Oscars 2018

but Kobe Bryant's cartoon is apparently poised to win, and he had a case dismissed...

Dear Basketball, the ACTUAL worst movie nominated for an award this year outside of The Insult.

I only just caught Get Out; it's merely good, kind of an A minus grade student art film? But I thought Kaluuya was <i>phenomenal</i>. Everything works in the movie because of Kaluuya, not Jordan Peele.

That is to say, phonomenal

Please point me to some A-minus-grade student art films that are as good as Get Out. Seriously, it sounds I'd enjoy them, and there must a lot of them.

if i could stan for any upset it would be Manville.

It's perfectly okay to say Get Out does many things right and wittily, is not a great film, yet deserves to win anyway.

if it wins then at least it will be better than the last thing that won.

Moonlight? Marginally.

i said at least!

but yes, it is funny.

It's perfectly okay to say Get Out does many things right and wittily, is not a great film, yet deserves to win anyway.

yeah PT is a better movie but GO winning would be more fun

yep

well, PT winning would be more excellent fun.

the kinda fun I hate. xp

I'm soooo glad Charles Burnett and Melvin van Peebles remain unknowns while cinematic neophytes are blazing Oscar trails

the kinda fun I hate

Oh, so everything.

btw isn't You Can't Take It With You too *screwball* for you?

well yeah we can only have one kind of black filmmaker, right?

still, the BP tabulation method is fucking insane, eliminating low finishers and crediting 2nd/3rd place votes til one gets over 50%?

The most obvious downside for something like an award I guess is you can potentially pick a winner that a majority weakly support rather than one a plurality strongly support. (Whereas this is potentially desirable in a political contest.)

btw isn't You Can't Take It With You too *screwball* for you?

I said I can imagine and accept arguments for it being better than Grand Hotel. I didn't outline a referendum on my own taste.

well yeah we can only have one kind of black filmmaker, right?

No, in 2016-17 Oscar terms, just the kind who can't do third acts.

Whereas this is potentially desirable in a political contest.

yep, the alt-right is quakin'

strike that, i misinterpreted yr post

yesssss: https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/lists/brutally-honest-oscar-ballot-get-filmmakers-played-race-card-just-sick-meryl-streep-1090440/item/best-original-screenplay-2018-brutally-honest-oscars-ballot-2-1090472?utm_source=t.co&utm_medium=referral

lmfao:

At a talkback, he [del Toro] said, “I wrote a love story because I really think that if we love each other more, it will solve a lot of the problems in the world today.” I hadn’t thought about things that way and I liked that.

Oscar voter unfamiliar with Buddha, Jesus, Beatles

In Call Me by Your Name,] one guy [Armie Hammer] comes off as a 35-year-old hitting on a 17-year-old [22-year-old Timothee Chalamet], and that just bothered me

Here's the real reason why SPC was afraid to promote this thing.

I eliminated The Post first. To me, it was the most boring movie. I remember that era, and that Kay Graham flew in to LBJ’s parties every weekend down on his ranch — that I would have liked to have seen!

Oscar voter otm

“I wrote a love story because I really think that if we love each other more, it will solve a lot of the problems in the world today.”

Please let be mixing up del Toro and Tommy Wiseau.

oldman was dreadful to the point of surrealism, in case anyone's been wondering.

Like our president, say.

Would totally watch Trump in prosthetics playing Churchill.

I'd watch him prosthetics playing Trump.

watching the audience react to darkest hour was a hundred times more alienating and baffling than the 2016 election

Mayfair showing pretty muted. Where did you see it?

i'm in hawaii. muted is what i'm complaining about: you wait for the raucous laughter and it never comes

Ah, I see. Over here I'd heard report of rounds of applause at the end and the like, which was what I failed to experience.

a lot of impressed and moved talk in the lobby afterwards; the worst thing you can get anyone to say about it is that the movie isn't as good as oldman's performance, when in fact they are exactly suited for each other

anyway, sobering (in that interview) to see streep-sickness finally afflict the most resilient among us.

"i loved get out until its creators claimed it was about race" is presumably the premise of get out 2

That left it down to Darkest Hour and The Shape of Water.

OK, time to shuffle off the mortal voter roll.

Just heard the crazy system for voting best picture, which I guess takes into account second and third and so on choices (I think). Maybe this was on NPR? Anyway, they sort of theorized that Dunkirk and Get Out had the best underdog chances, because they were the most liked and made the most money so would perhaps appear on enough ballots in second or third (or first) place to get enough total votes to win.

Also, had two (female) friends of mine wonder if they would have liked Call Me By Your Name (which they loved) as much if it was set in Indiana and not Italy.

a lake house in Indianapolis, say.

I'm ruling Dunkirk out on the basis of most Academy members viewing these films on screeners (and, as someone commented here, probably doing sudoku at the same time).

Call Me By Your Name feels like a good outside bet to me.

Yeah a preferential ballot is crazy, Oscars should use a good rational voting system like the Electoral College

no shot for CMBYN as bp: we did gay last year

Nah.

roughly i think the odds are

3 Billboards 40%
Shape 35%
Lady Bird 15%
Get Out 10%

CMBYN is also probably the least watched of any of the nominees

Get Out? Surely the voters will think they did black last year ;)

xpost