Buttload of Faith: the 2016 Presidential Primary Thread (Pt 2)

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you asked for it

Οὖτις, Thursday, 19 November 2015 20:09 (eight years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wBIlehYpdwk

Οὖτις, Thursday, 19 November 2015 20:12 (eight years ago) link

Symmetry.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 19 November 2015 20:16 (eight years ago) link

Awaiting the huddled masses yearning to breath free, arriving from the prior presidential campaign thread.

Aimless, Thursday, 19 November 2015 20:19 (eight years ago) link

Believe me, this thread will be effective.

clemenza, Thursday, 19 November 2015 20:22 (eight years ago) link

after reading about rand paul's proposal to cut off funding to house refugees, i was kind of hoping that the buttbus and the clown car might collide in a flaming wreck, but no such luck.

wizzz! (amateurist), Thursday, 19 November 2015 20:29 (eight years ago) link

two cheeks clapping in harmony

i made a scope for my laser musket out of some (forksclovetofu), Thursday, 19 November 2015 20:55 (eight years ago) link

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2015/11/rubio-isil-strategy-213377

rubio's plan for isis is to start a civil war in iraq. and... support both sides? or something. so stupid.

goole, Thursday, 19 November 2015 21:20 (eight years ago) link

hey, it worked for Senator Truman.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 19 November 2015 21:56 (eight years ago) link

Ted-Cruz-reenacting-an-entire-scene-from-the-Princess-Bride-is-the-weirdest-thing-you-ll-see-today.

http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2015/11/19/1452118/-Ted-Cruz-reenacting-an-entire-scene-from-the-Princess-Bride-is-the-weirdest-thing-you-ll-see-today?detail=facebook

nickn, Friday, 20 November 2015 05:39 (eight years ago) link

what the hell. and of course he's chosen to memorize the worst scene in the movie.

Frump 'n' Dump (Doctor Casino), Friday, 20 November 2015 06:09 (eight years ago) link

his billy crystal jew voice is veerrrrrrrrry practiced

i made a scope for my laser musket out of some (forksclovetofu), Friday, 20 November 2015 06:21 (eight years ago) link

remember when cruz did a bunch of simpsons impersonations, that was the best

Clay, Friday, 20 November 2015 06:23 (eight years ago) link

Is Ben Carson playing a ... deeper game?

http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2015/nov/20/ben-carson-screen-syrian-refugees-like-they-might-be-rabid-dogs

In Mobile, Carson said: “Islam itself is not necessarily our adversary.” But Americans were justified in seeing threats from Muslim refugees and the US shouldn’t “completely change who we are as Americans just so we can look like good people”.

He continued: “We have an American culture, and we have things that we base our values and principles on. I, for one, am not willing to give all those things away just so I can be politically correct.”

No, no he isn't. But if you string together enough randomly generated sentences you'll hit something that looks like sharp parody.

Andrew Farrell, Friday, 20 November 2015 07:07 (eight years ago) link

(To be clear, the Guardian isn't making that claim)

Andrew Farrell, Friday, 20 November 2015 07:08 (eight years ago) link

this carson asshole cannot disappear from the headlines soon enough.

wizzz! (amateurist), Friday, 20 November 2015 07:59 (eight years ago) link

Yeah, any taint that he or Trump have provided to their party is no longer enough to offset the net benefit of mulching them both in a woodchipper. The longer people are willing to treat their incoherent, naked xenophobia like legitimate discourse the more toxic it becomes to the country as a whole.

Say Goodbye To That Blood (Old Lunch), Friday, 20 November 2015 13:25 (eight years ago) link

Trump is a living testament to the idea that you only need to speak loudly and confidently to get a certain segment of people to pay attention to you. I mean, he's practically shouting complete nonsequitors at this point. On the one hand, this is incredibly offensive and disheartening but, on the other hand, he kinda just seems to be barfing up words he barely knows how to use.

Say Goodbye To That Blood (Old Lunch), Friday, 20 November 2015 13:30 (eight years ago) link

this sets him apart from the politicians who publicly declare they will give up on values and principles

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Friday, 20 November 2015 18:13 (eight years ago) link

has anyone called Trump a fascist yet? I mean I know that's a loaded insult that gets casually thrown around, but an oligarch "populist" explicitly calling for a racist police state and a belligerent foreign policy pretty much checks all the boxes.

Οὖτις, Friday, 20 November 2015 18:20 (eight years ago) link

"With Donald Trump stumping for ID badges for American Muslims, it’s certainly no stretch to see echoes of this imagined fascist America in the here and now."

From a review of the Amazon series The Man In The High Castle I just read.

the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Friday, 20 November 2015 18:23 (eight years ago) link

US Muslims trolling the ever-loving shit out of Trump on Twitter with the "MuslimID" hashtag.

Resting Bushface (Phil D.), Friday, 20 November 2015 18:28 (eight years ago) link

i might become a muslim just to get one of these neat IDs

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Friday, 20 November 2015 18:36 (eight years ago) link

I wonder if Trump has plans for monetizing the atmosphere of hate he's whipped up after he fails to become president.

Say Goodbye To That Blood (Old Lunch), Friday, 20 November 2015 18:46 (eight years ago) link

treat their incoherent, naked xenophobia like legitimate discourse

I don't think anybody outside of the Fox News rump of the GOP is thinking this shit is "legimitate discourse." I think what is happening is that content producers are ecstatically reprinting basically everything these guys say because if you need to fill minutes and column inches, their schtick makes your job profoundly easy. "I'm a man who bites dogs. Don't believe me? I'm biting a dog later tonight. I've bitten eight dogs in the past week."

El Tomboto, Friday, 20 November 2015 18:55 (eight years ago) link

legit discourse or not it still influences policy.

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Friday, 20 November 2015 19:00 (eight years ago) link

i bet that guy who wrote the cracked piece comparing trump to hitler is now going to go around saying that he was calling trump hitler before it was _cool_

rushomancy, Friday, 20 November 2015 19:03 (eight years ago) link

That 'Cruz Does Entire Princess Bride Scene' video shows that Cruz is a capable mimic, with fairly good, but not excellent timing, who was never one of the popular kids in high school. He is still falling back on borrowed material when he wants to be liked.

Aimless, Friday, 20 November 2015 19:16 (eight years ago) link

i need to see him do the Black Knight scene from Monty Python, then I will vote for him.

he has to play the Black Knight.

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Friday, 20 November 2015 19:20 (eight years ago) link

also no special effects

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Friday, 20 November 2015 19:20 (eight years ago) link

imagining Ted Cruz doing that routine in a high school cafeteria throws a number of things into relief for me. almost makes me feel bad for the guy. almost

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Friday, 20 November 2015 19:34 (eight years ago) link

almost as in, he makes you feel bad, just not for him.

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Friday, 20 November 2015 19:35 (eight years ago) link

yeah..

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Friday, 20 November 2015 19:41 (eight years ago) link

good movie tho

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Friday, 20 November 2015 19:42 (eight years ago) link

Tombot otm on media giving these imbeciles coverage b/c clicks.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 20 November 2015 20:22 (eight years ago) link

It's a combination of clicks and just not having to work hard at all. Trump and Carson open their mouths and you need no context, no background, no explanation as to why it's worth a headline. Just print the quotes, give maybe two of the 5Ws, and then hit the bar.

El Tomboto, Friday, 20 November 2015 20:25 (eight years ago) link

Sane and considered positions make for weak tea clickbait headlines.

Say Goodbye To That Blood (Old Lunch), Friday, 20 November 2015 20:38 (eight years ago) link

This Muslim ID thing is just a ruse to finally getting Barack Obama to reveal his birth certificate. You know ... his real one.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 20 November 2015 20:47 (eight years ago) link

Trump is running bc if he wins then on his inauguration day he can tell Obama "You're fired!"

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Friday, 20 November 2015 21:08 (eight years ago) link

well that's gonna happen regardless and is probably on a hard drive somewhere already

i made a scope for my laser musket out of some (forksclovetofu), Friday, 20 November 2015 21:12 (eight years ago) link

konczal talks bernie:

http://rooseveltinstitute.org/thoughts-bernie-sanders-democratic-socialism-and-primary/

goole, Friday, 20 November 2015 21:50 (eight years ago) link

just a lonely guy hanging out at SFO waiting for his flight to get cleared for takeoff:
http://ww2.hdnux.com/photos/42/23/26/8992169/3/920x920.jpg

Οὖτις, Friday, 20 November 2015 22:09 (eight years ago) link

bernie's big socialism speech got 100000% eclipsed by all the other news this week. poor old man.

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Friday, 20 November 2015 23:00 (eight years ago) link

he's got a couple more months of celebrity, might as well milk it

Οὖτις, Friday, 20 November 2015 23:05 (eight years ago) link

http://i.imgur.com/mCBudgP.jpg

pplains, Saturday, 21 November 2015 23:20 (eight years ago) link

Dude is so uptight. He would look older than his dad by the time his term is over

brimstead, Sunday, 22 November 2015 00:00 (eight years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RellDX599HY

Iago Galdston, Sunday, 22 November 2015 21:06 (eight years ago) link

‏@ggreenwald
Trump's "Arabs-cheered" lie extra-creepy b/c anti-Semites have long told same lie about Jews to blame 9/11 on Israel

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, 23 November 2015 04:14 (eight years ago) link

november was the month we all realized that an openly fascist demagogue was leading the polls (national and state-by-state) for the republican primary.

http://www.worldmag.com/media/images/content/face012.jpg

wizzz! (amateurist), Monday, 23 November 2015 18:17 (eight years ago) link

trump's superpac director talks about the BLM protester that got roughed up at a rally:

http://www.mediaite.com/tv/trump-super-pac-head-im-sick-and-tired-of-the-black-lives-matter-thing/

goole, Monday, 23 November 2015 18:18 (eight years ago) link

salon has a slightly different set of quotes from the same clip:

http://www.salon.com/2015/11/23/head_of_trump_superpac_accidentally_admits_the_donalds_rallies_are_only_for_white_people/

this one is amazing:

“Being in Birmingham, Alabama, going in and disrupting that thing, that’s no place for #BlackLivesMatter to try to bring their issues to the forefront”

i mean

goole, Monday, 23 November 2015 18:19 (eight years ago) link

other western countries with parliamentary systems have shown a steady ~10% of the populace goes for nationalist and xenophobic parties (with a weird smattering of nonconservatives liking it too) so trump's support doesn't seem exceptional. we're right in line.

goole, Monday, 23 November 2015 18:22 (eight years ago) link

if he actually wins Iowa man I can't imagine the panic that will ensue

Οὖτις, Monday, 23 November 2015 18:22 (eight years ago) link

It's been a particularly horrifying Trump-centric weekend. I always thought he was a worthless dick but it's clear at this point that he's a legitimately horrendous person. He and all of his supporters can't get dragged under the wheels of a bus soon enough.

Say Goodbye To That Blood (Old Lunch), Monday, 23 November 2015 18:23 (eight years ago) link

gonna be sad when he sells California to the Japanese

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Monday, 23 November 2015 18:24 (eight years ago) link

if they're going to go wholesale fascist they could at least get some snappier uniforms

Οὖτις, Monday, 23 November 2015 18:26 (eight years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CDuSbHjWgAAOwlu.jpg

goole, Monday, 23 November 2015 18:29 (eight years ago) link

i don't really find trump amusing anymore, if i ever did. at this point if he just said "we should fry 'em all in ovens" would his poll numbers drop at all?

wizzz! (amateurist), Monday, 23 November 2015 18:29 (eight years ago) link

probably not

Οὖτις, Monday, 23 November 2015 18:32 (eight years ago) link

he needs to be trashed creatively, toss some cream pies or shoes at him at close range

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, 23 November 2015 18:34 (eight years ago) link

I never paid any attention to the views of reality show host Donald Trump before. Was he always this much of a racist fuck?

Say Goodbye To That Blood (Old Lunch), Monday, 23 November 2015 18:37 (eight years ago) link

yes

Οὖτις, Monday, 23 November 2015 18:38 (eight years ago) link

he's been well known as an asshole since the 80s

frankly I'm surprised no oppo-research has turned up anything criminal

Οὖτις, Monday, 23 November 2015 18:39 (eight years ago) link

network tv execs and corporate advertisers think openly racist remarks are bad for business, so trump never got to indulge in them during his reality shows to the extent he can now that he's a presidential candidate. tv execs and corporate advertisers are poised to do some rethinking of their position if he wins in iowa and nh.

Aimless, Monday, 23 November 2015 18:44 (eight years ago) link

Trump has been great for click$ though.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 23 November 2015 18:46 (eight years ago) link

at this point Aerican journalism deserves as much condemnation. Publishing his remarks has done wonders for the white right's sense of aggrievement.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 23 November 2015 18:47 (eight years ago) link

John Dean's 2006 book _Conservatives Without Conscience_ points out the work of Dr Bob Altemeyer, who studied American responses to authoritarianism. Dr Bob's take is that any time from the 20th Century on, you always get about 1 out of 4 or 5 people who'd happier walk into full-on fascism and think everything better for it. It helps to explain why Presidential approval ratings will never drop below a certain number, and even Nixon's was at like 19% the day resigned.

We've had both fascists and full -on Nazis thru the 30s & 40s as large movements.

Professor Goodfeels (kingfish), Monday, 23 November 2015 19:05 (eight years ago) link

well, sure, but i can't seem to remember a time in my life (i'm in my mid 30s) when someone this openly authoritarian was leading the polls for more than a few weeks.

my girlfriend wondered if this is how some people felt when goldwater was running. i would guess no -- although many in the GOP were terrified of goldwater (and correctly assumed he'd be trounced in the general election), he wasn't nearly so much of a demagogue as trump, no?

wizzz! (amateurist), Monday, 23 November 2015 19:15 (eight years ago) link

https://twitter.com/KFaulders/status/668868071524712448?lang=en

.@RealBenCarson tells me he "saw the film" of American Muslims cheering as the towers fell in New Jersey on 9/11.

goole, Monday, 23 November 2015 19:27 (eight years ago) link

Ben Carson also saw the film of Washington crossing the Delaware, and he has forty eyes and a talking dog named Jellybeans. Doesn't really mean much, considering the source.

Say Goodbye To That Blood (Old Lunch), Monday, 23 November 2015 19:29 (eight years ago) link

I would ask the Republicans, again and again: how many thousands of your potential voters do you think are going to hold their nose and pull the lever for Hillary (or sit this round out entirely) rather than support either of these two maniacs?

Say Goodbye To That Blood (Old Lunch), Monday, 23 November 2015 19:33 (eight years ago) link

My dad was a dyed-in-the-wool republican, and I know for a fact that he could've never voted for either in good conscience. I have to imagine there are scores of people in the same position.

Say Goodbye To That Blood (Old Lunch), Monday, 23 November 2015 19:35 (eight years ago) link

he wasn't nearly so much of a demagogue as trump, no?

I was quite young during that election, but Goldwater was much more careful in his rhetoric and far less blatant than Trump. Barry wished to come across as a statesman. He wrapped himself in the flag of patriotism and states' rights and struck a noble pose. Trump really doesn't gaf.

Aimless, Monday, 23 November 2015 19:39 (eight years ago) link

so, to sum up, you're a person alive during the presidential election of 1964 and you're using the word "gaf"

wizzz! (amateurist), Monday, 23 November 2015 19:47 (eight years ago) link

;)

wizzz! (amateurist), Monday, 23 November 2015 19:47 (eight years ago) link

re "I wonder if Trump has plans for monetizing the atmosphere of hate he's whipped up after he fails to become president."

I'm sure he'll be happy to be interviewed saying "See? I told you so, you idiots should have elected me" every time something goes wrong.

the minor fall, the lemon lift (Ye Mad Puffin), Monday, 23 November 2015 19:49 (eight years ago) link

xp When the gaf train left the station, I was barely able to grab the caboose and pulled myself aboard. I owe it all to ilxor.com.

Aimless, Monday, 23 November 2015 19:51 (eight years ago) link

Equal parts unsurprising and fucking wow.

Say Goodbye To That Blood (Old Lunch), Monday, 23 November 2015 19:58 (eight years ago) link

hey it's INFORMATION, who CARES where it comes from

- 2 hrs from now

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, 23 November 2015 19:59 (eight years ago) link

That little tidbit honestly can't be disseminated enough: Trump is spreading racist propaganda created by a neo-Nazi and attempting to pass it off as fact.

Say Goodbye To That Blood (Old Lunch), Monday, 23 November 2015 20:01 (eight years ago) link

xpost So many of the replies to Trump's tweet were all "how can numbers be racist?!". As if those turds wouldn't have balked mightily at stats that opposed their fucked up worldview

Say Goodbye To That Blood (Old Lunch), Monday, 23 November 2015 20:03 (eight years ago) link

"Non Dildo'd Goyim" is gonna be Trump's veep

Eugene Goostman (forksclovetofu), Monday, 23 November 2015 20:05 (eight years ago) link

was hoping for uncle shavedlongcock, RIP

droit au butt (Euler), Monday, 23 November 2015 20:13 (eight years ago) link

Watching the Sunday shows yesterday, a) I was surprised that Trump's lead was still steady around 25%, at both the state level and nationally (three months ago, almost no one thought that was going to last; I definitely didn't), but b) Rubio would be my pick right now--he's had a steady climb, and, watching him on Meet the Press, I don't think he's going to scare anyone away. Rubio and Cruz sometimes get grouped together, but I can't see that; Cruz is just too bizarre.

clemenza, Monday, 23 November 2015 20:31 (eight years ago) link

bizarre is the fashion of the day

Aimless, Monday, 23 November 2015 20:33 (eight years ago) link

I guess, putting myself in a pair of Republican shoes at the moment, that I would be hard-pressed to say who I favored among the nominees. So you have the lunatics who are excitedly throwing out Trump's and Carson's names when polled and very likely a whole host of Republicans who can't muster enthusiasm about any of the other inhabitants of the clown car for the sake of the pollsters but will probably half-heartedly back whichever non-insane candidate eventually rises above the froth.

Say Goodbye To That Blood (Old Lunch), Monday, 23 November 2015 20:37 (eight years ago) link

Trump is doing some cheap attack ads on his Instagram, which seems like a smart and slightly inconspicuous way to do them:

https://www.instagram.com/p/-bz5HWGhXZ/?taken-by=realdonaldtrump

my harp and me (Eazy), Monday, 23 November 2015 20:47 (eight years ago) link

b) Rubio would be my pick right now--he's had a steady climb, and, watching him on Meet the Press, I don't think he's going to scare anyone away.

if you dig into that recent WashPo/ABC poll, Rubio was also the top "second choice" with 17%, as in, "if you couldn't vote for candidate X, who would be your next choice?". Carson and Trump were just behind him on that, though - 16% and 14%, respectively.

also interesting in that poll was a question about how much attention people are paying to the election at this point. the net (VERY interested + somewhat interested) was 75% of those polled. that may not sound like a lot, but it's higher than previous election cycles. in november '11, for example, it was 65%, in november '07 it was 67%, and in late october '03 it was 54%. there's the conventional wisdom that polling doesn't matter at this point because no one's paying attention and of course that will still hold true to a degree, but more and more people are paying attention earlier and earlier. it's somewhat surprising because you'd think an effect of the endless campaign of perpetuity and despair would end up alienating people from the process altogether, but i guess the magnetic fascism of Trumpism is enough to outweigh the nausea of the infinite campaign.

http://apps.washingtonpost.com/g/page/politics/washington-post-abc-news-poll-nov-15-19-2015/1880/

Karl Malone, Monday, 23 November 2015 20:54 (eight years ago) link

And the number of wingnuts who really really hate Obama.

Retro novelty punk (Dan Peterson), Monday, 23 November 2015 21:00 (eight years ago) link

I missed if this was already posted, but here's Matt Taibbi following around the clown car in NH:

http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/the-gop-clown-car-rolls-on-20151117

Professor Goodfeels (kingfish), Monday, 23 November 2015 21:09 (eight years ago) link

So let me get this straight: New Hampshire voters prefer the most destructive antiestablishment candidate in 50 years by 22 percent.

But if Mitt Romney, perhaps the most establishment candidate there could be in this race, was running, he would have 31 percent compared to what would then only be 15 percent for Trump.

I know there's likely some regional bias in these numbers, but what?

https://www.bostonglobe.com/metro/2015/11/21/gop-voters-would-prefer-romney/WiU9f86jd19UkXYQfb2yxM/story.html

pplains, Monday, 23 November 2015 21:27 (eight years ago) link

most destructive antiestablishment candidate

Should've said "frontrunner" instead of "candidate"

pplains, Monday, 23 November 2015 21:27 (eight years ago) link

other western countries with parliamentary systems have shown a steady ~10% of the populace goes for nationalist and xenophobic parties (with a weird smattering of nonconservatives liking it too) so trump's support doesn't seem exceptional. we're right in line.

But he's polling at over 40% nationwide in head-to-head general election match-ups.

timellison, Monday, 23 November 2015 21:32 (eight years ago) link

xpost So many of the replies to Trump's tweet were all "how can numbers be racist?!". As if those turds wouldn't have balked mightily at stats that opposed their fucked up worldview

Seriously, fuck this country, we deserve the Chump

brimstead, Monday, 23 November 2015 21:55 (eight years ago) link

i'd be shocked if trump was the next potus. by contrast would anyone be shocked if marie le pen was the next pm of france? so we have it pretty good i think.

Mordy, Monday, 23 November 2015 21:56 (eight years ago) link

tim that's in a constrained 1on1 q vs hillary

goole, Monday, 23 November 2015 22:02 (eight years ago) link

like, here's another tab from that same page:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_fiorina_vs_clinton-5470.html

every head to head matchup has numbers in the 40s

goole, Monday, 23 November 2015 22:05 (eight years ago) link

yeah it broadly reflects party support rather than candidate support

xp

Οὖτις, Monday, 23 November 2015 22:06 (eight years ago) link

Yeah, exactly! I thought in the post I quoted that you were comparing him to European far-right party popularity based on the idea that his 25-30% or whatever it is nationwide in the primary field amounts to something like 10% of support nationwide. But I think the head-to-head match-ups are more troubling!

xp

timellison, Monday, 23 November 2015 22:10 (eight years ago) link

Yes to Shakey but nevertheless over 40% of the people surveyed in every one of the polls said they would actually vote for him specifically.

timellison, Monday, 23 November 2015 22:11 (eight years ago) link

I think you're misreading that

Οὖτις, Monday, 23 November 2015 22:12 (eight years ago) link

I mean you're right in that if the question was phrased "who would you vote for, Hillary or Trump", 40% said Trump but that does not mean that those people would vote for Trump under any circumstances

Οὖτις, Monday, 23 November 2015 22:13 (eight years ago) link

your first sentence is exactly what i meant, yeah. but no i think the h2h matchups are not that illustrative of anything because they're all about the same no matter which candidate you're talking about!

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/sanders_vs._republicans.html

goole, Monday, 23 November 2015 22:13 (eight years ago) link

No repub is going to be elected president in 2016. I'll bet one person on here $10

brimstead, Monday, 23 November 2015 22:15 (eight years ago) link

i think that's a safe bet but tbh who knows what could happen. a major terrorist attack in the US coupled with another economic downturn could put prez donald in the white house

Mordy, Monday, 23 November 2015 22:17 (eight years ago) link

nah

Οὖτις, Monday, 23 November 2015 22:18 (eight years ago) link

Equal parts unsurprising and fucking wow.

Just caught up with Trump's crime statistics now (it's hard to keep track of Trump stuff--I thought all the commentary above had to do with his Paris-related pronouncements). Same reaction as Old Lunch--or as Robert Downey says in Zodiac, "Jesus Harold Christ on rubber crutches."

clemenza, Monday, 23 November 2015 22:19 (eight years ago) link

Trump definitely has the thoughtful, measured temperament to respond appropriately to a terrorist attack, that I am sure of.

brimstead, Monday, 23 November 2015 22:22 (eight years ago) link

Meanwhile here's the thoughtful, measured temperament:

Hillary Clinton favors an activist American foreign policy, and Rubio mentioned to me that he was rereading “The Last Lion,” by William Manchester. He said, “It’s this book about Churchill. It’s really long. Only because I’m just so fascinated by the leadership he provided.” He went on, “Churchill was a guy who was largely ignored through much of the thirties as a warmonger, and a guy that was crying wolf, and Chamberlain was this heroic figure that was going to achieve peace in our time by diplomacy. And I think, in many cases, we’re kind of at a similar moment, where many of us, including myself, are warning about dangers that are percolating around the world and what they could turn into [bold mine-DL]. Whether it’s Iran, Russia, China, North Korea, or radical Islam.”

I love the excited way in which he discovers conventional wisdom.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 23 November 2015 22:33 (eight years ago) link

that's pretty lol. "ooooh that's why we've been calling the president an appeaser"

Mordy, Monday, 23 November 2015 22:35 (eight years ago) link

No repub is going to be elected president in 2016.

Not likely; entirely possible.

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, 23 November 2015 22:36 (eight years ago) link

one more interesting thing about that poll:

http://i.imgur.com/wDFBES4.jpg

http://i.imgur.com/S551VHr.jpg

Karl Malone, Monday, 23 November 2015 22:36 (eight years ago) link

"There's a part of me that wishes Trump were more outrageous and entertaining, but I'm supporting him anyway because I think he has a really good chance to win next November."

clemenza, Monday, 23 November 2015 22:42 (eight years ago) link

https://twitter.com/jameshupp/status/668924133581963264

omg

j., Monday, 23 November 2015 22:50 (eight years ago) link

hahahahaaaa

Οὖτις, Monday, 23 November 2015 22:50 (eight years ago) link

many such teachings

j., Monday, 23 November 2015 22:52 (eight years ago) link

It’s this book about Churchill. It’s really long.

an intellectual giant, I tell you

wizzz! (amateurist), Monday, 23 November 2015 23:01 (eight years ago) link

on a more serious (??) note, i had an awakening when i found the facebook page of the current majority leader of the wisconsin house of representatives, and his favorite books were:

- the fountainhead
- the bible
- one of those christian self-help things like "10 ways to get to heaven"

it hit me how many of these folks are highly skilled at prevarication and doublespeak but in every other way are total ignoramuses

wizzz! (amateurist), Monday, 23 November 2015 23:03 (eight years ago) link

An actual clown-car story out of Toronto:

http://www.cp24.com/news/doo-doo-the-clown-commended-for-saving-two-women-from-petrifying-attack-1.2671094

“I had a carload of clowns and I was driving one of them back to Union Station and as we turned the corner, I saw this man jumping on cars. He was wearing just shorts, no shoes, no socks and a shirt,” Doo Doo said.

clemenza, Monday, 23 November 2015 23:14 (eight years ago) link

lol @ Christie:


QUESTION: Governor, you were in New Jersey in 2001 right after the September 11th terrorist attacks. Do you recall ever seeing – were there ever instances in Jersey City of thousands of people cheering?

CHRISTIE: I don’t recall that. I don’t. I mean, listen, I can’t say, Matt, I can’t say that I have – it was a pretty emotional time for me because, as I’ve mentioned before, there’s family involved, there’s friends involved and so it was a pretty harrowing time. I do not remember that. And so, it’s not something that was part of my recollection. I think if it had happened, I would remember it. But, you know, there could be things I forget, too. I don’t remember that. No.

these guys are so "take-charge RAH RAH RAH no compromise ever!" unless they have to contradict Donald Trump, then they're a bunch of obsequious quislings

Οὖτις, Monday, 23 November 2015 23:28 (eight years ago) link

crying at

It’s this book about Churchill. It’s really long.

brimstead, Monday, 23 November 2015 23:30 (eight years ago) link

“It’s this book about Churchill. It’s really long.” Doo Doo said.

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Monday, 23 November 2015 23:49 (eight years ago) link

The really scary thing about this whole thing is that somehow all nuts turn to Ted Cruz he ends up becoming the nominee, something legalese or world events would pretty much invalidate Clinton and somehow he ends up President. That's a guy that I think gets ahold of that kind of power could be f'ing scary.

earlnash, Tuesday, 24 November 2015 00:12 (eight years ago) link

@RealJamesWoods
.@SenTedCruz and I just spoke for 40 minutes by phone about our love of this country. This man is the real deal. I'm all in! #TedCruz #tcot

polyphonic, Tuesday, 24 November 2015 00:14 (eight years ago) link

Vice-President James Woods for starters...

Boz Scaggs was Adele back in 1976 (C. Grisso/McCain), Tuesday, 24 November 2015 00:22 (eight years ago) link

a bunch of obsequious quislings

tbf rubio hasn't reached this chapter yet.

denies the existence of dark matter (difficult listening hour), Tuesday, 24 November 2015 00:25 (eight years ago) link

lol burn

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 24 November 2015 00:27 (eight years ago) link

http://thehill.com/sites/default/files/styles/article_full/public/blogs/sanders_killer_mike_.jpg?itok=pgLLLBQO

Taken only seconds before Donald Trump burst through the door and saved his fellow presidential candidate from imminent death.

clemenza, Tuesday, 24 November 2015 00:47 (eight years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kywpo-XmFYg

schwantz, Tuesday, 24 November 2015 01:19 (eight years ago) link

just left the Bernie rally at the Fox feat. Killer Mike :D

big fat rascal (will), Tuesday, 24 November 2015 03:13 (eight years ago) link

damn killer mike is the best

Amira, Queen of Creativity (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Tuesday, 24 November 2015 03:38 (eight years ago) link

wow

on entre O.K. on sort K.O. (man alive), Tuesday, 24 November 2015 03:46 (eight years ago) link

"bernie sanders introduced by 'killer'" --the right-wing internet

but srsly though bernie/mike 2016

wizzz! (amateurist), Tuesday, 24 November 2015 03:57 (eight years ago) link

Run The Country

EZ Snappin, Tuesday, 24 November 2015 03:59 (eight years ago) link

is the bernie/killer mike img meme a t-shirt / coffee mug option yet? please don't make me duckduckgo it by myself here folks

El Tomboto, Tuesday, 24 November 2015 04:33 (eight years ago) link

I know it plays to some of my weak tea progressiveness, that KM's intro is all about the right to healthcare and free college, not specifically about addressing institutionalized and culturally entrenched racism and bigotry, but those ARE my bias - I don't think we can teach other people not to be enema bags, I think we have to sponsor opportunity everywhere equally and then strive to make it actually equal where we can - but he did do a great job summarizing my Bern Feels.

Something that's perhaps more important is that while I'm trying to write down how hey ha, Killer Mike introducing Bernie Sanders is a funny juxtaposition, I had to stop, because I'm a slow moron, and it's not, at all.

El Tomboto, Tuesday, 24 November 2015 04:41 (eight years ago) link

unlike Lupe Fiasco, Killer Mike is old enough to serve as veep

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 24 November 2015 16:19 (eight years ago) link

Haven't been as alarmed by Trump as others (primarily because he isn't religious in his professional life), but the predicted steps here make a scary amount of sense:

http://theweek.com/articles/590497/donald-trumps-alarming-skid-toward-outright-fascism

my harp and me (Eazy), Tuesday, 24 November 2015 17:31 (eight years ago) link

is it really "alarming"

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 24 November 2015 17:33 (eight years ago) link

more like predictable

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 24 November 2015 17:34 (eight years ago) link

The shooting in Minneapolis is a new step forward. Not inevitable, not predictable, any more than us predictably going to war with Russia.

my harp and me (Eazy), Tuesday, 24 November 2015 17:37 (eight years ago) link

? what does that have to do with Trump/the election

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 24 November 2015 17:38 (eight years ago) link

I mean sure it's tangentially related but idk it isn't really related to Trump's shift into fascism

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 24 November 2015 17:40 (eight years ago) link

shakey you know alarming and predictable aren't mutually exclusive! climate change, etc

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 24 November 2015 17:41 (eight years ago) link

The article makes the bones of a link - heavily armed white nationalists (several groups of which have already declared that he's the only candidate that really furthers their cause) taking advantage of the political environment to start shit wouldn't be a surprising step. Do you want to bet cash that the people responsible for the shooting in Minneapolis don't have Trump bumper stickers? Or that he'd denounce them without a wink?

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 24 November 2015 17:52 (eight years ago) link

It's not much of a leap to imagine who the Minneapolis shooters might favor as a presidential candidate. He's practically condoning acts like that at this point. Whether they explicitly did it in his name, it fits pretty comfortably alongside other acts being committed by his supporters.

The Squirrel Who Punched His Dad In The Neck (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 24 November 2015 17:57 (eight years ago) link

Man beaten at Trump rally speaks out:
http://thinkprogress.org/politics/2015/11/23/3725051/trump-protester-beaten/

“It was just a sea of white faces,” he told ThinkProgress. “A lady kicked me in the stomach. A man kicked me in the chest. They called me n*****, monkey, and they shouted ‘all lives matter’ while they were kicking and punching me. So for all the people who are still confused at this point, they proved what ‘all lives matter’ meant. It means, ‘Shut up, n*****.'”

Montgomery Burns' Jazz (Tarfumes The Escape Goat), Tuesday, 24 November 2015 18:16 (eight years ago) link

Well, it just emphasizes that much more how crucial it is to not let these people control the machinery of the state.

El Tomboto, Tuesday, 24 November 2015 18:19 (eight years ago) link

dude's a hero

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 24 November 2015 18:27 (eight years ago) link

rumor is that gunmen said something about trump. that's hearsay but speaks to the point above

global tetrahedron, Tuesday, 24 November 2015 18:28 (eight years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CUmmNY5WsAAxUOd.jpg

goole, Tuesday, 24 November 2015 20:38 (eight years ago) link

^ Another Republican about to throw his hat into the ring?

Aimless, Tuesday, 24 November 2015 20:44 (eight years ago) link

Hippie baby boomer turned Libertarian.

my harp and me (Eazy), Tuesday, 24 November 2015 20:47 (eight years ago) link

http://data.whicdn.com/images/1828948/large.jpg

Doctor Casino, Tuesday, 24 November 2015 22:55 (eight years ago) link

what does Trump do if he doesn't win Iowa (or New Hampshire)?

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2305

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 00:09 (eight years ago) link

what does Trump do if he doesn't win Iowa (or New Hampshire)?

http://www.lifed.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/01/Budd-Dwyer2.jpg

Hey, we can always hope, right?

the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Wednesday, 25 November 2015 01:05 (eight years ago) link

I would guess he would drop out

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 01:20 (eight years ago) link

So did that guy.

pplains, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 01:28 (eight years ago) link

having to stop myself from buying 'keep calm and carson on' shirts as joke xmas presents

balls, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 01:30 (eight years ago) link

The media is covering people polling with 1% or less.. they have trump on all fucking day because its ratings. he's not going anywhere until the media stops caring. he'll run third party because his 15% of rump racist awful america will always be there for him.

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Wednesday, 25 November 2015 01:54 (eight years ago) link

i think it's very possible he'll run third party but cruz has generally played nice and he doesn't seem to have a hardon for rubio so they could appease him w/ some nice words and a prime convention speaking spot. if jeb looked like the eventual nominee i'd have no doubt trump would run third party.

balls, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 02:04 (eight years ago) link

A CNN guy just talked about a Trump event where people were shaking their fists at reporters (having to do with Trump's recent New Jersey-9/11 comments). Shades of the Goldwater convention! (I've read about that countless times, but there doesn't seem to be any images online.)

clemenza, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 02:05 (eight years ago) link

i have my doubts, he's all about WINNING xp

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 25 November 2015 02:06 (eight years ago) link

Quarter pound of lean rump racist plz

Eugene Goostman (forksclovetofu), Wednesday, 25 November 2015 04:49 (eight years ago) link

@DougHenwood 1h1 hour ago
The @realDonaldTrump's goddamn hats are made by Latino workers.

...The red-and-white caps are emblazoned with the real estate mogul's oft-repeated slogan, “Make America Great Again.”

But look around the factory floor where these hats are being made by the thousands, and you’ll find faces that don’t seem to fit into Trump’s America.

Yolanda Melendrez is one of them. Melendrez, an immigrant from Mexico who was brought to the United States by her parents when she was a baby, has worked at the Carson-based Cali-Fame headwear company since 1991.

“When we first got the order [for the Trump hats], I said to myself, ‘Just wait until he sees who’s making his hats. We’re Latinos, we’re Mexicans, Salvadoreños.’”

http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-pol-ca-trump-hats-cali-fame-carson-20151124-story.html

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 25 November 2015 15:40 (eight years ago) link

I think Trump has said he wouldn't run third party and maybe even signed some pledge, not that that means anything.

Those fucking chillary/grillary things make me want to die

akm, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 17:58 (eight years ago) link

"Killer Mike is a great rapper" – Bernie Sanders

welltris (crüt), Wednesday, 25 November 2015 19:34 (eight years ago) link

~~killer mike moment~~

j., Wednesday, 25 November 2015 19:38 (eight years ago) link

he signed reince's pledge a few months ago. this past weekend he said a third party run was still on the table.

balls, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 22:14 (eight years ago) link

Yeah no way is that pledge legally binding. If anything it was a capitulation to trump.

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 25 November 2015 23:07 (eight years ago) link

To 5 million followers:

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/669672417774694400

my harp and me (Eazy), Thursday, 26 November 2015 00:45 (eight years ago) link

@mtaibbi Nov 24
Not sure why Mitt Romney isn't running. He'd look like a cross of Lincoln and William the Conqueror in this group:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/11/23/the-republican-polling-best-in-new-hampshire-mitt-romney/

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 26 November 2015 03:33 (eight years ago) link

and Pierce says bevare, bevare of Ted Cruz.

I find the Tailgunner approximately as unlikable as three-quarters of the political world does. But there's no denying that he has built himself some political advantages that none of his rivals have. However, I'm sure that the "moderate GOP establishment" will get behind moderate John Kasich, or moderate Chris Christie, any day now and capsize the entire race.

http://www.esquire.com/news-politics/politics/news/a39989/ted-cruz-dangerous-candidate/

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 26 November 2015 03:42 (eight years ago) link

Neither Trump nor Carson feel like they have a clue about organizing a national presidential campaign, but that Cruz definitely understands that winning the nomination requires sewing up delegates, not just voters in primary states.

Cruz's major problem atm is that the ordinary voters who've attached themselves to Trump and Carson will be extremely hard to dislodge, even if Trump or Carson drop out of the race, because defiance of all reason, sense, or logic is just how they roll. I think he may be looking for a brokered convention now as a fallback strategy when neither Trump or Carson arrives at the convention with more than 25% of the delegates.

Or everything could turn completely upside down three times before next August. Who the fuck knows at this point?

Aimless, Thursday, 26 November 2015 04:09 (eight years ago) link

Probably belongs more in that Real Stories You Thought Were from the Onion thread (i.e., what kind of Trump piece would the Onion write if they were Trump supporters who wanted to make a point):

http://globalnews.ca/news/2363403/donald-trump-criticized-for-mocking-reporter-with-a-disability/?hootPostID=47b8eb3ffd18a53e758e2e80fdaae421

clemenza, Thursday, 26 November 2015 23:35 (eight years ago) link

I'm just waiting for Trump to make fun of veterans. Fingers crossed.

The Squirrel Who Punched His Dad In The Neck (Old Lunch), Friday, 27 November 2015 05:59 (eight years ago) link

You mean besides John McCain?

welltris (crüt), Friday, 27 November 2015 06:04 (eight years ago) link

he already called mccain a loser for getting captured in action, so...

lol xp

Clay, Friday, 27 November 2015 06:05 (eight years ago) link

Future Trump rally:

"You're stupid. You're all a bunch of losers. Worthless, stupid trash."

(crowd goes wild)

The Squirrel Who Punched His Dad In The Neck (Old Lunch), Friday, 27 November 2015 06:19 (eight years ago) link

so you're predicting a move from Lonesome Rhodes to Howard Beale

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Friday, 27 November 2015 06:23 (eight years ago) link

Michael B Dougherty ‏
Imagine a fascist Trump POTUS! USA might start unprovoked wars, keep a kill list, weaken Constitutional rights...

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Friday, 27 November 2015 08:30 (eight years ago) link

Future Trump rally:

"You're stupid. You're all a bunch of losers. Worthless, stupid trash."

(crowd goes wild)

― The Squirrel Who Punched His Dad In The Neck (Old Lunch),

his numbers went up in iowa after his 'how stupid are the ppl in iowa?' rant

balls, Friday, 27 November 2015 17:51 (eight years ago) link

Yeah but it's tough to tell if his numbers rose in response to that comment or his racism. Democracy!

Karl Malone, Friday, 27 November 2015 18:01 (eight years ago) link

my trump popularity theory is that ppl are cynical enough about politics that as they no longer think it matters who they vote for they might as well vote for someone entertaining; at least they can laugh while everything falls a part

Mordy, Friday, 27 November 2015 18:02 (eight years ago) link

The reality show/pro wrestling/entertainment thing is probably half, and then the other half are people that would have votes for Wallace

Karl Malone, Friday, 27 November 2015 18:09 (eight years ago) link

voted.

iPhone. Fuck

Karl Malone, Friday, 27 November 2015 18:09 (eight years ago) link

Aaaaaaannnnnnd, it's been 12 hours since the Planned Parenthood shootings and not one GOP candidate has released a statement about it. Hard for them to wash their hands and talk, I guess

Iago Galdston, Saturday, 28 November 2015 09:46 (eight years ago) link

They could hardly make the usual recommendation of arming all PP employees and patrons to the teeth. It would seem as if they were siding with the enemy.

Aimless, Saturday, 28 November 2015 17:16 (eight years ago) link

seriously what the hell style sheet do you people use that post to ilx from your iphone. they all look like unreadable butt to me.

El Tomboto, Saturday, 28 November 2015 20:49 (eight years ago) link

Zing app

Karl Malone, Saturday, 28 November 2015 20:58 (eight years ago) link

It might have been released during your time away, but it is what pro ilx posters use when they're on the go

Karl Malone, Saturday, 28 November 2015 20:58 (eight years ago) link

does it look different?? on OLDASS.CSS every post looks the same

j., Saturday, 28 November 2015 21:11 (eight years ago) link

I'm still on iPhone.css, which has the weird thing now where YouTube links no longer function

Professor Goodfeels (kingfish), Saturday, 28 November 2015 23:04 (eight years ago) link

“He’s not a bought-and-paid for politician. He knows all the ins and outs of negotiating,” said Clearwater resident Bob Priest, standing in line near a live elephant painted with Trump’s “Make America Great Again” slogan. “He’s got some guts and he tells it like it is.”

Read more here: http://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/article46970250.html#storylink=cpy

pplains, Sunday, 29 November 2015 03:37 (eight years ago) link

A little disappointed, frankly...

http://i.imgur.com/70Y8DZB.jpg

pplains, Sunday, 29 November 2015 03:38 (eight years ago) link

poor elephant :(

wizzz! (amateurist), Sunday, 29 November 2015 13:40 (eight years ago) link

by rights that pic should include the elephant taking a dump

Aimless, Sunday, 29 November 2015 18:16 (eight years ago) link

So the media is being p stupid about his chances eh

Hammer Smashed Bagels, Sunday, 29 November 2015 18:46 (eight years ago) link

They're doing all they can to report Trump's bombast and idiocy, which does at least put some sand in the gears and slow down the bandwagon effect.

Aimless, Sunday, 29 November 2015 19:01 (eight years ago) link

there was a thing about how his numbers had dipped some after this whole 'mocking a disabled person's disability' thing but it was only to thirtysomething percent among republicans, previously it was in the mid-forties. that's like hillary territory. i think the media is probably swinging too hard the other way after treating him as an consequence free amusement for so long, they've gone from 'this guy isn't actually a candidate' to 'this guy is THE candidate'. plus when he doesn't when it won't be (or at least won't primarily be) for the narrative reasons the media pretends shape the race and instead will be for his inexperience and probably unwilllingness to do the on the ground politicking that wins races. ie how the legend is that the scream sank dean but in reality the dean campaign had already kinda imploded, the scream coming after his finishing crazy low in iowa after looking like he'd sown up the nomination a month or so prior. media hyping up christie getting the union-leader endorsement; who knows if that really means shit but i guess it's indicative that christie is doing the legwork there. if he somehow won new hampshire now i guess i'd know how it happened.

balls, Sunday, 29 November 2015 19:09 (eight years ago) link

CC is ROLLIN' NOW

“Mr. Christie is right for these dangerous times,” Joseph W. McQuaid, the publisher, wrote in the endorsement editorial. “As a U.S. attorney and then a big-state governor, he is the one candidate who has the range and type of experience the nation desperately needs.”

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/11/30/us/politics/chasing-endorsements-christie-showers-new-hampshire-with-calls-and-texts.html

DESPERATELY

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, 30 November 2015 15:58 (eight years ago) link

@sahilkapur Nov 28
.@UnionLeader endorsements:

2016: Christie
2012: Newt
2008: McCain
2000: Steve Forbes
1996: Buchanan
1992: Buchanan
1988: Pierre du Pont

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, 30 November 2015 16:07 (eight years ago) link

The flawed premise of the alternate earth suggested by that list is the assumption that humanity would have survived long enough to vote Christie into office.

The Squirrel Who Punched His Dad In The Neck (Old Lunch), Monday, 30 November 2015 16:27 (eight years ago) link

ted cruz suffered a big loss this morning as the 13-year-old chairman for Teens for Ted who became internet famous for asking why Obama invited the "Muslim kid" to the White House remembered that he is a 13-year-old kid and gave up his position and conservatism

uh

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/cj-pearson-renounces-conservatism

Karl Malone, Monday, 30 November 2015 16:40 (eight years ago) link

oh man, i haven't seen the name pierre dupont... probably since 1988.

wizzz! (amateurist), Monday, 30 November 2015 17:00 (eight years ago) link

"Quit callin' yourself 'Pete'...."

pplains, Monday, 30 November 2015 17:33 (eight years ago) link

I hadn't even heard of him until I read Richard Ben Cramer's book.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 30 November 2015 17:41 (eight years ago) link

any of the candidates have anything to say about this PP shooting over the weekend? Carly? Teddy?

Οὖτις, Monday, 30 November 2015 17:44 (eight years ago) link

Fiorina and Cruz said it was a shame libs still believe in ending the lives of babies when libs already dying for going to Planned Parenthood.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 30 November 2015 17:45 (eight years ago) link

Ted Cruz called the shooter a "transgendered leftist activist" iirc

welltris (crüt), Monday, 30 November 2015 17:46 (eight years ago) link

yeah that was seriously nauseating

goole, Monday, 30 November 2015 17:47 (eight years ago) link

haha waht

Οὖτις, Monday, 30 November 2015 17:48 (eight years ago) link

wait, seriously? Cruz seriously said that?

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Monday, 30 November 2015 17:48 (eight years ago) link

i guess some form somewhere with the dude's name on it had F instead of M, and about an hour later the r-w echochamber had ginned that up into "omg he was a trans activist!!" then duly repeated by cruz

i guess we know what ted's media diet is

goole, Monday, 30 November 2015 17:48 (eight years ago) link

Mine was bullshit.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 30 November 2015 17:51 (eight years ago) link

Chuckles called it terrorism, I guess that's something:

“What he did is domestic terrorism,” Huckabee said in an interview with CNN’s “State of the Union” Sunday. “And what he did is absolutely abominable, especially to us in the pro-life movement, because there’s nothing about any of us that would condone or in any way look the other way on something like this.”

Οὖτις, Monday, 30 November 2015 17:55 (eight years ago) link

I think when you let Huckabee get out ahead of you on the moral high ground, it's time to set your campaign headquarters on fire and retreat to the mountains to live off of the land.

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Monday, 30 November 2015 17:58 (eight years ago) link

david futrelle had a look at the echo chamber in action:

http://wehuntedthemammoth.com/2015/11/28/right-wingers-claim-colorado-shooter-robert-lewis-dear-is-a-trans-woman/

goole, Monday, 30 November 2015 17:58 (eight years ago) link

It's sad how far shit has to go before it crosses the line that makes (some of) these folks react like human beings.

The Squirrel Who Punched His Dad In The Neck (Old Lunch), Monday, 30 November 2015 18:00 (eight years ago) link

Even so, I'm sure it's as much about distancing their own extremism from a more unpalatable extremism as it is about expressing true sympathy.

The Squirrel Who Punched His Dad In The Neck (Old Lunch), Monday, 30 November 2015 18:02 (eight years ago) link

Is Huckabee the only republican candidate to condemn the attacks and/or call them terrorism so far?

too young for seapunk (Moodles), Monday, 30 November 2015 18:04 (eight years ago) link

*attack

too young for seapunk (Moodles), Monday, 30 November 2015 18:04 (eight years ago) link

Oh Huckabee had that shit on an index card in his back pocket. For him this is absolutely a pre-planned exercise, the calculated response to a scenario he and a few staff "what-if'd" years ago.

El Tomboto, Monday, 30 November 2015 18:05 (eight years ago) link

gotta give it to him for being the only GOP candidate to have his index card ready to go, though

Karl Malone, Monday, 30 November 2015 18:42 (eight years ago) link

I think when you let Huckabee get out ahead of you on the moral high ground, it's time to set your campaign headquarters on fire and retreat to the mountains to live off of the land.

― you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Monday, November 30, 2015 12:58 PM (45 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

OTM

welltris (crüt), Monday, 30 November 2015 18:44 (eight years ago) link

UPDATE NOV 30, 2015 8:14 AM
Cruz campaign spokesman Rick Tyler clarified of the candidate's remarks, "He was making the point that there isn’t enough information. You can’t expect a full response to a story that’s developing. The point was there’s a lot of raw information going around that’s not confirmed.

The campaign also explained that Cruz received his information from "The Right Scoop," which similarly used the voter registration form to ask, "WAS THE COLORADO SHOOTER A TRANSGENDER PERSON?!?!"

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 30 November 2015 18:45 (eight years ago) link

there's always the risk that if Ted Cruz retreated to the mountains to live off the land he'd end up like Robert Lewis Dear.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 30 November 2015 18:46 (eight years ago) link

"transgendered" is basically a slur right? like a "Democrat party" kind of jab but a billion bajillion times more reprehensible?

welltris (crüt), Monday, 30 November 2015 18:46 (eight years ago) link

While I'm sure the rightwing echo chamber views the transgendered as freaks and monsters, transgendered is an actual term used by transgendered people (as opposed to, say, "tranny" which is def a slur). By contrast, no Democrat says they belong to "the Democrat Party".

Οὖτις, Monday, 30 November 2015 18:52 (eight years ago) link

my bad. I thought "transgender" was the preferred term.

welltris (crüt), Monday, 30 November 2015 18:55 (eight years ago) link

lmao look at this trash

https://twitter.com/therightscoop

goole, Monday, 30 November 2015 19:02 (eight years ago) link

huh sorry crut I stand corrected, I was not aware of this distinction:

The term trans man refers to a man who has transitioned from female-to-male, and trans woman refers to a woman who has transitioned from male-to-female. Health-practitioner manuals, professional journalistic style guides, and LGBT advocacy groups advise the adoption by others of the name and pronouns identified by the person in question, including present references to the transgender person's past; many also note that transgender should be used as an adjective, not a noun (for example, "Max is transgender" or "Max is a transgender man", not "Max is a transgender"), and that transgender should be used, not transgendered.

Οὖτις, Monday, 30 November 2015 19:05 (eight years ago) link

The point was there’s a lot of raw information going around that’s not confirmed.

most otm Cruz campaign will ever get

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Monday, 30 November 2015 19:08 (eight years ago) link

u got to admit it is a unique if cynical and exploitative way to dodge the issue of domestic terrorism

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Monday, 30 November 2015 19:09 (eight years ago) link

TBF, if we can't keep the accepted terminology straight, I'd be hard-pressed to call out a republican for using something that isn't an outright slur when he's throwing transgender people under a bus.

The Squirrel Who Punched His Dad In The Neck (Old Lunch), Monday, 30 November 2015 19:13 (eight years ago) link

The point was there’s a lot of raw information going around that’s not confirmed. And we're committed to issuing uninformed, wild speculation of that raw information as quickly as possible.

The Squirrel Who Punched His Dad In The Neck (Old Lunch), Monday, 30 November 2015 19:15 (eight years ago) link

I'll never understand how politicians can get so much support when they're the type of people who, as neighbors or coworkers, others would rightly avoid and wholly mistrust.

The Squirrel Who Punched His Dad In The Neck (Old Lunch), Monday, 30 November 2015 19:17 (eight years ago) link

Did not expect to open this thread and hear about a candidate for president of the United States - not named Trump - tie the Planned Parenthood shooting into lol trans jokes.

Huck's got that broken clock thing going for him, if you're into small appliances that don't work 99% of the time. He was somewhat in the right when he condemned Rev. Wright's sermons, but not Wright himself, saying to cut him some slack. That might have more to do with (A.) Being a Rev himself and (B.) serving a term as governor while Nolan Richardson was the state's head basketball coach.

pplains, Monday, 30 November 2015 19:36 (eight years ago) link

Calling criticism of her misrepresentations about Planned Parenthood “typical left-wing tactics,” the Presidential candidate Carly Fiorina said, on Sunday, “I will not be bullied into telling the truth.”

Οὖτις, Monday, 30 November 2015 20:17 (eight years ago) link

oh curse you Borowitz, I need to read bylines more closely

Οὖτις, Monday, 30 November 2015 20:18 (eight years ago) link

'I'll never understand how politicians can get so much support when they're the type of people who, as neighbors or coworkers, others would rightly avoid and wholly mistrust.'

Easily, I think, since presidential campaigns are way more about hopes-and-fears/broad narrative stuff rather than the particulars of actual living & breathing people.

C.f. Hunter S Thompson hating everything about "Nixon" but able to talk football with the actual man.

Professor Goodfeels (kingfish), Monday, 30 November 2015 20:39 (eight years ago) link

'I'll never understand how politicians can get so much support when they're the type of people who, as neighbors or coworkers, others would rightly avoid and wholly mistrust.'

There's also the line of thinking that goes, "Of course they're all liars and thieves and douchenozzles: they're politicians. If they weren't lying shits, they'd go into a more honest line of work. If we're going to elect a lying shit no matter what, I at least want to vote for one whose rhetoric aligns most closely with my own views."

Put another way: Power should only be entrusted to people who don't want it.

On this view, thinking you deserve to be president is pathological to begin with; it is almost a disqualifying factor on its own. And yet you need to run to be elected, and we're supposed to have a president. So we have to pick from among the people who want the job.

the minor fall, the lemon lift (Ye Mad Puffin), Monday, 30 November 2015 21:02 (eight years ago) link

Yeah, but there are a lot of candidates these days that don't even strive to be "likeable" in that vague way that politicians are considered likeable. Some of this gaggle of republican candidates come off as deeply unpleasant people to an extent that I imagine for many isn't even ameliorated by party affiliation.

The Featureless Mash That Was Once My Face (Old Lunch), Monday, 30 November 2015 21:13 (eight years ago) link

thinking you deserve to be president is pathological to begin with

I do p much think this tbh - which is one of the reasons Obama is such an interesting president. Where others' pathologies are nakedly obvious (both Clintons, Dubya, Nixon, Reagan etc.), Obama's are much harder to detect.

Οὖτις, Monday, 30 November 2015 21:14 (eight years ago) link

Power should only be entrusted to people who don't want it.

This is pithy and I've been guilty of flippantly tossing it around more than once over the decades, but it would be truer to say that people who truly don't want power will generally be inept at handling great power, because they have no practice wielding it. It would be like handing a chain saw to a person who has never even held one and telling them to fell a hundred fifty foot tree growing next to high voltage lines.

Aimless, Monday, 30 November 2015 21:18 (eight years ago) link

imo the pathological nature of the job is in the willing acceptance of, even enthusiasm for, having a job where you will be directly responsible for the deaths of innocent people. No matter what you do as president, this is something that is gonna happen, and because of decisions you make. Accepting that is p messed up imo, only crazy people with advanced compartmentalization skills can/would do it.

Οὖτις, Monday, 30 November 2015 21:21 (eight years ago) link

people in this thread finding the republican candidates unlikable shocker. also, anyone that pays taxes has to willingly accept that some of that money will be used to drop bombs on innocent people.

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Monday, 30 November 2015 21:30 (eight years ago) link

true, but I think that's different from actually being the one calling the shots

Οὖτις, Monday, 30 November 2015 21:32 (eight years ago) link

“And what he did is absolutely abominable, especially to us in the pro-life movement,..."--Huckabee

Nice trick. The real victims here are the pro-lifers.

andrew m., Monday, 30 November 2015 21:55 (eight years ago) link

he probably noticed how after every jihadi attack everyone got really worried about islamophobia

Mordy, Monday, 30 November 2015 22:02 (eight years ago) link

No, I read that more as "They already think we're crazy, this guy isn't helping."

Austin, Monday, 30 November 2015 22:04 (eight years ago) link

restraint probably kept him from going full-on christian blowback victimization

Mordy, Monday, 30 November 2015 22:05 (eight years ago) link

You're probably right.

Austin, Monday, 30 November 2015 22:08 (eight years ago) link

I think of that line by Lincoln's longtime law partner: the ceaseless tick-tock of Lincoln's ambition. To enjoy power isn't itself corrupting. FDR enjoyed power too, used it well and not so well (used it less well than Lincoln but was in office longer).

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 30 November 2015 22:10 (eight years ago) link

after every jihadi attack there are reprisals against muslims

i doubt the same thing happens to pro-lifers but i'll keep my eyes open

goole, Monday, 30 November 2015 22:10 (eight years ago) link

You're right, Austin, but he just can't help position himself as also being at least a kind of victim in this. it's absolutely pathological.

andrew m., Monday, 30 November 2015 22:11 (eight years ago) link

it's p clear what huckabee means tho

i suppose the closest thing to a left wing shooting we've had in a while is the Family Research Council shooting, which the shooter said he got off a list from the SPLC

goole, Monday, 30 November 2015 22:17 (eight years ago) link

GOP considers Islamists leftists afaict

Οὖτις, Monday, 30 November 2015 22:18 (eight years ago) link

Like, "They already think we're crazy. Now they think we're shoot up the place crazy. Woe is us."

I can see that.

And yeah, it's uncomfortable. But at least it's in line with the usual batshit Huckabee rhetoric.

Austin, Monday, 30 November 2015 22:19 (eight years ago) link

GOP considers Islamists leftists afaict

Actual LOL.

Austin, Monday, 30 November 2015 22:20 (eight years ago) link

i think huck means "abortion is murder, murder is murder, murder is bad"

goole, Monday, 30 November 2015 22:21 (eight years ago) link

"except for kids murdering dogs, that's cool"

Οὖτις, Monday, 30 November 2015 22:22 (eight years ago) link

it's v true jihadists couldn't be 'further' from 'the right' #freedom

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Monday, 30 November 2015 22:23 (eight years ago) link

Xpost

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Monday, 30 November 2015 22:23 (eight years ago) link

Huckabee is saying domestic terrorism is especially abominable to those with the ethical purity and resolve to be 'pro-lifers' afaict.

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Monday, 30 November 2015 22:27 (eight years ago) link

or just especially abominable because the ironic lol of "pro-life" ppl murdering is clear even to huckabee

Mordy, Monday, 30 November 2015 22:32 (eight years ago) link

Wait, these guys are still running?

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 30 November 2015 22:37 (eight years ago) link

who the fuck even knows

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Monday, 30 November 2015 22:40 (eight years ago) link

Well it took great bravery to say in public that murdering people is v bad.

andrew m., Monday, 30 November 2015 22:41 (eight years ago) link

'There is no excuse for killing other people whether it's happening inside the Planned Parenthood headquarters, inside their clinics where millions of babies die, or whether it's people attacking Planned Parenthood,' he said during an interview on CNN.
'I don't know of anybody who has suggested violence toward Planned Parenthood personnel or some act of violence towards their clinics. I've not heard that, not from one single pro-life person.'

andrew m., Monday, 30 November 2015 22:43 (eight years ago) link

Not a single pro-life person ever personally warned Huckabee that he was about to go murder anyone at PP.

andrew m., Monday, 30 November 2015 22:44 (eight years ago) link

"yo Huck, just a heads-up..."

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Monday, 30 November 2015 22:45 (eight years ago) link

Definitely pro-life persons pretty narrowly isn't he.

One bad call from barely losing to (Alex in SF), Monday, 30 November 2015 22:51 (eight years ago) link

“After all these years and millions of babies that have gone to their death, violence is to be anticipated,” said Judie Brown, president of American Life League, in a phone interview with MSNBC. “Because it’s acceptable to violently kill a baby, so why isn’t it acceptable to violently kill other people?”

“We never approve of violence against anybody, whether it’s the unborn babies or the clients of Planned Parenthood or anybody else,” Ann Scheidler, vice president of the Pro-Life Action League, told MSNBC. But, she added, “it’s not the fault of the pro-life movement that someone found out that Planned Parenthood is doing these things. It’s the fault of Planned Parenthood for selling the baby parts.”

http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/abortion-opponents-defense-colorado-planned-parenthood-shooting

Karl Malone, Monday, 30 November 2015 22:55 (eight years ago) link

"we live in a world of moral relativism where the original sin is abortion" is part of the story i hadn't heard before

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Monday, 30 November 2015 23:38 (eight years ago) link

Oh man, this thread is a goldmine for laughs today.

Austin, Monday, 30 November 2015 23:40 (eight years ago) link

buttload of laughs

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Monday, 30 November 2015 23:45 (eight years ago) link

"we live in a world of moral relativism where the original sin is abortion" is part of the story i hadn't heard before

― rap is dad (it's a boy!), Monday, November 30, 2015 5:38 PM (2 hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

i've heard this a lot, actually. from protestant pro-life folks, but more credibly from catholics who champion the "consistent life ethic"— in their view things like abortion, the death penalty, and a variety of things those of us on this board are likely to detest (poverty, war) are all part of the cheapening of human life.

wizzz! (amateurist), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 01:58 (eight years ago) link

anyway here's an attempt to parse the meaning of the trump phenomenon: https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/birthers-trumpists-and-a-crisis-for-the-gop/2015/09/04/3b3e2074-5308-11e5-8c19-0b6825aa4a3a_story.html

wizzz! (amateurist), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 01:58 (eight years ago) link

it's easy to forgot btw that the tribalism of american politics have meant that the pro-life position is associated with the right but it wasn't always thus. until the 1970s abortion wasn't really a partisan issue. anyway.

wizzz! (amateurist), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 02:01 (eight years ago) link

i mean it was an "issue," but those opposed to legal abortion were distributed among the major parties, as were those in favor.

wizzz! (amateurist), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 02:02 (eight years ago) link

From that WaPo opinion article by the "Harvard political theorist" linked just above:

If the Republicans can hang on to the convictions that make them the party of Lincoln, we ought to see the party split. For the good of the country, we should hope for it.

So not going to happen.

...what we’re confronting truly is the rise of a new party. Provided, that is, the Republicans don’t sell their souls.

That sale is all but final.

Aimless, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 02:18 (eight years ago) link

ha, I had a Catholic friend whose priest would basically come out and say, "no Catholic can ever be a Democrat" and "JFK would have been a Republican" re: abortion

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 02:31 (eight years ago) link

uh they stopped being the party of Lincoln in 1876.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 02:34 (eight years ago) link

tbf if any new party emerged and called itself the whigs i'd probably join

mookieproof, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 02:40 (eight years ago) link

In more mundane news, specifics on Clinton infrastructure spending proposals and Sanders...

Hillary Clinton is calling for a $275 billion boost in federal infrastructure spending over five years and the creation of an infrastructure bank, arguing that the measures will help create jobs while modernizing the nation’s ailing roads and bridges…The Democratic presidential front-runner plans to spend the next month laying out what her campaign is calling her “jobs agenda,” including ideas for upping federal support for research and manufacturing.

That $275 billion falls well short of the $1 trillion in infrastructure spending that Bernie Sanders wants, another sign Clinton is not embracing the robust economic agenda favored by the Sanders/Warren wing of the party. Oh, and seven in 10 Americans back this sort of spending.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2015/11/30/morning-plum-yes-donald-trumps-demagoguery-just-got-even-uglier/

https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2015-11-29/hillary-clinton-calls-for-275-billion-in-federal-infrastructure-spending

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 17:03 (eight years ago) link

just in time for interest rates to go up .. xp

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 17:25 (eight years ago) link

whut

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 17:31 (eight years ago) link

um, that's the real JEB! communications director twitter acct?

Eugene Goostman (forksclovetofu), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 17:37 (eight years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5b2KyVmmVYw

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 18:53 (eight years ago) link

"convicted felons tend to vote Democrat" is a thing Ted Cruz said

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 18:55 (eight years ago) link

His shithead admirers would find nothing wrong with that statement. It plays up perfectly to their bigoted view of the world: violent criminals are overwhelmingly black and blacks are overwhelmingly democratic. QED.

Aimless, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 19:01 (eight years ago) link

well aside from that, convicted felons can't vote

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 19:02 (eight years ago) link

depends on the state

Aimless, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 19:03 (eight years ago) link

maybe he had Sheldon Silver on the brain

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 19:04 (eight years ago) link

the guy on the right is the real life version of Fred from Scooby Doo

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 19:33 (eight years ago) link

she's done it again

“I have stood for a lot of regulation on big banks and on the financial services sector. I also represented New York and represented everybody from the dairy farmers to the fishermen...And so, yes, do I know people? And did I help rebuild after 9/11? Yes, I did,” Clinton said.

http://gawker.com/hillary-clinton-again-invokes-9-11-to-explain-her-wall-1745514917

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 20:51 (eight years ago) link

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/c/c9/Charging_Bull_statue.jpg

that's not a milk cow

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 20:53 (eight years ago) link

Her masonry skills were a bit lacking but her heart was in the right place.

The Featureless Mash That Was Once My Face (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 20:53 (eight years ago) link

this isn't a good look for her, but then i'm not sure how she's supposed to answer since she can't tell the truth ("what can i say? i'm completely in their pocket. but you're gonna vote for me anyway, aren't you?")

wizzz! (amateurist), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 20:56 (eight years ago) link

"You're not gonna vote Republican!"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Cg7Z2eZmcM

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 20:58 (eight years ago) link

as Pareene points out, there are other rhetorical ways to defend megacapitalism than via 9/11 9/11 9/11

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:01 (eight years ago) link

whoa, Wendell Pierce was in Bulworth? forgot about that.

wizzz! (amateurist), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:01 (eight years ago) link

are you shitting me right now

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CVK7HCPW4AMM_Dc.png

goole, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:39 (eight years ago) link

that logo is so brilliant

Mordy, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:42 (eight years ago) link

not necessarily this manifestation which seems a little tacky but just the template which is so versatile (and at least to me aesthetically pleasing + memorable)

Mordy, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:43 (eight years ago) link

wonder if there were meetings about how it looks like she's sitting at the back of the logo.

Doctor Casino, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:43 (eight years ago) link

hahaha

sleeve, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:44 (eight years ago) link

and how it was impossible to get rid of that without it messing up the clarity of the H-arrow. but darn it they'd drawn this cutesy cartoon cutout that sorta vaguely looks like rosa parks i guess, and the blurb has already been written and do you want us to just throw all that work away?

Doctor Casino, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:44 (eight years ago) link

the semiotics of that are weird -- are we supposed to think that hillary has defied time and causality by somehow being the inspiration for rosa parks?

wizzz! (amateurist), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:46 (eight years ago) link

That logo is grotesque

Iago Galdston, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:46 (eight years ago) link

"Lady, you need to get up and move off of that 'H'."

pplains, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:50 (eight years ago) link

wow what an inclusive brand

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:54 (eight years ago) link

she can transform her H into the twin towers if she gets another question about wall street funding

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:54 (eight years ago) link

come to the front, Ms Parks, and help me rebuild Wall Street.

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:54 (eight years ago) link

i think they just got their campaign logo mixed up with the google doodle. tomorrow it'll be an animated gif of tesla, or redone in the style of piet mondrian. #neoplasticism turns 100 years old today! now you know how to say "hello" in dutch!

Doctor Casino, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:55 (eight years ago) link

I'm not at all mad at the Rosa Parks logo

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:03 (eight years ago) link

i'm not /mad/ at it, since it can't possibly have been intended to mean what it seems to mean. it's just kinda dumb.

wizzz! (amateurist), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:03 (eight years ago) link

It's dumb if you're predisposed to see everything Clinton does as opportunistic and dumb. It's also more than what Google did today.

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:09 (eight years ago) link

Rosa Parks deserves all the recognition she receives. Weaving her into your own campaign logo is a bit on the crass side, but it's not any different than the usual move of wrapping oneself in the flag, and she's a much better symbol to associate with than, say, Dukakis sitting in a battle tank for a photo op.

Aimless, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:15 (eight years ago) link

I haven't checked for hot takes on this Michael Eric Dyson piece, subtitled "Why Hillary Clinton will do more for black people than Obama"

https://newrepublic.com/article/124391/yes-she-can

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:16 (eight years ago) link

is it an only reagan can go to china argument bc tbh i find that a v convincing line of thought

Mordy, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:20 (eight years ago) link

seems like the thread title was prophetic

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:21 (eight years ago) link

https://twitter.com/politichickAM/status/671725201747415042

3 reasons I’m endorsing @SenTedCruz for Pres: Nat’l Security, Peace Thru Strength & Eidetic Memory. @TeamTedCruz #CruzCrew #CruzToVictory

goole, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:29 (eight years ago) link

what

goole, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:29 (eight years ago) link

dear lord

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:32 (eight years ago) link

So, what, dude can instaneously recite the stats of various weapons systems from a Jane's manual from memory?

Professor Goodfeels (kingfish), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:32 (eight years ago) link

seems like the thread title was prophetic

heh

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:33 (eight years ago) link

am i sposed to know who that woman is?

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:36 (eight years ago) link

no, it's just odd

goole, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:41 (eight years ago) link

Meanwhile:

In states with some of the most competitive Senate contests, the concern is palpable, especially after weeks in which Mr. Trump has made a new series of inflammatory statements.

“If he carries this message into the general election in Ohio, we’ll hand this election to Hillary Clinton — and then try to salvage the rest of the ticket,” said Matt Borges, chairman of the Republican Party there, where Senator Rob Portman is facing a competitive re-election.

Pat Brady, the former state Republican chairman in Illinois, where Senator Mark S. Kirk is also locked in a difficult campaign, was even more direct. “If he’s our nominee, the repercussions of that in this state would be devastating,” Mr. Brady said.

Another Republican strategist in Ohio replied to an email asking about Mr. Trump’s effect in the state by sending a link to a Wikipedia page on the 1964 congressional elections, when Barry Goldwater’s presence atop the Republican ticket led the party to lose 36 House seats.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:41 (eight years ago) link

Those of you in open primary states: please vote for Trump.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:42 (eight years ago) link

am i sposed to know who that woman is?

I'll give you a hint, it's a woman whose famous for riding a bus and whose birthday happens to be today

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:45 (eight years ago) link

okay hahahahahahahahahahaha Morbs was talking about Goole's Twitter link hahahahahahahahaha

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:45 (eight years ago) link

Those of you in open primary states: please vote for Trump.

I kind of can't imagine GOP leadership/moneybags are so weak and toothless that they'd let Trump get the nom but yeah

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:46 (eight years ago) link

we're getting to a point where it's really not impossible that trump wins the nomination

which is just kinda insane

iatee, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:51 (eight years ago) link

I'm not sure what's 'better for america', that happening and this kinda being like the french 2002 election or rubio or cruz winning and having an actual shot at becoming president. I guess #2 is scarier but less embarrassing?

iatee, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:53 (eight years ago) link

the cowardice in the GOP is remarkable, the totality of the self-serving shortsightedness

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:53 (eight years ago) link

it's not just cowardice, they don't have any good angle to attack trump from

iatee, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:54 (eight years ago) link

haha oh sure they do

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:57 (eight years ago) link

he's not some unbeatable figure, the guy is an idiot that gets by on going unchallenged

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:58 (eight years ago) link

that they can't bribe a proxy to attack him is the crazy part. I'm not saying Rience Priebus would be an effective vehicle for delivering an anti-Trump message, but you'd think one of these bajillionaire backers would be able to buy a candidate to serve as a front for GOP leadership attacks. This is cloak and dagger ratfucking stuff, sure, but the GOP used to be good at that shit!

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:59 (eight years ago) link

'challenging him' just feeds the persecution complex that the reactionary white nationalist subculture is built on

iatee, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 23:00 (eight years ago) link

what's the alternative

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 23:03 (eight years ago) link

Voting for him in primaries.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 23:04 (eight years ago) link

I mean it depends on who's doing the challenging - if its someone who's an even bigger asshole, but (crucially) one who can be brought to heel when necessary, then problem solved. Trump can't be brought to heel, which is the problem.

xp

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 23:04 (eight years ago) link

where exactly are they gonna find a bigger asshole than donald trump?

iatee, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 23:05 (eight years ago) link

sometimes I wonder why trump wont go away, but literally every single time I go to the lunch counter in my building they have cnn on and that idiots fat face is on the screen

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 23:05 (eight years ago) link

where exactly are they gonna find a bigger asshole than donald trump?

Cruz fits the bill. Christie too, if he didn't already have the obama-hug-taint

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 23:07 (eight years ago) link

idk I'm just spitballing it's just weird to see all these powerful interests totally cowed and unwilling to invest/pick a side

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 23:07 (eight years ago) link

they did invest and pick a side, that ship sunk

iatee, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 23:37 (eight years ago) link

they did invest and pick a side, that ship sunk

then pick another side!

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 23:50 (eight years ago) link

that anybody thought JEB! had any legs is also nuts, of course

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 23:51 (eight years ago) link

Clip of Trump on CNN a minute ago (referring to Cruz, I assume): "If somebody hits me, I'm gonna hit him back so hard..." Made me think of Goodfellas: "If anyone complained twice, they got hit so bad, believe me, they never complained again." Cruz is going to turn up in a car trunk one of these days.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EpmtMyr6orE

clemenza, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 23:54 (eight years ago) link

don't they already know that throwing money behind a losing candidate isn't effective, though? like, wouldn't they be looking seriously at romney's losses and, free of the must-be-insanely-conservative-to-win fixation, thinking that they can't even actually field anyone as 'presidential' right now?

j., Tuesday, 1 December 2015 23:54 (eight years ago) link

the question is who 'they' are, like how large is the non-crazy part of the republican party at this point?

iatee, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 00:08 (eight years ago) link

small but v v rich.

it's not just throwing money behind a candidate, it's financing attack ads etc.

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 00:09 (eight years ago) link

the lines get blurry when ted cruz supporters start to qualify as reasonable people

iatee, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 00:10 (eight years ago) link

xp

iatee, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 00:10 (eight years ago) link

the thing about the guy is, he's a genius of stupid. i have decades of experience in and with severe mental illness, and i still routinely find my jaw dropping at the batshit crazy things he says. he's a walking issue of the "weekly world news".

rushomancy, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 00:11 (eight years ago) link

vox linked to a couple of article on that subject: http://www.vox.com/2015/12/1/9830556/donald-trump-koch-brothers

Part of it is being afraid of Trumps bullying. Part of it is considering Cruz as the one who would benefit from attacks on Trump, and fearing a surging Cruz more.

So there are strategic reasons for not attacking Trump, though I think they sound spurious. But what's crazy to me is that nobody in the party has the backbone to speak up and say 'this is simply wrong' to all the hateful bullshit he is spewing. Liz Mair, who is working to gather money for an anti-Trump campaign, is constantly basing the criticism on the fact that Trump used to be more liberal, has liked the Clinton's, etc. The attack is that he's too moderate, which seems insane, but that's the GOP atm.

Frederik B, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 01:07 (eight years ago) link

If the megadonors have realized the chances of funding a GOP candidate into a general election victory are all but impossible, then they should mostly be interested in ensuring their downticket investments aren't spoiled by a presidential nominee who drives blue participation up and red participation down. There are no clear options right now.

El Tomboto, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 01:28 (eight years ago) link

The piece that amateurist posted about Trumpists being the UKIP / National Front equivalent is pretty interesting

El Tomboto, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 01:29 (eight years ago) link

You guys still think Trump is in this to actually be President? C'mon

Iago Galdston, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 01:33 (eight years ago) link

i do - he seems more megalomaniac than cynical tbh

Mordy, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 01:41 (eight years ago) link

tho some small part of me does believe he's a hillary mole

Mordy, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 01:41 (eight years ago) link

Another Republican strategist in Ohio replied to an email asking about Mr. Trump’s effect in the state by sending a link to a Wikipedia page on the 1964 congressional elections, when Barry Goldwater’s presence atop the Republican ticket led the party to lose 36 House seats.

this is amazing

tremendous crime wave and killing wave (Joan Crawford Loves Chachi), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 01:42 (eight years ago) link

Ding ding ding, Mordy!

Iago Galdston, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 01:48 (eight years ago) link

'Peace Thru Strength' was a genuine DoD slogan in 1963 or earlier and NOT invented for Dr Strangelove, correct?

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 03:20 (eight years ago) link

age-old idiom

Mordy, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 03:21 (eight years ago) link

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Si_vis_pacem,_para_bellum

Mordy, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 03:22 (eight years ago) link

i was probably thinking of Peace Is Our Profession

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 03:30 (eight years ago) link

thoughts on http://theweek.com/articles/583243/what-hillary-gets-right-about-glasssteagall ?

Mordy, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 03:31 (eight years ago) link

My impression is it's a complicated subject where reasonable, well-intentioned, reform-minded people will disagree. I don't get the impression Glass-Steagall is critical to a sane and thorough reform of the financial services industry.

o. nate, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 03:59 (eight years ago) link

my understanding is most engaged ppl want legislation with a Glass-Steagall EFFECT, not nec its literal restoration.

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 04:09 (eight years ago) link

I tend to agree with Ben Bernanke's take as expressed here:

http://www.politico.com/story/2015/10/ben-bernanke-puzzled-by-democrats-glass-steagall-214996

I think there are smarter, more targeted ways to make Wall Street safer.

o. nate, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 04:17 (eight years ago) link

The mere fact of the FDIC should preclude allowing commercial banks to engage in investment banking, which is far less regulated and much riskier.

Aimless, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 04:19 (eight years ago) link

I think Dodd Frank has shown that it's possible to constrain investment banking in ways that make it less risky and compatible with taking federally insured deposits, for instance through the Volcker Rule and heightened capital requirements. As we saw in the last crisis, there is enormous pressure to bail out any bank of sufficient size, even if it has no federally-insured deposits (as for example Bear Stearns, AIG or Lehman). So to say "Those banks can go off and do risky stuff because they don't have insured deposits" clearly is a non-starter. Once you realize that all banks of a certain size need to be tightly regulated, then the focus on Glass Steagall seems a bit beside the point.

o. nate, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 04:30 (eight years ago) link

"iatee
Posted: December 1, 2015 at 5:37:17 PM
they did invest and pick a side, that ship sunk"

God knows we have had our differences but this is so fucking OTM it hurts.

Also, the result is hilarious. Not in a Donald racist trump is hilarious way, but in a watch the cockroaches scurry when they bring raid into their own house sort of way.

a strawman stuffed with their collection of 12 cds (jjjusten), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 04:48 (eight years ago) link

i think the new panic is very much tied to cruz. a few weeks back it looked like rubio would be the default candidate once trump/carson faded. now if trump fades cruz is the clear beneficiary, which in some ways is as disastrous since they can't spin 'he doesn't represent the gop really' as easily w/ the guy who led the govt shutdown.

balls, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 06:35 (eight years ago) link

well, there is of course the background fear. show of hands: who honestly believes that should this guy lose the primaries, he will not then turn around and run in the general election?

rushomancy, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 08:56 (eight years ago) link

that anybody thought JEB! had any legs is also nuts, of course

― Οὖτις, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 23:51 (Yesterday) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Inevitable slapstick

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 10:17 (eight years ago) link

josh marshall tries to link the current political environment to the Great White Death study that came out of princeton a while ago (Case-Deaton)

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/you-can-t-understand-american-politics-without-reading-this-study

goole, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 15:06 (eight years ago) link

i read that yesterday, and came away feeling like it was the most hedged blog entry of all time (especially the last half, when he tries to get down to business)

This is a complex story. And to be clear, I do not think this rise in mortality among middle aged whites is driving the mix of anger and nihilism among US conservatives. Rather, I think both of emanating from a common cause, albeit one I can identify in the broadest possible terms.

...Reductive explanations almost always fall short. And I anticipate some will say I'm advancing such an argument today. I would only counter that I'm not suggesting a causal relationship. I'm suggesting that these two facts are closely associated and stem from a common cause. What sets these statistics apart is their apparently hard, numerical nature. We can make arguments about political dysfunction, unrealistic fears about political change, historically anomalous refusals to abide within constitutional norms, etc. But every theory about politics and political change is inherently subjective and compromised by our individual place on today's partisan political spectrum. Numbers aren't magic. Perhaps these numbers have some flaw or another interpretation. But that seems unlikely. White people and just white people - particularly at the ages and life statuses where the advantage of race has been most needed - have broken from a trend that is basically universal in wealthy countries for a century. That is real. And I don't think we can understand the contemporary crisis of politics without it.

there's this thing, this connection, that will absolutely blow your mind and is fundamental to understanding american politics
but i'm not saying one is caused by the other, just that they're connected to something...else, something subjective, but also objective, and above all something essential to our lives and indeed to the future of the humankind, but at the same time something that's part of the very foundation of humanity as well. please continue to read my web blog

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 15:13 (eight years ago) link

Marshall's equivocations gave me a headache.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 15:15 (eight years ago) link

i will tell you this today: that headache most likely came from reading his words. i can't guarantee that it did, just like i can't guarantee many things. but just because i cannot give you a guarantee does not mean that i can't make reasonable assumptions about the future. for example, flip a coin. heads or tails? arguably, no one can say. but i can tell you with high confidence that if you continue to flip the coin, eventually about 50% of the flips will land heads, the other 50% tails, and that as the number of coinflips approaches infinity the ratio of heads to tails will veer ever closer to 1:1. in other words, that headache could have come from anywhere, but thoughtful analysis, hard numbers, courageous ideas - all of these things contribute to a version of the truth. and if all of that or even most of that is true, one of those versions of the truth says that your headache came from josh marshall's equivocations. but that's a big if.

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 15:21 (eight years ago) link

lolololol

yeah that's his thing

goole, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 15:22 (eight years ago) link

i guess it's nice to sort-of quantify the ambient "boy, white people are in a state, aren't they" feeling we've got going

goole, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 15:24 (eight years ago) link

oh, definitely! my main beef wasn't with his qualifications and hedging on the background about what the study was and what the results could mean, but rather that after a few thousand words and buildup he forgot to get to the part where he makes a solid point.

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 15:26 (eight years ago) link

his point, i guess, is that this statistical trend of U.S. middle age white people dying at increasing rates, in contrast to the decreasing trends seen in other races and in other countries, is tied to the anger and outrage that many U.S. middle age white people seem to feel. he doesn't want to imply causality, which is good, because until this study came out a few weeks ago (or whenever it was), i don't think that anyone noticed that some white people were dying at higher rates than before! it seems to be news to everyone. it's not like any of the middle age white anger/outrage comes from an conscious awareness of decreasing life expectancy, and i doubt that there's some sort of subconscious "we're all dying...i feel it in my aging, slowly rotting bones...the u.s. government must paaaaay" undercurrent either. the anger of the tea party and the like comes from many different sources, discussed here and elsewhere ad nauseum. so i don't understand marshall's highlighting of this study and pained attempts to connect it to broader conservative anger trends. what's the point?

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 15:34 (eight years ago) link

i guess this probably doesn't belong in the primary thread, whoops!

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 15:35 (eight years ago) link

have any of you guys moved off yr position "no one can get the Republican nomination"?

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 15:38 (eight years ago) link

He didn't even mention the heroin epidemic xp

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 15:40 (eight years ago) link

somebody will get the Republican nomination. I'm pretty sure of that.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 15:40 (eight years ago) link

would love to see PP bring a lawsuit for slander against Cruz

too young for seapunk (Moodles), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 15:47 (eight years ago) link

so i don't understand marshall's highlighting of this study and pained attempts to connect it to broader conservative anger trends. what's the point?

i didn't read the article bc the excerpt was enough to give me a headache but if i were going to draw a link i'd suggest that the same thing that is causing lower life expectancy is presumably a quality of life issue that is also producing the general fear + anger we're seeing.

Mordy, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 15:56 (eight years ago) link

like for example if you're experiencing acute poverty (which is not what i think is at play here) that will obviously contribute to an affectual state - maybe despair, or anger, or resolve idk these things work differently for different people + cultures - and will cause you to die earlier. you're not angry because you're going to die earlier. but your anger and your early death are linked.

Mordy, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 15:59 (eight years ago) link

would love to see PP bring a lawsuit for slander against Cruz

this

sleeve, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:09 (eight years ago) link

Would love to see Cruz get dropped out of a helicopter.

The Featureless Mash That Was Once My Face (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:36 (eight years ago) link

oh wow, Cruz is an insane person

frogbs, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:38 (eight years ago) link

Christian Death Cruz

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:39 (eight years ago) link

In lieu of a PP lawsuit, I'd accept Cruz's arrest as an accessory to the next attack on a PP clinic.

The Featureless Mash That Was Once My Face (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:48 (eight years ago) link

well, the Christian right needs martyrs.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:54 (eight years ago) link

you know, there was one martyr greater than all the rest. in fact, he was the greatest man who ever lived. and his name was Ted Cruz.

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:56 (eight years ago) link

read that to the tune of "Big Bad John"

Eugene Goostman (forksclovetofu), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 16:58 (eight years ago) link

Agree with Mordy that the angry white dudes on the Trump train are not experiencing poverty, and I would add that they're (mostly) not experiencing acute health problems.

Newt/Limbaugh/Tea Party/Trump, it's all the same dudes with exactly one umbrella grievance, into which they put all their inchoate other grievances. Dudes like them have been running pretty much everything for a thousand years. So any slight diminution of that status feels like a theft. Climate change? Trynta to keep me from driving my big ol Ford. Gun control? Trynta keep me from shootin. Affirmative action? Trynta horn in on our jobs. Taxes? Trynta take my hard-earned money. Regulation? Trynta make me make slightly less money or dump slightly less waste in the crick. Sensitivity on race, gender, etc? Trynta keep me from tellin jokes.

They just want the party to continue, but modernity keeps threatening to ever-so-slightly inconvenience them, and every slight inconvenience is unforgivable. Honestly I wish they were dying sooner.

"Here, grampa, have some more butter!" - me at Thanksgiving

yo no soy marinara sauce (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 17:04 (eight years ago) link

lol otm

If authoritarianism is Romania's ironing board, then (in orbit), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 17:24 (eight years ago) link

haha yes

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 18:07 (eight years ago) link

Hey now, let's not push these guys out the door. There might be other things they're afraid will be taken away that we don't even know about yet.

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 18:15 (eight years ago) link

They just want the party to continue, but modernity keeps threatening to ever-so-slightly inconvenience them, and every slight inconvenience is unforgivable. Honestly I wish they were dying sooner.

Ditto anyone who thinks that this era is worse than any other era. "The world is just going to hell, things are falling apart. Just you watch, society's gonna break down any second now." Okay whatever, grandpa. You're like 35, which is AT LEAST 40 years too young to be spouting that "BACK IN MY DAY" shit. I told someone that last Friday, I think it really pissed him off.

If authoritarianism is Romania's ironing board, then (in orbit), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 18:49 (eight years ago) link

Things were so much better when I was eight and had no concept of the world outside of my bedroom.

The Featureless Mash That Was Once My Face (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 18:52 (eight years ago) link

that quinnipac poll confirms my suspicion that americans are brain damaged

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 19:00 (eight years ago) link

"It doesn't seem to matter what he says or who he offends, whether the facts are contested or the 'political correctness' is challenged, Donald Trump seems to be wearing Kevlar," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

"Dr. Ben Carson, moving to center stage just one month ago, now needs some CPR. The Doctor sinks. The Donald soars. The GOP, 11 months from the election, has to be thinking, 'This could be the guy.'

Tim Malloy obviously wasted here

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 19:04 (eight years ago) link

You think the Boomers are bad, GenX is gonna be even more ornery.

pplains, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 19:06 (eight years ago) link

The Kurt Cobain generation? complaining about quality of life? I just can't imagine.

welltris (crüt), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 19:10 (eight years ago) link

dump slightly less waste in the crick

where are u from, puffin?

mookieproof, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 19:10 (eight years ago) link

I remember well when, immediately after Mittens lost the 2012 election, the GOP commissioned a group of consultants to read the numbers and explain why they lost and what to do next. Their widely trumpeted conclusion: the Republican Party needed to hitch its wagon to comprehensive immigration reform and reach out to more Spanish-speaking voters, muy pronto.

lol

Aimless, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 19:16 (eight years ago) link

totally worked

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 19:23 (eight years ago) link

hey guys look this piece of shit has something else he wants to say

http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2015/12/trump-on-isis-we-have-to-kill-their-families.html

welltris (crüt), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 19:24 (eight years ago) link

in orbit - yeah. Pastopians.

New rule: everyone who utters something like "things were so much better way back when" should be required to say that in front of an audience of color

yo no soy marinara sauce (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 19:37 (eight years ago) link

Dollar Bill • an hour ago

To win a war, any war, your enemy must feel demoralized enough to quit. That means you also have to go after their support structure, which often means civilian targets. It's war people. It ain't pretty.
(disclaimer: not a Trump primary supporter)

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 19:38 (eight years ago) link

genocide sounds good to me

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 19:39 (eight years ago) link

@ggreenwald
Having a hard time listening to all the claimed revulsion over Donald Trump's "family" terrorism plan: it's not that far from US policy. Or Israeli policy.

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 19:40 (eight years ago) link

yes it's true all the people who are revolted by Trump are 100% supportive of US and especially Israeli military policy

welltris (crüt), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 19:59 (eight years ago) link

cmon crut, that's a bit of a strawman

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 19:59 (eight years ago) link

okay lol

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 20:02 (eight years ago) link

Another great bit from David Roberts here, mainly about how Trump has kinda upset the "Versailles on the Potomac" vibe that most media courtiers have enjoyed for decades, and that's leading to why they're getting increasingly upset with him yet powerless to change anything. Also goes into the state of GOP supporters, "objective" reporting, etc. Good stuff.

Professor Goodfeels (kingfish), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 20:41 (eight years ago) link

from that link:

'There is a faction of the US electorate that is positively wroth: angry that they are losing their country, angry at immigrants and minorities who want "free stuff," angry at terrorists for making them feel afraid, angry at liberals for rejecting good Christian values, angry at the economy for screwing them and denying them the better life they were promised, angry about Solyndra and Benghazi and Obamaphones and Sharia law and ACORN and Planned Parenthood and black-on-black crime and a government takeover of health care and Agenda 21 and Syrian immigrants on the loose and UN climate hoaxes. They are angry at all institutions, including the Republican Party and the media, that have failed to halt America's decline.

They are mostly white, mostly older, and entirely pissed off. And Trump speaks for them, less in what he says than in his total contempt for those same institutions.

The anger is understandable, even justifiable in many ways, but unfortunately it also involves believing lots of nonsense. And no amount of understanding and empathy can make Jade Helm anything but, factually speaking, nonsense.'

Professor Goodfeels (kingfish), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 20:43 (eight years ago) link

Possible contrarian GOP strategy: Republicans keep running psychos to excite the base, which, while not enough to win the presidency, apparently is more than robust enough to win lots of congressional, local and state elections. Which is enough to stymie and disrupt the executive office. It's a long con.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 20:48 (eight years ago) link

I remember well when, immediately after Mittens lost the 2012 election, the GOP commissioned a group of consultants to read the numbers and explain why they lost and what to do next. Their widely trumpeted conclusion: the Republican Party needed to hitch its wagon to comprehensive immigration reform and reach out to more Spanish-speaking voters, muy pronto.

lol

― Aimless, Wednesday, December 2, 2015 2:16 PM Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

yeah this got some recent discussion starting here: a clown car full of millionaires: the 2016 presidential primary thread

the stated plan wasn't very good, and they're not even able to follow that. good luck gop.

telling how many of the items listed in that bit kingfish quotes above are basically complete fox news fabrications post-2008.

Doctor Casino, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 20:49 (eight years ago) link

That worked before. Doesn't work forever.

Professor Goodfeels (kingfish), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 20:49 (eight years ago) link

All Trump does is give it voice. He is what happens when conservatives stop being polite and start getting real.

was this really necessary

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 20:51 (eight years ago) link

considering that we have a Real World alum in the House, yes

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 20:52 (eight years ago) link

In terms of actual realness, Trump's version of "getting real" is roughly equivalent with that of The Real World.

The Featureless Mash That Was Once My Face (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 20:55 (eight years ago) link

we do? here? (xpost)

akm, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 20:56 (eight years ago) link

Joshinchicago - probably not intentional, but I still think that's precisely what is happening, and will continue to happen for the foreseeable future.

"They are mostly white, mostly older, and entirely pissed off. And Trump speaks for them, less in what he says than in his total contempt for those same institutions."

Much to be said for having the correct enemies, in the rightwing hivemind just now.

yo no soy marinara sauce (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 20:57 (eight years ago) link

we do? here? (xpost)

Oh yes, good old Sean Duffy from the Boston season is a Tea Party Republican representing a district in Wisconsin.

(I know one of his current Democratic challengers; he is a friend of a friend and we both sang in the same group in undergrad even though we didn't overlap: http://www.kirkbangstad.com/)

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 21:12 (eight years ago) link

well, the thing about the contrarian strategy is that we have, in the long term, a trend towards creeping executive power. the executive office is much more powerful than it was even twenty years ago, and it's difficult to postulate a reversal of that trend. the other thing is that, as republican strategists point out, "appealing to the base" with a patent psycho was last tried in 1964, at which time the republicans were slaughtered across the board.

i do not think that this is a planned-out strategy. i think it's more that all the republicans have left are psychos.

rushomancy, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 21:23 (eight years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hO_MkcZh-VY

omg

mookieproof, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 21:41 (eight years ago) link

I'm Ted Cruz and WE APPROVE THIS MESSAGE

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 21:50 (eight years ago) link

"Republicans keep running psychos to excite the base, which, while not enough to win the presidency, apparently is more than robust enough to win lots of congressional, local and state elections."

To get a bit more specific, I think it's really crazy rich right wingers with an axe to grind pick a guy to go out run for President and speak on whatever is their thing (Jesus, unions, regulation, energy policy, social issues etc). I think these candidates get some sugar daddy to get them to go around and give these speeches to get certain ideas out in the media. Some might have a shot at getting some interest, but most of the candidates are just selling their brand so they can clean up in conservative media, appearance, selling books and whatever weird shit they got on sell on their own websites (gold strategies, copper bracelets, biographies, etc). There is something kinda medicine show about the whole thing.

earlnash, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 21:52 (eight years ago) link

cruz behind the scenes video is funny as hell
who the fuck is that coughing
"one more hug and we're out"

Eugene Goostman (forksclovetofu), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 21:53 (eight years ago) link

omg. howwwww does footage like that get let out

the "we approve this message" takes approach carvey as brokaw reporting on gerald ford's death.

Doctor Casino, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 21:56 (eight years ago) link

meanwhile our masters prepare to resist Trumpetry with everything they've got:

The Republican Party is preparing Senate candidates for the very real possibility that Donald Trump could be the party's presidential nominee.

According to a seven-page memo obtained by the Washington Post, National Republican Senatorial Committee Executive Director Ward Baker is encouraging Senate candidates to understand Trumpmentum, use it to their advantage, and then ignore Trump's most bombastic positions.

"We should prepare for 2016 by understanding the environment and recognizing the Trump phenomenon, " the memo reads.

The memo, which is titled "Observations of Donald Trump and 2016" continues, "We may not like it, but Trump has connected with voters on issues like trade with China and America's broken borders."

“Trump has risen because voters see him as authentic, independent, direct, firm, — and believe he can’t be bought,” Baker's September letter says, according to the Washington Post. “These are the same character traits our candidates should be advancing in 2016. That’s Trump lesson #1.”

In that memo, Baker warns candidates they should run their own race and not "engage in permanent cleanup or distancing maneuvers" for Trump. Specifically on Trump's position toward women, Baker warns "Houston we have a problem." He asks candidates to offer a "quick condemnation" and then move on.

But there is still a thing or two they can learn from the current GOP frontrunner.

"Understand the populist points Trump makes and ride that wave," Baker writes.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:13 (eight years ago) link

Hee hee, this is a Bloom County strip made real

Professor Goodfeels (kingfish), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:17 (eight years ago) link

reminds of the governor's son in oh brother: "we need some of that re-form!"

goole, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:19 (eight years ago) link

embracing nihilism - GOP 2016

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:34 (eight years ago) link

Best part of Cruz video is where he says mom prays for him for hours a day and she's all "now let's not get carried away, Ted"

too young for seapunk (Moodles), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 22:47 (eight years ago) link

everyone otm about Real World. modern politics makes as much sense, possibly less, than the beloved 90s mtv reality show.

all is "How is he still being taken seriously talk" is thumb-twiddling time filler. He has been in movies and on TV for decades now, which alone qualifies him to be taken as some kind of uber-being by most Americans.

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 23:15 (eight years ago) link

Indeed. His celebrity survived even thru that time his brain was transplanted into a cat.

Professor Goodfeels (kingfish), Thursday, 3 December 2015 00:18 (eight years ago) link

“He's not someone who shifts in the wind,” Panton says. “The Ted Cruz that I knew at 17 years old is exactly the same as the Ted Cruz I know at 42 years old. He was very conservative then, and an outspoken conservative. He remains strongly conservative today."

This man stopping growing up at age 17.

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Thursday, 3 December 2015 03:00 (eight years ago) link

This is the real profile: http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2014/06/30/the-absolutist-2

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 3 December 2015 03:05 (eight years ago) link

Unlike what others may say, I consider Ted to be very kind.

lol, if you have to say this, there may be a problem

Eugene Goostman (forksclovetofu), Thursday, 3 December 2015 05:28 (eight years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CVT0uWxXAAA8Sdd.jpg

mookieproof, Thursday, 3 December 2015 15:17 (eight years ago) link

Nippled America?

The Featureless Mash That Was Once My Face (Old Lunch), Thursday, 3 December 2015 15:18 (eight years ago) link

lol at this graphic accompanying one of those stupid "Who should i vote for?" quizzes on WashPo:

http://i.imgur.com/icdgbcL.jpg

Karl Malone, Thursday, 3 December 2015 15:26 (eight years ago) link

(open in different tab for full size)

who is that guy with the goatee and the glasses, 6th from the left, standing next to cool guy Rand Paul?

Karl Malone, Thursday, 3 December 2015 15:27 (eight years ago) link

wait is that supposed to be carson?!

Karl Malone, Thursday, 3 December 2015 15:28 (eight years ago) link

which of these unrecognizable blobs should I vote for?

Check Yr Scrobbles (Moodles), Thursday, 3 December 2015 15:28 (eight years ago) link

Reservoir candidates

http://image.tmdb.org/t/p/original/4ctv9pxKpwjTFevWQbvaqXkXbPF.jpg

yo no soy marinara sauce (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 3 December 2015 15:28 (eight years ago) link

christie looks like he's about to tumble down the stairs on his way out of a dinner party

Karl Malone, Thursday, 3 December 2015 15:28 (eight years ago) link

i caan driiive, ahm good

Karl Malone, Thursday, 3 December 2015 15:29 (eight years ago) link

You may wish to vote for: 80s Trump.

Hilary seems appropriately smug.

Andrew Farrell, Thursday, 3 December 2015 16:06 (eight years ago) link

(I should definitely care less about this but): Who's that supposed to be to the left of Fiorina?

Andrew Farrell, Thursday, 3 December 2015 16:22 (eight years ago) link

no idea. 4 of them look like huckabee on the cusp of discovering a natural gas leak to me

Karl Malone, Thursday, 3 December 2015 16:24 (eight years ago) link

Lol @ Pataki and Kasich as mirror images including skeletal hand.

Andrew Farrell, Thursday, 3 December 2015 16:26 (eight years ago) link

has anyone compared Cruz to Nixon yet?

Οὖτις, Thursday, 3 December 2015 16:32 (eight years ago) link

unlikable, socially awkward, a demagogue eager to exploit resentments to score points, collector of chits, riddled with phlebitis

Οὖτις, Thursday, 3 December 2015 16:34 (eight years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CVTVybKUYAASeeY.jpg

Οὖτις, Thursday, 3 December 2015 16:37 (eight years ago) link

cruz seems like nixon

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Thursday, 3 December 2015 16:43 (eight years ago) link

McCarthy is the first connection that comes to mind, although of course Nixon isn't so far removed

Karl Malone, Thursday, 3 December 2015 16:46 (eight years ago) link

And Mister Rogers.

Retro novelty punk (Dan Peterson), Thursday, 3 December 2015 16:47 (eight years ago) link

this idiot wasn't even born in america

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Thursday, 3 December 2015 16:49 (eight years ago) link

I hate that I care about this, but it's bugging me.

1. Sanders
2. Clinton
3. O’Malley?
4. Rubio
5. Paul
6. Carson
7. Trump
8. Jeb?
9. Graham
10. Cruz?
11. Pataki?
12. ?
13. Fiorina
14. Kasich
15. Santorum?
16. Christie
17. Huckabee

yo no soy marinara sauce (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 3 December 2015 16:59 (eight years ago) link

you're right on all the question marked ones, i think. maybe 12 is gilmore?

Karl Malone, Thursday, 3 December 2015 17:01 (eight years ago) link

Yeah, that makes sense - I was checking against Real Clear Politics' list, and thinking that it would have to be Jindal, because him dropping out is what took it from 14 to 13, but Gilmore is the 14th in the race! He just doesn't appear on RCP because he never polls >.5%.

Andrew Farrell, Thursday, 3 December 2015 17:08 (eight years ago) link

Gilmore! Thanks. I couldn't think of a chubster apart from the obvious chubbos.

I also wondered about when it was created and whether there'd be ex-candidates in the lineup. Blue-Tie #3 looks nothing like O'Malley, but even less like Webb. Both are stocky little apple-shaped guys, not slender willows.

yo no soy marinara sauce (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 3 December 2015 17:15 (eight years ago) link

Lol the last two sentences on the 'Jim Gilmore presidential campaign, 2016' wiki page:

"Gilmore has insisted that he's "not going anywhere," and will continue to run.

On October 30th, 2015, Jim Gilmore was verified on Twitter."

Andrew Farrell, Thursday, 3 December 2015 17:20 (eight years ago) link

he's just waiting for the ol' GilmoMentum to kick in

yo no soy marinara sauce (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 3 December 2015 17:50 (eight years ago) link

I'm sad that Lincoln Chafee dropped out before that graphic was ordered

El Tomboto, Thursday, 3 December 2015 18:20 (eight years ago) link

who is that guy with the goatee and the glasses, 6th from the left, standing next to cool guy Rand Paul?

the Penn Gilette of 1990?

I don't have the time or energy to make a counterargument (stevie), Thursday, 3 December 2015 18:41 (eight years ago) link

btw Trump says his medical records will show "perfection"

well dammit now we have to vote for him

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 3 December 2015 18:44 (eight years ago) link

at least he will make a great organ donor

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Thursday, 3 December 2015 18:45 (eight years ago) link

Trump's essence is pure. Why have the other candidates refused to give sample? What are they hiding?

lol @ Gil. i hope he sees himself playing a tortoise and hare game. these other guys, they'll tucker themselves out, and then at the end, it'll be trump and ol' gil!

Doctor Casino, Thursday, 3 December 2015 18:53 (eight years ago) link

My prostate cancer is terrific. Just the best. You've never seen cancer like it.

The Featureless Mash That Was Once My Face (Old Lunch), Thursday, 3 December 2015 19:07 (eight years ago) link

"It's insane, this guy's taint."

Professor Goodfeels (kingfish), Thursday, 3 December 2015 19:21 (eight years ago) link

clinton's dark money:

http://sunlightfoundation.com/blog/2015/12/03/behind-the-clinton-campaign-dark-money-allies/

goole, Thursday, 3 December 2015 20:04 (eight years ago) link

from what i've noticed anecdotally any of the affection for trump in the orthodox jewish republican community comes entirely from identification w/ ivanka

Mordy, Thursday, 3 December 2015 20:53 (eight years ago) link

he must realize it too "You just like me because my daughter happens to be Jewish," Trump said as he took the stage. He added that his daughter Ivanka has a great husband and is very happy, but "the only bad news is I can't get her on Saturday," referring to Shabbat, a Jewish day of rest.

