He is the victim of Bissmentum
― Guayaquil (eephus!), Thursday, 1 February 2018 16:04 (six years ago) link
gotta love that the (former? i hope) frontrunner is literally a billionaire named pritzker.
― Karl Malone, Thursday, 1 February 2018 16:10 (six years ago) link
there were absolutely 4chan provocateurs introducing nasty fake beef into the teenage quarrels of tumblr SJWs from around 2014 (possibly earlier): tbh i find it quite hard to believe that (lessons learned: it works) something similar wasn't happening to amplify angry divides (very hard to smooth over absent electoral success) between the main online wings of the dems from 2016
― mark s, Thursday, 1 February 2018 16:18 (six years ago) link
absolutely
― BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, 1 February 2018 16:22 (six years ago) link
on another subject:
http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2018/02/democrats-are-changing-their-minds-about-race.html
The first signs of these shifts coincided with the rise of Black Lives Matter and the Dreamer movement. Recent research on the Civil Rights Movement suggests that the movement meaningfully shifted white racial attitudes in a more liberal direction. In addition, these movements work to build racial solidarity among black, Latino, and Asian-American Democrats, leading them to become more racially liberal. Second, young people might have been particularly influenced by the presidency of Barack Obama and the subsequent rise of Trump, especially given evidence that presidential evaluations strongly shape people’s political views when they are young. It’s very plausible both of these developments engendered greater compassion for African-Americans and awareness of racial inequalities, especially among the youth. But whatever the cause, the effect is the same: politics will never be the same.
― BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, 1 February 2018 16:24 (six years ago) link
I have never been less likely to read the comments than on that piece.
― louise ck (milo z), Thursday, 1 February 2018 17:50 (six years ago) link
why would you ever read the comments on any piece
― flappy bird, Thursday, 1 February 2018 17:53 (six years ago) link
https://www.texastribune.org/2018/02/01/white-suggests-gop-donation-was-business-career/
Democratic gubernatorial candidate Andrew White has made half a dozen political donations at the federal level over the years. One stands out.In December 2005, White gave $2,500 to the Kentucky Republican Party — over a third of his total giving for federal races dating back to 2004, according to Federal Election Commission records.
In December 2005, White gave $2,500 to the Kentucky Republican Party — over a third of his total giving for federal races dating back to 2004, according to Federal Election Commission records.
― I want to change my display name (dan m), Thursday, 1 February 2018 19:34 (six years ago) link
hey, Trump gave to the Clintons. Big tent.
― ice cream social justice (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 1 February 2018 19:54 (six years ago) link
Perez out there taking a bold stance
.@TomPerez: "We should be working to make sure everybody has access to affordable, quality health care." Tom is a #HealthCareVoter. Share your video and tell us why you're a #HealthCareVoter, too. pic.twitter.com/pFO1roRn0g— Health Care Voter (@HealthCareVoter) February 1, 2018
― Simon H., Friday, 2 February 2018 13:05 (six years ago) link
i'm not even going to click to find out whether that is meant to be some kind of single-issue rallying hashtag but
jesus come on dems why is your messaging such shit
― j., Friday, 2 February 2018 14:46 (six years ago) link
Even Tom Perez's face is weak messaging
― IF (Terrorist) Yes, Explain (man alive), Friday, 2 February 2018 14:49 (six years ago) link
bernie's face now that's a face, sends clear powerful messages
― j., Friday, 2 February 2018 14:53 (six years ago) link
So let's talk about raising and spending money as a House challenger because Randy Bryce (Ryan's challenger) spending almost a million dollars in the 4th Quarter of 2017 is ridiculous— David Beard (@dwbeard) February 3, 2018
― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 February 2018 22:58 (six years ago) link
This thread captures the conventional wisdom of how you're supposed to win a Congressional campaign. Hoard as much money as possible, then blow it on advertising in the fall: https://t.co/t5hDhprGEj— Pinboard (@Pinboard) February 3, 2018
This works *if* you goal is to win a minimum of seats and secure one to two terms incrementalism.This weekend we are knocking on hundreds of doors and asking voters what matters to them—that’s how you win. Listening to “hold your money” pundits is you maintain the status quo. https://t.co/m4bzbAKXtZ— Paul Spencer (@cantbuypaul) February 3, 2018
― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 February 2018 23:28 (six years ago) link
https://www.politico.com/story/2018/02/05/2018-fundraising-democrats-republicans-389868
― j., Monday, 5 February 2018 15:39 (six years ago) link
really pulling hard for Randy, not only because unseating Paul Ryan would be amazing, but also because I want the Dems to see what happens when you throw an actual liberal out there
― frogbs, Monday, 5 February 2018 16:01 (six years ago) link
― j., Monday, February 5, 2018 3:39 PM (twenty-seven minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink
love the narrative pendulum here
"democrats should be panicking! polls!"
