Democratic (Party) Direction

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(not that you're arguing this, necessarily, but) the idea that because the right began to rise 40 years ago from grassroots organizations, the left can too, starting circa '03, is the stupidest, most facile idea i've ever heard. it's like the arguments that history shows that the next President will be a mustachioed, left-handed college Professor of the opposite party of his predecessor.

gabbneb (gabbneb), Friday, 20 January 2006 07:49 (eighteen years ago) link

well, no. not that automatic. but on the other hand, liberalism and conservatism are engaged in constant back and forth reaction. they don't ever really die. the dlc types totally don't understand that. they've bought into the need to be "conservative" just as much as eisenhower republicans bought into "liberalism". i'm not saying there's going to be a quick turnaround or some automatic liberal ascendance -- people are going to have to fight for it -- but give it a generation or so and see where we are. conservatism is a ticket to nowhere as a longterm approach. you can only be reactionary for so long.

and also worth remembering that our culture -- as opposed to our politics -- is still largely trending liberal. the culture is globalizing and multiculturizing a lot faster than our politics. politics will catch up.

gypsy mothra (gypsy mothra), Friday, 20 January 2006 07:57 (eighteen years ago) link

(liberals tend to forget how reactionary the political realm is by its nature, and that it is far from the only or most important part of the society)

gypsy mothra (gypsy mothra), Friday, 20 January 2006 07:58 (eighteen years ago) link

i'll admit to not being certain exactly what the dlc is for, but i'm willing to bet that they're the least-understood Dem organization. i'm not going to say they have the best idea how to win, but i think they have better ideas than most of their critics, and don't deserve their conservative/corporate/sellout designation (though they do recognize better than most that winning involves an attitudinal centrism of the kind called for in the threadstarting article).

gabbneb (gabbneb), Friday, 20 January 2006 08:02 (eighteen years ago) link

yeah, and this approach is calling for a liberal reactionaryism, which i agree with above posters sounds scary, but it isn't if it's channeled towards liberal ends. the obvious direction is the one that Bush has always refused to go in - trying to unite the country.

gabbneb (gabbneb), Friday, 20 January 2006 08:03 (eighteen years ago) link

well that is the opposite to rove's tack, which is to get 50.1 percent and then use the leverage of incumbency to beat the shit out of the 49.9. except he doesn't even care about the 50.1, as long as there's a rule in the rulebook that lets you in with something less. but i think that kind of reductionism is self-defeating. look, he got his guy re-elected, which i guess is all he cares about, but give or take a bankruptcy bill, he can't get shit done. and the whole thing falls apart at the first hurricane. we're basically stuck with a useless government.

gypsy mothra (gypsy mothra), Friday, 20 January 2006 08:18 (eighteen years ago) link

and re "attitudinal centrism," is that really what that article points toward? i kind of think "centrism" is a wild goose chase. the democratic party as it exists is plenty centrist enough to win a national election. it's lacking some strong personalities to make it all work. i don't know who those might be. but otoh, i don't see any obvious republican heirs either.

gypsy mothra (gypsy mothra), Friday, 20 January 2006 08:22 (eighteen years ago) link

the democratic party as it exists is plenty centrist enough to win a national election

ideologically, yes. attitudinally, no.

gabbneb (gabbneb), Friday, 20 January 2006 08:36 (eighteen years ago) link

but that's not what the chrictian coalition does. it's a top-down organization that sends out a voter guide that its members follow to the letter. there are social networks in the dem party and they're mostly good for socializing

So how can Democrats compete with a powerful top-down structure like the church? Without unions how can Democrats organize supporters and potential supporters in a social situation that meets regularly? Can MoveOn and Dean-style internet "activism" really mature into effective replacements for genuine grassroots organizations that meet in the flesh?

walter kranz (walterkranz), Friday, 20 January 2006 08:40 (eighteen years ago) link

the Christian Coalition /= "the Church"

Without unions how can Democrats organize supporters and potential supporters in a social situation that meets regularly?

what would be the purpose of meeting regularly?

gabbneb (gabbneb), Friday, 20 January 2006 08:46 (eighteen years ago) link

Gabbneb - I want to apologize. Asking you "what the fuck are you on?" was completely unjustified and unnecessary. Reading that back I realized how awful that sounded. Sorry.

TRG (TRG), Friday, 20 January 2006 14:27 (eighteen years ago) link

Gabb, honestly successful politics has ALWAYS been heavily based on having groups of people meet face to face to discuss things, organize, strategize, mobilize, etc. Television ads and internet groups will never inspire the same kind of commitment.

