Corbyn's polling hasn't been that awful - the council elections weren't a disaster and its a lot about what it looks like, i.e. he didn't stand with Cameron and several people saying he can't be elected no matter how bad things get. A perception he doesn't look the part. Lack of media management despite a lot of his positions being utterly unpalatable to the media.

It is about building an alternative - ppl may hate Syriza (and Podemos but lets give it time before the current EU hew through that) and what it has become but in Greece there is probably a similar-ish situation in regards to what they fought against. Unfortunately they could not be ignored because things got so bad.

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 26 June 2016 11:23 (seven years ago) link

Labour does best when it has a leader who can articulate a vision for something better, Atlee, Wilson to a lesser extent and, whatever you may think or how his term unfolded, Blair managed this. Brown, Milliband and Corbyn didn't manage to do this. Corbyn cannot articulate a clear vision for Britain and he has to go up against Boris and Farage. It's no good offering better if you can't communicate it and it's no point complaining about the media, podemos, syzria and even UKIP cut through from the fringe.

American Fear of Pranksterism (Ed), Sunday, 26 June 2016 11:37 (seven years ago) link

Actually, it's not just labour, the Torries have had their share of duff leaders who are now getting their vision for Britain fulfilled thanks to the leadership of a couple of charismatic opportunistic arseholes, one of whom may be PM in a few months.

American Fear of Pranksterism (Ed), Sunday, 26 June 2016 11:40 (seven years ago) link

two years to negotiate trade deals on all manner of things, which will presumably require 10s if not 100s of skilled negotiators on trade... and the UK civil service currently has very few of these because it outsourced all trade negotiating to europe. couldn't write this shit

cozen, Sunday, 26 June 2016 11:45 (seven years ago) link

What was Blair's vision? Tory exhaustion got him in, UK/western world being flooded with credit kept him in.

Corbyn and McDonnell were certainly assembling (from people they had hired) some kind of economic vision. They were re-orienting the party's foreign policy, installed a female-majority shadow cab and got the govt to do several u-turns. You've been away for too long. xp

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 26 June 2016 11:47 (seven years ago) link

@tnewtondunn Wow, Merkel wants a #Brexit rethink. Chf of stf Peter Altmaier, UK "should have the possibility to reconsider the consequences of an exit"

stet, Sunday, 26 June 2016 11:52 (seven years ago) link

Meanwhile did you see that Dan Hannon is "taking a month off"? Politics needs an HR department

stet, Sunday, 26 June 2016 11:52 (seven years ago) link

itt: Blairites

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 11:53 (seven years ago) link

congrats on cramming in the last six years of Australian politics and more (like Tasmania threatening to quit) into the space of three days, ladies and blokes

Johnny Cage - 4'33" Fatality (King Boy Pato), Sunday, 26 June 2016 11:53 (seven years ago) link

UKIP's so-called vision receives a highly enthusiastic hearing from most of the media and politicians are sympathetic/'understand'. xps

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 26 June 2016 11:54 (seven years ago) link

If anyone can see a more popular / inspirational leader on the list of people with 1% to 20% of the support Corbyn has within the party, now's the time to shout.

http://i.imgur.com/tn9TdPC.jpg

Hannan got rinsed by his followers after saying that he didn't really think ending EU immigration was a good idea and has taken to the hills in response.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 26 June 2016 11:55 (seven years ago) link

arguments about Corbyn's persona/media savvy/presence are exactly the same as the right of his own party are using and i have to assume come from the same political instincts

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 11:57 (seven years ago) link

and we've already got a Lib Dem thread

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 11:57 (seven years ago) link

Blair's vision, for better or worse, was an upwardly mobile, post-industrial Britain; capitalism with a safety net. You may not agree with it but that was what he was selling and it won him 3 elections. Of course it laid the foundations for where we are now, crushing inequality as whole swathes of society were left behind. Nonetheless he was selling a dream and people bought it. Labour needs to sell an option on new future and Corbyn doesn't seem to be able to do it.

American Fear of Pranksterism (Ed), Sunday, 26 June 2016 11:57 (seven years ago) link

Andy Burnham's already said the party needs to be more racist tho so he looks like an idea replacement

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 11:58 (seven years ago) link

it's not just a question of disagreeing with Blair's platform: it was dishonest, incoherent, untenable, and it involved destroying the only broad-based left party in the country that represented working class people in any way

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 11:59 (seven years ago) link

but he won tho, tbf. so the question is: what's the point of a winning Labour party with no Labour values?

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 12:01 (seven years ago) link

They will at least feel bad when they push us over a cliff.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 26 June 2016 12:01 (seven years ago) link

of course!

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 12:02 (seven years ago) link

The economy in a post-crash world is not able to support capitalism with a safety net or any such nonsense. Blair did not have a dream to offer, its what was before him.

The crushing inequality was v much there before Blair - he offered them nothing. xps

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 26 June 2016 12:02 (seven years ago) link

lucy powell gone

ian murray gone

cozen, Sunday, 26 June 2016 12:03 (seven years ago) link

What we need is charisma with no substance.

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 26 June 2016 12:04 (seven years ago) link

Corbyn could totally make up for his media issues with a strong cabinet behind him carpeting the media. But does the PLP have enough Corbynites to stock one? Sure doesn't look that way.

stet, Sunday, 26 June 2016 12:04 (seven years ago) link

Andy Burnham ‏@andyburnhammp 9m9 minutes ago Wigan, England
At an uncertain time like this for our country, I cannot see how it makes sense for the Opposition to plunge itself into a civil war. 1/3

Andy Burnham ‏@andyburnhammp 7m7 minutes ago Wigan, England
I have never taken part in a coup against any Leader of the Labour Party and I am not going to start now. 2/3

Andy Burnham ‏@andyburnhammp 6m6 minutes ago Wigan, England
It is for our members to decide who leads our Party & 10 months ago they gave Jeremy Corbyn a resounding mandate. I respect that & them. 3/3

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 26 June 2016 12:05 (seven years ago) link

something going on w/labour in scotland. suspicions they might break for pro-indy

cozen, Sunday, 26 June 2016 12:05 (seven years ago) link

ex SLAB chairman now more likely to support yes
http://stv.tv/news/politics/1358674-former-scottish-labour-chair-likely-to-back-independence/

cozen, Sunday, 26 June 2016 12:10 (seven years ago) link

I'm not going to disagree with any of that. Blair destroyed the Labour Party as it was, but Milliband and Corbyn have failed to revive it.If the electoral system was fairer then a podemos style popular movement would work, it's not, though so someone has to Polly he party together and reconnect with the people it's meant to represent.

American Fear of Pranksterism (Ed), Sunday, 26 June 2016 12:15 (seven years ago) link

failure to install a decent PR system when he had the power just one of Blair's lesser evils, true

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 12:16 (seven years ago) link

Yeah Scot Lab is definitely massing to break

stet, Sunday, 26 June 2016 12:17 (seven years ago) link

Labour doesn't need another Blair, it needs to find its own Nichola Sturgeon.

American Fear of Pranksterism (Ed), Sunday, 26 June 2016 12:17 (seven years ago) link

...

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 26 June 2016 12:20 (seven years ago) link

needs to find about 25 million voters who don't love free markets and racism

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 12:25 (seven years ago) link

these are interesting:

Roz Kaveney Retweeted
Nicole Froio ‏@NicoleFroio 5m5 minutes ago

I value leaders who are seen as "soft" because I don't believe in aggressiveness or dominance when negotiating politics.
View conversation
2 retweets 2 likes

Nicole Froio ‏@NicoleFroio 6m6 minutes ago

Wanting a leader to be dominant and aggressive is basically the end for me bc you're asking Corbyn to embody toxic masculinity.
View conversation
2 retweets 1 like

Nicole Froio ‏@NicoleFroio 7m7 minutes ago

People have called Obama weak several times, and it's because he doesn't do politics aggressively like people expect men to do.
View conversation
2 retweets 0 likes

Nicole Froio ‏@NicoleFroio 8m8 minutes ago

calling Corbyn a weak leader is essentially the disapproval of how he does politics in a softer, more consequential style.

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 26 June 2016 12:32 (seven years ago) link

Kim Ghattas
Kim Ghattas – Verified account ‏@BBCKimGhattas

Visual reminder of how immigration played in Leave camp narrative.34 front pages this yr compiled by @gameoldgirl

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Cl4HTMyVYAAq9FI.jpg

Le Bateau Ivre, Sunday, 26 June 2016 12:32 (seven years ago) link

Yeah remember that time Obama ran away from reporters

stet, Sunday, 26 June 2016 12:33 (seven years ago) link

Express and Mail journalists, a great bunch of lads

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 12:34 (seven years ago) link

It's not about aggression it is about clarity. Obama does well because he demonstrates a clarity of vision and purpose coupled with the real sense that he genuinely cares about people.

American Fear of Pranksterism (Ed), Sunday, 26 June 2016 12:38 (seven years ago) link

except muslims at weddings

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 12:40 (seven years ago) link

I do think there's something to the arguments that xyzzzz__ posted, but if Corbyn was as good a politician as Obama is we wouldn't be in this situation.

ǂbait (seandalai), Sunday, 26 June 2016 12:44 (seven years ago) link

Obama talks to Fox News, who are only marginally better than the Mail.

Either way, this fucking coup is ridiculous. It has totally diverted attention away from the real question of where the fucking leave leadership is.

stet, Sunday, 26 June 2016 12:44 (seven years ago) link

it's a completely different political system and Obama is far to the right of Corbyn and hasn't delivered half of what he might have wanted

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 12:45 (seven years ago) link

Gary Nevilles out of a job right now

coygbiv (NickB), Sunday, 26 June 2016 12:49 (seven years ago) link

Blair's vision, for better or worse, was an upwardly mobile, post-industrial Britain; capitalism with a safety net. You may not agree with it but that was what he was selling and it won him 3 elections. Of course it laid the foundations for where we are now, crushing inequality as whole swathes of society were left behind. Nonetheless he was selling a dream and people bought it. Labour needs to sell an option on new future and Corbyn doesn't seem to be able to do it.

― American Fear of Pranksterism (Ed)

not really fair to blame blair on this considering this happened globally. i can't imagine any possible british leadership in the period in question that wouldn't have brought the uk to roughly the same place.

hypnic jerk (rushomancy), Sunday, 26 June 2016 12:49 (seven years ago) link

Just noticed it's pretty much all women who have walked out on Corbyn so far

stet, Sunday, 26 June 2016 13:18 (seven years ago) link

*hears distant sound of Suzanne Moore sharpening pencil*

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 13:22 (seven years ago) link

guys we need to start doing something, now. and by we mean us. possibly biggest postwar political settlement? we can't leave it to these morons! i'm absolutely serious

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Sunday, 26 June 2016 13:26 (seven years ago) link

Move to Scotland. Scotland Needs Immigrants. Mars Needs Women.

They could have been Stackridge. (Tom D.), Sunday, 26 June 2016 13:42 (seven years ago) link

you lot have seen this right?

http://news.sky.com/story/1717815/second-referendum-petition-was-set-up-by-outer

The petition for a second referendum on EU membership was set up by a leave campaigner a month ago

coygbiv (NickB), Sunday, 26 June 2016 13:45 (seven years ago) link

yeah but loads of desperate remainers signed it

imago, Sunday, 26 June 2016 13:51 (seven years ago) link

posted it on the 77 thread. There is a simple kind of beauty in the story. It's still shit though.

Derren Brown tweeted a link to it saying 'EU rules say if vote is less than 60% (it was) based a turnout less than 75% (it was), then a 2nd referendum.' People have been reading "We the undersigned call upon HM Government to implement a rule that if the remain or leave vote is less than 60% based a turnout less than 75% there should be another referendum" as 'follow this rule that exists', apparently? For the millionth time this weekend I do not understand how people think.

kinder, Sunday, 26 June 2016 14:06 (seven years ago) link

This is just brilliant

https://twitter.com/SimonNRicketts/status/747055676413845504

nate woolls, Sunday, 26 June 2016 14:06 (seven years ago) link

The petition is meaningless illiterate drivel, and a re-run the second worst way forward. But I feel the signers.

stet, Sunday, 26 June 2016 14:32 (seven years ago) link

it seems to me that

1) labour have got to win the next election
2) the next election has to happen well before EU regulations lose their force

do i have that about right? whatever furthers that goal i'm for. whatever cuts against it i'm against.

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Sunday, 26 June 2016 15:54 (seven years ago) link

If not already Cameron will go down as a witless coward by both sides at least.

nashwan, Sunday, 26 June 2016 15:55 (seven years ago) link

my impression is that it mostly comes down to scotland ref at this point? if they bolt left-wing politics in uk is fucked for the indefinite future.

Mordy, Sunday, 26 June 2016 15:59 (seven years ago) link

If they are barely indistinguishable from the Tories I really don't see the urgency of 1)

calzino, Sunday, 26 June 2016 16:02 (seven years ago) link

"vote for us and we will ignore the democratic process oh wait"

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 16:04 (seven years ago) link

I think Labour's main selling point is that they're indistinguishable from *half* the Tory party.

ǂbait (seandalai), Sunday, 26 June 2016 16:13 (seven years ago) link

nine resignations from the shadow cabinet now. that's about a third of its membership.

coygbiv (NickB), Sunday, 26 June 2016 16:17 (seven years ago) link

great bunch of lads

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 16:20 (seven years ago) link

just two weeks til Chilcot too

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 16:21 (seven years ago) link

was suprised to read recently (on John Rentoul's twitter , lol) that the turnover of Labour MPs has been such that there are only about 50 of them left who voted for Iraq war. 8 of them were in shadow cabinet (until yesterday at least): Benn, Bryant, Burnham, Coaker, both Eagles, Watson and Winterton

soref, Sunday, 26 June 2016 16:27 (seven years ago) link

If they are barely indistinguishable from the Tories I really don't see the urgency of 1)

who else do you see beating the tories?

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Sunday, 26 June 2016 16:30 (seven years ago) link

There's a pretty substantial risk that centre-right 'business as usual' will mean raising taxes, cutting public services, presiding over a decline in house prices / negative equity, rising unemployment, rising food prices, more food banks, etc, etc, as well as having to negotiate a withdrawal from Europe that will enrage at least half the country, if not everyone. It would be much better if it was a Blairite hand at the wheel, rather than Johnson, but it's going to be poisonous for whoever has to do it. A lot of that can be blamed on the leave campaign but there's only so far you can push the 'well you shouldn't have voted for it' line without entrenching public dislike of you. It's definitely possible that a centre-right Labour government could win an election if one was called before the end of the year but would it win the one after that or another ever again?

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 26 June 2016 16:38 (seven years ago) link

i mean i don't like these PLP fucks either but the tories simply have to be beaten. this isn't about some vague "what sort of direction do you want the country to move in" question, it's about who is going to write the rules of the biggest postwar settlement britain has ever seen? if there's another candidate besides labour i'm all ears. maybe the only way it can be done is via coalition? i dunno but it has to be the goal that dictates all else imo.

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Sunday, 26 June 2016 16:39 (seven years ago) link

if no centre right Labour govt ever won again it would be worth it to keep the Tories from shaping post-EU britain.

