I DON'T KNOW WHERE THE BOTTOM IS • US presidential elections part VIII

50/50 odds that after losing Trump will sue every news outlet for a cut of the money he made them by running

there is a little something to it... "bezos'" washingtonpost has been going pretty hard this whole season

thats why Im scared there wont be amazing trump staffer tell all books because he'll sue them into oblivion and take all the (yuge) profits

between its irrepublican reportage and neocon opinion pages it's no surprise really

ahahaha remember this shit??

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/dc/betsy-mccaughy-trump-team

Betsy McCaughey's addition to Donald Trump's council of economic advisors seems fitting: Both are conspiracy theory-floating sensationalists who have what you might describe as a hostile relationship with the truth.

Trump announced that McCaughey, along with seven other women, was joining his economic team Thursday after critics noted the council was made up entirely of men, only one Ph.D.-holding economist and four Steves among them, upon its initial rollout.

lol i'd remembered six steves. a fish story.

maybe trump reflexively overstated the number of steves by 50%.

http://www.wbdaily.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/Charles-Krauthammer.jpg

for some reason, this is what i imagine all of Trump's Steve to be like
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nseBliU80LM

right, we don't have videos anymore. That's the Eric Andre "SUP MELLO" Ranch dude

"I worry that Trump is blowing his load too early. He suggested the Russians should hack her emails, then he suggested gun people should possibly shoot her, called her the devil and now is literally saying she's responsible for ISIS. I just don't know where you go after this. Maybe "brain transplant from Hitler" has some legs.

― frogbs, Friday, August 12, 2016 3:33 PM (2 hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink"

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CpcquhzXEAEcHoA.jpg

As noted several times, we live in a predominantly progressive community, so while there are a smattering of Republicans here and there, I don't think I've seen a Trump sign anywhere; the only two I've seen at all have been out in the cornfield-filled hinterlands. Anyway, my daughter is taking a cooking camp this week, and she said one of the kids was apparently pro-Trump, which at that age means it's her parents who are Trump supporters. Apparently these 9-year olds had, according to the chef, a thoughtful, respectful political conversation after they were done in the kitchen, but me, being less fair minded, kept wondering who the asshole parent was. Today I learned (I think) who it was, and talk about conforming to stereotype: it was an obese white woman with a southern accent.

Meantime, the dream of New Jersey!

http://www.politico.com/states/new-jersey/story/2016/08/trump-nj-headquarters-closed-not-long-after-it-opened-104651

http://static.politico.com/78/25/3774b55543869444485c75b369b2/trumphq.JPG

gf's little niece (also 9 i think?) said she was for trump the other day but not cuz of parents -- just because she's a kid and trump is the crazy one. gf was immediately like YOU KNOW WHAT BEING FOR TRUMP MEANS RIGHT?

Where the bottom is.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-clinton-landslide-would-look-like/

Catherine Martinez, New Jersey state director for the Trump campaign, did not return a call to her cell phone or a Twitter message.

Martinez was paid just over $10,000 by the Trump campaign on May 31, but did not receive any payments in June (aside from a travel reimbursement).

Two other staffers were also paid within a few days of the June 7 primary.

Spencer Silverman, a Franklin & Marshall student who served as an intern for Chris Christie until March, but now lists himself as the New Jersey field director for the Trump campaign, according to his LinkedIn page, was paid just over $5,000 on June 8.

Leonel Cantiolo, who also lists himself as the campaign's New Jersey field director, was paid $3,261 on June 10. Neither received additional payments in June. Spending data for July is not yet available.

gf's little niece (also 9 i think?) said she was for trump the other day but not cuz of parents -- just because she's a kid and trump is the crazy one. gf was immediately like YOU KNOW WHAT BEING FOR TRUMP MEANS RIGHT?

― le Histoire du Edgy Miley (difficult listening hour),

smug fucking liberals imo

I saw a guy in a Trump t-shirt in downtown SF this morning. that was a first.