Mordy, Thursday, 3 December 2015 20:55 (eight years ago) link

is that the daughter he publicly speculated about schtupping

Οὖτις, Thursday, 3 December 2015 21:03 (eight years ago) link

"get her"

hunangarage, Thursday, 3 December 2015 21:04 (eight years ago) link

i think she is gorgeous but i'm not her father

Mordy, Thursday, 3 December 2015 21:06 (eight years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sgPvoMR-aZo

polyphonic, Thursday, 3 December 2015 22:11 (eight years ago) link

from that screengrab, i'm assuming the answer is "you, little boy"

Karl Malone, Thursday, 3 December 2015 22:12 (eight years ago) link

from mouths of babes trumpjungen quex

wizzz! (amateurist), Thursday, 3 December 2015 22:12 (eight years ago) link

he's a regular hadrian

Mordy, Thursday, 3 December 2015 22:22 (eight years ago) link

that ppl are into him is even harder to understand than the whole "I'd have a beer with GWB" thing

tremendous crime wave and killing wave (Joan Crawford Loves Chachi), Thursday, 3 December 2015 22:42 (eight years ago) link

well he is stupid, loudmouthed, rude and overpriveleged ie like most of America

Οὖτις, Thursday, 3 December 2015 22:44 (eight years ago) link

which is not to say that most of America likes him - at this point I hope he gets the nom just so the GOP gets absolutely hosed in the election

Οὖτις, Thursday, 3 December 2015 22:45 (eight years ago) link

he doesn't seem v convincing on the deep fascist charisma level but then i watch videos of hitler giving speeches and think he looks like a creepy balding dude. the crowd loves it tho. (not to say that trump is hitler but i haven't watched a lot of mussolini or franco speeches)

Mordy, Thursday, 3 December 2015 22:46 (eight years ago) link

Mussolini is hilarious

Οὖτις, Thursday, 3 December 2015 22:46 (eight years ago) link

stylistically he's def a closer fascist analog for Trump than Hitler

Οὖτις, Thursday, 3 December 2015 22:46 (eight years ago) link

analogue even

Οὖτις, Thursday, 3 December 2015 22:47 (eight years ago) link

lol

Mordy, Thursday, 3 December 2015 22:50 (eight years ago) link

at this point I hope he gets the nom just so the GOP gets absolutely hosed in the election

i've often had this thought too (it's still my default opinion at this point, i guess) but then i remember how wrong i and everyone else on earth have been about trump so far. everyone thought he would have imploded by now - everyone figured he'd implode after a couple weeks, even. everyone has been so wrong. and it's true, it seems like he'd do very poorly in a general election, but i can't deny any scenario given the involvement of my beloved fellow americans as voters. there could be a major terror event just before the election, or some sort of scandal erupts around clinton, some other october surprise...i dunno. just like europe, there's a considerable white supremacist voting bloc in the U.S., though most of them probably would recoil at that description of course. the thought of trump being in power in a time of crisis and uncertainty, paired with the bloodlust that enters around 90% of american's hearts in the wake of disaster (source: W's polls after 9/11) and the support of a ton of terrible bigots with guns, frightens me.

Karl Malone, Thursday, 3 December 2015 22:53 (eight years ago) link

but who knows, maybe the crest of the trump wave is right now and a few months from now we'll all be laughing about it as the attention steers toward rubio or cruz.

Karl Malone, Thursday, 3 December 2015 22:55 (eight years ago) link

there's a considerable white supremacist voting bloc in the U.S

not considerable enough to beat the non-white voting bloc -- if it votes in 2016.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 3 December 2015 22:57 (eight years ago) link

yeah even in my darkest nightmares i think the us has enough useful architecture to keep it from sliding too deeply into psychotic fascism

Mordy, Thursday, 3 December 2015 22:58 (eight years ago) link

i still plan on voting trump in the republican primary. either him or bobby jindal

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Thursday, 3 December 2015 23:02 (eight years ago) link

we all thought people would have lost interest by now, yes - but that's just misreading the GOP primary voters. He does not have a prayer of winning a general election. It's worth noting that he's only winning a plurality, not a majority, of the GOP primary vote, and that he has consistently polled really negatively with the general electorate. Break down that electorate into "swing" states Trump would have to win (Ohio, Florida, etc.) and there's no way he would get them all. Party turnout on the GOP side would also be depressed just because of how many people hate him, which would contribute to losses across the board.

xp

Οὖτις, Thursday, 3 December 2015 23:03 (eight years ago) link

it'd be interesting to see if any beurocrats would be in open revolt against trump, like Reagan vs epa style

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Thursday, 3 December 2015 23:03 (eight years ago) link

I still don't think he'll get the nom, honestly. Party machinery is liable to throw a monkey wrench into him actually racking up delegates. Plus as soon as he loses anything, his mystique is punctured...

xp

Οὖτις, Thursday, 3 December 2015 23:04 (eight years ago) link

there was a NYT feature yesterday which described GOP leaders saying

1) He would drag the party down to massive down-ballot defeat in November

2) I'M not going to savage him! He'll be publicly mean to me.

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 3 December 2015 23:19 (eight years ago) link

i'm not sure what, say, rubio would stand to lose by calling trump and bigot and a bully.

wizzz! (amateurist), Thursday, 3 December 2015 23:20 (eight years ago) link

i mean i know what he /thinks/ he stands to lose, i'm just not convinced the concern is entirely warranted.

wizzz! (amateurist), Thursday, 3 December 2015 23:21 (eight years ago) link

"there could be a major terror event just before the election"

Non-hypothetical! I actually heard some conservatives today smugly not-quite-crowing that the shootings in San Bernardino significantly helped Trump's chances of winning the nomination.

yo no soy marinara sauce (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 3 December 2015 23:21 (eight years ago) link

Apparently Ben Carson repeatedly referred to Hamas asHummus during a speech to the Republican Jewish Coalition which is actually making me smile despite this seeming an otherwise dreary day.

One bad call from barely losing to (Alex in SF), Thursday, 3 December 2015 23:26 (eight years ago) link

wait Hitler was balding

brownie, Thursday, 3 December 2015 23:30 (eight years ago) link

I agree that the Trump thing has lasted a lot longer than I ever thought it would. But we really are still basically in the same phase we were a month, two months, three months ago. The big unknown was, and remains: what does this Trump support look like when it comes to showing up for primaries? The Iowa Caucus is Feb. 1st and the New Hampshire primary is Feb. 9th. I see it as entirely possible that all of a sudden, after those, we'll be looking at such radically different numbers that all the ink spilled on the race thus far will seem even sillier than it might already.

Until then, it seems clear enough that as far as the watch-the-polls aspect of the races go, Trump has the same Teflon cover with the segment of the poll-responding public that he's had roughly since August. Nothing really reduces his numbers, nothing really raises them either. His negatives with the people who don't consider him their #1 are really high. If the polls are reliable, he still doesn't have much of a shot IMHO. He's leading a very, very crowded field with 25%, but there's not a lot of evidence that the people who say Bush or Rubio or whoever is their fave are actually ever going to switch to Trump if their candidates bail.

Take the latest Quinnipiac poll, with the usual caveat that this is ONE poll and may not accurately indicate the current state of the race. Here's the headline question, who would you vote for if the election were held today:

27 Trump
17 Rubio
16 Cruz
16 Carson
8 Don't know / no answer
5 Bush
3 Fiorina
2 Christie
2 Paul
2 Kasich
1 Huckabee
1 Wouldn't vote
- Gilmore, Graham, Huckabee, Pataki, Santorum

So: Trump's winning! But, okay, now: are there any of these candidates you would "definitely not support"? (multiple responses allowed, so total > 100%):

30 No/No one
26 Trump
21 Bush
13 Christie
13 Kasich
13 Paul
11 Pataki
11 Fiorina
11 Graham
10 Carson
9 Huckabee
9 Gilmore
9 Santorum
6 Cruz
6 Don't know / no answer
5 Rubio

So, as much as "Trump tops polls, is set to win!" you could easily write the story as "Trump most hated candidate among Republicans, has no chance!" As many people as consider him their first choice consider him their last choice! Granted, this also doesn't look like great news for people like Bush, who also have a lot of "not that guy" ... but my guess would be that those people correspond with the people who are already on Team Trump, whom Bush isn't trying to win over. Meanwhile, if all the non-Trumps actually combined into one candidate, Trump would be doing worse than Sanders versus Hillary.

I don't expect such a combining of forces to ever happen, but the idea of Trump winning the nomination still just looks ludicrous to me. The only way that happens is *IF* he translates this level of support into votes, AND everybody else stays it in all the way through, AND the voters continue humoring all of them, AND the primary calendar/delegate math doesn't fuck him up in the first place. In the poll above, 15% of the people who'd even made up their minds are going to Fiorina, Christie, Paul, Kasich and Huckabee, none of whom have a snowball's chance and who surely are going to drop out after Iowa or so if not before. If they all give up the ghost, their numbers have to go somewhere, and it seems really unlikely that most of their fans are "well, Trump is my second choice" people, if such people even exist and are not Carson voters.

Short version: I think Trump's basically at his ceiling. The others are hoping to claim the don't-know people, to look like the biggest "not Trump" contender when the voting actually starts, and to wait for the other not-Trumps to quit. They may also be waiting until more people are paying attention to make a big-tent, anti-Trump "you don't represent the sober, bipartisan, get-things-done, down-to-earth conservative values of this party!" type speech. I don't think it really helps them to give Trump more time to beat up on them before voting time.

Doctor Casino, Thursday, 3 December 2015 23:31 (eight years ago) link

(Bear in mind also that delegates won by candidates who later drop out still get to vote at the convention, and it seems unthinkable that delegates initially pledged to Bush or Rubio would ever vote for Trump if there was any other option. So my imaginary "everybody besides Trump" coalition does kinda exist.)

Doctor Casino, Thursday, 3 December 2015 23:36 (eight years ago) link

wait Hitler was balding

maybe it's just his hairline

Mordy, Thursday, 3 December 2015 23:38 (eight years ago) link

this is probably going to be offensive but sometimes i can't help but wonder if ben carson isn't actually an idiot savant, like the genuine article

wizzz! (amateurist), Thursday, 3 December 2015 23:40 (eight years ago) link

They may also be waiting until more people are paying attention to make a big-tent, anti-Trump "you don't represent the sober, bipartisan, get-things-done, down-to-earth conservative values of this party!" type speech

I don't think any of them are waiting to give this speech tbh

Οὖτις, Thursday, 3 December 2015 23:40 (eight years ago) link

I agree that at this point all these lower tier candidates are staying in cuz why shouldn't they. it's a war of attrition and no one's gonna drop out if they have functional organization + fundraising to keep going. they're all waiting for a bloodbath. what cues that bloodbath is probably going to be Iowa and New Hampshire but who knows.

Agree that it looks like no matter what happens there's going to be a lot of panicked horse-trading and delegate arm-twisting involved, dunno if Trump is actually smart enough to navigate that stuff.

Οὖτις, Thursday, 3 December 2015 23:42 (eight years ago) link

i can see trump losing the primaries for precisely that reason, not running as a third party in general but forming some kind of dumb PAC or organization on the basis of "the GOP establishment screwed me out of the nomination" and becoming something like the whole sarah palin personality cult but writ larger and slightly longer lasting.

wizzz! (amateurist), Thursday, 3 December 2015 23:45 (eight years ago) link

I think Rubio sees himself as the guy to give that speech. It would be disingenuous and cynical, but his brand claims he's the young, fresh face of a reinvigorated GOP for the 21st century and he's got to be looking for ways to cement that. He's not going to win by trying to out-Trump Trump or out-Cruz Cruz, but clearly anyone still backing Bush will be ready to leap to Rubio if Bush finally gives up, and if he looks like the last and best grownup in the room, he wins, especially if it turns out half the people who answer their phone and say "Trump" or "Carson" don't really show up to vote on primary day.

I personally think it's more likely that Carson voters 'ghost' in the end - Trump's people seem pretty fired up and eager to rub their guy in everybody's faces. If Carson - who is short on that GOTV ground-game stuff AFAICT - can't get his fans to show up, the distribution of votes cast will look really different from the distribution of people who answer their phones for a poll. Trump could easily lose Iowa and NH without anybody formally 'quitting' or anybody having to 'switch,' if the turnout belies the poll pools.

In no circumstance will Trump be able to wrangle delegates IMHO. The people not already supporting him know he's toxic and bad for the party, and do not want him to be the nominee. I really REALLY don't think we'd get to that point, but I also really think the non-Trump delegates would seriously choose anybody but Trump. Especially if he's "won" the primaries with 20-25% of delegates total and doesn't have any claim to a mandate from the party. At which point, yes, he'll become a permanent aggrieved "they stole the nomination from Trump" personality cult.

Doctor Casino, Thursday, 3 December 2015 23:52 (eight years ago) link

it's amazing to think that marco rubio, who looks and acts like a dimwitted boy scout troup leader, is now the go-to "adult in the room"

wizzz! (amateurist), Thursday, 3 December 2015 23:57 (eight years ago) link

the 'clown car' analogy covered a lot more than the number of human beings in the car. it's a terrible slate of candidates tbh. if the GOP has really great people in the wings (???), they stayed home figuring (correctly so far, based on the polls) that presumed dem candidate hillary's numbers beat any republican you throw at her, so why bother even trying? who they got were the people both ambitious and clueless enough to try anyway. if trump hadn't shown up and taken all the air, the real story on this race would be how there's fourteen candidates and not one of them is exciting anybody.

Doctor Casino, Friday, 4 December 2015 00:00 (eight years ago) link

a dimwitted boy scout troup leader

lol so otm

Οὖτις, Friday, 4 December 2015 00:02 (eight years ago) link

it seems like a lot of other years, there's some older GOP stalwart who runs just because this is his last best chance -- dole, mccain, whoever. there's nobody like that this year.

wizzz! (amateurist), Friday, 4 December 2015 00:03 (eight years ago) link

those guys are all dead

Οὖτις, Friday, 4 December 2015 00:05 (eight years ago) link

basically no one from the Dubya administration can run, the House leadership is hated, and the available governors are a joke. So yeah, it's like there's a generation missing.

Οὖτις, Friday, 4 December 2015 00:06 (eight years ago) link

sometimes i fantasize about some situation where these candidates are locked in a room for six hours with some journalist who really cuts to the marrow, and after the jive breaks down all you hear is the buzzing inside their heads as they begin to realize they have no idea who they are, why they really want this job, or what they would do once in it.*

*this is mostly true of the guys in the middle of the pack: your rubios and bushes. the really scary guys are some of the exceptions to this. i have no doubt that cruz could talk anyone's ear off with all the garbage i really do think he buys into.

**i feel like in this scenario, after a few minutes ben carson would start whistling and rubbing his belly.

wizzz! (amateurist), Friday, 4 December 2015 00:06 (eight years ago) link

Doctor Casino is mostly otm, but it's worth pointing out that Trump, Carson and Cruz combine to take 59% of the votes. Those are all anti-establishment candidates. I have a hard time seeing their votes going to Bush or Rubio.

Frederik B, Friday, 4 December 2015 00:09 (eight years ago) link

great, those guys can go off and form their own party then

Οὖτις, Friday, 4 December 2015 00:10 (eight years ago) link

Trump's votes are probably largely Trump-specific, Carson's are Evangelicals who have found a nice dim man with a soul of blood and fire. They probably won't switch to each other, but Cruz obviously hopes to hoover both up.

Andrew Farrell, Friday, 4 December 2015 00:36 (eight years ago) link

there are tons of people who have been waiting their entire lives to vote against Hillary Clinton.

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Friday, 4 December 2015 00:38 (eight years ago) link

Also to repeat a note someone made upthread this _is_ the big hitters in the wings from the last election, the Jeb Bushes and Bobby Jindals and Mike Huckabees that resisted the entreaties to come and be Anyone But Mitt - and now they have come on down and no-one gives a fuck.

Andrew Farrell, Friday, 4 December 2015 00:41 (eight years ago) link

And Chris Christie! Man, the sun was going to shine on Chris Christie until you'd need two pairs of sunglasses.

Andrew Farrell, Friday, 4 December 2015 00:45 (eight years ago) link

What are the odds of Colin Powell jumping in as the smoke clears? There was talk (half serious) of defaulting to Mitt earlier as this slate displayed their incompetence, maybe Powell could be that uniter, presuming he would even consider it.

nickn, Friday, 4 December 2015 00:46 (eight years ago) link

Not that Mitt would be a uniter, just that he may seem like he'd draw more votes in the general than these guys.

nickn, Friday, 4 December 2015 00:47 (eight years ago) link

pretty sure a black now-a-democrat is not the savior our white nationalist party wants

iatee, Friday, 4 December 2015 00:48 (eight years ago) link

a shame that zipper problems have prevented david petraeus from continuing to serve america

do any of the candidates have military experience (besides the late jim webb)?

mookieproof, Friday, 4 December 2015 00:57 (eight years ago) link

Ha, I had forgotten he had switched parties. Was just trying to think of a Republican that has some positive perception on a national level.

nickn, Friday, 4 December 2015 01:17 (eight years ago) link

lol @ trumpolini

was also hoping at first that this

http://i.imgur.com/QbwkSzC.gif

was going to be something like this

http://i.imgur.com/ALUEkl4.jpg

pplains, Friday, 4 December 2015 02:26 (eight years ago) link

Condi 2016!

El Tomboto, Friday, 4 December 2015 02:26 (eight years ago) link

xpost Ahahahaha. Perfect.

The Featureless Mash That Was Once My Face (Old Lunch), Friday, 4 December 2015 02:27 (eight years ago) link

i'm not sure what, say, rubio would stand to lose by calling trump and bigot and a bully.

― wizzz! (amateurist), Thursday, December 3, 2015 6:20 PM (3 hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

i mean i know what he /thinks/ he stands to lose, i'm just not convinced the concern is entirely warranted.

― wizzz! (amateurist),

Don't forget that Marco Rubio has been for want of a better word a pussy his entire career.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 4 December 2015 02:28 (eight years ago) link

what movie is that from?

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Friday, 4 December 2015 02:28 (eight years ago) link

if the GOP had any goddamn sense, they woulda been cultivating condoleezza rice for just this moment, but no

Eugene Goostman (forksclovetofu), Friday, 4 December 2015 02:29 (eight years ago) link

Gandhi

xp

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Friday, 4 December 2015 02:29 (eight years ago) link

don't think her husband Dubya would've allowed it

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 4 December 2015 02:30 (eight years ago) link

i keep reading neocons/ Bushites prefer Trump to Cruz

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Friday, 4 December 2015 02:32 (eight years ago) link

now that I think of it, I honestly wonder if the electorate could handle two female candidates. might be the one set of circumstances in which trump could run as a third party candidate and possibly win!

Eugene Goostman (forksclovetofu), Friday, 4 December 2015 02:33 (eight years ago) link

Rice is a lightweight. Rodham could just run her pre-9/11 terror memo testimony for 2 months.

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Friday, 4 December 2015 02:35 (eight years ago) link

Bruneau - The Dead Zone.

And, um, spoiler alert.

pplains, Friday, 4 December 2015 02:36 (eight years ago) link

There ARE at least two female candidates -- Jill Stein the Green included, who the committed Bernie folk will be voting for after he gets bounced.

Myself i'm tired of meaningless prez votes and plan to abstain in 48 weeks.

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Friday, 4 December 2015 02:38 (eight years ago) link

did you send out a press release yet?

wizzz! (amateurist), Friday, 4 December 2015 02:40 (eight years ago) link

did some dipshit vile assfuck i'm "not engaging with" say something?

no, i didn't think so.

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Friday, 4 December 2015 02:43 (eight years ago) link

it didn't occur to me until now to wonder what sort of dr you are. must be a proctologist.

wizzz! (amateurist), Friday, 4 December 2015 02:48 (eight years ago) link

i've seen that! where chrisopher walken is having those flashbacks.... thanks.

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Friday, 4 December 2015 03:27 (eight years ago) link

Trump's votes are probably largely Trump-specific, Carson's are Evangelicals who have found a nice dim man with a soul of blood and fire. They probably won't switch to each other

Or, I could be wrong.

Andrew Farrell, Friday, 4 December 2015 14:01 (eight years ago) link

Didn't know this was going on last night. Sounds like there was some uncomfortableness in the room.

http://www.cnn.com/2015/12/03/politics/2016-republican-jewish-coalition-candidates-awkward/

clemenza, Friday, 4 December 2015 14:05 (eight years ago) link

lmao ben carson

On Revolutionary War-era Jewish businessman Haym Salomon: "Salomon gave all his funds to save the U.S. Army and, some say, no one knows for sure, that's the reason there's a Star of David on the back of the one dollar bill."

welltris (crüt), Friday, 4 December 2015 14:16 (eight years ago) link

lmao ben carson

_On Revolutionary War-era Jewish businessman Haym Salomon: "Salomon gave all his funds to save the U.S. Army and, some say, no one knows for sure, that's the reason there's a Star of David on the back of the one dollar bill."_

Omg you couldn't write this stuff. Like his pronunciation of Hamas as hummus throughout his speech. I'll enjoy seeing this one circling the drain even though he's basically on a glorified book tour

Iago Galdston, Friday, 4 December 2015 14:23 (eight years ago) link

Ben Carson strikes me as a paragon of credulity who accepts as gospel truth absolutely any assertion that doesn't directly contradict his existing worldview and invents from whole cloth a myriad of imaginary facts to fill the sizable holes in his knowledge base.

Someone should ask him about how he would handle the situation in Candyland.

The Featureless Mash That Was Once My Face (Old Lunch), Friday, 4 December 2015 14:24 (eight years ago) link

really can't wait until he casually brings up the reptilians, the way my college friends who had gotten into david icke did. "well, how else do you explain how the ancient phoenicians had laser technology?"

Doctor Casino, Friday, 4 December 2015 14:41 (eight years ago) link

On Clemenza's link - the video of GOP candidates speaking to a Jewish Republican group - the video was preceded by an ad for "The Man in the High Castle," which was so hilarious to me that I failed to get a screen grab. I plan to refresh it a bunch today in the hopes I can see it again.

yo no soy marinara sauce (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 4 December 2015 14:45 (eight years ago) link

xp he basically did that with 'And various scientists have said, “Well, you know there were alien beings that came down and they have special knowledge and that’s how they were”—you know, it doesn’t require an alien being when God is with you.'

Andrew Farrell, Friday, 4 December 2015 14:52 (eight years ago) link

Exactly how dumb/ignorant would a republican presidential candidate have to be to make their base uncomfortable about supporting them?

The Featureless Mash That Was Once My Face (Old Lunch), Friday, 4 December 2015 14:55 (eight years ago) link

haha fair point. man this guy.

if you put stock in RCP's polling average line graphs, all this goofery has hurt him, perhaps in combination with other developments. the pyramid stuff broke in the first week of november - just as he'd finally climbed into being neck-and-neck with trump at around 25% polling average - and since then he's been declining with some precipitous jumps. latest average puts him at 17.5% and falling. mostly that's been to trump's benefit (he's now at his highest point ever, at 30.8%!) but some of it's gone to cruz/rubio. bush has dipped below 5% for the first time.

Doctor Casino, Friday, 4 December 2015 15:02 (eight years ago) link

(the "fair point" was re: the alien beings)

Doctor Casino, Friday, 4 December 2015 15:02 (eight years ago) link

This again (which apparently strikes Republicans as wise and correct and helpful)...Not sure why the NY Times editorial board is surprised

From Jeb Bush, a bizarre slam: “The brutal savagery of Islamic terrorism exists, and this president and his former secretary of state cannot call it for what it is.”

And Donald Trump, true to his birther views, insinuated that Mr. Obama was hiding something: “Radical Islamic terrorism. We have a president that refuses to use the term. He refuses to say it. There’s something going on with him that we don’t know about.”

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/12/04/opinion/tough-talk-and-a-cowardly-vote-on-terrorism.html?_r=0

curmudgeon, Friday, 4 December 2015 15:04 (eight years ago) link

hillary, sanders + o'malley also refuse to say it so i guess the entire party has been invaded by secret muslims. otoh obama did use to say it in 2008: "But the remarks that have caused this recent firestorm weren't simply controversial. They weren't simply a religious leader's effort to speak out against perceived injustice. Instead, they expressed a profoundly distorted view of this country - a view that sees white racism as endemic, and that elevates what is wrong with America above all that we know is right with Ameirca; a view that sees the conflicts in the Middle East as rooted primarily in the actions of stalwart allies like Israel, instead of emanating from the perverse and hateful ideologies of radical Islam."

Mordy, Friday, 4 December 2015 15:07 (eight years ago) link

xp Below 5% but still in fifth place!

Andrew Farrell, Friday, 4 December 2015 15:10 (eight years ago) link

let's figure out the reaction if Robert Dear gets called a radical Christian

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Friday, 4 December 2015 15:11 (eight years ago) link

god forbid we refer to the pp shooting as radical christianity that'll alienate a bunch of christian youth to defect to the westboro church

Mordy, Friday, 4 December 2015 15:12 (eight years ago) link

Meanwhile Trump at the Jewish Republican gathering in DC yesterday managed to offend folks whose support he wants

http://www.timesofisrael.com/trump-courts-jewish-republicans-with-offensive-stereotypes/?wpmm=1&wpisrc=nl_daily202

“I’m a negotiator like you folks were negotiators,” the controversial candidate declared to his audience at the Republican Jewish Coalition, as he explained that he would broker a stronger nuclear deal with Iran than the one concluded earlier this year. At another point in his speech, he said: “Is there anyone in this room who doesn’t negotiate deals? Probably more than any room I’ve ever spoken...
, “And I know why you’re not going to support me. You’re not going to support me because I don’t want your money. Isn’t it crazy?”

curmudgeon, Friday, 4 December 2015 16:04 (eight years ago) link

that wasn't the worst thing for his support among jewish republicans. this was:
http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-4734724,00.html

Mordy, Friday, 4 December 2015 16:06 (eight years ago) link

xp wooooow what a tone deaf asshole

Eugene Goostman (forksclovetofu), Friday, 4 December 2015 16:13 (eight years ago) link

BJ has a nice collection of RJC coverage highlights

http://www.balloon-juice.com/2015/12/04/open-thread-the-latest-gop-clown-car-cattle-call-rjc-dc/

El Tomboto, Friday, 4 December 2015 16:36 (eight years ago) link

xpost 'Tone deaf' doesn't seem quite right, as it suggests that he might actually give a fuck that he was insulting people. And also assumes that he's actually unaware of having given offense, which I'm inclined to think isn't entirely true.

The Featureless Mash That Was Once My Face (Old Lunch), Friday, 4 December 2015 16:42 (eight years ago) link

the hillary mole theory feels righter every day

Eugene Goostman (forksclovetofu), Friday, 4 December 2015 16:55 (eight years ago) link

If that theory is true, the fact that he's leading the GOP pack is even more hysterical.

I just figured out Trump reminds me of professional wrestler/manager Bobby Heenan:

http://percypringle.com/Hall-of-Fame/Photos/BobbyHeenanHOF.jpg

Retro novelty punk (Dan Peterson), Friday, 4 December 2015 17:09 (eight years ago) link

waiting for trump to refer to journos as 'pencil necked geeks'

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Friday, 4 December 2015 17:22 (eight years ago) link

Carson had me searching for the Star of David on the back of a $1 bill. I didn't see one, but I did see ... a pyramid. And we know how he feels about those things.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 5 December 2015 02:16 (eight years ago) link

Open your eyes, sheeple.

http://i.imgur.com/O0tTl5p.jpg

pplains, Saturday, 5 December 2015 02:24 (eight years ago) link

Um. Hope everyone can see that okay.

pplains, Saturday, 5 December 2015 02:24 (eight years ago) link

A CNN poll out today (but taken before California) gives Trump his biggest lead yet:

http://www.cnn.com/2015/12/04/politics/donald-trump-poll-cnn-orc-national/

Nate Silver keeps arguing that these polls are meaningless, and he's pretty much always right about this stuff. He does allow that it's possible Trump could win--I think he puts him at 5% or something.

clemenza, Saturday, 5 December 2015 02:26 (eight years ago) link

Carson seein' stars ...

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 5 December 2015 02:28 (eight years ago) link

I don't think nate silver knows anything that anyone else doesn't this time around, we're kinda in unknown territory. there are a lot of vested interests in trump not winning the nom, yet he's more popular than ever and it's hard to see exactly where his fans would/will break with him.

iatee, Saturday, 5 December 2015 15:03 (eight years ago) link

the only gaffes trump can make are 'I love Obama' and 'I'm not rich'.

iatee, Saturday, 5 December 2015 15:06 (eight years ago) link

how about 'I'm taking my ball and going home'

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 5 December 2015 15:51 (eight years ago) link

The one thing I basically trust Silver on though is "Don't believe the hype, the press need headlines every day but it doesn't mean the polls mean anything more than they actually mean." Not the most devastating insight in the world, but useful. As noted above though I really wish he'd quit ESPN in a rage and start up his own private blog again, was sooooooo much better like that.

Doctor Casino, Saturday, 5 December 2015 16:27 (eight years ago) link

i enjoy the little roundtables but i do think he would have worked better as just another grantland writer, maybe you give him his own little mini-fiefdom inside it and occasionally you let him and goldsberry or him and barnwell have some nerdout numbers session. i did chuckle when he said recently that polls don't tell us a lot right now but they do tell us more about the voters than any column written by someone in georgetown or manhattan. dude's hatred of political punditry is deep (and justified).

balls, Saturday, 5 December 2015 18:11 (eight years ago) link

there was something in politico about some of the jeb! loyalist superpacs possibly just trying to wipe out the rest of the field minus trump (ie cruz and rubio) w/ heavy negative ad buys so that the party would be 'forced' to opt for jeb. plz plz plz.

balls, Saturday, 5 December 2015 18:15 (eight years ago) link

An analysis of 95,000 words that Donald Trump said in public in the past week reveals powerful patterns in his speech which, historians say, echo the appeals of demagogues of the past century.

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/12/06/us/politics/95000-words-many-of-them-ominous-from-donald-trumps-tongue.html

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 5 December 2015 19:13 (eight years ago) link

(Mr. Trump declined a request to be interviewed for this article.)

El Tomboto, Saturday, 5 December 2015 19:19 (eight years ago) link

he had to meet some "guy"

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 5 December 2015 19:30 (eight years ago) link

sorry if this has already been shared here (and h/t to D-40):

http://www.theawl.com/2015/12/access-denied

RAP GAME SHANI DAVIS (Raymond Cummings), Saturday, 5 December 2015 22:29 (eight years ago) link

That is one real bad chunk of writing. Good point, but can you try and make it only once, with a little clarity? Jesus.

El Tomboto, Sunday, 6 December 2015 00:51 (eight years ago) link

Lol otm, I didn't make it very far

brimstead, Sunday, 6 December 2015 01:06 (eight years ago) link

getting pretty nixony

http://i.imgur.com/ob9NBMG.jpg

Karl Malone, Sunday, 6 December 2015 04:18 (eight years ago) link

Ma'am, it's not a silent majority if (a) y'all don't have a majority and (b) y'all won't shut the entire fuck up

stay presst harsh fellow (m bison), Sunday, 6 December 2015 04:21 (eight years ago) link

http://a1.img.talkingpointsmemo.com/image/upload/c_fill,fl_keep_iptc,g_faces,h_154,w_300/bx7ed5t986xjrqvmrg7r.jpg

What happened to his eyes? Only four fingers on each hand? Clearly a reptoid!

El Tomboto, Sunday, 6 December 2015 15:44 (eight years ago) link

Here's hoping pt 3 of this thread will be titled Nippled America

Check Yr Scrobbles (Moodles), Sunday, 6 December 2015 16:26 (eight years ago) link

This is so imcomprehensible, from http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2015/nov/28/what-will-it-take-to-stop-donald-trump

“I like the way he speaks,” said Sandra Murray of Dubuque, Iowa. “He speaks the truth, he speaks what people need to hear. He may be a little bold but you can’t sugar-coat things anymore. This country is a huge mess and we need to get out of this and honestly he could be the man to do it.”

What part of this country is a huge mess? Other than growing economic inequality and police departments repeatedly proving they can't be trusted, what is a huge mess? What is she thinking of? The mind boggles.

Also, looking at the photos in that story reminded me of everything I hated about growing up in the south and how I am so happy now that I'm safely ensconced away from it. The last time I had that feeling of being around a herd of hateful, self-identified "Christian" white people was when I wound up at Union Station during the 2nd Bush inauguration. Vomit.

El Tomboto, Sunday, 6 December 2015 19:10 (eight years ago) link

“Oh, I wish I had big nuts like him,” said Dino Rossi of Newton, Massachusetts.

j., Sunday, 6 December 2015 19:17 (eight years ago) link

The cable news networks escalate into a crisis every story that isn't about fluffy bunnies or adorable children, for the same reasons that television weather forecasters hype every winter storm as a potential catastrophe and fire-and-brimstone preachers tell you your sins are blacker than Satan's heart and if you don't hurl yourself before the seat of mercy God will cast you into the deepest pit of hell. Anyone who watched a steady diet of that bumpf might think that the USA is teetering on the very brink of the apocalypse.

Aimless, Sunday, 6 December 2015 19:47 (eight years ago) link

"Telling it like it is" is just dog whistle for "being an irascible xenophobic pick like good men used to be"

Hammer Smashed Bagels, Sunday, 6 December 2015 19:51 (eight years ago) link

Lots of words in that tune.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 6 December 2015 19:55 (eight years ago) link

Clinton also focused on the need to combat the Islamic State on the Internet, pushing for help from the private sector to push back against the group’s robust propaganda machine. “We’re going to need help from Facebook and from YouTube and from Twitter,” she said.

http://www.politico.com/story/2015/12/hillary-clinton-isil-terror-obama-216466

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 6 December 2015 20:23 (eight years ago) link

Xxxpost *prick

Hammer Smashed Bagels, Sunday, 6 December 2015 20:25 (eight years ago) link

What part of this country is a huge mess? Other than growing economic inequality and police departments repeatedly proving they can't be trusted, what is a huge mess? What is she thinking of? The mind boggles.

I don't think that's really fair. Lots of our state pension systems are catastrophically underfunded, and that is a huge mess. And there's a massive painkiller addiction problem concentrated in the places where Trump voters live and ILXers don't.

Guayaquil (eephus!), Sunday, 6 December 2015 20:27 (eight years ago) link

I think he's pointing out her use of typically dispensed vagueries

Hammer Smashed Bagels, Sunday, 6 December 2015 20:28 (eight years ago) link

The young woman holding the "The Silent Majority stands with Trump" sign looks exactly like Chelsea Clinton #hillarymole #justsayin

Guayaquil (eephus!), Sunday, 6 December 2015 20:34 (eight years ago) link

i still think Hillary is Nixon and Trump is like Wallace with money

https://jeffpelline.files.wordpress.com/2011/04/3372-wallace-flyer-1.jpg

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 6 December 2015 20:40 (eight years ago) link

morbs otm

stay presst harsh fellow (m bison), Sunday, 6 December 2015 20:41 (eight years ago) link

What part of this country is a huge mess?

Have you noticed the color of our president's skin? Sandra Murray of Dubuque, Iowa, has.

phở intellectual (WilliamC), Sunday, 6 December 2015 20:41 (eight years ago) link

“We’re going to need help from Facebook and from YouTube and from Twitter,” she said.

Yes, I am really looking forward to working for people who have those kinds of ideas

El Tomboto, Sunday, 6 December 2015 20:42 (eight years ago) link

the thing is, Wallace actually DID a lot for the poor if you factor that pesky segregation thing out of it.

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 6 December 2015 20:44 (eight years ago) link

altho trump doesnt play up economic populism to the same degree wallace did

xp

stay presst harsh fellow (m bison), Sunday, 6 December 2015 20:48 (eight years ago) link

trump's economic agenda is basically "i will help keep american jobs away from mexicans and china" which is part and parcel of his turbo white supremacy platform

stay presst harsh fellow (m bison), Sunday, 6 December 2015 20:50 (eight years ago) link

the thing is, Wallace actually DID a lot for the poor if you factor that pesky segregation thing out of it.

― skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Sunday, December 6, 2015 3:44 PM

yeah, Wallace represented the end of the New Deal's dependence on Dixiecrat progressives.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 6 December 2015 21:00 (eight years ago) link

Washington Monthly's been running a series if articles drawing similar comparisons between 1972 and 2016 races.

Check Yr Scrobbles (Moodles), Sunday, 6 December 2015 22:58 (eight years ago) link

in an otherwise decent look at the cruz vs rubio thing, this was weird:


With help from an allied group that is airing television ads in Iowa, Mr. Rubio is seeking to raise doubts on the right about Mr. Cruz’s toughness on national security — a potentially fatal vulnerability, should Mr. Rubio succeed, amid heightened concerns about terrorism. More quietly, he is trying to muddy the perception that Mr. Cruz is a hard-liner on immigration, asserting that Mr. Cruz supports “legalizing people that are in this country illegally.

Their stances on core policy issues are actually quite similar: Each toes the conservative line on taxes, abortion and guns. But they are making the most of where they diverge: Mr. Rubio’s more moderate posture on immigration, and Mr. Cruz’s effort to chart a middle course on national security between hawks like Mr. Rubio and more libertarian-minded Republicans like Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky.

Karl Malone, Monday, 7 December 2015 00:55 (eight years ago) link

sorry, meant to put the

...

between those paragraphs

Karl Malone, Monday, 7 December 2015 00:55 (eight years ago) link

I don't know if anybody posted this already--just caught up with it this morning.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uYlIU5R88eY

Awkward. Supposedly the first time this has come up, probably not the last.

clemenza, Monday, 7 December 2015 00:59 (eight years ago) link

Her answer was smooth enough that she was obviously prepared for the possibility.

clemenza, Monday, 7 December 2015 01:00 (eight years ago) link

She's had years of rehearsal, remember.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 7 December 2015 01:03 (eight years ago) link

Yeah...I guess she got the same question running for the Senate and in '08--it's just the first instance I've seen of it.

clemenza, Monday, 7 December 2015 01:16 (eight years ago) link

what was that? video down.

global tetrahedron, Monday, 7 December 2015 16:10 (eight years ago) link

i saw a Ben Carson voter irl. out where my folks live in suburban/rural GA the next door neighbor has a bunch of his signs in her front lawn, alongside signs that say REVIVE and INSPIRE. of course she is a heavily medicated evangelist known for standing in the middle of the road (like on the yellow line) in her pajamas just in the middle of the day.

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Monday, 7 December 2015 17:32 (eight years ago) link

cruz out in front in iowa, according to latest monmouth poll

cruz: 24
trump: 19
rubio: 17
fartson: 13

Karl Malone, Monday, 7 December 2015 17:55 (eight years ago) link

wow

goole, Monday, 7 December 2015 17:59 (eight years ago) link

I would totally lik emore insight into what parts of the country those on the right think are a huge mess, or any more of a mess than they usually are. I understand worries over terrorism, ok, gotcha. The economy is pretty much back though; are there vast swaths of the country where it isn't? I'd like to know. I know that there are likely many who have just dropped out of the job hunt entirely. Maybe they're talking about that. Are people's taxes higher than they used to be? Mine are but only because I make twice as much money as I used to. Healthcare is still rightly fucked for lots of people even with obamacare...what else?

akm, Monday, 7 December 2015 18:01 (eight years ago) link

The economy is pretty much back though; are there vast swaths of the country where it isn't?

http://www.pewresearch.org/files/2014/10/Wage_stagnation.png

http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2014/10/09/for-most-workers-real-wages-have-barely-budged-for-decades/

Karl Malone, Monday, 7 December 2015 18:04 (eight years ago) link

When they say the country's a huge mess I think they're really talking code for "Bruce Jenner turned into Caitlyn Jenner and I was forced to hear about it".

Aimless, Monday, 7 December 2015 18:11 (eight years ago) link

divide and conquer

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Monday, 7 December 2015 18:13 (eight years ago) link

my economy is not fucking back, and never will be.

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, 7 December 2015 18:15 (eight years ago) link

mine never went away

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Monday, 7 December 2015 18:17 (eight years ago) link

the economy in certain sectors is fucked and those jobs are not coming back, true. I don't know what morbs does for a living.

akm, Monday, 7 December 2015 18:18 (eight years ago) link

but that also has little to nothing to do with whose in office, often, IMO.

akm, Monday, 7 December 2015 18:19 (eight years ago) link

who is in office. we need an edit feature

akm, Monday, 7 December 2015 18:19 (eight years ago) link

We've got a Carson supporter on our street, a sign in the yard that says, "Run! Ben! Run!"

pplains, Monday, 7 December 2015 18:24 (eight years ago) link

and dont' stop til yer in Mexico

Hammer Smashed Bagels, Monday, 7 December 2015 18:27 (eight years ago) link

oh no. xp

welltris (crüt), Monday, 7 December 2015 18:29 (eight years ago) link

"When they say the country's a huge mess I think they're really talking code for "Bruce Jenner turned into Caitlyn Jenner and I was forced to hear about it"."

^pretty much this 94/7. oh, and blackety-black black black president with his black feet on the Oval Office desk.

big fat rascal (will), Monday, 7 December 2015 18:40 (eight years ago) link

guys - www.jebbush.com

balls, Monday, 7 December 2015 19:59 (eight years ago) link

lol

phở intellectual (WilliamC), Monday, 7 December 2015 20:04 (eight years ago) link

lol

goole, Monday, 7 December 2015 20:04 (eight years ago) link

lol

welltris (crüt), Monday, 7 December 2015 20:09 (eight years ago) link

if/when rubio doesn't win iowa or new hampshire or south carolina is he then officially 'in trouble' or is he still the 'well eventually it'll be him right? right?' plausible default?

i just looked into it and since the inception of iowa-new hampshire-south carolina sequence (which is admittedly not that long, iowa is 76 and south carolina is 80 for gop and 88 for dems) nobody has won the nomination for either party w/o winning one of those three.

balls, Monday, 7 December 2015 20:10 (eight years ago) link

xposts Wow @ jebbush.com. Trump and Jeb! should be a sitcom.

The Featureless Mash That Was Once My Face (Old Lunch), Monday, 7 December 2015 20:14 (eight years ago) link

trump is bronson pinchot of course
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8vbnLYROCj8

Eugene Goostman (forksclovetofu), Monday, 7 December 2015 20:16 (eight years ago) link

I feel like Bush should a) shut down his campaign and b) commit ritual suicide. It's just pathetic at this point.

the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Monday, 7 December 2015 20:17 (eight years ago) link

how did he let that happen? that's amazing

Karl Malone, Monday, 7 December 2015 20:18 (eight years ago) link

jeb is obviously the cozzin larry in that relationship

j., Monday, 7 December 2015 20:20 (eight years ago) link

i mean it's still early but it's probably unlikely rubio wins iowa. and i can't see south carolina saving him nor for that matter the sec primary and if he hasn't been competitive w/ delegates by that point it probably too late for him. he's polling ok in new hampshire, second to trump but only barely ahead of cruz (12% vs 10.8%), and that's w/ him barely having visited new hampshire.

balls, Monday, 7 December 2015 20:23 (eight years ago) link

apparently a ton of jebbush sites have been parked on for years. jeb didn't want to pony up the $250k they were asking (apparently they'd had it since 1997!), and trump being the master negotiator was able to get them down to $250k.

balls, Monday, 7 December 2015 20:25 (eight years ago) link

I have previously asserted that Jeb! doesn't really actually want to be running for president (it's a legacy thing...if his dad and brother had previously run a family-owned paint shop, he'd give it a go as well) and, as supported by evidence such as his hijacked website, I will continue to stand behind this assertion.

The Featureless Mash That Was Once My Face (Old Lunch), Monday, 7 December 2015 20:26 (eight years ago) link

it's never been his website, tho

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, 7 December 2015 20:29 (eight years ago) link

Apparently some FOX dude called Obama a pussy on air lol

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 7 December 2015 20:39 (eight years ago) link

GOP has to boil down to rubio and cruz, right? I think it'll go all the way through the primaries though. it'll be hysterical to see if trump gets a majority of delegates but they still refuse to nominate him.

akm, Monday, 7 December 2015 20:47 (eight years ago) link

I can't imagine Trump winning Iowa tbh (NH seems more likely)... but what Trump looks like after a defeat is hard to gauge

Οὖτις, Monday, 7 December 2015 20:51 (eight years ago) link

It's gonna have to be Rubio, ultimately. He's the only one that doesn't come off as profoundly stupid/a hapless nebbish/viscerally horrifying.

The Featureless Mash That Was Once My Face (Old Lunch), Monday, 7 December 2015 20:52 (eight years ago) link

plenty of ways to get delegates that aren't related to primary/caucus votes

i am doubtful DT gets anywhere near 50% in any single primary

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, 7 December 2015 20:53 (eight years ago) link

plenty of ways to get delegates that aren't related to primary/caucus votes

all of which I can't really imagine Trump succeeding at - dude's a populist not an apparatchik, so he either wins primaries/caucuses or its over

Οὖτις, Monday, 7 December 2015 20:54 (eight years ago) link

yeah i wasn't arguing that was a way for the Howling Rug to sneak in

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, 7 December 2015 20:55 (eight years ago) link

rubio comes off plenty hapless to me

balls, Monday, 7 December 2015 20:55 (eight years ago) link

if anyone's gonna exploit non-primary/caucus delegate commitments it's gonna be Cruz

Οὖτις, Monday, 7 December 2015 20:57 (eight years ago) link

if a state's Repubs does give Big T 50% or more, i think it should be called "buying the pink rug"

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, 7 December 2015 20:57 (eight years ago) link

nh went for buchanan twice so i can totally see trump taking it. evangelicals a bigger factor in iowa (ask jimmy carter) which is probably one reason cruz has been able to pick up the carson voters.

balls, Monday, 7 December 2015 20:58 (eight years ago) link

trump doesn't have to take 50% of contested delegates fwiw though i do think if he doesn't have the majority and there's someone near him (esp if it's rubio) the superdelegates will throw it to someone/anyone else. good lord imagine the fallout and the carnage.

balls, Monday, 7 December 2015 21:01 (eight years ago) link

lookin forward to it tbh

Οὖτις, Monday, 7 December 2015 21:02 (eight years ago) link

Trump is so hated by the GOP they'd find a way to ratfuck him out of the nom but he ain't gonna win it anyway. anomalies be damned.

Hammer Smashed Bagels, Monday, 7 December 2015 21:15 (eight years ago) link

At a friend's housewarming party on Saturday I hung out with a longtime bro who works for HRC's campaign. According to their "numbers," only Rubio worries them a bit.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 7 December 2015 21:19 (eight years ago) link

I reminded my friend, who unlike me was born in Cuba, that Rubio will be hated by every other Spanish-speaking minority.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 7 December 2015 21:20 (eight years ago) link

i'm guessing Sanders just drew a knowing chuckle

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, 7 December 2015 21:21 (eight years ago) link

he doesn't do "chuckles"

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 7 December 2015 21:23 (eight years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CVpwUqxVAAAv-kZ.jpg

mookieproof, Monday, 7 December 2015 21:27 (eight years ago) link

still haven't had a moment to ask a Trump supporter when they felt America was last truly great, and whether this greatness has slowly bled off or if there was a singular moment of transition

μpright mammal (mh), Monday, 7 December 2015 21:31 (eight years ago) link

i'm not sure how i'd answer that question myself. is America "great" right now? no. when was it last great? i don't know...i guess it was never great.

Make America Great For The First Time

Karl Malone, Monday, 7 December 2015 21:32 (eight years ago) link

america is exceptional and only became not-quite-great seven years and one month ago obvs

mookieproof, Monday, 7 December 2015 21:34 (eight years ago) link

it was great when Trump's dad was getting fed handouts for his building projects

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, 7 December 2015 21:34 (eight years ago) link

yeah idk I think "greatness" is wrapped up in this whole idea of exceptionalism and drum-beating nationalism and patriotic bullshit

"make america an even better place to live" doesn't have much of a ring to it, though

μpright mammal (mh), Monday, 7 December 2015 21:35 (eight years ago) link

mookie might be on to something

μpright mammal (mh), Monday, 7 December 2015 21:35 (eight years ago) link

You'd get a lot of "America was great in WWII" answers, overlooking the fact that during WWII the government ran almost everything, controlled wages, prices and rationed most commodities.

Aimless, Monday, 7 December 2015 21:36 (eight years ago) link

but we did bomb a lot of ppl

μpright mammal (mh), Monday, 7 December 2015 21:36 (eight years ago) link

http://www.pcdon.com/Waving_Flag_on_3D_Pole-160x120.gif

Karl Malone, Monday, 7 December 2015 21:37 (eight years ago) link

Clinton wrote an op piece for the NYT today: "How I'd Rein In Wall Street"

someone report

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, 7 December 2015 21:47 (eight years ago) link

left out the g

Οὖτις, Monday, 7 December 2015 21:51 (eight years ago) link

reign, more likely, right

omg I think I just Morbsed myself

μpright mammal (mh), Monday, 7 December 2015 21:51 (eight years ago) link

we're all morbs today

μpright mammal (mh), Monday, 7 December 2015 21:51 (eight years ago) link

she ain't no g

xxxpost

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 7 December 2015 21:51 (eight years ago) link

man

went to get yer story for you morbz and the times BREAKING NEWS banner popped back up again to reiterate

Donald J. Trump has called for the United States to bar all Muslims from entering the country for the time being 3:49 PM

j., Monday, 7 December 2015 21:53 (eight years ago) link

anyhoo the tail end of hilz' op-ed goes

My comprehensive plan has already won praise from progressives like Sherrod Brown and Barney Frank. Here’s what it would do.

First, we need to further rein in major financial institutions. My plan proposes legislation that would impose a new risk fee on dozens of the biggest banks — those with more than $50 billion in assets — and other systemically important financial institutions to discourage the kind of hazardous behavior that could induce another crisis. I would also ensure that the federal government has — and is prepared to use — the authority and tools necessary to reorganize, downsize and ultimately break up any financial institution that is too large and risky to be managed effectively. No bank or financial firm should be too big to manage.

My plan would strengthen the Volcker Rule by closing the loopholes that still allow banks to make speculative gambles with taxpayer-backed deposits. And I would fight to reinstate the rules governing risky credit swaps and derivatives at taxpayer-backed banks, which were repealed during last year’s budget negotiations after a determined lobbying campaign by the banks.

My plan also goes beyond the biggest banks to include the whole financial sector. Some have urged the return of a Depression-era rule called Glass-Steagall, which separated traditional banking from investment banking. But many of the firms that contributed to the crash in 2008, like A.I.G. and Lehman Brothers, weren’t traditional banks, so Glass-Steagall wouldn’t have limited their reckless behavior. Nor would restoring Glass-Steagall help contain other parts of the “shadow banking” sector, including certain activities of hedge funds, investment banks and other non-bank institutions. My plan would strengthen oversight of these activities, too — increasing leverage and liquidity requirements for broker-dealers and imposing strict margin requirements on the kinds of short-term borrowing that also played a major role in spurring the financial crisis. We need to tackle excessive risk wherever it lurks, not just in the banks.

Second, I would appoint tough, independent regulators and ensure that both the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission are independently funded — as other critical regulators are now — so that they can do their jobs without political interference. I would seek to impose a tax on harmful high-frequency trading, which makes markets less stable and less fair. And we need to reform stock market rules to ensure equal access to information, increase transparency and minimize conflicts of interest.

Finally, executives need to be held more accountable. No one should be too big to jail. I would seek to extend the statute of limitations for major financial crimes to 10 years from five and enhance rewards for whistle-blowers. I would work to ensure that financial firms admit wrongdoing as part of settlements in instances of egregious misconduct, and increase transparency about the terms of settlement and the fines actually paid to the government. Fines should be more than just the cost of doing business to these companies — they should be an effective disincentive for illegal behavior.

And it shouldn’t just be shareholders and taxpayers who feel the pain when banks make bad decisions; executives should have skin in the game. When a firm pays a fine, I would make sure that the penalty cuts into executives’ bonuses, too. And I would fight to close the carried interest loophole that gives some fund managers billions of dollars in tax breaks: They should be taxed like every other citizen.

Republicans may have decided to forget about the financial crisis that caused so much devastation — but I haven’t. The proper role of Wall Street is to help Main Street grow and prosper. When our financial sector works the right way, it helps families buy their first homes, entrepreneurs start and grow small businesses and hardworking Americans save for retirement. Rather than pursuing the kind of high-stakes speculation that devastated our economy before, Wall Street should focus on building an economy that creates good-paying jobs, rising incomes and sound investments so that more families can achieve the security of a middle-class life.

j., Monday, 7 December 2015 21:54 (eight years ago) link

xp yeah, me too.
i have to think this is trolling now, it's too completely insane.

Eugene Goostman (forksclovetofu), Monday, 7 December 2015 21:55 (eight years ago) link

http://www.nytimes.com/politics/first-draft/2015/12/07/donald-trump-calls-for-banning-muslims-from-entering-u-s/?module=Notification&version=BreakingNews®ion=FixedTop&action=Click&contentCollection=BreakingNews&contentID=55556649&pgtype=article

“Until we are able to determine and understand this problem and the dangerous threat it poses, our country cannot be the victims of horrendous attacks by people that believe only in jihad, and have no sense of reason or respect for human life,” he said.

A spokeswoman for Mr. Trump confirmed the authenticity of the statement. Asked what prompted it, Mr. Trump said, “death,” according to the spokeswoman.

j., Monday, 7 December 2015 21:56 (eight years ago) link

well then we better ban high blood pressure too then Donald

Hammer Smashed Bagels, Monday, 7 December 2015 21:57 (eight years ago) link

font looks familiar

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CVp3MbGUAAA2Hxr.jpg

mookieproof, Monday, 7 December 2015 21:59 (eight years ago) link

Death is the name of his dog

Οὖτις, Monday, 7 December 2015 22:00 (eight years ago) link

a modest proposal

the late great, Monday, 7 December 2015 22:04 (eight years ago) link

"My proposal would be so modest. You watch!"

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 7 December 2015 22:09 (eight years ago) link

'mohammed was a loser, there aren't even any good pictures of him'

j., Monday, 7 December 2015 22:11 (eight years ago) link

grossness of any such proposal aside, how do you determine if someone is a muslim? the japanese internment camps were one of the worst missteps ever enacted, but it was based on someone being an immigrant or a descendant of an immigrant from a particular country, something that could theoretically be checked via records

other than "you're a muslim if you admit you're a muslim, or we SAY you're a muslim" how would this even work?

"i'm coming from saudi arabia and i'm an atheist" declaration seems like it'd be a way around any such ban, but...

μpright mammal (mh), Monday, 7 December 2015 22:15 (eight years ago) link

yeah it is utterly useless.

akm, Monday, 7 December 2015 22:17 (eight years ago) link

surely we can devise some tests, let's get to work

1) ask them to face Mecca. If they face in the correct direction they are obviously not American.

Οὖτις, Monday, 7 December 2015 22:19 (eight years ago) link

plus the obvious next step is to round up muslims, because why would you stop letting muslims in if you're not going to do anything about the ones that are already in etc etc

what a gesticulating sack of crap

j., Monday, 7 December 2015 22:20 (eight years ago) link

A spokeswoman for Mr. Trump confirmed the authenticity of the statement. Asked what prompted it, Mr. Trump said, “death,” according to the spokeswoman.

Karl Malone, Monday, 7 December 2015 22:32 (eight years ago) link

http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2015/12/donald-trumps-call-to-ban-muslim-immigrants/419298/

roundup of insta-reax

j., Monday, 7 December 2015 22:35 (eight years ago) link

Rand Paul tried to introduce a bill preventing anyone from 33 countries including the UAE, Iran, Russia, Turkey, Kuwait, Indonesia and Nigeria from entering the U.S. last week so I'd imagine Trump's proposal would be an extension of that.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Monday, 7 December 2015 22:40 (eight years ago) link

When asked by The Hill whether that would include Muslim-American citizens currently abroad, Trump spokeswoman Hope Hicks replied over email: "Mr. Trump says, 'everyone.'"

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/262348-trump-calls-for-shutdown-of-muslims-entering-us

Karl Malone, Monday, 7 December 2015 22:42 (eight years ago) link

has Trump even read the First Amendment

Οὖτις, Monday, 7 December 2015 22:44 (eight years ago) link

really wish my goddamn friend would stop posting OMIGOD THE HORROR posts on Facebook. That's what this imbecile wants.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 7 December 2015 22:49 (eight years ago) link

*friends

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 7 December 2015 22:49 (eight years ago) link

yeah the blaring "BREAKING NEWS" stuff is really unnecessary. this is empty posturing from a windbag, it affects nothing

Οὖτις, Monday, 7 December 2015 22:50 (eight years ago) link

sorry alfred : (

j., Monday, 7 December 2015 22:52 (eight years ago) link

let's grab a drink, j

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 7 December 2015 22:54 (eight years ago) link

This has to be the beginning of the end of Trump, right?

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Monday, 7 December 2015 22:57 (eight years ago) link

If I were a billionaire asshole, I'd worry I'd be so bored of life that I'd start saying the craziest shit, just to entertainment myself. Party of one.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 7 December 2015 22:57 (eight years ago) link

Like, assuming Trump doesn't really want the job, he has to be wondering why he's been doing as well as he'd be doing. He's probably been praying to his favorite part of the Bible for some gaffe that finally lets him drop out, (bad) reputation intact. Like, if he's doing well and he drops out, he's a quitter. But if he starts faltering he can blame the media for distorting and ignoring The Truth.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 7 December 2015 22:59 (eight years ago) link

That's his strategy so far: force the Mark Halperns to catch up to him.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 7 December 2015 23:00 (eight years ago) link

This has to be the beginning of the end of Trump, right?

― you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Monday, December 7, 2015 4:57 PM (1 minute ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

that's what everyone said when he insulted john mccain! idk i think we need to buckle up and prepare for a really long period of this shit.

instead of announcing plans to, really this time, crush trump, the GOP pro class just needs to start cutting whatever deals to kick all of its single digit guys to the curb. but they probably won't

goole, Monday, 7 December 2015 23:00 (eight years ago) link

i guess i live in hope that NH and IA will how trump to be a paper tiger. the reminder that pat buchanan did well in NH isn't helping me with that.

goole, Monday, 7 December 2015 23:01 (eight years ago) link

I just can't see the GOP being at all sanguine with one of their frontrunners loudly and proudly advocating for turning the US into a blatantly fascist state.

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Monday, 7 December 2015 23:02 (eight years ago) link

The pro class, no, but, damn, read NRO comments today.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 7 December 2015 23:08 (eight years ago) link

I will not be doing that

feel free to summarize for laffs tho!

Οὖτις, Monday, 7 December 2015 23:08 (eight years ago) link

xp: Why would I ever do that, though? NRO commenters have already shown that they despise my very existence through their commentary and I don't feel the need to satisfy their petulant desire for attention at the expense of my mental well-being.

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Monday, 7 December 2015 23:09 (eight years ago) link

like at this point you might as well say "check out the comments on St*rmfr*nt" and I'd have the same reaction

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Monday, 7 December 2015 23:10 (eight years ago) link

That's how you would write if if you tried to pronounce it with a mouthful of marshmallows.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 7 December 2015 23:13 (eight years ago) link

Write it, sorry. Strmfrnt fluffy bunny.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 7 December 2015 23:13 (eight years ago) link

I need to somehow find a way to block any mention of the inevitable polls following this shit.

JoeStork, Monday, 7 December 2015 23:14 (eight years ago) link

I only mentioned it because a large chunk of the conservative base does agree with Trump; I'm not advocating injecting your system with a speedball made of heroin and cockroach spray.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 7 December 2015 23:16 (eight years ago) link

Enh, 33% at last look. It's still a ridiculous number, but that means 2/3 of Republicans want someone else.

Retro novelty punk (Dan Peterson), Monday, 7 December 2015 23:23 (eight years ago) link

33% + the ~12-15% who still support Carson for some reason + ~3% who like Fiorina (who is just fucking insane) +, arguably, the ~15% or so that like Ted Cruz. Does anyone think Cruz is going to come out against Trump on banning Muslims from entering the country? Hell, I'm sure Cruz was just waiting for Trump to do it so he can follow his lead.

Point is, there's a lot more people than Trump's crew that are ALSO terrible fucking assholes, on both the candidate and voter side of the equation.

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 00:12 (eight years ago) link

actually, the more i think about it, maybe this is a way for trump to attract more evangelical christians? it's a dog whistle. he says he's a christian and tries to mention the bible when he can, but i think his faith isn't convincing to midwestern evangelicals. but he can try to step around concerns about the sincerity of his christianity by, i don't know, doing things that increase the chances of the apocalypse. there was this poll where 23% of americans said Jesus Christ will "definitely" return to earth by the year 2050, while another 18% said he "probably" will. i feel like those kind of apocalyptic believers are more common than people realize, and that they would be receptive to Trump's awful islamophobia.

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 00:33 (eight years ago) link

the idiot caucus really doing well in the primary season

μpright mammal (mh), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 00:34 (eight years ago) link

does trump have any advisers with like, experience in a presidential campaign? this seems like a furious response to one poll showing him behind cruz in iowa rather than an astute political strategy

i'm not sure whether possibly being a ~loser~ or merely losing everyone's attention is worse to him, but with eight weeks till voting starts, he's at risk of running out of crazy gestures

mookieproof, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 00:42 (eight years ago) link

not sure i buy into the notion that trump has an exhaustible supply of crazy

rushomancy, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 01:02 (eight years ago) link

He should host a TV competition to run his campaign.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 01:06 (eight years ago) link

i read today a third of republicans in Iowa believe Islam should be outlawed in the US

the late great, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 01:30 (eight years ago) link

turns out that poll is from September, wonder how much higher the number is today

the late great, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 01:35 (eight years ago) link

why would you care about elections at all if Jesus is on the way?

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 02:33 (eight years ago) link

he checks how you voted, kind of like santa

j., Tuesday, 8 December 2015 02:43 (eight years ago) link

I'm not sure an advisor got anywhere near that statement, the sentence structure is pure "get outta the way, let me at the keyboard <puts on poker visor>".

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 08:08 (eight years ago) link

So I guess some motherfuckers just won't be satisfied until there's a Christian analogue of ISIS? These (essentially un-American, dare I say?) people sure are eager to wipe their asses with the Constitution as long as their precious 2nd remains unsullied.

The Featureless Mash That Was Once My Face (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 12:12 (eight years ago) link

how do you determine if someone is a muslim?

Maybe get them to sew a cloth crescent onto their clothes?

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 12:15 (eight years ago) link

"We're losing a lot of people because of the Internet. And we have to do something. We have to go see Bill Gates and a lot of different people that really understand what's happening. We have to talk to them and maybe, in certain areas, closing that Internet up in some ways," Trump said at a campaign rally in South Carolina on Monday.

El Tomboto, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 13:27 (eight years ago) link

send dogs in search of those missing Internet people.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 13:40 (eight years ago) link

I guess this is all for the greater good if we're waiting until Trump reaches max popularity so that we can fill his most well-attended rally with a flood of molten steel.

The Featureless Mash That Was Once My Face (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 13:40 (eight years ago) link

bill gates doesn't understqnd the fucking internet!

akm, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 14:52 (eight years ago) link

hi, mr. gates? i'm here to ask you about the internet, and what's going on with it. as you know, we're losing a lot of people because of the internet. in certain areas, maybe we can close up the internet in some ways? we have to do something. what do you think?

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 14:59 (eight years ago) link

.. I mean, it's only until we figure out what the internet is, yeah?

Mark G, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 15:00 (eight years ago) link

mr gates?
mr gaaaaaaaaaaaaaates

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 15:02 (eight years ago) link

They want to deliver vast amounts of information over the Internet. And again, the Internet is not something that you just dump something on. It's not a big truck. It's a series of tubes. And if you don't understand, those tubes can be filled and if they are filled, when you put your message in, it gets in line and it's going to be delayed by anyone that puts into that tube enormous amounts of material, enormous amounts of material.

Doctor Casino, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 15:14 (eight years ago) link

I think this whole notion that we can just say no more Muslims, and just ban a whole religion goes against everything we stand for and believe in. Religious freedom has been a very important part of our history and where we came from. ... It's a mistaken notion.

— Dick Cheney, former vice president, speaking with radio host Hugh Hewitt.

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 15:18 (eight years ago) link

convenient

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 15:30 (eight years ago) link

dick out here doing damage control for his party talking about "everything we stand for and believe in"

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 15:32 (eight years ago) link

The GOP seems to have decided that enough is enough at this point. Though of course, gopers are also talking in my tm about how Trump is actually Southern Dem mk II. Which is kinda true (it's at least mk iii after Nixon silent majority or Reaganistas or whatever) but still just dodges the point of why on earth he can be the GOP frontrunner. Also in states not in the south.

Frederik B, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 15:40 (eight years ago) link

trump really missed a laugh line by not mentioning al gore, inventor of the internet

mookieproof, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 15:43 (eight years ago) link

a "frontrunner" whose share is around 30% is a LOSER, amirite?

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 15:55 (eight years ago) link

not in a field with like 40 people

man this argument is everywhere! lol this isn't going to work fellas

http://www.dailywire.com/news/1683/7-ways-barack-obama-created-donald-trump-ben-shapiro

goole, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 16:03 (eight years ago) link

i've heard the 'Obama created Trump' talking point for at least a couple months now irl, never bothered to try and figure out what they were talking about

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 16:05 (eight years ago) link

They mean "Thanks, Obama".

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 16:07 (eight years ago) link

If he hadn't already been around for decades previously, I could totally buy Trump as some janky, malfunctioning robot someone built in their garage.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 16:11 (eight years ago) link

I love the notion that Obama created the "celebrity presidency," from people who still worship the actual movie star they elected president.

cannot abide listening to the lout, but apparently speech included "some of my best friends are Muslims"

but Reagan actually did stuff they like as governor, like allowing open-carry via 'inspiration' from the Black Panthers
xp

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 16:16 (eight years ago) link

tispy otm

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 16:36 (eight years ago) link

fiorina in iowa last night:

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CVqZ2B7UsAI19IR.jpg

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 16:41 (eight years ago) link

Many of the more extreme conservatives are nothing if not cognitively dissonant to an extent that the presence of actual cognition is way arguable.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 16:42 (eight years ago) link

Feel the Fury-orina

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 16:42 (eight years ago) link

That photo is just a notch or two below Jeb!'s "whoop 'er!" clip on the schadenfreude scale.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 16:43 (eight years ago) link

Jeb!'s numbers are now almost down to Fiorina levels btw - under 4% in the latest RCP polling average (usual caveats apply). Maybe he should change his name to ''Jeb.''.

Doctor Casino, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 16:44 (eight years ago) link

'Jeb...?'

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 16:45 (eight years ago) link

Jeb.

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 16:46 (eight years ago) link

J3b

Hammer Smashed Bagels, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 16:49 (eight years ago) link

aw I like the cut of his jeb

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 16:50 (eight years ago) link

Job!

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 16:52 (eight years ago) link

I like to say his slogan to the tune of Paul McCartney's "Jet."

"Jeb! Oooooooooooooh...Jeb! Ooooooooooo."

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 16:54 (eight years ago) link

Zhlub!

Eugene Goostman (forksclovetofu), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 16:57 (eight years ago) link

lol JiC

the ongoing humiliation of the Bush clan is this holiday season's one true gift

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 17:02 (eight years ago) link

“Who has the leadership skills to actually make the tough decisions to fix the things that aren’t working right now that are holding people back?”

I mean can we just lol @ the terrible construction of this sentence

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 17:03 (eight years ago) link

...jeb

global tetrahedron, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 17:04 (eight years ago) link

I have the leadership skills to actually make some tough decisions, maybe in order to fix the things that aren’t working right now but probably not things that won't be working later and definitely not not the things that are holding people back.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 17:08 (eight years ago) link

I though the first photo was of a Klansman.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 17:23 (eight years ago) link

how accessible is this statute and how soon can I deface it

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 17:27 (eight years ago) link

can't lie: Paul Ryan looks hotter w/a beard

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 17:28 (eight years ago) link

goin for that right wing Jake Gyllenhaal steez

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 17:28 (eight years ago) link

p sure they still let tourists in the rotunda; you may be tased instantly, tho

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 17:29 (eight years ago) link

goin for that right wing Jake Gyllenhaal steez

― Οὖτις,

THIS

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 17:30 (eight years ago) link

no comparison, see the ophthalmologist

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 17:32 (eight years ago) link

only if he looks like Jake.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 17:33 (eight years ago) link

“Who has the leadership skills to actually make the tough decisions to fix the things that aren’t working right now that are holding people back?”

Singing this in my head to the tune of "Theme from Shaft."

Jeb! Can you dig it?

Retro novelty punk (Dan Peterson), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 17:38 (eight years ago) link

good one

i see that R Maddow leads the speculation that Trump is trying to sabotage his campaign.

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 17:39 (eight years ago) link

lol Dan

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 17:42 (eight years ago) link

My gut says that the list of republican presidential candidates who actually do want to be president boils down to, like, Cruz and Rubio. Everyone else seems like they have ulterior motives for going through the charade. It used to be easier to believe that of Trump before he got scary but I do ultimately think that it's likely he'll 'inadvertently' sabotage his own chances because a) he doesn't really want to be president and b) he can't be seen voluntarily stepping down like a pussy loser.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 17:47 (eight years ago) link

i have to admit i don't understand the idea that trump doesn't really want to be president. what's in it for him? more influence? to what end? he's already rich and powerful. also, for a guy who doesn't want to be president he sure is putting a lot of time across iowa and new hampshire.

i see his escalating bigotry as inevitable and in line with his persona, not as attempts to sabotage his own campaign. he's slowly revealing more and more of his core, and, big shocker, lots of people are also terrible people and support him.

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 17:48 (eight years ago) link

xpost And I'm half convinced that he doesn't even believe most of the shit he says or positions that he takes. He's a troll who bought his way into the world's most prominent comments section.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 17:50 (eight years ago) link

it isn't even clear that this is hurting his campaign at all

Check Yr Scrobbles (Moodles), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 17:51 (eight years ago) link

"trump is trying to sabotage his campaign" is such a lazy stance from a news anchor. is that what maddow is? i saw her show once and the snark was dialed up so high it literally felt like i was watching a daily show segment

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 17:53 (eight years ago) link

if you entertain the notion that he needs more than a third of the GOP rank-and-file to win the nomination, it could be hurting it w/out it registering now. xp

(and that the party Establishment will likely do whatever it takes to block him)

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 17:54 (eight years ago) link

i see his escalating bigotry as inevitable and in line with his persona, not as attempts to sabotage his own campaign.

otm, although I assume half the things he said are lifted from things he overhears from his supporters, a la the oxycontin thing. like what he said about taking control of the internet.

welltris (crüt), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 17:55 (eight years ago) link

Maddow's not worth listening to

the list of republican presidential candidates who actually do want to be president boils down to, like, Cruz and Rubio.

Christie too imo

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 17:55 (eight years ago) link

If we assume (correctly) that Trump's base is mostly aggrieved white people who have an incoherent grasp on the aspects of Otherness they're aggrieved about, naturally his continued incoherent appeals to their grief (and the increasing legitimacy he grants said grief by dint of his highly-visible platform) would only cement his popularity among that base. But he's starting to really marginalize (and, perhaps...radicalize?) himself at this point, so his overall support is going to dwindle for sure.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 17:57 (eight years ago) link

many xps

Jeborina!

Also, the Shaft line should be "Jeb, can you fix it?"

nickn, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 17:57 (eight years ago) link

It wouldn't surprise me if this all ends up marginalizing Trump, but it also wouldn't surprise me if the base comes around to his point of view and agrees that they are a-ok with outright fascism in the US

Check Yr Scrobbles (Moodles), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:00 (eight years ago) link

yeah christie wants it, no way that dude does any running unless it's for something he really really wants

balls, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:00 (eight years ago) link

if the base comes around to his point of view and agrees that they are a-ok with outright fascism in the US

they're already there and have been there since the Dubya administration

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:03 (eight years ago) link

granted Dubya's fascist moves were more along the lines of state power/police state + crony oligarchy and didn't cop the racist populism angle but this trend didn't come out of nowhere.

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:04 (eight years ago) link

My going baseless theory re: Trump's bait-and-switch presidential run is that he's secretly building an enormous underground prepper complex somewhere in the mountains where he's gonna try to get his followers to move after the completely debased US government forces him to concede the nomination. He has some plan to monetize this hate movement he's amassed, surely on as large a scale as possible.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:04 (eight years ago) link

yeah christie wants it, no way that dude does any running unless it's for something he really really wants

lol because fat.

:wq (Leee), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:05 (eight years ago) link

quality tabloid work here
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CVuIZGrUsAAyScy.png

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:06 (eight years ago) link

"can't lie: Paul Ryan looks hotter w/a beard"

I saw him on the street a few months ago and he was straight-up hunky. this was pre-beard

tobo73, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:07 (eight years ago) link

Silver:

Several times so far in the campaign, we’ve witnessed the following cycle:

1. Trump says something offensive or ludicrous.
2. Some pundits loudly proclaim that it could bring about the end of Trump’s campaign.
3. Instead, Trump’s position remains steady or even improved in ballot-test polls.
4. The same pundits therefore conclude that Trump is indestructible and impervious to criticism.

This is not a ridiculous interpretation. But there are some potential problems with it.

One is that most Republicans are still not paying all that much attention to the campaign. Some controversies that garner wall-to-wall coverage from the political press may only reach one-quarter to one-fifth of Americans at home. That mutes the impact of most things the candidates are doing. And any actual effects can easily be overwhelmed by noise in the polling, making it hard to make inferences about causality.

The second big problem is that in a field that still has 14 candidates, more media coverage — even negative media coverage — potentially helps a candidate to differentiate himself and thereby improve his position on the ballot test. In general, there has been a strong correlation between how well a candidate is performing on the ballot test and how much media coverage he’s receiving, although the causality is hard to determine. Trump seems to understand this; indeed, he seems to issue his most controversial remarks and proposals precisely at moments of perceived vulnerability.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-republicans-and-polls-enable-donald-trump/

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:08 (eight years ago) link

Who has the leadership skills
to actually make the tough decisions to fix the things
that aren’t working right now that are holding people back?

http://pixel.nymag.com/imgs/daily/intelligencer/2015/06/14/14-JEB.w1200.h630.jpg

You're daaaaaaaaaarn right.

Doctor Casino, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:10 (eight years ago) link

You're darn tootin

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:12 (eight years ago) link

I would think it's crystal clear that Trump understands that coverage = poll numbers and that he times his "announcements" accordingly. This has drowned out all talk of Cruz being ahead in Iowa, for ex.

xp

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:12 (eight years ago) link

I hear this cat Jeb! is a bad mutha...

nickn, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:13 (eight years ago) link

this is hilarious:

In a poll conducted by Gallup last year, the most admired male politician among Republican voters was … Barack Obama, who was chosen by 8 percent of Republicans. (George W. Bush was next, at 3 percent.) Condoleezza Rice (9 percent), Hillary Clinton (5 percent) and Sarah Palin (4 percent) were the most admired female politicians among Republicans.

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:15 (eight years ago) link

It's worth noting that insight into Trump's insanity has been a cumulative reveal for people who have been paying attention. Once they get around to sorting through their options, many of those potential republican voters who haven't been paying much attention up to now will likely see Trump as the unhinged demagogue that he is. I can't imagine many of the republicans I've been acquainted with being okay with most of the shit he spews.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:18 (eight years ago) link

My going baseless theory re: Trump's bait-and-switch presidential run is that he's secretly building an enormous underground prepper complex somewhere in the mountains where he's gonna try to get his followers to move after the completely debased US government forces him to concede the nomination. He has some plan to monetize this hate movement he's amassed, surely on as large a scale as possible.

Donald Trump is nowhere near smart enough to successfully do this, come on.

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:28 (eight years ago) link

It's his long game to rebuild Atlantic City.

EZ Snappin, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:30 (eight years ago) link

I find these "what is Trump's REAL plan" theories about as convincing as theories about how Jar Jar was secretly a Sith Lord

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:32 (eight years ago) link

Every time Trump talks about sorting out the good Muslims from the bad ones and similar talk, he should have the Central Park Five thrown in his face. Every time.

Resting Bushface (Phil D.), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:32 (eight years ago) link

Jar Jar really was a Sith Lord, though

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:33 (eight years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CVuUNa5UYAELK0d.jpg

mookieproof, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:33 (eight years ago) link

I mean, yeah, it's probably more likely that Trump will capitalize on a new book or tv show post-defeat. But also he's a Sith Lord so who really knows.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:39 (eight years ago) link

Old Lunch otm upthread: aggrieved white people may be a vocal faction right now, but they are not a winning coalition (and will never again be one).

See also Dr. Casino's poll-dissection post from Dec. 5.: you can just as easily read the poll numbers as "Trump's negatives doom his candidacy" - for the nomination, let alone the general.

Progressives I know are freaking out that his Hairness has any traction whatsoever, and are curiously parroting the right-wing "what has happened to my country?!?!? Why are people so stupid!?!?" language so popular on the right in 2008 and 2012.

I remain sanguine. Get all this nativist shit out there in the open, and see it decisively rejected. Lance the boil.

yo no soy marinara sauce (Ye Mad Puffin), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:40 (eight years ago) link

Trump is not capitalizing on a new book because the people he's currently appealing to obviously don't read.

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:42 (eight years ago) link

also as far as I can tell, America has been packed full of stupid people since I was a child

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:43 (eight years ago) link

these remarks are not a dog whistle, any kind of ears gets it

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:43 (eight years ago) link

byron york had a similar analysis of the trump cycle that's basically open outrageous, the media freaks, add 'nuance', the media wonders why it hasn't hurt him, previous outrage becomes new normal, the moment media moves on or the polls dip do a new outrage

i've already heard pro-trump spin that this is just like what fdr did w/ the japanese which everyone agrees worked and was good and the liberals are hypocrites (as well has losers obv) for pretending to be outraged

balls, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:44 (eight years ago) link

...b b b but he does have a new book

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:45 (eight years ago) link

I thought Trump wanted to sabotage his campaign, but his yelly interviews making the news-rounds make him sound totally invested in this lunacy.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iFu_Owth5sw

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:45 (eight years ago) link

I just meant that thinking about Trump is similar to thinking about the prequels - neither is particularly well thought-out, it's not worth expending mental energy on. What you see is what you get. There's no three-dimensional-chess being played here.

imo best case scenario is Trump wins some delegates but not enough to win the nomination, claims it's been stolen from him by the GOP establishment, runs on a third party ticket, GOP fields huge election losses as a result, giving the Democrats the WH and the Senate (super-optimistically I would say the House too but that's really unlikely)

xxp

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:45 (eight years ago) link

A little after 4:20 is when they basically hang up on him.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:46 (eight years ago) link

Trump sounds like an angry right wing radio call in loon.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:47 (eight years ago) link

either conservatives didn't get the memo that history hasn't judged fdr kindly for that or they think michelle malkin said it was ok so it's an open and shut case. or, occam's razor, based on erick erickson's dumb as fuck tweet yesterday, they're just complete bigots.

balls, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:47 (eight years ago) link

hey if FDR didn't do what he did, the Nazis would have swept straight into the heartland and we'd all be speaking russian now

nomar, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:48 (eight years ago) link

politico says that hillaryland thinks cruz is gonna get the nomination

balls, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:49 (eight years ago) link

I thought Trump wanted to sabotage his campaign, but his yelly interviews making the news-rounds make him sound totally invested in this lunacy.

That's his thing, though. He always doubles down and never admits to being the slightest bit wrong or in any way overstepping. He's entirely fueled by baseless confidence, and his bluster would putter out completely if one iota of doubt or self-reflection crept into the mix.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:52 (eight years ago) link

which brings me back to something I've been pondering for months - what would it take to puncture Trump's bluster? What could you do or say to make him cry onstage, for example?

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:54 (eight years ago) link

or just make him lose his composure and physically attack somebody or something like that.

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:54 (eight years ago) link

with Jindal, Huck, Santorum, I get the sense that they're running to increase leverage when they negotiate their FOX News consultant contracts; with Trump, I get the sense that "winning" is all he knows.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:56 (eight years ago) link

A decent interviewer would help. That Morning Joe clip is pathetic.

everything, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 18:56 (eight years ago) link

which brings me back to something I've been pondering for months - what would it take to puncture Trump's bluster? What could you do or say to make him cry onstage, for example?

"We're seizing all of your assets."

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 19:00 (eight years ago) link

"You're fired"

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 19:01 (eight years ago) link

"usfl"

balls, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 19:04 (eight years ago) link

apparently spy calling him short-fingered still bothers him all these years later

balls, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 19:05 (eight years ago) link

A third party run by Trump would ensure a democrat in the WH, but wouldn't much hurt the GOP candidates down the ticket, because there wouldn't be any slate of Trump Party senate or house candidates to take votes away from the GOP. Once it was safely obvious from opinion polling that neither Trump nor the eventual republican nominee would be president, it might even suppress democratic voter turnout.

Meanwhile Trump could lure a lot of usually disenchanted fringe crazies into the polling booths to take their best ever chance in decades to vote for a racist loudmouth, and while they're already standing in the booth they might go ahead and vote for some republicans down the ticket, too.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 19:18 (eight years ago) link

not exactly surprising but it's a fun tour through the sewer

http://www.buzzfeed.com/andrewkaczynski/white-nationalist-and-anti-muslim-fringe-embrace-trump-propo#.ncA2EjdL6

goole, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 19:20 (eight years ago) link

hmm you might be right Aimless. Maybe best-case scenario to ensure GOP losses is for Trump to somehow actually get the nomination.

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 19:29 (eight years ago) link

which would depress turnout, hurt downticket candidates etc.

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 19:29 (eight years ago) link

does he ever actually debate in debates, or just do his boastful grandstanding?

μpright mammal (mh), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 19:30 (eight years ago) link

open outrageous, the media freaks, add 'nuance', the media wonders why it hasn't hurt him

the thing that's funny about this is that it involves continuing to pretend that trump supporters are some free-floating cloud of general republicans. how strange it is that republicans aren't turning on him after all these horrible statements! well, republicans generally are turning on him! as noted, he's hated by as many republicans as like him, and i suspect the hate-number is only going up. the analysis refuses to admit this hard-core of Aggrieved-Americans who have been prepared to vote for Trump no matter what since june or july, who are excited about him because of all the crazy stuff he says and especially anything that treats stigmatizing and casting out racial Others as "common sense." that's his appeal, so wondering why him doing more of it isn't hurting him with that group is like...umm... duh? the useful story to track here is not "are trump's first-choice numbers going down?" but "are trump's absolutely-not-that-guy numbers going up?"

aimless is right about down-ticket candidates in the unlikely trump third-party scenario. it could help republicans as much as hurt them, though there is certainly some possibility that trump's die-hards really WANT to walk in and vote only for him, to 'send a message' to all the RINOs. i think there would have to be a real campaign of urging them to do this, though.

Doctor Casino, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 19:30 (eight years ago) link

just do his boastful grandstanding

this is all any of them do, for the most part

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 19:32 (eight years ago) link

you've got me there

μpright mammal (mh), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 19:33 (eight years ago) link

Aimless re: "it might even suppress democratic voter turnout." Now THAT scares me in a way I hadn't thought to be scared before. Dems thinking hey, it's in the bag, why bother.

Or, if the nominee is Hillary and she appears to be on an easy path to victory, perhaps diehard Bern-feelers would feel free to write Sanders in. I know of some Nader supporters who did so in ought-four, believing that if Gore was safe in their state, they might as well vote their consciences.

Of course that was, and is, their right to do so. However I continue to believe that smacking down the current right-wing looniness is the priority.

give 'em helecaster (Ye Mad Puffin), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 19:36 (eight years ago) link

Hillary and she appears to be on an easy path to victory

she will not have an easy path, this is gonna be bloodsport

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 19:36 (eight years ago) link

Clinton-Sanders race isn't going to get any traction in this thread until 3 days before New Hampshire, right?

I had forgotten WFP is a multi-state entity.

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 19:38 (eight years ago) link

has a lot of traction here, I see a lot more Sanders signs than Clinton ones, even if she's polling higher

μpright mammal (mh), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 19:39 (eight years ago) link

the NYC public advocate (someone i was happy to vote for) is grumping about the Sanders endorsement

http://observer.com/2015/12/top-working-families-party-pol-is-not-happy-they-just-backed-bernie-sanders/

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 19:41 (eight years ago) link

the blustery billionaire businessman

http://www.wearysloth.com/Gallery/ActorsW/18187-1293.gif

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 19:47 (eight years ago) link

@SenTedCruz
Our strategy with radical Islamic terrorism should be very simple. We win. They lose.

it's catching

mookieproof, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 19:54 (eight years ago) link

something something greyzone

μpright mammal (mh), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 19:54 (eight years ago) link

@realDonaldTrump
A new poll indicates that 68% of my supporters would vote for me if I departed the GOP & ran as an independent.

mookieproof, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 20:01 (eight years ago) link

unlike religious and ethnic minorities, trump supporters willingly put his mark on their homes and vehicles, allowing us to give them a wide berth

μpright mammal (mh), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 20:02 (eight years ago) link

That Cruz post is Carson-level. Or second-grade-level, which is basically the same. "Every American should have a pony. Why? Because ponies are nice. Case closed."

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 20:08 (eight years ago) link

a pony in every stable

μpright mammal (mh), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 20:08 (eight years ago) link

@SenTedCruz
Our strategy with radical Islamic terrorism should be very simple. We win. They lose

^^ he's plagiarizing Reagan.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 20:11 (eight years ago) link

Carson, a seven-year-old, an Alzheimer's sufferer. What's the diff?

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 20:16 (eight years ago) link

My strategy with Putin: I'm rubber, you're glue.

give 'em helecaster (Ye Mad Puffin), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 20:23 (eight years ago) link

I still wonder how many Trump supporters are Trump voters. I think a statistically significant number of them are fans of Donald Trump, the guy from TV, and go to his rallies in the same spirit one might attend a Nickelback concert.

the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 20:28 (eight years ago) link

God Bless the Goddamned Onion: http://www.theonion.com/graphic/trump-gives-muslim-fence-about-radicalizing-just-p-51999

Resting Bushface (Phil D.), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 20:34 (eight years ago) link

yeah how trump support translates to trump votes is the big question. i do wonder if he's tapping into this segment of the population that didn't bother to vote cuz 'they're all the same' or whatever and now someone's finally saying what needs to be said

balls, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 20:42 (eight years ago) link

it's been funny seeing some of the shitheads that a couple of weeks ago were saying 'we will not accept syrian refugees unless maybe they're christians (not even orphans - it's in the blood!)' now backpeddling and going 'o that was totally different from what trump is saying'

balls, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 20:44 (eight years ago) link

I still wonder how many Trump supporters are Trump voters. I think a statistically significant number of them are fans of Donald Trump, the guy from TV, and go to his rallies in the same spirit one might attend a Nickelback concert.

― the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Tuesday, December 8, 2015 3:28 PM (17 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Probably also people that have waited their entire lives for a chance to vote against Hillary Clinton.

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 20:47 (eight years ago) link

well they can do that without voting for trump though

Doctor Casino, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 20:58 (eight years ago) link

Probably also people that have waited their entire lives for a chance to vote against Hillary Clinton.

― AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Tuesday, December 8, 2015

I know these people!

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 21:00 (eight years ago) link

uh well that's why i voted for Obama in the 2008 NY primary and for any minor-party lefty in her Senate races

a charmed life but hoping maybe just once more and not twice

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 21:03 (eight years ago) link

kinda reassuring to see "Trump is a fascist" entering mainstream political lexicon

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 23:28 (eight years ago) link

From what I heard on the radio, Cruz was the one prominent Republican who was basically "None of my business" with regards to Trump today. While I realize a lot of the condemnation is theatrical and purely out of self-interest, I'm glad that was Cruz's reaction--that will surely be a problem for him at some point (i.e., his path to the nomination is different than Trump's, and what Trump is able to glide past won't necessarily help him).

I find Cruz creepier and smarmier than anyone involved in this.

clemenza, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 23:37 (eight years ago) link

Cruz is definitely positioning himself as the "sane" choice once Trump flames out

Check Yr Scrobbles (Moodles), Tuesday, 8 December 2015 23:38 (eight years ago) link

hard to say who the GOP Establishment hates more though, him or Trump

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 23:39 (eight years ago) link

Okay, he did say this: "I do not agree with his proposals. I do not think it is the right solution. The right solution I believe is the legislation that I've introduced."

I guess that's okay. But then, hoping to thread the needle and weasel up the middle: "I recognize that a great many folks in the media would prefer that anybody running for president engage as an ongoing theater critic criticizing the proposals of others. I do not believe the world needs my voice added to that chorus of critics."

http://www.cnn.com/2015/12/08/politics/ted-cruz-donald-trump-disagreed/index.html

clemenza, Tuesday, 8 December 2015 23:46 (eight years ago) link

^Hopefully this was taken mere second before Jeb! began his Church Lady impression

RAP GAME SHANI DAVIS (Raymond Cummings), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 00:00 (eight years ago) link

Jeb... i guess... or whatever you want really it's your call.

xp

INTOXICATING LIQUORS (art), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 00:02 (eight years ago) link

jeb's eyes: so flat, blank.

mattresslessness, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 00:02 (eight years ago) link

faint ghost of oscar the grouch there

denies the existence of dark matter (difficult listening hour), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 00:02 (eight years ago) link

hahaha

RAP GAME SHANI DAVIS (Raymond Cummings), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 00:03 (eight years ago) link

"Are you there, God? It's me, Jeb! No, no, not Junior, nor Poppy..."

RAP GAME SHANI DAVIS (Raymond Cummings), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 00:04 (eight years ago) link

is that Jeb being lowered into his grave

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 00:07 (eight years ago) link

the ghost of bushes past

mattresslessness, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 00:18 (eight years ago) link

he chose

poorly

nomar, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 01:01 (eight years ago) link

I really think Trump or Cruz will cause massive downticket damage. You'll get the infamous 27% but "moderates" / "right-leaning independents" will end up staying home - no amount of nose pinching or this so-callled "waiting their whole lives to vote against Hillary" impulse is going to get them to the polls for those dudes.

El Tomboto, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 01:37 (eight years ago) link

I definitely fear Cruz more than Trump.

schwantz, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 01:47 (eight years ago) link

I suspect in the case of a third party run by Trump you'll get a lot of aggrieved and unhelpful complaining from him that the Republicans are stupid sissy men (particularly if they lose their minds and pick Bush). If you're looking for monetisation, perhaps "other than these very good friends of mine".

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 01:56 (eight years ago) link

"Another Republican strategist in Ohio replied to an email asking about Mr. Trump’s effect in the state by sending a link to a Wikipedia page on the 1964 congressional elections, when Barry Goldwater’s presence atop the Republican ticket led the party to lose 36 House seats."

I came across a tidbit that Goldwater's wife Susan was from my hometown and then found out that Susan Goldwater was the founder of Planned Parenthood in Arizona. Considering the politics of the past few months, I found this to be an interesting fact.

earlnash, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 02:10 (eight years ago) link

barry was prochoice and managed to arrange an abortion for his daughter when they were still illegal. abortion politics don't really line up along party lines until the 80s when the christian coalition really becomes a force. i'm not sure it really became a liability to be pro-life as a democrat until the 90s.

balls, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 02:16 (eight years ago) link

You will still see talking heads mention Goldwater as a father of the modern conservative movement, but this side of his politics seems to be completely forgotten now.

earlnash, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 02:25 (eight years ago) link

I interviewed Rob Halford of Judas Priest once - he lives in Phoenix, and has served as Grand Marshal of the city's Gay Pride Parade in the past - and he mentioned that Goldwater was his neighbor for quite a while and that they got along very well.

the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 02:46 (eight years ago) link

http://i.imgur.com/D5EZ98g.jpg

I would love to see this as a moment where Trump is lambasting Jeb! off-screen, tearing him apart for being the one Bush who lost in '94, for losing Elian and letting Teri die, for not being able to say whether he would approve the war in Iraq now or not....

ZOOM IN REAL QUICK into the pupil of Jeb!'s eye and ZOOM OUT REAL QUICK, and he's still standing there with the same expression - except it's 1970, he's chubby with long hair, and it's Dubya who's offscreen, tearing him apart with swagger about how he fucked up at Yale, disappointed Poppy by getting caught with weed, and Mom's still not sure about this Mexican chick he's just ~~so in love~~ with, right Jebb? Right? Voices start getting echo-y....

pplains, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 02:56 (eight years ago) link

Trump coyly tweeting independent-run poll numbers

(which suggest he might get 10% in November)

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 02:57 (eight years ago) link

I would love to see this as a moment where Trump is lambasting Jeb! off-screen, tearing him apart for being the one Bush who lost in '94, for losing Elian and letting Teri die, for not being able to say whether he would approve the war in Iraq now or not....

ZOOM IN REAL QUICK into the pupil of Jeb!'s eye and ZOOM OUT REAL QUICK, and he's still standing there with the same expression - except it's 1970, he's chubby with long hair, and it's Dubya who's offscreen, tearing him apart with swagger about how he fucked up at Yale, disappointed Poppy by getting caught with weed, and Mom's still not sure about this Mexican chick he's just ~~so in love~~ with, right Jebb? Right? Voices start getting echo-y....

― pplains, Tuesday, December 8, 2015 8:56 PM (6 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

A++++

RAP GAME SHANI DAVIS (Raymond Cummings), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 03:04 (eight years ago) link

does anybody seriously think trump won't run as an independent if he doesn't get the nom? the republicans lost the election the second he entered the race.

rushomancy, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 12:27 (eight years ago) link

Time for Jeb to seize the initiative by announcing Trump as his VP pick.

I have just had a vision of a Cruz Presidency with Trump as the Secretary of State - it was mostly a mushroom cloud in the shape of a combover.

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 12:33 (eight years ago) link

cruz has said he'll have job in his administration, maybe as a trade negotiator because he's a master negotiator doncha know, but tellingly kinda sidestepped any veep or actual cabinet position possibility

balls, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 13:18 (eight years ago) link

This may be a total duh question, but is it safe to assume that, in many cases, conservative climate change denial goes hand-in-hand with a desire to hasten the end times? I know it's also heavily informed by the need to MAKE ALL OF THE MONEY NOW BY ANY MEANS, but it's starting to seem less like greed-induced myopia than an active desire to commit slow suicide.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 13:37 (eight years ago) link

Like, plugging your ears and laughing at the tree-hugging liberal hippies stopped making any sense once we started regularly breaking weather records.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 13:39 (eight years ago) link

Man, I thought I was joking.

I can't think that Trump was take a subservient position though?

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 13:51 (eight years ago) link

This may be a total duh question, but is it safe to assume that, in many cases, conservative climate change denial goes hand-in-hand with a desire to hasten the end times?

Only in the US.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 13:52 (eight years ago) link

Almost seems to be little more than desire to troll people in the UK, that and money of course.

Otago Imago (Tom D.), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 13:54 (eight years ago) link

I heard that argument made during the Bush years. Not all conservatives are Christians though.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 13:54 (eight years ago) link

The US is the only large country where a major party has climate change denial as a policy plank, though?

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 13:56 (eight years ago) link

I don't think most climate change denial is weirdo religious Rapture-hunger. That's a pretty fringe view even on the right. I also don't think that pure money-making greed is realistically in play for most right-wing people. Only a tiny fraction of them are actual Captains of Extractive Industry. Most people work in boring office jobs, the service sector, etc.

It's more the inchoate perceived conceptual threat posed by "Pussies" (hippies, metrosexuals, liberals, vegetarians, socialists, latte-drinkers, academics, government bureaucrats, geeks, the media) who want to curtail their precious manly FREEDOM.

This perceived curtailment of FREEDOM may mean anything from driving a big-ass F150 with single-digit gas mileage, to eating a three-pound steak for dinner every night, to shooting defenseless bunnies for fun.

Climate change denial is primarily motivated by "Them damn pansies want to ruin my fun, and I'm gonna resist those panty-waist fun-ruiners at every turn." It is misguided machismo transmuted into political policy.

give 'em helecaster (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 14:54 (eight years ago) link

I listened to a Cruz interview in NPR this morning. His climate change denial, which I assume is pretty much GOP boilerplate, is a combination of:

1. It wasn't that long ago scientists were predicting a new ice age
2. It's an attempt to control the economy by Dems and their cronies
3. Solyndra

Retro novelty punk (Dan Peterson), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 15:03 (eight years ago) link

Yeah, right-wing climate denialism has always seemed to me to be a pretty transparent combo of its standard anti-intellectualism plus red-baiting/pro-capitalism dogma.

Resting Bushface (Phil D.), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 15:05 (eight years ago) link

There is also a desire to resist change, both any further change and reversing existing changes - the GOP are the "Everything was better in the old days" party - ironically this is the one aspect they're right about.

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 15:10 (eight years ago) link

puffin otm. there's money (for a very few), there's randian makers/takers bullshit about government interference, there's no-knothingism directed at 'so-called experts', but mainly it's that if obama and al gore are for it then it must be stopped because Team

mookieproof, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 15:14 (eight years ago) link

Mookie: yep.

Oddly, I have more ability to understand/empathize with a climate change denier who actually stands to lose something tangible due to environmental laws/regulations. I mean, as opposed to Generic Exurban Red-State Frontiersman. His climate change denial is more about knee-jerk hatred of liberals and what liberals are presumed to stand for. He may be an ammosexual with a boner for Palin, but it's unlikely that climate change denial helps him in any real economic way.

Yr actual farmer, fisherman, oilman, rancher, coal miner, fracker? Or people who work in those industries? They're still wrong, but at least they're overtly pursuing an agenda that relates to recognizable vested self-interest (however short-sighted it may be).

give 'em helecaster (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 15:18 (eight years ago) link

If we accept that there are cynical shits on the right who really do primarily construct their belief in things like climate change denial on an infantile, oppositional foundation, it could be argued that liberals have a moral imperative to take a hardline anti-suicide stance ASAP.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 15:47 (eight years ago) link

Lunch: Cynical? How so? Infantile, oppositional, absolutely. Frustrated, angry, fearful, yes.

(Sorry to harp so much on Teahadi Psychology 101. It's just that I actually know and interact with this kind of person, whereas there are lots of other people out there whose motivations I don't and probably won't ever understand.)

Jeb! pic upthread, that smarmy smile needs something. But what?

https://flic.kr/p/BQFmAW

Fixed.

give 'em helecaster (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 15:56 (eight years ago) link

Crud. http://i.imgur.com/WsoCsJx.jpg?1

give 'em helecaster (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 15:59 (eight years ago) link

Remember, remember, the 11th of September (when my brother kept us safe)

Resting Bushface (Phil D.), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 15:59 (eight years ago) link

I think the cynicism creeps in for me when people construct belief systems in opposition to what the opposing "team" values rather than in support of their actual convictions.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 16:03 (eight years ago) link

indeed

mookieproof, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 16:08 (eight years ago) link

That makes sense, Lunch.

Though I do think that opposition to what the opposing "team" values IS their actual conviction. Tribez, baby.

It's certainly becoming _my_ conviction: I want these fuckers to lose and lose big. Right now I want that much more than I want my own views to triumph.

give 'em helecaster (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 16:11 (eight years ago) link

huh I had totally forgotten about these laws, will present an interesting conundrum for Trump if he stays in the GOP primaries that far:

Sore loser laws block someone who runs and loses in a party primary from running in the general election as the candidate of another party, and/or as an independent, depending on the wording. These laws are essentially meant to protect the major parties' prerogatives, and to prevent divisive primary splits from carrying over to the general election. Yet they've also been criticized for bolstering the dominance of the two party system, and for restricting voters' options.

According to an article by Emory law professor Michael Kang, 47 states have some form of a sore loser law on the books, the language and severity of which vary. (Some merely block third-party bids; others apply to independent or even write-in candidacies.) Luckily for Trump, though, only a few of these state laws actually apply to presidential elections.

One of the few that does, however, is in the hugely important swing state of Ohio. And according to its secretary of state — Republican Jon Husted — Trump has already disqualified himself from running as a third-party or independent candidate there. Husted said last week that Trump's participation in the Republican debate and his FEC statement of candidacy are enough to do the trick, as USA Today's Paul Singer wrote.

That's a stronger interpretation than several other states, where you have to actually appear on the ballot to lose your third-party option. Theoretically, Trump could skip the Ohio primary or file for the ballot but withdraw. If he does decide to take this route, he'll surely contest Husted's interpretation of the law in court.

Another option — running as a write-in candidate — wouldn't work in the state. Ohio law says write-in votes will only be counted if they're for people who have filed a declaration of intent to be a write-in candidate, which the sore loser law prevents Trump from doing.

Michigan's sore loser law could also trouble Trump. Back in 2012, Gary Johnson ran for the Republican nomination, but planned to run on the Libertarian Party ballot in the general election. But Johnson failed to withdraw his name from the GOP primary contest in time — he was three minutes too late in filing his request. As a result, and despite a legal battle, he was blocked from appearing on the ballot in the general.

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 18:32 (eight years ago) link

An independent run by Trump would not be about his becoming president, but about influencing national politics in the future by controlling the idiot bloc of votes so recently devoted to Palin.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 19:14 (eight years ago) link

it's clear at this point that his significance is not any shot at being elected, but stoking domestic, violent racism

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 19:21 (eight years ago) link

If the republicans ran a Dole this time around, I think they'd stand a decent chance of winning. Thankfully, they probably think everyone of that ilk is a pussy.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 20:03 (eight years ago) link

disappointed that article is not written by Bob Dole

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 20:04 (eight years ago) link

A Dole without zingers is a Trump without a boast.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 20:05 (eight years ago) link

you may be zingin' less when you're 105 too

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 20:08 (eight years ago) link

those sore loser laws sound . . . illegitimate

mookieproof, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 20:09 (eight years ago) link

nevertheless an enjoyable prospect to think of trump being told by po-faced lawyers that he is a sore loser

denies the existence of dark matter (difficult listening hour), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 20:11 (eight years ago) link

poor-faced too

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 20:16 (eight years ago) link


Republican presidential frontrunner Donald Trump’s recent proposal to ban all Muslims from entering the U.S. has far from hurt his poll numbers; in fact, a poll released Wednesday found that almost two-thirds of GOP primary voters back the widely-condemned plan.

In a new Bloomberg Politics/Purple Strategies poll, 37 percent of all likely general election voters said they support Trump’s plan while 65 percent of likely Republican primary voters said they back the ban.

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 20:32 (eight years ago) link

that 37% is p scary

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 20:35 (eight years ago) link

in larger, sociological terms I wonder what exactly can be done to bring such a large portion of the electorate around to reality. Not just on that specific proposal, but just in general, how do we steer this frighteningly large segment of the population away from this hysteria-driven fact-free bubble they live in? Or do we just hope that they're always outnumbered. or eventually die off in large numbers.

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 20:39 (eight years ago) link

re-embrace elitism

j., Wednesday, 9 December 2015 20:41 (eight years ago) link

in larger, sociological terms I wonder what exactly can be done to bring such a large portion of the electorate around to reality. Not just on that specific proposal, but just in general, how do we steer this frighteningly large segment of the population away from this hysteria-driven fact-free bubble they live in? Or do we just hope that they're always outnumbered. or eventually die off in large numbers.

Reeducation centers? I kid!

Iago Galdston, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 20:41 (eight years ago) link

http://www.people.com/article/presidential-candidates-interview-guilty-pleasures-hidden-talents

What's your favorite thing to eat on the campaign trail?
Hillary: Jalapeños. I started during the '92 campaign and I believe they keep me going!

Like... by themselves?

polyphonic, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 20:49 (eight years ago) link

I believe they keep me going!

take it to ILTMI hillary

Doctor Casino, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 20:59 (eight years ago) link

> I wonder what exactly can be done to bring such a large portion of the electorate around to reality.

First: Losing! Losing next year and every subsequent election cycle.

It won't change their unchangeable minds, but they should stay grumpy and dispirited and emotionally lost. They should continue to believe that they've "lost their country." They need to give up and stay home. If they get even the slightest taste of victory, by whatever accident of circumstances, they will regard it as vindication. This is why I feel it is vitally important to elect a Democrat as president (I no longer care who).

Second: demographics, working hand in hand with death, which is coming soon for most of them anyway (though not soon enough).

ready for the raptor (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 21:06 (eight years ago) link

I wonder what exactly can be done to bring such a large portion of the electorate around to reality.

Watching them die.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 21:06 (eight years ago) link

it would be nice to do something about the public schools though, i mean in the long term. the receptiveness to bullshit, bad argumentation, dubious sources, etc., is a huge part of the problem and i think that starts early. but fixing that would be a huge, knock-down political fight in itself.

Doctor Casino, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 21:07 (eight years ago) link

it's all well and good to wish that they will age into irrelevancy and die but there are some pretty huge structural factors in place to ensure that more people like them will get churned out - public schooling curricula being one of them, but there's a bunch of others. It's important to remember that this isn't really that much of a historical anomaly either, this country's always had its share of virulent racists, fascist sympathizers, anti-science, irrationally tribal morons

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 21:10 (eight years ago) link

First: Losing! Losing next year and every subsequent election cycle.

this is important, but it also just reinforces their sense of victimization, making them even more prone to fascist demagoguery etc.

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 21:10 (eight years ago) link

how do we steer this frighteningly large segment of the population away from this hysteria-driven fact-free bubble they live in?

Take away their phones and cable 'news' access.

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 21:11 (eight years ago) link

like, that's not really a solution in and of itself. There's no rational thought process these people go through where they think "gee, we lost an election, maybe my ideas are not so correct after all and should be revised accordingly!" That does not happen.

