the most important election of your lifetime: 2012 american general election thread

Pretty strong stuff!

http://2012.talkingpointsmemo.com/2012/08/chris-matthews-gop-priebus-race-card-birther-welfare.php?ref=fpnewsfeed

tpm summarizing Washington Post piece

The latest ABC News/Washington Post poll shows Mitt Romney barely leading Obama among registered voters nationwide, 47 percent to 46 percent. But while the horse race is a dead heat, Romney claims a clear advantage on the economy. Fifty-percent of voters trust Romney to handle the nation's economy, compared with 43 percent who prefer Obama. Voters are divided when it comes to confidence in Romney's ability to improve the nation's stagnant economy: 46 percent are confident that the economy would get back on track in a Romney presidency, compared with 52 percent who are not confident.

“It just seems funny the first joke he’s ever told in his life is about Obama’s birth certificate"

lol

among registered voters nationwide

not a partic useful metric

I'm always hearing that "likely voters" (as opposed to registered) tilts Republican...Anyway, I'm going to try to ignore polls until a week after the conventions end; they'll likely bounce up and down till then.

I watched Jeb Bush for a couple of minutes on one of the Sunday shows yesterday. I was wondering if he would have won going away. He definitely would have been a much better candidate than Romney--I'm not sure how that would have balanced with the baggage attached to his name (specifically as it relates to his brother, more generally in relation to the ruling dynasty problem).

it's true, but how you cut for "likely" is part of the dark arts of polling

http://campaignstops.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/08/27/making-the-election-about-race/

mitt going full willie horton

http://gawker.com/5938041/the-republican-convention-swag-bag-sucks

http://img.gawkerassets.com/img/17x7ugvo750a2jpg/xlarge.jpg

...is that a dildo?

One copy of BAYPOP magazine (sample copy from editor's note: "You may be wondering who the handsome man is on the cover of the magazine you are holding right now. Is he some rising star Senator or hopeful Congressman? A political pundit? A famous actor? Despite the fact that our cover model resembles Robert Redford in The Candidate, he is none of the above. Instead, he represent an ideal: the notion of The Young Delegate who is effecting political, social and economic change in Tampa Bay—and the rest of the country.")

OH REALLY.

from the NY Times piece:

The principle media consultant for the pro-Romney super PAC Restore Our Future, which will be running many of the anti-Obama ads over the next ten weeks, is Larry McCarthy, who produced the original Willie Horton ad.

ie, a legend

well at least we know Obama doesn't let ANYONE out of prison.

racist party runs racist campaign, film at 11

film probably not going to run at 11

Chait:

A Republican strategist said something interesting and revealing on Friday, though it largely escaped attention in the howling gusts of punditry over Mitt Romney’s birth certificate crack and a potential convention-altering hurricane. The subject was a Ron Brownstein story outlining the demographic hit rates each party requires to win in November. To squeak out a majority, Mitt Romney probably needs to win at least 61 percent of the white vote — a figure exceeding what George H.W. Bush commanded over Michael Dukakis in 1988. The Republican strategist told Brownstein, “This is the last time anyone will try to do this” — “this” being a near total reliance on white votes to win a presidential election.

James Polk!

The “2012 or never” hypothesis helps explain why a series of Republican candidates, first in the House and most recently at the presidential candidate level, have taken the politically risky step of openly declaring themselves for Paul Ryan’s radical blueprint. Romney’s campaign has been floating word of late that it sees a potential presidency as following the mold of James K. Polk — fulfilling dramatic policy change, and leaving after a single term. “Multiple senior Romney advisers assured me that they had had conversations with the candidate in which he conveyed a depth of conviction about the need to try to enact something like Ryan’s controversial budget and entitlement reforms,” reports the Huffington Post’s Jonathan Ward. “Romney, they said, was willing to count the cost politically in order to achieve it.” David Leonhardt floats a similar sketch, plausibly outlining how Romney could transform the shape of American government by using a Senate procedure that circumvents the filibuster to quickly lock in large regressive tax cuts and repeal of health insurance subsidies to tens of millions of Americans.

uh if obama doesnt win the election you could say the exact same thing about him and health care reform

And there ya go

http://gawker.com/5938164/sarah-palin-impersonating-porn-star-strips-for-rnc-delegates-at-gop+themed-club-in-tampa

To squeak out a majority, Mitt Romney probably needs to win at least 61 percent of the white vote — a figure exceeding what George H.W. Bush commanded over Michael Dukakis in 1988. The Republican strategist told Brownstein, “This is the last time anyone will try to do this” — “this” being a near total reliance on white votes to win a presidential election.