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Sunday, 26 June 2016 16:41 (seven years ago) link

with the situation so grave and the leave clowns having exited pursued by bear market... wonder if the eventual shake out is some sort of grand coalition. esp given what's at stake for UK. iron's so white hot right now tho, everyone's just casting around for opportunities

cozen, Sunday, 26 June 2016 16:48 (seven years ago) link

highly doubtful however. moment's too ripe with opportunity & would require a level of adulthood hitherto unexhibited by our political class

cozen, Sunday, 26 June 2016 16:50 (seven years ago) link

It's dangerous either way. A grand coalition that is seen to defy the will of the country and presides over an inevitable decline in living standards will be a gift to the far-right.

A Labour government that is seen to defy the will of the country and presides over an inevitable decline in living standards will be a gift to the far-right.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 26 June 2016 16:54 (seven years ago) link

tom watson has shat it

cozen, Sunday, 26 June 2016 16:54 (seven years ago) link

welp glad this country has taken back control

kinder, Sunday, 26 June 2016 16:58 (seven years ago) link

it's a blessing that yr fascists are so incompetent; imagine if they had a plan for consolidating power and executing brexit to take the reins

Mordy, Sunday, 26 June 2016 17:00 (seven years ago) link

Everyone's incompetent in this country.

They could have been Stackridge. (Tom D.), Sunday, 26 June 2016 17:04 (seven years ago) link

Incompetent on a macro level, but deeply fucking terrifying on a local scale

coygbiv (NickB), Sunday, 26 June 2016 17:14 (seven years ago) link

The fact that Cameron/Osborne/Whitehall didn't plan for Brexit shows just how arrogant & out of touch they are in assuming a win for Remain.
https://twitter.com/JuliaHB1/status/747096138814201860

It's depressingly predictable, but I hate watching the Right shape their lines in real time. This still comes home to roost though; he's already quit.

stet, Sunday, 26 June 2016 17:19 (seven years ago) link

so is the revolt against corbyn down to his "leadership style" or is it really a conflict between different ideological visions of labour? asking from the USA.

wizzz! (amateurist), Sunday, 26 June 2016 18:20 (seven years ago) link

glib answer: the latter dressed up as the former

cozen, Sunday, 26 June 2016 18:20 (seven years ago) link

If the PLP want to drive a wedge between Corbyn and his young/urban supporters among the membership, casting him as having sabotaged the Remain campaign is a decent strategy.

ǂbait (seandalai), Sunday, 26 June 2016 18:35 (seven years ago) link

This is the guy who bankrolled both of the Leave campaigns to the tune of £6m:

https://twitter.com/Arron_banks/status/747126832546320384

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 26 June 2016 18:48 (seven years ago) link

but a lot of corbyn supporters don't trust the PLP enough to listen to them

ogmor, Sunday, 26 June 2016 18:49 (seven years ago) link

Yep, the more effective move would have been to resign demanding that the party campaigned on a platform of staying in the EU after Corbyn had said he'd respect the result, but that would have had other costs.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 26 June 2016 18:51 (seven years ago) link

If the PLP want to drive a wedge between Corbyn and his young/urban supporters among the membership, casting him as having sabotaged the Remain campaign is a decent strategy.

which in and of itself would be a purely destructive act, as the chances of those guys picking up any supporters from that younger base are basically zero.
xxp

Windsor Davies, Sunday, 26 June 2016 18:52 (seven years ago) link

It may suffice to disillusion the Corbynite members so they don't vote at all in the next leadership contest. Forcing Corbyn out at this point is a self-destructive act on its own.

ǂbait (seandalai), Sunday, 26 June 2016 18:56 (seven years ago) link

I am woefully uninformed on all that has been happening re Brexit but I imagine for whatever the name for the generation that is young and most vulnerable, it is the worst (and possibly even worse than Trump, which may not even happen but may be sad anyway).

youn, Sunday, 26 June 2016 19:11 (seven years ago) link

i'm really not at all well-informed when it comes to British politics compared to others here (though I have been reading along avidly throughout all of this), so apologies if this comes off as gauche, but my instincts as a disaffected "younger voter", and those of many of my friends who broadly share my views (lots of us joined the Labour party specifically to vote for Corbyn), would suggest that there is a massive opportunity right now for the Lib Dems to rebuild their younger base and reverse a lot of the damage they did by forming the coalition in 2010.

i do think that the younger Corbyn supporters that Seandalai mentioned earlier are clued in to the tactics of the PLP and aren't gonna be gulled into thinking that because Corbyn wasn't proactive in campaigning for Remain he's "betrayed" them or anything of that nature; but the in-house fighting is obviously going to be such a millstone weighing the party down during this time where young people are desperate to have something to work with and there are plenty of young people who would abandon Corbyn and the Labour party if there was the prospect of a legitimate alternative.

i know lots of ppl of my own age who voted for the Lib Dems in 2010 and subsequently disavowed the party forever after who would return in a heartbeat if the party were to step up to articulate a dissenting POV and provide some competent opposition right now. they certainly seem to be better positioned to provide that opposition than Labour. the world is changing and expressions of undying enmity made in 2010 no longer seem as significant or as binding as they did a year or two ago.

Windsor Davies, Sunday, 26 June 2016 19:12 (seven years ago) link

A lot of younger people were betrayed by the lib dems tuition fee debacle, something that specifically fucked over that particular demographic. Would take a lot to restore that trust I think

coygbiv (NickB), Sunday, 26 June 2016 19:39 (seven years ago) link

*cough* five years of coalition government

They could have been Stackridge. (Tom D.), Sunday, 26 June 2016 19:40 (seven years ago) link

idk, i know what you guys mean but I think possibly younger voters have shorter memories than you believe? in the interests of disclosure i should note here that i'm 24 now and was one of the first time voters that backed the Lib Dems in the 2010 general election, so i'm not that young but probably young enough

obviously i can only speak with knowledge of one very particular demographic and social media is always going to form an echo chamber, but i have really never known anything like the outpouring of dismay and consternation that the result of this referendum has caused, amongst tons of people who have never to my knowledge taken even the slightest interest in politics.

there is an overwhelming desire for a mainstream alternative who are prepared to go to the mattresses over this issue right now, and if Labour are incapable of providing that and the Lib Dems come out and make the right noises then i think that any voices saying "yeah but remember what happened with the tuition fees..." are going to get shouted down. idk if that's necessarily a positive but it is what is. there is a sense of desperation here such that people are prepared to bargain if there is even the slightest chances of wriggling out of this commitment

Windsor Davies, Sunday, 26 June 2016 19:56 (seven years ago) link

i just don't see how any credible political party can ignore the result of the referendum. so maybe the Lib Dems are the best bet.

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 19:58 (seven years ago) link

I'd be curious as to whether 1 year of full-on Tory government has softened views of 5 years of coalition.

Andrew Farrell, Sunday, 26 June 2016 20:01 (seven years ago) link

I don't see how any credible political party can honour the result of the referendum either. Which is why they're all either in hiding or fighting themselves, presumably.

stet, Sunday, 26 June 2016 20:02 (seven years ago) link

not sure why people are expecting politicians to be trustworthy, voting is just guesswork imo

ǂbait (seandalai), Sunday, 26 June 2016 20:02 (seven years ago) link

the lib dems having failed to honor their tuition fee promise pales in comparison to what they did do upon finally being in a position to exercise power - facilitating the whole structure that gave birth to this mess - & it's this that wd cast the longest shadow over any optimistic promises cast now. i don't disagree that there is room for massive realignment but they're deeply fucking untrustworthy & compromised by incredibly recent, well-supported actions

schlump, Sunday, 26 June 2016 20:10 (seven years ago) link

https://www.today.ng/news/world/143432/brexit-rule-second-referendum-tony-blair

here's a guy who knows a thing or two about subverting the will of the people

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 20:12 (seven years ago) link

i just don't see how any credible political party can ignore the result of the referendum. so maybe the Lib Dems are the best bet.

but surely the result was tight enough that it's at least worth trying? if the only alternative is throwing your hands up and saying "oh well, the people have spoken"...

Windsor Davies, Sunday, 26 June 2016 20:12 (seven years ago) link

Osborne and Bono Botha conspicuously absent

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 26 June 2016 20:17 (seven years ago) link

anyway, realign into 3 new parties:

far right Rand style libertarian gangsters featuring Boris Johnson

middle of the road gently regulated free marketeers for a minimal safety net for hard-working families, no Hijabs please we're British, featuring the EU-friendly Tories, the Lib Dems, and 3 quarters of the PLP

wild eyed leftist crazies who want the state to dish out cuddles and free healthcare and some kind of democratic regulation over rapacious businesses and such, featuring Corbs and a bunch of low quality celebs probably

systems thinking

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 20:18 (seven years ago) link

if the 17 million leave breaks down roughly into: hardcore british exceptionalist tory eurosceptics; the no future bloc of the economically and politically dislocated left-behind; the far right/UKIP; and, a rump of lexiters and ultra-neoliberals.

which of these groups doesn't go full apeshit if UK gov decides to disregard the outcome of the referendum? the only potential is presumably working on the disenfranchised labour left-behind to convince them that things /can/ get worse. absent a strong voice working on that however (and in light of thirty years of whipped up anti-EU/immigration sentiment and a continuing strong tabloid voice presumably actively nurturing resentment) how does it happen? establishment stitch up is presumably the answer but that's just grief deferred no?

cozen, Sunday, 26 June 2016 20:23 (seven years ago) link

yeah Windsor the actual violence that would provoke is frightening enough for me to not to want a second referendum. instead i'd want any putative future government to try to craft the most progressive set of replacement laws as possible. including, perhaps, a quite liberal set of immigration laws. these would admittedly probably stop somewhat short of the passportless reality most EU citizens have now, but it's not like we're living in an eden of freedom right now. my EEA spouse can't vote for an MP despite living and paying taxes here for years. and despite EU law guaranteeing me the right to live and work here, no HR department in the land will hire me unless i have the right piece of paper in my passport. which takes months to get.

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Sunday, 26 June 2016 20:25 (seven years ago) link

strong arguments all, and i have no answer to them. still floating somewhere between the first four stages of grief and clutching at straws i guess

Windsor Davies, Sunday, 26 June 2016 20:30 (seven years ago) link

i think everybody is. there's a vacuum and the sooner Labour can start articulating a narrative that's 1) true and 2) appealing and 3) convincing and 4) treats the Tories as the paper tigers they are the sooner they can get on with fixing this mess. i certainly don't think this is 'throwing up your hands' it will take enormous effort and clarity of purpose and leadership. ahh fuck i just saw the problem.

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Sunday, 26 June 2016 20:42 (seven years ago) link

think i'd be better off just throwing up my hands if the alternative is expecting anything whatsoever off this Labour party in the way of effective opposition

Windsor Davies, Sunday, 26 June 2016 20:50 (seven years ago) link

It's Catch 22. If Labour (not just Corbyn) had clarity of purpose and leadership months ago, then Remain would have won and we wouldn't be in a situation where we need Labour (or whoever) to have clarity of purpose and leadership.

I'm part of the 48.1 percent (snoball), Sunday, 26 June 2016 20:53 (seven years ago) link

naive thoughts - the media hates corbyn (and indeed most left wingers), the hatred has made labour hate corbyn more, he hasnt been given enough a chance to prove his mettle, and i just dont envision a leadership battle being the most effective solution. surely now, when there is a gaping vacuum, is the time to make advances, not the time for intra party struggles. then again, it depends on how soon they can install a new leader.

StillAdvance, Sunday, 26 June 2016 20:53 (seven years ago) link

national crisis, an outgoing tory PM, surely this would have been the time for labour to strike.

StillAdvance, Sunday, 26 June 2016 20:55 (seven years ago) link

Too busy striking themselves.

I'm part of the 48.1 percent (snoball), Sunday, 26 June 2016 20:56 (seven years ago) link

he hasnt been given enough a chance to prove his mettle

his referendum campaign was that chance, what greater chance do you want?

coygbiv (NickB), Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:04 (seven years ago) link

a referendum he wasn't particular fussed over in a partnership with a bunch of Tories probably not his most obvious moment to get all statesmanlike

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:06 (seven years ago) link

statesmanlike is such cobblers too, he's barely had time to introduce the kind of economic policies he'd like to see the party adopt

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:07 (seven years ago) link

and to repeat the bleeding obvious, if you want to tell people that immigration is ok, you'd better have some policies in place to deal with the extra strain on state resources. rather than just nodding and going along with cutting the fuck out of everything.

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:08 (seven years ago) link

basically how I break it down to an extent
https://twitter.com/huwlemmey/status/747149954750287872

cozen, Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:09 (seven years ago) link

(xxxxp) exactly. Corbyn had an entire year. I don't know if the rumours of him refusing to stand on a stage with Cameron are true, but if they are it seems short-sighted. We were four years away from a General Election last week, would it really have been a problem to work with Cameron to ensure that Remain won a majority?

I'm part of the 48.1 percent (snoball), Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:09 (seven years ago) link

most historic moment for the country in the last however many years and it's not the moment for the leader of the opposition to show some sort of gumption? xps

coygbiv (NickB), Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:09 (seven years ago) link

he didn't even have to stand alongside the tories, just y'know speak in a way to natural labour voters in a way that connected with them

coygbiv (NickB), Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:11 (seven years ago) link

almost the same percentage of Labour voters as SNP voters went with Remain, haven't seen anybody calling fuck out of Nicola Sturgeon

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:13 (seven years ago) link

his referendum campaign was that chance, what greater chance do you want?

Most Labour voters voted remain, what more do you want? xps

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:16 (seven years ago) link

We were four years away from a General Election last week, would it really have been a problem to work with Cameron to ensure that Remain won a majority?

Cameron thinks Corbyn is a friend of yer brown-skinned terrorists. But the notion this would've made any difference to anyone is hilarious.

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:18 (seven years ago) link

PLANK CORBYN SHOULD HAVE DEPLOYED MATTY TAYLOR TO INFLUENCE KEY BREXIT CONSTITUENCIES, INTRODUCE SYSTEMS THINKING TO SHADOW CABINET MEETINGS

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:20 (seven years ago) link

"almost the same percentage of Labour voters as SNP voters went with Remain, haven't seen anybody calling fuck out of Nicola"

I know SNP voters who voted remain in pursuit of a second independence referendum.

a goon shaped fule (onimo), Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:21 (seven years ago) link

Is David Miliband coming back to stand for Jo Cox's seat and then etc etc save us all? That seems to be the extend of the PLP's 'vision'.

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:22 (seven years ago) link

he stumbled between navigating anti immigration tories and pro immigration/progressive/liberal socialists. waitrose socialism wouldnt have cut it in old labour bases. and to be anti immigration (and do anything with cameron) would negate corbyn's core socialist beliefs. he just seems incapable of thinking 'bigger'. all they needed to do was speak louder IMO, denounce the leave campaign for what it was, remind people that the enemy was austerity cuts, not the EU, but that just didnt seem to come through. all the labour leaflets i got were just about relatively small points on what voting remain would save. he might have gotten most labour voters to vote remain, but the problem isnt that, its who those labour voters are (or arent, rather) in 2016.

