hurricane coming...

Its like snow in houston strange but fucking beautiful

Thinking of those towns and small cities (Joshua Tree, Barstow) that I'm sure aren't built to run off that much rainfall, let alone much rainfall at all.

i’m hearing mountains supposedly 4”-8” on saturday? holy fuck it’s going to wash away sixth grade camp

I mentioned this on the LA thread, but we got 7" of rain in the heaviest of the January storms. Eastern San Diego county looks like a very bad place to be. Fingers crossed for Slab City

Some light reading: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ARkStorm

I was in Baja California (~750 miles south of San Diego) for Hurricane Odile and that sucked. Similar energy as this one. 4-6" of rain and 100+mph winds.

5 deaths, total damage amounted to MXN$16.6 billion (US$1.25 billion)

The house we were staying at (and evacuated from) was heavily damaged, as was the airport which made getting home a bit of a challenge. The Red Cross helped us with evacuations as roads were flooded/washed out, <3 to those folks.

In typical modern myopia, it was less than 9 years ago.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Odile

my parents go fishing with their retired friends in loreto (not too far from la paz but on the pacific side), worried about the friends in loreto and la paz

sorry i got that scrambled. they go to some no name one horse town on the pacific side from loreto, after flying into to la paz and driving to loreto. geography obviously my worst subject (plus they don’t take the 40 year old kids, old ppl only)

If there's only going to be one hurricane called Hilary you'd think somebody'd put it in the right ocean and aim it at certain parts of Florida like.

I wondering how much more severe this will make the Tulare Lake situation.

https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/californias-long-dry-tulare-lake-has-returned-180982507/

I was hearing that the land was too dry to allow any rain to do anything other than run off it. Is it being kept in one place likely to mean anything remotely positive at any point, actually having any effect on aquifers or anything? Or just gradually go stangnant.

old hat for us Floridians by now, never gets less annoying.

wondering how close the intensity forecast will be to what actually happens.

Hopefully be be thus:

actual intensity < fellas, it's too rough to feed ya < fellas, it's been good to know ya

The water is frighteningly hot. I worry about anyone in this thing's direct path.

I've never known anyone to live in the Big Bend aka the Armpit of Florida though.

this annoying dude is canesplaining to me at work right now. I'm like...I just told you I lived in FL, what part of that made you think I need to be explained hurricanes like I'm a 3 year old

tempted to pretend I'm scared and tell him I'm logging off for the week so I can evacuate

We just moved to central FL a couple months ago (hi Floridians!) so this is the first hurricane we've had a watch for so far. Obv knew it was inevitable living here but we're not on the coast and everyone we've talked to here seems to downplay hurricanes. Still a bit anxious tho

No, never downplay hurricanes.

I think you can rest easier with this one, though.

part of the reason assholes people downplay hurricanes is that they don't actually pay attention to what their local meteorologists are saying. they either ignore the cone and think they're being given GPS directions for the exact street the hurricane will come down and get mad when it wobbles slightly at the 11th hour. or they're like one of my friends, who is a nice guy but a bit of a dim bulb about some things, where he'll see a storm is projected to be a Category 3 at 130 mph, thinks they're saying everybody in FL is going to get 130 mph, and then when we get 40 mph winds because we're inland will say the storm was 'overhyped'. even though that's what the meteorologists were always saying was what we were going to get if they'd paid attention.

stay safe and welcome to Central Florida! agree with Alfred can probably rest easier on this one, but never downplay, always prepare for the worst and hope for the best. they get less nerve-racking after a while (though the right storm can be nerve-racking no matter how many times you've been through it!).

as usual, i'm expecting to not even lose power or internet, which means no hooky from work, though I could always pretend.

Yeah, this comes down to people never watching local news. I do, in part because it's the most accurate place to learn about weather condidtions.

I get more aggravated at not being able to find shit in the grocery stores and empty gas stations due to hoarders

Thanks guys. I should mention our friends/family are usually downplaying hurricanes to put us at ease (and entice us to stay here long term, which we aren't sure yet). I know at least the family we live with take it seriously

oh for sure, I can understand that. if it puts yours at further ease, I've lived here 42 years and have been through a double digit number of canes and am still kicking.

being in low-lying areas is usually the biggest concern (i.e. 'you don't evacuate wind, you evacuate water' etc)

Looks like the cone shrunk again as of the 11 a.m. advisory. Tampa/St. Pete area looks increasingly good.

we are blessed in the bay area

My aunt (lives in Jensen Beach) is on her way to Australia, and it sounds like she got out just in time!

going to be about 20-30 mph winds here all day and rain. I'll take it.

think they did a fantastic job with the forecast this go around. amazes me how accurate hurricane forecasting has gotten over the last thirty years even.

Seconded. In Florida one becomes an amateur meteorologist, and one thing I noticed different about Idalia coverage is the emphasis on storm surge within and outside the cone. Seems like forecasters at the state and federal level learned from Ian. They even got the intensification correct, a notoriously erratic thing.

daaaamn

CHECK OUT the misty EYE of Hurricane #Idalia from just inside the inner eyewall rainbands. The winds calmed for a solid 30 seconds before returning full force from the opposite direction. pic.twitter.com/jlUsnTiJ0m

— Josh Griffith ⚡ (@JoshGriffithWX) August 30, 2023

are y'all OK? the PBS Newshour is looking pretty scary today

Yeah, roll call?

doing fine here in Winter Park, FL. we didn't get much other than rain and 25-30 mph winds (fortunately).

unfortunately for the folks at St Bernardus

Also fine here, apparently I'm Neanderthal's neighbor!

you guys need to FAP immediately

Oh word, Vinnie!

I kinda get eyerolly at Floridian friends of mine who have lived here for decades, see a massive hurricane that is ten days away from any landfall and currently not projected to impact us, and immediately start yelling OMG BUCKLE UP FLORIDIANS, WE'RE FUCKED. And yet...Lee is here and friends of mine are already msging me, bugging out

Like when a hurricane actually arrives here, you'll be stressed enough, which I know from experience. Why do you want to feel that same terror prior, no good horror films in theaters?

I just got in from talking to one of my next door neighbors. She's panicing, too.