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 21:11 (eight years ago) link

xp

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 21:11 (eight years ago) link

about as sanguine about the idea that keeping 37% of the country grumpy and dispirited and emotionally lost is a recipe for democratic stability and health as i am about each successive postwar generation's strange confidence that fascists are old

denies the existence of dark matter (difficult listening hour), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 21:13 (eight years ago) link

clearly plenty of young fascists in USA (dunno if its honestly any bigger or smaller than it used to be)

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 21:15 (eight years ago) link

roughly that proportion of the populace electorate has always been lost/moronic/politically crazy

(plz remember that a large number of non-crazy people don't vote)

Sotosyn confident that he will educate all the young minds, at least who will go on to live in his Nemo-like fiefdom in Underwater Miami.

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 21:16 (eight years ago) link

roughly that proportion of the populace electorate has always been lost/moronic/politically crazy

yeah I'm inclined to subscribe to this theory. would be nice if we could chip away at their share.

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 21:18 (eight years ago) link

Sotosyn confident that he will educate all the young minds, at least who will go on to live in his Nemo-like fiefdom in Underwater Miami.

― skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius)

Nah, watch them die, nibbled by starfish.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 21:23 (eight years ago) link

my little poopsies

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 21:30 (eight years ago) link

how do we steer this frighteningly large segment of the population away from this hysteria-driven fact-free bubble they live in?

It's not ever going to happen, but restoration of the Fairness Doctrine + restoration of some broadcast ownership restrictions would remove most of the economic incentives for distributing toxic media content on national networks

Brad C., Wednesday, 9 December 2015 21:34 (eight years ago) link

national networks are increasingly irrelevant. and how do you impose standards on social media/website outlets

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 21:38 (eight years ago) link

BTW he's tanned, rested and ready:

http://tribtalk.org/2015/12/08/why-were-working-to-bring-back-rick-perry/

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 21:40 (eight years ago) link

btw if you think the crazies are assertive now, wait til climate change gets roarin'

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 21:41 (eight years ago) link

xp social media and web sites haven't had the universally dire effects seem from consolidation of radio and TV station/network ownership ...square old media, I know, but the demographic we're talking about is old squares

Brad C., Wednesday, 9 December 2015 21:41 (eight years ago) link

if you're an old rural person who doesn't do the Internet, credible newspapers in your community died many years ago, and most of the news-like content you can get on TV and radio is Fox or corporate-funded right-wing talk

Brad C., Wednesday, 9 December 2015 21:49 (eight years ago) link

difficult listening hour, I'm not sold that the hard-line Trumpophile Teahadis are 37% of the country - it's like a third of Republicans, and Republicans aren't quite half of the country. So - one-sixth? A big chunk of them can't shut up about how disappointing the GOP is, so one would conclude that most GOPers are not on board with the full nativist monty.

ready for the raptor (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 22:43 (eight years ago) link

It's not 37% of Trump's supporters - it's 37% of all likely general election voters supporting a ban on Muslims in the country

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 22:47 (eight years ago) link

or should say

It's not 37% of Trump's supporters GOP primary voters

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 22:48 (eight years ago) link

wonder what the percentage of that 37 percent would vote for HRC; an overlap wouldn't surprise me

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 22:52 (eight years ago) link

maybe her hardline pro-Israel camp

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 9 December 2015 22:53 (eight years ago) link

no, they both want to plug the internetz

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 22:54 (eight years ago) link

yeah i don't mean to swallow that statistic whole like an alarmed facebooker but it was the statistic we were talking about. in general i don't think these politics die off. vigilance, comrades.

denies the existence of dark matter (difficult listening hour), Wednesday, 9 December 2015 22:56 (eight years ago) link

http://i.imgur.com/ZyFnVOM.gif

pplains, Thursday, 10 December 2015 01:02 (eight years ago) link

http://i.imgur.com/JQmzf9M.gif

pplains, Thursday, 10 December 2015 01:02 (eight years ago) link

nice

carly rae jetson (thomp), Thursday, 10 December 2015 01:17 (eight years ago) link

wonder what the percentage of that 37 percent would vote for HRC; an overlap wouldn't surprise me

― The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, December 9, 2015 4:52 PM (2 hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

this (along with lots of other things) wouldn't surprise, but not because of the particular mendacity of hillary supporters. just because a lot of people are very, very ignorant.

wizzz! (amateurist), Thursday, 10 December 2015 01:26 (eight years ago) link

i wouldn't be too surprise to find some overlap between people who would vote for hillary because she's female and people who think we should keep muslims out. approximately similar levels of cognitive sophistication at work.

wizzz! (amateurist), Thursday, 10 December 2015 01:27 (eight years ago) link

When / what is that from (eagle trying to kill trump)? Obviously a commercial shoot but is that recent?

El Tomboto, Thursday, 10 December 2015 01:30 (eight years ago) link

just went around today i think?

needs to be part of SANTORUM.JPG mark ii

mookieproof, Thursday, 10 December 2015 01:33 (eight years ago) link

this (along with lots of other things) wouldn't surprise, but not because of the particular mendacity of hillary supporters. just because a lot of people are very, very ignorant.

― wizzz! (amateurist), Wednesday, December 9, 2015 8:26 PM

I'm not impugning HRC, to be clear. The Democratic candidate with the widest appeal will attract the most, ah, diverse electorate. I've heard horrible things from "socially liberal" Cuban American Clinton supporters.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 10 December 2015 01:42 (eight years ago) link

haha, don't believe the media pt 203984

http://i.imgur.com/vDPhDfg.jpg

pplains, Thursday, 10 December 2015 02:37 (eight years ago) link

I want to see the other clip of Trump lunging at the bird and crushing it in his jaws before ripping its head off.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 10 December 2015 02:39 (eight years ago) link

That is one shithole of an office for a billionaire.

I mean, nice view and all, but even Lou Holtz keeps his helmets in a display case.

pplains, Thursday, 10 December 2015 02:42 (eight years ago) link

sonned by lou holtz, dag

mookieproof, Thursday, 10 December 2015 02:54 (eight years ago) link

I had at least seven different reactions to this image:

http://i.imgur.com/g5cJL6C.jpg

pplains, Thursday, 10 December 2015 03:00 (eight years ago) link

does each nipple count as a separate reaction or

El Tomboto, Thursday, 10 December 2015 03:46 (eight years ago) link

http://i.imgur.com/CZIW1il.jpg

pplains, Thursday, 10 December 2015 04:41 (eight years ago) link

what

akm, Thursday, 10 December 2015 05:05 (eight years ago) link

dont' these belong in this thread:

fitness chicks

akm, Thursday, 10 December 2015 05:06 (eight years ago) link

i thought maybe trump had announced his vp pick or something

Doctor Casino, Thursday, 10 December 2015 05:12 (eight years ago) link

DLH - (from yesterday): Sorry, I misunderstood the number your were talking about. Yes that is a bigger problem than the Trump bubblette and I don't know what to do about that.

As for red/blue culture-war stuff generally, well. Personally I'm at Peak Cranky right now (which may be childish but there it is). There was a time when I did a lot more earnest lamenting of our current incarnation of polarization. I wistfully wished we could inhabit one country rather than two separate ones collocated in overlapping territory. The rhetoric of Obama's 2004 convention speech, blah blah blah. IIRC it was Red America that shat on that olive branch and then set it on fire 2008-present, so I find myself less and less interested in finding common ground with them and trying to integrate them into a shared, civilized society.

As for this from Shakey: "There's no rational thought process these people go through where they think "gee, we lost an election, maybe my ideas are not so correct after all and should be revised accordingly!" That does not happen."

Agreed. I'm not suggesting that they will see the error of their ways or change their minds. Rather that despairing people can (and sometimes do) disengage from politics if they don't think they can effect the changes they think are needed. For example, in the late 20th century, many evangelicals concluded the world was hopelessly fallen, and many largely disengaged from worldly politics, walling themselves off and focusing on the hereafter instead. Good riddance; I welcomed their absence from the scene.

Similarly, many present-day conservatives expect society to collapse any minute now, so they've "Gone Galt," prepping their mountainside bunkers with ammunition and water purifiers and canned food. They've given up on the Republican Party as hopeless quislings who keep caving to the Obama agenda, and they mutter darkly about coalescing into a third party that will truly hew to conservative principles. Good riddance; I welcome their absence from the scene.

It's the wingnuts who DON'T leave, and stick around accumulating power and mucking things up, that are the problem. Basically, Michelle Fiore.

ready for the raptor (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 10 December 2015 14:20 (eight years ago) link

sounds like a bunch of hysterical wingnuts itt want to get rid of democracy imo

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Thursday, 10 December 2015 16:06 (eight years ago) link

There's no inherent contradiction in liking democracy, while not liking every conceivable result of it.

Four lions and a lamb voting on what to have for dinner would be highly democratic, but that doesn't mean the lamb is going to like the result.

ready for the raptor (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 10 December 2015 16:16 (eight years ago) link

You get similar results when adults and adult babies are voting on a particular outcome.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Thursday, 10 December 2015 16:19 (eight years ago) link

democracy at the federal level, what a nostalgic concept

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 10 December 2015 16:22 (eight years ago) link

surely there is something ~inherently contradictory~ about being an "adult" AND "baby!" also a lions are just gonna eat the lamb! Come on people! #facts #reality #nutjobs

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Thursday, 10 December 2015 16:51 (eight years ago) link

is the GOP truly a national political party at this point

global tetrahedron, Thursday, 10 December 2015 16:55 (eight years ago) link

I think about this a lot.. I guess its primary season but it really seems like the 25% gop lunatic fringe is really in the drivers seat right now.. you'd think from the coverage half of americans want everyone armed and every muslim in a camp.

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Thursday, 10 December 2015 17:54 (eight years ago) link

there is no GOP anymore

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 10 December 2015 18:14 (eight years ago) link

There is still a zombie GOP that is lively enough to wreak plenty of damage.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Thursday, 10 December 2015 18:16 (eight years ago) link

whatever the republican party is, is still a viable alternative to whatever the democratic party is, and vice versa, is how i feel the nation tends to view things

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Thursday, 10 December 2015 18:19 (eight years ago) link

I'm saying there's no GOP or GOP establishments: it's conservative activists and radio talk show hosts pulling strings.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 10 December 2015 18:19 (eight years ago) link

if it wasn't of such immediate, terrifying concern, i'd find the question of 'what is happening to the GOP' incredibly fascinating in an almost clinical way.

wizzz! (amateurist), Thursday, 10 December 2015 18:24 (eight years ago) link

war on terror and great recession? maybe the dem's would also be in upheaval but as far as i can tell they have chosen to keep their elites in place

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Thursday, 10 December 2015 18:42 (eight years ago) link

"no GOP anymore" is an interesting thought. like basically, under the umbrella of the national organization (and its money, and exposure, and the unwillingness of any given conservative to run as something not a republican) are swaths of people and elected officials who have so little in common with other republicans that both groups can effectively be seen as republicans "in name only"? i mean, that's something of the tea party narrative but you could certainly extend the conceit to cover other sub-groups acting, effectively, as unofficial parties composing the big 49% coalitions that are the two parties. the democrats have a leftie wing stretching from old unionist types to radicalized college kids (aka the Sanders field), but it's too geographically dispersed to make sense as a party or to lock in safe districts or safe states for itself.

if we were to paint all the districts with Tea Party representation - particularly ones where it seems really unlikely some other kind of republican could win it back - a different color, would it cohere as a map? does this just lead us down a gabbled rabbit hole of dividing the nation up into analytical regions with new funny names? or is there a point at which one or the other part of the big party realizes it's been turned into a rump state, and bail for the other big party? that's one way to read the "realigning" process whether it's 1932 or the longer shift 1968 to 1980 (center-right white ethnics become republicans) or 1980-2000 (white southerns stop voting a split ticket and fill out the rest of the ballot with republicans). but lots of times this doesn't happen at all, even with distinct sub-groups, since the other party is too far away ideologically and the party they're in is close enough. again see the leftie democrats, or the moral majority republican types.

not sure what GOP demographic is ripe to be flipped in this way, in this or an upcoming election... though 538's fun (if overdetermined) little flip the states game does suggest that if college-educated whites proved susceptible to being 'turned' it could make a big difference - enough to cancel out a similar increase in non-college-educated whites voting for the republicans, even if turnout by other groups drops significantly. this is a bit wonky but it has to be going through the heads of the hillary team since appealing to republicans (or if you like, "reagan democrats") was bill clinton's whole deal. similarly, it remains the republican fantasy that latin americans in general could be flipped to their side on the basis of christian-conservative-family rhetoric. it hasn't really been working for obvious reasons, and the GOP would have to make enormous gains with latinos, all other things being equal, to flip the presidency. but clearly the dream is always to arrive at some new, long-term winning coalition.

Doctor Casino, Thursday, 10 December 2015 18:49 (eight years ago) link

i think it's worth pointing out just how ideologically diverse both parties were in times of yore -- in the democratic party you had good ol boy southern segregationists and ACLU-identified new england liberals.

in some ways the ideological conformity against which we're measuring the current fractures in the GOP is itself a fairly recent creature

wizzz! (amateurist), Thursday, 10 December 2015 18:51 (eight years ago) link

it's kinda amazing that we're at a point where george w bush seems like some quaint sensible moderate republican, hey he didn't even call for muslim concentration camps.

iatee, Thursday, 10 December 2015 18:53 (eight years ago) link

One of the surprises of reading Matthew Josephson, Beard, and other early 20th century progressive historians is how they note the robust vein of liberal and populist thought in the South and West w/out once mentioning their obscene racism. As we know now, New Deal projects like the Tennessee Valley Authority and rural electrification projects helped the most devoted FDR supporters and most disgusting racists.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 10 December 2015 18:55 (eight years ago) link

in some ways the ideological conformity against which we're measuring the current fractures in the GOP is itself a fairly recent creature

― wizzz! (amateurist)

who's measuring what now?

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Thursday, 10 December 2015 18:56 (eight years ago) link

in what spirit do you ask that question?

a lot of folks are saying that the current GOP is a husk of a party apparatus containing an untenably fractious ideological and demographic mix. i'm pointing out that this sense of fractiousness is measured against a late 20th century brand of party conformity which was not always the norm.

wizzz! (amateurist), Thursday, 10 December 2015 19:15 (eight years ago) link

in which Frank Luntz gets a cream pie in his face:

No one in the group wanted to find himself or herself on the side of the mainstream media — or of President Obama. When Luntz asked participants to sum him up in a word or phrase, “socialist” and “Jimmy Carter” tumbled forth, until an elderly man raised the ante.

“I wouldn’t urinate on him if he was on fire,” he said.

“That’s the meanest thing I’ve ever heard,” said Luntz.

Frank Lanzillo, a 59-year old retired marine, took that as a cue to explain just how anti-American the president really was.

“When you bend down to the Saudis, take your shoes off, put your hand on a Koran and then the Bible when you’re sworn in?” Lanzillo said. “He took his flag pin off. I’m a Marine and former deputy sheriff. He took that off, he was in the toilet to me. I would not only not piss on him if he was on fire — I’d throw gas on him.”

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 10 December 2015 19:44 (eight years ago) link

my reading comprehension faulted for a moment, but i see what you're saying now. personally, i don't think i've seen a shift in their ideology in my time (later-20th century to now), it just seems more severe in this waiting game before the primaries.

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Thursday, 10 December 2015 19:46 (eight years ago) link

but the issue that people are raising is that there is no 'their' there (not a spelling mistake)

wizzz! (amateurist), Thursday, 10 December 2015 19:49 (eight years ago) link

taking off the flag pin is really a much more powerful gesture than I had surmised.

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Thursday, 10 December 2015 19:51 (eight years ago) link

does this just lead us down a gabbled rabbit hole

Docked one letter grade for not using "gabbnebbed rabbit hole."

Resting Bushface (Phil D.), Thursday, 10 December 2015 19:55 (eight years ago) link

dammit you beat me

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 10 December 2015 19:55 (eight years ago) link

but the issue that people are raising is that there is no 'their' there (not a spelling mistake)

― wizzz! (amateurist)

that seems like a mute point to me because we live in a two party system. are you talking specifically about people in this thread or some class of political pundits

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Thursday, 10 December 2015 19:56 (eight years ago) link

maybe i misread, but i meant dis t'read, mon.

wizzz! (amateurist), Thursday, 10 December 2015 20:01 (eight years ago) link

irie

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Thursday, 10 December 2015 20:03 (eight years ago) link

all right, mon, but i just gotta note, you misspelled 'bwoy' in your username

wizzz! (amateurist), Thursday, 10 December 2015 20:04 (eight years ago) link

this sense of fractiousness is measured against a late 20th century brand of party conformity which was not always the norm.

Throughout the 20th century it was the democratic party which consisted of a disparate coalition of widely assorted interest groups and ethnic groups, often at loggerheads with one another, while the republican coalition was much more homogenous, with a solid core of business, professional and chamber of commerce types and white Midwesterners.

The old democratic coalition broke under the stress of the civil rights era, Vietnam and abortion politics. In response the republican party opportunistically shifted to strengthen its appeal to the disaffected solid south and socially conservative working class types. As a result, it now looks more like the old, semi-dysfunctional democratic party, able to win elections, but frequently threatening to fracture due to the extreme differences within its coalition.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Thursday, 10 December 2015 20:35 (eight years ago) link

btw Obama did NOT wear a flag pin early in his '08 campaign and it was noticed; then he put it on. I remember this v well.

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 10 December 2015 20:43 (eight years ago) link

bcz i'd burn a fucking flag every day of my life if i could

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 10 December 2015 20:44 (eight years ago) link

xposts jeb's superpac lawyer would probably be more appealing to voters than jeb! is

Karl Malone, Thursday, 10 December 2015 20:48 (eight years ago) link

i remember that too. i think a few candidates ended up in that situation--trying to play catch-up with the jingoists' "gotcha" game.

wizzz! (amateurist), Thursday, 10 December 2015 20:49 (eight years ago) link

xpost

wizzz! (amateurist), Thursday, 10 December 2015 20:49 (eight years ago) link

flag pins an important modern artifact in the magickal election ritual. inscribe on metal with symbols and affix to lapel. chant the name of Freedom three times before entering the circle.

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Thursday, 10 December 2015 20:51 (eight years ago) link

If removed, all offers to urinate on the candidate shall be immediately rescinded

Check Yr Scrobbles (Moodles), Thursday, 10 December 2015 20:56 (eight years ago) link

'golden showers and burning flags' is a good campaign slogan IMO

wizzz! (amateurist), Thursday, 10 December 2015 20:57 (eight years ago) link

written and produced by Grimes

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 10 December 2015 21:00 (eight years ago) link

Robert Costa
‏@costareports
Breaking: National GOP leaders now preparing for a brokered convention, per multiple sources. 20+ huddled Monday w/ Priebus and McConnell

Karl Malone, Thursday, 10 December 2015 21:22 (eight years ago) link

trump is definitely going to flame out any time now

Karl Malone, Thursday, 10 December 2015 21:23 (eight years ago) link

/sarcasm

Karl Malone, Thursday, 10 December 2015 21:23 (eight years ago) link

golden showers fill your eyes, smiles awake you when you rise

ready for the raptor (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 10 December 2015 21:35 (eight years ago) link

As a result, it now looks more like the old, semi-dysfunctional democratic party, able to win elections, but frequently threatening to fracture due to the extreme differences within its coalition.

― a little too mature to be cute (Aimless)

this is driving me crazy, because i don't see what the big differences are, i see a fight over how far to take anti-government, free market, pro-militarism principles to their logical conclusions

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Thursday, 10 December 2015 21:39 (eight years ago) link

don't forget "racism" in there

sleeve, Thursday, 10 December 2015 21:42 (eight years ago) link

https://twitter.com/costareports/status/675061000132026368

Breaking: National GOP leaders now preparing for a brokered convention, per multiple sources. 20+ huddled Monday w/ Priebus and McConnell

the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Thursday, 10 December 2015 21:42 (eight years ago) link

Priebus and McConnell

these guys wrote some really great songs in their day

wizzz! (amateurist), Thursday, 10 December 2015 21:42 (eight years ago) link

rap is dad otm

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Thursday, 10 December 2015 21:43 (eight years ago) link

GOP preparing for contested convention

Republican officials and leading figures in the party’s establishment are now preparing for the possibility of a brokered convention as Donald Trump continues sit atop the polls and the presidential race.

More than 20 of them convened Monday for a dinner held by Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus, where the prospect of Trump nearing next year’s nominating convention in Cleveland with a significant number of delegates dominated the discussion, according to five people familiar with the meeting.

Considering that scenario as Priebus and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) listened, several longtime power brokers argued that if the controversial billionaire storms through the primaries, the party’s establishment must lay the groundwork for a floor fight, in which the GOP’s mainstream wing could coalesce around an alternative, the people said.

Because of the sensitivity of the topic — and wary of saying something that, if leaked, would provoke Trump to bolt the party and mount an independent bid — Priebus and McConnell were mostly quiet during the back and forth. They did not signal support an overt anti-Trump effort.

But near the end, McConnell and Priebus did acknowledge to the group that a deadlocked convention is indeed something the party should prepare for, both institutionally at the RNC and politically at all levels in the coming months.

Upon leaving, several attendees said they would soon share with one another memos about delegate allocation in each state as well as research about the 1976 convention, the last time the GOP gathered without a clear nominee.

Karl Malone, Thursday, 10 December 2015 21:44 (eight years ago) link

man if they "steal" the nom from Trump he will run third party and they can kiss the election goodbye. otoh if Trump wins they can also kiss the election goodbye. Conclusion: they're fucked

Οὖτις, Thursday, 10 December 2015 21:45 (eight years ago) link

yeah, but they can take comfort in having a steel grip on so many state legislatures

wizzz! (amateurist), Thursday, 10 December 2015 21:46 (eight years ago) link

I wonder who would pick up more votes in a three-way race: The Trump Party or GOP? could easily see the election going Clinton 50%, Trump 30%, GOP 20%

Karl Malone, Thursday, 10 December 2015 21:47 (eight years ago) link

the wider political ramifications are hard to predict this far out - if Trump runs third party it's possible that steel grip may loosen if a bunch of their voters bolt the GOP altogether. I have no idea if Trump has even considered laying the groundwork for a third national party but man... he'd probably call it the GREAT AMERICAN PARTY or something

Οὖτις, Thursday, 10 December 2015 21:48 (eight years ago) link

50/30/20 split seems perfectly reasonable

Οὖτις, Thursday, 10 December 2015 21:48 (eight years ago) link

xxpost

it's like rubio's election flipped

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Florida,_2010

wizzz! (amateurist), Thursday, 10 December 2015 21:49 (eight years ago) link

i mean it's exactly that

wizzz! (amateurist), Thursday, 10 December 2015 21:49 (eight years ago) link

Like how much damage can Trump do if he runs third party and tells people NOT to vote for GOP candidates, if he really turns that rage inward on the party as a whole that could be really destructive

xp

Οὖτις, Thursday, 10 December 2015 21:49 (eight years ago) link

a month is a lifetime in politics, do you recall that saying?

I will now take bets that there will not be a brokered convention

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 10 December 2015 21:54 (eight years ago) link

i lose and i rim yr ass in the middle of the APPLE Store

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 10 December 2015 21:55 (eight years ago) link

i just got a crazy idea about what might derail trump's campaign

nomar, Thursday, 10 December 2015 21:57 (eight years ago) link

All I wanted was a new iPhone....

Check Yr Scrobbles (Moodles), Thursday, 10 December 2015 22:05 (eight years ago) link

i lose and i rim yr ass in the middle of the APPLE Store

― skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Thursday, December 10, 2015 3:55 PM (11 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

in other words, we all lose

wizzz! (amateurist), Thursday, 10 December 2015 22:06 (eight years ago) link

man if they "steal" the nom from Trump he will run third party and they can kiss the election goodbye. otoh if Trump wins they can also kiss the election goodbye. Conclusion: they're fucked

This is good. Very good. USA! USA!

Anyway, it's not a three, it's a yogh. (Tom D.), Thursday, 10 December 2015 22:08 (eight years ago) link

On the other hand, a 3rd party run resulting in a Clinton victory would leave two of the three parties feeling cheated, and those happen to be the two parties that own all the guns and reaaaaaaaaaaally want to have to use them

Karl Malone, Thursday, 10 December 2015 22:10 (eight years ago) link

I don't see a brokered convention because I'm a pessimist.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 10 December 2015 22:19 (eight years ago) link

I welcome a civil war, the army would crush them

xp

Οὖτις, Thursday, 10 December 2015 22:19 (eight years ago) link

stopped watch etc.: https://www.yahoo.com/politics/ted-cruz-says-middle-east-was-safer-with-saddam-181023443.html

Οὖτις, Thursday, 10 December 2015 22:26 (eight years ago) link

I welcome a civil war, the army would crush them

xp

― Οὖτις

Seriously dude?

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Thursday, 10 December 2015 22:49 (eight years ago) link

if we're gaming out apocalyptic scenarios of armed insurrections in red states, sure why not. I've somewhat sarcastically noted in the gun threads that I would welcome all these gun nuts rising up against a tyrannical state - they get to live out their action movie fantasy, the military gets to indiscriminately lay waste to bad guys, it's a win-win!

Οὖτις, Thursday, 10 December 2015 22:51 (eight years ago) link

As an unarmed individual living in the middle of a heavily armed civilian population, that doesn't sound very appealing

Check Yr Scrobbles (Moodles), Thursday, 10 December 2015 22:54 (eight years ago) link

yeah. that plus it would suck to see the army kill my dad and uncle and a bunch of people i grew up with, even i think they're so rong on everything

Karl Malone, Thursday, 10 December 2015 22:57 (eight years ago) link

anyway, no need to worry about anything because Trump is going to flame out(tm) any second here..

Karl Malone, Thursday, 10 December 2015 22:58 (eight years ago) link

if we're gaming out apocalyptic scenarios of armed insurrections in red states, sure why not. I've somewhat sarcastically noted in the gun threads that I would welcome all these gun nuts rising up against a tyrannical state - they get to live out their action movie fantasy, the military gets to indiscriminately lay waste to bad guys, it's a win-win!

― Οὖτις, Thursday, December 10, 2015 4:51 PM (9 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

i've tried to carefully stay out of getting into pissing contests on ILX, but... you're being an asshole on the internet, man. take a step back. a few steps, in fact.

wizzz! (amateurist), Thursday, 10 December 2015 23:02 (eight years ago) link

i mean your own scenario is just as crazy and vile as anything you impute to your bogeymen

i assume you know better, so i'm appealing to your better nature

wizzz! (amateurist), Thursday, 10 December 2015 23:03 (eight years ago) link

uh I would hope you guys realize I'm not really being serious here. this is a totally unrealistic/unlikely/nightmare apocalypse scenario that I am addressing with what is typically identified as "gallows humor"

Οὖτις, Thursday, 10 December 2015 23:13 (eight years ago) link

in the future, make sure you bracket all putatively funnystatements with the "/humor" tag.

wizzz! (amateurist), Thursday, 10 December 2015 23:14 (eight years ago) link

www.nightmareapocalypse.humor

wizzz! (amateurist), Thursday, 10 December 2015 23:15 (eight years ago) link

As a result, it now looks more like the old, semi-dysfunctional democratic party, able to win elections, but frequently threatening to fracture due to the extreme differences within its coalition.

― a little too mature to be cute (Aimless)

this is driving me crazy, because i don't see what the big differences are, i see a fight over how far to take anti-government, free market, pro-militarism principles to their logical conclusions

yeah at this point I think the differences within the coalition are more about where someone falls on the crazy spectrum than any given policy belief. like, when 50% of the party was backing trump+carson, what does that say about the big tent republican party? nothing really. the gop is not hustling to convince the isolationists and hawks to be friends, it's busy trying to convince people to vote for any...any...person who's held political office instead of a racist reality tv star who spends half the time on camera bragging about how smart and rich he is.

iatee, Thursday, 10 December 2015 23:45 (eight years ago) link

half?

Οὖτις, Thursday, 10 December 2015 23:49 (eight years ago) link

Another worthwhile David Roberts re: GOP & climate change

http://www.vox.com/2015/12/2/9836566/republican-climate-denial-why

Basically, every country has has conservatives who deny the stuff, only in America we still use a beta version of a party system, so without a parliamentary set up allowing for the right wingers to congregate into their own corner, they can take over one of the major parties.

As for the psych rationalization of denial, that's a different post.

Professor Goodfeels (kingfish), Thursday, 10 December 2015 23:51 (eight years ago) link

i lose and i rim yr ass in the middle of the APPLE Store

well, my GIS for "think different butt" didn't yield the Apple-ad parody I wanted; however,

http://scienceblogs.com/insolence/wp-content/blogs.dir/445/files/2012/04/i-568fafca7901a82b582cee0829b4e9ba-points.jpg

tremendous crime wave and killing wave (Joan Crawford Loves Chachi), Friday, 11 December 2015 00:14 (eight years ago) link

I don't see why a brokered convention is more of a possibility this time than any other time. Delegates have to vote for the primary winner on the first ballot, right?

timellison, Friday, 11 December 2015 01:05 (eight years ago) link

yeah I have no idea why today was the day media decided to get excited about a split convention. I guess we're at some kind of news equinox between debates or something

El Tomboto, Friday, 11 December 2015 02:49 (eight years ago) link

I went into this with pretty low expectations but nevermind it's hilarious

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KU_Jdts5rL0

El Tomboto, Friday, 11 December 2015 03:16 (eight years ago) link

time for another unintentionally long delegate nerd speculation post. don't mind me.

fwiw, i think a brokered convention remains suuuuper unlikely, but just for clarification's sake, the republicans have a range of different delegate rules varying by state. this time article remains pretty useful for getting a sense of how tangled it is or could be. some delegates are 'bound' (must vote for 'their' candidate on the first ballot), some aren't. the pseudo-superdelegates aren't bound for example, and though as we've discussed before they are wayyyyyy less of a factor than they are for the democrats, they could come into play. in some of the caucus states, none of the delegates are bound. meanwhile, some states are winner-take-all, some states are proportional, some states are proportional with high thresholds. all this means that it's possible to reach the convention without one candidate having a majority, and for a fair number of delegates to have been pledged to candidates who did not stay in the race, who will become free agents after the first ballot.

again, i don't see that happening, at all. but if people are taking it more as a possibility, it is probably because of, yes, news equinox, but also because of two things:

(1) the current front-runner, in many interpretations, has a sort of fundamental ceiling on his support, and that ceiling is well shy of a majority in any state

(2) versus a typical race, it seems sorta plausible that a lot of people will stay in this one past the point where things usually consolidate to a two-person deal. that is, assuming trump actually stays in and actually gets votes, you might also go on to assume that neither bush nor rubio, nor cruz probably, is going to do what people normally do in races and say "well, it looks like it's not my year, there's a frontrunner and a second place person fighting it out and neither one of them is me." because everybody assumes that at some point the trump thing is over and they could be the one to reap the benefit. so where usually the race thins out a lot after the first few primaries, it's possible this one keeps grinding along and all these guys are getting delegates. the thinking is, what if this is like 2012, except there's not a romney actually soaking up those big juicy states? (see this summary chart for a refresher) what if the field is so evenly matched that those plums are flying every which way?

but even then, i don't really see it. there are just too many what-ifs to get us there - mainly, counting on the polls to not change too much between now and voting (seems like a stretch, given how much they've shifted in even the last two weeks), counting on all those polls to really be predictive of votes, and counting on ALL these characters to have the mindset i've outlined where staying in the game of chicken continues to make sense for them. the weird kind of equilibrium that could lead towards a brokered convention is way more plausible with four leading candidates than three. if carson quits soon, or just slips down to bush numbers (3.6%!) we get closer and closer to a situation where one remaining person can be convinced they need to step down for the good of the party, so there's one clear anti-trump person who can start racking up delegates.

meanwhile the pressure from the 'establishment' is going to be VERY high on the little dinky candidates to pack it in. they can't win and there are too many threshold-based primaries where they can't even hope to grab a few delegates and make themselves useful/relevant that way. and (counting bush), these jokers currently total nearly 15% of the polling average! make up the equivalent of an entire additional candidate in this race. in honor of the source candidates' initials (BCPFKHS) i'll be calling this globular composite entity "Bocephus." Bocephus, with 14.8%, is polling in the vicinity of Cruz (15.6), Rubio (13.6% and rising) and Carson (13.6% and falling). while some of bocephus's composite elements could plausibly swing Trump or Cruz, i think mostly it's rubio material: fiscally-minded, 'moderate' republicans, not interested in revved-up rhetoric or border wars, looking for "someone who can beat hillary in november," maybe they've even read the pundits pointing out that all this stuff about immigration is the kiss of death electorally. and while i think the establishment would take cruz over trump, they'd really, really rather have rubio. if rubio has the support of bocephus, and plenty of ad-buying money, then trump and cruz trading second or even first place finishes in some of the primaries is just fine. no brokerage required.

this hasn't happened yet because things have been so chaotic, and because the assumption is that you need to let the primaries play out a bit to make sure you don't end up with a supposedly electable conservative that the party just completely hates or who is utterly inept on stage (like if they'd just decided on bush day one). but eventually it will happen, imo.

Doctor Casino, Friday, 11 December 2015 03:44 (eight years ago) link

guys i know trainwrecks are exciting but maybe we can hold off on the "brokered convention" talk until after iowa?

rushomancy, Friday, 11 December 2015 04:13 (eight years ago) link

yeah sorry the tl;dr of my post was basically "it's not going to happen, because nobody besides internet nerds wants it to happen."

Doctor Casino, Friday, 11 December 2015 04:15 (eight years ago) link

i only brought it up because of the headline article in the washington post about the gop power brokers discussing a brokered convention. i guess i really fell for it

Karl Malone, Friday, 11 December 2015 04:16 (eight years ago) link

cue 100000000000 internet people 4 months ago talking about how the inevitable trump flameout by the end of july

Karl Malone, Friday, 11 December 2015 04:17 (eight years ago) link

will be

Karl Malone, Friday, 11 December 2015 04:17 (eight years ago) link

recorded

Karl Malone, Friday, 11 December 2015 04:18 (eight years ago) link

penis

Karl Malone, Friday, 11 December 2015 04:18 (eight years ago) link

mmmm

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 11 December 2015 04:20 (eight years ago) link

but yes, all of this is insane. the top news in 2015, according to facebook, was the 2016 election. i'm willing to admit that my thoughts on this are biased by my rewatching game of thrones season 1 over the past 48 hours, but the 2016 presidential election in many ways is like...game of thrones

Karl Malone, Friday, 11 December 2015 04:20 (eight years ago) link

well it's reasonable to want to try and predict things long term rather than just talking about today's poll numbers, and i'm certainly not ruling out a brokered convention, but at this point the republican primary is utterly unpredictable even by people with advanced understandings of psychopathology.

as for all those armed right-wing would-be insurgents, i find them to be nearly as intimidating as anonymous.

rushomancy, Friday, 11 December 2015 04:21 (eight years ago) link

but what about THIS

http://a5.img.talkingpointsmemo.com/image/upload/w_652/heyjbbfunkk0uflog7tz.jpg

Karl Malone, Friday, 11 December 2015 04:25 (eight years ago) link

http://i.imgur.com/Z0yuGaG.jpg

well he's got my vote

Karl Malone, Friday, 11 December 2015 04:33 (eight years ago) link

brokered-convention talk is like the stories about 'what happens if everyone ties?' at the end of the baseball season

mookieproof, Friday, 11 December 2015 05:28 (eight years ago) link

The party's coalition-ness is important as regards when people turn out to vote for that party's candidate in the Presidential election, are they likely to look at the other contests also being voted that day and think "I know nothing about this person except the party name next to them, that's good enough for me"? The Democrats seem to have that still together, the Republicans not so much, as evidenced by the fact that their leading candidate is a pretty shit republican.

https://espnfivethirtyeight.files.wordpress.com/2015/11/silver-gop-five-ring-circus-jindal.png

this is driving me crazy, because i don't see what the big differences are, i see a fight over how far to take anti-government, free market, pro-militarism principles to their logical conclusions

yeah at this point I think the differences within the coalition are more about where someone falls on the crazy spectrum than any given policy belief. like, when 50% of the party was backing trump+carson, what does that say about the big tent republican party?

WTF? It says that the evangelicals aren't getting nearly enough love from the big tent GOP recently, which is, you know, kind of big news for the GOP. Maybe only 3rd or 4th on the list of "why we're fucked", but still.

Andrew Farrell, Friday, 11 December 2015 09:38 (eight years ago) link

Yeah but what's a tangible evangelical principle they don't have covered? I mean the GOP has been anti-abortion for as long as I can remember. If we're talking about something like "faith in God" I'd argue that's basically an empty principle and something too complex for 538 to really measure anyway

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Friday, 11 December 2015 11:56 (eight years ago) link

the Republicans not so much, as evidenced by the fact that their leading candidate is a pretty shit republican.

otoh, the Dems' leading candidate is a quality Republican.

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Friday, 11 December 2015 12:14 (eight years ago) link

xp that's a problem for 538 though (I don't think this election's being very kind to a site whose thing it is to start a sentence in every article with "statistically speaking..") - it's not an empty principle (more a "you know it when you see it") to the Carson supporters, and if they won't fall in line behind another candidate then that's a problem. And if that candidate is Cruz, that may still be a problem.

Andrew Farrell, Friday, 11 December 2015 12:32 (eight years ago) link

mookieproof otm on brokered-convention talk. It came up last time when Teahadis were deemed insufficiently enthusiastic about Romney, it will come up now because large segments of the party can't stand the polling leaders. It hasn't happened since the days of mutton-chop side-whiskers and it won't happen now.

Dr. C.: "the 2016 presidential election in many ways is like...game of thrones"

Needs more tits, imo.

ready for the raptor (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 11 December 2015 12:48 (eight years ago) link

evangelicals love carson and cruz and have come out for candidates they were more lukewarm about than trump

balls, Friday, 11 December 2015 13:21 (eight years ago) link

For those interested, I found this interactive online tool for sorting out the delegate situation. Looks like it'll be super helpful for me because I'm super ignorant about that stuff.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Friday, 11 December 2015 13:47 (eight years ago) link

Dr. C.: "the 2016 presidential election in many ways is like...game of thrones"

just for the record, this was Karl Malone. i know nothing about game of thrones.

Doctor Casino, Friday, 11 December 2015 14:23 (eight years ago) link

my bad sorry

ready for the raptor (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 11 December 2015 14:40 (eight years ago) link

i don't really know how to start with this, so bear with me (also: i've been an accidental asshole on ilm. put that aside, for now).

i want to chime in here once, and never again. i am a layman: i enjoy reading this thread, i understand every word of it, but i just don't have the type of political brain that some of you do, to normally actually engage with this thread, and so i'll only post this one time.

(although my politics are pretty unsophisticated, i consider myself a greeny - american socialist -- please forgive me).

after reading the news yesterday of the chance of a brokered republican convention, in which trump could actually win the nomination, i began to feel... frightened.
if he has a chance of winning the nomination, he has a chance of winning the presidency (we're in unchartered territory, now).
i really feel like a lot of you underestimate how stupid the united states populace is, sometimes.
just glance at the polls of hillary voters that also agree with his muslim ban - and, that should tell you how stupid and confused so many people are.

i'm just trying to say: if trump actually wins the nomination, it will galvanize people like me, and i will get in touch with my local democratic party office, and go door-to-door. it will be my responsibility to my muslim friends, and to my black family members. i wouldn't be able to live with myself, otherwise.

(forgive me. i'm not like you guys that normally post here, and i'll never make a post like this again, here.)

LEGALIZE COCAINE (monster mash), Friday, 11 December 2015 15:32 (eight years ago) link

i really feel like a lot of you underestimate how stupid the united states populace is, sometimes.

oh, i don't think we do

mookieproof, Friday, 11 December 2015 15:38 (eight years ago) link

brokered republican convention clickbait = media doing its job to keep the circus fun

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Friday, 11 December 2015 15:44 (eight years ago) link

it sure can be a stupid, confusing (and frightening) place mr mash

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Friday, 11 December 2015 15:57 (eight years ago) link

Trump has no chance of winning the nomination. None. That was true months ago and nothing has changed it.

Doctor Casino, Friday, 11 December 2015 15:58 (eight years ago) link

x-post. shut up.

LEGALIZE COCAINE (monster mash), Friday, 11 December 2015 16:02 (eight years ago) link

I'd put his chances well above zero, any candidates or political operatives not planning for this are pretty foolish. Predictions of his imminent flame out have proven extremely wrong so far.

Check Yr Scrobbles (Moodles), Friday, 11 December 2015 16:04 (eight years ago) link

after reading the news yesterday of the chance of a brokered republican convention, in which trump could actually win the nomination, i began to feel... frightened.

trump definitely extremely frightening regardless of whether he gets the nomination let alone the presidency b/c he represents a resurgence of unclouded fascist politics and the media's (even the handwringing media's) helpless lust to stare at them. (i.e. should another, more powerful candidate in the future harness similar forces they will be buoyed by the american media landscape regardless of how many members of it go in for some edward r murrow responsibility cosplay.) however talking about a brokered convention at this point is just kind of silly because there haven't even been any primaries yet, there isn't really any sign yet of trump having the right kind of numbers to trigger a brokered convention (as dr casino describes in much better detail), and the only reason it seems to the media that the race has been going forever with no consensus is that they started covering the race in dec 2012 and the reason they did that is either the mayan calendar shift or they want to sell you stuff.

denies the existence of dark matter (difficult listening hour), Friday, 11 December 2015 16:17 (eight years ago) link

DrC otm and even if he did win the nomination he has no chance of winning the general.

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 16:19 (eight years ago) link

this is sad/hilarious in its level of total delusion:

In the new national survey, three-quarters of Republicans said Trump would have a chance of winning the general election if nominated, significantly more than say so of any other GOP candidate.

"Donald Trump is saying what 95 percent of the people of this country, that belong to this country, that were born and raised in this country, feel and think," said 83-year-old J.W. Stepp, a registered Republican who lives in Phoenix, Arizona.

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 16:26 (eight years ago) link

For the sake of perspective, it is perhaps healthy to keep in mind that, for all of the vocal support the lurching buttplug has received, Trump has yet to receive a single actual vote. I mean duh, but still.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Friday, 11 December 2015 16:28 (eight years ago) link

xpost Despite its historical lack of precedent, 95% of Americans agree on something. Never mind the fact that you'd have trouble finding a single thing that 95% of a room of 100 random people agreed on.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Friday, 11 December 2015 16:30 (eight years ago) link

"Donald Trump is saying what 95 percent of the people of this country, that belong to this country, that were born and raised in this country, feel and think," said 83-year-old J.W. Stepp, a registered Republican who lives in Phoenix, Arizona.

shit that looks like an onion etc

denies the existence of dark matter (difficult listening hour), Friday, 11 December 2015 16:31 (eight years ago) link

the fascist "anyone who disagrees with me does not belong here or was not born and raised here" overtones are obvious.

Arizona is a political cesspool btw.

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 16:35 (eight years ago) link

Amazing that this 83 year old Trump supporter has such a grasp on the inner thoughts of 318 million people.

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Friday, 11 December 2015 16:36 (eight years ago) link

no true scotsman fallacy ftw.

monster mash: "after reading the news yesterday of the chance of a brokered republican convention, in which trump could actually win the nomination, i began to feel... frightened."

I empathize but this is backwards: the brokered convention is only being talked about as a means to KEEP Trump away from the nomination (if it were to happen, which it almost certainly won't).

To restore my optimism, I look to messages like this David Ignatius piece. The argument there is that people be crazy sometimes but we mostly revert back to something more-or-less resembling normalcy. It may never satisfy large numbers of the discontented (right or left), but we tend to find an equilibrium. Whatever happens next year, Trumpism is not where the electorate will settle long-term.

ready for the raptor (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 11 December 2015 16:39 (eight years ago) link

guys have you spent much time with 83 year olds?

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Friday, 11 December 2015 16:40 (eight years ago) link

Oh and, just in case no one else says this to monster mash:

i'm just trying to say: if trump actually wins the nomination, it will galvanize people like me, and i will get in touch with my local democratic party office, and go door-to-door. it will be my responsibility to my muslim friends, and to my black family members. i wouldn't be able to live with myself, otherwise.

Right there with you, and also thanks for saying so.

ready for the raptor (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 11 December 2015 16:45 (eight years ago) link

guys have you spent much time with 83 year olds?

― rap is dad (it's a boy!), Friday, December 11, 2015 8:40 AM (6 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

well yeah it's not funny because it's crazy it's funny because it's crazy in exactly the right way. this guy literally voted for goldwater.

denies the existence of dark matter (difficult listening hour), Friday, 11 December 2015 16:50 (eight years ago) link

(back when he was reasonable.)

denies the existence of dark matter (difficult listening hour), Friday, 11 December 2015 16:51 (eight years ago) link

as someone who once worked in a congressional office in arizona i can tell you that more than half of the ppl who called in talked and sounded exactly like that 83-year-old (or worse).

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Friday, 11 December 2015 16:52 (eight years ago) link

the issue with trump is not an "imminent flame-out." i was among those expecting one of those, yeah, but the thing is it doesn't matter. he doesn't have to flame out in order to have no chance. he is massively unpopular with the people whose votes he needs to court. he has nowhere to grow. he faces huge and well-moneyed institutional forces that want him to lose. he is "leading" with 25-30% of the vote in a field of ten non-zero candidates, most of whose supporters are never going to switch their votes to him. his closest rival ideologically (cruz) is overwhelmingly better-liked by the republican electorate, and at least marginally more acceptable to the party leadership, not because they like him but because it's obvious trump is the kiss of death for the party. and yes - - - the brokered convention scenario is that, in the extremely, extremely unlikely event that we end up there, the party has every resource at its disposal to lock out trump, and trump has basically nothing to offer anybody there since all the other delegates are party apparatchiks, sitting officials, etc,. who were sent there by people voting "not trump." what's his path to victory again?

dlh otm - imo the thing to worry about with trump is not "he might win" but "right this minute he is fanning the flames of hatred." he's dangerous as a demagogue with a voice and a media platform, not as a potential president of the united states. he is, indeed, saying what 95 perecent of the 83-year-old registered Republicans who live in Phoenix, Arizona, that belong to the Republican Party, that were born and raised 83 years ago in this country, feel and think.

Doctor Casino, Friday, 11 December 2015 17:00 (eight years ago) link

haha yes to all that

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 17:11 (eight years ago) link

basically the media loves a Sarah Palin, and he's Sarah Palin a year early and louder and richer and shrewder. Again, few people are paying attention to this shit now.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 11 December 2015 17:22 (eight years ago) link

i think trump's dog and pony show represents like 15% of the country and they're primarily not living in big cities and they appear to be terrified for domestic issues that are somehow easier to confront/manifest as xenophobia, racism and classism (the last of these more justifiable of course). Trump's willingness to play a character that speaks to this vocal and hyperventilating minority is deeply vile and presents an unelectable option. Like everyone else, I'm having a hard time seeing the ultimate end game here, short of a scooby-doo style mask removal, an inexplicable dystopian gestalt shift or trump walking away "to spend more time with his family". Whatever the case, history is not going to be kind to this political era.

Does that make you mutter, under your breath, “Damn”? (forksclovetofu), Friday, 11 December 2015 17:26 (eight years ago) link

lol "playing a character"

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Friday, 11 December 2015 17:27 (eight years ago) link

Trump has a family?

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 11 December 2015 17:27 (eight years ago) link

he wants to have sex with his daughter

Karl Malone, Friday, 11 December 2015 17:27 (eight years ago) link

xp to djp: i really do think this is a character! not that it's any less offensive, hell maybe it's MORE offensive, but i don't think he genuinely believes any of this shit. it's just opportunistic marketeering.
http://globalgrind.com/2015/12/08/donald-trump-open-letter-by-russell-simmons/

Does that make you mutter, under your breath, “Damn”? (forksclovetofu), Friday, 11 December 2015 17:30 (eight years ago) link

he wants to have sex with his daughter

― Karl Malone, Friday, December 11, 2015

so do I!

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 11 December 2015 17:30 (eight years ago) link

my favorite theory is that trump is actually the high school teacher from the wave, and hopes to make it to the convention only so he can show a big video purporting to be from "our movement's international leader" and it's hitler. GOTCHA!!!!!

Doctor Casino, Friday, 11 December 2015 17:31 (eight years ago) link

^that's the scooby doo moment. as a narrative thinker, that FEELS like the right endpoint. or that he's working for hillary. or he'll wind up with a big FOR SHAME speech and leave the building to a slow clap

Does that make you mutter, under your breath, “Damn”? (forksclovetofu), Friday, 11 December 2015 17:32 (eight years ago) link

I wasn't going to link this here but since people are participating in "what's his REAL plan" speculation:

http://www.vanityfair.com/news/2015/12/donald-trump-mark-bowden-playboy-profile?mbid=nl_121015_Daily&CNDID=32588691&spMailingID=8336955&spUserID=OTA2ODY1MDQwMzcS1&spJobID=821152676&spReportId=ODIxMTUyNjc2S0

This dude is a self-obsessed, unthinking ninny. There is no master plan, no forethought, no mystery. He's a rich dummy used to intimidating people into doing what he wants who is prone to petulant, destructive tantrums when he doesn't get his way. FIN

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Friday, 11 December 2015 17:35 (eight years ago) link

i don't see how that's different from what I'm saying except that he/his handlers have the animal intelligence to engage with lowest common denominator thinking to achieve the goals of more exposure, more money, more power

Does that make you mutter, under your breath, “Damn”? (forksclovetofu), Friday, 11 December 2015 17:36 (eight years ago) link

Here's the thing: Not only am I 100% confident Donald Trump will not be elected to anything, ever, I am also now becoming convinced that he's going to wind up a severely diminished figure by the time this all ends. Trump licensors (people who've paid to have Trump's name attached to their businesses) in other countries are cutting loose of him. I'm sure the same thing is happening in the US, just more quietly. This insanity is costing him money, and before it's done it's gonna cost him a lot more. I wouldn't be at all surprised to see him back in bankruptcy court by the end of 2016. And what's he gonna get out of letting his commercial interests burn in the pursuit of a political office that was never even slightly within reach? A gig talking shit on the Fox Business Channel? He doesn't want that. He wants - needs - to be seen as all-powerful, on the ball, and wise/knowledgeable. This campaign is destroying him.

the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Friday, 11 December 2015 17:38 (eight years ago) link

if trump got the nomination, i sense that there'd be an almost Reagan vs Mondale type victory for Clinton. people would have to start to imagine Trump actually as president, delivering speeches from the oval office in times of crisis or tragedy, when he'd have to reassure the nation. or how he'd present himself to world leaders. like there's no chance. you can't make spitting noises and drool and squint hard at putin or the pope. i mean you can, but only if you're an actual infant.

nomar, Friday, 11 December 2015 17:39 (eight years ago) link

xp well i didn't say they/he were good at their job! You're probably right.

Does that make you mutter, under your breath, “Damn”? (forksclovetofu), Friday, 11 December 2015 17:40 (eight years ago) link

when you listen to him talk, with his words and the sound of his voice removed from the context of his rallies (and that video Tombot posted is good for this), he sounds like the absolute biggest moron to ever have a chance in a national election. and I'm counting Palin, because god bless her she at least tried to fake intelligence in those debates.

nomar, Friday, 11 December 2015 17:41 (eight years ago) link

top man OTM. he'll have a permanent book-tour audience in the red states if he wants it, but be persona non grata everywhere else. not a great figurehead for a corporation. i could see it all eventually getting bought out and renamed something really generic sounding, like phillip morris becoming Altria.

Doctor Casino, Friday, 11 December 2015 17:42 (eight years ago) link

he's in uncharted waters for sure, which is where someone would have to go in order to be the most historic reality start that ever walked the planet

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Friday, 11 December 2015 17:44 (eight years ago) link

interesting point top man, hadn't thought about it in quite those terms but makes total sense

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 17:52 (eight years ago) link

I had not really been thinking about what the consequences of his guaranteed failure would mean for Trump himself

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 17:52 (eight years ago) link

Kinda feel like Trump's right there with you.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Friday, 11 December 2015 17:54 (eight years ago) link

lol

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 17:56 (eight years ago) link

yeah i agree that trump Really Is a stupid bully who only wants and only senses domination. the presidential election is a reality show and he wants to win it. if he didn't want to win it he wouldn't be trump and i think he is trump. probably doesn't work to analyze him in rational long-game terms as if he really is a brilliant businessman (that's the character). but idk, i've been a little down recently and felt there aren't a lot of human desires stronger than domination :/

denies the existence of dark matter (difficult listening hour), Friday, 11 December 2015 17:58 (eight years ago) link

He was like one of those characters in an 18th-century comedy meant to embody a particular flavor of human folly.

lol!

denies the existence of dark matter (difficult listening hour), Friday, 11 December 2015 17:58 (eight years ago) link

Which is why I am on Disney World at present watching a grandad type wearing a canary yellow TRUMP shirt.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 11 December 2015 18:00 (eight years ago) link

sort of the depressing thing about trump is you could decimate their argument with intelligence, wit, and evidence and he'd like roll his eyes and make fun of your shirt or fatal illness or w/e and his audience would cheer and his numbers would inch up.

nomar, Friday, 11 December 2015 18:01 (eight years ago) link

Yahoo headline: Clinton No Longer Thinks Trump is Funny.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 11 December 2015 18:01 (eight years ago) link

Was talking to someone this morning from the financial world, someone who has been to his house for dinner, etc, and she just couldn't figure him out, her memory of him and his family being perfectly nice, reasonably people, and him right now being a total lunatic. Maybe he's been swapped out for a (more) evil twin?

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 11 December 2015 18:04 (eight years ago) link

Ha, "reasonably people," that might be the best typo ever.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 11 December 2015 18:04 (eight years ago) link

btw thanks djp i hadn't read that.

I watched as Trump strutted around the beautifully groomed clay tennis courts on his estate, managed by noted tennis pro Anthony Boulle. The courts had been prepped meticulously for a full day of scheduled matches. Trump took exception to the design of the spaces between courts. In particular, he didn’t like a small metal box—a pump and cooler for the water fountain alongside—which he thought looked ugly. He first questioned its placement, then crudely disparaged it, then kicked the box, which didn’t budge, and then stooped—red-faced and fuming—to tear it loose from its moorings, rupturing a water line and sending a geyser to soak the courts. Boulle looked horrified, a weekend of tennis abruptly drowned. Catching a glimpse of me watching, Trump grimaced.

“I guess that’ll have to be in your story,” he said.

“Pretty much,” I told him.

denies the existence of dark matter (difficult listening hour), Friday, 11 December 2015 18:09 (eight years ago) link

rich people know how to host, it's not rocket science (or brain surgery)

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Friday, 11 December 2015 18:09 (eight years ago) link

Clinton taking the obvious (and politically sensible) rhetorical position here: http://news.yahoo.com/trump-rises-clinton-preaches-love-kindness-090951921--election.html

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 18:21 (eight years ago) link

Trump's best hope for actually winning enough electoral college votes to become president would be a pandemic of outrageous scandals, fatal illnesses and accidents resulting in serious brain insults among the other candidates, combined with mass hysteria and insanity among voters. Which is to say, he has a non-zero chance of winning, but it's a pretty damn remote chance.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Friday, 11 December 2015 18:28 (eight years ago) link

some pretty serious brain insults among the field already imo

lettered and hapful (symsymsym), Friday, 11 December 2015 18:38 (eight years ago) link

and one santorum that is just a plain insult

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Friday, 11 December 2015 18:42 (eight years ago) link

2 voters so far... it's an easy ballot! Send em in early!

Does that make you mutter, under your breath, “Damn”? (forksclovetofu), Friday, 11 December 2015 18:46 (eight years ago) link

lol

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Friday, 11 December 2015 18:46 (eight years ago) link

okay, lol, that was supposed to go in the "worst song of the year" poll, but same difference.

Does that make you mutter, under your breath, “Damn”? (forksclovetofu), Friday, 11 December 2015 18:46 (eight years ago) link

Doctor Casino (checking - yes, this time I'm sure it's Doctor Casino) speaks volumes of wisdom. Re: Cruz being "overwhelmingly better-liked by the republican electorate," yeah. But he is still hated by almost every prominent Republican. Can you imagine the nominating convention speeches?

Also forksclove, "vocal and hyperventilating minority" is right imo.

ready for the raptor (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 11 December 2015 19:02 (eight years ago) link

Can you imagine the nominating convention speeches?

I can and they would be hilarious

"A lot of people say Ted's not a likable guy..."

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 19:15 (eight years ago) link

he is "leading" with 25-30% of the vote in a field of ten non-zero candidates, most of whose supporters are never going to switch their votes to him.

He's at 35%. What is the path for Rubio or Cruz to actually win primaries? That it requires lots of others to quit the race?

timellison, Friday, 11 December 2015 19:19 (eight years ago) link

"A lot of people say Ted's not a likable guy...

...Ladies and gentlemen, Ted Cruz!"

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Friday, 11 December 2015 19:22 (eight years ago) link

I'm just gonna say it: Ted Cruz looks like a stalker.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Friday, 11 December 2015 19:25 (eight years ago) link

Delicious: Carson threatening to leave GOP

ready for the raptor (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 11 December 2015 19:28 (eight years ago) link

It would be in such horrifically bad taste to make an analogy where the GOP is acting like Brer Rabbit begging Carson to throw it into the briar patch, and yet

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Friday, 11 December 2015 19:31 (eight years ago) link

Assuming Cruz, Carson, and Rubio don't quit and Cruz (who's ahead of the other two) gets the entirety of the Paul/Bush/Huckabee/Kasich/Christie/Fiorina vote, he's still behind Trump.

timellison, Friday, 11 December 2015 19:33 (eight years ago) link

And Cruz's unlikability is twofold: first, he has burned enough bridges with his fellow congresscritters (e.g., McCain) to ensure he's anathema to party leadership. Second, his fatal charisma deficit keeps him out of the running with the general electorate. Even if parliamentary shrewdness and college-debater skillz get him past the first obstacle, the second looms before him like a glacial wall. Worry about Cruz? I refuz.

ready for the raptor (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 11 December 2015 19:35 (eight years ago) link

Here's a thing that makes me a little less scared about scary manbabies leading in the polls: they will likely tantrum themselves out of contention. Even if it doesn't happen, I hope the whispers about a brokered convention are enough to spur some of these children to take their balls and go independent.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Friday, 11 December 2015 19:37 (eight years ago) link

DJP: hahaha

ready for the raptor (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 11 December 2015 19:38 (eight years ago) link

What is the path for Rubio or Cruz to actually win primaries?

My short take: Trump isn't going to win Iowa because he can't get the evangelical vote. My bet would be on Cruz at the moment (Rubio doesn't have the same pull w evangelicals as the Tedster). Trump might win New Hampshire but it's hard to tell, I could see it maybe going for Christie too. My guess based on the current situation is that the party establishment's gonna throw it's weight behind Rubio - the only candidate Clinton thinks presents a real challenge, party insiders like him, he's a young fresh latino face that they have delusions may appeal to other non-Cuban latinos, etc. I can see him actually winning primaries, glad-handling superdelegates, doing the political horse-trading necessary to cement party support, avoiding saying too much that's insane and/or crassly offensive. He's the safe bet. Cruz's path is more tortuous given how much the establishment hates him, but dude is methodical and his whole modus operandi is to figure out and exploit the rules of the game (which is why, for example, he has set up shop in places like Puerto Rico that other candidates don't even bother with). He knows it's about racking up numbers, no matter how, and if he can pull off an early primary win like in Iowa he will perhaps start to gather steam.

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 19:38 (eight years ago) link

he's still behind Trump.

no. if Cruz wins Iowa he's AHEAD of Trump.

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 19:39 (eight years ago) link

it's important to remember this is about delegates and not about poll numbers

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 19:40 (eight years ago) link

"The party establishment throws its weight behind Rubio": I agree that this is likely. Rubio is seen by nativists as squishy on immigration and an amnesty supporter. The Trumpoids will never move to Rubio, but they can and will move to Cruz.

in short they are all fucked

ready for the raptor (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 11 December 2015 19:45 (eight years ago) link

it's important to remember this is about delegates and not about poll numbers

Obviously, but you're arguing for either somewhat of a tidal shift toward another candidate or some means of party establishment exerting an influence that I'm not at all sure that they have.

Cruz wins Iowa he's ahead of Trump until Trump wins New Hampshire and maybe Nevada and South Carolina.

timellison, Friday, 11 December 2015 19:54 (eight years ago) link

impt iowa factoids: evangelical macher Bob Vader Plaats has endorsed Ted Cruz

and i see on twitter that Trump has started to shittalk Cruz, so, truce over i guess. here we go.

goole, Friday, 11 December 2015 20:04 (eight years ago) link

what fascinates me is that i've lived in america all my life. for more than two decades clinton has been one of the most hated people in america. that's her major electoral flaw, is that people hate her with such fervor and intensity that it's hard to imagine her possibly getting elected. and then the year she finally comes up for election, the moment the republican party has been preparing for for decades, for their leading candidate they drag up somebody even more hate-able than clinton. that's phenomental to me, simply phenomenal.

that said i don't think we're potentially looking at a mondale, mcgovern, or goldwater-level rout, at least assuming a two-party race. anybody with an (r) next to their name will win in kentucky, and their recent electoral history proves it. there are surely other states where this is the case, but i don't know them very well offhand. on the other hand, trump would by no means be a guaranteed winner in indiana- the donnelly/mourdock senate race is reasonably indicate of their political character.

trump's ability to take office is less than zero. clinton can just run ad council ads filled with rainbow coalition cast-offs. do one with the rainbow coalition reading the pledge of allegiance. (get a jewish guy to do the "under god" bit.) you probably don't even need a super pac, though if you do you could make it genuinely non-partisan.

as much as we like to carp about the obvious faults of the "winner-take-all" american democratic model, in this case it is clearly a huge asset. under a parliamentary system, the republicans would have to caucus with this scum. instead, his fascism achieves denunciation from pretty much everyone in a position of power. the only "victory" trump can achieve is to torpedo the fourth party system. there are way more safeguards against his taking power than there are against, say, le pen in france.

i mean, absolute worst case scenario, isis summons cthulhu and destroys half of new york the week before the election, everybody panics and votes for trump and... what? the day he takes the oath of office the democrats and republicans team up to impeach him. (technically you have to commit a crime to be impeached, but no president has ever been impeached in the us for other than base political reasons.) he has no military or paramilitary support, no organized base of power. he can't even make it as a warlord.

rushomancy, Friday, 11 December 2015 20:05 (eight years ago) link

This is anecdotal evidence but every rational Republican/conservative I have spoken to has said that they will be voting for Clinton if Trump is the Republican nominee. Every single one.

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Friday, 11 December 2015 20:09 (eight years ago) link

yea you live in MA though they are different from other republicans

marcos, Friday, 11 December 2015 20:11 (eight years ago) link

it's important to remember this is about delegates and not about poll numbers

― Οὖτις, Friday, December 11, 2015 2:40 PM (26 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

but if poll numbers (or the underlying voting intentions they represent) continue as they are it's not obvious winning iowa or new hampshire would do much. someone other than trump winning early on gives non-trumpists much needed coordination though.

flopson, Friday, 11 December 2015 20:11 (eight years ago) link

He knows it's about racking up numbers, no matter how, and if he can pull off an early primary win like in Iowa he will perhaps start to gather steam.

how is this not something they all know?? are you saying some ppl just cross their fingers and hope that pumping up their poll numbers will convince delegates / party machinery to go for them?

j., Friday, 11 December 2015 20:12 (eight years ago) link

Interesting NY Times editorial on the business consequences of Trump's racist blather. I had not read this before posting earlier.

the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Friday, 11 December 2015 20:21 (eight years ago) link

Cruz wins Iowa he's ahead of Trump until Trump wins New Hampshire and maybe Nevada and South Carolina.

the x factor here is that Trump loses something. What does Trump do when he loses and how does that affect his chances elsewhere? this is not a minor question.

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 20:23 (eight years ago) link

yea you live in MA though they are different from other republicans

Only a couple of these Republicans live in MA

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Friday, 11 December 2015 20:24 (eight years ago) link

Is Massachusetts so different?

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ma/massachusetts_republican_presidential_primary-5205.html

timellison, Friday, 11 December 2015 20:25 (eight years ago) link

no president has ever been impeached in the us for other than base political reasons

Nixon was prison-bound

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 20:25 (eight years ago) link

nixon was never actually impeached.

rushomancy, Friday, 11 December 2015 20:34 (eight years ago) link

jesus, just had the thought that there could be a Trump/Carson independent ticket and almost vomited

akm, Friday, 11 December 2015 20:35 (eight years ago) link

true it didn't make it to the Senate

xp

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 20:36 (eight years ago) link

rushomancy, you say "destroys half of New York" like that would be a bad thing. Yes I know Trump is an NY creature - but I think his constituency is decidedly not so.

(I try hard not to over-conflate Trump's current support with yr standard exurban ammosexual Tea Party doodz. Also with Norquistian anti-taxers, and with those who loved the Gingrich Contract for America (remember that?). I admit that the Venn diagram of those folks is not entirely contiguous, but I am sure it overlaps quite a lot.)

And about the third-party option: big nope out of the gate. As was posted earlier, sore loser provisions prohibit Trump/Carson from appearing on the ballot in a number of states, including (and most especially) Ohio. No modern _Republican_ can win without Ohio - let alone an insurgent conservative. No way no how. Of course as a Democrat I would love for them to try, it is a non-starter electorally speaking.

ready for the raptor (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 11 December 2015 20:41 (eight years ago) link

lol @ "ammosexual"

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 20:41 (eight years ago) link

I think it would be awesome if Trump ran as an independent, and then every other candidate was like, me too, I want to be an independent, too! And then there was Clinton, Jeb!, and 15 independents.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 11 December 2015 20:42 (eight years ago) link

Trump running third-party is best-case scenario for the country imo

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 20:42 (eight years ago) link

I live in Texas and even the Tea Party types I know think Trump is a nutter. The obvious teabaggers still seem pro-Cruz, others are backing Rubio out of electability beliefs.

Kiarostami bag (milo z), Friday, 11 December 2015 20:44 (eight years ago) link

He's at 35%. What is the path for Rubio or Cruz to actually win primaries? That it requires lots of others to quit the race?

He's not, fwiw. Of the five polls RCP is using, he's at 35-36 in two of them, and a solid 27 in all three of the others. The polling average, which puts him at 30.4, is a (kludgey) way to try and cancel out weird house effects or other tendencies in the polling. When we get to the general, we can expect 538 to step up with a more sophisticated model of rating the polling houses' relative accuracy, but for now I think that's probably more accurate than just picking the highest number and going with that.

For Rubio or Cruz to win primaries - this isn't so hard to comprehend. "It requires lots of others to quit the race" is sort of like saying "it requires what happens every time to happen." Those 3% people are not going to still be running in February, or if they are, they're not still going to be even that high - their voters are going to be wooed away. This is a thing that happens, and as outlined above, phantom candidate Bocephus is representing a lot of people whose voters are not going to go over to Trump. Mostly Rubio I'd say though obviously Bush is hoping to wrangle them and pull some kind of late surge which could certainly delay the race consolidating. As Carson continues collapsing I would guess his voters swing mostly Cruz on evangelism, partly Trump on outsider-to-politics-ism. But we're talking about large pieces of the pie that aren't Trump's at all. So yeah these other guys can win primaries, and once any of them start securing some of the winner-take-all primaries, the distribution of the 20%, 15% of delegates from proportional states will quickly be forgotten. It might be a longer race than it sometimes is, it might look like a real three- or four-way fight for a long while, but Trump is just laden with enormous disadvantages once you get beyond his polling lead.

I'd also be curious how good his ground game is in terms of getting people registered to vote in primaries (an easily-forgotten chore, especially if you're not a regular voter), getting them to turn out to vote, etc. This is something the politicians in the room have a lot of experience and staff ready to roll on - it's how Cruz and Rubio have their current jobs.

Doctor Casino, Friday, 11 December 2015 20:46 (eight years ago) link

how good his ground game is in terms of getting people registered to vote in primaries

I haven't seen any detailed analysis of this and would be curious as well. I've read Trump boasting about it but y'know pillar of salt and all that. I would guess his organization is pretty shitty at this given that most must be new to it.

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 20:50 (eight years ago) link

considering he was hiring former Apprentice contestants to run portions of his campaign, I am surprised that his campaign offices haven't all caught on fire yet

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Friday, 11 December 2015 20:51 (eight years ago) link

"Oh, oops, when you said 'you're fired,' I thought you meant..."

Doctor Casino, Friday, 11 December 2015 20:53 (eight years ago) link

again that's the type of thing that seems like it should take down a campaign but to someone already supporting trump it's probably just common sense. why wouldn't you want the best workers in America running your campaign?

iatee, Friday, 11 December 2015 20:54 (eight years ago) link

running third party for president doesn't make sense if you actually want to be president, sure. but first, that hasn't stopped people wiser than trump from doing exactly that in the past. second, i am not convinced that his primary goal is to become president. trump, even more than being a fascist, is an egomaniacal sociopath. he will do or say absolutely anything to keep people talking about him. he has absolutely zero reason, should he lose the primary, to not run as an independent.

rushomancy, Friday, 11 December 2015 21:03 (eight years ago) link

Yeah, I don't know. Kasich, Rand Paul, Christie, Fiorina, Huckabee drop out before Super Tuesday?

and as outlined above, phantom candidate Bocephus is representing a lot of people whose voters are not going to go over to Trump. Mostly Rubio I'd say though obviously Bush is hoping to wrangle them and pull some kind of late surge which could certainly delay the race consolidating. As Carson continues collapsing...

This seems extremely speculative to me. Rubio has no traction I can see, Bush obviously much less. Carson's collapse may have already reached its bottom floor.

timellison, Friday, 11 December 2015 21:08 (eight years ago) link

nah Carson's goin all the way down

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 21:10 (eight years ago) link

Rubio has no traction I can see

he's the only establishment guy polling double digits

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 21:10 (eight years ago) link

We'll see. He's at 13% at some distance from all the negative media attention.

timellison, Friday, 11 December 2015 21:11 (eight years ago) link

xp re. Carson

timellison, Friday, 11 December 2015 21:11 (eight years ago) link

Yeah, double digits for Rubio. He has a shot. I'm not as convinced that a lot of those voting for the others will not end up with Trump, Carson, or Cruz.

timellison, Friday, 11 December 2015 21:12 (eight years ago) link

his campaign is reminiscent of Fiorina + all those other one-time poll-toppers from last time around - ppl had a brief flirtation with him, he got some good zingers in, then everyone realized he's a moron (except for evangelicals, who are being wooed away by Teddboy)

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 21:12 (eight years ago) link

his = Carson there

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 21:13 (eight years ago) link

anybody with an (r) next to their name will win in kentucky, and their recent electoral history fraud proves it.

fixed

sleeve, Friday, 11 December 2015 21:17 (eight years ago) link

Did you guys see the S.E. Cupp interview with the Trump campaign person who said, "Who cares? They're Muslims." this morning???

timellison, Friday, 11 December 2015 21:19 (eight years ago) link

This seems extremely speculative to me. Rubio has no traction I can see, Bush obviously much less. Carson's collapse may have already reached its bottom floor.

That's all speculative too, though! And again - those characters don't have to all drop out before Super Tuesday for their supporters to abandon them. Carson's collapse is as new as Rubio and Cruz's rise, so if we can speculate that he's reached his floor (why?), we can also speculate that Rubio hasn't reached his ceiling. I mean, just looking at it on paper, would it be so surprising that the inexperienced candidate who only says crazy things would woo the evangelicals for a while and then burn out completely? Cruz offers them so much more, except those in the real hard core of late-night-radio-fantasy-pyramid-theory believers. We're still nearly two months out from Iowa so assuming the current polling will hold true then just seems odd to me, since it's changed so much even since the last debate or so.

Yeah, Rubio might or might not be the one. We'll see. He has the advantage of being the candidate the party establishment would most like to see win it, and that is a huge advantage. It might turn out that in hindsight, the whole 2015 phase of the race amounted to the GOP determining that Bush was simply not adequate to filling that role, but Rubio was. But again, even if Rubio doesn't work out, the party would still prefer Cruz to Trump.

I'm not as convinced that a lot of those voting for the others will not end up with Trump, Carson, or Cruz.

Really? We are talking here about people whose first choice is Jeb Bush, John Kasich, Rand Paul or Chris Christie. I can imagine that for some of them Trump isn't totally off the list, but probably not many, and surely not their second choice. I'll give you the Fiorina people since she got a lot of "not from the establishment" wind early on. Huckabee's people I feel like would swing Carson if still in the race, Cruz if not, maybe a splash of Trump but either way it'd be slicing up what's currently 1.8% of the pie, not just handing it to the Trump column.

Doctor Casino, Friday, 11 December 2015 21:20 (eight years ago) link

I don't know, Carson has a certain je ne sais quoi? If the 13% who support him didn't abandon ship already, I'm not sure why they would.

timellison, Friday, 11 December 2015 21:27 (eight years ago) link

because some other religious nutter demonstrates a better chance at winning ie Cruz

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 21:28 (eight years ago) link

well you coulda said that when he was at 20% too. it's not like his numbers have stabilized, they're in free fall xp

iatee, Friday, 11 December 2015 21:29 (eight years ago) link

So Cruzmentum after Iowa? Because I don't see that he's got it now.

timellison, Friday, 11 December 2015 21:30 (eight years ago) link

so much of this stuff involves snowball effects of self-fulfilling prophecies, if primary voters realize there's someone with a better chance of winning who says more or less the same kinds of things as the person they initially supported, then they switch over to the one with the better chance of winning. This happens all the time.

xp

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 21:30 (eight years ago) link

conversely if you start to lose - as in, you can't win Iowa or New Hampshire - people desert you

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 21:30 (eight years ago) link

I hope somebody is doing an documentary about the jeb bush campaign cause I would love to see what it's like there right now

iatee, Friday, 11 December 2015 21:33 (eight years ago) link

Santorum was winning states as late as March 24th last time. In April, you get a string of east coast states - that looks like the point where Romney took it.

timellison, Friday, 11 December 2015 21:34 (eight years ago) link

A reminder that most people aren't as glued to this as we are, news about crazy stuff that people say gets around at conversational speed.

xp some Cruzmentum if he wins it, a lot obviously if Trump flames out shortly after his first loss - but he's expected to get at least second in Iowa, if he gets that position in New Hampshire then he's on fire.

Also this doesn't look like Cruzmentum?

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html

Andrew Farrell, Friday, 11 December 2015 21:37 (eight years ago) link

wait who do you think is like Santorum here, Carson...?

xp

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 21:37 (eight years ago) link

all these fuckers are santorum imo

Does that make you mutter, under your breath, “Damn”? (forksclovetofu), Friday, 11 December 2015 21:37 (eight years ago) link

in the colloquial sense

Does that make you mutter, under your breath, “Damn”? (forksclovetofu), Friday, 11 December 2015 21:37 (eight years ago) link

No, I don't think there's a Santorum, really. Trump makes the whole thing different.

timellison, Friday, 11 December 2015 21:38 (eight years ago) link

I mean, there's no Romney either!

timellison, Friday, 11 December 2015 21:39 (eight years ago) link

any updates on the trump / cruz shittalk campaign? i could see cruz staring down any trump insult with those beady eyes of his

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Friday, 11 December 2015 21:41 (eight years ago) link

and then deflecting it using his "brilliant" oratory skillz or some kind of nerd humor

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Friday, 11 December 2015 21:42 (eight years ago) link

less than an hour ago Trump retweeted:

Ted Cruz ‏@tedcruz · 5h5 hours ago
The Establishment's only hope: Trump & me in a cage match.

Sorry to disappoint -- @realDonaldTrump is terrific. #DealWithIt

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Friday, 11 December 2015 21:49 (eight years ago) link

i don't understand why people saying 'the establishment doesn't like cruz' is necessarily bad thing for him

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Friday, 11 December 2015 21:49 (eight years ago) link

strategic piece of kissassery, so gross

goole, Friday, 11 December 2015 21:50 (eight years ago) link

Cruz's obvious hope is that his lack of appeal to the establishment can be used to endear him to the voting populace, who will then hand him a big enough margin of victory that the establishment bends to their will thus allowing him to claim a true populist mantle

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 21:52 (eight years ago) link

sounds like a better plan than most of these guys have

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Friday, 11 December 2015 21:53 (eight years ago) link

well insofar as it's an actual plan, yeah

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Friday, 11 December 2015 21:54 (eight years ago) link

Seems to me that the best plan is Trump's - explicit racism, bulldoze truth.

timellison, Friday, 11 December 2015 21:55 (eight years ago) link

Or just buddy up with the explicit racist until he flames out

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Friday, 11 December 2015 22:02 (eight years ago) link

so basically, jail

Does that make you mutter, under your breath, “Damn”? (forksclovetofu), Friday, 11 December 2015 22:02 (eight years ago) link

christ New Hampshire isnt til Feb 9. this horseshit is toxic.

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Friday, 11 December 2015 22:06 (eight years ago) link

don't worry after that it's all unicorns and rainbows

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 22:24 (eight years ago) link

Rubio will not be the nominee and Rubio is a laughing stock.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 11 December 2015 22:31 (eight years ago) link

well those are hardly mutually exclusive

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 22:33 (eight years ago) link

you puttin yr money on Cruz then? Christie's the only other one I can kinda sorta see pulling this off but that's a long shot.

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 22:34 (eight years ago) link

all the (~)bright republicans i know are hoping for rubio as the nominee

Mordy, Friday, 11 December 2015 22:35 (eight years ago) link

I haven't talked to any of my GOP leanin family members in so long, I have no idea who they're backing.

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 22:37 (eight years ago) link

btw

A poll of Republican voters in the early voting state of New Hampshire conducted by public television station WBUR found that Carson's support has fallen to only 6.0 percent from 17 percent in mid-September.

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 22:38 (eight years ago) link

Aw, that almost makes me feel sorry for him.

ready for the raptor (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 11 December 2015 22:42 (eight years ago) link

all the (~)bright republicans

What's a Pepsi Bright Republican?

:wq (Leee), Friday, 11 December 2015 22:43 (eight years ago) link

a republican who has passed the pepsi challenge

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Friday, 11 December 2015 22:46 (eight years ago) link

rubio is so un-presidential, i mean look at him, listen to him speak

lute bro (brimstead), Friday, 11 December 2015 22:50 (eight years ago) link

he's like 15 years old right?

lute bro (brimstead), Friday, 11 December 2015 22:50 (eight years ago) link

And too thirsty. All our presidents have been well-hydrated gentlemen.

Anyway from this...

http://i.imgur.com/V8Amh5X.jpg?1

...one might be tempted to conclude that the Carson/Trump support is sloshing between the two of them (one's rise is the other's fall and vice versa).

Cruz and Rubio's shared rise to become the only "professionals" with poll traction is clearer than ever. Their rise tracks closely to the falling support of all the other bottom-tier candidates (Bush, Christie, etc.).

Or maybe not. Maybe Bush supporters are defecting to Carson and Fiorina supporters to Rubio. Who the fuck knows? But it's what we have now, so it's what gets discussed.

ready for the raptor (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 11 December 2015 22:56 (eight years ago) link

is Christie persona non grata cuz he hugged Obama that one time?

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 22:57 (eight years ago) link

or is there more to it than that? I can't believe that the GOP cares about corruption/bridgegate in any meaningful way. Do they just hate a fatty?

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 22:58 (eight years ago) link

"The hug" is one of those things much more widely circulated in right-wing infosphere than elsewhere - it stands in for a whole bunch of other stuff and it sticks precisely because his selling point is that he's a "Republican who won in a blue state," who "can get Democrats to vote for him," which with this electorate means he's suspect at the least and a traitor at worst. Which again makes me think that anybody who sees him as their first choice is not about to switch to one of the real wackos.

Doctor Casino, Friday, 11 December 2015 23:04 (eight years ago) link

hug aside, Christie hasn't had a good news day in years

iatee, Friday, 11 December 2015 23:06 (eight years ago) link

yeah, but since when does a GOP primary voter care about accomplishments? I guess he hasn't had a good media exposure/zinger day either

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 23:13 (eight years ago) link

He got some nice coverage from some of the debates, but some of it was JV debate and all of it turned out to be hitting singles when he needed a home run. But he's clearly playing the "put all his chips on New Hampshire" game, figuring that if Iowa and NH get split between equally unelectable fringe candidates, the "electable" conservative who comes in 2nd in NH, after everybody wrote him off, will look like the angel of redemption.

Doctor Casino, Friday, 11 December 2015 23:23 (eight years ago) link

Fat Angel of Redemption, isn't that a Paul Simon song

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 23:24 (eight years ago) link

(He is, as of the latest polling averages, in third place in NH. If he can make the argument that there are a lot of other places like NH, his campaign might have enough legs in it still to justify how much attention pundits still keep giving him, versus the other 2-percenters.)

Doctor Casino, Friday, 11 December 2015 23:24 (eight years ago) link

haha

Doctor Casino, Friday, 11 December 2015 23:24 (eight years ago) link

there's at least one conflicted Trump supporter who is not on board with his Muslim ban: Rocky Suhayda, the chairman of the American Nazi Party.

In an email to Buzzfeed, Suhayda stated that he didn't think Trump would practically be able to carry out any of his plans because "'mainstream' political whores would block his every move."

“Look," he wrote, "this phrase ‘muslims’ is simply a PC code word to cover the reality of all these THIRD WORLD peoples invading OUR country.”

"Unless Trump plans on ruling by Presidential Decree, I don't see how he would implement ANY of his 'plans,' the rest of the sold out 'mainstream' political whores would block his every move," he said.

However, Suhayda did add that Trump's statements, while maybe a little insincere, echoed the sentiment of the Nazi party. “Donald Trump’s campaign statements, if nothing else, have SHOWN that ‘our views’ are NOT so ‘unpopular’ as the Political Correctness crowd have told everyone they are!

“But, and here’s the kicker - so WHAT do we DO - sit back and heartily congratulate ourselves that our viewpoints are NOT the pariahs that we have been told that they are, and get all warm and fuzzy feeling,” he continued. “OR, do we FINALLY get SERIOUS about what we are supposed to be engaged in?”

Οὖτις, Friday, 11 December 2015 23:26 (eight years ago) link

another part of christie's appeal was he is a loud angry asshole who is a dick to everyone and trump is way better at this sort of thing than christie is

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Friday, 11 December 2015 23:31 (eight years ago) link

haha yeah being an actual rich guy means you don't have to say you're sorry

iatee, Friday, 11 December 2015 23:32 (eight years ago) link

However, Suhayda did add that Trump's statements, while maybe a little insincere, echoed the sentiment of the Nazi party. “Donald Trump’s campaign statements, if nothing else, have SHOWN that ‘our views’ are NOT so ‘unpopular’ as the Political Correctness crowd have told everyone they are!

donald trump - legitimizing the american nazi party since 2015

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Friday, 11 December 2015 23:33 (eight years ago) link

Trump's statements, while maybe a little insincere, echoed the sentiment of the Nazi party.

this quote is referring to the frontrunner for the republican nomination in 2016, grim lols at this garbage country

nomar, Friday, 11 December 2015 23:34 (eight years ago) link

I'm coming around to this "Trump is playing a character" hypothesis, the only problem is all evidence seems to suggest the character he is playing is himself

El Tomboto, Saturday, 12 December 2015 00:54 (eight years ago) link

going back and watching this again with 6 months of perspective. for some reason

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q_q61B-DyPk

global tetrahedron, Saturday, 12 December 2015 00:57 (eight years ago) link

never mind i watched like 30 seconds of ivanka and then like 45 of him and turned it off. never mind

did anyone expect it to come to this tho

global tetrahedron, Saturday, 12 December 2015 01:00 (eight years ago) link

Ivanka Trump is really not very attractive

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Saturday, 12 December 2015 01:21 (eight years ago) link

"...a PC code word to cover the reality of all these THIRD WORLD peoples invading OUR country.”

About that "OUR country", Mr. 'Rocky' Hussein Suhayda, I'm afraid I have some bad news for you.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Saturday, 12 December 2015 01:22 (eight years ago) link

remember when that protestor got beat up outside of trump towers or whatever

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Saturday, 12 December 2015 01:27 (eight years ago) link

it's sad but trump looks like he was born to give a speech in front of the stars and bars

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Saturday, 12 December 2015 01:29 (eight years ago) link

i like how trump is going to get our country back to work as if anyone would want to work for the douchebag. except for his famous reality tv show where everyone did everything they could to get hired by him

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Saturday, 12 December 2015 01:34 (eight years ago) link

ted cruz is basically an apprentice contestant

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Saturday, 12 December 2015 01:36 (eight years ago) link

nah man no way

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Saturday, 12 December 2015 01:41 (eight years ago) link

looking forward to yr critique of chelsea

mookieproof, Saturday, 12 December 2015 01:44 (eight years ago) link

yeah can we not do this please?

Doctor Casino, Saturday, 12 December 2015 01:46 (eight years ago) link

looking forward to yr critique of chelsea

― mookieproof

yeah just sign up for my tinyletter

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Saturday, 12 December 2015 01:47 (eight years ago) link

remember when iran having nuclear weapons was a big deal?

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Saturday, 12 December 2015 02:07 (eight years ago) link

Wait, what? Iran has nukes!? Sign me up for Trump! Obama, that pussy, I just new he would let those Muslims get missiles. Man, you take a couple of hours off the internet...

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 12 December 2015 02:41 (eight years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CV-QSkyWoAEX9JZ.jpg

yikes - http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2015/12/12/georgia-poll-finds-wide-gop-support-for-donald-trump-and-his-muslim-ban/ - first poll in an sec primary state i've seen (admittedly i haven't been looking, if anyone wants to show me some recent others to reassure me this is an outlier plz do), yes yes it's early but still yikes yikes yikes.

balls, Saturday, 12 December 2015 23:53 (eight years ago) link

i wonder if huckabee et al regret not going full fascist when they had the chance (in previous election cycles)--look at what kind of numbers they'd be picking up.

wizzz! (amateurist), Sunday, 13 December 2015 00:18 (eight years ago) link

ehhh, they needed eight years of people seething about a black president to really get it worked up. plus the influence of that whole movement agitating regarding obama's birth certificate - that was pretty key. the GOP should try to find a guy who'd been loudly and stubbornly banging on about that since obama's first term - now there's somebody who could be a contender for this primary.

Doctor Casino, Sunday, 13 December 2015 00:32 (eight years ago) link

I don't think other politicians could get away with donald trump's shtick. I think the machismo and refusal to apologize is probably a bigger aspect of his appeal than the anti-immigration stuff or anything else approximating a policy stance. like they love that he says-it-like-it-is but he probably could be saying-it-like-it-is on less nationalist issues and getting the same response. these people want a putin, and mike huckabee was never gonna be putin.

(also they have donors to answer to.)

iatee, Sunday, 13 December 2015 00:43 (eight years ago) link

in b4 someone makes mike huckabee shirtless on horse joke

iatee, Sunday, 13 December 2015 00:46 (eight years ago) link

a lot of the problem with reassurance is that we were all wrong about trump, we misunderestimated how far he would go, and as a result the natural response is to treat anybody who predicted his downfall- including, in some cases, ourselves- as inherently untrustworthy. if we were wrong about trump back in june, why should anybody believe us now?

and the answer is because we acknowledge our mistakes, we admit them, and we learn from them. saying trump cannot be president is not desperate hindbrain wishful thinking backed up by distortions of evidence, it's based on, well, basically everything. i don't even need to go over all the evidence against it, because you are well aware of the tremendous mountain of evidence against him. all anybody needs to do in order to be convinced that he can't be president is to choose to believe it.

that doesn't mean there aren't a tremendous number of things we don't know, that doesn't mean there isn't a lot of danger, uncertainty, and confusion, that doesn't mean that national and global fascism isn't a serious threat. we have a lot of things to worry about, and i'm not sure any of us are sure exactly about which things exactly those are, but we can say with a high degree of confidence that "donald trump might be president" is not one of those things.

new zingland (rushomancy), Sunday, 13 December 2015 00:52 (eight years ago) link

one trap he's been setting for himself by being mr. #1 invincible look at these polls I'm a winner people love me...well, if he loses iowa and new hampshire, he's lost the whole campaign narrative. even losing iowa would probably be enough to turn on his sore loser side, which is so unpleasant that it might even turn off his own supporters.

iatee, Sunday, 13 December 2015 01:01 (eight years ago) link

Other politicians get away w Trump's shtick all the time, it's not as if he has a lockdown on political assholery. The thought that he is a laughable fringe element and not symbolizing the rotten mainstream core of the modern GOP is comforting. The evidence is that he is doing well in polls, better than anyone else.

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Sunday, 13 December 2015 01:07 (eight years ago) link

re: Georgia - really really hard to say about it being an outlier poll or not since there's hardly any other data to compare it to. RCP only has eight georgia polls total for the cycle, going back to one with huckabee leading in may. the last couple they show were from november 11th and the period 10/15-10/26. out of their set, FWIW, the landmark polls have consistently shown a bigger margin for trump than the other ones. i don't doubt that he's winning but it's entirely possible that that walloping huge margin reflects a house effect or methodological choice. annoyingly, landmark provides the web with only a headline-grabbing Q1, nothing on method or any other questions (if there were any). would be interesting to know a "is there anybody you wouldn't vote for?" question for the same sample set.

a stat likely to be distorted: in this poll, african-americans broke more clearly for trump, with 56.1% support, than whites did, with 43.3% support. the catch: there were only 16 african americans in the sample of 800, because, well, georgia republican party.

Doctor Casino, Sunday, 13 December 2015 01:27 (eight years ago) link

Other politicians get away w Trump's shtick all the time, it's not as if he has a lockdown on political assholery.

They get away with it but I question how much they're doing so in a way that's really appealing to people in the same way as Trump's kicking ass formula. I agree with iatee. And I was saying yesterday that I could see Carson sticking around because he's so outside the box. The rest of them are a bunch of insiders. Rubio and Cruz might have gotten some recent upticks, but we'll see how far that goes.

timellison, Sunday, 13 December 2015 01:38 (eight years ago) link

xp lol

sleeve, Sunday, 13 December 2015 01:38 (eight years ago) link

New poll with Cruz leading in Iowa:

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2015/12/13/fox-news-poll-cruz-trump-ahead-in-iowa-clinton-holds-caucus-lead.html

Supposedly an "unprecedented" spike. I'm fine with Cruz winning the nomination. I dislike him the most by far, so good for staying engaged. And I don't think his chance of winning a general is significantly better than Trump's.

clemenza, Sunday, 13 December 2015 15:07 (eight years ago) link

nothing wrong with that unretouched pic of Ivanka, she's very beautiful.

akm, Sunday, 13 December 2015 16:58 (eight years ago) link

agreed also it seems wrong to mock her bc of dislike for her father. she's not responsible for his behavior.

Mordy, Sunday, 13 December 2015 17:01 (eight years ago) link

the concept of a 'downfall' of an independently wealthy candidate when there's no voting going on is a curious one

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 13 December 2015 17:08 (eight years ago) link

i am guilty of bringing up ivanka's looks but i wasn't trying to mock her. i believe my intention at the time was to express an aesthetic difference with donald trump re: him finding her so beautiful he would like to marry her. i thought the introduction of her father set the table very well for his opening speech and impeding campaign

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Monday, 14 December 2015 01:58 (eight years ago) link

Lol @ impeding

Οὖτις, Monday, 14 December 2015 02:36 (eight years ago) link

this is funny to me, but i know it probably isn't to anyone else:

as a person that loves all things dark and evil; black metal, horror films, goth rock, etc. i really like newt gingrich and ted cruz. i like these guys because they just seem like untethered forces of pain and evil (i love evil things). not that i'd vote for them or anything, but hey, i like them, in an evil sense.

x-post. shut up. (monster mash), Monday, 14 December 2015 14:09 (eight years ago) link

Some politicians seem "evil" in a sociopathic, power hungry, spiteful, venal sort of way. Cruz seems like someone who has jars full of little trophies that he casually cut off of his screaming victims while stroking their hair and gently shushing them.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Monday, 14 December 2015 14:29 (eight years ago) link

not that i'd vote for them or anything, but hey, i like them, in an evil sense.

man there are far worse people within the GOP alone much less outside of politics that you could appreciate for their 'evil'

Hammer Smashed Bagels, Monday, 14 December 2015 15:18 (eight years ago) link

weren't you the guy who said nathan for you was bad for your soul

global tetrahedron, Monday, 14 December 2015 15:33 (eight years ago) link

https://twitter.com/_FloridaMan/status/676432647493722114/photo/1

Οὖτις, Monday, 14 December 2015 17:02 (eight years ago) link

^^^let's do our part here guys

Οὖτις, Monday, 14 December 2015 17:03 (eight years ago) link

Sunday Times op section featured a piece on lying by the editor of Politifact, and this chart:

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CWJGiPNVAAA2H8w.png

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, 14 December 2015 19:27 (eight years ago) link

Martin O'Malley, King oh Half-Truths

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Monday, 14 December 2015 19:30 (eight years ago) link

grrr "of"

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Monday, 14 December 2015 19:30 (eight years ago) link

Are Bill, Biden, Cheney and Obama on there for ... scale?

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 14 December 2015 19:31 (eight years ago) link

that chart is incredibly telling, isn't it?

wizzz! (amateurist), Monday, 14 December 2015 19:51 (eight years ago) link

telling of the liberal lamestream media's bias against conservatives, yes

Karl Malone, Monday, 14 December 2015 19:51 (eight years ago) link

haha exactly

Οὖτις, Monday, 14 December 2015 19:51 (eight years ago) link

Breitbart's version of that chart is exactly the same with the numbers reversed

Οὖτις, Monday, 14 December 2015 19:52 (eight years ago) link

did politifart rate clinton on #BENGHAZI ?!?!

Karl Malone, Monday, 14 December 2015 19:52 (eight years ago) link

GOP base: "lie to me"

wizzz! (amateurist), Monday, 14 December 2015 19:52 (eight years ago) link

what about every time Sanders and Clinton have LIED about climate change being real?!?

Karl Malone, Monday, 14 December 2015 19:53 (eight years ago) link

I've read many a Politifact analysis of various political statements, where they lay out their cases for rating them one way or another, and I can't say I've been overly impressed at the reasoning behind their ratings. Sometimes they nitpick over very small errors and at other times they seem awfully lenient over large misstaements. However, when they say "Pants on Fire" it is always an accurate assessment.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Monday, 14 December 2015 19:59 (eight years ago) link

Poltifact's both-sides-do-it equivalence is annoying as hell

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 14 December 2015 20:02 (eight years ago) link

it truly is. and that's why that chart is so damning (my smartass comments aside). i'm sure conservatives would just blow it off as liberal media bias without even realizing that if anything it's probably TOO forgiving

Karl Malone, Monday, 14 December 2015 20:04 (eight years ago) link

I have no exp with Politifact, but this particular NYT piece wasn't both-sides-do-it so much as all-pols-lie (which is true, that's their job).

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, 14 December 2015 20:07 (eight years ago) link

which debate was it, maybe the CNBC one, where each of the GOP candidates referenced a single organization that assessed their budget plans? and of course, each candidate's budget was deemed to be an enormous driver of growth and neverending prosperity and DOUBLEFUCKINGDIGITS annual GDP increases? if memory serves, the organization they all referenced was part of the fucking Heritage foundation. and no one called them out on it, certainly not the debate moderators. god that was bullshit. i'm trying to imagine the reaction to sanders or clinton citing a positive evaluation of their budget plans from MoveOn.org

Karl Malone, Monday, 14 December 2015 20:09 (eight years ago) link

http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/article/2015/dec/13/politifact-partnering-nbc-news-2016-election/

x-post --Chuck Todd will now feel emboldened to continue with the both-sides-do-it equivalence in the same manner

curmudgeon, Monday, 14 December 2015 20:34 (eight years ago) link

Jeb is not excited about administering this proctology exam
http://static01.nyt.com/images/2015/12/15/us/15bushattack-web/15bushattack-web-master675.jpg

Οὖτις, Monday, 14 December 2015 21:01 (eight years ago) link

http://i.imgur.com/q0dVtT7.jpg

Karl Malone, Monday, 14 December 2015 22:04 (eight years ago) link

lol Pataki

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Monday, 14 December 2015 22:05 (eight years ago) link

31.4 Trump 16.3 Cruz 13.3 Rubio 12.6 Carson

60% of the Republican party prefers one of Trump, Cruz or Carson.

Mordy, Monday, 14 December 2015 22:07 (eight years ago) link

cruz and rubio's gains have come at the expense of carson, while trump keeps flaming out

of course, to counter that you 538's usual "why are you reading an article on this website right now? none of this matters!" article

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/polls-suggest-trump-will-win-between-8-percent-and-64-percent-of-the-vote/

Karl Malone, Monday, 14 December 2015 22:10 (eight years ago) link

(which, to be fair, is probably right. it's just funny that all of their content has to come with the caveat that you shouldn't be reading their content)

Karl Malone, Monday, 14 December 2015 22:11 (eight years ago) link

31.4 Trump 16.3 Cruz 13.3 Rubio 12.6 Carson

60% of the Republican party prefers one of Trump, Cruz or Carson.

my go-to crazy crew is trump/cruz/carson/fiorina. i view all four of them as the cream of the bonkers crop. give me a second and i'll update my patented crazy crew aggregation chart, based off of RCP's data

Karl Malone, Monday, 14 December 2015 22:14 (eight years ago) link

come on angry republicans take a step back and look at that graph dr. morbius posted, you still have time to vote for a candidate that is 'mostly truthful' a whopping 51% of the time jeez ys wingnuts

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Monday, 14 December 2015 22:21 (eight years ago) link

maybe i'm misreading it but fiorina codes more as high-powered business woman to me than wingnut

Mordy, Monday, 14 December 2015 22:24 (eight years ago) link

like w/ no relevance to what her actual positions might be just what i imagine her supporters like about her

Mordy, Monday, 14 December 2015 22:25 (eight years ago) link

ok, this uses the underlying polls that RCP tracks, not the poll averages:

http://i.imgur.com/Do8dCvs.jpg

Karl Malone, Monday, 14 December 2015 22:26 (eight years ago) link

yeah, i guess fiorina's insanity is debatable. i guess she really freaked me out during the second GOP debate. something about the intensity of her delivery + the rehearsed nature of it freaked me out. hard to explain. luckily for the sake of my groundbreaking work, though, including her or not barely makes a difference to the crazy crew's overall dominance.

Karl Malone, Monday, 14 December 2015 22:29 (eight years ago) link

do you all like the little arrow i put on the right side? if my calculations are correct they should be at about 300% by february, har har

Karl Malone, Monday, 14 December 2015 22:30 (eight years ago) link

60% of the Republican party

"likely voters," who are not the party

watch for the nominee to be not-one-of-those-three

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, 14 December 2015 22:31 (eight years ago) link

rubio, then? it's definitely possible, but cruz has so much money.

Karl Malone, Monday, 14 December 2015 22:33 (eight years ago) link

i beseech you (poor morons) to break out of your fact free bubble and vote for a candidate that is maybe only lying 49% of the time (maybe less!)

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Monday, 14 December 2015 22:48 (eight years ago) link

That whole thing where Fiorina made up a clip from the Planned Parenthood videos and then refused to retract it when everyone pointed out it didn't exist. I think that's her claim to wingnut fame. But compared to the of the repub field, that seems quite mild, perhaps.

Frederik B, Monday, 14 December 2015 22:53 (eight years ago) link

Are polls even down to the "likely voter" point yet? Thought that was one of 538's recurring mantras, that as it gets closer to the actual voting, the polls will be refining down to a likely-voter model but I can't remember how they do that or when.

Doctor Casino, Monday, 14 December 2015 22:55 (eight years ago) link

surprised no one is hammering the 'but the futures markets say otherwise' stuff in the press this time around

carly rae jetson (thomp), Monday, 14 December 2015 23:32 (eight years ago) link

Feel like the services of St Sanders are needed

lute bro (brimstead), Monday, 14 December 2015 23:42 (eight years ago) link

saw my first Rubio bumper sticker today

sleeve, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 00:43 (eight years ago) link

http://i68.tinypic.com/91e7ow.jpg

Display Namf oh shit, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 01:37 (eight years ago) link

i made an homage to the pioneering politicians with dildos guy, but warning, extremely NSFW

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 03:24 (eight years ago) link

it's also kind of disturbing, sorry

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 03:24 (eight years ago) link

an acquaintance made this (also nsfw)

https://twitter.com/_markallen/status/663812185563369472

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 03:57 (eight years ago) link

@the_intercept 18h
Marco Rubio, who is raising money from telecom industry, asked FCC to let states block municipal broadband services.

https://theintercept.com/2015/12/14/marco-rubio-pushes-to-block-low-cost-high-speed-broadband/

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 15:45 (eight years ago) link

Trump supporter screams "Sieg Heil" at Black Lives Matter protestor during Trump rally:
http://www.sfgate.com/entertainment/article/Donald-Trump-Supporters-Scream-Nazi-Salute-6699265.php

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 16:46 (eight years ago) link

this was retweeted by cruz himself

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CWSK8ufVAAIByS-.jpg

goole, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 17:49 (eight years ago) link

he has the face of a disney villain

Mordy, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 17:49 (eight years ago) link

https://twitter.com/caseyscomments/status/676818638205128705

goole, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 17:50 (eight years ago) link

queue Michael Sembello-themed campaign commercial

Check Yr Scrobbles (Moodles), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 17:50 (eight years ago) link

he's coocoo for constitutionpuffs

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 17:51 (eight years ago) link

i am seeing a cinema classic w/ Karl Malone tonight, who never suspected i just wanted him to skip the evening's GOP freakshow for his mental health

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 17:53 (eight years ago) link

finally going to rescreen Ghostbusters eh

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 17:57 (eight years ago) link

http://www.nationalreview.com/article/428515/conservative-leaders-ted-cruz-earns-allegiance-private-meeting

Tony Perkins of FRC runs his own straw poll (a non-smoke-filled room); they see it as cruz vs rubio

really interesting, esp the attitude toward trump. evangelicals (at least their leadership) really aren't into him.

goole, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 18:06 (eight years ago) link

why would they be, he is really clearly not one of them

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 18:07 (eight years ago) link

Trump is complete and total anathema to evangelicals, who are all about helping refugees (that they can then convert into Christians)

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 18:10 (eight years ago) link

Trump is complete and total anathema to evangelicals, who are all about helping refugees (that they can then convert into Christians)

― you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Tuesday, December 15, 2015 1:10 PM (2 hours ago)

eh most "evangelicals" don't think this hard

k3vin k., Tuesday, 15 December 2015 20:48 (eight years ago) link

yeah neither do American consumers. i really doubt his bank account is going to suffer any consequences if he loses and takes a long vacation (after courting Nazis)

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 20:54 (eight years ago) link

That Trump pic looks like he's trying to do the McKayla Maroney "not impressed" face

http://www.amerikaliturk.com/media/images/112012/obamadudak.jpg

medley of extemporanea (Ye Mad Puffin), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 21:05 (eight years ago) link

eh most "evangelicals" don't think this hard

― k3vin k., Tuesday, December 15, 2015

yeah no, k3vin

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 21:05 (eight years ago) link

more stuff from republicanland:

http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2015/12/gop-billionaires-cant-seem-to-buy-this-election.html

this story is amazing:

GOP donor class could have saved themselves millions by, like, reading sam wang and nate silver instead of listening to karl rove. they really thought mitt would win, and they're pissed now.

goole, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 21:05 (eight years ago) link

The savviest GOP candidates have capitalized on this shift. In fact, Cruz’s campaign fund-raising apparatus seems designed to let donors roll up their sleeves. Cruz contributors can specify how they want their money spent, much in the way universities allow benefactors to earmark their donations for a new science wing or aquatics center. “If you’re a donor, you can say, ‘I want to see this money used for Iowa,’ ” one strategist told me. “It’s a way to entice donors. They look at it like fantasy football.”

lol oh god hahahaha

goole, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 21:06 (eight years ago) link

Trump is complete and total anathema to evangelicals, who are all about helping refugees (that they can then convert into Christians)

― you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Tuesday, December 15, 2015 1:10 PM (2 hours ago)

eh most "evangelicals" don't think this hard

― k3vin k., Tuesday, December 15, 2015 3:48 PM

i wouldn't paint evangelicals with such a broad stroke. at this point their choices are:

- Cruz (who only wants Christian refugees, determined by a method that doesn't exist, so i doubt he's too worried about converting them)
- Carson (evangelical favorite because he doesn't believe in evolution, supports innovative Joseph/Pharoah/Pyramids fan fiction, and connects taxation to tithing, somehow)
- Santorum/Huckabee (the old standbys, and they definitely pass the Do You Hate The Right People? test, but they've also demonstrated that they can't win an election)
- Trump (he may not be a good Christian, but he's demonstrated that he's willing to throw away notions of working with Muslims. he's willing to explicitly define them as Others. enough of this PC garbage, Christianity is the one true religion and we should stop pretending that others are worthy of respect, etc etc. i know this comes across as a gross caricature but my source is 18 years of attending an evangelical church in missouri. there are plenty of christians who really want to work with people of other religions, help out refugees, and emulate Jesus as much as they can. there are also plenty of christians who are big ol' fucking bigoted assholes who see no contradiction between listening to Hannity/Limbaugh/Jones on the way to wednesday night bible study)

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 21:06 (eight years ago) link

presuming of course that said evangelicals are going to vote for a Republican

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 21:09 (eight years ago) link

more from that nymag piece:

Perhaps Bush is the perfect case study: The candidate who has underperformed the most is the one with a 2012-style campaign, who steered all his major donors into one super-pac. That organization, Right to Rise USA, is run by the grizzled strategist Mike Murphy, who succeeded in bundling a $100 million war chest and is now finding himself on the receiving end of donor backlash. Last month, for instance, a group of major Bush supporters held a conference call to vent about Murphy after he outlined his strategy in an interview to Bloomberg Politics. “These guys got rip-shit,” said one person briefed on the call.

these guys got what?

goole, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 21:09 (eight years ago) link

haaaaaaaaaa

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 21:11 (eight years ago) link

Rip! shit

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 21:12 (eight years ago) link

I know, you're rich in
Good clothes, and little things
Your mind, is fancy
(And your car is bitchin')
Is she weird
Is she weird, is she white
Is she promised to the night
And her head has no room
Is she weird, is she white
Is she promised to the night
And her head has no room
Is she weird, is she white
Is she promised to the night
And her head has no room
And her head has no room
Your heart is rip-shit
Your mouth is everywhere
I'm lyin' in it
Is she weird
Is she over me
Like the stars and the sun
Like the stars and the sun
Is she weird, is she white
Is she promised to the night
And her head has no room
Is she weird, is she white
Is she promised to the night
And her head has no room
Is she weird, is she white
Is she promised to the night
And her head has no room
And her head has no room
No more of this girl cryin'
I'm here, your big man
You're mine
Is she weird, is she white
Is she promised to the night
And her head has no room

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 21:18 (eight years ago) link

during the soul-crushing descent of our country into a national Lord of the Flies-like nightmare, there is space for delicious schadenfreude

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 21:20 (eight years ago) link

n1 josh

Nhex, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 21:25 (eight years ago) link

the thought of jesus christ turning away refugees is one of the most ridiculous things

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 21:42 (eight years ago) link

presuming of course that said evangelicals are going to vote for a Republican

― you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Tuesday, December 15, 2015 3:09 PM (32 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

i know a few liberal-leaning evangelicals. what % of the evangelical vote has gone republican in recent presidential elections? i assume it's a blowup, but a lot of folks talk as if liberal evangelicals don't exist; they really do.

wizzz! (amateurist), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 21:43 (eight years ago) link

er i mean blowout

wizzz! (amateurist), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 21:43 (eight years ago) link

http://ak-hdl.buzzfed.com/static/2015-12/14/20/enhanced/webdr07/enhanced-mid-6824-1450141212-1.jpg

had no idea Colonel Sanders was latino

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 21:44 (eight years ago) link

lmbo

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 21:46 (eight years ago) link

are (most of) you just talking about white evangelicals?

droit au butt (Euler), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 21:47 (eight years ago) link

http://www.pewforum.org/files/2012/07/partyid-2.jpg

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 21:50 (eight years ago) link

i grew up protestant and have been receiving 'e-communications' from my particular denomination like "Tell Congress & Your Governor to WELCOME ALL REFUGEES!" (literally)

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 21:51 (eight years ago) link

the thought of jesus christ turning away refugees is one of the most ridiculous things

is it though?

