Bush Approval

Message Bookmarked
Bookmark Removed
For your chartgazer pleasure, a chart of Bush approval polls.

http://www.dailykos.com/images/poll_1-23.html

What's so striking about Bush's popularity (apart from its existence at all) is that he has so little to do with it. He's born a Bush. That helps, although it's hardly his doing. His dad is president. That helps too. Standing for president, he fails to win a clear enough majority to be elected, but is nevertheless put into office by the supreme court, arguing purely along party political lines. That helps too, but is not his doing. Then his declining popularity is given a massive boost by some planes slamming into New York and Washington DC. Nothing to do with Bush. (We hope.) But now he is doing stuff -- planning a war, slashing health benefits, relaxing environmental legislation -- his popularity is sliding again. When Bush is rated on 'things Bush did' rather than 'things that just happened to him', where do you think his rating will stand?

Momus (Momus), Saturday, 25 January 2003 16:59 (twenty-three years ago)

http://www.dailykos.com/images/poll_1-23.gif

Momus (Momus), Saturday, 25 January 2003 17:00 (twenty-three years ago)

Is anyone else a little disturbed by people who suggest Bush may have had something to do with 9/11?

Ronan (Ronan), Saturday, 25 January 2003 17:04 (twenty-three years ago)

Isn't it slightly dishonest to use a percentage graph that only goes from 40 to 100?

caitlin (caitlin), Saturday, 25 January 2003 17:06 (twenty-three years ago)

What's so striking about Bush's popularity (apart from its existence at all) is that he has so little to do with it.

Wrong, sort of. I think a lot of people like him for reasons that have nothing to do with his policies, and everything to do with his identity/persona as a regular guy who talks tough. Now that they're being confronted with his policies and their implications in a more direct manner, they're realizing that those are what matter and may not be consistent with his identity/persona.

gabbneb (gabbneb), Saturday, 25 January 2003 17:06 (twenty-three years ago)

Slightly tangential, but am I alone in being disturbed that today's news that the inspectors in Iraq have found zero evidence of any nuclear activity or weapons is being presented as A BAD THING? So this supposed homicidal maniac having nukes would be good, then? How is the measure of good or bad news whether it supports America's public reasons for going to war or not?

Martin Skidmore (Martin Skidmore), Saturday, 25 January 2003 17:27 (twenty-three years ago)

also tangential, but what kind of evidence is uday's threat, in his press conference, being treated as?

uday: "if the west attacks us, we will so fuck you up it will make 9-11 look like a picnic" (more or less his words)
trans: by its own public admission, iraq has weapons of mass destruction
caveat: yes but uday is totally lying
counter-caveat: yes but aren't the US supposed to be looking for specious fig-leaf pretexts, and isn't this one served on plate?

several things this last week have made me wonder if what's going on at the moment is a secretly negotiated rat-run for saddam, sanctioned by bush, in which bush gets the credit for eyeball-top-eyeball nerve up to war's brink AND then no war, while saddam gets not to be blown to atoms by western bombs AND not to be hung from a lamp-post by justifiably enraged iraqi mobs (or executed by the buggins's-turn warlord-in-waiting)...

i think momus is correct that bush's high scores have all come from relative inactivity, that actually he's in fairly squeaky place where ANY actual decision ignites discontent: he has a lot of conflicting idealisms invested in him, right, centre, (pro war) liberal, and seeing as the US is not in a mood to come to terms with divided itself, betraying any one of these will ignite stuff disastrously for him

i think momus is wrong in that much of bush's high score comes from any pro-bush sr residual: i think the residual wd be direct from reagan, a lot of the stuff bush sr could never pick up on (bush sr is totally the republicans' jimmy carter)

mark s (mark s), Saturday, 25 January 2003 17:41 (twenty-three years ago)

'things Bush did' rather than 'things that just happened to him'

I think Foucault (and phil jones from the free music thread) would disapprove of this sentence


Also, I think what's really interesting about this graph is that certain polls seem to tend towards certain deviations from the mean. Are they calling the same people every month, or what?

Millar (Millar), Saturday, 25 January 2003 17:42 (twenty-three years ago)

the absolute best thing about the graph is it looks like pick'n'mix

mark s (mark s), Saturday, 25 January 2003 17:53 (twenty-three years ago)

Or an extremely happy and colorblind motocross obstacle

Millar (Millar), Saturday, 25 January 2003 17:57 (twenty-three years ago)

>Is anyone else a little disturbed by people who suggest Bush may have had something to do with 9/11?

I suggest that he did. Just look into the delay it took to scramble jets vs. standard FAA procedures in the event of a hijacking. That should really disturb you.

fletrejet, Saturday, 25 January 2003 17:59 (twenty-three years ago)

>Also, I think what's really interesting about this graph is that
>certain polls seem to tend towards certain deviations from the mean.
>Are they calling the same people every month, or what?

