The Counting Stat Formerly Known as a Big Deal : best bet for 300 wins

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He makes it clear that none is this is meant to be taken too seriously, but there's a comment in here by Fleming, explaining why he puts David Price at 35% for the HOF, that seems pertinent to this thread.

http://www.billjamesonline.com/the_cooperstown_sox/

"The reason I guessed 35% for Price is that he's in a pack of pitchers in their early thirties who a) have about 120-160 wins, b) with a good winning percentage, and c) a CY or two. He's in the pack with Scherzer and Lester and Grienke and Verlander and Hamels and Felix. Seven pitchers."

clemenza, Sunday, 6 August 2017 15:18 (six years ago) link

I think the money these guys make now will probably lead some of them to call it quits earlier than some players of the past. How many of these guys do you see really pitching at age 40? Many of them are under contract to age 36-37.

Are there any of them that might hang around as a reliever at the end of a career? Got to figure one of them will end up doing so.

earlnash, Sunday, 6 August 2017 18:14 (six years ago) link

I can see Zack pitching until he's 45

frogbs, Sunday, 6 August 2017 18:18 (six years ago) link

I understand the opposite argument, but I've always seen the big money as an incentive to stay around longer--stay for as long as someone's willing to pay you a few million--not quit.

clemenza, Monday, 7 August 2017 02:24 (six years ago) link

Automatic thread bump. This poll is closing tomorrow.

System, Tuesday, 8 August 2017 00:01 (six years ago) link

Automatic thread bump. This poll's results are now in.

System, Wednesday, 9 August 2017 00:01 (six years ago) link

lol

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 9 August 2017 00:22 (six years ago) link

big games indeed

mookieproof, Wednesday, 9 August 2017 00:31 (six years ago) link


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