"republicans should be panicking! funding!"
― BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Monday, 5 February 2018 16:07 (six years ago) link
Various ways to look at fundraising from that Politico article--
But Republicans, including Bliss, also noted that the money raised by Democrats will first be spent in potentially bruising primaries, draining Democrats’ war chests ahead of the general election.
Democrats “will spend their money [in] a June primary trying to make new friends, only to lose in November,” said Cam Savage, a GOP consultant advising Faso, who added that the congressman won by an eight-point margin in 2016.
Democrats, however, believe that the fundraising surge won’t diminish after the primaries because the “biggest injection of energy for Democrats is reading the front page every day, and that’s not going away,” said John Lapp, a Democratic consultant who ran the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's independent-expenditure unit in the 2006 cycle.
....Republican outside groups can also shore up weak GOP members. The Congressional Leadership Fund and American Action Network, its sister organization, raised more than $66 million in 2017, and “January [2018] was, by far, the best month we’ve had this cycle,” Bliss said.
That outside-group commitment worries Lapp, who said that “when you look at $35 million the Koch brothers spent on that tax plan, then you know they are similarly getting ready to go to spend that kind of dark, special-interest money in the general election,”
― curmudgeon, Monday, 5 February 2018 16:46 (six years ago) link
Democrats “will spend their money [in] a June primary trying to make new friends, only to lose in November,”
The grain of truth here is that voters pay less attention to candidates early in the election cycle, so that a big surge of spending in the fall on a smear campaign can define your opponent in the minds of lots of voters and swing the message to how horrible and frightening your opponent is.
The counter argument would be the voters already know how much they dislike your own candidate from experience and nothing prevents the Democrat from continuing to raise money. That Republican consultant seems to assume that working people have no money and after they give $20 in January they're tapped out for the year.
― A is for (Aimless), Monday, 5 February 2018 16:57 (six years ago) link
Nice feature on Abdul El-Sayed, progressive candidate for governor in Michigan:
https://www.currentaffairs.org/2018/02/could-abdul-el-sayed-be-the-real-deal
― Glower, Disruption & Pies (kingfish), Monday, 5 February 2018 22:09 (six years ago) link
Pretty good: https://thebaffler.com/blessed-and-brightest/the-reboot-of-the-elites
― Glower, Disruption & Pies (kingfish), Monday, 5 February 2018 23:18 (six years ago) link
Pretty good: https://thebaffler.com/blessed-and-brightest/the-reboot-of-the-elites🕸
― El Tomboto, Monday, 5 February 2018 23:54 (six years ago) link
Well I skipped to the end and oh man he lays it on the Brookings Institution whoa shit
― El Tomboto, Monday, 5 February 2018 23:56 (six years ago) link
https://www.washingtonpost.com/powerpost/gop-allied-groups-heavily-outspend-democrats-in-special-pennsylvania-election/2018/02/05/4ed46e94-0a8b-11e8-8890-372e2047c935_story.html?utm_term=.29d59c75f6ef
Dems aren't spending money here
― curmudgeon, Tuesday, 6 February 2018 04:09 (six years ago) link
Trump won that district by 19 points. The Dem challenger is now less than 10 points behind the incumbent Republican, so that's vaguely nice in terms of reading tea leaves about voters shifts leading up to November, but it's not really exciting in any practical terms.
― A is for (Aimless), Tuesday, 6 February 2018 04:21 (six years ago) link
http://www.clickhole.com/article/connecting-heartland-dnc-has-paid-manhattan-consul-7318
― direct to consumer online mattress brand (silby), Tuesday, 6 February 2018 04:47 (six years ago) link
https://www.politico.com/story/2018/02/06/nancy-pelosi-house-democrats-395924
Nancy Pelosi is betting everything on taking back the House in November, and most Democrats are confident they’ll pull it off. But what happens if they fail?A stealthy discussion is already underway within the Democratic Caucus, particularly among members whose only experience in Congress is in the minority.Assuming Pelosi either leaves on her own or is pressured to step down, her exit would trigger a messy battle between the party’s old guard, led by House Minority Whip Steny Hoyer (D-Md.), and the party’s younger members, represented by House Democratic Caucus Chairman Joe Crowley (D-N.Y.).It’s a generational showdown that's been put off for years, but one that Democrats might not be able to be avoid much longer."It will be an intraparty war. That's what you can expect,” said Rep. Alcee Hastings (D-Fla.), who predicted a "mass exodus" of Democrats if they don't win the House in November. "That's at the highest levels of leadership and at the committee level."Hoyer, 78, has served as No. 2 House Democrat since 2003 and has a reserve of loyalty and experience on his side. Crowley, 55, would offer a newer perspective, having been in leadership only since 2013. Right now, it’s a toss up who would get the job in a post-Pelosi world.