StillAdvance, Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:22 (seven years ago) link

Most Labour voters voted remain, what more do you want? xps

back of a fag packet calculation but

63% of labour voters voted remain

75% of green voters voted remain

if labour could have equalled that then that would have been 900k more remain voters and 900k less leave voters

Remain: 16,141,241 + 900,000 = 17,041,241

Leave: 17,410,742 - 900,000 = 16,510,742

coygbiv (NickB), Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:27 (seven years ago) link

thanks Obama

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:30 (seven years ago) link

calculation based on 9M labour voters in the 2015 GE btw

coygbiv (NickB), Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:31 (seven years ago) link

Corbyn, like Cameron, didn't have a plan come Friday morning. Stir ego is looking good this morning because she came to the podium with a clear plan and looks even better because no one else has. If Corbyn had come out on Friday morning and articulated a plan for a progressive exit, making the best of the situation. If he wasn't that hot on the EU then what was his plan for a post-EU future. He didn't get control of the narrative and left the door open for the plotters, compounding a lacklustre remain campaign.

It seems like arrogance or incompetence not to have any contingency plans, not as bad as the deafening silence from the leave campaign but the remain side has been too busy collapsing to hold them to account.

American Fear of Pranksterism (Ed), Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:33 (seven years ago) link

ok - so Corbyn is the sole reason they didn't equal the LOL Green? Their leadership isn't any more effective than Corbyn when it was scrutinized and their small base is already signed up to the EU and composed of the base that could've belonged to Labour in the first place, had people of Corbyn's wing been more of a presence at the top of Lab in the last few years.

56% of Tories vote against Dave.

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:33 (seven years ago) link

Corbyn has just issued a statement. He is 1) not standing down and 2) standing in a new election. Looks like he is taking this to the bitter, bitter end.

Good.

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:34 (seven years ago) link

I'm glad too.

StillAdvance, Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:36 (seven years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Cl1n7CqXEAAZQsl.jpg

cozen, Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:36 (seven years ago) link

can we extrapolate out based on however big + how presumably homogeneous a group green voters are

honestly in my cynicism for all the armchair postgaming the only thing i think might've magically worked as a silver bullet to convince our racist electorate is ... tony blair 1.0, some preternaturally gifted slimy communicator in the right place at the right time. the people who voted leave wouldn't have been meaningfully corrected by a distinction abt austerity rather than the eu causing their problems

schlump, Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:37 (seven years ago) link

Corbyn, like Cameron, didn't have a plan come Friday morning

This is absolutely ludicrous - his statement does talk about shaping a future where employment and social rights are protected. Which was the case whether the UK stayed in or came out of the EU.

idk what is this love with Nicola Sturgeon, she hasn't been tested yet, has had a very easy ride. Totally a new Nick Clegg-type, waiting to be pounded by the dirt of the reality of politics, which is an Independent Scotland.

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:40 (seven years ago) link

ok - so Corbyn is the sole reason they didn't equal the LOL Green?

just saying it might have helped if we'd have heard his voice a bit more

coygbiv (NickB), Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:44 (seven years ago) link

There were plenty of Labour remain voices. Former labour PMs etc. The good and great of Sunderland told them all where to go.

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:45 (seven years ago) link

sturgeon is one of the most experienced politicians in scotland & has a longer & more varied history in politics than the current (?) PM or chancellor

cozen, Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:47 (seven years ago) link

the north east is probably exactly the people that corbyn should have been connecting with tbh. if he doesn't speak for them, wtf is he even for?

coygbiv (NickB), Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:47 (seven years ago) link

Speaking for constituencies voting by margins of 68/32 or 70/30 to leave the EU would not necessarily mean taking an even more unambiguously pro-EU position.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:52 (seven years ago) link

Ok Cozen - she just seems flavour of the moment and to see her cast as 'oh if only Lab could be led by someone like her maybe all our problems would be solved' just isn't on. Doesn't stick.

I think the mistake is to think that dangling someone from the left-wing of the party is enough. Especially when his leadership has been undermined night and day by the PLP, who has spent decades doing not that much for the North East or Wales.

The problems that Labour have in these areas are far deeper. Its hard to know at all how they can be solved, or that base could be re-built. One thing you don't do is what we have seen today.

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 26 June 2016 21:55 (seven years ago) link

maybe flavour of the moment in england, sure, but that's just a function of ppl's general ignorance about scottish politics. she is an extraordinarily capable and experienced politician (ex-lawyer):

activist since 16, stood for WM in 1992 (no success), SNP energy & education spokesperson late 90s, MSP at opening of holyrood, then shadow cab sec for education, then for health, then justice. elected deputy leader of the SNP over a decade ago. served as SNP's holyrood parliamentary leader (ie leader of the opposition) from 2003-2007 while salmond took a seat in WM. when SNP were elected in 2007, she was cabinet secretary for health (notably successful in her handling of two disease outbreaks.) 2012 cabinet sec for cities /infrastructure/investment.

since 2014, well you probably know that story

cozen, Sunday, 26 June 2016 22:02 (seven years ago) link

if lab could be led by someone like nicola sturgeon (i.e. someone with that much time served with the party, of cabinet level experience and who is able to carry the party membership wholesale) then yeah they would be in better stead. unfortunately, you can’t just magic those up. you’ve got to invest in them

accept you’re underlying point though: that’s not what people mean when they say it though; they mean someone who is authoritative & presents well.

cozen, Sunday, 26 June 2016 22:07 (seven years ago) link

I know SNP voters who voted remain in pursuit of a second independence referendum.

― a goon shaped fule (onimo)

do you mean voted leave?

I know a couple who did that in a misguided attempt to force indyref2

Cosmic Slop, Sunday, 26 June 2016 22:10 (seven years ago) link

if we're talking well liked female politicians in scotland who have been tested & has had a very easy ride... look no further than ruth davidson, the single most overrated politician in the british isles. a politician of no substance whose one actual achievement is beating the hollow husk of scottish labour into distant second at holyrood

sidebar on scottish politics ends

cozen, Sunday, 26 June 2016 22:13 (seven years ago) link

haven't*

cozen, Sunday, 26 June 2016 22:14 (seven years ago) link

Sorry, yes. They voted leave, hoping for exactly the result we got. xxxp

a goon shaped fule (onimo), Sunday, 26 June 2016 22:15 (seven years ago) link

Jesus Christ lol Johnson what a legend has spoken. Guys, this was never about immigration, it was just about legislation. We can still keep all the benefits of being in Europe. It wasn't an overwhelming win. The pound is strong, not weak. Thank fuck, we can all go to bed now.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/26/i-cannot-stress-too-much-that-britain-is-part-of-europe--and-alw/

stet, Sunday, 26 June 2016 22:17 (seven years ago) link

Almost looks like he's trying to get out of being the next PM after all.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Sunday, 26 June 2016 22:29 (seven years ago) link

Oh here, why did they all start revolting again?

Jeremy Corbyn is preparing to call for a war crimes investigation into Tony Blair http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/jeremy-corbyn-still-prepared-to-call-for-war-crimes-investigation-into-tony-blair-a7042926.html

stet, Sunday, 26 June 2016 22:30 (seven years ago) link

Sky News Newsdesk Verified account
‏@SkyNewsBreak

Leading 'out' campaigner Boris Johnson says the margin by which the UK voted to leave the European Union was "not entirely overwhelming"

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 26 June 2016 22:36 (seven years ago) link

Lol! that has made my night.

lots of people itt are calling for a Blair mk 2 and another diluted Tory manifesto, and still think beating the Tories at any cost represents some kind of victory. Maybe '97-'07 was the golden years for some people idk. Also people trying conflate Corbyn's calmness + lack of media sheen as incompetence is bullshit, it's like what ShariVari said about if he was a Vegas era Elvis trying to diverge from the 2 party system - he'd still get tarred with the same brush.

calzino, Sunday, 26 June 2016 22:48 (seven years ago) link

Any appetite for corbyn bringing labour (however electorally diminished) to where they should be on the spectrum, shedding the blair scum to form or join whatever, and start from there?

I wouldve thought this was the plan for him anyways, but has brexit significantly changed ppl's views on this or was the above not widely seen as the likely (necessary) approach?

EU don't negotiate with errorists (darraghmac), Sunday, 26 June 2016 22:52 (seven years ago) link

@mattholehouse: Where we are now: EU27 have offered UK a six month window to get grip and form government it can negotiate in good faith that may inc EEA

stet, Sunday, 26 June 2016 23:06 (seven years ago) link

idk what is this love with Nicola Sturgeon, she hasn't been tested yet, has had a very easy ride.

This is exactly what I was going to post earlier. We'll get to see her real mettle over the course of this crisis, it's been a cakewalk for her so far in Scotland with Labour disintegrating. Salmond made all the breakthroughs for SNP and he was in charge for the Indyref. All she's had to do so far is tiptoe round Labour corpses strewn here there and everywhere while doing her Mini Merkel routine.

They could have been Stackridge. (Tom D.), Sunday, 26 June 2016 23:16 (seven years ago) link

this country is probably utterly fucked and will never get better in my lifetime because that's how enough fuckers like it and this referendum is only a tiny bit of that

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 23:18 (seven years ago) link

75% of green voters voted remain

what the actual fuck @ this being under, like, 98%

imago, Sunday, 26 June 2016 23:19 (seven years ago) link

note of good cheer before bedtime. fuck the PLP, burn the fucking party to the ground, it's all its good for.

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Sunday, 26 June 2016 23:19 (seven years ago) link

Dogs and cat lie together and me and nv find our common political cause

EU don't negotiate with errorists (darraghmac), Sunday, 26 June 2016 23:28 (seven years ago) link

No idea about the UK but in Ireland the Green Party (back when it was relevant) contained a significant Eurosceptic/Lexit wing.

ǂbait (seandalai), Sunday, 26 June 2016 23:28 (seven years ago) link

I'm just about all linked out, and this is from a guy I don't know, but does at least point out the context of the coming year and under which any negotiations would be conducted
https://medium.com/@octskyward/ok-what-now-e3f64d38f7#.xenq7qjme

stet, Sunday, 26 June 2016 23:43 (seven years ago) link

That link is pretty terrifying and looks sound but is written by someone who is neutral on BoJo and thinks he will be a tough negotiator but it seems to me he wouldn't have the first clue about how to constructively negotiate let alone do it staunchly.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Monday, 27 June 2016 00:05 (seven years ago) link

If the UK announces that it will create a new European Trade Area with any other economically equal countries that exit the EU, featuring no trade barriers but controlled migration, then the existence of an alternative would likely increase support for EU exit in other major European economies. By adopting a “compromise is death” negotiating strategy the EU leaves the UK with only one card to play — sticking in the knife and helping them along.

I am...sceptical about the advisability of this tactic, and about the likelihood that e.g. the French would be all about joining a "Made in Britain" /Provisional EEA project.

ǂbait (seandalai), Monday, 27 June 2016 00:18 (seven years ago) link

if Corbyn appoints another shadow cabinet by the end of the day, like he's said he's going to, then is there a good chance that among the people he appoints will be some of the small number of Labour MPs who supported brexit? (Kate Hoey? Graham Stringer? can John Cryer be a member of the shadow cabinet at the same time as being PLP chair?) (he doesn't have that many ppl left to choose from as much as anything else, considering how many MPs ruled themselves out back in September as well as everyone who resigned from the shadow cabinet yesterday).
if he does, it seems like that could be significant in terms of ppl's hopes that Labour are going to push to somehow block or at least delay brexit, also significant for his opponents attempts to paint him as someone who was never really committed to remain campaign?

soref, Monday, 27 June 2016 02:26 (seven years ago) link

Shares in Barclays and RBS have been suspended. Foxtons are down 25% in the last three hours.

Osborne's statement obvs not helping a great deal.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 27 June 2016 09:31 (seven years ago) link

Watson has told Corbyn to resign

groovypanda, Monday, 27 June 2016 09:40 (seven years ago) link

:D

imago, Monday, 27 June 2016 09:45 (seven years ago) link

they'll never take our ecstasy away

Bein' Sean Bean (LocalGarda), Monday, 27 June 2016 09:49 (seven years ago) link

Corbyn could conceivably not have enough support in the PLP to get on the ballot for a leadership election he'd win by a country mile. Both sides are taking legal advice on whether he'd have to be included automatically but there is no clear guidance or precedent.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 27 June 2016 09:51 (seven years ago) link

A parliamentary party that can't even get rid of its own leader is totally electable. I can hear the voters hammering down the door now

stet, Monday, 27 June 2016 09:54 (seven years ago) link

Greens need to pounce immediately if he's ousted

imago, Monday, 27 June 2016 09:56 (seven years ago) link

I'd be tempted if i was him. I think he has too much love for the party to switch sides, though.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 27 June 2016 09:59 (seven years ago) link

Maybe Labour should just split up for the kids.

nashwan, Monday, 27 June 2016 10:01 (seven years ago) link

New Statesman is reporting that Watson didn't tell Corbyn to resign and the BBC is wrong, fwiw.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 27 June 2016 10:04 (seven years ago) link

You'll have to pry his Labour Party membership card from his cold dead hands.

They could have been Stackridge. (Tom D.), Monday, 27 June 2016 10:07 (seven years ago) link

If the PLP want to drive a wedge between Corbyn and his young/urban supporters among the membership, casting him as having sabotaged the Remain campaign is a decent strategy.

― ǂbait (seandalai), Sunday, June 26, 2016 6:35 PM (Yesterday) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

The Labour leader and his team were guilty of ‘deliberate sabotage’ of the remain campaign. Members should remember this if they’re asked to re-elect him

ǂbait (seandalai), Monday, 27 June 2016 10:08 (seven years ago) link

like boris, im going back on my previous thoughts re: corbyn. i now think his relative silence, and the failure of labour members, during the referendum could be a great asset. seeing as he never really wanted to remain, he could utilise that ambivalence, or rather, his pro-brexit beliefs, to seal an election victory.

he never wanted to stay in the EU, and if he exploits this in a way that doesnt blur with that of gove/boris/farrage, it could be exactly what disenfranchised old labour voters will gravitate towards.

StillAdvance, Monday, 27 June 2016 10:11 (seven years ago) link

that could be a good strategy

calzino, Monday, 27 June 2016 10:17 (seven years ago) link

What on earth....

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Monday, 27 June 2016 10:17 (seven years ago) link

i suggest replacing corbyn with vitellius.

hypnic jerk (rushomancy), Monday, 27 June 2016 10:31 (seven years ago) link

I'm just about all linked out, and this is from a guy I don't know, but does at least point out the context of the coming year and under which any negotiations would be conducted
https://medium.com/@octskyward/ok-what-now-e3f64d38f7#.xenq7qjme

― stet, maandag 27 juni 2016 1:43 (10 hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Don't know about the rest, but the part abt The Netherlands, Wilders and a possible referendum here is wrong and wildly speculative on so many accounts I don't know where to start.

Le Bateau Ivre, Monday, 27 June 2016 10:38 (seven years ago) link

That's a double relief, thanks

stet, Monday, 27 June 2016 10:53 (seven years ago) link

Nandy has resigned and said she won't stand as leader so bang goes that idea.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 27 June 2016 11:07 (seven years ago) link

I'm corralling all my linking urges here Rolling Brexit Links/News thread

stet, Monday, 27 June 2016 11:12 (seven years ago) link

idk whether there will actually be a shadow cabinet by the end of the day but it's good to see Clive Lewis promoted.