The Christian Coalition may be a "top-down organization," but you have to understand that the power of the church comes from the fact that people actually get together and meet. In many non-urban places in America, the Church is THE place for social and family life -- it's the only game in town.

Abbadavid Berman (Hurting), Friday, 20 January 2006 14:32 (eighteen years ago) link

Television ads and internet groups will never inspire the same kind of commitment.

they're an essential part of the chicken. their reach is very much real.

don weiner (don weiner), Friday, 20 January 2006 15:02 (eighteen years ago) link

Oh yeah, I'm not denying that they're an essential part, I just don't think they can do the job alone.

Abbadavid Berman (Hurting), Friday, 20 January 2006 15:03 (eighteen years ago) link

Things may have changed at America's churches since I used to attend as a child, but there purpose is not primarily political, and little if any of what I'd consider political organizing - at least of the electoral sort - goes on there. In fact, if it did go on there, they'd be in danger of losing their non-profit status. Also, by and large, the churches that are most associated with the "Christian Right" are not top-down organizations. They are almost all independent, congregational, locally-run organizations. The top-down style denominations are mostly older mainline denominations which tend to be far more liberal in their political bias.

o. nate (onate), Friday, 20 January 2006 15:10 (eighteen years ago) link

Sorry, gabb: No, I didn't read the Prospect column. I subscribe to The Nation, so I've had my fill of "good advice that the Democrats will likely never take" pieces. Obv it was the Pew poll I was trying to describe.

The thing about the Goldwater 'hinge' is that it would likely never have resulted in a conservative revolution if a genial front man like Reagan hadn't emerged. To win the presidency, the Dems need someone who can recast their attitude/ideology/wotdafuck in positive terms, and who doesn't sound like inauthentic and grating with every breath like Gore and Kerry.

RWR was inaugurated 25 years ago today. To update the smartest thing I've heard Michael Moore say, we're entering the second quarter-century of the Reagan Administration.

Dr Morbius (Dr Morbius), Friday, 20 January 2006 15:11 (eighteen years ago) link

look, he got his guy re-elected, which i guess is all he cares about, but give or take a bankruptcy bill, he can't get shit done. and the whole thing falls apart at the first hurricane. we're basically stuck with a useless government.

Well, even if all he manages to do is to get two conservative justices on the Supreme Court (thereby shifting the swing vote to the right) who will likely be there for the next 30 years, he's already been quite effective from the right's perspective.

o. nate (onate), Friday, 20 January 2006 15:32 (eighteen years ago) link

seems a bit like they're casting about, but it's a start, isn't it?

http://www.ourtenwords.com/about


About OurTenWords
The idea for OurTenWords.com came from a post by Michael Faris on the community blog at HeartlandPac.org.

Michael asked, "What ten words should Democrats use to define their message?"

Tom Vilsack responded with his own ten words, and challenged others to submit their own ten words.

Since then over 500 people have responded to the challenge, making it one of the most active discussions at HeartlandPac.org.

Tom Vilsack found the discussion so promising that he asked the project to be expanded.

His idea was to get as many people as possible to submit their ten words and to discuss them with others. To accomplish this goal Heartland PAC has launched OurTenWords.com to encourage more discussion and ten words from many different Americans.

OurTenWords.com

This site is designed to start a discussion about the Democratic Party’s message by obtaining as many ideas as possible. This is a conversation that everyone needs to participate in -- it must not be limited to certain members of the party, whether they be the grassroots, elected officials, or policy experts. This effort matters so much that we cannot afford to leave anyone out of the process...

Tom's initial suggestion: "Here is my first effort at meeting the challenge and over time I expect my words may change: meaningful opportunity, personal security, individual responsibility, sustainable communities, progressive alliances."

kingfish kuribo's shoe (kingfish 2.0), Friday, 20 January 2006 16:55 (eighteen years ago) link

Things may have changed at America's churches since I used to attend as a child, but there purpose is not primarily political

That's the point: people attend church anyway for a multitude of reasons and have strong ties to their religion that can date back into childhood. On the other hand a person's connection to a strictly political organization like MoveOn is much more casual and fleeting. People come and go around election time or when they feel a small victory has been won but apart from a small number of dedicated activists, most people don't shape their entire social life around these groups.

Unions used to be a similar constant presence in people's work lives in the way that the church shapes their private lives but this traditional Democratic base is vanishing with nothing similar to take its place.


and little if any of what I'd consider political organizing - at least of the electoral sort - goes on there.

