Il Douché and His Discontents: The 2016 Primary Voting Thread, Part 4

that fasting child is gonna fix everything
i wonder what the party in hell will be like when glenn beck dies; it's gonna be a high time

Looking at New York, California, and Pennsylvania alone, I get the feeling stop-Trump is just a mirage. Real Clear Politics' poll averages:

New York (95 delegates, winner take most):
Trump 54.5
Cruz 11.5
Kasich 9.5

California (172 delegates, winner take all):
Trump 31.5
Cruz 21.0
Kasich 17.5

Pennsylvania (71 delegates, winner take all):
Trump 28.5
Cruz 16.5
Kasich 13.0

If he gets 320 out of those 340, that'd put him over 1,000. Arizona's the next biggest, and he's winning there by ~10 points.

They arent gonna stop him

Are any of those polls post 3/15 tho? NYC I'm not sure it matters but the closer ones sure.

here's a thought: donald j. trump is going to be the republican candidate for president of the united states of america

the 'j' sounds so made up

sounds like a cartoon character: homer j simpson, rocket j squirrel, bullwinkle j moose

Trump T. Firefly

none of the states cited above has percentages totaling anywhere close to 100. rubio wasn't necessarily a polling powerhouse, but his voters do have to go somewhere. granted the stop-trump people have not given me the impression of being super coordinated or having a great plan, but rubio throwing ohio to kasich did work. i think it's possible california won't happen for trump, and that is a lot of delegates to miss out on.

we also have basically no idea though. those RCP averages are based on a couple of polls each, and not up-to-date-ones. same deal as i was saying above about the upcoming dem states - i don't think anyone budgets for a real density of polling this late in the race because it's assumed it'll be pretty clear what's gonna happen.

elmer j fudd

http://bbsimg.ngfiles.com/10/25040000/ngbbs534b44612db4e.jpg

"i am donald j. trump, millionaire. i own a mansion and a yacht."

none of the states cited above has percentages totaling anywhere close to 100. rubio wasn't necessarily a polling powerhouse, but his voters do have to go somewhere. granted the stop-trump people have not given me the impression of being super coordinated or having a great plan, but rubio throwing ohio to kasich did work. i think it's possible california won't happen for trump, and that is a lot of delegates to miss out on.

― never ending bath infusion (Doctor Casino), Sunday, March 20, 2016 9:06 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

we also have basically no idea though. those RCP averages are based on a couple of polls each, and not up-to-date-ones. same deal as i was saying above about the upcoming dem states - i don't think anyone budgets for a real density of polling this late in the race because it's assumed it'll be pretty clear what's gonna happen.

― never ending bath infusion (Doctor Casino), Sunday, March 20, 2016 9:09 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

yes, but have you considered this: donald j. trump is going to be the republican candidate for president of the united states of america

It's Trump vs. Clinton at this point. I think we can all take a break and make our peace about it.

What if she runs him over with her bus?

Maybe this means something, I don't know--only 40 delegates.

http://www.sltrib.com/news/3683983-155/new-poll-shows-ted-cruz-with

might mean trump's tiff with romney hurt him w/ mormons

Hell hath no fury like a Mormon scorned.

am i damaged if i say i'd rather see trump run than cruz? cruz is so unpleasant. trump is more plainly and honestly a sociopath.

they would both get owned in unique ways

i honestly don't know who would terrify me more in a position of power of those two little homunculi
they both look as if they've been crafted from dough and have made a deal with a demon that if they win the presidency they will become real boys

both would be bad obv but seems like cruz with his knowledge of the law and ultraconservative ideology would be much more effective in passing some terrible shit

but he doesnt understand ppl v well, so he will be bad at getting ppl to do shit for him

This is a pseudonym for someone legitimately close to sources who would know:

https://twitter.com/jzokun/status/711665561814446081

if this is about her cooties, i got some fucking news for you bruh...

i honestly don't know who would terrify me more in a position of power of those two little homunculi

I'd suspect those would be about the only two people in American politics who could unite a fractured congress in complete opposition.

This is a pseudonym for someone legitimately close to sources who would know:

https://twitter.com/jzokun/status/711665561814446081

― ... (Eazy), Monday, March 21, 2016 12:00 AM (18 minutes ago)

I've also heard that the DNC has an Everest-sized mountain of oppo research against Trump that they haven't even begun using yet, and why would they when he keeps poisoning his own general election profile.