A stealthy discussion is already underway within the Democratic Caucus, particularly among members whose only experience in Congress is in the minority.
Assuming Pelosi either leaves on her own or is pressured to step down, her exit would trigger a messy battle between the party’s old guard, led by House Minority Whip Steny Hoyer (D-Md.), and the party’s younger members, represented by House Democratic Caucus Chairman Joe Crowley (D-N.Y.).
It’s a generational showdown that's been put off for years, but one that Democrats might not be able to be avoid much longer.
"It will be an intraparty war. That's what you can expect,” said Rep. Alcee Hastings (D-Fla.), who predicted a "mass exodus" of Democrats if they don't win the House in November. "That's at the highest levels of leadership and at the committee level."
Hoyer, 78, has served as No. 2 House Democrat since 2003 and has a reserve of loyalty and experience on his side. Crowley, 55, would offer a newer perspective, having been in leadership only since 2013. Right now, it’s a toss up who would get the job in a post-Pelosi world.
― j., Wednesday, 7 February 2018 05:55 (six years ago) link
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2018/02/house-democrats-illinois-primary-newman-lipinski/552599/?utm_source=atltw
― Frederik B, Wednesday, 7 February 2018 16:48 (six years ago) link
good
― Fedora Dostoyevsky (man alive), Wednesday, 7 February 2018 16:50 (six years ago) link
otm
― I want to change my display name (dan m), Wednesday, 7 February 2018 16:50 (six years ago) link
xp, does Crowley really constitute that much of a potential break from Pelosi? I thought he was another middle-of-the-road machine guy
― Fedora Dostoyevsky (man alive), Wednesday, 7 February 2018 16:52 (six years ago) link
― Fedora Dostoyevsky (man alive), Wednesday, February 7, 2018 11:50 AM (eight minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink
― I want to change my display name (dan m), Wednesday, February 7, 2018
― morning wood truancy (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 February 2018 16:58 (six years ago) link
also listen i know some people think manchin is the only democrat west virginia will ever produce but my god was he high trying to get people to sign a don't-campaign-against-your-fellow-congressmen pledge on the senate floor or what
― BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 7 February 2018 17:23 (six years ago) link
gotta love when a congressman puts so much effort into legislation that helps himself more than anyone else on earth
― Karl Malone, Wednesday, 7 February 2018 17:29 (six years ago) link
or a pledge, rather, not legislation
need to start a "this other facial expression" w/ this pic of lipinski
Can the Democratic Party’s Left Flank Win in 2018? This Illinois Primary Could Be a Bellwether: https://t.co/NswcvbLdDv @Marie4Congress @OurRevolution pic.twitter.com/5Tk32ZRKzv— In These Times (@inthesetimesmag) February 8, 2018
― I want to change my display name (dan m), Thursday, 8 February 2018 01:05 (six years ago) link
Lipinski photograph has a kinda Tom Cruisey thing going on
https://www.biography.com/.image/ar_1:1%2Cc_fill%2Ccs_srgb%2Cg_face%2Cq_80%2Cw_300/MTE5NDg0MDU0OTM2NTg1NzQz/tom-cruise-9262645-1-402.jpg
― I will finish what I (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 8 February 2018 01:35 (six years ago) link
Nancy Pelosi is betting everything on taking back the House in November, and most Democrats are confident they’ll pull it off.
I'm a Democrat and I'm definitely not confident of this. The lines are drawn to protect Republican incumbents and the odds are they're not gonna change. Democrats can take the majority but they're fighitng uphill; they'll have to win by 8-10 points in the popular vote, and that just doesn't happen that often.
― Guayaquil (eephus!), Thursday, 8 February 2018 02:18 (six years ago) link
The recent PA decision might change that math at least slightly, although it's starting to look like they'll have to send the national guard in to actually enforce it.
