Democratic (Party) Direction

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Interesting article. With friends like the media, the Democrats don't need enemies.

o. nate (onate), Wednesday, 25 January 2006 21:19 (eighteen years ago) link

Did anyone catch James Carville and Paul Begala on Leonard Lopate today? Great show -- totally entertaining guys, especially Carville.

Begala told a great Bill Clinton story -- Begala and Carville were going on about how awful they thought the 2004 Dem Convention was, largely because the Kerry campaign insisted on "nothing negative" in the speeches.

Well apparently Bill Clinton didn't much buy this idea, and prepared a pretty strongly anti-Bush speech anyway. At the last minute, he's waiting to go on, Begala at his side, and this "dweeby kid" from the Kerry campaing comes up and says "Mr. President, you can't give this speech. It's too negative." Begala is fuming, but Clinton just calmly says, "That's alright son, I think it'll work out just fine. Run along now."

Abbadavid Berman (Hurting), Thursday, 26 January 2006 01:17 (eighteen years ago) link

The Republican convention, meanwhile turned out to be EXTREMELY nasty and "negative" toward Kerry. Carville basically argued that the "no negativity" thing comes from focus groups, which are a bad measure since almost no one will admit to liking "negativity."

My own point that I like to add is that you have to make sure you have people other than your candidate do all the dirty work and savaging. Bush himself always came across as comfortable and positive. He might jab at Kerry, but he'd do it with a smile. It was everyone else who did the real savaging. And admittedly it was a brilliant move to get a Democrat (as it were) to deliver the harshest speech of all.

Meanwhile, Kerry was inconsistent -- sometimes trying to play "positive" and then sometimes attacking Bush but falling flat and coming off as cranky.

Abbadavid Berman (Hurting), Thursday, 26 January 2006 01:22 (eighteen years ago) link

the "no negativity" thing comes from focus groups

Considering that political campaigns are nothing but marketing I think the major players are stuck in a button-down 1960s ad agency frame of mind. Where are the Chiat/Weiden/Saachis (not to mention the Putney Swopes)?

walter kranz (walterkranz), Thursday, 26 January 2006 02:38 (eighteen years ago) link

Kept out of the key role by Bob Shrum?

kingfish kuribo's shoe (kingfish 2.0), Thursday, 26 January 2006 03:17 (eighteen years ago) link

Amazingly, despite the fact that we're both nominally on the left side of the political spectrum, I don't think I've ever agreed with a single thing gabbneb has said about politics or political campaigns.

Erick Dampier is better than Shaq (miloaukerman), Thursday, 26 January 2006 03:29 (eighteen years ago) link

Amazing!

Lenny Meyerneb (gabbneb), Thursday, 26 January 2006 04:20 (eighteen years ago) link

That's because gabbneb is Rahm Emmanuel.

Tracer Hand (tracerhand), Thursday, 26 January 2006 04:41 (eighteen years ago) link

I saw Obama on Meet the Press last Sunday and he was good. He talked about ethics and campaign finance reform. Is it true that he has insider/outsider status? There was a clip of Hillary Clinton giving a speech, and he seemed much more authentic. I often don't know what I'm talking about, but what I mean is that it doesn't seem like he would have to do political favors to get people on his side, or he has the power but no real obligation to do favors on account of his popularity.

youn, Thursday, 26 January 2006 05:17 (eighteen years ago) link

Where are the Chiat/Weiden/Saachis (not to mention the Putney Swopes)?

Yeah, if only Saatchi could work some of the magic for the Dems that he worked for Margaret Thatcher in the UK.

o. nate (onate), Thursday, 26 January 2006 15:15 (eighteen years ago) link

There was a clip of Hillary Clinton giving a speech, and he seemed much more authentic

It wouldn't be hard.

