Il Douché and His Discontents: The 2016 Primary Voting Thread, Part 4

weird they haven't called florida for clinton yet

weird they haven't called florida for clinton yet

People still voting in the Panhandle, I believe

chris matthews just said that american politics is too "predictable, it's paint by numbers"

Clinton's lead in Florida is commanding. She's got it.

Apparently Rubio's only won the Cuban vote lol

NBC calling Florida for HRC.

rubio just said "we had a great team" and then corrected himself and said "we have a great team"

heckler. rubio: "don't worry, he won't get beaten up here"

it's rubio i'm worried for

It's your friend you should worry about. What on earth am I to do?

and it's official he is suspending his campaign

"suspending"

how I wish I could enjoy this guy suffer in a context not tied to Trump becoming the republican nominee

oh SHUT UP with your aspirational twaddle, Rubes

aww, at least he won miami-dade

he won the dying Cuban vote -- he won my abuela's vote

Damn, Marco! Not even a CLOSE second.

did he say the same line when Hillary found out about Moncia?

― AdamVania (Adam Bruneau), Tuesday, March 15, 2016 6:40 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

I loled

Don't give in to fear, don't give in to hysteria, said the junior senator from Florida, a supporter of torture, bombing Syrians for no reason, and the man who sprinted away from his own immigration bill.

AP called OH for Hill

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=19ZxJVnM5Gs

i guess harry reid's going to give some big speech tomorrow making clear that the GOP is responsible for trump
should be entertaining

at least the good ppl of florida will have marco rubio back in the senate fighting for their freedom

CNN calling Ohio for Kasich.

actually rubio isn't running for reelection in the senate either so he's out after january! prob go be a lobbyist or something idk

xp no they won't he isn't running for senate

It's not that hard to see what Kasich's thinking, it's basically just a) The Party Decides and b) When the Party Decides, factors they look at include being a good party republican and Carrying Your Own Fucking State.

xp and history has overtaken me - if Kasich carries Ohio, wouldn't he be in third place anyway?

i wonder how many democrats crossed over to vote kasich (to stop trump)

(I mean even if Rubio hadn't dropped out)

impossible anyway for rubio to plausibly re-run for the office of launchpad

i wonder how many democrats crossed over to vote kasich (to stop trump)

― arts and crafts THIS GUY (daria-g),

Many, according to MSNBC exit polls.

yeah i was joking because not only is he not running, he apparently rarely shows up in the senate

i heard people were pushing carson to run for rubio's seat? lol

i can't see the nominee being anyone but trump, but it really would be funny if kasich's weirdo red-meat-what-red-meat-i-don't-have-any-i-swear strategy had happened upon its first workable primary year since, what, 1956

heh i googled and the first result was a wash post article quoting a friend of rubio's re: the senate --> 'he hates it'

i mean, he does have a point, seems like an awful place to be

xpost and the sunny, let's all get along kasich you see in the primary is NOT the real kasich. not the friendliest guy. i mean there has to be tons of video from his old fox news tv show making that obvious

i mean, he does have a point, seems like an awful place to be

― arts and crafts THIS GUY (daria-g)

don't get that at all tbh. Lots of time to read now that nothing gets done.

at least the senate has its own lil subway that won't be shut down tomorrow

yeah the approach always seemed bizarre because it's the opposite of the cw "pivot": he runs as the kindly one in the primary but should he somehow get the nomination hillary attacks inevitably reveal him as the unkindly one in the general. it doesn't make any sense unless there's an attempted fascist takeover of the party. xxp

plus the Clintons worked with Kasich when he was a Gingrich mini-me in the mid '90s -- they got an opp file on this guy

the massive amount of time politicians from some of these big states especially spend on fundraising has to be massively depressing imo, it seems like the only person who enjoys this is terry mcauliffe maybe

tru

the predictwise guy has run some back of the envelope stuff on a contested convention

There is a 46% chance of a second ballot. There is 74% likelihood that Donald Trump wins the nomination, 13% for Ted Cruz, and 11% for John Kasich. Assume that Trump is the only person that can win nomination on the first ballot. Here is a quick and dirty estimate to consider:

54% that Trump wins on the first ballot
20% that Trump wins on the second or more ballot
13% that Cruz wins on the second or more ballot
11% that Kasich wins on the second or more ballot
1% that Paul Ryan wins on the second or more ballot

Which means Trump is about 45% to win, should the nomination be contested. And, if not, he is about 50% likely to try to run as an independent or minor party candidate.

david plouffe on fox news: "it may be coming down to trump and cruz.. which is like choosing between hemlock and cyanide, for the GOP establishment"

i seriously think daily exposure to the sound and image of Clinton or Trump for 4 years will shorten my precarious lifespan.

Brutal day for Bernie :(

You can just unplug your cable Morbs

Oh, Kasich. There's a difference between "being boring in comparison to Trump" and "being so boring you get on national TV and repeatedly use the phrase 'credit rating agencies.'"

chris matthews just said that american politics is too "predictable, it's paint by numbers"

Could someone plz paint Matthews? Preferably in the style of that poor unfortunate girl at the beginning of Goldfinger.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KACb_Rizb8E

what was that creepy thing he said about wives wearing the dress she hasn't worn in six months

ugh no

just no