Rolling US Economy Into The Shitbin Thread

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Some local medical cannabis upstart literally just sold a few weeks ago for six hundred million dollars.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 16 January 2019 20:01 (five years ago) link

The people who genuinely make a fortune on weed will be those who make their fortune off the other people who want to make a fortune on weed.

just like the gold rush or the dotcom boom

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 16 January 2019 20:03 (five years ago) link

Oh I remember that pot penny stock craze, athough I thought it was earlier than 2014. I speculated a bunch but they were all busts.

Yerac, Wednesday, 16 January 2019 20:04 (five years ago) link

I've talked with a couple of people who have invested in the industry, and their faith/money is based less in the ultimate success of the product/industry and more about gambling the things they invest in get bought out by Budweiser or Pfizer or whatever.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 16 January 2019 20:44 (five years ago) link

I just like market manipulation due to low float. It's a game.

Yerac, Wednesday, 16 January 2019 20:47 (five years ago) link

@Yerac if you have the trading bug you should check out nanocap/pink sheet trading, it can be fun. Early last week I bought a million shares of VYST at .0007, and sold for a good profit in the teens and finally .0021... But if I'd held you'll see it went to almost .02 this week and my initial $700 investment would have been worth $18k lol.

GarugBand (rip van wanko), Wednesday, 16 January 2019 21:39 (five years ago) link

I don't really trade OTC/pink sheets anymore. Although I have in the past a little, but I usually keep my portfolios in about 20 equities (mostly tech and biotech, retail, some randoms) for dividends or swing trading and then do most daytrading in commodity lev etfs/etns.

Yerac, Wednesday, 16 January 2019 21:52 (five years ago) link

Yeah I'm addicted to the otc trash tbh. Big board/blue Chip stuff is infinitely more liquid (not to mention marginable) but I've found I cannot consistently outwit the HFT's/ hedge fund managers/Goldman trades/aliens that run it

GarugBand (rip van wanko), Wednesday, 16 January 2019 21:57 (five years ago) link

Goldman traders i mean

GarugBand (rip van wanko), Wednesday, 16 January 2019 21:58 (five years ago) link

I only had to have a couple of things go illiquid and have paid to get it removed from my account before I decided it was too much hassle. Plus I don't like things I can't premarket or afterhours trade.

Yerac, Wednesday, 16 January 2019 22:00 (five years ago) link

anyone know anything about Marcus by GS or similar online savings high APY accounts?

YouTube_-_funy_cats.flv (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Monday, 21 January 2019 01:16 (five years ago) link

I just did a cursory look because I didn't know they were offering regular savings accounts/cds now. The rates look good. If you just want to deposit and leave it, it seems like a good choice. The last time I reviewed these I opened a Schwab checking and savings which I never funded. But it was primarily for the no fee worldwide atm usage.

Yerac, Monday, 21 January 2019 01:28 (five years ago) link

I do that with Ally. They currently pay 0.25% less than Goldman and they’ve been one of if not the top earner all the time I’ve banked with them. Also they’re not Goldman Sachs you know?

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 21 January 2019 01:49 (five years ago) link

Oh, does Ally have a high rate? I have one account with them from when it got moved over from Tradeking. I was actually thinking of moving it to Interactive, so all my accounts would be there, but I kind of hate their platform.

Yerac, Monday, 21 January 2019 02:09 (five years ago) link

Places I have had an account: E*Trade, TD Ameritrade, Morgan Stanley, Scottrade, Tradeking, Ally whatever it's called now, Interactive Brokers, Washington Mutual, Chase.

Yerac, Monday, 21 January 2019 02:14 (five years ago) link

Ally has a checking and high interest savings account. They have a broker thing but I don’t know much about it. And I don’t believe the checking account is remarkable. But the savings account is the one all the reddit personal finance and early retirement needs recommend.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 21 January 2019 02:42 (five years ago) link

turns out ally's savings rate is 2.2% not 2.0%, which must have happened in the last couple of days. ally isn't a fuzzy credit union, but it's not goldman sachs.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 21 January 2019 03:50 (five years ago) link

I have a Marcus account now--I liked it because it was really easy to connect with my main bank account (maybe Ally is like that too).

I have most of my money now in either interest-bearing savings accounts or CD ladders (which don't get a huge amount more interest than the savings accounts, 2.5-3%). I have maybe 10-20% in index funds and a bit in bond funds too. A friend told me she has most of her money in T-bills. Sentiment seems pretty bad right now.

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Monday, 21 January 2019 04:26 (five years ago) link

Thank u all. Mostly just interested in a cash hole w my partner and online/non brick and mortar seem to have dope rates. I figure I’m participating in the annoying parts of capitalism so Goldman vs Ally and that .15 percent might be worth it. They’re all crooked deep down

YouTube_-_funy_cats.flv (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Monday, 21 January 2019 04:27 (five years ago) link

and the phrase 'complimentary disco' should strike terror into anyone's heart

― Milton Parker

they turned Supertrain into a hotel?

The Elvis of Nationalism and Amoral Patriotism (rushomancy), Monday, 21 January 2019 04:41 (five years ago) link

People have no idea how easy it will be for legalization to create a massive oversupply of weed.

― A is for (Aimless)

no, no. i'd say we're pretty aware of exactly how easy it is here in portland.

The Elvis of Nationalism and Amoral Patriotism (rushomancy), Monday, 21 January 2019 04:42 (five years ago) link

fwiw my CD ladder is through a Fidelity account -- they made it pretty easy to set up. I have an old rollover IRA there and also set up a brokerage account there.