Perhaps not political organizing in a direct sense but politicians certainly use the church as an ideologically organizing force to rally voters around issues like abortion, gay marriage and other "values." In other words they may not neccessarily be "organizing" in the sense of registering voters or canvassing but they use the church as a way to conceptually organize a group of issues and ideas around an existing group of potential voters.


In fact, if it did go on there, they'd be in danger of losing their non-profit status.

Um...

walter kranz (walterkranz), Friday, 20 January 2006 17:40 (eighteen years ago) link

a bit here quoting from today's Salon piece about the hired consultants telling the Dem leaders that the wiretap-spying thing is a non-starter, so they shouldn't address it as it won't affect November elections:

Midway through the meal, I innocently asked how the "Big Brother is listening" issue would play in November. Judging from his pained reaction, I might as well have announced that Barack Obama was resigning from the Senate to sell vacuum cleaners door-to-door. With exasperation dripping from his voice, my companion said, "The whole thing plays to the Republican caricature of Democrats -- that we're weak on defense and weak on security." To underscore his concerns about shrill attacks on Bush, the Democratic operative forwarded to me later that afternoon an e-mail petition from MoveOn.org, which had been inspired by Al Gore's fire-breathing Martin Luther King Day speech excoriating the president's contempt for legal procedures...

kingfish kuribo's shoe (kingfish 2.0), Friday, 20 January 2006 19:55 (eighteen years ago) link

Meanwhile, more than half the population supports impeaching Bush over spying.

TRG (TRG), Friday, 20 January 2006 19:59 (eighteen years ago) link

Really? Where did you read that? I tend to think the consultants are probably right. I doubt that the whole wiretap-spying thing really hits home for most voters. It's all very abstract. The people who are most bothered by it are probably immigrants, Arab-Americans, non-citizen residents - ie., the people who are disproportionately targeted by the spying. However, whether these people constitute a sufficiently large voting bloc and whether this is a make or break issue for them is not clear.

o. nate (onate), Friday, 20 January 2006 20:10 (eighteen years ago) link

Zogby

Fire the consultants, I say!

TRG (TRG), Friday, 20 January 2006 20:19 (eighteen years ago) link

later from that Salon piece:

The problem with a consultant-driven overreliance on polling data is that it is predicated on the assumption that nothing will happen to jar public opinion out of its current grooves. As Elaine Kamarck, a top advisor in the Clinton-Gore White House and a professor at Harvard's Kennedy School of Government, argued, "These guys [the consultants] just don't get it. They don't understand that in politics strength is better than weakness. And a political party that is always the namby-pamby 'me too' party is a party that isn't going to get anyplace."

Kamarck also shrewdly pointed out that if leading Democrats follow the consultants and abdicate the field on the NSA spying issue (Hillary Clinton, please call your office), "They're going to leave the critique open to the far left. And that will exacerbate two problems the Democrats have: one, that they look too far out of the mainstream, and the other, that they don't believe in anything."

kingfish kuribo's shoe (kingfish 2.0), Friday, 20 January 2006 20:22 (eighteen years ago) link

Kamarck OTFUCKINGM

Shakey Mo Collier (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 20 January 2006 20:23 (eighteen years ago) link

I'm still not convinced. The wording of that poll was:

"If President Bush wiretapped American citizens without the approval of a judge, do you agree or disagree that Congress should consider holding him accountable through impeachment."

The key word there is "consider". Yes, why shouldn't Congress at least consider it? No one except die-hard Republicans would probably disagree with that. But that's still a ways from saying, yes, he should be impeached.

o. nate (onate), Friday, 20 January 2006 20:25 (eighteen years ago) link

Kamarck also shrewdly pointed out that if leading Democrats follow the consultants and abdicate the field on the NSA spying issue (Hillary Clinton, please call your office), "They're going to leave the critique open to the far left. And that will exacerbate two problems the Democrats have: one, that they look too far out of the mainstream, and the other, that they don't believe in anything."

Kamarck's analysis is self-contradictory. How could the Dems simultaneously be "too far out of the mainstream" and not "believe in anything"?

o. nate (onate), Friday, 20 January 2006 20:27 (eighteen years ago) link

Kamarck indeed otm! So typical.

Just like last year -

Carville went on to point out that on the day the U.S. Census Bureau announced an increase in poverty and millions more Americans lacking health care, what did Kerry do? "The event they did," said Carville, "was credit-card debt . . . because someone in a focus group must have said something."

TRG (TRG), Friday, 20 January 2006 20:31 (eighteen years ago) link

re: consultants driving the process - never trust anyone who makes money off of your continued failure. wtf people. they're just vultures, y'know, like pharmaceutical salesmen.