I feel like it would be hard for either party to keep a scandal under wraps for long

especially as it's hard to believe any of these ppl are professionals

but not sure either party has a standard of scandalous behavior anymore

Medical diagnosis, Edwards-type situations, Spitzer-type situations, who knows...

Trigger warning for this article, but I feel like this will probably become more of an issue in the general. This story is not just in Ivana's authorized biography but she repeated it during a deposition as well. http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2015/07/27/ex-wife-donald-trump-made-feel-violated-during-sex.html

Trump’s lawyer then changed tactics, lobbing insults and threatening a lawsuit if a story was published.
“I will make sure that you and I meet one day while we’re in the courthouse. And I will take you for every penny you still don’t have. And I will come after your Daily Beast and everybody else that you possibly know,” Cohen said. “So I’m warning you, tread very fucking lightly, because what I’m going to do to you is going to be fucking disgusting. You understand me?”

here's a thought: donald j. trump is going to be the republican candidate for president of the united states of america

― There was a hole bunch of problems whit his campaigns (crüt), Monday, March 21, 2016 12:23 AM (10 hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

the 'j' sounds so made up

― illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Monday, March 21, 2016 12:46 AM (10 hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

sounds like a cartoon character: homer j simpson, rocket j squirrel, bullwinkle j moose

Shall I part my hair behind? Do I dare to eat a peach? Fuck yeah!

He did not like the sound of "Michael A. Fox" during a time when "fox" was coming to mean "attractive" and because his middle initial sounded too much like the Canadian "eh?" He also didn't like the sound of "Andrew" or "Andy," so he decided to adopt a new middle initial and settled on "J", as a homage to actor Michael J. Pollard.[8]

that's great

michael, a fox

RCP polling averages show Clinton ahead of Sanders in AZ 53–23.

but no polls since the 11th

i'll put this here since no one will read the cap punishment thread

@the_intercept
Clinton's vow to feel relieved when others finally win the fight against the death penalty isn't exactly courageous. http://interc.pt/1pBLjEN

Man, that Trump lawyer sounds like an even more evil and vindictive Trump, the brains behind the bully.

"brains"

Yeah, it's all relative. I just meant that Trump's bluster is backed up by bullshit, but I have a feeling his lawyer has the wherewithal to follow up on threats to really mess with people in more than a WWF way.

There really can't be enough said about Trump's mealy-mouthed derision of his detractors. The protestors are sick people, professional troublemakers who make signs with just the worst profanity, the worst words you've ever seen. Whereas Trump is standing up for his first amendment rights, and his violent supporters are just spirited folks who want their country to be great again, and I guess his own use of profanity and bigoted language is...whatever. They're sick, these protestors.

Reality is just whatever he says it is, I guess.

i heard that Vivia A Fox insisted on the "a" for just that reason

vivica, that is

signs with just the worst profanity, the worst words you've ever seen.

Yeah my wife and I had a good lol at this on the news this morning.

“The way that Trump interacts with other people is very violent, he seems like a physical bully … He seeks out conflicts in which he is going to be gratuitously brutal to other people,” says says Liza Featherstone, editor of False Choices: The Faux Feminism of Hillary Rodham Clinton. “I think women instinctively pick up on that. And it has nothing to do with policy.”...

“If men dislike Clinton more [than other Democrats], it’s partly sexist,” says Featherstone. “If you hate Hillary because she reminds you of your ex-wife, that is sexist. If you dislike Hillary because she has dedicated her life to the neoliberal polices that have screwed you, as a working person, that’s not sexist.”

https://theintercept.com/2016/03/21/women-hate-donald-trump-even-more-than-men-hate-hillary-clinton/

“If men dislike Clinton more [than other Democrats], it’s partly sexist,” -- seems pretty logical. outside general gender preferences per party i see no reason to believe that male voters have unique reasons to dislike hillary more than female voters so i've got to assume that the huge discrepancy between the two groups has a lot to do with sexism - probably both actual sexism coming from men and solidarity against sexism on some level coming from women.

female voters have more unique reason(s) to like hillary than male voters ie Making History

tho younger female voters seem markedly less invested in this as a prime reason for support

"We need steady hands and not a president who says he's neutral on Monday, pro-Israel on Tuesday, and who knows what on Wednesday," Clinton said.

She added that Israel's security is "non-negotiable," contrasting herself with Trump's business-like approach to politics.

http://theweek.com/speedreads/613956/hillary-clinton-slams-donald-trump-aipac

Quality!

https://twitter.com/aterkel/status/711919433200082944