they are forecasting
http://www.slantmagazine.com/house/tags/academy+awards
― touch of a love-starved cobra (Dr Morbius), Monday, 2 February 2015 16:01 (nine years ago) link
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/B8853c1IUAEPumR.jpg
― Tove Lo Tove You Baby (jaymc), Tuesday, 3 February 2015 23:23 (nine years ago) link
could not ID the two on the right w/out looking at nominees list.
so will Wachowskis' bomb be Redmayne's Norbit?
― touch of a love-starved cobra (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 5 February 2015 17:44 (nine years ago) link
The reviews I've bothered to look at say he's by FAR the best thing in it, so no.
― Eric H., Thursday, 5 February 2015 17:52 (nine years ago) link
btw that Beat the Crowd contest is now open -- the one that had no winner last year, cuz, the crowd picked every winner.
― touch of a love-starved cobra (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 5 February 2015 18:16 (nine years ago) link
no way tatum isn't the best thing about that movie
― qualx, Thursday, 5 February 2015 22:50 (nine years ago) link
Mark Harris:
I’m not sure why, in the last four years, Oscar voters have suddenly become so determined to turn inward, although they certainly live in a world that encourages it. Every year now, awards season seems to be twice as noisy as the year before. Given the glut of mailings, screenings, DVDs, trade publications, and blogs that exist because of Oscar advertising, roundtables, preliminary awards, dinners, contrived festival honors, panels, and Q&As, it’s easy for people who live and work inside the bubble to start to believe, between October and February, that the bubble is all there is. When they go home for the holidays in December, it’s with a stack of screeners; when they self-disgustedly flee Hollywood in January, they get only as far as Sundance. And this winter, the scandal over the Sony hack and The Interview provided an unusual corroboration of the idea that what Hollywood does really is front-page news with real-world stakes. In that context, a vote for Birdman, which might have looked like an act of self-absorption back in November, may now feel more like a defiant act of self-affirmation: We’re here, we’re deeply flawed but sincere — get used to it!
http://grantland.com/hollywood-prospectus/best-picture-birdman-academy-awards-producers-guild/
― guess that bundt gettin eaten (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 9 February 2015 16:23 (nine years ago) link
they're self-obsessed and sexee [sic]
― touch of a love-starved cobra (Dr Morbius), Monday, 9 February 2015 16:26 (nine years ago) link
Slant pair doing v well with their forecasts imho; kudos Eric.
and Ed ranked all the nominees (but one), and the loser is Whiplash.
http://www.slantmagazine.com/house/article/ranking-oscars-2015-nominees
― touch of a love-starved cobra (Dr Morbius), Friday, 13 February 2015 20:22 (nine years ago) link
for someone who claims to hate this whole rat race stuff you sure spend a lot of time reading blogs about it
― I dunno. (amateurist), Friday, 13 February 2015 21:31 (nine years ago) link
yeah well, life is boring when there's literally nothing to do at work
― touch of a love-starved cobra (Dr Morbius), Friday, 13 February 2015 21:37 (nine years ago) link
just do what i do and read wikipedia pages about obscure soviet apparatchiks killed in stalin's purges
― I dunno. (amateurist), Friday, 13 February 2015 21:45 (nine years ago) link
daring call on orig screenplay by Eric; GBH still seems too good.
― touch of a love-starved cobra (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 17 February 2015 17:33 (nine years ago) link
It won the WGA and the BAFTA, so it's not that daring.
― Eric H., Tuesday, 17 February 2015 17:40 (nine years ago) link
I def think GBH is winning at least 3 or 4. Just not the big ones.
― I dunno. (amateurist)
what I was reading about last week: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marozia
― guess that bundt gettin eaten (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 17 February 2015 18:04 (nine years ago) link
4th of Harris' 5 prediction columns:
http://grantland.com/hollywood-prospectus/oscar-predictions-part-4-the-acting-categories/
― touch of a love-starved cobra (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 19 February 2015 16:39 (nine years ago) link
most entertainingly headsploding result of the night wd be Citizenfour for doc, Am Sniper for, well let's say best actor.
― touch of a love-starved cobra (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 19 February 2015 16:46 (nine years ago) link
also hadn't realized before reading E's piece today that the best actresses' films only got ONE other nomination total.
http://www.slantmagazine.com/house/article/oscar-winner-predictions-2015-actress
― touch of a love-starved cobra (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 19 February 2015 16:52 (nine years ago) link
That's not exactly what I was saying. I was saying the three actresses who are most dominant in their film (i.e. most screen time) only got one other nod. Useless Jones' movie got 5 nods.
― Eric H., Thursday, 19 February 2015 17:20 (nine years ago) link
ok got it
(drugged)
― touch of a love-starved cobra (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 19 February 2015 17:25 (nine years ago) link
Which, at the risk of incriminating myself, isn't to say that those clamoring for a solution to the problem are any less toxic, diminishing the merits of Moore's valiant, stricken performance in Still Alice as though it's a crime against humanity that she's going to collect her overdue Oscar for a disease-of-the-month melodrama and not for, say, flashing her bush in Robert Altman's Short Cuts or telling Marky Mark where he can put his money shot in Boogie Nights. Many refuse to examine the ways Moore, a dependably controlling performer, wrestles with the material, and how that struggle enriches the plight of her character facing early-onset Alzheimer's disease. And they're the same ones endorsing Cotillard (perfectly fine in a role that mainly asks her to cry and collapse) simply by virtue of her appearing in a more respectable film, engaging in an equally deleterious practice of equating "best actress" with "any female performer who happens to appear in the movie I'm the least embarrassed to be talking about."
otm
― guess that bundt gettin eaten (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 19 February 2015 17:28 (nine years ago) link
also: cranky because an hour ago I had written something similar
― guess that bundt gettin eaten (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 19 February 2015 17:29 (nine years ago) link
I'm cranky because Mark Harris basically started to make the exact same points as I did and then said, "but that's for another time." X(
― Eric H., Thursday, 19 February 2015 17:39 (nine years ago) link
last of a Fandor series: aternate Oscars, this one post-1980s
https://www.fandor.com/keyframe/the-alt-oscars-and-now-for-the-nominees
― touch of a love-starved cobra (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 19 February 2015 18:19 (nine years ago) link
Mark Harris' final predictions. Best Picture essay worth reading:
http://grantland.com/hollywood-prospectus/final-oscar-predictions-who-will-win-on-sunday/
― guess that bundt gettin eaten (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 20 February 2015 17:04 (nine years ago) link
does Robin, Shirley or Mickey win the obit montage?
