This is the thread where we discuss matters pertaining to the detrius that accompanies the "End of the Year in Cinema" -- 2022

Major, a longtime LAFCA member, revealed the group’s actual lunacy:

Anything following this clause that isn't "that the LAFCA would allow Wade Major of the CineGods website as a member in the first place" is to be dismissed

the use of the phrase "grooming" early on in that piece is the equivalent of smelling cowshit before turning over your shoe

BAFTA longlists have a few WTFs

https://www.bafta.org/film/longlists-2023-ee-BAFTA-film-awards

Tom Hanks in supporting for Elvis?!

I will say it's a creepier performance than I thought Hanks had in him.

National Society vote has begun:

Best Actress: Cate Blanchett, TÁR (59 points)

Runners-up:
Michelle Yeoh, EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE (38 points)
Tilda Swinton, THE ETERNAL DAUGHTER, and Michelle Williams, THE FABELMANS (27 points)

— National Society of Film Critics (@NatSocFilmCrix) January 7, 2023

Yow! Tilda Swintdon!

(who might've earned my vote)

I can't deny Blanchett, dammit.

Same; I genuinely agree with it being called the performance of the year

Best Supporting Actress: Kerry Condon, THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN (57 points)

Runners-up:
Nina Hoss, TÁR (43 points)
Dolly de Leon, TRIANGLE OF SADNESS (35 points)

— National Society of Film Critics (@NatSocFilmCrix) January 7, 2023

Sort of wish they’d had the stones to make this one only for After Yang

Best Actor: Colin Farrell, AFTER YANG and THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN (71 points)

Runners-up:
Paul Mescal, AFTERSUN (55 points)
Bill Nighy, LIVING (33 points)

— National Society of Film Critics (@NatSocFilmCrix) January 7, 2023

Should've been honest and given it to Paul Mescal.

Frankie Corio was even better

Alas, no NSFC curveballs this year

Best Supporting Actor: Ke Huy Quan, EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE (45 points)

Runners-up:
Brian Tyree Henry, CAUSEWAY (35 points)
Barry Keoghan, THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN (27 points)

— National Society of Film Critics (@NatSocFilmCrix) January 7, 2023

Best Picture: TÁR (61 points)

Runners-up:
AFTERSUN (49 points)
NO BEARS (32 points)

— National Society of Film Critics (@NatSocFilmCrix) January 7, 2023

"No Bears" our January gay thread title

YouTube has a version of Man with a Camera with what I think is Snow Patrol on the soundtrack.

Best Director: Charlotte Wells, AFTERSUN (60 points)

Runners-up:
Park Chan-wook, DECISION TO LEAVE (47 points)
Jafar Panahi, NO BEARS (36 points)

— National Society of Film Critics (@NatSocFilmCrix) January 7, 2023

Best Film Not in the English Language: EO (43 points)

Runners-up:
NO BEARS (37 points)
DECISION TO LEAVE (34 points)

— National Society of Film Critics (@NatSocFilmCrix) January 7, 2023

Best Nonfiction Film: ALL THE BEAUTY AND THE BLOODSHED (46 points)

Runners-up:
DESCENDANT (40 points)
ALL THAT BREATHES (27 points)

— National Society of Film Critics (@NatSocFilmCrix) January 7, 2023

I realized recently that EO is onomatopoeia for “hee haw”

So is Eeyore.

As good as Austin Butler was, Elvis was kind of pedestrian and disappointing. Ricky D'Ambrose's The Cathedral was better than I expected, and I thought Sebastian Meise's Great Freedom was really great

So is Eeyore.

― jaymc, Saturday, January 7, 2023 7:50 PM (one hour ago) bookmarkflaglink

omigod

I didn't review The Cathedral until last week. I"m glad I watched it.

So is Eeyore.
― jaymc

omigod
― Malevolent Arugula (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn)

Omigod x 2

and I thought Sebastian Meise's Great Freedom was really great

I count it as a 2021 flick.

Another reason to strip Will Smith of his booty

David Ehrlich's annual video countdown of the year is brilliant as always:

https://vimeo.com/786806921

Been awhile since we've had a good old-fashioned grassroots Sally Kirkland-style Oscar campaign:

https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/jennifer-aniston-sarah-paulson-andrea-riseborough-to-leslie-1235294300/

Oh, and the Critics' Choice Award winners (i.e. the apex of detrius season):

https://variety.com/2023/awards/news/critics-choice-awards-2023-winners-list-1235488828/

Best Picture
“Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)

Best Director
Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)

Best Actress
Cate Blanchett – “Tár” (Focus Features)

Best Actor
Brendan Fraser – “The Whale” (A24)

Best Supporting Actress
Angela Bassett – “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios)

Best Supporting Actor
Ke Huy Quan – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)

Best Original Screenplay
Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)

Best Adapted Screenplay
Sarah Polley – “Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)

i am thinking everything everywhere is gonna win the best screenplay oscar and get locked out of everything else, which is fine i guess
any other year, yeoh would have a shot at actress

Ke Huy Quan is he surest bet among the acting categories rn

Yeah, KHQ seems like a lock.

