rate the chances that you will experience a cataclysmic, world-threatening event before you're 70

The Cascadia Subduction Zone rupturing & the Yellowstone Caldera erupting definitely have a greater than 0% of happening within 37 years. Though those would mostly threaten just the Western US and Canada.

What really scares me is when giant asteroids make close pass-by's and NASA's like "oh we didn't see that one coming!" and the fact that even if we knew one was headed on a direct path towards Earth, we really don't have any way to divert it. They're working on that but currently there is no consensus that exploding a big nuclear missle near it/on it would be strong enough to nudge it enough to miss us.

But most likely, IMO, is that the effects of climate change get so severe there's a serious disruption in the global agricultural and energy sectors which would definitely lead to a panic that collapses the global economy. Though, in all likelihood that would happen at least 50 years from now. So, sorry teenagers!

I might just be a naive optimist, but I highly doubt President Trump is going start wars or cause events that are globally destabilizing. Fucking over poor people, minorities and women within the US, however... unfortunately very likely.

a greater than 0% of happening within 37 years

That 37 year window may apply to you, but as the poll was written, every respondent will have a differently sized window. In my case it is somewhat less than 8 years, which reduces the odds considerably closer to 0%. btw, if the Yellowstone Caldera erupts we can kiss our sweet lives of luxury goodbye.

if i dont see my pension and lump sum imma be soooo mad but really i dont see anything like this happening

http://www.bbc.com/future/story/20170418-how-western-civilisation-could-collapse

Eventually, investment in complexity as a problem-solving strategy reaches a point of diminishing returns, leading to fiscal weakness and vulnerability to collapse. That is, he says “unless we find a way to pay for the complexity[”]

bump

nah

https://media3.giphy.com/media/114YFLTN8BIQDe/giphy.gif

would need to be something much, much worse than this

this is more of a test run

well yes