― Fedora Dostoyevsky (man alive), Thursday, 8 February 2018 02:21 (six years ago) link
looks like the holder/obama group on gerrymandering is starting to kick into gear.
COLUMBUS, Ohio (AP) — A Democratic group backed by former President Barack Obama said this week it plans to invest millions of dollars in state-level elections in 11 states this year, with its heaviest focus on Ohio.The group is targeting races in 11 states, including nine gubernatorial races, 18 legislative chambers, two ballot initiatives and two down-ballot races. Eight more states are on the committee’s watch list.In Ohio, a perennial political battleground, the committee plans to support Democrats for five offices — governor, auditor, secretary of state, Ohio Senate and Ohio House — as well as pushing a redistricting ballot measure.Other target races include:— Colorado: Governor, state Senate— Florida: Governor, state Senate— Georgia: Governor, state Senate— Michigan: Governor, state Senate, state House, ballot initiative— Minnesota: Governor, state Senate, state House— Nevada: Governor, state Senate, state House— North Carolina: State Senate, state House— Pennsylvania: Governor, state Senate, state House— Texas: State Senate, state House— Wisconsin: Governor, state SenateThe group also participated in the Virginia House last year, and has targeted both its House and Senate in 2019.On its watch list are ballot initiatives in Arizona, Missouri, South Dakota and Utah; the governor’s and state Senate races in Maine; and the governor’s, state Senate and state House races in New Hampshire.
The group is targeting races in 11 states, including nine gubernatorial races, 18 legislative chambers, two ballot initiatives and two down-ballot races. Eight more states are on the committee’s watch list.
In Ohio, a perennial political battleground, the committee plans to support Democrats for five offices — governor, auditor, secretary of state, Ohio Senate and Ohio House — as well as pushing a redistricting ballot measure.
Other target races include:
— Colorado: Governor, state Senate
— Florida: Governor, state Senate
— Georgia: Governor, state Senate
— Michigan: Governor, state Senate, state House, ballot initiative
— Minnesota: Governor, state Senate, state House
— Nevada: Governor, state Senate, state House
— North Carolina: State Senate, state House
— Pennsylvania: Governor, state Senate, state House
— Texas: State Senate, state House
— Wisconsin: Governor, state Senate
The group also participated in the Virginia House last year, and has targeted both its House and Senate in 2019.
On its watch list are ballot initiatives in Arizona, Missouri, South Dakota and Utah; the governor’s and state Senate races in Maine; and the governor’s, state Senate and state House races in New Hampshire.
― Karl Malone, Friday, 9 February 2018 16:44 (six years ago) link
Needs more attorneys general
― Guayaquil (eephus!), Friday, 9 February 2018 16:53 (six years ago) link
https://www.politico.com/story/2018/02/10/democrats-special-elections-organizing-401365
story on some DLCC (!= DNC) action
― j., Sunday, 11 February 2018 01:36 (six years ago) link
Cool
Louisiana's Democratic governor endorses work requirements for Medicaid: https://t.co/CqcVEM8dqY— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) February 11, 2018
― Simon H., Sunday, 11 February 2018 16:54 (six years ago) link
Key word in that headline is Louisiana
― El Tomboto, Sunday, 11 February 2018 16:55 (six years ago) link
seems like the sort of winning strategy that will result in lasting victory and meaningful progress
― Simon H., Sunday, 11 February 2018 17:13 (six years ago) link
― El Tomboto, Sunday, February 11, 2018 6:55 AM Bookmark Flag Post Permalink
do they not deserve doctors there, or do you just have it on good authority that they really hate them
― difficult listening hour, Sunday, 11 February 2018 17:21 (six years ago) link
they elected the guy!
― El Tomboto, Sunday, 11 February 2018 17:49 (six years ago) link
yes! over half of (looks up voter turnout) 38.5% of eligible voters went for him, definitely a sign of a strong message that's resonating with the majority
― Simon H., Sunday, 11 February 2018 18:23 (six years ago) link
For decades I have been hoping something would somehow motivate all those eligible voters who either aren't registered or have registered but do not vote. In that time we've had several wars, a financial crisis rivaling the Great Depression, swiftly growing income inequality, the impeachment trial of a sitting president, and the first African-American president. You'd think some item on that list would motivate the 30% to 40% of eligible voters who rarely or never vote, but nope.
If anything on the list did, the first African-American president did motivate some of them, but a good half of the newly motivated voters turned out to be die-hard racists.
― A is for (Aimless), Sunday, 11 February 2018 19:06 (six years ago) link