Shakey Mo Collier (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 20 January 2006 20:35 (eighteen years ago) link

"How could the Dems simultaneously be "too far out of the mainstream" and not "believe in anything"?"

because different people can dislike the Dems for different reasons? I don't see anything contradictory in that statement - she isn't saying people simultaneously hold both positions (altho, that too is possible - people pass contradictory judgments all the time). The public is obviously not monolothic in its thinking.

Shakey Mo Collier (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 20 January 2006 20:40 (eighteen years ago) link

Well, that's fair enough. But if it's different groups of people that are thinking these things, then I think it makes sense to figure out who the people in these groups are, and to identify which of them are persuadable voters that we can hope to win over and which are diehard GOP supporters or disaffecteds that aren't worth the time and effort.

It seems that Kamarck's basic argument is that the moderate Dems shouldn't be afraid of embracing issues that seem "lefty" because if they don't then the leftists will embrace them, make a lot of noise about it, and basically be seen as the voice of the party, which will reinforce the perception that the Dems are out of the mainstream. And meanwhile, the moderates will stand around looking weak and conflicted as they hem and haw and beat around the bush, which will reinforce the perception that they don't stand for anything.

Unfortunately, this scenario is not implausible. A lot of the blame for this should lie with the news media, which tends to prefer confrontation and controversy over subtlety and nuance - but the Dems still need to figure out how to deal with it. But I don't think the Dems should give up the ability to pick their battles. If they let the GOP and the news media dictate the playing field, then they've already lost. I think the Dems need to identify the issues that they want to stake their campaigns on and force the media to acknowledge those issues. If they don't think that wiretap spying is the right issue, then I think they need to figure out how to change the topic of conversation.

o. nate (onate), Friday, 20 January 2006 21:24 (eighteen years ago) link

To win the presidency, the Dems need someone who can recast their attitude/ideology/wotdafuck in positive terms, and who doesn't sound like inauthentic and grating with every breath like Gore and Kerry.

This is exactly right. You guys need to stop talking about "ideas" and platforms and the like as if they mattered! As I said upthread you need an amiable demon of boundless charisma – a Nixon, Clinton, a Reagan – who can look citizens in the eye, convince them that their mother was a man, and lock their votes for the next election.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn (Alfred Soto), Friday, 20 January 2006 21:38 (eighteen years ago) link

Kamarck and ilk are as off the money about Democrats being strong on core left issues as Clinton and ilk are off the money about Democrats being hawkish. Yes, you have to be more outspoken, yes, you have to stick to your core principles, yes, you have to be more Daddy party, and yes, you have to be more centrist-friendly. But no, you must not be eternally the alternative, defensive, intemperate, or dismissive.

This is exactly right. You guys need to stop talking about "ideas" and platforms and the like as if they mattered! As I said upthread you need an amiable demon of boundless charisma

Wrong! Once again, this is kicking the can down the road. Yes, the charismatic demon is very important, but you can't conjure him out of thin air. Ideas and platforms don't matter, attitudes do. Demons are charismatic, because they have the right attitudes or know how to simulate them. It's very important to find candidates who come as close as possible to fitting the bill, but the attitude also has to be expressed in the party's language and programs and supporters as well. When the right succeeds at taking down candidates by comparing them to their less attitude-appropriate fellow-travelers (which the GOP is currently trying to do to everyone prominent in the party), you have a problem that even a charismatic devil may not be able to solve.

gabbneb (gabbneb), Friday, 20 January 2006 21:44 (eighteen years ago) link

ihttp://history.sandiego.edu/gen/USPics2/59376.jpg

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn (Alfred Soto), Friday, 20 January 2006 21:53 (eighteen years ago) link

So now Karl Rove is advising Republicans to make the "War on Terror" the centerpiece of their fall election campaigns:

"Republicans have a post-9/11 view of the world. And Democrats have a pre-9/11 view of the world," Rove told Republican activists. "That doesn’t make them unpatriotic, not at all. But it does make them wrong — deeply and profoundly and consistently wrong."

from http://msnbc.msn.com/id/10946712/

I don't think that nitpicking the Republicans on specifics of the "War on Terror" is a winning strategy for the Dems. The wiretap spying issue would fall into this category. Yes, Congress has an obligation to investigate the legal justification of this, but I don't think that Dem candidates should seize on it as their road to victory in November.

o. nate (onate), Friday, 20 January 2006 22:42 (eighteen years ago) link

and see, the Democrats tack should be is to say they'd be better at the war on terror, wouldn't go invading countries pointlessly, would capture Bin Laden, would follow the recommendations of the 9/11 commission, wouldn better integrate the intelligence community, etc. But will anyone take that route? No.

