Buttload of Faith: the 2016 Presidential Primary Thread (Pt 2)

yr mom's got a thing for lovable losers eh

well where would any of us be, right

http://gawker.com/rumor-heidi-cruz-is-so-repulsed-by-iowans-she-has-to-s-1756461603

Worth the click for Heidi Cruz's Twitter pic of her greeting Iowans

Now I want to just watch Christopher Guest movies for a week

http://41.media.tumblr.com/f1d0c1bb7b8b9c3919823248937f9e61/tumblr_nqim7h1opX1ur59wio1_400.jpg

trump into america!

"What's wrong with being racy?"

"RacIST."

https://www.instagram.com/p/BBQeLydABXv/

yr mom's got a thing for lovable losers eh

i voted for Bill Bradley in the '00 primary (boy that one hurt), and he's not remotely lovable.

There's really nothing like 2 minutes of voter-opinion clips on NPR to make you realize we are tot fucking doomed.

It's very, very early, but CNN has just projected Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders as leading on the Democratic side.

These are just projections--do not lose heart, O'Malley supporters.

Those are based off of entry polls. The lobbying is just getting started.

(I promise not to talk about predictions vs projections ;)

brace yourselves for O'Mentum!

(I promise not to talk about predictions vs projections ;)

Reminds me of that one Seinfeld episode: "You were interfering while we were intervening."

looks like they managed to capture more of that lovable Cruz moment

https://media.giphy.com/media/l2JI9hJjzH1VjJxS0/giphy.gif

https://scontent-atl3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xtp1/v/t1.0-9/12646981_10153387079108310_8162776531352720661_n.jpg?oh=fc83d8de2c02abb70f1057897916b67a&oe=576F1748

I must say I kind of like this moment - it is technically the last day on which all election talk is _completely_ speculative. Tomorrow it will be different in a tiny but perceptible way; actual votes will have been cast and tabulated. Of course they are not predictive; there's still a lot of speculation yet to come. But the conversation changes slightly. Shit is real and getting realer.

Gonna be a late night for a lot of us, isn't it?

i'll do anything for democracy

does the graph on huffpo mean that 17% of the votes are in, or just 17% of those three precincts? I'm Canadian and confused.

daveweigelVerified account
‏@daveweigel
One speaker at this caucus is a pro-Hillary immigrant from Denmark, who assures us that socialism works but Bernie can't win

!!!

how the fuck did Fredrik B get to Iowa so quick

thought we were supposed to be clamping down on the borders lately

lmao

didn't Borders go bankrupt four years ago

Marty hanging tough at 0.6%

looks like Cruz may run away with this one, which would be a pretty huge loss for Trump

meanwhile Hillary is probably going to win but not by much, which I think is very positive for Sanders. It m akes it seem more like a real race, although I don't see any individual precincts that actually went for Sanders

can't wait to watch a trump concession speech

Ha!

betting markets have flipped for cruz

https://twitter.com/DavMicRot/status/694343217366589441

my iowa city friends are reporting that sanders is taking their precincts, given the timing that may be different ones but i'm not entirely sure whether they're not all together

Oh yeah, if Sanders can't win in college town Iowa City he is toast!

Actually, he has to win Iowa to be at all competitive. One of the whitest, liberalest states of all, he won't win anything but New Hampshire without showing he can win Iowa.

Caucus isn't going to be decided in the cities fwiw

Xp

Oh look who's here

He, I'll let myself out in a sec. Late night writing.

The "expectations" game is such a wacky charade of shifting goal-posts. I mean, when Sanders first entered the race, the idea of him even fighting Hillary Clinton to a draw in any state besides his own seemed pretty laughable - like he was basically Kucinich. Gradually it became "well, of course he'll take New Hampshire, sure, that's practically Vermont," and then "well obviously he's got a reasonable shot in Iowa, that's got lots of white liberals too" and now somehow it's like unless he pulls a win there his candidacy will have been proven a failure.

(typed that before Freddy B's post)

It's not a failure! He just won't win.

Dreading a Cruz victory speech; intrigued by a Trump loser speech (especially if he ends up third, although that looks like a longshot halfway there).

I think I'm reading the map wrong, Sanders is indeed ahead in various precincts

prediction markets v confident of cruz and clinton rn
http://predictwise.com/blog/2016/02/iowas-caucus-night/

9:49: Cruz and Clinton both at 85% in IA.

why is des moines county nowhere near des moines?

apparently bc they're both named after the river

BREAKING: Martin O'Malley suspending campaign

xp at the time it was named, it was / was in the southern part of a district along the mississippi that was named for one of the river's tributaries, already named the des moines river.

the city was named about 20 years later, also named for the des moines river (originally as 'fort des moines', which runs diagonally through the state & so manages to hit the center as well as the corner containing the county.

good information thx

betting markets call it for cruz

loool

Dreading a Cruz victory speech

"More than anything, tonight you've sent a powerful message to my daughter"

ugh Marco Rubio

he repulses me more than Trump