Buttload of Faith: the 2016 Presidential Primary Thread (Pt 2)

GOP should just have a knife fight and the last one standing gets to pick the nominee

Greenwald on the "Bernie Bros" horseshit (i'd rather he hadn't bannered a big Susan Sarandon pic tho).

https://theintercept.com/2016/01/31/the-bernie-bros-narrative-a-cheap-false-campaign-tactic-masquerading-as-journalism-and-social-activism/

― we can be heroes just for about 3.6 seconds (Dr Morbius), Monday, February 1, 2016 9:14 PM (47 minutes ago)

it's painful to even pay attention to this stuff but glad GG does, he knocked this one out of the park

Those gay-bashing tweets directed at GG at the end... manoman.

Hands On A Hard Body would also be a good model IMHO.

You are a genius, and i mean that sincerely.

that cruz failed kiss is a campaign destroyer for real, it's so horrific

eh it's more appalling if you don't know it's his daughter

http://45.media.tumblr.com/c11931949904a30f8254c38586024c6e/tumblr_o1vxdt3a911rgh197o1_400.gif

really a beautifully composed frame

ouch

unbearable

my mom has the bizarre habit of supporting total longshot candidates. and not in like a super lefty way. i never really get why.

88: bruce babbitt
92: harkin and/or tsongas
00: bradley (probably, idr)
04: iirc gephardt? then wes clark, edwards probably.
08: biden (loves him), bill richardson, she's always been a hillary fan at least personally

i just traded a few texts with her "O'Malley's my guy"

happy iowa day everyone!

(she lives in iowa, is the point of that post)

(pls don't dox my mom)

yr mom's got a thing for lovable losers eh

well where would any of us be, right

http://gawker.com/rumor-heidi-cruz-is-so-repulsed-by-iowans-she-has-to-s-1756461603

Worth the click for Heidi Cruz's Twitter pic of her greeting Iowans

Now I want to just watch Christopher Guest movies for a week

http://41.media.tumblr.com/f1d0c1bb7b8b9c3919823248937f9e61/tumblr_nqim7h1opX1ur59wio1_400.jpg

trump into america!

"What's wrong with being racy?"

"RacIST."

https://www.instagram.com/p/BBQeLydABXv/

yr mom's got a thing for lovable losers eh

i voted for Bill Bradley in the '00 primary (boy that one hurt), and he's not remotely lovable.

There's really nothing like 2 minutes of voter-opinion clips on NPR to make you realize we are tot fucking doomed.

It's very, very early, but CNN has just projected Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders as leading on the Democratic side.

These are just projections--do not lose heart, O'Malley supporters.

Those are based off of entry polls. The lobbying is just getting started.

(I promise not to talk about predictions vs projections ;)

brace yourselves for O'Mentum!

(I promise not to talk about predictions vs projections ;)

Reminds me of that one Seinfeld episode: "You were interfering while we were intervening."

looks like they managed to capture more of that lovable Cruz moment

https://media.giphy.com/media/l2JI9hJjzH1VjJxS0/giphy.gif

https://scontent-atl3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xtp1/v/t1.0-9/12646981_10153387079108310_8162776531352720661_n.jpg?oh=fc83d8de2c02abb70f1057897916b67a&oe=576F1748

I must say I kind of like this moment - it is technically the last day on which all election talk is _completely_ speculative. Tomorrow it will be different in a tiny but perceptible way; actual votes will have been cast and tabulated. Of course they are not predictive; there's still a lot of speculation yet to come. But the conversation changes slightly. Shit is real and getting realer.

Gonna be a late night for a lot of us, isn't it?

i'll do anything for democracy

does the graph on huffpo mean that 17% of the votes are in, or just 17% of those three precincts? I'm Canadian and confused.

daveweigelVerified account
‏@daveweigel
One speaker at this caucus is a pro-Hillary immigrant from Denmark, who assures us that socialism works but Bernie can't win

!!!

how the fuck did Fredrik B get to Iowa so quick

thought we were supposed to be clamping down on the borders lately

lmao

didn't Borders go bankrupt four years ago

Marty hanging tough at 0.6%

looks like Cruz may run away with this one, which would be a pretty huge loss for Trump

meanwhile Hillary is probably going to win but not by much, which I think is very positive for Sanders. It m akes it seem more like a real race, although I don't see any individual precincts that actually went for Sanders

can't wait to watch a trump concession speech

Ha!

betting markets have flipped for cruz

https://twitter.com/DavMicRot/status/694343217366589441

my iowa city friends are reporting that sanders is taking their precincts, given the timing that may be different ones but i'm not entirely sure whether they're not all together

Oh yeah, if Sanders can't win in college town Iowa City he is toast!

Actually, he has to win Iowa to be at all competitive. One of the whitest, liberalest states of all, he won't win anything but New Hampshire without showing he can win Iowa.

Caucus isn't going to be decided in the cities fwiw

Xp

Oh look who's here

He, I'll let myself out in a sec. Late night writing.

The "expectations" game is such a wacky charade of shifting goal-posts. I mean, when Sanders first entered the race, the idea of him even fighting Hillary Clinton to a draw in any state besides his own seemed pretty laughable - like he was basically Kucinich. Gradually it became "well, of course he'll take New Hampshire, sure, that's practically Vermont," and then "well obviously he's got a reasonable shot in Iowa, that's got lots of white liberals too" and now somehow it's like unless he pulls a win there his candidacy will have been proven a failure.

(typed that before Freddy B's post)

It's not a failure! He just won't win.