I'd say it's him, then Blanchett, then Bassett, then Butler, in order of likelihood

Butler over Farrell? I haven’t been paying much attention to awards conversation but figured Farrell would be a significant contender.

Legit it's a three-way contest still; but Butler feels pretty solid atm

Butler has the Academy's awful history of rewarding biopics in his favor.

Farrell has the Academy's awful history of ignoring comedy against him.

Fraser has the Academy's awful history

(I will have to watch it at some point, but if The Whale isn't the worst movie up for a top Oscar this year, I'll be surprised)

at this point I'm thinking the chances for best actor are between Farrell (resolute but unshowy performance, respect for his body of work) and Fraser (sentimental and emotional performance, a comeback), and that they are both more way more likely than Butler

The Whale is wore than your reckonings, my friend xpost

It's probably awful and I haven’t seen it, but given the sentimental gushing over the performance I’m guessing it’s not too bad a film for the Oscars.

On the other hand, most Best Actor wins don’t come from otherwise unloved films (Jeff Bridges in Crazy Heart and Forrest Whitaker in The Last King of Scotland come to mind, but they were well over a decade ago), unlike Best Actress wins

I don’t think Austin Butler is likely, he’s relatively unknown, hasn’t won any precursors so far, and Best Actor Oscars usually don’t go to handsome 30-year old men, especially for their first major roles. Adrien Brody was the only actor that age to win a Best Actor Oscar in recent memory

The narrative this year seems like it is about the comeback from obscurity - Michelle Yeoh, Angela Bassett, Brendan Fraser, and Ke Huy Kwan. Not saying they will all win, but Ke Huy Kwan definitely will

Rami Malek was 37 when he won (and already had an Emmy), but might be somewhat analogous to Butler.

Casey Affleck too at 41. but 30 is very young for Best Actor.

anyway, I'm hoping the actors' branch comes through and Colin Farrell wins

Welp, BAFTA sure loved All Quiet on the Western Front (and didn't much like Top Gun ... or, probably appropriately, RRR)

[q]BEST FILM
All Quiet on the Western Front
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All At Once
Tár

OUTSTANDING BRITISH FILM
Aftersun
The Banshees of Inisherin
Brian And Charles
Empire of Light
Good Luck to You, Leo Grande
Living
Roald Dahl's Matilda The Musical
See How They Run
The Swimmers
The Wonder

OUTSTANDING DEBUT BY A BRITISH WRITER, DIRECTOR OR PRODUCER
Aftersun
Blue Jean
Electric Malady
Good Luck to You, Leo Grande
Rebellion

FILM NOT IN ENGLISH LANGUAGE
All Quiet on the Western Front
Argentina, 1985
Corsage
Decision To Leave
The Quiet Girl

DOCUMENTARY
All That Breathes
All the Beauty and the Bloodshed
Fire of Love
Moonage Daydream
Navalny

DIRECTOR
All Quiet on the Western Front
The Banshees of Inisherin
Decision To Leave
Everything Everywhere All At Once
Tár
The Woman King

LEADING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett in Tár
Viola Davis in The Woman King
Danielle Deadwyler in Till
Ana de Armas in Blonde
Emma Thompson in Good Luck to You, Leo Grande
Michelle Yeoh in Everything Everywhere All At Once

LEADING ACTOR
Austin Butler in Elvis
Colin Farrell in The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser in The Whale
Daryl McCormack in Good Luck to You, Leo Grande
Paul Mescal in Aftersun
Bill Nighy in Living

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Angela Bassett in Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Hong Chau in The Whale
Kerry Condon in The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis in Everything Everywhere All At Once
Dolly De Leon in Triangle of Sadness
Carey Mulligan in She Said

SUPPORTING ACTOR
Brendan Gleeson in The Banshees of Inisherin
Barry Keoghan in The Banshees of Inisherin
Ke Huy Quan in Everything Everywhere All At Once
Eddie Redmayne in The Good Nurse
Albrecht Schuch in All Quiet on the Western Front
Micheal Ward in Empire of Light

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
Tár
Triangle of Sadness

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
All Quiet on the Western Front
Living
The Quiet Girl
She Said
The Whale[q]

Seems pretty clear that The Fabelmans is quite down for the count, as is Women Talking and, arguably, Top Gun: Maverick

Oh it still gets in Best Picture and Director at the Oscars.

It's good not bad that the BAFTAs are snubbing Spielberg

Counterpoint: It's worse they nominated McDonagh twice