by early saturday near Corpus Christi, TX, H-Harvey could make landfall as a Category 3 hurricane or higher — with winds at least 111 miles per hour . . . and more than 35 inches of rain. . . .
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/25/us/hurricane-harvey.html?mcubz=3
― reggie (qualmsley), Friday, 25 August 2017 18:07 (seven years ago) link
This one is dangerous because the storm track is for it to make landfall around Corpus Christi, drive inland a ways and slow to a stop, then reverse course and drift slowly up the Texas coast. That is going to cause massive, unreal flooding from Corpus Christi up to Houston. Rain prediction for Victoria (between Corpus and Houston) is something mad like 35 inches over a couple of days.
― erry red flag (f. hazel), Friday, 25 August 2017 18:25 (seven years ago) link
This is scary. I have never seen a rainfall forecast like this in my entire career.Texas will be recovering from #Harvey for years. https://t.co/2l4agI5WfC— Eric Holthaus (@EricHolthaus) August 25, 2017
― Eazy, Friday, 25 August 2017 18:37 (seven years ago) link
My city is expected to get less than half an inch of rain up here in DFW, it's bizarre. I've never seen a storm come in from the Gulf that was going to stall so hard that it just didn't reach us.
― louie mensch (milo z), Friday, 25 August 2017 18:52 (seven years ago) link
wunderground has the best detailed coverage afaict, e.g.
https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/hurricane-harvey-rapidly-intensifies-catastrophic-flooding-likely-texas
also this was published last year:
https://projects.propublica.org/houston/
Houston is the fourth-largest city in the country. It's home to the nation's largest refining and petrochemical complex, where billions of gallons of oil and dangerous chemicals are stored. And it's a sitting duck for the next big hurricane. Learn why Texas isn't ready.
― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 25 August 2017 19:13 (seven years ago) link
Yeah I would not want to be in Pasadena or Galena Park in Houston right now. Those floodwaters are going to be a toxic gumbo.
― erry red flag (f. hazel), Friday, 25 August 2017 19:28 (seven years ago) link
The areas of predicted crazy high rainfall totals are now edging into the Austin area and some of the models project the hurricane making it further inland. I laid in a supply of cheese and olives on top of yesterday's grocery story run, am going for apocalypse sushi right now.
― erry red flag (f. hazel), Friday, 25 August 2017 22:08 (seven years ago) link
"area and some" should be "area as some"
Now a category 4.
― brownie, Saturday, 26 August 2017 00:15 (seven years ago) link
this nutcase is periscoping from the eyewall
https://twitter.com/Jeff_Piotrowski
― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 26 August 2017 02:00 (seven years ago) link
I am worried about this but I need to sleep.
― El Tomboto, Saturday, 26 August 2017 04:46 (seven years ago) link
we're poised to get about a foot of water in san antonio this weekend and i have no idea how monday is going to be the first day of school
― seven mambas (m bison), Saturday, 26 August 2017 04:52 (seven years ago) link
a friend near McAllen is OK so far, that's all I got
― sleeve, Saturday, 26 August 2017 05:04 (seven years ago) link
caek's link is bonkers
― gbx, Saturday, 26 August 2017 05:32 (seven years ago) link
drove a friend home with the windows down, and keep asking myself if this was hurricane wind, or if this was hurricane rain. according to the radar, it is.
― erry red flag (f. hazel), Saturday, 26 August 2017 06:28 (seven years ago) link
Of course my side of Houston is the one getting all the rain, albeit not in the nightmarish portions that are probably on the way.
This is some batshit storm. Ike was out of here in about a day and a half. Allison was a three-day weekend. This is predicted to last until Thursday or Friday, with the tropical storm reaching us on Wednesday morning.
― to fly across the city and find Aerosmith's car (C. Grisso/McCain), Saturday, 26 August 2017 07:43 (seven years ago) link
Down to Cat 2 -- that's good, right?
― Guayaquil (eephus!), Saturday, 26 August 2017 09:11 (seven years ago) link
It doesn't matter if it's going to linger for days
― the Rain Man of nationalism. (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 26 August 2017 11:11 (seven years ago) link
So it hit and did some damage, 200,000 without power, but now come the prolonged heavy rains?
― Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 26 August 2017 11:57 (seven years ago) link
Yeah. Feeder Bands: Hurricane's Asshole Little Brothers.
― to fly across the city and find Aerosmith's car (C. Grisso/McCain), Saturday, 26 August 2017 14:34 (seven years ago) link
Getting steady hard rain up here in Austin now. A few big branches down in my neighborhood, one entire tree.
― erry red flag (f. hazel), Saturday, 26 August 2017 20:14 (seven years ago) link
― seven mambas (m bison), Saturday, August 26, 2017 12:52 AM (fifteen hours ago)
school is not canceled on monday???
― k3vin k., Saturday, 26 August 2017 20:17 (seven years ago) link
Just went through back to back tornado warnings. Rain's really picked up and is heavy now.
― to fly across the city and find Aerosmith's car (C. Grisso/McCain), Sunday, 27 August 2017 02:00 (seven years ago) link
It keeps coming... a lot of LCRA rain gauges in the Lower Basin (southeast of Austin) are showing 9-11" of rain in the past 48 hours. This morning they were half that.
― erry red flag (f. hazel), Sunday, 27 August 2017 02:08 (seven years ago) link
Stay safe all in TX
― Neanderthal, Sunday, 27 August 2017 02:23 (seven years ago) link
kinda surreal to look at the NWS site and see a Flash Flood Watch in effect for the next 96 hours.
