Smith was in New Orleans for Katrina and worked in Florida for a while, which I'm sure molded his thinking
― The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 7 October 2016 15:13 (seven years ago) link
yep. their wind probability forecast was pretty on the money too - I found myself glued to it.
xpost yeah, he wasn't wrong, but I can tell the locals misread him, as friends of mine already posting "Hey Shep, we're alive, unlike what you predicted", when that's not what he said.
then you see the interviews w/ people who didn't evacuate and their roof is coming off and they're calling emergency services who can't come and you kinda get why.
someone that was a farmer posted 75% of their crops got destroyed - definitely people getting legit fucked by the storm, still, unfortunately.
― Neanderthal, Friday, 7 October 2016 15:16 (seven years ago) link
My sister in honeymooning in the Keys right now, which luckily is a bit west of the hurricane and so the worst they're having to endure is some bad weather and bars being closed. But we're getting some worried calls from friends.
― jmm, Friday, 7 October 2016 15:19 (seven years ago) link
reports from friends and family in Jax have been mixed, but largely positive, if not the usual North Florida 'meh' attitude about storms scraping by. Still paying close attention to how it unfolds
― PappaWheelie V, Friday, 7 October 2016 15:23 (seven years ago) link
not surprising, as the way Jax is laid out your impact can vary depending if you're more downtown I s'pose.
latest Weather.com article: "Deadly Matthew getting worse; Water rising in Florida; Homes catch fire; nearly a million people in the dark".
God they're tabloidy - most of the title is correct except the first one (the storm is weakening, not getting worse, though effects can be worse in any county that's been hit with hours of tropical wind and rain)
― Neanderthal, Friday, 7 October 2016 17:01 (seven years ago) link
it's really more that some places are just getting it for the first time.
first US death reported from the storm - not sure where it occurred
― Neanderthal, Friday, 7 October 2016 17:03 (seven years ago) link
Jax: here comes the flooding.
Flash Flood Warning for Duval County, FloridaActive for next 3 hours ยท National Weather ServiceThe National Weather Service in Jacksonville has issued a Flash Flood Warning for: Central Duval County in northeastern Florida.Until 6:15 PM EDT.At 12:41 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated Heavy Rain across the warned area. Up to three inches of rain have already fallen. Flash Flooding is expected to begin shortly.Some locations that will experience flooding include: Normandy and Riverside. Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches are possible in the warned area.
The National Weather Service in Jacksonville has issued a Flash Flood Warning for: Central Duval County in northeastern Florida.
Until 6:15 PM EDT.At 12:41 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated Heavy Rain across the warned area. Up to three inches of rain have already fallen. Flash Flooding is expected to begin shortly.Some locations that will experience flooding include: Normandy and Riverside. Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches are possible in the warned area.
I've gotten calls from family about flooding beginning on the ground floor of their home.
― PappaWheelie V, Friday, 7 October 2016 18:53 (seven years ago) link
there's an amazing photo in this story depicting parenting i mildly disagree with
http://abcnews.go.com/US/hurricane-matthew-upgraded-category-millions-warned-storm-kill/story?id=42608853
― nomar, Friday, 7 October 2016 19:37 (seven years ago) link
pls forgive content from the free beacon, but, shep smith!
https://youtu.be/y_7WTfoWOMo
― goole, Friday, 7 October 2016 19:52 (seven years ago) link
very guilty LOLs at that pic
― Neanderthal, Friday, 7 October 2016 19:58 (seven years ago) link
they lifted our curfew already. never lost power here, none of the trees over, worst I had to deal with was my dad's snoring. relieved as all hell.
not surprised on flooding w/ Jacksonville, based on my last few visits there. very exposed.
woman in Volusia the first casualty, went outside to feed some of her animals and struck by a falling tree. :(
― Neanderthal, Friday, 7 October 2016 20:01 (seven years ago) link
https://twitter.com/fierpanda/status/784780986643079168
― Brevs Mekis (dandydonweiner), Saturday, 8 October 2016 18:35 (seven years ago) link
haha
― Spottie, Saturday, 8 October 2016 20:41 (seven years ago) link
Rofl
― the tightening is plateauing (Le Bateau Ivre), Saturday, 8 October 2016 20:51 (seven years ago) link
by early saturday near Corpus Christi, TX, H-Harvey could make landfall as a Category 3 hurricane or higher โ with winds at least 111 miles per hour . . . and more than 35 inches of rain. . . .
