offseason 2015-16

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seems low for him

J0rdan S., Sunday, 29 November 2015 19:01 (eight years ago) link

I'd figure this deal probably sets the price for Johnny Cueto. Thing with Cueto is going long term as while he has pitched a lot of innings, he's also had a couple of injuries.

I'm thinking some of the free agency got a bit high dollar in the pitching and with the total amount of starters available, it could fall back especially for the last ones left on the board. It hasn't happened as much lately with starting pitchers as with position players, but you could find some of them fall back and maybe have to settle into 1 or 2 year deals.

I think the leverage the players had getting those crazy long and expensive deals might not be there like it was a few years back.

earlnash, Sunday, 29 November 2015 22:25 (eight years ago) link

Someone told me that the reason people might overpay for pitching this year is because next year's FA market is BAD for pitching

nerd shit (Will M.), Monday, 30 November 2015 15:37 (eight years ago) link

i'd feel like a real dummy if i read that in this thread and was just repeating it

nerd shit (Will M.), Monday, 30 November 2015 15:38 (eight years ago) link

not sure we're seeing any overpaying. pitchers are obviously more prone to catastrophic injury, but zimmermann has averaged 4 war over his last five seasons. the two blue jays signings seem more tenuous -- happ put up 2.4 WAR in just 11 starts for the pirates; maybe he's figured something out or maybe not, while estrada benefited from an extraordinarily low BABIP -- but not outrageous with a win costing around what, $7m? starting pitching is expensive af

mookieproof, Monday, 30 November 2015 15:51 (eight years ago) link

I don't think anything is extraordinarily overpriced yet but i'm saying it COULD get crazy due to next year's drought. maybe i should just find that article, huh.

http://www.sbnation.com/2015/11/16/9743932/mlb-free-agency-rumors-trade-2016-2017

nerd shit (Will M.), Monday, 30 November 2015 16:19 (eight years ago) link

@Ken_Rosenthal
Sources: #RedSox in agreement with free-agent outfielder Chris Young on a multi-year contract, pending a physical.

mookieproof, Monday, 30 November 2015 18:27 (eight years ago) link

cardinals sign brayan pena to be the primary catcher for september/october in anticipation of yet another season of promising to give yadier molina more rest, failing to do so, and then being shocked at a late season injury

Karl Malone, Monday, 30 November 2015 21:42 (eight years ago) link

Reassuring when Mike Ilitch praises his GM during a press conference for having "a lot of contacts."

Andy K, Monday, 30 November 2015 21:52 (eight years ago) link

_@Ken_Rosenthal
Sources: #RedSox in agreement with free-agent outfielder Chris Young on a multi-year contract, pending a physical._

--mookieproof

really don't understand this one

metro slothrop want some more (slothroprhymes), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 14:16 (eight years ago) link

joba to cleveland on a minor league deal

https://usatftw.files.wordpress.com/2013/09/bw-03-bug-spray-1128.jpg

mookieproof, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 15:02 (eight years ago) link

xp self well 2 years isn't bad, was worried dombpoutski was gonna shell out for longer

metro slothrop want some more (slothroprhymes), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 18:37 (eight years ago) link

that joba pic is so good

johnny crunch, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 18:46 (eight years ago) link

byung-ho park to the twinkies

mookieproof, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:03 (eight years ago) link

Pena going to the Cards sux. He's a good backup catcher.

earlnash, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:28 (eight years ago) link

@PeteAbe
#RedSox in agreement with David Price. 7 years and $217 million.

mookieproof, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:55 (eight years ago) link

phew (at least the cubs didn't get him)

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 21:59 (eight years ago) link

fangraphs crowdsourced prediction (7 years, 196 million) wasn't too far off.

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:00 (eight years ago) link

opt-out after three years

mookieproof, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:02 (eight years ago) link

are opt-outs becoming more common? it's speculated that the heyward contract will likely also include one

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:05 (eight years ago) link

seems like it, for the biggest names. they can see how much money is pouring in

mookieproof, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:22 (eight years ago) link

@BNightengale
The St. Louis Cardinals finished runner-up in the David Price sweepstakes. #STLCards

thank god

mookieproof, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:25 (eight years ago) link

it would have been pretty cool to watch Price for a couple years but paying 30 million/yr for a pitcher's decline years seems like an overpay, especially when the elevated risk of pitcher injury is taken into account. i know it's not a perfect comparison, but look at someone like cc sabathia, signed to a 5 year contract at age 30 (the same as price is now), and with an impressive resume before then. the first year of his contract (2012) was alright but ever since then it's been a nosedive. just seems too risky.

much better to use that money to get Heyward's prime years.

