love* in the time of plague (and by love* i mean brexit* and other dreary matters of uk politics)

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i thought about starting a thread for playlist suggestions for music to play on the day when lockdown lifts and we can finally go back to normal, drive wherever, hug anyone, go to pubs - and then i realised it won't work like that, it will just be this slow, staggered, grinding, forward and back and low-level dread. there won't be a 'victory over coronavirus' day.

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 12:17 (three years ago) link

I mean there might yet be a vaccine or the discovery of reliable drugs, the latter of which could happen soon. TBH I think it's more likely to be a long played-out version of the slow drift back to feeling normal you get after a terrorist attack or series of them. But that normality is often illusory, terrorist attacks also result to permanent changes to physical and social infrastructure and there are probably things we should just get used to here as well, in Italy you already have to have your temperature taken before stepping into a bar or restaurant and we'll have those equivalents.

If the second peak is anywhere near as large as the first then it will have been as a result of a calamitous policy bungle but, at risk of hammering this point home too much, we were all doing a lot of things in the run-up to the first peak that we won't be doing any time soon.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 12:25 (three years ago) link

Also unless some changes are made to social security policy very quickly then there will be deaths from the economic disaster as well, possibly a lot of them.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 12:26 (three years ago) link

slow, staggered, grinding, forward and back

oh i'll be doing this alright

never mind that shit, here comes scampo (Noodle Vague), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 12:29 (three years ago) link

The whole country's gonna look like an R Kelly video.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 12:33 (three years ago) link

Specifically the one where that girl gets pissed on

covid coronenberg (wins), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 12:35 (three years ago) link

it's the remix to viral transmission

never mind that shit, here comes scampo (Noodle Vague), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 12:37 (three years ago) link

guys

many xps fuck, the last time I hugged someone was an involuntary one at a gig in March when some coked up bloke started talking to me outside, asked me where my missus was, I went "er...", he said "come on mate, what's she done", I said "well, she died". so he hugged me. was too polite to refuse, despite even then thinking it was a bad idea, this was pre-lockdown but it was in the air already

chipstick rebellion (Colonel Poo), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 12:49 (three years ago) link

Specifically the one where that girl gets pissed on

*frantically googles*

Ste, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 12:52 (three years ago) link

please don’t google that

scampo, foggy and clegg (bizarro gazzara), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 13:18 (three years ago) link

we should start a pool on what the final uk death toll on this is gonna be

i'm saying 600,000

― scampo, foggy and clegg (bizarro gazzara), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 bookmarkflaglink

More ppl will wfh, avoid public transport, take less holidays and generally become more economically inactive so each wave will kill less.

They may not have any work though.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 13:44 (three years ago) link

More to the point we will never know less about covid-19 than we did back in January-March this year. The means to lower the death rate are already there, if not by enough yet.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 13:47 (three years ago) link

I'm going for an optimistic 200k excess deaths by the end of winter 2021.

BRAVE THE AFRIAD (onimo), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 13:52 (three years ago) link

I think it's v much a case of using those masks and hand gels and hoping for the best.

But still a 2nd wave will surely make people think twice about booking a holiday anywhere, or even a day out shopping, or eating out etc.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 13:52 (three years ago) link

People kept packing out the pubs until the last possible minute so I wouldn't be so sure of that.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 13:56 (three years ago) link

People know about the risks a lot more, as you say. I think enough will not carry on as if nothing has happened over the last three months to mean a very long recession, at the least.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 14:04 (three years ago) link

I can’t wait to get back to the pub...and I don’t even drink.

Good news for business today and glad we’ll all have a chance to enjoy the summer safely. #4thofJuly pic.twitter.com/6igrPpBu96

— Rishi Sunak (@RishiSunak) June 23, 2020

very cool guy, you can see how he has risen up the ladder so fast!

calzino, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 15:10 (three years ago) link

I can't wait for you to all catch the rona... and I didn't even know that beer and pubs contribute £23bn to UK GDP and generate £13bn in tax revenue!

Boris the Spreader (NickB), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 15:23 (three years ago) link

Cunt's probably never even been in a pub.

Future England Captain (Tom D.), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 15:31 (three years ago) link

Can't wait for his star to come crashing down.

Future England Captain (Tom D.), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 15:32 (three years ago) link

The man never drunk a carling in his life

Anti-Cop Ponceortium (Camaraderie at Arms Length), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 15:35 (three years ago) link

"I wasn't really up for the pubs, but after seeing teetotal Rishi giving the double thumbs up to some electrical appliances, coupled with his insincere tweet ... well I'm raring to sup now"

calzino, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 15:44 (three years ago) link

I like how 95% of the responses are "that's a shop, mate".

Matt DC, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 15:53 (three years ago) link

Sunak there curiously similar to Rory Stewart saying his favourite London boozer was any branch of Pret a Manger?

the pinefox, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 16:19 (three years ago) link

Social activity in general makes up something like a third of consumption in this country and the longer it takes to get it back properly the worse the recession is going to be.

