outbreak! (ebola, sars, coronavirus, etc)

People by O'Hare here say the skies are clearer than they've been in years.

Or rather: it's complicated.

xp

Guess The City crew in pincer movement

well that's a bummer, but still I think there's a chance we all go outside one summer day and realize with great frustration that the bugs are back

if i survive this, totally going back to the Venetian lagoon, Burano looks dope

0% interest rates, bidets, covering your face, social distancing.... girl we goin to islam???

— laraib (@_laraiib) March 17, 2020

knew it was coming - Sacramento County has now issued a Stay At Home order


https://www.sacbee.com/news/coronavirus/article241299741.html

some a+ material in the replies to the tweet tracer posted

https://www.teenvogue.com/story/coronavirus-response-climate-crisis

italy's numbers today seem...... bad

Italy’s numbers are interesting. 35,713 positive out of 165k tests isn’t suggesting much randomised testing. Are they just treating identified and suspected cases during lockdown? Depends how widely the infected travelled, and if they haven’t tested that many people then they’re not going to be stemming the new cases as well as they need to be.

does anybody have rough numbers in terms of yesterday's death toll? tyia

289 active cases in IL now, up from 160 yesterday (80% increase)

US cases up to 7,731 now, up from 5,723 yesterday (35% increase)

xp sleeve you mean US, or global? 112 deaths in the US (according to https://covidtracking.com/data/)

worldwide deaths are up about 800 on last night, according to the johns hopkins thingy

thanks, brb gonna yell at some people on FB

xpost You mean 8000? It's actually close to 9000, last I saw.

Just because perspective is useful, however unpleasant, CDC estimates the 1968 flu pandemic (which no one talks about, afaict) killed 1 million worldwide.

I meant a 1-day total, for yesterday ideally, I think mookie is right?

xpost You mean 8000? It's actually close to 9000, last I saw.

mookie was citing the deaths from just yesterday alone

it was just under 8000 last night + 800 today = 8732 right now

good news, tho

This is not the end of the world, according to Christians who study the end of the world

I make it a 12% rise in total reported deaths in the last 24 hours.

Wait, so HALF today’s deaths worldwide were in Italy?

More than 400 in 24 hours. Grim.

the US numbers look discouraging, but Fauci did also say it'd be weeks before we really knew if we were making an impact, especially because now late testing is catching people who should have shown up on reports weeks ago.

but I'm growing less confident every time I see some other asshole say "fuck it, you can't tell me I can't live my life" and they fucking do body shots off of each other at a house party in the midst of a crisis.

(ok I haven't *seen* anybody do this, but ya know, an example)

yeah it's really not clear if new infections are spiking that much or if we're just testing that much more

I mean obviously now it's both

it is amusing to me that the same voters who claimed Obamacare was evil because it would install death panels are the same people who are refusing to self-distance when overcrowding of hospitals will create real life 'death panels' when hospital beds and ventilators have to be rationed

every day is a goddamn death panel when it comes to living in a society amirite

^Sheryl Crow's best

a happy couple enters the bar
dangerously close to one another

The information about asymptomatic carriers is one of the most confusing aspects right now, and the way it is being shared, even by the most intelligent health experts, is not helping at all.

― Mario Meatwagon (Moodles), Wednesday, 18 March 2020 10:48

Agreed. The official WHO guidance is "The risk of catching COVID-19 from someone with no symptoms at all is very low. However, many people with COVID-19 experience only mild symptoms. This is particularly true at the early stages of the disease. It is therefore possible to catch COVID-19 from someone who has, for example, just a mild cough and does not feel ill."

But yes, there's been research that seems to run counter to that, though perhaps it's just down the the boundary between no symptoms and mild symptoms.

Similarly, the exact manner in which is it spread seems not settled yet. This is a good piece about how much it can be transmitted in the air:

https://www.wired.com/story/they-say-coronavirus-isnt-airborne-but-its-definitely-borne-by-air/

Not effective with severe cases, but looks promising?

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/18/japanese-flu-drug-clearly-effective-in-treating-coronavirus-says-china

I've been thinking that part of the issue with "asymptomatic transmission" is the subjectivity of "symptoms." I'm so used to going to work with "just a cold" or feeling "under the weather" that I barely notice when I do anymore. Just as I was typing this, I coughed a couple times, but I've probably coughed no more than 6-10 times all day. I have seasonal allergies too, which often lead to having mild cold or flu-like symptoms.

It seemed counter to what we know about viruses to think that a truly "asymptomatic" person could easily and widely transmit, but I think there are probably a lot of transmitters who just don't think they are "sick" because they only feel a routine kind of under the weather.

Lesson to learn here is stop working as soon as you feel under the weather and go lie down, I guess.

Again, it comes down to messaging. If the truth is that there are thousands of people with zero symptoms spreading this willy nilly, then a completely different approach is needed. None of the official guidance makes it clear though.

it seems entirely possible to me now that I actually caught this in February

Lesson to learn here is stop working as soon as you feel under the weather and go lie down, I guess.

― silby, Wednesday, March 18, 2020 10:11 PM (five minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

This actually isn't a crazy idea for what the post "peak coronavirus" (but pre vaccine) work world could look like, if we actually had sensible policies. Like if there was easy home or on-site testing available and any time a person felt even a little sick they could be tested and kept home, that would go a long way.

I mean having a mild cold or a bad allergy day is a good enough reason to go home and lie down imo

Florida has 328 now. a mere two weeks ago, we had only 6 known cases.

How many tests were available 2 weeks ago?

Spring breakers looking to triple that figure in a day or so, it seems.

damn.

A message from the Chief Physician of Rikers Island for the judges and prosecutors of New York: We who care for those you detain noticed how swiftly you closed your courts in response to #COVID19 1/x

— Ross MacDonald (@RossMacDonaldMD) March 19, 2020

How many tests were available 2 weeks ago?

― Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Thursday, March 19, 2020 12:14 AM bookmarkflaglink

idk, we seemed to be testing hundreds at a time (200-300), but probably still not widely available

Scotty form Marketing is doing the worst Moses impression ever.

just one study, but interesting:

People with type A blood are more likely to catch coronavirus while those with type O seem more resistant, a preliminary study of about 2,000 patients in China showed.

I'm type A, I'm not going to worry about it

What abt cut vs uncut did they check that

I’m type o negative

Like the band
*intense eye stare*