Pat Glass also sounds cool:

Glass has taken a prominent role in Labour’s campaign to remain in the EU in the June 2016 referendum campaign. On 19 May 2016, she apologised after calling an elector "a horrible racist", which was caught at the end of a radio interview recording and reported by the media. She also added "I'm never coming back to wherever this is"

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 27 June 2016 11:25 (seven years ago) link

One of the Eagles has flown and i'd assume the other will later.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 27 June 2016 11:28 (seven years ago) link

i hope they're not planning on leaving mount doom without frodo

hypnic jerk (rushomancy), Monday, 27 June 2016 11:36 (seven years ago) link

maybe they should just, you know, take it easy

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Monday, 27 June 2016 11:44 (seven years ago) link

Lyin' Eyes, Already Gone, The Last Resort, New Kid In Town, etc, also available.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 27 June 2016 11:48 (seven years ago) link

I'll go to corbyn rally in parliament square this evening

conrad, Monday, 27 June 2016 11:56 (seven years ago) link

I see shares the distaste for cleverness of her husband (Jack Sprat).

Don't forget "Chug All Night" (xxp)

They could have been Stackridge. (Tom D.), Monday, 27 June 2016 12:07 (seven years ago) link

I had begun to feel slightly less despairing (prob less because any actual news seemed encouraging than because a brain cannot stay at my Friday levels of despair and stay alive) but now I've read the links thread I am re-entering full-on "oh shit, we're fucked" mode

if anyone would like to dissuade me I'll be under my desk

a passing spacecadet, Monday, 27 June 2016 12:13 (seven years ago) link

Deskit

EU don't negotiate with errorists (darraghmac), Monday, 27 June 2016 12:15 (seven years ago) link

Yes. Today definitely feels like the worst day since Friday.

Alba, Monday, 27 June 2016 12:17 (seven years ago) link

who knew all the complaining that labour was tory-lite and the answer was to become ukip-lite all along

Mordy, Monday, 27 June 2016 12:31 (seven years ago) link

Having one MP is something to aim for.

They could have been Stackridge. (Tom D.), Monday, 27 June 2016 12:35 (seven years ago) link

This is like the Iraq war. Anyone in favour who didn't see it ending in disaster should be barred from being taken seriously about anything ever again. Not that Kelvin MacKenzie has ever been taken seriously.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 27 June 2016 12:44 (seven years ago) link

Glass has taken a prominent role in Labour’s campaign to remain in the EU in the June 2016 referendum campaign. On 19 May 2016, she apologised after calling an elector "a horrible racist", which was caught at the end of a radio interview recording and reported by the media. She also added "I'm never coming back to wherever this is"

she sounds just like the person to help labour win back their heartlands.

StillAdvance, Monday, 27 June 2016 12:47 (seven years ago) link

does anyone actually feel better hearing from 'regretful' voters? if anything, it just makes me more angry. im not even sure i believe it anymore. its starting to seem trendy.

StillAdvance, Monday, 27 June 2016 12:50 (seven years ago) link

It's bollocks, isn't it? ComRes poll at the weekend suggested four times as many REMAIN voters were regretful as Leave ones (4% of remain voters happy with result, 1% leave voters unhappy). OK, I guess pollsters could face some seriously shy Leave voters now.

Alba, Monday, 27 June 2016 12:54 (seven years ago) link

Radio 4 this morning said 7% I think but don't know where they were getting that from.

Alba, Monday, 27 June 2016 12:55 (seven years ago) link

iirc correctly Glass apologised for the I'm never coming back to wherever this is" comment but pointedly didn't apologise for calling the voter racist, which reflected well on her, I thought.

can't get over this sentence from that Freedland article:

And nor did he help those Labour campaigners, encountering deep misgivings about immigration on the doorstep in traditional Labour areas, when he chose a set-piece interview with Andrew Marr on the Sunday before polling day to say that he did not see either the possibility or the need for an upper limit on migration – and all but agreeing with Marr that if you had concerns about immigration your best bet was to vote leave.

like, there are many things you can criticise Corbyn for, but you chose this? that he didn't lie and pretend that there's some way to stop free movement of labour if you stay in the EU?

soref, Monday, 27 June 2016 12:58 (seven years ago) link

Trying to imagine what scenario entails for you to Vote Remain, lose the referendum, see all the economic and political chaos it causes and then declare you're happy with the result.

Unless you're some MP with aspirations I suppose.

groovypanda, Monday, 27 June 2016 12:59 (seven years ago) link

SNP voters?

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 27 June 2016 13:08 (seven years ago) link

many guardian journalists strike me as being no smarter than any kelvin mckenzie types. and they wont be happy until labour is in power, no matter how they get there. corbyn can be a mess of a leader but at least he stands for an alternative. also doesnt help that think piece mania means people are just churning their oh so very important opinions out seemingly by the hour.

StillAdvance, Monday, 27 June 2016 13:10 (seven years ago) link

and they wont be happy until labour is in power

God knows what's given you that idea.

They could have been Stackridge. (Tom D.), Monday, 27 June 2016 13:43 (seven years ago) link

Yes, when was the last time they were fully behind a Labour leader? 2001?

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 27 June 2016 13:46 (seven years ago) link

well ok. i just meant they cant help but find fault, whatever corbyn does. if he was in power, it might be another story. then again, yes, both brown and corbyn have been on the receiving end of relentless negative campaigns. they cant possibly win these people over, who like to pose as being of the left, but probably dont really believe in it.

StillAdvance, Monday, 27 June 2016 13:50 (seven years ago) link

don't think anybody in the PLP is claiming to be "of the left" any more

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Monday, 27 June 2016 13:51 (seven years ago) link

if they force a leadership contest every potential candidate should be required to offer 5 policy goals, if only because I dearly need the lulz

Inglan is a Bitch (Noodle Vague), Monday, 27 June 2016 13:53 (seven years ago) link

Yes, when was the last time they were fully behind a Labour leader? 2001?

I dunno what you mean by "fully behind" but in the sense of advising people to vote Labour, it was last year

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/may/06/guardian-view-election-2015-may-be-election-of-lifetime

I mean, yes, plenty of columns criticising Labour and Miliband, but that's fine by me, whoever the leader is. I wouldn't want uncritical coverage.

Alba, Monday, 27 June 2016 13:55 (seven years ago) link

jess phillips is a socialist

conrad, Monday, 27 June 2016 13:56 (seven years ago) link

The Guardian ran a relentlessly negative campaign about Miliband prior to the election irrespective of what the final editorial said.

Luciana Berger has gone now.

The Telegraph were reporting he'd be kicked out after a planned flurry of resignations even before the referendum.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 27 June 2016 13:58 (seven years ago) link

We haven't talked too much about this, but surely the media is heavily implicated in all this? That the Brexiteers were never held to account for their lack of plan? I want to watch Newsnight tonight, but at the same time I don't, as their domestic coverage has become so pitiful

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Monday, 27 June 2016 15:24 (seven years ago) link

Yes, deeply, deeply implicated. Mail and Sun worst of all, Express too. But BBC News was pretty woeful at asking questions, and of doing the "balance" thing of stacking shitty Leave campaigners statements against proper experts' as if they were equal.

stet, Monday, 27 June 2016 15:27 (seven years ago) link

Laura K, while not as bad as painted, is awful for focusing on Labour to the exclusion of all else, too

stet, Monday, 27 June 2016 15:27 (seven years ago) link

4m ago
16:25
Back in the Commons, Labour’s Pat McFadden says Boris Johnson in his Telegraph article this morning said he wanted the UK to have full access to the single market. Is there any country with full access to the single market that does not allow free movement of labour?

Cameron says there is no country with full access to the single market that does not also pay a contribution and allow free movement.

ghosts that don't exist (Neil S), Monday, 27 June 2016 15:29 (seven years ago) link

the media love the drama and sensationalism of right wing types like farrage. its a similar thing to how they cover trump. they think its a great big hoot. a little joke that couldnt possibly really come to anything, when obv to many people, its very real. they dont seem to understand this. right wing types also make great copy, and fit better with ideas around what sells papers. more than someone like corbyn, whose beliefs would be too much of a challenge. i also think many 'liberal' journo types cant connect the dots as to how this might affect actual people. theyre too convinced that no one could possibly go for these persuasive, charismatic, embittered right wing demagogues, so dont bother really questioning it. or it just doesnt really affect them, so theyre less likely to interrogate it. plus, its just not as sexy as international affairs. what dyou want to be talking about at a dinner party? the problems of people who dont live that far down the road, or a people a thousand miles away who make you look so much more informed and smart?

StillAdvance, Monday, 27 June 2016 15:39 (seven years ago) link

article fifty ‏@hmclandress 2h2 hours ago

i hate to have political heroes, i don't believe in the great man theory of history, but fuck me corbyn's some man for putting up with this

xyzzzz__, Monday, 27 June 2016 15:43 (seven years ago) link

Jeremy Corbyn plans to address a rally of grassroots supporters at the gates of parliament tonight after facing down his critics within the Parliamentary Labour party.

Labour’s leader will at first attend a crucial meeting of MPs where he is expected to face calls for his resignation including former members of his shadow cabinet.

But after calling for party unity, he plans to address a Momentum rally on Parliament Square, 20 yards from the parliamentary estate, sources said.

He may well be flanked at the rally by up to 20 MPs, who among those who remain loyal to Labour’s leader.

The address will offer a stark reminder to MPs that Corbyn’s support remains outside the Parliamentary party which has always been hostile towards him.

A source close to his office confirmed that he would address the rally following the PLP meeting.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 27 June 2016 15:43 (seven years ago) link

keir starmer is the latest to depart the cabinet of shadows. that is a major loss if corbs clings on cuz he is a really strong voice for human rights

coygbiv (NickB), Monday, 27 June 2016 16:04 (seven years ago) link

still consistently amazed/amused that there is an actual thing called "the shadow cabinet" in UK politics

jason waterfalls (gbx), Monday, 27 June 2016 16:13 (seven years ago) link

(is this what we're supposed to do now, take links from the links thread and copy them back here to discuss them?)

Scottish Lab leader Dugdale rejects case for independence:

I understand why people may move to support independence at this stage, but when you have just removed yourself from your second biggest market, why would you want to leave your first?

https://inews.co.uk/essentials/news/uk/kezia-dugdale-case-scottish-independence-stronger-now-brexit/

― stet, Monday, 27 June 2016 16:55 (31 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

I understand she's got a shit job, but pretending that the end-goal of Scottish Independence is being in neither the UK not the EU is impressively brass-necked.

Andrew Farrell, Monday, 27 June 2016 16:28 (seven years ago) link

there are no rules in this topsy-turvy new world

stet, Monday, 27 June 2016 16:40 (seven years ago) link

A lot of right wing papers seem to be expressing regret now - anyone have any idea what the significance of this is?

Never changed username before (cardamon), Monday, 27 June 2016 16:42 (seven years ago) link

having their cake and eating it, natch. They know the public's about to realise it was lied to, and want the politicians to take the blame rather than them

stet, Monday, 27 June 2016 16:44 (seven years ago) link

Interestingly the Mail seems to have Johnson in its sights: mocking headlines, unflattering pictures etc. Scapegoat #1, then

stet, Monday, 27 June 2016 16:48 (seven years ago) link

maybe it's sheer unreflective spleen after a few stock portfolios have taken a hammering

xps. ah I had not noticed the links thread, doh.

The Nickelbackean Ethics (jim in glasgow), Monday, 27 June 2016 16:53 (seven years ago) link

Paul Dacre has long hated Boris Johnson, hasn't he?

soref, Monday, 27 June 2016 16:56 (seven years ago) link

also women

nashwan, Monday, 27 June 2016 16:57 (seven years ago) link

god that's right, forget about that feud

stet, Monday, 27 June 2016 16:58 (seven years ago) link

I'm on a train back from Glastonbury and have just read this entire thread to catch up on the finer details, but Jesus Christ what a complete clusterfuck.

Amazing how Labour have managed to make themselves look so bad when you consider that Cameron is 95% of the way to becoming the Prime Minister who literally destroyed the United Kingdom.

Matt DC, Monday, 27 June 2016 17:47 (seven years ago) link

otm

EU don't negotiate with errorists (darraghmac), Monday, 27 June 2016 18:06 (seven years ago) link

Just saw a poll summary that puts Tories 2pts ahead of Labour right now, with all respondents aware of ref result

stet, Monday, 27 June 2016 18:10 (seven years ago) link

I mean, how? Is that pure Corbyn toxicity?

stet, Monday, 27 June 2016 18:10 (seven years ago) link

The have just delivered the result 52% of the country asked for and presumably won back support from UKIP. It doesn't seem unreasonable.

If they are still ahead in six months I would be surprised.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 27 June 2016 18:13 (seven years ago) link

Well yes, but that list should also include "jeopardised the union, threaten to reignite the Troubles, collapsed the pound, tanked the markets and made us a global laughing stock"

stet, Monday, 27 June 2016 18:21 (seven years ago) link

It will take a while before all that properly sinks in. Gove was clear there would be some short term problems and Lilico advertised the fact he expected a recession but it would all be worth it in the end. It's the ultimate 'keep calm and carry on' motivational poster. When it all unravels they'll struggle.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 27 June 2016 18:27 (seven years ago) link

The have just delivered the result 52% of the country asked for

you mean 37.4% of the electorate

Steve Reich In The Afternoon (Against The 80s), Monday, 27 June 2016 18:34 (seven years ago) link

the idea that the voters didn't represent 100% of the populace is cold comfort

Mordy, Monday, 27 June 2016 18:37 (seven years ago) link

If there is a significant number of people who vote in general elections but didn't vote in the referendum then I'd be very surprised.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 27 June 2016 18:44 (seven years ago) link

Gideon's baby aka Britain's credit rating lowered by S&P to AA, from AAA. All that austerity..

xyzzzz__, Monday, 27 June 2016 18:45 (seven years ago) link

when 52% of the population who bothered to vote in the referendum chiefly voted on the basis of english nationalism and nativism i don't find it strange that old lefty corbyn who won't sing god save the queen and thinks the Malvinas should be given to Argentina isnt exactly winning over the UK polity

The Nickelbackean Ethics (jim in glasgow), Monday, 27 June 2016 18:46 (seven years ago) link

Yeah, the idea that a Corbyn could win over any voters, Remain or Leave, in this current climate is hard to imagine. "Vote for us – I'm secretly a bit Brexity"

I don't know what he could have done, given his beliefs, but anyway.

Alba, Monday, 27 June 2016 18:49 (seven years ago) link

I'm never coming back to wherever this is

new UK tourism campaign

wizzz! (amateurist), Monday, 27 June 2016 18:50 (seven years ago) link

The current climate is about to change. So much so that Corbyn's support or otherwise for Remain won't be much to dwell upon. xp

xyzzzz__, Monday, 27 June 2016 18:52 (seven years ago) link

The rally in London looks fantastic.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 27 June 2016 18:54 (seven years ago) link

George Eaton (New Statesman) on twitter:

I'm now near-certain that Corbyn voted Leave. Hear papers have more tomorrow.

Le Bateau Ivre, Monday, 27 June 2016 18:58 (seven years ago) link

I think there are essentially two options for Labour going forward. One is to, acknowledge that immigration brings some issues but challenge bigotry head on, sell the contribution of migrants to the economy, culture and communities and aim to spread some of the economic benefits of being part of a global economy outside the metropolitan hubs. The other is to try to win over the right by shifting further to the right, even though whatever you do will never be seen as enough.

If whoever replaces Corbyn can do the former effectively, good luck to them. I have no idea, from the contenders, who that would be though. Corbyn is trying.