Mordy, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 21:52 (eight years ago) link

yeah..

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 21:53 (eight years ago) link

i mean i'm not a christian theologian but i'm skeptical of reading yr personal politics into yr religion. why would a judean w/ messianic pretensions who explicitly told his advisors not to proselytize to gentiles be in favor of massive refugee emigration?

Mordy, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 21:53 (eight years ago) link

jesus would probably just respond with an enigmatic quip and start flipping tables

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 21:54 (eight years ago) link

there may not be causation but the correlation between a black Democrat becoming president and an increase in Republican registration over the course of his first term is intersting

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 21:55 (eight years ago) link

Matthew 25:35-36+bonuswisdom

For I was hungry and you gave me something to eat, I was thirsty and you gave me something to drink, I was a stranger and you invited me in, I needed clothes and you clothed me, I was sick and you looked after me, I was in prison and you came to visit me. But my good friend was a non-Christian refugee, so you did not help her because she is going to hell.

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 21:57 (eight years ago) link

there are something like 8 million Bible verses about taking in people who are suffering hardship and helping them, all of which are a 5 second Google search away

I know it's easier to say "I don't actually know anything about this but" and then talk out of your ass but c'mon

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 21:59 (eight years ago) link

oh come on, Mordy's not illiterate, he is just into the specific historical and socio-religious context of Jesus (which does not necessarily easily map onto today's political issues)

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:01 (eight years ago) link

"there may not be causation but the correlation between a black Democrat becoming president and an increase in Republican registration over the course of his first term is intersting"

Worth noting though that Republican registration was probably artificially low after Bush debacle.

One bad call from barely losing to (Alex in SF), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:02 (eight years ago) link

not really, does he really want to talk about the end of Matthew too? this is just trolling.

droit au butt (Euler), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:03 (eight years ago) link

lol @ "messianic pretentions"

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:03 (eight years ago) link

I think Mordy is correct in obliquely suggesting that any claims to Xtian religious authority on the subject of refugees is dubious

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:04 (eight years ago) link

hello 1. i'm not a christian theologian either 2. were his messianic pretensions really just pretensions ;) 3. ignore 2. 4. in my scenario jesus is just looking at a group of refugees and saying go away, not massive industrial emigration 5. i never said anything about my personal politics i just said what the church i grew up in was saying

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:05 (eight years ago) link

I think Trump should come out swinging at this Jesus fellow.

"Me? I like the guys who _didn't_ get crucified. Christ: what a loser."

"He couldn't handle Pilate, what makes you think he'd be able to deal with Putin?"

"Five thousand? I woulda fed TEN thousand. And not just bread and fish either - a nice classy meal, like maybe some pork chops. It woulda been yuge."

"Turn the other cheek? What _is_ that? To me, that sounds like being a wimp and a pushover."

medley of extemporanea (Ye Mad Puffin), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:07 (eight years ago) link

yeah, jesus was not all about taking in heathen refugees (though obv his pov on muslims would be anachronistic and maybe he'd consider them non-heathens bc of their monotheism) but

2 John 1:9-11

Everyone who goes on ahead and does not abide in the teaching of Christ, does not have God. Whoever abides in the teaching has both the Father and the Son. If anyone comes to you and does not bring this teaching, do not receive him into your house or give him any greeting, for whoever greets him takes part in his wicked works.

Mordy, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:07 (eight years ago) link

just suggesting maybe the "obv my religion supports my pov" is a dangerous road to go down as anti-refugee christians have plenty of christian history to draw from for their pov as well.

Mordy, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:09 (eight years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CWTIi6QWUAA-oHW.png

mookieproof, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:09 (eight years ago) link

wtf is going on here?

(•̪●) (carne asada), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:10 (eight years ago) link

Some Christians are going to say "WWJD with refugees?" and their answer would be that he would welcome them, shelter them, feed them (and then maybe convert them). Other Christians are going to say "WWJD with refugees?" and their answer would be "he would cast them out as damned heathens and servants of the devil". I'm sure there's scriptural "support" for both positions (as there usually is for any given issue).

xp

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:10 (eight years ago) link

yes that's all i'm saying but whatever euler says i'm trolling so just ignore me idc

Mordy, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:11 (eight years ago) link

well christian believers who want to take in refugees aren't going to cede their religious grounds to the restrictionists. how dangerous a road to go down is it, really?

goole, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:11 (eight years ago) link

http://www.easyenglish.info/bible-commentary/2john-lbw.htm

Most interpretations see this as coming from John, not Jesus.

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:12 (eight years ago) link

it appears that there are some contradictions in the bible

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:12 (eight years ago) link

dood SPOILERS

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:14 (eight years ago) link

(also drudge siren)

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:14 (eight years ago) link

how dangerous a road to go down is it, really?

idk if its dangerous but turning to Biblical guidance for solutions to problems that are civil and political in nature is generally not constructive ime

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:15 (eight years ago) link

i do understand that many liberal christians have located their political beliefs deeply within their faith beliefs and that probably for many they are in favor of accepting refugees precisely because of their belief in jesus and his teachings. but it doesn't make sense to say that jesus 100% said one thing or another as from what i understand american protestants and catholics are pretty divided on this question and i doubt those rejecting refugees are just ignorant about what jesus /really/ believed (or worse are heretical).

Mordy, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:19 (eight years ago) link

are some posters really arguing that Jesus does not call for charity towards neighbors (and strangers)

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:21 (eight years ago) link

yes

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:21 (eight years ago) link

feel like the crux of the issue is whether or not Xtians are obligated to consider Muslim refugees as "neighbors (and strangers)"

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:25 (eight years ago) link

99% of xians alternately remember and forget jesus' teachings when convenient

see also: everyone

wizzz! (amateurist), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:26 (eight years ago) link

"obligated" no but you get bonus heaven points if you do (and a couple extra if you try to convert them)

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:26 (eight years ago) link

Dante put "Mahomedans" in the Inferno, but I'm going on that tangent.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:27 (eight years ago) link

*I'm NOT going

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:27 (eight years ago) link

try googling "the good Samaritan", Shakey

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:27 (eight years ago) link

try googling condescension and get back to me

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:30 (eight years ago) link

there's one school of thought that interprets the parable of the Good Samaritan as being explicitly about shaming a specific Jewish sect fyi maybe google it

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:31 (eight years ago) link

you're looking way too much into that story!

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:32 (eight years ago) link

From the stories about Jesus hanging out with the dregs of society to his replacing the guard's ear after Peter hacks it off (in John, I think?), nothing in the New Testament suggests anything but the possibility of heavenly reward for doing good to others.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:34 (eight years ago) link

so those thousands of years when Christ's dutiful followers enslaved, massacred and otherwise completely violated other non-Christians, they were all just erring in their interpretations

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:38 (eight years ago) link

if only they had read the Bible

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:38 (eight years ago) link

you guys are smart, I'm baffled that you're this tripped up by theology

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:39 (eight years ago) link

Catholics don't read the Bible!

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:39 (eight years ago) link

btw james carroll discusses that kind of fundamental anti-semitism in the samaritan story and i've seen some ppl suggest maybe the original story was about an israelite and it was changed to a samaritan to provide the political need? idk, obv religions are complex multivocal etc but like it is interesting that even one of the most unambiguous cases of jesus preaching love for the stranger still exists within a discourse in which it is arguing for the very opposite. anyway also interesting bc this week the church had a big thing re the jews and their place in the religion. a lot of ppl have read the new status quo as a huge step forward for jewish-catholic relations but i've seen many jews who take exception to the idea that Jews are "people of God of Jews and Gentiles, united in Christ" as if they can't be allowed to have their own religious traditions and belief but must still line up (in a mysterious unfathomable way) w/ the very thing they spent two thousand years protesting. i mean on one level wanting to accept refugees so that you can impress them w/ christianity and hopefully convert them is a huge subversion of the supposed radical idea of kindness that some ppl argue jesus taught.

Mordy, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:40 (eight years ago) link

Papal dogma and doctrine >>>>>>>>> Bible

My mom, after twelve years of Catholic education, says she learned in college that Christ was a Jew.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:40 (eight years ago) link

alfred i'm sure the ppl involved w/ church + inquisition arm directed genocides + mass conversions read the Bible. or do you mean they didn't /read/ the Bible, they just read it

Mordy, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:41 (eight years ago) link

Um, the story of the good samaritan doesn't mention sects? It's a priest and a levite, not 'sects'?

Frederik B, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:41 (eight years ago) link

if *only* that story had more sects

nomar, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:43 (eight years ago) link

priest + levite are jewish castes and the samaritans were a heretical jewish sect. the natural third for that story would be an israelite (the non-temple jewish caste).

Mordy, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:43 (eight years ago) link

He went to him [...] pouring on oil and wine

xp

goole, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:44 (eight years ago) link

alfred i'm sure the ppl involved w/ church + inquisition arm directed genocides + mass conversions read the Bible. or do you mean they didn't /read/ the Bible, they just read it

― Mordy,

the early Church fathers had a fascination with Pauline theory and the Old Testament, both of which emphasize battle and conquest for the righteous before God.

But we're going off subject to prove our smarts. Is it unchristian for a conservative voter to pick on a homo? Yes, full stop.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:44 (eight years ago) link

It's very specifically about the upper caste of jewish priesthood not doing anything, while an outcast does. To claim that it's against 'Jews' is nonsense.

Frederik B, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:46 (eight years ago) link

what do u think the 'upper caste of jewish priesthood' means?

Mordy, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:47 (eight years ago) link

anyway to bring it around to that NRO article about the SUPER SECRET evangelical primary -- pretty clearly the trump constituency are the kinds of people are the kinds of people who view themselves as American before any particular religious commitment, nationalism vs conservatism if you like

goole, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:48 (eight years ago) link

this is the weirdest tangent for this thread (I am positive we've discussed the Good Samaritan parable somewhere else)

xp

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:48 (eight years ago) link

in one of the atheism-related threads i think? and somewhat recently?

Mordy, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:49 (eight years ago) link

(take a look at the salon interview - he says very eloquently what i was trying to argue on that thread)

Mordy, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:52 (eight years ago) link

I have no idea what you're asking about, Mordy? Have you read Reza Aslan's Zealot? I read the Salon interview and Carroll doesn't strike me as the most knowledgable man about the context. He's also seemingly only educated as a theologician? I don't think he knows what he's talking about. The whole thing about Jesus not attacking the temple seems dumb to me as well. People WERE attacking the temple institutions, the head priest got assassinated inside it around that time.

Frederik B, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:55 (eight years ago) link

Also, his idea that manicheism (though he never says this word) is born out of anti-semitism seems dubious to me as well.

Frederik B, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 22:58 (eight years ago) link

the ppl who ignore the man are representatives of the temple faith. the implicit suggestion (stated elsewhere explicitly) is that they are more concerned w/ the strict law than w/ kindness/love. this is a fundamental dichotomy that the text is affirming here. the good samaritan is a member of a heretical sect that is good by virtue of his complete disassociation w/ contemporaneous jewry. that's why the third person is a samaritan and not the anticipated israelite (where at least you could read an affirmation of humble/outsiderness w/out the sting of absolute theological rejection). idk why his theological background is a problem - i'd trust his educational training on a topic like this more than any other institutional expertise (except maybe a strict bible crit pov which i think would agree w/ a number of his pts).

Mordy, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 23:01 (eight years ago) link

i do find it amusing how defensive christians get about this tho

Mordy, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 23:02 (eight years ago) link

It's not 'contemporaneous jewry'. It's upper caste jewry. And the good samaritan is good because he does good.

And I'd trust a religious historian to point out the original history of the bible text, more than a theologician. He seems to have no awareness of any kind of history.

Frederik B, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 23:07 (eight years ago) link

I have a degree in history, btw. I think that has as much to do with my 'defensiveness' as my religion does.

Frederik B, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 23:08 (eight years ago) link

okay lol

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 23:09 (eight years ago) link

upper caste is a misnomer. they were the religious priests who conducted the temple service integral to jewish ritual life of which detailed references persist in the daily liturgy of jewish prayer in 2015.

Mordy, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 23:09 (eight years ago) link

I wish Jesus had known about dinosaurs tbh

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 23:10 (eight years ago) link

he knew they were a HOAX

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 23:12 (eight years ago) link

And final thing, but aren't priests and levites also israelites? It would be like a joke: 'a new yorker, a southerner, and an american walks into a bar'...

Frederik B, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 23:13 (eight years ago) link

no, 3 different castes. israelite is understood to mean not a cohen or a levi

Mordy, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 23:15 (eight years ago) link

upper caste is a misnomer. they were the religious priests who conducted the temple service integral to jewish ritual life of which detailed references persist in the daily liturgy of jewish prayer in 2015.

― Mordy, 16. december 2015 00:09 (4 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

That is not opposites. Christian history is full of anti-clericalism as well, and not based on anti-religion, but religious and political elites has often been intertwined.

Frederik B, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 23:15 (eight years ago) link

What Would Jesus Run As?

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 23:18 (eight years ago) link

has anyone ever made a movie in which jesus came back and ran for president?

wizzz! (amateurist), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 23:19 (eight years ago) link

JESUS 2016

http://ratiochristi.org/media/events/photos/whyjesus.JPG

wizzz! (amateurist), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 23:20 (eight years ago) link

https://twitter.com/naijcom/status/675429038039633920?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw

Mordy, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 23:22 (eight years ago) link

jesus be like "wha?"

wizzz! (amateurist), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 23:23 (eight years ago) link

he looks confused about being on Twitter

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 23:25 (eight years ago) link

"God is my hashtag? Why?"

Mark G, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 23:28 (eight years ago) link

They should get Andy Serkis to funny suit animate that caveman Jesus.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 15 December 2015 23:31 (eight years ago) link

He looks a little like Ogre from Revenge of the Nerds facially.

One bad call from barely losing to (Alex in SF), Tuesday, 15 December 2015 23:56 (eight years ago) link

they should use that computer to tell us the son of man's IQ

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 00:47 (eight years ago) link

Caught some of Hannity out of Buffalo on the way home tonight, and he was complaining about Obama not bombing oil fields to choke off funding of Isis. "We need a wartime president." His wording reminded me of James Caan in The Godfather: "If I had a wartime consiglieri--a Sicilian--I wouldn't be in this shape. Pop had Genco, look what I got."

I hope someone in this debate gets panicky.

clemenza, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 01:28 (eight years ago) link

Besides the audience, you mean.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 01:46 (eight years ago) link

lol we DID bomb the oil fields just recently after holding off for a while

http://time.com/4145903/islamic-state-oil-syria/

sleeve, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:05 (eight years ago) link

although the fine print of that article does suggest some hesitancy & inertia

sleeve, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:07 (eight years ago) link

did rubio, cruz and jeb all say "everyone understands" why people reacted to trump the way they did?

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:09 (eight years ago) link

watching this debate i feel like i'm hallucinating getting attacked by terrorists once a month over the past eight years

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:11 (eight years ago) link

Are Americans really more afraid than at any time since 9/11?

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:11 (eight years ago) link

I can't believe they're still running nine people out there. If school teams operated that way, we'd still be holding football tryouts in June.

clemenza, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:13 (eight years ago) link

Is the San Bernardino attack really being treated as a terrorist attack on some different level than a crazy guy shooting up a clinic in Colorado Springs?

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:14 (eight years ago) link

I'd like the moderators to ask these guys how they would fundamentally distinguish the San Bernardino shooting from the Colorado Springs shooting. Does it just boil down to the religion of the shooter?

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:15 (eight years ago) link

These guys are such dipshits all of them.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:16 (eight years ago) link

Which of these chumps keeps coughing off camera?

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:17 (eight years ago) link

Is the San Bernardino attack really being treated as a terrorist attack on some different level than a crazy guy shooting up a clinic in Colorado Springs?

― Josh in Chicago

ask them about Dylann Roof

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:19 (eight years ago) link

They should take all phones and screens away from these guys, lock them in a room, then just tell them they're the stars of a highly rated reality show. Then keep them in that room, forever, until they die. And then keep broadcasting it, so we can slowly watch them decompose.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:20 (eight years ago) link

Christie's tie is trying to escape.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:21 (eight years ago) link

I actually thought Christie said "And we stopped four dicks..." there--I thought his famous temper was taking hold.

clemenza, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:22 (eight years ago) link

Forget office, Jeb! has seriously aged over the course of his campaign.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:23 (eight years ago) link

Trump just claimed the Internet for America.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:27 (eight years ago) link

I think Trump wants to invade the internet.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:28 (eight years ago) link

I think a firewall that starts with a simple pop-up question--"Are you from Isis?"--would work just fine.

clemenza, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:28 (eight years ago) link

They should take all phones and screens away from these guys, lock them in a room, then just tell them they're the stars of a highly rated reality show. Then keep them in that room, forever, until they die. And then keep broadcasting it, so we can slowly watch them decompose.

― Josh in Chicago

ironically being locked in a room and decomposing is kind what it's like to work for the government!

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:30 (eight years ago) link

which one of these people would be best at running the day to day functions of the government?

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:30 (eight years ago) link

like the really boring shit

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:32 (eight years ago) link

Well, if you conclude the day to day function of the government is indiscriminately killing and bombing, they'd probably all be OK at that.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:32 (eight years ago) link

Kill, kill, death, death.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:32 (eight years ago) link

who could take care of a plant hte best

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:33 (eight years ago) link

http://media.mnn.com/assets/images/2015/06/dead-plant.jpg

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:35 (eight years ago) link

"who can take care of a plant?"

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:36 (eight years ago) link

jeb very much the "very serious person" in the room

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:38 (eight years ago) link

FITE!

kevin smith what a bro (Myonga Vön Bontee), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:38 (eight years ago) link

will ferrell was born to play jeb! not W imo

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:39 (eight years ago) link

I think what we have here, boys, is a good ol' fashioned asshole-off.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:39 (eight years ago) link

i hope they preserve ben carson's brain when he dies

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:41 (eight years ago) link

The dynamic seems pretty obvious. Anyone close stays clear of Trump for the time being; the people who confront him are Bush and Paul. Cruz and Rubio are after each other. Carson's barely in the picture.

clemenza, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:42 (eight years ago) link

Trump fighting with the crowd! What a fucking loon.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:45 (eight years ago) link

Ah, fuck it, I don't want to watch this shit. This is like eating 8 strips of bacon, a pint of gas station ice cream, then plopping down for a Two and half Men rerun marathon.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:47 (eight years ago) link

Josh you're never going to be president with that attitude

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:49 (eight years ago) link

remember when petraeus was fired for telling obama something he didn't want to hear? "i'm involved in a bizarre and degrading sex scandal"

Mordy, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:49 (eight years ago) link

The office of President is outdated. It's all about the Facebook and Snapchat and Twitter. I will call up my friends on those services, and together we will make American great again.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 02:50 (eight years ago) link

ted cruz is like one of those dudes who took church really *really* seriously

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 03:00 (eight years ago) link

following the rules for so long you end up making up the rules without knowing it

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 03:03 (eight years ago) link

Iran is winning everywhere! The Shia crescent is spreading!

timellison, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 03:08 (eight years ago) link

I think I'm going to bern my Republican primary vote on Christie. I'm curious if he learned anything from #Bridgegate. Maybe he'll be a crook and get impeached after two years.

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 03:11 (eight years ago) link

also he's a pretty #darkhorse candidate and it would be funny to see him make a run and be like lol i'm voting for that guy

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 03:14 (eight years ago) link

Pretty good line by Jeb! (The exclamation belongs to my sentence.)

clemenza, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 03:16 (eight years ago) link

Donald Trump is going to start his own news network!

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 03:18 (eight years ago) link

*trump cruz fist bump*

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 03:25 (eight years ago) link

When Fiorina and Kasich start in on how much people hate all the squabbling--don't they know that's the only reason to watch one of these things?

clemenza, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 03:28 (eight years ago) link

eh just watch a wwe rerun then, i watch it to catch up on the issues

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 03:34 (eight years ago) link

I didn't catch the first 45 mins or so, but this seemed fairly uneventful. I don't think rubio came off well.

iatee, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 04:09 (eight years ago) link

Is the San Bernardino attack really being treated as a terrorist attack on some different level than a crazy guy shooting up a clinic in Colorado Springs?

― Josh in Chicago

ask them about Dylann Roof

― rap is dad (it's a boy!), Tuesday, December 15, 2015 8:19 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

please. please ask about Roof. and ask about his hero, white supremacist Earl Holt, who has given tens of thousands of dollars to three men standing on that stage tonight.

big fat rascal (will), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 04:14 (eight years ago) link

just don't play a game where you have to drink if they mention mental instability

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 04:35 (eight years ago) link

or when this thread mentions mental instability (wingnuts etc) (x-post)

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 04:36 (eight years ago) link

NPR news led w/ a Huckabee quote! The one about Facebook monitoring that sounded like Clinton.

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 06:18 (eight years ago) link

Naturally the hacks this morning obsess over Jeb!'s "comeback" and ignore Rand Paul inflicting well-timed stings on Christie, Rubio, and Cruz for their belligerence.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 14:28 (eight years ago) link

Sting (wrestler or musician) entering the race at this point would indeed be well-timed.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 14:31 (eight years ago) link

Sting's expertise in tantric practices may help Republican candidates in their decisionmaking about whether to stay in or pull out (of the race).

medley of extemporanea (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 14:33 (eight years ago) link

Also, we'd all be fucked.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 14:37 (eight years ago) link

Proper fucked?

Check Yr Scrobbles (Moodles), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 14:48 (eight years ago) link

president of pain

welltris (crüt), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 14:51 (eight years ago) link

would have voted for him in '84 if he'd worn his Dune thong to debates

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 15:30 (eight years ago) link

The thong remainth the thame.

medley of extemporanea (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 16:04 (eight years ago) link

"On ISIS, let's be clear: The president needs to be a force that's trusted in the world," Christie said. "This president's not trusted ... but I'll tell you this: When I stand across from King Hussein of Jordan, and I say to him, 'You have a friend again, sir, who will stand with you to fight this fight.' he'll change his mind."

King Hussein of Jordan died in 1999.

....The current leader of Jordan is King Abdullah II. Christie and his family were guests of King Abdullah in 2012, when they stayed as weekend guests at Kempinski Hotel there and ran up a tab of $30,000, paid for in part by King Abdullah, according to a report by The New York Times.

http://www.nj.com/politics/index.ssf/2015/12/christie_says_hed_meet_with_jordanian_king_who_die.html

Oh Christie

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 16:22 (eight years ago) link

names are details, look at the big pitcher

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 16:24 (eight years ago) link

why has president barack HUSSEIN obama never been seen in the same room with king HUSSEIN? why won't he promise the american people to meet with him before the end of his term? what's he trying to hide?

Doctor Casino, important war pigeon (Doctor Casino), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 16:26 (eight years ago) link

names are details, look at the big pitcher

They all look same after all.

Anyway, it's not a three, it's a yogh. (Tom D.), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 16:28 (eight years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CWXNw6DUsAEGeGK.png

mookieproof, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 17:10 (eight years ago) link

Voting for Yoda I shall be.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 17:14 (eight years ago) link

I love that Yoda is in there. And that Rubio has been allowed in there, but off to the side. It's all about Cruz!

Frederik B, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 17:24 (eight years ago) link

Establishing shot: Tedtooine, exterior, day.

PRINCESS FI'ORINA: "Help us, Obi-Ben Carsoni, you're our only hope!"

QUI'GON RU'B'IO: "No! There is another!"

D'ONALD FETT: "Fuhgeddaboutit. My lightsaber is more yuge."

medley of extemporanea (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 17:43 (eight years ago) link

common sense, you might call it

It’s no surprise that talking heads rarely recall what happened to Ron Paul supporters in Tampa. They weren’t really watching. I was though, and below is my dispatch from the day the then-Texas congressman’s delegates were evicted from the convention, which some traveled hundreds of miles to attend, on obscure legal technicalities, and replaced by shills for Mitt Romney. It was ugly, an utter insult to a group of hopeful (and mostly young) Republicans who thought that they could change their party through the proper channels.

I don’t like Trump any more or less than I like or loathe Ron Paul, or Rand Paul for that matter. None of that really matters though — at least not any more than it matters if voters at the state level from here to Minnesota back Trump or some other booming fringe chump. The Donald absolutely will not clear the RNC in Cleveland, and while the hideously-coiffed candidate and journalists alike will surely act like the insidious scam of convention politics is some new phenomenon when it repeats itself in 2016, they only have to look back a few years for a precedent …

https://medium.com/@Fara1/here-s-why-and-how-trump-won-t-get-the-gop-nomination-ee5f928d6a78#.d4jtclgdv

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 18:26 (eight years ago) link

ad buys at this pt wouldn't be national tho, right? they'd be concentrated on early primary states?

Mordy, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 19:37 (eight years ago) link

trump is on TV all the damn time anyways so why spend the money.

(•̪●) (carne asada), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 19:38 (eight years ago) link

oh man, lost opportunity for jeb to do the Jim From the Office face there

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 19:47 (eight years ago) link

back
and to the left

nomar, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 19:47 (eight years ago) link

That's the nice guy version of the GTFO move.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 19:50 (eight years ago) link

I had the debate on for about 10 seconds last night and saw exactly the reverse, Jeb talking and Trump mugging (minus the desperate fear-in-eyes finishing move).

Mister, would you please help my brony? (WilliamC), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 21:11 (eight years ago) link

The part where Trump said "Oh, you're real tough, Jeb?" One the rare moments I've actually felt a bit of sympathy for Jeb. Trump is such a bullying prick.

Retro novelty punk (Dan Peterson), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 21:34 (eight years ago) link

ad buys at this pt wouldn't be national tho, right? they'd be concentrated on early primary states?

this is a good point honestly - makes the chart a bit silly, even though i do love the image of jeb's head being smooshed into low single digits by the weight of his big giant spending circle.

Doctor Casino, important war pigeon (Doctor Casino), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 22:21 (eight years ago) link

so did I miss anything last night

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 22:37 (eight years ago) link

i wonder how seriously jeb! has considered calling trump 'chickenshit' on live tv

it'd probably sound like when my mom swears, tho. he's not like his brother, who you could have a beer with and really curse

mookieproof, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 22:50 (eight years ago) link

The part where Trump said "Oh, you're real tough, Jeb?" One the rare moments I've actually felt a bit of sympathy for Jeb. Trump is such a bullying prick.

kinda wonder how well jeb would be doing in the theoretical world where trump hadn't run and there wasn't someone on stage *constantly* emasculating him - right now every single trump/bush interaction makes bush look like some shy teenager. to his defense, he's kinda stuck in a shitty spot because trump doesn't have to play by the same social rules. like bush can't get away with acting like an even brasher asshole than trump. it actually seems possible that trump coulda done this same thing to romney 4 years ago.

iatee, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 23:02 (eight years ago) link

like he could even call romney poor

iatee, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 23:04 (eight years ago) link

he would call water wet

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 23:05 (eight years ago) link

WaPo summary says there was a point where Jeb clearly got under Trump's skin - what's that in reference to?

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 23:06 (eight years ago) link

yeah, i think trump has a very keen instinct for going after the romneys and bushes of the world - would have been the exact same deal. jeb seems particularly flustered and inept with it, and romney might be closer to trump's universe of money people and stuff but he never handled being put on the spot very well. but really jeb walked in the door just waiting to have the "wimp" magazine cover framed around his face.

Doctor Casino, important war pigeon (Doctor Casino), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 23:07 (eight years ago) link

he should have spent more time clearing brush

mookieproof, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 23:08 (eight years ago) link

you misspelled Jeb!'s name

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 23:08 (eight years ago) link

Romney is lot flintier than Jeb! and a lot more comfortable with playing the condescending patrician; I would not be surprised if Trump's attack strategy backfired, particularly if Romney could get any reasonable dirt on him via common business contacts.

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 23:12 (eight years ago) link

and Romney's gotten more insults over his religion than his money in his lifetime, I'd imagine.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 23:14 (eight years ago) link

not that this would've stopped Trump

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 23:14 (eight years ago) link

Oh of course not, I'm just saying Romney's reaction would probably not read as wounded emasculation

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 23:16 (eight years ago) link

romney seemed more alien - like he would've had a bizarrely off-putting reaction to trump insults but only for the same reason he had a bizarrely off-putting reaction to anything

Mordy, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 23:19 (eight years ago) link

conservative think tank looks into the white pro-trump poor

http://family-studies.org/why-do-white-working-class-people-support-trump/

shit is depressing

goole, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 23:20 (eight years ago) link

I told her about Trump’s comments that he thinks America shouldn’t raise the minimum wage to $15 because wages are already “too high,” and that Americans just had to work harder. Here she was, a woman lucky to get four hours of sleep because she had to work two jobs. Did his comment bother her?

“My thought is that I kind of agree with him, though,” she said. “Is it fair for someone who works at McDonald’s to make $15 an hour, versus I’m a teacher at a preschool with an associate’s degree making $10 an hour? Is that fair? Is it fair that I should go to school to better myself to have a career, yet any Joe that walks into McDonald’s is making more than me? Is that fair? I don’t think so.”

goole, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 23:21 (eight years ago) link

Stoking resentment of preschool teachers, nice move.

Retro novelty punk (Dan Peterson), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 23:25 (eight years ago) link

and Quarter Pounder lovers

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 16 December 2015 23:26 (eight years ago) link

preschool teacher doesn't know what "minimum" means

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 16 December 2015 23:27 (eight years ago) link

I told her about Trump’s comments that he thinks America shouldn’t raise the minimum wage to $15 because wages are already “too high,” and that Americans just had to work harder. Here she was, a woman lucky to get four hours of sleep because she had to work two jobs. Did his comment bother her?

“My thought is that I kind of agree with him, though,” she said. “Is it fair for someone who works at McDonald’s to make $15 an hour, versus I’m a teacher at a preschool with an associate’s degree making $10 an hour? Is that fair? Is it fair that I should go to school to better myself to have a career, yet any Joe that walks into McDonald’s is making more than me? Is that fair? I don’t think so.”

this sounds like when people complain about pro athlete's salaries -- yes, it is kind of insane to give someone $200m to play baseball, but the money's there and if it doesn't go to the employees then it goes to the owners

mookieproof, Thursday, 17 December 2015 00:33 (eight years ago) link

I mean, he’s rich for a reason. I’m poor for a reason! We all have our reasons for our financial standing in life. He has a business, he knows how to run it. So clearly he did something right. I may not know the secrets yet—someday I might. Hopefully!

the beating heart of something or other

denies the existence of dark matter (difficult listening hour), Thursday, 17 December 2015 00:39 (eight years ago) link

May you discover that you, too, have a very wealthy father.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Thursday, 17 December 2015 00:44 (eight years ago) link

interesting to see that those people hardly hate hillary.

denies the existence of dark matter (difficult listening hour), Thursday, 17 December 2015 00:44 (eight years ago) link

“I think to him Red Lobster is like McDonald’s.”

This quote though.

franklin, Thursday, 17 December 2015 01:05 (eight years ago) link

do they serve trump steaks at red lobster because thats what I assume is all he eats

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Thursday, 17 December 2015 01:34 (eight years ago) link

They're adding new Asian-style Trumplings.

medley of extemporanea (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 17 December 2015 14:55 (eight years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CWbohY3XAAATm9z.jpg

mookieproof, Thursday, 17 December 2015 16:36 (eight years ago) link

"He is a bright and talented person without any doubt," Putin said at a news conference Thursday, adding that he believed Trump to be "an outstanding and talented personality."

http://www.nytimes.com/politics/first-draft/2015/12/17/vladimir-putin-praises-donald-trump-sealing-a-long-distance-bromance

Mordy, Thursday, 17 December 2015 16:39 (eight years ago) link

haha Putin openly SALIVATING at the idea of dealing with President Trump

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Thursday, 17 December 2015 17:31 (eight years ago) link

"watch me play this idiot like a fiddle"

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Thursday, 17 December 2015 17:52 (eight years ago) link

I suspect that's Putin's thinking, but I wonder if anyone will try to use this *against* Trump (Fiorina, at least)

Οὖτις, Thursday, 17 December 2015 18:03 (eight years ago) link

idk why Putin needs to be disingenuous to like Trump. they're both illiberal egomaniacs who believe security is a significantly higher concern than human rights - cf: Vladimir Putin Signs Law Allowing Russia To Overthrow Human Rights Court Verdicts

Mordy, Thursday, 17 December 2015 18:07 (eight years ago) link

You would think, at some point, that the other republican candidates would begin laying out the wondrous variety of ways in which a President Trump would be a complete liability to this country. But I don't know that I credit that crew of knuckleheads with that much insight, really.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Thursday, 17 December 2015 18:09 (eight years ago) link

idk why Putin needs to be disingenuous to like Trump. they're both illiberal egomaniacs who believe security is a significantly higher concern than human rights

sure but they're also totally self-interested egomaniacs ergo the other is by default the enemy

Οὖτις, Thursday, 17 December 2015 18:11 (eight years ago) link

I've never thought more about what happens at a Trump rally beyond the candidate talking some shit to the lunatics.

But the Washington Post has a story up right now about security measures at Trump events that contains this off-hand paragraph:

When Trump invited a group of parents to the stage to speak about their children being killed by undocumented immigrants, Austin and a friend began shouting and chanting “Dump Trump.”

Good grief, that dog and pony show is worse than I thought.

pplains, Friday, 18 December 2015 04:27 (eight years ago) link

While viewers are expected to watch the third Democratic debate on Saturday night, they are unlikely to be doing so in the droves that tuned into the Republican debates or the Democratic face-off that was held on a weeknight. While some of that interest on the Republican side can be attributed to the Donald J. Trump effect, critics of the Democratic National Committee’s scheduling process are also upset that the party is muting its message by holding debates when people are less likely to tune in.

http://www.nytimes.com/politics/first-draft/2015/12/18/martin-omalley-and-bernie-sanders-bristle-at-holding-debates-on-weekends/

Thanks a lot Debbie W. Schultz

curmudgeon, Friday, 18 December 2015 15:57 (eight years ago) link

I've long since given up any hope that Bernie won't be railroaded out. Months of MSM blackout now this. Luckily I'm almost equally happy to sit back and watch the glory that is an HRC or Trump presidency.

Iago Galdston, Friday, 18 December 2015 16:03 (eight years ago) link

I wanna see Hillary try to Benghazi Bernie for this @ the debate

miss me belial (crüt), Friday, 18 December 2015 16:11 (eight years ago) link

check out question 38:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/GOPResults.pdf

Karl Malone, Friday, 18 December 2015 19:05 (eight years ago) link

big lolz

Mordy, Friday, 18 December 2015 19:06 (eight years ago) link

Bernie Sanders' campaign on Friday threatened to sue the Democratic Party for suspending its access to the national voter database, saying the move threatens to undermine the Vermont senator's presidential run.

http://www.politico.com/story/2015/12/sanders-campaign-threatens-to-sue-dnc-216942#ixzz3uhWhXLEe

Game on

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Friday, 18 December 2015 19:10 (eight years ago) link

looool @ Karl's link

Οὖτις, Friday, 18 December 2015 19:18 (eight years ago) link

is it a coincidence that Wasserman-Schultz schedules a debate on the year's biggest travel weekend

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 18 December 2015 19:21 (eight years ago) link

no

sleeve, Friday, 18 December 2015 19:22 (eight years ago) link

see, i never saw Aladdin.

http://www.ferdyonfilms.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/TheFourMusketeers029-e1368557260880.jpg

Debbie Wasserman Schultz, ladies & gents

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Friday, 18 December 2015 19:27 (eight years ago) link

Cruz is such a malicious shitbag:

Mr. Cruz’s irritation with being portrayed as soft on illegal immigration has shown intensely in recent days. Speaking to reporters in Las Vegas on Thursday, he lashed out, saying that his amendment was an attempt to expose “the hypocrisy and the lies behind the proponents of the Rubio-Schumer amnesty plan.”

Then he sarcastically praised Mr. Rubio, damning him as an establishment ingénue.

“He’s a wonderful communicator, he’s a charming individual, he’s very well liked in Washington,” Mr. Cruz said.

Οὖτις, Friday, 18 December 2015 19:38 (eight years ago) link

don't worry guys there will be plenty of time for hillary to debate ted cruz in the general

Mordy, Friday, 18 December 2015 19:39 (eight years ago) link

DNC is fucking awful

akm, Friday, 18 December 2015 19:39 (eight years ago) link

True, but the DNC would just rather have us chuckle about that poll Karl posted---

Public Policy Polling, a left-leaning firm, also found that supporters of GOP presidential front-runner Donald Trump were more likely to favor bombing the made-up Arabian nation from the 1992 animated film "Aladdin."
Trump won 45 percent support among those who advocated the bombing of Agrabah, compared to just 22 percent support from those who opposed it.

curmudgeon, Friday, 18 December 2015 20:08 (eight years ago) link

excellent ref to The Producers here btw

There was some serious dumbassery involved on the part of the Sanders campaign, and the person most responsible has been sacked, so the story's over, right? The DNC could allow the Sanders campaign access to the data again. But what admittedly sends my thoughts up a grassy knoll is how this relatively minor blip made it to The Washington Post in the first place. After all, the bungling was with the vendor, and with the DNC for hiring the vendor, so wouldn't the smart play have been to keep this whole thing in-house? Also, if this story survives through the Saturday night debate, let alone becomes an issue therein, and if the Sanders campaign is shut out from the national party data for longer than this weekend, I'm going to be very, very suspicious. Devious and clumsy are, after all, the hallmarks of the DWS era.

http://www.esquire.com/news-politics/politics/news/a40610/bernie-sanders-hillary-clinton-data/

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Friday, 18 December 2015 20:14 (eight years ago) link

That's one of the few unconvincing Pierce posts. He knows it's a campaign season. Of course there's no reason to keep the whole thing in house. If he's alleging the Clinton campaign and DWS of even more skullduggery, I mean, what of it? Obama would've done it to Clinton in 2007.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 18 December 2015 20:17 (eight years ago) link

not with the support of the Party Establishment (TM)

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Friday, 18 December 2015 20:26 (eight years ago) link

PublicPolicyPolling
‏@ppppolls
We asked the Agrabah question to Dem primary voters too. They oppose bombing 'it' 36/19, while GOP supports bombing 'it' 30/13

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Friday, 18 December 2015 21:12 (eight years ago) link

cool research project

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Friday, 18 December 2015 21:20 (eight years ago) link

So glad we have sarcastic polling

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Friday, 18 December 2015 21:26 (eight years ago) link

maybe we SHOULD bomb Agrabah

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Friday, 18 December 2015 21:29 (eight years ago) link

the results of that poll in general are really weird - guys with the highest favorability ratings are Huckabee and Carson (!) yet Trump still takes a plurality and the evangelical/non-evangelical split is 50/50?! ok

Οὖτις, Friday, 18 December 2015 21:29 (eight years ago) link

it's to go with our sarcastic punditry and sarcastic pants xxp

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Friday, 18 December 2015 21:30 (eight years ago) link

All I can think of is "Luke, you must go to the Agrabah system"...seem to have Star Wars on my mind for some inexplicable reason

(Never saw "Alladin")

kevin smith what a bro (Myonga Vön Bontee), Friday, 18 December 2015 21:46 (eight years ago) link

Maybe we'd be better off if we waged war on fake Disney empires instead what we've been doing #bombagrabah

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Friday, 18 December 2015 22:18 (eight years ago) link

send all pundits to the cave of wonders

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Friday, 18 December 2015 22:21 (eight years ago) link

The way NPR reported the Sanders/DNC situation this afternoon made it sound exactly like the JW!ll!ams/ILX thing from back when.

JW/Sanders Campaign to DNC: hey, your website has this big vulnerability -- look at the data we were able to access.
DNC: BANHAMMER

Mister, would you please help my brony? (WilliamC), Friday, 18 December 2015 22:22 (eight years ago) link

lol, but iirc jw did a bit more than that

mookieproof, Friday, 18 December 2015 22:26 (eight years ago) link

lol sanders campaign already caught in a lie over the data breach - http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2015-12-18/sanders-campaign-fires-data-director-after-breach-of-clinton-files

fwiw i don't think this is an example of corruption as incompetence ie where i eventually ended up on the hillary emails. i'm willing to give bernie more of an initial benefit of the doubt than i gave hillary. or maybe i was willing to give hillary an initial benefit of the doubt than i'm giving bernie depending on yr perspective i guess. i can't imagine this hurts him really, skeptical anyone can buy sanders having a hardboiled, down and dirty campaign team and while the lack of access to dnc data theoretically could hurt him there's nothing to indicate that his campaign would know what to do w/ it. maybe he can meet w/ another rapper, should help put him over the top in iowa.

balls, Friday, 18 December 2015 22:27 (eight years ago) link

Some of the Trump numbers in that PPP poll again make me question where his ceiling is in a smaller field. 34% picked him but 10% more pick him as their second choice. He gets up into the low forties in three and four-way match-ups. 54% would actually cast a vote for him over Rubio.

timellison, Friday, 18 December 2015 23:42 (eight years ago) link

I was surprised that Mark Shields AND David Brooks said on the PBS News Hour just now that they thought this was a misstep by HRC and DSW, looks like the DNC is bullying the underdog. Hadnt occurred to me. Looking forward to tomorrow night

Iago Galdston, Saturday, 19 December 2015 00:07 (eight years ago) link

come on we can't waste 'datagate' on this scandal, we need to reserve that one for a much better future gate

iatee, Saturday, 19 December 2015 00:32 (eight years ago) link

nobody will remember this by the next scandal

balls, Saturday, 19 December 2015 00:37 (eight years ago) link

let's call all scandals datagate

denies the existence of dark matter (difficult listening hour), Saturday, 19 December 2015 00:38 (eight years ago) link

can scandals have sequels yet?

home organ, Saturday, 19 December 2015 00:38 (eight years ago) link

more on 'datagate' - http://www.thenation.com/article/democrats-better-get-to-the-bottom-of-datagate-and-soon/?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=socialflow🔗

Ew. St Joan Walsh of Hillaryland. No thanks.

Iago Galdston, Saturday, 19 December 2015 00:38 (eight years ago) link

This is almost some LA Confidential shit:

NIXON: Look into this Agrabah area. I think we need to bomb it too.

LAIRD: ...

pplains, Saturday, 19 December 2015 01:34 (eight years ago) link

Affixing "-gate" to everything is played out like a 8-track.

I recall some commentator somewhere expressing the wish that given how often "-gate" gets used, one wishes the break-in had been at the WaterTits Hotel.

Personally I like "-palooza," with "-mageddon" as an alternative.

a tern for the wurst (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 19 December 2015 01:37 (eight years ago) link

-ghazi

mookieproof, Saturday, 19 December 2015 01:38 (eight years ago) link

Ha well the DNC didn't take too long to cave

a strawman stuffed with their collection of 12 cds (jjjusten), Saturday, 19 December 2015 05:23 (eight years ago) link

Waterghazi
Travelghazi
Fileghazi

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 19 December 2015 12:26 (eight years ago) link

Flint, MI should be called Watergate

miss me belial (crüt), Saturday, 19 December 2015 14:04 (eight years ago) link

FUghazi

Anyway, it's not a three, it's a yogh. (Tom D.), Saturday, 19 December 2015 14:10 (eight years ago) link

http://i.imgur.com/sQNP2IT.png

FUghazi Bear

pplains, Saturday, 19 December 2015 14:26 (eight years ago) link

ghazimodo

a tern for the wurst (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 19 December 2015 16:01 (eight years ago) link

femighazi

kevin smith what a bro (Myonga Vön Bontee), Saturday, 19 December 2015 19:12 (eight years ago) link

re: Agrabah:

Arendelle, Narnia, the Shire, Pixie Hollow, and Neverland better look out.

a tern for the wurst (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 19 December 2015 21:05 (eight years ago) link

narnia's okay. calormen, tho

mookieproof, Saturday, 19 December 2015 21:12 (eight years ago) link

lol

denies the existence of dark matter (difficult listening hour), Saturday, 19 December 2015 21:42 (eight years ago) link

what in the fuck did they put in martin o'malley's coffee

Doctor Casino, important war pigeon (Doctor Casino), Sunday, 20 December 2015 01:54 (eight years ago) link

Most boring debate ever

Iago Galdston, Sunday, 20 December 2015 01:56 (eight years ago) link

even local npr isn't covering this

a silly gif of awkward larping (Sparkle Motion), Sunday, 20 December 2015 02:24 (eight years ago) link

i admit i never thought i'd hear "mossadegh" in a US presidential debate in my lifetime but yeah this is a real slog, i'll read the rest of the highlights tomorrow

Doctor Casino, important war pigeon (Doctor Casino), Sunday, 20 December 2015 02:28 (eight years ago) link

Hilary seemed to commit to regime change for Assad just now.

a silly gif of awkward larping (Sparkle Motion), Sunday, 20 December 2015 02:31 (eight years ago) link

While also commenting to "no boots on the ground". This will be fun to remember in a few years.

Karl Malone, Sunday, 20 December 2015 02:59 (eight years ago) link

She also drew laughs when asked: “Should corporate America love Hillary Clinton?”

She replied with a smile: “Everybody should.”

Mordy, Sunday, 20 December 2015 03:39 (eight years ago) link

OR ELSE

sleeve, Sunday, 20 December 2015 03:42 (eight years ago) link

o cruel, needless misunderstanding

denies the existence of dark matter (difficult listening hour), Sunday, 20 December 2015 03:43 (eight years ago) link

Chuck Todd (who I liked in 2008, when he was over at his delegate board; very hard to take now) asked a bunch of people about their first concert. Trump: the Beatles ("terrific"). Sanders: Pete Seeger. Bush: James Brown ("say it loud, I'm black and proud"--that was a little cringe-worthy). Kasich: probably a country show--you see him groping around for the most helpful answer--but says he's more a Linkin Park kind of guy. Cruz: Men at Work.

I believe Cruz.

clemenza, Sunday, 20 December 2015 15:25 (eight years ago) link

At least Cruz has good taste in music. Did he talk about how Cargo was their secret masterpiece?

Check Yr Scrobbles (Moodles), Sunday, 20 December 2015 15:58 (eight years ago) link

Kasich: probably a country show--you see him groping around for the most helpful answer--but says he's more a Linkin Park kind of guy.

lol

miss me belial (crüt), Sunday, 20 December 2015 16:05 (eight years ago) link

Bush: James Brown ("say it loud, I'm black and proud"

Imagining Jeb! in a blue oxford, khakis, and wingtips doing a chapelle-as-white-person dance

ecclesiastes nutz (m bison), Sunday, 20 December 2015 16:08 (eight years ago) link

https://twitter.com/johnkasich/status/412006851350261760

miss me belial (crüt), Sunday, 20 December 2015 16:11 (eight years ago) link

"well I like Linkin Park and I'm not talking about Chicago,"

I'd like to think Kasich was still talking about two bands there.

pplains, Sunday, 20 December 2015 17:02 (eight years ago) link

New CBS/YouGov Iowa poll: HRC 50-Sanders 45 (margin of error 8.3)

Iago Galdston, Sunday, 20 December 2015 17:14 (eight years ago) link

pplains OTM

sleeve, Sunday, 20 December 2015 17:18 (eight years ago) link

David Atkins:

In this context, it made sense for Debbie Wasserman Schultz and the DNC to suspend the Sanders campaign’s access to the data until it could determine the extent of the damage, and the degree to which the Clinton campaign’s private data had been compromised. As it turns out the ethical breach by Sanders operatives was massive, but the actual data discovery was limited. So it made sense and was fairly obvious that the DNC would quickly end up giving the campaign back its NGPVAN access—particularly since failing to do so would be a death sentence for the campaign and a gigantic black eye to the party.

This doesn’t mean that Wasserman-Schultz hasn’t, in David Axelrod’s words, been putting her thumb on the scale on behalf of the Clinton campaign. She clearly has been, judging from the intentionally obfuscated debate schedule and from her demeanor and reaction to this recent controversy. The Democratic Party would have been wiser to bring the campaigns together privately and resolve the matter internally. Instead, Wasserman-Schultz chose to take it public to attempt to embarrass the Sanders campaign, and merely managed to embarrass herself and the Party’s data security vulnerabilities in the process.

Still, the Sanders camp’s reactions have been laughable. It was their team that unethically breached Clinton’s data. It was their comms people who spoke falsely about what happened. The Sanders campaign wasn’t honeypotted into doing it—their people did it of their own accord. NGPVAN isn’t set up to benefit Clinton at Sanders’ expense—and if the violation by the campaigns had been reversed, Sanders supporters would have been claiming a conspiracy from sunrise to sundown. What’s very clear is that the Clinton camp did nothing wrong in any of this. Sanders campaign operatives did, and then Wasserman-Schultz compounded it by overreacting. And in the end, the right thing ended up happening: the lead staffer in question was fired, and the campaign got its data access back.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 20 December 2015 17:50 (eight years ago) link

^ he asserts a 'massive ethical breach' but fails to mention what those words correspond to in terms of real life actions.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Sunday, 20 December 2015 18:49 (eight years ago) link

Man, how many levels of this game do you have to rank up before you unlock the O'Malley character?

http://i.imgur.com/TMOybCZ.png

pplains, Sunday, 20 December 2015 20:27 (eight years ago) link

haha yeah I bet Clinton never even heard of Star Wars. unlike us cool kids who are very ahead the curve, being into Star Wars. what a square she is, invoking the thing that we only we cutting edge people know about

tremendous crime wave and killing wave (Joan Crawford Loves Chachi), Sunday, 20 December 2015 21:09 (eight years ago) link

guess her Force powers allowed her to somehow know that ISIL is using Trump in recruitment videos

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 20 December 2015 21:13 (eight years ago) link

rip lindsey

mookieproof, Monday, 21 December 2015 14:40 (eight years ago) link

Lindsay Gram seems like a nice man, personally.

black metal is emo for vikings (monster mash), Monday, 21 December 2015 14:45 (eight years ago) link

Graham.

On a personal level, he seems nice.

Fuck what he votes for.

black metal is emo for vikings (monster mash), Monday, 21 December 2015 14:47 (eight years ago) link

Cruz and Trump

Mr. Cruz has in recent days seemed to more closely resemble the man he has been chasing — or, more precisely, quietly drafting behind — for months. … Perhaps most notably, Mr. Cruz has sharpened his already uncompromising language, eager to retain his own hold on popular anger against the political class, and to demonstrate conservative purity amid attacks from Rubio over immigration and national security policies. He has coined a new phrase, ‘undocumented Democrats,’ to describe those in the country illegally, and beefed up sections of his stump speech focused on immigration.”

curmudgeon, Monday, 21 December 2015 14:59 (eight years ago) link

Tailgunner Ted as Pierce sez

a silly gif of awkward larping (Sparkle Motion), Monday, 21 December 2015 15:43 (eight years ago) link

On a personal level, he seems nice.

Not sure. He and Kasich sometimes seem so by contrast this cycle, but I remember both those guys being at the more aggressive (I won't say rabid) end of their party at points in the past. I think nice was purely a political calculation this election. To paraphrase the common plaint of disaffected moderate Republicans, "I didn't start being nice--my party stopped."

clemenza, Monday, 21 December 2015 16:12 (eight years ago) link

kasich's turn as a "moderate" is pure branding. he and scott walker have governed similarly, and he's arguably more successful. no idea why he's decided to run a mccain-style campaing (pareene's piece on his manager was great)

goole, Monday, 21 December 2015 17:19 (eight years ago) link

xactly, reminds me of when liberals mysteriously 'liked' McCain

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, 21 December 2015 17:25 (eight years ago) link

@JoseCanseco
hug for u lindsay graham

mookieproof, Monday, 21 December 2015 18:04 (eight years ago) link

haha i need to follow jose again

balls, Monday, 21 December 2015 18:06 (eight years ago) link

he's had some good ones lately

https://twitter.com/JoseCanseco/status/675119366330019842

global tetrahedron, Monday, 21 December 2015 18:27 (eight years ago) link

I live two blocks from the former Jose Canseco Way.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 December 2015 18:40 (eight years ago) link

Does that mean there's currently no Way for Jose?

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Monday, 21 December 2015 18:43 (eight years ago) link

something i've been waiting to read, theorizing on a possible path to victory for rubio - http://mobile.nytimes.com/2015/12/22/upshot/how-marco-rubio-could-lose-all-the-key-early-states-and-still-win.html?rref=upshot&smid=tw-upshotnyt&smtyp=cur&referer=

i'm still skeptical - that's damn near the same path giuliani mapped out - but it is conceivable.

balls, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 14:30 (eight years ago) link

fun read here:
http://www.wsj.com/articles/lets-elect-hillary-now-1450742854

Mordy, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 15:33 (eight years ago) link

firewall

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 15:35 (eight years ago) link

he calls cruz an "oleaginous debate champ"

Mordy, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 15:39 (eight years ago) link

"squamous deflated chump"

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 15:41 (eight years ago) link

whey-faced shit eater

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 15:43 (eight years ago) link

"Please let me die."

Resting Bushface (Phil D.), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 17:13 (eight years ago) link

lol someone photoshop a "Please Kill Me" t-shirt onto JEB!

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 17:15 (eight years ago) link

wau @ Jeb's expression. This is despair in human form.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 17:15 (eight years ago) link

Jeb! face looks how his brother's looked when he was informed about the planes crashing into the WTC. Except that Jeb!'s face looks like that ALL THE TIME.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 17:23 (eight years ago) link

Didn't know Michael Cera was on team Jeb!

nickn, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 17:25 (eight years ago) link

Jeb! is caught in his own personal hell. There's no hope and no exit.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 18:08 (eight years ago) link

Hell is other Bushes

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 18:12 (eight years ago) link

He's just sad because it's not 1966 and he's not at a James Brown concert. (Cheap shot...I haven't disliked him at all this cycle.)

clemenza, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 18:14 (eight years ago) link

i don't know why jeb is doing this to himself, he's already done all the aging of a two term president after only a few months on the campaign trail

nomar, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 18:15 (eight years ago) link

The Tragedie of Jebbe Bushe, King of Florida.

nickn, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 18:39 (eight years ago) link

I think even w/ his numbers where they are, bush might have a shot in a world where he hadn't picked up such a stench of a loser along the way. at this point you half expect his wife to leave him for donald trump.

iatee, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 18:54 (eight years ago) link

yeah the way he has... idk what the word is, reified? all that gutter alphacuck shit about him is just awful. totally unable to handle it.

goole, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 18:57 (eight years ago) link

dk what the word is, reified reviled?

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 19:06 (eight years ago) link

Just wait wait and see what Jeb!'s numbers do after the next debate when he sneaks up behind Trump as he's bloviating, splits him from groin to sternum with a katana, and continues answering questions in his effluvia-soaked Jos. A Bank.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 19:09 (eight years ago) link

I think it would be better for humanity if people didn't give into the middle school locker room bullying narrative surrounding Jeb Bush

miss me belial (crüt), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 19:14 (eight years ago) link

I think it would be better for humanity if each member of the Bush clan were roasted on a spit

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 19:17 (eight years ago) link

I'm sorry, at this point if I saw jeb bush on the street I would probably give him a wedgie

iatee, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 19:18 (eight years ago) link

I'm pretty sure he'd let you and then say, "iatee, that is not what our party needs now."

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 19:19 (eight years ago) link

The unpleasant sound Bush is emitting as he traipses from one conservative gathering to another is a thin, tinny "arf" -- the sound of a lapdog.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 19:26 (eight years ago) link

I think we should all remember Jeb! comes with the Florida Voter Seal of Approval, the land of hanging chads, Elian Gonzales and Terry Schiavo. His aura of harmlessness is because he has been out of office long enough that he hasn't done any real damage lately.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 19:27 (eight years ago) link

yeah, it couldn't happen to a much worse guy

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 19:29 (eight years ago) link

so talk about how much of a piece of shit he is instead of how much of a hapless dork he is

miss me belial (crüt), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 19:34 (eight years ago) link

His ex-CIA chief dad was a big wimp, too, lest we forget.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 19:35 (eight years ago) link

lucky we are that irrelevant he is

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 19:36 (eight years ago) link

Remember that time he barfed in China like a total nerd? What an ineffectual nerd.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 19:39 (eight years ago) link

I think we should all remember Jeb! comes with the Florida Voter Seal of Approval,

ha -- he does not

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 19:40 (eight years ago) link

Americans enjoy dorkiness more than shittiness

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 19:40 (eight years ago) link

Bush I isn't irrelevant. "wimp" was the Democratic attack line on him. they said it as often as they could. it was the media narrative. he won the election.

http://www.newsweek.com/bush-battles-wimp-factor-207008

tremendous crime wave and killing wave (Joan Crawford Loves Chachi), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 19:42 (eight years ago) link

idk trumps popularity contrasts pretty powerfully against that

Xp

INTOXICATING LIQUORS (art), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 19:44 (eight years ago) link

lol

The Bush children were expected to play to win. When friends were invited for tennis with the Bushes, "you quickly understood you were there to play tennis, not fool around," recalled Mrs. Reginald Coombe, a lifelong friend of Dorothy Bush

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 19:44 (eight years ago) link

STOP FOOLING AROUND AND PLAY TENNIS

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 19:44 (eight years ago) link

I assumed Morbs meant Americans enjoy the spectacle of clowning dorks, which is obv Trump's MO

miss me belial (crüt), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 19:46 (eight years ago) link

There's probably an extent to which the Bushes' nebbishdom is akin to Reagan's kindly-old-fartdom in that classic SNL sketch.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 19:47 (eight years ago) link

xp my bad, this is probably the right interpretation

INTOXICATING LIQUORS (art), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 19:51 (eight years ago) link

Bush I isn't irrelevant. "wimp" was the Democratic attack line on him. they said it as often as they could. it was the media narrative. he won the election.

tbf it was kinda a wimp-off

https://campaignrhetoric.files.wordpress.com/2011/04/tank-ride.jpg

iatee, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 19:58 (eight years ago) link

Trump's self-presentation as a tough guy is theater, too, though. He's all mouth. I'd love to see how he reacted to someone actually coming at him (bro).

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 20:02 (eight years ago) link

anyone read Meacham's valentine to Poppy? I read a few pages in Target -- I think that's who it's for, the impatient Xmas shopper who remembers he hasn't bought a present for his sister's asshole conservative hubby ("Bush? Fuck it. In the car it goes").

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 20:02 (eight years ago) link

i agree with crut fwiw

goole, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 20:05 (eight years ago) link

but, from a distance, jeb is clearly unfit to lead conservatives in 2015

goole, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 20:05 (eight years ago) link

trump falls apart and turns into a baby on a fairly regularly basis. he doesn't even need someone to 'come at him', he does it every time he sees a poll where he's down 2 points in iowa or whatever. but none of the candidates are gonna out-macho him - he's already some grotesque parody of unbridled machoness - and nobody would look good trying.

iatee, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 20:06 (eight years ago) link

i'm sort of enjoying the thought of trump giving a speech in a time of national tragedy or attempting to give a solemn state of the union address

nomar, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 20:07 (eight years ago) link

Trump's self-presentation as a tough guy is theater, too, though. He's all mouth. I'd love to see how he reacted to someone actually coming at him (bro).

As I recall, Trump is a major germophobe who won't even shake people's hands. The fact that none of the other candidates have done anything with that is proof of how pathetic they are.

the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 20:19 (eight years ago) link

Never mind; Bush brought it up in September, and it went nowhere.

the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 20:20 (eight years ago) link

Bush should approach Trump at the podium holding a Purell dispenser.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 20:22 (eight years ago) link

yeah I am not sure that germ thing would ever have legs. but trump has a lot of skeezy shit in his business career / linked to his name. I think bringing up stuff like trump university would be a better angle, though who knows, maybe his supporters are proud alums.

iatee, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 20:25 (eight years ago) link

fascist supporters aren't deterred by charges of corruption, immorality, stupidity, etc. they revere strength above all - it's only when the illusion of strength is punctured that their support wavers.

and then they string up the corpse of their fallen leader and pelt it with shit

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 20:35 (eight years ago) link

so when Cruz wins Iowa it'll be interesting how Trump and his supporters handle the blow - if he doesn't win in New Hampshire after that the taint of "LOSER" may be hard for him to shake

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 20:36 (eight years ago) link

it's funny cause for a normal person getting 2nd in iowa as a not-religious candidate would be fine even good, but - as a human being, but also as a campaign - there's no way he has the ability to leverage 2nd place into 'success'

iatee, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 20:41 (eight years ago) link

fascist supporters

not that it matters but: http://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2015/12/10/9886152/donald-trump-fascism

Mordy, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 20:42 (eight years ago) link

avoid being labeled a fascist with this one simple trick

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 20:48 (eight years ago) link

http://orwell.ru/library/articles/As_I_Please/english/efasc

Yet underneath all this mess there does lie a kind of buried meaning. To begin with, it is clear that there are very great differences, some of them easy to point out and not easy to explain away, between the régimes called Fascist and those called democratic. Secondly, if ‘Fascist’ means ‘in sympathy with Hitler’, some of the accusations I have listed above are obviously very much more justified than others. Thirdly, even the people who recklessly fling the word ‘Fascist’ in every direction attach at any rate an emotional significance to it. By ‘Fascism’ they mean, roughly speaking, something cruel, unscrupulous, arrogant, obscurantist, anti-liberal and anti-working-class. Except for the relatively small number of Fascist sympathizers, almost any English person would accept ‘bully’ as a synonym for ‘Fascist’. That is about as near to a definition as this much-abused word has come.

But Fascism is also a political and economic system. Why, then, cannot we have a clear and generally accepted definition of it? Alas! we shall not get one — not yet, anyway. To say why would take too long, but basically it is because it is impossible to define Fascism satisfactorily without making admissions which neither the Fascists themselves, nor the Conservatives, nor Socialists of any colour, are willing to make. All one can do for the moment is to use the word with a certain amount of circumspection and not, as is usually done, degrade it to the level of a swearword.

obv not a new problem

Mordy, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 20:55 (eight years ago) link

he bears enough similarities to classic fascist movements imo, that article is p lazy and draws a number of distinctions without a difference while repeatedly insisting that the characteristics that Trump shares with fascists don't *make* him a fascist. I'm familiar enough with the academic discourse around fascism to know that a) no one agrees on a hard and fast definition (everyone agrees that Mussolini, Hitler, Peron and Franco were fascist but good luck finding characteristics that can be consistently ascribed to all of them) and b) scholars tend to prefer to tie fascism to the specific historical era when it was successful, and bend over backwards to differentiate it from modern movements.

He's a racist, nativist populist demagogue that glorifies strength and power while exploiting the fears and insecurities of a populace that feels it has been wronged and robbed of its country. He is obviously fine with political violence. He has been adopted by neo-fascist organizations. He has not advocated for the overthrow of democracy (yet) but hey he's just getting started, wait til he starts contesting election results.

xp

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 21:00 (eight years ago) link

Fascism is a genus of political ideology whose mythic core in its various permutations is a palingenetic form of populist ultra-nationalism.

Fascism may be defined as a form of political behavior marked by obsessive preoccupation with community decline, humiliation, or victimhood and by compensatory cults of unity, energy, and purity, in which a mass-based party of committed nationalist militants, working in uneasy but effective collaboration with traditional elites, abandons democratic liberties and pursues with redemptive violence and without ethical or legal restraints goals of internal cleansing and external expansion. (p. 218)

with so few real actual 100% legit fascists running around it's p useful to look at how many of these boxes trump is checking off

i don't think an american fascism of today would look like a european one of 80 years ago either; the whole concept of american individualism probably throws the 'fasce' concept out from the beginning. so what!

goole, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 21:06 (eight years ago) link

yeah I feel like that article and the scholars cited are like "well he meets only 4 out of the 6 criteria, so no fair calling him a fascist!"

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 21:11 (eight years ago) link

Fascism may be defined as a form of political behavior marked by:

"obsessive preoccupation with community decline, humiliation, or victimhood" yes
"and by compensatory cults of unity, energy, and purity," not really
"in which a mass-based party of committed nationalist militants," not really
"working in uneasy but effective collaboration with traditional elites," definitely not
"abandons democratic liberties" not really
"and pursues with redemptive violence" not yet at least
"and without ethical or legal restraints" maybe partially
"goals of internal cleansing and external expansion." not really

Mordy, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 21:14 (eight years ago) link

can we agree he's an "asshole"?

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 21:14 (eight years ago) link

yes for sure

Mordy, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 21:15 (eight years ago) link

he's not "politically correct"

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 21:16 (eight years ago) link

the primary contest is the test of whether he will have collaboration from traditional elites

barring all muslims from entry, even citizens, is abandonment of democratic liberties

removing 11 million people is cleansing

goole, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 21:17 (eight years ago) link

"not really"s doing a lot of work there

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 21:21 (eight years ago) link

tbf shakey calling him "fascist" is doing far more work, no?

Mordy, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 21:22 (eight years ago) link

barring all muslims from entry, even citizens, if that's indeed what he advocated is an abrogation of liberties for sure but obama has deported nearly 2 million plus people; would we call him a fascist?

Mordy, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 21:26 (eight years ago) link

we'd call him an asshole

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 21:27 (eight years ago) link

you go to die on the dumbest hills

goole, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 21:27 (eight years ago) link

i don't even know how to respond to that. maybe grow up a little?

Mordy, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 21:29 (eight years ago) link

barring all muslims from entry, even citizens, if that's indeed what he advocated is an abrogation of liberties for sure but obama has deported nearly 2 million plus people; would we call him a fascist?

wtf @ this

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 21:33 (eight years ago) link

1) that is EXPLICITLY what Trump advocated
2) Barring citizens from their country is completely different from deporting non-citizens who are in the country illegally

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 21:34 (eight years ago) link

mystified at yr cap'n-save-a-trump routine here tbh, bending over backwards to give him the benefit of the doubt about his not being a cult figure or his eagerness to abandon democratic liberties or his support from committed nationalist militants (who are explicitly and publicly thankful for making their not-so-mass movements more appealing to the masses)

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 21:37 (eight years ago) link

shakey for pt 2 i was referring specifically to goole's contention that deporting non-citizens in the country illegally is indicative of fascism. i wasn't sure if it was explicitly what trump advocated and still am not... "After the initial public uproar, Trump quickly clarified that he did not mean to include U.S. citizens in the ban and was referring only to foreigners." so idk maybe he backtracked.

Mordy, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 21:38 (eight years ago) link

i mean i wasn't sure if banning all muslims including citizens is explicitly, etc.

Mordy, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 21:39 (eight years ago) link

like idgaf about trump and i think his campaign is destined to flameout. but i care somewhat about use of fascism to describe political movements. i think it's intended to exploit people's [rightful] deeply negative feelings about historical fascism. it should be sufficient to call him a racist asshole without getting into whether his politics are similar to mussolini or hitler.

Mordy, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 21:41 (eight years ago) link

like idgaf about trump and i think his campaign is destined to flameout. but i care somewhat about use of fascism to describe political movements.

you have weird priorities sometimes.

his demeanor and public persona is definitely similar to Mussolini fwiw

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 21:46 (eight years ago) link

like god forbid we fail to observe the largely academic/semantic distinctions re: the term "fascism" in the service of stopping a deeply dangerous person from fomenting racial and political violence in the general public, won't someone think of the poor words etc.

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 21:48 (eight years ago) link

I don't think he's going to win either, but I would hope you would be more than a little disturbed at a major political figure having supporters chant "Sieg Heil" and beating up black people at a rally, disturbed enough to maybe not wring your hands about whether or not Trump has sufficiently aligned himself with a "cult of energy, unity and purity" or whatever

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 21:50 (eight years ago) link

i feel differently. trump is deeply hated by huge portions of the electorate, the media, the republican party, and his supporters are mostly uneducated, powerless bigots. my voice on ilx is not going to help or stop him from fomenting political violence in the general public. but we do talk about politics here a bunch and it bothers me when ppl throw around the term fascism loosely (a trend that predates trump significantly) esp when idk i'm hoping for a better discourse. i don't plan to die today though, and certainly not on any hills.

Mordy, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 21:51 (eight years ago) link

I do think deporting eleven million people with a "deportation force" or whatever that was is "internal cleansing."

timellison, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 21:56 (eight years ago) link

oh goole said that, sorry

timellison, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 21:58 (eight years ago) link

I don't throw around the term fascist lightly and resent being lumped in as part of a trend that predates Trump and you can scroll back through my decade of posts if you like to verify that.

and if we're acknowledging the low stakes here re: how much ilx impact has irl, I think my usage of fascist degrades the term about as much as your voice on ilx inhibits Trump's fomentation of violence.

xp

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 22:03 (eight years ago) link

That quote was from Robert Paxson and you left out:

"marked by obsessive preoccupation with community decline" - yes
"humiliation" - yes
"or victimhood" - yes

timellison, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 22:04 (eight years ago) link

i didn't leave it out - that was the first thing on the list

Mordy, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 22:06 (eight years ago) link

ok sorry. I do think that's three yesses, though.

timellison, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 22:06 (eight years ago) link

lol shakey i took yr challenge and discovered this:

fascism is a pretty specific historical political phenomenon - and while there have arguably been fascist regimes from both the left (I'm thinkin Peron here) and the right (everyone else) - any and all claims to fascism in America are usually inaccurate and overheated hyperbole.
― Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, March 6, 2007 5:56 PM (8 years ago) Bookmark

Mordy, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 22:09 (eight years ago) link

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Neo-fascism#United_States

timellison, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 22:13 (eight years ago) link

and in 2007 I was correct

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 22:13 (eight years ago) link

Trump is quite unusual

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 22:14 (eight years ago) link

If anything I would think that post is evidence that I don't throw the term around lightly

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 22:14 (eight years ago) link

I actually think a debate about the degree to which pre-Trump Republicans have been fascist is worth having - the 2000 stopping of the vote count, the invasion of Iraq, disregard for existing political structures (extreme congressional obstructionism, government shutdowns), disregard for democratic principles (extreme gerrymandering, voter law shenanigans).

timellison, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 22:18 (eight years ago) link

the 2000 stopping of the vote count, the invasion of Iraq, disregard for existing political structures (extreme congressional obstructionism, government shutdowns), disregard for democratic principles (extreme gerrymandering, voter law shenanigans).

these were all implemented democratically and/or challenged and held up in court

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 22:27 (eight years ago) link

https://youtu.be/GlI2rjPIRI0

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 23:31 (eight years ago) link

whether or not trump is fascist just kinda depends on how you want to use that word so everyone's right. also who cares. he is clearly a nationalist and appeals to white-identity voters, aka the gop base. I don't think his actual political views are concrete enough to be called anything. trumpist.

iatee, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 23:33 (eight years ago) link

he's a nationalist who, as president, would definitely be willing to commit treason if someone offered him enough money

iatee, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 23:36 (eight years ago) link

"you and I live in a world that we don't understand much of"

ain't that the truth

xxp

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 23:37 (eight years ago) link

anybody else check out Frum's piece in the Atlantic - nice rundown

El Tomboto, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 23:40 (eight years ago) link

I agree that the term 'fascist' is and has been thrown out a bit too casually about people/movements that don't fit a strict definition of the term or, in some cases, even approximate it. That said, based on the evidence he's been all-too-happy to lay out before us, Trump is a fascist.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 22 December 2015 23:54 (eight years ago) link

link, ET?

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 22 December 2015 23:58 (eight years ago) link

let me google that for you

http://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2016/01/the-great-republican-revolt/419118

mookieproof, Wednesday, 23 December 2015 00:12 (eight years ago) link

thx

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 23 December 2015 00:29 (eight years ago) link

http://i.imgur.com/NWKLStd.jpg

This is Jeb Bush throwing "a fist in the air."

pplains, Wednesday, 23 December 2015 00:41 (eight years ago) link

Why is he doing this if he doesn't want to do this?

pplains, Wednesday, 23 December 2015 00:41 (eight years ago) link

XP Check out the sex-face on this tortoise.

"Damn the Taquitos" (C. Grisso/McCain), Wednesday, 23 December 2015 00:43 (eight years ago) link

This is Jeb Bush throwing "a fist in the air."

look out!!! he's going to smite that poor lone supporter!!!

j., Wednesday, 23 December 2015 00:46 (eight years ago) link

I like to think of myself as an "accuracy in language matters" guy. However, one of the main tools we use in the contemporary age to keep the undercurrent of white nationalism that exists in this country from metastasising into an organized militant minority capable of launching an effective national intimidation campaign, while still maintaining freedom of speech, is by making it socially unacceptable to espouse those views.

Supporting a guy who we label as a gross far-right nutbag gets an eye roll and a decision not to talk about politics at dinner from yr average American. Supporting a guy we label as reasonably comparable to Hitler gets people to stop employing you or buying your wares and your kids to stop answering your calls.

If calling Trump a fascist, somewhat incorrectly, galvanizes people and makes support for him socially unsustainable, fuck it, let's go ahead and risk misusing a word.

Trump cannot get elected, but someone smarter and more charismatic following Trump's model... probably still couldn't get elected at first. But if they cross the ~35% threshhold and start recruiting brownshirts, especially if those brownshirts' day jobs are with a militarized police force, they don't really need to, the other ~20% can be gained through making it physically dangerous to speak against them. I mean, do you really think there's a majority of Americans who would be willing to risk their personal safety and that of their families to speak up for the safety of abstracted Latinos and Muslims? I don't think it's a likely scenario, but it's a plausible one.

I think it's important to show that guy (who's totally out there) that it can't get past a certain point.

ENERGY FOOD (en i see kay), Wednesday, 23 December 2015 03:23 (eight years ago) link

calling people fascist and comparing them to hitler doesn't quite have the edge that it used to.

iatee, Wednesday, 23 December 2015 04:03 (eight years ago) link

if you could go back in time and call baby Trump a fascist, would you?

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 23 December 2015 04:32 (eight years ago) link

why bother? he'd still just spit up all over me

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Wednesday, 23 December 2015 04:42 (eight years ago) link

I don't mean lefty dorkuses on the internet like me calling him a fascist, I mean major media voices regularly and calmly referring to him as "fascist presidential candidate Donald Trump."

tbh I was really hoping a smart person would respond with "you sound like a fucking loony Coast to Coast caller, here's why that's impossible..." and comfort my ailing mind

ENERGY FOOD (en i see kay), Wednesday, 23 December 2015 04:43 (eight years ago) link

"Say, I'm from out of town. Do you know a Mr. Ayak, by chance?"

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/morning-mix/wp/2015/12/21/how-donald-trump-is-breathing-life-into-americas-dying-white-supremacist-movement/

pplains, Wednesday, 23 December 2015 12:52 (eight years ago) link

"Gov. Christie is a pro at the political head fake: indicating to a conservative audience that he'll do something to make them happy, only to do nothing at all."

http://www.wnyc.org/story/christies-head-fakes/

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 23 December 2015 14:07 (eight years ago) link

kinda reminds me of a Democratic president who's done similar things to liberals...

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 23 December 2015 14:08 (eight years ago) link

the thought of chris christie making an athletic move with a basketball is kind of a stretch, but ok

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 23 December 2015 14:38 (eight years ago) link

lock thread

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 23 December 2015 14:59 (eight years ago) link

i'm still feeling confident about voting for that "head faking" wind bag over everyone else (in the republican primary)

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 23 December 2015 15:18 (eight years ago) link

ugh why

(•̪●) (carne asada), Wednesday, 23 December 2015 15:36 (eight years ago) link

I think I'm going to bern my Republican primary vote on Christie. I'm curious if he learned anything from #Bridgegate. Maybe he'll be a crook and get impeached after two years.

― rap is dad (it's a boy!)

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 23 December 2015 15:40 (eight years ago) link

not in the general election, mind you. that will depend on the outcome of bernie vs hillary

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 23 December 2015 15:42 (eight years ago) link

haha that's as good a reason as any I suppose.

(•̪●) (carne asada), Wednesday, 23 December 2015 15:53 (eight years ago) link

also he's a pretty #darkhorse candidate and it would be funny to see him make a run and be like lol i'm voting for that guy

― rap is dad (it's a boy!)

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 23 December 2015 15:58 (eight years ago) link

yeah i'm just kidn of grasping at straws

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 23 December 2015 15:58 (eight years ago) link

Christie winning in New Hampshire would definitely add some extra lolz to the campaign

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 23 December 2015 16:15 (eight years ago) link

They'd have to move up that indictment-unsealing sched

pizza rolls are a food that exists (silby), Wednesday, 23 December 2015 17:06 (eight years ago) link

speculating for a sec on Cruz getting the nomination - what would his strategy in the general election be? He seems smart enough to know that what he's currently peddling to the GOP base wouldn't sway enough of the general electorate, but how could he conceivably pivot away from all the noxious crap?

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 23 December 2015 19:49 (eight years ago) link

There's very little indication that he wants to that I've seen: "Ted Cruz doesn't give a shit what you think of him" is basically his angle.

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 23 December 2015 19:59 (eight years ago) link

"what he's currently peddling to the GOP base wouldn't sway enough of the general electorate, but how could he conceivably pivot away from all the noxious crap?"

Isn't that just as true of Trump, though? (I mean the "wouldn't sway," not "smart enough.")

Among the likeliest candidates, Republican nomination poll rankings are roughly the opposite of general-election poll rankings. That is, Trump and Cruz are leading the GOP primary crowd, but Rubio and Christie are more competitive vs. Clinton and Sanders.

ineluctable modality of the chewable (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 23 December 2015 20:11 (eight years ago) link

Trump probably thinks he can persuade Mexicans, Muslims, and Asians that he doesn't hate them (after all, he knows some and they are "great people"), and he also has shown he can stake out non-insane-right-wing positions on stuff like raising taxes on the rich and abortion that could conceivably appeal to the center. I'm not saying he has a chance of successfully doing this, but this is probably what he thinks.

Cruz doesn't appear to have a moderating or conciliatory bone in his body.

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 23 December 2015 20:16 (eight years ago) link

there is murmuring in the political press that Cruz is too smart to believe much of what he says and is following his only conceivable path to the nomination-- and they will probably latch onto this secret gay marriage tape as proof of that

Blowout Coombes (President Keyes), Wednesday, 23 December 2015 21:31 (eight years ago) link

Cruz is super-ambitious. He'll bend himself into pretzels if he thinks it will get him into power. Once he's in power he'll use any underhanded trick to get what he wants. It is best to believe that he has already revealed most of what he wants to do. If the press delude themselves about that, they are fools.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Wednesday, 23 December 2015 21:37 (eight years ago) link

There's nowhere for him to bend, though. He doesn't have a winning formula. I don't think any of them do (other than like maybe Rubio if he actually somehow wins the nomination and Clinton has a terrible campaign or something or Bernie wins and people panic about socialism).

timellison, Wednesday, 23 December 2015 22:09 (eight years ago) link

Hillary said, "They are going to people showing videos of Donald Trump insulting Islam and Muslims in order to recruit more radical jihadists." Apparently she learned this from the following article

http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/isis-terror/donald-trumps-muslim-bashing-aids-cause-terror-networks-say-experts-n476221

and its comments from Rita Katz.

"They love him from the sense that he is supporting their rhetoric," said Rita Katz with the SITE Intelligence Group, which monitors the social media activities of Islamic terrorist groups.

"They follow everything Donald Trump says," she noted. "When he says, 'No Muslims should be allowed in America,' they tell people, 'We told you America hates Muslims and here is proof.'"

On twitter, Katz further says that ISIS didn't use Trump in a video of their own, but that his words are being used to promote ISIS. What Hillary said isn't a stretch compared to what Katz said: if ISIS "uses Trump's rhetoric" in social media, it stands to reason that they are using transcriptions AND videos.

bamcquern, Thursday, 24 December 2015 10:33 (eight years ago) link

From the long profile of Jeb! in this week's New Yorker:

http://i66.tinypic.com/2i6c581.png

(please no long guns of any kind) (Eazy), Monday, 28 December 2015 17:22 (eight years ago) link

the new yorker zing is the coldest zing

Does that make you mutter, under your breath, “Damn”? (forksclovetofu), Monday, 28 December 2015 17:26 (eight years ago) link

aw

Evan, Monday, 28 December 2015 17:26 (eight years ago) link

lonely jeb just thinking baout things

miss me belial (crüt), Monday, 28 December 2015 17:26 (eight years ago) link

http://i.imgur.com/kW4qIjs.jpg
http://i.imgur.com/LS1FgZS.jpg

Karl Malone, Monday, 28 December 2015 17:29 (eight years ago) link

if anyone wants to go closer just let me know

Karl Malone, Monday, 28 December 2015 17:38 (eight years ago) link

Upon mature consideration, I don't gaf whether Jeb! has any close friends. It has only a very tangential relevance to the job of being a U.S. president. I very much gaf that he'd push a very conservative agenda.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Monday, 28 December 2015 17:39 (eight years ago) link

the current New Yorker? Is the story on the site? I know they ran a Jeb! profile in October.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 28 December 2015 17:41 (eight years ago) link

upon immature consideration, haw haw!

Does that make you mutter, under your breath, “Damn”? (forksclovetofu), Monday, 28 December 2015 17:42 (eight years ago) link

you impugn my display name!

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Monday, 28 December 2015 17:44 (eight years ago) link

New Dexter Filkins story:
http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2016/01/04/swamped-the-political-scene-dexter-filkins

Maybe they were assuming he would be the frontrunner, or near it, by now.

(please no long guns of any kind) (Eazy), Monday, 28 December 2015 17:57 (eight years ago) link

you know what decisive events are most likely to happen in these "races" in January?

correct, nothing

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, 28 December 2015 18:08 (eight years ago) link

I agree with the basic premise of that Slate article, which is that there is absolutely no version of HRC in the public eye that will not be twisted around and jeered at. She just hasn't got the warm, schmoozy, comfortable personality that voters adore. She's a natural policy wonk, not a natural politician.

She and Paul Ryan will hit it off very well.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Monday, 28 December 2015 19:04 (eight years ago) link

i like hillary a lot. she seems like a good, warm person to me. ppl are just jerks.

Mordy, Monday, 28 December 2015 19:05 (eight years ago) link

i don't even believe that you believe that

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, 28 December 2015 19:10 (eight years ago) link

i'm kind of sympathetic to the article b/c there's clearly a hefty dose of misogyny in the way a lot of ppl talk about HRC, and i find myself wondering how anyone could stand to be under the kind of scrutiny (or "scrutiny" over basically made-up scandals like whitewater, vince foster, and benghazi) she's been under for years without cracking up. i think she handles it about as well as anyone could. otoh it's a little bewildering to see ppl like sady doyle write as if the presidency is just some honorary title of awesomeness and HRC's actual politics are beside the point.

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Monday, 28 December 2015 19:21 (eight years ago) link

i also like hillary and find her genuine and relatable. dngaff what anyone might think of that. politically i'm more in line with bernie.

Wow (mattresslessness), Monday, 28 December 2015 19:24 (eight years ago) link

her politics aren't the exact same as mine but they're close enough (and i like her intangibles enough) that she's my first choice for potus 2016

Mordy, Monday, 28 December 2015 19:27 (eight years ago) link

http://i.imgur.com/OfIc2i3.jpg

the ascent of Cruz appears to have come at the expense of Carson, not Trump (as I would have guessed)

Karl Malone, Monday, 28 December 2015 20:00 (eight years ago) link

was walker seriously polling at #2 for a minute?

nomar, Monday, 28 December 2015 20:03 (eight years ago) link

I think it's more like Cruz was the logical second choice for evangelicals jumping off the Carson train after it became clear it had wandered, Tootles-like, far from the tracks and never to return. Cruz's own activities in the same period may have helped cement this connection, but I still think it's more "fall of Carson" than "rise of Cruz."

Doctor Casino, important war pigeon (Doctor Casino), Monday, 28 December 2015 20:06 (eight years ago) link

bush deflating like a flat tire you try to pump once or twice before giving up

Wow (mattresslessness), Monday, 28 December 2015 20:08 (eight years ago) link

poor Tootles Carson, all those red flags and all he wanted to do was be president and smell the daisies.

nomar, Monday, 28 December 2015 20:09 (eight years ago) link

all he wanted to do was sell more copies of his book

Karl Malone, Monday, 28 December 2015 20:10 (eight years ago) link

MISSION ACCOMPLISHED

a silly gif of awkward larping (Sparkle Motion), Monday, 28 December 2015 20:11 (eight years ago) link

all i know for sure is that trump is DEFINITELY about to flame out

Karl Malone, Monday, 28 December 2015 20:11 (eight years ago) link

I assume Bush's cratering began as soon as he opened his stupid mouth about 'supporting' his bro re iraq

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Monday, 28 December 2015 20:44 (eight years ago) link

all i know for sure is that trump is DEFINITELY about to flame out

― Karl Malone, Monday, December 28, 2015 3:11 PM (55 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

I think I'm the last conspiracy theorist standing on Trump's candidacy but I am STILL convinced he has no intention of being president and will get out soon. It makes more sense that he is there to make Cruz look relatively moderate than that he is a HRC plant to decimate the competition and divert press attention away from her race.

Iago Galdston, Monday, 28 December 2015 21:10 (eight years ago) link

one of the most fun parts of 2016 will be when Trump loses to Clinton and 44% of the country believes in a conspiracy theory about how the presidency was stolen from him

Karl Malone, Monday, 28 December 2015 21:17 (eight years ago) link

They seemed to be making a big deal out of Christie on the Sunday shows yesterday--that he'd win or come close in NH, and that he could go from there to be the Trump alternative. I can't really see it. Maybe he'll do well in NH (I assume there's more to that reasoning than the newspaper endorsement--surely such things count for next to nothing this year, if they ever did), but I can't see him ever overcoming his Obama problem, not to mention the other scandal.

clemenza, Monday, 28 December 2015 21:17 (eight years ago) link

xpost (i know, i know, it's early, no one's paying attention, he has no path to electoral victory, the RNC will conspire (teehee) to keep the delegates out of his hands if necessary, and he's definitely about to flame out any second now. but it's fun to think about)

Karl Malone, Monday, 28 December 2015 21:18 (eight years ago) link

it's hilarious that Chris Christie's great sin is that he hugged the president right after hurricane sandy when they were working together to help people together, rather than that he's a dumb asshole with an approval rating in the high 30s who has surrounded himself with people being investigated by the feds for being dumb assholes

Karl Malone, Monday, 28 December 2015 21:32 (eight years ago) link

I don't know why the press is attached to Christie. I think maybe off-camera they enjoy forwarding and laughing at the same photos of him in that nauseatingly tight baseball uniform as everybody else, so they're trying to keep his campaign afloat for the lolz? Either that or there are still enough reporters stupid enough to believe that his middle-school-bully schtick is "refreshing" and will appeal to voters? Either way, a depressing prospect. But he's not gonna get any farther nationally than Giuliani got.

the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Monday, 28 December 2015 21:33 (eight years ago) link

watch that video

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 28 December 2015 21:39 (eight years ago) link

"the hug" criticism is so incredibly stupid that it allows him to appear like a reasonable man of integrity whenever he's asked about it. i don't know someone in his position wouldn't go insane, being asked about it over and over for the past few years. it's maybe the one thing he can talk about at length where i don't disagree. i don't think he's being defensive in that video. if the clip was someone in the audience asking "governor, why did you hug barack hussein obama just before the elec-" before Christie interjected with "FUCK! fuuuuuuuck! you're all monsters! ALL OF YOU" i would totally understand and support him

Karl Malone, Monday, 28 December 2015 21:56 (eight years ago) link

I think the press has trouble letting go of GOP governors from blue states and Dem governors from red states (like probably only journalists were interested in Mark Warner's presidential explorations)

pizza rolls are a food that exists (silby), Monday, 28 December 2015 22:21 (eight years ago) link

^^^

Doctor Casino, important war pigeon (Doctor Casino), Monday, 28 December 2015 22:40 (eight years ago) link

christie makes sense on paper, if he stole nh he could exist as a good overlap between 'not an actually insane person' for the party elite and 'total asshole' for the trump supporters. there is no evidence that he has any real support or much to offer beyond being not insane + a total asshole though.

iatee, Monday, 28 December 2015 23:02 (eight years ago) link

was walker seriously polling at #2 for a minute?

He was leading (by a few fractions) for pretty much all of March - hippie-punching + beating a recall election is a popular combination to those that are paying attention that far out.

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 29 December 2015 01:42 (eight years ago) link

don't worry even if he's not a presidential front-runner anymore he's got plenty of time to dismantle the University of Wisconsin system

pizza rolls are a food that exists (silby), Tuesday, 29 December 2015 01:53 (eight years ago) link


was walker seriously polling at #2 for a minute?

Thought you meant the WR for a sec.

pplains, Tuesday, 29 December 2015 02:16 (eight years ago) link

the creation of Clinton's genuine warmth:

http://www.moviepopquiz.com/2011/Nov/Nov4/fembot4.jpg

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 29 December 2015 03:17 (eight years ago) link

seems like there's never a bad time to post this - http://www.splicetoday.com/politics-and-media/the-man-who-wasn-t-there

Crazy Eddie & Jesus the Kid (Raymond Cummings), Tuesday, 29 December 2015 03:19 (eight years ago) link

His father answered on the 17th ring. Jeb upset their usual exchange of patrician greetings with a long, tearful monologue about the campaign that wasn’t. Dad listened compassionately before sharing an anecdote from his earliest campaigns that calmed Jeb’s rum-soaked nerves, putting him at ease.

“Thanks, Dad,” Jeb gasped. “That story really placed things into perspective for me. This race is far from over. Thanks for listening, for lending your ear.”

“Anytime, Junior,” Dad chuckled. “And never, ever forget that you’re my favorite son, and I don’t give a damn what anyone says: you were a fantastic president, and you’ll make an even finer chair of the Crawford Arts Council. Give Laura and the girls our love.”

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 29 December 2015 03:24 (eight years ago) link

There were voicemails waiting. Danny had a line on a secret War Room. Reince offered a pathetic joke about “the 1 percent,” pealing into maniacal laughter before hanging up. Columba told him she loved him, that she was praying for the campaign. Drudge apologetically withdrew a longstanding interview offer; he’d be breaking bread with Santorum instead. A rookie Politico blogger wondered, earnestly, “What’s it like to be lower than a flaming sack of dogshit?” Jeb fought and overcame the urge to hurl his iPhone into morning traffic. The rabid Doberman he’d have sworn was trailing him for blocks was actually his stomach.

Crazy Eddie & Jesus the Kid (Raymond Cummings), Tuesday, 29 December 2015 03:31 (eight years ago) link

One person shows up to O'Malley event in Iowa, remains uncommitted

Mordy, Wednesday, 30 December 2015 02:05 (eight years ago) link

lol that was the headline on drudge report today, great photo

lute bro (brimstead), Wednesday, 30 December 2015 02:25 (eight years ago) link

saw my first hillary ad tonight (and bernie)

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 30 December 2015 02:54 (eight years ago) link

Pataki out

this was the lede on NPR hourly news

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 30 December 2015 05:27 (eight years ago) link

kennedy shot
challenger
9/11
pataki out

mookieproof, Wednesday, 30 December 2015 05:29 (eight years ago) link

Was he a democrat or a republican

pizza rolls are a food that exists (silby), Wednesday, 30 December 2015 08:59 (eight years ago) link

he's a pro-abortion, climate change-believing Republican

hence 0% in the polls

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 30 December 2015 12:56 (eight years ago) link

Some conspiracy theories posit that he just really wanted to make it onto NPR news, one more time

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 30 December 2015 12:59 (eight years ago) link

saw my first Trump bumpersticker in LA yesterday. It looked homemade.

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 30 December 2015 16:51 (eight years ago) link

Trump is not into spending money on that shit. Same with opening campaign offices in every state and hiring staffers for them to help run his campaign.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Wednesday, 30 December 2015 18:15 (eight years ago) link

right? It looked like it came out of a laser printer - plain san serif blue text on a white background that just said TRUMP in large type and "make America great again" in smaller type beneath it.

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 30 December 2015 18:19 (eight years ago) link

TURMP
"Descent is the highest form of patriotic"

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 30 December 2015 18:26 (eight years ago) link

TRUMP
"we've seen him on television"

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 30 December 2015 18:32 (eight years ago) link

MSNBC had a thing on about Rubio yesterday questioning whether he's really campaigning very hard. Like, apparently hasn't really spent that much time in Iowa or New Hampshire?

timellison, Wednesday, 30 December 2015 18:53 (eight years ago) link

Yeah, http://www.lawyersgunsmoneyblog.com/2015/12/the-rubio-perplex / quoting gawker

"...it’s more or less what a political scientist and a veteran campaign strategist would collaboratively design as a hypothetical worst-practices presidential campaign strategy."

El Tomboto, Wednesday, 30 December 2015 18:55 (eight years ago) link

he's a lazy fuckwit and always was. I never understood the GOP's Obama comparisons a few years ago unless they meant, "Now we have someone who's as ignorant, indifferent to work, and mealymouthed as we think Obama is."

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 30 December 2015 18:56 (eight years ago) link

TRUMP
"outta my way loser!"

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 30 December 2015 19:06 (eight years ago) link

I like that in addition to being lazy at campaigning he's using the aforementioned shitty campaign as an excuse to not vote in the senate.

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Wednesday, 30 December 2015 19:59 (eight years ago) link

I get that there isn't necessarily a one-to-one relationship between the two, but I have to wonder what supporters think a candidate's putative presidency is going to be like if the campaign for the nomination is half-assed and perfunctory.

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 30 December 2015 20:02 (eight years ago) link

There are different flavors of laziness. There's "I don't actually give a shit about this, and anyways I don't know what I'm doing" laziness.

There's "I sincerely want to be president and believe I can govern well, but this dirty sordid business of campaigning, especially retail politics, is beneath me" laziness.

Maybe I'm giving him too much credit, but Rubio's laziness may have been a stratagem, more like "I'll just tread water over here while the front-runners hog the spotlight and themselves out."

That is, let Trump, Cruz, and Carson destroy one another with dick-measuring antics now, when nothing's real. Then when the dust settles from all that, disgusted voters will be looking around for an unsullied fresh face, and I'll be there smilingly saying "Hi guys, remember me?"

All that said, he cannot get the votes of the torches-and-pitchforks brigade because he is an apostate on immigration, which is the new abortion.

ineluctable modality of the chewable (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 30 December 2015 20:25 (eight years ago) link

it worked well for President Giuliani.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 30 December 2015 20:26 (eight years ago) link

his campaign laziness seems consistent with his prior laziness

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 30 December 2015 20:27 (eight years ago) link

didn't have my phone w/ me to take a pic but ladies and gentlemen i saw a lindsey graham for president bumper sticker today

balls, Wednesday, 30 December 2015 23:47 (eight years ago) link

which can only mean of course that lindsey graham was in my neighborhood today

balls, Wednesday, 30 December 2015 23:48 (eight years ago) link

I have seen one possibly two Carson decals in Portland.

It felt akin to seeing a lone Fred Thompson yard sign 8 years ago.

Professor Goodfeels (kingfish), Thursday, 31 December 2015 00:42 (eight years ago) link

i wonder if the coming Cosby trial will knock the election to the #2 story on Facebook next year

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 31 December 2015 00:48 (eight years ago) link

i've seen several carson stickers, more and more cruz, and a few trump. i've seen one rubio. none of these i've seen w/ the frequency of bernie stickers (which is largely a result of where i live) or hillary stickers (which isn't). the hillary arrows i've seen have been college students pretty much (obv a lot of the bernie stickers as well). it may just be the binary nature of that race though that's fostering those commitments so to speak, if you view that race as largely a referendum on hillary clinton, whereas a person w/ a cruz sticker isn't necessarily communicating 'fuuuuuck trump'. that that race is still relatively wide open mean ppl might be taking a wait and see before letting their freak flag fly (maybe learning from past experience, a coworker of mine had a cain bumper sticker only to remove it when he flamed out, replacing it w/ a perry sticker only to remove that as well when perry flamed out; he waited til romney had the nomination pretty safely in the bag before he committed himself again). i'm sure if say cruz wins the nomination i'll see those freedom fire stickers out in force.

balls, Thursday, 31 December 2015 01:08 (eight years ago) link

I've seen a lot of Trump interviews this year. I think a lot of people have it backwards about what makes him scary. It's not when he rants or fulminates or drops beyond-the-pale comments. If he did that full-time, I think he'd guarantee that Republican voters who are hedging would eventually back away--maybe he'd even wear out his welcome (eventually) with some of his core supporters. It's more when he quiets down in interviews. He knows how to pull back. I know this sounds bizarre, but he can even come across as self-effacing--he can very artfully drop that in for a few seconds when he chooses to. He does crazy-man stuff during the week to keep the networks 100% focused on him, then he calls in on the weekend, the Red Sea parts, and does a much more affable "Wow, my people tell me we're doing really well--this is all new and exciting to me" routine.

clemenza, Thursday, 31 December 2015 05:32 (eight years ago) link

A couple years ago I saw someone with a McCain/Palin sticker that they'd modified to remove the Mc.

JoeStork, Thursday, 31 December 2015 05:55 (eight years ago) link

Cain/Abel

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 31 December 2015 05:57 (eight years ago) link

Cain/Abel: Right for 4000 BC, Right for 2016.

nickn, Thursday, 31 December 2015 08:04 (eight years ago) link

a writer in slate said, and i agree, that sure it's "fair game" but who exactly is going to be convinced not to vote for hillary based on bill's extramarital relationships?

Mordy, Thursday, 31 December 2015 15:17 (eight years ago) link

How is she supposed to control a country when she couldn't even control her man?!?!

Some Pizza Grudge From Twenty Years Ago (Old Lunch), Thursday, 31 December 2015 15:20 (eight years ago) link

If she becomes president, The U.S. might sleep with Canada when she's out of town.

ineluctable modality of the chewable (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 31 December 2015 15:52 (eight years ago) link

And also sneak a back-alley BJ from Mexico during Cabinet meetings.

ineluctable modality of the chewable (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 31 December 2015 15:53 (eight years ago) link

my parents, who are about hilary's age, are convinced she'll only serve one term, intentionally. think that would be an interesting precedent to set. does this seem like something that might happen? i hadn't seen the idea bandied about anywhere else. i think they're partially projecting what they'd do in the situation but in any case...

global tetrahedron, Thursday, 31 December 2015 23:11 (eight years ago) link

Polk also promised to serve one term. Hayes too iirc.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 31 December 2015 23:21 (eight years ago) link

Well, you can't run again after you've been convicted of a felony </CRUZ2020>

pplains, Thursday, 31 December 2015 23:27 (eight years ago) link

maybe she wouldn't pledge it around her inaugural. they could just vet the hell out of her VP and set them up advantageously for the race via her announcement. a 12 year hilary administration in other words

i dunno i don't really know what i'm talking about but it's fun to speculate on

global tetrahedron, Thursday, 31 December 2015 23:34 (eight years ago) link

i think they're partially projecting what they'd do in the situation

it's this, sorry :-/

Doctor Casino, important war pigeon (Doctor Casino), Thursday, 31 December 2015 23:44 (eight years ago) link

yeah

global tetrahedron, Thursday, 31 December 2015 23:44 (eight years ago) link

no way in hell a good politician would pledge to one term before election -- what leverage would this person have?

But HRC has never been a good politician though.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 31 December 2015 23:46 (eight years ago) link

Opposition congress / senate would paint an executive claiming they'd only serve one term as a lame duck from the get-go and start running against her vp for 2020 on day one, it's a non-starter of an idea

also lol at the idea that clinton wouldn't hold power as long as legally possible

Clay, Thursday, 31 December 2015 23:46 (eight years ago) link

Unless...Chelsea Clinton for VP???

Karl Malone, Friday, 1 January 2016 00:10 (eight years ago) link

This "Candidate X will pledge to serve only a single term" bullshit gets floated every few years. I don't know why. Maybe 'cause political reporters wish they were alive when LBJ was president?

the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Friday, 1 January 2016 02:18 (eight years ago) link

The only plausible way this could happen - and I can't imagine President Hillary Rodham Clinton ever doing this - is pulling the ol' wait-until-after-the-primaries-have-started LBJ announcement.

pplains, Friday, 1 January 2016 02:27 (eight years ago) link

Bill's pecker trail just an amusing circus highlight of Hil's Great Feminist Fraudulence.

this campaign and '08 is her gift for being The Good Wife

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Friday, 1 January 2016 17:04 (eight years ago) link

her gift from who? you think the country is going to vote for her as potus bc they feel bad for her?

Mordy, Friday, 1 January 2016 17:07 (eight years ago) link

I'm talking about the coronation by the Republicrat Party. Nominations ain't got shit to do with democracy.

She'll be a fine war criminal tho, i understand your excitement.

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Friday, 1 January 2016 17:13 (eight years ago) link

of course she was such a blatantly vile asshole 8 years ago the Community Organizer filled the feelgood vacuum

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Friday, 1 January 2016 17:15 (eight years ago) link

in almost all circumstances i think you're a moron only worth insulting but honestly i'm curious to find out here what you mean bc it's all very confusing. you believe the democratic party is giving her the nomination to reward her for not leaving bill after the lewinsky scandal?

Mordy, Friday, 1 January 2016 17:25 (eight years ago) link

Clintonworld and its billions giveth, you putz

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Friday, 1 January 2016 17:26 (eight years ago) link

take it outside you too

pizza rolls are a food that exists (silby), Friday, 1 January 2016 18:57 (eight years ago) link

Rose Parade hijinks.

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/meet-the-man-behind-the-rose-bowl-skywriting-bash-of-donald-trump/

nickn, Saturday, 2 January 2016 00:59 (eight years ago) link

Oh, the Huntsville Times. Memories.

El Tomboto, Saturday, 2 January 2016 01:03 (eight years ago) link

the best two minute of tv i've seen this year, although it's from last year:

https://twitter.com/_aLittle_NAIVE/status/683042760497213440

h/t lag000n

Karl Malone, Saturday, 2 January 2016 15:49 (eight years ago) link

say what you want about ted cruz - only one candidate has the guts to tell a 69 second long joke about barack obama on NYE

Karl Malone, Saturday, 2 January 2016 15:51 (eight years ago) link

the great thing about that joke is how much room it leaves for the marine to say "And just to clarify, sir, the current president is Hillary Clinton. SEE YA TOMORROW!"

Doctor Casino, important war pigeon (Doctor Casino), Saturday, 2 January 2016 16:05 (eight years ago) link

the face on the broadcasters' faces at the end is priceless too

Karl Malone, Saturday, 2 January 2016 16:10 (eight years ago) link

FACE.