― erry red flag (f. hazel), Sunday, 27 August 2017 02:29 (seven years ago) link
― k3vin k., Saturday, August 26, 2017 3:17 PM (six hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink
the rain in SA today wasn't ever nightmarish, but it's been steady. you can still drive and stuff. it just depends how much water is on the ground by monday and how much is falling out the sky. if it makes getting to and from school treacherous, they'll cancel.
― seven mambas (m bison), Sunday, 27 August 2017 03:16 (seven years ago) link
Feeding bands moving pretty quick right now. Earlier tonight a tornado touched down in the burbs across the street from where my family had a store back in the '80s (and just few miles from where I was living during Allison & Ike).
― to fly across the city and find Aerosmith's car (C. Grisso/McCain), Sunday, 27 August 2017 03:27 (seven years ago) link
Friends in Houston have now retreated upstairs as their ground floors are flooding... they saw it coming and moved furniture and valuables up, but damn. That didn't even happen on the Tax Day Floods last year.
― erry red flag (f. hazel), Sunday, 27 August 2017 06:40 (seven years ago) link
I know that dread all too well. Sending thoughts and $$s out to the victims of this one. Glad your friends have an upstairs to retreat to, f. Got my fingers crossed that under/unstaffed FEMA somehow respond better than with Katrina.
― Fetchboy, Sunday, 27 August 2017 07:29 (seven years ago) link
Reports on TV that people in certain areas of SouthEast Houston have been driven to their attics by flood water (shades of Katrina).
― to fly across the city and find Aerosmith's car (C. Grisso/McCain), Sunday, 27 August 2017 07:48 (seven years ago) link
There are no words. pic.twitter.com/zbrFENCDsA— Eric Holthaus (@EricHolthaus) August 27, 2017
― flappy bird, Sunday, 27 August 2017 16:21 (seven years ago) link
Up next?
These are the highest windspeed forecasts I've ever seen in my 10 yrs of Atlantic hurricane forecasting. #Irma is another retiree candidate. pic.twitter.com/e6nMsp1myY— Michael Ventrice (@MJVentrice) August 31, 2017
― Eazy, Friday, 1 September 2017 01:07 (seven years ago) link
Fuck me running
― flappy bird, Friday, 1 September 2017 01:50 (seven years ago) link
uh
― the Rain Man of nationalism. (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 1 September 2017 01:55 (seven years ago) link
No way to sugar coat potential for catastrophic Hurricane #Irma nearing South Florida this weekend. Please monitor & be prepared.— Ryan Maue (@RyanMaue) September 4, 2017
― Eazy, Monday, 4 September 2017 16:38 (seven years ago) link
getting a wee bit tired of the histrionics from some on my feed (Orlando). obv this is a motherfucker of a storm and we should all be refreshing the latest forecasts (as I do on the minute) but even in recent years w/ forecasts tightening to incredible precision, the average error in miles at the 5-day point is 200+ miles, and we're at like 6-7 days out.
Cent Florida has a tendency to unnecessarily pre-emptively cause gasoline shortages in situations like this by doing what I saw some dickhead doing an hour ago and filling like five humongous canisters of it.
I was already planning on hitting the Carolinas from 9/13 - 9/15, depending on where this ting goes, might either cancel that or might force me to go earlier.
― Neanderthal, Monday, 4 September 2017 16:44 (seven years ago) link
like I don't blame anybody for anxiety after Harvey but it helps to focus on facts ("this is the current forecast") vs unquantifiable hysteria ("this is the WORST CASE SCENARIO", as our local news said on two separate forecasts for the same storm last year).
Strength-wise, we seem to be back to the 2004-2005 era of hurricanes where the warm waters churn out consistent mega-beast storms. I miss the tropics of my youth, small # of storms, few making landfall, all of them Cat 1s. Oi.
― Neanderthal, Monday, 4 September 2017 16:45 (seven years ago) link
― Neanderthal, Monday, September 4, 2017 11:44 AM (one hour ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink
been dealing with this bullshit in south texas for the last few days. gas lines and empty pumps all over the place.
― Rob Lowe fresco bar (m bison), Monday, 4 September 2017 18:15 (seven years ago) link
is there gouging as well?
― Neanderthal, Monday, 4 September 2017 18:17 (seven years ago) link
hi!
― the Rain Man of nationalism. (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 4 September 2017 18:20 (seven years ago) link
heh was gonna ask if you're stocked up yet
― Neanderthal, Monday, 4 September 2017 18:21 (seven years ago) link
Uh, no.
― the Rain Man of nationalism. (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 4 September 2017 18:22 (seven years ago) link
ME NEITHA
― Neanderthal, Monday, 4 September 2017 18:22 (seven years ago) link
Too early. The forecast track still puts the middle line skirting Cuba, where I can hope the mountains will sap some of Irma's strength. But we're talking about six days hence.
And, yeah, local coverage has been hysterical. The tone is "Please party safely this Labor Day weekend BUT YOU'RE GONNA DIE NEXT SATURDAY DON'T YOU SEE."
― the Rain Man of nationalism. (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 4 September 2017 18:23 (seven years ago) link
I have one friend who basically does his best "You're all doomed"-guy from F13 impression every year, like he doesn't remember how ridiculous he got last time.
― Neanderthal, Monday, 4 September 2017 18:25 (seven years ago) link
guys, take a few minutes out of your day to be prepared
― k3vin k., Monday, 4 September 2017 18:28 (seven years ago) link
it's a holiday, come on
I've been living here for 30+ years. I know how this works
― Neanderthal, Monday, 4 September 2017 18:30 (seven years ago) link
I am -- cocktails at 5 p.m.
I have to buy the week's arugula at Publix in a few minutes. I'll grab water and batteries.
― the Rain Man of nationalism. (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 4 September 2017 18:34 (seven years ago) link