Abbadavid Berman (Hurting), Thursday, 26 January 2006 15:17 (eighteen years ago) link

favorite gabbneb moment on thread so far (sorry dude):

to the extent the 'Dem leadership' did anything about Dean, they mostly helped rather than hurt him - the CLintons threw Clark into the mix so he could have a Veep who would reframe 'crazy' as 'crazy like a fox', then Gore endorsed him giving him some measure of legitimacy (which you can argue hurt rather than helped him)

that's completely nuts.

hstencil (hstencil), Thursday, 26 January 2006 15:22 (eighteen years ago) link

Mentioning Obama alongside Clinton is appropriate since they're coming from more or less the same place. Obama's position on the war is effectively the Bush admin's position. And to the extent that Obama has been critical of the war, it's the Kerry position: We should have fought it differently (i.e. more troops, etc). And his position on Iran seems like an attempt to out-hawk the Bush admin. Not to mention, I think the two are pretty chummy.

TRG (TRG), Thursday, 26 January 2006 15:36 (eighteen years ago) link

that's completely nuts.

why?

gabbneb (gabbneb), Thursday, 26 January 2006 16:21 (eighteen years ago) link

in short:

1. clark didn't help dean, not even "mostly help"
2. gore /= clinton, possibly even gore /= "dem leadership"

hstencil (hstencil), Thursday, 26 January 2006 16:23 (eighteen years ago) link

An enlightening anecdote from, of all things, a smart baseball blog (Steven Goldman's):

"Last year I was appearing on a Boston TV show... This was about the same time that Harriet Miers was nominated for the Supreme Court role for which Judge Alito just completed his audition. Preceding me on the show were two women who were involved, mostly behind the scenes, in the Democratic Party. They were there to discuss the nomination. As we were chatting in the green room, one of the two mentioned that she had been one of Vice President Gore's key staffers.

"Hold on," I said. "Were you involved in preparing him for his first debate with Bush?" She replied in the affirmative. I was practically salivating now. "I have been waiting five years to ask this question. In that debate, the first question to your man was, 'Is Governor Bush qualified to be President?' At that moment, experience was a key issue in the race. Gore had been in the Congress, had spent eight years as VP doing all kinds of high-profile stuff, while the other guy had the reputation as being a naïf. It was a big advantage for your side. So," I said, nearly shouting now, "when the moderator throws you a gimmie like that, an obvious chance to score points, WHY DID GORE SAY 'YES?' DON'T YOU REALIZE YOU LOST THE ELECTION RIGHT THERE?"

The women glanced towards each other while I wiped the spittle off of my shirt. "No, no, no," they said, nearly in unison. "Saying 'no' would have looked petty and mean. You let proxies do that for you. You stay above it."

I was nearly speechless. "People liked the other guy because he seemed honest and direct," I said in a high, airless voice. No answer. They were still in denial. They had learned nothing from the tactics that had been used against them for roughly six years, if not since Joe McCarthy. In today's New York Times, Maureen Dowd had a column about how the Republicans have consistently succeeded in casting the Democrats as effeminate wimps.

It's actually kind of a simple bit of reasoning: people don't like you personally, and fair or not there is no way of convincing them to like you. As such, you might as well go down stressing your objective qualifications rather than subjective ones that no one believes anyway."

http://www.yesnetwork.com/yankees/pinstripedblog.asp

(Jan 18 entry)

Dr Morbius (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 26 January 2006 16:32 (eighteen years ago) link

I think the key would be to find a way to answer "no" without looking petty and mean. I'll bet Bush could do it. Or give a "qualified" yes answer: "Yes he's qualified in a basic sense, BUT..."

Abbadavid Berman (Hurting), Thursday, 26 January 2006 16:38 (eighteen years ago) link

he could've just said, "whatever Bush is, qualified or no, I'm MORE qualified."

Shakey Mo Collier (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 26 January 2006 16:48 (eighteen years ago) link

they're right that you let proxies attack, because doing so yourself often makes you look weak. but saying yes wouldn't have been an affirmative attack, it would have been a simple response to a direct question.

gabbneb (gabbneb), Thursday, 26 January 2006 17:07 (eighteen years ago) link

and a qualified yes is no better than a simple yes, afaic

gabbneb (gabbneb), Thursday, 26 January 2006 17:08 (eighteen years ago) link

however, it is also the wrong response.

Shakey Mo Collier (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 26 January 2006 17:08 (eighteen years ago) link

clark didn't help dean, not even "mostly help"

i'm talking about intentions, not results. and neither of us knows for certain what their intentions were. but i would dispute you on results - the Dean/Clark ticket became an instant talking-point.