― touch of a love-starved cobra (Dr Morbius), Friday, 20 February 2015 17:21 (nine years ago) link
oh, Temple died before last year's Oscars, PSH too
― touch of a love-starved cobra (Dr Morbius), Friday, 20 February 2015 17:23 (nine years ago) link
Academy member John Boorman on Boyhood:
What have you liked that you’ve seen lately?
Of course I’m voting [for the Oscars], so I’ve seen everything that’s around. I have to say that in the foreign language category, there are three films — “Timbuktu,” “Leviathan” and “Ida” — that are head and shoulders above anything in the English-speaking film world. They’re magnificent films. Daring and full of conviction.
What do you think of the films that are in the best picture race?
“Birdman” is a fascinating film, made with some of the daring that I was missing elsewhere. “Boyhood” seems to be the front-runner, it won every critics award, but I was a bit disappointed in it because the boy turned out to be rather uninteresting. His sister was much more interesting, but we don’t see much of her. All the things that boys get up to in my experience as a father, like not doing their homework and smoking and getting into fights, none of that seemed to happen to this kid.
― guess that bundt gettin eaten (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 21 February 2015 13:53 (nine years ago) link
most entertainingly headsploding result of the night wd be /Citizenfour/ for doc, /Am Sniper/ for, well let's say best actor. --touch of a love-starved cobra (Dr Morbius)
entirely possible - if nowhere near a lock - that this happens, tbh.
― slothroprhymes, Saturday, 21 February 2015 14:10 (nine years ago) link
John Boorman overestimates Ida
― touch of a love-starved cobra (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 21 February 2015 15:20 (nine years ago) link
and Birdman.
― guess that bundt gettin eaten (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 21 February 2015 16:40 (nine years ago) link
I read a bit of speculation, are people really so dumb that they are actually arguing that it matters which way the 2- and 3- favorites will be checked? If a film need 50% of the vote to win, then it doesn't matter. There can't both be 50% with Birdman over Boyhood, and 50% with Boyhood over Birdman.
― Frederik B, Saturday, 21 February 2015 16:48 (nine years ago) link
It means that, for people who put movies that aren't Boy or Bird at #1, they still have votes that matter.
― poxy fülvous (abanana), Sunday, 22 February 2015 07:20 (nine years ago) link
well The Times clearly has itself a crystal ball judging from the Julianna Moore Best Actress splash at the top of the page
http://40.media.tumblr.com/730a781054a3f31795019cf22ae0c17d/tumblr_nk58np1ZxU1u5f06vo1_1280.jpg
― piscesx, Sunday, 22 February 2015 09:02 (nine years ago) link
― poxy fülvous (abanana), 22. februar 2015 08:20 (6 hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink
Right, that's not what I'm talking about. But some of the pundits are saying, that if Selma and Theory of Everything are the nominees with least support, then since their #2 votes will be added first, the big question is which film those voters also liked. But that is nonsense. Birdboy might be in a tight race, but they can't both be in front of the other on 51% of the ballots, no matter which way they are counted.
Right?
― Frederik B, Sunday, 22 February 2015 14:10 (nine years ago) link
tried to find Eric's "Birdman's not winning best picture" post
― touch of a love-starved cobra (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 22 February 2015 16:30 (nine years ago) link
he's read the tea though
I'm sure it was in detrius somewhere.
― Eric H., Sunday, 22 February 2015 16:42 (nine years ago) link
I'm not predicting the director/pic split either.
― guess that bundt gettin eaten (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 22 February 2015 17:48 (nine years ago) link
Argo years aside, you never should. Which is what screwed everyone out of perfect scores last year.
― Eric H., Sunday, 22 February 2015 18:56 (nine years ago) link
drinking rules, anyone?
― niels, Sunday, 22 February 2015 19:18 (nine years ago) link
Don't drive.
― guess that bundt gettin eaten (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 22 February 2015 19:18 (nine years ago) link
Boorman otm about boyhood
― da croupier, Sunday, 22 February 2015 19:24 (nine years ago) link
Not sure I needed mason to smoke and punch per se, but his placidity made the film anticlimactic
― da croupier, Sunday, 22 February 2015 19:25 (nine years ago) link
my favorite present-day Mason scene isn't with the girl in the desert but the one in the bar where he listens to his dad with affection and mild teen contempt babble on and on about Charlie Sexton.
― guess that bundt gettin eaten (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 22 February 2015 19:29 (nine years ago) link
I was like, "Mason Jr. otm"
Oh yeah I really appreciated seeing him lose a little esteem for his dad with maturity.
― da croupier, Sunday, 22 February 2015 19:38 (nine years ago) link
i don't think i have any way to watch the whorefest tonight, and im ok with that.
― touch of a love-starved cobra (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 22 February 2015 19:40 (nine years ago) link
watch it on your Morbsphone.
― guess that bundt gettin eaten (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 22 February 2015 19:41 (nine years ago) link