outbreak! (ebola, sars, coronavirus, etc)

-10 y life expectancy:

This is a remarkable chart. Your risk of dying in the UK from coronavirus is the same as "normal annual risk". https://t.co/Hli7YPoARs

Worth noting, this risk profile will be different if the health system is overwhelmed and will be different for other countries. pic.twitter.com/nIRZqlIjgq

— Akshat Rathi (@AkshatRathi) May 24, 2020

not surprisingly, it's already been misinterpreted

One way to think about that is: if you get coronavirus then your risk of dying that year is twice what it would otherwise be. That’s not a huge deal for a 30 year old because it’s very rare for 30 year olds to die, but it’s not great if you’re 80.

yep. the chart puts it into a harrowing perspective. this is why I'm wearing a mask in the house around my dad.

i'm afraid to share the chart though because I know people will go "SEE, IT'S NO RISKIER THAN EVER!"

what kind of monsters use a log scale graph

lol Staten Island

Staten Islanders with masks drive out non-mask wearing person in grocery store. #Coronavirus pic.twitter.com/iPQwk7lD9y

— McAuley (@McauleyHolmes) May 25, 2020

Have mixed feelings about that

well the yelling isn't good, makes more droplets

I know, right? Why must they be so mean to some stupid asshole who's putting all of their lives at risk? I mean, they used profanity in the presence of a child!

I'm not totally against it, but the raging mob is a bit worrisome. I could see this stuff turning violent very quickly, and that probably wouldn't be great.

It’s Staten Island

I could see this stuff turning violent very quickly, and that probably wouldn't be great.

This is sort of like "if you don't want to get punched in the face, don't march through downtown holding your Nazi flag" - if you don't want to get chased out of the supermarket, put a fucking mask on.

These two things are not equivalent, but ok, my mild disapproval was obviously a bridge too far.

Evening the score with moms in the guilt department.

http://www.blogto.com/city/2020/05/ontario-now-blaming-mothers-day-increase-cases-covid-19/

Cottonwood AZ (trashier, more conservative, less educated): almost nobood wears a mask now
Sedona AZ, 15 minutes away (wealthier, more liberal, more educated): almost everyone is still wearing masks

more like STALIN ISLAND am I right fellow freedom lovers

my takeaway from that video was information i already knew: do not go grocery shopping in staten island

here's a URL for you
https://variety.com/2020/music/news/orchestra-stranded-german-castle-haunted-wolves-coronavirus-bolivia-pandemic-1234615376/

IHME sucked and “curve fitting” is an example of the hubris of people without any domain expertise who can code and have total faith in “data”

ICYMI (because I did!) the IHME model is now a hybrid SEIR model. They switched to this method on May 04, look at the difference in accuracy so far

My key take away:

👩‍⚕️ Listen to disease modeling experts, there's a reason they utilize these compartment models! pic.twitter.com/Hi8uLVagVO

— Lucy D’Agostino McGowan (@LucyStats) May 25, 2020

I had noticed that their methodology had changed last log-in - was wondering about that. thanks!

here's a URL for you
https://variety.com/2020/music/news/orchestra-stranded-german-castle-haunted-wolves-coronavirus-bolivia-pandemic-1234615376🕸/

https://i.imgur.com/HJp6uAZ.jpg

ORCHESTRA STRANDED
GERMAN CASTLE HAUNTED
WOLVES
CORONAVIRUS
BOLIVA
PANDEMIC
AAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!

How did we get to this url?

Of the 251 orchestra strandings over the last 187 years (orchestra stranding reporting only started in the 1830s), only 23 were in German castles. 18 of those castles were haunted, and of those 18, only 5 were surrounded with wolves. Of those 5, 3 were Bolivian. The first of those was in 1847. The second was in 1918, during the flu pandemic. And finally, there was this one, during the coronavirus pandemic of 2020.

speaking of animals getting bolder

https://www.clickondetroit.com/news/local/2020/05/25/cdc-warns-of-unusual-or-aggressive-rodents-hunting-for-food-amid-covid-19/

Lol for DJI

regarding the ethics of yelling at these stupid fucking death cult morons whenever necessary:

These social dynamics aren’t worth keeping. It’s gross to expect people with less power to tolerate living with less safety. It’s gross that we let a certain sector of society run unchecked, spreading the virus and their gun-rage.

If you have the social privilege of safety, now is the time to be rude. Use your rudeness to protect yourself, your family, and everyone else in this world.

https://smartwomenwrite.com/2020/05/23/now-is-the-time-to-be-rude/

fuck yes

https://i.imgur.com/s6ERFUA.jpg

yelling means you’re forcefully ejecting microscopic droplets from your mouth so seems a bit counterproductive, unless you think the satisfaction of being vindictive and sanctimonious is worth it

yelling means you’re forcefully ejecting microscopic droplets from your mouth

*into your mask*

But keep talking about how other people are being sanctimonious. A very good look.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wXGgWf2lacM

I’m not going to yell at some dick who’ll probably just hit me

Or shoot me.

I'm very much not a person who is going to create the possibility for violence where alternatives exist, but if I'm yelling at someone in a supermarket, I've probably already mentally prepared for my bout with Glass Joe

I wouldn’t be so sure about a standard mask capturing all the aerosol droplets from someone yelling/screaming as shown in the video

I regret using "yelling" as shorthand for "clearly enunciated contempt"

can we use "public shaming" instead?

ty, carry on

Are they screaming like Blackie Lawless or just raising their voice

Xpost

ha, exactly

Good for Mongolia.

Vietnam and Greece also seem to be success stories

Meanwhile, in America, the "Deep State Mapping Project" is here to show you how this whole thing is a false flag disinformation op intended to subvert the 2020 election...and it goes all the way back to 1918!

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EY88a7dU8AIodki.jpg

man, there's nobody keith haring's estate won't collab with

ahahahaha

I can count on one hand the number of times I've politely asked someone to stop being a jag in public and not gotten some unsubtle variation of "FUCK YOU!" as a response. I used to think they were just really self-centered but now I kinda realize they're authoritarians and just having their guys running the country isn't enough; they are miserable if they can't impose their will on others. The pandemic, for them, is an opportunity to constantly do this with weaponized breathing.

Curious about what happens if you fold that in quarters vertically and bring the two sides together.

xp wait are you talking about the people with or the people without masks?

Xpost what, me worry?

people without masks! people who are wearing masks seem to understand the distinction between "this is the right thing to do" and "this is what I want to do" whereas for the mask-refusers, those statements seem to be indistinguishable, and there's nothing really but a hierarchy of force

Are you guys mad at people just going for a walk without a mask or just those people going indoors?