outbreak! (ebola, sars, coronavirus, etc)

here's a URL for you
https://variety.com/2020/music/news/orchestra-stranded-german-castle-haunted-wolves-coronavirus-bolivia-pandemic-1234615376/

IHME sucked and “curve fitting” is an example of the hubris of people without any domain expertise who can code and have total faith in “data”

ICYMI (because I did!) the IHME model is now a hybrid SEIR model. They switched to this method on May 04, look at the difference in accuracy so far

My key take away:

👩‍⚕️ Listen to disease modeling experts, there's a reason they utilize these compartment models! pic.twitter.com/Hi8uLVagVO

— Lucy D’Agostino McGowan (@LucyStats) May 25, 2020

I had noticed that their methodology had changed last log-in - was wondering about that. thanks!

here's a URL for you
https://variety.com/2020/music/news/orchestra-stranded-german-castle-haunted-wolves-coronavirus-bolivia-pandemic-1234615376🕸/

https://i.imgur.com/HJp6uAZ.jpg

ORCHESTRA STRANDED
GERMAN CASTLE HAUNTED
WOLVES
CORONAVIRUS
BOLIVA
PANDEMIC
AAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!

How did we get to this url?

Of the 251 orchestra strandings over the last 187 years (orchestra stranding reporting only started in the 1830s), only 23 were in German castles. 18 of those castles were haunted, and of those 18, only 5 were surrounded with wolves. Of those 5, 3 were Bolivian. The first of those was in 1847. The second was in 1918, during the flu pandemic. And finally, there was this one, during the coronavirus pandemic of 2020.

speaking of animals getting bolder

https://www.clickondetroit.com/news/local/2020/05/25/cdc-warns-of-unusual-or-aggressive-rodents-hunting-for-food-amid-covid-19/

Lol for DJI

regarding the ethics of yelling at these stupid fucking death cult morons whenever necessary:

These social dynamics aren’t worth keeping. It’s gross to expect people with less power to tolerate living with less safety. It’s gross that we let a certain sector of society run unchecked, spreading the virus and their gun-rage.

If you have the social privilege of safety, now is the time to be rude. Use your rudeness to protect yourself, your family, and everyone else in this world.

https://smartwomenwrite.com/2020/05/23/now-is-the-time-to-be-rude/

fuck yes

https://i.imgur.com/s6ERFUA.jpg

yelling means you’re forcefully ejecting microscopic droplets from your mouth so seems a bit counterproductive, unless you think the satisfaction of being vindictive and sanctimonious is worth it

yelling means you’re forcefully ejecting microscopic droplets from your mouth

*into your mask*

But keep talking about how other people are being sanctimonious. A very good look.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wXGgWf2lacM

I’m not going to yell at some dick who’ll probably just hit me

Or shoot me.

I'm very much not a person who is going to create the possibility for violence where alternatives exist, but if I'm yelling at someone in a supermarket, I've probably already mentally prepared for my bout with Glass Joe

I wouldn’t be so sure about a standard mask capturing all the aerosol droplets from someone yelling/screaming as shown in the video

I regret using "yelling" as shorthand for "clearly enunciated contempt"

can we use "public shaming" instead?

ty, carry on

Are they screaming like Blackie Lawless or just raising their voice

Xpost

ha, exactly

Good for Mongolia.

Vietnam and Greece also seem to be success stories

Meanwhile, in America, the "Deep State Mapping Project" is here to show you how this whole thing is a false flag disinformation op intended to subvert the 2020 election...and it goes all the way back to 1918!

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EY88a7dU8AIodki.jpg

man, there's nobody keith haring's estate won't collab with

ahahahaha

I can count on one hand the number of times I've politely asked someone to stop being a jag in public and not gotten some unsubtle variation of "FUCK YOU!" as a response. I used to think they were just really self-centered but now I kinda realize they're authoritarians and just having their guys running the country isn't enough; they are miserable if they can't impose their will on others. The pandemic, for them, is an opportunity to constantly do this with weaponized breathing.

Curious about what happens if you fold that in quarters vertically and bring the two sides together.

xp wait are you talking about the people with or the people without masks?

Xpost what, me worry?

people without masks! people who are wearing masks seem to understand the distinction between "this is the right thing to do" and "this is what I want to do" whereas for the mask-refusers, those statements seem to be indistinguishable, and there's nothing really but a hierarchy of force

Are you guys mad at people just going for a walk without a mask or just those people going indoors?

If you're walking on your own and being mindful of others I don't think a mask is strictly necessary the entire time you're outside, but I don't know how many times while driving yesterday I saw clusters of unmasked people truckin' down the sidewalk and forcing everyone else to stay out of their way. That shit's egregious imo.

xp the latter, but the former is also pretty dumb imo given what we currently know about aerosolized droplet spread

I wouldn't say anything outdoors, but I'd move as far away from them as possible

OL otm

ORCHESTRA STRANDED
GERMAN CASTLE HAUNTED
WOLVES
CORONAVIRUS
BOLIVA
PANDEMIC
AAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!

Fantastic noise lineup

a mask doesn't completely prevent air from getting through, unperson

ORCHESTRA STRANDED
GERMAN CASTLE HAUNTED
WOLVES
CORONAVIRUS
BOLIVA
PANDEMIC
AAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!

Fantastic noise lineup

― Master of Treacle, Tuesday, May 26, 2020 12:47 PM (one minute ago)

a mask doesn't completely prevent air from getting through, unperson

I am aware of this because I wear a mask every time I leave my apartment and I have not yet asphyxiated, but thanks for piping up again.

Cool it, Phil.

I am excited for covfefe powered American made tesla 5G to ingnite the great awakening.

RIP to the 'real name when shit gets heated' thread

Drove through Navajo rez today. Couple billboards about covid, one instructional on how to avoid catching and transmitting. Nearly everyone at the Walmart I stopped at to use bathroom was wearing masks.
In Escalante Utah now. County has had 3 cases total. Yet they still have more measures in place than AZ: employees anywhere wearing masks, enforcing 6 ft rule in bars and restaurants, etc. Bartender says memorial day weekend was busiest he's ever seen. Hopefully those tourists didn't bring cooties.

That Deep Spate mapping project needs photoshopping into the Charlie Day meme

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/may/27/japan-to-subsidise-visitors-holidays-in-effort-to-revive-tourism-shop-restaurant-discounts-coronavirus

These magic money tree seeds get everywhere! Probably not hitching a ride on cargo flights right now though.

Tourism to Japan used to be heavily subsidized back in the late 90s/early 00s, up until the rise of the internet and mobile technology. I remember one non-work trip I had where I got a unlimited rail pass and a 2000 mile (3000km) round trip domestic flight (upgraded!) added to my JAL flight for ~$200.

lol

Wow. The chief medical officer does not believe in their vaccine. Moderna never released data because it was just boosting its stock. https://t.co/agin67iV52

— Topher Spiro (@TopherSpiro) May 27, 2020

heh, according to those vanity fair "increasingly isolated" series of articles, trump has been telling everybody that the Moderna vaccine will be ready in a matter of months and everyone thinks he is very dumb

Warning: Link goes to Reddit

Basically, the numbers of deaths attributed to pneumonia in many states are 3-5x the average annual number. For example, according to the CDC, Florida has had 1,762 deaths from #COVID and 5,185 from pneumonia so far in 2020. Except the average number of pneumonia deaths in Florida from 2013-2018 is...918.

Just in case you get a variant of this thing in your facebook feed, it's bogus.

https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/covid-19-mask-efficacy-chart/