Il Douché and His Discontents: The 2016 Primary Voting Thread, Part 4

80-year-old: (dies)

That exchange would make an awesome comic strip.

I gave up lobbying my wife weeks ago, but this morning on the way to the booth she told me she had changed her mind and was voting for Sanders. I asked what was different, and she said the fact that he might have a shot here made a big difference, and that she thought it was healthy to have a competitive primary.

https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-bQky_XaEED4/VucFu3oMJ-I/AAAAAAAAfpk/baDnEqL5aWs7fzvbCItWWeuwxBIZjBQ7Q/s400/Screenshot%2B2016-03-14%2Bat%2B11.40.39%2BAM.png

butler story is amazing btw. the penny thing! wow. also: so mar-a-lago is the merriweather post pavilion?!

That exchange is amazing.

xpost Was that asked of all voters, or just potential GOP?

good question! just republicans. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/03/14/surprise-voters-dont-seem-hold-violence-at-trump-rallies-against-him

At this point, I think many Trump supporters would continue supporting Trump even if he murdered their own mothers in front of them. Some might waver a bit, I guess.

What's interesting is that the "less likely" and "more likely" number add up to his more or less 30% constant. That 66%, there is no indication whether those voters were ever planning to vote for Trump.

xpost What if their mothers were ISIS? You just never know. Not a week goes by without some kind of ISIS attack in America - it's happening all the time - so better safe than sorry.

“As you may know, Donald Trump cancelled a rally in Chicago Friday night where protesters and his supporters got into confrontations,” Monmouth asked. “Does what happened there and Trump’s response to it make you more likely or less likely to support Trump, or does it have no impact on your vote for the Republican nomination?”

I'm assuming >50% of the people polled haven't even been paying attention to the news about this particular Trump rally, so based on this question, their responses seem pretty unremarkable

http://www.theguardian.com/technology/2016/mar/15/anonymous-declares-total-war-on-donald-trump-again

lmao

weird how my reaction to Anonymous is so much more viscerally apoplectic than my reaction to Donald Trump

the guy fawkes mask is 99% of it though

How are Anonymous's wars against ISIS, the KKK and the Zetas going? Impressive that they can fight on so many fronts at once.

At this point, I think many Trump supporters would continue supporting Trump even if he murdered their own mothers in front of them. Some might waver a bit, I guess.

― Going To Town On Aunt May's Mezze Platter (Old Lunch), Tuesday, March 15, 2016 10:30 AM (21 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

"He must have had a good reason. I respect his confidence. He gets things done."

xpost All of those groups dissolved this morning. Did you forget to read the news?

"You don't get your name in lights on a tower by not murdering people's mothers"

"My mother was a woman, after all."

Most human part of the Rubio interview is where they ask him about whether he'll support the nominee and he said "I don't know" in weary "I thought the one constant in my life would be that I could support the Republican nominee" way.

There is some "both sides do it", but he does take care to point out that although Barack Obama has been 'divisive' (a word he consistently can't pronounce), Trump's working has been qualitatively different and dangerous. The fact that this is impressive is kind of depressing.

https://twitter.com/Jmrhosborne/status/709696836337065984?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw

I've always pronounced divisive with a long I (rhymes with why live). The short I pronunciation (rhymes with missive) is less favored by dictionaries but I am hearing it more lately. Romney said it that way.

You can argue for the long I by analogy with "divide," but then you have to explain away the word "division," which gets an undisputed short I from the same root. No one says diVYzhun.

hello i have the best take of the day

https://twitter.com/GeraldoRivera/status/709763287404032001

Pundits missing peril facing @BernieSanders today. It's #SpringBreak His kids are partying in farflung beaches not voting in Ohio

#SpriiiiiingBreeeaaaak

i don't know anyone who went to farflung beaches for spring break, i thought that was only something that happened in movies

(rhymes with why live).

Of course I read this the first time as rhyming with "high give".

Ohio, of course, has early voting, so college-age voters could easily have voted prior to leaving for spring break.

getting things done ahead of time, a thing college students are well known for

lol: http://theweek.com/speedreads/612725/donald-trump-taunts-supporter-chris-christie-face-rally

I'm off this week, so I was in and out of the house yesterday. When I was in, I was usually at the computer with CNN on in the next room. From 8:00 in the morning until midnight, with hardly any break, people argued about Donald Trump, primarily about the rallies. The people kept changing, but it was the same argument over and over.

Gonna be a little sad when Rubio's rushed tonight :(

and crushed

rushed and crushed rubio with a side of bile and sour grapes

and he won't be running for senator again, either. guess he'll just have to take some cushy consulting job and make a bunch of money introducing people to each other while golfing. poor guy

http://giphy.com/gifs/3o7abkti7UphSopcl2

make that

http://i.giphy.com/3o7abkti7UphSopcl2.gif

Funny, but its 3rd appearance here at this point.

4th!

"I will be proud to announce Chris Christie as my vice presidential pick! After the teabagging, of course."

After he fucks a goat.

so i guess ohio is the big one for tonight, on the GOP side. from 538:

The importance of this primary to the larger Republican race is difficult to overstate. According to my math (and that of Republican Benjamin Ginsberg, who basically wrote the GOP’s delegate rules), Trump is unlikely to reach a majority of delegates needed to clinch the Republican nomination if he loses Ohio.

what is kasich's strategy if he wins OH?

brokered convention

even then though how is his claim any more legitimate than cruz really (leaving aside trump)

legitimacy kinda goes out the window with a brokered convention

Trump is unlikely to reach a majority of delegates needed to clinch the Republican nomination if he loses Ohio.

That's oddly comforting.

fwiw the current predictwise odds

trump 85% for florida, 70% for illinois, 99% for NC

trump and cruz are 50/50 in missouri

kasich is 70/30 with trump for ohio

illinois is a dem toss-up, sanders is up 67/33 in missouri, and clinton is 90%+ in NC and FL

what has been their record so far?

I really want someone else to get the nom in a brokered convention just because I posted a "Trump is not going to be the nominee and I'll bump this when I'm right" facebook status a while back.

We all should really learn to forgive the obviously contrite Trump for the awful things he's said over and over but that he clearly doesn't mean.

Obviously Trump is sort of sui generis, but ppl do this with their fave politicians all the fucking time. Most gay Dem Hilbots have already forgiven HRC for Reagan-AIDS, and would do the same if she wore an SS uniform to the next debate, as long as she apologized on Facebook.

if trump gets screwed out of the nomination at the convention there's no way you can consider that status msg valid xp