Shakey Mo Collier (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 20 January 2006 23:06 (eighteen years ago) link

(apologies for horrible wording and typos)

Shakey Mo Collier (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 20 January 2006 23:07 (eighteen years ago) link

right, i mean that isn't what Kerry did

gabbneb (gabbneb), Friday, 20 January 2006 23:07 (eighteen years ago) link

or say that the current group in charge has made us far weaker as a nation, has betrayed our trust, etc.

kingfish kuribo's shoe (kingfish 2.0), Friday, 20 January 2006 23:09 (eighteen years ago) link

I mean, certainly the Democrats should start talking about the need for competent leadership (message: the other guys aren't) and the need to stop waiting around for the next terrorist attack (message: that's what we're doing by pretending Iraq is solving anything), but we can hope for marginal gains at best, and the idea that the Dems are going to win by saying "we're going to fight the War on Terra too, only better!" will just get us laughed in our face.

or say that the current group in charge has made us far weaker as a nation, has betrayed our trust, etc.

no! that just sounds weak. it's asking someone else to take care of the problem (message: because we can't on our own). also, as above, you need to let people draw conclusions, not hand them over asking that they be accepted.

gabbneb (gabbneb), Friday, 20 January 2006 23:11 (eighteen years ago) link

gabnebb I don't understand your political reasoning at all.

and where is your fucking memory, Kerry VOTED FOR THE INVASION OF IRAQ, that's what screwed him (among other things, but in the War on Terror(tm) that was his real achilles heel). He didn't say he wouldn't have invaded Iraq, he said he would've invaded it BETTER. Duh.

Shakey Mo Collier (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 20 January 2006 23:18 (eighteen years ago) link

you need to let people draw conclusions

when has this ever worked? When has one side putting out info and letting folks decide worked better than the other side deliberately and/or disingeniously pushing the other side of it with an explicit conclusion? i think this is way too simple and expects way too much of most folks who can't be bothered to pay attention to any of this stuff.

kingfish kuribo's shoe (kingfish 2.0), Saturday, 21 January 2006 00:20 (eighteen years ago) link

no! that just sounds weak. it's asking someone else to take care of the problem

it does not. One of Kerry's problems is that he WOULDN'T say this. He wouldn't come out & say the obvious, and ran against a guy and an entire set-up which had no problem is repeatedly reinforcing their version of it. It is not a sign of weakness to say that we've been fucked over for a while now, we're worse off than we were before, and new people need to get in there to fix the damage.

kingfish kuribo's shoe (kingfish 2.0), Saturday, 21 January 2006 00:24 (eighteen years ago) link

I don't think gabnebb saw the same Kerry campaign as the rest of us.

Shakey Mo Collier (Shakey Mo Collier), Saturday, 21 January 2006 00:25 (eighteen years ago) link

And you can't just assume that the people you're going to win by letting folks "make their own conclusions," since that's not how it works. You can't just put up, say, a slate of collected facts and expect everyone to come to the exact same conclusions that you're trying to push. Nothing is obvious, as my tech comm professor would routinely beat into our heads.

It's a hell of a lot more compelling to make your complete case, conclusions included.

kingfish kuribo's shoe (kingfish 2.0), Saturday, 21 January 2006 00:33 (eighteen years ago) link

I just don't understand what gabbneb wants the Dems to do - from his responses to me it seems like he doesn't want them to make any dramatic swing leftward, but now he also doesn't want them to play the aggressive center on the "War on Terror"... so what are they supposed to do exactly? Just repackage the old bullshit policies in different language, show the American people that with a makeover the Dems really ARE on their side? I think THAT'S really "kicking the can" down the road, so to speak.

Shakey Mo Collier (Shakey Mo Collier), Saturday, 21 January 2006 00:45 (eighteen years ago) link

I mean you think the most important cultural issue is GUN CONTROL?!? what the fuck

Shakey Mo Collier (Shakey Mo Collier), Saturday, 21 January 2006 00:46 (eighteen years ago) link

i heart molly ivins

gypsy mothra (gypsy mothra), Saturday, 21 January 2006 00:55 (eighteen years ago) link

YES

Shakey Mo Collier (Shakey Mo Collier), Saturday, 21 January 2006 01:00 (eighteen years ago) link

y'know there was a time when I would've bit my tongue and voted for Hilary - just to have a vaguely lefty woman in the White House - but after her Senatorial track record... no. fucking. way.

Shakey Mo Collier (Shakey Mo Collier), Saturday, 21 January 2006 01:00 (eighteen years ago) link


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