Your 2016 Presidential Candidate Speculation Thread

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is there a precedent for a totally uncontested nomination like this?

I would love more than anything for Hillary to get pushed by the left by somebody/something - because she is actually susceptible to pressure - but I don't know where it's going to come from. probably nowhere.

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 10 June 2014 20:19 (ten years ago) link

Taft.

guess that bundt gettin eaten (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 10 June 2014 20:23 (ten years ago) link

she is actually susceptible to pressure

I must've missed this. Anyway, pressure is off once the presidency starts and you can chuck everything you said in the campaign, as BHO has illustrated.

son of a lewd monk (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 10 June 2014 20:23 (ten years ago) link

I would love more than anything for Hillary to get pushed by the left off a cliff

guess that bundt gettin eaten (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 10 June 2014 20:26 (ten years ago) link

Hillary's political m.o. is basically "if that is the way the winds are blowing, let no one say I don't also blow"

First term presidents are susceptible to financial pressure/lobbyists (gotta get re-elected!), second termers aren't susceptible to any pressure beyond the threat of impeachment.

xp

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 10 June 2014 20:27 (ten years ago) link

and they're usually hamstrung by the opposing party and their own party's re-election schemes; nothing much ever happens in 2nd terms except on the unpredictable foreign policy front

xp

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 10 June 2014 20:28 (ten years ago) link

is there a precedent for a totally uncontested nomination like this?

it's still only 2014, i'm assuming there will likely be some kind of challenger?

marcos, Tuesday, 10 June 2014 20:30 (ten years ago) link

Hard to imagine -- even that crazed socialist Bill deBlasio is trying to arrange the coronation for Brooklyn.

I'm hoping for any kind of surprise to unleash that leaden Rodham spontaneity.

son of a lewd monk (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 10 June 2014 20:37 (ten years ago) link

no money = no challenger

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 10 June 2014 20:48 (ten years ago) link

hillary already has challengers announced and more likely but 2016 for dems looks like an old style gop coronation. 2016 for repubs looks like an old style dem clusterfuck.

edwards was the progressive candidate in 08, seem to recall a good number of fools who bought his war on poverty come to jesus, ignored that previously in his political career (where he'd been exposed as a lightweight already) he'd been a true blue dlc type who wanted to make the democratic party more 'business friendly'. he tried to play kingmaker (it was assumed among other things he wanted attorney general) but other flaws in the man ultimately made him as irrelevant and powerless as the progressive grass roots (he was already as vain).

balls, Tuesday, 10 June 2014 23:00 (ten years ago) link

idk anybody on the left that ever took Edwards seriously

Οὖτις, Tuesday, 10 June 2014 23:36 (ten years ago) link

Watching her with Diane Sawyer I relieved the nightmare.
― guess that bundt gettin eaten (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn)

Had the same problem. Before I had any feelings about anybody else, I unequivocally didn't want her to win in 2008. In the six years since, with her largely of out of view, that fingernails-on-a-blackboard antipathy has faded. The first time she let loose with one of her Amy Poehler guffaws in the Sawyer interview, it flared up.

clemenza, Tuesday, 10 June 2014 23:46 (ten years ago) link

a good number of fools who bought his war on poverty come to jesus, ignored that previously in his political career (where he'd been exposed as a lightweight already) ...

up to here u could be talkin bout the sainted Bobby Kennedy

son of a lewd monk (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 11 June 2014 00:14 (ten years ago) link

I would totally vote for Russ but let's be serious

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 11 June 2014 21:49 (ten years ago) link

So depressing that we are fucking sleepwalking toward a HRC nomination.

schwantz, Wednesday, 11 June 2014 23:04 (ten years ago) link

i'd prefer a nominee further to the left, but not sure another democratic candidate would win (maybe warren).

Daniel, Esq 2, Wednesday, 11 June 2014 23:08 (ten years ago) link

Warren shouldn't run tho, she is needed in the Senate

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 11 June 2014 23:08 (ten years ago) link

i agree (at least this election cycle).

Daniel, Esq 2, Wednesday, 11 June 2014 23:09 (ten years ago) link

feel like people push her because she's the only alternative to Hillary that trumps her "I'll be the First Lady President" angle (which admittedly is going to be just as much of a factor, if not moreso, than Barack's "First Black President" appeal)

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 11 June 2014 23:10 (ten years ago) link

also because she's (in her own, understated way) a magnetic candidate, with the potential to be totally presidential. she's maybe a little too fiery and blunt now, but that's partly what i like about her.

Daniel, Esq 2, Wednesday, 11 June 2014 23:11 (ten years ago) link

in a weird way I don't know any women who are enthusiastic about Hillary the way people were enthusiastic about Obama. there's this sort of measured acknowledgment that on her merits she is not really that great.... but

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 11 June 2014 23:22 (ten years ago) link

I knew plenty in 2008. Now? Notsomuch.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 11 June 2014 23:25 (ten years ago) link

my mom is so excited for president hillary

Mordy, Wednesday, 11 June 2014 23:29 (ten years ago) link

how is Warren more fiery and blunt than any man?

guess that bundt gettin eaten (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 11 June 2014 23:55 (ten years ago) link

Don't really know that much about any of this at this point (so discouraged), but it feels like these days (especially with evolving demographics) it's more about firing people up and getting them out to vote than it is about appealing to some magical (and idiotic) set of "reasonable" undecided voters. In that case, HRC seems like a not-so-great candidate, esp. If she's not going to fire up women in any big way.