― a regina spektor is haunting europe (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, August 27, 2012 12:36 PM (20 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

i have a feeling theyll try to do this a couple more times

"The main people I'm seeing is Virginia, Maryland and Washington, D.C.," Tiffany Mitchell, who checks IDs at the door, told the Tampa Bay Times. "They are dressed nicer, more conservative. Business casual for the men and Ann Taylor Loft for the women, for sure."

And there ya go

"you betchas" are $20 extra

by their ann taylor loft ye shall know them

They were batting around that white-vote figure on This Week, too--either creepy or pragmatic, depending upon your viewpoint. I think they had a lower figure than 61%--57% or something like that...maybe they adjusted downward, assuming Obama won't get the turnout that he did in '08 for his core voting blocks.

Another day...

http://www.pennlive.com/midstate/index.ssf/2012/08/gop_senate_candidate_likens_ra.html

Smith was then asked if his daughter's unwed pregnancy and rape were similar. “Put yourself in a father's position, yes, I mean it is similar,” he said.

two things that are totally similar; getting pregnant out of wedlock and getting raped

I believe I need to minister to this dude by kicking him in the face

dude needs to clarify he was just saying he hates the guy his daughter chose to have unprotected sex with as much as he'd hate her rapist

Z S needs to animate an obama drone strike on the revolving door willie horton

"you betchas" are $20 extra

She can wink with her butthole.

But do I condone rape? Absolutely not.

Holy sheesh w/ these this guys, what kind of thought pattern even gets near this kind of formulation

If you've ever built a position on which you have to answer that rhetorical question, you've made a wrong turn.

"But don't get me wrong, I am firmly opposed to eating live babies."

At least he didn't say "define 'condone'"

The sad thing is that clearly rape equivocation is a thing in the Republican party. Do I condone rape? No, not at all. But my definition of rape is very, very narrow.

Legitimate rape, that is.

lol

I posted this jewel in the abortion thread.

Medicare to be renamed Medivouch, according to RNC platform.

xpost I think we're going to see more of these guys going down in the undertow of their own cognitive dissonance wrt the Akin thing...on the one hand all their leaders and prominent Rep. ideologues are "strongly condemning" Akin and on the other they're like "Oh but wait isn't that what they taught us at Liberty U.?" And then just end up kind of thrashing around, UH, RAPE BAD

I posted this jewel in the abortion thread.

― a regina spektor is haunting europe (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn)

omfg Could also go in the could-be Onion stories.

So now this is like Iowa and New Hampshire w/ the primaries? What happens when Mississippi outdoes AZ with three weeks?

waiting for the companion piece of this legislation that bans masturbation for being equivalent to murder

By the year 2050 every new baby will have been conceived in 1997

porn = accessory to murder

xp

waiting for the companion piece of this legislation that bans masturbation for being equivalent to murder

― johnathan lee riche$ (mayor jingleberries)

Actually didn't some Dem. rep. bring exactly this bill to the floor as a response to one of these things?

Constance Johnson

The bill was sponsored by Arizona State Rep. Kimberly Yee. Yee is also an ardent supporter of drug testing anyone who receives welfare assistance. She is considered by some to be an "extremist".

The "bill" was "sponsored" by Arizona State Rep. Kimberly "Yee."

Reince Priebus: "I think that the Mitt Romney story is a story of a guy who lives his life on metrics."

Hmm this Romney sounds like a pretty cool dude

and we all know how well the US took to the metric system