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:31 (eight years ago) link

https://twitter.com/greghoward88/status/671813099427602437

J0rdan S., Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:35 (eight years ago) link

assuming all goes well, the key will be to let him walk after three years (and if all goes well, he no doubt will). if the yankees had done so when sabathia opted out, they'd be golden

price will be a year older then than greinke is now

mookieproof, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:51 (eight years ago) link

@jcrasnick
Sources say Greinke is looking for a 5 or 6 yr deal. He wants AAV above Price. That means $31.5M or $32M a year.

greinke has been good and teams are rich, but i'd rather have price

mookieproof, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 22:53 (eight years ago) link

price essentially got kershaw's deal plus a couple million

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 23:11 (eight years ago) link

1 million per start, basically?

Van Horn Street, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 23:42 (eight years ago) link

Glad the Giants 'missed out' on this one. That kind of overpay is scary, we already have an ace.

Van Horn Street, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 23:44 (eight years ago) link

if you're optimistic, 31 mill per 35 starts, avg 88 pitches per start, = $10,000 per pitch

nerd shit (Will M.), Tuesday, 1 December 2015 23:44 (eight years ago) link

dave cameron is optimistic http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/instagraphs/red-sox-sign-david-price/

J0rdan S., Tuesday, 1 December 2015 23:49 (eight years ago) link

the one thing that would make me nervous is that they had to agree to pay him the most money ever for a pitcher AND they had to give him a 3 year opt out, which pushes a lot of risk onto the team

J0rdan S., Tuesday, 1 December 2015 23:50 (eight years ago) link

it should have either been the most money ever for a pitcher or a slightly below market deal with an opt out

anyway maybe the best case scenario is they get three good years out of him, he goes back on the market and someone else gives him enough money that even the red sox aren't interested

J0rdan S., Tuesday, 1 December 2015 23:51 (eight years ago) link

Price’s deal dwarfs what had been the largest contract for a Red Sox pitcher, both by average annual value and total cost. The previous high was a four-year, $82.5 million extension given to Rick Porcello in April.

nomar, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 23:57 (eight years ago) link

i forgot that porcello deal was that much

nomar, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 23:57 (eight years ago) link

can't wait for Harper's free agency guys

Van Horn Street, Tuesday, 1 December 2015 23:58 (eight years ago) link

it's going to be 400 millions + all of our homes

Van Horn Street, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 00:00 (eight years ago) link

Price turned down a 7 year 200m contract from St. Louis. Not clear if there was an opt out.. But fuck dude I would take 3-4m less a year and not have to deal with red sox fans/media/etc

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 00:19 (eight years ago) link

I'm fine missing out on Price. I just wish we weren't trying piece together a whole six-pack of Drew Hutchisons.

clemenza, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 00:23 (eight years ago) link

god are they really paying porcello $20 million a year

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 2 December 2015 00:33 (eight years ago) link

maybe price was scared of batting

nerd shit (Will M.), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 00:45 (eight years ago) link

Price turned down a 7 year 200m contract from St. Louis. Not clear if there was an opt out.. But fuck dude I would take 3-4m less a year and not have to deal with red sox fans/media/etc
--carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries)

rude!!!!!

metro slothrop want some more (slothroprhymes), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 01:03 (eight years ago) link

anyway w/e it's all good obv it was great for say the Nats to get scherzer and like be World Series favorites that worked out perfectly obv

*screaming internally*

metro slothrop want some more (slothroprhymes), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 01:06 (eight years ago) link

but seriously it's dope I mean fuck it spend it if you got it and let's see what happens

metro slothrop want some more (slothroprhymes), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 01:08 (eight years ago) link

right, who cares about the money, there's no salary cap

k3vin k., Wednesday, 2 December 2015 01:17 (eight years ago) link

ilitch's kids probably care

polyphonic, Wednesday, 2 December 2015 01:18 (eight years ago) link

right, who cares about the money, there's no salary cap
--k3vin k.

aren't you a yankees fan, I mean they haven't done that very recently but in general, like, cmon man

metro slothrop want some more (slothroprhymes), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 01:35 (eight years ago) link

if i was a red sox fan i would be far more concerned about dombrowski trading away the farm system than i would on him spending $200m on one of the best pitchers of a generation

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 2 December 2015 01:46 (eight years ago) link

and so far he's traded exactly one prospect that I actually had any expectations for (margot) and three others who were m/l coin flips, and has left the best pieces intact. there isn't much else that needs to be acquired other than maybe another solid bullpen guy, and they wouldn't need to trade to get that in all likelihood

metro slothrop want some more (slothroprhymes), Wednesday, 2 December 2015 01:50 (eight years ago) link


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