Curb Your Authoritarianism? The 2016 Conventional Wisdom Thread (Elections, Part 6)

More excited for Peter Thiel's speech about being a gay republican tbh

http://www.latimes.com/nation/politics/trailguide/la-na-republican-convention-2016-live-small-business-owner-michelle-van-1469050586-htmlstory.html?utm_source=kw&kwp_0=187436&kwp_4=745982&kwp_1=375741

so Rasmussen still is roughly 4-5% in the wrong direction in all of its polls thus far, today being the only poll to give Trump a slim lead (and last week it had one that had Trump up 7 when the rest were roughly even or with HIllary in the lead). they were notoriously bad the last two elections too.

I know Gallup was the institution that actually proclaimed they would rework their methodology to improve the Republican bias their polls unwittingly churned out. Does Rasmussen just ngaf or something?

their shit's always amusing.

I wish I could watch this speech!

I expect it will be at about 3am my time.

No need to wait http://www.politico.com/story/2016/07/full-transcript-donald-trump-nomination-acceptance-speech-at-rnc-225974?lo=ut_d1

jesus fucking christ

starts out in an anti-BLM mode and goes downhill from there

two favorable mentions of Bernie Sanders so far

Oh good, a Benghazi ref

http://www.vice.com/read/porn-viewership-soars-in-cleveland-during-republican-national-convention-vgtrn?utm_source=dmfb

But many of those porn-watchers were also looking for Donald Trump–themed porn, too, and his name became a trending search, so the masturbators definitely had politics on the mind.

promises to defeat the evil tetrarchy: criminals, terrorists, immigrants, globalists.

rails against NAFTA, TPP, asia generally

ends with an encomium to his slumlord father as a man of the people

really grim shit, can't wait!

No mention of Cruz at all. (Did a word search, don't want to read it in advance.) That I find hard to believe--surely he'll work in something.

v clear continuity with his "BRING BACK OUR POLICE" ad all those years ago

would be interested in seeing a version that highlights all the egregious mendacity in yellow

terrifying speech. like a dispatch from hell.

I read a little and got too annoyed and nauseated to continue before long.

One last Cruz thing before tonight. I've spent the last 18 hours trying to remember a movie line that almost sums up Trump's trap for Cruz last night. (I've pretty much completely moved in the direction of the idea that the whole chain of events was a set-up.) It's Hal Holbrook in All the President's Men, disgusted with Woodward after they gum up that one key moment in the investigation:

"You’ve done worse than let Haldeman slip away: you've got people feeling sorry for him. I didn’t think that was possible."

He'll tell the crowd that Americans "will come first once again" under his presidency, touching on crime, terrorism, trade, and the economy.

http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v11/japanpeterpan/orgy.jpg

https://medium.com/welcome-to-the-scream-room/im-with-the-banned-8d1b6e0b2932#.srcq7v7h8

On January 21st of 2017, the day after I take the oath of office, Americans will finally wake up in a country where the laws of the United States are enforced. We are going to be considerate and compassionate to everyone.

Study the juxtaposition of those two sentences. "Finally." Laws "enforced." The causal link between enforcing the law and compassion

xp the author's tone there is p unbearable, she sounds just as bad + intellectually dishonest as anyone she's describing

brit zing crew target in 2007 iirc

Anyone who endorses violence, hatred or oppression is not welcome in our country and never will be.

Oh, cool, if his first act of office is deporting himself, I guess that's one problem solved.

They keep wanting to tell Clinton "You're fired!" "You're not hired!" just doesn't work as well.

holy shit turn on right now if u ain't watching https://www.twitch.tv/gopconvention

whoa

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/07/21/letting-joe-arpaio-speak-at-the-republican-convention-is-a-tremendously-bad-idea/

https://twitter.com/cspan/status/756281093960048640

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/07/rnc-2016-donald-trump-speech-leak-hillary-clinton-pac-225981

CLEVELAND — A super PAC backing Hillary Clinton on Thursday night mysteriously obtained and leaked drafts of Donald Trump’s nomination speech — and those of several other convention speakers — hours before the night’s proceedings were set to kick off, sending the Trump campaign scrambling on the final night of what has been a chaotic convention.

The super PAC, Correct the Record, obtained a document containing the drafts from “a Republican source who had access to it and they sent it to us,” said Correct the Record founder David Brock, a close Clinton ally.

more lawlessness

Paul Manafort, Donald Trump's campaign chair, suggested on Thursday night that after the FBI did not recommend charges against Hillary Clinton for mishandling classified information, the agency's crime statistics cannot be trusted.

CNN's Jake Tapper noted in an interview with Manafort that much of the Republican convention has focused on violent crime but that "according to FBI statistics, crime rates have been going down for decades."

"How can the Republicans make the argument that somehow it's more dangerous today when the facts don't back that up?" he asked.

"People don't feel safe in their neighborhoods," Manafort replied. "I'm not sure what statistics that you're talking about."

Tapper repeated that he was citing FBI statistics.

I look forward to President Trump's purge of the FBI once he's elected.

the convention speech frames (will frame) violent crime as something that's risen so sharply so recently i bet a lot of listeners feel like it "hasn't shown up in the statistics yet"

Decades of progress made in bringing down crime are now being reversed by this Administration’s rollback of criminal enforcement...

The number of police officers killed in the line of duty has risen by almost 50% compared to this point last year.

so yeah things were getting better, but then black

Is HRC's VP press conference scheduled yet

this is one of those times where 'statistics' is an unfortunate term since it means something like 'counting the things that happened'

That Mark Burns speech fucking ruled

The number of police officers killed in the line of duty has risen by almost 50% compared to this point last year.

this isn't true though. they're up 8% from 62 to 67.

shh they'll hear you!

"though"

Vintage Sullivan panic on his live-blog:

If you wonder what it was like in the 1930s for ordinary people to flock to demagogues, tune in tonight. America has thrown up an extremely talented one. I fear that Hillary Clinton has no idea what is about to hit her.

http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/07/andrew-sullivan-liveblogs-the-rnc-night-4.html

Fuck, if that's the transcript he should pack in the Queen song and walk out tonight to Pink Floyd's "In the Flesh."

he was fun to read the last two nights cuz he kept garbage like this at a minimum:

It seems to me that the right bears the hefty majority of responsibility, moving from principled opposition to outright nullification of a presidency, trashing every important neutral institution, and now bad-mouthing the country they hope to “govern.” But the left’s abandonment of empiricism and liberalism – its rapid descent into neo-Marxist dogma, its portrayal of American history as a long unending story of white supremacy, its coarse impugning of political compromise and incrementalism, its facile equation of disagreement with bigotry – has also played a part. Liberal democracy needs liberal norms and manners to survive. Which is why it is now on life-support.

In between, moderate Christianity, once a unifying cultural fabric creating a fragile civil discourse, has evaporated into disparate spirituality on one side and fundamentalist dogma on the other, leaving us with little in the center to hold us morally together

moderate Christianity, a unifying cultural fabric, available at a Target near you.

i remember when sullivan watched the first debate in 2012 and declared that obama had lost the election

I never wanted so much to approach a homo, slap him and say, "Bitch, man the fuck up and take a shot."

I abandoned empiricism the day I realized I was a little hazy on what that actually meant.

I look out at this wasteland and see, in part, what Ross Douthat sees

If they ever publish a book (or a microchip, or whatever) called This Was the Internet 100 years from now, The Debate-Freakout blog needs to be in there.

http://67.media.tumblr.com/823939834007d25057f527190a4134e8/tumblr_oahzzfxROB1rionq1o1_500.gif

peter thiel :]