This is hyperbolic but lots of it hits:

http://www.versobooks.com/blogs/2729-the-whorled-circle-of-a-political-cosmology

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 27 June 2016 19:02 (seven years ago) link

For years, Labour has attempted to endear itself to the populace by adopting the language of the far right – Gordon Brown’s ‘British jobs for British workers’; Ed Miliband putting the words ‘controls on immigration’ on an official mug and the rock that would become his tombstone. It’s a curious form of self-abasement: a metropolitan elite, terrified of what it is and desperate to be seen as something else, takes its worst prejudices about the working classes and upholds them as a positive. Unsurprisingly, it hasn’t worked – people who do subscribe to racist ideologies will tend to vote for parties that espouse them out of the genuine conviction of evil, rather than those who openly announce that their evil is only a cynical ploy. But it has had the effect of entrenching the language of the far right across the political spectrum, and thereby reinforcing the idiot axiom that you have to speak it to win popular support.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 27 June 2016 19:04 (seven years ago) link

if it comes out that corbyn voted leave that would for sure be the nail in the coffin right?

Mordy, Monday, 27 June 2016 19:05 (seven years ago) link

are there any good options left for Corbyn at this point? it seems unlikely he will quit, so presumably there will now be a leadership election. if he wins re-election Labour are fucked. right? whether or not you think a Corbyn led Labour party was un-electable before it surely will be once a majority of his MPs have made clear that they think he's useless. any other Labour members on ilx - would you vote for him in another leadership election? I mean, I know that his opponents have intentionally engineered a situation where his remaining will be a disaster, but that doesn't change the fact that it *will* be a disaster. I guess I'd vote for him again, but it's such a mess.

soref, Monday, 27 June 2016 19:05 (seven years ago) link

xp to all that Corbyn voted Leave stuff, which I'd previously assumed was just nonsense, but if there is actually proof he did then oh god

soref, Monday, 27 June 2016 19:06 (seven years ago) link

Is there any way short of violence that rallies like the Corbyn-supporting one can prevent themselves being hijacked by SWP and other parties? I guess not. Seems a shame for genuine Labour Corbyn loyalists.

Alba, Monday, 27 June 2016 19:08 (seven years ago) link

No, the SWP would turn up to the opening of a cat cafe if they thought it would get them on the news. They've tarnished every single vaguely leftist gathering for twenty years.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 27 June 2016 19:10 (seven years ago) link

haha sounds like the RCP in the US

sleeve, Monday, 27 June 2016 19:13 (seven years ago) link

Laura Kuenssberg
‏@bbcIaurak
BREAKING: Understand Peter Mandelson is being suggested by MPs as a potential candidate to oppose Corbyns in a leadership contest.

Damn it, i think they've hit on the winning formula. I'm pretty sure i could beat Mandelson in a leadership contest, let alone Corbyn.

I'm genuinely starting to think that every major player in contemporary British politics is trying to sabotage their own attempts to get power because they realise it'll be appalling if they do.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 27 June 2016 19:17 (seven years ago) link

I hope Corbyn lasts until at least Chilcot.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Monday, 27 June 2016 19:17 (seven years ago) link

i hope Mandelson no wait that's not legal

Aw, it's a fake account.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 27 June 2016 19:18 (seven years ago) link

Is there a gif of that young guy beaming with excitement and putting on a Che t-shirt while a crowd cheers him on? That was hilarious and there should be a gif. I think that was at a Corbyn rally but I'm not sure.

Robert Adam Gilmour, Monday, 27 June 2016 19:18 (seven years ago) link

It's irrelevant - Corbyn won't have nominations from enough MPs to get on the ballot. Unless there's a rule I don't know about which puts him automatically on there. If he is on the ballot he could well win and the Labour Party will probably split.

Matt DC, Monday, 27 June 2016 19:21 (seven years ago) link

If he isn't on the ballot the party will split.

Legal advice is being taken on whether he has to go on automatically.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 27 June 2016 19:23 (seven years ago) link

he doesn't have to abide by the no confidence i thought

How can people be certain he voted leave? It was a private ballot. He said on Twitter he voted remain, anyway.
https://mobile.twitter.com/jeremycorbyn/status/745886722987294720

gyac, Monday, 27 June 2016 19:27 (seven years ago) link

xp he doesn't, but MPs and MEPs can still force leadership contest if 50 of them nominate challenger, I think

soref, Monday, 27 June 2016 19:27 (seven years ago) link

could corbyn maybe stand aside and endorse someone of his choosing to carry the membership? someone 'electable'? dunno who that is tho. clive lewis?

cozen, Monday, 27 June 2016 19:27 (seven years ago) link

strike that. couldn't get his candidate on the ballot

cozen, Monday, 27 June 2016 19:29 (seven years ago) link

The Labour Party hasn't committed regicide in my memory and I suspect this is yet another area where they turn out to be a paler version of the Tories.

Agree with Tracer though that Labour being in the driving seat when the settlement is agreed trumps virtually all other concerns. If nothing else they're more likely to win sympathy from the EU than one of the dudes who kicked the fucking thing over in the first place.

Because I haven't seen it mentioned yet, Cameron has to go down as our worst post-war PM? Even overlooking austerity, he's left the country poorer and on the verge of literally breaking apart. Instead of trying to bring the country in times of crisis he has opened the door and actively invited the UK to tear itself apart. All bravado, all tactics, no real strategy.

Matt DC, Monday, 27 June 2016 19:30 (seven years ago) link

In April 2015, Lewis made controversial comments when, in an interview for the New Statesman, he said (in jest), in response to a question on whether he was taking his upcoming victory for granted, he would only lose if he was "caught with [his] pants down behind a goat with Ed Miliband at the other end". He subsequently apologised for the remark, saying he was "sincerely sorry" if anyone had been offended by the comment.[14]

if he ever does become leader I hope he keeps saying stuff like this

soref, Monday, 27 June 2016 19:35 (seven years ago) link

Cameron as worst post-war PM has been talked about (not so much on the thread), hardly been time for that, what with the economy and this most peculiar situ for the opposition.

I thought Corbyn would get on the ballot to run against a challenger. All the ballot means is that there would be a challenge.

xyzzzz__, Monday, 27 June 2016 19:35 (seven years ago) link

tom's piece is worth reading if you haven't already, MDC
http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/06/brexit-a-guide-to-britains-new-politics.html

L is for Literally the Worst: David Cameron is the worst post-war prime minister, a gambler without even the spine to bet his reputation (and the country’s economy) on something he believed in. The ruin of his reputation is a Brexit silver lining, but a very thin and unsatisfying one. [...] Each of Cameron’s moves, until the final, fatal referendum, was designed for short-term benefit  —  stave off a threat here, win a vote there. But because he seemed to have no strategic sense, each raised the stakes a little higher.

cozen, Monday, 27 June 2016 19:36 (seven years ago) link

xp well Cameron fucked a dead pig so that would still leave him a fighting chance

boxedjoy, Monday, 27 June 2016 19:38 (seven years ago) link

https://twitter.com/cavalorn/status/747513678271025152

cozen, Monday, 27 June 2016 19:39 (seven years ago) link

turning to the actual architects of this whole calamitous shitshow for a second

can johnson be beaten in a tory leadership election?

cozen, Monday, 27 June 2016 19:55 (seven years ago) link

I think it's possible. There's an anyone-but-Johnson wing in the Remain camp that'll ensure that a heavyweight challenger gets on the ballot and gets some support. The key thing will be how the leave camp (which makes up the bulk of the membership and enough MPs to get one of them in the race) takes his tacit acknowledgment that he kind of still wants to be in the EU. A few of them, like Leadsome, seem to be repeating the line that we want access to European markets but without immigration, payments or regulation. This is transparently ridiculous though and Johnson will struggle to go into a campaign with that as his main promise. Anything less isn't what the Eurosceptics voted for and they might try to find someone who'll actually leave, if they can hold their nerve.

If i was him i wouldn't run. Let someone else take the heat and come in to replace them as the voice of reason that can play both sides when it all goes horribly wrong.

xp

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 27 June 2016 20:08 (seven years ago) link

I agree, but I don't think he can help himself. Hell, if he will lead a Leave campaign he doesn't believe in for power he's basically incontinent with desire.

stet, Monday, 27 June 2016 20:12 (seven years ago) link

Really depressing to read soref's posts about Corbyn having to go in order to serve the needs of a party of dogs like the current shit-the-beds of Labour.

EU don't negotiate with errorists (darraghmac), Monday, 27 June 2016 20:13 (seven years ago) link

meh, English politics as per

Lolle http://politi.co/28YubVO

Le Bateau Ivre, Monday, 27 June 2016 20:25 (seven years ago) link

imagine the paranoia when the bastards start talking to each other in foreign

It's still almost everyone else's second language though.

Did anyone see channel 4 news tonight? There was a German pundit on who was weighing up the French and German positions re the triggering of article 50 and he said "and Angela Merkel doesn't want to rush it because she will look like a prig" and then the interviewer, Matt Frei, told him off about his bad language having obviously misheard him.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Monday, 27 June 2016 21:08 (seven years ago) link

Is there any way short of violence that rallies like the Corbyn-supporting one can prevent themselves being hijacked by SWP and other parties?

Went down to Parliament square tonight and yeah this was the most depressing thing about it, such a plethora of types there I wouldn't want to be associated with.

Not that it was depressing overall. Just odd, mostly.

JimD, Monday, 27 June 2016 21:25 (seven years ago) link

I heard that tonight when someone shouted "Jeremy!" the entire SWP turned round saying "what?"

Cosmic Slop, Monday, 27 June 2016 21:30 (seven years ago) link

Boom boom.

They could have been Stackridge. (Tom D.), Monday, 27 June 2016 21:31 (seven years ago) link

A friend who was a union FTO assured me that the SWP only had 2000 actual members nationwide a few years back, and that was before the rape scandal

They just seem to be incredibly organised at turning up to every demonstration of any kind with a fuckton of banners and copies of the Socialist Worker

Dadjokke (Sgt. Biscuits), Monday, 27 June 2016 21:37 (seven years ago) link

grayling hapless and weaselly on newsnight

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Monday, 27 June 2016 22:05 (seven years ago) link

whereas evan davis just hapless and spindly

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Monday, 27 June 2016 22:07 (seven years ago) link

that's quite satisfying isn't it

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Monday, 27 June 2016 22:36 (seven years ago) link

George Eaton (New Statesman) on twitter:

I'm now near-certain that Corbyn voted Leave. Hear papers have more tomorrow.


John Harris‏ @johnharris1969

@georgeeaton Where's This story then? Now seen all splashes


George Eaton‏ @georgeeaton

@johnharris1969 I was just wondering same. Don't know. Was told by Chris Bryant that they'd interviewed someone told by Corbyn that he was voting Leave.

Great work.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 27 June 2016 22:41 (seven years ago) link

Just to clarify, George Eaton reported having been told by Chris Bryant that he'd been told by a newspaper that they had interviewed someone who told them that Corbyn had told them he voted leave.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 27 June 2016 22:44 (seven years ago) link

kind of love the idea that Corbyn and Boris would actually get into the booth and vote for each other's campaign positions, then sweat profusely on camera for months insisting that they'd voted the way they said they had

Dadjokke (Sgt. Biscuits), Monday, 27 June 2016 22:45 (seven years ago) link

I'm sure there is some dubious source that will say that Boris voted Leave, even though it is near impossible to corroborate such bollocks.

calzino, Monday, 27 June 2016 22:50 (seven years ago) link

"Instead of trying to bring the country in times of crisis he has opened the door and actively invited the UK to tear itself apart. All bravado, all tactics, no real strategy."

who says that wasnt a strategy?
#brexitparanoia

StillAdvance, Monday, 27 June 2016 22:54 (seven years ago) link

All that planning and they couldn't come up with an alternate leader.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 27 June 2016 23:07 (seven years ago) link

"England"

I live and die through England
Through England
It leaves a sadness
Remedies never were within my reach
I cannot go on as I am
Withered vine reaching from the country
That I love
England
You leave a taste
A bitter one
I have searched for your springs
But people, they stagnate with time

Like water, like air
To you, England, I cling
Undaunted, never failing love for you
England

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ik9vqRDqyu0

Been listening to this a lot since last Friday. Oddly prescient.

Le Bateau Ivre, Monday, 27 June 2016 23:10 (seven years ago) link

starting to think labour has a death wish.

theres no chance at this point that they, whether with corbyn or a new leader - less so with a new leader actually - could win an election at this stage, is there?

its tragic, as brexit might be terrible for england, but it could just - in my head at least - have worked to labours advantage.

oh well.

maybe something better will replace them in two elections time.

StillAdvance, Monday, 27 June 2016 23:17 (seven years ago) link

xxp

Revealing your dastardly plans in advance has ever worked for whom? Well apart from Blair labour, the Tories, Hitler etc ...

calzino, Monday, 27 June 2016 23:19 (seven years ago) link

if winning the next election was the only reason for a political party to exist none would have ever been founded

ogmor, Monday, 27 June 2016 23:21 (seven years ago) link

Fine legal writer, is Sadakat.

WTF at BBC box pop with Mr Swastika Tattoo who claimed not to be racist?

jedi slimane (suzy), Monday, 27 June 2016 23:45 (seven years ago) link

*vox pop, obvs #fuckingphone

jedi slimane (suzy), Monday, 27 June 2016 23:45 (seven years ago) link

I know! Although seemed to have some kind of mental illness.

Acting Crazy (Instrumental) (jed_), Monday, 27 June 2016 23:46 (seven years ago) link

someone on twitter has let George Eaton know that his "Corbyn voted brexit" story actually *has* been published, but Times decided not to put this amazing scoop on the front page for some reason

Labour’s leader faced extraordinary claims last night that he voted Leave in the EU referendum in defiance of his party’s support for the Remain campaign.

An MP told The Times that a member of the public had got in touch to say he had been told by Jeremy Corbyn that he was voting Out. Mr Corbyn’s team vigorously denied the claim.

The man who made the claim, Martin Waplington, said that he had been dining at Meson Don Felipe, a tapas restaurant in south London on June 17, and spotted Mr Corbyn and his family at another table.

http://www.thetimes.co.uk/_TP_/article/labour-leader-denies-saying-he-d-vote-leave-2lfrn6kz2

the rest is behind a paywall. Eaton is now vigourously tweeting the link to the story at the many people taking the piss out of him

soref, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 01:14 (seven years ago) link

i want to believe but this is obv entirely w/out credibility - no way he disclosed a career ending vote to some dude while eating tapas w/ his family

Mordy, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 01:21 (seven years ago) link

ok, it gets better: the same story appears in the Sun, but the Sun story says that the encounter took place on 10th June rather than the 17th

https://twitter.com/msjenniferjames/status/747589450331525125

soref, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 01:28 (seven years ago) link

https://medium.com/@OwenJones84/my-thoughts-on-the-plight-of-labour-38413229f88?source=user_profile---------1-

Owen Jones was just waiting for an excuse.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 09:49 (seven years ago) link

15m ago
10:34
Farage booed by MEPs

Nigel Farage, the Ukip leader, has just finished addressing the European parliament.

MEPs turned their backs on him after he said none of them had ever done a proper day’s work, and they booed him at the end.

I will post a summary soon.

ǂbait (seandalai), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 09:50 (seven years ago) link

Huge (for the EP) applause for both Alyn Smith and Martina Anderson
https://twitter.com/SkyNews/status/747729114828779521

stet, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 09:57 (seven years ago) link

A lot of people in the Labour Party aren't going to know what to do when they can no longer use Corbyn as a lightning conductor for every excuse they need to make.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 10:07 (seven years ago) link

Yep. A lot of people (like Owen Jones, potentially) are also going to find it hard to unite behind an unreconstructed Brownite pushing a 'progressive case for stopping immigration', which looks like where we are heading.