Its probably has to do with the way each poller phrases their questions and interprets their answers.

fletrejet, Saturday, 25 January 2003 18:02 (twenty-three years ago)

caitlin, truncating the scale removes redundant white space. There's nothing dishonest about it Statistics are about how you read and interpret them not about how you present them.

What has Bush done that isn't connected to TWAT/Iraq. Tax cuts yes, removal of funding from family planing NGOs but what has he actually done?

Well put fleterjet. Standard USAF/FAA operating procedure, even before 11/9, was to scramble jets to intercept any plane that deviated beyond certain limits from their flight plans. I accept though that something could have gone wrong with the system but its never been properly and independently investigated.

Ed (dali), Saturday, 25 January 2003 18:07 (twenty-three years ago)

the tremendous capacious gaping flaw in the USAF/FAA conspiracy theory — as with most similar — is that it requires the ppl who staff this system to be in on it with bush et al: ie murderously indifferent to their own complicity in the deaths of thousands of fellow americans

mark s (mark s), Saturday, 25 January 2003 18:14 (twenty-three years ago)

http://www.observer.co.uk/international/story/0,6903,819931,00.html

Girolamo Savonarola, Saturday, 25 January 2003 18:19 (twenty-three years ago)

Well put fleterjet. Standard USAF/FAA operating procedure, even before 11/9, was to scramble jets to intercept any plane that deviated beyond certain limits from their flight plans. I accept though that something could have gone wrong with the system but its never been properly and independently investigated.

I can't believe I'm giving time to a conspiracy theory, but:

1) and how exactly did that procedure break down? What evidence is there that jets were not scrambled after we knew which additional (if any) planes had been hijacked?

2) what makes you think that the authorities' response to such an unexpected event would be swift and procedural? You wouldn't be caught off guard and not sure what to do? Even the decision to ground all planes was something that wasn't obvious or obviously correct to everyone at the time.

The gaping flaw in the conspiracy theory is an unwillingness to believe that bad things can happen to people you don't like, perhaps by people who dislike the people you don't like for the same reasons you do.

gabbneb (gabbneb), Saturday, 25 January 2003 18:25 (twenty-three years ago)

so is it "automatic standing order of procedure" or isn't it? if it requires the say-so of higher-ups b4 it goes into effect then it ISN'T automatic (in which case, non-adherence to it is not evidence of odd goings-on)

if automatic procedure was just this once breached then complicity reaches right down into the airforce, even if it's only the complicity of obeying orders: i don't believe all these ppl would have stayed mute just to cover up for their bosses' weird behaviour

a cover-up bcz of screw-ups further down the line — ie when their OWN incompetence is at issue — is a different matter

mark s (mark s), Saturday, 25 January 2003 18:29 (twenty-three years ago)

haha remember that i think jfk had his head blown off by mistake by one of his bodyguards in the car behind: bodyguard's gun fired when the motorcade unuxpectedly sped up, after oswald started shooting (but after the first non-instantly-fatal neckshot missing)

ie there wz a conspiracy to cover up a cock-up

mark s (mark s), Saturday, 25 January 2003 18:38 (twenty-three years ago)

What mark s says, and if anyone would truly like to imply that I or my co-workers had anything to do with mass murder, you can really just go fuck yourself nine ways from last Friday and I would like you to also contract necrotizing fasciitis or possibly cancer of the reproductive organs.

Millar (USAF) (Millar), Saturday, 25 January 2003 18:39 (twenty-three years ago)

>1) and how exactly did that procedure break down? What evidence is
> there that jets were not scrambled after we knew which additional (if
> any) planes had been hijacked?

The procedure is to immediately scramble a jet after it alters its course without a good explanation. The first jet was scrambled some 50 minutes after the first plane veered off course. That is, frankly, pathetic, conspiracy or not.

>2) what makes you think that the authorities' response to such an
> unexpected event would be swift and procedural? You wouldn't be
> caught off guard and not sure what to do? Even the decision to
> ground all planes was something that wasn't obvious or obviously
> correct to everyone at the time.

In the year previous to 9/11, there were about 50 incidents where jets had to be scrambled. It is a routine procedure.

As for the matter of covering things up, its not so hard. The government is blocking any real investigation into 9/11. First it appointed fucking Kissinger, now it is giving the investiongation a budget less than 1/5 of that which Ken Starr had to find out Clinton got a blowjob. And the press in this country is pathetic.

fletrejet, Saturday, 25 January 2003 18:49 (twenty-three years ago)

Dear fletrejet,

FUCK YOU.

Tom

P.S.

DICKHEAD.

Millar (Millar), Saturday, 25 January 2003 18:52 (twenty-three years ago)

I'd like to know what you do for a living so I can spit in the face of you and your co-workers, and perhaps take a moment to also spit on all the independent investigative journalists in the english-speaking world.

