I've had people say it's a hardening, actually ~ US presidential election 2016 part 9/11 never forget

as long as we're going down this path: the amusement park i grew up with was Opryland and i basically lived there in the late 80's and it's gone forever now.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_N7fewyUKis

http://www.tennessean.com/picture-gallery/money/real-estate/2014/06/20/history-of-opryland-theme-park/11049509/

that video is doing my head in right now

guys i don't know wtf this has to do with the election but it's an improvement to this thread imo

I went to Opryland!

forks did you ever go to Twitty City? I remember there being a $500 airbrushed jeans jacket w/rhinestones & Conway's face on the back

oh shit brah, twitty shitty! yeah for sure!

loooooooooooo
http://i.imgur.com/Hl8jI2o.jpg
ooooooooooool

I had season passes to Opryland for years. I was friends with a kid whose father played with the Opry so we'd hang out in the park all day and then hang out backstage or around the theater or run around where the employees were. I would say i rode the flume zoom 3.2 million times.

can't wait till someone tells Trump what "fed" stands for

xpost - You never really see his name brought up in list of music moguls, but man Roy Acuff made a gazillion dollars. Just that land for Opryland property went for probably a gazillion dollars when it got turned into Mansionland, let alone Acuff/Rose and all the other stuff he owned.

For sure! I think I saw him at the opry once. I know I saw Minnie.

I don't understand that interest rate thing - Trump thinks low interest rates are bad for the economy?

guys can we just use this thread to talk about amusement parks and country music from now on, thanks in advance

Maybe he doesnt pay attention to interest rates because nobody will lend him money?

And low ass interest rates have been a bipartisan effort since before the financial crisis.

guys can we just use this thread to talk about amusement parks and country music from now on, thanks in advance

you bet!

https://youtu.be/T15s8bb6h_s

trumps comment on low interest rates has to do with obama propping up his failed economy so hillary can come in and implement the first of her five year plans once she becomes dictator for life.

assuming she lives past the next 3 months.

^ narrow gauge railway xp

I have mixed feelings about rates being this low for this long, but the suggestion that it's political is completely absurd

I remember there being a $500 airbrushed jeans jacket w/rhinestones & Conway's face on the back

TWITTY JACKET 4 PREZ

AMERICA, YOU'VE NEVER BEEN THIS FAR BEFORE

How far was Opryland from Dollywood? Dollywood is totally worth hitting and is far weirder than one would expect. The mix of Branson and Cedar Pointe and county fair and eagle/owl sanctuary is pretty singular.

that's in Pigeon Forge about 4 hours away.

"This morning while I was watching the news I saw many reports that I had endorsed Hillary Clinton," read Parton's statement. "My comment about supporting a woman in the White House was taken out of context. I have not endorsed Hillary Clinton nor Donald Trump. I try not to get political but if I am, I might as well just run myself 'cause I've got the hair for it, it's huge, and they could always use more boobs in the race."

What a way to make a livin'!

lol Dolly I love her

http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/the_next_20/2016/09/ralph_nader_and_the_tragedy_of_voter_as_consumer_politics.html

Michelle Goldberg bit on Nader 2000 helping encourage voter-as-consumer atomization

and she will always love you xp

How to Tell If You’re a Jerk: If you think everyone around you is terrible, the joke may be on you.

Here’s something you probably didn’t do this morning: Look in the mirror and ask, am I a jerk? It seems like a reasonable question. There are, presumably, genuine jerks in the world. And many of those jerks, presumably, have a pretty high moral opinion of themselves [...] They don’t think of themselves as jerks, because jerk self-knowledge is hard to come by.

http://nautil.us/issue/40/learning/how-to-tell-if-youre-a-jerk offered without comment

i will vote for Dolly

Dollywood is also far more gay than I think most of its senior attendees would realize.

http://i.imgur.com/akcdoWy.jpg

lol Ben Harper is playing Friday at my local Hillary campaign office

538 think hillary is more likely to win now than she was after the RNC. all the prediction places agree on this afaict.

loool at dude behind Trump

never been to dollywood, as noted it's pretty far off. would love to go tho'!

(little girls _are_ america in those pictures naturally)

When pressed on whether he continues to believe the long-refuted claim that President Barack Obama is not a US citizen and was not born in Hawaii, Trump replied, "I’ll answer that question at the right time. I just don’t want to answer it yet.”

never. apologize. ever.

they could always use more boobs in the race

I want this election to go on for six more months just so we have time to get through all the amazing thread titles

xp he wants to answer that in the debate when he's get maximum attention/praise for saying obama is a natural born citizen. he doesn't care if it's true or not. he just wants to prolong/maximize the attention.

they could always use more boobs in the race

Dolly is wrong, for she hasn't seen Trump naked. Only his doctor has.

one other polling remark: we just went through the abrupt change when polling becomes a much more reliable prediction of the election (they're on average right within like 8 points until the end of august, and then jump to within 3-4 in september, http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/23/upshot/were-about-to-enter-a-period-of-polling-volatility.html).

so while this may feel like a swing or a change due to events, it's just as, if not more easily explained as "it was always fairly tight, but now we're measuring more accurately"

aren't the polls also switching from 'registered voters' to 'likely voters'?

also that for sure. if both screens are modeled correctly then that should make no difference, but if they screw up correcting for one or the other screen then that would likely result in apparent jump in republican support.

whether the jump is from or to the right answer is another question, but the point is it doesn't necessarily imply a shift in the race.

https://humanizingthevacuum.wordpress.com/2016/09/16/in-todays-round-of-donald-trump-lies/

pretty good article: http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/9/15/1570341/-Daily-Kos-Elections-2016-forecast-Polling-day-from-hell-has-little-effect-on-the-bottom-line

on PEC, meanwhile, people are flipping out because two days after Sam said it was ridiculous how people were freaking out, his Meta-Margin went down to 2.5%, and the random drift to 77%, Bayesian to 86%.

it is kind of ridiculous, in a way, because we fucking did this same shit in 2012 (freak out)

I've been doing it since 2008, youngsters.

Somehow in 2004 I felt Kerry was gonna lose the whole time, so I never had that "oh no it's getting away from us" moment.

Kerry was never ahead iirc. Sorta like trump.

Trump was ahead for a few days right after the Republican convention, I think.

Nope

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/poll-no-post-convention-bounce-donald-trump-n616426

Wouldn't it make more sense to look at an aggregate of polls?

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#now