2. gore /= clinton, possibly even gore /= "dem leadership"

that's because there's no such thing as the "dem leadership", but gore has as much claim on it as the Clintons do. and i see no reason to assume that their tactical intentions diverge significantly.

gabbneb (gabbneb), Thursday, 26 January 2006 17:11 (eighteen years ago) link

David Brooks (behind the TimesSelect wall) writes today about the Ruta article

gabbneb (gabbneb), Thursday, 26 January 2006 17:13 (eighteen years ago) link

but saying yes wouldn't have been an affirmative attack, it would have been a simple response to a direct question.

i meant no, of course

gabbneb (gabbneb), Thursday, 26 January 2006 17:15 (eighteen years ago) link

saying no has the advantage of being true

,,, Thursday, 26 January 2006 17:18 (eighteen years ago) link

I think there were elements of the Dem leadership who were anti-Dean, and not without reason. Dean was very much an untested quantity at the national level, he was a maverick, and his position on Iraq at that time seemed rather risky for the party. There were also elements of the Dem leadership (such as Gore) who decided to back Dean. I think it's stretching the facts to suggest that the Dem leadership sabotaged Dean's campaign. I didn't see any evidence of that. Conspiracy theories that somehow link the Democratic party to Dean's yelp and the ensuing media frenzy seem far-fetched to me.

o. nate (onate), Thursday, 26 January 2006 17:20 (eighteen years ago) link

(behind the TimesSelect wall)

rahm (sorry, still smiling about that one)...gabbneb, you don't actually pay for that echo chamber, do you?

don weiner (don weiner), Thursday, 26 January 2006 17:20 (eighteen years ago) link

"Conspiracy theories that somehow link the Democratic party to Dean's yelp and the ensuing media frenzy seem far-fetched to me."

I fully admit this is my own paranoid conspiracy theory - but its not the yelp and ensuing media frenzy, it was the way Gephardt fell on his sword in Iowa, running extremely negative ads and basically savaging Dean at every opportunity, simultaneously shooting his own campaign in the foot by looking like an asshole. But it def. damaged Dean's credibility and upped the stakes of the primaries - and Gephardt is too much of a party loyalist for me to not to suspect the hand of the Dem leadership (ie "ohmigod who can we get to stop this brushfire - lets throw Dick Gephardt at it, he's not gonna win anyway). The yelp and the media hoohah was more a case of Dems standing idly by and pointing and laughing - note that no one came to Dean's defense. The Dem leadership at large was happy to see him fail, and more than willing to fan the flames by calling his outburst "unpresidential", etc.

But yes, this is pretty much just a crank theory of mine.

Shakey Mo Collier (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 26 January 2006 17:30 (eighteen years ago) link

Oh, and to follow-up on that earlier link i gave, about the "media set-up only to handle simple/incorrect narratives" thing, an interaction between Katie Couric & Howard Dean. So there seems to be plenty of "swimming against the current" that needs to be done all the while during the "fixing your message."

kingfish kuribo's shoe (kingfish 2.0), Thursday, 26 January 2006 17:35 (eighteen years ago) link

Don't say "that's not true", ask "why are you lying?"

Shakey Mo Collier (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 26 January 2006 17:36 (eighteen years ago) link

Echo chamber? Aside from Krugman, they're all bad, but in pretty different ways don't you think, don?

Tracer Hand (tracerhand), Thursday, 26 January 2006 17:40 (eighteen years ago) link

Don't say "that's not true", ask "why are you lying?"

Oh yes, political genius - hostility to the person who brings you your audience.

gabbneb (gabbneb), Thursday, 26 January 2006 17:50 (eighteen years ago) link

why, precisely, Don, does comparing me to Rahm cause you to smile?

gabbneb (gabbneb), Thursday, 26 January 2006 17:51 (eighteen years ago) link

you don't actually pay for that echo chamber, do you?

I pay for the Times to be thumped against my apartment door.

gabbneb (gabbneb), Thursday, 26 January 2006 17:52 (eighteen years ago) link

yes because being pussies has worked so well for the Democrats in the last decade. I've said this already, but I really can't fathom yr political reasoning.