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/25/us/hurricane-harvey.html?mcubz=3
― reggie (qualmsley), Friday, 25 August 2017 18:07 (seven years ago) link
This one is dangerous because the storm track is for it to make landfall around Corpus Christi, drive inland a ways and slow to a stop, then reverse course and drift slowly up the Texas coast. That is going to cause massive, unreal flooding from Corpus Christi up to Houston. Rain prediction for Victoria (between Corpus and Houston) is something mad like 35 inches over a couple of days.
― erry red flag (f. hazel), Friday, 25 August 2017 18:25 (seven years ago) link
This is scary. I have never seen a rainfall forecast like this in my entire career.Texas will be recovering from #Harvey for years. https://t.co/2l4agI5WfC— Eric Holthaus (@EricHolthaus) August 25, 2017
― Eazy, Friday, 25 August 2017 18:37 (seven years ago) link
My city is expected to get less than half an inch of rain up here in DFW, it's bizarre. I've never seen a storm come in from the Gulf that was going to stall so hard that it just didn't reach us.
― louie mensch (milo z), Friday, 25 August 2017 18:52 (seven years ago) link
wunderground has the best detailed coverage afaict, e.g.
https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/hurricane-harvey-rapidly-intensifies-catastrophic-flooding-likely-texas
also this was published last year:
https://projects.propublica.org/houston/
Houston is the fourth-largest city in the country. It's home to the nation's largest refining and petrochemical complex, where billions of gallons of oil and dangerous chemicals are stored. And it's a sitting duck for the next big hurricane. Learn why Texas isn't ready.
― ๐ ๐๐ข๐จ (caek), Friday, 25 August 2017 19:13 (seven years ago) link
Yeah I would not want to be in Pasadena or Galena Park in Houston right now. Those floodwaters are going to be a toxic gumbo.
― erry red flag (f. hazel), Friday, 25 August 2017 19:28 (seven years ago) link
The areas of predicted crazy high rainfall totals are now edging into the Austin area and some of the models project the hurricane making it further inland. I laid in a supply of cheese and olives on top of yesterday's grocery story run, am going for apocalypse sushi right now.
― erry red flag (f. hazel), Friday, 25 August 2017 22:08 (seven years ago) link
"area and some" should be "area as some"
Now a category 4.
― brownie, Saturday, 26 August 2017 00:15 (seven years ago) link
this nutcase is periscoping from the eyewall
https://twitter.com/Jeff_Piotrowski
― ๐ ๐๐ข๐จ (caek), Saturday, 26 August 2017 02:00 (seven years ago) link
I am worried about this but I need to sleep.
― El Tomboto, Saturday, 26 August 2017 04:46 (seven years ago) link
we're poised to get about a foot of water in san antonio this weekend and i have no idea how monday is going to be the first day of school
― seven mambas (m bison), Saturday, 26 August 2017 04:52 (seven years ago) link
a friend near McAllen is OK so far, that's all I got
― sleeve, Saturday, 26 August 2017 05:04 (seven years ago) link
caek's link is bonkers
― gbx, Saturday, 26 August 2017 05:32 (seven years ago) link
drove a friend home with the windows down, and keep asking myself if this was hurricane wind, or if this was hurricane rain. according to the radar, it is.
― erry red flag (f. hazel), Saturday, 26 August 2017 06:28 (seven years ago) link
Of course my side of Houston is the one getting all the rain, albeit not in the nightmarish portions that are probably on the way.
This is some batshit storm. Ike was out of here in about a day and a half. Allison was a three-day weekend. This is predicted to last until Thursday or Friday, with the tropical storm reaching us on Wednesday morning.
― to fly across the city and find Aerosmith's car (C. Grisso/McCain), Saturday, 26 August 2017 07:43 (seven years ago) link
Down to Cat 2 -- that's good, right?