I'm just wondering if some sort of straight-talking liberal (like Warren, but it doesn't have to be her) would actually have success these days. Polls seem to suggest people are more liberal on many issues than they think they are. But I may just be caught in in a bunch of liberal blogosphere horseshit, I dunno.

schwantz, Thursday, 12 June 2014 00:01 (ten years ago) link

how is Warren more fiery and blunt than any man?

― guess that bundt gettin eaten (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, June 11, 2014

her grilling of the bankers testifying before congress, and of the s.e.c. officials who hadn't brought a single case against those bankers to trial, was especially fiery and blunt (much moreso than the blowhard questions that other representatives ask). it's more that she's blunt, doesn't seem to pander, is a very focused cross-examiner, and carries herself in a way that can all seem sort of "northeastern elitist" to some.

Daniel, Esq 2, Thursday, 12 June 2014 00:10 (ten years ago) link

waren is no more fiery and blunt than any man, e.g., richard gephardt, bill richardson, evan bayh, tom vilsack, etc? many, maybe most, recent democratic presidential candidates have overly-mannered, overly-calculated panderers.

Daniel, Esq 2, Thursday, 12 June 2014 00:16 (ten years ago) link

why a Bernie Sanders candidacy would not accomplish a single solitary thing

http://www.salon.com/2014/06/03/no_bernie_sanders_should_not_run_for_president_why_his_challenge_would_achieve_little/

― images of war violence and historical smoking (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, June 4, 2014 2:34 PM (1 week ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

this is a strange argument for you of all people to accept

Matt Armstrong, Thursday, 12 June 2014 00:31 (ten years ago) link

Yeah that was a pretty cynical piece. But of course Salon have always been tireless Clinton boosters.

schwantz, Thursday, 12 June 2014 00:37 (ten years ago) link

...to put it generously.

schwantz, Thursday, 12 June 2014 00:37 (ten years ago) link

It seems far from a pro-Hillary piece (and yes, even farther from being pro-Obama).

There is no reason to suspect, after all these years, Hillary Clinton in the White House will be any better than the Hillary Clinton we have come to know as a hawkish corporate Democrat; if history’s any guide, she’ll be worse.

clemenza, Thursday, 12 June 2014 00:42 (ten years ago) link

is Salon pro-HRC these days? I have no idea.

guess that bundt gettin eaten (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 12 June 2014 00:50 (ten years ago) link

this is a strange argument for you of all people to accept

bullshit, bcz we're done, it's e$$entially fixed, and none of it matters

son of a lewd monk (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 12 June 2014 01:34 (ten years ago) link

if anyone on the true anticorporate left managed to win the billion-dollar POTUS auction, they would not live to January 20.

son of a lewd monk (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 12 June 2014 01:35 (ten years ago) link

Hope and change!

schwantz, Thursday, 12 June 2014 01:40 (ten years ago) link

also Bernie Sanders is a hack who says pretty things

and Hellary is not going to be "pushed" anywhere ideologically, as like her hubby she had her principles lanced in the '70s

son of a lewd monk (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 12 June 2014 01:41 (ten years ago) link

Ew @ "lanced."

schwantz, Thursday, 12 June 2014 01:42 (ten years ago) link

If Brooklyn gets the Dem convention I am v interested in seeing how deBlasio instructs the NYPD to handle protests, which should be daily and vigorous.

son of a lewd monk (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 12 June 2014 01:47 (ten years ago) link

don't you mean vigorou$

guess that bundt gettin eaten (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 12 June 2014 01:51 (ten years ago) link

hard to $ay

son of a lewd monk (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 12 June 2014 02:30 (ten years ago) link

"What is this, Russia? We're not allowed to get rich anymore?" - Paul Begala

http://www.fair.org/blog/2014/06/11/crossfire-clueless-on-israeli-occupation/

son of a lewd monk (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 12 June 2014 15:39 (ten years ago) link

Russia has more millionaires than any other country iirc

Οὖτις, Thursday, 12 June 2014 15:49 (ten years ago) link

She could've just said, “I did not grow up even imagining gay marriage and I don’t think you did either. This was an incredible new and important idea that people on the front lines of the gay right movement began to talk about and slowly, but surely, convinced others about the rightness of that position. I was initially reluctant because I didn't know much about it; eventually I began to see how important it was to gay friends. They convinced me I had a moral obligation to support it."

Instead she attacks one of NPR's more annoying questioners.

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/hillary-gay-marriage-npr-terry-gross

guess that bundt gettin eaten (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 12 June 2014 19:20 (ten years ago) link

"Well, Terry, Bill and I thought we knew how to count votes at the time -- our pollsters stick to us like flies on shit."

son of a lewd monk (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 12 June 2014 21:13 (ten years ago) link

totally dgaf about what she thinks or thought about this issue, since it's totally immaterial now

Οὖτις, Thursday, 12 June 2014 21:16 (ten years ago) link

in the end everybody in the legislature were total cowards, it took the courts to do it

Οὖτις, Thursday, 12 June 2014 21:16 (ten years ago) link

why are you un-American?

guess that bundt gettin eaten (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 12 June 2014 21:17 (ten years ago) link

force of habit

Οὖτις, Thursday, 12 June 2014 21:18 (ten years ago) link


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