"A revolt within the military against Bush is brewing."

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Bold words but so claims this article that Gabbneb linked to elsewhere. I'm more interested in using this as a pretext, however, for a wider discussion of the relationship between the military and the government at the present time, with past reference to US history urgent and key. Seems to me one of the saving graces of the relationship between the two has been their separation -- the Army hasn't been offing adminstrations as they displease it or anything like that, and thank heavens for that. The implicit and explicit actions of Rumsfeld, meanwhile, have been to redirect the military -- and specifically its command -- from a presumed inertia (and, I gather, overcautiousness) as perceived by him towards something more flexible and aggressive. The usual explanation is that this is what is needed to work in a new era, but I find this stance wanting when a broader picture reveals the cutting back of veterans' benefits, the shunting away of acknowledging the dead or wounded (except when it makes good copy for the administration, of course), the (at best) conflicting and (at worst) blind planning for how to work with Iraq after Saddam's deposition and so forth. High-flying rhetoric about supporting our troops is not being put into practice by those that should be acting, and that fills me with neither confidence nor pride.

None of these arguments are new, there is hardly a Seven Days in May-scenario brewing and painting the entire military as anti-BushCo would be ridiculous. All that said, I find the treatment of the military -- most particularly those who make it up, the actual troops in the field who handle the risks expected to be run -- by the administration is shameful. It mocks the patriotism that has impelled so many to join, or it uses those impulses for ends that its practitioners barely acknowledge need review and thinking through, even though it demands the same from its opponents. I find this to be a situation that transcends party concerns -- this is not a failure of a Republican adminstration, this is the failure of an administration. Under a Democratic administration carrying out the same approach, the scorn should be as strong, the anger as intense.

But that said, your thoughts?

Ned Raggett (Ned), Thursday, 15 April 2004 18:59 (twenty-two years ago)

At the very least a whole lot of servicemen and their families are not going to be voting for bush.

Ed (dali), Thursday, 15 April 2004 19:10 (twenty-two years ago)

Drudge has something developing about some Woodward bombshell to be dropped.

gygax! (gygax!), Thursday, 15 April 2004 19:14 (twenty-two years ago)

The Haitians should ship Bush off to Central Africa.

andy, Thursday, 15 April 2004 19:16 (twenty-two years ago)

my impression from a certain person that i know is that the mocking disdain that rumsfeld shows for the media was funny before we went to iraq, and mean-spirited and insensitive afterwards. in otherwords, his joking around before our invasion served to rally the troops to kick some ass, and his joking afterwards has shown them that he really doesnt give a shit about them or their families. i support our toops so much that i want to see them come home safely, but i fear that the general mishandling of Iraq has created a situation in which it would be worse for the stability of the region to pull out now. lastly, as i mentioned a year ago, i find it hard to generalize about the troops and their motivations for joining the military. some people are poor and want to go to college or at least have health insurance.

Aaron Grossman (aajjgg), Thursday, 15 April 2004 19:18 (twenty-two years ago)

I am sure the term 'revolt' was meant to imply only the mildest form of revolt.

The US military officer corps prides itself on their duty to the Commander In Chief. Part of that duty is to avoid criticizing or second-guessing the war policy of the President, Secretary of Defense, or other civilians at the top - in public or on the record, at least. I'm sure you've noticed that the only vocal criticism of Bush's Big Adventure has come from officers with ret. after their rank. Active duty officers won't say boo. Since the advent of the all-volunteer army, even the enlisted ranks seem to have adopted this attitude. The NG enlistees are the least indoctrinated on this point, but have been slow to gripe as long as they are on active duty and a long way from home. You just don't buck the system, if you can help it.

So, any 'revolt' Bush is likely to see will be in the form of an intense whispering campaign against his and Rumsfeld's leadership. Open revolt isn't in the cards, but a covert revolt could be coming soon.

How this would be played to the public would depend on whether the media turned on Bush. If so, the turn would come from the top and it could be breathtaking in its breadth and suddeness. And it wouldn't come from the NY Times, but from the big three networks and the big chain newspapers. I can't say I see it there, yet. But it isn't the sort of thing that is easy to foresee.