Karl Malone, Saturday, 2 January 2016 16:11 (eight years ago) link

Cruz is SPECTACULARLY unlikeable.

Does that make you mutter, under your breath, “Damn”? (forksclovetofu), Saturday, 2 January 2016 18:20 (eight years ago) link

I don't think I had seen his face in motion before, I couldn't bear to watch.

pizza rolls are a food that exists (silby), Saturday, 2 January 2016 21:42 (eight years ago) link

ah fuck it i dunno how embeds work anyway

Doctor Casino, important war pigeon (Doctor Casino), Sunday, 3 January 2016 03:11 (eight years ago) link

Cruz's lines don't work anyway - the next president doesn't take office until 2017, right? So this is going to be the last full year of all these terrible things, which you'd imagine would make it unbearable.

Andrew Farrell, Sunday, 3 January 2016 08:51 (eight years ago) link

Yeah, he's saying 2016 will be a GREAT year! Obama will be president all year long!

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Sunday, 3 January 2016 18:31 (eight years ago) link

http://i.imgur.com/fgMgDTR.jpg

Karl Malone, Sunday, 3 January 2016 21:28 (eight years ago) link

Karl I would love a gif that suggests that his head is full of lizards.

schwantz, Sunday, 3 January 2016 21:34 (eight years ago) link

That made me LOL in that way you do when somebody shows you a really excellent wax model they made of your dead parents

El Tomboto, Sunday, 3 January 2016 22:09 (eight years ago) link

know exactly what you mean

balls, Sunday, 3 January 2016 22:13 (eight years ago) link

totally

Does that make you mutter, under your breath, “Damn”? (forksclovetofu), Monday, 4 January 2016 02:16 (eight years ago) link

xp:
We've all been there, right?

nickn, Monday, 4 January 2016 04:21 (eight years ago) link

Buried in that WaPo article: Ben Carson staff getting the fuck out.

Andrew Farrell, Monday, 4 January 2016 12:40 (eight years ago) link

oh man:

Perry judged himself and Bush to be “two of the most successful Republican governors maybe in the history of the country.” Surely, he believed, “the American people would distill down which of these individuals had the best vision for America. . . . It was going to be me and Jeb.”

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 4 January 2016 13:18 (eight years ago) link

oh, the vision thing

droit au butt (Euler), Monday, 4 January 2016 13:19 (eight years ago) link

so that's what the glasses were for

Doctor Casino, important war pigeon (Doctor Casino), Monday, 4 January 2016 13:32 (eight years ago) link

I also didn't remember Romney getting any kind of push in 2014? I thought it was only the complete car crash that the race has turned into that got people remembering him fondly.

Andrew Farrell, Monday, 4 January 2016 14:38 (eight years ago) link

Yeah fair point, the moral of the story is definitely "things look different from inside a campaign".

Andrew Farrell, Monday, 4 January 2016 15:01 (eight years ago) link

Even though Ben Carson just raised $23 million last quarter, his top campaign consultants understood that getting Carson's message out to an ever-increasing percentage of voters nationwide could only spell impending disaster. Getting out now retains their reputations.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Monday, 4 January 2016 18:30 (eight years ago) link

love the Ole Miss polo, really reminds you how Mitty's such a great fan of sport.

evol j, Monday, 4 January 2016 20:34 (eight years ago) link

In the SEC, I would've put Mitt as either an Ole Miss or Alabama fan.

Maybe since Alabama has actually won a championship before, he found more in common with the Rebs.

pplains, Monday, 4 January 2016 21:00 (eight years ago) link

heh

doctor.quiet.intelligible (WilliamC), Monday, 4 January 2016 21:31 (eight years ago) link

I can partially understand Kasich and Christie hanging around (even Bush if you multiply "partially" by another 10%) to the extent that their "moment"--a brief flurry of media interest, a good poll, something, anything--hasn't happened yet. (Christie's may be happening now, and maybe Bush's already happened before he announced.) But it's sad that Fiorina and Carson can't or won't recognize that theirs have come and gone.

clemenza, Monday, 4 January 2016 21:37 (eight years ago) link

sad for...? you want them to hold on to the immeasurable dignity they've accumulated in this charade?

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, 4 January 2016 21:45 (eight years ago) link

Wrong on Christie there I think - he was the first to crack 20% in the polls, his moment came 18 months ago and he's still chasing it.

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 5 January 2016 01:40 (eight years ago) link

Basically Bush / Christie (even Kasich to an extent) are betting that a) the party will swing for a reasonable candidate (because part of being on the reasonable end of the party is being willing to stand aside to avoid the crazies getting in) and b) Marco Rubio has a low ceiling because Hispanic but not popular with Hispanics. But then being aware of the flaws of every other candidate is a common flaw :)

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 5 January 2016 01:52 (eight years ago) link

Trump's first ad--he's going to cut the head off Mexico and Isis is going to pay for it.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=itsSDhgKwhw

You might be right about Christie--he might have even peaked just before he declared his undying love to the president three years ago. But promise you won't use Christie and crack in the same sentence again.

clemenza, Tuesday, 5 January 2016 02:00 (eight years ago) link

Includes footage of morroccan border

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 5 January 2016 02:22 (eight years ago) link

lol yes and campaign person's response to that was (exact words) "No shit."

timellison, Tuesday, 5 January 2016 02:37 (eight years ago) link

disappointed that the voiceover didn't match the text saying 'off of'

mookieproof, Tuesday, 5 January 2016 02:40 (eight years ago) link

Great, Again

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Tuesday, 5 January 2016 02:53 (eight years ago) link

There's a great Nixon moment near the end of that Trump ad.

clemenza, Tuesday, 5 January 2016 12:38 (eight years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CX-qagcUkAEP7bt.png

mookieproof, Tuesday, 5 January 2016 19:35 (eight years ago) link

Is that the artwork for the album or just the single?

Beef Wets (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 5 January 2016 19:38 (eight years ago) link

Looks like a Steam banner for DLC on a sub-Call of Duty series. Only $4.99 during this Mountain Dew(R) Double-XP(TM) Weekend!

Professor Goodfeels (kingfish), Tuesday, 5 January 2016 20:40 (eight years ago) link

Includes footage of morroccan border

@realDonaldTrump
"@Lucky5713 @NewDay What's wrong with showing Morocco? Nothing! It illustrates a Point! Duh! Love the video!"

@mtaibbi
Trump would be tough to play poker with. He represents aces every time. Doesn't matter what he's holding.

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 5 January 2016 20:53 (eight years ago) link

I wish I understood the demographics well enough to understand why unlimited access to guns is a winning position for the gop. I guess lol geography?

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Tuesday, 5 January 2016 22:18 (eight years ago) link

Lightly populated rural states are highly over-represented both in congress and in the electoral college.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Tuesday, 5 January 2016 22:20 (eight years ago) link

you give up your guns then you're definitely giving up in the 'war'

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 6 January 2016 00:48 (eight years ago) link

also how can you give up your weapons when so many bad guys also have them. like isis

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 6 January 2016 00:50 (eight years ago) link

I think Trump is finally in over his head.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4QGeMApnBQQ

clemenza, Wednesday, 6 January 2016 02:16 (eight years ago) link

is there a thread where we're discussing Obama's executive decision yesterday?

Less surprised by the total lack of surprises (stevie), Wednesday, 6 January 2016 08:13 (eight years ago) link

Don't see anything, but these would seem to be the most relevant threads:

The Great ILX Gun Control Debate
Gun Control

clemenza, Wednesday, 6 January 2016 13:14 (eight years ago) link

Thanks Clem

Less surprised by the total lack of surprises (stevie), Wednesday, 6 January 2016 13:54 (eight years ago) link

Coulter going after Cruz is lol

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 6 January 2016 23:24 (eight years ago) link

Funniest thing I saw on that yesterday was a Trump surrogate on CNN who said that Trump was actually looking out for Cruz, because once the citizenship issue was out there, some irresponsible Democrat will twist the truth and cravenly make a big issue out of it for political gain. If he was even dimly aware of any irony there, he kept it well hidden.

clemenza, Thursday, 7 January 2016 00:25 (eight years ago) link

Gary Johnson (L) jumping in.

ineluctable modality of the chewable (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 7 January 2016 14:16 (eight years ago) link

one of the reasons i supported obama over clinton was that shit

goole, Thursday, 7 January 2016 17:40 (eight years ago) link

both the possiblity that it is true and, admittedly, not wanting to relive the 90s. here we go, i guess.

goole, Thursday, 7 January 2016 17:40 (eight years ago) link

anyway, who is this man kidding

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CYIc-huWsAA0k_v.png:large

goole, Thursday, 7 January 2016 17:41 (eight years ago) link

one of the reasons i supported obama over clinton was that shit
― goole, Thursday, January 7, 2016 11:40 AM (3 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

also this:

http://harpers.org/blog/2015/11/shaky-foundations/

global tetrahedron, Thursday, 7 January 2016 17:44 (eight years ago) link

That's not how people do walking, Marco.

Beef Wets (Old Lunch), Thursday, 7 January 2016 17:44 (eight years ago) link

The Beatles called, they want their boots back.

nickn, Thursday, 7 January 2016 17:51 (eight years ago) link

Wardrobe by Starfleet

it takes the village people (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 7 January 2016 17:51 (eight years ago) link

Boots of 100% Anti-Immigrant American Leather

Οὖτις, Thursday, 7 January 2016 17:52 (eight years ago) link

Someone needs to photoshop some marionette strings into that photo.

Beef Wets (Old Lunch), Thursday, 7 January 2016 17:52 (eight years ago) link

so-called charitable enterprise has served as a vehicle to launder money and to enrich family friends

totally not what a non-profit institution is supposed to do !!! oh man Harpers is on to something here

El Tomboto, Thursday, 7 January 2016 18:19 (eight years ago) link

I mean not to defend the countless NGOs and "charities" which exist for exactly those two reasons, but really, that is pretty much all of Rich N' Famous Philanthropy in a nutshell. Those two reasons and pure vanity.

El Tomboto, Thursday, 7 January 2016 18:22 (eight years ago) link

thank you for your insightful feedback

global tetrahedron, Thursday, 7 January 2016 18:32 (eight years ago) link

thank you for being thankful

(•̪●) (carne asada), Thursday, 7 January 2016 18:34 (eight years ago) link

there it is

you're breaking the NAP (DJP), Thursday, 7 January 2016 18:35 (eight years ago) link

thank the gods

speaking of golden girls, i was on the ground in SE iowa this week, hanging out with a bunch of my grandma's friends at her nursing home. they are all crazy for trump. he did some sort of campaign event recently that none of them could stop talking about. they speak of him like he is jesus. no joke. like their hands start clapping together at the memory of when he finally showed up and they saw him. one of them even got to ask a question/statement, which was something like "i think what we're going through now is just as bad as the depression. it's the same as the depression, only with inflation." trump reportedly nodded and said "you have a point there". as the man retold the story the other residents gasped and smiled at the memory.

Karl Malone, Thursday, 7 January 2016 18:38 (eight years ago) link

They know election day is on a Wednesday this year, right?

schwantz, Thursday, 7 January 2016 18:41 (eight years ago) link

dorothy: hillary
blanche: trump
rose: cruz
sophia: bernie

big Mahats (mattresslessness), Thursday, 7 January 2016 18:45 (eight years ago) link

"i think what we're going through now is just as bad as the depression. it's the same as the depression, only with inflation."

Even if the person who said that were 90 years old today, he would have been 15 years old in 1940. So, obviously, his memories of how bad the Great Depression were would be, at best, the memories of a child who never had to deal with the adult reality of that time.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Thursday, 7 January 2016 18:46 (eight years ago) link

looool matt

Οὖτις, Thursday, 7 January 2016 18:46 (eight years ago) link

that all seems correct except for rose. cruz is not innocent or naive in any way whatsoever. chafee is rose.

Karl Malone, Thursday, 7 January 2016 18:46 (eight years ago) link

and mitt romney is the guy from empty nest who occasionally appears in crossover episodes

Karl Malone, Thursday, 7 January 2016 18:47 (eight years ago) link

rose loves mitt, thinks it's 2012

big Mahats (mattresslessness), Thursday, 7 January 2016 18:48 (eight years ago) link

Broaddrick struck me then as the most credible of the accusers, which is to say her story has enough ambiguities for me to believe he might have done what she said. But I had a dim memory of her during the height of the Jones-Lewinsky farrago of her filing an affidavit denying the charges, and I was right. Plus, imagining HRC as Lucrezia Borgia thanking Broaddrick for staying quiet is beyond Oliver Stone's talent.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 7 January 2016 19:00 (eight years ago) link

the MSM generally portrays the Billary Foundation as a vehicle for them to travel the world, curing disease

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 7 January 2016 19:08 (eight years ago) link

Bill Clinton is probably a rapist (#ilx #woodyallen), but we already know he's a war criminal, so wtf

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 7 January 2016 19:10 (eight years ago) link

xxpost I think she filed that affidavit back when she didn't want any publicity and was intimidated by Clinton. I don't see it as disqualifying the way Sid Blumenthal does

Blowout Coombes (President Keyes), Thursday, 7 January 2016 19:19 (eight years ago) link

At this point in the American presidential race it's really a matter of picking the war criminal you can best live with.

nickn, Thursday, 7 January 2016 20:05 (eight years ago) link

Potential war criminal. It's a difficult feat for, say, a governor to pull off.

Beef Wets (Old Lunch), Thursday, 7 January 2016 20:09 (eight years ago) link

I dunno, turning away war refugees has to be a misdemeanor somewhere.

pplains, Thursday, 7 January 2016 20:13 (eight years ago) link

Creep:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XdK7a8EuUPc

schwantz, Thursday, 7 January 2016 23:12 (eight years ago) link

I meant once they're in the seat they'll be war criminals; no one is going to immediately cease the Middle East drone strike campaign. (not even Bernie, I fear)

nickn, Friday, 8 January 2016 00:25 (eight years ago) link

A robust majority of Americans support President Obama's plan to conduct airstrikes against ISIS in Syria, according to an ABC News/ Washington Post poll out Wednesday. In the survey, 70 percent of adults say they support the airstrikes, while 26 percent say they do not.

v unlikely to have a mainstream candidate represent a policy this one-sided. curious whether there have been candidates who supported something supported by only 26% of americans

Mordy, Friday, 8 January 2016 00:28 (eight years ago) link

Bernie's record re the Middle East is kinda awful; hence i am not really a supporter.

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Friday, 8 January 2016 01:17 (eight years ago) link

the criticism is fair but given that an outright non-interventionist (or pacifist) is unlikely to get the nomination in this or any other year, and given that no president is going to be able to dismantle the military-industrial complex overnight (or even in eight years), i'm willing to overlook my quibbles with some of bernie's past stances b/c HRC's foreign policy is so much worse.

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Friday, 8 January 2016 02:21 (eight years ago) link

Dream team: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/wade-norris/bernie-sanders-hints-eliz_b_8928406.html

schwantz, Friday, 8 January 2016 18:53 (eight years ago) link

that would be... pretty cool?

Warren needs to stay in the senate guys

Οὖτις, Friday, 8 January 2016 19:05 (eight years ago) link

really wouldn't be too worried about this

iatee, Friday, 8 January 2016 19:07 (eight years ago) link

pobrecito:

Koch said he was unimpressed by the rest of the Republican field.

"It is hard for me to get a high level of enthusiasm because the things I'm passionate about and I think this country urgently needs aren't being addressed," he explained.

And though the Kochs' political operation has highlighted their priorities to the candidates, "it doesn't seem to faze them much," Koch said. "You think we could have a little more influence."

Οὖτις, Friday, 8 January 2016 20:44 (eight years ago) link

He can console himself with the knowledge that the dough invested in buying state legislatures was well spent.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 8 January 2016 20:46 (eight years ago) link

http://www.people.com/article/ben-carson-fifth-grader-worst-student?xid=socialflow_facebook_peoplemag

He did have a valid point--maybe not the best way to make it.

clemenza, Saturday, 9 January 2016 05:27 (eight years ago) link

~maybe~

mookieproof, Saturday, 9 January 2016 05:39 (eight years ago) link

this 1993 esquire piece on hillary clinton (annotated by the author) has some interesting stuff in it.

"I find Hillary to be very conservative," argues Maggie Williams. "When she talks about rights and responsibilities, it's a very big deal for her." Maggie, to be sure, is Hillary's chief image-maker, but that view is reinforced by a close adviser to the President who says, "In all the meetings I've attended with Hillary, she has never been more liberal than the consensus in the room. And often she's more conservative."

Could the First Lady be a secret soul mate of Bob Dole? I read that last quote to Hillary. Her unhesitating response: "That's probably true."

Karl Malone, Saturday, 9 January 2016 16:24 (eight years ago) link

The marginalia fascinated me. Guess it makes sense that Reagan's two landslide victories would chill the Clintons forever.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 9 January 2016 16:46 (eight years ago) link

Recent media coverage for Bernie seems to be about the fact that Hillary attacked him on guns, whether or not he's mentioning Bill Clinton in his speeches, and nothing else.

timellison, Sunday, 10 January 2016 20:30 (eight years ago) link

this guy's predictions have been v stable and he's been completely unmoved by ... events (i mean there haven't actually been any events, but i guess the failure of trump to drop out is an event)

http://predictwise.com/blog/2016/01/state-of-election-markets-303-days/

is this how it stands?

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 10 January 2016 23:25 (eight years ago) link

This is where Rubio’s advantage lies; it is likely that the establishment will consolidate before the non-establishment.

I don't know where this assertion comes from. I mean I get that Trump and Cruz would both seem to be in it until the end. But if you add up Rubio/Christie/Bush/Kasich, it only adds up to 20% total! Carson continues to hang around at ten percent and there are still Rand Paul and Fiorina and Huckabee supporters.

timellison, Monday, 11 January 2016 01:12 (eight years ago) link

Latter point being it's not at all clear to me that even if Carson, Paul, Fiorina, and Huckabee are all out by a certain point, why would anyone assume those votes go to Rubio?

timellison, Monday, 11 January 2016 01:13 (eight years ago) link

i think its the idea is that most gop voters are undecided and not captured by those poll numbers, so that when push comes to shove between cruz, trump, or rubio, theyre more likely to say fuck it and vote rubio

ecclesiastes nutz (m bison), Monday, 11 January 2016 01:14 (eight years ago) link

and the idea that theyll be more likely to go rubio than cruz or trump is a hunch, really, and not a bad one. trump has some high negs in the party and im guessing theres a lot of "conventional" republicans who dont see him as a true conservative. however, i think a lot of em will go cruz rather than rubio bc of "purity" or something idk i dont get this party.

ecclesiastes nutz (m bison), Monday, 11 January 2016 01:16 (eight years ago) link

Yeah, it's not at all clear to me that "the establishment" is a winning voting block or even enough of a winning voting block to overcome splitting between Cruz and Trump.

timellison, Monday, 11 January 2016 01:18 (eight years ago) link

yeah, thats where im at. like maybe there is a silent majority of gopers who long for prudent leadership to right the ship and rubio is the mccain/romney they rly want, but i think these folks really and truly believe in their stupid hearts that they lost to obama two times because they werent aggressive and conservative enough

ecclesiastes nutz (m bison), Monday, 11 January 2016 01:21 (eight years ago) link

like i get their respective negatives, but were McCain, Romney or Dole anywhere near as feckless as Rubio?

rmde bob (will), Monday, 11 January 2016 01:27 (eight years ago) link

its a 3 person race, rubio (i have elected experience and i have "gotten stuff done") has gotta position himself as the anti-trump (i'm an irredeemable asshole and i hate the same people you hate), cruz (im an asshole and i have elected experience) is gonna try to play between the two and probably win

xp

ecclesiastes nutz (m bison), Monday, 11 January 2016 01:27 (eight years ago) link

xp my reading says, nah, rubio has way less feck than all of them

ecclesiastes nutz (m bison), Monday, 11 January 2016 01:28 (eight years ago) link

Rubio is not getting the nomination.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 11 January 2016 01:28 (eight years ago) link

I'd be more inclined to say Cruz won't get the nomination. That's what I got out of all the talk this morning: just how hated Cruz is within the party, borne out by the reaction to the eligibility flare-up, where even McCain (who obviously hates Trump) wouldn't defend him. Trump is supposedly now being viewed as an acceptable alternative to Cruz.

clemenza, Monday, 11 January 2016 01:33 (eight years ago) link

As a non-American blessedly free from much media coverage of this nonsense, I heard Rubio's voice for the first time today, and that alone made him seem unlikely as a presidential figure

James Morrison, Monday, 11 January 2016 01:37 (eight years ago) link

Wait'll you hear Cruz's voice...

clemenza, Monday, 11 January 2016 01:38 (eight years ago) link

You can go through every single one of these, and I'd say 'xx is not getting the nomination'. They should do that thing competitions sometimes do, and say 'no deserving winner', then nominate Ryan for vice president again.

Frederik B, Monday, 11 January 2016 01:38 (eight years ago) link

I'd be more inclined to say Cruz won't get the nomination. That's what I got out of all the talk this morning: just how hated Cruz is within the party, borne out by the reaction to the eligibility flare-up, where even McCain (who obviously hates Trump) wouldn't defend him. Trump is supposedly now being viewed as an acceptable alternative to Cruz.

― clemenza,

What's left of the party establishment, which exists only in Sunday morning green rooms, is as usual being stupid. Loathsome or not, Ted Cruz would preserve if not advance their goals. Trump is someone over whom they have no control.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 11 January 2016 01:39 (eight years ago) link

trying to figure out who i should throw my vote to in TN's open primary: Trump or Cruz.

and for me it kind of goes beyond some Operation Chaos shit. like i really, really want these dimbulbs to get the pure, unadulterated loon they've been pining for all these years. it's only fair.

rmde bob (will), Monday, 11 January 2016 01:39 (eight years ago) link

and i say that with the perhaps misguided notion that Cruz would fair little better than Trump against Clinton in the general.

rmde bob (will), Monday, 11 January 2016 01:41 (eight years ago) link

buttload of feck

mookieproof, Monday, 11 January 2016 01:46 (eight years ago) link

(xxxpost) Again, going only by the talk this morning--haven't a clue how these people think--that was the specific point that was made, that whereas Trump would sort of fall in line and "make deals," Cruz was a loose cannon.

clemenza, Monday, 11 January 2016 01:49 (eight years ago) link

I can believe they can be so stupid as to shoo away the one nominee who incarnates their contempt for governance. To play that part convincingly you must show contempt for Senate colleagues, and he's done that.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 11 January 2016 01:51 (eight years ago) link

Wait'll you hear Cruz's voice...

I actually think his voice is what's putting him well over Rubio at this point. He offers big pronouncements about the great evil more convincingly because that's his whole schtick. Rubio is less convincing, I think, because he's more detail- and policy-oriented.

timellison, Monday, 11 January 2016 01:56 (eight years ago) link

I realize the "establishment" is dying or dead. But just as a practical matter, I would think it would be tough to get the nomination if most of the other senators hate you. You've got to go into their states and win primaries--if you've got Trump on one side and a sitting senator or two who hates you on the other, that'd be a difficult needle to thread, wouldn't it? If his unpopularity in the Senate actually is an advantage, then this is a weirder nomination than I even thought.

Cruz sounds other-worldly to me--i.e., not human.

clemenza, Monday, 11 January 2016 01:59 (eight years ago) link

yeah I dunno what's gonna happen. Maybe Reagan will finally get in this.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 11 January 2016 02:00 (eight years ago) link

I don't see why sitting senators are going to have much impact at all.

timellison, Monday, 11 January 2016 02:01 (eight years ago) link

Endorsements and local machinery matter

Οὖτις, Monday, 11 January 2016 02:04 (eight years ago) link

I guess it depends on whether they're liked themselves by their constituents. If they are, and they have negative things to say about Cruz, I think it'd matter a little; if they're not, then no.

clemenza, Monday, 11 January 2016 02:05 (eight years ago) link

I would question how much any of they are liked in general in spite of their ability to win re-elecitons. Like what would be an example of a sitting GOP senator that could exercise influence over how a state votes?

timellison, Monday, 11 January 2016 02:08 (eight years ago) link

People are gonna vote for who Mitch McConnell likes?

timellison, Monday, 11 January 2016 02:08 (eight years ago) link

How about that Bernie, you guys?

Iago Galdston, Monday, 11 January 2016 02:08 (eight years ago) link

the question is, will the GOP nominate Bernie over Hillary?

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 11 January 2016 02:12 (eight years ago) link

"People are gonna vote for who Mitch McConnell likes?"

Don't think it is necessarily that people care who McConnell likes, but a guy like that has his state' contacts in a state party structure to get the vote out and the connections to people with cash to cut checks for distributing signage etc. Literally the people in the GOP offices in the state often are those senator's people, many are there because of past elections working with such a senator.

earlnash, Monday, 11 January 2016 02:16 (eight years ago) link

Endorsements and local machinery matter

― Οὖτις, Sunday, January 10, 2016 7:04 PM (7 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

otm, they're also important in opening donor's pockets. weird to see everyone arguing that because senators are lame that they are somehow not major power players within their state.

xp

intheblanks, Monday, 11 January 2016 02:18 (eight years ago) link

earlnash otm, makes the point I was trying to in far stronger fashion

intheblanks, Monday, 11 January 2016 02:19 (eight years ago) link

you guys only get to play this game for another 5 months or so

baseball can't start soon enough

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, 11 January 2016 02:20 (eight years ago) link

I'm questioning the extent of their power. Getting vote out can be handled by campaigns and I don't think Cruz and Trump are going to suffer from not having enough signage.

timellison, Monday, 11 January 2016 02:27 (eight years ago) link

Getting vote out can be handled by campaigns

Not really

Οὖτις, Monday, 11 January 2016 02:31 (eight years ago) link

Coordination w local resources is always key, canpaigns dont have the time/money to create local political infrastructures in every state

Οὖτις, Monday, 11 January 2016 02:33 (eight years ago) link

I can imagine it would be key if there was a close race. I'm not sure that an "establishment candidate" will ever get close this time.

timellison, Monday, 11 January 2016 02:38 (eight years ago) link

ha

Very selfish, and very ironic (DJP), Monday, 11 January 2016 18:02 (eight years ago) link

when the ruling classes decide you have no class, that's as low as it goes

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, 11 January 2016 18:06 (eight years ago) link

i saw a headline that sam wang think's trump will be the nominee, but digging around a little on the PEC website i can't see that claim specifically

http://election.princeton.edu/

the 'trump will fail' punditry all seems pretty tautological to me. he just has to fall at some point, so he will!

goole, Monday, 11 January 2016 18:50 (eight years ago) link

damn stray apostrophe

goole, Monday, 11 January 2016 18:51 (eight years ago) link

i was asked, god knows why, to explain to a stranger why he won't be president the other night and went with

1) no one like this has been nominated, at least not since we got running water

2) a steady third of our populace is congenitally stupid, not 45%+

3) the GOP will change the rules/sabotage him rather than commit certain downballot suicide

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, 11 January 2016 18:53 (eight years ago) link

3) is the most compelling reason

Οὖτις, Monday, 11 January 2016 18:54 (eight years ago) link

Sam Wang // Jan 10, 2016 at 2:32 pm

Jesse, a quick take.

In summer/fall, it was probably appropriate to rely heavily on The-Party-Decides because polls lacked any predictive power. The question in my mind is why the FiveThirtyEight people have not updated that prior using polls. It is Silver’s style to react slowly to new data.

Also, correct me if I am wrong, but I do not think they have done an analysis like what I posted last week. Even if they did, they (and I) now have a problem: The-Party-Decides and poll-based indicators are now pointing in very different directions. What now???

In my view, this is because the national GOP has been moving toward crisis since 1994. Therefore I would say

Probability that The-Party-Decides will fail = 30%.
Probability that poll-based predictions will fail =15%.

Based on that, I would guess that Trump is favored now over Rubio. (For now, I think Cruz is less likely because he scores so low on ranked-preference polls.)

As for “Why Rubio?,” this is a consequence of The-Party-Decides. If one accepts that premise, then the only alternative is Jeb Bush based on endorsements, money, and officeholding experience. This prediction fails is if The-Party-Decides has waning influence. In national HuffPost averages, in January 2012 current and former officeholders were supported by about 80% of respondents. As of today that number is about 25%.

comment from his 1/7 post

iatee, Monday, 11 January 2016 18:55 (eight years ago) link

i honestly don't think it'll get that far, Shakes. but i spose i could be wrong.

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, 11 January 2016 18:58 (eight years ago) link

GOP knows that if Trump gets the nomination, opposing voters will hit the polls in droves. They need someone less noxious or they're basically handing the presidency to Hillary.

Reckless Recluse (Old Lunch), Monday, 11 January 2016 18:59 (eight years ago) link

i honestly don't think it'll get that far, Shakes. but i spose i could be wrong.

I don't think so either but the x factor here (as I've said before) is what happens when Trump loses primaries - at this point I would bet he loses Iowa, for ex. But what his reaction to being a LOSER are instead of a winner will be, I have no idea. He's unpredictable.

Οὖτις, Monday, 11 January 2016 19:02 (eight years ago) link

are

Οὖτις, Monday, 11 January 2016 19:02 (eight years ago) link

does the GOP have the power to manage 3) these days?

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 11 January 2016 19:03 (eight years ago) link

if he wins he'll be a black swan but those happen all the time.

Mordy, Monday, 11 January 2016 19:04 (eight years ago) link

Even when he loses, he'll spin it as a win somehow. It'll be the people of Iowa who are a bunch of losers.

Reckless Recluse (Old Lunch), Monday, 11 January 2016 19:04 (eight years ago) link

With the republican establishment looking so weak these days, it is easy to forget how much control they exert over the nominating convention, esp. the rules committee.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Monday, 11 January 2016 19:05 (eight years ago) link

^^^

they may not control much in terms of candidates or policy, but they control the party machinery - that's pretty much *all* they control at this point

Οὖτις, Monday, 11 January 2016 19:06 (eight years ago) link

and that is to a large degree why Sanders won't be nominated by the other assholes

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, 11 January 2016 19:13 (eight years ago) link

(assuming he wins some primaries)

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, 11 January 2016 19:13 (eight years ago) link

3) the GOP will change the rules/sabotage him rather than commit certain downballot suicide

― skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, January 11, 2016 1:53 PM (9 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

3) is the most compelling reason

― Οὖτις, Monday, January 11, 2016 1:54 PM

but changing the rules to sabotage him could be a form of suicide for the GOP as well. imagine that he maintains his hold on ~35-40% of republican voters. then the GOP sabotages him and someone like rubio becomes the candidate, and he loses to clinton in the general election. is it likely that trump would stay relatively quiet about how he was sabotaged, with his former supporters continuing to vote republican, remaining as part of the GOP base? or is it more likely that trump would never shut up about what happened, ever, while his supporters lose the remaining scraps of their minds obsessing about a conspiracy theory that's actually true?

Karl Malone, Monday, 11 January 2016 19:14 (eight years ago) link

look, a split is coming for the party either way, my prediction is they go down trying to preserve their own power, and this is how they would do that.

Οὖτις, Monday, 11 January 2016 19:15 (eight years ago) link

cults of personality haven't been so good, historically speaking, at upsetting the two-party balance, I don't see any reason why Trump would be any different. Trump might bolt the party and take chunks of the base with him, and the party would be weakened (at least temporarily) but it's a tall order for Trump to be able to thoroughly destroy the GOP in such a manner.

Οὖτις, Monday, 11 January 2016 19:16 (eight years ago) link

i'm not convinced trump *would* be downballot suicide, just on an instinctual level, but i'd need to look into the polling nerd stuff on that

goole, Monday, 11 January 2016 19:20 (eight years ago) link

he would def be downballot suicide, the Dem turnout would get a huge boost, significant chunk of GOP voting bloc would possibly not vote at all

Οὖτις, Monday, 11 January 2016 19:24 (eight years ago) link

Maybe if Trump loses Iowa by a significant margin his subsequent rants to his followers will finally transform the "Fuck Iowa, why do they get to go first anyway" feeling that everyone expresses every four years into an actual movement?

the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Monday, 11 January 2016 19:24 (eight years ago) link

changing the rules to sabotage him could be a form of suicide for the GOP as well

yeah, this passed through my mind, certainly. My main argument against it would be that the mean national memory is now -- how long does a Real Housewives season last?

I've been reading Dem forecasts of the Death of the GOP for about 20 years...

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Monday, 11 January 2016 19:24 (eight years ago) link

a single-issue 3rd party dedicated to kicking iowa out of the union

iatee, Monday, 11 January 2016 19:26 (eight years ago) link

sadly agree with Morbz here

Nhex, Monday, 11 January 2016 19:26 (eight years ago) link

he would def be downballot suicide, the Dem turnout would get a huge boost, significant chunk of GOP voting bloc would possibly not vote at all

― Οὖτις, Monday, January 11, 2016 12:24 PM (24 seconds ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Also, specifically, the percentage of Latinos turning out and voting for Democrats will rise significantly. It was already 71% in 2012, and I could see it moving to the high 80s in 2016 if Trump is the GOP nominee.

intheblanks, Monday, 11 January 2016 19:28 (eight years ago) link

yup

Οὖτις, Monday, 11 January 2016 19:35 (eight years ago) link

I've been reading Dem forecasts of the Death of the GOP for about 20 years...

exactly. what the GOP *becomes* is up for debate, but that party apparatus - creaky and dysfunctional as it may be - is not going anywhere

Οὖτις, Monday, 11 January 2016 19:35 (eight years ago) link

i can't imagine GOPers would sit out a chance to vote against HRC but maybe i should be more optimistic

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Monday, 11 January 2016 19:36 (eight years ago) link

No optimism for USA. My parents are boomers, retired last year, and immediately started watching Fox News daily. I wish I was joking. My dad hates Hillary and they're both voting for Trump. ...and they're immigrants, sigh.

Nhex, Monday, 11 January 2016 19:38 (eight years ago) link

yeah, it's definitely possible that everyone will just forget and move on. but i don't view that as a certain outcome. there's something about the combination of the people involved, who are primed for conspiracy theories and the thought that "they" are going to take something away from them, along with the thought of "they" ACTUALLY taking something away from them for once

Karl Malone, Monday, 11 January 2016 19:39 (eight years ago) link

Jeb Bush: "If Donald Trump wins the nomination, and he might, Hillary Clinton will beat him like a drum. Just tear him up. I mean, it will be ugly to watch."

That's an awesome quote. Almost Nixonian in its phrasing.

the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Monday, 11 January 2016 21:23 (eight years ago) link

that is ok, if he loses he can just get the supreme court to ignore the popular vote and instate him as president. worked out fine for your brother, Jeb!

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Monday, 11 January 2016 21:52 (eight years ago) link

"... beat him like a drum"

"red-headed stepchild" would have been better.

nickn, Monday, 11 January 2016 22:58 (eight years ago) link

Jeb Bush: "If Donald Trump wins the nomination, and he might, Hillary Clinton will beat him like a drum. Just tear him up. I mean, it will be ugly to watch."

That's an awesome quote. Almost Nixonian in its phrasing.

so amazing

tremendous crime wave and killing wave (Joan Crawford Loves Chachi), Monday, 11 January 2016 23:59 (eight years ago) link

lol Jeb saying that Trump might win = "is this over yet, can I quit now"

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 00:01 (eight years ago) link

one more thing (sorry) on the GOP sabotaging trump thing - if they even hinted at doing that, wouldn't he just run third party? admittedly i know little about the mechanics of switching to independent status, how late in the game you can do it, getting on the ballot, etc

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 17:05 (eight years ago) link

but if he did, they could lose the WH while hanging on to both houses, mebbe

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 17:06 (eight years ago) link

they would lose the Senate

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 17:08 (eight years ago) link

obviously the GOP's dilemma is how to give the nomination to someone else without Trump running third party

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 17:08 (eight years ago) link

I thought there were "sore loser" laws in some key states that prevented him from running third party? pretty sure that was mentioned upthread somewhere.

sleeve, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 17:13 (eight years ago) link

MoveOn members have voted to endorse Bernie Sanders for president. Now, with your help, we will mobilize and help him win.

After more than 340,000 ballots were cast in a four-day membership vote, Bernie Sanders has earned our endorsement with an overwhelming 79% of votes cast, far more than the 67% threshold required for an endorsement. That's the best-ever performance of any presidential candidate in MoveOn's 17-year history.

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 17:14 (eight years ago) link

He's got until early May apparently to get onto the ballot for some states as third-party. Past that there's a sliding scale of how much damage he can do.

xp most of the sore loser laws are congressional.
http://edition.cnn.com/2015/08/13/politics/trump-third-party-run-barriers/

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 17:20 (eight years ago) link

thanks Andrew

sleeve, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 17:20 (eight years ago) link

btw re yr wrestling show

@mtaibbi
Rand Paul out and Christie in makes the next GOP dumber, meaner:

http://wivb.com/2016/01/12/rand-paul-carly-fiorina-cut-from-main-gop-debate-lineup/

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 17:33 (eight years ago) link

They do like their bullies.

Reckless Recluse (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 17:34 (eight years ago) link

rand paul wasn't exactly a smart nice guy either

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 17:39 (eight years ago) link

2) a steady third of our populace is congenitally stupid, not 45%+

Morbs OTM. Also, I find this concept sadly hilarious, like, we're so stupid we have to sub-quantify it. "No, we're not all idiots here, just about 37.3% of us."

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 17:40 (eight years ago) link

Rand Paul out

that free market is a real motherfucker

rmde bob (will), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 18:14 (eight years ago) link

If Trump got pushed out and ran third-party, wouldn't that at least mitigate some of the down-ballot problems for the GOP (people show up to pull the lever for Trump and vote for GOP down-ticket anyway)?

schwantz, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 18:16 (eight years ago) link

Does anyone even seriously talk about a Trump vs. Sanders match?

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 18:20 (eight years ago) link

I would think die-hard Trumpists would hate the GOP for sabotaging their candidate and be erm kinda unsympathetic to voting a straight GOP ticket - after all, the party just betrayed them.

There's a lot of variable involved, I think no matter what a Trump third party run introduces instability into the GOP's path to victory, voter turnout, etc. and that alone would cost them, probably pretty badly.

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 18:21 (eight years ago) link

This is amazing in a "can't someone just take Jeb Bush behind the nearest barn and put him down, for all our sakes?" kind of way:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VC6H-8hktFE

the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 18:23 (eight years ago) link

somehow I don't think Lee Hazlewood would approve of this

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 18:24 (eight years ago) link

what the hell

Very selfish, and very ironic (DJP), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 18:26 (eight years ago) link

are you kidding? that ad is terrific

goole, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 18:27 (eight years ago) link

schmobot 14 minutes ago
I think a lot of Jeb!'s superpac money has been spent on drugs. It's the only explanation for this video.

Very selfish, and very ironic (DJP), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 18:28 (eight years ago) link

it's entertaining, and it says something true about rubio, a child and a lightweight

goole, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 18:29 (eight years ago) link

The dancing, though

Very selfish, and very ironic (DJP), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 18:30 (eight years ago) link

the bouncing boot that follows the lyrics

Very selfish, and very ironic (DJP), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 18:30 (eight years ago) link

we've entered the fever dream section of the campaign

Very selfish, and very ironic (DJP), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 18:31 (eight years ago) link

it feels like it takes about a year to watch

tremendous crime wave and killing wave (Joan Crawford Loves Chachi), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 18:32 (eight years ago) link

Brainstrain 1 hour ago
Truthin' is not a verb


TheTritoneTerror 43 minutes ago
+Brainstrain It got verbed.

this comment exchange is killing me

Very selfish, and very ironic (DJP), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 18:33 (eight years ago) link

seeing SYRIA and IMMIGRATION in that sonny & cher font is so good

goole, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 18:34 (eight years ago) link

I would maybe have started out with Kate Hudson in a minidress popping out of a Laugh-in style door and shouting "SOCK IT TO ME!" before going into the song

Very selfish, and very ironic (DJP), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 18:36 (eight years ago) link

That's Jeb dancing, right?

Sofialo Ren (Leee), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 19:08 (eight years ago) link

Jeb seems more like the clodhopper type

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 19:09 (eight years ago) link

you gotta love that with all the time and effort and superpac money to create a dancing marco rubio attack ad, at the end they give it the title

Boots

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 19:09 (eight years ago) link

my assumption re: the dancer is that it's a staffer who lost a bet

Very selfish, and very ironic (DJP), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 19:17 (eight years ago) link

I think it's worse than that: the staffer won the bet.

Montgomery Burns' Jazz (Tarfumes The Escape Goat), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 19:33 (eight years ago) link

"When you do the double Dutch, That's Jeb dancing.
When you do the double Dutch, That's Jeb dancing."

nickn, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 19:56 (eight years ago) link

lol

Doctor Casino, important war pigeon (Doctor Casino), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 20:19 (eight years ago) link

I'm starting to feel like Sanders could actually win, am I nuts?

Guayaquil (eephus!), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 20:31 (eight years ago) link

underestimating HRC's donors + machine

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 20:32 (eight years ago) link

I'm starting to feel like Sanders could actually win

win what, the NH primary?

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 20:44 (eight years ago) link

I assume he'll win one or two primaries. anywhere that involves minority or non college-educated votes though, he will lose.

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 20:45 (eight years ago) link

i bet he'll win MN. not that that matters

global tetrahedron, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 21:16 (eight years ago) link

first 538 models http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/whos-winning-iowa-and-new-hampshire/

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 21:24 (eight years ago) link

i bet he'll win MN. not that that matters

It'll matter if you win the bit and have to show us your dance moves.

Sofialo Ren (Leee), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 21:31 (eight years ago) link

*bet

Sofialo Ren (Leee), Tuesday, 12 January 2016 21:31 (eight years ago) link

so hillary leading in iowa in both models and cruz leading in one and even w/ trump in the other. trump leading acc to both models in NH and clinton w/ slight edge in the plus poll and sanders w/ huge advantage in normal poll.

Mordy, Tuesday, 12 January 2016 21:33 (eight years ago) link

it's funny how he can be remarkably cogent and perceptive about historical trends one moment and then offer totally idiotic campaign prescriptions the next

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 13 January 2016 00:03 (eight years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CYnXnjPWsAA9ZSi.jpg

mookieproof, Wednesday, 13 January 2016 17:21 (eight years ago) link

smoking gun!

Iago Galdston, Wednesday, 13 January 2016 17:37 (eight years ago) link

Why is Princess Di meeting with Harry Caray?

pplains, Wednesday, 13 January 2016 17:46 (eight years ago) link

Bernghazi! (somebody's probably already said this)

nickn, Wednesday, 13 January 2016 17:48 (eight years ago) link

it's funny how he can be remarkably cogent and perceptive about historical trends one moment and then offer totally idiotic campaign prescriptions the next

Descriptive beats out the prescriptive, then?

Professor Goodfeels (kingfish), Wednesday, 13 January 2016 22:11 (eight years ago) link

in his case, yes. Part of my surprise is due to reading a right-wing pundit/prez candidate who can accurately cite historical precedent, draw a clear line of argument, and marshal facts in support of a point of view. Kind of anomaly these days. Much as I vehemently disagree with a lot of what he says.

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 13 January 2016 22:15 (eight years ago) link

hey, Chelsea wielding the family lying hatchet on Sanders already. She's her parents' daughter.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/chelsea-clinton-bernie-sanders-single-payer_56956c06e4b05b3245dad15a?lth85mi=

https://theintercept.com/2016/01/13/hillary-clinton-single-payer/

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 13 January 2016 22:17 (eight years ago) link

odds are in at Bovada.

Just dems:

•Hillary Clinton -900
•Bernie Sanders +450

Just Goppers:

•Marco Rubio +160
•Donald Trump +200
•Ted Cruz +290
•Jeb Bush +800
•Chris Christie +1400
•Ben Carson +5000
•John Kasich +5000
•Carly Fiorina +7500

and overall:

•Hillary Clinton -110
•Donald Trump +300
•Bernie Sanders +500
•Marco Rubio +800
•Ted Cruz +1000
•Jeb Bush +3300
•Chris Christie +3300
•Ben Carson +10000
•John Kasich +15000
•Carly Fiorina +15000

frogbs, Wednesday, 13 January 2016 22:19 (eight years ago) link

weird, wonder why rubio drops against trump overall but leads in just gop category

Mordy, Wednesday, 13 January 2016 22:22 (eight years ago) link

weird, wonder why rubio drops against trump overall but leads in just gop category

was wondering that myself, I think it has something to do with the fact that these odds are based on what they think the public will bet, not what they see the actual odds as. apparently they think Trump to win it all is going to get a lot of action even at unfavorable odds

frogbs, Wednesday, 13 January 2016 22:30 (eight years ago) link

why is that exciting mordy

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 13 January 2016 22:34 (eight years ago) link

NYTimes report: GOP candidate Ted Cruz failed to disclose loan from Goldman Sachs in campaign finance reports

kinda doubt this would effect his support tho

Clay, Thursday, 14 January 2016 00:00 (eight years ago) link

did his wife hook it up for him?

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Thursday, 14 January 2016 00:01 (eight years ago) link

trump could exploit the shit out of this tho.. 'my opponent is literally bought and paid for by goldman sachs. dude tried to cover it up. I cant be bought because Im richer than god blah blah blah'

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Thursday, 14 January 2016 00:02 (eight years ago) link

that seems like a foregone conclusion

xp

Οὖτις, Thursday, 14 January 2016 00:02 (eight years ago) link

yeah I guess there's a "he's just like these establishment LOSERS" angle here I hadn't considered

Clay, Thursday, 14 January 2016 00:04 (eight years ago) link

"As far as I'm concerned, anger is OK," Trump said on CNN. "Anger and energy is what this country needs."

Seconds later: "One more thing--may the road rise with you."

clemenza, Thursday, 14 January 2016 00:06 (eight years ago) link

lol

Montgomery Burns' Jazz (Tarfumes The Escape Goat), Thursday, 14 January 2016 00:08 (eight years ago) link

Listening to Trump talk about Cruz's eligibility, or Hillary as Bill's enabler--which in both cases amounts to an almost sorrowful "I don't want to talk about this, you brought it up"--he's practically a genius on the order of Cecil B. DeMille: all that sin and licentiousness, it's just awful--let's take a look. He just talked rings around Erin Burnett a couple of minutes ago. I think he's lethal when he dials it back and slips into his soft-spoken gee-whiz persona.

clemenza, Thursday, 14 January 2016 00:35 (eight years ago) link

I think he would flounder terribly in a GE debate.

timellison, Thursday, 14 January 2016 01:04 (eight years ago) link

good morning!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vPRfP_TEQ-g

Karl Malone, Thursday, 14 January 2016 16:30 (eight years ago) link

Didn't realize Trump was into PiL.

it takes the village people (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 14 January 2016 17:01 (eight years ago) link

omg

welltris (crüt), Thursday, 14 January 2016 17:03 (eight years ago) link

part of the fun is trying to figure out which person in the audience is you

Karl Malone, Thursday, 14 January 2016 17:06 (eight years ago) link

honestly don't know if that's satirical or serious

Copy rights, pleasing all star wars fans, hiring professionals. (forksclovetofu), Thursday, 14 January 2016 17:18 (eight years ago) link

That's an unbelievable number of USA cliches in 2:15.

Retro novelty punk (Dan Peterson), Thursday, 14 January 2016 17:22 (eight years ago) link

at first i thought it was fake, like they took b-roll footage of an audience waiting for Trump to show up and then greenscreened the dance squad in, but then the audience starts clapping in time and it's too real

Karl Malone, Thursday, 14 January 2016 17:30 (eight years ago) link

Comments are also a very confusing jumble of satire/serious.

Retro novelty punk (Dan Peterson), Thursday, 14 January 2016 17:33 (eight years ago) link

DEAL FROM STRENGTH OR GET CRUSHED EVERY TIME

goole, Thursday, 14 January 2016 17:38 (eight years ago) link

my mind has ground to a complete halt

goole, Thursday, 14 January 2016 17:38 (eight years ago) link

DEAL FROM STRENGTH OR GET CRUSHED EVERY TIME

Yeah, I would suggest polling it, but no way this wouldn't win.

Andrew Farrell, Thursday, 14 January 2016 17:48 (eight years ago) link

as true today as it was when our forefathers wrote it in the constitution

Copy rights, pleasing all star wars fans, hiring professionals. (forksclovetofu), Thursday, 14 January 2016 17:51 (eight years ago) link

t/f: this is child abuse

Very selfish, and very ironic (DJP), Thursday, 14 January 2016 17:52 (eight years ago) link

probably but I feel that way about most professional kids' stuff (modeling, beauty pageants, etc.)

Οὖτις, Thursday, 14 January 2016 17:54 (eight years ago) link

when i was a badass prepubescent teenager, i talked a bunch of trash on a dance squad at our school during a performance. i didn't realize one of the moms near us was a mother of one of the performers, and she started crying. i definitely felt really cool as i reminisced about the moment later that night while flipping through an issue of cosmopolitan i took from my sister's room

Karl Malone, Thursday, 14 January 2016 17:57 (eight years ago) link

in fairness, one of the primary responsibilities of teenagers is to make mothers cry

Very selfish, and very ironic (DJP), Thursday, 14 January 2016 17:59 (eight years ago) link

:) now i can finally move on!

Karl Malone, Thursday, 14 January 2016 18:00 (eight years ago) link

I had that Trump speech on in the background (curiosity is a terrible thing) and it's not news, but he's very good at what he does, and he is fantastically shameless in an "oh no, he's not going to..!?!" way. Here's the transcript only of the last minute:

"And we're going to win so much - and I say it - and I mean it! We're going to win so much, we're going to win with all of those things - Healthcare, everything! We're going to win at everything we do, and other countries are going to respect us, because we're winners, we're not losers. And we're not going to be kissing ass when 10 wonderful people get captured. We're going to win at every single level, we're going to win so much you're going to beg me, you're going to say 'Mr President, we're so tired of winning, we can't take it any more, please - don't win any more, Mr President, please, have one or two losses!', and I'll say 'No, I won't do that! I won't do that, because we are going to make America so great again!' We are going to make America great again. The American Dream is dead, but we're going to make it bigger and better and stronger than ever before, and I love you, thank you very much."

Andrew Farrell, Thursday, 14 January 2016 18:27 (eight years ago) link

James Brown could not be reached for comment.

Andrew Farrell, Thursday, 14 January 2016 18:27 (eight years ago) link

lying to the american public has never been quite so un-nuanced and obvious; he's the purloined letter of politics

Copy rights, pleasing all star wars fans, hiring professionals. (forksclovetofu), Thursday, 14 January 2016 18:29 (eight years ago) link

who knew Charlie Sheen would have such an amazing second career as a speechwriter

Οὖτις, Thursday, 14 January 2016 18:29 (eight years ago) link

The American Dream is dead, but we're going to make it bigger

This is called bloating.

pplains, Thursday, 14 January 2016 18:31 (eight years ago) link

"bloasting"

Copy rights, pleasing all star wars fans, hiring professionals. (forksclovetofu), Thursday, 14 January 2016 18:39 (eight years ago) link

Registered bloater.

Wait, hold on. I gotta call Mark Russell with that one.

pplains, Thursday, 14 January 2016 18:41 (eight years ago) link

James Brown could not be reached for comment.

As I was reading that I was picturing him falling to his knees with an aide walking out with a cape

joygoat, Thursday, 14 January 2016 18:45 (eight years ago) link

"And we're going to win so much - and I say it - and I mean it! We're going to win so much, we're going to win with all of those things - Healthcare, everything! We're going to win at everything we do, and other countries are going to respect us, because we're winners, we're not losers. And we're not going to be kissing ass when 10 wonderful people get captured. We're going to win at every single level, we're going to win so much you're going to beg me, you're going to say 'Mr President, we're so tired of winning, we can't take it any more, please - don't win any more, Mr President, please, have one or two losses!', and I'll say 'No, I won't do that! I won't do that, because we are going to make America so great again!' We are going to make America great again. The American Dream is dead, but we're going to make it bigger and better and stronger than ever before, and I love you, thank you very much."

this rhetoric actually speaks to some people

Very selfish, and very ironic (DJP), Thursday, 14 January 2016 18:46 (eight years ago) link

some people wanna win so bad

Οὖτις, Thursday, 14 January 2016 18:47 (eight years ago) link

"The American Dream is dead, but we're going to make it bigger and better and stronger than ever before"

so.... like a zombie with super strength?

sleeve, Thursday, 14 January 2016 18:47 (eight years ago) link

this rhetoric actually speaks to some people

They're called 'eight-year-olds'. Or 'adults operating at the cognitive level of an eight-year-old'.

Professor Bworlph (Old Lunch), Thursday, 14 January 2016 18:58 (eight years ago) link

can't watch the video but reading these comments and all I hear is: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GGXzlRoNtHU

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Thursday, 14 January 2016 19:00 (eight years ago) link

I'm impressed that America's first substance free campaign has done so well. This will be a model for future campaigns for sure.

=(

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Thursday, 14 January 2016 19:05 (eight years ago) link

lol first

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Thursday, 14 January 2016 19:07 (eight years ago) link

He literally says nothing!

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Thursday, 14 January 2016 19:09 (eight years ago) link

Huh, kind of forgot about Carson. Is he still running? Did he just sort of quietly self-destruct?

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 14 January 2016 19:41 (eight years ago) link

i think he loudly self-destructed.

Copy rights, pleasing all star wars fans, hiring professionals. (forksclovetofu), Thursday, 14 January 2016 19:41 (eight years ago) link

In a rambling interview with a Catholic news network over the weekend, Republican presidential candidate Ben Carson derided marriage equality and protections for transgender people as “extra rights” for “a few people who perhaps are abnormal,” warning that if the next president’s Supreme Court nominees protect LGBT rights, you can “say goodbye to America.”

Carson made the comments in an interview with the Witherspoon Institute’s Matthew Franck as part of a series of conversations with presidential candidates on the Catholic network EWTN.

When Franck asked Carson about Department of Education efforts to protect the rights of transgender students in schools, Carson launched into a discussion of how “political correctness” and “extra rights” are ruining America.

“You see how silly this is,” he said. “I mean, it’s beyond ridiculous that you take the most abnormal situation and then you make everyone else conform to it. That doesn’t make any sense whatsoever. That’s one of the very reasons that I have been an outspoken opponent of things like gay marriage. I don’t have any problem with gay people doing anything they want to do. You know, it’s a free country, there’s freedom of association. However, when you now impose your value system on everybody else and change fundamental definitions and principles of society, I have a big problem with that. Everybody is equal, everybody has equal rights, but nobody gets extra rights. And when we start trying to impose the extra rights based on a few people who perhaps are abnormal, where does that lead?”

After warning that gay marriage could lead to legalized polygamy and railing against “garbage” arguments for transgender rights, Carson said, “We are absolutely destroying ourselves because we are paying attention to political correctness.”

“Our time is running out,” he added. “If we don’t stand up for principles now and we get a progressive and they get two or three Supreme Court picks, say goodbye to America.”

nomar, Thursday, 14 January 2016 19:46 (eight years ago) link

yeah America was never about granting people rights

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Thursday, 14 January 2016 19:47 (eight years ago) link

Political correctness seems to have become a huge buzzword on the right. It's ruining America. Talking to kids about bullying is enforcing political correctness. Obama won't call it Islamic Terrorism because of political correctness. We love Trump because he's not politically correct.

Retro novelty punk (Dan Peterson), Thursday, 14 January 2016 20:04 (eight years ago) link

i feel like people don't talk about 'culture wars' as much. maybe because the left got some big-time Ws on that front (gay marriage for ex.). 'political correctness' is maybe the new enemy for the new normal

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Thursday, 14 January 2016 20:22 (eight years ago) link

Pierce:

And, if you want some more evidence that shit's getting real on the Democratic side, consider that the Clinton campaign has unlimbered Chelsea Clinton to rip Sanders on health care, and consider that HRC herself has decided to appear on Squint and the Meat Puppet on Friday in what appears to be a desperate attempt to re-establish some Green Room cred. (S. & M.P. are "on the scene" in Iowa, probably because cattle mutilations have fallen off.) The simple fact is that, if HRC has lost her lead at the moment, she has lost it to a superior campaign.

And it's not as simple as the "populist anger" narrative would have you believe. Sanders has been running a 50-state campaign since before he formally declared his candidacy. He went to South Carolina. He went to Mississippi. He drew large and approving crowds in both places. He has stayed doggedly on message, directly refusing to help the elite political class in its pursuit of shiny objects. He repeatedly has emphasized that the pursuit of his policy goals, which all have to do with breaking the power of impending oligarchy and its threat to self-government, cannot be limited simply to electing him. And that's where the easy narrative falls apart....

....The respective appeals of the two men are similar only on the simplest and least consequential levels. On the most profound levels, the two campaigns couldn't be more different. Bernie Sanders is where he is because the positions and the policies he has been championing all his career have come back somewhat into favor ever since some grifters broke the world economy and then made off with the rubble. That is why he's different from Donald Trump and that is why Hillary Rodham Clinton is noticing that things in the rear-view window are closer than they appear.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 14 January 2016 20:23 (eight years ago) link

"political correctness" has been a huge buzzword on the right for the past two decades

Very selfish, and very ironic (DJP), Thursday, 14 January 2016 20:24 (eight years ago) link

that goes back to the 80s! history of it is p interesting actually (there's a thread about it...)

Οὖτις, Thursday, 14 January 2016 20:25 (eight years ago) link

Squint and the Meat Puppet?

xp

Οὖτις, Thursday, 14 January 2016 20:26 (eight years ago) link

read an article about Chelsea on the campaign trail doing some fear mongering about bernie's single payer health care plan. if i had a vote in the deomocratic primary, and was on the fence, i'm pretty sure i'd be leaning towards sanders

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Thursday, 14 January 2016 20:31 (eight years ago) link

Yeah, I've certainly heard a fair amount of "PC" comments over the years in a variety of contexts, but never from a political candidate in a quote like "“We are absolutely destroying ourselves because we are paying attention to political correctness.” Researching now... (xposts)

Retro novelty punk (Dan Peterson), Thursday, 14 January 2016 20:32 (eight years ago) link

Squint and the Meat Puppet?

xp

― Οὖτις, Thursday, January 14, 2016 8:26 PM (7 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

joe scarborough and mika berzynski (cant spell that name to save my life)

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Thursday, 14 January 2016 20:36 (eight years ago) link

lol The War on Political Correctness ugh

(•̪●) (carne asada), Thursday, 14 January 2016 20:41 (eight years ago) link

only a totally weak loser would ever be considerate of other losers with disadvantages and stuff.

(•̪●) (carne asada), Thursday, 14 January 2016 20:43 (eight years ago) link

Feel like right wing usage of 'political correctness' used to mean 'what's wrong with just saying whatever I want to say?' but has recently been expanded to 'what's wrong with emulating a Nazi?'.

Professor Bworlph (Old Lunch), Thursday, 14 January 2016 20:44 (eight years ago) link

ironic that it purports to be about standing up for free speech when in reality is most often invoked for the opposite reasons.

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Thursday, 14 January 2016 20:48 (eight years ago) link

https://scontent-lga3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xpa1/v/t1.0-9/11984_927891740594082_3114178476815477404_n.jpg?oh=101cbeb3a40fc064117497557e3f6cdc&oe=5739641A

someone posted this on fb. am i right in assuming this is some [probably well-meaning] supporter's graphic and not really a representation of how Bernie Sanders thinks he's going to fund all his programming, right? bc it's clearly insane.

Mordy, Thursday, 14 January 2016 23:42 (eight years ago) link

nm i missed that it says 10 years. it's still wrong (the paper cited for the health plan savings which seems outlandish to me is maybe $18 trillion but def not $32 trillion) but over 10 years means it's slightly less insane than i first thought

Mordy, Thursday, 14 January 2016 23:46 (eight years ago) link

and still less insane than cutting taxes on 'jobs creators'

Van Horn Street, Thursday, 14 January 2016 23:47 (eight years ago) link

I don't think either Hillary or Bernie's plans have any hopes of passing a Republican-controlled House, this kind of stuff is all fantasy more than anything else.

Οὖτις, Thursday, 14 January 2016 23:48 (eight years ago) link

like it's nice to know what the candidates come up with as a combo of what they would like to do + what they think will help get them elected but it really isn't worth crunching numbers over, the reality's gonna be much grimmer and messier. If there was any hope of the Democrats controlling Congress as there was with Obama's election in '08 they would be worth more scrutiny, but I don't think even the rosiest of election scenarios flips the House back to the Democrats.

Οὖτις, Thursday, 14 January 2016 23:50 (eight years ago) link

is the single payer health care plan the same as we have in Canada?

Van Horn Street, Thursday, 14 January 2016 23:51 (eight years ago) link

I agree that numbers like that come from Fantasy Island. However, if one were to take it seriously, it actually may be understating things in a few areas.

The money spent on infrastructure (building a bridge, say) isn't just set on fire, it's spent inside the economy. Some of it goes to a contractor, which pays construction workers with some of it. So some of it returns to the treasury via income taxes. Same goes for the youth jobs program. Ditto the downstream paychecks of anyone whose job prospects are improved by more-affordable college.

And, of course, most people with jobs usually use their paychecks to buy stuff - food, cars, houses, etc. - so if your business involves selling goods and services to the people employed as a result of those programs, you're getting your tax money back.

it takes the village people (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 15 January 2016 00:14 (eight years ago) link

i think we all agree that growth spending (especially on health and infrastructure) is a good thing, unfortunately lots of people at congress will never accept that.

Van Horn Street, Friday, 15 January 2016 00:38 (eight years ago) link

I am guessing no-one here felt like watching Fiorina Santorum and Huckabee do anything other than juggle chainsaws?

Andrew Farrell, Friday, 15 January 2016 00:44 (eight years ago) link

that was it for the kids table? damn.

so i guess Paul's appeal to Alex fucking Jones and his army of nitwits to Let Rand Debate didn't produce results?

rmde bob (will), Friday, 15 January 2016 01:00 (eight years ago) link

I was checking the feed for the later one, so I ended up looking in for five minutes. Each person clinging to one hope--Huckabee to Iowa in 2008, Santorum to Iowa in 2012, Fiorini to October of 2015 or whenever her 5-minute surge was. I liked that clip of Paul (literally) giving the finger to Fox on the radio today, although he seemed to be okay with the also-ran debate when he was part of the main one.

clemenza, Friday, 15 January 2016 01:50 (eight years ago) link

I had that Trump speech on in the background (curiosity is a terrible thing) and it's not news, but he's very good at what he does, and he is fantastically shameless in an "oh no, he's not going to..!?!" way. Here's the transcript only of the last minute:

"And we're going to win so much - and I say it - and I mean it! We're going to win so much, we're going to win with all of those things - Healthcare, everything! We're going to win at everything we do, and other countries are going to respect us, because we're winners, we're not losers. And we're not going to be kissing ass when 10 wonderful people get captured. We're going to win at every single level, we're going to win so much you're going to beg me, you're going to say 'Mr President, we're so tired of winning, we can't take it any more, please - don't win any more, Mr President, please, have one or two losses!', and I'll say 'No, I won't do that! I won't do that, because we are going to make America so great again!' We are going to make America great again. The American Dream is dead, but we're going to make it bigger and better and stronger than ever before, and I love you, thank you very much."

― Andrew Farrell, Thursday, 14 January 2016 18:27 (Yesterday) Permalink

Fuck it, he's got my vote for 8th grade class president

Crazy Eddie & Jesus the Kid (Raymond Cummings), Friday, 15 January 2016 02:05 (eight years ago) link

And we're going to win so much - and I say it - and I mean it!

https://metrouk2.files.wordpress.com/2014/03/wpid-article-1334068218974-02138234000004b0-858942_466x310.jpg

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 15 January 2016 02:09 (eight years ago) link

In other news, I sort of love "All I Do Is Win" after hearing it just once

Crazy Eddie & Jesus the Kid (Raymond Cummings), Friday, 15 January 2016 02:15 (eight years ago) link

I hope Obama's listening to Carson's patient explanation of the things he doesn't understand about the world today.

clemenza, Friday, 15 January 2016 02:18 (eight years ago) link

A sick part of me wants to tune in but so far I'm resisting the urge

Crazy Eddie & Jesus the Kid (Raymond Cummings), Friday, 15 January 2016 02:20 (eight years ago) link

Cruz is basically re-enacting the Checkers speech at the moment.

clemenza, Friday, 15 January 2016 02:22 (eight years ago) link

Concern Trumping

Blowout Coombes (President Keyes), Friday, 15 January 2016 02:33 (eight years ago) link

Joke of the night: Ben Carson! (Seriously, it was a great line.)

clemenza, Friday, 15 January 2016 02:42 (eight years ago) link

Was the line "Ben Carson"? Because that is a pretty funny punchline to any joke.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 15 January 2016 02:43 (eight years ago) link

Q: How many Republican candidates does it take to screw in a lightbulb?
A: Ben Carson.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 15 January 2016 02:44 (eight years ago) link

Nah, he actually said something really funny (I thought, anyway).

clemenza, Friday, 15 January 2016 02:45 (eight years ago) link

ugh come on say 'well ted cruz has canadian values'

iatee, Friday, 15 January 2016 03:06 (eight years ago) link

Cruz--who I can't stand--had been doing really well until that exchange. He looked pretty deer-in-headlights at the end of it.

clemenza, Friday, 15 January 2016 03:08 (eight years ago) link

Not sure anything can derail Trump at this point, but the one time when the debate audiences tend to turn on him--last night and every debate--is when he starts rhyming off his poll numbers, generally as a weapon to belittle someone else. I've never seen a politician so openly fixated on polls. (Openly--I realize they all are out of view.) It's a weird and completely unnecessary tendency that does seem to alienate.

clemenza, Friday, 15 January 2016 13:16 (eight years ago) link

It seems pretty crucial for him! What makes a winner? Winning!

Andrew Farrell, Friday, 15 January 2016 13:17 (eight years ago) link

The crowds don't react well, though. (Debate crowds--I guess it goes over well at his own events.)

clemenza, Friday, 15 January 2016 13:20 (eight years ago) link

I didn't get a chance to watch it until last night, but if I saw that Trump rally song & dance routine in a movie, I'd think it was a little too over the top to be believable. I'd love to think he's intentionally descending further and further into self-parody just to see how far his adherents will follow him into pure insanity.

Professor Bworlph (Old Lunch), Friday, 15 January 2016 13:27 (eight years ago) link

I mean, "love to think" in the sense that he's ultimately going to pull out of the race and be like, "you couldn't have possibly thought I was serious about all that bullshit."

Professor Bworlph (Old Lunch), Friday, 15 January 2016 13:29 (eight years ago) link

I mean, I honestly thought that Trump transcript posted yesterday was a joke. Occam's razor and all that.

Professor Bworlph (Old Lunch), Friday, 15 January 2016 13:30 (eight years ago) link

bob roberts got nothing on this guy

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 15 January 2016 13:31 (eight years ago) link

Not to Godwin too hard, but people feel that something is generally shit with the country, and are looking for a structure where a convincing man will make it right. Feed them that and add some impressive sounding specifics* and they're fine.

*There's a bit in the speech where he talks about how well 'Eastern' companies are doing, and then stops to say "Apart from Sony, not sure what's going on there, they're not doing too good", which is exactly what sells as Jim Cramer-level "Yes, he seems to have some insight that he's not sharing with us there, he has heard of some problem with this company that we all know the name of".

Andrew Farrell, Friday, 15 January 2016 14:21 (eight years ago) link

was the 'new york values' thing a specifically antisemitic whistle?

mookieproof, Saturday, 16 January 2016 00:25 (eight years ago) link

i don't think so. i think sometimes 'new york' has been used as a surrogate term for Jewishness (and sometimes the 'new york' and jewishness are combined like in 'jew york'). but here i think it's a more general stand-in for liberal, urban values. and it's directed at trump who is the least jewish person i can imagine. in antisemitic imagery the associations between cosmopolitanism and jewishness are prolific + interchangeable but i don't think 'big city' resentment necessitates latent antisemitism. but i think more importantly trump has been praised everywhere for the way he responded and i read something that suggested it was bc small town values v big city values paradigm in conservative narrative has been replaced by a more tragic small towns are being destroyed who can we blame.

Mordy, Saturday, 16 January 2016 00:40 (eight years ago) link

http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/01/ted-cruz-still-thinks-is-an-epithet.html

It’s also arguable that the perception of New Yorkers as nicer folks comes from the ending of openly displayed, socially acceptable anti-Semitism. The view of New Yorkers as fast-dealing business sharks is not without racist roots — as the columnist Cynthia Heimel once noted, “the cultural elite” was a lightly coded way of saying “Jews.” As the right has gradually recast itself as Israel’s best friend, it has had to cast out the Bircher anti-Semites within its ranks. You’ll notice that, whereas a generation ago, conservatives routinely spoke of “our traditional Christian values,” that phrase today has always become “our Judeo-Christian values.” That’s no accident.

El Tomboto, Saturday, 16 January 2016 00:44 (eight years ago) link

I think it's just an "anti big city" whistle

akm, Saturday, 16 January 2016 00:45 (eight years ago) link

i didn't think so either, but saw the question being asked. figured it was more homophobic than anything, but probably just harking back to palin's 'real america' (or john rocker on the 7 train)

it's nice that cruz will never forget 9/11 tho

mookieproof, Saturday, 16 January 2016 00:49 (eight years ago) link

I mean just in case there weren't enough examples of being an un-presidential moron littering his path, that really takes the cake, I mean you just handed Trump the biggest softball of the entire campaign to date. Look at this nonsense

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/01/15/the-most-surprisingly-noble-moment-of-the-gop-debate-courtesy-of-donald-trump/

El Tomboto, Saturday, 16 January 2016 00:56 (eight years ago) link

Those girls in the "Trump Jam" video seem to be lip-synching.

o. nate, Saturday, 16 January 2016 02:27 (eight years ago) link

trump who is the least jewish person i can imagine.

oy rly?

pplains, Saturday, 16 January 2016 02:31 (eight years ago) link

The Pope is more Jewish than Donald Trump

pizza rolls are a food that exists (silby), Saturday, 16 January 2016 03:44 (eight years ago) link

If it does come down to Donald vs Hillary it is hard for me to imagine that the big money donors of the Republican Business Establishment would deem Donald to be a good investment, compared to trying to get in HRC's good graces and reaping whatever they could from that relationship. Trump, even if he had a prayer of winning in the general, strikes me as much too loose a cannon for the kind of donors who've backed Jeb! to the hilt.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Saturday, 16 January 2016 03:54 (eight years ago) link

I feel like HRC would be a good lifeboat for people trying to bail on the GOP. People who couldn't deal with a black president could make amends with the first woman. Lots of Clinton connections everywhere

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Saturday, 16 January 2016 04:04 (eight years ago) link

https://twitter.com/costareports/status/688166293690687488

balls, Saturday, 16 January 2016 06:10 (eight years ago) link

lots of rich guys are giving money to this one rich guy, news

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Saturday, 16 January 2016 06:13 (eight years ago) link

The writer forgets to mention though, that 538 made two predictions, Polls-Only and Polls-Plus, and in the first one Sanders has a 72% chance of winning NH.

Frederik B, Saturday, 16 January 2016 21:03 (eight years ago) link

xpost It doesn't, though, right? I mean, not to say it's the wrong conclusion, but Silver hasn't actually "called" either race that I can find - rather, the forecast currently proclaims those odds for each race, as of today, right? So the forecast could change as new data comes in, though as it gets closer to the day, it would take huger and huger shifts in the polls to have the same shift in the forecast. As well, in NH there's a difference (noted above) between their two forecast models - one says Bernie has a 72% chance, one says Hillary has a 57% chance. Not really seeing the "call" there.

Doctor Casino, important war pigeon (Doctor Casino), Saturday, 16 January 2016 21:09 (eight years ago) link

yeah i don't see we need to look at someone else's 'summary' of predictions when they are made in public on 538

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 16 January 2016 21:09 (eight years ago) link

Man, this election. Might be the first time I might not vote.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 16 January 2016 21:44 (eight years ago) link

Silver's projecting, not predicting. (Everything I know I learned on ILB.)

clemenza, Saturday, 16 January 2016 21:45 (eight years ago) link

This lawsuit out of Houston looks a little too deus ex machina to be true. Trump was terrible in the debate when Cruz's citizenship came up; 48 hours later, Trump's altruistic concern over Cruz is validated. The guy launching the lawsuit will probably turn out to be a regional campaign manager for Trump, there'll be a huge outcry, Trump will be declared finished, he'll explain he was doing Cruz a favour by getting it out of the way now, then he'll immediately shoot up another 10% in the polls.

clemenza, Sunday, 17 January 2016 13:55 (eight years ago) link

oh, there's a democratic debate tonight. Sunday night before MLK day; the ratings should be through the roof

Karl Malone, Sunday, 17 January 2016 16:20 (eight years ago) link

We'll see if it does better/worse than the last Dem debate, on a Saturday night.

longform Gordon thinkpiece (Eazy), Sunday, 17 January 2016 16:24 (eight years ago) link

combine this w/ a few signs we could be heading into recession and i'm a little worried

balls, Sunday, 17 January 2016 17:27 (eight years ago) link

Yeah, just wait until the stars align and we get Trump v. Sanders in a recession year after a terrorist attack.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 17 January 2016 17:49 (eight years ago) link

Y'all Donald Trump wouldn't win dog catcher if we were all simultaneously being bitten by rabid pitbulls

ecclesiastes nutz (m bison), Sunday, 17 January 2016 18:08 (eight years ago) link

Y'all realize he would lose the latinx vote by 80% or so?

ecclesiastes nutz (m bison), Sunday, 17 January 2016 18:09 (eight years ago) link

^ p much agreed. my only concern is that there is a slight possibility he could reach the apolitical US Weekly celebudope worship demo that has heretofore remained untapped. idk.

rmde bob (will), Sunday, 17 January 2016 18:36 (eight years ago) link

Who, Trump?

ecclesiastes nutz (m bison), Sunday, 17 January 2016 18:37 (eight years ago) link

yeah

rmde bob (will), Sunday, 17 January 2016 18:38 (eight years ago) link

Idek what that demographic is except women? Donald's not winning women voters

ecclesiastes nutz (m bison), Sunday, 17 January 2016 18:46 (eight years ago) link

Looking forward to '24 race when it's Elizabeth Warren vs th Duck Dynasty guy.

pplains, Sunday, 17 January 2016 18:56 (eight years ago) link

i'd venture there is a dude-bro version of that demo. and i'm not convinced Trump would perform as badly with female voters as common sense would suggest

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/01/donald-trump-2016-authoritarian-213533

rmde bob (will), Sunday, 17 January 2016 19:01 (eight years ago) link

this is me being total chicken little here so

rmde bob (will), Sunday, 17 January 2016 19:02 (eight years ago) link

i mean im shocked that we are in 2016 talking about the prospect of a trump nomination (i still dont think its going to happen but i dont laugh it off anymore). but he's got no viable electoral college path imo. which obama states would he flip?

ecclesiastes nutz (m bison), Sunday, 17 January 2016 19:27 (eight years ago) link

That politico piece is weird and kinda dumb; it's a Ph.D. student shocking the world with the concept that Trump supporters are authoritarians

Professor Goodfeels (kingfish), Sunday, 17 January 2016 19:35 (eight years ago) link

And of course ending up proposing that people should focus more ressources on his research subject.

Frederik B, Sunday, 17 January 2016 20:19 (eight years ago) link

"Because, if God forbid Isis pays a visit to you, to our community, the last thing standing between them and our families may be the ability to protect ourselves with our guns."

marcooooo

mookieproof, Sunday, 17 January 2016 21:55 (eight years ago) link

The should cast this entire would-be republican slate in the next sequel to "The Expendables." Sly! Arnold! Trump! Mel! Dolph! Marco! Jeb! Statham! Crews! Snipes!

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 17 January 2016 22:14 (eight years ago) link

do you think rubio has ever had a dream where terrorists infiltrate and the citizen army rallies around him, and he dies at the end in a way which somehow singlehandedly saves the United States of America?

Karl Malone, Sunday, 17 January 2016 22:18 (eight years ago) link

Who hasn't?

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 17 January 2016 22:37 (eight years ago) link

Obviously it was Democratic polices with aliens that led to the 'Independence Day' fiasco. Luckily Bill Pullman was a Republican and led the US to victory.

earlnash, Sunday, 17 January 2016 22:57 (eight years ago) link

so i was kind of intensely invested in the horse race last fall, but then sometime early last december life intervened and i stopped caring. and having taken a month or so off none of this all seems terribly important. people are desperately trying to persuade me there's a race here and look i have a profound capacity for paranoia, but there isn't. until and unless something else happens, it's clinton v. trump, clinton in a walk. am more concerned about visegrad group fascism than about anything happening in america right now.

diana krallice (rushomancy), Sunday, 17 January 2016 23:48 (eight years ago) link

Opiates I know, but I'd never heard the word "opioids" before. Thought it might have something to do with Ronnie Howard.

clemenza, Monday, 18 January 2016 02:26 (eight years ago) link

Bernie is more focused tonight imo. A lot of fire.

timellison, Monday, 18 January 2016 02:50 (eight years ago) link

i find it stressful to hear sanders

he's that guy who points his finger when he talks at you and goes on and on and on and on about his highly unoriginal and negative ideas about how the world works because he knows it all. it's really off putting. i've had to work for enough managers who behave that way, i'm not voting for one

arts and crafts THIS GUY (daria-g), Monday, 18 January 2016 02:56 (eight years ago) link

Bernie has resting-scowl face.

Vote Bernie

Karl Malone, Monday, 18 January 2016 03:14 (eight years ago) link

I'm out tonight and not watching, so that's not in response to anything. Ok I've had a few, lead me alone.

Karl Malone, Monday, 18 January 2016 03:15 (eight years ago) link

tbh i find it stressful to hear anyone running for office

mookieproof, Monday, 18 January 2016 03:19 (eight years ago) link

Lead me alone

Karl Malone, Monday, 18 January 2016 03:26 (eight years ago) link

Xp
Opiates come from the poppy plant
Opioids are synthetic substances with opiate-like properties and effects

never have i been a blue calm sea (collardio gelatinous), Monday, 18 January 2016 03:28 (eight years ago) link

This is the first and probably only Democratic debate I have watched/will watch, but it's so obvious that Hillary is rehearsing for being president and the dudes are doing something different. (And worthwhile -- Bernie gives her a foil, and sometimes O'Malley does too.)

I still think the significance of our first woman president, baggage and all, is being underestimated by almost everybody. But that probably works to her advantage.

the government should have a warrant if they want to go through o'malley's back door. that's what i've learned.
'

scott seward, Monday, 18 January 2016 03:36 (eight years ago) link

glad I wasn't the only one who caught that

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 18 January 2016 03:38 (eight years ago) link

The thing about Bernie is that if you buy his central theses (rigged economy, congress owned by donors, etc), it's hard to see how a President can succeed in effecting the change desired.

It would be good if he fleshed out how this political revolution would proceed.

never have i been a blue calm sea (collardio gelatinous), Monday, 18 January 2016 03:41 (eight years ago) link

Hillary just garbled one of her husband's best lines.

clemenza, Monday, 18 January 2016 03:43 (eight years ago) link

i find it stressful to hear sanders

he's that guy who points his finger when he talks at you and goes on and on and on and on about his highly unoriginal and negative ideas about how the world works because he knows it all. it's really off putting. i've had to work for enough managers who behave that way, i'm not voting for one

― arts and crafts THIS GUY (daria-g), Sunday, January 17, 2016 9:56 PM (50 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

lol

k3vin k., Monday, 18 January 2016 03:49 (eight years ago) link

cliinton scores a few points just for mentioning flint, michigan

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Monday, 18 January 2016 03:51 (eight years ago) link

the moderators really should have had a question about that tbh

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Monday, 18 January 2016 03:53 (eight years ago) link

It would be good if he fleshed out how this political revolution would proceed.

― never have i been a blue calm sea (collardio gelatinous)

^i think i would read that book

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Monday, 18 January 2016 03:55 (eight years ago) link

why would you when you can set Sanders against Clinton by asking about Bill?

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 18 January 2016 03:55 (eight years ago) link

i find it stressful to hear sanders

he's that guy who points his finger when he talks at you and goes on and on and on and on about his highly unoriginal and negative ideas about how the world works because he knows it all. it's really off putting. i've had to work for enough managers who behave that way, i'm not voting for one

― arts and crafts THIS GUY (daria-g), Sunday, January 17, 2016 9:56 PM (50 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

you know, i like bernie and plan on voting for him but this is a rly good point. i can't speak for other bernie supporters, but i find some of his crankiness endearing but at other times it can be abrasive.

ecclesiastes nutz (m bison), Monday, 18 January 2016 04:05 (eight years ago) link

Maybe we're tired of "good listeners" for Dem president

never have i been a blue calm sea (collardio gelatinous), Monday, 18 January 2016 04:10 (eight years ago) link

sanders demeanor... really cannot overstate how abrasive and off putting it is. reminds me of this older dude who was sitting next to me on a long flight and started off by telling me the magazine i was reading (mother jones, iirc) was a rag and then mansplained the world to me for like two solid hours. as well as many other instances of this type of behavior, guys scowling and pointing their finger and rambling on and on and on (it's always guys)
years ago i used to be polite and put up with this and they all seemed to believe i was actually interested in what they had to say and that obviously i had nothing to say and they should talk over me if i tried

now i never leave the house without my headphones!

arts and crafts THIS GUY (daria-g), Monday, 18 January 2016 04:19 (eight years ago) link

there aren't many options either way xp

mookieproof, Monday, 18 January 2016 04:20 (eight years ago) link

sanders demeanor... really cannot overstate how abrasive and off putting it is

I think maybe this is just how Gentiles feel. Me, I hear Sanders talk and it's like listening to my uncles argue at Passover. I'm relaxed and at home. I do in fact literally have an Uncle Bernie. We all do!

Guayaquil (eephus!), Monday, 18 January 2016 05:25 (eight years ago) link

I actually mostly came in here to observe that there is a big Hillary supporter who tweets as @TrueFactsStated, perhaps the worst Twitter handle ever created

Guayaquil (eephus!), Monday, 18 January 2016 05:26 (eight years ago) link

I agree that the hectoring tone can be a bit much, but there's a goofiness to him that I think helps to undercut that / make it less overbearing

the naive cockney chorus (Simon H.), Monday, 18 January 2016 05:39 (eight years ago) link

Would agree with that totally, even as I also recognize that I often find the fantasy Sanders in my head nailing questions that he kinda only gets in the ballpark of the perfect answer to. So it goes, with me and politicians. But as always I just remind myself that the point of this candidacy is to open up a discursive space for his kind of politics generally. The super fantasy is not Sanders as president but the Democratic equivalent of the Tea Party unseating center-right corporate democrats, winning mayoral elections, spreading a Sanders-style politics. That's the only kind of "changing the conversation" I actually buy tbh.

Doctor Casino, important war pigeon (Doctor Casino), Monday, 18 January 2016 05:53 (eight years ago) link

thats where im at, too. like, he's kinda signaling that candidates who hit hard on some economic left issues have some traction nationally. im hoping there are dem candidates, esp young ones, watching this and running in some state and local races a few years from now.

i get the impression that the DLC wing is still skittish about embracing this wing and gave up on it a long time ago bc of the electoral success of reagan and w bush and they may be the last ones in the room to recognize that the country might be shifting left.

ecclesiastes nutz (m bison), Monday, 18 January 2016 05:57 (eight years ago) link

it was the clinton campaign's undoing, rly from her iraq war vote onward. i think the clinton camp still operates under this idea that america won't like HRC if they dont project moderation at all times and a willingness to jettison progressive ideas if they seem challenging at all.

ecclesiastes nutz (m bison), Monday, 18 January 2016 05:59 (eight years ago) link

i honestly didn't know if i would ever see a day when a prez candidate would basically say yeah the war on drugs was a major fail and we need treatment centers it's a disease not a crime. i'm paraphrasing...but still it does my heart good after all these decades of stupid fucking bluster about zero tolerance from both parties.

scott seward, Monday, 18 January 2016 06:01 (eight years ago) link

i find it stressful to hear sanders

he's that guy who points his finger when he talks at you and goes on and on and on and on about his highly unoriginal and negative ideas about how the world works because he knows it all. it's really off putting. i've had to work for enough managers who behave that way, i'm not voting for one

― arts and crafts THIS GUY (daria-g), Sunday, January 17, 2016 9:56 PM (50 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

tbf the country is messed up in a really unoriginal and off-putting way

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Monday, 18 January 2016 06:01 (eight years ago) link

when bern said he was gonna put the goverment on the banks' back all i heard was that he was going to put the government on our back. because that's how my brain works. subconsciously lots of people heard that too. and people hate the idea of the government on their back. and its totally the fear a lot of people have of Dem supremacy. which is why he can't win. i already called the election for hil months ago though. its hers to lose.

scott seward, Monday, 18 January 2016 06:10 (eight years ago) link

i find most politicians' public personas kind of creepy and repellent but bernie always seems sweet and sincere to me. o'malley seems much more like the annoying droning know-it-all to me.

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Monday, 18 January 2016 06:42 (eight years ago) link

i also thought he could have phrased 'government on their backs' better

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Monday, 18 January 2016 06:59 (eight years ago) link

get me out of this Stupid Fucking Country Run by Aesthetically Pleasing Goldman Sachs Whores.

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Monday, 18 January 2016 10:24 (eight years ago) link

"it was the clinton campaign's undoing, rly from her iraq war vote onward. i think the clinton camp still operates under this idea that america won't like HRC if they dont project moderation at all times and a willingness to jettison progressive ideas if they seem challenging at all."

america won't like hrc full stop. we've spent close to 25 years irrationally despising her while all the time clinton has been sloooowly doing things to justify that hatred. the bizarre irony is that when her number is finally coming up her opponents on the other side of the aisle somehow managed to find a candidate more detestable than her. 25 years of "anybody but hilary" and now this year it's "wait, except for him".

bernie is a magic underwear gnome. i don't hate him in the same way i don't hate jandek.

diana krallice (rushomancy), Monday, 18 January 2016 12:00 (eight years ago) link

Looking forward to '24 race when it's Elizabeth Warren vs th Duck Dynasty guy.

Elizabeth Warren will be well into her 70s by then.

its subtle brume (DJP), Monday, 18 January 2016 14:34 (eight years ago) link

Phil Robertson is 3 years older!

welltris (crüt), Monday, 18 January 2016 15:40 (eight years ago) link

sanders demeanor... really cannot overstate how abrasive and off putting it is

I think maybe this is just how Gentiles feel. Me, I hear Sanders talk and it's like listening to my uncles argue at Passover. I'm relaxed and at home. I do in fact literally have an Uncle Bernie. We all do!
― Guayaquil (eephus!), Sunday, January 17, 2016 10:25 PM (Yesterday) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Please give jews some credit here... most of us very easily see through bernies shtick. He is an atrocious politician.

help computer (sleepingbag), Monday, 18 January 2016 16:06 (eight years ago) link

http://i.imgur.com/YifevOC.gif

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 18 January 2016 16:13 (eight years ago) link

haha I mentioned that scowl last night

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 18 January 2016 16:18 (eight years ago) link

Elizabeth Warren will be well into her 70s by then.

― its subtle brume (DJP), Monday, January 18, 2016 8:34 AM Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

IT WAS A JOKE, D.

http://i.imgur.com/8IvCm6e.gif

pplains, Monday, 18 January 2016 16:25 (eight years ago) link

really gotta love some of the "who would you rather have a beer with" analysis ILX is going with of late

k3vin k., Monday, 18 January 2016 17:07 (eight years ago) link

http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/01/case-against-bernie-sanders.html

marginally better is chait's latest, i guess. i'm not sure anyone who actually pays attention to US politics thinks a single-payer plan is likely during the next presidential term, but sure, use that as an example of why he'd be a bad president

k3vin k., Monday, 18 January 2016 17:09 (eight years ago) link

I dislike Chait, but he made a couple of decent points. However:

But it seems bizarre for Democrats to risk losing the presidency by embracing a politically radical doctrine that stands zero chance of enactment even if they win.

How is Sanders as the nominee a "risk"? How is he a bigger risk than HRC?

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 18 January 2016 17:13 (eight years ago) link

also
"Obama did organize passionate volunteers on a massive scale — far broader than anything Sanders has done — and tried to keep his volunteers engaged throughout his presidency. Why would Sanders’s grassroots campaign succeed where Obama’s far larger one failed?"

he doesn't qualify this at all. i might be ignorant of something here, but what exactly did he do to 'try' to keep his volunteers engaged?

global tetrahedron, Monday, 18 January 2016 17:16 (eight years ago) link

most of what chait says about bernie and his priorities is not wrong. it's true that sanders would be powerless to bring into effect some of his most ambitious policy plans. what's accepted as a matter of faith is that hillary would necessarily be better at the other stuff

k3vin k., Monday, 18 January 2016 17:17 (eight years ago) link

Of course Sanders is a bigger risk, he is far more leftwing than Hillary. I can't see why it's more 'bizarre' than every other time a party has chosen to nominate someone other than the most moderate.

The debate seemed ok? From the recaps and parts of transcripts I've read. And of course, the #scowl. Surprisingly left-wing all of a sudden, with all the stuff about #BLM and Wall Street reform. Sanders praising the dictator of Jordan was pretty awful, though, it makes Clinton's hawkishness look more ok in contrast.

Frederik B, Monday, 18 January 2016 17:29 (eight years ago) link

I give Clinton points for doing more than mention the horror in Flint.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 18 January 2016 17:31 (eight years ago) link

Always weird when my hometown makes (inter)national news

Professor Goodfeels (kingfish), Monday, 18 January 2016 17:38 (eight years ago) link

really gotta love some of the "who would you rather have a beer with" analysis ILX is going with of late

emotions play a HUGE role in how most votes are cast. there's no getting around it.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Monday, 18 January 2016 18:03 (eight years ago) link

The debate seemed ok? From the recaps and parts of transcripts I've read. And of course, the #scowl. Surprisingly left-wing all of a sudden, with all the stuff about #BLM and Wall Street reform. Sanders praising the dictator of Jordan was pretty awful, though, it makes Clinton's hawkishness look more ok in contrast.

― Frederik B, Monday, January 18, 2016 5:29 PM (48 minutes ago)

bernie has been the most vocal and consistent supporter of BLM in the race for months

lol at the idea that sanders saying something positive about a middle eastern leader is somehow worse than clinton's long record of consistent support for bombing middle eastern ppl and invading their countries

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Monday, 18 January 2016 18:23 (eight years ago) link

http://i.imgur.com/4g8hdRF.png

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 18 January 2016 18:27 (eight years ago) link

another deep thought from jonathan chait:

https://twitter.com/jonathanchait/status/688930853678878720

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Monday, 18 January 2016 18:28 (eight years ago) link

The debate seemed ok? From the recaps and parts of transcripts I've read. And of course, the #scowl. Surprisingly left-wing all of a sudden, with all the stuff about #BLM and Wall Street reform. Sanders praising the dictator of Jordan was pretty awful, though, it makes Clinton's hawkishness look more ok in contrast.

― Frederik B, Monday, January 18, 2016 5:29 PM (48 minutes ago)

bernie has been the most vocal and consistent supporter of BLM in the race for months

They seem to think he's pretty crap at it, though.

Frederik B, Monday, 18 January 2016 18:58 (eight years ago) link

How is Sanders as the nominee a "risk"? How is he a bigger risk than HRC?

if you can't see how making larry david the face of the democratic party is a actually a kinda big risk idk what to say

iatee, Monday, 18 January 2016 19:01 (eight years ago) link

my conservative boss loves Larry David, so America is safe.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 18 January 2016 19:03 (eight years ago) link

larry david is funny

Listen to my homeboy Fantano (D-40), Monday, 18 January 2016 19:04 (eight years ago) link

They seem to think he's pretty crap at it, though.

― Frederik B, Monday, January 18, 2016 6:58 PM (8 minutes ago)

oh cool thanks for clearing that up

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Monday, 18 January 2016 19:07 (eight years ago) link

See, I look at this Republican lineup, the Trump factor, and think that in this Dem primary I'd vote for an ISIS flag wearing a Martin Shkreli mask was pushing the most left-wing policies.

The chances that Trump a) wins the nom and fucks downticket races or b) runs third party and fucks Cruz are just too high to waste this year on anyone but the most progressive candidate available.

ENERGY FOOD (en i see kay), Monday, 18 January 2016 20:02 (eight years ago) link

^if it was, obv

ENERGY FOOD (en i see kay), Monday, 18 January 2016 20:02 (eight years ago) link

Meanwhile conservatives realize talk show hosts don't mean what they say and are interested in dough.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 19 January 2016 15:17 (eight years ago) link

hahahahahaha oh the delicious schadenfreude

its subtle brume (DJP), Tuesday, 19 January 2016 15:21 (eight years ago) link

"Obama did organize passionate volunteers on a massive scale — far broader than anything Sanders has done — and tried to keep his volunteers engaged throughout his presidency. Why would Sanders’s grassroots campaign succeed where Obama’s far larger one failed?"

I'm sure other ppl have said more about this but ime mostly they tried to point the Organize For America volunteers (OFA) at supporting ACA enrollment and some other boringish supports for the administration, and sent a lot of pleading emails that everyone just deleted. It was like once Obama won the presidency the urgency ran out. Personally I think if OFA had chosen some more radical policy goals or something that felt more changey they could have kept those ppl--if they could have offered more of a crusade? But ymmv.

If authoritarianism is Romania's ironing board, then (in orbit), Tuesday, 19 January 2016 15:44 (eight years ago) link

Oh yeah and then they tried hard to drum up not very well informed support for the TPP for a while, something that frankly I hope every person involved with OFA is deeply ashamed of.

If authoritarianism is Romania's ironing board, then (in orbit), Tuesday, 19 January 2016 15:45 (eight years ago) link

that redstate piece Alfred linked to is PRICELESS.

El Tomboto, Tuesday, 19 January 2016 18:22 (eight years ago) link

it really is

the 'major tom guy' (sleeve), Tuesday, 19 January 2016 18:23 (eight years ago) link

conservatism is about ideas

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 19 January 2016 18:25 (eight years ago) link

thpbbt
http://tmm.chicagodistributioncenter.com/IsbnImages/9780226090061.jpg

El Tomboto, Tuesday, 19 January 2016 18:39 (eight years ago) link

the stunning realization that Sarah Palin's primary priority is the enrichment/advancement of Sarah Palin

its subtle brume (DJP), Tuesday, 19 January 2016 18:39 (eight years ago) link

I don't think I've ever looked at Red State, and I generally avoid comments sections altogether, but yeah that whole thing is amazing. Especially:

Instead, we've flocked en masse to a carnival barker. We've been used and abused by everyone who we've trusted to fix things and when we FINALLY have Mr. Right on the doorstep, we elbow him aside as we rush out into the arms of yet another one-night-stand pretty boy who wows us with his hollow play-acting and his empty rhetoric.

Retro novelty punk (Dan Peterson), Tuesday, 19 January 2016 19:12 (eight years ago) link

ooooh yeah, that sexy empty rhetoric makes all the panties drop

Nhex, Tuesday, 19 January 2016 19:21 (eight years ago) link

I assume Ted Cruz is the Mr. Right being referred to there

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 19 January 2016 19:23 (eight years ago) link

Would love for a whole host of conservatives to suddenly realize they've wasted years voting against their own interests and for opportunistic assholes who couldn't give fuck one about them.

(Countdown to Morbs wishing the same for the Dems...)

Meat Sheet (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 19 January 2016 19:25 (eight years ago) link

i haven't watched the last 2 or 3 GOP debates but does Ted Cruz still stare directly into the camera like he's making a dating video

hi-nrg candidate (crüt), Tuesday, 19 January 2016 19:25 (eight years ago) link

so the biggest idiot endorsed the biggest idiot.

how is the above news?

how are we not talking about climate change (the only thing that really matters).

existence is punishment (monster mash), Tuesday, 19 January 2016 21:24 (eight years ago) link

?

existence is punishment (monster mash), Tuesday, 19 January 2016 21:26 (eight years ago) link

how are we not talking about climate change (the only thing that really matters).

It's gonna snow a lot on Friday, in both New York and Washington, DC.

the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Tuesday, 19 January 2016 21:31 (eight years ago) link


how are we not talking about climate change (the only thing that really matters).

https://img.washingtonpost.com/rw/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2014/08/14/BookWorld/Images/Don

http://www.amazon.com/gp/aw/d/163286102X/ref=mp_s_a_1_3?qid=1453240801

There's about 10 reasons, which one do you want?

Professor Goodfeels (kingfish), Tuesday, 19 January 2016 22:03 (eight years ago) link

http://imgur.com/unn1ANQ

No comment.

akm, Tuesday, 19 January 2016 22:55 (eight years ago) link

bah

<img src="http://i.imgur.com/unn1ANQ.jpg"; />

akm, Tuesday, 19 January 2016 22:57 (eight years ago) link

fuck you

http://i.imgur.com/unn1ANQ.jpg

akm, Tuesday, 19 January 2016 22:57 (eight years ago) link

that redstate thing is lol. Palin endorsing Trump is just game recognizing game

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 19 January 2016 23:01 (eight years ago) link

lol what are they smoking over there:

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/01/how-donald-trump-defeats-hillary-clinton-217868?ref=yfp

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 19 January 2016 23:08 (eight years ago) link

"ahh clicks on 'Morning Joe'..." *snort*

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 19 January 2016 23:15 (eight years ago) link

who tf else was palin going to endorse?! honestly

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Tuesday, 19 January 2016 23:23 (eight years ago) link

If he does all that, holds Mitt Romney’s states, and drives extraordinary levels of working-class white voter turnout in the suburbs and exurbs of Ohio and Virginia, as well as in the Florida panhandle and Jacksonville, he can flip those three Obama states and rack up 266 electoral votes. Winning any one of Iowa, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Colorado, Nevada or New Mexico would put him over the top and make Donald John Trump the 45th president of the United States.

I love this

service desk hardman (El Tomboto), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 00:09 (eight years ago) link

The whole piece actually reads like the reporter is winking at his DC insider audience while gaming for massive shares from the elated and enraged alike

service desk hardman (El Tomboto), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 00:14 (eight years ago) link

the little clique mailing list that dude is on is all golf clapping right now

service desk hardman (El Tomboto), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 00:14 (eight years ago) link

that redstate piece Alfred linked to is PRICELESS.

― El Tomboto, Tuesday, January 19, 2016 1:22 PM (5 hours ago)

it was but i'm sort of surprised it didn't even mention carson, who as far as i know is the only one to have published a book that coincided specifically with the campaign

k3vin k., Wednesday, 20 January 2016 00:17 (eight years ago) link

Carson's a true conservative!!

service desk hardman (El Tomboto), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 00:22 (eight years ago) link

lol oh

k3vin k., Wednesday, 20 January 2016 00:31 (eight years ago) link

If it's taken them this long to see through Palin...

Meat Sheet (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 00:57 (eight years ago) link

This Palin endorsement is vintage. "Quiet generosity," "compassion," "not an elitist"--that's Trump, all right. Also jibes at Greek columns and he-built-that. No Bill Ayers, but I haven't heard the whole thing.

clemenza, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 01:07 (eight years ago) link

with a voice like a shoe stepping on a bat

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 01:13 (eight years ago) link

As a cherry on the top, the redstate piece on how maybe conservatives are being taken for a ride served me up top a banner on "Obama's ammo grab - help the NRA defend us."

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 01:35 (eight years ago) link

http://theweek.com/articles/599577/how-obscure-adviser-pat-buchanan-predicted-wild-trump-campaign-1996

The huge infrastructure of the conservative movement in Washington D.C. is aghast at Trump, and calls him an economic illiterate for threatening China with tariffs. They can't understand that this is not primarily an economic measure, but a nationalist one. It's a signal to voters that one man is here to fight for them, not to school-marmishly tell them that capitalism is helping them when in fact it manifestly helps others a lot more. Trump has attracted his coalition of supporters among those who are the most-weakly attached to the Republican Party as an institution.

Plenty of others have noticed the parallels between Pat Buchanan and Donald Trump. Some have seen that Trump is attracting the "radical middle" social base and taking on the Caesarist, almost Latin American-style populism that Francis recommended. Buchanan was recently asked about why Trump was having all the success that he did not enjoy, when he is running on so many of the issues Buchanan did 20 years ago. Buchanan said that it was because the returns are in on the policies he criticized 20 years ago. All of this is true.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 01:37 (eight years ago) link

Coates piece on weak Sanders response (Fred B will be loving it hah): http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/01/bernie-sanders-reparations/424602/

One bad call from barely losing to (Alex in SF), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 01:39 (eight years ago) link

If not even an avowed socialist can be bothered to grapple with reparations, if the question really is that far beyond the pale, if Bernie Sanders truly believes that victims of the Tulsa pogrom deserved nothing, that the victims of contract lending deserve nothing, that the victims of debt peonage deserve nothing, that that political plunder of black communities entitle them to nothing, if this is the candidate of the radical left—then expect white supremacy in America to endure well beyond our lifetimes and lifetimes of our children.

I'm like the original TNC stan of ILX but sure dude, a 74 year old man's inability to effectively discuss reparations is a good predictor of the next two or three generations' worth of political activity

service desk hardman (El Tomboto), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 01:44 (eight years ago) link

Holy fuck at that Sanders response, hadn't seen that.

I think he's insinuating that Sanders should not be thought of as a true candidate of the radical left, though, Tomboto.

Frederik B, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 01:58 (eight years ago) link

bernie's answer to that question was pretty disappointing to be honest. still, i look forward to seeing him slammed for this by the same people who call him unelectable for the rest of his platform

k3vin k., Wednesday, 20 January 2016 01:59 (eight years ago) link

I'm so sick of Coates' reparations bullshit. It's never going to happen, for one very simple reason: You cannot sell it in a way that answers the question, "How does this benefit white people?" Twelve percent of the US population are not going to guilt sixty-three percent of the US population into giving them money. Period. All the Atlantic articles in the world, written in the most pretentious 19th Century preacher cadences he can muster, won't move the debate one inch. You would think someone who's studied as much history as Coates says he has would have realized by now that there's no such thing as justice, only revenge, and if you can't take it, you won't get it. All of human history is one long story of tribalism, conquest, and plunder. He's just a member of a losing team complaining that the game was rigged. And? Maybe in his next life he'll get to be a conquistador.

the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 02:00 (eight years ago) link

...

the naive cockney chorus (Simon H.), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 02:01 (eight years ago) link

hm

k3vin k., Wednesday, 20 January 2016 02:03 (eight years ago) link

Lol well there's a complete dickhead's response to Coates.

One bad call from barely losing to (Alex in SF), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 02:04 (eight years ago) link

ameritude

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 02:07 (eight years ago) link

Look, I get it. If I was born anything other than a straight white man, I'd probably be consumed by an unquenchable rage too. But that wouldn't entitle me to anything. Nobody's entitled to anything they can't grab and hold. If you happen to live under a system that treats people equitably, awesome; I'm all for that. I hope to move to a place like that someday. In the meantime, I try to be nice to everyone I encounter in my own daily life. But human beings (in large groups) are mostly stupid, violent and callous as hell when it comes to protecting their little patch of ground. Collective altruism is a wish that's never gonna come true.

the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 02:08 (eight years ago) link

https://vine.co/v/ieKI9rebnEB

reggae mike love (polyphonic), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 02:09 (eight years ago) link

wait a second

just out of curiosity how does this make you feel

http://i.imgur.com/BAQo9we.jpg

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 02:11 (eight years ago) link

just out of curiosity how does this make you feel

Re-read these three sentences and see if you can guess:

If you happen to live under a system that treats people equitably, awesome; I'm all for that. I hope to move to a place like that someday. In the meantime, I try to be nice to everyone I encounter in my own daily life.

the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 02:13 (eight years ago) link

where are you c+ping these from?

