outbreak! (ebola, sars, coronavirus, etc)

Florida down to 40 and older:

https://www.miamiherald.com/news/coronavirus/article250196325.html

Has there been a good, more recent article about supply increases? I remember seeing something a few weeks ago that larger numbers of the J&J shot should be hitting at the start of April, but not much news since. All of the local updates have really gone to great pains to emphasize patience and have said that supply levels are not likely to increase "in the near future". Given that phrase could mean any number of things, it would be nice to cut through the noise and see some reassuring data unaffected by spin.

these are rookie numbers

Our #COVID19 vaccine insight of the day is our view on total doses produced and the number of doses that have actually been exported across countries/regions. pic.twitter.com/1dInQRVzxw

— Airfinity (@Airfinity) March 24, 2021

xp 27 million doses supplied this week in the US.

Double the 13.5 million doses per week as of February 16th.

New York still 60+. Going to need the NY recreational marijuana to get me through to 2022 when I can get vaccinated.

xpost - Thanks, that's the kind of info I was looking to read. It's a nice antidote to seeing this type of thing day after day:

Restaurant staff, construction trade workers and religious leaders can join the line March 29, before appointments open to any resident 16 or older starting April 12. Those new guidelines apply to all Illinois residents, but not at Chicago or Cook County sites, where officials have said supply is still too scarce to add more people to the line.

NY is 50+ now, no?

Good news out of California

Beginning April 1, we are expanding #COVID19 vaccine eligibility. Supply continues to increase thanks to the leadership of @POTUS.

With more than 15 million shots in arms, the light at the end of the tunnel continues to get brighter. pic.twitter.com/Bee0V7vGjP

— Office of the Governor of California (@CAgovernor) March 25, 2021

Imagine having that kind of optimism in the messaging from your leaders instead of the doom and gloom and "supply still too scarce" bullshit (and it increasingly does indeed look like bullshit, deployed to excuse poor planning and reacting) every single day. That would go miles towards improving the optimism of a ton of folks I speak to regularly.

It's just wearing on me so much to watch this endless cycle of the state announcing eligibility expansion after eligibility expansion, only to have every single one of them immediately followed up by our county saying, "not here!", "nope" and "no way".

NY is 50+ now, no?

― G.A.G.S. (Gophers Against Getting Stuffed) (forksclovetofu), Thursday, March 25, 2021 3:08 PM (sixteen minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

I must have missed this or it just happened. Still doesn't help me (barely), but at least there's hope of getting it in the spring.

https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/coronavirus/new-yorkers-age-50-and-up-can-now-get-vaccinated/2958683/

based on some of the movement i'm seeing in the event industry and general news reading, I think it's not unreasonable that NY vaccinations will be "available" to anyone 16 and older before the end of April. Getting an appointment is likely to be a shitshow through May but I'd be surprised if you couldn't get a needle in your arm before June. I am increasingly optimistic that NYC is gonna be at 60-65% vaxxed by July. But someone else in thread pipe up and let me know if I've gone soft!

Getting an appointment is likely to be a shitshow through May

i have no idea of the local supply issues, but i don't think opening it up to everyone 16+ is suddenly going to turn *getting an appointment* into a shitshow. it's a larger group than have gotten access before, but it's also a lot of people who work full time or will otherwise be constrained in their ability to make an appointment (this is bad, but it's probably good news for everyone else), and it's the group that will have the largest fraction of people who refuse to get the vaccine ("i'm not personally in danger"). will be pleasantly surprised if half the people in it try get the shot tbh.

i just mean that the infrastructure is still iffy. would love to be wrong about that.

At this point rate of vaccination seems like it’s constrained by supply (still) and eligibility (some places are being too strict) not infrastructure in most places. Who knows though. Maybe that huge cohort will break things.

based on my brief embed at a distribution center, the sign up and onsite administration process seems like the biggest weak link. You're asking people to sign off on multiple forms online and then do the same in person which, frankly, lots of people simply aren't capable of doing due to language/cultural experience or just being straight up dumb.