The quickest way to do that is to get the virus under control properly and we're probably not at that stage yet.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 16:26 (three years ago) link

i mean if everyone cut their consumer spending by £2000 a year and saved it for housing, there would be an immediate recession and house prices would increase as demand soared

— Jon Stone (@joncstone) June 22, 2020

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 16:31 (three years ago) link


The quickest way to do that is to get the virus under control properly and we're probably not at that stage yet.


this is it isn’t it. total lockdown was a reasonable response to something we knew nothing about and which was spreading v quickly. if you can get the infection numbers down to v low figures and have a good track and trace system in place then it is reasonable to relax constraints and people will also have confidence in it. we haven’t got any of those elements but the gov is going through the mechanical motions because this is what countries are doing. it effectively places all the risk onto the health of individuals and companies, rather than absorbing that risk until they have the competence to manage it.

from what i can see and from a psychological point of view the haphazard approach, definitions and data of the government have for some people resulted in a bit of a shoulder shrug - might as well go out, no one really knows, that’s life etc. but they are a self-selecting and quite visible group and i imagine there are plenty of people who are not comfortable with this.

“kickstarting the economy” sounds v like “leaving the economy to sink or swim”. i cant imagine restaurants or pubs having sufficient throughput, and i can’t even imagine when rush hour is going to be a meaningful thing. government support for the economy will need to continue for much longer than if they had better dealt with the virus. it looks like a botch to me.

Fizzles, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 17:29 (three years ago) link

basically the tory fucking idiots are going to make the same mistake they made the first time - starting lockdown too late, probably by 2 or 3 weeks at least - in reverse by opening up things too early. what a mess

Rik Waller-Bridge (jim in vancouver), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 17:32 (three years ago) link

Spoilsport. I was out today and apart from a few stragglers in masks it's like the whole thing never happened.

Future England Captain (Tom D.), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 17:37 (three years ago) link

Fucking traffic back, ready to mow you down as you cross the road.

Future England Captain (Tom D.), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 17:38 (three years ago) link

the no masks thing is just classic "Britain". septic isle

Rik Waller-Bridge (jim in vancouver), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 17:42 (three years ago) link

this is it isn’t it. total lockdown was a reasonable response to something we knew nothing about and which was spreading v quickly. if you can get the infection numbers down to v low figures and have a good track and trace system in place then it is reasonable to relax constraints and people will also have confidence in it.

Remember Tusk and 'Please do not waste this time' wrt brexit extension? Kinda feel our mostly fake lockdown just bought us some wasted time. We didn't get the numbers low enough and we haven't got adequate TTI in place.
Most recent strategy looks to me like "can't we just fucking talk about something else?" while we're still burying almost a thousand people a week.

BRAVE THE AFRIAD (onimo), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 17:43 (three years ago) link

Look at NZ having a shitfit over 2 infected travellers or China reinforcing lockdown in Beijing after 36 cases and compare with UK/US where the response to thousands of cases and hundreds of deaths every day is to stop counting.

BRAVE THE AFRIAD (onimo), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 17:46 (three years ago) link

Yeah, this is really fucking unsafe for women particularly. https://t.co/cBeKWomqLK

— pickwick (@pickwick) June 23, 2020

scampos mentis (gyac), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 17:48 (three years ago) link

Too right. Fuck that.

Future England Captain (Tom D.), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 17:51 (three years ago) link

And in other news:

Wow. MPs vote 243-238 IN FAVOUR of Chris Bryant's amendment to rule out Commons debates on serious complaints against MPs

— Esther Webber (@estwebber) June 23, 2020



Briefly, this means anyone accusing an MP of abuse doesn’t have to have the accusation dissected in a parliamentary debate. Can’t wait to see the names who voted against it.

scampos mentis (gyac), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 17:53 (three years ago) link

_this is it isn’t it. total lockdown was a reasonable response to something we knew nothing about and which was spreading v quickly. if you can get the infection numbers down to v low figures and have a good track and trace system in place then it is reasonable to relax constraints and people will also have confidence in it._


Remember Tusk and 'Please do not waste this time' wrt brexit extension? Kinda feel our mostly fake lockdown just bought us some wasted time. We didn't get the numbers low enough and we haven't got adequate TTI in place.
Most recent strategy looks to me like "can't we just fucking talk about something else?" while we're still burying almost a thousand people a week.


Ha I made this same comparison a few weeks ago. I actually saw the 1000 figure quoted in the guardian as “some good news”

covid coronenberg (wins), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 18:03 (three years ago) link

Wonder how different things would've been if legend Bozza had carked it?

Boris the Spreader (NickB), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 18:12 (three years ago) link

pub has already got my Facebook that should do right?

never mind that shit, here comes scampo (Noodle Vague), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 18:14 (three years ago) link

aye you're grand, especially since FB forced to you to gvot name yourself

BRAVE THE AFRIAD (onimo), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 18:23 (three years ago) link

govt

BRAVE THE AFRIAD (onimo), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 18:23 (three years ago) link

exackly

never mind that shit, here comes scampo (Noodle Vague), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 18:27 (three years ago) link

Wonder how different things would've been if legend Bozza had carked it?

Raab or Gove would have stepped up to the plate in true "cometh the hour" style, dithered around doing fuck all and the outcome would've been the same, other than that the Tories would've self-destructed over the new danger to the Brexit Project and become even more distracted by that.

bob catley signature stage move (Matt #2), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 18:31 (three years ago) link

The lockdown would have been ended even sooner had Raab and Sunak had anything to do with it.

Future England Captain (Tom D.), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 18:36 (three years ago) link

Why tf is there a several episodes long documentary on the Witch this week, prime time at the beeb?

Scampidocio (Le Bateau Ivre), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 18:57 (three years ago) link

sad to see y'all navigating the "re-opening" as badly as we are

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 19:25 (three years ago) link

pretty sure there's some kind of death toll competition going on at this point

never mind that shit, here comes scampo (Noodle Vague), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 19:28 (three years ago) link


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