nah imo it’s between lady bird, shape of water, 3BB, and get out
― flappy bird, Wednesday, 21 February 2018 17:03 (six years ago) link
ie the movies that represent social causes
― flappy bird, Wednesday, 21 February 2018 17:04 (six years ago) link
thinkin' it's 3BB or Shape. They'd like to give orig screenplay to Gerwig AND Peele purely for the optics, but have to choose.
― ice cream social justice (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 21 February 2018 17:06 (six years ago) link
The Vanity Fair Oscar podcast had a guy on who fronted the compelling argument that Dunkirk is positioned to be a strong challenger for best picture. It made about as much sense as a plurality getting behind something like The Shape of Water tbh.
― "Minneapolis" (barf) (Eric H.), Wednesday, 21 February 2018 17:09 (six years ago) link
if that's the main qualifier, you're neglecting The Post.
― Simon H., Wednesday, 21 February 2018 17:10 (six years ago) link
yea that one is a true toss up
and uh shape of water doesn't represent a social cause it's just a 'good movie' (i liked it a lot) that has wide appeal. that's my bet. younger pool of voters will split between get out and lady bird, with an edge on lady bird bc that'll get more of the older crew
― flappy bird, Wednesday, 21 February 2018 17:10 (six years ago) link
I swear I thought this would be Dunkirk. On first glance The Shape of Water isn't uh standard Oscar fare until you remember how sentimental it is.
― morning wood truancy (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 21 February 2018 17:10 (six years ago) link
xp oh yeah the post. everyone just sort of forgot about that movie. it wasn't good. i mean movies that come to represent social causes- i.e. la la land somehow being trump, moonlight being hillary or not trump
― flappy bird, Wednesday, 21 February 2018 17:11 (six years ago) link
Also, either Get Out or Lady Bird or even both are likely going home empty handed. So, the Academy will have to answer for that.
― "Minneapolis" (barf) (Eric H.), Wednesday, 21 February 2018 17:12 (six years ago) link
Shape of Water is honestly good platonic crowd pleaser oscar winner bc it does have a refreshingly frank take on female sexuality (re: her daily routine, not necessarily the fish)
xp yes that is possible. again bc of vote splitting
― flappy bird, Wednesday, 21 February 2018 17:13 (six years ago) link
xp Only way that doesn't happen is if Peele wins screenplay and somehow Metcalf beats Janney.
― "Minneapolis" (barf) (Eric H.), Wednesday, 21 February 2018 17:13 (six years ago) link
i'da thought people who are into the wah would opt for dunkirk over the awful biopic, but then that anonymous voter interview showed up...
― adam the (abanana), Wednesday, 21 February 2018 17:14 (six years ago) link
I'm fairly certain at this point that Lady Bird will get nothing.
The FIlm Experience podcast speculated on (hoped for) a possible Adrien Brody spoiler in Best Actor but conceded the folly of Sony Picture Classics's not promoting the hell out of Chalamet and knocking a very easy trophy out of Oldman's hands.
― morning wood truancy (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 21 February 2018 17:17 (six years ago) link
just reminding flappy bird that Peele is an amateur next to Spielberg, and the films show it
― ice cream social justice (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 21 February 2018 17:24 (six years ago) link
lol
― flappy bird, Wednesday, 21 February 2018 17:24 (six years ago) link
i mean yes Peele has directed... 2? films, spielberg dozens, but boy the post sucked
― flappy bird, Wednesday, 21 February 2018 17:25 (six years ago) link
no, it didn't. the last 35 minutes of Get Out sucked.
― ice cream social justice (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 21 February 2018 17:28 (six years ago) link
― morning wood truancy (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, February 21, 2018 9:17 AM (nine minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink
this sucks
― direct to consumer online mattress brand (silby), Wednesday, 21 February 2018 17:28 (six years ago) link
knocking a very easy trophy out of Oldman's hands
You are familiar with what wins Oscars, yes? Chalamet didn't have a chance in hell to win this, no matter how much SPC flogged him.
― "Minneapolis" (barf) (Eric H.), Wednesday, 21 February 2018 17:31 (six years ago) link
who's been flogging Chalamet? in what dungeon?
― ice cream social justice (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 21 February 2018 17:32 (six years ago) link
― "Minneapolis" (barf) (Eric H.)
I wasn't even thinking of Chalamet – I had Kaluuya in mind. Until the TV award juggernauts Oldman looked like frontrunner for obv reasons but not a lock, i.e. no real enthusiasm.
― morning wood truancy (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 21 February 2018 17:36 (six years ago) link
If it were either Chalamet or Kaluuya alone in a category full of Gary Oldmans and Denzel Washingtons -- the actual Adrian Brody scenario set-up -- then yes, maybe they would've had a shot. And even then, Brody was playing a Holocaust survivor, so.