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Monday, 21 January 2019 05:16 (five years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Dxdj4a6VsAAm2ue.jpg

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 21 January 2019 21:04 (five years ago) link

We both have our own retirement/long term accounts so the idea was for a mattress/emergency fund that would be more liquid than a CD xp

YouTube_-_funy_cats.flv (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Monday, 21 January 2019 22:31 (five years ago) link

My CU pays high (4%ish) interest on the first $500 in each of my primary checking and savings accounts which for the amount of cash I have there results in a fairly generous effective APY.

I have measured out my life in coffee shop loyalty cards (silby), Monday, 21 January 2019 22:46 (five years ago) link

(In lieu of debit card rewards I suppose)

I have measured out my life in coffee shop loyalty cards (silby), Monday, 21 January 2019 22:46 (five years ago) link

is that the actual Storm Shadow or just a Storm Shadow cosplayer

The Elvis of Nationalism and Amoral Patriotism (rushomancy), Tuesday, 22 January 2019 00:41 (five years ago) link

two months pass...

everything needs to reset already. That blip in december was nothing.

Yerac, Friday, 22 March 2019 21:29 (five years ago) link

https://www.marketwatch.com/amp/story/guid/2FEA4280-4A57-11E9-ABE5-16C30B035A18

nice companion piece to flopson's link

rip van wanko, Friday, 22 March 2019 21:45 (five years ago) link

“We no longer have business cycles; we have credit cycles.”

otm

A is for (Aimless), Friday, 22 March 2019 21:49 (five years ago) link

two months pass...

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/D8PBXXfWsAA8yrB.jpg:small

oops

mookieproof, Tuesday, 4 June 2019 17:43 (four years ago) link

one month passes...

fed to lower interest rates idk much about this stuff but it seems like not a good idea

(•̪●) (carne asada), Wednesday, 31 July 2019 19:17 (four years ago) link

It’s a stimulus for an economy that’s been growing for like 10 years running. Trying to head off any effects from a global slowdown/tariffs.

Carisis LaVerted (m bison), Wednesday, 31 July 2019 19:33 (four years ago) link

booooo

president of deluded fruitcakes anonymous (silby), Wednesday, 31 July 2019 19:38 (four years ago) link

I feel like I don’t understand anything anymore. The economy makes no sense to me.

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Wednesday, 31 July 2019 20:30 (four years ago) link

it's frustrating how you can't even really talk about it without it revolving entirely around trump's madness.

Yerac, Wednesday, 31 July 2019 20:37 (four years ago) link

the way employment is tabulated seems designed to flatter wall street into thinking pro shareholder policies aren’t ruinous to everyone else but what do i know

maura, Thursday, 1 August 2019 10:13 (four years ago) link

It also seems like economists are finally being cool with massively stimulating the economy with government spending & rate cuts and it doesn't completely fuck things over.. only they're doing it in year 10 of an economic expansion and for the worst president in the history of the republic

officer sonny bonds, lytton pd (mayor jingleberries), Thursday, 1 August 2019 15:13 (four years ago) link

still haven't reached all 2018 highs. Could still crash this year.

triple-washed (Sufjan Grafton), Thursday, 1 August 2019 15:18 (four years ago) link

There are legitimate reasons to support a rate cut here. One that comes to mind is that it would be better to let inflation run a bit hotter. Of course that’s not the reason Trump wants a rate cut.

o. nate, Thursday, 1 August 2019 17:31 (four years ago) link

See, one tweet and to the shitbin we go.

triple-washed (Sufjan Grafton), Thursday, 1 August 2019 18:33 (four years ago) link

makes no sense to me

The lament of a lot of investors. Since 2008 and Fed quantitative easing, we get enormous asset inflation, but no trickle down or real wage growth. Undoubtedly, we're also getting enormous malinvestment from the below-market credit prices, but that doesn't matter, until it does.

Maybe its just too many years of Catholic theology classes and skeptical exposure to Austrian economics, but I can't but suspect there is a long term hell for the sin of a decade of effectively free money for the bankers.

hedonic treadmill class action (Sanpaku), Thursday, 1 August 2019 22:30 (four years ago) link

For example, the entire reason petroleum and natural gas fracking has been viable at all for the past decade is super low rates on junk bonds. All those upstream O&G cos have or are going bankrupt, because you can only be cash-flow negative for so long. Malinvestment.

Some of that has been visible in retail, but there Amz is an easy scapegoat. But my spidey sense is that its more pervasive.

hedonic treadmill class action (Sanpaku), Thursday, 1 August 2019 22:34 (four years ago) link

here we go, maybe?

sleeve, Monday, 5 August 2019 13:57 (four years ago) link

eh, this stock market has been doing shit like this all the time lately. it might continue to plunge or it might rebound by mid-afternoon.

Carisis LaVerted (m bison), Monday, 5 August 2019 14:21 (four years ago) link

The market has been pretty blasé about ratcheting tensions around the globe for a while now. How much longer can it whistle past the graveyard with Hong Kong, Iran, Brexit, China trade war, an increasingly untethered Trump, etc? Not to mention slowdown in Europe.

o. nate, Monday, 5 August 2019 14:32 (four years ago) link

yeah it has been remarkably non-volatile since Trump was elected.

Yerac, Monday, 5 August 2019 14:36 (four years ago) link

i cant tell if the market is resilient or just blindly exuberant and optimistic

Carisis LaVerted (m bison), Monday, 5 August 2019 14:37 (four years ago) link

Is it because rich white people have blind faith in the stock market since trumps arrival?

dan selzer, Monday, 5 August 2019 14:38 (four years ago) link


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