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 02:13 (eight years ago) link

coates was maybe exaggerating a bit for the sake of making a(n otherwise valid) point when he compared the level of support for a hypothetical socialist presidential candidate (a little less than half of people, and 26% of republicans) to the idea of reparations (which has 6% support among white people). it's not exactly an apples-to-apples comparison

k3vin k., Wednesday, 20 January 2016 02:14 (eight years ago) link

^given the pose and the set of her mouth and eyebrows, that pic could just as easily be William F. Buckley in drag.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 02:14 (eight years ago) link

Re-read these three sentences and see if you can guess:

If you happen to live under a system that treats people equitably, awesome; I'm all for that. I hope to move to a place like that someday. In the meantime, I try to be nice to everyone I encounter in my own daily life.

what about the sentence before that (Nobody's entitled to anything they can't grab and hold)? also what does trying to be nice to people you encounter in daily life have to do with thinking there's no such thing as justice?

deal from strength or get crushed every time

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 02:21 (eight years ago) link

anyway TNC's thing is that these points have to be raised and hammered home and that the idea has to be inflicted on white people at every opportunity to force them to deal with it. And Bernie brushing it off is the opposite of dealing with it, and he's running from the left so he should be exactly the white person who ought to come to grips with it and address it seriously, so everything is injustice and life sucks and nothing will change. But the struggle is all there is, so on we row, Sisyphus etc etc

I liked it better when Coates' kids were younger and he would dip into comic books and the Civil War and just be geeky about stuff - in a way the discovery of his life's purpose while doing the research on the epic Case For Reparations piece is also what kind of ruined him. He hates fun now and it makes me sad.

service desk hardman (El Tomboto), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 02:22 (eight years ago) link

no way, he's still fun, at least judging by his twitter stuff

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 02:24 (eight years ago) link

on twitter TNC basically just posts about comic books and video games like 80 percent of the time

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 02:25 (eight years ago) link

I liked it better when Coates' kids were younger and he would dip into comic books

I've got good news for you, then

http://www.comicbookmovie.com/fansites/TheSewer/news/?a=130152

the naive cockney chorus (Simon H.), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 02:26 (eight years ago) link

should be noted that hilary gave a non-answer to the same question -- bernie's answer was disappointing, but it was honest i guess

k3vin k., Wednesday, 20 January 2016 02:29 (eight years ago) link

Oh shit I totally forgot he was scripting the black panther! thanks

service desk hardman (El Tomboto), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 02:35 (eight years ago) link

I don't think it needs to be noted that Hillary is bad too. Hillary is not the proposed leftwing anti-inequality candidate, everyone knows she will speak to the middle. But Sanders running as the radical, and falling down on this, is massively disappointing. Especially since he KNOWS he is vulnerable with minorities in the primaries. What is his plan? His campaign manager has begun talking about that perhaps they don't really need that many black voters after all...

Frederik B, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 02:43 (eight years ago) link

Another issue is that TNC is making the assertion that Bernie believes "the myth that socialism and racism are incompatible" and then he says that Bernie is "not only against reparations" but that he doesn't understand the argument. I think the latter point is a bit strange, like accuse the guy of not understanding the argument or of being opposed to the concept, but generally saying both is borderline ad hominem - "he's wrong because he's ignorant" is a better tack than "he's wrong AND ignorant" unless you really are going for "vote nobody" nihilism. As to the former point, I don't see that Bernie's camp has made any arguments that socialism means the end of racism; that would be brogressive absurd nonsense. TNC is extrapolating from Bernie's lack of political will on this issue that the following things are true:

1. The radical left doesn't actually care about racism
2. Nothing will change about this fact in this generation or the next one

I don't think either of those things are really supportable any longer. TNC's confirmation bias is working overtime, basically, and using Bernie's flatfootedness on the issue amounts to cherry-picking.

This is really a post for another thread. Oh well.

service desk hardman (El Tomboto), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 03:00 (eight years ago) link

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/inlineimage/2014-06-02/reparations7.jpg

'we should legalize heroin' would be a less suicidal position to take for a presidential candidate

iatee, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 03:26 (eight years ago) link

meanwhile:

“I can tell you, as somebody who ran the Democratic Governors Association, that candidates in purple states would face serious problems with him on top of the ticket,” said Gov. Jack Markell of Delaware, referring to the most politically competitive states.

“Having somebody who is identified more as a socialist in many decades of public service than as a Democrat makes it impossible for Democrats in a state like Missouri,” Ms. McCaskill said of her state, which could have competitive races for governor and senator this fall. “And it makes it very difficult for Democrats in states like Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida,” she added, referring to states where some of the hardest-fought Senate races will take place.

Some Democrats are even talking openly about a kind of cautionary Democratic attack on Mr. Sanders, to show how much the party could be harmed if he were the nominee and Republicans got to sink their teeth into him.

“Some third party will say, ‘This is what the first ad of the general election is going to look like,’” said James Carville, the longtime Clinton adviser, envisioning a commercial savaging Mr. Sanders for supporting tax increases and single-payer health care. “Once you get the nomination, they are not going to play nice.”

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 03:40 (eight years ago) link

Is this not the totally predictable conundrum of every Democratic primary candidate who runs from the left? They catch shit from both sides no matter what.

service desk hardman (El Tomboto), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 03:54 (eight years ago) link

iirc TNC said that in the past he disagreed w/ the idea of reparations, and that his essay was designed to get ppl thinking about the issue instead of just dismissing it out of hand. i wish bernie had responded less dismissively to the question, maybe something like "this is a complex issue, this is something we all need to think about more." but even hinting that he actually supports reparations would be a suicidal position for any candidate who's actually trying to win a national election. TNC characterizes bernie as a "radical" and while bernie does say that about his campaign i don't think he's a john brown/william lloyd garrison radical. he's a progressive politician who's trying to win an election, and it doesn't make sense for him to take positions that an overwhelming majority of americans don't support.

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 04:12 (eight years ago) link

TNC is extrapolating from Bernie's lack of political will on this issue that the following things are true:

1. The radical left doesn't actually care about racism
2. Nothing will change about this fact in this generation or the next one

I don't think either of those things are really supportable any longer. TNC's confirmation bias is working overtime, basically, and using Bernie's flatfootedness on the issue amounts to cherry-picking.

---

i think this appropriate for this thread since it is a pres candidate's stance on an issue.

i don't think you can quickly dismiss those 2 statements. i guess it succeeds or fails based on how you define "radical left". but the younger generation of white ppl is not getting less racist than their parents, they're just making up a smaller share of their generation than previous generations of whites did/do. the number of white ppl who "care" (performative allyship and colorblind wishful thinking) far outnumber the ones who "care" (actively work to dismantle white supremacy). i think it's worth noting that when progressive politics has played well in america, its done so at the expense of black folks in america (think social security being denied to certain classes of workers who were disproportionately black).

i didn't expect bernie to endorse reparations. he thinks he has a shot at winning, and as iatee pointed out it's a political non-starter. which is kind of the point. if there was a political will among enough white americans to embrace reparations as a necessary step for achieving racial justice -- say like the same number of people supporting single-payer health care, still a minority, but a sizable one -- he'd have reason to embrace it.

ecclesiastes nutz (m bison), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 04:13 (eight years ago) link

The principle of making reparations seems just to me and I would be in favor of pursuing it. But making any very large transfer of wealth is innately difficult. Making such a transfer in ways that strengthen society takes a lot of thought and careful crafting.

A cash transfer has the attraction of simplicity, but it's rather like dropping dollars out of a hopper and letting them bounce about crazily like pachinko balls on their inevitable way back into the pockets of the wealthy. The chances that any particular dollar would leave behind lasting positive effects would be quite small.

Off the top of my head, it might be much more positive to use the reparation money to create independent lending institutions run by African-American communities, with reparations provided in the form of shares distributed throughout the community. These locally-owned banks would allow African-Americans easy, low-interest access to capital over a period of decades. We could charter them specifically to finance new small businesses, educational opportunities, child care, affordable housing, and other social goods for their shareholders. Perhaps the shares could be made non-transferable, but with guaranteed dividends, backed by the US treasury.

Again, that's just off the top of my head and took about 15 minutes, but that general sort of idea is what proponents of reparations ought to be proposing, if they want to build better political support outside of African-American communities. It's a democratic socialist type of approach, but of course, the label should be avoided.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 04:28 (eight years ago) link

Ted Cruz doesn't like "New York values." His wife works for Goldman Sachs. This is how dumb he thinks you all are.

^ should be retweeted x100000000

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 04:40 (eight years ago) link

can we have a rolling dismantling white supremacy thread

service desk hardman (El Tomboto), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 04:44 (eight years ago) link

you got it dude

ecclesiastes nutz (m bison), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 04:46 (eight years ago) link

rolling thread for the dismantling of white supremacy

ecclesiastes nutz (m bison), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 04:51 (eight years ago) link

Buzzfeed just said eff it and posted Palin's endorsement bit, transcribed in its glorious entirety, with video.

They titled the post, naturally:
So, Uh, Here’s The Full Text Of Sarah Palin’s Bizarre Trump Speech

Count the number of strange leftover catchphrases from 2008/12 and beyond

A sampling:

“Well, and then, funny, ha ha, not funny, but now, what they’re doing is wailing, “well, Trump and his, uh, uh, uh, Trumpeters, they’re not conservative enough.” Oh my goodness gracious. What the heck would the establishment know about conservatism? Tell me, is this conservative? GOP majorities handing over a blank check to fund Obamacare and Planned Parenthood and illegal immigration that competes for your jobs, and turning safety nets into hammocks, and all these new Democrat voters that are going to be coming on over border as we keep the borders open, and bequeathing our children millions in new debt, and refusing to fight back for our solvency, and our sovereignty, even though that’s why we elected them and sent them as a majority to DC. No! If they’re not willing to do that, then how are they to tell us that we’re not conservative enough in order to be able to make these changes in America that we know need to be…Now they’re concerned about this ideological purity? Give me a break! Who are they to say that? Oh tell somebody like, Phyllis Schlafly, she is the Republican, conservative movement icon and hero and a Trump supporter. Tell her she’s not conservative. How ‘bout the rest of us? Right wingin’, bitter clingin’, proud clingers of our guns, our god, and our religions, and our Constitution. Tell us that we’re not red enough? Yeah, coming from the establishment. Right.

Professor Goodfeels (kingfish), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 05:50 (eight years ago) link

"...and turning safety nets into hammocks..." and big sombreros. Don't forget the big sombreros.

nickn, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 06:14 (eight years ago) link

Making such a transfer in ways that strengthen society takes a lot of thought and careful crafting.

I think John Conyers' bill intends to proceed on the issue in exactly this way. I don't think it would be political suicide at all for Sanders to endorse that bill (from what I understand about it, anyway).

timellison, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 06:33 (eight years ago) link

Entertaining for a whole bunch of reasons, including (I think--it's hard to tell) the semi-horrified look on Trump's face the whole way.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oyfUu_fNQfM

clemenza, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 12:30 (eight years ago) link

He's REALLY not comfortable being on stage and neither talking nor scoffing.

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 12:51 (eight years ago) link

wait did sanders claim to be part of a 'radical' left, where did that come from?

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 13:48 (eight years ago) link

calling the sanders campaign an exercise in 'radicalism' seems like a republican talking point tbh

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 14:01 (eight years ago) link

What is it that you're trying to say? Why on earth would that word-choice be important?

Frederik B, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 14:23 (eight years ago) link

Welcome to america

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 14:24 (eight years ago) link

Has Trump mentioned how he plans on doing any of the things he's proposed? I mean, I know that there's something really wrong that we need to figure out, and I know that things are going to be terrific and that some people are losers and there will be a wall with a door in it, but has he actually put forth any kind of actionable platform? At all? I suspect that I know the answer to that question but the answer terrifies me in light of his level of support so I need to ask the question anyway.

Meat Sheet (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 14:27 (eight years ago) link

the wall with the door will be beautiful

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 14:31 (eight years ago) link

trump and america make more sense if you view them as zen koans

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 14:32 (eight years ago) link

What is it that you're trying to say? Why on earth would that word-choice be important?

― Frederik B

caring about word choice matters because it helps me keep my head above water in the land of toxic political discourse i call my home. word choice is not a big deal, apparently, to Leninist Hilary Clinton supporters from Denmark

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 14:52 (eight years ago) link

Trump's been on a bit of an evangelical kick the past week, and I believe he's identified God as one of the winners.

clemenza, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 14:54 (eight years ago) link

x-post: Compared to dismantling white supremacy, then yeah, it seems pretty petty and insignificant to harp on whether Sanders self-describes as 'radical'. But hey, good for you that you can keep you're head over water that way, that's a real privilege, y'know.

Frederik B, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 14:56 (eight years ago) link

just try saying you are a radical in any US airport or public space. this isn't Denmark

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 14:58 (eight years ago) link

But if Trump had been the Messiah he woulda never let himself be captured by the Romans. Just sayin.

(xxpost)

mose allison brie larson (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 14:59 (eight years ago) link

Yeah, these days 'radical' basically means 'extremist' among certain groups. Unless it's prefixed with a 'totally', and then you're cool.

Meat Sheet (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 15:00 (eight years ago) link

bernie's campaign is predicated on the argument that most americans agree w/ his policies. he's not making a radical argument - he's arguing that his opinions are mainstream.

Mordy, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 15:12 (eight years ago) link

https://vine.co/v/ieb6HAZ2apO

mookieproof, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 16:09 (eight years ago) link

The rhyming thing throughout the speech was odd as fuck.

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 16:14 (eight years ago) link

donald trump used to be really unpopular w/ gop primary voters too. not saying there it won't be considerably more difficult for him to pull it off again just let's not count out the american ppl's ability to fuck up just yet.

balls, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 17:07 (eight years ago) link

used to be really unpopular w/ gop primary voters too

when was this?

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 17:10 (eight years ago) link

prior to announcing his candidacy?

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 17:12 (eight years ago) link

Kind of the opposite problem of Jeb!'s.

pplains, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 17:21 (eight years ago) link

Has Trump mentioned how he plans on doing any of the things he's proposed?

umm, because he's a winner, and winners get things done. god it's like you're not listening

frogbs, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 17:34 (eight years ago) link

deals

j., Wednesday, 20 January 2016 17:41 (eight years ago) link

All else aside, I totally don't get how someone who's like a prototypical asshole boss could be so popular with people who probably have or have had an asshole boss.

Meat Sheet (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 17:58 (eight years ago) link

they have fantasies of being asshole bosses themselves

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 17:59 (eight years ago) link

An asshole boss in the White House means he is being an asshole to government workers. He won't become YOUR asshole boss - his assholery will be directed at people you already despise.

mose allison brie larson (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 18:03 (eight years ago) link

That is, if you're already a knee-jerk anti-government mouth-frother, one of your most boneriffic fantasies is having President Trump turn to Lois Lerner, John Kerry, Julian Castro, Loretta Lynch, etc. and say a triumphantly sneering YOU'RE FIRED!

mose allison brie larson (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 18:06 (eight years ago) link

this palin speech lmao

marcos, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 18:16 (eight years ago) link

Wait, since when has word choice _not_ been important?

Professor Goodfeels (kingfish), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 18:24 (eight years ago) link

OTM

the 'major tom guy' (sleeve), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 18:28 (eight years ago) link

http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/4d7b2106-b632-4b79-a6ed-7afc73902d4c.pdf

new monmouth poll. clinton's national lead down below 20%, but leads among older voters and blacks/latinos still huge

k3vin k., Wednesday, 20 January 2016 18:47 (eight years ago) link

interesting: among the age 18-49 crowd, sanders leads 52 to 39. but for age 50+, he trails by a massive margin: 24 vs. 64 for clinton.

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 18:51 (eight years ago) link

also of note is that between december and january, clinton's advantage over sanders among black/latino voters rose from 43 to 50

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 18:53 (eight years ago) link

wouldn't read too much into that, since the sample was probably 200-300 people. i'd characterize it as merely remaining huge

k3vin k., Wednesday, 20 January 2016 18:54 (eight years ago) link

I always thought Trump's big appeal was in how simple he made everything sound, like these sorts of massive complex issues really are as simple as a Facebook meme. Particularly the "you enter North Korea illegally, they shoot you on sight...you enter the USA illegally, you get a job, a house, free health care, education...what happened to our country?" one

frogbs, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 18:56 (eight years ago) link

xpost yeah, good point, MOE is +5.2%

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 18:56 (eight years ago) link

but either way, the relative lack of gains among black/latino voters stands in stark contrast to just about every other area, where he made significant gains b/w december and now.

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 18:57 (eight years ago) link

are we still pretending that Bernie has a chance at the nomination

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 18:58 (eight years ago) link

margin for just the black/latino subgroup doesn't look like it's reported but is probably much higher xxp

k3vin k., Wednesday, 20 January 2016 18:58 (eight years ago) link

are we still pretending that Bernie has a chance at the nomination

No; his failure to support reparations has doomed his campaign.

the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 18:59 (eight years ago) link

shakey out of curiosity, whom would you vote for in a primary?

k3vin k., Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:00 (eight years ago) link

like, if California's primary was held right now, ahead of every other state's?

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:03 (eight years ago) link

right. i know that by the time it gets to you it probably won't matter

k3vin k., Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:05 (eight years ago) link

I think of voting strategically, for the most part. The ideal goal is a Democrat in the White House, preferably one that's as liberal as possible, with Democratic majorities in both houses of Congress, esp a Democratic caucus in the House led by Pelosi. This would be the ideal, but I realize that in all likelihood the best case scenario for the next four years is actually just gonna be more gridlock, occasional executive action, and hopefully skillful management of some insane foreign policy crises.

I agree with Bernie about certain things (tax rates, financial regulations, universal healthcare) and not about others (guns, foreign policy) but also think his odds in the national election would be much, much worse than Clinton's. I disagree with Hillary on tons of stuff (foreign policy especially) but think she would fare better against whatever nutjob loser the GOP ends up putting up. Since Hillary ostensibly offers the party wider margin of victory and an accompanying increase in the likelihood of downticket victories, I'm inclined to think that a vote for her would bring my goal closer to reality. So that would make me inclined to vote for her, but honestly I find my ideological differences with her to be too deep. And I wouldn't vote for Bernie given that I think his nomination would be a disaster (and much more likely given how many delegates California has). So in the end I probably wouldn't vote in this hypothetical early CA primary at all.

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:16 (eight years ago) link

but since sanders isn't going to get the nomination, couldn't voting for him in the hypothetical early CA primary also be 'strategic' as a way of reminding the democrat in the white house that being as liberal as possible might be well-received? (or, more importantly i think, reminding other democrats that they can run on a sanders-style platform and potentially get into that democratic caucus in congress?)

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:27 (eight years ago) link

twitter claims that sarah palin is blaming her son's domestic violence charge on obama's lack of respect for the troops

mookieproof, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:29 (eight years ago) link

XXpost

So why do you think the multiple polls showing Bernie doing better in the general election wrong? Do you think that he just hasn't been tested yet, or that he will choke in debates against the GOP or something?

schwantz, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:30 (eight years ago) link

but since sanders isn't going to get the nomination

he might if CA's primary was actually first.

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:31 (eight years ago) link

"So why do you think the multiple polls showing Bernie doing better than Hillary in the general election are wrong?"

Stupid grammar.

schwantz, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:33 (eight years ago) link

So why do you think the multiple polls showing Bernie doing better in the general election wrong?

I'm not sure what polls you're referring to. Generic matchups of all the potential candidates invariably reflect party preferences above all else. There is no way Sanders would do better than Clinton against Cruz or Trump in the general election, he is just not a good politician with broad appeal. He is a dude with narrow appeal, the appeal to people who like to be lectured by cranky old white guys - which is not a majority of the population.

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:35 (eight years ago) link

So why do you think the multiple polls showing Bernie doing better in the general election wrong?

according to Nate Silver's latest "you shouldn't be reading this website right now" disclaimer:

Head-to-head polls of hypothetical general election matchups have almost no predictive power at this stage of the campaign

(i don't disagree with his recommendation, but it's just funny to be in a situation where you want traffic on your website but you don't really want people to put too much stock in what you're saying yet)

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:35 (eight years ago) link

So in the end I probably wouldn't vote in this hypothetical early CA primary at all.

welp

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:35 (eight years ago) link

why is palin back now. this is awful.

goole, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:37 (eight years ago) link

I mean a Democratic woman running against Trump is going to be able to exploit demographic advantages that Sanders is not, for example. And Dems need to turn out large percentages of Latino and Black voters, which Clinton is better positioned to do. It's about what voting blocs are going to be excited to vote for the candidate - and college educated whites are not a large enough voting bloc to make up for deficits in other demos.

xp

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:38 (eight years ago) link

why is palin back now. this is awful.

― goole, Wednesday, January 20, 2016 1:37 PM (2 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Gearing up to be Trump's VP pick, obvs!

Meat Sheet (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:39 (eight years ago) link

she never left!

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:40 (eight years ago) link

it's been interesting watching certain liberal journalists go after sanders for calling Planned Parenthood and the HRC part of the "establishment." i mean, clearly they *are*

goole, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:40 (eight years ago) link

as the establishment candidate hillary also has resources + allies (and enemies of course) from throughout her career. i also think she'll be more palatable to moderates and i think sanders is a relatively unknown quantity that might be extremely vulnerable in a general election race. hillary has been attacked throughout her career (also apparently this impresses no one but me, she is vastly more experienced) so we more-or-less know what to expect; all not to mention that she's married to one of our nation's most popular recent presidents and served as SOS for another (maybe not as popular and more divisive but i think she's right to try to run on Obama's legacy). otoh sanders might be able to GOTV due to enthusiasm among the youth + far left voter base.

Mordy, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:42 (eight years ago) link

in fairness hypothetical head-to-head polls this far in advance have like zero validity. i (cautiously) support sanders and i accept that running him in the general election is a risk xxxxl

ultimately i think that a lot of "pragmatic" clinton supporters are seduced by the same cult of personality that sanders supporters are accused of falling for. they think that clinton, by virtue of her experience, will somehow be able to wrestle useful legislation through congress, or be BFFs with more world leaders, or use executive power to do some meaningful work. my feeling is that any democratic president is going to surround him/herself with capable people to run the various parts of the executive branch, but that sanders would be better by some degree when it came to actual decision-making

k3vin k., Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:42 (eight years ago) link

(nb this is not my case for hillary, just some stray thoughts about why i think she'd be a stronger candidate in the general. i happen to like her for a number of reasons beyond her electability.) xp

Mordy, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:42 (eight years ago) link

i don't have video to hand but (via twitter) i see palin's speaking right now on her son's domestic assault charge? and blaming it on PTSD and/or obama? i think this is happening at a trump rally?

goole, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:44 (eight years ago) link

as the establishment candidate hillary also has resources + allies (and enemies of course) from throughout her career. i also think she'll be more palatable to moderates and i think sanders is a relatively unknown quantity that might be extremely vulnerable in a general election race. hillary has been attacked throughout her career (also apparently this impresses no one but me, she is vastly more experienced) so we more-or-less know what to expect; all not to mention that she's married to one of our nation's most popular recent presidents and served as SOS for another (maybe not as popular and more divisive but i think she's right to try to run on Obama's legacy). otoh sanders might be able to GOTV due to enthusiasm among the youth + far left voter base.

― Mordy, Wednesday, January 20, 2016 2:42 PM (6 seconds ago)

certainly, for moderate and conservative voters her track record as senator/SOS/bill's wife is a great selling point

k3vin k., Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:44 (eight years ago) link

they think that clinton, by virtue of her experience, will somehow be able to wrestle useful legislation through congress,

not as long as the GOP as currently constituted controls the House. Absolutely nothing is going to pass.

or be BFFs with more world leaders,

maybe. she does like some shitbags.

use executive power to do some meaningful work

Another maybe, and not one I'm all that excited about, beyond the fact that she would be unlikely to repeal Obama's climate change-related efforts. (tbf Bernie would probably be about the same on this count).

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:46 (eight years ago) link

Surely the blame for any PTSD suffered by Palin's progeny can be placed squarely at the feet of their mother.

Meat Sheet (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:47 (eight years ago) link

if, through some miracle, the GOP nominates Cruz and Trump runs third party, then by all means the best candidate to unify the party, exploit the ensuing electoral catastrophe for the GOP, and possibly recapture Congress would be Hillary. but idk so many hypotheticals there (and even in that best-case scenario I don't think the Dems could actually take the House)

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:48 (eight years ago) link

Every time one of you mentions how experienced HRC is I go back to the number of stories, real or leaked by miffed staffers, about how Sanders' popularity caught her offguard. I mean, Jesus fucking Christ, you lost in 2008 to a guy whose hold on the affections of the electorate sure didn't look quixotic in the weeks before Iowa. I know administrations aren't campaigns, but how can you NOT expect a challenge?

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:51 (eight years ago) link

not being snarky to anyone in particular

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:52 (eight years ago) link

how on earth

https://twitter.com/dick_nixon/status/689850640722456577

goole, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:52 (eight years ago) link

HRC is clearly not a great politician (or doesn't have amazing campaigning instincts more precisely) but you can't deny that she has a tremendous wealth of experience. Whether that translates to things like good, effective policy is a good/different question.

Mordy, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:53 (eight years ago) link

pretty evident that it does not. She seems to be frozen in 1995.

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 19:54 (eight years ago) link

she has experience selling weapons to the middle east, so there's that

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:03 (eight years ago) link

it's undeniable that HRC has experience, but her lack of notable accomplishments as senator or secretary of state is equally hard to deny

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:03 (eight years ago) link

She's manifestly a terrible politician.

One bad call from barely losing to (Alex in SF), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:04 (eight years ago) link

as long as we're talking big picture, i find myself being almost totally unexcited by this race. the GOP clown car berlusconi-style bigot parade is compelling stuff but i have close to zero strong opinion on the dem side.

i don't have any real faith in or respect for hillary. her record as flotus, senator and secstate are all pretty bad imo, either good ideas bungled or bad ideas pursued expediently or crises left to fester because of paranoia (not an uncommon political problem, granted). i didn't want a trip thru the gutter of 90s politics in 08 and i still don't. i don't have any trust that she'll surround herself with competent people.

all that said, i just don't buy bernie's pitch. his core idea is that an activated, energized dem+independent base -- a mass popular movement -- will break the gridlock and allow his ambitious legislative plan to work. i think he's wrong! just flat wrong. i have doubts the party or the country will go for an old jewish socialist, but i guess we'll see.

goole, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:05 (eight years ago) link

i agree that sanders' plan for political change is naive, and i think he's channeling a lot of anger + frustration on the left but a lot of the finer details of the policy stuff (in financial reform, healthcare, gun control, etc) seem more superficial than hillary's stated policies.

Mordy, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:07 (eight years ago) link

why is palin back now

because... she's not dead?

it's just funny to be in a situation where you want traffic on your website but you don't really want people to put too much stock in what you're saying yet

doesn't matter in 538's case. liberals and 'centrist' Dems in particular absolutely cannot get enough of meaningless morsels about The Prez Auction from midterms on.

see you in April! or not.

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:08 (eight years ago) link

xpost To that extent, Sanders is kinda the Trump of the left. Don't just tell us what we want to hear, give us some idea of how you hope to actually achieve these things.

Meat Sheet (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:10 (eight years ago) link

has anyone asked hillary about reparations

mookieproof, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:13 (eight years ago) link

iirc she gets a pass because she's 'not a radical' or something

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:17 (eight years ago) link

all that said, i just don't buy bernie's pitch. his core idea is that an activated, energized dem+independent base -- a mass popular movement -- will break the gridlock and allow his ambitious legislative plan to work. i think he's wrong! just flat wrong. i have doubts the party or the country will go for an old jewish socialist, but i guess we'll see.

― goole, Wednesday, January 20, 2016 3:05 PM (8 minutes ago)

i'd honestly be surprised if either bernie or his closest advisors actually believed this -- it's just so obviously impossible. (if by some miracle he were elected, i don't doubt that he'd realize his more ambitious goals are pretty impossible to achieve and he'd probably settle into just being a relatively liberal president. which is probably all we can hope for.) but, as you (and mordy) allude to, it's an important selling point for prying votes from hilary.

k3vin k., Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:18 (eight years ago) link

i can't wait to see the programs Pragmatic Hillary gets through a Congress that loves her so much

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:19 (eight years ago) link

i'm really surprised that none of the democratic candidates are running on the We'll do the best we can but republican gridlock will make substantial progress pretty much impossible Platform, that seems like a real motivator

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:19 (eight years ago) link

i know right

k3vin k., Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:20 (eight years ago) link

haha, i totally forgot that this happened:

http://www.jebbush.com

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:21 (eight years ago) link

lol

the 'major tom guy' (sleeve), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:21 (eight years ago) link

i'm really surprised that none of the democratic candidates are running on the We'll do the best we can but republican gridlock will make substantial progress pretty much impossible Platform, that seems like a real motivator

― Karl Malone, Wednesday, January 20, 2016 2:19 PM (1 minute ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

i take your point. in a way, bernie's plan of mass engagement is closer to a real solution -- electing as many marginal-district dems to congress as possible.

but we saw how that worked before! we already know the limit. we're all old enough to remember 08 and 09... and 10

goole, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:23 (eight years ago) link

yeah, but that's the naivete of his supporters, not sanders, right?

i can see criticism of sanders' supporters for naively buying into the probably impossible ideas, but not criticism of sanders for running on that platform. like it or not, politicians try to motivate people to vote for them by laying out their vision of what they would ideally achieve, not what they are most likely to achieve. if sanders' strategy was to talk about what can realistically be accomplished with a GOP-dominated house, he'd be at like 1.0234% in the polls right now. and he may not end up winning, but at least he's pulling clinton to the left.

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:27 (eight years ago) link

so it may be annoying to see a bunch of college kids fooled into thinking that if only sanders were president everything would be fixed, but shit, those kids might be trump supporters if they grew up in different circumstances.

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:28 (eight years ago) link

and with possibly my first ever disparaging of "the kids", i hereby announce my intention to retire and move into the woods

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:29 (eight years ago) link

I was one of those college kids when Obama ran

frogbs, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:30 (eight years ago) link

has anyone asked hillary about reparations
--mookieproof

Yes at the same time and she dodged it basically.

One bad call from barely losing to (Alex in SF), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:30 (eight years ago) link

and he may not end up winning, but at least he's pulling clinton to the left.
--Karl Malone

Debatable at this point.

One bad call from barely losing to (Alex in SF), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:31 (eight years ago) link

my feeling is that any democratic president is going to surround him/herself with capable people to run the various parts of the executive branch, but that sanders would be better by some degree when it came to actual decision-making

― k3vin k., Wednesday, January 20, 2016 7:42 PM (41 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

sadly recent experience with the obama administration shows any new dem president will staff themselves with establishment retreads and the status quo wont budge.

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:31 (eight years ago) link

Debatable at this point.

dunno, i think we're just getting started, it's january 20

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:33 (eight years ago) link

A couple things:

It seems like Sanders would help on GOTV efforts on the dem side, which might help swing congress back toward dem. Even more importantly, he's not going to motivate GOP voters to come out to vote against him like Hilary will.

Sanders is the ONLY candidate with a net positive favorability rating.

schwantz, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:34 (eight years ago) link

sadly recent experience with the obama administration shows any new dem president will staff themselves with establishment retreads and the status quo wont budge.

so wait, you're saying that avowed centrist Barack Obama ran a centrist campaign and then staffed his administration with centrist thinkers? HOW SHOCKING, WHO COULD HAVE POSSIBLY PREDICTED THIS

its subtle brume (DJP), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:35 (eight years ago) link

Im pretty sure candidate obama ran against the imperial bush presidency and pretty much embraced it wholeheartedly once in office.

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:37 (eight years ago) link

to the right of W on surveillance, whistleblowers and global AIDS funding

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:41 (eight years ago) link

yes, obama will go down in history as the hitler of aids

iatee, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:42 (eight years ago) link

far to the right of W on establishing enormous marine reserves

Mordy, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:43 (eight years ago) link

I wonder what the 'welcome to the presidency' boot camp is like where the CIA and NSA, et al lifers scare the fucking shit out of whoever wins and they explain all the horrible things they do to keep the status quo

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 20:48 (eight years ago) link

I wonder what the 'welcome to the presidency' boot camp is like where the CIA and NSA, et al lifers scare the fucking shit out of whoever wins and they explain all the horrible things they do to keep the status quo

Bill Hicks (stand-up comedian, died in the 90s) had a bit about how they take newly elected presidents into a dark room and show them the Kennedy assassination, filmed from an angle nobody's ever seen before, and just ask, "Any questions?"

the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 21:07 (eight years ago) link

my only hesitation with bernie as president is that he'd be so utterly ineffection due to republican stalemates nothing would ever happen, he'd lose relection or not run due to age, and then a republican will come in and blow the world up in 2020.

akm, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 21:19 (eight years ago) link

that's true of anybody though. the only reason obama could pass ACA is because the world was shook by the financial crisis.

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 21:21 (eight years ago) link

bernie prob won't get much of anything through congress, but i don't think HRC with all her "experience" will do any better. any dem who ends up being president will prob look more like obama's last couple years than his first couple years -- executive orders and good speeches.

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 21:30 (eight years ago) link

I'm at the same place goole is, it sounds like

(many xposts)

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 21:35 (eight years ago) link

Jeb Lund:

Blaming Track Palin’s problems on Obama’s policy is just trading in the old Stabbed In The Back myth, repurposed from Weimar Germany by way of Vietnam, to synonymize an antipathy for the policy and strategy for which troops died with an antipathy for the troops themselves. (Let’s also not forget that neglecting the VA has been a bipartisan sin.) And whatever insufficiency of warmongering Obama has manifested over the years has never been paired with anything short of voluble, frequent praise for service members.

Even if Palin’s assertions were true, that’s a weird way for PTSD to manifest, so furious at a policy that it leads someone to lash out in the home as opposed to expressing anything at the source of the anger. Is it related to all troop withdrawals and just to Obama? What about other policy makers? And why didn’t this come up earlier? Was Track Palin drunk and shirtless at the Palin’s 2014 pier-six brawl because of Obama too?

http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/live/2016/jan/20/presidential-election-2016-campaign-coverage-trump-palin-live#block-569ff592e4b0e5eaffebb920

Professor Goodfeels (kingfish), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 21:48 (eight years ago) link

i just realized that whoever gives alan grayson the best chance of winning rubio's florida senate seat will get my vote

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 21:50 (eight years ago) link

Sanders is the ONLY candidate with a net positive favorability rating.

this is because 27% of the electorate has never heard of him

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 21:55 (eight years ago) link

right wingin' bitter clingin' PROUD clingin'
right wingin' bitter clingin' PROUD clingin'
right wingin' bitter clingin' PROUD clingin'
right wingin' bitter clingin' PROUD clingin'
right wingin' bitter clingin' PROUD clingin'
right wingin' bitter clingin' PROUD clingin'
right wingin' bitter clingin' PROUD clingin'
right wingin' bitter clingin' PROUD clingin'
right wingin' bitter clingin' PROUD clingin'
right wingin' bitter clingin' PROUD clingin'
right wingin' bitter clingin' PROUD clingin'

Amira, Queen of Creativity (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 21:58 (eight years ago) link

easy talkin border blockin

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 22:01 (eight years ago) link

I'm Ric Flair! The Stylin', profilin', limousine riding, jet flying, kiss-stealing, wheelin' n' dealin' son of a gun!

Professor Goodfeels (kingfish), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 22:17 (eight years ago) link

that ciara remix vine of palin is impressive

from the perspective of a gay man, i will post them now (forksclovetofu), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 22:20 (eight years ago) link

"any dem who ends up being president will prob look more like obama's last couple years than his first couple years -- executive orders and good speeches."

given that even the pretense of u.s. bipartisan governance has been dead since at least 2010, yeah, probably.

diana krallice (rushomancy), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 22:26 (eight years ago) link

fuck bipartisan governance, just give the majority of a chamber the ability to pass legislation - there are TWO whole other branches of government to rein it in! for fuck's sake it's all so broke

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 22:29 (eight years ago) link

did y'all see the iggy azalea vine

goole, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 22:36 (eight years ago) link

having either a socialist or a [whatever trump is] president might cause some really weird/ugly 'bipartisan' stuff to happen in congress

goole, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 22:38 (eight years ago) link

then again based on the ratcheting into line behind trump we're seeing among pundits and donors on the right, maybe only sanders would have to deal with that heh

goole, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 22:39 (eight years ago) link

ie the GOP at all levels will make its peace with trump pretty quickly here, and for good, if he wins.

goole, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 22:40 (eight years ago) link

the sun rising tomorrow having either a socialist or a [whatever trump is] president might cause some really weird/ugly 'bipartisan' stuff to happen in congress

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 22:45 (eight years ago) link

Im pretty sure candidate obama ran against the imperial bush presidency and pretty much embraced it wholeheartedly once in office in 2008.

― carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries),

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 22:49 (eight years ago) link

I love that this is all predicated on revenge; "Bob Dole learned his mentor's lessons well," Mr. Dole was heard to say.

http://www.nytimes.com/politics/first-draft/2016/01/20/bob-dole-warns-of-cataclysmic-losses-with-ted-cruz-and-says-donald-trump-would-do-better/?_r=0

clemenza, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 22:51 (eight years ago) link

any dem who ends up being president will prob look more like obama's last couple years than his first couple years -- executive orders and good speeches.

― (The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Wednesday, January 20, 2016 4:30 PM

otm

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 22:54 (eight years ago) link

:D

https://twitter.com/Elizabeth_Calo/status/689943146436886532

great hashtag

goole, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:03 (eight years ago) link

i can imagine a future where dems do fantastic in 2016 and you start seeing some republicans willing to break w/ the party to vote on bipartisan bills. i get the sense that there are a lot of republicans (among their editorialists/thinkers and legislators both) that are dissatisfied with the current party and esp if trump wins there are a whole bunch of republican op-ed ppl who have denounced him vigorously and it's hard to imagine them just falling back in line. idk i don't give this a strong chance of happening but it seems within the realms of possibility imo.

Mordy, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:04 (eight years ago) link

you start seeing some republicans willing to break w/ the party to vote on bipartisan bills

what Districts/states are these guys from

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:07 (eight years ago) link

hypothetically

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:07 (eight years ago) link

PA

Mordy, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:07 (eight years ago) link

cuz the people that used to do that in the Senate are gone, and the vast majority of GOP reps in the House are from otherwise safe Districts where they will get pilloried + primaried for collaboration

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:08 (eight years ago) link

(xp)

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:08 (eight years ago) link

i can speak best to my local politics since i know it best but i assume there are similar things for other moderate states that might lean dem - OH, IO maybe. but there are republicans in office here who are still like "responsible" moderate republicans. in this nom race there are even some so you know they exist.

Mordy, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:12 (eight years ago) link

but maybe any wave that could be convincing enough to get them to start voting on bipartisan bills might also throw them out of office

Mordy, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:13 (eight years ago) link

the republicans are like a fun-house mirror version of the british labour party, with a national leadership that is veering so close to some kind of event horizon relative to party rank and file that the two are in danger of disappearing from mutual view altogether

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:14 (eight years ago) link

Toomey seems p right-wing to me, idg where any moderation on his positions in the Senate would come from unless he becomes desperate to hang onto his seat because he's being challenged from the left (which also seems unlikely)

on the House side seems like there's a couple Reps that might be flexible - Dent, idk about a lot of the others

xp

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:17 (eight years ago) link

bernie prob won't get much of anything through congress, but i don't think HRC with all her "experience" will do any better. any dem who ends up being president will prob look more like obama's last couple years than his first couple years -- executive orders and good speeches.

― (The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Wednesday, January 20, 2016 4:30 PM (1 hour ago)

should be noted that presidents tend to govern much more moderately than they run in primaries. we can probably expect hillary to govern a lot like bill did. hope everybody's ready for social security "reform"!

k3vin k., Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:21 (eight years ago) link

I don't think it will quite be like Bill's terms - there are no incentives on either side of the aisle to compromise, the "third way" has been obliterated.

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:27 (eight years ago) link

idk nothing lasts forever - esp in politics

Mordy, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:28 (eight years ago) link

whoever wins is going to benefit from the fact that post-obama the partisan landscape will be less divisive (if for nothing else - like fatigue - then just the fact that racists won't have an insane hatred for the POTUS)

Mordy, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:30 (eight years ago) link

http://www.cnn.com/2016/01/20/opinions/ta-nehisi-coates-attack-on-bernie-sanders-mcwhorter/index.html

― (The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Wednesday, January 20, 2016 5:16 PM (1 hour ago)

this has some worthwhile ideas but something like this is probably best fleshed out in as a much longer, well-referenced essay than published to cnn.com

k3vin k., Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:31 (eight years ago) link

yeah they will have an insane misogynist hatred instead

xxp

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:32 (eight years ago) link

lol otm

k3vin k., Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:32 (eight years ago) link

idk where yr getting this "partisan landscape will be less divisive" stuff from, it shows no signs of abating on the GOP side

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:32 (eight years ago) link

i said where - legislators and thought leaders in the movement who seem dissatisfied with the party and might not want to stay in lockstep esp in an environment w/ major dem wins

Mordy, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:34 (eight years ago) link

idk if you've noticed but those "legislators and thought leaders", those guys are losing. Boehner resigned, Cantor got primaried, the establishment prez candidates are all in the shitter

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:35 (eight years ago) link

the GOP will hate Sanders as much as they hate Obama and the Arkansawyers.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:36 (eight years ago) link

in that environment, they will cling more desperately to whoever wins under the GOP brand, because they will be afraid of losing.

xp

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:36 (eight years ago) link

the GOP will hate Sanders

Sanders will never win but of course this goes without saying, how else would they approach a liberal Jew

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:36 (eight years ago) link

isn't Jew = socialist?

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:38 (eight years ago) link

I can't really picture the majority of Republicans that I've met as anti-Semites but they are definitely scared shitless of socialism

hi-nrg candidate (crüt), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:46 (eight years ago) link

yeah don't forget how virulently republicans detested bill clinton, starting with the elite dc crowd and then spreading to everyone else via the still-insane-to-me whitewater investigation

that whole saga, leading to the supreme court declaring the presidency for gwb is so next-level i just hope that one day we produce the shakespeare worthy of setting it down in fiction

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:50 (eight years ago) link

I still think the GOP loathed Bill Clinton more than Obama (and, yeah, the Beltway class aka Sally Quinn types allying with them didn't help); they hated the sight of him.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:52 (eight years ago) link

...

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:54 (eight years ago) link

if Obama makes it through 2 terms without being assassinated I will consider it a minor miracle

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:54 (eight years ago) link

I don't recall anyone being afraid Bill Clinton was conducting military maneuvers as part of a sinister plot to implement martial law and stay in office indefinitely

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:55 (eight years ago) link

I like how Οὖτις prefaces nearly every post with "Sanders will never win." Such certainty!

schwantz, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:55 (eight years ago) link

hey it's possible the sun won't rise tomorrow but, y'know, I'd put money on it

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:57 (eight years ago) link

clinton was accused personally of multiple murders in print and on radio among other things.

i mean obviously i know where you're coming from but this wave of visceral disgust towards democratic presidents has been a consistent motif of republican discourse since clinton.

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:57 (eight years ago) link

otoh the GOP doesn't believe in the legitimacy of any Democratic president. They hated Clinton because he was poor white, didn't hide his appetite, was popular, and a Democrat. The GOP hates Obama because he's black, is cool headed, relatively popular, and a Democrat.

I don't recall anyone being afraid Bill Clinton was conducting military maneuvers as part of a sinister plot to implement martial law and stay in office indefinitely

― Οὖτις,

Have you eve watched The Clinton Chronicles? Hillary had Vince Foster killed because he was going to tell Bill about their affair. And Bill ran drugs out of Mena airport in Arkansas.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 20 January 2016 23:57 (eight years ago) link

sounds like a bunch of sore losers

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Thursday, 21 January 2016 00:03 (eight years ago) link

visceral disgust towards democratic presidents has been a consistent motif of republican discourse since clinton.

I'd go back at least to Lee Atwater, and that's just in my lifetime

reggae mike love (polyphonic), Thursday, 21 January 2016 00:03 (eight years ago) link

maybe they'll have someone come along some day and #win at every. single. thing.

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Thursday, 21 January 2016 00:04 (eight years ago) link

LOVED Poppy Bush's work on Let's Dance.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 21 January 2016 00:06 (eight years ago) link

I respect that Atwater's guitar is actually plugged in.

mose allison brie larson (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 21 January 2016 00:09 (eight years ago) link

Atwater's all "damn I gotta cop that lick"

Οὖτις, Thursday, 21 January 2016 00:10 (eight years ago) link

Great Trump quote: "I'm winning with the smart people...I'm winning with the not-so-smart people too!"

clemenza, Thursday, 21 January 2016 00:22 (eight years ago) link

reminds me of what Senator Roman Hruska said about one of Nixon's SCOTUS nominees.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 21 January 2016 00:24 (eight years ago) link

I don't recall anyone being afraid Bill Clinton was conducting military maneuvers as part of a sinister plot to implement martial law and stay in office indefinitely

You didn't hang out in the right part of the internet then. The "Vince Foster was assassinated" and "chemtrails" crowd was all over this.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Thursday, 21 January 2016 01:04 (eight years ago) link

Another great one from Trump: "There'd be a role for her in my administration, but I'm not sure she wants that."

("Please, please, please don't want that.")

clemenza, Thursday, 21 January 2016 01:21 (eight years ago) link

You didn't hang out in the right part of the internet then. The "Vince Foster was assassinated" and "chemtrails" crowd was all over this.

and this was all before you had WND bombarding granny's inbox with this shit. Clinton Chronicles Redux is going to be bonkers.

even so, i have to agree that the Obama Derangement Syndrome seems more intense than CDS did. or maybe i was just paying more attention this time. it probably has something to do with the mass influx of racist grandparents and internet "libertarians" on social media.

rmde bob (will), Thursday, 21 January 2016 01:30 (eight years ago) link

also apparently this impresses no one but me, she is vastly more experienced

I don't think she is. Bernie's been in congress 25 years.

timellison, Thursday, 21 January 2016 04:16 (eight years ago) link

lol

Frederik B, Thursday, 21 January 2016 07:24 (eight years ago) link

Bernie's been in congress 25 years

Biggest strike against him IMO.

the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Thursday, 21 January 2016 11:10 (eight years ago) link

the internet was just as crazy in '95, but it was much, much smaller.

i see no evidence that the outcome of the 2016 election will improve the functioning of the government, bipartisanship, or the long-term survivability of the republican party. i guess it depends on whether you think the fourth party system has gone past the event horizon or not.

diana krallice (rushomancy), Thursday, 21 January 2016 11:51 (eight years ago) link

Another Ghost of Christmas Past weighs in:

http://www.theroot.com/articles/news/2016/01/herman_cain_the_trump_phenomenon_is_winning_over_black_women.html

clemenza, Thursday, 21 January 2016 13:10 (eight years ago) link

Take it from him, he knows a little something about winning over women.

mose allison brie larson (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 21 January 2016 13:47 (eight years ago) link

lol

― Frederik B

I guess it's predictable that someone would respond in this way but I don't see why someone could not just as easily lol at Clinton's experience overall.

timellison, Thursday, 21 January 2016 14:39 (eight years ago) link

Or not lol.

timellison, Thursday, 21 January 2016 14:41 (eight years ago) link

long-term survivability of the republican party.

Maybe it's just a matter of nomenclature, but when will this finally come to pass? Because the Republicans (or Tea Party) seem to be doing just fine. Sure, they may not get the White House any time soon, but they've been doing well everywhere else. State/local elections, congress, governors, etc. Right? Between that and the current composition of the Supreme Court, the Republicans have been at least as effective in halting, slowing or reversing progress as the democrats have been at passing progressive legislation. And yeah, I think the ACA and halting deportations and whatnot are positive developments, but their security sadly seems sort of tenuous.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 21 January 2016 14:49 (eight years ago) link

yeah, I'm extremely sick of hearing about the impending doom of the GOP. Wake me up when it actually happens. It pisses me off even more because Democrats seem to have the attitude of sit back and wait until the republicans blow up, meanwhile fewer and fewer Democrats hold meaningful offices on both the state and national level.

Check Yr Scrobbles (Moodles), Thursday, 21 January 2016 15:14 (eight years ago) link

if they take a hit during this election i think they'll just come back hungrier, meaner, and more willing to double down on outrageous public comments. like this guy already unofficially running for gov in pa, currently being a major roadblock to getting a budget:

"We had him down on the floor with our foot on his throat and we let him up. Next time, we won’t let him up."

http://www.politicspa.com/wagner-doubles-down-on-wolf-critique/72049/

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Thursday, 21 January 2016 15:43 (eight years ago) link

I guess it's predictable that someone would respond in this way but I don't see why someone could not just as easily lol at Clinton's experience overall.

― timellison, Thursday, January 21, 2016 2:39 PM (2 hours ago)

especially since her "experience" amounts to eight years in the senate with basically no significant accomplishments and some pretty appalling votes and then four years as secretary of state with...also no real accomplishments. she did try to push obama in a more hawkish direction on syria but i'm not sure anyone would trumpet that as a "progressive" move.

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Thursday, 21 January 2016 17:48 (eight years ago) link

but no denying that hillary probably gets invited on more sunday talk shows than bernie.

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Thursday, 21 January 2016 17:49 (eight years ago) link

@jheil
This morning over coffee in NH, @ChrisChristie told me the death of GFrey hit him way harder than that of DBowie.

mookieproof, Thursday, 21 January 2016 18:02 (eight years ago) link

Well, yeah.

Montgomery Burns' Jazz (Tarfumes The Escape Goat), Thursday, 21 January 2016 18:04 (eight years ago) link

he's eaten a lot of lunches all by himself

hi-nrg candidate (crüt), Thursday, 21 January 2016 18:05 (eight years ago) link

this is fun: sanders in '95 going toe to toe with duke cunningham over gays in the military

https://magazine.good.is/videos/bernie-sanders-shuts-down-member-of-house

goole, Thursday, 21 January 2016 18:06 (eight years ago) link

I just pictured an alternate universe Christie, wearing tight glam finery and weeping copiously while holding a press conference about his pain over Bowie's death.

Meat Sheet (Old Lunch), Thursday, 21 January 2016 18:08 (eight years ago) link

Massive lol crut!

Retro novelty punk (Dan Peterson), Thursday, 21 January 2016 18:12 (eight years ago) link

this is fun: sanders in '95 going toe to toe with duke cunningham over gays in the military
https://magazine.good.is/videos/bernie-sanders-shuts-down-member-of-house
― goole, Thursday, January 21, 2016 12:06 PM (4 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

also, i was too young to know what a scum cunningham was. morbidly interesting:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Duke_Cunningham#Scandals_and_corruption

global tetrahedron, Thursday, 21 January 2016 18:12 (eight years ago) link

yeah that's the kicker - dude turned out to be the most corrupt pol of his generation i think

goole, Thursday, 21 January 2016 18:13 (eight years ago) link

he would change into pajama bottoms and a turtleneck sweater to entertain them with chilled champagne by the light of his lava lamp.[24]

I cannot.

If authoritarianism is Romania's ironing board, then (in orbit), Thursday, 21 January 2016 18:18 (eight years ago) link

a top gun of corruption if you will

xpost

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Thursday, 21 January 2016 18:19 (eight years ago) link

The website Talkingpointsmemo has the annual Golden Duke Awards for particularly egregious corruption/scumbaggery from elected officials.

the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Thursday, 21 January 2016 18:43 (eight years ago) link

the new york times

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 21 January 2016 20:14 (eight years ago) link

Lady Lindsey basically endorses Hillary: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/lindsey-graham-donald-trump-ted-cruz-shot-or-poisoned_us_56a11e33e4b0d8cc109905aa?ref=yfp

Οὖτις, Thursday, 21 January 2016 21:12 (eight years ago) link

"So let’s just pick somebody out of the phone book if we have to," added Graham, who recently backed Jeb Bush.

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Thursday, 21 January 2016 21:14 (eight years ago) link

"We can win this election unless we lose it."

Deep Thoughts, by Lindsey Graham

its subtle brume (DJP), Thursday, 21 January 2016 21:53 (eight years ago) link

i think he means it in a Britney Spears - Till The World Ends kind of way

goole, Thursday, 21 January 2016 21:58 (eight years ago) link

If Cruz wins the nomination, that extreme-right faction will dominate the Republican Party not just in the presidential run but for the foreseeable future—even if Cruz loses. Just as the followers of Barry Goldwater held key positions in the party long after 1964, Cruz’s followers will be lodged tight and will be in a stronger position to combat the RINOs.

...

Trump, on the other hand, is so anomalous a figure that the GOP establishment can console themselves with the knowledge that he leads no faction. Even if he wins the nomination, Trump can be safely relegated to the category of a one-off, a freak mutation, never to be repeated. Trump would be like the character The Mule, in Isaac Asimov’s Foundation novels. In the schema of Asimov’s far future science-fiction series, The Mule is a galactic conquerer who throws history off the course that it was expected to take, but the changes he introduces are ultimately minor because he has no successor.

From the point of view of the Republican elite, it’s easy to see Trump as The Mule: He’s unexpected, he disrupted their plans to coronate Jeb Bush, but he’s also someone who can’t leave a lasting legacy because the traits that made him who he is are not replicable. There are not that many billionaire reality-show stars who are interested in taking over a political party.

https://newrepublic.com/article/128107/classier-two-evils

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Thursday, 21 January 2016 22:01 (eight years ago) link

i want to believe that Trump has no faction, but (and Josh Marshall argued a version of this a few days ago) isn't he essentially part of the Sarah Palin faction? there appears to be an enormous number of people who are willing to follow someone who is very loud and dumb, ad libs without a teleprompter and is terrible at it, and doesn't bother to make logical connections between problems and solutions.

Karl Malone, Thursday, 21 January 2016 22:05 (eight years ago) link

Still want to know, from someone who was around then: was former crap actor Ronald Reagan running for office as crazy a thought as Trump running now? Something about him is just so gross, like he's not trying to elevate himself to a position he does not deserve but instead is lowering everybody else to the level he's at. Maybe it's because he was an actor but Reagan at least pretended to be a politician. Trump, he's just a dick. Though his campaign trash talk is historic:

Donald J. Trump ‏@realDonaldTrump
Wacko @glennbeck is a sad answer to the @SarahPalinUSA endorsement that Cruz so desperately wanted. Glenn is a failing, crying, lost soul!

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 21 January 2016 22:10 (eight years ago) link

Reagan was governor two terms, quite narrowly lost the nomination to Ford in '76 and for all that time between 1964 and 1980 was a constant TV and radio presence. No comparison.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 21 January 2016 22:11 (eight years ago) link

When he ran in 1980, though, plenty of Dems assured themselves into thinking he was too crazy to win.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 21 January 2016 22:12 (eight years ago) link

Reagan never sounded unhinged though. His geniality and way with a zinger didn't gibe with his policies.

Reagan's hair also impeccable at all times.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 21 January 2016 22:13 (eight years ago) link

yeah i've always seen Trump as essentially a Tea Party candidate. is that wrong?

xposts

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 21 January 2016 22:13 (eight years ago) link

"Failing, Crying, Lost Soul" is my favourite Buddy Holly song.

clemenza, Thursday, 21 January 2016 22:14 (eight years ago) link

lol the mule

mookieproof, Thursday, 21 January 2016 22:17 (eight years ago) link

I thought Palin and Beck were on the same team? I don't know what to believe anymore.

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Thursday, 21 January 2016 22:25 (eight years ago) link

Beck is one of the only prominent radio idiots who doesn't support Trump, so when Palin endorsed Trump he found himself in a pickle

Karl Malone, Thursday, 21 January 2016 22:26 (eight years ago) link

taken abeck

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 21 January 2016 22:27 (eight years ago) link

yeah i've always seen Trump as essentially a Tea Party candidate. is that wrong?

xposts

― illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Thursday, January 21, 2016 5:13 PM (12 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

the tea party has always been this nebulous term to describe energized conservative hicks, and trump does have the support of a lot of tea partiers, primarily because they are so stupid, but i don't think he's a tea party candidate by the commonly understood definition of the term. he's too moderate -- cruz is more what people think about when they think "tea party"

k3vin k., Thursday, 21 January 2016 22:30 (eight years ago) link

Part of what upsets NRO and Red State types is how the embrace of Trump has made a mockery of conservatism.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 21 January 2016 22:33 (eight years ago) link

sorry

the 'major tom guy' (sleeve), Thursday, 21 January 2016 22:33 (eight years ago) link

http://media.cagle.com/53/2013/10/27/139352_600.jpg

the 'major tom guy' (sleeve), Thursday, 21 January 2016 22:34 (eight years ago) link

Brodie? Is that you?

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Thursday, 21 January 2016 22:36 (eight years ago) link

as far as the trump faction goes, i thought this bit from digby the other day was a little ranty but mostly otm:

The white working class types who call themselves social conservatives and identify as evangelicals say this out tribal identity more than ideology. They are economically screwed every which way, with little hope of any improvement. But lets not kid ourselves, these economically despairing, non-ideological, casual evangelicals are mostly drawn to the GOP because it is the party that doesn't have blacks, mexicans, feminists, liberals, city slickers and hippies in it, none of whom they can stand and all of whom they blame for the country going to hell in handbasket and the death of their own prospects . It's not complicated. That's the fundamental complaint about "political correctness" --- the necessity to pretend that you don't hate all those people.

Trump is speaking to all that much more emphatically than Cruz or anyone else on the scene. He's giving these folks permission to let their freak flag fly and providing a way to connect with each other without all the trappings of religion and phony piety they are usually required to pretend to care about. They don't have to sit through arcane lectures about tax policy and "small government" or pretend to care about a bunch of abstractions about the gold standard or "tort reform!". Trump is about guns, race, law and order and American dominance, period. That's the stripped down "conservatism" these folks really care about. It's obvious to them that this is what is needed to make America --- and their own lives --- "great again."

Karl Malone, Thursday, 21 January 2016 22:37 (eight years ago) link

The observable facts align well with that ^ pov.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Thursday, 21 January 2016 22:41 (eight years ago) link

i thought the Trump faction was pretty much the same as the GOP faction: rich jerks

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Thursday, 21 January 2016 22:41 (eight years ago) link

lol yes ok.

the whole "Trump is a wildcard, we don't really know what he's doing!" thing just rings as false to me as "Tea Party is a dangerous fringe element that the has GOP flabbergasted". it's sock puppet theater

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Thursday, 21 January 2016 22:46 (eight years ago) link

Karl do u have a link for that? /lazy

the 'major tom guy' (sleeve), Thursday, 21 January 2016 22:48 (eight years ago) link

oops, sorry about that, i usually try to include links but forgot that time. it's http://digbysblog.blogspot.com/2016/01/the-evangelical-voter-split.html (the quoted passage is at the bottom)

Karl Malone, Thursday, 21 January 2016 22:50 (eight years ago) link

thanks!

the 'major tom guy' (sleeve), Thursday, 21 January 2016 22:50 (eight years ago) link

"Maybe it's just a matter of nomenclature, but when will this finally come to pass? Because the Republicans (or Tea Party) seem to be doing just fine. Sure, they may not get the White House any time soon, but they've been doing well everywhere else. State/local elections, congress, governors, etc. Right? Between that and the current composition of the Supreme Court, the Republicans have been at least as effective in halting, slowing or reversing progress as the democrats have been at passing progressive legislation. And yeah, I think the ACA and halting deportations and whatnot are positive developments, but their security sadly seems sort of tenuous."

― Josh in Chicago, Thursday, January 21, 2016 9:49 AM (7 hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

sure, they're doing fine if your endgame is to get elected to office as a sinecure, if power is an end to you and not a means. it's hard not to note that today's crop of elected representatives seem to largely lack the charm and vision of somebody like newt gingrich, however. the president runs the country more and more autocratically and most people are ok with that, because the republicans' goal, as portrayed through their actions, seems to largely be to smash capitalism. the people despise them all. what's to stop america's elected representatives from going the way of the roman senate?

diana krallice (rushomancy), Thursday, 21 January 2016 22:53 (eight years ago) link

xpost Read that as "Tea Party is a dangerous fringe element that the has GOP fingerblasted."

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 21 January 2016 22:55 (eight years ago) link

the president runs the country more and more autocratically and most people are ok with that

Isn't this a vicious cycle? Tea Party/Republicans obstruct president, frustrated president goes autocratic, Tea Party/Republicans run against supposedly vast presidential overreach etc.?

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 21 January 2016 22:56 (eight years ago) link

They don't have to sit through arcane lectures about tax policy and "small government" or pretend to care about a bunch of abstractions about the gold standard or "tort reform!". Trump is about guns, race, law and order and American dominance, period.

i think this is the essential point, though. and it's interesting because i think a similar dynamic exists on the left as well regarding policy proposals. left or right, i don't think the average person cares very much about that stuff (notwithstanding bubbles of legitimate interest,). instead, the more important thing is an allegiance to an almost gestalt-like shared essence of conservatism or liberalism. 2008's HOPE was something that captured a deeper desire to unite and appreciate diversity and engage with the rest of the world. i guess sanders is the clear underdog but imo he has a chance because he's able to tap into that vibe with some people, whereas hillary cannot.

i guess maybe all of that is obvious (or i'm waaay wrong) but hey, here i am typing on the internet wooooo

Karl Malone, Thursday, 21 January 2016 23:06 (eight years ago) link

yeah that digby bit is totally otm imo

Οὖτις, Thursday, 21 January 2016 23:14 (eight years ago) link

hello I just always like to point out my -i think- correct memory that the tea party originated around the disapproval of bailing out Wall Street and IMO became what it is today because of 1. people turning up their noses at the 'crazy idiots' and & 2. people who didn't mind being associated with 'crazy idiots' co-opting their frustration with those who trashed our economy thanks

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Thursday, 21 January 2016 23:20 (eight years ago) link

Isn't this a vicious cycle? Tea Party/Republicans obstruct president, frustrated president goes autocratic, Tea Party/Republicans run against supposedly vast presidential overreach etc.?

― Josh in Chicago, Thursday, January 21, 2016 5:56 PM (23 minutes ago)

bingo.

diana krallice (rushomancy), Thursday, 21 January 2016 23:22 (eight years ago) link

iab! otm i think

the tea party constantly gets misremembered as originating with rick santelli ranting on CNBC against the bailout -- i swear on my mother there were ur-TP rallies, using that early-republic lingo & iconograpy, strongly associated with the ron paul/goldbug/anti-Fed end of the right, long before that

goole, Thursday, 21 January 2016 23:29 (eight years ago) link

Yeah, the trump crowd seems to be RW authoritarian followers, the kind that Hofstadter and John Dean and Dr Bob Altemeyer have written about. The kind that go in for "Christianity" more because it's the battle standard of the empire since Constantine moreso than anything some Yeshua dude said. Some have been victimized by late capitalism, and others by modernity. Lots of crossover with those who like Putin way more than the actual American guy in power, icky ex-commie-ness be damned.

Darkest Cosmologist junk (kingfish), Thursday, 21 January 2016 23:51 (eight years ago) link

2016 dispossessed America, maybe?

Darkest Cosmologist junk (kingfish), Thursday, 21 January 2016 23:54 (eight years ago) link

Supposedly lots of Republican senators and such coming forward today to say that Trump's far from ideal but better him than Cruz. Following their lead, I forget about Trump and take great satisfaction from this--couldn't happen to a creepier guy.

clemenza, Friday, 22 January 2016 00:04 (eight years ago) link

The way Clinton's scrambling around right now is so reminiscent of 2008. She's got the necessary experience she'll say, and then, when "change" and "outsider" comes up, point out how long Sanders has been a senator. When it's foreign policy, she throws out variations on the 2:00 a.m. phone call. She'll get the nomination, but it's painful to watch.

clemenza, Friday, 22 January 2016 00:50 (eight years ago) link

Bernie may well win both Iowa and New Hampshire.

timellison, Friday, 22 January 2016 01:10 (eight years ago) link

It looks like he very probably will--big-and-growing leads in both. And expressing anything with certainty (which I don't normally do anyway) seems really dubious in light of Trump. She's much stronger after Iowa/NH, though, although who knows with her--whether you want to call it this bedrock of resistance or just Democrats-like-her-but-just-not-enough, this is the second time in a row that something that was supposed to be a walk is anything but.

clemenza, Friday, 22 January 2016 01:16 (eight years ago) link

the thought now is that bernie remains a longshot, but that winning iowa and new hampshire could conceivably bring him enough media attention -- and hilary enough bad press -- to give him enough momentum to give him an actual chance. but that's only if he takes both

k3vin k., Friday, 22 January 2016 01:29 (eight years ago) link

[Trump]’s figured out that the most effective way to get the wage class to rally to his banner is to get himself attacked, with the usual sort of shrill mockery, by the salary class. The man’s worth several billion dollars—do you really think he can’t afford to get the kind of hairstyle that the salary class finds acceptable? Of course he can; he’s deliberately chosen otherwise, because he knows that every time some privileged buffoon in the media or on the internet trots out another round of insults directed at his failure to conform to salary class ideas of fashion, another hundred thousand wage class voters recall the endless sneering putdowns they’ve experienced from the salary class and think, “Trump’s one of us.”

http://thearchdruidreport.blogspot.com/2016/01/donald-trump-and-politics-of-resentment.html

mick signals, Friday, 22 January 2016 03:10 (eight years ago) link

nope

salthigh, Friday, 22 January 2016 03:13 (eight years ago) link

This is an interesting arm of the Clinton campaign, something called "The Briefing" which has its own Youtube channel and its own Facebook page (with only 14,000 likes). I wonder who these videos are aimed at?

http://www.youtube.com/channel/UCRyE0W-DFgBlfd111fts6tQ

timellison, Friday, 22 January 2016 04:20 (eight years ago) link

Sorry, meant to link specifically to this video:

http://www.youtube.com/channel/UCRyE0W-DFgBlfd111fts6tQ

timellison, Friday, 22 January 2016 04:21 (eight years ago) link

xxposts

^Much ado about nothing imo. Trump's hair is mildly amusing, occasionally mesmerizing, that's all. Come to think of it, I found Ted Kennedy's hair way more "offensive."

never have i been a blue calm sea (collardio gelatinous), Friday, 22 January 2016 04:35 (eight years ago) link

see also https://twitter.com/TheBriefing2016/status/690276384032321538

(did they really mean to make israel that shape?)

mookieproof, Friday, 22 January 2016 04:38 (eight years ago) link

wow those are some miserable tweets

service desk hardman (El Tomboto), Friday, 22 January 2016 04:43 (eight years ago) link

JFC this is nuts: http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/features/2016-01-20/what-kind-of-man-spends-millions-to-elect-ted-cruz-

All cynicism aside, it's so scary that there is a group of such profoundly stupid people with so much money!

schwantz, Friday, 22 January 2016 04:54 (eight years ago) link

xp Those tweets remind me of when Reagan showed a map purportedly demonstrating how the Sandinistas were a stone's throw from Brownsville TX.

never have i been a blue calm sea (collardio gelatinous), Friday, 22 January 2016 04:59 (eight years ago) link

schwantz fyi that link didn't work for me ("404 page not found")

never have i been a blue calm sea (collardio gelatinous), Friday, 22 January 2016 05:02 (eight years ago) link

Try this link

Looks like dashes at the end of a URL don't get parsed correctly?

schwantz, Friday, 22 January 2016 05:08 (eight years ago) link

Thanks, that worked. The network of obsessives described by that article seems like something Pynchon might have conjured.

never have i been a blue calm sea (collardio gelatinous), Friday, 22 January 2016 05:51 (eight years ago) link

Literally spending millions on warehouses full of jars of pee!

schwantz, Friday, 22 January 2016 05:58 (eight years ago) link

In other news, this is pretty great.

schwantz, Friday, 22 January 2016 05:59 (eight years ago) link

And this:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LIZW5trdE5o

schwantz, Friday, 22 January 2016 06:06 (eight years ago) link

i don't want to overinterpret the results of one very limited study, but if these findings hold i feel like they could be relevant to the trajectory of american democracy:

http://arstechnica.com/science/2016/01/humans-arent-as-cooperative-as-we-thought-but-make-up-for-it-via-stupidity/

diana krallice (rushomancy), Friday, 22 January 2016 12:25 (eight years ago) link

it's not like stupidity in America or the human race is a new thing

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Friday, 22 January 2016 13:50 (eight years ago) link

also, reading some news this morning, and I'm seriously wondering if Bernie is pulling Clinton to the left, seems just as likely he'll push her to the right

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Friday, 22 January 2016 13:52 (eight years ago) link

this "pushing" shit is fiction now and forever, rhetoric aside

DNC and Rodham just admitting her 'progressivism' is 0% convincing

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Friday, 22 January 2016 14:01 (eight years ago) link

dude c'mon. why do you keep calling her "rodham," it's like a weird version of when righties were doing the "barack HUSSEIN obama" thing. her name's clinton, whether you hate her or not at least call her by her name.

tremendous crime wave and killing wave (Joan Crawford Loves Chachi), Friday, 22 January 2016 14:38 (eight years ago) link

Barry Soetoro

rmde bob (will), Friday, 22 January 2016 14:46 (eight years ago) link

never forget
http://i.ebayimg.com/images/g/gT0AAOSwBadTqPMz/s-l300.jpg

hunangarage, Friday, 22 January 2016 15:01 (eight years ago) link

just like cutting her meal-ticket antifeminist factor

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Friday, 22 January 2016 15:09 (eight years ago) link

also u mighjt wanna consider the Bess Truman "It took me 20 years to get him to say 'manure'" factor.

Anyway my time is better spent on more important matters like a DHless National League. Ta!

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Friday, 22 January 2016 15:13 (eight years ago) link

(I do think 'Rodham' celebrates the return of the Goldwater Girl within her that is roaring back now as it hasn't in a half century)

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Friday, 22 January 2016 15:28 (eight years ago) link

I think it celebrates what a sexist fool you are

a (waterface), Friday, 22 January 2016 15:31 (eight years ago) link

iron my shirt

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Friday, 22 January 2016 15:33 (eight years ago) link

no tickee no Hillary

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 22 January 2016 15:35 (eight years ago) link

my last two November prez votes btw

2012: Jill Stein
2008: Cynthia McKinney

but enough about me, thx for all the fish

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Friday, 22 January 2016 15:39 (eight years ago) link

yeah that's an amazing connection

goole, Friday, 22 January 2016 16:39 (eight years ago) link

speaking of amazing connections with racists

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/690562515500032000

our next president has retweeted a message from "WhiteGenocideTM"

goole, Friday, 22 January 2016 16:40 (eight years ago) link

one for the "Is Trump a Fascist" thread

Οὖτις, Friday, 22 January 2016 16:41 (eight years ago) link

this is a good summary of trumpism imo

http://theweek.com/articles/599577/how-obscure-adviser-pat-buchanan-predicted-wild-trump-campaign-1996

goole, Friday, 22 January 2016 17:04 (eight years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CZVul9QWcAQ1Yjr.jpg

laffer? i barely know her

mookieproof, Friday, 22 January 2016 17:05 (eight years ago) link

are those effective or marginal tax rates

pizza rolls are a food that exists (silby), Friday, 22 January 2016 17:06 (eight years ago) link

I refuse to read articles

pizza rolls are a food that exists (silby), Friday, 22 January 2016 17:06 (eight years ago) link

xp to self: the writer is a trad-conservative himself, mind you

Plenty of others have noticed the parallels between Pat Buchanan and Donald Trump. Some have seen that Trump is attracting the "radical middle" social base and taking on the Caesarist, almost Latin American-style populism that Francis recommended. Buchanan was recently asked about why Trump was having all the success that he did not enjoy, when he is running on so many of the issues Buchanan did 20 years ago. Buchanan said that it was because the returns are in on the policies he criticized 20 years ago. All of this is true.

The Trump phenomenon does seem to be sui generis. There are not squadrons of Trumpistas in the Republican Congress. And his celebrity persona, his extremely unusual and independent financial power, his felicity for not just recognizing but channeling the grievances of his supporters is unmatched. It's hard to imagine anyone else rebuilding his coalition of Middle American radicals and fringier, race-obsessed "alt-right" nationalists.

goole, Friday, 22 January 2016 17:07 (eight years ago) link

some have seen

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 22 January 2016 17:07 (eight years ago) link

Has anybody brought up that the Hillary campaign font is terrible

service desk hardman (El Tomboto), Friday, 22 January 2016 17:33 (eight years ago) link

Trump called it very low energy iirc

Οὖτις, Friday, 22 January 2016 17:37 (eight years ago) link

"sans serif fonts are for LOSERS"

Οὖτις, Friday, 22 January 2016 17:38 (eight years ago) link

While it may lose her some single-issue voters in the primaries, she retains the option of pivoting to Papyrus during the general election.

mose allison brie larson (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 22 January 2016 17:43 (eight years ago) link

Though really Mistral was the hot display typeface of the late 80s/early 90s, Hillary's headbandy heyday.

mose allison brie larson (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 22 January 2016 17:45 (eight years ago) link

someone plz plz photoshop Hilz on the Mistrial cover

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 22 January 2016 18:02 (eight years ago) link

"The Hillary font is very bad, very bad. First thing I do when I'm president, that font is outta here!"

Retro novelty punk (Dan Peterson), Friday, 22 January 2016 18:43 (eight years ago) link

"We're gonna get the absolute BEST typographers in here, have them bring in some really classy modernist semi-grotesques. It'll be great. You're gonna get tired of how much our typefaces win."

mose allison brie larson (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 22 January 2016 18:47 (eight years ago) link

ha this is similar to what i was saying about this primary but says you should vote for clinton anyway

http://bottlemagazine.com/2016/01/19/on-hillary-and-bernie/

goole, Friday, 22 January 2016 21:25 (eight years ago) link

good piece until the last couple sentences.

Οὖτις, Friday, 22 January 2016 21:31 (eight years ago) link

That piece is so dumb. Pls. explain how Hillary is "better at politics."

schwantz, Friday, 22 January 2016 21:32 (eight years ago) link

yeah those are the sentences I'm referring to!

Οὖτις, Friday, 22 January 2016 21:34 (eight years ago) link

some otherwise smart people conveniently seem to be taking bernie's campaign promises at face value, and are under the impression that a president bernie is going to be the equivalent of house republicans. i'd say it was naive if it weren't so transparently dishonest

k3vin k., Friday, 22 January 2016 21:39 (eight years ago) link

wait so you think Bernie is going to compromise with Ryan's caucus? I'm confused

Οὖτις, Friday, 22 January 2016 21:44 (eight years ago) link

I don't think Bernie is going to achieve all of his policy fantasies, but he will start with the goalposts in the right place, at least. And unlike House repubs, his positions are mostly popular with the electorate!

schwantz, Friday, 22 January 2016 21:50 (eight years ago) link

yeah but that popularity doesn't matter

Οὖτις, Friday, 22 January 2016 21:52 (eight years ago) link

like, it doesn't move those House votes

Οὖτις, Friday, 22 January 2016 21:52 (eight years ago) link

It might help move those House members out of the House. I mean, probably not, but I guess I'd rather hear real arguments over the issues rather than extreme right vs. sorta-kinda-left-but-everyone should-come-together arguments.

schwantz, Friday, 22 January 2016 21:55 (eight years ago) link

i found that piece pretty glib and self-righteous, particularly the smirky dismissal of sanders's concern with campaign finance reform. also find it hard to swallow the idea that we can credit clinton for obama's assertiveness with executive orders.

i keep hearing the assertion that clinton is "good at politics," but nobody ever seems to back it up -- like, what is the evidence of that? there are plenty of ppl over the last 30 years who have been genuinely good at politics -- nancy pelosi comes to mind. what impressive political feats has clinton been responsible for?

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Friday, 22 January 2016 22:03 (eight years ago) link

she's not good at politics!

Οὖτις, Friday, 22 January 2016 22:05 (eight years ago) link

next to Pelosi she's a total paper tiger

Οὖτις, Friday, 22 January 2016 22:05 (eight years ago) link

She's the worst kind of politician, a la Rahm. Entitled, tone-deaf, arrogant, bends with opinion, ruthless but mostly when it comes to self-interest.

I'm a bit torn, because one thing I'd look forward to in a hypothetical Sanders presidency is him calling out opponents by name, which is something he's made a habit of at various hearings and whatnot and what a lot of us wish Obama could/would do. But then I think, hmm, isn't that sort of undiplomatic straight talk exactly what Trump supporters see in that shithead? And then I feel bad.

I did like that Killer Mike clip that made the rounds. How will Bernie get cooperation from congress? Easy, once the same people who vote him into office mobilize to replace the Republicans with more moderate votes. (Sure, equally unlikely, but I appreciate the optimism.)

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 22 January 2016 22:07 (eight years ago) link

also waiting for her supporters to list her actual accomplishments as secretary of state instead of just touting her "experience" over and over

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Friday, 22 January 2016 22:07 (eight years ago) link

Experience=name recognition.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 22 January 2016 22:08 (eight years ago) link

I did like that Killer Mike clip that made the rounds. How will Bernie get cooperation from congress? E

by appointing Killer Mike as congressional liasion

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 22 January 2016 22:09 (eight years ago) link

once the same people who vote him into office mobilize to replace the Republicans with more moderate votes

the people who will hypothetically vote Bernie into office don't live in the congressional districts that elect Tea Party Republicans to the House, which is exactly why those districts were drawn that way

Οὖτις, Friday, 22 January 2016 22:11 (eight years ago) link

If they really cared they would move there.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 22 January 2016 22:13 (eight years ago) link

I don't know how good she is at the politics of getting legislation passed. The politics of getting elected, obviously she was badly out-strategized in 2008, and it would appear she's been blindsided again. I don't know about her election to the Senate--didn't they gift-wrap a seat for her? I think her biggest political liability is simply getting people to like and trust her. I think so much of her popularity within the party is a) indebted to her husband's popularity (I'm not generalizing, just talking about her case), and b) admiration/sympathy for what she went through in '98/99 (unless you thought she was devious there, too). Obviously I'm not a big fan, although on occasion I've liked her better the past eight years than I did before.

clemenza, Friday, 22 January 2016 22:15 (eight years ago) link

I don't know how good she is at the politics of getting legislation passed.

she was the junior senator and wasn't in there long enough to accomplish anything - the senate moves slowly

Οὖτις, Friday, 22 January 2016 22:17 (eight years ago) link

Linking to a (paywalled) piece on the WSJ that links Hillary to Obama's executive order seems to misunderstand

a: Who the WSJ is written for
b: What they think of Obama's executive orders
c: Why they would want to tie Hillary to them

schwantz, Friday, 22 January 2016 22:40 (eight years ago) link

I don't think Bernie is going to achieve all of his policy fantasies, but he will start with the goalposts in the right place, at least. And unlike House repubs, his positions are mostly popular with the electorate!

― schwantz, Friday, January 22, 2016 4:50 PM (59 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

...the actual tenets of the aca are broadly popular with the electorate, but the aca itself is pilloried. presidential elections don't hinge on policy these days, if they ever did.

diana krallice (rushomancy), Friday, 22 January 2016 22:56 (eight years ago) link

Whoa, really?

I don't want to get all meta about this, but when you hold popular positions, you usually come out ahead in the perception game when there's a political standoff. That perception, as you point out, can help move electoral outcomes.

schwantz, Friday, 22 January 2016 23:04 (eight years ago) link

Hillary was involved in that nuclear disarmament deal with Russia, right?

Other than that, went on wikipedia, it's a pretty fun read. I'd bet a lot of changes might be coming from her campaign: 'Her first 100 days found her travelling over 70,000 miles (110,000 km), having no trouble adapting to being a team player subordinate to Obama, and gaining skills as an executive.[54][55] Nevertheless, she remained an international celebrity with a much higher profile than most Secretaries of State.[29] Her background as an elected official gave her insight into the needs and fears of elected officials of other countries.[29]'

Frederik B, Friday, 22 January 2016 23:31 (eight years ago) link

Under Clinton's leadership, the State Department approved $165 billion worth of commercial arms sales to 20 nations whose governments have given money to the Clinton Foundation, according to an IBTimes analysis of State Department and foundation data. That figure -- derived from the three full fiscal years of Clinton's term as Secretary of State (from October 2010 to September 2012) -- represented nearly double the value of American arms sales made to the those countries and approved by the State Department during the same period of President George W. Bush's second term.

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Friday, 22 January 2016 23:36 (eight years ago) link

In October 2009, Clinton's intervention – including juggling conversations on two mobile phones while sitting in a limousine[95] – overcame last-minute snags and saved the signing of an historic Turkish–Armenian accord that established diplomatic relations and opened the border between the two long-hostile nations.[96][97]

Frederik B, Friday, 22 January 2016 23:37 (eight years ago) link

lol IBT is such a shitty "news" outlet

not that they're reportage is inaccurate there, but they are definitely slanted rightward

Οὖτις, Friday, 22 January 2016 23:39 (eight years ago) link

their

Οὖτις, Friday, 22 January 2016 23:39 (eight years ago) link

here's the Mother Jones version

http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2015/05/hillary-clinton-foundation-state-arms-deals

AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Friday, 22 January 2016 23:44 (eight years ago) link

which cites IBT

Οὖτις, Friday, 22 January 2016 23:45 (eight years ago) link

strange bedfellows etc.

Οὖτις, Friday, 22 January 2016 23:46 (eight years ago) link

wait so you think Bernie is going to compromise with Ryan's caucus? I'm confused

― Οὖτις, Friday, January 22, 2016 4:44 PM (1 hour ago)

no, but i think that any candidate is going to govern more moderately than he or she campaigns.

bernie can be described as a lot of things -- a curmudgeon, an ideologue -- but "incompetent" and "dumb" are not adjectives you hear thrown at him too much. a theoretical president bernie (which by the way i'm aware has no chance of happening) is going to be able to read the writing on the wall, see that his ideas are not going to be taken up by congress, and settle into being merely a pretty liberal president. hopefully one who won't get us involved in any more wars

there are legitimate reasons for being cautious about a bernie nomination. his gun record, for one thing, is not good, and to me that's a big issue. his general lack of interest in foreign policy could honestly be a good thing or a bad thing, depending on your perspective. there's also the idea that nominating him against, say, rubio or bush would harm downticket democrats. that's a real concern -- probably less so if trump or cruz runs though

what to me is not legitimate is just assuming that he's going to be the equivalent of house republicans and like, i don't know, be so single-minded about universal health care or free higher education that congress is going to grind to a halt. what is the precedent for that, exactly? krugman, whom i love and who is generally better at seeing through this sub-chait nonsense, succumbed to this today too in his column:

There’s a sort of mini-dispute among Democrats over who can claim to be Mr. Obama’s true heir — Mr. Sanders or Mrs. Clinton? But the answer is obvious: Mr. Sanders is the heir to candidate Obama, but Mrs. Clinton is the heir to President Obama.

like what? candidate obama was candidate obama! he was running a primary campaign, no shit! (leave aside for now the fact that candidate sanders is well to the left even of candidate obama.) then...he became president obama when the structural realities in congress (among other things) dictated that he needed to. i don't see any reason why a similar thing wouldn't happen with sanders, except that sanders would be better on almost every issue

k3vin k., Friday, 22 January 2016 23:53 (eight years ago) link

i literally have no idea what is going to happen in this election these days. I cannot possibly believe the republicans will nominate trump but it sure looks like they might.

akm, Friday, 22 January 2016 23:55 (eight years ago) link

his general lack of interest in foreign policy could honestly be a good thing or a bad thing, depending on your perspective.

given that foreign policy is going to be one of the only areas the next President is going to have any real control over, I consider this a massive liability. (Not happy about his gun happy record either)

Οὖτις, Saturday, 23 January 2016 00:01 (eight years ago) link

not that Hillary's foreign policy track record is glowing or anything - I'm reliably certain she'll start at least one war of her own, cuz she's gotta be "tough"/Thatcher syndrome

Οὖτις, Saturday, 23 January 2016 00:02 (eight years ago) link

well yeah, that's kind of what i meant when i said it depended on your perspective. sanders might be better just by virtue of not being a hawk. bernie might not have served as secretary of state (and been disastrous at it), but he did vote against the iraq war, the patriot act, etc...

k3vin k., Saturday, 23 January 2016 00:09 (eight years ago) link

In October 2009, Clinton's intervention – including juggling conversations on two mobile phones while sitting in a limousine[95] – overcame last-minute snags and saved the signing of an historic Turkish–Armenian accord that established diplomatic relations and opened the border between the two long-hostile nations.[96][97]

― Frederik B, Saturday, 23 January 2016 00:37 (35 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

iirc they signed the agreement at a press conference, both parties almost immediately refused to ratify it, the border is still closed and everyone hates each other. I think that counts as padding the resume.

On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Saturday, 23 January 2016 00:20 (eight years ago) link

Warren certainly fired a shot in Hill's general direction to back the F off Bernie today. We so sure she's not getting ready to endorse Sanders?

Iago Galdston, Saturday, 23 January 2016 00:33 (eight years ago) link

https://twitter.com/joshsmith/status/690336946103562240

Iago Galdston, Saturday, 23 January 2016 00:36 (eight years ago) link

including juggling conversations on two mobile phones

This is pretty much par for the course for any half-decent GS-15+ in DC? And there's usually no limousines involved, just Red Top or whatever's around. Again, who is the fucking audience for this nonsense?

service desk hardman (El Tomboto), Saturday, 23 January 2016 00:39 (eight years ago) link

People who think The West Wing is more accurate than Veep.

pizza rolls are a food that exists (silby), Saturday, 23 January 2016 00:42 (eight years ago) link

Given what we've endured the last 15 years, Sanders' lack of foreign policy experience is not a disqualifier. I'd ask Kerry to stay. He has not been horrible, certainly more impressive than Clinton.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 23 January 2016 00:43 (eight years ago) link

he hugs Saudi royals with the same passion with which he salutes their dignity and fair-mindedness

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 23 January 2016 00:53 (eight years ago) link

What kind of person would Bernie hire as Secretary of Defense? How well did he know people who served in Vietnam?

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Saturday, 23 January 2016 00:54 (eight years ago) link

Being really generous, I might say that Clinton had the ugly job of presiding over a department which had been gutted and drained by the preceding administration, and spent more than a couple of years on the mend, and in the meantime, Obama's overriding focus was on domestic policy goals. Kerry's been able to shine because the priorities of the administration have changed, and State is no longer the demoralized mess it was in 2009.

service desk hardman (El Tomboto), Saturday, 23 January 2016 00:54 (eight years ago) link

or Secretary of State?

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Saturday, 23 January 2016 00:55 (eight years ago) link

Sec of Defense: Jim Webb

duh

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Saturday, 23 January 2016 01:01 (eight years ago) link

Sec of State: Chelsea Clinton

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Saturday, 23 January 2016 01:04 (eight years ago) link

I've a soft spot for Kerry after the medal throwing, the Kerry Committee on the Contra-drug link, and the investigations into BCCI.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 23 January 2016 01:15 (eight years ago) link

being generous, i'd say hillary does indeed have impressive experience -- she's seen extremely up close how the presidency works, she's been a senator, she's been secretary of state. there doesn't seem to be much evidence that her experience has made her terribly good at those things tho, and her association with 90s retreads is uninspiring

i guess bernie was pragmatic as mayor of burlington?

and beyond policy questions is whether either has the capability to manage the executive branch, eg here in nyc diblasio probably has better intentions than bloomberg, but seems much less effective at running the show

mookieproof, Saturday, 23 January 2016 01:21 (eight years ago) link

she's not good at politics!

There's some truth to this. I respect her chops as a policy wonk, but I'm not sure her political skills have really been proven. Her record of electoral success is basically two easy NY Senate races. Bernie has a much more impressive record of winning competitive races (and as an Independent, which is not easy in American politics). On the other hand, it's always better to be lucky than good, and so far it looks like her luck might hold this year, if either Trump or Cruz ends up as the GOP nominee. Those two could make her seem downright likable.

o. nate, Saturday, 23 January 2016 02:26 (eight years ago) link

can we not use the phrase "policy w---" ever plz

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 23 January 2016 02:35 (eight years ago) link

I'm not trying to oversell it, but there's a reasonable argument to be made that the same sort of political instincts that allow a politician to run a sharp campaign are equally necessary to being a successful president, iow a president who achieves their policy objectives. If HRC wins, she'll be incredibly lucky that Paul Ryan is another w*** who seems not too attached to the goddamn Hastert Rule.

^edited for your viewing pleasure

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Saturday, 23 January 2016 02:42 (eight years ago) link

http://www.newyorker.com/news/john-cassidy/bernie-sanders-and-the-realists

now this is a piece that criticizes the sanders campaign while deigning to give it some of the respect it deserves

k3vin k., Saturday, 23 January 2016 02:47 (eight years ago) link

Not sure what the objection to "wonk" is. Isn't WonkBlog still a thing? Anyhow, let me phrase it differently: I think she has a good grasp of policy detail and for the most part well-thought out policy positions that she can ably defend in a genteel debate-type setting (whether she can effectively sell them to the electorate at large in the face of crude populist attacks being a different question).

o. nate, Saturday, 23 January 2016 02:53 (eight years ago) link

to me it's shorthand for "doing your research like an intelligent person," a concept that Beltway elites can't understand w/out belittling (I'm not attacking you, I hope!).

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 23 January 2016 02:57 (eight years ago) link

Ah, I see. Seems like we need a word for the opposite of "wonk" then to describe politicians like Trump, who seems to think the minutiae of policy are for losers.

o. nate, Saturday, 23 January 2016 02:59 (eight years ago) link

Latest poll shows Clinton up by 29 points in Iowa. Polls are weird.

Btw, what are the great accomplishments that Sanders has done?

Frederik B, Saturday, 23 January 2016 03:00 (eight years ago) link

he voted against the iraq war

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Saturday, 23 January 2016 03:03 (eight years ago) link

nah -- ryan being a wonk is seen (for now) as a positive because it makes him seem 'smart'

maybe he gets a pass because beard + bro lifting also makes him 'charismatic'?

mookieproof, Saturday, 23 January 2016 03:03 (eight years ago) link

Latest poll shows Clinton up by 29 points in Iowa. Polls are weird.

Btw, what are the great accomplishments that Sanders has done?

He pretty much spearheaded fixing the VA. You know the VA, right? Those are all the people Hill sent to Iraq. How's that?

Iago Galdston, Saturday, 23 January 2016 03:09 (eight years ago) link

i don't know much about the VA work, but i don't see why it can't be a good example. if someone devoted his life to war (a general) and was running people wouldn't question his experience to run a government

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Saturday, 23 January 2016 03:15 (eight years ago) link

Wel...

Frederik B, Saturday, 23 January 2016 03:16 (eight years ago) link

Clinton News Network. Why did I even bother? You're like the Geir Hongro of American politics

Iago Galdston, Saturday, 23 January 2016 03:26 (eight years ago) link

Yeah, it's 'lamestream media', right?

No seriously, he was head of an area when a scandal hit. There's disagreement if he fixed it quickly enough. It's hardly Obamacare...

Frederik B, Saturday, 23 January 2016 03:29 (eight years ago) link

quickly enough for what?

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Saturday, 23 January 2016 03:31 (eight years ago) link

Read the link.

Frederik B, Saturday, 23 January 2016 03:33 (eight years ago) link

http://www.skychariot.com/N90BR/SproulTCRabbitCF144.jpg

salthigh, Saturday, 23 January 2016 03:33 (eight years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CZYBjldVIAE8b0N.jpg

This is Our America

mookieproof, Saturday, 23 January 2016 03:44 (eight years ago) link

There seems to be a pretty massive double standard. Sanders get's points for voting against the iraq war, though it didn't mean a thing, but Clinton get's none for the failed health care reforms in the nineties. New York is a safe seat, but Vermont is apparently really competitive... And being a congress member is somehow better than being Secretary of State and First Lady of US and Arkansas.

Look: Hillary Clinton is the most experienced candidate. It's ridiculous to argue otherwise. She might not be a good politician, she's obviously too centrist for most of this board - including me - but stop arguing that she isn't vastly more experienced than Sanders. It's stupid.

Frederik B, Saturday, 23 January 2016 03:45 (eight years ago) link

look: there aren't that many danish nationals arguing for the establishment american democratic candidate online at 0445 local time. it's ridiculous to argue otherwise

mookieproof, Saturday, 23 January 2016 03:50 (eight years ago) link

"failed health care reforms"

she bungled this, dickweed

hunangarage, Saturday, 23 January 2016 03:52 (eight years ago) link

look: there aren't that many danish nationals arguing for the establishment american democratic candidate online at 0445 local time. it's ridiculous to argue otherwise

― mookieproof, 23. januar 2016 04:50 (2 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Sure, but what has that got to do with anything?

Man, Sanders fans are the worst.

Frederik B, Saturday, 23 January 2016 03:53 (eight years ago) link

That second sentence was in reaction to humangarbage.

Frederik B, Saturday, 23 January 2016 03:54 (eight years ago) link

i was kind of being flippant about the iraq war vote, but 'voting against the iraq war, though it didn't mean a thing" is a stupid thing to bring up while also discussing our veteran affairs

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Saturday, 23 January 2016 03:56 (eight years ago) link

There seems to be a pretty massive double standard. Sanders get's points for voting against the iraq war, though it didn't mean a thing, but Clinton get's none for the failed health care reforms in the nineties. New York is a safe seat, but Vermont is apparently really competitive... And being a congress member is somehow better than being Secretary of State and First Lady of US and Arkansas.

Look: Hillary Clinton is the most experienced candidate. It's ridiculous to argue otherwise. She might not be a good politician, she's obviously too centrist for most of this board - including me - but stop arguing that she isn't vastly more experienced than Sanders. It's stupid.

― Frederik B, Friday, January 22, 2016 10:45 PM (5 minutes ago)

saying sanders' iraq war vote means nothing is a joke, sorry. (maybe it means nothing in terms of the outcome of this election, but it...signifies something.) votes on iraq sure meant a lot in 2008.

agree though that clinton is more experienced. is experience itself a virtue? not necessarily. but i'd agree that arguing that their "experience" is comparable is not really useful

k3vin k., Saturday, 23 January 2016 03:57 (eight years ago) link

if there is a difference between signifying and meaning something then it's beyond me, but that war fucking meant something

i think Frederik might have been meaning more in terms of policy tho idk

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Saturday, 23 January 2016 04:00 (eight years ago) link

outcomes, nevermind

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Saturday, 23 January 2016 04:01 (eight years ago) link

It's great that Sanders was against the Iraq war, it's a massive plus in my book as well. But it's not a policy achievement, his vote didn't have actual consequences. He didn't stop the war. It says nothing about his policy abilities, it just says something great about his views. But so does Clinton's health care reform attempts.

Frederik B, Saturday, 23 January 2016 04:02 (eight years ago) link

Of course the consequences of Clinton's support led us to war though.

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Saturday, 23 January 2016 04:05 (eight years ago) link

There's some truth to this. I respect her chops as a policy wonk, but I'm not sure her political skills have really been proven. Her record of electoral success is basically two easy NY Senate races. Bernie has a much more impressive record of winning competitive races (and as an Independent, which is not easy in American politics).

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electoral_history_of_Bernie_Sanders

bernie sanders hasn't had to run a real election in 22 years and vermont is roughly comparable in population to portland oregon

iatee, Saturday, 23 January 2016 04:07 (eight years ago) link

It's great that Sanders was against the Iraq war, it's a massive plus in my book as well. But it's not a policy achievement, his vote didn't have actual consequences. He didn't stop the war. It says nothing about his policy abilities, it just says something great about his views. But so does Clinton's health care reform attempts.

― Frederik B, Friday, January 22, 2016 11:02 PM (9 minutes ago)

you realize that hypothetically as president he may have a slightly larger influence over these sorts of decisions

k3vin k., Saturday, 23 January 2016 04:13 (eight years ago) link

bernie sanders hasn't had to run a real election in 22 years and vermont is roughly comparable in population to portland oregon

― iatee, Friday, January 22, 2016 11:07 PM (6 minutes ago)

yet by virtually all accounts he's running a pretty great campaign so i guess it doesn't matter

k3vin k., Saturday, 23 January 2016 04:14 (eight years ago) link

Sure, but what has that got to do with anything?

Man, Sanders fans are the worst.

sure

mookieproof, Saturday, 23 January 2016 04:20 (eight years ago) link

Man, Sanders fans are the worst.

sure

― mookieproof

don't talk about my mom like that

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Saturday, 23 January 2016 04:22 (eight years ago) link

he's run a great campaign by making promises he can't keep, being the only alternative to the establishment and saying things that appeal to white primary voters w/ far from mainstream political views. so he's run 'a great campaign' just like trump has run 'a great campaign'.

iatee, Saturday, 23 January 2016 04:23 (eight years ago) link

i agree! how is hillary different

mookieproof, Saturday, 23 January 2016 04:24 (eight years ago) link

hillary isn't selling people single payer health care and free college tuition

iatee, Saturday, 23 January 2016 04:28 (eight years ago) link

school sucks don't go to class

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Saturday, 23 January 2016 04:30 (eight years ago) link

Let's return to going round and round about Trump and Cruz, shall we? This is worse than Christmas dinner

hillary isn't selling people single payer health care and free college tuition

Please refer to the Warren snippet I posted above

Iago Galdston, Saturday, 23 January 2016 04:31 (eight years ago) link

Ouch, I posted my pentimenti

Iago Galdston, Saturday, 23 January 2016 04:32 (eight years ago) link

I predict nobody will be nominated or elected president

pizza rolls are a food that exists (silby), Saturday, 23 January 2016 04:35 (eight years ago) link

iatee
Posted: January 22, 2016 at 10:28:01 PM
hillary isn't selling people single payer health care and free college tuition

Man both of those goals sure are terrible

a strawman stuffed with their collection of 12 cds (jjjusten), Saturday, 23 January 2016 04:36 (eight years ago) link

I'm looking for a democrat without ambition or hope, so your take really resonates with me.

a strawman stuffed with their collection of 12 cds (jjjusten), Saturday, 23 January 2016 04:37 (eight years ago) link

If Clinton just admitted she was going to capitulate right off the bat, that would save a bunch of people the time it took to get mad at Obama for not accomplishing as much as they hoped, so it would serve the schaudenfreude wing of the modern Democratic Party.

a strawman stuffed with their collection of 12 cds (jjjusten), Saturday, 23 January 2016 04:39 (eight years ago) link

ah yes we just need sufficient quantities of ambition and hope, that'll make all those bleak realities that exist in american politics disappear and then we can just press that free college button.

iatee, Saturday, 23 January 2016 04:43 (eight years ago) link

clinton would be better at playing w/ the gridlocked republican congress narrative

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Saturday, 23 January 2016 04:44 (eight years ago) link

Right so basically you're running the same arguments republicans use about democrats buying votes with food stamps and obamaphones. Cool.

a strawman stuffed with their collection of 12 cds (jjjusten), Saturday, 23 January 2016 04:45 (eight years ago) link

i think almost every single narrative i see on tv is bullshit

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Saturday, 23 January 2016 04:46 (eight years ago) link

that'll make all those bleak realities that exist in american politics disappear

no. you're right. these will only disappear as soon as we give up and do nothing about them.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Saturday, 23 January 2016 04:54 (eight years ago) link

everyone itt needs 2 chill out

ecclesiastes nutz (m bison), Saturday, 23 January 2016 04:57 (eight years ago) link

I'm kinda surprised that the whole single payer healthcare is such a kryptonite issue in a way, considering that the current system of healthcare is considered a total lag on US corporations that have to fit the bill for their employees. You might think that getting that whole expense out of their wheelhouse (that Nixon wanted to do back in '72) and back on the taxpayers would be considered a good thing. I read an article a few years back that it was considered a 8-12% lag on competitive pricing on US product exports in certain industries.

If it was me, I'd sell 'free college' in a way to get people into more engineering, mathematics, computer science or education degrees. That way it would be sold in a way that corps. are going to profit from the results. But what do I know...

earlnash, Saturday, 23 January 2016 05:25 (eight years ago) link

the earth's core is the limit for how low this thread can go

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 23 January 2016 09:35 (eight years ago) link

nothing has stuck to the teflon don yet so who knows but thought this was a pretty effective superpac ad - http://youtu.be/rcUCLwWCihE

balls, Saturday, 23 January 2016 15:15 (eight years ago) link

Sanders soon figured out that he and almost all other Congress members had been tricked into providing a blank check for the marketing of bogus collateralized debt obligations and credit default swaps made legal by the legislation, of which a key author was Gary Gensler, the former Goldman Sachs partner recruited by Clinton to be undersecretary of the treasury.

Eight years later, when President Obama nominated Gensler to head the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, it was Sanders who put a temporary hold on the nomination, stating: “Mr. Gensler worked with Sen. Phil Gramm and [former U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman] Alan Greenspan to exempt credit default swaps from regulation, which led to the collapse of AIG and has resulted in the largest taxpayer bailout in U.S. history.”

^^ I remember this, and contra Frederik I'm happy with a senator who says nay.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 23 January 2016 16:08 (eight years ago) link

that ad almost makes me like trump

akm, Saturday, 23 January 2016 16:15 (eight years ago) link

I was gonna say, where's the abortion-loving / universal healthcare touting / complimenting women on their actual skills Trump now?

the naive cockney chorus (Simon H.), Saturday, 23 January 2016 16:21 (eight years ago) link

that ad almost makes me like trump
― akm, Saturday, January 23, 2016 10:15 AM (30 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

global tetrahedron, Saturday, 23 January 2016 16:47 (eight years ago) link

is the ad supposed to be slanderous because it exposes his incoherence, or because it's bad to believe the things he says in the video (which are all mostly rational things)? probably both

global tetrahedron, Saturday, 23 January 2016 16:51 (eight years ago) link

incoherence as in inconsistency/flip flopping/etc

global tetrahedron, Saturday, 23 January 2016 16:51 (eight years ago) link

awesome indeed

service desk hardman (El Tomboto), Saturday, 23 January 2016 17:56 (eight years ago) link

welp. waiting on the veracity but still

https://twitter.com/jjsimonCNN/status/690965417175560192

global tetrahedron, Saturday, 23 January 2016 19:08 (eight years ago) link

he just posted a slightly different "corrected" version of the quote:

"I could stand in the middle of 5th Avenue and shoot somebody and I wouldn’t lose voters." -- Donald J. Trump

Karl Malone, Saturday, 23 January 2016 19:12 (eight years ago) link

jfc

global tetrahedron, Saturday, 23 January 2016 19:14 (eight years ago) link

The man has a talent for saying things.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Saturday, 23 January 2016 19:14 (eight years ago) link

i "like" how the audience chuckles approvingly

rmde bob (will), Saturday, 23 January 2016 19:14 (eight years ago) link

also for your consideration:

http://forward.com/opinion/331449/that-time-donald-trump-retweeted-nazis/

the 'major tom guy' (sleeve), Saturday, 23 January 2016 19:15 (eight years ago) link

And being a congress member is somehow better than being Secretary of State and First Lady of US and Arkansas.

Look: Hillary Clinton is the most experienced candidate. It's ridiculous to argue otherwise. She might not be a good politician, she's obviously too centrist for most of this board - including me - but stop arguing that she isn't vastly more experienced than Sanders. It's stupid.

― Frederik B, Friday, January 22, 2016 10:45 PM (5 minutes ago)

it'd be more accurate to say that clinton has executive branch experience and sanders doesn't.

fyi "first lady" is not actually a political office, so yes being a longstanding member of congress is more impressive than that.

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Saturday, 23 January 2016 19:35 (eight years ago) link

And being a congress member is somehow better than being Secretary of State and First Lady of US and Arkansas.

tell us more about the way it works here

rmde bob (will), Saturday, 23 January 2016 19:48 (eight years ago) link

'member of congress in a safe seat who always gets to vote his conscience (except on guns) cause you're only accountable to a couple hundred thousand people in a weird state and they like you' is a super sweet gig but it prepares someone for presidency about as much as idk, separating conjoined twins or having a pizza empire

iatee, Saturday, 23 January 2016 20:01 (eight years ago) link

i don't want anyone who's 'prepared' in the bombcrazy GoldmanSachs fuckway HRC is

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 23 January 2016 20:02 (eight years ago) link

also plz shoot Bloomberg into space, somebody

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 23 January 2016 20:03 (eight years ago) link

That Trump quote about 5th Avenue is his most perfect A Face in the Crowd moment yet--that's pretty much Andy Griffith when the mic is surreptitiously turned on. The only difference is that Trump knows the mic is on. He's more Lonesome Rhodes than Lonesome Rhodes.

clemenza, Saturday, 23 January 2016 20:04 (eight years ago) link

oh awesome - http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/24/nyregion/bloomberg-sensing-an-opening-revisits-a-potential-white-house-run.html🔗

He ain't running. Unless he's going to pull a Buchanan (wink wink)

Iago Galdston, Saturday, 23 January 2016 20:08 (eight years ago) link

having a pizza empire

I don't know, with every passing year I'm thinking this may be the top POTUS qualification.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 23 January 2016 20:28 (eight years ago) link

The Trump quote with another half-minute of context:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iTACH1eVIaA

The context will get him off the hook, but I'm not sure he doesn't end up saying the opposite of what he pretends to be saying anyway.

clemenza, Saturday, 23 January 2016 20:35 (eight years ago) link

From that article, it sounds like Bloomberg is getting ready so that he can jump in if it looks like Sanders will be the nominee. That's the only way I can imagine him running.

o. nate, Saturday, 23 January 2016 20:56 (eight years ago) link

"btw, cruz...soft"

ew

hunangarage, Saturday, 23 January 2016 21:04 (eight years ago) link

From that article, it sounds like Bloomberg is getting ready so that he can jump in if it looks like Sanders will be the nominee. That's the only way I can imagine him running.