― "Minneapolis" (barf) (Eric H.), Wednesday, 21 February 2018 17:37 (six years ago) link
and Kaluuya's playing the lead in 2017's favorite mainstream talking point movie.
― morning wood truancy (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 21 February 2018 17:40 (six years ago) link
it evens out
Ask three people over the age of 50 what they thought of Get Out.
― "Minneapolis" (barf) (Eric H.), Wednesday, 21 February 2018 17:42 (six years ago) link
I'd argue that Get Out gets knocked out of the best picture race by the second or third pass, tbh.
― "Minneapolis" (barf) (Eric H.), Wednesday, 21 February 2018 17:43 (six years ago) link
It's true, we oldtimers know The Stepford Wives when we see it. (even if we never saw the original)
― ice cream social justice (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 21 February 2018 17:45 (six years ago) link
Maybe there's just enough reflexive Day-Lewis voters to engineer an upset (who are also closeted gay men who like to get poisoned). Not betting on it though.
― ice cream social justice (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 21 February 2018 17:46 (six years ago) link
have you seen the fashion choices of Academy members? Not happening.
― morning wood truancy (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 21 February 2018 17:47 (six years ago) link
Phantom Thread is not going to win anything
― flappy bird, Wednesday, 21 February 2018 18:01 (six years ago) link
Maybe Best Score
Nope: https://www.slantmagazine.com/house/article/oscar-2018-winner-predictions-costume-design
― "Minneapolis" (barf) (Eric H.), Wednesday, 21 February 2018 18:01 (six years ago) link
oh right, duh
― flappy bird, Wednesday, 21 February 2018 18:03 (six years ago) link
"closeted gay men who like to get poisoned" is one of the less popular craigslist personals sections
― direct to consumer online mattress brand (silby), Wednesday, 21 February 2018 18:19 (six years ago) link
easier to find your soulmate then
― ice cream social justice (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 21 February 2018 18:19 (six years ago) link
he's not gay.
― Heavy Messages (jed_), Wednesday, 21 February 2018 18:21 (six years ago) link
don't say that to David Ehrenstein!
― ice cream social justice (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 21 February 2018 18:27 (six years ago) link
I'm 63. I loved Get Out. Whatever that means.
― banjoboy, Thursday, 22 February 2018 00:10 (six years ago) link
jed, do you know what the exclusive meaning of "confirmed bachelor" was in the mid-20th century?
― ice cream social justice (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 22 February 2018 03:28 (six years ago) link
It meant “hungry boy,” iirc
― "Minneapolis" (barf) (Eric H.), Thursday, 22 February 2018 13:20 (six years ago) link
I was finally able to see Lady Bird on its return to a local theater and I'm going to be angry if it gets shut out
I don't need to see this Three Billboards crap to be justifiably angry at it for getting nominations, right?
― mh, Monday, 26 February 2018 22:31 (six years ago) link
it is very bad
― piper at the gates of d'awwww (voodoo chili), Monday, 26 February 2018 22:33 (six years ago) link
I never saw Crash for similar reasons, but is it Crash levels of bad
― mh, Monday, 26 February 2018 22:36 (six years ago) link
not quite, but it nearly reaches crash levels of hamfistedness
― piper at the gates of d'awwww (voodoo chili), Monday, 26 February 2018 22:52 (six years ago) link
There is no such thing as Crash-level badness. Only Crash has ever been that bad.
― "Minneapolis" (barf) (Eric H.), Monday, 26 February 2018 23:25 (six years ago) link
Three Billboards is its own level of badness.
― morning wood truancy (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 26 February 2018 23:27 (six years ago) link
The CMBYN Talking Heads t shirt having a picture from 1984 despite the film being set in 1983.. i mean come on costume bloke/lady jeez. Maybe i like film too much and i'm just nitpicking but i mean if it was the wrong Bob Dylan photo or some such we'd never hear the last of it.
― piscesx, Tuesday, 27 February 2018 00:19 (six years ago) link
you're just nitpicking
― ice cream social justice (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 27 February 2018 02:45 (six years ago) link
i love when the anonymous Oscar voters call Dunkirk confusing just to remind us they're in their 70s and watched it on their couch while doing a sudoku— Corey Atad (@CoreyAtad) February 28, 2018
― ice cream social justice (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 28 February 2018 17:19 (six years ago) link
finally getting to watch Dunkirk the way it was intended to be seen pic.twitter.com/vSqGquIMs4— demi adejuyigbe (@electrolemon) December 20, 2017
― mh, Wednesday, 28 February 2018 17:25 (six years ago) link