Wow. Whoa. That is some group of people. Thousands. - US Election Day 2016

new Trump oppo is HILLARY WINNING

US is about to oppo dump all over Trump

45 minute wait in the most diverse place in the USA. Long-haired roadie-looking guy wore a brightly colored pantsuit with a hillary pin but nobody stopped him for electioneering. Old asian lady with not great english showed me her blank ballot and asked how to fill it out. I began explaining and she asked "just want Hillary, where do I do that". I decided to not try to explain where and how she should vote for Hillary on the Working Families line.

Good morning ilxors. Am ringing doorbells most of the day in New Hampshire. Lots of ppl not home obv, but gotta keep on keeping on, I'm just one bee in the hive and going where I'm told.

Xp. Thx for that post, Dan.

So what happened to that Twitter guy people kept quoting here about new Trump oppo about to be released? Rick Wilson?

looks like it had too high an editorial hurdle to climb + people not wanting to break NDAs, but some people apparently think it's definitely coming out at some point.

looks like it had too high an editorial hurdle to climb + people not wanting to break NDAs, but some people apparently think it's definitely coming out at some point.

― frogbs

at which point whoever was sitting on it is going to have a very fun time explaining why they didn't release it when it mattered.

I dunno, Trump's still going to get his ass handed to him today, and I think continued efforts to delegitimize him after the fact are worthwhile. Dude needs to be decisively stamped into the dirt.

So what happened to that Twitter guy people kept quoting here about new Trump oppo about to be released? Rick Wilson?

― duped and used by my worst Miss U (President Keyes), Tuesday, November 8, 2016 10:46 AM (nine minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Rumor is there were two oppos that still haven't come out:

1. Video of Trump in Russia with prostitutes
2. Evidence of Trump having paid for (multiple?) abortions

But alas, no appearance of these things yet

so according to the votecastr - http://www.slate.com/votecastr_election_day_turnout_tracker.html

hillary is leading in OH, IA, NV, WI and CO. trump is leading in PA but with only 4% of votes observed (the other states are much higher). nothing for NH yet.

xxp:

Withholding facts about his repugnance might serve a purpose (Clinton certainly didn't share oppo before the GOP convention), especially if Trump decides to become a kingmaker in GOP politics with Mercer media money.

xp oh yeah, and leading in FL too

https://twitter.com/NoahGrayCNN/status/796019686907453441
trump getting some boos as he goes to vote

He would vote at Lips

about to leave my house to go Vote

Noah Gray Verified account 
‏@NoahGrayCNN
Scene outside PS 59 as Donald Trump arrives to vote for himself for the second time ever

lol otm

think i'm gonna vote around 3 when my girls get out of school so i can bring them along

btw, lol BK NYC but this was put up under a bridge i jogged by

http://i.imgur.com/xBAoqa9.jpg
http://i.imgur.com/xRzR8ZF.jpg

and then torn down the next day

just got home from an exhausting 13 minutes of Voting

ciderpress how is the marijuana legalization issue looking in MA

My friend in NYC tried to vote but Trump was at the polling place voting for himself and she couldn't get in

Voter suppression!

I glanced at those Wilson and Mair Twitter feeds and was amazed to see them *still* pitching these ever more explicit but still far from useful Trump dumps. The responses have been pretty hilarious.

Any suggestions for online updates of the Senate race? I'm choosing to focus on that specifically today, to the extent that I'm able.

marcos i haven't really been following it but general sentiment among the few ppl ive talked to is that it's likely to pass

road trip to MA soon !!

we filed to vote by mail and then decided to drop our ballots off, which was smart. i was in and out in three minutes. our neighbor had been waiting in line for an hour, we exchanged "good luck usa" well wishes and parted ways.

LOL

https://twitter.com/Gabbienain/status/796031055715246080

http://election.princeton.edu/todays-electoral-vote-histogram/

what exactly happened here? distribution looks like it's giving Trump a path to win though he still has the probability at >99%

looks at this instead: http://www.270towin.com/maps/princeton-election-consortium

It's a narrow path, but there's still a legitimate chance that Trump could win the election. The most likely path would entail having his opponent murdered and legally changing his own name to Hillary Clinton before the day is done. Chances are slim that he'll go that route, but if he does, democrats may have a long night ahead of them. Back to you, Bob.

I like paths that aren't narrow

If you roll a pure 20 even if you needed more than 20 to hit it still counts as a critical so even if the number he needs to roll to succeed is higher than the sides on the die there is still a path to victory.

Guam rejects socialism

yeah just trying to understand what I'm seeing there. yesterday the red line indicated that it was basically impossible for him to win, now it seems possible but unlikely

of course Clinton's massive GOTV effort compared to Trump having virtually zero may cause a previously undetectable shift of 3-4 points so that at least gives me comfort

I won't be going back to arguing the toss with Mordy unless I have more spare time on my hands, but I wanted to say that I'm definitely in favour of any meta work to compare the various predictors and grade them - is there any, even just something that says "Here's the states that the predictions vary on"?

xpost Anything is possible. It's possible that I develop a Kuato on my chest before day's end. But the fact that it's possible doesn't mean I'm going to waste any time buying up cases of anti-Kuato cream over an outcome that's basically impossible.

At this point, I'm just hoping that Trump suffers a crushing defeat. As much as anything else, this election is a referendum against the bullshit he's stirred up, so we need it to be decisive and then some.

ditto - I want this to be Trump's legacy, more than anything else

http://67.media.tumblr.com/348ecde92ec6bc5558733f3310c94a78/tumblr_o3jq6pooTW1u1k0s1o1_500.jpg

I want him to lose the election and then there is some killing blow via a lawsuit or a prosecution or some story in the press that finishes him off for good and he becomes completely poisonous and loses everything and lives out the rest of his days in a tiny little house somewhere, a complete pariah.

http://election.princeton.edu/todays-electoral-vote-histogram/

what exactly happened here? distribution looks like it's giving Trump a path to win though he still has the probability at >99%

― frogbs, Tuesday, November 8, 2016 11:53 AM (twenty-one minutes ago)

btw there was a post yesterday on his site where he admitted one of the assumptions built into his model was a little off and a better probability would be around 95%

i voted this morning. voted straight working families party (they almost always endorse dems) except for president (left blank) and senator (voted green, but mostly against chuck schumer).

i actually agonized about the presidential vote all morning and for about 30 seconds in the booth. part of me really wanted to vote against trump and for the first woman president but i couldn't do it

I ate some of this last night

http://www.thegrocer.co.uk/Pictures/420xAny/8/6/8/82868_Oppo.jpg

Was kinda bullshit

How noble.

Was there anything inside?

Please answer that as cryptically as possible.

does spirulina increase the likelihood of a dump? y/n

Fat-ass hippo is "luxury ice cream," spirulina hummingbird is "guilt-free indulgence." Put *that* on ballot.

One of my friends added me to the Pantsuit Nation group and it's been kind of great watching the undulating waves of support people (primarily women) have been giving each other through the turmoil of emotions stirred up by this election. Bits of it initially came across as a little Amway cultish but I got over that relatively quickly in the face up multiple "your support is helping me sleep at night after my family disowned me for supporting Clinton" posts.