end of the year--his contract was up i guess? did not know they were under contract. he just said they were going separate ways. i won't really miss him.
― call all destroyer, Tuesday, 2 February 2010 15:07 (fourteen years ago) link
CHONE projected standings are out, for comparison...
http://baseballprojection.com/2010/standings2010.htm
looks mostly the same i guess
― ciderpress, Saturday, 6 February 2010 00:51 (fourteen years ago) link
I dont see how the Dodgers give up fewest runs in mlb short of legendary pitching performances. The defense isnt that great. The only plus defenders I can think of are Kemp, Blake and Furcal (if you dont count throwing errors). Martins defense has been falling off, and Loney has a good reputation but its not backed up by numbers PECOTA would probably use..
― mayor jingleberries, Monday, February 1, 2010 2:17 PM (4 days ago) Bookmark
pecota's pretty bad at understanding defense and projecting rosters, which is why they couldnt anticipate (say) the mariners' run prevention being good enough to have them contending in the west
― yakko warner (cankles), Saturday, 6 February 2010 00:54 (fourteen years ago) link
strange how CHONE predicts the Giants can go from Wild Card Contenders up until the last 8 days of the season to last place in the weak NL West with essentially the same offense (if Randy Winn & Ryan Garko = Mark DeRosa & Aubrey Huff which shouldn't be too difficult to replicate) and an improving pitching staff (Lincecum, Cain, Sanchez, Zito + closer Wilson)...? Not saying they were fluky last year but they'll probably finish mid-pack in the NL, rather than in the bottom only 2 games ahead of the Nats/Pirates/Astros/Mets.
― ┌∩┐(◕_◕)┌∩┐ (Steve Shasta), Saturday, 6 February 2010 01:12 (fourteen years ago) link
Ha, this has got to be Nate Silver:http://www.sporcle.com/user/nrsilver/
― Lusty Mo Frazier (jaymc), Wednesday, 24 February 2010 19:24 (fourteen years ago) link
supposedly pecota is out.. again.
supposedly it hates the shit out of my team. =( I dont subscribe so I cant see, but Im not sure I really want to.
― strongly recommend. unless you're a bitch (mayor jingleberries), Monday, 7 February 2011 21:02 (thirteen years ago) link
who's your team again? (sorry)
― got electrolytes (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Monday, 7 February 2011 21:08 (thirteen years ago) link
how has pecota's accuracy been for the last couple years?
― call all destroyer, Monday, 7 February 2011 21:12 (thirteen years ago) link
i remember the last time a blog did an analysis of all the stat forecast systems and PECOTA ranked below average.
― i love you but i have chosen snarkness (Steve Shasta), Monday, 7 February 2011 21:18 (thirteen years ago) link
a few years ago TSN (which is the Canadian's little espn) had done their own baseball forecasts - and i'd only looked at the J's stats but TSN was closer than PECOTA was.
― got electrolytes (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Monday, 7 February 2011 21:26 (thirteen years ago) link
my team is the dodgers. my purely speculative and non computer generated prediction is a team obp of .325 this year. or lower.
― strongly recommend. unless you're a bitch (mayor jingleberries), Monday, 7 February 2011 23:16 (thirteen years ago) link
I just opened PECOTA, and really don't much care about individual player projections.
― kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 8 February 2011 06:55 (thirteen years ago) link
Not really sure why someone who wasn't a GM or fantasy ballplayer would.
― Fig On A Plate Cart (Alex in SF), Tuesday, 8 February 2011 15:38 (thirteen years ago) link
I'm intrigued by the depth charts, though, which aren't out til next week.
― kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 8 February 2011 15:42 (thirteen years ago) link
When do the Fangraphs projections come out?
― i love you but i have chosen snarkness (Steve Shasta), Tuesday, 8 February 2011 18:04 (thirteen years ago) link
those fan projections are dogshit, they're being trolled this year pretty hard. heyward looks to be a top five OFer and tommy hanson will pitch better than cliff lee.
http://www.forums.mlb.com/n/pfx/forum.aspx?nav=messages&webtag=ml-braves&tid=149282
― sanskrit, Tuesday, 8 February 2011 18:37 (thirteen years ago) link
tommy hanson will pitch better than cliff lee
not impossible, imho!
― got electrolytes (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Tuesday, 8 February 2011 18:58 (thirteen years ago) link
ZIPS is the best one on fangraphs and it's not up there yet but i'm pretty sure they've all been calculated since they're rolling them out team by team at http://www.baseballthinkfactory.org/files/oracle/newsblog/ (ignore the top post, that's a sticky from last year that hasn't been updated)
― ciderpress, Tuesday, 8 February 2011 19:14 (thirteen years ago) link
ok, i guess BP isn't all that bad.. Ferris! http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=12877
― sanskrit, Tuesday, 8 February 2011 21:56 (thirteen years ago) link
Is .325 OBP an unrealistic projection for the Dodgers, though? Your strength this season is likely to be your pitching staff, but even so you're likely to be 3rd favourite in the NL West, I'd have thought (ahead of two pretty poor teams).
― Mark C, Tuesday, 8 February 2011 22:42 (thirteen years ago) link
has the mets @ 80 wins!
― johnny crunch, Monday, 18 February 2013 23:55 (eleven years ago) link
noted last week
― saltwater incursion (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 19 February 2013 02:06 (eleven years ago) link
behind some numbers
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=19673
― Pope Rusty I (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 2 March 2013 14:32 (eleven years ago) link
It's out, and projects 73 steals for Billy Hamilton
― images of war violence and historical smoking (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 4 February 2014 12:41 (ten years ago) link
'tis out
http://www.sbnation.com/2017/2/8/14549012/dodgers-cardinals-pecota-projections
― Supercreditor (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 8 February 2017 19:42 (seven years ago) link
projects Angels at 80-82.
https://legacy.baseballprospectus.com/fantasy/dc/
― ice cream social justice (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 7 February 2018 20:43 (six years ago) link
Steamer really doesn't like Acuña Jr.
https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&type=steamer&team=0&lg=all&players=0&sort=25,d
― Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Friday, 2 November 2018 18:09 (five years ago) link
vlad jr, 14th-most valuable position player of 2019, just ahead of aaron judge
― mookieproof, Friday, 2 November 2018 20:15 (five years ago) link
go bucs
https://www.baseballprospectus.com/standings
― mookieproof, Tuesday, 9 February 2021 17:44 (three years ago) link