Millar (Millar), Saturday, 25 January 2003 18:54 (twenty-three years ago)

I wasn't trying to say that, its inconceivable that people in the FAA and USAF were complicit in 11/9. I think its entirely possible that the system was wrong footed by not one but four planes deviating and I reckon the Hijackers planned the attacks like this specifically to through off the procedure to ensure that at least one plane got through. At the end of the day three planes got through and one was brought down by passengers. I have read that there were fewer planes available in the North East US than normal but this was surely just unfortunate.

What is deeply wrong is that the events of 11/9 have not been properly, fairly and independently investigated so that the agencies and organisation involved can learn from what happened. Its quite obvious that was no complicity of the US government, its member or agencies. Their response, especially Bush's, in the immediate aftermath I think demonstrates this.

Ed (dali), Saturday, 25 January 2003 18:54 (twenty-three years ago)

Investigative journalists are part of the reason democracy works. People have to find information put theories out there and then discuss them rationally.

The reason that all these conspiracy theories are out there is because no one knows what really happened. I'm sure the Bush Junta knows what happened and is afraid what any investigation might bring out into the open, because quite clearly something went very wrong on their watch.

Ed (dali), Saturday, 25 January 2003 18:59 (twenty-three years ago)

I think that's otm but I still really dislike the tone of the people suggesting complicity, does anyone else notice a kind of perverse glee coming from the left each time things take a turn for the worse or war looms closer? More chances to say I told you so?

Ronan (Ronan), Saturday, 25 January 2003 19:01 (twenty-three years ago)

Millar:

There are corrupt people in any orginization... deal with it. I am a structural engineer. In my profession, there are a few bad seeds that would, for example, cut costs on a bridge design and knowingly put the lives of people who drive over and under it at risk. Do I get mad if these people are found out and exposed? No, I encourage it.

fletrejet, Saturday, 25 January 2003 19:01 (twenty-three years ago)

my post should say "certain sections of the left" of course

Ronan (Ronan), Saturday, 25 January 2003 19:03 (twenty-three years ago)

the reason we can be certain that there was no top-down conspiracy is that no one has come forward to say, "i'm sorry, on the morning of 9-11 i wz explicitly ordered to [xx], when procedure required [yy]: if i had disobeyed orders and followed proecdure, then thousands living might now be alive"

in other words, the conspiracy requires a vast cast of malicious telepaths at all levels of society, quite casually prepared to murder their own fellow citizens

us govt sluggishness on setting up an enquiry — which is a disgrace — suggests to me that the fbi know exactly where and how they fucked up: ie not processing information properly, not taking warnings seriously, not being able to persuade politicians to take warnings seriously, generally being lousy at security despite it being their job... historically the problem with the cia and the fbi has been crapness of information processing, compounded by impotence in the face of what ideology was in control in the white house

ps appointing kissinger head of the inquiry is hardly evidence that subtle minds are at work pulling a brilliant cover-up!!

mark s (mark s), Saturday, 25 January 2003 19:09 (twenty-three years ago)

''Investigative journalists are part of the reason democracy works. People have to find information put theories out there and then discuss them rationally.''

don't know abt a rational discussion bit.

fletjet has not ans mark's point so far.

Julio Desouza (jdesouza), Saturday, 25 January 2003 19:21 (twenty-three years ago)

That's an ideal rather than an actuality. Sensationalism sells better than rationality.

Ed (dali), Saturday, 25 January 2003 19:24 (twenty-three years ago)

as is usual with other ILX things, mistah sinkah is OTM re 9/11 and the government response thereto.

remember, what sunk Nixon in Watergate -- and almost sunk Poppy Bush in Iran-Contra -- weren't the crimes being investigated (breaking and entering re Watergate, circumventing American law to arm the Nicaraguan contras re Iran-Contra) -- in both cases, it was the cover-ups.

Tad (llamasfur), Saturday, 25 January 2003 19:31 (twenty-three years ago)

>fletjet has not ans mark's point so far.

About how the conspiracy would require the complicity of too many people? Well, I don't think so. The delay of sending jets could have been accomplished by many methods that do no include simply giving a direct order "do not take off!" The ground people had no clue what the fuck was happening, they would have no idea that their delay would cost the lives of 1000's. I am sure a lot of the people involved have questions and doubt about what happened. But liek I said, how is anyone going to find out what they think, if the government and the press are not asking questions?

fletrejet, Saturday, 25 January 2003 19:32 (twenty-three years ago)

''The delay of sending jets could have been accomplished by many methods that do no include simply giving a direct order "do not take off!"''

what methods are those?

''The ground people had no clue what the fuck was happening, they would have no idea that their delay would cost the lives of 1000's.''

surely, now that it has cost 1000s of lives, those ppl would ask questions and go to the press.