Shakey Mo Collier (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 26 January 2006 17:53 (eighteen years ago) link

to begin with, you have to recognize alternatives to dumb left vs. center, corporate vs. populist, and 'pussies' vs. internet hardmen binaries

you also have to recognize that 80-85% of voters are 30 or older

gabbneb (gabbneb), Thursday, 26 January 2006 17:59 (eighteen years ago) link

Once again everyone acts as if there were some golden age where Democrats gained power by being really "left" and really said what was on their minds, no beating around the bush. When the fuck was that, because I must have missed it.

Tracer Hand (tracerhand), Thursday, 26 January 2006 18:00 (eighteen years ago) link

haha you mean under-30 far leftists on an internet msg board are not the voting majority? xpost

Allyzay Rofflesberger (allyzay), Thursday, 26 January 2006 18:01 (eighteen years ago) link

and when was that Golden Age when the Democrats won elections by being polite centrists?

Shakey Mo Collier (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 26 January 2006 18:02 (eighteen years ago) link

I know I'm not the voting majority. I also know I'm not under 30 (where did that come from?!)

Shakey Mo Collier (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 26 January 2006 18:03 (eighteen years ago) link

Every single time, Shakey

Tracer Hand (tracerhand), Thursday, 26 January 2006 18:04 (eighteen years ago) link

it's been my experience that the "hard guy" thing has as much (if not MORE) appeal to the 30+ crowd than it does the under-30 crowd.

tracer mostly OTM (re the part about the dems being "left"). OTH, it wasn't as if truman, lbj, or fdr pulled punches when punches needed to be thrown.

Eisbär (llamasfur), Thursday, 26 January 2006 18:04 (eighteen years ago) link

i.e., the "let's be reasonable, debate in good faith like it's a college debate society, and play by marquis de queensbury rules" is more a conceit of naive under-30 undergrads.

Eisbär (llamasfur), Thursday, 26 January 2006 18:06 (eighteen years ago) link

But that doesn't mean WE have to be polite centrists. I just think it's bizarre and frankly almost psychotically delusional to hope that our representatives in Washington D.C. be LIKE US... of course they're not going to be like us.

xpost

Tracer Hand (tracerhand), Thursday, 26 January 2006 18:06 (eighteen years ago) link

why, precisely, Don, does comparing me to Rahm cause you to smile?

because I've often thought of him when reading your posts.

Echo chamber? Aside from Krugman, they're all bad, but in pretty different ways don't you think, don?

very few of them ever challenge the Editorial page's dogma--although admittedly the only time I acknowledge by glancing at it read the OpEd is on Sundays anymore (that's the only time I ever actually buy the paper.)

don weiner (don weiner), Thursday, 26 January 2006 18:08 (eighteen years ago) link

Sunday is like the worst day, what is it, like Kristof and Tierney?

Tracer Hand (tracerhand), Thursday, 26 January 2006 18:09 (eighteen years ago) link

Also, I was unaware that trying to appear like the cleverest and most pious person in the room regardless of subject consituted some kind of dogma, because then, well, I'd be the most dogmatic motherfucker around.

Tracer Hand (tracerhand), Thursday, 26 January 2006 18:11 (eighteen years ago) link

even worse, david brooks.

hstencil (hstencil), Thursday, 26 January 2006 18:12 (eighteen years ago) link

it also helps to recognize that of voters in 2004:
- 3/4 were white
- 2/3 were married
- 1/3 had children under 18
- 40% were non-full-time workers
- 55% earned more than $50,000
- 70% thought their family's situation was the same as or better than that of 4 years before
- 85% were non-union
- more than 50% supported the decision to go to war, and only 30% strongly opposed it
- 40% were gun owners
- 80% described themselves as moderate or conservative
- 53% thought the most important quality in a leader was strength, clarity, trustworthiness or faith
- 24% thought change was most important
- 9% thought caring was most important
- 7% thought intelligence was most important

gabbneb (gabbneb), Thursday, 26 January 2006 18:17 (eighteen years ago) link

where did you pull those numbers from Rahm? I'd be interested in further breakdown (i.e by party lines on the same issues)

don weiner (don weiner), Thursday, 26 January 2006 18:21 (eighteen years ago) link


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