The case for sticking with Labour is that 'we' collectively can push it to the left. The PLP autonomously shifting harder right and disingenuously pushing the 'we tried to be left wing and it didn't work, so never again' line will be difficult for a lot of the anti-Corbyn centrists.

Reading some of their Twitter feeds it's like they're expecting to find Barack Obama down the back of the sofa to save us all.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 10:14 (seven years ago) link

Both sides casting around desperately for a figurehead and there is none. When even Jeremy fucking Hunt is in the frame to be the next PM you really get a sense of how threadbare the Commons talent pool actually is.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 10:24 (seven years ago) link

I was thinking the same thing the other day. Has the quality of MPs declined with a shift to a more presidential style of government?

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 10:26 (seven years ago) link

Jeremy Hunt talking about a second referendum post-negotiation, and that's a theme with a few people. But I'm curious about what the referendum would ask. Eg, what is option 2? Because the consequences of a second loss could be devastating based on that option

stet, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 10:29 (seven years ago) link

but if negotiations can't start til article 50 and article 50 can't be reversed then what would be the point of a second vote except to check that we're all unhappy with the way things have turned out?

conrad, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 10:36 (seven years ago) link

Article 50 can be reversed, or at least there's nothing in it to say that it can't, and apparently EU treaty law can be treated "flexibly", i.e. can be fudged

ghosts that don't exist (Neil S), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 10:37 (seven years ago) link

Jeremy Hunt talking about a second referendum post-negotiation, and that's a theme with a few people.

would this even be possible now that junker has prevented all EU/MEP communications prior to Art50.

surely once we trigger Art50, then a second ref is pointless ?

mark e, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 10:38 (seven years ago) link

xpost !

mark e, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 10:38 (seven years ago) link

Yeah it was a clever move by Juncker that.

stet, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 10:39 (seven years ago) link

Possibly the worst ever time for "Don't worry, the EU will make more exceptions for the UK".

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 10:41 (seven years ago) link

I actually don't think there's anything wrong with asking people, once they've looked over the precipice, whether they REALLY want to jump off it. But there seem to be a worrying number of people in this country who think they've voted to basically end immigration, and the boost that going back on the result could offer the far right is terrifying.

Entrusting the negotiations to someone who can negotiate properly with Brussels strikes me as the least worst option, but I don't know who that is. It's not Johnson, it's not Corbyn, it's certainly not Hunt, and it's probably not some wet-behind-the-ears Blairite either. The problem is that Labour have broadly speaking only promoted or selected yes-men for an entire generation and the paucity of imagination is there for all to see, and everyone knows what the problems with the Tories are.

There has to be an election before anything begins, that much is certain, the issue is too important to be left to Conservative Party members alone.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 10:43 (seven years ago) link

Interesting point - the deal negotiated with Cameron is already off the table after the referendum.

http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/ld201516/ldselect/ldeucom/138/138.pdf

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 10:47 (seven years ago) link

lol is it?? loooooool if so

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 10:51 (seven years ago) link

i mean i guess it would have to be..

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 10:52 (seven years ago) link

Entrusting the negotiations to someone who can negotiate properly with Brussels strikes me as the least worst option, but I don't know who that is. It's not Johnson, it's not Corbyn, it's certainly not Hunt, and it's probably not some wet-behind-the-ears Blairite either. The problem is that Labour have broadly speaking only promoted or selected yes-men for an entire generation and the paucity of imagination is there for all to see, and everyone knows what the problems with the Tories are.

Yvette Cooper was talking about a cross-party panel yesterday and you could arguably build a reasonably credible negotiating team with her, Javid, Osborne and a few others but it won't deliver what the leave voters wanted and will look like a massive stitch-up when it doesn't.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 10:54 (seven years ago) link

Melanie Philips defending Corbyn in the Times.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:00 (seven years ago) link

no one in the "corbyn must go!!!!" brigade EVER answers "so who is your choice of replacement?"

the hallouminati (lex pretend), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:03 (seven years ago) link

Sentences to make you shrivel up and die

xpost

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:04 (seven years ago) link

Boris "too tired" after his weekend of cricket to write proper column yesterday. Now having to tell the right wing that he will block freedom of movement. May is going to eat him up.

(This free market but no free movement plan is so weird. Does nobody understand what that means? Goods and money can flow but not labour, so massive wage disparities, job exodus to the cheaper countries etc etc. I thought these guys were meant to be capitalists? I guess racism comes first)

stet, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:04 (seven years ago) link

hey it worked for NAFTA

oh yeah except it didn't work for NAFTA at all

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:10 (seven years ago) link

Cooper rules out free movement and effectively EEA, another awesome Labour leader candidate. Next.

stet, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:11 (seven years ago) link

no one in the "corbyn must go!!!!" brigade EVER answers "so who is your choice of replacement?"

I've asked this in a friendly way (I was smiling) of a few people out of genuine curiosity - nothing

conrad, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:19 (seven years ago) link

its funny on my facebook feed how gleeful and petty many supposed labour supporters are about wanting corbyn out (yet dont have any better ideas, they just want to punish him, never mind what sort of void that might leave, esp at a point where we dont really have the luxury of ten other great candidates), talking about labour being a cult, not a party, people going OMG WTF about the idea that he voted brexit, etc etc. nihilism is sweeping this country, on all fronts.

StillAdvance, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:27 (seven years ago) link

The problem is that both Corbyn and his MPs have a mandate (as much as anyone does any more, which probably doesn't mean very much) and those mandates are from different and largely conflicting groups of people, this three-way disconnect between members, parliamentarians and the people they claim to represent. All parties except maybe Corbyn are continuing to ignore that structural issue and something's got to give.

I suspect what will happen is that, as last time, the ballot paper will be flooded with Blairites saying exactly the same thing with one another and Corbyn will end up winning, which will be hilarious but may also split the party. Even if MPs leave en-masse, it's quite difficult to just set up a new party when you have no sources of funding and no donors behind you (assuming the unions stick with Jeremy).

If it's a straight fight between Corbyn and one other candidate, the other candidate will probably win unless they're an obvious no-hoper.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:27 (seven years ago) link

Who would ppl's choice be if say Corbyn suddenly quit politics tomorrow? Is there literally nobody else in the entire PLP that the membership would accept as a leader?

stet, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:31 (seven years ago) link

Where by "ppl" I meant Corbynites I think

stet, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:31 (seven years ago) link

no sources of funding and no donors behind you (assuming the unions stick with Jeremy).

they'd have the JML guy and...mick hucknall?

conrad, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:32 (seven years ago) link

Who would ppl's choice be if say Corbyn suddenly quit politics tomorrow?

McDonnell surely

woof, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:33 (seven years ago) link

(yeah, if ppl = corbyn support)

woof, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:34 (seven years ago) link

A few who have campaigned/pro-Corbyn have certainly lost their nerve. Its understandable but the words 'we don't have a way of forward' or such-like are never far away.

Dan Jarvis or someone who 'understands people's concerns over immigration' is not a way forward. Immigrants and otherwise are being abused and beaten - its not a game. Corbyn's stand on this issue has been important.

xp: I think they are plannig on one candidate against JC - would be stupid otherwise. Don't get a sense that Corbyn would be beaten. Only hope is if he is kept off the ballot but I expect a legal challenge on this if so.

Expecting the party to split.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:35 (seven years ago) link

McDonnell would not get on the ballot.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:36 (seven years ago) link

got to admit I was thinking (or stupidly hoping for) something along the lines of Owen Jones' plan myself - Corbyn for 2-3 years hauling things slowly to the left, then stepping aside for a younger left labour leader who stands a better chance of winning.

woof, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:39 (seven years ago) link

there feels a twisted inevitability to a lot of this now it's set in motion that was difficult to imagine even a week ago

conrad, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:39 (seven years ago) link

If Corbyn is on the ballot, it'll be a single candidate I think, and will be accompanied by explicit threats from MPs, perhaps a majority, to leave the party if Corbyn is re-elected, effectively blackmailing the membership.

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:41 (seven years ago) link

"xp: I think they are plannig on one candidate against JC - would be stupid otherwise."

i'm not persuaded by the argument that labour would avoid a particular course of action because it "would be stupid".

hypnic jerk (rushomancy), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:42 (seven years ago) link

has corbyn actually been explicit about migration since friday? all i saw was broad stuff about being anti racist, and the rise in incidents over the weekend, not actually spelling it out wrt immigration. i welcome that tbh, but he still needs to balance that with something that would endear him to those who voted leave. broad pleas for unity will not do that. he needs to acknowledge that anger.

StillAdvance, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:42 (seven years ago) link

got to admit I was thinking (or stupidly hoping for) something along the lines of Owen Jones' plan myself - Corbyn for 2-3 years hauling things slowly to the left, then stepping aside for a younger left labour leader who stands a better chance of winning.

It's an ok plan, but the PLP were never going to allow it to happen.

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:42 (seven years ago) link

"xp: I think they are plannig on one candidate against JC - would be stupid otherwise."

i'm not persuaded by the argument that labour would avoid a particular course of action because it "would be stupid".

― hypnic jerk (rushomancy), Tuesday, June 28, 2016 12:42 PM (36 seconds ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

lolololol tru dat

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:43 (seven years ago) link

I think its what many like Owen Jones might've thought. Corbz as cleanser of Blair-poison, get someone like Tsipras-like ('young', 'dynamic', that kind of bollocks) in the next 2-3 yrs. Unfortunately young dynamic Cameron-Osborne have so screwed it up he finds himself on the ballot for the gen election. Labour have NEVER EVER wanted to win with JC at the helm. Much more frightening than a Tory majority. They looked into their hearts, don't you see?

Ultimately the lack of talented MPs has always been a problem for Corbyn. A leader can direct or provide some cover of charisma or something softer (that's what I get from Atlee, say) but there has to be something around that. They have reached out to others to provide some kind of Economic plan to counter the politics of austerity but events dear boy. Plus the right couldn't stop leaks and the undermining of JC.

Suicide it is.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:48 (seven years ago) link

One of you folks half answered me (appreciated it), but is there any national/international matter that can't be put up for referendum? Can voters break treaties, go to war, etc.? If anything the political chaos makes perfect sense to me, it's the nature/scope of the vote that still boggles. How did the referendum get on the ballot to begin with? What is the process to put something up to a vote? How long does that process take? Can someone simply put a second exit vote on another ballot? Is there a waiting period? Is Cameron dragging his heals on Article 50 out of caution or spite? Could another PM with more support in just, say, a year and a half, campaign to *rejoin* the EU? Or at this point is the 17 million or however many that voted to exit a large enough block that to go counter to their wayward will would be to court greater disaster?

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:50 (seven years ago) link

I'd vote for sadiq khan. more realistically, anyone (burnham) who would have a chance to unite the party is too decent to run against corbyn

ogmor, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:52 (seven years ago) link

josh there is no constitution and no rules in the UK and basically no check on govt power, just some sense of precedent, hence some ppl calling it an 'elected dictatorship'

ogmor, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:54 (seven years ago) link

all i saw was broad stuff about being anti racist, and the rise in incidents over the weekend, not actually spelling it out wrt immigration. i welcome that tbh, but he still needs to balance that with something that would endear him to those who voted leave. broad pleas for unity will not do that. he needs to acknowledge that anger.

The 'no upper limit on immigration' before the campaign infuriated a lot of idiots in the remain.

"I welcome that, but"...its the way to Red UKIP my friend. You might get your chance soon.

xp = Burnham has ruled himself out hasn't he, expressed as not taking part against "a coup". Anyhow, might have had enough from last time. Ran an awful campaign.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:56 (seven years ago) link

I can't imagine greater disaster right now, short of the Leave being so outraged at the betrayal they put Farage in power. Which, given his records on elections, I strongly doubt. Britain is clearly full of clowns, but this current fix is more Abilene Paradox than earnest clownery, I think.

The Swiss and others will put anything up for referendum; the Germans won't, not least because of their experience when someone wanted to merge the roles of Chancellor and President. In the UK, the govt can call a referendum on anything it wants whenever it wants. It's easier than calling an election, these days.

Another PM or party could totally campaign to rejoin; I think the plan people are gravitating towards is to not leave and then campaign on staying in. xxp

stet, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:57 (seven years ago) link

xp exactly, too much of a party man to have any truck with this shit

ogmor, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 11:58 (seven years ago) link

most Labour MPs supposedly furious at Burnham's refusal to resign, see it as motivated by cynical self-interest (ie so he can stay popular with the membership for his Manchester mayoral bid or possibly even Lab leadership) rather than a genuine belief that Corbyn can win or that keeping him is a good course of action for party

soref, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:02 (seven years ago) link

Yeah, I reckoned that was all about the Mayoral bid too

stet, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:04 (seven years ago) link

The only one who gives the air of competence is Cooper and she was resoundingly rejected even before the recent immigration stuff.

Burnham essentially seems quite nice and has a degree of support but doesn't seem to have any kind of credibility within the PLP as a capable political mind.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:09 (seven years ago) link

yeah, that's how I took Burnham's stand. And as a two-time loser, he must have lost the taste for that particular fight a bit. Sensible, imo.

woof, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:10 (seven years ago) link

Cooper's competence might start to look appealing tho'

woof, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:11 (seven years ago) link

He's definitely won my vote to be the Labour mayoral candidate.

AlanSmithee, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:11 (seven years ago) link

it'll be angela eagle won't it?

cozen, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:14 (seven years ago) link

Corbyn mentioned the racism when in the commons, I think. I would accept anyone I believed was an actual socialist, I think. But see no reason to change leader, especially for folks who voted for the iraq war whil chilcott is coming.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:14 (seven years ago) link

Sorry to de-rail a little but I’m still not sure I’m quite clear on the way the withdrawal process is supposed to work – from the date that we “activate” Article 50 a countdown starts, ending two years from that date, during which period we have to negotiate the terms of our withdrawal from the EU as well as an agreement setting out the nature of the UK’s future relationship with the EU / the member states?

And if we reach the end of that time limit without having successfully negotiated terms, either the EU can choose to extend the deadline for withdrawal and allow negotiations to continue or the UK withdraws then and there without any kind of agreement actually being put in place? Are there any circumstances under which the EU would actually contemplate letting that happen and refusing to extend the negotiation deadline? Surely that'd be bad news for all involved

Windsor Davies, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:15 (seven years ago) link

I don't think it will be anyone who has resigned. Watson at Glastonbury could turn out to be a piece of political theatre to distance himself from the plot.

Xps

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:16 (seven years ago) link

Much worse news for Britain, which is why the EU is pushing for a50: gives them complete control

stet, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:17 (seven years ago) link

xxp I guess what I'm asking is, is it theoretically possible that we activate Article 50 and proceed to spend the next 10 years bogged down in protracted negotiations over the 1001 issues that'll need to be straightened out between UK and the EU member states, with the deadline being continually extended and without us ever actually officially withdrawing from the Union?

ahh thanks Stet.

