Curb Your Authoritarianism? The 2016 Conventional Wisdom Thread (Elections, Part 6)

IDGI

i truly had no idea that antonio sabato jr was (still) a thing until yesterday

he's not

who's that guy in the above pic?

not scott baio

Cuntness sounds like a Game of Thrones character.

judging by that photo, Baio looks better blonde

Oh good, someone let Lou Holtz speak

http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/07/gop-speaker-lou-holtz-really-hates-immigrants.html

“I don’t want to become you. I don’t want to speak your language, I don’t want to celebrate your holidays, I sure as hell don’t want to cheer for your soccer team!”

Cuntness sounds like a Game of Thrones character.

― dinnerboat

Porn version of Hunger Games, more like.

lmfao https://twitter.com/SkyNewsTonight/status/755472151021428736

the william s burroughs cut-up approach to political speechwriting

watching roll call vote, all DC delegates voted for rubio and kasich. roll call guy says "19 trump". yeesh.

some minor weirdness seems to be going on here.. iirc in 2008 the first thing clinton did was to release all her delegates and ask them to vote for obama, so everyone voted for obama

cruz, rubio and kasich did not release their delegates. and michigan just passed completely and it wasn't for any strategic reason such as having the next state put the nominee over the top

and there's no one in this stadium! Every time a state announces its delegate total it sounds like 46 people applauding.

everyone outside rubbing alex jones nude belly

well, they went and nominated him

time to start releasing the REAL oppo research

getting reports in that trump "fucks bread" whatever that means

Corey Lewandowski--who looked after the roll call for New Hampshire--really does look like some sinister Haldeman/Liddy character.

Will opposition research even play a part this time? Surely almost everyone's made up their minds about both candidates.

theres actually an insane number of undecided voters because everyone hates both candidates

http://i.imgur.com/mosBODZ.png

http://i.imgur.com/mosBODZ.png

actually scary

tho i still think clinton will win pretty handily / will wait til after the conventions to worry abt the polls

Gee they are so much alike I just can't decide smh

lol

Trump Jr seems like a real swell fella

hillary clinton will find a way to bumble her way through some stupid and tone-deaf errors, there will be a period at some pt where trump is even or a little ahead in the polls and the whole earth will flip its shit, then hillary will win a map that looks kinda like the 2nd obama map

i'm already terrified for 2020! we're kinda due for a recession!

calling it now to seem sage in the future: Clinton wins this election, American economy goes into recession during her term, she loses in 2020.

Trump Jr seems like a real swell fella

― Clay, Tuesday, July 19, 2016 7:25 PM (21 seconds ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

i know someone who went to high school with him who said he was a total stoner greaseball who took a year off before college to road trip the country in a van, also everyone called him donnie

also she said hes "totally normal" but given the milieu she grew up in im not sure if she knows what that means

i know someone who went to high school with him who said he was a total stoner greaseball who took a year off before college to road trip the country in a van, also everyone called him donnie

― lag∞n

specifically, the only thing anybody ever said to him was "shut the fuck up donnie"

:]

I guess I just can't deal with anyone who has that slicked back 1987 Wall Street asshole Pat Riley hair thing going on

https://vine.co/v/5Zp2L5qBzI2

oh he seems awful dont get me wrong i was just passing along some insider info

did trump do his monica lewinsky slideshow yet? when is that?

hillary clinton will find a way to bumble her way through some stupid and tone-deaf errors, there will be a period at some pt where trump is even or a little ahead in the polls and the whole earth will flip its shit, then hillary will win a map that looks kinda like the 2nd obama map

i'm already terrified for 2020! we're kinda due for a recession!

― goole, Tuesday, July 19, 2016 11:25 PM (19 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

some bastard on the radio was like 'this is technically the beginning of the 2020 primary here in Cleveland'

FUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUU

so earlier i was listening to the fox news channel online coverage to see what they were saying and there was a lot of talk about this article

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/07/rnc-2016-gop-republican-party-leaders-future-donald-trump-214065

there is a big shadow convention going on where all the GOP leaders including the big $$$ people are planning what to do to pick up the pieces after the implosion this fall, because they all agree that's what's going to happen. they're already looking past this election and planning 2020.

whats funny is everyone is just gonna try to imitate trump next time because thats what republicans want, god help us if someone really clever and competent who can strike the right balance rolls around

of course that person will prob just do conventional republican things upon getting in office

good news is the dems structural advantage in presidential elections is prob just growing exponentially

feel bad for these republican dudes. they're only going to have control of the house, senate, and most state governments. sad

one problem for republicans is imo is that the pundit and talk radio circuit is dominated by these shrieking maniacs who drive away the more moderate part of their base while keeping potential crossover voters from ever even considering them.

gop bout to lose the senate at least

it's almost like they're great at plowing a profitable niche at the expense of evolving a wider public service-type appeal

the article about bill kristol sadly wandering around cleveland made me feel kiiiiinda bad for him but in the end him and his smoke filled room GOP buddies can go suck a dick.

feel bad for these republican dudes. they're only going to have control of the house, senate, and most state governments. sad

everything i have read/heard is that the democrats are expecting these to all move pretty significantly their way in the fall esp now that the GOP actually went and nominated trump

Will opposition research even play a part this time? Surely almost everyone's made up their minds about both candidates.

theres actually an insane number of undecided voters because everyone hates both candidates

I don't think these two statements are mutually exclusive. I'm sure there are a lot of undecideds, but my guess is many if not most of them will vote in the end (or stay home) based on who they viscerally dislike less, rather than finding out Trump did this or Clinton did that. They already really dislike both. I especially don't think soft Trump-leaners will be dissuaded by finding out more unseemly stuff about him--can it get any worse with him? I can maybe see where wavering Clinton-leaning voters (Sanders supporters or otherwise) might bail is ugly stuff about the Foundation came out.

Anyway, I think Clinton will win and all of that will have minimal impact.

idk what is happening nationwide to the "aspirational wasp" republicans who believe in "the market" and are maybe sort of of socially conservative but not fanatics about it. i have people in my extended family who fit this bill and they are not voting for trump. my dad actually used to vote republican but he jumped ship in 08, voting for obama and never looking back.

i don't think the modern gop appeals to people who don't want to put "republican" at the center of their identity. i wonder to what degree this is borne out by the numbers.

is = if