modest proposals by which to deny Bryce Harper the NL MVP

Ben Lindbergh uses Championship Win Probability Added for fun, comes up with Rizzo:

http://grantland.com/the-triangle/2015-mlb-mvp-debate-bryce-harper-yoenis-cespedes-anthony-rizzo/

My fave list here is negative cWPA; booby prizes to Jimmy Rollins and Didi Gregorius.

I like that -- could see letting my vote be guided by it if I had a vote. (And yay Mitch Moreland.)

that does not take fielding into account, right?

tl;dnr

Although WPA takes into account the sequencing of a player’s actions within games, it doesn’t consider their sequencing within seasons. And if we really care about context, we want to know that too. Just as a walk-off shot is worth more than a tack-on homer, a walk-off shot in a pivotal game against an important opponent should be worth more than one that comes after the campaign’s outcome is already assured.

I think I used to argue exactly the same thing on here: that even if a win in April was equal in the standings to a win in late September, that in context the win in late September was much more meaningful in getting you closer to a division title or wild-card spot, and that therefore September performance should matter, to a degree, in an MVP vote. (Donaldson's good-not-great September nags at me a little.) I guess what I needed was an acronym.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2pWSwfVDiq8

iirc cameron didnt even put him in his top-10 but imo aj pollock shd get some downballot votes