Windsor Davies, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:20 (seven years ago) link

xps

I think… maybe the 2nd-wave non-plot resigners stand a chance. interesting thought about Watson, but I can't see it playing with the members - something will come out and right from the start he's been painted as the man likely to pull the trigger.

woof, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:23 (seven years ago) link

nihilism is sweeping this country, on all fronts

^ Yep

remain in the privacy of the booth (Nasty, Brutish & Short), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:26 (seven years ago) link

xxxpost

"I welcome that, but"...its the way to Red UKIP my friend. You might get your chance soon.

as someone who has experienced what bnp/NF/ukip supporters can do, i dont esp welcome a red ukip, nor do i want labour to reject immigration. but i would welcome any left wing govt who attempts to understand, address, and placate the anger of their former voters (though perhaps many of these former labour voters are too far gone now, or were always scum in the first place), without necessarily emboldening their racism. this is what labour should do. if things are going to get worse, as looks the case, there needs to be an alternative to what the tories are likely going to put in place, you cant just pretend that element doesnt exist.

StillAdvance, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:27 (seven years ago) link

Watson at Glastonbury could turn out to be a piece of political theatre to distance himself from the plot.

isn't it really difficult to get tickets to glastonbury?

conrad, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:27 (seven years ago) link

Any extension of the 2 years would need to be agreed by all states - what are the chances that none of them see a bit of political capital in standing up for themselves vs another sweetheart deal for the UK?

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:29 (seven years ago) link

is there any national/international matter that can't be put up for referendum? Can voters break treaties, go to war, etc.? If anything the political chaos makes perfect sense to me, it's the nature/scope of the vote that still boggles. How did the referendum get on the ballot to begin with? What is the process to put something up to a vote? How long does that process take? Can someone simply put a second exit vote on another ballot?

afaik, the government can decide to start a referendum on anything, though there are legally binding ones (like the one we had in 2011 on electoral reform, the only other UK-wide referendum we've had since 1975) and this ridiculous one, which is only advisory.

Is Cameron dragging his heals on Article 50 out of caution or spite?

I think there's a general sense in the pro-Remain establishment that (a) they don't know what the fuck to do, (b) that it's someone else's problem, and perhaps most interestingly (c) that by refusing to trigger 50 themselves the whole Brexit thing might somehow not happen

Could another PM with more support in just, say, a year and a half, campaign to *rejoin* the EU?

Yes.

Or at this point is the 17 million or however many that voted to exit a large enough block that to go counter to their wayward will would be to court greater disaster?

That is probably my assessment.

Alba, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:31 (seven years ago) link

It *is* difficult to get glasto tickets, unless you are on the media or govvy lists, or know someone who is and arent going.

Mark G, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:32 (seven years ago) link

Could another PM with more support in just, say, a year and a half, campaign to *rejoin* the EU?

Though, of course, by then, unless we're still in this pre-article 50 limbo, we'd be in the complex process of leaving, so God knows whether the EU could be persuaded to allow a U-turn before that was complete.

Alba, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:35 (seven years ago) link

And who knows if the EU won't be falling apart by then anyway?

Alba, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:36 (seven years ago) link

perhaps the corbyn camp could discredit watso by revealing the strings he ruthlessly pulled to get to glasto

conrad, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:37 (seven years ago) link

Anyone know what this debacle is doing to the polls in the EU countries with elections coming up?

Surely we are already a cautionary tale, or perhaps their right wings are saying this proves how difficult it is to go and hence they must do it now before it's impossible?

stet, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:39 (seven years ago) link

Or at this point is the 17 million or however many that voted to exit a large enough block that to go counter to their wayward will would be to court greater disaster?

I think that will fracture a bit - a good chunk probably will feel the reality & fear & settle for an EEA fudge with confusing terms on movement of labour. Which'll leave several million ready to join the hard UKIP betrayal we-voted-to-send-them-home camp. Which will give UKIP actual seats. Is that currently best case scenario? Racist collapsing divided britain with a few jobs to go around?

woof, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:43 (seven years ago) link

Though, of course, by then, unless we're still in this pre-article 50 limbo, we'd be in the complex process of leaving, so God knows whether the EU could be persuaded to allow a U-turn before that was complete.

So far as I'm aware we're permitted by the terms of the Article to change our minds at any point until we’re officially out? Don’t have a clue what the logistics or fallout of that would be but I gather that’s the rule?

Windsor Davies, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:44 (seven years ago) link

Way too early to call I think, but right now I'm getting the sense that - overlooking the chaos the UK brought over themselves - more people shy away from the idea to ref a possible exit. Hearing a lot of people in my surroundings basically say: "Let's first see how it pans out for the UK, which is looking disastrous atm." Dutch politics (apart from Wilders obv) mouthed a lot of 'this is a wake-up call for us, EU must reform'. But obv remains to be seen if that can actually be achieved.

xp to Stet

Le Bateau Ivre, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:45 (seven years ago) link

"I think its what many like Owen Jones might've thought. Corbz as cleanser of Blair-poison, get someone like Tsipras-like ('young', 'dynamic', that kind of bollocks) in the next 2-3 yrs. Unfortunately young dynamic Cameron-Osborne have so screwed it up he finds himself on the ballot for the gen election. Labour have NEVER EVER wanted to win with JC at the helm. Much more frightening than a Tory majority. They looked into their hearts, don't you see?"

sorry to sound cynical, but if corbyn-labour's platonic ideal of effective leadership is tsipras, they're already screwed.

hypnic jerk (rushomancy), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:46 (seven years ago) link

Sentences to make you shrivel up and die

I know, right?

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:51 (seven years ago) link

Thanks. At least our sacrifice is not in vain. Xp

I think you can't stop an A50 once begun. Idea is to prevent govts stopping just to get extra time. But EU could change the rules obv

stet, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:51 (seven years ago) link

Art 50 should have been triggered immediately - it was what people voted for. There was no suggestion of 'wait for the next gov' and I don't understand how Cameron thinks we can wait til October. He should have been prepared to trigger it or call a general election.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 12:54 (seven years ago) link

I think you can't stop an A50 once begun. Idea is to prevent govts stopping just to get extra time. But EU could change the rules obv

right you are, the wording of the report produced by the commission in the House of Lords was unclear on what exactly was meant by "the withdrawal agreement coming into force"

Windsor Davies, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:01 (seven years ago) link

XP every hour that passes without it makes it less likely it'll ever trigger imo

stet, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:02 (seven years ago) link

UKIP has a point when it complains that it got 4 million votes in the last election but only 1 seat.

Could Labour campaign specifically on a platform of PR and attract a few of those voters? And then if it wins, actually implement PR straight away? And use that going forward as a way to put together ruling coalitions?

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:05 (seven years ago) link

The scenario is bogged down negotiations with the EU losing patience and 'waterboarding' the UK on trade. Disordely, but the EU will be looking to what extent they could make the UK an example should anyone think of doing something similar - but perhaps not pointing guns to heads as they did to Greece.

Does anyone know what the extent of the damage will be to the Civil Service in good detail or can anyone point me to any writing on it? Lots around 'they don't have enough negotiators'. A lot of decoupling if Scotland also decides to leave in a couple of years.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:10 (seven years ago) link

He couldn't have refused to trigger it and stay in his position - fortunately as per that comment that's doing the rounds he knows it's a poisoned chalice and will not get less poisoned in the time it takes to appoint a new leader.

Ignorant question - did Cameron have the option to just go "Welp, seeya" like Miliband did and leave Osborne (as Deputy Leader) in charge until the new leader is chosen? Or is that sort of thing okay for the opposition but frowned on in the ruling party?

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:13 (seven years ago) link

XP every hour that passes without it makes it less likely it'll ever trigger imo

I think you're right there. Part of my concern is that you either obey the results or you don't. I feel you have to, but if so article 50 needs to be triggered. If the results of the referendum never come through, at the next election we could have a massive far right vote or, potentially worse, participation could drop below 50% which would be even more disastrous.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:13 (seven years ago) link

(xp to dowd there)

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:13 (seven years ago) link

(xxp oh you get the idea)

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:13 (seven years ago) link

Could Labour campaign specifically on a platform of PR and attract a few of those voters? And then if it wins, actually implement PR straight away? And use that going forward as a way to put together ruling coalitions?

I don't think so. Remember that in the AV referendum, it was the parts of the country most receptive to ukip where they most emphatically rejected voting change as a nefarious scheme of pointy headed rootless cosmopolitans.

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:19 (seven years ago) link

Coming over here and getting multiple votes.

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:19 (seven years ago) link

I think I'm going to make a tshirt that says "I voted for av"

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:23 (seven years ago) link

Does anyone know what the extent of the damage will be to the Civil Service in good detail

I don't think the plans are clear enough… but it will be figuring out how to unpick and replace EU legislation for a very long time. It means little capacity for doing anything positive - years at least, some people are saying a decade. I think some depts – Treasury, HMRC, Home Office (+ HMPO) , MoJ, Defra, BIS, maybe Cabinet Office – won't be doing much else at all apart from this and keeping their day-to-day just about ticking along. Staffing problems probably real: I don't think there are enough skilled specialists -everyone is saying trade negotiators, but just EU-law types as well - to do this, so a few years of very expensive contractor hell.

I saw a decent post about this, I'll try to dig it up (but I've read too much over the last few days)

just struck me that HMPO will not be able to deal with the demand spike when they announce a new non-European passport in 2018.

woof, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:28 (seven years ago) link

Drones will sort out everyone there, one way or another.

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:30 (seven years ago) link

Just out of passing interest: is it the habit, in the Civil Service, to pronounce HMPO as "humpo"?

Tim, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:31 (seven years ago) link

round after round of redundencies in the past few years will have helped - how much does it cost to recruit people? and how much will it have cost to pay off the people they'll be brought in to replace?

conrad, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:31 (seven years ago) link

A lot depends on the stance that Angela Merkel takes as well - it sounds like she'll be less hawkish than Juncker, but is also unlikely to allow single market access without free movement. The Leave campaign was such a weird consensus of usually conflicting interests (free-market fundamentalists, garden variety Little England Tories, sovereignty wonks, socialists, fascists, anxious or angry working class voters, morons etc) that it's extremely likely to break up if the basic point of leaving the EU is achieved. Free movement is an issue for some of those people but clearly not all of them.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:35 (seven years ago) link

you either obey the results or you don't. I feel you have to
I don't think you do, honestly. Few of the other EU referendums have been obeyed in their countries either -- and although the ill-informed voters didn't know it was advisory, it *was* an advisory referendum.

I also think that a halfway competent politician could use the combination of the total retraction of the Leave campaign's platform and the immediate proof that Project Fear was telling the truth to say "the Leave side was lied to, and people should have another say in the cold light of day".

As for the upset millions that will be left behind, they are unfortunately with us whatever happens: No sane EU exit can be conducted that will deliver what they think they voted for, and especially not while keeping the country together. So we have to deal with them whatever choices we make about the EU.

stet, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:40 (seven years ago) link

xp
yeah the redundancies mean there isn't much spare capacity
and actual recruitment is v v slow (and so tightly bound that rates are unattractive) - i'm guessing but I think it'll be contractors on shocking day rates.

woof, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:42 (seven years ago) link

Halfway competent politicians a bit loose on the ground though - there was one who was trying to draw the sting by pointing out immigration is not the enemy, can't remember what happened to the old chap...

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:43 (seven years ago) link

oh well - we can afford it xpost

conrad, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:43 (seven years ago) link

also thin on the ground, which is actually a phrase.

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:44 (seven years ago) link

and although the ill-informed voters didn't know it was advisory, it *was* an advisory referendum.

I hear you, but then what exactly is the advice this referendum has given, other than leave EU?

Le Bateau Ivre, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:44 (seven years ago) link

"I don't think you do, honestly. Few of the other EU referendums have been obeyed in their countries either -- and although the ill-informed voters didn't know it was advisory, it *was* an advisory referendum."

i'm not sure stabbing the voters in the back is the most effective way to disprove the "stab in the back" theory.

hypnic jerk (rushomancy), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:45 (seven years ago) link

The only alternative to not stabbing them in the back is cutting our own throats though.

stet, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:46 (seven years ago) link

^^^ excellent post by stet up there. Exactly how I'm feeling right now.

Steve Reich In The Afternoon (Against The 80s), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:46 (seven years ago) link

Oddly, I never me anyone, pro or anti, who didn't complain about how long it had gone on for. It could have happens in May along with the regional elections, but of some reason that wasn't long enough. That extra time drove lots of people to a frustrated position. Still not clear why it had to wait - if people were waiting for an opinion to be formed why even have the referendum. It's meant to gauge th support for an idea, not create or diminish support.

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:47 (seven years ago) link

(Obv drunk - I'll leave it there.)

inside, skeletons are always inside, that's obvious. (dowd), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:48 (seven years ago) link

as someone who has experienced what bnp/NF/ukip supporters can do, i dont esp welcome a red ukip, nor do i want labour to reject immigration. but i would welcome any left wing govt who attempts to understand, address, and placate the anger of their former voters (though perhaps many of these former labour voters are too far gone now, or were always scum in the first place), without necessarily emboldening their racism. this is what labour should do.

JC has been making the right noises - this is about cuts and this non-recession we have been in since '08. Their anger needs to be re-directed the moment it gets into racism.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:50 (seven years ago) link

https://imgur.com/gallery/dhwPLtv

Le Bateau Ivre, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 13:57 (seven years ago) link

https://twitter.com/emmakennedy/status/747759988161060865

Le Bateau Ivre, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 14:02 (seven years ago) link

JC has been making the right noises - this is about cuts and this non-recession we have been in since '08. Their anger needs to be re-directed the moment it gets into racism.

He is making the right noises. If the result of the referendum is anything to go by then he isn't getting the right people to listen to him.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 14:03 (seven years ago) link

The only alternative to not stabbing them in the back is cutting our own throats though.

telling "them" and "us" there, but srsly, you can't articulate this position without defending some kind of privileged class that can ignore democratic votes when it doesn't suit. blame Cameron or whoever, sure, but nobody noticed "Advisory" in big letters anywhere on the ballot paper

That's what advisory literally means - a result that can be ignored. If Leave wants to argue that all its voters were well-informed and knew what they were getting into it can't simultaneously cry that they didn't know it wasn't binding

stet, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 14:06 (seven years ago) link

nobody noticed "Advisory" but then most people didn't notice "Won't reduce immigration or precipitate immediate repatriation of anyone that *you* think isn't British or just shouldn't be here"

conrad, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 14:08 (seven years ago) link

If it looks like the government is ignoring this then the fury will be so intense that the Leave share of the vote may be even larger next time round. This just isn't a rational thing. They will keep banging the drum louder and louder until Britain eventually does leave.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 14:09 (seven years ago) link

Yes, this is why I think getting us out of this hole requires a politician who can explain why they're not getting what they want -- viz, 1. You were lied to, 2. It's obviously much more dangerous than you were told and then say 3. Given this are you sure? If so vote for a pro-Leave party at this here general election.

stet, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 14:11 (seven years ago) link

I think there's a good order of difference between questioning the validity of people's reasons for voting for a cause and questioning their belief that a national referendum conducted in the same way as other political elections might be legally binding

There's no 'other' there - this wasn't an election.

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 14:15 (seven years ago) link

"The only alternative to not stabbing them in the back is cutting our own throats though.

