Il Douché and His Discontents: The 2016 Primary Voting Thread, Part 4

Trump should have gone all in and name checked Kissinger.

"China has got unbelievable ambitions," Trump said. "China feels very invincible. We have rebuilt China. They have drained so much money out of our country that they’ve rebuilt China. Without us, you wouldn’t see the airports and the roadways and the bridges. The George Washington Bridge [in New York], that’s like a trinket compared to the bridges that they build in China. We don’t build anymore. We had our day."

my neighbor's Pomeranian is sharper

http://i.imgur.com/AuNdw2H.png

But ... but ... China has a wall! A great, big, beautiful wall!

that wall should've been built in America!

pretty depressing day, given Hil's Likudnik raving as well.

xxxxpost the women's vote can also swing this, as they have in recent history voted more liberal - the margins have ranged from thin (a few percentage points) to comfortable (11%), but the last Republican to win the women's vote was George H.W. Bush in 1988.

although it's obv possible to win without the women's vote (Dubya - twice!), a candidate that significantly loses the women's vote could find himself in a hole.

Recall in the last election, Romney (who is by all means a dick and socially awkward, but nowhere near the creep Trump is re: women), lost the women's vote 55% - 44% (a sharp contrast to the 52% - 45% advantage he had among men). In an opinion poll taken right before the 2012 election, Romney's net favorability rating among women was -2%.

Trump's, currently? -33% (source: https://theintercept.com/2016/03/21/women-hate-donald-trump-even-more-than-men-hate-hillary-clinton/).

It's very difficult to translate that into numbers (and we're also a ways away from the Gen Election, which gives ample time for him to improve his stature among women), but if he stays that unpopular among women, he could lose their vote 60-40, which would be hard to overcome.

morbz that must've been a real heartbreaker finding out that a personal hero of yours is pro-israel

Likudnik raving

picturing her waving glowsticks on a beach in Haifa

more like her idolators and voter-flunkies do not give a flying shit what she says for 7-1/2 coming months, nor can they fake it

xp

"pro-israel"

i saw what ya did there

don't worry, Morbs: the ice caps are melting

i can't use that alone for security

i thought about saying pro-likud but i don't really believe that she is and i'm not sure you actually know what the likud is

I likud like that

but lol @ voter-flunkies 👍

ooooh I likud
I get chills down my spine every time I take likud at you

I thought that was Webster's dad

xpost

Going to see Bernie tomorrow in San Diego!

Sanders or Billingham

kevin drum on the dream team:

http://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2016/03/oh-wait%E2%80%94donald-trump-decides-he-has-foreign-policy-team-after-all

So....this is a helluva C-list crew Trump has assembled. A guy who worked for Paul Bremer; the son of John Schmitz; a former Ben Carson advisor; a Fox News talking head; and a guy who specializes in torts.

As for Trump's actual foreign policy, apparently it's the same as always: he's super militaristic, but he doesn't want to actually use the American military for much of anything. He'd like other countries to start taking care of Ukraine and NATO and the South China Sea—or, if they insist on America doing it, he'd like them to pay us for it. Apparently Trump's ambition is to sit at the head of a vast American tribute empire.

Donald Trump as a real-life President Snow makes some sick amount of sense

i'm not sure you actually know what the likud is

yes just as i know A. Sharon is their Lincoln

David Ben-Washington

sharon left likud in 2005 to form kadima

and i'm pretty sure likud considers the gaza withdrawal a disaster so

Phares, who is probably the objectively worst human being on that list, was also part of Romney's team iirc.

kasich pronounces natan as nay-ton

funky cold kadima

bernie posted his speech:
https://berniesanders.com/sanders-outlines-middle-east-policy/

ppl burnt out on one-sidedness of other candidates will appreciate the even-handedness but it would've been more courageous to actually deliver it in person i think

https://scontent-iad3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xaf1/v/t1.0-9/10268544_10157191048550355_3425385828527479542_n.jpg?oh=5ce664a5bfeb61ac8b56535965657f95&oe=578BFD63

what, is trump about to go on

paul ryan on now. idk when trump is coming.

lol @

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CeGrRwGWwAAjWG9.jpg

Aw man, no Ted Cruz

I kind of want a Sanders yarmulke.

those look like cheapo bar mitzvah kippot tho. someone was making these on etsy tho much nicer imo

https://img0.etsystatic.com/102/0/9237869/il_570xN.909246962_is7q.jpg

trump speaking now

Maybe this is more significant than I realize, but when Trump always brings up grand-marshalling a parade, it reminds me of Palin talking about her PTA experience as a qualification.

"i've studied this deal more than anyone else" <dismissive laughter from the crowd> "believe me. beeeelieve me."

Maybe this is more significant than I realize, but when Trump always brings up grand-marshalling a parade, it reminds me of Palin talking about her PTA experience as a qualification.

superficially on a different scale but romney's saving-the-olympics bullet point always felt in this class to me.

positing the Palestinian-Israeli conflict as akin to a real estate deal is p gross imo

he's v scripted and in behaving himself / trying to act like an adult mode

"Believe me, believe me, believe me...I get the feeling no one believes me."

calling I/P a real estate deal is a kinda super cynical realpolitik take on the situation but it's not v complete. i remember seeing a few years ago polling that showed that israeli + palestinian support for a final deal shot up when provisions like "israel will apologize for the nakba" or "palestine will acknowledge israel is a jewish state" were added, which suggests that the land piece - as serious as it is - is not enough.

yeah I think the non-land-related issues are p essential

I keep thinking that he's not as stupid as he sounds -- that when we wins the nomination he'll study. Bush sounded relatively legible by 2003, and Trump was a better businessman.

dropped a "ivanka is, maybe as we speak, about to have a jewish baby." i don't understand how david duke could possibly watch this and feel like he made the right endorsement.

"ivanka is, maybe as we speak, about to have a jewish baby."

*gag*

Duke takes what he can get