Ah yeah fair enough forgot you’ve been in the shit

That seems like it would put a big strain on things, for sure. Afaik most places around here have pushed all the sign up, forms and confirmation to online upfront when the appointment is set up to make the on-site process much more smooth.

hopefully this will help with getting the vaccine to people who have language / cultural issues

.@POTUS is placing equity at the forefront of our nation’s vaccination program by investing $10B—much of it from the #AmericanRescuePlan—to expand vaccinations for low-income, minority, and rural communities. This will save lives.

Read Chair @WhipClyburn's statement:

— Select Subcommittee on the Coronavirus Crisis (@COVIDOversight) March 25, 2021

a lot of people who work full time or will otherwise be constrained in their ability to make an appointment

I work full time but there's no way in hell I'm passing up an appointment if it's in work hours. I realize not all employers would accept this.

we're gonna run into waves of people calling in sick off the second shot; it's gonna be a month of half-capacity office attendance.

j/v/c, if the rest of the state is opening up from April 12, is there an option for you to drive to a site outside of Cook County? Or do they check your residence address when you're registering?

Yeah, that's def an option, but it depends on how far out I'd have to go. An hour or two could be something I swing, but so far I'm seeing that it's more likely 4-5 hours one way that people are having to head downstate before hitting open appointments. Unless that huge uptick in supply starts showing up before April 12th, I don't see that situation changing too much - supply is just nowhere near the demand in Cook County and it's making it harder for a pretty big radius.

Was just reading this morning that Cook County opened up 16,000 appointments earlier this week for their mass vax sites and the website crashed due to half a million hits per second from people trying snag one. Until supply catches up to demand around here, I think it's still going to be a long wait.

afaict that's the case for healthy younger people all over the world. i'm in a vaccine "success story" country - the UK - and i won't have my second jab until august. probably.

jvc's letter to illinois vax authorities unearthed:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CdqoNKCCt7A

lol

Obviously I can't speak to everywhere, but I'm hearing from friends in other states that it has been surprisingly easy for them to set up appointments.

Hey has anyone gotten the Johnson & Johnson shot? I'm scheduled to get one today. What should I expect?

free baby powder?

(seriously though, reports are that the J&J shot causes symptoms akin to the second Moderna/Pfizer vaccine... you will feel quite bad for a day or two)

Thanks!

more J&J coming

Big — and surprising — news: Biden’s team announces Johnson & Johnson WILL meet its goal of 20 million vaccines in March. Around 11 million will go out next week. This had been in doubt as of just a few days ago, given less than half the 20 million had gone out.

— Kaitlan Collins (@kaitlancollins) March 26, 2021

Ulp. I believe Russia are in a similar position too.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/mar/28/mexico-covid-death-toll-rise-60-percent

Mexico’s government has acknowledged that the country’s true death toll from the coronavirus pandemic now stands above 321,000, almost 60% more than the official test-confirmed number of 201,429.

Mexico does little testing, and because hospitals were overwhelmed, many Mexicans died at home without getting a test. The only way to get a clear picture is to review “excess deaths” and review death certificates.

On Saturday, the government quietly published such a report, which found there were 294,287 deaths linked to Covid-19 from the start of the pandemic through 14 February. Since 15 February there have been an additional 26,772 test-confirmed deaths.

Mexico has twice the population of UK, covid death toll slightly more than twice the UK (which passed 150k this week)

Yeah here's the current high-flyers according to Worldometers, the first figure is deaths per 1M population, the second figure is the actual population of that country. UK still the worst comparative death toll among the more populous countries of the world. Mexico in 17th place but that's with the older figures.

Gibraltar 2,791 33,684
San Marino 2,472 33,984
Czechia 2,413 10,723,629
Hungary 2,071 9,642,235
Montenegro 1,976 628,125
Belgium 1,967 11,626,775
Slovenia 1,933 2,079,149
Bosnia and Herzegovina 1,905 3,265,728
UK 1,857 68,148,586

Sorry let's make that more legible

Gibraltar - 2,791 / 33,684
San Marino - 2,472 / 33,984
Czechia - 2,413 / 10,723,629
Hungary - 2,071 / 9,642,235
Montenegro - 1,976 / 628,125
Belgium - 1,967 / 11,626,775
Slovenia - 1,933 / 2,079,149
Bosnia and Herzegovina - 1,905 / 3,265,728
UK - 1,857 / 68,148,586

Am I right in thinking, leaving aside the barely disguised schadenfreude with which they are reporting it, the UK media are ignoring the fact that the putative third wave of COVID in EU countries is down to the Kent strain that was killing over a 1000 day in the UK a few months back? Granted the EU's vaccine fuck ups have made the situation worse.