― stet"

honestly, a lot of the damage has been done already. the metaphor i'd go for is that the majority of voters have stabbed britain in the face. i can't say for sure that this won't prove fatal to britain, and certainly i understand the desire for self-preservation, but i do think there needs to be an understanding of the cost. failing to honor the results of this referendum would not just be a stab in the back to the voters, but to global democracy, which is already being pretty sorely threatened everywhere.

right now, there is a man running for president of the united states, and he is getting up and cheering britain, and he is saying that this is what he wants america to be like. and those of us with the slightest bit of sense in our heads, we are horrified, because here's somebody openly proclaiming that, if elected, he will immediately turn the entirety of the most powerful country in the world into a disaster area. a guy like that doesn't have particularly strong chances of winning the presidency.

now, say the british political leadership declares they will not honor the results of the referendum. suddenly this guy is saying that the powers that be can't be trusted to respect the will of the people, and he's got incontrovertible evidence. suddenly this guy is looking a lot more electable.

that's not even getting into what the long-term effects for british government would be. there's no point in temporarily limiting the effects of the bleeding when mr. "you're not laughing now" is waiting in the wings to pull the band-aid off again.

hypnic jerk (rushomancy), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 14:15 (seven years ago) link

it's ok, if we just say "it wasn't a real vote" long enough everybody will be chill

The voters, sure. For the Leave campaign leaders, it's inexcusable.

They should have been talking about it all the time, getting lots of cast-iron guarantees it would be honoured etc etc. But of course they were shambolic dissemblers who didn't want it to happen either, so eh.

xp gd points rushomancy. This is why everyone everywhere is saying "we must leave, the people have spoken" even though they're clearly all giving themselves space to not walk away at all.

Nobody will ever say they're not honouring the referendum. They'll say they are clarifying it, or re-iterating support for it now the many details are known. A referendum can't bind a whole new government elected on an explicit no-exit manifesto either.

The only person this could truly have bound has *already* ignored it, and quit instead of implementing it. The only people left who could still be strongly bound are Johnson/Gove, should either of them become leaders and not dissolve the govt.

stet, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 14:20 (seven years ago) link

the weight of the lies here, on all sides, is truly colossal. all of the promises the leave campaigners made were lies. cameron's promise to invoke article 50 if Leave won was a lie. at this point i'd be hard-pressed to find a single honest statement made by anybody over the length of the campaign.

and that's the throat-cutting. all of these lies are being exposed, and nobody trusts britain right now. so you're facing four months of prolonged agony until the next election, because there is nobody in power who is willing to fulfill the democratically expressed will of the people or to honor their promises. maybe at this point you should start considering just turning over absolute rule of the country to the queen.

hypnic jerk (rushomancy), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 14:29 (seven years ago) link

corbyn was only six out of 10 for remain but said he was seven(!)

conrad, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 14:31 (seven years ago) link

Will any Labour MP stand for leader with an unambiguous pledge to keep Britain in the EU? I think they might beat Corbyn if that happens.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 14:33 (seven years ago) link

lol that would make Corbyn the pragmatic electable one facing a challenge from an ideologue sure to be soundly rejected in middle england

So you are a hippocrite, face it! (Bananaman Begins), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 14:37 (seven years ago) link

He is making the right noises. If the result of the referendum is anything to go by then he isn't getting the right people to listen to him.

Name anybody in Lab else who does this - and will not sound like a racist in the process - and I'll buy you a can of capitalist Coca-Cola

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 15:02 (seven years ago) link

Would be interesting if it is A. Eagle they decide on given that she backed the war in Iraq and Chilcot is a week away. Her constituency members have written to her demanding she doesn't back the vote of no confidence. She's far more likely to have the confidence of The Economist, etc than Watson.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 15:30 (seven years ago) link

nicholaswatt: Labour vote. 172 no confidence in @jeremycorbyn 40 have confidence. 216 voted

Le Bateau Ivre, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 15:31 (seven years ago) link

Oofff

Le Bateau Ivre, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 15:31 (seven years ago) link

More than enough for a shadow cabinet! He must be delighted.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 15:32 (seven years ago) link

In seriousness, he can get on the ballot with those numbers, should he wish to and should they stick with him.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 15:35 (seven years ago) link

I wonder if Corbyn had any kind of resignation threshold or if he would have hung on if everyone except McDonnell and Diane Abbott had voted against him. And whether that number exceeds his threshold.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 15:36 (seven years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Cl59GzrWIAIwM0i.jpg

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 15:43 (seven years ago) link

How many 40-year-olds will pass into their reactionary 50s though? The boom had a long tail

stet, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 15:44 (seven years ago) link

also lol

stet, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 15:45 (seven years ago) link

yeah his "even if nobody changes their mind" point is actually "assuming nobody changes their mind and a ton of other stuff"

but still yes lol

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 15:49 (seven years ago) link

Let's say that Labour somehow manage to unearth the next Barack Obama from round the back of a seat in the commons and they beat Corbyn. In that scenario, there's basically zero chance that the next Tory leader would agree to a snap election, right?

Matt DC, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 16:08 (seven years ago) link

feel deeply wounded that 'will brambley' gets paid more attention on ilx than me. looking at the numbers more closely though, with over 65s only 60/40 in favour of leave it would take more like 10 years to tip the balance with everything else being equal &c. &c.

ogmor, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 16:10 (seven years ago) link

Got to be a Labour breakaway party now, no?

Alba, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 16:13 (seven years ago) link

Please

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 16:13 (seven years ago) link

In that scenario, there's basically zero chance that the next Tory leader would agree to a snap election, right?

Boris already minded to rule one out, apparently:

https://twitter.com/rosschawkins/status/747810917660921856

Alba, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 16:15 (seven years ago) link

who breaks away from who though? xp

coygbiv (NickB), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 16:15 (seven years ago) link

Aaaaaaand Boris has appointed Lynton Crosby to lead his campaign, which is like putting a petrol bomb on a fire.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 16:16 (seven years ago) link

The fight is now chiefly over which wing gets to keep the 'Labour' brand. xp

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 16:18 (seven years ago) link

Yes, the following scenario works:

Labour MPs defect en masse to new party whose leader they can work under. Pro-Corbyn membership gets to keep their own leader with rump of MPs.

Am struggling to think how it would work with the anti-Corbyn MPs keeping the Labour name.

Alba, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 16:23 (seven years ago) link

seems insane/typical of british politics that a mass defection on that scale wouldn't trigger an election

ogmor, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 16:25 (seven years ago) link

have been wistfully thinking about matt dc's 'end of season finale' thing from the hazy days of the newscorp crisis, jesus what innocent times those were

coygbiv (NickB), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 16:26 (seven years ago) link

sdp.org.uk is free

ǂbait (seandalai), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 16:27 (seven years ago) link

And in a general election you can have candidates of a split Labour standing against one another in Labour strongholds - UKIP can win some seats then.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 16:28 (seven years ago) link

The only time Corbyn's likely to have any influence over them is if they did split and later needed his party's backing in a coalition.

I can't seem them doing it though. If it was a neat geographical split or a smaller party, perhaps, but this is a political machine that is hugely divided at every level throughout the country. How does, for example, Angela Eagle even campaign effectively as an MP if her local constituency party fails to follow her into the new party? How does Name TBC survive without unions, etc?

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 16:29 (seven years ago) link

have been wistfully thinking about matt dc's 'end of season finale' thing from the hazy days of the newscorp crisis, jesus what innocent times those were

― coygbiv (NickB), Tuesday, June 28, 2016 12:26 PM (3 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

otm

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 16:29 (seven years ago) link

Yeah I think the whole series might be about to finish. Maybe there'll be a spin-off, or at least a few extras for the box set.

Tim, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 16:31 (seven years ago) link

How does, for example, Angela Eagle even campaign effectively as an MP if her local constituency party fails to follow her into the new party? How does Name TBC survive without unions, etc?

They are clever people, sure they'll come up with something by conference time. They plotted this psychodrama for long enough.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 16:37 (seven years ago) link

Aaaaaaand Boris has appointed Lynton Crosby to lead his campaign, which is like putting a petrol bomb on a fire.

had got it down to persistent anxiety and misery, now right back up to Friday/Monday levels of sick terror again.

woof, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 16:39 (seven years ago) link

there was this telegraph story is suggesting that if Corbyn stays Labour MPs are considering "breaking away" but still staying in the Labour party, it seems crazy but who knows:

The idea is for the PLP to elect a new leader, create its own shadow cabinet and effectively begin operating as a distinct Labour Party totally separate from Mr Corbyn.

Crucially, Labour rebels believe they would have control of “short money”, the public funding given to political parties for staffing and organisation.

It would create technical difficulties within Parliament, such as who leads Prime Minister’s Questions. Some experts have suggested John Bercow, the Commons Speaker, would decide who the official Opposition leader is in such circumstances.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/26/labour-rebels-plan-party-within-a-party/

soref, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 16:44 (seven years ago) link

that is nuts

ǂbait (seandalai), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 16:46 (seven years ago) link

hey the Papacy pulled this off for decades

LOL who is the baddest baddie to get the funds

I'm all for skipping a boring leadership election to see this in action.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 16:54 (seven years ago) link

Surely Angela Eagle isn't the best they can come up with?

Matt DC, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 16:57 (seven years ago) link

She'd keep headline writers happy for a generation though.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 16:58 (seven years ago) link

and in Labour 2016, that's all that matters

Beyond the matter of the Labour leadership and whether it's one party or two, I just don't see people answering the key question of what position can be taken on Brexit. Well, Paul Mason did, by saying they have to respect the will of the people and not campaign to rejoin/sabotage Brexit. But years of "Well, we are where we are, it's not what I would have done but let's make the best of it because we're not going to try to change it" is not a very strong vibe to give out.

Tories hit with this too, but they're likely to get Boris as leader and a few other frontbench Brexiters so it's not so bad for them.

Alba, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 17:09 (seven years ago) link

/ a weird consensus of usually conflicting interests (free-market fundamentalists, garden variety Little England Tories, sovereignty wonks, socialists, fascists, anxious or angry working class voters, morons etc /

^^^ matt dc otm

For bodies we are ready to build pyramids (wtev), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 17:12 (seven years ago) link

https://www.facebook.com/OfficialGeorgeGalloway/videos/10154221853780797/

keep calm and carry on!

the look as he says it! gwan george:P

cherry blossom, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 17:21 (seven years ago) link

too much news. can everyone stop fucking newsing pls
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CmDWbvTWQAAE_59.jpg

cozen, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 17:21 (seven years ago) link

If Boris gets the leadership we're on the dark path I think. He craves popularity far too much (and is too fundamentally awful) to resist the shit directions he'll be driven by the forces at play here. And no election just makes that massively worse.

stet, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 17:35 (seven years ago) link

Having two separate Labour factions is just an insane, unworkable idea. You'd end up with a situation like the SDP in the eighties, which resulted in neither side being electable due to the split in votes. Madness!

It almost feels like history repeating, in some respects.

The four left the Labour Party as a result of the January 1981 Wembley conference which committed the party to unilateral nuclear disarmament and withdrawal from the European Economic Community. They also believed that Labour had become too left-wing, and had been infiltrated at constituency party level by Trotskyist factions whose views and behaviour they considered to be at odds with the Parliamentary Labour Party and Labour voters.

Pheeel, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 18:32 (seven years ago) link

Crick is reporting that Burnham is about to jump, along with three of the people Corbyn appointed yesterday. Still no sign of a challenger.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 19:59 (seven years ago) link

Burham has denied it

https://twitter.com/andyburnhammp/status/747880452711653376

soref, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 20:00 (seven years ago) link

Yes, i just saw that. Good on him.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 20:01 (seven years ago) link

‏Crick also tweeted this earlier, good times for fans of political farce:

@MichaelLCrick
SNP Parliamentary leader Angus Robertson may claim at PMQs tmrw he should be deemed Leader of Opposition as has 56 MPs behind him; Corbyn 40

soref, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 20:07 (seven years ago) link

Any truth to the idea that Fabian's and/or Portland Communications is behind the coup?

jedi slimane (suzy), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 20:09 (seven years ago) link

I don't see how Blair's crony elite snatch back the votes from the working class.

a goon shaped fule (onimo), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 21:26 (seven years ago) link

not sure that any of them seriously think they could win an election under one of their own

Blab blab bland

imago, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 21:49 (seven years ago) link

Sorry, my drunk girlfriend got hold of my phone on the train home

imago, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 21:49 (seven years ago) link

Devastating political insight tbf

imago, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 21:50 (seven years ago) link

"The failed Britain Stronger In Europe campaign has been run by executive director Will Straw, the son of Jack Straw"

I had more respect for the little tosser when he was selling weed:p

calzino, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 21:50 (seven years ago) link

hypnic jerk (rushomancy) wrote this on thread Psychoactive Substances: Rolling UK Politics in The Neo-Con Era on board I Love Everything on 28-Jun-2016

"The only alternative to not stabbing them in the back is cutting our own throats though.

― stet"

honestly, a lot of the damage has been done already. the metaphor i'd go for is that the majority of voters have stabbed britain in the face. i can't say for sure that this won't prove fatal to britain, and certainly i understand the desire for self-preservation, but i do think there needs to be an understanding of the cost. failing to honor the results of this referendum would not just be a stab in the back to the voters, but to global democracy, which is already being pretty sorely threatened everywhere.

right now, there is a man running for president of the united states, and he is getting up and cheering britain, and he is saying that this is what he wants america to be like. and those of us with the slightest bit of sense in our heads, we are horrified, because here's somebody openly proclaiming that, if elected, he will immediately turn the entirety of the most powerful country in the world into a disaster area. a guy like that doesn't

Feel like ive done a good deed for the day somehow by slogging that far into that post tbh

poor fiddy-less albion (darraghmac), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 22:29 (seven years ago) link

Sorry, my drunk girlfriend got hold of my phone on the train home

― imago, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 22:49 (41 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

NO, ESTE ES FALSO

Dadjokke (Sgt. Biscuits), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 22:39 (seven years ago) link

Feel like ive done a good deed for the day somehow by slogging that far into that post tbh

― poor fiddy-less albion (darraghmac)

joke's on you- everyone who actually finishes reading one of my posts gets a free beer

(not counting this one)

hypnic jerk (rushomancy), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 23:06 (seven years ago) link

apologies, my previous post was typed by my curvy co

Dadjokke (Sgt. Biscuits), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 23:08 (seven years ago) link

gonna repost every ilf salsa shark post ever

imago, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 23:11 (seven years ago) link

Not tryin to pick on you rushomancy, these are shit times etc, but that one was a dud im afraid.

weve all had em, beckett that shit up and go again i will support u

poor fiddy-less albion (darraghmac), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 23:15 (seven years ago) link

pull yourself together tt, this situation calls for *hic* *vomit*

oh, amazonaws (wins), Tuesday, 28 June 2016 23:17 (seven years ago) link

wins i cannot nurse u with bottles of water and so forth, be well

imago, Tuesday, 28 June 2016 23:18 (seven years ago) link

Okay I'm going to shut this one down now, we can use the Brexit thread for UK politics from now on.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 29 June 2016 10:57 (seven years ago) link

Fight over Europe! Hammer the Scots! Pay down the debt Labour ran up! Gerrymander the wards! Ban immigrants! Increase the cuts! Sell the NHS! Open consultations on a draft paper for proposal for a British Bill of Rights! Vote for Boris! Sign TTIP! Ban Porn! Spy on Everything!

Is there anything to look forward to?

― stet, Wednesday, June 10, 2015 9:58 AM (1 year ago)

No, FYI.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 29 June 2016 10:58 (seven years ago) link


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