― Guayaquil (eephus!), Saturday, 26 August 2017 09:11 (seven years ago) link
It doesn't matter if it's going to linger for days
― the Rain Man of nationalism. (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 26 August 2017 11:11 (seven years ago) link
So it hit and did some damage, 200,000 without power, but now come the prolonged heavy rains?
― Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 26 August 2017 11:57 (seven years ago) link
Yeah. Feeder Bands: Hurricane's Asshole Little Brothers.
― to fly across the city and find Aerosmith's car (C. Grisso/McCain), Saturday, 26 August 2017 14:34 (seven years ago) link
Getting steady hard rain up here in Austin now. A few big branches down in my neighborhood, one entire tree.
― erry red flag (f. hazel), Saturday, 26 August 2017 20:14 (seven years ago) link
โ seven mambas (m bison), Saturday, August 26, 2017 12:52 AM (fifteen hours ago)
school is not canceled on monday???
― k3vin k., Saturday, 26 August 2017 20:17 (seven years ago) link
Just went through back to back tornado warnings. Rain's really picked up and is heavy now.
― to fly across the city and find Aerosmith's car (C. Grisso/McCain), Sunday, 27 August 2017 02:00 (seven years ago) link
It keeps coming... a lot of LCRA rain gauges in the Lower Basin (southeast of Austin) are showing 9-11" of rain in the past 48 hours. This morning they were half that.
― erry red flag (f. hazel), Sunday, 27 August 2017 02:08 (seven years ago) link
Stay safe all in TX
― Neanderthal, Sunday, 27 August 2017 02:23 (seven years ago) link
kinda surreal to look at the NWS site and see a Flash Flood Watch in effect for the next 96 hours.
― erry red flag (f. hazel), Sunday, 27 August 2017 02:29 (seven years ago) link
โ k3vin k., Saturday, August 26, 2017 3:17 PM (six hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink
the rain in SA today wasn't ever nightmarish, but it's been steady. you can still drive and stuff. it just depends how much water is on the ground by monday and how much is falling out the sky. if it makes getting to and from school treacherous, they'll cancel.
― seven mambas (m bison), Sunday, 27 August 2017 03:16 (seven years ago) link
Feeding bands moving pretty quick right now. Earlier tonight a tornado touched down in the burbs across the street from where my family had a store back in the '80s (and just few miles from where I was living during Allison & Ike).
― to fly across the city and find Aerosmith's car (C. Grisso/McCain), Sunday, 27 August 2017 03:27 (seven years ago) link
Friends in Houston have now retreated upstairs as their ground floors are flooding... they saw it coming and moved furniture and valuables up, but damn. That didn't even happen on the Tax Day Floods last year.
― erry red flag (f. hazel), Sunday, 27 August 2017 06:40 (seven years ago) link
I know that dread all too well. Sending thoughts and $$s out to the victims of this one. Glad your friends have an upstairs to retreat to, f. Got my fingers crossed that under/unstaffed FEMA somehow respond better than with Katrina.
― Fetchboy, Sunday, 27 August 2017 07:29 (seven years ago) link
Reports on TV that people in certain areas of SouthEast Houston have been driven to their attics by flood water (shades of Katrina).
― to fly across the city and find Aerosmith's car (C. Grisso/McCain), Sunday, 27 August 2017 07:48 (seven years ago) link
There are no words. pic.twitter.com/zbrFENCDsA— Eric Holthaus (@EricHolthaus) August 27, 2017
― flappy bird, Sunday, 27 August 2017 16:21 (seven years ago) link
Up next?
These are the highest windspeed forecasts I've ever seen in my 10 yrs of Atlantic hurricane forecasting. #Irma is another retiree candidate. pic.twitter.com/e6nMsp1myY— Michael Ventrice (@MJVentrice) August 31, 2017
― Eazy, Friday, 1 September 2017 01:07 (seven years ago) link
Fuck me running
― flappy bird, Friday, 1 September 2017 01:50 (seven years ago) link
uh
― the Rain Man of nationalism. (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 1 September 2017 01:55 (seven years ago) link
No way to sugar coat potential for catastrophic Hurricane #Irma nearing South Florida this weekend. Please monitor & be prepared.— Ryan Maue (@RyanMaue) September 4, 2017
― Eazy, Monday, 4 September 2017 16:38 (seven years ago) link