Julio Desouza (jdesouza), Saturday, 25 January 2003 19:39 (twenty-three years ago)

Summary of Congressional joint investigation into September 11th:

http://www.fas.org/irp/congress/2002_hr/

Stuart, Saturday, 25 January 2003 23:38 (twenty-three years ago)

Fletrejet I think the idiocy of your comment goes way deeper than even where Mark is attacking it: the logic you're using runs something like "I called 911 and the ambulance took 45 minutes to arrive => clearly the hospital was engaged in the conspiracy to injure me in the first place."

BTW Martin I am completely with you on the logic of not-finding-anything: Bush functions on logic and rhetoric that explicitly assumes they have something, and that our not-finding-it is concrete proof that they're sly dissembling foxes who are completely unserious about "disarming." He uses the word "disarm" quite a bit, which in classic beating-your-wife fashion stems from the presumption that there's something specific to be disarmed. (I don't doubt that he might very well be right, but as a piece of argumentation it's tragically misleading.)

nabisco (nabisco), Saturday, 25 January 2003 23:47 (twenty-three years ago)

And, of course, he might not be assuming. He might know. They've said over and over that they couldn't reveal their sources without endangering them.

Stuart, Saturday, 25 January 2003 23:52 (twenty-three years ago)

They've said over and over that they couldn't reveal their sources without endangering them.

That's how intel works. Currently whatever sources we have inside Iraq, NK or AQ are quite likely the only things standing in the way of another attack. Bush, Rummy et al. apparently have decided that playing the sphinx at home despite the fact that they appear insane to some is worth it in the face of losing critical intelligence.

Millar (Millar), Sunday, 26 January 2003 00:12 (twenty-three years ago)

More chances to say I told you so?

No sense of possible glee from fellow lefties I know*, however there is the sentiment that it'll take once-alive bodies shipped back here to make those who are pro-war less rah-rah.

*This statement obviously has nothing to do with the many lefties I don't know.

Andy K (Andy K), Sunday, 26 January 2003 00:32 (twenty-three years ago)

Actually Andy I wonder about this: isn't it the usual course with war that the first deaths actually inspire war sentiment -- "they killed our boys and now it's serious" -- and only mounting numbers that make things look like a long haul make people question the point of it all? (Our mishaps in Somalia might be a slight counter-example, but then nobody gave a shit about Somalia one way or another so I think it operated on a different level: more like "people could die? what the hell is happening in Somalia that concerns any of us, anyway?")

nabisco (nabisco), Sunday, 26 January 2003 00:37 (twenty-three years ago)

Playing the sphinx in these situations is not really the issue re: what happened on 11/9 within the FAA/USAF or FBI. We're talking about procedures here, what went wrong and how can situations like 11/9 and worse than 11/9 be handled in the future. This has to be in the public domain, people have to have confidence in the procedures that are in place to protect them. I'm not saying that operational issues should be in the public domain as that would leave them open to exploitation by terrorism, but people have to be sure that their government knows what it is doing and is learning from mistakes made in the past.

Ed (dali), Sunday, 26 January 2003 00:48 (twenty-three years ago)

Yes good point nabisco. It's like the way teams determine who hits/plays field first in pickup baseball. Fist over fist over fist until one of the two reaches the top of the bat, but the bat instead keeps extending up up up up up... (Though I do think some people will be less enthusiastic once you-know-what happens.)

Andy K (Andy K), Sunday, 26 January 2003 00:58 (twenty-three years ago)

I wasn't talking about procedures. I was talking about the reasons we're really going to war and why the public at large haven't been explicitly told.

Millar (Millar), Sunday, 26 January 2003 01:09 (twenty-three years ago)

For me the reasons for war are immaterial. War is wrong and should not be started for any reason at all.

Ed (dali), Sunday, 26 January 2003 01:20 (twenty-three years ago)

Ah, the road less travelled.

Millar (Millar), Sunday, 26 January 2003 01:21 (twenty-three years ago)

five years pass...

Bush approval ratings now worst of any president since polling started:

http://www.openleft.com/showDiary.do;jsessionid=89A9E6D46B2183BED1E87023E53E8842?diaryId=8899

(70% disapproval; 25% approval)

(libcrypt) (libcrypt) (libcrypt), Wednesday, 8 October 2008 20:18 (seventeen years ago)

Makes you wonder what 25% of the respondents still see in him.

Aimless, Wednesday, 8 October 2008 20:43 (seventeen years ago)

Someone who might still manage to kick-start the Rapture in December?

I'm the wire monkey, not the soft monkey (Rock Hardy), Wednesday, 8 October 2008 20:48 (seventeen years ago)


You must be logged in to post. Please either login here, or if you are not registered, you may register here.