hurricane coming...

Rofl

by early saturday near Corpus Christi, TX, H-Harvey could make landfall as a Category 3 hurricane or higher — with winds at least 111 miles per hour . . . and more than 35 inches of rain. . . .

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/25/us/hurricane-harvey.html?mcubz=3

This one is dangerous because the storm track is for it to make landfall around Corpus Christi, drive inland a ways and slow to a stop, then reverse course and drift slowly up the Texas coast. That is going to cause massive, unreal flooding from Corpus Christi up to Houston. Rain prediction for Victoria (between Corpus and Houston) is something mad like 35 inches over a couple of days.

This is scary. I have never seen a rainfall forecast like this in my entire career.
Texas will be recovering from #Harvey for years. https://t.co/2l4agI5WfC

— Eric Holthaus (@EricHolthaus) August 25, 2017

My city is expected to get less than half an inch of rain up here in DFW, it's bizarre. I've never seen a storm come in from the Gulf that was going to stall so hard that it just didn't reach us.

wunderground has the best detailed coverage afaict, e.g.

https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/hurricane-harvey-rapidly-intensifies-catastrophic-flooding-likely-texas

also this was published last year:

https://projects.propublica.org/houston/

Houston is the fourth-largest city in the country. It's home to the nation's largest refining and petrochemical complex, where billions of gallons of oil and dangerous chemicals are stored. And it's a sitting duck for the next big hurricane. Learn why Texas isn't ready.

Yeah I would not want to be in Pasadena or Galena Park in Houston right now. Those floodwaters are going to be a toxic gumbo.

The areas of predicted crazy high rainfall totals are now edging into the Austin area and some of the models project the hurricane making it further inland. I laid in a supply of cheese and olives on top of yesterday's grocery story run, am going for apocalypse sushi right now.

"area and some" should be "area as some"

Now a category 4.

this nutcase is periscoping from the eyewall

https://twitter.com/Jeff_Piotrowski

I am worried about this but I need to sleep.

we're poised to get about a foot of water in san antonio this weekend and i have no idea how monday is going to be the first day of school

a friend near McAllen is OK so far, that's all I got

caek's link is bonkers

drove a friend home with the windows down, and keep asking myself if this was hurricane wind, or if this was hurricane rain. according to the radar, it is.

Of course my side of Houston is the one getting all the rain, albeit not in the nightmarish portions that are probably on the way.

This is some batshit storm. Ike was out of here in about a day and a half. Allison was a three-day weekend. This is predicted to last until Thursday or Friday, with the tropical storm reaching us on Wednesday morning.

Down to Cat 2 -- that's good, right?

It doesn't matter if it's going to linger for days

So it hit and did some damage, 200,000 without power, but now come the prolonged heavy rains?

Yeah. Feeder Bands: Hurricane's Asshole Little Brothers.

Getting steady hard rain up here in Austin now. A few big branches down in my neighborhood, one entire tree.

we're poised to get about a foot of water in san antonio this weekend and i have no idea how monday is going to be the first day of school

― seven mambas (m bison), Saturday, August 26, 2017 12:52 AM (fifteen hours ago)

school is not canceled on monday???

Just went through back to back tornado warnings. Rain's really picked up and is heavy now.

It keeps coming... a lot of LCRA rain gauges in the Lower Basin (southeast of Austin) are showing 9-11" of rain in the past 48 hours. This morning they were half that.

Stay safe all in TX

kinda surreal to look at the NWS site and see a Flash Flood Watch in effect for the next 96 hours.

we're poised to get about a foot of water in san antonio this weekend and i have no idea how monday is going to be the first day of school

― seven mambas (m bison), Saturday, August 26, 2017 12:52 AM (fifteen hours ago)

school is not canceled on monday???

― k3vin k., Saturday, August 26, 2017 3:17 PM (six hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

the rain in SA today wasn't ever nightmarish, but it's been steady. you can still drive and stuff. it just depends how much water is on the ground by monday and how much is falling out the sky. if it makes getting to and from school treacherous, they'll cancel.

Feeding bands moving pretty quick right now. Earlier tonight a tornado touched down in the burbs across the street from where my family had a store back in the '80s (and just few miles from where I was living during Allison & Ike).

Friends in Houston have now retreated upstairs as their ground floors are flooding... they saw it coming and moved furniture and valuables up, but damn. That didn't even happen on the Tax Day Floods last year.

I know that dread all too well. Sending thoughts and $$s out to the victims of this one. Glad your friends have an upstairs to retreat to, f. Got my fingers crossed that under/unstaffed FEMA somehow respond better than with Katrina.

Reports on TV that people in certain areas of SouthEast Houston have been driven to their attics by flood water (shades of Katrina).

There are no words. pic.twitter.com/zbrFENCDsA

— Eric Holthaus (@EricHolthaus) August 27, 2017

Up next?

These are the highest windspeed forecasts I've ever seen in my 10 yrs of Atlantic hurricane forecasting. #Irma is another retiree candidate. pic.twitter.com/e6nMsp1myY

— Michael Ventrice (@MJVentrice) August 31, 2017

Fuck me running

uh

No way to sugar coat potential for catastrophic Hurricane #Irma nearing South Florida this weekend. Please monitor & be prepared.

— Ryan Maue (@RyanMaue) September 4, 2017

getting a wee bit tired of the histrionics from some on my feed (Orlando). obv this is a motherfucker of a storm and we should all be refreshing the latest forecasts (as I do on the minute) but even in recent years w/ forecasts tightening to incredible precision, the average error in miles at the 5-day point is 200+ miles, and we're at like 6-7 days out.

Cent Florida has a tendency to unnecessarily pre-emptively cause gasoline shortages in situations like this by doing what I saw some dickhead doing an hour ago and filling like five humongous canisters of it.

I was already planning on hitting the Carolinas from 9/13 - 9/15, depending on where this ting goes, might either cancel that or might force me to go earlier.

like I don't blame anybody for anxiety after Harvey but it helps to focus on facts ("this is the current forecast") vs unquantifiable hysteria ("this is the WORST CASE SCENARIO", as our local news said on two separate forecasts for the same storm last year).

Strength-wise, we seem to be back to the 2004-2005 era of hurricanes where the warm waters churn out consistent mega-beast storms. I miss the tropics of my youth, small # of storms, few making landfall, all of them Cat 1s. Oi.

Cent Florida has a tendency to unnecessarily pre-emptively cause gasoline shortages in situations like this by doing what I saw some dickhead doing an hour ago and filling like five humongous canisters of it.

― Neanderthal, Monday, September 4, 2017 11:44 AM (one hour ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

been dealing with this bullshit in south texas for the last few days. gas lines and empty pumps all over the place.

is there gouging as well?

hi!

heh was gonna ask if you're stocked up yet

Uh, no.

ME NEITHA

Too early. The forecast track still puts the middle line skirting Cuba, where I can hope the mountains will sap some of Irma's strength. But we're talking about six days hence.

And, yeah, local coverage has been hysterical. The tone is "Please party safely this Labor Day weekend BUT YOU'RE GONNA DIE NEXT SATURDAY DON'T YOU SEE."

I have one friend who basically does his best "You're all doomed"-guy from F13 impression every year, like he doesn't remember how ridiculous he got last time.

guys, take a few minutes out of your day to be prepared

it's a holiday, come on

I've been living here for 30+ years. I know how this works