I'm serious. Why do you think he goes to Bermuda every weekend? He likes young Latino men

Iago Galdston, Saturday, 23 January 2016 21:12 (eight years ago) link

honestly don't see how that Trump quip could lose him any supporters, it's nothing revelatory or shocking, quite par for the course really given his usual rhetoric. and also otm, he is invincible.

hi-nrg candidate (crüt), Saturday, 23 January 2016 23:57 (eight years ago) link

the trump campaign sort of reminds me of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antifragility

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Sunday, 24 January 2016 00:04 (eight years ago) link

as another good example of how people are good at coming up with new terms for old shit and getting excessive attention for it?

service desk hardman (El Tomboto), Sunday, 24 January 2016 00:21 (eight years ago) link

hahaha

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Sunday, 24 January 2016 00:25 (eight years ago) link

http://pbs.twimg.com/media/CZcdH_tWIAA0Ifq.jpg

balls, Sunday, 24 January 2016 00:40 (eight years ago) link

"realize isis is bad"

nice

global tetrahedron, Sunday, 24 January 2016 01:18 (eight years ago) link

the little heart with wings at the bottom kills me

nomar, Sunday, 24 January 2016 01:21 (eight years ago) link

or is it a heart being nosed from either side by a pair of hedgehogs?

nomar, Sunday, 24 January 2016 01:22 (eight years ago) link

i think they're mustaches

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Sunday, 24 January 2016 01:28 (eight years ago) link

This Bloomberg move is the scummiest thing yet in an already awful and tainted primary. Anyone on the democrat side who applauds this should be deeply ashamed.

a strawman stuffed with their collection of 12 cds (jjjusten), Sunday, 24 January 2016 05:10 (eight years ago) link

He won't do it. Unless capitalism has to be saved.

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 24 January 2016 07:26 (eight years ago) link

Going home last night, caught the Buffalo signal for Hannity's show. He had Ann Coulter on. Two things she said: "Hispanics love Donald Trump" (emphasis hers) and "Everyone in New York loves Donald Trump" (no emphasis, but "everyone" was the word). That's quite a break with reality.

clemenza, Sunday, 24 January 2016 14:30 (eight years ago) link

imagine that

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 24 January 2016 14:31 (eight years ago) link

At dinner last night some friends trotted out the "Hillary is the most accomplished" line, but couldn't site any specific accomplishments besides generally holding office and/or being Secretary of State. Inevitably the counter was an ad hominem "well, what has Sanders accomplished?" question, but I don't think even his supporters walk around calling him particularly accomplished.

What a terrible election. What I just can't get is how people in a city with Rahm as mayor can't recognize Hillary as a similarly terrible or untrustworthy person, or at least similarly, deceptively right-leaning. It's not just that I don't trust her to pursue a progressive agenda, I'm not sure how much I trust her to successfully maintain the status quo. Or, for that matter, get out the vote.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 24 January 2016 16:04 (eight years ago) link

who the hell cares if a former business man turned mayor wants to run for president

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Sunday, 24 January 2016 17:10 (eight years ago) link

how is everyone making a big deal about experience going to feel about a guy who...was a mayor of a city

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Sunday, 24 January 2016 17:14 (eight years ago) link

If I were a former businessman turned mayor, I'd probably run for president too

Karl Malone, Sunday, 24 January 2016 17:15 (eight years ago) link

a vox article about how many mayors were former businessmen: probably about 75%

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Sunday, 24 January 2016 17:17 (eight years ago) link

Watching Sanders a couple of times this morning, he's got one really good answer and one terrible non-answer. I don't think Bloomberg will ever run, but asked how a Trump/Sanders/Bloomberg election would go, he answered exactly as he should: it'd be him against two obscenely rich guys, and he'd be okay with that. But asked about Ta-Nehisi Coates and reparations, he avoids the question altogether. I don't want to wade into that myself, but he has to--he has to explain himself.

clemenza, Sunday, 24 January 2016 17:20 (eight years ago) link

nyc has a larger population than like half the countries on the planet so I mean 'mayor of a city' sure...

iatee, Sunday, 24 January 2016 17:22 (eight years ago) link

Mayor of New York City probably a more relevant previous job than senior senator from Vermont

pizza rolls are a food that exists (silby), Sunday, 24 January 2016 17:41 (eight years ago) link

because nyc is a big city?

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Sunday, 24 January 2016 17:49 (eight years ago) link

yes, please shut up

k3vin k., Sunday, 24 January 2016 18:03 (eight years ago) link

This jamming of Sanders on reparations is so disingenuous. Has anyone asked Queen Hillary how she feels about it?

Iago Galdston, Sunday, 24 January 2016 18:13 (eight years ago) link

Yes, that's exactly the defense that is needed, that's what he should say.

Frederik B, Sunday, 24 January 2016 18:14 (eight years ago) link

Good god this thread is on a loop now

Οὖτις, Sunday, 24 January 2016 18:14 (eight years ago) link

Well at least we're nearing the end, no?

Frederik B, Sunday, 24 January 2016 18:15 (eight years ago) link

No, the beginning.

pizza rolls are a food that exists (silby), Sunday, 24 January 2016 18:20 (eight years ago) link

what Churchill called the end of the beginning. My end comes in 2050 when rising seas take out Aventura and North Miami.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 24 January 2016 18:23 (eight years ago) link

Here's the Conyers bill. I don't see why a candidate like Sanders couldn't come out in favor of the bill in lieu of specifics yet about what reparations might look like.

https://www.govtrack.us/congress/bills/114/hr40

timellison, Sunday, 24 January 2016 18:26 (eight years ago) link

i see why

karla jay vespers, Sunday, 24 January 2016 18:31 (eight years ago) link

Well at least we're nearing the end, no?

No, but once there has been an actual primary with voting results (NH), perhaps someone could start a Part 3 to this thread.

Here's the Conyers bill.

Although a commission authorized by Congress would carry a somewhat greater weight of authority, the quality of the recommendations will be all that matters. In which case, any organization or foundation could sponsor a commission, find suitably qualified people to serve and come up with a set of findings and recommendations, even if the Conyers bill languishes under Republican control (which, realistically, it will).

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Sunday, 24 January 2016 18:46 (eight years ago) link

A commission authorized by Congress would be an unprecedented legitimization of the argument for reparations, even if none of the recommendations ever came to anything.
A commission by a think tank or other NGO would be a meaningless trifle, even if it were co-authored by CATO, Heritage, ACLU, AFL-CIO, Brookings, AEI, ThinkProgress and the Chamber all singing in harmony.

service desk hardman (El Tomboto), Sunday, 24 January 2016 18:52 (eight years ago) link

A commission co-authored by CATO, Heritage, ACLU, AFL-CIO, Brookings, AEI, ThinkProgress and the Chamber all singing in harmony would be anything but a meaningless trifle. It would be a political miracle. But I understand your point.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Sunday, 24 January 2016 18:59 (eight years ago) link

Sanders didn't totally avoid the question on reparations; he said that his position is the same as Obama's and the same as Hillary's, which is that we need to focus on fixing the future (with the implication that reparations = rehashing the past, which honestly is something close to what Obama has said about a lot of things in the past, and is fairly standard "mistakes were made"/"if we stop swimming we die" politician rhetoric).

the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Sunday, 24 January 2016 19:19 (eight years ago) link

the idea that being from a "weird state" without enough people disqualifies you from seeking the presidency is one of the more repulsive and undemocratic ideas i've seen voiced around here

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Sunday, 24 January 2016 19:25 (eight years ago) link

The idea that anyone has said that on here is one of the weirder claims in this thread.

Frederik B, Sunday, 24 January 2016 19:27 (eight years ago) link

(xxpost) I agree that you could infer all of that into his answer, but that's where he left it, inference: "My reasons are the same as Obama and Clinton," followed by a general discourse on economic opportunity that never mentioned what the reasons were. I'm not saying anything about the validity of his position one way or the other, I just think he'd come across a lot better by simply explaining himself clearly (and regardless of whether the same explanation is demanded of Obama and Clinton).

clemenza, Sunday, 24 January 2016 19:32 (eight years ago) link

'member of congress in a safe seat who always gets to vote his conscience (except on guns) cause you're only accountable to a couple hundred thousand people in a weird state and they like you' is a super sweet gig but it prepares someone for presidency about as much as idk, separating conjoined twins or having a pizza empire

― iatee, Saturday, January 23, 2016 8:01 PM (Yesterday)

Mayor of New York City probably a more relevant previous job than senior senator from Vermont

― pizza rolls are a food that exists (silby), Sunday, January 24, 2016 5:41 PM (1 hour ago)

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Sunday, 24 January 2016 19:36 (eight years ago) link

I didn't claim that was disqualifying! The idea of "qualifying" for the presidency is inane anyway.

pizza rolls are a food that exists (silby), Sunday, 24 January 2016 19:37 (eight years ago) link

ok fair enough, scratch the second post

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Sunday, 24 January 2016 19:39 (eight years ago) link

The first quote doesn't talk about disqualifying either. Just says it doesn't prepare you either.

Frederik B, Sunday, 24 January 2016 19:40 (eight years ago) link

the idea that being from a "weird state" without enough people disqualifies you from seeking the presidency is one of the more repulsive and undemocratic ideas i've seen voiced around here

vermont is a tiny and overwhelmingly white state that went for obama by a 36% margin last election. it is not 'weird' because it is filled w/ weird people, it is weird because its politics are pretty far out of line with national politics. and fwiw the same is true for nyc. sanders can say 'I have decided...I am a socialist' and bloomberg can say 'guns, cars and soda are literally the worst things in the universe' and both guys can stay elected. in vermont and nyc.

iatee, Sunday, 24 January 2016 19:41 (eight years ago) link

http://bitterempire.com/presidential-candidates-ranked-usefulness-bar-fight/

OK, sure. Whatever. Much like the Republican race, Rubio is ranked this high because he seems to be in reasonably good health and everyone else in the fray is so screamingly awful.

service desk hardman (El Tomboto), Sunday, 24 January 2016 22:12 (eight years ago) link

http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B01AX111Q2

ulysses, Sunday, 24 January 2016 23:56 (eight years ago) link

File Size: 1095 KB
Print Length: 10 pages
Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #288 Paid in Kindle Store (See Top 100 Paid in Kindle Store)
#1 in Books > Gay & Lesbian > Literature & Fiction > Erotica > Gay
#1 in Kindle Store > Kindle eBooks > Literature & Fiction > Erotica > Humorous
#1 in Kindle Store > Kindle eBooks > Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual & Transgender eBooks > Erotica > Gay

ulysses, Sunday, 24 January 2016 23:57 (eight years ago) link

perhaps throwing hundreds in jail without charge at protests of the Republican convention and ramping up stop-and-frisk should disqualify Bloomfuck.

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Monday, 25 January 2016 00:56 (eight years ago) link

And he's gay, right?

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 25 January 2016 01:01 (eight years ago) link

In the words of Buddy Cole, "No... I just don't want him to be."

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Monday, 25 January 2016 01:04 (eight years ago) link

Lol

Οὖτις, Monday, 25 January 2016 02:27 (eight years ago) link

laugh, turn

https://vimeo.com/152786370

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Monday, 25 January 2016 08:12 (eight years ago) link

Ta-nehisi Coates keeps the fire on: http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/01/bernie-sanders-liberal-imagination/425022/

It has really hit a nerve, I think. Sanders' response on Meet the Press was weak, but one thing was more just sad and frightening. When he began talking about how the solution was getting people involved, making congress represent the working families, lifting the percentage of people voting, especially young people. It's populism, basically. That makes the whole thing about it being 'divisive' so much clearer, and so much worse. It's white populism, plain and simple.

Also, my tl is filled with activists complaining about his followers today. Nettaaaaaa retweeted this, which really hits the nail on the head:

Vann R. Newkirk II ‏@fivefifths 2h2 hours ago
I get more trolls and racially meh shit here when offering mild critiques of Bernie than I do for ever saying anything about say, Trump.
Vann R. Newkirk II ‏@fivefifths 2h2 hours ago
This is a point I've belabored enough, but this is a problem. A real problem.
Vann R. Newkirk II ‏@fivefifths 2h2 hours ago
And let's save the "Bernie isn't his supporters" stuff. Do we apply the same logic when a Tea Party candidate's fans call Obama epithets?

But some feminists has been complaining also, and not just about responses. Just about how so many mansplainers for instance seems to #FeeltheBern. It really is a problem.

Frederik B, Monday, 25 January 2016 14:04 (eight years ago) link

i for one am concerned

k3vin k., Monday, 25 January 2016 14:52 (eight years ago) link

i think coates' best pt there is that if you believe sanders' candidacy is about pushing the democratic party to the left more than 'electability' why is that true for everything except race/reparations?

Mordy, Monday, 25 January 2016 15:02 (eight years ago) link

The thing I find the most irritating is when white acquaintances post pictures of Bernie and Killer Mike all over their timelines with captions that amount to "See, black people? See? #FeelTheBern"

Position-wise, both Sanders and Clinton strongly represent my interests. I literally do not care which one of them gets the nomination; I will vote for either of them. I am tuning out of most of the wrangling because all it's really doing is making me hate and despise the people who support them, a significant subsection of which don't seem to realize that they are racist monsters.

its subtle brume (DJP), Monday, 25 January 2016 15:08 (eight years ago) link

i'm glad that bernie's in the race, some of the (to be generous) awkwardness w/ identity politics in his part i chalk up to being from a tiny overwhelmingly white state where he barely ever had to run a competitive race as well as obv generation gap so it's easy to forgive (for me, a straight white male). not so easy to forgive his followers who were tweeting some really awful stuff at coates over the weekend. i'm voting for whoever, if bernie's still competitive after south carolina (define that as wins iowa and new hampshire and holds his own in sc) i'll probably vote bernie, if not i'll vote hillary. if you were being charitable you could say that talk of bloomberg is related to concern over an anti-gun control candidate winning the dem nod but c'mon that isn't why he might run. in a weird way i like these threats of petulant third party runs from third way types, that the landscape has changed enough that bloombergs would be reduced to a nader spoiler role (to an extent you can add the talk of a weekly standard/nro candidate running independent as well)(this was floated as likely by bill kristol so obv has no shot of actually happening). fuckers are annoyed, maybe even scared.

balls, Monday, 25 January 2016 16:09 (eight years ago) link

lol

A prominent aide to George W. Bush's 2000 campaign could barely contain himself when we asked him to discuss Cruz, who worked in the campaign's policy shop. This person described Cruz as hyper-arrogant and widely despised, and he emphasized—over and over—that the pervasive dislike of Cruz within the Bush ranks had nothing to do with ideology. (Cruz, he noted, never objected to Bush's call for compassionate conservatism, immigration reform, and national education standards, and no one on the campaign regarded him as an ideologue.) The problem was simple: his personality.

"Ted thought he was an expert on everything," says this campaign veteran, who asked not to be named. "He was a smart and talented guy, but completely taken with himself and his own ideas. He would offer up opinions on everything, even matters outside his portfolio. He was a policy guy, but he would push his ideas on campaign strategy. He would send memos on everything to everyone. He would come to meetings where he wasn't invited—and wasn't wanted." In fact, this Bush alum recalls, "the quickest way for a meeting to end would be for Ted to come in. People would want out of that meeting. People wouldn't go to a meeting if they knew he would be there. It was his inability to be part of the team. That's exactly what he was: a big asshole."

The Bush vet goes on: "I don't know anyone who had a decent relationship with Cruz." And when Bush became president, his top campaign aides agreed Cruz should not be offered a job in the White House. "No one wanted to work with him," this source remembers. "George W. Bush couldn't stand the guy."

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 25 January 2016 16:09 (eight years ago) link

It's actually kind of amazing that someone as widely despised as Cruz is electable even at the state-wide level.

One bad call from barely losing to (Alex in SF), Monday, 25 January 2016 16:13 (eight years ago) link

the reaction from various gop congressmen, other gop candidates, seemingly everyone who has met the man over the weekend on twitter when new numbers came out showing some collapse in his support in iowa was hilarious. EVERYBODY hates that guy.

balls, Monday, 25 January 2016 16:13 (eight years ago) link

I get more trolls and racially meh shit here when offering mild critiques of Bernie than I do for ever saying anything about say, Trump.

this is cuz Trump supporters don't read you/know who you are duh

Οὖτις, Monday, 25 January 2016 16:15 (eight years ago) link

It's actually kind of amazing that someone as widely despised as Cruz is electable even at the state-wide level.

Yeah, but think of the state.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 25 January 2016 16:17 (eight years ago) link

glass houses, you ppl elected renowned biggest asshole alive rahm twice

balls, Monday, 25 January 2016 16:18 (eight years ago) link

I think Chicagoans were just confused because it'd been so long since they had a choice.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 25 January 2016 16:20 (eight years ago) link

EVERYBODY hates that guy.

That comes through loud and clear in everything I see. Cruz of course it trying to make this a positive--everyone hates him because he can't be bought, wants to shake things up, etc. Waiting for a reporter to say to him, "Plus you're really creepy, no?"

clemenza, Monday, 25 January 2016 16:23 (eight years ago) link

Let's put Trump, Cruz, and Bush in a burlap sack and throw it in the sea

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 25 January 2016 16:32 (eight years ago) link

Trump and Bush would perish but we all know Cruz would chew his way out.

evol j, Monday, 25 January 2016 16:35 (eight years ago) link

The hatred for Cruz is pretty impressive in its consistency.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nOeNZ1HtimE

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 25 January 2016 16:42 (eight years ago) link

even the new republic lol

balls, Monday, 25 January 2016 16:47 (eight years ago) link

my favorite twitchy memory of cruz was his freshman roommate saying "i would rather pick a president out of the phone book"

denies the existence of dark matter (difficult listening hour), Monday, 25 January 2016 16:49 (eight years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vt-vG_TdOT4

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 25 January 2016 16:54 (eight years ago) link

He looks like Earth-3 Richard Gere.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 25 January 2016 16:54 (eight years ago) link

@ggreenwald
What @tanehisicoates's critique proves is that Sanders isn't nearly as radical as many people believe and/or claim

Also, there is nothing in @tanehisicoates's Sanders critique that glorifies Clinton & much that does the opposite

Coates:

What candidates name themselves is generally believed to be important. Many Sanders supporters, for instance, correctly point out that Clinton handprints are all over America’s sprawling carceral state. I agree with them and have said so at length. Voters, and black voters particularly, should never forget that Bill Clinton passed arguably the most immoral “anti-crime” bill in American history, and that Hillary Clinton aided its passage through her invocation of the super-predator myth. A defense of Clinton rooted in the claim that “Jeb Bush held the same position” would not be exculpatory. (“Law and order conservative embraces law and order” would surprise no one.) That is because the anger over the Clintons’ actions isn’t simply based on their having been wrong, but on their craven embrace of law and order Republicanism in the Democratic Party’s name.

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Monday, 25 January 2016 16:56 (eight years ago) link

Coates' "super-predator myth" link to Hil '96.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ALXulk0T8cg

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Monday, 25 January 2016 17:00 (eight years ago) link

The thing I find the most irritating is when white acquaintances post pictures of Bernie and Killer Mike all over their timelines with captions that amount to "See, black people? See? #FeelTheBern"

it's always good to remember that killer mike is a proud NRA member who's supported ron paul in the past

k3vin k., Monday, 25 January 2016 17:22 (eight years ago) link

LOVE Hillary's hair in that clip xpost

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 25 January 2016 17:25 (eight years ago) link

on the substance like a laser, always

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Monday, 25 January 2016 17:25 (eight years ago) link

*Reagan-esque head toss*

"Well..."

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 25 January 2016 17:28 (eight years ago) link

this time i had the same reaction

denies the existence of dark matter (difficult listening hour), Monday, 25 January 2016 17:36 (eight years ago) link

lol killer mike has actually specifically referenced sanders' anti-gun control stance as a big part of why he supports him. the sanders supporters i know going crazy over killer mike's endorsement got was a little embarrassing, it probably has less impact than demi lovato supporting hillary and signifies less than future and jeezy hanging w/ cam newton yesterday.

balls, Monday, 25 January 2016 17:39 (eight years ago) link

there are plenty of eyerolls to be had over Bernie Sanders & Killer Mike but it was awesome to see a serious candidate for presidential nomination begin a speech with "Killer Mike is a great rapper"

hi-nrg candidate (crüt), Monday, 25 January 2016 17:53 (eight years ago) link

"this november clinton-gore are automatic for the people and bush and quayle are gonna be out of time!"

balls, Monday, 25 January 2016 17:58 (eight years ago) link

this november clinton-gore are automatic for the people and bush and quayle are gonna be out of time!"

― balls, Monday, January 25, 2016

"And Trump is a monster!"

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 25 January 2016 18:01 (eight years ago) link

lol

balls, Monday, 25 January 2016 18:06 (eight years ago) link

first candidate to stop in whatever town dishwalla were from and awkwardly work in dishwalla references into their stump speech gets my vote

balls, Monday, 25 January 2016 18:08 (eight years ago) link

there's yr opening rand

balls, Monday, 25 January 2016 18:09 (eight years ago) link

i'm thinking it's gonna be Rubio. they're from Santa Barbara, he'll be driving up from Anaheim and it'll hit him. "so we were stuck in traffic on the 101 this morning and while i was COUNTING BLUE CARS to pass the time...i thought about what CHARLIE BROWN'S PARENTS would think of today's america!"

nomar, Monday, 25 January 2016 18:12 (eight years ago) link

*trombone voice*

Οὖτις, Monday, 25 January 2016 18:17 (eight years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iZlbmB6fpYs

nomar, Monday, 25 January 2016 18:20 (eight years ago) link

this all scans very heavily as "the system is weighted far too heavily towards rich white people and we need to fix it so that poor white people have a chance, too"

its subtle brume (DJP), Monday, 25 January 2016 19:14 (eight years ago) link

my 6th grade teacher was like friends w/ dishwalla and had pictures of her in front of the class

iatee, Monday, 25 January 2016 19:16 (eight years ago) link

'her w/ them'

iatee, Monday, 25 January 2016 19:18 (eight years ago) link

I do think it's sad/funny that of all the unachievable things Bernie is willing to advocate, this is apparently a bridge too far. It's like a stupid trap that's been set for Sanders re: his electoral prospects w minorities (in this case, specifically the African American community) and he walked right into it.

Οὖτις, Monday, 25 January 2016 19:20 (eight years ago) link

i honestly would be surprised if bernie's position on reparations meant a damn in one direction or another. it's such a foreign concept, even to democratic primary voters

k3vin k., Monday, 25 January 2016 19:25 (eight years ago) link

it's not a foreign concept to black people - ie, people whose votes he's gonna need

Οὖτις, Monday, 25 January 2016 19:27 (eight years ago) link

but yeah this is probably a minor issue, a sideshow

Οὖτις, Monday, 25 January 2016 19:28 (eight years ago) link

it's not a foreign concept to black people - ie, people whose votes he's gonna need

It's also not a majority POV among black people, though, is it?

the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Monday, 25 January 2016 19:36 (eight years ago) link

the most commonly cited poll says it is

k3vin k., Monday, 25 January 2016 19:39 (eight years ago) link

given everything that's been handed to black people by our society over the centuries, this seems more like resignation than agreement

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Monday, 25 January 2016 19:42 (eight years ago) link

Saw who that Atlantic article was written by and immediately decided not to waste my time.

One bad call from barely losing to (Alex in SF), Monday, 25 January 2016 19:53 (eight years ago) link

the thing about sanders' policy proposals is that like 95% of them are basically black issues already - not sure why reparations is supposed to be a deal-breaker

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Monday, 25 January 2016 20:17 (eight years ago) link

I don't consider it a dealbreaker personally, just politically it's a dumb mistake for him to make, it's just insulting to African Americans. And what would he lose by endorsing reparations? Maybe he is afraid of antagonizing the white racists in his base? Would endorsing Conyers' bill be a step dealbreaker for *them*?

Οὖτις, Monday, 25 January 2016 20:19 (eight years ago) link

ste]

Οὖτις, Monday, 25 January 2016 20:20 (eight years ago) link

you still have to get a few white people to vote for you if you want to become president

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/inlineimage/2014-06-02/reparations7.jpg

iatee, Monday, 25 January 2016 20:22 (eight years ago) link

do you the government indeed

Οὖτις, Monday, 25 January 2016 20:23 (eight years ago) link

Do you the government should or should not offer

xp

hi-nrg candidate (crüt), Monday, 25 January 2016 20:23 (eight years ago) link

That was my thought on Sanders and reparations, and why he needs to explain his opposition. 1) If he's serious about winning the nomination, he'll need a much larger percentage of African-American support than what he has now; 2) his reasons may or may not be acceptable (or acceptable enough) to African-Americans, but I can't see that ducking the question altogether with a "Me too" will be (if he's being held to a higher standard than Clinton or Obama, that goes with being lesser known); 3) I think it would give pause to white voters who are wavering too, who like him and like his forthrightness about other matters but aren't sure if he can win--if he undermines the forthrightness, I would think that'd be a problem.

clemenza, Monday, 25 January 2016 20:24 (eight years ago) link

we paid reparations to Japanese Americans, that seemed to go okay

xp

Οὖτις, Monday, 25 January 2016 20:24 (eight years ago) link

http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/druglegalization2.png

he would be slightly better off pushing for legal heroin

iatee, Monday, 25 January 2016 20:25 (eight years ago) link

wayyy better off if he made his whole campaign about peyote

iatee, Monday, 25 January 2016 20:25 (eight years ago) link

lots of labor- and left-liberals are still really uncomfortable with the idea of redistribution along racial or "non-universal" lines, thinking that remedies built along straight class lines will capture all racialized damages -- coates's writing explicitly argues against this idea. i think it's likely that as a mid-century socialist the idea is personally sort of distasteful to sanders, but that's a guess.

beyond that i do think reparations is one of those ideas that is still way too radical for the general as well.

goole, Monday, 25 January 2016 20:28 (eight years ago) link

Sanders is so far from the general with virtually all of his positions idk why that should matter for this specific issue and not for, like, every other issue he has an opinion on

Οὖτις, Monday, 25 January 2016 20:35 (eight years ago) link

if history is any guide, when robots take away all our jobs the general population still won't get behind the idea of a minimum guaranteed income as being "too radical", unless there's some way to exclude non-whites as 'undeserving'

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Monday, 25 January 2016 20:36 (eight years ago) link

I don't think Sanders takes his positions based on how weird and radical they are

hi-nrg candidate (crüt), Monday, 25 January 2016 20:36 (eight years ago) link

The fact of the matter is, none of the candidates we currently have as viable choices for President are going to do jack shit about racism; everyone already knows this, reparations conversation or not. I assume that the Democrats will not intentionally attempt to make things worse as a matter of baseline policy but that's no guarantee given their positions.

its subtle brume (DJP), Monday, 25 January 2016 20:45 (eight years ago) link

I don't consider it a dealbreaker personally, just politically it's a dumb mistake for him to make, it's just insulting to African Americans. And what would he lose by endorsing reparations? Maybe he is afraid of antagonizing the white racists in his base? Would endorsing Conyers' bill be a step dealbreaker for *them*?

― Οὖτις, Monday, January 25, 2016 3:19 PM (21 minutes ago)

i highly doubt it's a politically bad move, honestly, at least before iowa. if bernie says he supports reparations then mainstream media talks about nothing but "socialist candidate sanders supports giving black people your money" and it probably hurts him overall. he gives the answer he gives and he gets some flak from TNC and some people on twitter, but the story is not getting a lot of mainstream attention and certainly hasn't hurt him in iowa

all of this is kind of odious to talk about obviously because the right thing to do would just be to come out in support of it

k3vin k., Monday, 25 January 2016 20:47 (eight years ago) link

who was the last president who did something about racism? LBJ? I'm not sure that's within the purview of one individual, not even re institutional racism.

was shortening the length of mandatory sentences for drug possession "something"? Obama and Congress did that.

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Monday, 25 January 2016 20:53 (eight years ago) link

Re: "Sanders is so far from the general with virtually all of his positions"

NOT TRUE!

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/06/12/bernie-sanders-says-americans-back-his-agenda-and-hes-mostly-right/

schwantz, Monday, 25 January 2016 21:04 (eight years ago) link

The fact of the matter is, none of the candidates we currently have as viable choices for President are going to do jack shit about racism; everyone already knows this, reparations conversation or not. I assume that the Democrats will not intentionally attempt to make things worse as a matter of baseline policy but that's no guarantee given their positions.

The next POTUS is going to be in a position to change the swing vote on the Supreme Court and possibly even more; this will have a profound influence on rulings going forward regarding voting rights, at the very least.

Voting rights rulings have a potential to affect how the next census affects the House after 2020; and that is quite likely the biggest of deals when it comes to how this country reckons with racism in our lifetime.

service desk hardman (El Tomboto), Monday, 25 January 2016 21:11 (eight years ago) link

shoutout to nomar for knowing the dishwalla catalog so thoroughly

balls, Monday, 25 January 2016 21:25 (eight years ago) link

I'm not denying the importance of SCOTUS but every prez of the last hundred years except poor can't-catch-a-break Jimmah Carter got to change the Court. Who's the oldest -- Nino? Yeah, he'd have to die in his seat and I'd still insist on sticking him with a pin.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 25 January 2016 21:31 (eight years ago) link

FWIW the fact that there is a discussion, not just here but in the media (ok vox, the atlantic, some blogs) about a potential Democratic nominee's position on reparations, raising awareness of an actual HR bill about the study of reparations, and said discussion is well beyond "oh BLM is crazy, look at these crazy BLM people" and on into "TNC's not actually OTT at all" territory, is all a sign that some things are quite likely to change in the next administration - probably a lot more likely that we do some substantial things about white supremacy than anything about guns, in fact.

service desk hardman (El Tomboto), Monday, 25 January 2016 21:34 (eight years ago) link

when was the last time a justice left while the president was from the opposite party?

Check Yr Scrobbles (Moodles), Monday, 25 January 2016 21:34 (eight years ago) link

Harry Blackmun probably.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 25 January 2016 21:36 (eight years ago) link

or John Paul Stevens! Better answeer

"opposite party from the president who appointed him" that is. Until the Reaganites, SCOTUS justices routinely disappointed their appointers.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 25 January 2016 21:37 (eight years ago) link

55, 60, 61, 65, 67, 77, 79, 79, 82.

Yeah all those people are definitely going to be hanging around for the next half decade

service desk hardman (El Tomboto), Monday, 25 January 2016 21:38 (eight years ago) link

Ginsberg will retire when Sanders or Clinton's elected for sure.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 25 January 2016 21:39 (eight years ago) link

yeah i think so too

k3vin k., Monday, 25 January 2016 21:45 (eight years ago) link

Who can find the betting odds on Reagan's dudes working through 2020? They'll be pushing 85 by then.

service desk hardman (El Tomboto), Monday, 25 January 2016 21:45 (eight years ago) link

well, they'll retire when Christie is elected.

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Monday, 25 January 2016 21:53 (eight years ago) link

Hateful 5.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 25 January 2016 22:03 (eight years ago) link

rubio polling fifth in nh!

balls, Monday, 25 January 2016 22:34 (eight years ago) link

my god those maniacs are really gonna nominate donald trump for president

balls, Monday, 25 January 2016 23:03 (eight years ago) link

They like him--they really like him.

clemenza, Monday, 25 January 2016 23:06 (eight years ago) link

roberts is so fucking young =\

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Monday, 25 January 2016 23:06 (eight years ago) link

Miller, 30

jesus

mattresslessness, Monday, 25 January 2016 23:34 (eight years ago) link

it can't be that hard to be a trump policy advisor

'keep saying whatever you want, I guess'

iatee, Monday, 25 January 2016 23:35 (eight years ago) link

"hey check out this cool thing these guys tweeted"

Οὖτις, Monday, 25 January 2016 23:38 (eight years ago) link

"oh wait they're nazis"

Οὖτις, Monday, 25 January 2016 23:38 (eight years ago) link

"eh who cares"

Οὖτις, Monday, 25 January 2016 23:38 (eight years ago) link

Long Nate Silver thing that uses a book from a few years ago (The Party Decides) to try to figure out how Trump is upending or circumventing the idea of the party falling in line:

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-republican-party-may-be-failing/

I'll again bring up something that basically no one agreed with me about four years ago--that at one point, just before Michigan, Romney was closer to blowing the nomination than anyone who believed in his iron-clad inevitability would admit. Obviously he did go on to win, and I don't expect that anyone who dismissed that idea at the time would change his mind today. But if Trump does get the nomination, maybe the Republican nomination in 2012 will at least be viewed as a transitional run-up to this one, where the inevitable winner almost got blindsided by actual voters who just didn't like him.

clemenza, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 00:21 (eight years ago) link

(Long Nate Silver ≠ Long Dong Silver.)

clemenza, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 00:23 (eight years ago) link

ha that's interesting -- both silver and the "PD" thesis are taking a bath this time around! i'll have to read that.

goole, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 00:24 (eight years ago) link

I think no matter whether Trump wins or not it could easily be argued that the tumult this time around builds on the tumult in twelve. GOP never did anything about the fundamental problems, and it became even more crazy.

Yeah, the 538-thing is pretty fun. They are kinda floundering at the site, but they're pretty open about the fact that they're floundering. Am listening to their new podcast atm.

Frederik B, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 00:32 (eight years ago) link

the inevitable winner almost got blindsided by actual voters who just didn't like him

the crazy thing is that voters of the Republican party like Trump so much. this is radically different from the GOP I grew up knowing. the past five decades have seen a nationwide sorting process where all the yahoos have deserted the Democratic Party and identify exclusively as Republicans. In the 60's on the whole the yahoos identified as democrats. Trump just puts a bright spotlight on this fact.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 00:34 (eight years ago) link

Wait was there really any chance that Romney would lose to Gingrich or Santorum??? I get that Mittens wasn't super popular but compared to those dudes he's still a winning bet.

One bad call from barely losing to (Alex in SF), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 01:28 (eight years ago) link

You'd have to reconstruct the whole timeline, but Romney seemed extremely weak up to that point. He lost Iowa, won NH, lost South Carolina, won Florida and Nevada, lost Colorado/Missouri/Minnesota, and won Maine by 2% over Ron Paul. If he'd lost Michigan, one of his two supposed home states (and where his father was popular), I honestly felt like everything might have unraveled. I don't know exactly who would have stepped in--I know, who was left?--but maybe Bush would have entered, long before he was this year's joke. I don't know. Anyway, Romney won Michigan just barely, by 3%, even though he spent a ton of money. He also won Arizona that day, and he went on from there. (With still a couple of setbacks left.)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republican_Party_presidential_primaries,_2012

clemenza, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 01:47 (eight years ago) link

Anyway, the inevitable candidate did indeed win. But all that craziness with Perry and Cain and Gingrich and Santorum does, to me, feel like a rough sketch of what's going on this year, except this time it looks like the foot is completely off the brake.

clemenza, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 01:51 (eight years ago) link

Not just off the brake, but I would posit that the entire linkage is gone, with every bolt cheerily yanked out by supporters who are the end result of 50 years of Goldwater & beyond resentment-stoking.

Just to extend the metaphor a little more.

Darkest Cosmologist junk (kingfish), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 01:56 (eight years ago) link

There's a feeling where you could have Richard Hofstatder come back after being departed for 40+ years, look around, and say, "Yep, not too suprising. Romney's kid flamed out that hard, huh?"

Darkest Cosmologist junk (kingfish), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 01:58 (eight years ago) link

ha yeah i forgot how decently Santorum did last time

rmde bob (will), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 02:02 (eight years ago) link

i sure as shit voted for him in my state's open primary

rmde bob (will), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 02:02 (eight years ago) link

You'd have to reconstruct the whole timeline, but Romney seemed extremely weak up to that point.

I won't dispute he was weak (he was ultimately a weak candidate) but I don't think there was really ever a point where it looked like there was a candidate who would step in and take the mantle of the "favorite".

One bad call from barely losing to (Alex in SF), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 02:04 (eight years ago) link

O'Malley is 100% after a cabinet position, right? He can't possibly be thinking of 2024, least of all based on his dynamic campaign this time around.

clemenza, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 03:03 (eight years ago) link

He probably could've had that without running for president and raising the profile of his mediocre record.

petulant dick master (silby), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 03:14 (eight years ago) link

what did Pitchfork award it?

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 03:15 (eight years ago) link

probably higher than his percentage of the vote

k3vin k., Tuesday, 26 January 2016 03:43 (eight years ago) link

Hillary's yelling a lot tonight. (If you don't know what I'm talking about, proceed apace.)

clemenza, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 03:50 (eight years ago) link

it doesn't matter if you're 'weak' if no one else is stronger

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 04:04 (eight years ago) link

https://media.giphy.com/media/4oZCwGRbSbzva/giphy.gif

balls, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 05:11 (eight years ago) link

so who won the town hall?

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 12:58 (eight years ago) link

i'm giving 'em all bear hugs.

hi-nrg candidate (crüt), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 13:07 (eight years ago) link

i read that Hil has been talking about her relationship with Christ in the last week, so she's reaching waaaaay down into that bag o' tricks.

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 15:17 (eight years ago) link

that was my first reaction too, but at least in the case of the town hall last night, she was asked a question about it answered it.

“I would say I am a Democrat because of my Christian values, but many of my friends would say they are Republicans because of their Christian values,” Mrs. Manning said. “So in these next few months as I am supporting you and defending you to my Republican friends,” she continued, “I am just curious, how you would say your beliefs align with the Ten Commandments and is that something that’s important to you?"

and her answer, in part:

The famous discussion on the Sermon on the Mount should be something that you really pay attention to. There’s a lot of great Bible studies: What does the Sermon on the Mount really mean? What is it calling us to do and to understand? Because it sure does seem to favor the poor and the merciful and those who in worldly terms don’t have a lot but who have the spirit that God recognizes as being at the core of love and salvation.

So there is much to be learned and I have been very disappointed and sorry that Christianity, which has such great love at its core, is sometimes used to condemn so quickly and judge so harshly. When I think part of the message that I certainly have tried to understand and live with is to look at yourself first, to make sure you are being the kind of person you should be in how you are treating others, and I am by no means a perfect person, I will certainly confess that to one and all, but I feel the continuing urge to try to do better, to try to be kinder, to try to be more loving, even with people who are quite harsh.

So, I think you have to keep asking yourself, if you are a person of faith, what is expected of me and am I actually acting the way that I should? And that starts in small ways and goes out in very large ones, but it’s something that I take very seriously. So thank you for asking.”

that seems to be a pretty thoughtful response. it's a lot better than what i would come up with if someone asked me about what i thought about my beliefs, that's for sure!

http://www.nytimes.com/politics/first-draft/2016/01/25/hillary-clinton-gets-personal-on-christ-and-her-faith/

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 15:24 (eight years ago) link

ugh

(•̪●) (carne asada), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 15:31 (eight years ago) link

i think Mrs Manning (the name of my 2nd-grade teacher btw) should spring the Ten Commandments on Bernie next. As they aren't exclusively "Christian."

Hil's response isn't substantively different from W's on the same issues, and doesn't specify if the guvmint is obliged to be charitable as well as the individual.

R Reich:

"The other day Bill Clinton attacked Bernie Sanders’s proposal for a single-payer health plan as unfeasible and a 'recipe for gridlock.'

"Yet these days, nothing of any significance is feasible and every bold idea is a recipe for gridlock.

“I’ve known Hillary Clinton since she was 19 years old, and have nothing but respect for her. In my view, she’s the most qualified candidate for president of the political system we now have.... But Bernie Sanders is the most qualified candidate to create the political system we should have, because he’s leading a political movement for change.”

http://robertreich.org/post/138036377515

Elsewhere, George Pataki endorsed Rubio, so ain't no stoppin' him now.

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 15:40 (eight years ago) link

because he’s leading a political movement for change - open to voting for bernie but here's the part of the argument i don't remotely buy

balls, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 15:42 (eight years ago) link

'But Bernie Sanders is the most qualified candidate to create the political system we should have, because he’s leading a political movement for change.'

Except on reparations, because that is a bridge too far...

Frederik B, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 15:43 (eight years ago) link

In a general election campaign, a pro-reparations stance would smoke him. Reality.

Stick to Denmark.

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 15:44 (eight years ago) link

hell yeah i'll raise taxes evokes the ghost of mondale for sure but i'm not it's anywhere near the political poison it was depending on details and pitch

balls, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 15:45 (eight years ago) link

lol 'reality'

balls, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 15:45 (eight years ago) link

charlotte rampling over here

balls, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 15:45 (eight years ago) link

fuck you

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 15:46 (eight years ago) link

tick tock white walker

balls, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 15:46 (eight years ago) link

no really, fuck you

service desk hardman (El Tomboto), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 15:47 (eight years ago) link

Get ready, gang, for Tom Delay has the dope: FBI 'ready to indict' Hillary Clinton over private email use.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 15:56 (eight years ago) link

number of times "The FBI" has issued an indictment: 0

service desk hardman (El Tomboto), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 16:06 (eight years ago) link

this reinforces something I was thinking the other day that doesn't seem to get reiterated often, which is that "outsider" candidates Trump and Cruz are disproportionately benefiting from the fact that there are just *too many fucking candidates* in the race. I'm inclined to think Trump's got a ceiling on his support within the party, but since none of the other poorly-polling establishment candidates are willing to get out of the race *or* savage the frontrunners it makes it look like Trump and Cruz are doing waaaaaay better than they actually are. I don't think either of those guys can command a majority of votes in the party primary (much less in the general), but because the actual GOP majority is so fragmented, it gives them this air of inevitability/invulnerability. The fact that neither Christie, Kasich, Bush, or Rubio are willing to give it up is actually quite dangerous for the party at this point, it's crazy.

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 16:32 (eight years ago) link

Elsewhere, George Pataki endorsed Rubio, so ain't no stoppin' him now.

wow, how did i miss pataki dropping out

mookieproof, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 16:42 (eight years ago) link

i do recall reading something a few months ago predicting that all the jackass billionaire pac money being able to prop up so many favorite pet candidates fucks up the process (esp for a party like the gop which has usually been quick to pick the next in line and rally around them quickly), keeps these losers alive well after they should've dropped out and makes it impossible for a candidate that might have emerged in previous primary seasons to emerge. otoh a single vote has yet to be cast. highly recommend that fivethirtyeight piece, i've seen alot of dumb gloating pieces going 'lol nate silver was wrong' but he actually looks into why some of his and others assumptions about this race may have been wrong, why that's interesting, and what it could mean.

balls, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 16:42 (eight years ago) link

yeah i'd never put together that citizens united might really fuck with them; totally changes the donor - candidate - party triangle

goole, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 16:50 (eight years ago) link

Jerry Falwell endorsed Trump

goole, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 16:51 (eight years ago) link

I wonder if next time around the super PAC donors are going to be so eager to shovel money into under-performing campaigns. Jeb's gotta be the worst investment ever.

Check Yr Scrobbles (Moodles), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 16:52 (eight years ago) link

538's good at predicting actual votes/elections so yeah any crowing about their demise seems v premature, to say the least

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 16:54 (eight years ago) link

maybe jeb is waiting for the voting and thinking maybe a miracle can happen but as far as i can tell he's staying in purely to fuck over rubio and to keep trying to tell trump that the jerk store called

balls, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 16:55 (eight years ago) link

xposts

if 3 of the 4 establishment guys (christie, kasich, bush, rubio) dropped out and all of their supporters consolidated into support for the remaining megaestablishment candidate, that would still leave them around 22-23%, as of now. which would make rubio (or bush? still can't imagine christie or kasich as the lone establishment wolf) look a lot better, sure, but it wouldn't exactly upend the primaries.

i, too, have trouble believing trump would ever get past 50% support, even among republicans. but iirc the last year has been full of doubts that he would ever make it into August without saying so terribly racist that he lost all support (he fulfilled his end of the bargain, admittedly), that he would ever make it to 20%, then 30%, then 40%. there is no underestimating the awfulness of this country. i place my imaginary $ bet on the side of total ignorance

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 16:58 (eight years ago) link

The fact that neither Christie, Kasich, Bush, or Rubio are willing to give it up is actually quite dangerous for the party at this point, it's crazy.

so you want one of the presumed beneficiaries ofa "let's not nominate a nut" movement to just drop out before anybody votes, out of some i'm-just-not-the-guy nobility. Makes sense!

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 16:59 (eight years ago) link

I mean, pick one of those four estabguys. Can you imagine everybody else's supporters saying, "Why of course! Him!"

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 17:00 (eight years ago) link

I sort of can actually, but that's obviously the GOP's problem right now

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 17:07 (eight years ago) link

https://twitter.com/evanmcmurry/status/692026872939593728

John Rocker endorses Trump

goole, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 17:19 (eight years ago) link

ugh i just lost a really long post about this but basically I do think the establishment-consolidation thing is still a viable possibility, if less compelling than it was when I was writing about "Bocephus" in December... i.e. before Carson's people finished filtering over to Cruz. but nonetheless: nobody who is supporting rubio, bush, christie or kasich has trump or cruz as their second, third, fourth, or fifth choice. there's just way too much distance - they would have bailed already if not! cruz DOES have more room to grow than trump IMO, because of the remaining carson supporters, and the marginal numbers from huckabee and santorum. all trump can hope for from the small-potatoes crowd is maybe a portion of paul and fiorina voters.

people dropping out won't happen out of altruism obviously. but it still will happen. the severe elongation of the campaign/news enterprise makes it seem like "wow, trump is still leading, that must mean something" when very little has actually "happened." the day after iowa is usually prime time for people who had no chance to try and make a dignified exit. "well, we made a good try of it, yadda yadda, very crowded field, yadda yadda, mainstream media giving the spotlight to a few headline-grabbing candidates, thanks to everybody." i mean you certainly don't do it the day before iowa because hey, you never know - - - maybe your closest competitor is hit by some big scandal that week or you suddenly catch fire at the last second the way santorum did last time. everybody's thinking that could be them. but everyone also knows that if that doesn't happen for them, they can't do this forever. agreed though that the super PAC backing has certainly made it possible for doomed candidacies to keep rolling, who would not have done so in other races. so maybe that will continue to be different.

the day after new hampshire will probably be more interesting for the whole "establishment candidates' prisoners' dilemma" thing. christie for example has put all his chips there as the best chance to emerge as the front-runner of the non-front-runners. if he actually gets beat by kasich (who's now in striking distance of third place there!) it may be time for him to make that little speech.

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 17:23 (eight years ago) link

Oh man, if Kasich becomes the establishment rallying point...

its subtle brume (DJP), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 17:25 (eight years ago) link

The first half of the FiveThirtyEight article is kind of terrible (though 'I don't think this election's being very kind to a site whose thing it is to start a sentence in every article with "statistically speaking.."') - they point out the misunderstanding in The Party Decides after using it as shorthand for The Party, Deciding for the last six months, and boil it down to "You ought to pay attention to what influential people who care about a party nomination are doing, since they can have a lot of say in the outcome.", which is literally influential people are... influential?

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 17:28 (eight years ago) link

amazing that this race is such that certain key facts are obscured: ted cruz is a creepy little snake:

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/26/us/politics/before-rise-as-outsider-ted-cruz-played-inside-role-in-2000-recount.html

Mr. Cruz said he had collected the pages and marched into Mr. Baker’s office, handing him the stack.

Mr. Baker, he said, asked him what it meant. Mr. Cruz began reading furiously.

“It means it’s over,” Mr. Cruz recalled saying. “We’ve won.”

Mr. Baker looked up and nodded, Mr. Cruz wrote, before placing a call to Crawford, Tex. “Well, Mr. President,” Mr. Baker said, according to Mr. Cruz, “how does it feel?”

“Chills ran down my spine,” Mr. Cruz wrote.

For Mr. Baker, the exchange was apparently less memorable.

“I do recall Ted being in my office along with others,” Mr. Baker said in a statement. “But I don’t remember the specific events about how I learned of the Supreme Court’s decision.”

He called Mr. Cruz a “bright legal mind” with whom he had interacted sparingly.

goole, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 17:35 (eight years ago) link

It's obscure?

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 17:35 (eight years ago) link

Mr. Cruz began reading furiously.

I might die from giggles

its subtle brume (DJP), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 17:36 (eight years ago) link

*reads furiously*

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 17:37 (eight years ago) link

xp RealClearPolitics has Kasich in third place, having recently dropped down from second! Though that is largely due to one wackadoo poll that had Kasich within 7 points of Trump.

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 17:37 (eight years ago) link

lol the times is really going all out today

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/21/us/politics/as-supreme-court-clerk-ted-cruz-made-death-penalty-his-cause.html?_r=0

Playing basketball in the building’s “highest court in the land,” he said “my bad” to the colleagues he elbowed wildly on his way to the hoop.

...

The year Mr. Cruz and the others clerked, many of the roughly 80 cases taken up by the justices made major news. For a case about the constitutionality of a law regulating Internet pornography, Mr. Cruz watched X-rated sex scenes on a computer with Chief Justice Rehnquist and Justice O’Connor.

...

But Mr. Cruz usually reserved his enthusiasm for his unsparing death penalty memos or the late nights when a prisoner from the appeals circuit under Chief Justice Rehnquist’s oversight was slated for execution. On those nights, when he was responsible for addressing the flurry of 11th-hour defense motions, he would rouse the chief justice at home, give his recommendation, get the chief justice’s vote and then write up a memo that explained why the chief justice had voted to deny an emergency postponement of the execution.

Per custom, Mr. Cruz, whom some clerks recalled as speaking flippantly of the execution during those solemn nights, would circulate that memo to the other clerks on duty, who would then call their bosses to vote on the appeal.

During one of those late-night executions, some clerks received an additional message from Mr. Cruz on the internal email pleading for more collegiality, especially toward him.

“We should all try and get along,” Mr. Cruz wrote.

goole, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 17:40 (eight years ago) link

Jerry Falwell endorsed Trump

that's Junior; i keep forgetting the old one is dead

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 17:43 (eight years ago) link

Today I learned in the Florida recount story that Bush, presumably W, is a moderate.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 17:45 (eight years ago) link

Mr. Cruz watched X-rated sex scenes on a computer with Chief Justice Rehnquist and Justice O’Connor.

excellent tableau

denies the existence of dark matter (difficult listening hour), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 17:45 (eight years ago) link

ha no shit? i don't think i knew that

xp to Dr M

goole, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 17:45 (eight years ago) link

xps lol @ "establishment candidates' prisoners' dilemma"

Nhex, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 17:46 (eight years ago) link

http://www.modernmedicaldictionary.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/12/three_stooges_explained-e1428012934830.jpg

A more powerful analogy, I believe.

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 17:48 (eight years ago) link

ha

balls, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 17:51 (eight years ago) link

RE: the possibility of Trump to win over a majority of republican voters, if you dig into the less reported sub-poll results it suggests that quite a few could be convinced. take the latest CNN poll (pg. 15):

http://i.imgur.com/lSGrAFi.jpg

81% wouldn't be "upset" with a Trump nomination. and that number might increase as the election heats up and apocalyptic warnings begin circulating. not being "upset" doesn't translate into votes, of course. but trump beats both cruz and rubio on "enthusiastic" support, as well.

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 17:52 (eight years ago) link

short version: he fucked over his only friend in the senate to go willie horton (among other things)

http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/01/why-dc-hates-ted-cruz/426915/

goole, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 17:52 (eight years ago) link

Hil said some weird shit about Reconstruction and the Confederacy last night, so already gearing up for South Carolina

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 18:06 (eight years ago) link

short version: he fucked over his only friend in the senate to go willie horton (among other things)

http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/01/why-dc-hates-ted-cruz/426915/

― goole, Tuesday, January 26, 2016 5:52 PM (15 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

I lol to myself every time I hear about criminal justice reform having 'bipartisan' support. yeah right until its actually in the news then its gonna get demagogue'd to death.

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 18:12 (eight years ago) link

xp yeah you're right. this isn't primary related, but tom cotton is playing baby cruz on the bill now

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/01/criminal-justice-tom-cotton-218121#ixzz3yIHgljiF

goole, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 18:21 (eight years ago) link

"Hillary Clinton is no longer a college student. And the fact that a presidential candidate would imply that Jim Crow and Reconstruction were equal, that the era of lynching and white supremacist violence would have been prevented had that same violence not killed Lincoln, and that the violence was simply the result of rancor, the absence of a forgiving spirit, and an understandably 'discouraged' South is chilling."

hey balls, looks like Clinton may be Charlotte Rampling or perhaps Scarlett O'Hara huh

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 18:33 (eight years ago) link

yeah huh, stunning turnabout from 2008

balls, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 18:46 (eight years ago) link

How much forgiveness were they expecting? Their damn fool war-mongering cost more lives than any other war we've fought to date, by a large margin. Southern truculence was always the source of the problem and fucking South Carolina was the worst of all.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 18:52 (eight years ago) link

every time i see a trump tweet i think of this

https://twitter.com/crushingbort/status/685141925507272704

global tetrahedron, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 19:29 (eight years ago) link

joe arpaio is on his way to iowa to campaign for trump

mookieproof, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 19:40 (eight years ago) link

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/three-more-reasons-trump-will-be-the-nominee

the three reasons are the new CNN poll (eh), the endorsement of Falwell Jr (which is significant if you thought that evangelicals wouldn't vote for him for some reason), and a quote from a relatively obscure congressman from PA which argues that Trump is more malleable than Cruz.

The malleability thing is interesting, though. to the extent that trump describes policies, he does so in an extraordinarily vague and often inconsistent way. who knows whether he's being as clear as he can be or whether it's calculated, but it does give him plenty of room to adjust on many issues, both during the primaries and also the general election, if he's the candidate.

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 19:54 (eight years ago) link

trump can be the nominee, it'll be amazing. all those pale blue states will become a darker shade of blue.

nomar, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 19:57 (eight years ago) link

they trumped the white fandango

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 19:59 (eight years ago) link

Of course he is

Darkest Cosmologist junk (kingfish), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 20:17 (eight years ago) link

Xpost

Darkest Cosmologist junk (kingfish), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 20:17 (eight years ago) link

Of the various establishment-for-Trump-rather-than-Cruz theories I've read, the most credible one to me is that, with Trump, he loses the election then disappears. If they nominate Cruz, even if he loses the election, he won't be going anywhere (like Palin to an extent, although even more so).

clemenza, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 20:18 (eight years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CZrP5NNWEAA-Icc.png

mookieproof, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 21:18 (eight years ago) link

LOL

One bad call from barely losing to (Alex in SF), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 21:21 (eight years ago) link

looks like she's not getting joseph miller's vote

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 21:22 (eight years ago) link

"Chelsea's fucking kid can pay for her own education. Creepy little spoiled brat."

One bad call from barely losing to (Alex in SF), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 21:23 (eight years ago) link

she might if she blows it again and runs in 2024
xp

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 26 January 2016 21:24 (eight years ago) link

Quite a press conference (Trump)..."Do you apologize? Do you apologize? Do you apologize? Do you apologize?" Never seen that before.

clemenza, Tuesday, 26 January 2016 23:48 (eight years ago) link

i've lost track of what he's supposed to be apologizing for

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 27 January 2016 00:01 (eight years ago) link

That was Trump hectoring a reporter who quoted him--it was a question on abortion--but, according to Trump, left out part of the quote. He cut the reporter short, came back to him a few minutes later, and began by asking for apology. And then said "Do you apologize?" eight or nine times in a row.

clemenza, Wednesday, 27 January 2016 00:04 (eight years ago) link

"And as you know, Hugh, after Australia did that [gun buyback program], the rate of sexual assaults, the rate of rapes, went up significantly, because women were unable to defend themselves," Mr Cruz told the radio host.

The Washington Post analysis found no significant spike or drop but a gradual increase in sexual assault rates over the decade after the 1996 changes in Australia.

micah, Wednesday, 27 January 2016 00:18 (eight years ago) link

I'm sick of fucking right-wing nutjobs lying about Australia and guns. We Australians are just sitting here watching America as a sort of horror show of ungovernability and narcissistic delusions.

like Uber, but for underpants (James Morrison), Wednesday, 27 January 2016 00:24 (eight years ago) link

Ha, Trump is just skipping the next debate.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 27 January 2016 01:19 (eight years ago) link

He's upset because Fox made fun of him.

clemenza, Wednesday, 27 January 2016 01:53 (eight years ago) link

Many news outlets covered Univision Communications’ purchase last week of a stake in The Onion, the world’s leading news publication. According to NPR, Univision bought a 40 percent controlling interest in the company, and also acquired the option to buy the remainder of The Onion in the future.

But what’s gotten no attention at all is that Haim Saban, Hillary Clinton’s biggest fan and financial supporter, is Univision’s co-owner, chairman, and CEO. Saban and his wife, Cheryl, are Hillary Clinton’s top financial backers, having given $2,046,600 to support her political campaigns and at least $10 million more to the Clinton Foundation, on whose board Cheryl Saban sits. The Sabans are also generous supporters of the overall Democratic Party infrastructure, donating, according to the Center for Responsive Politics, a total of $16.1 million since 1989 to Democratic and liberal candidates, party committees, leadership PACs, and federally focused 527s....

Beyond Saban’s deep connections to the Clintons, Onion staffers likely have taken note of his statement that “I’m a one-issue guy, and my issue is Israel.”...

https://theintercept.com/2016/01/26/ha-ha-hillary-clintons-top-financial-supporter-now-controls-the-onion/

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 27 January 2016 01:55 (eight years ago) link

I love how you quoted that verbatim and left in the reference to "the world's leading news publication" without the link

service desk hardman (El Tomboto), Wednesday, 27 January 2016 01:57 (eight years ago) link

there goes journalism I guess

service desk hardman (El Tomboto), Wednesday, 27 January 2016 01:57 (eight years ago) link

i got fish to fry, man

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 27 January 2016 01:59 (eight years ago) link

Said Trump: “Let’s see how much money Fox is going to make on the debate without me. It’s time that somebody plays grownup.”

https://politicalwire.com/2016/01/26/trump-will-not-attend-next-debate/

Austin, Wednesday, 27 January 2016 01:59 (eight years ago) link

here's an example of trump's vague language as an advantage:

http://i.imgur.com/NKK4ZKx.png

you know, pretty irrevocable. now he can go either way (and in fact, right now he has a twitter poll thing going asking whether or not he should debate: https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/692045676079874048) and have a distraction ready to go in case someone bothered calling him out.

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 27 January 2016 03:50 (eight years ago) link

Gets fun at 19:30.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uHHiJXXx9Cg

clemenza, Wednesday, 27 January 2016 03:58 (eight years ago) link

this trump debate boycott/power play would be a whole lot funnier -- and it IS hilarious -- if the whole reason for the boycott wasn't his shitty misogynist treatment of megyn kelly

k3vin k., Wednesday, 27 January 2016 04:34 (eight years ago) link

Obviously Kelly's part of it--he's still sulking over the first debate--but I think it has more to do with a) Fox's press release today, and b) some kind of tactical move where he "walks away from the table," a negotiating skill that his big book (the one that's the second best book after the Bible) claims is crucial. And he thinks Iowa's already a lock and he has nothing to gain by showing up.

If he does follow through--he can still change his mind, although that might not look so good--it seems kind of risky to me. But every bizarre thing he says and does works out perfectly, so what do I know.

clemenza, Wednesday, 27 January 2016 04:47 (eight years ago) link

2016 is crazy times

ulysses, Wednesday, 27 January 2016 05:09 (eight years ago) link

What a time to be alive

reggae mike love (polyphonic), Wednesday, 27 January 2016 05:12 (eight years ago) link

Yeah, Fox's joke press release was a kind of "biting the hand that feeds."

... (Eazy), Wednesday, 27 January 2016 05:30 (eight years ago) link

trump has absolutely nothing to gain from a debate at this point.

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 27 January 2016 10:09 (eight years ago) link

Presumably there's also a calculation that for a lot of his voters, he's the show, and they would have very little interest in watching the depressing spectacle of the other seven sniping at each other.

I suppose it might backfire in so far as everyone else still in the race has dreams of "Without Trump I will prosper", and that is unlikely to happen for all of them, and less candidates is not good for Trump. But a) most of the ones more likely to quit while above 1% are looking at New Hampshire rather than Iowa and b) a sense of reality is not all that prized when there's money to burn.

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 27 January 2016 10:52 (eight years ago) link

If he's not there, he can spend the evening tweeting belittling zings about the lame-os on stage. Which they won't know about until afterward. I see that as a deliciously comical situation.

The non-Trumps on the dais will be trying to throw snark like, "A certain person who I will not mention," meanwhile Trump is tweeting out "@Governor Bush, your mom would say hello but she can't right now cuz my dick's in her mouth"

I've looked at clowns from both sides now (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 27 January 2016 12:44 (eight years ago) link

that clip above was the first trump press conference i've seen and omg he's going to be president isn't he? i mean probably not but that's terrifying, he is so confident at bullshit

a fucking men (stevie), Wednesday, 27 January 2016 12:51 (eight years ago) link

I can imagine Trump daring the debate team to a tweet-off. "Let's count the number of people reading my live tweets and the number reading your debate tweets and see who gets more. Loser donates $1 million to the Wounded Warriors. Winner - and that will be me - will double that. Because I am really rich."

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 27 January 2016 15:01 (eight years ago) link

http://www.nybooks.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/wills_1-021116.jpg

mookieproof, Wednesday, 27 January 2016 15:39 (eight years ago) link

it's almost as if these guys are all on the same team

k3vin k., Wednesday, 27 January 2016 16:22 (eight years ago) link

is trump jabbing jeb?

a fucking men (stevie), Wednesday, 27 January 2016 16:25 (eight years ago) link

or giving him a terrible back massage

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 27 January 2016 16:35 (eight years ago) link

Five point palm exploding heart technique iirc.

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 27 January 2016 16:40 (eight years ago) link

as she walks through
this wicked world

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 27 January 2016 16:56 (eight years ago) link

i'm just gonna put this here

mr. dilbert has turned himself into some kind of thought leader in the redditarian parts of the internet, mostly by being a pig, as far as i can tell. but this:

http://blog.dilbert.com/post/138023808851/the-second-american-revolution-what-then

this is by far the stupidest political analysis i've read. i really can't stand the internet sometimes.

To be perfectly clear, I support a Trump presidency ONLY under the following conditions:

1. Trump commits to regular televised meetings on key topics.

2. Both Sanders and Bloomberg are on the team.

3. Trump adds women and minority leaders to the televised meetings, as needed, so we hear all voices.

goole, Wednesday, 27 January 2016 19:32 (eight years ago) link

I support a Trump presidency ONLY under the following conditions:

1. Mr. Trump is forced into a small cage immediately after his inauguration, where he will be kept and cared for until his term is up.

That's pretty much it for me.

Chortles And Guffaws (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 27 January 2016 19:35 (eight years ago) link

Ladies and germs, Scott Adams:

Direct democracy via social media – chaotic and ugly – is about to replace the Republic. No longer can a strong leader ignore the will of the people when it is pounding on every door and tapping on every window. The Republic was designed to give elected officials the power to decide for the people. But the elected elites have lost their legitimacy and The People are on the brink of taking back power.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Wednesday, 27 January 2016 19:37 (eight years ago) link

so did the tomato hit him last night?

i skimmed a couple grafs of that Buzzfeed story w/out puking, but for once i can say read the comments.

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 27 January 2016 19:39 (eight years ago) link

the buzzfeed story is so weird. i had no idea. just deeply uncomfortable.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 27 January 2016 19:59 (eight years ago) link

uh

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TG_pEGVpQfc

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 27 January 2016 20:38 (eight years ago) link

chorus (to the tune of Adele):

hello from the caucus night
if bernie wins i'm gonna die
this crazy circus it's going coo coo ka choo
and huckabee is the guy who is long overdue

this appears to be a thing that he did on purpose. i guess he needs a miracle to get above 4% in iowa, so this is him, going after it

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 27 January 2016 20:41 (eight years ago) link

Someone said hey this Simon and Garfunkel for Sanders had has everyone going nuts! Let's fall in behind with our own version of the same thing. And everybody had more fun than they'd had since the whoopee cushion showed up on the campaign bus.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Wednesday, 27 January 2016 20:48 (eight years ago) link

I was thinking the buzzfeed story was a bad and dumb idea - by the campaign or by buzzfeed or whomever pitched it first, I guess; but the Adams blog post is profoundly dumb on levels that the buzzfeed piece can't touch

service desk hardman (El Tomboto), Wednesday, 27 January 2016 20:54 (eight years ago) link

http://www.wired.com/2016/01/apple-buys-ai-startup-that-reads-emotions-in-faces/
"Regardless of other costs, GOP having more public debates than DEM makes their range of policy positions seem more moderate/ mainstream"

oof

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 27 January 2016 20:58 (eight years ago) link

lol wrong link https://twitter.com/DavMicRot/status/692445923524349952

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 27 January 2016 20:58 (eight years ago) link

Clearly the Love & Kindness campaign shtick was pinched by some Clintonian from this 1931 Pulitzer Prize winner -- from George, Ira, and the head writers of Duck Soup:

Of Thee I Sing is a musical with a score by George Gershwin, lyrics by Ira Gershwin and a book by George S. Kaufman and Morrie Ryskind. The musical lampoons American politics; the story concerns John P. Wintergreen, who runs for President of the United States on the "love" platform.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Of_Thee_I_Sing

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 27 January 2016 21:01 (eight years ago) link

“I am not actively involved with organized religion,” Sanders said in a recent interview.

Sanders said he believes in God, though not necessarily in a traditional manner.

“I think everyone believes in God in their own ways, “ he said. “To me, it means that all of us are connected, all of life is connected, and that we are all tied together.”

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/bernie-sanders-finally-answers-the-god-question/2016/01/26/83429390-bfb0-11e5-bcda-62a36b394160_story.html

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 27 January 2016 21:58 (eight years ago) link

oh my god

the Huckabee video

goodbye cruel world, you have made me lol to death

its subtle brume (DJP), Wednesday, 27 January 2016 22:01 (eight years ago) link

wait that's an actual Huckabee campaign thing?!

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 27 January 2016 22:03 (eight years ago) link

yeah, that's real!

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 27 January 2016 22:46 (eight years ago) link

it's currently featured on the home page

https://www.mikehuckabee.com/home

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 27 January 2016 22:47 (eight years ago) link

at least they knew enough to disable comments

its subtle brume (DJP), Wednesday, 27 January 2016 22:47 (eight years ago) link

it's so ... abstract

also could've used a bass solo

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 27 January 2016 22:59 (eight years ago) link

Naval Ravikant calls it The American Spring, and points out that social media has become the real conduit to power. That’s a revolution. We the People are on the brink of replacing the entrenched powers and their monied interests. If the patriots in Iowa, New Hampshire, and the other early primary states put both Sanders and Trump in commanding leads, they will be – in effect – firing the government. But they would also be firing the system of government that was created by the Founders. Direct democracy via social media – chaotic and ugly – is about to replace the Republic. No longer can a strong leader ignore the will of the people when it is pounding on every door and tapping on every window. The Republic was designed to give elected officials the power to decide for the people. But the elected elites have lost their legitimacy and The People are on the brink of taking back power.

Some of this shit sounds like nobody so much as a Neil Breen character, only Breen at least implicates corporate types, as well.

Darkest Cosmologist junk (kingfish), Wednesday, 27 January 2016 23:11 (eight years ago) link

We the People are on the brink of replacing the entrenched powers and their monied interests.

I had no idea Facebook, Google, Microsoft at all were in such bad shape

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 27 January 2016 23:16 (eight years ago) link

et al

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 27 January 2016 23:16 (eight years ago) link

Speaking of bass solos, how great would this campaign be if there was a talent competition?

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 27 January 2016 23:26 (eight years ago) link

also a swimsuit competition

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 27 January 2016 23:39 (eight years ago) link

you should also be able to win prizes by watching

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Wednesday, 27 January 2016 23:47 (eight years ago) link

living together in a decrepit Big Brother house

Darkest Cosmologist junk (kingfish), Thursday, 28 January 2016 00:08 (eight years ago) link

with daily video diaries

Οὖτις, Thursday, 28 January 2016 00:09 (eight years ago) link

TRUUUUE STORRYYYYYY

Darkest Cosmologist junk (kingfish), Thursday, 28 January 2016 00:11 (eight years ago) link

I'm in awe over that Scott Adams article

Warning: If you continue reading this post, it will likely change your mind about the upcoming election. Regular readers know I’m a trained hypnotist. This is not a joke. If you keep reading, you will be persuaded, if not today, perhaps later, when it sinks in.

I will start my persuasion by reminding you that I wrote a book {....}

SPOILER - instead of electing ONE guy no one likes, we can elect THREE!

frogbs, Thursday, 28 January 2016 02:24 (eight years ago) link

Trump hashed out his bitter feud with Fox tonight...on Fox.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fBjoe5Frz6Q

clemenza, Thursday, 28 January 2016 03:10 (eight years ago) link

Tomorrow, Trump will go out into the middle of 5th avenue in NYC and shoot someone, and we'll forget all about this silly debate thingy.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Thursday, 28 January 2016 03:14 (eight years ago) link

He will then declare the guy he shoots a wounded warrior, and on Friday he'll host an event in his honour; by Saturday he will be polling around 60%.

clemenza, Thursday, 28 January 2016 03:16 (eight years ago) link

I don't think Josh Marshall is nearly as smart as he thinks he is, but this analysis of Trump blowing off tonight's debate is interesting and perceptive.

Trump's comment about Jeb's being "weak", "low energy", "pitiful" ... these are demeaning and denigrating phrases. They seem frankly gross, with an emotional tenor we'd expect from street toughs or frat boys trash talking each other. It's raw and primal and all about dominating by denigrating. But what has really hurt Bush is not so much that Trump is calling him names. It's that Trump has used these attacks to demonstrate that Jeb is unable or unwilling to defend himself. Trump hits him and Jeb takes it. His responses are hapless and weak and generally meaningless. You probably barely remember them. The impact of this is not tied to Trump calling Bush "weak." Trump is engineering encounters that show that Bush is weak.

In an election dominated by national security, this kind of demonstration of power and dominance has a profound impact. That is why the 'Swift Boat' attacks in the 2004 presidential election were so devastating. Whether anybody really believed all these slurs and claims about John Kerry wasn't really the point. What was deadly was his seeming inability to defend himself.

...

Trump doesn't apologize. He hurts people and they go away. He says things that would kill a political mortal (ban members of an entire religion from entering the country) and yet he doesn't get hurt. Virtually everything Trump has done over the last six months, whether it's a policy proposal or personal attack, has driven home this basic point: Trump is strong. He does things other people can't.

This is why Trump has so shaken up and so dominated the GOP primary cycle, at least thus far. As I've said, this kind of dominance symbolism is pervasive in GOP politics. It's not new with Trump at all. Most successful Republican politicians speak this language. And yet somehow for most it is nonetheless a second language. But it's Trump's native language. I still believe it's rooted in the mix of the hyper-aggressive New York real estate world, his decades of immersion in the city's febrile tabloid culture and just being, at the most basic level, a bully. Wherever it comes from, he seems to intuitively get that for this constituency and at this moment just demonstrating that he gets his way, always, is all that really matters. Policy details, protecting the candidate through careful press releases and structured media opportunities ... none of that matters. Trump doesn't kiss babies. Babies kiss him. He doesn't have a billionaire backer; he is a billionaire. Trump doesn't ask for support. He just tells you that you need to stop being a loser and get on board.

So this debate power play is all of a piece. He can just take the table, flip it over and walk out of the room. It's all about him.

There is no question that Trump will completely dominate tomorrow night's debate by his absence. After all, he's the one in the lead everywhere. If he's not there, what is there to talk about? The Rubio v Christie stand off? Jeb? Who cares?

It may be two plus hours of people attacking him without him being there to respond - and the moderators themselves out to get him too. But again, it's still all about him. He can make it all about him by not even being there. He doesn't kowtow to Fox News or go on retainer with the network during the off-season. He calls the shots. And there is little question in my mind that in one fashion or another you will have two competing TV shows tomorrow night, Trump's and everybody else's. And Trump's will almost certainly be better.

the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Thursday, 28 January 2016 13:20 (eight years ago) link

or as Bill Clinton says in his autobiography several times - for Americans it's better to be strong and wrong than weak and right

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 28 January 2016 13:41 (eight years ago) link

Can we just please have the Trump variant of this already:

http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_dSQqLEv7J9w/TUvZJwQlRNI/AAAAAAAAB_w/XgmkExvl4ds/s1600/Berlusconi+foto+bunga+bunga+la+zona+morta+9.jpg

Chortles And Guffaws (Old Lunch), Thursday, 28 January 2016 14:19 (eight years ago) link

back in less playpennish circusworld

Yesterday, one of the purest and most noxious examples of (the Very Serious Person) tactic was invoked — by Paul Krugman. The long-time Clinton defender announced that all Serious policy experts “lean Hillary”; he even used the term “serious” unironically to advance his claim:

Meanwhile, the Sanders skepticism of the wonks continues: Paul Starr lays out the case. As far as I can tell, every serious progressive policy expert on either health care or financial reform who has weighed in on the primary seems to lean Hillary.

Let’s repeat that: “every serious progressive policy expert on either health care or financial reform who has weighed in on the primary seems to lean Hillary.”

The economist Dean Baker – previously cited as a financial reform and economic policy expert by Krugman but who now most assuredly does not “lean Hillary” – quickly reacted to his formal exclusion by Krugman from the Club of Seriousness:

Paul Krugman Revokes Credentials of Those Who Don’t Support Clinton . . .

Oh well, so much for those of us backing or leaning towards Sanders. I guess we just have to turn to that old Washington saying, “better right than expert.” In other words, it’s better to rely on people who have a track record of being right than the people who have the best credentials.

As so often happens, those who fancy themselves dissident gate-crashers (which apparently can include someone who is a Nobel-Prize-winning tenured economics professor (at Princeton until somewhat recently), an advisory board member of the nation’s largest corporations, and effectively a life-tenured New York Times columnist) quickly assume the role of vigilantly guarding the gate once they realize they were admitted all along. So congratulations to Paul Krugman on his power of decreeing who is a Serious Expert and announcing that the label applies only to those who want Hillary Clinton be the next President, but not Bernie Sanders.

https://theintercept.com/2016/01/28/paul-krugman-unironically-anoints-himself-arbiter-of-seriousness-only-clinton-supporters-eligible/

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 28 January 2016 15:40 (eight years ago) link

Yeah Krugman is sadly not at his best during these elections seasons.

One bad call from barely losing to (Alex in SF), Thursday, 28 January 2016 15:53 (eight years ago) link

this crazy circus has gone cuckoo-ca-choo

tremendous crime wave and killing wave (Joan Crawford Loves Chachi), Thursday, 28 January 2016 16:07 (eight years ago) link

they muted the audio on the Huckabee Hello parody

so now it is a completely silent montage of Huckabee wandering through desolate Iowa with occasional captions that say "gangrene" and "frostbite"

there really is so much beauty in this world

its subtle brume (DJP), Thursday, 28 January 2016 16:26 (eight years ago) link

lol wut

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 28 January 2016 17:05 (eight years ago) link

Remember when Nancy was allegedly a scary SF lefty?

http://thehill.com/homenews/house/267236-pelosi-distances-dems-from-sanderss-plan-to-raise-taxes

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 28 January 2016 17:21 (eight years ago) link

Pelosi is smarter and more effective than Bernie, so there's that

Οὖτις, Thursday, 28 January 2016 17:22 (eight years ago) link

"I've been for single-payer for 30 years, and it is a very popular idea in our country. But we have made a decision about where we're going on healthcare."

So effective at being for things she'll never make a move on. You deserve her.

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 28 January 2016 17:23 (eight years ago) link

i mean she's not wrong. and it's sort of hard to expect pelosi to support undoing possibly her greatest achievement

k3vin k., Thursday, 28 January 2016 17:25 (eight years ago) link

Dems haunted by this:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=07m39CQRJXw

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 28 January 2016 17:25 (eight years ago) link

tho yes obviously distancing herself (and the democrats) from tax increases in an election season is...well unfortunate but not shocking

k3vin k., Thursday, 28 January 2016 17:26 (eight years ago) link

some achievement, Bob Dole program a dozen years later xxxp

"We're for it and it's popular, but can't do it" - post (and pre?) Clinton Dems in a nutshell

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 28 January 2016 17:27 (eight years ago) link

So effective at being for things she'll never make a move on.

lol this is horseshit and you know it

Οὖτις, Thursday, 28 January 2016 17:28 (eight years ago) link

straight from the Nancy's mouth!

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 28 January 2016 17:29 (eight years ago) link

I know you hate facts and history and context and shit but ugh it's so tiresome

Οὖτις, Thursday, 28 January 2016 17:30 (eight years ago) link

allowing floor votes when the outcome is preordained, be still my beating heart

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 28 January 2016 17:31 (eight years ago) link

bringing a vote to the floor = making a move

Οὖτις, Thursday, 28 January 2016 17:33 (eight years ago) link

like what else do you think the Speaker of the House does

Οὖτις, Thursday, 28 January 2016 17:33 (eight years ago) link

remind me of the time Bernie got a floor vote in the Senate for a single payer plan

Οὖτις, Thursday, 28 January 2016 17:33 (eight years ago) link

let's pretend he did, as the outcome was the same

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 28 January 2016 17:35 (eight years ago) link

man weiner was ok sometimes

k3vin k., Thursday, 28 January 2016 17:40 (eight years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CZ0wfq7WQAATAaS.jpg

'alabama media group'

mookieproof, Thursday, 28 January 2016 17:40 (eight years ago) link

http://www.thenation.com/article/why-im-supporting-hillary-clinton-with-joy-and-without-apologies/

i think literally every sentence of this very long article includes the words "i" or "me."

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Thursday, 28 January 2016 17:55 (eight years ago) link

ugh, Joan Walsh epitomizes smug lib

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 28 January 2016 17:57 (eight years ago) link

she used to write similarly dismal pieces for salon which all went like "i've talked before about my disapproval of this..."

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Thursday, 28 January 2016 18:00 (eight years ago) link

i can't actually tell what that editorial cartoonist's opinion is

nomar, Thursday, 28 January 2016 18:02 (eight years ago) link

Just occurred to me that Trump comports himself like a some cartoon Russian oligarch turned strongman, this weird sort of cross between tacky nouveau riche boasting and dictatorial threats. Regardless, he's a lot funnier with a must kill moose and squirrel accent.

I also get Smoove B. vibes. Read this in Trump bluster-voice:

When you have had your fill of dancing, I will take you by the hand and lead you to the most romantic corner of the entire club and sit you down on one of the plush, red-velvet couches. While you rest, I will go the bar and purchase a drink for you. Before I bring it back to you, I will taste it, demanding finer gin should it fall short of my expectations for you. Also, I will ask for less ice so that your gin and tonic is not diluted.

While you sip your drink, I will stroke your hair and tell you such complimentary things as "You are like a fine statue carved out of brown marble," and "Your eyes are like pools of creamy Italian butter," and "You have beautiful shoes." You will know that I mean these things because they come from the heart, and the heart is always true.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 28 January 2016 18:09 (eight years ago) link

Man, wouldn't it be great if Trump showed up to the debate after all, just to heckle from the audience?

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 28 January 2016 18:10 (eight years ago) link

why the fuck is huckabee going to trumpstock instead of the fox debate? or is he kids table anyway so who cares? I guess his 'campgaign' is basically in full on grift mode now.

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Thursday, 28 January 2016 18:14 (eight years ago) link

Just came to post about Huckabee too--don't know if I've seen such a pathetic case of sucking up.

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/huckabee-attending-trump-rival-iowa-event

clemenza, Thursday, 28 January 2016 18:30 (eight years ago) link

i have:

Santorum, who is also competing in the undercard debate, told CNN he was open to attending Trump's event if invited.

"As of now, the senator has not been invited to take part in Mr. Trump's event," a Santorum spokesman told the network. "The senator respects that this is Mr. Trump's event and he's not going to go and crash (it)."

denies the existence of dark matter (difficult listening hour), Thursday, 28 January 2016 18:37 (eight years ago) link

he'll no doubt get more attention by doing trumpfest than being an also-ran at the regular show, so

mookieproof, Thursday, 28 January 2016 18:39 (eight years ago) link

reports are huckabee and santorum are going to trumpfest

i kind of thought that by fighting with bob vander plaats trump was telling evangelical iowans to get bent but now who knows

xps huh

goole, Thursday, 28 January 2016 18:39 (eight years ago) link

they muted the audio on the Huckabee Hello parody

so now it is a completely silent montage of Huckabee wandering through desolate Iowa with occasional captions that say "gangrene" and "frostbite"

there really is so much beauty in this world

― its subtle brume (DJP), Thursday, January 28, 2016 11:26 AM Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

this is so fucking wonderful

i'm trying it with sigur ros in the background, it's good but not quite right. maybe if the video were slowed down. love the slow-mo of someone throwing their cell phone into the snow, maybe a hook allusion? deep.

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Thursday, 28 January 2016 18:45 (eight years ago) link

 I did something in France I don’t often do at home: I came out of the closet as a full-fledged Hillary Clinton supporter.

so tired of straights using this fucking metaphor to define the most banal garbage. Also wtf does it mean? She doesn't often come out of the closet as an HRC supporter at home?

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 28 January 2016 18:46 (eight years ago) link

what is even happening in that huckabee video

http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v212/etienne_saint/Screen%20Shot%202016-01-28%20at%2010.50.10%20AM_zps5dvth2ef.png

nomar, Thursday, 28 January 2016 18:52 (eight years ago) link

if bernie wins
i'm gonna die

nomar, Thursday, 28 January 2016 18:52 (eight years ago) link

Fiorina is willing to pay $1.5 million (to charity) in order to have the honor of joining the hypothetical trump/cruz debate

Karl Malone, Thursday, 28 January 2016 19:04 (eight years ago) link

huckabee adele parody video suicidal drinking game: drink every time he looks at his phone

Karl Malone, Thursday, 28 January 2016 19:04 (eight years ago) link

That Huckabee screen grab looks like he's been using a tanning bed.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Thursday, 28 January 2016 19:05 (eight years ago) link

"There will also be bread."

kylo stimpy (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 28 January 2016 19:16 (eight years ago) link

man weiner was ok sometimes

Progressive braying of the Likudnik sexter on C-SPAN was often a sop to those of his NYC constituents who found his Schumer Junior essence annoying...

Weiner succeeded in convincing then-Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi to hold a vote on a single-payer system, but agreed in November 2009 not to force the vote after all, citing a desire to help move forward legislation that retained a role for private insurance companies but would also have established a government-run "public option" insurance system to compete with private plans. (The Senate ultimately stripped the public option from the Affordable Care Act.)

http://mic.com/articles/132646/anthony-weiner-champion-of-single-payer-healthcare-says-bernie-sanders-is-wrong#.sHmU0uWHd

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 28 January 2016 19:18 (eight years ago) link

 I did something in France I don’t often do at home: I came out of the closet as a full-fledged Hillary Clinton supporter.

I don't think anyone who reads Walsh would be confused about Hillary Clinton leanings.

One bad call from barely losing to (Alex in SF), Thursday, 28 January 2016 19:28 (eight years ago) link

What everyone seems to miss when they say that single-payer is politically impossible and shouldn't even be debated is that, if Sanders were to win the election, then effectively the nation will have held a referendum on single-payer and it will have won. That would necessarily change the political equation and force our representatives to recalculate their positions.

The real difficulty would be the vehemence with which the opposition would refuse to accede to the election results. It would catalyze a massive test of strength between the power of democracy versus the power of the oligarchy. A revolution, indeed. Viewed in that light, it is all a pretty high stakes game.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Thursday, 28 January 2016 19:32 (eight years ago) link

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/bernie-sanderss-fiction-filled-campaign/2016/01/27/cd1b2866-c478-11e5-9693-933a4d31bcc8_story.html?postshare=6711454004765700&tid=ss_tw

i honestly prefer this to the concern-trolling and the thinly-guised undermining of the chait/yglesias crowd

k3vin k., Thursday, 28 January 2016 19:52 (eight years ago) link

gotta love the washington post editorial board tho. here's a previous editorial - https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/bernie-sanders-isnt-as-progressive-as-you-think/2015/09/15/a0e8917c-5b26-11e5-b38e-06883aacba64_story.html?tid=a_inl


SEN. BERNIE Sanders (I-Vt.) delivered a forceful message in a speech at Liberty University on Monday: Inequality is too high, the wealth gap is immoral and rich people have rigged the economy.

Though hyperbolic,

k3vin k., Thursday, 28 January 2016 20:02 (eight years ago) link

Fred Hiatt should be covered tarred and newspapered.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 28 January 2016 20:18 (eight years ago) link

thinly-guised undermining of the chait/yglesias crowd

chait has been so shitty lately. it drives me nuts

reggae mike love (polyphonic), Thursday, 28 January 2016 21:19 (eight years ago) link

chait has been so shitty lately.

(i don't read him on a regular basis so i don't know, but someone's going to do the strikethrough move so i might as well just go ahead and save someone the trouble)

Karl Malone, Thursday, 28 January 2016 21:24 (eight years ago) link

Bernie shipshape, has been treated for gout (like Ben fuckin' Franklin)

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/01/bernie-sanders-medical-records-218330

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 28 January 2016 21:30 (eight years ago) link

fyi the Huck video got its audio back

its subtle brume (DJP), Thursday, 28 January 2016 22:34 (eight years ago) link

Republican poll leader Donald Trump released his records last month. Trump would “be the healthiest individual elected to the presidency,” his doctor asserted.

j., Thursday, 28 January 2016 22:47 (eight years ago) link

Trump vs. zombie Teddy Roosevelt FITE

It takes the village people (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 28 January 2016 22:54 (eight years ago) link

what is trump's (golf) handicap

mookieproof, Thursday, 28 January 2016 22:56 (eight years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CZ16ejJUcAIQ8o8.jpg

mookieproof, Thursday, 28 January 2016 23:02 (eight years ago) link

Chait shit get Berned

broderik f (darraghmac), Thursday, 28 January 2016 23:04 (eight years ago) link

what is trump's (golf) handicap

― mookieproof, Thursday, January 28, 2016 5:56 PM (8 minutes ago

i'm almost positive there's a trump chapter in the rick reilly caddy book

k3vin k., Thursday, 28 January 2016 23:04 (eight years ago) link

That Huckabee screen grab looks like he's been using a tanning bed.

It looks more like he's doing a poo on a tanning bed.

http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v212/etienne_saint/Screen%20Shot%202016-01-28%20at%2010.50.10%20AM_zps5dvth2ef.png

like Uber, but for underpants (James Morrison), Thursday, 28 January 2016 23:09 (eight years ago) link

yeah the trump chapter in reilly's book is hilarious, you can preview some pages here (starting at page 57):

https://books.google.com/books?id=zwpNvd1RBmIC&q=trump#v=snippet&q=trump&f=false

nomar, Thursday, 28 January 2016 23:18 (eight years ago) link

hahaha t-mobile

j., Friday, 29 January 2016 01:27 (eight years ago) link

A podium in the Oval Office
PRESIDENTIAL LECTERN
“looks odd”“not good”

nomar, Friday, 29 January 2016 01:30 (eight years ago) link

bringing a vote to the floor = making a move

like what else do you think the Speaker of the House does

Shakey 2018: Ready for a safe seat in the House

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Friday, 29 January 2016 06:25 (eight years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-cA0NM5RAY0

dunno if the hilarity of this translates for americans - but maybe. it just looks so right.

japanese mage (LocalGarda), Friday, 29 January 2016 14:44 (eight years ago) link

two GOP freakshows last night, neither liveblogged on this thread? were you all in the ER?

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Friday, 29 January 2016 16:38 (eight years ago) link

did all the liveblogging last night and all I got was contact lens freeze

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 29 January 2016 16:41 (eight years ago) link

Was busy mulling over with my team whether or not I should also run for president. We did some informal polling and came up with "maybe." Gotta make a billion dollars first, but I have a few strong leads. Give you a hint: I'm putting a lot of money into Mexican wall bricks.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 29 January 2016 16:45 (eight years ago) link

i was cleaning my butthole

a (waterface), Friday, 29 January 2016 16:46 (eight years ago) link

These freakshows are pretty boring by now tbh. I didn't watch.

Xp

Οὖτις, Friday, 29 January 2016 16:47 (eight years ago) link

w/out Trump they look like mere deranged sadists

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 29 January 2016 16:56 (eight years ago) link

A podium in the Oval Office
PRESIDENTIAL LECTERN
“looks odd”“not good”

― nomar, Thursday, January 28, 2016 8:30 PM Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

I was just about to post this exact thing

its subtle brume (DJP), Friday, 29 January 2016 17:41 (eight years ago) link

All these candidates are like
http://www.kellysdogtraining.com/dogtalk/uploaded_images/3dogs_waiting_for_food-764392.jpg

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 29 January 2016 18:02 (eight years ago) link

i don't follow things too closely and today on the radio was the first time in forever that i heard rick santorum's name and i had forgotten that he was even a part of this thing! poor fella...

scott seward, Friday, 29 January 2016 18:21 (eight years ago) link

I've had the same realization about Huckabee, Paul, Carson and Fiorina in the past few days

Blowout Coombes (President Keyes), Friday, 29 January 2016 18:25 (eight years ago) link

https://twitter.com/jmartNYT/status/693136756682559488

NEWS: Cruz shifting negative ads from Trump to RUBIO entirely for final 3 days to halt Marco 'mo, deny him "win" >

"'mo"? What?

its subtle brume (DJP), Friday, 29 January 2016 18:28 (eight years ago) link

Marcomentum!

Οὖτις, Friday, 29 January 2016 18:30 (eight years ago) link

Rubio had the charisma of a pepper mill.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 29 January 2016 18:35 (eight years ago) link

I heard Rubio declare that President Obama had 'systematically destroyed everything that made this country great'. I would have appreciated more details, especially regarding the greatness of the USA under George W. Bush.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Friday, 29 January 2016 18:38 (eight years ago) link

i do kinda like watching the mirror image of trump and bizarro-trump sanders. both fueled by indignation. so hard to keep that up for an entire race. people have the energy for it early on and then it's like eating too many hateburgers. indignation turns into indigestion. clinton needs to ignore it all. keep talking like a monument. bill clinton as first lady...whoduh thunk it!? he's gonna be roaming the country on a goodwill feelgood mission! lock up yer daughters, amerikkka!

scott seward, Friday, 29 January 2016 18:39 (eight years ago) link

Rubio also talked shit about George W. Bush ftr

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 29 January 2016 18:41 (eight years ago) link

anyone made a "Marco? Poll 'mo" pun yet? well i just did

Blowout Coombes (President Keyes), Friday, 29 January 2016 18:44 (eight years ago) link

xpost When Elvis Costello reunited with the Attractions back in 1994, he called it the "Lock Up Your Mothers" tour.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 29 January 2016 18:45 (eight years ago) link

yeah i don't care how bad u think obama was (and i think history will bear out that he was a great POTUS) GWB presided over the greatest terrorist attack on American soil in history, the Great Recession, and at least one catastrophic + useless war.

Mordy, Friday, 29 January 2016 18:45 (eight years ago) link

(preaching to the choir i know)

Mordy, Friday, 29 January 2016 18:45 (eight years ago) link

My daughter asked me the other day about various presidents, and whether they were good or bad. Nixon, it was sort of hard (thinking retrospectively) to convey that he was a psycho criminal kicked out of office who nonetheless achieved some great, lasting things. But when I got to GWB, I started listing all the shitty, shitty, destructive things he did or oversaw, with lasting ill effects, and it still blows me away.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 29 January 2016 18:49 (eight years ago) link

Rumsfeld/Cheney, Heckuva Job Brown, Iraq, Katrina, 9/11, the Supreme Court, Harriet Myers, Karl Rove, lowering taxes on rich ... just goes on and on.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 29 January 2016 18:51 (eight years ago) link

reagan too! as far as the shitty lasting effects go...

scott seward, Friday, 29 January 2016 18:51 (eight years ago) link

and they both just went on forever. reagan and bush. doom city.

scott seward, Friday, 29 January 2016 18:52 (eight years ago) link

Reagan really got the ball rolling. But he wasn't as bull in a china shop as Bush. Like, Regan fucked things up, but intentionally. Bush it was a cross between delegating to hit men and incompetence.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 29 January 2016 18:52 (eight years ago) link

funniest conversation I overheard in a bookstore:

Little boy: We should buy this book about Ronald Reagan for mom.
Father: I don't think so. Your mom doesn't like Ronald Reagan.
Little boy: Why? My teacher said he was a best president.
Father: No! What are they teaching you? He was the worst president.

Blowout Coombes (President Keyes), Friday, 29 January 2016 18:52 (eight years ago) link

reagan and bush eras also the only times i can remember people here actually thinking they were going to die! like the sky was going to rain fire on us. i don't remember nixon that well though....

scott seward, Friday, 29 January 2016 18:56 (eight years ago) link

xp LOL

One bad call from barely losing to (Alex in SF), Friday, 29 January 2016 18:56 (eight years ago) link

Well, he got kicked out of office at least. Reagan and Bush did worse, and even more illegal stuff, and got two terms!

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 29 January 2016 18:57 (eight years ago) link

I mean, gah, Bush getting in on a Supreme Court decision! It's just mind-blowing how bad it all was, from minute one!

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 29 January 2016 18:57 (eight years ago) link

it really was the worst of all worst-case scenarios. all of bush. every ounce of bush.

scott seward, Friday, 29 January 2016 19:02 (eight years ago) link

2000 election was stolen fair & square. blame Gore.

Bill Clinton worse than Reagan in many respects

Obama as bad as W in many respects, worse in a couple

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Friday, 29 January 2016 19:03 (eight years ago) link

recent new yorker profile on kerry had some quotes about how he will never get over the idea that there were voting irregularities in ohio

Mordy, Friday, 29 January 2016 19:06 (eight years ago) link

For a long period, after 2004, every time he even half fell asleep all he saw was voting machines in the state of Ohio,” Mike Barnicle, a close friend of Kerry’s and a former columnist for the Boston Globe, told me. This summer, Barnicle spent time with Kerry on Nantucket, where Kerry and his wife, Teresa Heinz, have a house on the water and a seventy-six-foot, seven-million-dollar sailboat called Isabel. “We were sitting in the bow,” Barnicle recalled, “and we were talking about a bunch of different things—about Iran, about what the President of Iran was like—and I said, ‘Other than not being President, this is pretty good.’ There was a security boat sailing off to the side of us. Then he said, ‘Yeah, yeah, I realize how badly Shrum screwed me.’ ”

Mordy, Friday, 29 January 2016 19:07 (eight years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WpKiP_gmDS8

schwantz, Friday, 29 January 2016 19:16 (eight years ago) link

boy there is a lot of pent-up anger in this election

https://www.yahoo.com/politics/bernie-sanders-is-getting-a-surge-of-volunteers-in-150511299.html

When not organizing for Sanders, Rhodes is a Web developer and the founder of NoFap, which he described as an online community dedicated to helping people recover from addiction to pornography. He said he was inspired to create the site based on his own experiences.

goole, Friday, 29 January 2016 19:21 (eight years ago) link

what a (non)wanker

its subtle brume (DJP), Friday, 29 January 2016 19:23 (eight years ago) link

https://twitter.com/jmartNYT/status/693136756682559488

NEWS: Cruz shifting negative ads from Trump to RUBIO entirely for final 3 days to halt Marco 'mo, deny him "win" >
"'mo"? What?

― its subtle brume (DJP), Friday, January 29, 2016 6:28 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

ironically enough a "win" for rubio in iowa is third place

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Friday, 29 January 2016 19:33 (eight years ago) link

Little boy: We should buy this book about Ronald Reagan for mom.
Father: I don't think so. Your mom doesn't like Ronald Reagan.
Little boy: Why? My teacher said he was a best president.
Father: No! What are they teaching you? He was the worst president.

― Blowout Coombes (President Keyes), Friday, January 29, 2016 12:52 PM (40 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

My son is at an age where political viewpoints are starting to filter into his Social Studies classes more strongly. It is starting to sink in what exactly that means for a student in Texas public schools, and I'm very worried.

Check Yr Scrobbles (Moodles), Friday, 29 January 2016 19:38 (eight years ago) link

this is great:

1. the daily mail is way in the tank for trump
2. ted cruz is a little snake

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3422103/Let-s-address-elephant-NOT-room-Republican-debate-Megyn-Kelly-overshadows-attack-thee-Donald-claims-Fox-begged-come-apologized.html

goole, Friday, 29 January 2016 19:49 (eight years ago) link

He addressed veterans' rally – and said Fox had been desperate to have

we are good at writing bullet points

Blowout Coombes (President Keyes), Friday, 29 January 2016 19:55 (eight years ago) link

With all his flaws, Obama is the first prez who feels post-Reagan.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 29 January 2016 19:56 (eight years ago) link

Twenty-two emails from Hillary Clinton's private email server have been marked "top secret" and won't be released, the State Department said Friday.

The emails were not marked as classified at the time they were sent.

"We can confirm that later today, as part of our monthly FOIA productions of former Secretary Clinton's emails, the State Department will be denying in full seven email chains, found in 22 documents representing 37 pages," State Department spokesman John Kirby told reporters.

The documents are being upgraded at the request of the intelligence community because they contain a category of top secret information," Kirby said.

Clinton campaign spokesman Brian Fallon said that Clinton said the emails should be released and called at least one case, "over-classification run amok."

"We firmly oppose the complete blocking of the release of these emails," Fallon said in a statement. "Since first providing her emails to the State Department more than one year ago, Hillary Clinton has urged that they be made available to the public. We feel no differently today."

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 29 January 2016 22:03 (eight years ago) link

With all his flaws, Obama is the first prez who feels post-Reagan.

― The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, January 29, 2016 7:56 PM (2 hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Totally.

a (waterface), Friday, 29 January 2016 22:04 (eight years ago) link

Man, I can't tell if it's just because I live in a cocoon, but not only does Clinton seem generally untrustworthy and unlikeable, which is one thing and nothing new, but she's also really uninspiring, isn't she? Maybe not down at Kerry or Jeb! levels, but she just seems ... there. So careful not to step on any mines that she can't take her eyes off the map. Give the GOP credit for this: their slate of loonies at least get the blood flowing, even if its among a minority of nutcase who can't get their fave kook elected. But Clinton?

I dunno. This election just bums me out, mostly because I'm not sure how confident I am that she will do well at the polls. I mean, statistically I get it, I get how she has a huge advantage, even several advantages. But she did in 2004, too, and she lost to a young, barely tested senator dogged by insane secret Muslim socialist not an American fascist anti-Christ rumors that make the stuff she's been accused of in the past seem almost reasonable.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 29 January 2016 22:33 (eight years ago) link

It's totally anecdotal, but I haven't seen so much as a single Clinton bumper sticker or yard sign yet ...

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 29 January 2016 22:34 (eight years ago) link

Rubio had the charisma of a pepper mill.

― The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn)

would vote for pepper mill, if eligible, over every currently declared candidate.

diana krallice (rushomancy), Friday, 29 January 2016 22:40 (eight years ago) link

clinton's totally winning. i called it ages ago. people will wake up from their bernie fever dream and do their duty as good dems.

scott seward, Friday, 29 January 2016 22:43 (eight years ago) link

i believe Chaucer called it "eateing shite"

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Friday, 29 January 2016 22:45 (eight years ago) link

hil doesn't have to do much of anything. keep her head down. ignore attacks. she's been through it all a million times. people don't care about her old shit anymore. slow and steady and bubba gets his fave white house ice cream sammiches again.

scott seward, Friday, 29 January 2016 22:45 (eight years ago) link

there are tons of conservatives who would much rather deal with bill and hil over the rest of those goofballs.

scott seward, Friday, 29 January 2016 22:46 (eight years ago) link

huh

https://twitter.com/NYDailyNews/status/693198331238072320

Jimmy McMillan, founder of the Rent Is Too Damn High Party, has endorsed @realDonaldTrump http://nydn.us/1SgTsdw

goole, Friday, 29 January 2016 22:51 (eight years ago) link

Maybe DT got him an apartment.

she's been through it all a million times. people don't care about her old shit anymore.

Some people seem to...

https://twitter.com/ChMadar/status/693164021118320640

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Friday, 29 January 2016 22:55 (eight years ago) link

founder of the Rent Is Too Damn High Party, has endorsed @realDonaldTrump

because Trump always charges very reasonable rents and is such a considerate landlord?

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Friday, 29 January 2016 23:02 (eight years ago) link

"'mo"? What?

worried about Marco regaining the traction he had at one point (no Io'mo)

tremendous crime wave and killing wave (Joan Crawford Loves Chachi), Friday, 29 January 2016 23:02 (eight years ago) link

per the NYT today, Rubio hoping for a Trump win in Iowa so he can directly go after him rather than Cruz.

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Friday, 29 January 2016 23:09 (eight years ago) link

jeb! should be rubio's vp

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Saturday, 30 January 2016 00:05 (eight years ago) link

can't, president and vice president must be from different states.

petulant dick master (silby), Saturday, 30 January 2016 00:17 (eight years ago) link

"Must" is not the word. You could certainly nominate an all Florida-ticket, it's just that those electoral college members from Florida could not cast votes for both Rubio as prez and Jeb as veep.

As a keen watcher from not-America, I have never understood why Rubio (empty and uh, not handsome in the slightest, god, what is wrong with beltway journos? or Jeb (lol, look at this guy, people were no more going to nominate him than they were to nominate a dude called fucking "Tim") were so fancied, but I'll admit Rubio has marginally exceeded my low expectations.

oh, boy, .GIF! That's where I'm a Viking! (edwardo), Saturday, 30 January 2016 01:00 (eight years ago) link

Rubio got heat because he is Hispanic, and as I opined in some other thread, the pundit class thinks that the GOP is smart enough to try to put Hispanic votes into play, and dumb and racist enough that they think the way to do it is to advance the ambitions of the son of Cuban immigrants, a demographic much smaller than and extremely different from every other Latin@ population in the US.

petulant dick master (silby), Saturday, 30 January 2016 01:38 (eight years ago) link

But Alfred can address that more knowledgeably and eloquently than I can.

petulant dick master (silby), Saturday, 30 January 2016 01:39 (eight years ago) link

Rubio is also the best-looking of the lot (imo), which I think counts for something with the pundit class especially in the early analysis

tremendous crime wave and killing wave (Joan Crawford Loves Chachi), Saturday, 30 January 2016 01:46 (eight years ago) link

I enjoy Alfred's pithy takedowns of that idea on his blog enormously. Should specify that I agree that he's the best-looking candidate though much of that is youth - young Ben Carson is way better looking I think (better, realer smile and he rocks the beard) but none of them are absolute dishes, only relative.

oh, boy, .GIF! That's where I'm a Viking! (edwardo), Saturday, 30 January 2016 01:58 (eight years ago) link

It's totally anecdotal, but I haven't seen so much as a single Clinton bumper sticker or yard sign yet .

Today I saw a youngish, hipsterish guy in a coffee shop with a big "Ready For Hillary" sticker covering the back of his iPhone. It was obvious since he was talking loudly on his phone while waiting in line.

o. nate, Saturday, 30 January 2016 02:02 (eight years ago) link

Another piece of anecdotal "heard on the street" type evidence: I overheard a guy in a restaurant a couple of weeks ago saying that he had never voted for a Democrat for President in his life but if Trump was the nominee he would vote for Hillary in a second.

o. nate, Saturday, 30 January 2016 02:04 (eight years ago) link

canada ted trending

balls, Saturday, 30 January 2016 03:49 (eight years ago) link

Rubio is also the best-looking of the lot (imo), which I think counts for something with the pundit class

He is, but I don't think Republicans are buying his rage. Maybe that's what Trump is somehow exposing, the phoniness of Rubio's rage or Chris Christie's rage. Or Carly Fiorina's. But then, if you don't have the rage, like Jeb or Kasich, you don't win either unless maybe you're Ted Cruz and you've got some slippery thing going on that folks can identify with.

timellison, Saturday, 30 January 2016 04:31 (eight years ago) link

one of the dumbest moves i can recall (cruz campaign confirms that yes this is something they're doing for some reason) - https://twitter.com/ggreeneva/status/693281396354347014

balls, Saturday, 30 January 2016 05:14 (eight years ago) link

The End of the Republican Party as We Know It, part 37:

http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/interrogation/2016/01/rick_perlstein_historian_of_conservatism_on_donald_trump_and_the_gop_crack.html?wpsrc=sh_all_dt_tw_top

The idea being that Trump just sails past the fail-safe point that Goldwater and Nixon and Reagan and W. honored (whatever their motives--recounting something from Perlstein's Goldwater book that I'd forgotten, Goldwater's pulling back is presented as a moral decision).

Those Cruz mailings are going to endear him to millions. Trump's political instincts mystify me, but Cruz's are recognizably awful.

Big thread--maybe someone can start part 3 after Iowa?

clemenza, Saturday, 30 January 2016 14:46 (eight years ago) link

Wooooowww at that Cruz mailer. Remind me again why he's universally disliked?

Chortles And Guffaws (Old Lunch), Saturday, 30 January 2016 14:49 (eight years ago) link

If Trump is defeated, do you think the Republican Party can right itself, or do you think Trump has opened up a permanent wound?