Aimless (Aimless), Thursday, 15 April 2004 19:21 (twenty-two years ago)

What are your cryptic comments supposed to be referring to? Can you elaborate?

morris pavilion (samjeff), Thursday, 15 April 2004 19:24 (twenty-two years ago)

One thing that's changed is this: during the WW1-Vietnam area, alot of the officers were coming out of 'liberal' and Ivy League universities (i.e. Wesley Clark)... you had alot of left-leaning commanding officers. And during the 60's draft, people from all across the political spectrum were serving in the military. Now it seems like the vast majority of enlistees are actively conservative. Maybe not so much in the Navy and Coast Guard, but certainly in the Army & Marines.

andy, Thursday, 15 April 2004 19:28 (twenty-two years ago)

Lots of issues here. I'm certainly no Rumsfeld fan, but there may be some truth to his perspective on the overcautiousness of the military. Clinton faced it too. Of course, the civilian leadership may be wont to be incautious. Rumsfeld certainly is. Clark's candidacy may have been a significant expression of the military's reaction. Are we using a traditional military response to an asymmetric threat only because we have not yet developed the organizations or people necessary to respond more appropriately to the threat?

gabbneb (gabbneb), Thursday, 15 April 2004 19:30 (twenty-two years ago)

The author isn't exactly an impartial writer. That being said, I still think the whole thing with General Tommie Franks was weird. The guy led the force into Bagdad, then suddly he was retired. Then a few weeks later he does an odd interview with a newspaper in Florida stating that he fears for American democracy if a major terrorist attack occurs.

Maybe the guy was a kook, maybe he saw what was developing and called out the b.s. and they let him go. I don't know, but I keep waiting for the other shoe to drop. Just one of many very strange things I have seen come across the radar in the past few years.

Another example was General Anthony Zinni, who was sent as an envoy to broker the conflict between Israel/Palestine by Bush, who later became an active in saying the invasion of Iraq was misguided before the war started.

Add in how the reserve troops have been treated down in Georgia and probably some other things that are out there and it is hard to tell what is going to happen.

earlnash, Thursday, 15 April 2004 19:32 (twenty-two years ago)

The author isn't exactly an impartial writer.

The article is a Macguffin for this thread.

Ned Raggett (Ned), Thursday, 15 April 2004 19:33 (twenty-two years ago)

Turduken?

Aaron W (Aaron W), Thursday, 15 April 2004 19:36 (twenty-two years ago)

Gesundheit.

Ned Raggett (Ned), Thursday, 15 April 2004 19:36 (twenty-two years ago)

I am now imagining GWB telling the military that their next mission will be to invade Turducken.

VengaDan Perry (Dan Perry), Thursday, 15 April 2004 19:38 (twenty-two years ago)

The author isn't exactly an impartial writer.

well duh

That being said, I still think the whole thing with General Tommie Franks was weird. The guy led the force into Bagdad, then suddly he was retired.

No weirder than the whole thing with Generals Garner or Zinni or Shinseki or Army Secretary White. You talk out of turn in this administration and you get whacked. Abizaid was more successful because the political situation changed and he played the game better.

gabbneb (gabbneb), Thursday, 15 April 2004 19:39 (twenty-two years ago)

ok to be fair, I point out the conservatives for those who might not know

gabbneb (gabbneb), Thursday, 15 April 2004 19:39 (twenty-two years ago)

morris pavilion,

To whom were you addressing your question?

Aimless (Aimless), Thursday, 15 April 2004 19:57 (twenty-two years ago)

This surprised me this morning.

http://www.npr.org/features/feature.php?wfId=1837816

My source for news from the troops:

http://www.sftt.org/

Michael White (Hereward), Thursday, 15 April 2004 21:43 (twenty-two years ago)

Oh for fun!

And further down:

"There has never been a more humane campaign," Gen Myers said, "and that goes for operations in Falluja."

I fucking hate people like this. War is inhumane by definition -- you don't talk about things being 'more humane,' ya clod.

Ned Raggett (Ned), Thursday, 15 April 2004 21:53 (twenty-two years ago)

Aimless, I'm addressing you, trying to make sense of this "covert revolt" you mention.

morris pavilion (samjeff), Thursday, 15 April 2004 22:01 (twenty-two years ago)

We are engaged in a test of will and we will meet that test," Mr Rumsfeld told reporters.

"A small band of terrorists are not going to be permitted to determine the fate of the 25 million Iraqi people," he added.

Why let the terrorists decide what to do with Iraqi lives, when the US is doing a MUCH better job? Old Rummie is still acting like he's living in a commando version of Sims: where the one who blinks first, loses.

Nichole Graham (Nichole Graham), Thursday, 15 April 2004 22:05 (twenty-two years ago)

I'm right there with you, Ned. The term "humane campaign," is a bit
of an insane oxymoron.
Another thing that bugs me: Back during Nixon's term,
Barabara Tuchman said that she thought the Presidency had
accumulated far too much power, and it was almost an elected
monarchy of sorts. Needless to say, I think things have gotten
much worse.

Squirrel_Police (Squirrel_Police), Thursday, 15 April 2004 22:10 (twenty-two years ago)

yeah, it's possible that electing a member of Congress to the Executive could be the best thing we've done in a while

gabbneb (gabbneb), Thursday, 15 April 2004 22:12 (twenty-two years ago)

yeah, it's possible that electing a member of Congress to the Executive could be the best thing we've done in a while

Yeah, Kerry's just the Man to give Power to the People!

miloauckerman (miloauckerman), Thursday, 15 April 2004 22:15 (twenty-two years ago)

I had thought it plain enough, but I will make another run.

