hurricane coming...

Good luck NYC. I'm just hoping this is another case of the more prepared, the less intense the storm actually is.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UmtuRRhtGQw

New thread Hurricane Irene

eesh at ominous mention of precarious water towers

this is a long thread but has anybody explained how quickly hurricanes lose strength when they make landfall? if you're in NYC, you have absolutely nothing to worry about except maybe some bands of heavy rain. anybody north of Virginia can relax. i've been through several hurricanes. this one is relatively weak and landfall predicted so far away from NYC that all the fuss NYC folks are making really is some 'sky is falling' bullshit. chill out. you're going to be pissed when nothing happens but you can't go anywhere because your mayor is a dipshit.

― brotherlovesdub, Friday, August 26, 2011 12:15 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark

shhhh TEN BILLION DOLLARS

The Floridian who wrote that letter is aware that the northeastern US gets storms severe enough to be named after the region, right?

Yeah, no. A bunch of those points abt how Florida is different are not applicable to up here, plus some are just wrong: LOTS of people have generators in the NE, dude. Because of this little thing, called winter.

crazy little thing called winter

Yeah, I'm not sure what part of the NE s/he thinks is so magically storm free. Nor'easters are even shaped like hurricanes.

fatt bottomed storms make the rockin worl dgo round

overrated hurricane preparations i have taken

my prep includes going to the clam shack tonight, because if the storm takes me out, i want to go happy and with heaps of fried seafood inside me

"My Big Day with INtestine full of Crustaceans "

If the power goes out, it's imperative to eat the seafood first!

you'll soon be food for the sea after all

http://topiat.com/system/images/193/originals/CircleOfLife2-WP.jpg

i think that Fat Governor is trying to position himself for a Rudy on 9/11 role.

i wonder how many terms he can get himself as fake president?

Lepage?

bb just ordered evacuation of all 1st floor residents?

Erika looking like a tame storm that might even get pwned by wind shear over the next 12-24.

hasn't stopped the locals from panicking and overreacting, but that's part for the course here in Cent FL.

any other Floridians 'stocking up'?

Nope. I'm hoping for a day off.

hah yeah. sadly I work from home these days so the power's gonna have to go off for that to happen for me.

it's dissipated

this sounds bad

yep

Wind map:
http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/1000hPa/overlay=wind_power_density/orthographic=-111.07,17.94,3000

from tropical storm to cat 5 hurricane w/200mph winds in 30 hours

http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2015/10/23/hurricane_patricia_nears_mexico_at_record_strength.html

Over the past 30 hours, Patricia’s central pressure has fallen by 114 millibars, from 994 to 880—possibly beating the world’s record for fastest intensification. Since lower air pressure drives faster wind speeds, such a fast intensification has greatly increased the storm’s strength—Patricia strengthened by 100 mph in 24 hours, the most in the era of complete data coverage by weather satellites. This historic data was collected by a hurricane hunter aircraft flying through the center of Patricia, which departed the storm as it was still strengthening. Shortly after the research plane left, satellite estimates of Patricia’s intensity broke the Dvorak scale, peaking at 8.3 on the 8.0 scale.

In fact, Patricia is now very close to the theoretical maximum strength for a tropical cyclone on planet Earth.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#PATRICIA

very close to the theoretical maximum strength for a tropical cyclone on planet Earth

^omg at this

Its contours remind me so much of Hurricane Andrew. Hoping for the best. Ugh.

very close to the theoretical maximum strength for a tropical cyclone on planet Earth

FWIW, I think the theoretical maximum velocity is from this study. Maximum azimuthal velocity is ~100 m/s = 223 mph (Fig 7).

This is way higher than empirical maximum velocity, which for the Western Pacific is a function of sea temperature, and peaks around 80 m/s = 179 mph (Fig 1).

from tropical storm to cat 5 hurricane w/200mph winds in 30 hours

yeah this is insane.

horrifying

http://www.slate.com/content/dam/slate/blogs/the_slatest/2015/10/23/CSAQYdYUYAAPe66.jpg.CROP.promo-xlarge2.jpg

Latest forecast is even worse!
http://www.wired.com/wp-content/uploads/images_blogs/wiredscience/2013/03/emperor-penguin-ir-image-solo.jpg

how populous is the area where landfall is expected? what is the state of evacuation procedures?

(too lazy to google)

Guadalajara, jeezus

Yeah, a hunk of Jalisco, right? Puerto Vallarta, etc? The place my friends stayed at last year is on lockdown.

The radio said guests in the line of landfall were told to pack bags and blankets and be ready to be bussed 6 miles further inland. But procedure sounded unclear on the radio.

https://twitter.com/Enrique_Acevedo/status/657720628452048896/video/1

Scott Kelly took this photo from the ISS

http://i.imgur.com/6fPFbZb.jpg

wtf

Weakened quickly

The good thing about these intense storms is that they require intense energy to sustain themselves.

Hurricane Matthew. We're supposed to go to Charleston this weekend, but right now it is (literally?) up in the air. Even called a living history museum to ask if I should buy tour tickets, and they told me to play it by ear. Meanwhile, authorities have given the heads up to every eastern state from Florida to Maine, though only FL and NC have declared preemptive states of emergency. It's a pretty huge storm, but storms do weird things. The hotel guy in SC I spoke with noted that the last time they predicted a hurricane the Low Country got nothing, but a couple of years ago there was a huge rain storm that left like 6 feet of water in the streets and stranded him in the hotel for a couple of days, so he said there's only so much planning you can do.

I dunno. I have a bad feeling we'll be pocketing our plane tickets and eating some of the hotel reservation, then heading to Milwaukee for something more modest. And dry.

I'm going to Disney World this weekend. I guess.

Orlando should be ok, right? But dunno how much flights will be disrupted.

these things are really hard to forecast 4-5 days out, which they've admitted. Orlando might take a direct hit or might just get bad weather due to it being off the coast.

my friends have a wedding this Saturday and the poor things are freaking out about the storm.

Story on Haiti this morning sort of heartbreaking. The government there declared a state of emergency, said to take precautions and/or evacuate areas, but supplied no further guidance, transportation, or funds (because they really have none). So the people there are basically stuck doing nothing.