Or maybe I've got that wrong and it isn't the Kent strain that's rampaging round Europe?

that's what i heard (and posted at the time). means we're ahead of the curve on that (not without cost) and hopefully won't follow Europe onto a 3rd wave. but there are always other variants...

The UK strain is thought to be about 1/3 of current cases in the US, extrapolating from 5,000 positively identified, and projected to be the most prevalent come April. Shame there’s no way of stopping it from leaving or entering a country: there are headlines in Queensland because a third case, in total, has been identified, so testing and quarantining obv wouldn’t make a difference in the US or UK.

T(xp) hat's what I thought, amid all the tut-tutting about the situation in Germany or France it doesn't really get mentioned that the death toll is still a lot lower than it was in the UK when the Kent variant was on the loose here.

america needs to be treating central america like a neighbor and distributing vaccine to their governments both local and federal the instant it is fully available to all north americans.

The rising incidence of blood closets after AZ vaccinations is starting to look more concerning, especially as the Australian government has staked the almost whole vaccination campaign on AZ. Still doesn’t seem to be a causal link yet but it’s harder to brush off than it was at the beginning of the weak.

https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/apr/03/australian-covid-vaccine-astrazeneca-experts-urgently-meet-after-blood-clot-case-in-melbourne

the UK as well

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-56620646

but 30 cases (7 deaths) in 18m is being deemed acceptable

isn't that comparable to how many clots were found for other vaccines?

initially i was thinking similarly isn't this just an incidence of blood clots that you would expect to see at placebo level - ie not statistically significant? but i think it's due to a combination of issues.

FT has this (£):

Thirty cases of blood clots combined with low platelet counts equates to roughly one case in every 600,000 people who have received the AstraZeneca vaccine. This was a sharp increase from the number of such incidents recorded in the previous MHRA report on 22 March. That showed 4 cases of CVST and no fatalities for the period from January up to 14 March.

All of the reported cases involved people who had received only their first dose of the shot, the MHRA told the FT. “Of the 30 cases in our statement . . . sadly seven have died,” it said.

The UK has not recorded any of the same incidents among people that have received the BioNTech/Pfizer vaccine, the MHRA said.

“No medical intervention is ‘safe’, and the balance of benefit to risk is crucial,” said Professor David Spiegelhalter, chair of the Winton Centre for Risk at the University of Cambridge. “A month’s delay in vaccinating 500,000 people between 44 and 54 would be expected to lead to around 85 severe cases requiring hospitalisation, of which perhaps 5 would die.”

jfc

Belgian police go wild on kids hanging out in a park because it’s April 2021 and European governments are still too stupid to understand how a respiratory disease works, and confident enough in their ignorance to crush their people. pic.twitter.com/6m7nYeKJ8B

— Richard Hanania (@RichardHanania) April 3, 2021

https://healthycanadians.gc.ca/recall-alert-rappel-avis/hc-sc/2021/75309a-eng.php

I've been using two packages of masks made by BYD Electronics the last while that the school gave to me. Had to look around online--the packaging tells you nothing--but they seem to be okay. Did find this from a year ago:

https://cntechpost.com/2020/04/02/chinese-team-develops-new-graphene-mask/

Something new to mess with your mental health.

yeah, I got an email from my son's high school about a week and a half ago telling us to stop using the masks that were distributed at his school. It's totally unclear to me if all graphene masks or unsafe or only those from specific manufacturers. The recall seems to indicate it is all graphene masks. The packaging of the masks did clearly indicate "disposable facemask with biomass graphene". The masks themselves had a grey color rather than white, so if you just have the regular white and blue disposable mask I think you're ok.

https://www.mediamatters.org/fox-news/fox-news-routinely-attacks-pandemic-health-measures-while-implementing-them-its-own-staff

The good news just never stops with this thing.

https://www.cnn.com/2021/04/06/health/covid-neurological-psychological-lancet-wellness/index.html