First, my sense is that the US military will not 'revolt' in the sense of taking up arms against any component of the government and it is nowhere near that point. Rather, if they could be said to be in 'revolt' in any sense, it would be in the sense of being revolted by the arrogance and ineptitude with which the current administration has been conducting the war in Iraq.

I do not know for a fact, but believe it is quite possible that the military is ready for that policy to change dramatically, because under current leadership, their mission is vague, their force inadequate and their chances for success precarious, all of which facts do not rise from military weakness, but from weak, ignorant, arrogant and posturing leadership at the top.

The reason I call it a covert revolt is that orders will be carried out, active duty officers will continue to obey and to give lip service, overtly, to the wisdom of their superior officers and civilian commanders. The 'covert revolt' they would be most likely to carry out would have to be in the form of candid, but unattributed criticism of those same leaders. Journalists would be given the story, but not on the record. Retired officers would be persuaded by active colleagues to mount a campaign of attack.

None of this would be openly attributable to officers or soldiers. That is what I envisioned as a 'covert revolt'. Soldiers have a fairly refined code of honor. Bush talks the talk, but his actions and those of his advisors tell a very different story. I am sure Rumsfeld has lost every shred of respect among his generals. Bush is a short step from joing him there.

Aimless (Aimless), Thursday, 15 April 2004 22:43 (twenty-two years ago)

Aimless I think quite OTM. I note that one of the biggest areas of complaint from hawks around this time last year was that it was 'only' retired officers willing to speak on the record -- completely missing the clear point that there will be no on-the-record criticism and should be none. I fear the persistence of this particular delusion.

Ned Raggett (Ned), Thursday, 15 April 2004 22:54 (twenty-two years ago)

Thanks - that's much clearer, and well said. (I read your initial comment as implying something more sinister and secretive.)

(x-post w/Ned)

morris pavilion (samjeff), Thursday, 15 April 2004 22:58 (twenty-two years ago)

(should be none from serving troops, I mean to say)

Ned Raggett (Ned), Thursday, 15 April 2004 23:00 (twenty-two years ago)

this must be the Woodward bombshell: Bush drew up Iraq war plan w/out telling everyone on his security staff. I'm not sure this counts as a bombshell.

I'm so out of touch with the US I don't know how any of this is playing out in the general public.

anthony kyle monday (akmonday), Friday, 16 April 2004 16:33 (twenty-two years ago)

Yeah, Kerry's just the Man to give Power to the People!

I am talking about balance between the Constitutional branches of government, not "giv[ing] Power to the People," which would require a Constitutional amendment.

Just why exactly do you think Kerry is an elitist? And who are "the People" for whom you presume to speak?

gabbneb (gabbneb), Friday, 16 April 2004 16:57 (twenty-two years ago)

We hear a lot about how the neocons expected cheering crowds greeting American liberators in Baghdad. I'm not sure this is true. It's possible they knew exactly what a mess this would be, and didn't care much. But whenever I hear this point, I think of the scene in the movie Patton when he rolls into the little town in Sicily or Sardinia or wherever to just such a welcome. So I wonder if the movie reached any of war planners at an impressionable age. The year (1970) that Patton was released, Rumsfeld was 38, and Cheney and Wolfowitz were 29 and 27, but Elliott Abrams was 22, Scooter Libby was 20, Zalmay Khalilzad was 19, and Bill Kristol and Bill Bennett were 17. Bush was 24 and brother Jeb was 17.

gabbneb (gabbneb), Friday, 16 April 2004 22:04 (twenty-two years ago)

got this link to CBS story off Eschaton

already seen someone say that the timeline isn't quite right, that this appropriations bill was from different month as when Woodward places the Bush discussion with Rumsfeld, but it's still very cuirous, as if it is true, it definitely has Watergate and Iran-Contra beat.

badgerminor (badgerminor), Friday, 16 April 2004 22:13 (twenty-two years ago)

The US military officer corps prides itself on their duty to the Commander In Chief. Part of that duty is to avoid criticizing or second-guessing the war policy of the President, Secretary of Defense, or other civilians at the top

I was wondering about this. During the Clinton years several conservative civilians suggested that the military rank and file had little respect for the president because he had dodged the draft. So I wondered what military types thought of Dubya, given that he was able to go into the National Guard and his attendance there...hasn't been shown to have been rigorous.

(For example, check out this Doonesbury strip.)

j.lu (j.lu), Saturday, 17 April 2004 00:41 (twenty-two years ago)


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