Out on the road today I saw a Trump/Pence sticker a cadillac

lil voice inside your head said bring Bush back
bring Bush back

there is more presence for Gary Johnson lately than Trump in this area - doesn't really make me feel a lot better. there was a Gary Johnson 'rally' at the local brewery which was just 5-6 people acting smug while sipping craft beer and dressed in preppy suits and talking about 401ks and bullshit

Bill Kristol: well, yeah

xp

https://img.buzzfeed.com/buzzfeed-static/static/2013-12/enhanced/webdr01/9/12/anigif_enhanced-buzz-29279-1386611777-21.gif

I saw a guy in a Trump t-shirt in downtown SF this morning. that was a first.

They're around but minimal. Closest I saw to a full-throated endorsement in the Bay Area in general was months back -- some dude in his late 20s driving a pickup south of San Jose on the freeway with the obligatory bumper sticker. Both he and the vehicle looked dishevelled.

there was a Gary Johnson 'rally' at the local brewery

I am a fan of local breweries in general, but they are definitely hubs of hipster libertarianism.

guys I posted a Bill Kristol gif can we stare at it

hypnotic wattle

I've only seen one Trump shirt so far, on a tourist inside National Museum of American History. I'm out on the National Mall all the time, where there are throngs of bussed-in tourists and I expected to encounter at least one of the iconic hats.

I've only seen a couple Trump bumper stickers. Have seen more cars that still have Romney/Ryan stickers on back from 4 years ago.

(Attenborough voice) Notice how the mature male billkristol uses his neck pouch to perform a mating display, even in the absence of female billkristols. (/Attenborough voice)

xpost I thought that was a turkey in mating season?

I guess he is sort of a turkey in mating season, if you think about it.

The male turkey enacts this exotic display to attract a mate, but should non appear to his liking, he will stubbornly continue this futile mating dance for the next four years, hoping time will bring someone more to his tastes.

roflz

i saw a faded kerry/edwards sticker on someone's bumper a few weeks ago

man i see those all the time #lolbluedistrict

guys I posted a Bill Kristol gif can we stare at it

i haven't done anything else for 15 minutes

i saw a mcgovern/shriver sticker on a bumper a few weeks ago!

wanted to excoriate the driver for abandoning eagleton

Scott Adams, of course, thinks the "Obama founded ISIS" comment is all-time brilliant:

http://blog.dilbert.com/post/148844611656/the-greatest-cognitive-dissonance-trap-of-all-time

I wonder what this dude's limit is. "Hillary did 9/11?" "Well, it made you think about it, didn't it??"

As recently as 2009 there were still Perot '96 stickers on lamp posts in the town I was living in

there are Spiro T Agnew stickers at the local library but you have to steam them in order for the letters to appear

the national polls seem to be tightening as expected after the convention, close enough that we may even see one or two outliers in which trump leads. important thing to remember: this is not a national race, which is why 538, PW, etc. are all remaining confident in their forecasts.

p.s 538 sucks

There's a Carson sticker on a car in my neighborhood. Not sure if it's a campy joke or sincere.

Also I have a high school friend with a Mondale/Ferraro sticker on his Prius. Unfortunately he undercuts whatever value it might have by constantly pointing it out to people, like hey, do you realize I have a genuine vintage Mondale/Ferraro sticker and like I totes put it on a modern car? Aren't I just the most high larious member of the Wacky Club that you ever did see?

(Of course that's the implicit message of like 65% of all bumper stickers anyway, so.)

538 is really bad this year it's true xp

Also I have a high school friend with a Mondale/Ferraro sticker on his Prius. Unfortunately he undercuts whatever value it might have by constantly pointing it out to people, like hey, do you realize I have a genuine vintage Mondale/Ferraro sticker and like I totes put it on a modern car? Aren't I just the most high larious member of the Wacky Club that you ever did see?

idk what's sadder: this sticker or a Dole sticker. Do those exist? I gotta imagine they've gotta be worth a few hundred bucks in mint condition.

I don't really look at 538 much beyond their general polling updates and that one time I played with their state-map-tool thing - why are ppl so down on them this cycle?

Volatile modeling and dumb articles. The podcast has been not terrible but not amazing either.

I trust Steve Kornacki more tbh