ayo lets go phillies get me a fukkin tastykake

on a less crazy person note: phillies tonite insane and lidge has been saving games left + right these days (swept braves)

fuck this syphilitic earth

NYY-PHI Series wd again let me skip it

― kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, September 22, 2010 7:38 AM (16 hours ago) Bookmark

zomg sabr will be scandalized

snark now byatch :P

SNARK!

Cole getz bitched out.

Congrats, Roy.

Roy H.

I was confused at this post for a sec. You talking about finally making it to the playoffs or his ultimate nl cy young win?

Playoffs, yeah. His teammates can pretty much take a flying leap IMO.

you guys are mad with the phillies hate. never understood why people hate on the phills but love the charmless despicable fetid Mets. besides Morbs that is.

If I weren't a Braves stan I wouldn't have any problem with the Phils. I like Charlie M.

who the hell likes the mets

http://twitter.com/GaryCarterRaw/status/25515214614

too soon.

http://socioecohistory.files.wordpress.com/2010/08/hindenburg.jpg

your team should fix its own house, then Mets fans can come and throw stones at other better-run organizations.

I haven't got that much time. Anyway, it's gonna be fun watching the Philths get old!

lol what!

may all their arms fall off

i am ecstatic

you guys are mad with the phillies hate. never understood why people hate on the phills but love the charmless despicable fetid Mets. besides Morbs that is.

― Fartbritz Sootzveti (Steve Shasta), Tuesday, September 28, 2010 1:57 PM (2 months ago) Bookmark Suggest Ban Permalink

^^^^ words of wisdom, these

I am enjoying all the articles about how selfless Lee is for accepting a contract that will pay him at least 100 million dollars.

If all these dudes were on the same team last year they would still be a few ticks short of ERA+ to beat the 90s Braves holy rotation

you guys are mad with the phillies hate. never understood why people hate on the phills but love the charmless despicable fetid Mets. besides Morbs that is.

― Fartbritz Sootzveti (Steve Shasta), Tuesday, September 28, 2010 1:57 PM (2 months ago) Bookmark Suggest Ban Permalink

^^^^ words of wisdom, these

― Carmine Dirtnap from North Arlington Returns from Pizzaland (Eisbaer), Tuesday, December 14, 2010 4:23 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark

who the hell likes the mets

― J0rdan S., Tuesday, September 28, 2010 1:01 PM (2 months ago) Bookmark

you know i was a little worried about Morbs today, even if he's not the type to do something rash.

then i saw this

good luck w/ your little team in your little new humid ballpark, J0rdan

― kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, December 14, 2010 7:55 AM (14 hours ago) Bookmark

and knew everything was OK!

Insert YouTube link to video of worst rap parody song ever.

i just saw on the espn tv at the bar a little graphic showing the phillies 2011 championship odds set at 5:2 !??

feel like theres a lot of money to be made on the under if those were actual betting odds and not some shit made up by sportscenter

no, probability plays no part and the Phils are a mortal lock, it's just like the NBA.

you can't predict baseball, or Howard and Rollins flatlining

thats what i'm saying, there's no way that they have a 2 in 7 chance of winning the WS even if they are the best team

yeah how do i take that bet?!

I can't get my head around the math (what I'd put up, what I'd win), but if someone offered me those odds, I'd definitely take the field. The Phillies front three is awesome, but there are lots of moving parts on a baseball team; those guys could pitch more or less as well as expected, and lots else could go wrong to nullify that.

(I'm assuming "championship" means World Series; if it just means division, I'd have to think about that.)

It has to mean winning the WS. I'd say they're about even money to win the division, at least.

I believe the Giants went 5-1 against the 'new' Phillies juggernaut rotation in the playoffs.

the problem in the playoffs wasn't the Phillies pitching so much as the almost complete lack of hitting

I believe the Giants went 5-1 against the 'new' Phillies juggernaut rotation in the playoffs.

― strongly recommend. unless you're a bitch (mayor jingleberries), Wednesday, December 15, 2010 2:18 PM (27 minutes ago) Bookmark

can ppl get off this please? it's 6 games. it means nothing.

Yeah guys, small playoff samples only matter when you're talking about the Red Sox.

huh?

i'm looking here and getting http://www.philly.com/inquirer/sports/20101215_Phillies_now_favored_to_win_World_Series.html
what am i doing wrong here? 9-5 odds = 5/14 = 35.7% chance of winning?!

i'll do some bad math:

80% chance of securing first or wild card, 75% chance of winning NLDS, 70% chance of winning NLCS, 60% chance of WS victory

even that wildly optimistic scenario comes out to a 25.2% of winning.. will they let you take the other side of that bet?

you can always bet all 29 other teams to win. ^_^

I'm sure they'll be much better this year now that one of their best hitters left.

The obvious cautionary note for the Phillies' chances: all those World Series won by the Maddux/Glavine/Smoltz Braves (close, but a front three I'd take over the Phillies').

Something else (seems like I'm knocking the Phillies; I'm not, just trying to look at this realistically): Roy Oswalt's been a great pitcher over his career, but is anyone looking for him to duplicate what he did after he came over to Philadelphia last year? When he left Houston, he was on the third year of a normal mid-career decline (or, if you will, adjustment); after the trade he did something not all that uncommon, which is to pitch lights out for the last couple of months. Who will the Phillies get this year: the guy they saw in August and September, or the guy who left Houston? My guess would be the latter.

2 things: better defense and change of scenery. playing for one of the worst teams in baseball can't be good for the ERA/WHIP in both factors.

Agreed, in explaining what happened last year. One of those factors presumably remains, the other's gone--and I think the one that's gone can be pretty huge.

I'm not saying he won't pitch well; even an average year from Oswalt will be pretty good. I'm saying he won't be putting up a 1.74 ERA, and there are reasons to believe he's more inclined to be in the mid-three range or higher.

If you're going to ignore the SABR figures, I'd try not to limit your focus to straight ERA. Something that's telling even in his "off"-first half of the year with Houston is that his WHIP was 1.11 and his BAA was .229. Those #s are in line with your #1-#2 pitchers. He will be fine.

yeah is anyone saying roy oswalt is gonna put up a sub-2 era? i must have missed that.

I'm watching the Lee press conference and I can't think of any player I've seen in my lifetime who ever wanted to be a Philly as much as he does