[Pauses.] Let the record show that I’m speechless. I have no easy answers for this one. What would it mean to right the ship? You have some very profound and fundamental problems. You have every senator who has ever worked with Ted Cruz turning toward Donald Trump, because they can’t stand Cruz. You have much of the infrastructure of the conservative movement explicitly saying that Donald Trump is unacceptable. That’s a pretty profound breach, especially for liberals who are so used to seeing conservatives and Republicans as united strategic geniuses. Again, I have to end on that note of humility. Where was the original contradiction? Where did this come from? Is it, you know, really just this one guy with big hair? Is this situation the result of the failure of political economy as practiced by the Democrats and the Republicans? I don’t have any good answers, and anyone who does, I think, is being glib.

potential new board description in last sentence

Karl Malone, Saturday, 30 January 2016 14:50 (eight years ago) link

I like it when knowledgeable people admit they don't have the answers.

a serious and fascinating fartist (Simon H.), Saturday, 30 January 2016 15:31 (eight years ago) link

One of my favourite things too. I think the main reason I wanted Romney to lose the nomination last time--besides the fact it would have been fun to see him lose--is that I wanted people who tend to make statements/predictions on political matters with such declarative authority to maybe admit "All that stuff I say that I know will happen for sure, truthfully I haven't got a clue." I tend to equivocate, but this time I got caught up in that too: early on, I said with absolute declarative authority that there was no way Trump was going to win the nomination (or even last very far past Iowa). Pretty clearly, I didn't have a clue when I said that.

clemenza, Saturday, 30 January 2016 15:48 (eight years ago) link

Iowa hasn't even voted yet! I still don't think he'll get the nom

Οὖτις, Saturday, 30 January 2016 15:56 (eight years ago) link

True--I'm jumping the gun a bit. Interesting listening to this yahoo out of Buffalo, Tom Bauerle, coming home on Friday. He's a Cruz guy who's decided that after Thursday's debate and non-debate, Trump is now the certain nominee.

clemenza, Saturday, 30 January 2016 16:01 (eight years ago) link

It would be amazing to see the fallout if Iowa went Cruz, with someone out of nowhere second and Trump third--maybe there's an inherent sliver of potential chaos attached to a caucus state. That Cruz mailing isn't a good start in that direction.

clemenza, Saturday, 30 January 2016 16:09 (eight years ago) link

don't know if anyone finds this surprising but NYT endorses Hill: http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/31/opinion/sunday/hillary-clinton-endorsement.html

Mordy, Saturday, 30 January 2016 16:10 (eight years ago) link

tbf alot of the 'nobody could've seen this coming' was a result of ppl ignoring the data in favor of assumptions. to an extent it was totally fair to ignore the data in favor of assumptions - polling data that far out from the primaries is nearly meaningless (trump didn't go away but ben carson did, and alot of the rationale for why trump would go away - inexperienced, gaffe prone - were also true for carson and were largely why he went away), hell nate silver will remind you that polling data this close to the primaries isn't especially useful either. ppl discounted the numbers when if it had been rubio or jeb! w/ those numbers they would've been the obvious front runner. i think the horserace day-by-day strategic, uh, brilliance of trump has been overstated in importance. he's been very effective at picking off the latest challenger yes but ultimately the reason his supporters support him isn't because this gambit or that but because they like his personality and share a common ideology w/ regard to the issues they care about most. these are pretty normal reasons for a candidate to become a frontrunner. the only reason it appears insane here is because the republican base is insane. trump could still blow it, either in iowa or down the road and if he does it may be for the reasons ppl thought he couldn't possibly win. either way assumptions will be tested.

balls, Saturday, 30 January 2016 16:12 (eight years ago) link

idk how much a NYT endorsement is worth on the Dem side but on the Rep side you'd probably prefer they don't endorse you

Mordy, Saturday, 30 January 2016 16:46 (eight years ago) link

lol

Karl Malone, Saturday, 30 January 2016 16:53 (eight years ago) link

Where was the original contradiction?

(*ahem*) supply side (*ahem*) trickle down (*ahem*) deregulation

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Saturday, 30 January 2016 17:02 (eight years ago) link

*christian*

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Saturday, 30 January 2016 17:06 (eight years ago) link

Mrs. Clinton can be more hawkish on the use of military power than Mr. Obama, as shown by her current call for a no-fly zone in Syria and her earlier support for arming and training Syrian rebels. We are not convinced that a no-fly zone is the right approach in Syria, but we have no doubt that Mrs. Clinton would use American military power effectively and with infinitely more care and wisdom than any of the leading Republican contenders.

man this is some spineless shit. her military record is disastrous. it's telling that -- in what is supposedly an endorsement in the democratic primary -- her contrasts with republicans are highlighted

k3vin k., Saturday, 30 January 2016 17:36 (eight years ago) link

the thing that strikes me about this race is the growing perception that, one way or another, this is endgame for american democracy, that the legislature is unwilling or unable to perform its prescribed duties and that the next president will more or less openly rule by fiat. of course when the supreme court strikes down rule by executive order this spring (an outcome the obama administration is openly courting, presumably because they assume it will give the democrats an electoral advantage) that will throw another wrinkle in things. all of the arguments of just a few years ago over the "nuclear option" in congress seem quaint and hollow now.

diana krallice (rushomancy), Saturday, 30 January 2016 17:37 (eight years ago) link

(this also neuters one of the key anti-bernie arguments, because you can answer "how will he work with congress?" the with "the same way clinton will- by ignoring them".)

diana krallice (rushomancy), Saturday, 30 January 2016 17:41 (eight years ago) link

Hilary's military record now is a hell of a lot less disastrous than Bush, Obama, Clinton (I), and what it will be in eight years...

Frederik B, Saturday, 30 January 2016 18:00 (eight years ago) link

I consider the Non-Invasion of Iran to be on the Pro side for the Obama admin's use of military power.

petulant dick master (silby), Saturday, 30 January 2016 18:06 (eight years ago) link

What point are you trying to make by observing that her record is less disastrous than it will be if she becomes president (xp).

boxall, Saturday, 30 January 2016 18:06 (eight years ago) link

man this is some spineless shit. her military record is disastrous. it's telling that -- in what is supposedly an endorsement in the democratic primary -- her contrasts with republicans are highlighted

― k3vin k., Saturday, January 30, 2016 5:36 PM (43 minutes ago)

yeah that is appalling. it's telling that a lot of the pro-hillary arguments basically elide her awful foreign policy.

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Saturday, 30 January 2016 18:25 (eight years ago) link

yeah as much as i can wince whenever bernie addresses foreign policy and hillary clearly knows her shit so much more that a sanders administration would be so so much more likely to do or not do what i like than a clinton one

balls, Saturday, 30 January 2016 18:49 (eight years ago) link

What point are you trying to make by observing that her record is less disastrous than it will be if she becomes president (xp).

― boxall, 30. januar 2016 19:06 (1 hour ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Mainly just joking. But I honestly don't think her record can be described as 'disastrous'. Yet...

Frederik B, Saturday, 30 January 2016 19:27 (eight years ago) link

there are legitimate arguments that our intervention in libya and the surge in afghanistan, both of which she strongly advocated for and neither of which faced unanimous support w/in the administration, were disastrous. it's fair to argue that if obama had listened to her re: syria it would have been disastrous and that her judgment there (which btw she hasn't changed on) can be considered as part of her record. she may have voted for a war or two as senator as well iirc.

balls, Saturday, 30 January 2016 19:48 (eight years ago) link

her foreign policy is one of the things that would prevent me from voting for her in the general. really p much "supreme court team captain for 4-8 years" is her biggest selling point for me.

get a long, little doggy (m bison), Saturday, 30 January 2016 20:16 (eight years ago) link

NYT should've brought back Judith Miller to write the endorsement for old times' sake

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 30 January 2016 20:18 (eight years ago) link

the growing perception that, one way or another, this is endgame for american democracy, that the legislature is unwilling or unable to perform its prescribed duties and that the next president will more or less openly rule by fiat

your personal perception, you mean? this has happened before and IIRC the late 20th century model of "bipartisan" US governance is the anomaly, not at all the norm.

all official correspondence concerning "chili cook-off" (El Tomboto), Saturday, 30 January 2016 20:25 (eight years ago) link

worth remembering that in 1979-1980 the smart chatter concerned the twilight of the presidency

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 30 January 2016 21:01 (eight years ago) link

then all of a sudden the pageantry was restored

denies the existence of dark matter (difficult listening hour), Saturday, 30 January 2016 21:02 (eight years ago) link

then all of a sudden Nancy Davis saved my soul

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 30 January 2016 21:16 (eight years ago) link

hardly worth the trouble!

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 30 January 2016 21:26 (eight years ago) link

said Jane Wyman

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 30 January 2016 21:34 (eight years ago) link

"your personal perception, you mean? this has happened before and IIRC the late 20th century model of "bipartisan" US governance is the anomaly, not at all the norm."

the perception of the people i talk to, mostly. it's not about whether or not "the norm" is being breached but what direction economic and social forces are driving governmental institutions, which is to say an increasingly strong executive, an increasingly weak legislature, and no particular foreseeable trends that could change that.

diana krallice (rushomancy), Saturday, 30 January 2016 23:33 (eight years ago) link

I don't see this current executive as any stronger than the prior ones, but I see right-wingers trying to assert that Obama's executive orders are somehow worse, more controlling and illegal. The right-wing arguments seem pretty weak on this

http://www.infowars.com/study-obama-has-issued-more-restrictive-executive-orders-than-past-six-administrations/

Figures compiled by the Federal Register also show that while Obama has issued 229 executive orders, to George W. Bush’s 292 and Bill Clinton’s 308, the total length of Obama’s orders equates to 1,086 pages.
Bush’s orders comprised 922 pages and Clinton’s just 781 pages.
“Not all executive orders are created equal,” said John Hudak of the Brookings Institution. “Some are quite forceful, making dramatic changes to policy. Others are more routine, housekeeping issues.”

curmudgeon, Sunday, 31 January 2016 00:00 (eight years ago) link

So Cruz still doesn't know what he would replace Obamacare with....

http://www.nytimes.com/politics/first-draft/2016/01/30/uncomfortable-question-for-ted-cruz-on-obamacare-silences-the-room/?action=click&contentCollection=Americas&module=MostPopularFB&version=Full®ion=Marginalia&src=me&pgtype=article

Mark never had health care until Obama care,” Mr. Valde continued. “What are you going to replace it with?”

Mr. Cruz expressed condolences and pivoted quickly to a well-worn answer assailing the health care law.

Mr. Cruz said “millions of Americans” had lost their jobs and their doctors as a result of the law, and that many had “seen their premiums skyrocket.”

He said he had often joked about a pledge by Mr. Obama that premiums would drop: “Anyone whose premiums have dropped $2,500, as President Obama promised, should vote for Hillary Clinton,” Mr. Cruz said. “I’ll take everybody else.”

Many in the room laughed.

Mr. Valde — who said in an interview later that he did in fact intend to caucus for Mrs. Clinton — pressed on.

“My question is, what are you going to replace it with?” he said.

curmudgeon, Sunday, 31 January 2016 00:16 (eight years ago) link

hero

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 31 January 2016 00:21 (eight years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CaBsYMuUcAASBXA.jpg

well i never

mookieproof, Sunday, 31 January 2016 06:19 (eight years ago) link

Genuinely not sure what the CDs are supposed to signify there.

Andrew Farrell, Sunday, 31 January 2016 08:32 (eight years ago) link

"I don't see this current executive as any stronger than the prior ones, but I see right-wingers trying to assert that Obama's executive orders are somehow worse, more controlling and illegal. The right-wing arguments seem pretty weak on this"

i'm far from a right-winger, and i don't see the executive orders as "bad"- they're the only possible response to a fundamentally broken (and universally despised) legislature. i also don't see this as a partisan issue, but a long-term historical trend, particularly clear when you look at the leading candidates from both parties this year, all of whom exemplify, in various ways, a fetishization of autocracy. i don't think the notion that executive orders should be judged qualitatively as well as quantitatively is a bad point, either. combine the sweeping use of executive orders with the fairly novel (that i know of) claimed executive right to selectively enforce laws on the books and the long-term trend is definitely towards greater centralization of power in the executive.

as for whether the orders are unconstitutional, the court will be ruling on the issue this year, and i for one have very little doubt as to how they'll rule- i do not see this as an issue that will split the conservative majority. the only question is what the reaction will be to that ruling, and i genuinely have no idea myself.

diana krallice (rushomancy), Sunday, 31 January 2016 09:41 (eight years ago) link

tried to make a Mean To Hillary thing but hey who wants to see a Katha Pollitt cartoonface, ewwww

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 31 January 2016 09:59 (eight years ago) link

Genuinely not sure what the CDs are supposed to signify there.

I think the image is from South Park back in the days when a CD burner was part of one's system pretty routinely, they signify "this guy is sitting around at his computer all day" i.e. it's a joke one can't really make any more because the forum on which you're making it is certainly the internet and we're all the guy who wants the hot pocket

tremendous crime wave and killing wave (Joan Crawford Loves Chachi), Sunday, 31 January 2016 13:06 (eight years ago) link

He uncharacteristically used one scripted line, citing a Bible verse from “two Corinthians” instead of “Second Corinthians,” drawing some chuckles from the audience. Back on his plane, an angry Mr. Trump reviewed his page of notes and saw he copied “2 Corinthians” exactly as emailed from Tony Perkins, president of the Family Research Council, who suggested its usage in the Liberty speech.

With social and cable media highlighting his gaffe, Mr. Trump blamed it on a momentary lapse of listening to someone other than himself. “I’m self-funding my campaign; no one can tell me what to say or do,” Mr. Trump said. “I do better that way.”

Mr. Perkins said: “I gave him the reference as you would find it in any English Bible.”

Karl Malone, Sunday, 31 January 2016 15:12 (eight years ago) link

xp That makes sense - I can see the South Park guys thinking "This guy just burns CDs and leave them around, that's what they do, on the internet".

Andrew Farrell, Sunday, 31 January 2016 15:16 (eight years ago) link

Is the guy's mom just off-screen to the right in that one room apartment?

Bnad, Sunday, 31 January 2016 15:50 (eight years ago) link

...i actually do have stacks of burned cds laying around my computer desk, although i suppose if i'd cleaned off my desk at some point in the last decade i wouldn't...

diana krallice (rushomancy), Sunday, 31 January 2016 15:55 (eight years ago) link

the fairly novel (that i know of) claimed executive right to selectively enforce laws

It is the opposite of novel - executive discretion to enforce or not is extremely broad, and especially in an area like immigration. The "take care" clause doesn't have any real teeth here.

Relatedly, the general consensus on US v. Texas is the opposite of yours - a comfortable reversal (that is, federal government upheld).

boxall, Sunday, 31 January 2016 15:55 (eight years ago) link

x-post to a fundamentally broken (and universally despised) legislature

Despised but I don't see it as "fundamentally broken." Or are you suggesting gerrymandering and demographics will forever leave House and maybe Senate in one stubborn party's hands, and presidency in another's. Stubborn Republicans keep pushing same old ideas without a veto-proof majority now, while in the past during Reagan and Bush years they could get some Dems to sign off on their ideas be they tax cuts for rich or Iraq. Bipartisanship for its own sake is not necessarily good.

curmudgeon, Sunday, 31 January 2016 17:52 (eight years ago) link

"It is the opposite of novel - executive discretion to enforce or not is extremely broad, and especially in an area like immigration."

i'm not even talking about immigration, necessarily, though that's part of it. there's also things like the federal ban on marijuana, where the administration is giving states a great deal of leeway. as in the case of immigration, i am broadly in agreement with the position of the executive branch on the issue, but i disagree with the notion that individual states can "opt out" of obedience to federal law.

interesting to hear the consensus on us v. texas. i confess i haven't been following the case terribly closely- has it been argued yet? do they think kennedy will join the liberal bloc on that one?

re: legislature being fundamentally broken- i don't mean simply the presidency being in the hands of one party and the legislature in another- that seems to be more or less par for the course in the american system. the main twist here is that the party in control of the legislature is itself fundamentally broken and ideologically bankrupt, and the social, economic, and political structure of the country right now tends to encourage this outcome. specifically what outrages me most is the ongoing attempts to exert power over the executive by refusing to raise the debt limit unless their demands are met. that's not good governance, that's some dr. evil shit right there. a group with that sort of destructive power, the will to use it, and a lack of good judgment or principle ought to have that power stripped from them.

diana krallice (rushomancy), Sunday, 31 January 2016 18:53 (eight years ago) link

the parties are much more ideologically coherent now. alot of bipartisan governing was born out of southern yellow dog dems or liberal northeastern republicans. 30-40 years ago you could have a democrat like larry mcdonald in congress who was further to the right than ronald reagan. nowadays the most liberal republicans are generally still to the right of the most conservative democrats. the move toward ideological purity tests and threat of being primaried (which obv conservatives have been far more successful at than progressives) has only amplified the trend. i'd also argue that a reduction in a certain kind of hamiltonian corruption eg pork has reduced the mechanisms thru which government in the past was made possible.

balls, Sunday, 31 January 2016 19:36 (eight years ago) link

Sure - it's clear that not being "conservative" enough is a the kiss of death for a Republican... so yeah, the purity thing is there, but I don't know if that makes them ideologically coherent. I mean, just look at these primaries! It's been said many times before but there's really no strong reason on paper why xenophobia, apocalyptic religious mania, big-government subsidies for corporations, small-government views of regulatory agencies, military might, turn-back-the-clock culture war stuff, the death penalty, etc., etc., would all go together. In the America that we have, they happen to line up with a lot of the same demographics and you can win elections by bundling them all together as "conservative," but it's not like they all stem from the same intellectual tradition, or that one logically leads to the others or anything. They've been effectively welded together, but they're not coherent.

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Sunday, 31 January 2016 19:51 (eight years ago) link

american two-party democracy encourages coalition parties, and this has been the case since at least the start of the third party system in ~1860. in some senses the coalition of parties around, say, 1900 made more sense than the current coalition (militaristic imperialism, for instance, seems a more logical complement to a vision of an interventionist "big government" than it does to a government small enough to be drowned in a bathtub), and in some senses it did not. the issue here is that one of the current coalition parties has developed, as one of its core tenets, the refusal to compromise. i'd argue that this is an intrinsically toxic trait for a coalition party to possess.

diana krallice (rushomancy), Sunday, 31 January 2016 20:17 (eight years ago) link

what comprises this coalition in 2016?

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 31 January 2016 20:19 (eight years ago) link

by ideologically coherent i mean that previously the parties were rooted in geographical factors and history as much as (and honestly probably more than) any shared ideology. ignoring this history is how you get nro types nowadays saying that actually democrats opposed the civil rights act and republicans supported it. there's some truth to that statement - the biggest opponents to civil rights legislation during the sixties were indeed democrats - but it's still fundamentally dishonest; when you remove party labels and exchange it for political ideology it doesn't hold up - liberals and progressives supported civil rights legislation and conservatives opposed it, either out of open bigotry or thru hemming and hawing adherence to conservative 'principles' (cf goldwater in 64 and buckley's 'why the south must prevail'). w/ these southern dems there were still some roots in new deal principles, if only the ability to point at a hospital or highway built helped reelection efforts. as identity politics became a larger factor in democratic party politics and the conservative movement took firmer root in the south you have the gop become competitive in senate and house races in the eighties to winning them during the nineties (w/ as many or more yellow dog dems switching parties esp following the 94 election)(and not really having to change their ideological stripes much) to winning statehouses and governor's mansions this century.

balls, Sunday, 31 January 2016 20:24 (eight years ago) link

we can argue that shared ideology is now rooted in part on geographical factors, as the data about the GOP's most fervent constituency has shown (i.e. poor rural white voters). And they still want government help so long as it doesn't go to Mexicans and other people not like them.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 31 January 2016 20:32 (eight years ago) link

this isn't to say that the democratic party label in the south was basically meaningless or purely a vestige of civil war grudges. zell miller became a cartoon on the national stage and ppl wondered exactly how the hell this guy was a democrat but the hope scholarship, for all that is decidedly not progressive about it (funded by lottery), is still far more progressive a program than you'll ever see from any of the republican governors that will control this state until well after i die. nevermind a similar expansive classic liberal program, i can't imagine you'll even see a restoration of what hope was under miller and barnes before perdue and deal eroded and chipped away at it.

balls, Sunday, 31 January 2016 20:33 (eight years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CDTAR36WMAAS90J.png:large

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 31 January 2016 20:40 (eight years ago) link

HIV?

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 31 January 2016 20:47 (eight years ago) link

"And they still want government help so long as it doesn't go to Mexicans and other people not like them."

they do and they don't - cf the govt better keep it's hands off my medicare. and yeah shared ideology is rooted in geographical factors (praying to god gabbneb doesn't fly into that opening to drop some more poli sci he picked up from a book you can buy at walgreen's). just that a realignment that started w/ nixon's southern strategy (or arguably thurmond switching parties in 64) has now settled firmly into place. there's the lbj quote about losing the south for thirty years and while this kinda came true w/ presidential elections (exceptions made when relatively conservative dems from the south were on the ticket) it took much longer for it to happen downticket. when it did it wasn't because of any mass shift in the ideology of southerners, the back country of alabama and mississippi weren't filled w/ hillbilly whitaker chambers and irving kristols who'd had the scales fall from their eyes.

balls, Sunday, 31 January 2016 20:52 (eight years ago) link

xp ha

lines go between members of congress who vote together, nodes are colored by party affiliation. details here http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0123507

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 31 January 2016 20:58 (eight years ago) link

There's probably a campaign slogan in here somewhere for Clinton ("Fighting for the 8% of America That Dislikes Me Less Than the Other Guy").

http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/01/30/donald-trump-is-the-least-favorably-viewed-presidential-candidate-since-at-least-1992/?tid=sm_fb

clemenza, Sunday, 31 January 2016 21:01 (eight years ago) link

heh, last line of abstract - "Yet, a group of representatives continue to cooperate across party lines despite growing partisanship." - could almost be the last line of the synopsis of some ya novel adaptation. shailene woodley as susan collins, josh hutcherson as joe manchin in THE PAGE RUNNER.

balls, Sunday, 31 January 2016 21:06 (eight years ago) link

Been arguing a lot with a few Hillary supporters lately, who don't seem to understand that me not liking her is not necessarily the same as wanting Sanders, let alone Trump, to win. I don't know if it's their ignorance of history, or my misplaced focus on the past (for example, on how she responded to Bill's bimbo eruptions, if not her legislative history, which to be fair is not radically different from Obama's or Sanders, except on a few conspicuous issues), that explains why no one seems to understand why I would have any reservations with Clinton. I still get a lot of people insisting she is really accomplished, with a big emphasis on Iran sanctions and a speech on women's rights in China. And the biggest reason I get for not supporting Sanders is that he can't get elected, which seems a ... tautology? Or at least a fear tactic.

Anyway, some questions for you numbers people. Any clues how many Sanders supporters will flat out not vote for Clinton? Or how many independents or otherwise not Democrats would vote for Sanders? Or whether or not Clinton's support among women is as sure a thing as some might suppose?

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 31 January 2016 21:09 (eight years ago) link

x-post--the party in control of the legislature is itself fundamentally broken and ideologically bankrupt

But frustratingly for Dems, the Republicans' bankrupt ideology still gets them control of Congress, and a majority of state governorships and legislatures. Plus 46% or so the vote in presidential elections

curmudgeon, Sunday, 31 January 2016 21:32 (eight years ago) link

Been arguing a lot with a few Hillary supporters lately, who don't seem to understand that me not liking her is not necessarily the same as wanting Sanders, let alone Trump, to win. I don't know if it's their ignorance of history, or my misplaced focus on the past (for example, on how she responded to Bill's bimbo eruptions, if not her legislative history, which to be fair is not radically different from Obama's or Sanders, except on a few conspicuous issues), that explains why no one seems to understand why I would have any reservations with Clinton. I still get a lot of people insisting she is really accomplished, with a big emphasis on Iran sanctions and a speech on women's rights in China. And the biggest reason I get for not supporting Sanders is that he can't get elected, which seems a ... tautology? Or at least a fear tactic.

Anyway, some questions for you numbers people. Any clues how many Sanders supporters will flat out not vote for Clinton? Or how many independents or otherwise not Democrats would vote for Sanders? Or whether or not Clinton's support among women is as sure a thing as some might suppose?

it's pretty hard to know at this point since this race is so weird. I think if sanders were running against a romney type candidate it would be easy for a ton of centrist dems to defect. if he were running against trump, some blue collar voters would but the democrats would still win on net defections.

his relatively high favorables right now aren't what they would be once he was 'introduced to the public' by the gop machine. whereas everyone knows Clinton and aren't gonna be forming a new opinion on her.

overall dems are way better at not screwing their own party but there hasn't been a serious candidate in recent history comparable to sanders. he genuinely is left of a lot of dem voters.

iatee, Sunday, 31 January 2016 22:08 (eight years ago) link

last week of polls out of iowa has been pretty rough for him

k3vin k., Sunday, 31 January 2016 22:26 (eight years ago) link

Man, that South Park ep is from '06, when dvd-R were still a thing and World of Warcraft was big enough that they incorporated it into an episode. I like that the dude still has an Okama Gamesphere plugged in. Dreamcast 4 lyfe

Darkest Cosmologist junk (kingfish), Sunday, 31 January 2016 22:39 (eight years ago) link

@ balls - yeah, that's all true, and I know that history quite well... just think that "ideological coherence" is still a misnomer. What you're describing I suppose is the degree to which one's agreement with a party's platform is predictive of one's party membership and not derailed by other associations or loyalties. Not sure what the best term would be, but "ideological coherence" to me suggests we're talking about whether the coalitions definining a party share enough common ground for the party to make sense as anything other than an expedient.

The splits between Trump, Cruz-Carson, and Bush-Kasich-Christie, to me suggest a very strained coalition to me - like if we had a multiparty system and these guys all formed a government together, we'd be talking about it as a Frankenstein's monster likely to fall apart as soon as it hits the first piece of legislation around which their ideologies DON'T cohere. This is kinda true on the Dem side too but that looks more like a grand coalition imo - center right party aligning with the social democrats to wall out the conservatives, liberals and fascists. It also has a clear-ish enough line around its social and cultural politics for it to be obvious why remaining Kasich types don't just turn to Clinton (a la Reagan Democrats), which everyone expects they would in the unlikely event of a Trump nomination.

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Sunday, 31 January 2016 22:56 (eight years ago) link

don't think anyone gets to say 'unlikely event of a trump nomination' anymore

iatee, Sunday, 31 January 2016 23:46 (eight years ago) link

honestly I have five bucks that says the party will not let trump have the nom nom nom

tremendous crime wave and killing wave (Joan Crawford Loves Chachi), Monday, 1 February 2016 00:06 (eight years ago) link

Trump, Cruz-Carson, and Bush-Kasich-Christie - ignoring to an extent trump and carson, if only cuz their ideologies aren't consistent enough day to day to be coherent, the rest of these guys (and pretty much the rest of the field) are all w/in a pretty narrow range ideologically. rubio gets touted as a moderate somehow lately but he was very much a tea party conservative base hero, felling the rino candidate in a primary just like cruz. christie was a god to the tea party until he hugged obama, one reason the romney campaign vetted him for veep was as a way to shore up mitten's conservative bonafides (they opted for pual ryan instead). kasich and bush only come off moderate as a result of their political longevity, their politics are still very conservative, their moderate positions are to the right of reagan. there are some heresies floating amongst them and some shades of difference between their stances but on most issues they're largely on the same page. if you compare them to a nominee field from 1980 or 1968 or 1952 etc the amount of ideological variety is nil. they're conservatives.

balls, Monday, 1 February 2016 00:09 (eight years ago) link

re: unlikely events: I'm not convinced anything has meaningfully changed since all the other times it's been said. To recap: very high negatives (implying low ceiling) and barely-consolidated field of opponents (suggesting race will look very different as field finally shrinks). No one has voted yet, he faces huge structural disadvantages... maybe it's not unthinkable, but I stand by "unlikely."

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Monday, 1 February 2016 00:11 (eight years ago) link

Going forward, I wonder what it will mean that there is so much talk (relatively speaking) about the Dems not "letting" Sanders get the nom, or the GOP not "letting" Trump get the nom. Less voter turnout? More voter turn-off?

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 1 February 2016 00:19 (eight years ago) link

It is definitely unlikely at this juncture

Xp

Οὖτις, Monday, 1 February 2016 00:20 (eight years ago) link

it just depends on your definition of 'unlikely'. I don't think it's greater than a 50% chance. but I don't think the guy who has been leading the polls for months straight and continues to lead in the polls has a significantly lower than 50% chance at the nomination, *esp* given the 2nd choice options gop voters have.

iatee, Monday, 1 February 2016 00:26 (eight years ago) link

They're conservatives, yes, obviously, but my point is that that word conceals a substantial range of ideological difference even if all segments of the party have drifted rightwards. Bracketing out Carson and Trump is cheating - they're not THAT all over the map, and it seems clear enough which (substantial and apparently semi-durable) voting blocs they're appealing to... and why Jeb and company do not overlap with them!

I didn't mention Rubio, but I would also have slotted him in a Venn diagram w/ Cruz and Carson (where he shares Tea Party w Cruz, and the other two are working evangelical territory). Even the concept of a "RINO" suggests that this big tent of "conservative" conceals subsets which at the very least hold meaning for the people inside the tent.

Yeah, it's not 1980, but it's still a coalition, and one showing its divisions more clearly even than say, 96 or 00. We're still looking at Steve Forbes, Pat Buchanan, and Gary Bauer, trying to sell themselves as the leaders of the same party, and stuck doing so through the limited vocabulary afforded by Iowa Caucus questions, aka "but where do you stand on ethanol?" They're all conservatives but what that means in theory, politics and policy does not add up to coherence.

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Monday, 1 February 2016 00:33 (eight years ago) link

Trump *is* the second choice though - or more like fourth or fifth! The majority of Republicans don't want to vote for him, even as a backup. He leads by pluralities, not majorities, and they shrink when we look at states where the campaign has actually been happening. If the field hadn't been a clown car from the get-go, most of his "months straight" would look like Bill Bradley, mired in the 20s, and with his performance since December coming off as a surge that might (but probably won't) stick around for a while. Of course, since it IS a clown car, he's positioned to win some states, but maybe not.

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Monday, 1 February 2016 00:47 (eight years ago) link

Basically, the clown car effects, and the impossibility of judging whether Trump's unconventional GOTV tactics will actually GOTV, are making it really hard to say what this race would/will look like as a more familiar three- or four-person contest. Tomorrow may at least clear up the GOTV question a bit.

I'm also thinking about the polling in places like, say, Wisconsin... which admittedly doesn't vote for a while and doesn't have tons of polls to go on, but which nonetheless shows a much weaker lead for Trump - a place in fact where Rubio-plus-nobodies is a clean first place over Trump and Cruz. Rubio's whole plan must be to survive the first few primaries not looking like a failure (and, hopefully, swing a fluke win in one of them - which is not the MOST likely outcome, but is definitely not out of the question, even in Iowa), stay in the thing, absorb the bottom-tier candidates' supporters as they drop out, and win a long war of delegate accumulation. In this sense, the most important thing might end up being the order in which other candidates drop out - if the most Trump/Cruz-oriented alternatives bail first, it might increase the perception of Rubio as a distant third-place just based on the composition of the early states.

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Monday, 1 February 2016 01:11 (eight years ago) link

yeah but the rinos have largely, where possible (which is most places it's possible for the gop to win anyway), been driven out. arlen specter died, richard lugar got primaried out. to an extent these kind of purification cycles become narrower and narrower but twelve years ago when ppl were speculating on jeb's presidential prospects (he was the 'smart one' after all) nobody listed 'not conservative enough' as a potential liability (whereas it was an obv potential factor for mittens and giuliani).

right now if i had to bet and you gave me the choice of trump vs the field i'd take the field (tbh w/ any bet where it's early enough that 'the field' is an option take 'the field', this was true when tiger woods was tiger woods, it's true w/ golden state now, and it's sure as hell true w/ trump who's nowhere near tiger or golden state). if i had to pick one specific candidate though i'd take trump. the paths to victory for anyone else just require too many things to go just right. man i hope he doesn't though. that whole field is filled w/ maniacs i don't want anywhere near the white house but trump is like something out of an alternate history.

balls, Monday, 1 February 2016 01:23 (eight years ago) link

fwiw the des moines register poll has trump and clinton winning iowa. trump has a... huge lead in new hampshire as well. no republican who wasn't already the sitting president has won both iowa and new hampshire (though tbf romney only lost iowa by 34 votes).

balls, Monday, 1 February 2016 01:33 (eight years ago) link

Thing is, if there actually is predictive value in these early-state primaries, it would be predictive value for basically typical races - the role they serve is to help reveal, from a three-to-five-person field, if there's a candidate who manages to appeal to these distinctive Republican constituencies, and moreover, which one(s) just have the basic logistical stuff down. The clown-car field (and the Citizens United system that sustains it) means that we're not really looking at that at all. They're not meaningless contests, of course, but I don't think they can perform the same "here's who passes the smell test" function. At least, the results they deliver won't be definitive.

In 2000, Steve Forbes took second place in Iowa (with 30.5%!) and it was still basically the doom of his candidacy because in a field of that size, for GWB to take it with 41% confirmed that this was a race with a front-runner, and even being a billionaire goober pouring all your hopes into one state you couldn't wrest it away. In 2016, Cruz could win Iowa with 25% or so, and then strike out from there on out as comparatively moderate states swing Rubio and meanwhile voters generally discover that the more they get to know him the more he seems creepy, off and totally weird. Put another way, I just think winning Iowa with a 25%-ish plurality can't be as meaningful in terms of a candidate's prospects for Super Tuesday as winning Iowa with a 40%-ish plurality. It worked out for Dole just fine, but I think there the real action was elsewhere and it's only hindsight that confirms the importance of a strong Iowa finish.

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Monday, 1 February 2016 02:05 (eight years ago) link

yeah new hampshire and iowa matter obv, it's for bullshit narrative reasons but bullshit narratives have an impact, iowa made carter and it definitely helped make obama. at the same time they can easily mean nothing in the long run (that 'no gop in an open race has won both' factoid is weird cuz it's not like there haven't been gop races w/ clear and obv frontrunners). i've always thought south carolina was at least as important and historically arguably more important than iowa or new hampshire. the gop voters there are more reflective of the base of the party and more reflective of the voters in the super tuesday or this year the sec primary shortly after. w/ dems it's the first state w/ a significant black voter base. sanders winning iowa or new hampshire are necessary and helpful but wouldn't be nearly as significant as him winning south carolina. south carolina has been a fluky outlier before, w/ jesse in 88 and newt in 12, but much more often iirc it's served as the first real demonstration of the state of the race. which is a shame as historically south carolina has been the great seed of evil in american history.

balls, Monday, 1 February 2016 02:28 (eight years ago) link

"But frustratingly for Dems, the Republicans' bankrupt ideology still gets them control of Congress, and a majority of state governorships and legislatures. Plus 46% or so the vote in presidential elections"

and this is the root of the problem. somebody still has to run the country, and it's not as if the democrats necessarily endorse autocratic methods, but the lack of internal republican party discipline (significantly aided, as a poster upthread mentioned, by boehner's anti-corruption initiatives), and the fact that the republican party these days is almost wholly defined by a negative vision, makes autocratic rule by the national executive basically necessary. worse, this sort of rule seems more acceptable to the electorate than rule with the advice and consent of the legislature, as the two leading presidential candidates for the republican party are themselves autocrats.

diana krallice (rushomancy), Monday, 1 February 2016 11:11 (eight years ago) link

the bipartisan wars will continue

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Monday, 1 February 2016 12:09 (eight years ago) link

Daughterhugfailgate might be the end of this guy. the kid represents the voters.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AboctQk2qNk

scott seward, Monday, 1 February 2016 14:36 (eight years ago) link

Oof.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 1 February 2016 14:41 (eight years ago) link

don't know if this was linked. pretty awesome. putting a (white) human face on the crazy.

http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/01/iowa-new-hampshire-gop-voters-poll.html

scott seward, Monday, 1 February 2016 14:47 (eight years ago) link

guy trying to give his daughter a hug while she flicks her index finger at him is the first relatable thing about the cruz

Mordy, Monday, 1 February 2016 14:52 (eight years ago) link

Voters said they no longer felt free to be themselves... unable to pray publicly or even say “God bless you” when someone sneezes.

I would have called bullshit on this, but after the ILX thread where everybody got pissy about people saying "have a blessed day" I can believe it

example (crüt), Monday, 1 February 2016 15:12 (eight years ago) link

http://pixel.nymag.com/imgs/daily/intelligencer/2016/01/22/magazine/republican-voters/25-gop-claude-greiner.nocrop.w250.h378.2x.jpg

And we have given a lot of money to charity, because we have been successful, and we’ve tried to give back. But I have one philosophy: Teach a man how to work, don’t give him a fish. Teach a man to fish, don’t give him a fish."

smoothy doles it (nakhchivan), Monday, 1 February 2016 15:14 (eight years ago) link

so much fear in those responses. fear of so many things! and people who really think that christians are now a minority in this country...

scott seward, Monday, 1 February 2016 15:15 (eight years ago) link

Was he quoting Jesus?

Who the fuck seriously claims that no one says "bless you" after someone sneezes? "Have a blessed day," sure, I've never heard that out loud, except at, like, Ren Fairs or whatever.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 1 February 2016 15:16 (eight years ago) link

I grew up as a strict constitutionalist. Let’s say my brother got caught with a pack of cigarettes in his room and my mom went to punish him. My dad said, “What are you doing in his room? You can’t punish him, you didn’t have jurisdiction to do the search.”

example (crüt), Monday, 1 February 2016 15:17 (eight years ago) link

Now that is a Jesus quote, right?

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 1 February 2016 15:18 (eight years ago) link

You can’t punish him, you didn’t have jurisdiction to do the search.

Gonna use this.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 1 February 2016 15:19 (eight years ago) link

"Have a blessed day," sure, I've never heard that out loud, except at, like, Ren Fairs or whatever.

I think I've mostly heard it from older black men & women tbh

example (crüt), Monday, 1 February 2016 15:20 (eight years ago) link

so many things to quote here

We have a war on everything — war on gender, war on police, war on race, you name it.

example (crüt), Monday, 1 February 2016 15:23 (eight years ago) link

war on iowa wites

art, Monday, 1 February 2016 15:26 (eight years ago) link

In Cuban homes we say "Jesus" when someone sneezes.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 1 February 2016 15:28 (eight years ago) link

That's what we say when someone is having a sneezing fit. "Jesus! Will you stop sneezing?!"

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 1 February 2016 15:29 (eight years ago) link

otm

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 1 February 2016 15:33 (eight years ago) link

I hear "Have a blessed day" at the drive-thru all the time at Chick Fil-A, pretty sure it's either corporate policy or at least SOP at the ones I frequent.

evol j, Monday, 1 February 2016 15:35 (eight years ago) link

"Jesús" is also the sound of someone sneezing fwiw

example (crüt), Monday, 1 February 2016 15:36 (eight years ago) link

if you go to Chik Fil-A you're gonna get what you asked for: earnest Christians and cows pleading not to be murdered & eaten

example (crüt), Monday, 1 February 2016 15:38 (eight years ago) link

decent lemonade too. My last meal though made me vomit, no doubt thanks to the midi-christlorians interacting with my gay blood.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 1 February 2016 15:41 (eight years ago) link

jeezus cow blood is poison to gayz. read that somewhere.

scott seward, Monday, 1 February 2016 15:43 (eight years ago) link

film critic otm:

Michael Sicinski ‏@msicism
Voting for Hillary reminds me of nights my family would argue for 45 mins about where to go to dinner and then give up and order pizza.

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Monday, 1 February 2016 16:03 (eight years ago) link

also, GOP ignores Nixon at their peril:

Because it will take a strong man. Oh, yes. Make no mistake. Naturally it could be a woman — I’m aware of that; send your letters elsewhere — but when the likely candidate from the Democrat side is either a grandmother who takes polls on her favorite color, or a guy with the manner and politics of the Rosenbergs, who will stand up?

Trump? My God, the moment he’s nominated every broker on Wall Street will lock himself in the toilet with a bottle of rye and a pistol. Stocks will drop through the floor, pension funds will dry up, and what the hell will Trump do? Flex his muscles at a blonde?

http://mashable.com/2016/01/31/dick-nixon-sizes-up-campaign-trump-cruz/#V30scqvIhmq2

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Monday, 1 February 2016 16:06 (eight years ago) link

xpost more like deciding to heat up leftovers in fridge

Blowout Coombes (President Keyes), Monday, 1 February 2016 16:07 (eight years ago) link

Not enough bad sports analogies or complaints about how his ideas and tactics aren't used xpost

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 1 February 2016 16:13 (eight years ago) link

yeah kinda weak sauce but this: "when [Cruz] lies his expression is like a child with a full diaper" is otm

Οὖτις, Monday, 1 February 2016 16:18 (eight years ago) link

that nymag voter spread is some grim shit

Timothy van Deest, 64, airline agent

^ sir i am not getting on any airplane to which you are associated

goole, Monday, 1 February 2016 16:18 (eight years ago) link

sample size of 100, so I'm not sure why they bothered presenting the results. the little voter profile things are insane, though. it's depressing to read so many terrible things from so many different people.

Karl Malone, Monday, 1 February 2016 16:20 (eight years ago) link

i loved how one of them, in supporting the idea of states' rights, described Missouri as a "different planet" than...Iowa.

Karl Malone, Monday, 1 February 2016 16:21 (eight years ago) link

i lol'ed at the dick nixon article several times i will admit

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Monday, 1 February 2016 16:21 (eight years ago) link

he ain't lying

xp

goole, Monday, 1 February 2016 16:22 (eight years ago) link

there's a joke i heard growing up: the bottom row of counties defected from iowa to missouri and the average iq jumped 10pts in both states.

later on i learned MN tells it about IA, MO tells it about AR. i don't think arkansans tell it about louisiana though

goole, Monday, 1 February 2016 16:24 (eight years ago) link

i feel bad when i read that new york mag thing because it immediately reminds me of that *republican brains are different* thing and then i actually start to look at the shape of those people's skulls in the pictures and try to figure out what is wrong with their brains. which is just gonna make them more fearful and paranoid if they think people are dissecting their weird brains. they just need some time in the government re-education cent.......oops...not supposed to mention those....

scott seward, Monday, 1 February 2016 16:34 (eight years ago) link

‏@ggreenwald Glenn Greenwald Retweeted David Sirota
The main divide among Iowa Dems on Clinton/Sanders - by far - is not gender but age...

https://twitter.com/davidsirota/status/694162002051100672

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Monday, 1 February 2016 16:38 (eight years ago) link

( i mostly start fixating on their prominent foreheads and notice that most of the men have big foreheads and are bald or going bald. like even their hair didn't want to be up there anymore.)

scott seward, Monday, 1 February 2016 16:39 (eight years ago) link

it's almost like ppl generally become more conservative as they become older

Mordy, Monday, 1 February 2016 16:42 (eight years ago) link

i feel bad when i read that new york mag thing because it immediately reminds me of that *republican brains are different* thing

Same!! It's really all about fear and safety. Extremely narrowly defined, of course. Whose safety? Just us persecuted white Christians natch.

If authoritarianism is Romania's ironing board, then (in orbit), Monday, 1 February 2016 16:44 (eight years ago) link

Mmmmm, persecuted white Christians natch.

Sorry...

schwantz, Monday, 1 February 2016 16:46 (eight years ago) link

https://twitter.com/dick_nixon/status/694189328751316992

somehow i believe in my heart of hearts that if actual politicians read @dick_nixon they can't shake the nagging shameful feeling that it was the real nixon burning them

j., Monday, 1 February 2016 16:47 (eight years ago) link

lol scott

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Monday, 1 February 2016 16:48 (eight years ago) link

Thought that nymag thing was pretty good, certainly not the slightest bit surprised that the immediate ilx reaction is to collapse everything in there into 'lol at these fukken aliens'

• (sleepingbag), Monday, 1 February 2016 16:52 (eight years ago) link

it's almost like ppl generally become more conservative as they become older

yeah v nice, but 74-23%, that's quite a gap for the under-45s.

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Monday, 1 February 2016 16:54 (eight years ago) link

it's almost like ppl generally become more conservative as they become older

― Mordy, Monday, February 1, 2016 10:42 AM (7 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

It's almost more like people have found it increasingly easy to 'other' other people as the modern world has made it increasingly easy for them to avoid ever engaging with anyone who isn't exactly like them.

Chortles And Guffaws (Old Lunch), Monday, 1 February 2016 16:54 (eight years ago) link

Ms. Andersen, citizen of Earth:

Trump reminds me of Reagan. Reagan really lived what he believed. We have a president now that doesn’t believe what he lives. He made promises and gave us great hope. Now we’re getting that hope back. We’re trying to get that change back to the way this country should’ve been, where we can say “Merry Christmas” and “God bless America.” I’m tired of political ­correctness all the time. We have contract workers that work with us, and a lot of them are Muslim. We have to honor their rituals. If they need to pray during the day, we have to allow that. There’s something wrong. It’s harder to be a Christian now in America. We’re now the minority, and I’m hoping Donald can bring us back to being the majority again.

Karl Malone, Monday, 1 February 2016 16:55 (eight years ago) link

Donald gettin ready for some mass baptisms

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Monday, 1 February 2016 16:55 (eight years ago) link

It's almost more like people have found it increasingly easy to 'other' other people as the modern world has made it increasingly easy for them to avoid ever engaging with anyone who isn't exactly like them.

¯\_(ツ)_/¯ the joys of posting on ilx

Mordy, Monday, 1 February 2016 16:56 (eight years ago) link

did they do party-politics phrenology the first time around, i wonder, or is that a 21c liberal innovation

denies the existence of dark matter (difficult listening hour), Monday, 1 February 2016 16:59 (eight years ago) link

hey, i have to talk to "real american" people all the time thanks to my store. everyone has a cross to bear. don't think they are aliens really. i think they just need some hugs. don't think they got hugged enough.

scott seward, Monday, 1 February 2016 17:03 (eight years ago) link

there's a joke i heard growing up: the bottom row of counties defected from iowa to missouri and the average iq jumped 10pts in both states.

later on i learned MN tells it about IA, MO tells it about AR. i don't think arkansans tell it about louisiana though

Well of course Arkansas can't trade counties with Louisiana. They have parishes!

pplains, Monday, 1 February 2016 17:05 (eight years ago) link

i think i might adopt Ms. Anderson's opinion that Trump reminds her of Reagan because sure why not

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Monday, 1 February 2016 17:05 (eight years ago) link

I'll vote for the candidate that promises to cage anyone and everyone who self-identifies as a persecuted Christian. These fucking people.

Chortles And Guffaws (Old Lunch), Monday, 1 February 2016 17:06 (eight years ago) link

I dunno. People on ilx are constantly reminding me that I am not exactly like them.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Monday, 1 February 2016 17:08 (eight years ago) link

after the cruz hug fail i had to check if bernie had a kid. he does!

https://www.facebook.com/sanders.levi

scott seward, Monday, 1 February 2016 17:11 (eight years ago) link

oh wait he has step-kids too. they kinda count.

scott seward, Monday, 1 February 2016 17:13 (eight years ago) link

I hear the fearfulness from ppl I talk to as well. When I ask what they think is going to happen if trans people get to be who they want, and gays can get married, and so on, they don't really know and usu go into word salad at that point. The times I've asked them point blank "What are you so afraid of?" they've vehemently objected to being accused of feeling fear. I guess it's too unmanly.

If authoritarianism is Romania's ironing board, then (in orbit), Monday, 1 February 2016 17:17 (eight years ago) link

I dunno, I just don't want people to be allowed to do the things I'm allowed to do because that will make me less special.

Chortles And Guffaws (Old Lunch), Monday, 1 February 2016 17:18 (eight years ago) link

I can't even figure out how Trump is going to bring manufacturing back to the US (although I'd guess it'd have something to do with corporate tax cuts) let alone how he can make Christianity "the majority" again.

"It's harder to be a Christian now" because I'm being forced to acknowledge those who aren't.

Retro novelty punk (Dan Peterson), Monday, 1 February 2016 17:29 (eight years ago) link

nobody said it was supposed to be easy (even J.C. iirc)

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Monday, 1 February 2016 17:32 (eight years ago) link

it's almost like ppl generally become more conservative as they become older

― Mordy, Monday, February 1, 2016 11:42 AM (49 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

don't have anything handy but iirc the evidence does not support this. as i understand it society becomes more liberal as time passes, people generally do not change their views much but in comparison to younger generations are seen as more conservative

k3vin k., Monday, 1 February 2016 17:35 (eight years ago) link

people don't get more conservative as they age and that's not even what we're seeing in those capsule interviews

goole, Monday, 1 February 2016 17:39 (eight years ago) link

people get more conservative as they get tech industry jobs

j., Monday, 1 February 2016 17:42 (eight years ago) link

or occasionally out of vengefulness if they work in a supplanted industry like coal mining, those ones seem fairly noble as far as wrongheaded reasons for being conservative go

j., Monday, 1 February 2016 17:44 (eight years ago) link

M is talking exclusively about the Dem side, i suspect

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Monday, 1 February 2016 17:44 (eight years ago) link

my fave one kinda:

"It took me ten years to make my first million, and then that exponentially grew. People say Trump’s not nice. Well, I’m not nice, either. Sometimes harsh words will motivate people. If you don’t want to get in that ditch and sweat and dig a mile for a couple thousand bucks, then don’t yell at me because I have money and you don’t. It feels like we’re just roller-coasting down, down, down, and I’m waiting for the climb back up, man, and I haven’t seen it yet. Everybody is scared when they’re going down and not going up. I’m sick of being scared."

scott seward, Monday, 1 February 2016 17:47 (eight years ago) link

cocky...and scared!

scott seward, Monday, 1 February 2016 17:47 (eight years ago) link

it's like a cornucopia of fear. all kinds for everyone!

scott seward, Monday, 1 February 2016 17:48 (eight years ago) link

Dear Christians: the rest of us have no desire to curb your practice or celebration of Christianity. That you feel threated by having to acknowledge and accept non-Christians makes me question the integrity of your religious beliefs to the same extent that expressions of homophobia make me wonder how much the homophobe is secretly dreaming of weiners.

Chortles And Guffaws (Old Lunch), Monday, 1 February 2016 17:48 (eight years ago) link

you might be looking for this: http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/01/iowa-new-hampshire-gop-voters-poll.html#comments

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Monday, 1 February 2016 17:54 (eight years ago) link

Weird that these people who vaguely complain about all of the nebulous shit that's wrong and making the country go to hell are pretty much like the majority of what's actually wrong with the country. A little TOO ironic, yeah I really do think.

Chortles And Guffaws (Old Lunch), Monday, 1 February 2016 17:58 (eight years ago) link

so beautiful:

“I think in terms of this heroin epidemic, one of the things that I believe is when I was growing up we had strong families with a support system, we had neighborhoods that we could go and get into a baseball game, a football game, get into a fight.”

scott seward, Monday, 1 February 2016 18:01 (eight years ago) link

kinda long for a bumper sticker, but catchy nonetheless:

"I just want to feel safe like I felt like I did with George W. after 9/11. He had just taken office, and that kind of ruined his presidency, in a way. Our president now isn’t tough at all. I don’t think he cares. I think he’s an economic — I can’t say Hitler. But part of me feels like he does the national debt on purpose, because I feel like he hates America."

scott seward, Monday, 1 February 2016 18:05 (eight years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CaGiYgFW0AAzaTI.png

mick signals, Monday, 1 February 2016 18:05 (eight years ago) link

Brett OTM

example (crüt), Monday, 1 February 2016 18:08 (eight years ago) link

Brett Giese, 34, sales

"Oblama equals economic Hitler who does national debt because hates America. Words...hard. Thinking...hurts. Must...punch...something."

Chortles And Guffaws (Old Lunch), Monday, 1 February 2016 18:09 (eight years ago) link

It's really okay to just say, "I don't actually know that much and I'm not even a little articulate so maybe I shouldn't offer an opinion to your publication."

Chortles And Guffaws (Old Lunch), Monday, 1 February 2016 18:11 (eight years ago) link

yeah, really, we won't even BE here in 200 years:

"There’s a great deal of disappointment with Mr. Obama and what he’s done. Even among my staunchly Democratic friends, they sort of hang their head whenever his name is brought up. He feels that global warming is more important than people getting killed in San Bernardino. People look at that and say, ‘What is he, crazy? You want to spend all these dollars that we don’t have on stuff that ain’t going to happen for 200 years? Are you crazy?’"

scott seward, Monday, 1 February 2016 18:11 (eight years ago) link

Brett makes me realize it is time to take back America.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Monday, 1 February 2016 18:12 (eight years ago) link

k3v: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261379413000875

This paper examines how ageing and generational formative experiences affect vote choices in Britain. Using a combination of panel data and assumptions about party fortunes we estimate ageing effects. These are then entered into a model using cross-sectional data from 1964 to 2010 to estimate generational differences in vote choice. Ageing increases the likelihood of a Conservative vote substantially, but there is no trend towards lower rates of Conservative voting among newer generations. There are however identifiable political generations corresponding with periods of Conservative dominance: voters who came of age in the 1930s, 1950s and 1980s are ceteris paribus somewhat more Conservative. Our method therefore lends some support to theories of political generations, but also demonstrates the considerable impact of ageing on vote choice.

Mordy, Monday, 1 February 2016 18:13 (eight years ago) link

mm is Brett single?

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 1 February 2016 18:19 (eight years ago) link

every time i think i've found the iowa state fair blue ribbon prize winner i find yet another candidate!!

Jane Biddick, 57, music teacher
From: Marion, Iowa
Supporting: Trump

"When I heard Trump was running, I dropped my hat. That was it. I couldn’t believe it. It was kind of like — you know, if you found the mate you’d been waiting for, or the home of your dreams. I just knew that it was perfect. There’s a lot of us who try and try, and we hit and miss. A lot of us don’t succeed to the level that he has. He’s like a Carnegie. You know the Carnegie family? Or one of those people in history — the Ford family, for example. He’s a Henry Ford in our lifetime."

scott seward, Monday, 1 February 2016 18:19 (eight years ago) link

man, some real competition out there...

scott seward, Monday, 1 February 2016 18:20 (eight years ago) link

When I heard Trump was running, I dropped my hat

Did she mean, "When I heard Trump was running, I pooped"?

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 1 February 2016 18:20 (eight years ago) link

Huh, I never realized before that "dropped my hat" was a colloquialism meaning "lost the last of my tenuous grasp on reality".

Chortles And Guffaws (Old Lunch), Monday, 1 February 2016 18:21 (eight years ago) link

he pooped a hat, it was amazing, just incredible, the greatest

Οὖτις, Monday, 1 February 2016 18:22 (eight years ago) link

Or one of those people in history — the Ford family, for example. He’s a Henry Ford in our lifetime.

^^^^amazing

nomar, Monday, 1 February 2016 18:23 (eight years ago) link

"but part of me feels like he does the national debt on purpose"

wonderful

nomar, Monday, 1 February 2016 18:25 (eight years ago) link

Trump is totally like one of those people in history. Like an Amelia Earhart or a Ghandi or a Judas or a William Bell or a Button Gwinnett. He's a Button Gwinnett in our lifetime.

Chortles And Guffaws (Old Lunch), Monday, 1 February 2016 18:25 (eight years ago) link

man, a guy just came in from one of the vermont hill towns and he only comes into town here once a month to drink and he was PISSED that i didn't have the david allen coe album that his mom wanted. i didn't ask him who he's voting for...

scott seward, Monday, 1 February 2016 18:29 (eight years ago) link

The most amazing thing about that @dick_nixon article was the photos of him with Kasich. Nixon's head was enormous. Like twice the size of a human head.

the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Monday, 1 February 2016 18:30 (eight years ago) link

okay another drunk hillbilly just came in to tell me the story about the time their dog ate their best AC/DC album and i realize i'm being punished by a christian god for laughing too hard at that ny magazine article...

scott seward, Monday, 1 February 2016 18:44 (eight years ago) link

about the time their dog ate their best AC/DC album

Their dog...or OBAMA?

Montgomery Burns' Jazz (Tarfumes The Escape Goat), Monday, 1 February 2016 18:48 (eight years ago) link

Democracy is a ridiculous form of government, and so is whatever this shit we have is.

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Monday, 1 February 2016 18:54 (eight years ago) link

so what's the answer then, answer man?

scott seward, Monday, 1 February 2016 18:58 (eight years ago) link

I'm starting a punk band called Economic Hitler, who's with me?

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 1 February 2016 19:01 (eight years ago) link

since the question is which republican candidate we would vote for, there is no answer.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Monday, 1 February 2016 19:02 (eight years ago) link

I can see where eight years of having our collective annihilation delayed would be pretty galling to self-loathing people who are trying to maintain a passive-but-steady suicide spiral by denying climate change and voting for Bushes and Trumps and shit like that. "Thanks, Obama!" indeed.

Chortles And Guffaws (Old Lunch), Monday, 1 February 2016 19:03 (eight years ago) link

people always say be more like finland or whatever but the examples they use are always places as big as brooklyn in size with five people in them. which just seem easier to manage then this messy monster here. but maybe i'm wrong. maybe we could all be finnish with a minimum of fuss and muss. maybe the scale doesn't matter.

scott seward, Monday, 1 February 2016 19:09 (eight years ago) link

scowler!

mick signals, Monday, 1 February 2016 19:23 (eight years ago) link

the non-presidential election background at the state level--

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/13/opinion/campaign-stops/the-republican-partys-50-state-solution.html?rref=collection%2Fcolumn%2Fthomas-b-edsall&action=click&contentCollection=opinion®ion=stream&module=stream_unit&version=latest&contentPlacement=3&pgtype=collection&_r=0

Seven years ago, Democrats had a commanding lead in state legislatures, controlling both legislative chambers in 27 states, nearly double the 14 controlled by Republicans. They held 4082 state senate and house seats, compared to the Republicans’ 3223.

Sweeping Republican victories at the state level in 2010 and 2014 transformed the political landscape.

...


By 2015, there were Republican majorities in 70 percent — 68 of 98 — of the nation’s partisan state houses and senates, the highest number in the party’s history. (Nebraska isn’t counted in because it has a non-partisan, unicameral legislature.) Republicans controlled the legislature and governorship in 23 states, more than triple the seven under full Democratic control.

What’s changed seems to be the result of the relatively recent nationalization of state campaign financing,” Morgan Kousser, a professor of history at Caltech (and, as it happens, Thad Kousser’s father), wrote in an email:

The Koch brothers understand the importance of controlling state legislatures; George Soros doesn’t. I’m not sure why this should be the case, but since we’re really talking about a relatively small number of mega-donors who have caused this, it’s a rather restricted question.

curmudgeon, Monday, 1 February 2016 19:39 (eight years ago) link

someone was just fishing for a trump opinion from me. i offered that, 'he reminds me of reagan' and left it at that. felt good

rap is dad (it's a boy!), Monday, 1 February 2016 19:40 (eight years ago) link

I'd suggest that we just hook all of Trump's supporters up to VR headgear and feed them four years of nightmares but these people live in a delusional dreamworld where W didn't take an eight-year steaming dump on the US so who even knows how awful things would have to get before they'd complain about the smell.

Chortles And Guffaws (Old Lunch), Monday, 1 February 2016 19:47 (eight years ago) link

Keeping thinking about some half-remembered quote from Churchill about meeting the average voter

Darkest Cosmologist junk (kingfish), Monday, 1 February 2016 19:49 (eight years ago) link

He reminds me of Regan. From The Exorcist.

Retro novelty punk (Dan Peterson), Monday, 1 February 2016 19:50 (eight years ago) link

saw some tweet today that Trump is a comments section come to life

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Monday, 1 February 2016 19:55 (eight years ago) link

yr thinking of america

denies the existence of dark matter (difficult listening hour), Monday, 1 February 2016 19:56 (eight years ago) link

more like a tweet come to life xp

never have i been a blue calm sea (collardio gelatinous), Monday, 1 February 2016 20:01 (eight years ago) link

Kasich shoring up #2 in NH, sez Pierce

It appears that more than a few attendees are a bit puzzled when Kasich asks for a show of hands. "Anybody here know who David Bowie was?" It really doesn't matter, though, because "one of my favorite songs, I've been told we can't play it here because we haven't [been granted] permission." Kasich launches into a complicated story about Eric Clapton and George Harrison and a command that Clapton wake up before sunrise. (This last part seems more probable if Clapton was told he had to stay up until sunrise. Sadly, Pattie Boyd appears to have played no role in this story.) Things became only slightly clearer when a man wearing road kill on his head and a blue rubber band in his beard steps forward and begins singing "Here Come the Sun."

http://www.esquire.com/news-politics/politics/news/a41693/kasich-new-hampshire/

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Monday, 1 February 2016 20:02 (eight years ago) link

a compelling platform

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Monday, 1 February 2016 20:05 (eight years ago) link

"I'd suggest that we just hook all of Trump's supporters up to VR headgear and feed them four years of nightmares"

just read them an endless legal litany of Trump's bankruptcies, lawsuits, nebulous campaign contributions, and "alleged" mob activity. that oughta do the trick.

scott seward, Monday, 1 February 2016 20:06 (eight years ago) link

Nixon's head was enormous. Like twice the size of a human head.

Perfect head for a movie star, wanting only the charm and good looks.

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Monday, 1 February 2016 20:08 (eight years ago) link

@dick_nixon
In two years they will have Christie on to promote his book about a diet or Jesus. One of those.

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Monday, 1 February 2016 20:13 (eight years ago) link

Will he be on the morning chat shows to compare weight-loss surgery notes with Al Roker?

Darkest Cosmologist junk (kingfish), Monday, 1 February 2016 20:18 (eight years ago) link

this is a WSJ reporter:

https://twitter.com/bkesling/status/694254763316158464

Donald Trump said as long as US troop vehicles are armored, when they get hit by IEDs troops just "go for a little ride."

#NoProblem

goole, Monday, 1 February 2016 20:44 (eight years ago) link

man, memories are short in this country

goole, Monday, 1 February 2016 20:45 (eight years ago) link

Yeah, that quote and attendant responses from military personnel need to be widely disseminated.

Chortles And Guffaws (Old Lunch), Monday, 1 February 2016 20:54 (eight years ago) link

Greenwald on the "Bernie Bros" horseshit (i'd rather he hadn't bannered a big Susan Sarandon pic tho).

https://theintercept.com/2016/01/31/the-bernie-bros-narrative-a-cheap-false-campaign-tactic-masquerading-as-journalism-and-social-activism/

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Monday, 1 February 2016 21:14 (eight years ago) link

lol, this thread is en fuego today

Crazy Eddie & Jesus the Kid (Raymond Cummings), Monday, 1 February 2016 21:21 (eight years ago) link

So the entire cable TV industry is dependent on ratings for the Iowa caucuses, right? I don't ever in my life remember such hysteria. "Mika" Brzezinski, up for about 46 hours, looks like she's taken several hits from an aluminum foil-covered pipe.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 1 February 2016 21:56 (eight years ago) link

I kinda like the standing around in groups thing because it makes the whole enterprise sound less like a political process for grownup citizens and more like a fun activity you would see thrown into the mix of a larger fund-raiser, like a cakewalk or a game of Red Rover to keep the kids busy. You almost wish each state had their own unique, quirky variant voting method, going back to my original hope that the clown car would be resolved by having all the candidates stand on poles in the water while Jeff Probst tries to seduce them with hamburgers and french fries. Hands On A Hard Body would also be a good model IMHO.

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Monday, 1 February 2016 22:00 (eight years ago) link

I would not like to vote in a group - I'll take being hunched over a computer screen in a dark room, triple-checking the touchscreen and keeping a jaded eye upon the other silent voters in the room who are all probably out to cancel my vote.

pplains, Monday, 1 February 2016 22:05 (eight years ago) link

GOP should just have a knife fight and the last one standing gets to pick the nominee

Οὖτις, Monday, 1 February 2016 22:06 (eight years ago) link

Greenwald on the "Bernie Bros" horseshit (i'd rather he hadn't bannered a big Susan Sarandon pic tho).

https://theintercept.com/2016/01/31/the-bernie-bros-narrative-a-cheap-false-campaign-tactic-masquerading-as-journalism-and-social-activism/

― we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Monday, February 1, 2016 9:14 PM (47 minutes ago)

it's painful to even pay attention to this stuff but glad GG does, he knocked this one out of the park

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Monday, 1 February 2016 22:10 (eight years ago) link

Those gay-bashing tweets directed at GG at the end... manoman.

Hands On A Hard Body would also be a good model IMHO.

You are a genius, and i mean that sincerely.

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Monday, 1 February 2016 22:14 (eight years ago) link

that cruz failed kiss is a campaign destroyer for real, it's so horrific

nomar, Monday, 1 February 2016 22:31 (eight years ago) link

eh it's more appalling if you don't know it's his daughter

Οὖτις, Monday, 1 February 2016 22:35 (eight years ago) link

really a beautifully composed frame

slam dunk, Monday, 1 February 2016 22:46 (eight years ago) link

ouch

Crazy Eddie & Jesus the Kid (Raymond Cummings), Monday, 1 February 2016 22:51 (eight years ago) link

unbearable

goole, Monday, 1 February 2016 23:04 (eight years ago) link

my mom has the bizarre habit of supporting total longshot candidates. and not in like a super lefty way. i never really get why.

88: bruce babbitt
92: harkin and/or tsongas
00: bradley (probably, idr)
04: iirc gephardt? then wes clark, edwards probably.
08: biden (loves him), bill richardson, she's always been a hillary fan at least personally

i just traded a few texts with her "O'Malley's my guy"

happy iowa day everyone!

goole, Monday, 1 February 2016 23:29 (eight years ago) link

(she lives in iowa, is the point of that post)

goole, Monday, 1 February 2016 23:29 (eight years ago) link

(pls don't dox my mom)

goole, Monday, 1 February 2016 23:30 (eight years ago) link

yr mom's got a thing for lovable losers eh

Οὖτις, Monday, 1 February 2016 23:31 (eight years ago) link

well where would any of us be, right

goole, Monday, 1 February 2016 23:32 (eight years ago) link

http://gawker.com/rumor-heidi-cruz-is-so-repulsed-by-iowans-she-has-to-s-1756461603

Worth the click for Heidi Cruz's Twitter pic of her greeting Iowans

Iago Galdston, Monday, 1 February 2016 23:44 (eight years ago) link

Now I want to just watch Christopher Guest movies for a week

Crazy Eddie & Jesus the Kid (Raymond Cummings), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 00:18 (eight years ago) link

http://41.media.tumblr.com/f1d0c1bb7b8b9c3919823248937f9e61/tumblr_nqim7h1opX1ur59wio1_400.jpg

trump into america!

mookieproof, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 00:27 (eight years ago) link

"What's wrong with being racy?"

"RacIST."

Montgomery Burns' Jazz (Tarfumes The Escape Goat), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 00:37 (eight years ago) link

https://www.instagram.com/p/BBQeLydABXv/

Austin, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 00:40 (eight years ago) link

yr mom's got a thing for lovable losers eh

i voted for Bill Bradley in the '00 primary (boy that one hurt), and he's not remotely lovable.

There's really nothing like 2 minutes of voter-opinion clips on NPR to make you realize we are tot fucking doomed.

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 00:46 (eight years ago) link

It's very, very early, but CNN has just projected Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders as leading on the Democratic side.

clemenza, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 01:01 (eight years ago) link

These are just projections--do not lose heart, O'Malley supporters.

clemenza, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 01:04 (eight years ago) link

Those are based off of entry polls. The lobbying is just getting started.

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 01:08 (eight years ago) link

(I promise not to talk about predictions vs projections ;)

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 01:08 (eight years ago) link

brace yourselves for O'Mentum!

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 01:11 (eight years ago) link

(I promise not to talk about predictions vs projections ;)

Reminds me of that one Seinfeld episode: "You were interfering while we were intervening."

clemenza, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 01:19 (eight years ago) link

looks like they managed to capture more of that lovable Cruz moment

https://media.giphy.com/media/l2JI9hJjzH1VjJxS0/giphy.gif

Check Yr Scrobbles (Moodles), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 01:29 (eight years ago) link

I must say I kind of like this moment - it is technically the last day on which all election talk is _completely_ speculative. Tomorrow it will be different in a tiny but perceptible way; actual votes will have been cast and tabulated. Of course they are not predictive; there's still a lot of speculation yet to come. But the conversation changes slightly. Shit is real and getting realer.

kylo stimpy (Ye Mad Puffin), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 01:39 (eight years ago) link

Gonna be a late night for a lot of us, isn't it?

Crazy Eddie & Jesus the Kid (Raymond Cummings), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 01:48 (eight years ago) link

i'll do anything for democracy

j., Tuesday, 2 February 2016 01:50 (eight years ago) link

does the graph on huffpo mean that 17% of the votes are in, or just 17% of those three precincts? I'm Canadian and confused.

a serious and fascinating fartist (Simon H.), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 02:05 (eight years ago) link

daveweigelVerified account
‏@daveweigel
One speaker at this caucus is a pro-Hillary immigrant from Denmark, who assures us that socialism works but Bernie can't win

lettered and hapful (symsymsym), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 02:17 (eight years ago) link

!!!

lettered and hapful (symsymsym), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 02:17 (eight years ago) link

how the fuck did Fredrik B get to Iowa so quick

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 02:18 (eight years ago) link

thought we were supposed to be clamping down on the borders lately

j., Tuesday, 2 February 2016 02:25 (eight years ago) link

lmao

k3vin k., Tuesday, 2 February 2016 02:32 (eight years ago) link

didn't Borders go bankrupt four years ago

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 02:35 (eight years ago) link

Marty hanging tough at 0.6%

Crazy Eddie & Jesus the Kid (Raymond Cummings), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 02:35 (eight years ago) link

looks like Cruz may run away with this one, which would be a pretty huge loss for Trump

meanwhile Hillary is probably going to win but not by much, which I think is very positive for Sanders. It m akes it seem more like a real race, although I don't see any individual precincts that actually went for Sanders

Check Yr Scrobbles (Moodles), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 02:37 (eight years ago) link

can't wait to watch a trump concession speech

global tetrahedron, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 02:37 (eight years ago) link

Ha!

Frederik B, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 02:39 (eight years ago) link

betting markets have flipped for cruz

https://twitter.com/DavMicRot/status/694343217366589441

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 02:41 (eight years ago) link

my iowa city friends are reporting that sanders is taking their precincts, given the timing that may be different ones but i'm not entirely sure whether they're not all together

j., Tuesday, 2 February 2016 02:41 (eight years ago) link

Oh yeah, if Sanders can't win in college town Iowa City he is toast!

Actually, he has to win Iowa to be at all competitive. One of the whitest, liberalest states of all, he won't win anything but New Hampshire without showing he can win Iowa.

Frederik B, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 02:43 (eight years ago) link

Caucus isn't going to be decided in the cities fwiw

Xp

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 02:44 (eight years ago) link

Oh look who's here

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 02:44 (eight years ago) link

He, I'll let myself out in a sec. Late night writing.

Frederik B, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 02:45 (eight years ago) link

The "expectations" game is such a wacky charade of shifting goal-posts. I mean, when Sanders first entered the race, the idea of him even fighting Hillary Clinton to a draw in any state besides his own seemed pretty laughable - like he was basically Kucinich. Gradually it became "well, of course he'll take New Hampshire, sure, that's practically Vermont," and then "well obviously he's got a reasonable shot in Iowa, that's got lots of white liberals too" and now somehow it's like unless he pulls a win there his candidacy will have been proven a failure.

(typed that before Freddy B's post)

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 02:45 (eight years ago) link

It's not a failure! He just won't win.

Frederik B, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 02:47 (eight years ago) link

Dreading a Cruz victory speech; intrigued by a Trump loser speech (especially if he ends up third, although that looks like a longshot halfway there).

clemenza, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 02:47 (eight years ago) link

I think I'm reading the map wrong, Sanders is indeed ahead in various precincts

Check Yr Scrobbles (Moodles), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 02:47 (eight years ago) link

prediction markets v confident of cruz and clinton rn
http://predictwise.com/blog/2016/02/iowas-caucus-night/

9:49: Cruz and Clinton both at 85% in IA.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 02:50 (eight years ago) link

why is des moines county nowhere near des moines?

Mordy, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 02:55 (eight years ago) link

apparently bc they're both named after the river

Mordy, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:01 (eight years ago) link

BREAKING: Martin O'Malley suspending campaign

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:02 (eight years ago) link

xp at the time it was named, it was / was in the southern part of a district along the mississippi that was named for one of the river's tributaries, already named the des moines river.

the city was named about 20 years later, also named for the des moines river (originally as 'fort des moines', which runs diagonally through the state & so manages to hit the center as well as the corner containing the county.

j., Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:05 (eight years ago) link

good information thx

Mordy, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:06 (eight years ago) link

betting markets call it for cruz

loool

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:12 (eight years ago) link

Dreading a Cruz victory speech

"More than anything, tonight you've sent a powerful message to my daughter"

tremendous crime wave and killing wave (Joan Crawford Loves Chachi), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:14 (eight years ago) link

ugh Marco Rubio

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:15 (eight years ago) link

he repulses me more than Trump

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:15 (eight years ago) link

Des Moines used to be called something like Fort Raccoon.

Lots of states where counties and cities don't match up.

pplains, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:16 (eight years ago) link

the raccoon river is the other one at whose confluence w/ the des moines the fort was located

also, iowa city is not in iowa county

j., Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:24 (eight years ago) link

ditto Alfred xxp

never have i been a blue calm sea (collardio gelatinous), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:25 (eight years ago) link

aaaannnd it's Cruz

and ugh Rubio

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:25 (eight years ago) link

Rubio's kind of needlessly apocalyptic and way too earnest, but I don't know, he doesn't bother that me much. (No, I don't live in his state.) (Or country.)

Trump's second-place normally might not be too bad, and assuming he wins NH and SC, it'll probably be forgotten. But maybe there's just this onslaught of backlash out there (media, primarily) lying in wait, thrilled to see him humbled, and that should make for a difficult week or two.

clemenza, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:29 (eight years ago) link

Feel like it opens up a lot of space for the other candidates - takes the Teflon off, all of that. Sort of an "if it bleeds, we can kill it" effect. Brace yourself for zingers at the next debate. "You know Donald, you were talking about polls just now, but we all know polls can be wrong - the polls showed you winning Iowa by a landslide, remember?"

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:31 (eight years ago) link

Huckabee "couldn't recapture the magic" (actual quote), taking some time out to look for the magic.

clemenza, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:32 (eight years ago) link

moving forward I don't think Trump will play the underdog card very well, maybe that's wishful thinking though

Sharkie, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:32 (eight years ago) link

hilary falling in the markets

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:33 (eight years ago) link

I want so badly to hear the audio from the Trump van

tremendous crime wave and killing wave (Joan Crawford Loves Chachi), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:34 (eight years ago) link

Paul Begala: "This is what you want," the woman I've devoted my life to ahead by 0.6% in Iowa. Glad Anderson Cooper called him out on that.

clemenza, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:34 (eight years ago) link

Huckabee: not your huckleberry.

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:35 (eight years ago) link

Also, apparently an hour ago Ben Carson let it be known that he was going home to Florida, not to New Hampshire, but then speedily issued the explanation that he was just going there to get some clean clothes. I assume everybody else has already seen this, but it strikes me as one of the most important events of the night and well worth recording here.

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:36 (eight years ago) link

ugh Marco Rubio speech

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:37 (eight years ago) link

Marco Rubio is the least interesting man in the world.

never have i been a blue calm sea (collardio gelatinous), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:38 (eight years ago) link

marco rubio looks like fuckin scott wolf wow

get a long, little doggy (m bison), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:39 (eight years ago) link

Wow. I don't think I've ever heard an angrier and more mendacious victory speech.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:40 (eight years ago) link

what a weiner, i mean i know u dont think he's got the juice, alfred, but isnt he the gop's best shot?

get a long, little doggy (m bison), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:41 (eight years ago) link

dear lord this speech, i dont fear him that much bc he just looks like a slick college republican

get a long, little doggy (m bison), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:41 (eight years ago) link

Mark Harris ‏@MarkHarrisNYC 4m4 minutes ago Manhattan, NY

Rubio: "So this is the moment they said would never happen!"

Dude, they said you'd finish third and you finished third.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:42 (eight years ago) link

what a weiner, i mean i know u dont think he's got the juice, alfred, but isnt he the gop's best shot?

― get a long, little doggy (m bison)

at shooting themselves in the balls?

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:42 (eight years ago) link

I do count this as more proof that nobody knows anything this year: wasn't Charles Pierce mocking the "Rubio surge" the other day?

clemenza, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:43 (eight years ago) link

the county-by-county breakdowns are pretty interesting. there's a bunch where trump is 3rd, behind either cruz or rubio. in some counties (maybe ones he managed to appear in?) he finishes strong first, but in plenty, rubio handily beats him. if Trump ends the night 3rd overall I will laugh for weeks

tremendous crime wave and killing wave (Joan Crawford Loves Chachi), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:43 (eight years ago) link

Looking forward to Trump as underdog, but I'm done saying things like "this will be the moment where it all unravels!"

pplains, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:43 (eight years ago) link

Clinton now down below 50%. With 86% of precincts in: Clinton 49.9, Sanders 49.5, O'Malley 0.6. Looks like it might be a photo finish.

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:44 (eight years ago) link

Interesting to hear what Rubio's advisors think is a winning message. He's apparently going to win over 'people struggling paycheck to paycheck and crushed under student debt' to the conservative movement, but doesn't give even a hint of what he would do for those people, besides a lot of patriotic hand waving.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:44 (eight years ago) link

I said a long time ago that Trump wouldn't win a single state. I still feel pretty good about that, despite what his recent NH numbers have been.

Ⓓⓡ. (Johnny Fever), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:44 (eight years ago) link

rubio sounds like he's auditioning for the role of president in a local playhouse adaptation of "independence day"

get a long, little doggy (m bison), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:46 (eight years ago) link

someone on 538 pointed out that districts that are thought to be more clinton-friendly have proportionally more to report than bernie strongholds. but since he's said that bernie's closed the gap further, so idk

k3vin k., Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:47 (eight years ago) link

Rubio seems like a real goober, and also just seems to be going on and on. But I don't know how much of the problem is that the backdrop behind him makes him seem like he's at the annual corporate dinner where they announce the biggest sellers for each fiscal quarter.

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:48 (eight years ago) link

I can hear Chris Matthews jerking off furiously over this Rubio speech.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:49 (eight years ago) link

Did Bush or Christie get anything tonight? Were they shut out? Haven't heard their names all night.

clemenza, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:49 (eight years ago) link

there's no feeling behind Rubio's words. I get a sense of hollowness from him unmatched by any other candidate.

never have i been a blue calm sea (collardio gelatinous), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:49 (eight years ago) link

lol Trump obv told by handlers that he must show Christian charity

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:50 (eight years ago) link

re: Bush/Christie - Both down at 2%. Christie at least has the excuse that his eyes have been only on New Hampshire for quite a while. Oh mannnn here's Trump.

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:50 (eight years ago) link

i'm sorry i love this man

During Critical Campaign Period, Ben Carson Heads Home To Get Fresh Clothes

lute bro (brimstead), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:51 (eight years ago) link

Bush has a future as a poinsettia thrown away after Xmas.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:51 (eight years ago) link

Wow, O'Malley's 0.5% is actually the difference right now...power broker!

clemenza, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:53 (eight years ago) link

clinton lead down to 0.2% with 90% in

k3vin k., Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:54 (eight years ago) link

http://i.imgur.com/caznQ0c.png

pplains, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:55 (eight years ago) link

whoa just saw Bernie/Hil at 50/50

never have i been a blue calm sea (collardio gelatinous), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 03:55 (eight years ago) link

hilary down to 62% in the markets

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:02 (eight years ago) link

maybe Carson doesn't know that many hotels have laundry service, someone should tell him

Sharkie, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:02 (eight years ago) link

http://i.imgur.com/u4QGUkj.jpg

pplains, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:04 (eight years ago) link

The last few updates to the Iowa live map have Clinton inching back some ground. I kinda agree that there's not really room left in the map for Sanders to take this thing, but IMHO it still counts insofar as the basic stakes for Sanders were "confirm that he is a real candidate." I don't think a 50/49 (or 49.8 to 49.5) hurts him, and it probably helps him (if obviously not as much as a win).

LOL at ABC News's reporters on the field chasing down Cruz's bus on foot in order to get a four-second dispensation of the exact cliches he intends to tell the gathered crowd. Star-struck reporters then tell the anchors back home that this demonstrates that he "loves to tell a joke."

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:07 (eight years ago) link

Trump did okay--no meltdown or anything. What a letdown.

I have no idea which of these three guys will win the Republican nomination. None.

clemenza, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:08 (eight years ago) link

so has Sanders eschewed luxury for a Motel 6 room facing the parking lot?

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:08 (eight years ago) link

local news cut to Carson's hq a half hour ago and holy shit, that dude does a great impersonation of someone who's stoned

μpright mammal (mh), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:09 (eight years ago) link

he went from quoting Stalin to quoting Proverbs in a half minute

μpright mammal (mh), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:09 (eight years ago) link

The little red good book

broderik f (darraghmac), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:13 (eight years ago) link

538 paints iowa as must-big-win for sanders, but I don't see it that way. just seems to me he has suffered from underexposure and a close showing in IA can only generate more media pointed in his direction.

never have i been a blue calm sea (collardio gelatinous), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:14 (eight years ago) link

i think he needs to win to have any shot. if he wins, even by one vote, the media will jump all over hilary and it'll be great for him. if he loses a close race then hilary's inevitability is just confirmed

k3vin k., Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:16 (eight years ago) link

Des Moines used to be called something like Fort Raccoon.

Lots of states where counties and cities don't match up.

― pplains, Monday, February 1, 2016 9:16 PM (54 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

uh it was Fort Des Moines, Iowa City is in Johnson county and was originally the capital but it moved over a hundred years ago iirc

there is a 10x10' little wooden cabin that is supposed to mark "the original location of Fort Des Moines" and I enjoy telling ppl it is the original fort and laughing my ass off when they believe it

μpright mammal (mh), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:19 (eight years ago) link

Sanders winning or coming close in Iowa is a boon, he'll do well in the northeast as a given (I think?) and it'll keep him in the spotlight for the third wave of voting

μpright mammal (mh), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:20 (eight years ago) link

xxp how is winning by less than a percentage point 'inevitable' tho, even in media-logic

j., Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:20 (eight years ago) link

Yeah, Hillary was looking for Gore vs. Bradley type results (63-37 in Iowa), not an actual fight. I think it looks good for Sanders, but ymmv.

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:23 (eight years ago) link

Iowa has a minuscule number of delegates but the democrats apportion them by district. The republicans have changed how they do it three or four times in Iowa because the organizers were literally counting votes and declaring themselves the delegates and then voting for whoever they wanted at the convention!

μpright mammal (mh), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:23 (eight years ago) link

and what is the incentive for the media to declare Hillary inevitable exactly? doesn't a tight race generate more clicks and eyeballs? xxp

never have i been a blue calm sea (collardio gelatinous), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:23 (eight years ago) link

like I cannot even explain how dumb the evolution of republican straw poll/caucus crap has been in this state

μpright mammal (mh), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:24 (eight years ago) link

btw my theory is still that Iowa republicans are into picking the most batshit candidate, it's just that enough of them didn't even view Trump as an actual candidate, and Cruz reads as a politician but nuts

μpright mammal (mh), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:26 (eight years ago) link

Cruz is telling everyone "Morning is Coming"

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:26 (eight years ago) link

and "Yes We Can," wow this guy

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:27 (eight years ago) link

according to HuffPo the gap between clinton and sanders is getting bigger in favor of clinton

Sharkie, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:27 (eight years ago) link

also he was just talking about how "THAT is the power of grass roots" but for a second I thought he said "the power of craft services"

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:27 (eight years ago) link

the only accurate website is this one iirc https://www.idpcaucuses.com/#/state

it's the direct line to the iowa democratic party

μpright mammal (mh), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:29 (eight years ago) link

It reminded me of "You don't know the power of the dark side"

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:30 (eight years ago) link

alternatively: http://www.desmoinesregister.com/pages/interactives/elections-results-primaries-2016/#/

national sites are just hitting refresh really fast on local sites or are relying on exit polls

μpright mammal (mh), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:31 (eight years ago) link

wow Bill Clinton is looking pretty rough these days.

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:31 (eight years ago) link

xxp how is winning by less than a percentage point 'inevitable' tho, even in media-logic

― j., Monday, February 1, 2016 11:20 PM (9 minutes ago)

because a lot of voters aren't watching the results unfold in real time like we are. most people are going to see that clinton won, say oh yeah, she was supposed to win right, and that will be that

k3vin k., Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:31 (eight years ago) link

Bill standing behind her open-mouthed is such a distraction... not a helpful visual imo

never have i been a blue calm sea (collardio gelatinous), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:32 (eight years ago) link

xp yeah but they might see uh a 'box score'

'huh 50% huh?'

j., Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:33 (eight years ago) link

sticker-faced guy in the background is even worse

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:34 (eight years ago) link

clinton couldn't even win clinton county, what a disaster for her campaign

k3vin k., Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:35 (eight years ago) link

Are Clinton and Sanders splitting the delegates either way, or will the winner come away with one extra?

clemenza, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:41 (eight years ago) link

it'll be close

μpright mammal (mh), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:43 (eight years ago) link

The biggest indicator in Cruz's victory speech that his campaign will crash and burn is that he proudly used the phrase "Judeo-Christian values." That is a huge RED FLAG for more people than it isn't, even among casual Christians. When you start dropping "Judeo-Christian" into the conversation, people think of Falwell and Robertson.

Ⓓⓡ. (Johnny Fever), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:44 (eight years ago) link

I'm assuming the percentages are actually number of delegates they got out of the total allocated. I don't think "votes" are counted in the percentages, or at least I hope not xp

μpright mammal (mh), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:44 (eight years ago) link

huh apparently they are, which... popular vote numbers are useless here, as usual

Clinton currently at 22, Sanders at 21

μpright mammal (mh), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:46 (eight years ago) link

The biggest indicator in Cruz's victory speech that his campaign will crash and burn is that he proudly used the phrase "Judeo-Christian values." That is a huge RED FLAG for more people than it isn't, even among casual Christians. When you start dropping "Judeo-Christian" into the conversation, people think of Falwell and Robertson.

To Jews, "Judeo-Christian" is a Christian neologism meaning "Christian".

petulant dick master (silby), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:53 (eight years ago) link

Well at least things ain't boring

Darkest Cosmologist junk (kingfish), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:55 (eight years ago) link

I like the phrase "People of the Book"

μpright mammal (mh), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 04:58 (eight years ago) link

Bernie needs a lozenge

never have i been a blue calm sea (collardio gelatinous), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 05:00 (eight years ago) link

Much as I love the guy, every time I see him on TV I wish he would carry around a nice tall mug of soothing chamomile.

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 05:03 (eight years ago) link

clinton 663-660 sanders

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 05:04 (eight years ago) link

the only accurate website is this one iirc https://www.idpcaucuses.com/#/state

it's the direct line to the iowa democratic party

― μpright mammal (mh), Tuesday, February 2, 2016 4:29 AM (33 minutes ago)

i keep checking back to this site and clinton's score keeps wobbling back and forth from 49.9 to 49.8, it's kind of stomach-churning. (sanders is at 49.6 percent.) and it just changed again as i was writing this. what a night.

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 05:05 (eight years ago) link

Ok, I didn't realize that Fort Raccoon had merely been a suggested name for the location.

pplains, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 05:05 (eight years ago) link

the demoines register site seems to be the most up-to-date

k3vin k., Tuesday, 2 February 2016 05:09 (eight years ago) link

(and reports to two decimal points)

k3vin k., Tuesday, 2 February 2016 05:09 (eight years ago) link

is it too simple-minded to think the older voters would have been more likely to vote earlier hence counted earlier? (thus, sanders could close the gap?)

never have i been a blue calm sea (collardio gelatinous), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 05:11 (eight years ago) link

msnbc totally waited until they could update clinton's total from 665 to 667.

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 05:13 (eight years ago) link

bullshit

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 05:13 (eight years ago) link

I would like to see Ted Cruz put up against a not-yet-invented military technology that would vaporize his insides in a flash of light.

larry appleton, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 05:15 (eight years ago) link

bernie's making one last push, but it doesn't look good. the big county with de moines in it still has 22 precints left to report, and it's been solid hilary

k3vin k., Tuesday, 2 February 2016 05:21 (eight years ago) link

amazing showing though. closer than anyone had it being

k3vin k., Tuesday, 2 February 2016 05:21 (eight years ago) link

o'malley is the nader of the democratic primary I would blame him

iatee, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 05:25 (eight years ago) link

I don't hear any pundits questioning the clichéd characterization of the Dem race as a conflict between "passion" vs "getting things done"

never have i been a blue calm sea (collardio gelatinous), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 05:25 (eight years ago) link

xp all the news is about how hip young people have been flocking to dsm the past several years soooo

i've seen graphs indicating that sanders basically took the youth vote, clinton the older vote, decreasingly or increasingly, respectively, but turnout in the top two age brackets was just higher as a share of the total turnout

j., Tuesday, 2 February 2016 05:25 (eight years ago) link

intentional pun? (iatee)

never have i been a blue calm sea (collardio gelatinous), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 05:27 (eight years ago) link

I like the phrase "People of the Book"

This includes Muslims of course, which people who say "Judeo-Christian" pointedly do not wish to do.

petulant dick master (silby), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 05:33 (eight years ago) link

if he loses a close race then hilary's inevitability is just confirmed

If this is true, we deserve a dictatorship.

O'Malley and Huckabee quit btw

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 05:44 (eight years ago) link

I have no idea which of these three guys will win the Republican nomination. None.

Let me help you: Rubio.

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 05:45 (eight years ago) link

i can't really figure out why o'malley stayed in the race this long.

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 05:48 (eight years ago) link

That's why I said it! xxp

And it doesn't quite, it is how Muslims refer to other abrahamic religions pre-islam

μpright mammal (mh), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 05:50 (eight years ago) link

My middle name is "earnestly explains someone else's joke" so

petulant dick master (silby), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 06:05 (eight years ago) link

With 99% reporting there's a .14% lead for Clinton over Sanders. This shit defies predictability, apparently.

a strawman stuffed with their collection of 12 cds (jjjusten), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 06:33 (eight years ago) link

Dammit, I can't find that Bloom County "raucous caucus" strip

Darkest Cosmologist junk (kingfish), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 06:55 (eight years ago) link

Hahaha what the shit

a strawman stuffed with their collection of 12 cds (jjjusten), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 07:09 (eight years ago) link

I guess Hilary Clinton is technically helped by having a projected +1 delegate over her opponent. But since her entire primary campaign strategy was, for the second time and seemingly without any hint of irony, based on "inevitability", and clearing the field of all credible opposition by projecting that inevitability since the moment she showed up at that Unity party in 2008, she probably is trying to figure out how to wear Patty Solis-Doyle as a pantsuit or something right now.

petulant dick master (silby), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 07:12 (eight years ago) link

If Sanders can only draw in the states that are most favorable to him, then Clinton is pretty darn inevitable.

Frederik B, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 09:59 (eight years ago) link

a candidate who underperforms polls by 3 percentage points in a head-on matchup against a 74-year-old socialist (sorry, "democratic socialist") might have some electability issues.

diana krallice (rushomancy), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 11:01 (eight years ago) link

thx for danesplainin' Frederik

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 12:25 (eight years ago) link

ie, he "drew," you moron.

So Clinton won 3 delegates by coin toss?

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 12:37 (eight years ago) link

What exactly is the distinction you're drawing there, so to speak?

Andrew Farrell, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 12:41 (eight years ago) link

think you mean "drewing"

Blowout Coombes (President Keyes), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 12:45 (eight years ago) link

Imagine telling Bill Clinton in 1992 that 25 years later his wife would be neck-and-neck with an "independent socialist" in the Democratic primary. This wasn't supposed to be possible....

The consolation for the Clinton campaign is that the underlying math still looks good. Sanders is running behind Obama among white voters. Given that he's likely to run way behind Obama with non-white voters, Clinton remains a heavy favorite to ultimately win the nomination. But given that Sanders is likely to win New Hampshire next week, that victory won't come without a long and grinding fight.

http://www.vox.com/2016/2/2/10892802/iowa-caucus-bernie-sanders-tie

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 12:50 (eight years ago) link

From another Vox article:

The Clinton campaign's strategy will, of course, be second-guessed as stumbling front-runners always are. But the larger problem is the way that party as a whole — elected officials, operatives, leaders of allied interest groups, major donors, greybeard elder statespersons, etc. — decided to cajole all viable non-Clinton candidates out of the race. This had the effect of making a Clinton victory much more likely than it would have been in a scenario when she was facing off against Elizabeth Warren, Joe Biden, and Deval Patrick. But it also means that the only alternative to Clinton is a candidate the party leaders don't regard as viable.

Trying to coordinate your efforts to prevent something crazy from happening is smart, otherwise you might wind up with Donald Trump. But trying to foreclose any kind of meaningful contact with the voters or debate about party priorities, strategy, and direction was arrogant and based on a level of self-confidence about Democratic leaders' political judgment that does not seem borne out by the evidence. This is a party that has no viable plan for winning the House of Representatives, that's been pushed to a historic lowpoint in terms of state legislative seats, and that somehow lost the governors mansions in New Jersey, Maryland, Massachusetts, and Illinois.

NB: by Matthew Yglesias.

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 12:57 (eight years ago) link

So Iowa the last three caucuses have gone for the three most psychopathically religious conservatives, Huckabee, Santorum and Cruz. Nice at least that this time around those folks weren't falling for Trump's Bible-toting tomfoolery.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 13:01 (eight years ago) link

It'll be cool in 2020 to see Huckabee, Santorum and Cruz pulling >%1 in Iowa while Kim Davis wins the caucus

Blowout Coombes (President Keyes), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 13:09 (eight years ago) link

Don't discount Joe the Plumber's chances. Dude's making a comeback, mark my words.

Chortles And Guffaws (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 13:20 (eight years ago) link

The Clinton campaign's strategy will, of course, be second-guessed as stumbling front-runners who the press has had a hate-on for for 25 years always are.

the top man in the language department (誤訳侮辱), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 13:20 (eight years ago) link

especially when they tie with a 'democratic socialist' who was thought a joke 3 months ago?

plz, the clintons owe their zombielike unkillability in large part to the media.

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 13:25 (eight years ago) link

Clinton remains a heavy favorite to ultimately win the nomination. But given that Sanders is likely to win New Hampshire next week, that victory won't come without a long and grinding fight.

Yabbut that can be spun in her favor, should she win the nomination. This was no coronation, it was not inevitable, she had to fight for every vote, and her candidacy is the stronger for it.

kylo stimpy (Ye Mad Puffin), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 13:35 (eight years ago) link

i'm done w/ this shit, fuck all these assholes. remove bookmark.

balls, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 14:23 (eight years ago) link

^^^ good candidate for the next thread title, maybe a bit long though

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 14:32 (eight years ago) link

dude you are tapping out early, c'mon balls, that's not the balls we know and love, there's a long season ahead and we're going to need our balls if we're gonna get through it

(though I put that jokey I actually also mean it)

tremendous crime wave and killing wave (Joan Crawford Loves Chachi), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 14:35 (eight years ago) link

I'm overloaded from the last week, see you all later

μpright mammal (mh), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 14:36 (eight years ago) link

Cuckoo-ca-choo, Huck. Cuckoo-ca-choo.

its subtle brume (DJP), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 14:55 (eight years ago) link

Sanders supporters all up in tizzy about voting irregularities. Caucus precincts decided by coin toss, 90 missing precincts ...

Liked this piece a lot:

http://www.salon.com/2016/01/30/my_day_with_bernie_sanders_and_hillary_clinton_two_iowa_rallies_explain_why_hillary_may_be_about_to_blow_a_sure_thing/

OTM that Clinton is running on "3am phone call" change=bad fear, just like last time.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 15:09 (eight years ago) link

Cuckoo-ca-choo, Huck. Cuckoo-ca-choo.

it is a grave injustice that whoever made that ad will not be making more this cycle

tremendous crime wave and killing wave (Joan Crawford Loves Chachi), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 15:27 (eight years ago) link

It's pretty clear that libs who prefer Sanders' politics but are twisting themselves like pretzels to justify a vote for Clinton are motivated by fear. So it works sometimes, maybe most times.

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 15:29 (eight years ago) link

Recently, I think Huck has been floated semi-seriously as a Trump running mate. That would be entertaining, and it makes some sense because he would bring some humility, genial humor, evangelical support, and political experience to a Trump ticket. May be moot if Ted Cruzes to the nomination or MarcoMentum becomes a real thing. In any case I still think those are all general-election losers.

kylo stimpy (Ye Mad Puffin), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 15:32 (eight years ago) link

I do count this as more proof that nobody knows anything this year: wasn't Charles Pierce mocking the "Rubio surge" the other day?

Also, Matt Yglesias's recent piece arguing that Trump won the Iowa debate by not showing up is looking a little less accurate right now. It seems that turned off a lot of Iowa caucus-goers.

"Floating above the fray, Trump was perfectly positioned to grow even stronger just days from the beginning of voting."
http://www.vox.com/2016/1/28/10866312/donald-trump-won-the-debate

o. nate, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 15:35 (eight years ago) link

also important to keep in mind that iowa polling is notoriously inaccurate. those cruz voters could always have been there

k3vin k., Tuesday, 2 February 2016 15:36 (eight years ago) link

Before taking questions, Clinton gave the microphone to her celebrity endorser: John “Bowzer” Bauman of the neo-doo-wop group Sha Na Na. Bowzer boomed the intro to the Marcels’ “Blue Moon,” and promised to flex his arms and open his mouth reeeeal wide if Hillary wins the caucus.

ok i'm sold

example (crüt), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 15:39 (eight years ago) link

i mean really

nomar, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 15:40 (eight years ago) link

from that Salon article:

The last time a Clinton was in the White House, she pointed out, incomes went up, and the budget was balanced. Then, a Republican president screwed it all up.

“One of the first things they did was to defang the regulators who were supposed to keep an eye on Wall Street and the financial markets,” Clinton said.

Chutzpah defined given the Great Bubba Deregulation of the '90s. Needs some tomatoes flung.

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 15:40 (eight years ago) link

i know the odds are against sanders, but it was tough not to be heartened by the contrast between the clinton and sanders supporters last night. the energy and enthusiasm of the sanders crew is an order of magnitude above clinton's supporters. when they showed the clinton HQ you could hear snippets of arguments breaking out in the background, and the general vibe reminded me of the first family dinner following the tenuous reconciliation of a formerly separated couple. then they'd cut back to sanders HQ and it was like a party. i guess that's part of the benefit of being the favored candidate of young people.

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 15:41 (eight years ago) link

sanders team still has time to find a singer with a larger mouth and more flexible arms, it's not over. has steven tyler made an endorsement? "LISTEN TO THIS BERN"

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 15:42 (eight years ago) link

Steven Tyler promises to go a-"Free Fallin’" into your yum yum yum if you vote Sanders

example (crüt), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 15:45 (eight years ago) link

Picture of Cruz above looks like he's miming singing "Don't Stop Believin'" in his mirror with a hairbrush.

Retro novelty punk (Dan Peterson), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 15:47 (eight years ago) link

That Cruz pic reminds me of crying Swaggart

http://wp.patheos.com.s3.amazonaws.com/blogs/nolongerquivering/files/2013/04/jimmyswaggert.jpg

kylo stimpy (Ye Mad Puffin), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 15:48 (eight years ago) link

lol brownie

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 15:50 (eight years ago) link

looks like a drunk dude singing mike and the mechanics at karaoke

nomar, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 15:51 (eight years ago) link

the contrast between the clinton and sanders supporters last night. the energy and enthusiasm of the sanders crew is an order of magnitude above clinton's supporters

Unmistakable. Someone like Begala is always selling the great enthusiasm of Clinton's supporters, but her speech last night, and the general tenor of the room, felt like the same death march (win or lose) that 2008 felt like. (I'm sure I'm projecting a bit.)

clemenza, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 15:54 (eight years ago) link

apparently there were 6 caucus locations that resorted to coin flips last night, not 3, and clinton won all 6 of them! (something that would only happen 1.5 times out of a 100, but whatever)

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 15:59 (eight years ago) link

saddest prominent performative hilarybro is probably this dude tho https://twitter.com/peterdaou

k3vin k., Tuesday, 2 February 2016 16:07 (eight years ago) link

just a man who really, really wants to see a woman succeed and be president!

k3vin k., Tuesday, 2 February 2016 16:10 (eight years ago) link

love that people figured out he was in a right wing militia in lebanon in his youth

goole, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 16:31 (eight years ago) link

is time for a new thread?

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 16:40 (eight years ago) link

it's time for a new country.

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 16:54 (eight years ago) link

lock thread!

the 'major tom guy' (sleeve), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 16:56 (eight years ago) link

cruz is such a gross thing

ulysses, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 16:59 (eight years ago) link

he sort of looks like j.r. "bob" dobbs, sans pipe

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 17:02 (eight years ago) link

heresy! Bob is way more chill

we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 17:10 (eight years ago) link

well obv but the ur-suburban-robot-dad that the clipart was probably modelled on was clearly a psycho

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 17:12 (eight years ago) link

Cruz has perpetually sad eyes, whereas "Bob" always has a mirthful gleam

Check Yr Scrobbles (Moodles), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 17:26 (eight years ago) link

he looks like he wants to kill us all

ulysses, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 17:31 (eight years ago) link

Cruz has the wan visage of an exposed snapping turtle

its subtle brume (DJP), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 17:32 (eight years ago) link

he has the wan visage of an exposed asshole

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 17:33 (eight years ago) link

the wan visage of an exposed snapping turtle's exposed asshole

ulysses, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 17:34 (eight years ago) link

His wife said he looked like a '50s movie star when she met him. So I guess modern-day Cruz is what happens when a '50s movie star is first overinflated and then underinflated.

Chortles And Guffaws (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 17:35 (eight years ago) link

he does not want to have a beer with you, he wants to show you his wine cellar and brick you up, cask of amontillado style

ulysses, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 17:36 (eight years ago) link

man, rubio is a child. hillary could eat him for breakfast and still have room for brunch.

scott seward, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 17:36 (eight years ago) link

wait i'm on the wrong thread...

scott seward, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 17:37 (eight years ago) link

marco reminds me of

http://www.moviesonline.ca/wp-content/uploads/2010/10/peter-lorre-m-1.jpg

nomar, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 17:39 (eight years ago) link

Politico with this gem:

Trump’s data shop is headed by a pair of low-profile former RNC data engineers, Matt Braynard and Witold Chrabaszcz, who are regarded as technically savvy but who do not have previous high-level campaign experience. And, while Trump’s team late last year entered into an agreement with the political data outfit L2, the campaign has paid the firm only $235,000 for “research consulting” through the end of 2015, the period covered by the most recent Federal Election Commission reports.

Trump’s reports show that his self-funded campaign has spent relatively little on voter data or outreach. They showed $200,000 in list rental payments to the conservative Newsmax Media, and $47,000 to Targeted Victory, a leading GOP digital firm, as well as $700,000 on field staff and consultants.

By contrast, the campaign has spent at least $1.2 million on hats ― presumably mostly for the now-iconic hats bearing Trump’s campaign slogan “Make America Great Again.”

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/02/donald-trump-iowa-caucus-loser-218604

franklin, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 18:16 (eight years ago) link

can we lock this thread

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 18:16 (eight years ago) link

The Lonesome Ballad of Mike Huckabee and Martin O'Malley: the 2016 Presidential Primary Thread (Pt. 3).

(I know there's a much better title than that.)

clemenza, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 18:53 (eight years ago) link

There's already a new thread, linked above.

nickn, Tuesday, 2 February 2016 19:02 (eight years ago) link

I'm realizing that I don't understand some of the basic mechanics of this system. Is there a good online resource that explains things like: exactly what a caucus is and how/why it differs from a primary, why the primaries/caucuses take place in the order that they do, how the results of these caucuses/primaries lead to the choice of the party's Presidential candidate, etc? (I gather that e.g. Clinton and Sanders won very close percentages of the vote in this caucus, with Clinton getting 22 delegates and Sanders getting 21: does this mean that at the party leadership convention, there will be 22 Iowa delegates who will vote for Clinton on the first ballot with 21 voting for Sanders? Or does Clinton get to count all of Iowa in her pocket because she got more delegates this time? etc.) It's probably high school civics class material but I don't always trust Wikipedia and I don't always find journalistic sources to be that clear.

Hi! I'm twice-coloured! (Sund4r), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 19:32 (eight years ago) link

Whoops, missed the new thread.

Hi! I'm twice-coloured! (Sund4r), Tuesday, 2 February 2016 19:33 (eight years ago) link

Nm, think I got it now.

Hi! I'm twice-coloured! (Sund4r), Wednesday, 3 February 2016 01:13 (eight years ago) link

rand paul is dropping out

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 3 February 2016 14:04 (eight years ago) link

a good note on which to close this thread. We're here now: I will keep doing, but not worth it! The 2016 Presidential Primary Voting Thread

Mods?

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 3 February 2016 14:10 (eight years ago) link

whoops, thanks! i'm so used to ctrl+f'ing "faith" when i have urgent political news

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 3 February 2016 14:19 (eight years ago) link

Who can find the betting odds on Reagan's dudes working through 2020? They'll be pushing 85 by then.

― service desk hardman (El Tomboto), Monday, January 25, 2016

Sith Dog (El Tomboto), Saturday, 13 February 2016 22:20 (eight years ago) link

thread still needs locking but i am happy to have scalia's death marked in every thread on the board tbh

the thirteenth floorior (Doctor Casino), Saturday, 13 February 2016 22:21 (eight years ago) link


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