Oscars 2018

iirc, the editing is about the quality of the post production stuff (sound f/x, dubbing, etc.) and mixing is about the quality of the film as it sounds in the theatre. Gearhead stuff that matters not to 99.999% of the populace.

I mean, I've actually taken legit classes in Film Audio, and I still had to stretch for an answer.

Ugh:

With only 13 days left until Oscar, the race in most of the marquee categories is sadly settled. BAFTA, held today in London, cemented the frontrunners honoring the exact same actors as the Critics Choice Awards, SAG, and Golden Globes. It's Gary Oldman, Frances McDormand, Sam Rockwell, and Alison Janney for the Oscars. Engrave the statues now. That's just too much consensus for Oscar to overthrow though we're personally baffled that none of that quartet's strong (and arguably better) competitors managed to put up a fight. What's more it's the first time in history when there's been no variation whatsoever in the prizes despite none of that foursome winning any of the top critics awards (NYFCC, LAFCA, and NSFC). Usually there's at least one 'we're-doing-our-own-thing' moment within the four categories in the televised precursors. Not this year. What happened to the tough battle we were suppose to have in Best Actress for example with Saoirse Ronan, Margot Robbie, and Sally Hawkins all seeming possible early on as victors.

haven't these fucking things been and gone already

i've not seen those 4 performances and have no plans to (certainly not to pay)

Daniela Vega among the presenters

http://www.oscars.org/news/90th-oscars-first-slate-presenters-announced

They better be holding Keir Dullea and Gary Lockwood as the Golden Surprise...

if you missed Sci/Tech night

http://www.oscars.org/sci-tech/ceremonies/2018

you like me probably don't know what the Hydrascope telescoping camera crane systems are.

So every single one of the TV awards -- Globes/SAG/BAFTA -- went for the same quadfecta of Oldman, McDormand, Rockwell and Janney. Should be as boring an Oscar night as we've seen in eons.

Haha, oops, I see someone already posted that. I've been away.

Best Picture is still an open question, though

as is who will win the In Memoriam

sam rockwell. really? bad part, and not acted notably well.

yeah BP is a complete tossup AFAICT. I can see almost any of the nominees taking it.

nah imo it’s between lady bird, shape of water, 3BB, and get out

ie the movies that represent social causes

thinkin' it's 3BB or Shape. They'd like to give orig screenplay to Gerwig AND Peele purely for the optics, but have to choose.

The Vanity Fair Oscar podcast had a guy on who fronted the compelling argument that Dunkirk is positioned to be a strong challenger for best picture. It made about as much sense as a plurality getting behind something like The Shape of Water tbh.

ie the movies that represent social causes

if that's the main qualifier, you're neglecting The Post.

yea that one is a true toss up

and uh shape of water doesn't represent a social cause it's just a 'good movie' (i liked it a lot) that has wide appeal. that's my bet. younger pool of voters will split between get out and lady bird, with an edge on lady bird bc that'll get more of the older crew

I swear I thought this would be Dunkirk. On first glance The Shape of Water isn't uh standard Oscar fare until you remember how sentimental it is.

xp oh yeah the post. everyone just sort of forgot about that movie. it wasn't good. i mean movies that come to represent social causes- i.e. la la land somehow being trump, moonlight being hillary or not trump

Also, either Get Out or Lady Bird or even both are likely going home empty handed. So, the Academy will have to answer for that.

Shape of Water is honestly good platonic crowd pleaser oscar winner bc it does have a refreshingly frank take on female sexuality (re: her daily routine, not necessarily the fish)

xp yes that is possible. again bc of vote splitting

xp Only way that doesn't happen is if Peele wins screenplay and somehow Metcalf beats Janney.

i'da thought people who are into the wah would opt for dunkirk over the awful biopic, but then that anonymous voter interview showed up...

I'm fairly certain at this point that Lady Bird will get nothing.

The FIlm Experience podcast speculated on (hoped for) a possible Adrien Brody spoiler in Best Actor but conceded the folly of Sony Picture Classics's not promoting the hell out of Chalamet and knocking a very easy trophy out of Oldman's hands.

just reminding flappy bird that Peele is an amateur next to Spielberg, and the films show it

lol

i mean yes Peele has directed... 2? films, spielberg dozens, but boy the post sucked

no, it didn't. the last 35 minutes of Get Out sucked.

I'm fairly certain at this point that Lady Bird will get nothing.

― morning wood truancy (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, February 21, 2018 9:17 AM (nine minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

this sucks

knocking a very easy trophy out of Oldman's hands

You are familiar with what wins Oscars, yes? Chalamet didn't have a chance in hell to win this, no matter how much SPC flogged him.

who's been flogging Chalamet? in what dungeon?

You are familiar with what wins Oscars, yes? Chalamet didn't have a chance in hell to win this, no matter how much SPC flogged him.

― "Minneapolis" (barf) (Eric H.)

I wasn't even thinking of Chalamet – I had Kaluuya in mind. Until the TV award juggernauts Oldman looked like frontrunner for obv reasons but not a lock, i.e. no real enthusiasm.

If it were either Chalamet or Kaluuya alone in a category full of Gary Oldmans and Denzel Washingtons -- the actual Adrian Brody scenario set-up -- then yes, maybe they would've had a shot. And even then, Brody was playing a Holocaust survivor, so.

and Kaluuya's playing the lead in 2017's favorite mainstream talking point movie.

it evens out

Ask three people over the age of 50 what they thought of Get Out.

I'd argue that Get Out gets knocked out of the best picture race by the second or third pass, tbh.

It's true, we oldtimers know The Stepford Wives when we see it. (even if we never saw the original)

Maybe there's just enough reflexive Day-Lewis voters to engineer an upset (who are also closeted gay men who like to get poisoned). Not betting on it though.

have you seen the fashion choices of Academy members? Not happening.

Phantom Thread is not going to win anything

Maybe Best Score

Nope: https://www.slantmagazine.com/house/article/oscar-2018-winner-predictions-costume-design

oh right, duh

"closeted gay men who like to get poisoned" is one of the less popular craigslist personals sections

easier to find your soulmate then

he's not gay.

don't say that to David Ehrenstein!