Joe Biden, Senator from Citibank (oops, DELAWARE), to Run for President

xp of course you do, you sandbagging troll

The way the vote for Biden shot up once the other moderates were out of the way makes it quite likely a lot of them were from moderate voters.

uh..."another one" is not a candidate.

you are presuming *every* vote for Biden is = an anti-Bernie vote

There's just nothing in the way that the primary played out that would give Bernie a democratic mandate at a contested convention. Sorry. But it quite clearly isn't there.

and Fwed is veewy sad 😞 😢

*extremely Morbius voice* what "left"? xxxp

I'm quite a bit mad as well. But Bernie >>>>>>>> Biden, of course.

I don't have any more info than the avg reader

is there a pattern of Biden behavior that fits? seems so.

I want him gone for his many crimes, we could add this to the pile

― brooklyn suicide cult (Dr Morbius), Thursday, March 26, 2020 8:58 AM (two hours ago) bookmarkflaglink

Consider that Garrison Keillor's 50+ year career was destroyed by 0.0001% of the gross behavior our likely nominee has been accused of

the thing with the lack of enthusiasm for biden (owing to the fact that he is actually dead and has been dead for several weeks) is that it's hard to imagine it getting any better over the summer because of this virus - "coronavirus" - you all may have heard about recently. in typical election campaigns there's a palpable sense of excitement that comes from large groups of people coming together, cheering for their candidate, being together and feeling a sense of political community that rarely occurs otherwise for many people. this year, it seems like that there's just going to be Online. Webcasts and online town halls and pre-recorded speeches. biden standing, talking and addressing a camera to silence, etc. biden being dead, on screen.

although who knows, maybe all of that would affect both biden and trump, and trump would take even more of a hit? seems like the trump crowd really gets off on being together with other racists and really letting down their defenses and being open with the fact that they're all so racist, together

i suppose the trump crowd can still see each other on stormfront but it's just not the same as the face to face interaction

Fred we all think youre an idiot plz stop

also fwiw, not that i am expecting this contested convention scenario, or that it would matter, but: there was tons of polling early on that suggested a great many voters for candidates x, y, and z *also* liked candidates a, b, and c - and bernie was not an exception here, lots of biden voters like bernie, they just like biden more or feel safer with him versus trump etc. so it's a bit silly to imagine every non-bernie delegate representing a unified anti-bernie, anyone-but-bernie Will of the People. come on.

Fred we all think youre an idiot plz stop

― brooklyn suicide cult (Dr Morbius), Thursday, March 26, 2020 8:40 AM (forty-five minutes ago)

evergreen

you are presuming *every* vote for Biden is = an anti-Bernie vote

sadly I think this is more true than a lot of people want to admit right now

I think it is too! but the convention doesn't have a provision for making the direct assumption

Reanimating some candidate who got <50 delagtes (or none) and dropped out before Frebruary (or never entered!) would have implications for the party (and the general election) that'll make earlier concerns about the fallout from a traditionally brokered convention look mild by comparison

I'm not saying that won't happen, I'm just saying there goes your party

But that's not how it works! I know that, and I'm from Denmark!

the party's not gonna look the same next year no matter what, either Biden will lose the general and the progressive wing will find the strength to reshape it or Biden wins and the progressive wing finds the strength to exit it.

xp Fred shhhhh

what? what's now how it works?

(realize this is a dumb prediction but idk)

nobody knows "how it works!"

We're in the middle of a pandemic and talking about the unlikley scenario in which the presumptive nominee dies from it or falls into a manhole or whatever

You're looking at this as if it's a congressional election, but it's really not. You need 2000 delegates! If Biden gets a majority, but can't use it, he is free to use the delegates as he thinks is best. If he died, Buttigieg would have a fine claim to see he was the runner up in the moderate lane, and would have won if it weren't for Biden. If the delegates agree, they'll go to him. And that is the democratic way to do it!

he absoultely would not

James Clyburn would probably agree, I think his son worked on the Buttigieg campaign

the last time a candidate died in the middle of the primary, the convention did not go great

If Biden gets a majority, but can't use it, he is free to use the delegates as he thinks is best.

No shit Sherlock. My point if you reread is that this is would be a dangerous calculus the party (and Biden himself) might be unwilling to make, seeing how millions would no longer feel "defeated" but disenfranchised.

If you can cite some precedent for this sceanrio please do. I'm no scholar of U.S. electoral politics, but then again I'm not Danish.

lmao

1968 is the closest precedent, even though most states didn't hold primaries then. but choosing a party hack to replace RFK instead of the delegate leader Eugene McCarthy did alienate the activist left and leave them feeling disenfranchised

Also at the time RFK was killed there was greater parity—three candidates with 250+ delegates. This is not that.

No it's not, Biden is a clear frontrunner. So yeah, it's different.

Anyway Biden's going to slog Frankenstein-style through the convention, get the nomination, call his wife "Mr. President" or something, and tank Wisonsin

lol

Btw, Humphrey would have won even if Kennedy had lived, right?

you're saying he would have won the nomination?

Yeah.

I'm saying the problem was bigger than the assassination

What if he has to drop out after he has the nomination, won't it then go to his vp pick? That seems a lot cleaner

I would think so as well. But we're discussing a very hypothetical scenario where Biden drops dead - without naming a successor - too late for another campaign to restart, but too early for him to name a vp.

I have no doubt a lot of Bernie-voters would feel disenfranchised rather than defeated. That's what they felt last time, and it seems like a lot already feels like that no matter what this time. But with the not-so-great result Bernie has had this time around, I think the party would care more about the majority who wanted an establishment moderate shithead. Sorry, candidate.

this pandemic has by and large had a softening effect on my heart, made me instinctively kinder, more patient and understanding

and yet

if biden dies or something his delegates will rally behind someone like klobuchar.

she's never lost an election!!!

if I knew back then what I know now
If I understood the what, when, why and how.
Now it's clear to me. What I should have done.
I should have ran for higher office after my landslide victory
in the 8th grade national honor society vice presidential-election
When I still had never lost an election
But hindsight is 20/20 vision ..

we've all missed our opportunities

i won the Catholic county spelling bee in 8th grade, but I couldn't leverage that

I could elected to school council as the communist / satanist candidate.

Also I was, like, the only one left who hadn't been elected before at that point.

I know this is a silly question, but how would the Blue No Matter Who crowd react if Bernie was accused of sexual assault?

— Dennis Perrin (@DennisThePerrin) March 26, 2020

I will say this about the Biden campaign, his adviser @RonaldKlain is a legitimate expert on pandemic response and would be infinitely better than Mike Pence or Jared Kushner.

— jeremy scahill (@jeremyscahill) March 26, 2020

I really don't think anyone should ever spend time on these things if they aren't willing to take a stand on the veracity of the allegation.

This is utter (and unsurprising) horseshit.

The main reason I find it hard to believe is that it's the second story Tara Reade has told about Biden, it's completely different than the first one, and she is now saying she was adjusting the first story make it more believable among the other allegations. But that this is the one that is true. That gives me pause a lot.

― Frederik B, Thursday, March 26, 2020 1:00 PM (yesterday)

i agree w/ this. i'm not gonna form a definite opinion on this allegation till a credible journalist looks into it, but the degree to which her story has changed since she first told it gives me some serious doubts about it. frankly i think it was pretty unethical of the intercept to run a story about this without even trying to vet her accusation. i found all the WHY ISN'T THE MAINSTREAM MEDIA MENTIONING THIS crap on twitter to be pretty ridiculous -- as if any serious news outlet is going to publish such a serious charge against a candidate without investigating it first.